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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome back to the Ben Post Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Today we break down UFC three h four from a

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Speaker 1: sports gambling perspective. My name is Seth Wilcock and today

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Speaker 1: I'm joined by heavyweight in the UFC MMA handicapping business,

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Speaker 1: a guy with about one thousand various YouTube channels, Kyle, Kyle,

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Speaker 1: how are we doing tonight?

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Speaker 2: Man?

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Speaker 1: As the promotion picks up and heads across the pond

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Speaker 1: to Manchester, England.

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Speaker 3: Hey, I'm doing great. Thank you very very much for

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Speaker 3: having me. I'm excited absolutely man.

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Speaker 1: Tonight we're gonna be covering the welterweight title bout, the

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Speaker 1: heavyweight interim title bout, and a featherweight bout, and then

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Speaker 1: we'll get to Kyle's best of the rest of the cards,

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Speaker 1: his best bets, everything in between. Kyle, how are we

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Speaker 1: feeling in general the UFC heading over seas? Here been

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Speaker 1: a couple of tough cards recently with fight changes in

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Speaker 1: the interim.

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Speaker 4: There's been a ton of fight changes and the cards

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Speaker 4: have been the fans have been haven't been too happy.

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Speaker 4: It's been a little bit lackluster. But now with this

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Speaker 4: cardover Manchester, it's gonna be fantastic. This whole card is stacked.

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Speaker 4: IM looking forward to pretty much every single fight awesome.

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Speaker 1: I'm glad to hear. Let's start with the welterweight title bout.

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Speaker 1: This is gonna be Leon Edwards defending his title against

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Speaker 1: Balal Muhammed. The two previously fought in March of twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty one, where the fight was rolled a no contest

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Speaker 1: after an accident I poked to Mohammed he was unable

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Speaker 1: to continue. But a lot has changed in the UFC

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Speaker 1: world since then.

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Speaker 3: Edwards.

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Speaker 1: He's gone on to beat Nate Diez, He's taken the title,

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Speaker 1: defended against guys like Usman, and defended again here, most

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Speaker 1: recently in December against Colby Covington. Muhammad, on the other hand,

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Speaker 1: prior to Chicago also undefeated in that time since that

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Speaker 1: fight five and zero, most recently took down Gilbert Burns

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Speaker 1: nearly fourteenth months ago. Did the books get this one right?

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Speaker 1: Muhammad's coming in here as the underdog at plus one

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Speaker 1: seventy two? Is that fair for him?

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Speaker 4: To be honest, I'm a little bit surprised by the

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Speaker 4: odds there, because from an outside perspective, Leon Edwards is

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Speaker 4: the superior fighter everywhere. He's extremely complete and pretty much

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Speaker 4: all Belall offers, which he's fantastic at is wrestling, but

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Speaker 4: Leon Edwards can seemingly out wrestle everybody else where.

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Speaker 3: I'm kind of stuck.

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Speaker 4: Is it seems like Leon Edwards should win this fight, absolutely,

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Speaker 4: but maybe the odds are closer in the sense that

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Speaker 4: Blalo Mohammed has been the underdog recently. A lot of

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Speaker 4: people picked against him in many of his fights, and

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Speaker 4: he's put together a win streak, so I personally think

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Speaker 4: lean Edwards should be.

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Speaker 3: A bigger favorite. But then again, Blall could just shock

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Speaker 3: the world again.

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Speaker 1: Would you take that money line? Maybe parlay it was

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Speaker 1: something from a different sport, Maybe parlay it was something

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Speaker 1: different on this card, or is there a prop that

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Speaker 1: interests to you in general?

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Speaker 3: Something I do like? And Leon Edwards money line I

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Speaker 3: don't hate. I don't hate it. But again, Bloma tive.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, Bollall has been shocking people, so that's not

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Speaker 4: where I would go. Both fighters are relatively low pace.

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Speaker 4: The fight can be very inactive. The fight like, I'm

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Speaker 4: excited for the fight, don't get me wrong, but it

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Speaker 4: has the potential to be a very low output fight

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Speaker 4: with Baloh Mohammed going for takedowns lean Edwards being patient

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Speaker 4: as usual picking Bolomahammed apart. I like the round lines

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Speaker 4: no matter where they are, you can find the fight

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Speaker 4: goes the distance around that of minus two hundred. I

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Speaker 4: don't hate that, but I am more of a parlay

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Speaker 4: piece for a one point five round.

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Speaker 3: That's what I like personally.

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Speaker 1: Okay, okay, I like that play there from Kyle. He's saying,

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Speaker 1: maybe stay away from the money line here on Edwards

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Speaker 1: perhaps still kind of a little bit of a value

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Speaker 1: minus two twenty five not two bat it if you

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Speaker 1: can lay some juice there. Let's keep it moving here.

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Speaker 1: But first, I want to remind everyone to subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros YouTube channel and comment below on this

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Speaker 1: video because when you do, you can win a free

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Speaker 1: upgrade to Betting Pros Premium. So, whether you're looking for

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Speaker 1: exclusive picks, top rated player props, custom analysis, betting Pros

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Speaker 1: has the tools to cash more bets for you, plain

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Speaker 1: and simple. Let's get into the heavyweight interim title bout.

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Speaker 1: This is Tom Espinal versus Curtis Blades. This also rematched

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Speaker 1: the two last met on UC Fight Night in July

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. This fight was called in favor of

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Speaker 1: Blades after aspinall injured his knee fifteen seconds in keeping

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Speaker 1: him away from competition for an entire year. I'll be honest, Kyle,

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Speaker 1: I love Curtis Blades. He's kind of a big sob

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Speaker 1: six four two sixty three, one to one since that

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Speaker 1: last fight here against Tom though one for the night

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Speaker 1: earlier this year two ninety nine. Can that continue against

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Speaker 1: a guy like Tom who is really just a certified

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Speaker 1: weapon black belt and jiu jitsu, also can box a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Has won the UFC Interim heavyweight title in

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Speaker 1: November of last year and held it since. Do you

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Speaker 1: think things kind of stay in that mindset.

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Speaker 3: Here for this one? For me personally, I am not

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Speaker 3: touching it. I'm not touching it. Both guys can win.

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Speaker 4: Tom Aspinal has been on an absolute tear, but Curtis

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Speaker 4: Blade's a fantastic fire in himself. It's an unpopular opinion,

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Speaker 4: but I do think that Curtis Blades is just as

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Speaker 4: good as Tom Aspinal.

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Speaker 3: If you are we ready to talk about the bets

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Speaker 3: for this one, yeah, absolutely, I think the values.

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Speaker 4: On Curtis Blades, but again it's not safe because we

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Speaker 4: still do have some questions about Tom Aspital. He's a

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Speaker 4: fantastic fighter, he's the interim champion, He's accomplished it allso far,

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Speaker 4: and he is perhaps the best first round fighter in

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Speaker 4: heavyweight that we've seen in a long time. But we

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Speaker 4: still have yet to see him go for very long

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Speaker 4: in a fight. The fights five rounds. We know that

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Speaker 4: Curtis Blades can excel over the course of five rounds.

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Speaker 4: What happens when Tom Aspinall gets into those deep waters

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Speaker 4: we don't know yet. Curtis Blades can absolutely utilize his wrestling.

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Speaker 4: He has good hands. Where I'm staying away from it

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Speaker 4: is no matter what. Unfortunately, Curtis Blades has been chinny

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Speaker 4: in the past and Aspinall hits like a truck. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I don't like betting this one no matter what.

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Speaker 4: But if you're looking for value, if you want an

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Speaker 4: underdog for the card, I like Curtis Blades a lot

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Speaker 4: plus Tom Aspinall. One of these days he's gonna get

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Speaker 4: chinned with his chin up in the air and he's

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Speaker 4: fantastic at what he does, but his chin's out there

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Speaker 4: to be.

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Speaker 3: Hit and it could very well be this fpit. Curtis

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Speaker 3: Blades is fantastic.

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Speaker 1: Is Curtis Blades plus two ninety and Aspinall coming back

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Speaker 1: at minus four ten? Is that really just because we

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Speaker 1: haven't seen Tom really lose that much in the UFC

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Speaker 1: going back. He only lost that fight to Blade and

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Speaker 1: then he had a DQ in twenty sixteen. Is that

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Speaker 1: kind of why you think the books are so heavily

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Speaker 1: favorite around an Englishman here in Tom Espinal.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, unfortunately, it makes all the sense in the world.

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Speaker 4: I can see Aspinall going out there and just Starch

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Speaker 4: and Blades like he's done with so many people. It's

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Speaker 4: just again, we still have some questions about Tom's overall

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Speaker 4: fight game throughout the Long Game.

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Speaker 1: Okay, fair enough. Before we get to the next fight,

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Speaker 1: I wanted to remind everyone that you can get a

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Speaker 1: get expert picks, projections, prop bet analyzed or custom line alerts,

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Speaker 1: and much more. We have MLB still rolling NFL college

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Speaker 1: Pros Premium on the app. Whether you're on iOS, whether

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Speaker 1: you're on Android, doesn't matter. Get in there with Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros Premium on the VP app. And let's talk about

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Speaker 1: this Featherway about here, we got Arnold Allen versus Jija

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Speaker 1: Chickadise Arnold Almighty Allen. This is another fighter I really

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Speaker 1: enjoy watching. He's nineteen and three in his career, but

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Speaker 1: he's lost two straight now, so kind of coming off

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Speaker 1: a couple of tough bouts there Giga. Meanwhile, three inch

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Speaker 1: height advantage, four inch reach advantage coming into this fight

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Speaker 1: and also coming off a win about a year ago. Now,

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Speaker 1: do you think he's in the right mindset to come

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Speaker 1: in here as an underdog plus two ten? Or does

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Speaker 1: Arnold Allen have enough being the six ranked fighter at

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Speaker 1: this weight class.

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Speaker 3: Honestly, I am all over Arnold Allen on this one.

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Speaker 4: He did lose his last two fights, but his last

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Speaker 4: fight was one of the most high level fights you'll

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Speaker 4: ever see. Most of the MMA community seems to think

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Speaker 4: Arnold Allen won that fight. I personally think it could

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Speaker 4: have gone either way, but regardless, it was one of

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Speaker 4: the highest level fights he'd seen a long time before that.

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Speaker 4: He thought Max Holloway one of the best fighters of

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Speaker 4: all time at featherweight, and he did. He did have

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Speaker 4: a good performance. He did lose that fight, but he

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Speaker 4: still had a good performance and showed that he could

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Speaker 4: hang with Max in the later rounds. How many fighters

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Speaker 4: can say that. I'm still very high on Arnold Allen,

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Speaker 4: even though that he lost his past two fights. I

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Speaker 4: think he's just a little bit of a level above

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Speaker 4: gigat Chickadze. He gets Shikaze's a fantastic kickboxer, but that

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Speaker 4: really is that all that he brings to the table.

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Speaker 4: That and he's about thirty five years old right now.

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Speaker 4: He is a little bit past his prime. He's slowing

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Speaker 4: down a little bit. It's showing Arnold Allen is still hungry.

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Speaker 4: He's still ready to get to the top, and he

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Speaker 4: showed in his especially in his last fight, that he

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Speaker 4: can hang with the best of the best.

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Speaker 3: I love Arnold Allen in this matchup.

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Speaker 1: So would you take this on the money line minus

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Speaker 1: two eighty for Arnold Allen or are you finding a

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Speaker 1: different way to get.

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Speaker 4: Invested for my own money. I do have a bet

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Speaker 4: money line on Arnold Allen Already. Ronold Allen is one

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Speaker 4: of my favorite picks of the entire card. I think

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Speaker 4: that his defense can hold up for whatever he get. Chikaze

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Speaker 4: throws his way, and I think that he can. He's

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Speaker 4: better at all different aspects of MMA. He has more

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Speaker 4: options to win this fight.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So taking the money line, Kyle, drinking that juice

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Speaker 1: here this weekend, my friend, I love it. Let's get

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Speaker 1: into the final segment of the night. We're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about the best of the rest. This is Kyle's favorite

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Speaker 1: fights and best bets for the rest of this pay

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Speaker 1: per view and prelims card. Just an absolutely stacked card

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Speaker 1: here as well, top to bottom. What are your favorite

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Speaker 1: bets we haven't talked about so far, Kyle.

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Speaker 4: Another fighter that I absolutely love on this card and

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Speaker 4: I think is flying way under the raider is Christian

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Speaker 4: Leroy Duncan. He's taken on Gregory rodgri gaus and Gregory

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Speaker 4: Rodger gives himself is a fantastic fighter. But when you

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Speaker 4: have two guys, something were wrong. Both guys are fantastic.

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Speaker 4: Gregory Rodriguez is taking this fight in short notice, so

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Speaker 4: that's something to take into consideration. And Christian le Duncan,

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Speaker 4: every single time that he has gone out there, he

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Speaker 4: is looking better and better. This guy comes out and

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Speaker 4: at the beginning of his UFC career, you can see

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Speaker 4: him in the octagon, he was goofing around a little bit.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, he has been all business since his last

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Speaker 4: loss and he is improving vastly. Every time that we

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Speaker 4: see him in Gregory Adriguez with somebody who likes to

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Speaker 4: come in and likes to throw hands, gets over aggressive.

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Speaker 4: Christian le Roy Duncan, I could very well see just

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Speaker 4: sniping him. I love love Christian Leroy Duncan on this card.

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Speaker 1: Love it man, Love it well. Kyle, I greatly appreciate

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Speaker 1: all your UFC and MMA betting knowledge that you've brought here.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you guys are following Kyle on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Glenn YouTube. Also check out his MMA channel at Clenn bat.

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Speaker 1: How else can we support you our friend?

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Speaker 4: Hey, you call it just the YouTube channel on the Twitter.

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Speaker 4: That's all I have for you, Thank you very very much.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely for me. Find me on Twitter at between Underscore

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Speaker 1: stef FF. Subscribe to Betting Pros channel here, on YouTube

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Speaker 1: and wherever you get your podcasts. Enjoy UFC three h

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Speaker 1: four folks. Good luck on your wagers and we'll catch

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Speaker 1: you next time.

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Speaker 2: Thank you, thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

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Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

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Speaker 2: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

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Speaker 2: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

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Speaker 2: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros