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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's be Joey P. Joe P's a PN,

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to

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Speaker 1: the props four Week eight in the NFL and to

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Speaker 1: help us do it, the Welsh and the Undertaker Andrew Erickson,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go through some of our favorite props for

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Speaker 1: the week. It's a big bye week, so a little

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Speaker 1: less to choose from, but that's okay. The focus is

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Speaker 1: now laser specific and of course we want you to

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Speaker 1: hang out with us here on the program every single day.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel, make sure

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Speaker 1: you ring that bell to the ghost ding, and don't

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Speaker 1: forget download the Betting Pros app, use the prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet. Those are the tools that will help find

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Speaker 1: all of the betting gold that is waiting at the

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Speaker 1: end of the rainbow for all of us there. So

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Speaker 1: let's talk about last week before we move on to

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Speaker 1: this week. Two and three for the Welsh but still

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Speaker 1: over five hundred for the season and ericson three and

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Speaker 1: two for the year, but over five hundred for the season,

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Speaker 1: So good job there for you. Andrew Erickson, touchdown calls

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Speaker 1: last week. Welsh is up to five on the season.

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Speaker 1: Ericson's up to eight. I am up to nine. Two

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Speaker 1: for two last week and gave you the bonus too,

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Speaker 1: didn't count against the score. But Jonathan Taylor two touchdowns

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Speaker 1: three to one, and Welsh just informed me that new

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Speaker 1: number for two touchdowns this week against the Tennessee Titans.

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Speaker 1: Two touchdowns for Jonathan Taylor plus one twenty five. Welsh.

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Speaker 1: That certainly that got escalated quickly.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Jamar Chase, one single touchdown is better odds than

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Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor to score two. Who's betting that? Like, appreciate

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Speaker 2: you putting it on there, but like we're gonna do that.

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Speaker 2: Let's just not go. But Jonathan Taylor's a touchdown machine, man.

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Speaker 2: But I got some breaking news for everybody. We won't

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Speaker 2: be betting Jonathan Taylor this week.

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Speaker 1: No, sorry, no, we will and just want to get

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Speaker 1: one touchdown Andrew, you said it's minus three hundred for him. Yeah, yikes. Wow,

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Speaker 1: All right, all right, well you allso appear that with

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Speaker 1: the Colts team total that I gave you, Yester.

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Speaker 3: Daartj Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown Colts money line.

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Speaker 1: See what that gets you just bet hard.

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Speaker 2: Look it's still minus.

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Speaker 1: It's like, and you know, real quick, just to touch

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Speaker 1: on this too. I mean that's the thing a lot

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Speaker 1: of people look at. Okay, let's see ods was the

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Speaker 1: odds was? He adds, well, you know, I want to

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Speaker 1: find this plus money. I want to try to get

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Speaker 1: in here. But you know what, when they're telling you

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Speaker 1: something's going to happen, you know, maybe just take the

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Speaker 1: two things that they're pretty sure is gonna happen instead

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Speaker 1: of you know, spreading all that money around, isolate bet

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Speaker 1: two units on it instead of one, or three units

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Speaker 1: instead of one, and then you have a far better

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Speaker 1: outcome for the week potentially. And sure it's not as

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Speaker 1: fun as the big plus three hundred coming in. Plus

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Speaker 1: three hundred doesn't always come in, unless I'm telling you

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Speaker 1: to bet Jonathan Taylor to score two touchdowns a week seven,

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Speaker 1: in which case it did come in. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the props here. Let's start with Ted Heroa McMillan. Last

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Speaker 1: week relatively quiet, so Welsh. How will this week be different?

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Speaker 2: Andy Dalton there's a big first start. He hasn't hit

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Speaker 2: this in two weeks obviously, but we've got Andy Dalton

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Speaker 2: in Toe McMillan had hit this in four or five

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Speaker 2: games prior to last two weeks. By the way that

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Speaker 2: it is fifty five point five receiving yards and that

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Speaker 2: is the first bet of the week. The Bills have

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Speaker 2: given this number up this receiver yard prop up to

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Speaker 2: wide receiver ones in each of the last two games

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Speaker 2: the previous three to that though didn't hit, but just

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Speaker 2: wanted to note they were going up against offenses like

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Speaker 2: the Saints, Miami, the Jets. He's got a projected number.

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Speaker 2: This is actually one of the best projection to numbers

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Speaker 2: that are out there that I've seen. PFF was over

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Speaker 2: sixty seven, and I think in Fantasy Pro's orrold over seventy,

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Speaker 2: so this number is fifty five and a half. This

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Speaker 2: has also rated out a PFF great matchup if you will,

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Speaker 2: Top corner ranks forty nine out of one ten with

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Speaker 2: the others seventy five and ninety seven. So it's just

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Speaker 2: it's relatively bad coverage with I think Andy Dalton, who's

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Speaker 2: going to be a game manager, He's going to get

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Speaker 2: the ball to the number one. Honestly, he might spread

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Speaker 2: the ball out, which could be a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a problem. But Tedro is in like a really really

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Speaker 2: good spot. We haven't hit those those past two weeks,

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Speaker 2: but he's going to get back in big Tedorro game

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Speaker 2: coming up, so we're taking his receiving yards over all.

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Speaker 1: Right, Andrew. The Buffalo Bills are coming off two straight

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Speaker 1: losses and a bye week to see if they get straight.

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Speaker 1: James Cook is who you want to bet this week,

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Speaker 1: and he has gone over the seventy four and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing number three of the five weeks that he's

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Speaker 1: played this year. It was a no go in Week

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Speaker 1: one and then a no go for him against the

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Speaker 1: New England Patriots. So this week against the Carolina Panthers,

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Speaker 1: will we see an over or an under?

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Speaker 3: We're going to see an under for James Cook under

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Speaker 3: seventy four and a half rushing yards because this Panthers

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Speaker 3: run defense is not the Panthers run defense that we're

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Speaker 3: all used to just picking on in fantasy to have

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Speaker 3: our running backs rush for hundreds and hundreds of yards

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Speaker 3: because it's legit. This year third in run defense dvoway,

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Speaker 3: they've allowed less than forty four rushing yards per game

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Speaker 3: over the last three weeks. Only one running back they

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Speaker 3: have faced all season, has rushed for more than seventy

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Speaker 3: two rushing yards. And he was all the way back

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Speaker 3: in Week one and it was Travis Etn because he

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Speaker 3: ripped off a seventy one yard touchdown. So getting Derek

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Speaker 3: Brown back, not deebro the King of Bros and the

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Speaker 3: master mom behind the Fantasy pros primer, but Derek Brown,

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Speaker 3: defensive lineman, who is PFF's second highest graded defensive lineman

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Speaker 3: this season, is making a huge difference for the Panthers

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Speaker 3: in their interiors. So I just think that this line

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Speaker 3: is too high given this matchup that I think we're

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Speaker 3: still overlooking.

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Speaker 1: I think the market is still overlooking.

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Speaker 3: They see Panthers and think, oh, crappy run defense, when

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Speaker 3: this year that has not been the case whatsoever. So

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Speaker 3: I'm going to take advantage of it. Under seventy four

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Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards, all right.

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Speaker 1: Who do you think has a better forty time? Which

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Speaker 1: Derek Brown? It's probably there. I think so too.

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Speaker 2: I probably a linebacker.

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Speaker 1: All right, Let's talk about Jordan Love for a moment here.

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love this week is going to get the Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: Steelers here. This one's on the road. So Jordan Love

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Speaker 1: this week, you're going to approach the passing touchdowns here.

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Speaker 1: The number is one and a half here, just for

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Speaker 1: some context along with Jordan Love too, when you're looking

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Speaker 1: at him on betting pros, he has hit this three

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Speaker 1: of the six games that he's played this year. Now, look,

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Speaker 1: you've got to be a certain point here where we're

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Speaker 1: looking at Jordan Love here in this Pittsburg Seier defense

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Speaker 1: and everything that's gone on here with the offense and

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Speaker 1: the things about a little sluggish here. He does get

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Speaker 1: Christian Watson back last week. I don't know if that

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Speaker 1: starts to enter into your sphere or two of maybe

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Speaker 1: this number popping a little bit more certainly interesting matchup

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Speaker 1: two for Jordan Love and the grimmat Packers, because obviously

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Speaker 1: this is another kind of must win. Whenever you have

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Speaker 1: these ties in your schedule, in your record for the year,

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Speaker 1: things get a little weird. So what, in your opinion,

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Speaker 1: is the way to go here with his one and

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Speaker 1: a half touchdowns?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going with the over on this. I had

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Speaker 2: the Jayden Daniels one last week. It didn't hit. I

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Speaker 2: think the logic was good. He got knocked out of

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Speaker 2: the game. We were going to hit that one, and

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Speaker 2: we did obviously not get that and this is the

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Speaker 2: one that we locked in on this week. It's a

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Speaker 2: little bit minus money. Still on Jordan Love, a couple

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Speaker 2: notes that I've found on him. As far as this defense,

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Speaker 2: Love is ranking seventh in the NFL, and this is

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Speaker 2: on PFF in passing grade against man coverage. Pittsburgh ranks

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Speaker 2: second in overall man coverage. Jordan Love also does a

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Speaker 2: really good job against the blitz. He's got the second

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Speaker 2: highest grade in blitz situations and Pittsburgh is blitzing at

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Speaker 2: the sixth highest rate. Steelers have given up two or

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Speaker 2: more pass touchdowns, by the way, in four of the

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Speaker 2: last five games. Tucker Kraft again, he is in a

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Speaker 2: good spot. The receivers are in a good spot. I

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Speaker 2: think they will be able to run the ball a

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Speaker 2: decent amount, but I think when they get down to it,

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Speaker 2: they are going to be passing. So Jordan Love over

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Speaker 2: one point five touchdowns, so two touchdowns passing right around

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Speaker 2: minus one ten not too crazy, juice. I really like

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Speaker 2: this number, and hopefully he doesn't get hurt in the

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Speaker 2: second quarter. And we just continuously bet two touchdown quarterbacks

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Speaker 2: that only play a quarter and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, Andrew, The Houston Texans are going to be

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Speaker 1: without a lot of wide receivers this weekend, So how

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Speaker 1: does that affect potentially Dalton Schultz's reception total.

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Speaker 3: I expect Dalen Schultz to be peppered with targets from

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Speaker 3: c J. Stroud as he's constantly under pressure and he's

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Speaker 3: gonna have nowhere else to look but his tight end

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Speaker 3: security blanket. So Dalton Schultz over four and a half

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Speaker 3: receptions last week. He was a priority target for c J.

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Speaker 3: Strowd nine for ninety eight on ten targets, and I

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Speaker 3: picked up on this last week watching the forty nine

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Speaker 3: Ers defense play. They can't stop tight ends without Fred Warner.

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Speaker 3: We saw Kyle Pitts catch seven balls in the first

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Speaker 3: game without Fred Warner. Foley Katea in the week before

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Speaker 3: caught five passes against the forty nine Ers in the

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Speaker 3: game that Fred Warner got injured. So really playing the

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Speaker 3: match up here, and Dalton Schultz with Nico Collins active

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Speaker 3: the last four games, has at least five catches. So

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Speaker 3: I know this one's a little bit juicy, but I

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Speaker 3: feel good about the projecting. I feel good about the

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Speaker 3: floor for Dalton Schultz and it's National Tight Ends Day.

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Speaker 3: So if is ever gonna be a week where Schultz

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Speaker 3: pops off and whatever type of big game Dalton Schultz

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Speaker 3: can actually have, it'll be this week.

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Speaker 1: What is it ever like? National? Like Left Guard Day?

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Speaker 1: Like you don't get that. You know, those guy's got

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Speaker 1: a band together. It's about awareness, people, It's about what

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Speaker 1: they gotta put together. Left Guard University first. That's true,

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Speaker 1: That's true, they got it. You know that's the buffet

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Speaker 1: you want to be at too. I'm just saying lunchtime

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Speaker 1: that's the one to be at. All right, don't forget.

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Speaker 1: Today's show is brought to you by hard Rock Bet.

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Speaker 1: You get check out all the hard Rock Bets, sportsbook app.

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Speaker 1: Goodness this weekend. You've got NBA, you got MLB World Series,

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Speaker 1: you got college football, you got hockey. You got everything

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Speaker 1: going on right now. And this is our last show

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Speaker 1: of the week for a Sunday. So if you're looking

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Speaker 1: for more insights in week eight, check out the hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet stats hub right there in the app. Cleveland

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Speaker 1: has lost fifteen in a row, is underdogs against the

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Speaker 1: AFC East. Christian McCaffrey is on a nine game October

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Speaker 1: touchdown streak of scoring and the Kansas City Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: in a fourteen game winning streak as home favorites. So

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Speaker 1: perhaps you're gonna add some of these to your parlays.

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Speaker 1: And of course all these you can bet on hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet. And if you still haven't placed your first bet,

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Speaker 1: what are you waiting for? Go to hard Rock Bet.

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Speaker 1: Place that first bet of five bucks. If it wins,

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Speaker 1: Illinois in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, now

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Speaker 1: ex up as Courtland Sutton in a matchup here against

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Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys man oh Man. Dallas Cowboys defense continues

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Speaker 1: to be the gift that keeps on giving. So will

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Speaker 1: it give an over to Courtland Sutton when it comes

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Speaker 1: to receptions this week?

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Speaker 2: That's what we're going with. We're going four point five

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Speaker 2: receptions over. I think this number might even move to

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Speaker 2: five point five. Some books might push it and just

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Speaker 2: go plus money. You want to be invested in some

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Speaker 2: capacity in the receiving game for the Denver Broncos, which

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Speaker 2: I know sounds silly, but it's because of the Dallas

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Speaker 2: Cowboys defense. Bo Nicks just from a fantasy perspective, By

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Speaker 2: the way, is being ranked in like you know, the

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Speaker 2: top five or six across the board because you can

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Speaker 2: pass against this team. Now, you can make arguments because

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Speaker 2: this is our age old receptions versus yards thing, and

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Speaker 2: I think both plays work here. But we know they're

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Speaker 2: going to pass the ball. We know they're going to

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Speaker 2: find some success for it, and we know that Courtland

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Speaker 2: Sutton is the number one guy. The reason I like

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Speaker 2: the receptions here is he has had five receptions Courtland

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Speaker 2: Sutton in five of seven games this year, and in

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Speaker 2: fact he has either had five plus or just to one.

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Speaker 2: So it is all or nothing with him. So when

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Speaker 2: he is in the heavy game script, he's getting the touches.

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Speaker 2: Obviously we've seen some Troy Franklin. Marvin Mims is kind

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Speaker 2: of an interesting one here. I just didn't want to

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Speaker 2: get too cute with it. I want to go with

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Speaker 2: the top guy against a secondary that they are going

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Speaker 2: to burn. Cowboys rank thirty one out of thirty two

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Speaker 2: in PFF coverage grade. Overall projections across the board love

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Speaker 2: this at five. This isn't one of those where it's like,

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Speaker 2: well aage like four point seven. No, it's like five.

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Speaker 2: So five receptions for Courtland Sutton. I feel really good

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Speaker 2: about that. If you want to play the receiving carage,

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Speaker 2: you can. It's in like the sixties. They do give

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Speaker 2: up big plays, but I think we're going to see

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Speaker 2: plenty of Courtland Sutton, and I think on both ends,

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Speaker 2: I think Dak is going to find some success and

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Speaker 2: they are going to just be trading big shots here,

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Speaker 2: So give me Courtland Sutton receptions four point five over.

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Speaker 1: If you push it up to seventy in the alternate,

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Speaker 1: you get plus one twenty eight on Courtland Sutton, which

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Speaker 1: I don't think is an absurd number either on the

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Speaker 1: yards on the yardage. Right, of course, we were not

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Speaker 1: seventy eight receptions. That would be a lot.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, well, we're talking about receptions and you're life.

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Speaker 1: We're just staying up. But you mentioned the yards. You

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Speaker 1: said the yards were sixteen and a half, and that's

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Speaker 1: where're finding in most books. But if you've put it

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Speaker 1: up to seventy, you get plus one twenty eight. And

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Speaker 1: if you put the seventy along with the four and

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Speaker 1: a half, you get plus one forty four, which I

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Speaker 1: don't think is a terrible approach to Courtland something this weekend, considering,

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Speaker 1: like we said, the Dallas Cowboy Secondary and how full

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Speaker 1: of holes it really is. Let's get to another Bronco here.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about JK. Dobbins here. So if we're throwing

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Speaker 1: the football, what's JK. Dobbins day look like at the office? Andrew.

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Speaker 3: I think he's going to get a decent amount of work,

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Speaker 3: but not up to sixteen and a half rushing attempt,

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Speaker 3: So I'm taking the under on his carries. And this

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Speaker 3: is actually coming from the betting pros prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 3: This is one of the five star bets. If you

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Speaker 3: guys have been following the account, the five star bets

293
00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,080
Speaker 3: have been hitting at a very strong rate this season,

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Speaker 3: so I'm just not overthinking. I'm using the prop bet

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Speaker 3: cheat sheet. It's a five star bet let's ride. So

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Speaker 3: Dobbins has attempted seventeen or more carries this season just

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Speaker 3: one time. His average has been fifteen carries. He has

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Speaker 3: fourteen carries in back to back weeks. And you know

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Speaker 3: you're thinking this Dallas defense is absolutely terrible, especially their

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Speaker 3: run defense, but only two running backs this year. I've

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Speaker 3: actually hit the over on their closing line rushing attempts

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Speaker 3: against Dallas, and part of that is because sometimes teams

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Speaker 3: don't get the opportunity to run as many carries for

304
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Speaker 3: the running backs because it's more of a shootout and

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00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:19,160
Speaker 3: they're forced into more pass heavy game scripts. So I

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Speaker 3: think that that's fairly in play. It's a close spread.

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Speaker 3: I actually think the Cowboys could upset the Broncos on

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Speaker 3: the road here. So the Broncos are in a negative

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Speaker 3: game script, well, JK. Dobbins probably isn't even on the

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Speaker 3: field to get carries from bow Nick. So it's happened

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Speaker 3: against the Titans when they were home at favorites, the

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Speaker 3: Bengals home at favorites, and last week against the Giants

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Speaker 3: homes's favorites. Dobbins fell short of this number in all

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Speaker 3: three of those spots when the Broncos were heavier favorites

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Speaker 3: at home. So I like the under here on JK. Dobbins,

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Speaker 3: even if he hits over on his rushing yardage, because

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Speaker 3: he's been an explosive guy this season. I don't think

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Speaker 3: he's gonna get seventeen carries.

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Speaker 1: Same game parlay for you guys, Courtland Sutton over four

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Speaker 1: and a half, Courtland Sutton over sixty and a half

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Speaker 1: receiving yards, Cortland Sutton anytime touchdown, and then if you

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Speaker 1: want to take the under on the JK. Dobbins number,

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Speaker 1: you can actually get that all for five to one

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Speaker 1: right now, just putting that out there, a little s

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Speaker 1: GP action for IRA case you're interested. I'm good right now.

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Speaker 2: You're the parlay but you're the parlay boss today. By

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00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:16,520
Speaker 2: the way, everything you're looking at. You got your parlay

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Speaker 2: goggles on, You're like, how can I put two three?

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Speaker 1: I like when I like making I like making dreams

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Speaker 1: come true. I like when people. You know, I like

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Speaker 1: people being alone, especially the holidays. The builder here, you

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Speaker 1: beet cheat cheat too, and look at some of the

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00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:37,960
Speaker 1: things that Andrew and Welsh and I are looking at.

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Speaker 1: Do it betting pros dot Com slash Props. Just download

338
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Speaker 1: the app again. It gives you all the projections along

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00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,840
Speaker 1: with all of the best odds, the overs, the unders,

340
00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:48,680
Speaker 1: so everything is there at your fingertips. So use the

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00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:51,680
Speaker 1: prop beet cheat Cheat today. Next up here we have

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Speaker 1: got Jerry Judy. Interesting choice here, not one that we've

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Speaker 1: seen a lot on the show. So well, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Jerry Judy. They've got to match up the Cleveland

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Speaker 1: Browns's been going into New England. So what does that

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Speaker 1: look like to you?

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Speaker 2: Well, when Jerry Judy is in town, there's only one

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Speaker 2: thing to do. If you're gonna put them on the

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Speaker 2: betting card. And it is to play an under. We're

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Speaker 2: not going to play it over. So we are jumping

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Speaker 2: into the under realm, the Andrew Rickson space, and we're

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Speaker 2: gonna go with Jerry Judy receiving yards forty six point

353
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Speaker 2: five first off, Christian Gonzales second off. Patriots' top corners

354
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Speaker 2: are ranking with Christian Kazzoz twenty eight and thirty two

355
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Speaker 2: out of one ten, so you've got really good top

356
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Speaker 2: coverage out of the Patriots. And Gabriel is the quarterback.

357
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Speaker 2: On Judy, he has gone over this receiving yard total

358
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Speaker 2: only once in the last five games. He's a drop king.

359
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Speaker 2: He doesn't get the yard totals. They can't pass the ball.

360
00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:50,520
Speaker 2: Their game script is to rush the ball. The only

361
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Speaker 2: thing that can get out of hand for them is

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Speaker 2: if the Patriots were to put it on them and

363
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Speaker 2: then they're forced to pass a little bit more later

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Speaker 2: in the game. But regardless of the point, Jerry Judy

365
00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:01,960
Speaker 2: cannot get going. He does not get going. This is

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Speaker 2: a bad overall coverage setup for him. So we are

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Speaker 2: going to take the under on Jerry Judy forty six

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Speaker 2: point five. Love the under, okay, the under.

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Speaker 1: Loving the under on Jerry Judy. Why not Quinchawn Judkins.

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Speaker 1: I was looking for overs on him last week. I

371
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:20,440
Speaker 1: was disappointed, Andrew will week eight also be a disappointment

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Speaker 1: for Quinchown Judkins.

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Speaker 3: Well, I won't be disappointed because I'm going to bet

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Speaker 3: the under on his numbers this week, so I will

375
00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,880
Speaker 3: be happy that he disappoints under eighty and a half

376
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:32,360
Speaker 3: rushing and receiving yards. So I like including the receiving

377
00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,240
Speaker 3: yards here with Judgkins because I feel like that gets

378
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Speaker 3: me better number. Because with Dylan Gabriel as the quarterback

379
00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:40,640
Speaker 3: for the Browns, Judkins has been a non factor in

380
00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:42,440
Speaker 3: the passing game. So I don't really see a lot

381
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,760
Speaker 3: of receiving yards in this particular matchup for him. And

382
00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,080
Speaker 3: that's really how the Patriots have given up ardist running backs.

383
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:49,880
Speaker 3: They have a lot of the second most receptions, fifth

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Speaker 3: mide yards and running backs, but Judkins has one catch

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Speaker 3: and three targets in the last three games. He has

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Speaker 3: fewer targets than Jerome Ford and Dylan Samson, his two

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Speaker 3: backfield teammates. He's also ran fewer routes Ben You're on

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00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:02,840
Speaker 3: forward forty fourth and total routes wrung him on running

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Speaker 3: backs over the last three weeks, and he's playing in

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00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,720
Speaker 3: time on third downs has dropped in three consecutive weeks,

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Speaker 3: so it's really more he's got to get to eighty

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Speaker 3: yards rushing for him to get over this number in

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Speaker 3: my opinion, and the Patriots can't run in the season

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Speaker 3: second fewest rushing arts allowed per game for all NFL

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Speaker 3: teams at fifty nine. Only one running back this year

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Speaker 3: has face to Patriots has gone over eighty guards from scrimmage.

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Speaker 3: It was eight Chan in week two, So I'm taking

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Speaker 3: me under on Judkins.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the last pick before we

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Speaker 1: start calling touchdowns here, Let's talk about Tess Johnson here, Welsh.

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Speaker 1: So obviously a disappointing game for all of us who

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Speaker 1: had a lot of financial investment in the Bucks against

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Speaker 1: the Lions. So disappointing. We move on, but Tes Johnson

404
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Speaker 1: the lone bright spot. Can you be a bright spot

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Speaker 1: again in week eight for Baker Mayfield?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think this qualifies. I didn't do win

407
00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 2: last week, but if we get back to our siko bets,

408
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:54,680
Speaker 2: I think this is going to be like relative qualification

409
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Speaker 2: of sicko bets because we're going to go Tes Johnson,

410
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Speaker 2: and we're going to go with the receiving yard over

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Speaker 2: point five. And maybe it's not so much because of

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Speaker 2: what he did last week. Last week he had nine targets.

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Speaker 2: I only caught four, but I went and took a look.

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Speaker 2: I thought it was interesting. Five of those were actually

415
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,359
Speaker 2: deemed catchable in the catching mark, you know, so like

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Speaker 2: a lot of ball flying everywhere, you know, like the

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00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:20,960
Speaker 2: nine targets, the catch rate was just kind of like,

418
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:25,520
Speaker 2: you know, overinflated. I guess underinflated by just non catchable balls.

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Speaker 2: And obviously we've got Mike Evans that's going to be out.

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Speaker 2: He's going to miss some time. Tes has definitely been

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Speaker 2: a big play guy. Test has actually hit this receiving

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Speaker 2: yard mark in three straight games. Last week, going back

423
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Speaker 2: to it, he had a seventeen percent first read percentage

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00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:42,800
Speaker 2: with those nine targets, which is like fine, but in

425
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Speaker 2: that big play market, A thirteen a dot and he

426
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:49,560
Speaker 2: had almost double the air yards then his actual So

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Speaker 2: you know, Baker's looking for him and he's making those plays,

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Speaker 2: and this matchup is good. The Saints ranking twenty eight

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Speaker 2: out of thirty two in overall coverage grades, So Tesz

430
00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 2: is going to be forced back into being a part

431
00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:04,160
Speaker 2: of this this lineup. He's gonna make some big plays here.

432
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:06,119
Speaker 2: This is a low yardage total. This is one of

433
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,399
Speaker 2: those guys that can get this on one catch, maybe

434
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 2: two of them. And he had nine targets last week.

435
00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:13,680
Speaker 2: So tes, we're going with a receiving yard over for

436
00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:16,040
Speaker 2: a pseudo sick Oh bet of the week.

437
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 1: All right, what's a National tight end day without a

438
00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:21,200
Speaker 1: George Kittle bag? George Kittle gave us nothing last week?

439
00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:24,240
Speaker 1: So were we betting unders or overs in Week eight?

440
00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:27,520
Speaker 3: Andrew, I want all the overs for George Kittle this week.

441
00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,119
Speaker 3: So his receiving yards line is at fifty three and

442
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 3: a half, smashing the over on that, George Kittle. And

443
00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,040
Speaker 3: this was from Yahoo Sports that tweeted this out. Six

444
00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:38,639
Speaker 3: games with one or fewer receptions since twenty twenty one

445
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:40,959
Speaker 3: and the game's following that, he's averaging nineteen point one

446
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 3: fantasy points per game. I looked at some of these

447
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:45,760
Speaker 3: box scores six for one, fifty one, seven for one

448
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,879
Speaker 3: to twenty six, five for seventy eight, three for sixty

449
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,360
Speaker 3: seven and three touchdowns four for eighty four and two

450
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,359
Speaker 3: touchdowns nine for one hundred and eighty one and two touchdowns.

451
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,320
Speaker 3: So sipy put he's averaging over one hundred yards a

452
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 3: game after he has one catch or fewer. So Kyle

453
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,720
Speaker 3: Shanahan treats George Kittle well after he does all the blocking.

454
00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 3: Doesn't get any of the credit for the touchdowns and

455
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,639
Speaker 3: the receiving yards for one week, but Shanahan rewards in

456
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 3: the following week and on National tight Ends Day. I mean,

457
00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 3: come on, guys, the narrative rights itself at George Kittle's

458
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 3: gonna have a monster game here. So I can't believe

459
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:16,560
Speaker 3: I'm the only one putting tight ends on the sheet

460
00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:18,399
Speaker 3: when it's an absolute lay up this week given the

461
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:22,240
Speaker 3: national holiday. So George Kittle all the overs this week.

462
00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:26,720
Speaker 1: Happy holidays to all who celebrate everybody.

463
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:28,120
Speaker 2: All right, let's get the day off.

464
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:31,639
Speaker 1: No, no, it's the opposite, unfortunately. All right, let's talk

465
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:33,399
Speaker 1: about touchdowns and again, if you want some extra help

466
00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:36,120
Speaker 1: betting tds this week, bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. That's

467
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 1: where the Touchdown Score Report lives. And of course, the

468
00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 1: Touchdown Score Report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet

469
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,520
Speaker 1: odds and projections to help identify the very best and

470
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,239
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown bets this week, So go check it out

471
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:51,360
Speaker 1: again at bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. All right, I'm

472
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,240
Speaker 1: gonna go with an easy one, actually two easy ones

473
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 1: this week. But again, sometimes it's not about the odds,

474
00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 1: it's about how heavy you bet them. And I don't

475
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 1: think there's a word where Bjon Robinson doesn't find the

476
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 1: end zone against the Miami Dolphins this week. However, of

477
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:06,919
Speaker 1: course the juice is little too much. So what do

478
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:08,600
Speaker 1: we like to do? What have we had so much

479
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 1: success with all year? Cut the game in half can

480
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 1: be Jeon Robinson get in the end zone the first

481
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 1: half of this game. Of course, again the Dolphins have

482
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:20,760
Speaker 1: given up eleven hundred and fifteen yards against the run

483
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:24,080
Speaker 1: already this year. No other team is at a thousand. Ugh,

484
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,359
Speaker 1: it's a lot, so b Jon Robinson we move that

485
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 1: to the first half. Only you get plus one ten,

486
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,479
Speaker 1: so let's lock that up. And also you might want

487
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:34,840
Speaker 1: to get this one before it moves, because I think

488
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:37,960
Speaker 1: it's going to Jamar Chase minus one ten. Sauce Gardner

489
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:41,360
Speaker 1: trending towards not playing this weekend against the Cincinnati Bengals

490
00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,880
Speaker 1: if that's the case. Ooh, Jamar Chase is a lock

491
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,160
Speaker 1: to score a touchdown. I mean he's getting Pepper wid

492
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,600
Speaker 1: targets already by Joe Flacco, now having to worry about

493
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,960
Speaker 1: Sauce Gardner, and now you're getting secondary corners trying to

494
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 1: guard Jamar Chase, Nt Higgins. Lots of overs there for

495
00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:57,679
Speaker 1: those boys against the New York Jets who have all

496
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,080
Speaker 1: but quit. So that is minus one ten again to

497
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 1: lock this one in now, because I think it could

498
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 1: be minus one twenty or even worse by the time

499
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 1: we get to Sunday morning. So do that one early

500
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: and off in Welsh. Where do you have this week

501
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:08,680
Speaker 1: for touchdown calls?

502
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:11,760
Speaker 2: Well, I am celebrating National tight End Day, thank you

503
00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 2: very much, and I'm gonna have a tight end touchdown

504
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 2: call and we're gonna playcating to you two. Hunter Henry,

505
00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 2: Hunter Henry, get back into the game here. Plus one

506
00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 2: seventy five. Brown's already given a four touchdowns to tight ends.

507
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,479
Speaker 2: Drake may is going to be looking for Hunter Henry.

508
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,760
Speaker 2: He celebrates the holiday and Hunter Henry scoring a touchdown.

509
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 2: That's number one. That's kind of my bigger odds one

510
00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 2: secondary one. This one is like almost at even money.

511
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 2: I think it is the first time I've had like

512
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 2: a minus money one. But your boy needs to win

513
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 2: on the touchdowns. You guys are just running away with it.

514
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 2: A Mecca egg Buka right essentially at even money in

515
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,639
Speaker 2: some spots minus one oh five. He's top twenty in

516
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 2: targets inside the twenty of all wide receivers on the year,

517
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 2: so when they get inside the twenty, Baker's going to

518
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 2: be looking for him. He has been phenomenal in that spot.

519
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:58,879
Speaker 2: So we're going to go with a touchdown call for

520
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:00,120
Speaker 2: a Mecca Eggbuka.

521
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 1: Okay, So Egbuka and Hunter Henry, all right, dare I

522
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:05,919
Speaker 1: have to ask how many tight ends you have in

523
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:07,880
Speaker 1: the touchdown calls this week or just one?

524
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 3: And it's just search Kittle for me. So that's the

525
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:13,919
Speaker 3: layup again, just talking about when he has won or

526
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 3: fewer catch the next week. He's averaging at least one

527
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 3: touchdown per game, and he's had multipi touchdown games in

528
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 3: a lot of those contests. So George Kittle, just take

529
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 3: all the overs you can. And then my other one

530
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 3: is actually Tyler Algier. So same game that you're talking about,

531
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 3: Joe with the Falcons and the Dolphins. But I like

532
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 3: Algier as an option. They still like to use him

533
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 3: in the red zone at times. They talked about him

534
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,399
Speaker 3: this week about how yes, they want to play Bijon

535
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 3: as much as possible, but not the expensive always taking

536
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 3: Tyler off the field. So they like Algier especially in

537
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 3: red zone opportunities. And if the Falcons are running all

538
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 3: over the Miami Dolphins, I think Bjon can score three.

539
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:46,160
Speaker 3: I think Algeri can also find the end zone as well.

540
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 3: And I actually think that one of the easy or

541
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 3: a sneaky bet for him as well is first touchdown scored. Again,

542
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,880
Speaker 3: what is more fantasy football than Bijonne being one hundred

543
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 3: percent out in DFS And Algier is the guy that

544
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 3: scores the first touchdown against the Dolphins. So I think

545
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 3: that's something that's firmly in play here. And this is

546
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 3: from the coach Speak Index. The Falcons have taken the

547
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 3: ball every single game this year in terms of we

548
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,000
Speaker 3: want the ball first, depending on whatever the coin toss is.

549
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 3: So if they start with the ball first, they should

550
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,560
Speaker 3: score on the opening drive. And I think that gives

551
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 3: Algier a shot plus eight fifty. I haven't given a

552
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,399
Speaker 3: lot of first touchdown bets this year. Been quiet in

553
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 3: those streets, but I'm deciding to get back in the

554
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 3: game here. So Tyle, that was your first touchdown plus

555
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 3: eight fifty for some fun.

556
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,800
Speaker 1: And your hit record's pretty good on those first touchdowns,

557
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 1: so when Ericson does throw them out there, everybody should listen.

558
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:31,679
Speaker 1: Don't forget to follow us too on Betting Pros. You

559
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 1: can follow us and track all of our bets too

560
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,640
Speaker 1: on the app, including our best bets of the week,

561
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 1: and of course subscribe to the YouTube channel. We're here

562
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,160
Speaker 1: on Sunday Morning Live for you as well to help

563
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 1: you with all of your NFL wagering. That'll do it

564
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 1: for us, but the story of the game goes on

565
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 1: for Andrew Erickson and the Welsh. I'm Joey p. We'll

566
00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids.

567
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

568
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,159
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

569
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

570
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,480
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571
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:03,240
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572
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com. Slash Betting pros,