1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:12,039 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: Single best idea. We've been up for twenty four hours 3 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 2: in the debate. We were beginning to blow up our 4 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 2: Friday effort. The team did it. Just a fabulous job 5 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:25,080 Speaker 2: of making those tough decisions. Do you cover the inflation 6 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 2: report at eight thirty end of June thirty? The view 7 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 2: into the quarter I got from Bruce Casman today and 8 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 2: Emmy Shoe at JP Morgan, a fifty nine page outlook 9 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 2: into twenty twenty four. I promise you I will not 10 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 2: read it this weekend. We've got continued economic data coming 11 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 2: out Michigan, a little light. Inflation came in a little light. 12 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 2: I guess markets lift up, but all of it was 13 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 2: pushed aside by what the nation witnessed last night between 14 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 2: the former president and the president President. And thank you 15 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 2: to all of Bloomberg Politics, particularly David Gerha in Atlanta, 16 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 2: who got out front of this story with his conversation 17 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:08,960 Speaker 2: with the governor from California and others. I could go 18 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 2: on for the six minutes of single best idea of 19 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 2: all the people that piece this together. I was sitting 20 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 2: on the couch with Vetol last night as the show 21 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 2: was blown up. And the first name I mentioned was 22 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 2: Terry Haynes of Pangaea and not a shock. He wrote 23 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 2: a brilliant first note, I'll say at eleven pm last night, 24 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 2: and the second name I mentioned was Henrietta Trace. She's 25 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 2: at Veda Partners. She is encyclopedic, and what's different about 26 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 2: her than talking heads is she's been intimately involved in 27 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 2: the machinery about politics gets done. Henrietta Trey's on the 28 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 2: twenty fifth Amendment. 29 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: The good news for Democrats here is a sixty six 30 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: percent of the population already wants somebody other than Biden 31 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 1: and somebody other than Trump to be on the ticket. 32 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: So if it's going to happen, this is enough kind 33 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: of the best way. It's been speculating about all year. 34 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: You can see it from the predictive markets. There has 35 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:07,720 Speaker 1: been at least twenty percent odds that Biden would not 36 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 1: be the nominee. I think that's much higher this morning, 37 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 1: and that is going to give you a baseline to 38 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: start with on these sort of otherwise wildly extreme circumstances 39 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: that are pretty normalized this year. A lot of the 40 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: American public is socialized to the fact that this might happen. 41 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 1: Certainly the investment community is. 42 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:27,119 Speaker 2: Henrietta Trees and had so much more to say, And 43 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 2: just to give you some of the highlights, Rick Davis 44 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 2: joined us for years with Senator McCain. Rick Davis was 45 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 2: just absolutely brilliant and analogs in non analogs as comparing 46 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 2: President Reagan and the First Lady with President Biden and 47 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:46,239 Speaker 2: the First Lady. And I'm just trying to sort out 48 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 2: the highlights that we had. Greg Valier, I thought was 49 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 2: just brilliant and very cautious about a shift. Greg Valier 50 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 2: is certainly not in the camp that you're going to 51 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 2: see dramatics and fireworks, and that President Biden, it appears, 52 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 2: will be in this for the long haul. But many 53 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 2: other differing opinions out there. We did see inflation. Neil 54 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 2: Dudda have made very very clear that he is looking 55 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 2: for an EBB, if you will, from his great optimism 56 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 2: that he's seen on economic growth and then on the markets, 57 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 2: we had to go to Ben Ladler of E Toro. 58 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 2: Ben Laydler in December of twenty eighteen was a lonely 59 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 2: voice saying equities have value and you will prosper with ownership, 60 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 2: and then he said that in October of I believe 61 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 2: it was twenty twenty two, and he said that in 62 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 2: October of twenty three. You get to see a pattern here. 63 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 2: Ben Ladler on what you need to do going into 64 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: Q three twenty twenty four. 65 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 3: I think big take is absolutely fine, and this is 66 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 3: very fundamentally droven. It's all about the earnings, which are 67 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 3: massively out surprising. He I'll continue to surprise. 68 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: Well. 69 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 3: I think the story of the second half is this 70 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 3: delayed rotation into everybody else. If we get the right cuts, 71 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 3: if we get affirming of economies, it's gonna be all 72 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 3: those other smaller sectors which are much cheaper, that are 73 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 3: much more sensitive to that than big text. The big 74 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 3: text fine, but as we get the cuts right cuts 75 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 3: coming in, I think everyone else is going to start performing. 76 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 3: And I remember a little bit of money goes a 77 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 3: very long way in those assets because they're all just 78 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 3: much much smaller and less love. 79 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 2: Ben Ladler of ET Major shout out the Scarlet Foo 80 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 2: setting for Polsweeney Today we obligatory did the Scarlet Foo 81 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 2: celebrity Loadstone section. We thank her for her comments and 82 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 2: Ben Affleck and Jalo that was really timely and to 83 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 2: get us into the weekend. We will be here on Monday. 84 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 2: With the fallout of this debate, We'll be here on 85 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 2: Monday to look forward to Q three and economics, finance, investment, 86 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:57,080 Speaker 2: and international relations from New York An Apple Podcasts, Single 87 00:04:57,160 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 2: best Idea f 88 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 3: N L Incident, m