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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite Podcast. I am Shad Milman of

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. It's Wednesday, which means it is Scooch

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Speaker 1: Day joining me from the Orleans and all the boyd

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Speaker 1: gaming books around the country. Bookmaker to the World, as

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Speaker 1: anointed by me. Mr Bob Scoochy gets better every time

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Speaker 1: it does. How are you doing? Every time? I hear

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Speaker 1: it like, it's like epiphanies and horns and inspiration and

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Speaker 1: I I only want you to have something bigger than

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Speaker 1: this podcast. Honestly, that's pretty hard to do. That's about

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Speaker 1: as big as it gets. Well, it certainly made you

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Speaker 1: more famous than meet that. Come on, come on, come on.

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Speaker 1: Did you hear the review that we read on the

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Speaker 1: Friday edition of The Favorites last week? I'm sure you

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Speaker 1: didn't because you're not aware that these podcasts exists outside

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Speaker 1: of you're in particular time frame. But on Friday, Uh,

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Speaker 1: we read a review that somebody sent in that basically said,

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to come have uh scooches book the Odds,

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Speaker 1: which I've already had scooch sign signed by everybody else

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Speaker 1: in the podcast, and then this person went on to

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Speaker 1: name everybody who does the podcast with us on Mondays

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Speaker 1: and everybody who does the podcast with us on Fridays.

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Speaker 1: The only person not named was me. Here, I'll read

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Speaker 1: it to you. I love the Friday podcast. If there

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Speaker 1: was a meet up so I could get my book

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Speaker 1: The Odds, which is already signed by Bob Scucci, signed

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Speaker 1: by black Jack Fletcher, also Paula Duca and Jeff Schwartz,

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Speaker 1: and most importantly Georgina. That would be great. Georgina is

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Speaker 1: like the voice of the voiceover of the podcast on Friday.

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Speaker 1: I can't believe I have to explain the concept of

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Speaker 1: what happened on our Friday podcast to you on your

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Speaker 1: own podcast. You think that's great, it's great. Well, he

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Speaker 1: forgot you, apparently forgot you. I don't think it was forgetful.

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Speaker 1: I think it was entire it's great. So I thought

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Speaker 1: last weekend Scooch was really interesting because there were a

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Speaker 1: lot of games where as you had said you would,

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Speaker 1: lines were inflated, um because the public was cash rich.

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Speaker 1: The public was overconfident after a weekend in which like

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Speaker 1: eleven games in which the majority of tickets uh those

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Speaker 1: games covered. Um, so you know you had some huge

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Speaker 1: numbers you had. I think the Chargers were a betting tickets.

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Speaker 1: I think the Falcons were over seventy. I think the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs were over seventy. The Patriots were over seventy. UM.

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Speaker 1: Big weekend, a lot of big, big, big home dogs,

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Speaker 1: a lot of big dogs. Generally, I didn't experiment where

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Speaker 1: I basically betted every scenario UH plus a couple other

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Speaker 1: bad ones, and then I ignored to others. Um, I

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Speaker 1: ignored the Chargers and I ignored the Seahawks. I would

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Speaker 1: have bet the Chargers. I would have bet the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: That was stupid of me. UM. I bet the Cardinals,

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Speaker 1: I wont. I bet the Browns I won. I bet

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Speaker 1: um the Bengals, I lost. Titans. I bet the Titans,

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Speaker 1: I won, and then I lost the Bengals, I lost

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Speaker 1: the Jets NUS seven, I lost the Bucks Redskins over,

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Speaker 1: and I lost the Dolphins plus nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: So my point is that talk to me here because

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Speaker 1: the big numbers, like if I had only played what

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Speaker 1: against the public or the home dogs, I would have

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Speaker 1: done pretty well. Yeah, it was a big week for

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Speaker 1: us UH with a couple of the dogs winning the

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Speaker 1: game straight up. That always helps. So the Titans winning

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Speaker 1: straight up, the Browns winning straight up completely made the

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Speaker 1: day kind of similar to the week before in reverse,

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Speaker 1: where we were cooked by three of the games early

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Speaker 1: and then it didn't really matter what happened the rest

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Speaker 1: of the day. It was kind of the opposite here.

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Speaker 1: Once we had those two games that that one really

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Speaker 1: didn't matter too much the rest of the day. We

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Speaker 1: gave a bunch back. We lost all of the three

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Speaker 1: late games. The public was all over Seattle plus the

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Speaker 1: nine and a half plus nine against against the Rams.

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Speaker 1: They were all over the Chargers, and they were all

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Speaker 1: over the Packers against the Dolphins. So we went oh

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Speaker 1: and three in the in the late games and still

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Speaker 1: managed to have what I consider the best UH Sunday

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Speaker 1: of the year, at least for us so far. And

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Speaker 1: UH partly was the Cowboys also winning straight up against

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Speaker 1: the Eagles. But but but yeah, it was a lot

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Speaker 1: of inflated lines. It wasn't our best bookmaking job. And

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Speaker 1: you know, I know it sounds it sounds funny. Sometimes

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Speaker 1: when you lose money, and I've said this before, sometimes

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Speaker 1: you're you're proud of the way you booked even when

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Speaker 1: you lose. But when you win money, I think we

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Speaker 1: gave too much back because of a lot of those

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Speaker 1: inflated lines. Uh, you know, probably a little gun shy

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Speaker 1: from the week before. Public lay in some of these

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Speaker 1: favorites at a seventy clip, and you tend to tend

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Speaker 1: to drift up on that line a little bit, especially

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Speaker 1: when you're not getting too much take back. And then

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Speaker 1: on the day of the game, we did get a

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Speaker 1: lot of take back, So I think I think we

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Speaker 1: probably gave a little bit too much away. But overall,

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Speaker 1: like I said, probably the best Sunday of the year,

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Speaker 1: best Sunday of the year. That is saying something going

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Speaker 1: into week ten, going into week eleven, coming out of

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Speaker 1: week ten, having your best Sunday of the year. You

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Speaker 1: mentioned it wasn't your best book making day. You talk

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Speaker 1: about the late games. Explain what went wrong from a

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Speaker 1: bookmaking perspective in those late games. So the bookmaking actually

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Speaker 1: wasn't bad in the in the in the three late games,

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Speaker 1: we just lost the three late games. The bookmaking was

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Speaker 1: bad on the games we won where we we didn't

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Speaker 1: sit tight on some of those numbers and and just

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Speaker 1: let people lay lay the favorites. Um. So you know,

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Speaker 1: we went to seven on the Patriots and probably took

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Speaker 1: too much back on the Titans. Uh, we we went

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Speaker 1: to six and a half on the Falcons. We opened

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Speaker 1: four and a half on on the Falcons, we went

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Speaker 1: to six and a half. I think we took too

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Speaker 1: much back at plus six and a half on the Browns.

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Speaker 1: So that so the games we didn't do our best bookmaking.

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Speaker 1: We're on games way actually won money on That's interesting.

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Speaker 1: So like you got a little like you said, you

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Speaker 1: got gunshy, and like the money started coming in in

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Speaker 1: the favorites, and you move the number maybe a little

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Speaker 1: too quickly or too high, and then some money started

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Speaker 1: coming in and the dogs and a couple of those dogs,

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Speaker 1: like the Titans, for sure, that number moved a lot.

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Speaker 1: The Browns, for sure, that number moved quite a bit. Uh.

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Speaker 1: You ended up losing because you you left the door

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Speaker 1: open for people to take the dogs. Yeah. And it's

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Speaker 1: it's basically a lot of the professional betters that are

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Speaker 1: that are you know, picking these these numbers at their

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Speaker 1: very highest in which we've always talked about if you're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet a lot of these dogs, you've bet them

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Speaker 1: late right before game time, and you're probably going to

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Speaker 1: get the best number, um even early on the Thursday

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Speaker 1: night game. We opened the Pittsburgh Steelers up at five

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Speaker 1: and a half and uh, the sharp guys were all

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Speaker 1: over the Panthers and drove that number down the three

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Speaker 1: and a half and we we started taking way too

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Speaker 1: much money on the Steelers at minus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: There's just you know, we're giving we're getting off the decision.

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Speaker 1: You know, we had a decision early on in the week,

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Speaker 1: and that's what made us make the Steelers such a

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Speaker 1: high favorite at five and a half. And then to

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Speaker 1: give it all back right before game time at minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half didn't didn't make sense. So we

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Speaker 1: had to just you know, jack it up an hour

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Speaker 1: or two before kickoff and uh, and then ended up

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Speaker 1: having a pretty good game with with the Steelers too.

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Speaker 1: All right, here's a great story, germane to this conversation

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Speaker 1: that we have on the Action Network right now, the

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Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams, and it pertains to the biggest game

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Speaker 1: of the year. The Los Angeles Rams are historically the

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Speaker 1: worst team against the spread for any team that has

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Speaker 1: started as fast as they have once the last time

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Speaker 1: they covered the spread. They didn't do it last week,

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Speaker 1: they didn't do it there before they didn't do it

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Speaker 1: the week before that. I don't think they did it

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Speaker 1: the week before that. It's been like at least a month, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it has. I mean going back to uh, before the

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Speaker 1: Saints game before the Broncos. The Broncos covered, right, So

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Speaker 1: uh yeah, it's been a while. So that brings me

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Speaker 1: to it. There's two things that are in the news

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Speaker 1: that we're gonna talk about in these games. Um. Number one,

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Speaker 1: let's get started, because uh, We're gonna start with the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game. Huge game. I love this game. Seattle

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Speaker 1: is two and a half point favorite over Green Bay

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Speaker 1: in Seattle Thursday night. I love the Seahawks in this game. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: you have to. Uh, but the uh and and the

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Speaker 1: public actually has been on the Seahawks even in some

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Speaker 1: of the games that they lose, kind of opposite to

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Speaker 1: what you just said. With the Rams, They're they're not

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Speaker 1: winning these games, but they're they're they're covering. So uh,

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Speaker 1: last week they found a lot of value with the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks getting so many points against the Rams, and then

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Speaker 1: they were also all over the Packers against the Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: But in this one, it's a very just evenly matched game.

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Speaker 1: Basically a pick them game. So, uh the ticket counts

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Speaker 1: pretty even slightly heavier on the Seahawks, but only because

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Speaker 1: they're at home, I think. But I think you have

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Speaker 1: to like the Seahawks at home. Here, Um, packers are

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Speaker 1: kind of banged up, their secondaries banged up, got a

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Speaker 1: lot of guys each game, they're losing another couple of

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Speaker 1: guys here and there, so, um, none of the key players,

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Speaker 1: but just you know, a lot of a lot of secondaries, linemen,

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Speaker 1: and uh so we we tried to be a little

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Speaker 1: higher on the Seahawks because it's basically a pick them game.

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Speaker 1: So laying two and a half, I think it's a

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Speaker 1: good number. I think that's a really good number. As

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Speaker 1: we talk about it, I kind of want to allegedly

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Speaker 1: bet it allegedly your attention, please, Dad is making a bet.

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Speaker 1: Allegedly Allegedly I'm going to make a bet, do you

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Speaker 1: know what I mean? Alleged? Who was that that? Yeah

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Speaker 1: that's Georgina. Uh oh, Georgie and I'm sorry Georgina. Yeah, Scooch,

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Speaker 1: that's who. It was nice to get to another podcast.

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Speaker 1: There you go. Yes, it is m all right, all right,

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Speaker 1: So if I'm allegedly betting on Seattle, let's get to know.

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Speaker 1: Let's move on to the Sunday games. Minnesota is a

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Speaker 1: three point dog at the Chicago Bears. The Battle for

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Speaker 1: the NF scene or Rumbling, bumbling, stumbling, black and Blue.

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Speaker 1: This game really does look like a brute because the

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Speaker 1: Bears are like dark Navy and the Vikings are purple,

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Speaker 1: and so it could be the bruise game. So I

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Speaker 1: really wanted to hang this game a little higher because

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Speaker 1: I thought the public would just be all over the

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Speaker 1: Bears the way the Bears have been playing. And uh,

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Speaker 1: but I hung. I hung three, and right out of

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Speaker 1: the gate we got a lot of sharp money on

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Speaker 1: the Vikings at plus three. So yeah, the I don't

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Speaker 1: want to get off the number three here. I'll just

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Speaker 1: move money. As they're they're betting that the Vikings plus

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Speaker 1: the three, I'll just move it to minus twenty. And

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Speaker 1: I don't want to get in a situation where I'm

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Speaker 1: bouncing back and forth between two and a half and three,

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Speaker 1: because the public is going to be on the Bears

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Speaker 1: here probably at a at a two to one clip,

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Speaker 1: and uh, I just don't want to get caught in

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Speaker 1: a situation where false three and this is this game

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Speaker 1: has three written all over it, so, um, another solid number.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we I don't think you're going to

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Speaker 1: see a lot of these lines moving the way you

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Speaker 1: do early in the season. I think kind of we

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Speaker 1: got a pretty good beat on it. This is gonna

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Speaker 1: be an epic Sunday night game. Oh my god, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna have to stay up late for this game. Which

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Speaker 1: one the late game the Vikings, because that's the late

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Speaker 1: game Lake game. Yeah, I got it, Sunday night on

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Speaker 1: the East Coast. As you staying up late, I'm trying

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Speaker 1: to think I'll staying up exactly. You're a Bears fan

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Speaker 1: trying a Bear Scott. Wow, you remember something about me? Yeah, occasionally,

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Speaker 1: it's nice to know. It's nice tonight you remember the

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Speaker 1: little people? Yeah. Houston is a three point favorite on

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Speaker 1: the road against the Washington Redskins. I find everything about

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Speaker 1: the bookmaking here to be fascinating, Scooch fascinating. Nobody wants

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Speaker 1: to give the Washington Redskins any respect at all for

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Speaker 1: being in first place, for winning games on the road,

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Speaker 1: for winning games at home that they're supposed to win,

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Speaker 1: for winning against teams that they're supposed to beat, for

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Speaker 1: winning hard games. The Texans have one, I don't know,

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Speaker 1: five in a row, six in a row, whatever it is.

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Speaker 1: They haven't beat great teams. They had a really good

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Speaker 1: game in Denver, but Denver, like the Broncos defensive line

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Speaker 1: destroyed the Texans offensive line and that should have been

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Speaker 1: a game where the Broncos came away with a win.

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Speaker 1: And so I feel like a huge advantage to the

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Speaker 1: Redskins in this game. Yeah, it's not going to be

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Speaker 1: one of those real high profile games, uh, compared to

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Speaker 1: some of the other games on the board here, But

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Speaker 1: this is You're right, it is a really interesting one.

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Speaker 1: It's it's very rare that we make a team a

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Speaker 1: road favorite that isn't uh, you know, one of the

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Speaker 1: top tier teams at which I don't consider the Texans

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Speaker 1: yet one of the top tier teams, and here they

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Speaker 1: are land points on the Yeah. So so if there's

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Speaker 1: any value on this one, it's gonna be on the Redskins.

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Speaker 1: But for the casual fan, uh, they're gonna they're gonna

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Speaker 1: bet the Texans. So this line is just more reflective

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Speaker 1: of where um it's kind of the public. The casual

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Speaker 1: fan is going to come in and bet and uh,

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Speaker 1: we are, we are going to see a ticket account

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Speaker 1: of about three to one Texans to Redskins. I don't

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Speaker 1: think we want to go to three because we're just

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Speaker 1: inviting all these sharp guys that kind of had to

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Speaker 1: feel day last week. They're gonna have a field day

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Speaker 1: with some of these lines that are on key numbers

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Speaker 1: this week. So another game where I prefer to stay

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Speaker 1: at two and a half and not bounce back and

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Speaker 1: forth to three. Where do you think the wise guys

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Speaker 1: are going to come in in this game on the Redskins?

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Speaker 1: As I mean, it's really it really should be Redskins

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Speaker 1: minus one minus one and a half. That should be

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Speaker 1: the kind of the true line, the raw number. It

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Speaker 1: it's inflated a little bit to account for where we

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Speaker 1: feel the public is going to come in on this game.

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Speaker 1: And as we talked a lot before, there's not a

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Speaker 1: lot of value in the line movement once you're in

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Speaker 1: between those minus three numbers of both teams minus three

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Speaker 1: on the road, minus three at home, that kind of

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Speaker 1: area in the middle of minus one road team minus

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Speaker 1: one home team. You know, we bounced back and forth

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Speaker 1: quite a bit off of just a little money, because

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Speaker 1: you have less chance of getting middled uh allegedly. Allegedly,

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Speaker 1: I might have just bet the Redskins plus three. Your attention, please,

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Speaker 1: Dad is making a bet allegedly. I'm glad we amuse

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Speaker 1: you like we are, like we're clowns. It's like I'm

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Speaker 1: listening to the podcast for the first time. Thanks for that, Scoge. Listen.

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Speaker 1: The next game is huge, and we got to be

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Speaker 1: serious for a second. Okay, can we be serious? I'll try,

280
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Speaker 1: can we commit? We got serious news. Hugh Jackson has

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Speaker 1: been signed as a special assistant to the head coach

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Speaker 1: of the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals right now or five

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Speaker 1: and a half point dogs to the Ravens. We don't

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Speaker 1: know the status of Joe Flacco. I can't believe you

285
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Speaker 1: posted this number to begin with, But now you are

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Speaker 1: leaving yourselves open to Hugh Jackson coming in and redefining

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Speaker 1: what happens in that Bengals offensive meeting room. Have have

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Speaker 1: you not closed the gap on this number? Scooch? We

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Speaker 1: we didn't hang it. We we were. This game is

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Speaker 1: off the board right now while you're doing the right thing. Yeah, yeah,

291
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Speaker 1: we have to wait on this one. We got we

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Speaker 1: got battered Flacco. They battered Flacco. Boy, it's been a

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Speaker 1: while since we talked about him, right, Yeah, he's been

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Speaker 1: he's been healthy. Remember the battered Flacco For those who

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Speaker 1: don't know. In the previous uh incarnation of this podcast,

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Speaker 1: back when it was that on ESPN, Scooch and I

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Speaker 1: talked about uh he mentioned that Joe flat was battered,

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Speaker 1: and he said something like battered Flacco and struck us

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00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:05,800
Speaker 1: is funny, and it struck a lot of people who

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00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,120
Speaker 1: listen is funny. So we decided it sounded a little

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Speaker 1: bit like a fish, like a fish dish. So Scooch

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00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:14,159
Speaker 1: actually asked the chef at The Orleans to make a

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Speaker 1: dish called battered Flacco, and uh he made what Scooch,

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00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,960
Speaker 1: do you remember? I remember? Uh? Well, it wasn't It

305
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 1: turned out not to be a fish. It turned out

306
00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:26,879
Speaker 1: to like a like a flanks. Yeah, it was like

307
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:34,720
Speaker 1: a flank steak Pinco crusted paint Pinco crusted uh fried

308
00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: flank steak with a chimmy Churis sauce. Yeah, exactly. It

309
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Speaker 1: was the battered plaque. Yeah, it sounds amazing. I love that.

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Speaker 1: It was really good. Never got a chance to sample it. Um,

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Speaker 1: all right, so let me we'll move on because you've

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Speaker 1: done the right thing. Uh. And now that Hugh Jackson

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Speaker 1: is there, they're going to have to completely reconsider. Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: Steelers five and a half point favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

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Speaker 1: The Steelers are a steam train, a roll in. Boy.

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Speaker 1: This game a month ago is like wow, talk about

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Speaker 1: what this game would have been a month ago, and

318
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Speaker 1: and just how much you've changed the ratings on both

319
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Speaker 1: of these teams. Steelers five and a half at Jacksonville righting. Yeah,

320
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Speaker 1: there's probably about a good five six point difference in

321
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Speaker 1: both numbers where we've adjusted Jacksonville down and the Steelers up,

322
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Speaker 1: so that this line probably would have been close to

323
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Speaker 1: a pick them or or minus one either side. But uh, definitely.

324
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Speaker 1: And we actually thought we were hanging this game high,

325
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Speaker 1: similar to last week when we when we hung the

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Speaker 1: Steelers high against the Panthers and the sharp guys took

327
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Speaker 1: took the Panthers and drove that line down. I thought

328
00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:53,159
Speaker 1: we were gonna be high on this one, and the

329
00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 1: sharp guys are not driving it down. So as I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at it, I'm gonna go to six right now.

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Speaker 1: So it's six nice. You're going to six right now?

332
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,640
Speaker 1: You want that wise guy money, You want that wise

333
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:17,119
Speaker 1: guy money on the jacks. I have to keep moving

334
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:19,879
Speaker 1: this one because we know where the where the public

335
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,399
Speaker 1: is going to be on this one. Uh you know.

336
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Speaker 1: That's why bookmaking is a lot of just field. You

337
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 1: don't want to go too far. Like I just said

338
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Speaker 1: last week, we gave way too much back on the

339
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,040
Speaker 1: on the home dogs to some of the sharp guys.

340
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 1: But I want to see at what point they'll take

341
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:37,480
Speaker 1: that number. So you have to keep inching it up

342
00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 1: to kind of see where that point of resistance is

343
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:41,880
Speaker 1: and and so far I haven't seen it. So I'm

344
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:43,919
Speaker 1: gonna keep going up. Hopefully I don't have to go

345
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 1: up to seven. But uh, well, we'll see what they

346
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 1: do with the six. I wonder if we'll get a

347
00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,840
Speaker 1: play like remember the last time we talked about this.

348
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 1: You change the number in like thirty seconds you started

349
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:56,639
Speaker 1: getting hit and that should have been an indication and

350
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:58,159
Speaker 1: it wasn't. That's why I said, I don't think we

351
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 1: did a great bookmaking job because right away interesting interesting, Yeah, alright,

352
00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:09,240
Speaker 1: carolinea minus four at Detroit another Look, you're tempting me here,

353
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 1: right like the Redskins. Um, you tempted me with Seattle

354
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,919
Speaker 1: is a short less than a field goal favorite. You

355
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 1: hooked me with the Redskins at plus three, you did

356
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 1: not get me yet with Jacksonville a plus six, You're

357
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:28,480
Speaker 1: not gonna get me at Detroit plus four. And the

358
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 1: public wants nothing to do with the Lions right now

359
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 1: that they've been drawing just fewer and fewer bets each week.

360
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:39,879
Speaker 1: The Panthers, even with the laws against uh the Steelers

361
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:42,719
Speaker 1: are drawing a lot of action from the public and

362
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 1: we're seeing about a five to one clip, So that

363
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 1: game really didn't sway too many of the betters. It's

364
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,360
Speaker 1: just I guess I bet against Detroit more than bet

365
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 1: on the Panthers. But this is gonna be all Carolina.

366
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 1: I could see this number going up. I'm not going

367
00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 1: to move it yet because we're pretty high in comparison

368
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:02,040
Speaker 1: and to the rest of the numbers around town. I

369
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:03,960
Speaker 1: think there's still some Caroline and minus three and a

370
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 1: half's out there. We're at minus four already, so we're high.

371
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,879
Speaker 1: But I could see this line going up. It wouldn't

372
00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:12,399
Speaker 1: surprise me. When do you think the wise guys come

373
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 1: in and take the lines they're they're probably looking for

374
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 1: at least a four and a half or or or

375
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 1: five and a half. But uh, I mean they haven't

376
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,880
Speaker 1: taken it yet. And uh and we've been at four

377
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:28,360
Speaker 1: for a couple of days now, so it doesn't look

378
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,440
Speaker 1: like they're gonna take the four. I mean, Jacksonville is

379
00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:33,400
Speaker 1: going to become one of those games. I'm looking back

380
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 1: at that number now comparing the two since they're right

381
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: next to each other. Um, yeah, it's gonna be one

382
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,440
Speaker 1: of those games where, like Sunday morning, it's going to

383
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 1: be at six and a half or seven, and I'm

384
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:52,920
Speaker 1: going to have to fight myself not to take that game. Well,

385
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:54,760
Speaker 1: you know, we we hung the same line last week,

386
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 1: the Falcons and the Browns. If you remember that, the

387
00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:00,240
Speaker 1: Falcons were four point road favorite and we just kept

388
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,000
Speaker 1: creeping up and then by game day it was six

389
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,600
Speaker 1: and a half. So yeah, but the Steelers are much

390
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 1: better than the Falcons. I mean the Falcons stink. Yeah

391
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 1: that you just don't like the Falcons day, Well I don't. Um, Well,

392
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 1: it's just so obvious when they're going to be in

393
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,840
Speaker 1: a bad spot and won't be able to produce, right,

394
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 1: and it's also obvious when they're going to be in

395
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,240
Speaker 1: a good spot. There's never been a team to me

396
00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 1: that is more transparent than the Falcons. For example, let's

397
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,920
Speaker 1: move on to the next game. The Falcons are three

398
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,760
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites at home. Of course, I'm

399
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 1: going to bet the Falcons like it's way out of

400
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 1: whack now, because you've got a Cowboys team that just

401
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 1: beat the Eagles in prime time, you've got a Falcon's

402
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:45,199
Speaker 1: team that lost to the Browns. Like, of course, this

403
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 1: line is a little bit deflated. I'm going to bet

404
00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 1: the Falcons like they're getting back at home. Like come on, yeah,

405
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 1: you look at this line just two weeks ago, and

406
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 1: you're looking at Falcons four and a half and and

407
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 1: probably moving up to five and a half. But one

408
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 1: game shouldn't make that much of a difference, you know,

409
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:08,119
Speaker 1: the Falcons losing to the Browns and the Cowboys beating

410
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,640
Speaker 1: the Eagles shouldn't be that big of an adjustment. So

411
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 1: three is right where the line really really should be.

412
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:18,199
Speaker 1: I know, there's three three and a half. Um, the

413
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 1: public all kind of like seeing the Cowboys at a plus,

414
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 1: thinking that they're they're kind of a better team than

415
00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:30,679
Speaker 1: what they are based on one game, but uh, I

416
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 1: think the ticketcount will still be slightly favoring the Falcons

417
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,639
Speaker 1: in this one. Can I wait on this game? Do

418
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:42,439
Speaker 1: you think it'll go to three? Yeah? Yeah, So so

419
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: if you want to lay three, you can lay three.

420
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 1: You can probably lay three a couple of places already

421
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 1: right here in town. So all right, I'm gonna keep

422
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:52,680
Speaker 1: an eye on that one. I love this next game.

423
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 1: Why are you laughing at me? I don't know? You

424
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 1: make me laugh? Do I amuse you? Like my clown.

425
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 1: I'm here for your amusement, my clown. You know it

426
00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:16,560
Speaker 1: would be funny what you and I should like do

427
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 1: a reenactment of that movie. Oh my god, I get

428
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 1: to be I get to be Ray Liotta and you

429
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:31,159
Speaker 1: get to be Joe PESHI. Okay, just as there are scenes,

430
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:36,320
Speaker 1: How funny would that be? That'd be hilarious. As soon

431
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 1: as soon as we stopped being a po dunk startup

432
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 1: and we get you know, legitimized, and we're huge, massive company.

433
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 1: I'm coming out there with like Marty Scorsese, I call

434
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 1: him Scorsese, but I'm coming out with Marty, probably Bobby,

435
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 1: Bobby d and um you know, they'll just be extras

436
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 1: and maybe we'll Murty do some DP work and we're

437
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: going to shoot the freak out of some of those

438
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:16,400
Speaker 1: scenes right up until you get killed. That's a sad Yeah,

439
00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 1: let's get that part. You know, that's no fun, no

440
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:28,439
Speaker 1: fun at all. Um, Tennessee at Inannapolis. I see the

441
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 1: Colts is two points. What do you have interesting games? Yeah,

442
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:33,639
Speaker 1: we have. We have the Colts at two and a

443
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:37,199
Speaker 1: half and uh, actually I'm going to go down to

444
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:43,600
Speaker 1: one and a half right now. Wise, guys are coming

445
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 1: here in Tennessee, right all over Tennessee. Freak me, man.

446
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 1: I saw this line open yesterday and I wanted to

447
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 1: bet it and I forgot. I love the Titans in

448
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 1: this game. Yeah, this is This is to me the

449
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:02,359
Speaker 1: most intriguing game on the board, because how can you

450
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,960
Speaker 1: not like Tennessee after the last couple of weeks and

451
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 1: especially with the you know, and I keep I don't.

452
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,159
Speaker 1: I always say you can't put too much into just

453
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:13,680
Speaker 1: one game, but this is back to back games where

454
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 1: Tennessee if if you know, Mariota is healthy, this team

455
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 1: is really good and they're going on the road. The

456
00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 1: only thing we can hope for is a bit of

457
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 1: a letdown here. Uh. As soon as we made this

458
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:29,120
Speaker 1: line just based on the on the power rankings and

459
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 1: you know the method that we used to come up

460
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:33,400
Speaker 1: with the lines, we knew it was too high. So

461
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:38,120
Speaker 1: we hung two and a half. Adjusting off, the line

462
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,439
Speaker 1: came out three, and we just dropped it down to

463
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:41,919
Speaker 1: two and a half. And the first bet out of

464
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:44,359
Speaker 1: the gate when we hung the line Sunday night was

465
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 1: was Tennessee plus two and a half, and uh, yeah,

466
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 1: it just doesn't pass the eye test here. We know

467
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 1: that the public is going to be on Tennessee and

468
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 1: this is kind of our worst case where the public

469
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 1: and wise guys are on the same same team. So

470
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,239
Speaker 1: we're gonna be in big Indianapolis fans, so might as

471
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 1: well move this game really quickly. I don't think Tennessee

472
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 1: is the type of team that has let downs. It

473
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 1: doesn't look like it. Huh. They don't look like a

474
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:15,679
Speaker 1: team that they're just not. They don't seem like an

475
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:19,680
Speaker 1: emotional team. You know, they have the makeup of their quarterback,

476
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:24,440
Speaker 1: like Mariota. He's like a robot out there. And I'm

477
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,159
Speaker 1: not saying he's like a great quarterback. Um, but I'm

478
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:30,679
Speaker 1: saying he's a pretty unemotional quarterback, and Vrabel seems to

479
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:36,120
Speaker 1: be pretty unemotional and pretty cool as a customer. And

480
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:39,560
Speaker 1: so I'm not looking at a team that is going

481
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 1: to come out and be flat. I think they feel

482
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 1: like they're recognizing how good they can be and they're

483
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 1: playing an inferior team. Um, and this is a big

484
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:55,800
Speaker 1: opportunity to advance the cause, especially suffering themselves from the

485
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 1: Jags and staying pace with the Texans because the Texans

486
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:00,680
Speaker 1: will probably lose to the Reds and then all of

487
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: a sudden they're tied for first. I think that's how

488
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 1: they see this. I'm with you a percent. And uh,

489
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 1: there's a there's a few teams coming out of a

490
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 1: real big game where you just haven't seen those letdowns,

491
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 1: and these teams don't. There's no letdown anymore. And uh,

492
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,320
Speaker 1: and but Tennessee is a team that seems to be

493
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 1: getting better and better each week. So I think, if anything,

494
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 1: they were inspired by the last week's win and they

495
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 1: may even come out better this week. I agree. Uh, Hey, listen,

496
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 1: we're coming up on the Corner TV game. It would

497
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 1: be this game if not for the game after this,

498
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 1: but Tampa Bay at the New York Giants. Giants are one.

499
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 1: They were picked yesterday obviously bookmakers afraid of the public

500
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 1: money coming in after they're huge, huge road win against

501
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 1: the Niners last night. Right, it was an entertaining game

502
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 1: to watch, but we we actually we hung the Giants

503
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 1: minus one and this one, and you're right, nobody's nobody's

504
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 1: gonna bet this one. Corner TV game, Buccaneers. I'm off

505
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 1: this Buccaneer team. They disappoint me. Disappoint me. But glad

506
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,040
Speaker 1: to hear you say that, because you're not the kind

507
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:13,760
Speaker 1: of guy who gets overly emotional, and so when you

508
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 1: say you're off a team, it means you're off a team.

509
00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:23,400
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, and this is one of them, so your

510
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:32,760
Speaker 1: face spent any time on it. Next game, well, the

511
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:36,840
Speaker 1: next game really is a corner TV game. I think

512
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:41,080
Speaker 1: Oakland Oakland Arizona. Arizona is a four point favorite. They

513
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 1: really are the corner TV game. We just wonder how

514
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 1: much we have to keep adjusting the Raiders because now

515
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 1: people just automatically put whoever the Raiders are playing, that's

516
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 1: the first team in their parlay. It's it's like the

517
00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 1: it's like the free spot on your Bingo card in

518
00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 1: this of the car we have we have I'm not

519
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 1: kidding you. We have six tickets on the Raiders. Seriously, six,

520
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:15,360
Speaker 1: it's worth And that's an instant tweet right there. That's

521
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 1: that's what that is. Do you know what twitter is?

522
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 1: I've heard of it. Yeah, Um, that is in sane. Well, look,

523
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 1: Derek Carr now continues to have a habit of throwing

524
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 1: the ball away and spiking it on fourth down. Yeah,

525
00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:39,520
Speaker 1: what do you do about the Raiders? Like, how much

526
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 1: have you adjusted them at this point? Uh? Well, it's

527
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 1: another point point in a half each week just based

528
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,440
Speaker 1: on I mean, they're not even. They're not even in

529
00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 1: these games. Um, and that's at some point we're just

530
00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:58,960
Speaker 1: trying to keep adjusting until we get some money on

531
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: the Raiders. There was no eyes guy money on the

532
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 1: Raiders last week, and that's that's scary, you know. And

533
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 1: and crossing over ten ten and a half, eleven eleven

534
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: and a half, I mean these are big, big numbers

535
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 1: and they were you know, on the at home and

536
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 1: getting that and when the sharp guys aren't taking it,

537
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 1: then that's a real problem. Yeah. I mean, as we know,

538
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 1: I'm a sharp and I didn't bet the Raiders a

539
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:28,240
Speaker 1: plus ten last weekend, but were the wise guys betting

540
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:33,200
Speaker 1: the Chargers at minus ten last weekend? Uh? Towards the

541
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 1: It was on game day, so there was there were

542
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:40,200
Speaker 1: some bets on the UH, but it wasn't. It wasn't overwhelming.

543
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,720
Speaker 1: You know, there's different levels of the sharp guys coming in.

544
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 1: They have different opinions. You know, they have real strong

545
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: opinions when they come in just blasting with both fists,

546
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 1: and then there's some that is just kind of more

547
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,800
Speaker 1: or less a taste. And so it wasn't. It wasn't

548
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 1: full place. But they were more on the on the

549
00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:58,600
Speaker 1: Chargers than they weren't on the Raiders at all. So

550
00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 1: if they were standing at a buffet a, it's not

551
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 1: like they're going two plates and piling it on. It's

552
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 1: more like it's like they're gonna try it, knowing that

553
00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 1: they can go back if they like it a lot.

554
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 1: There you go, that's a good analogy. What do they

555
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 1: call that a soup song? You get to fancy? I mean,

556
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 1: so s O U P C O N with that

557
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 1: sort of interesting accident over the sea. Okay, speaking of

558
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 1: the Chargers, UH, you know what, Listen, I've tried to

559
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:37,040
Speaker 1: bring some class to this podcast. Like remember when we

560
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 1: had the long discussion about stream music. Do you remember

561
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 1: that it's lovely? Right, yeah, a little classical music. Now

562
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:49,680
Speaker 1: you're hitting me with two songs. Look at you knowing

563
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 1: how to pronounce him Denver on the road of the

564
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 1: l A Chargers. The Chargers are minus seven Chargers team.

565
00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 1: I've been on them all season long, all season long.

566
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 1: You are ahead of the curve? What I do you are?

567
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:12,000
Speaker 1: And uh, actually I'm I'm actually moving a money line

568
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:15,719
Speaker 1: now up to minus four dollars because as we're as

569
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 1: we're talking, we're getting some big bets. Are you really

570
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 1: on the Charges yet? What kind of money I like

571
00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:28,320
Speaker 1: to win? To win ten thousand on money line? Whoa, yeah,

572
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:36,200
Speaker 1: ten nights, yeah, smackaroneys. Yeah, that's a lot of kick

573
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 1: of cash. That a size Johnny, you know, size Johnny.

574
00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 1: So that I agree with you on this Charger team.

575
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: They are just like the Steelers in the public's mind

576
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:54,880
Speaker 1: right now. They're just gonna keep laying these numbers on

577
00:34:54,880 --> 00:35:02,880
Speaker 1: the Chargers until until they disappoint them. And U, yep, no,

578
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:06,799
Speaker 1: but but but what are the wise guys gonna do

579
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 1: here because that line feels big. They're not. You know,

580
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 1: they did take the seven early in the week. They

581
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,280
Speaker 1: took UH seven even money. We went to plus seven

582
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 1: minus twenty early on. But it's been all Chargers since,

583
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:27,240
Speaker 1: mainly from from the public. But now the sharp guys

584
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 1: have kind of slowed down, and if anything, there's more

585
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:33,040
Speaker 1: more money on the Chargers, even from the uh even

586
00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 1: from the wise guys on this one. So this is

587
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,839
Speaker 1: gonna be interesting. I'm not gonna get off seven. I'm

588
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 1: just gonna just gonna move the money on this one. Um,

589
00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:43,839
Speaker 1: we did get a pretty big bet on, like I

590
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 1: just said, on the money line, so um, they at

591
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:50,400
Speaker 1: least see that they're not going to lose the games.

592
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 1: And that was from that was from a pretty sharp guy. Wow,

593
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 1: but I don't see the Broncos. But I mean, I

594
00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:58,839
Speaker 1: could only hope that we get a couple of seven

595
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 1: point underdogs winning the games straight up again like we

596
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: did last week. But I don't. I don't see it

597
00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:05,879
Speaker 1: in this one. Well, I didn't bet the game yet,

598
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 1: you know, so I'm just saying white chuckling at me.

599
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 1: You've bet a lot of games. I bet two games,

600
00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 1: so far today. I bet the reds I bet the

601
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:24,799
Speaker 1: Redskins plus three, and I also bet the Seattle Seahawks. Right,

602
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,399
Speaker 1: that's what I did. But the Seahawks and I bet.

603
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 1: Seems like you said you're gonna be betting. That's that's

604
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,960
Speaker 1: what probably. I feel like I'm probably gonna bet the Falcons,

605
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 1: but I want to get it at three. I would

606
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 1: like to bet the Titans, but I feel like I've

607
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 1: missed the best of the number. Um, this one is

608
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 1: interesting to me. The New Orleans Saints. Uh required comment

609
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:51,359
Speaker 1: that I bought them as a super Bowl favorite at

610
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:55,839
Speaker 1: eighteen to one. There now at six to one. Correct, yep, yep, right,

611
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 1: I bought him at eighteen one. Who does that? Wise, guys,

612
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:03,839
Speaker 1: they're eight point favorites over the Eagles. I I don't

613
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 1: see anybody bettering the Eagles in this game. Wise, guys

614
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 1: are gonna stay away from it. Fans are gonna bet

615
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:12,880
Speaker 1: the Saints. Absolutely, it's a it's another game, just like

616
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 1: the Chargers. You're gonna laying huge points. People are gonna

617
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:19,960
Speaker 1: be all over the the Saints. They're gonna tease them

618
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,560
Speaker 1: down to one or two, and they're gonna bet the

619
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:26,200
Speaker 1: Saints on the money line. Um, you know, everything is

620
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:29,440
Speaker 1: just pointing towards the Saints. I mean they've cracked up

621
00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:33,439
Speaker 1: fifty points last week and and there's no let down

622
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 1: in this uh Saints team, even coming off of big

623
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:40,800
Speaker 1: wins like against the Rams and um, so the public

624
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 1: is just gonna ride this train too. So if it

625
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:50,320
Speaker 1: comes in, Saints, Steelers and Chargers were cooked. Saints, Steelers

626
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:56,040
Speaker 1: and Chargers, the three team deadly partlay Saints, Steelers and Chargers.

627
00:37:56,040 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: Those are gonna be really big favorites. UM On Sunday,

628
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:07,120
Speaker 1: Oh my god, you are in trouble. I feel like

629
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 1: we are coming our best Sunday. We're just gonna give

630
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:12,839
Speaker 1: it all back next week. Oh my god. Well, let's

631
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,360
Speaker 1: talk about the biggest game of the weekend, the biggest

632
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:23,280
Speaker 1: game of the year so far. Monday Night football. Kansas

633
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:26,359
Speaker 1: City Chiefs visiting the lot. While not visiting, they're playing

634
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:30,240
Speaker 1: in the Los Angeles Rams in Mexico City. The field

635
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 1: looks atrocious. The air quality is disgusting. The elevation is

636
00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 1: seventy five hundred feet. The Rams defense is not very good.

637
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 1: They do not have pass rushers. Marcus Peters I think

638
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 1: is a fraud. He was traded by the guy he's

639
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 1: playing against because they know how bad he is. Give

640
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 1: me the Kansas City Chiefs. Plus the public agrees with you.

641
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,920
Speaker 1: I'm I'm a little shocked at how how fickle the

642
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:17,360
Speaker 1: public can be sometimes as as much as we need. Whoever,

643
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 1: the Rams are playing every single week, and for them

644
00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 1: to be on the Chiefs at about a four to

645
00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:27,240
Speaker 1: one clip here, um tells me, I'll take the Rams

646
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:34,799
Speaker 1: really really yeah, yeah no. The only thing, honestly, the

647
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,719
Speaker 1: field concerns me because when you have a team that, uh,

648
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:40,359
Speaker 1: that relies on the type of offense that you need

649
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:43,640
Speaker 1: some good footing and that that does that, that is

650
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern. And we've seen it

651
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 1: in the past in Mexico City with some of the

652
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,960
Speaker 1: games down there where it's like playing on on mud,

653
00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 1: So that that concerns me. But otherwise I think I

654
00:39:55,640 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 1: like the Rams. Here. Oh my god, you've just so

655
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:05,280
Speaker 1: completely thrown me for a loop, Like I was so

656
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,560
Speaker 1: ready to go all in on casey. I'm so anti

657
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:13,239
Speaker 1: the Rams defense right now. Yeah yeah, I could. I mean,

658
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 1: I could see you. You made a good point about

659
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 1: how they you know, they make a lot of these games,

660
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:19,800
Speaker 1: a lot closer than what they should be the Rams.

661
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:23,080
Speaker 1: You know what the Rams offense can do, but um,

662
00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: a lot of these games, even against very weak teams,

663
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 1: are a lot closer than what they should be. I mean,

664
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:31,720
Speaker 1: the Rams should be winning like the Saints are winning,

665
00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:36,400
Speaker 1: you know, by thirty five points. Also, the Chiefs defense

666
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:40,200
Speaker 1: is just getting so much better. Yeah, they started out

667
00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:45,200
Speaker 1: a little slow, but they are improving every week. That's

668
00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:53,840
Speaker 1: I mean, it's you sure about the Rams? Yeah? Yeah,

669
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 1: I like the Rams. Yeah, well, then why don't we

670
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 1: put uh your metal to the test and play like

671
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:14,279
Speaker 1: a little game I like to call scooch Roulette. Okay.

672
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 1: I wish that there was a way to vote for

673
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:23,280
Speaker 1: UH music in podcasts. Do they have like podcast awards?

674
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:26,640
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the two hipster mats, like who produced

675
00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:31,360
Speaker 1: the podcast? Do they have podcast awards for best interstitial music?

676
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 1: They said no, I don't have that. Well they should.

677
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 1: Let's let's get a writing campaign going. I think we

678
00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:41,440
Speaker 1: I think we we put a lot of thought in

679
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 1: time into that music. We want this to be sort

680
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:47,399
Speaker 1: of candy for the ears, and I feel like, uh,

681
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 1: I feel like they did a really nice job on that.

682
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 1: I just want to commend them publicly. Yeah. Hey, just incidentally,

683
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:57,040
Speaker 1: not to change the subject, but we are taking some

684
00:41:57,080 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 1: bets on Jacksonville a plus six, so we uh, you know,

685
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:02,960
Speaker 1: we did move that line from five and a half

686
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 1: to six early in the podcast, and we took some

687
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:09,320
Speaker 1: some pretty big pets. So that's good. It's good to

688
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,279
Speaker 1: know you felt like that news was more important than

689
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:19,760
Speaker 1: acknowledging the people who produced the podcast. No, I'm sorry,

690
00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:24,839
Speaker 1: Matt's I think Scooch is getting a really big head.

691
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 1: What is your what is your Scooch Roulette? Pick you

692
00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:37,040
Speaker 1: go first? You one? Last week I pushed I had Jacksonville. Okay,

693
00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 1: I might have to just go with the Rams. Oh no,

694
00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:48,640
Speaker 1: oh my god. Yeah, I can't believe you did that.

695
00:42:51,120 --> 00:42:55,359
Speaker 1: Why that is just such a high profile, Like you're

696
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:59,279
Speaker 1: gonna have so much on that game. It's gonna it's

697
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:01,759
Speaker 1: gonna you're gonna be thinking about that game and then

698
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 1: you're gonna be like, I need the Rams so badly,

699
00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:06,000
Speaker 1: and then I also got them in screw Roulette. If

700
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,080
Speaker 1: I leave this game, it's going to be like a

701
00:43:08,200 --> 00:43:18,120
Speaker 1: double whammy. Wammy whammy, no wammy, Yep, it will ye. Yeah,

702
00:43:18,200 --> 00:43:28,680
Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, it's tough. Uh, I think I'm

703
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,239
Speaker 1: I like the Redskins plus three, but the Texans off

704
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 1: by I think the Texans are so overvalued here, Hugh

705
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:39,839
Speaker 1: Jackson is really making me consider the Bengals. No matter

706
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 1: what the number is, Um, what line are you seeing there?

707
00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:46,839
Speaker 1: Someone's got to post it at five and a half?

708
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:57,600
Speaker 1: Dumb dumbs. God, I love Tennessee. Tennessee looks good, don't.

709
00:43:57,840 --> 00:43:59,560
Speaker 1: I just couldn't. I would have I would have played them,

710
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:02,759
Speaker 1: but I just you know, I screwed myself out of

711
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:05,399
Speaker 1: a point. I went from one two and a half

712
00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 1: down one and a half, So no no value there.

713
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:10,839
Speaker 1: I don't like it. I don't like it. I only

714
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:14,399
Speaker 1: liked it at two and a half. I think I'm

715
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:17,319
Speaker 1: gonna go with the Falcons. Are you at three or

716
00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 1: three and a half. I'm at three months twenty, so

717
00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 1: all right, I'm going with the Falcons and minus three.

718
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:26,520
Speaker 1: There you go. That is called scrutinizing. It's called shopping,

719
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 1: called doing the best thing you can do to make

720
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:33,719
Speaker 1: the best possible decision. This has been the favorite podcast

721
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 1: from the Action Network. I am Chad Millman, he is

722
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 1: Bob Scucci. Go download our free, free free app. You

723
00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:45,720
Speaker 1: can see everything we're talking about all the lines Action

724
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:49,839
Speaker 1: Network App, Follow us at Action Network HQ, Listen to

725
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:55,359
Speaker 1: us on Apple podcasts, radio dot com, whatever you get

726
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 1: your podcasts. Join us on Friday when Blackjack comes in

727
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:00,279
Speaker 1: and we're gonna talk about the five pick for the

728
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,640
Speaker 1: Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest where we're gonna win one

729
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 1: point four million dollars. We're getting close, people, we are

730
00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 1: getting so close. Make sure you listen until miss Thank

731
00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:10,000
Speaker 1: you m