WEBVTT - TechStuff Predictions 2011 0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:02.920 Brought to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve Camray. 0:00:03.160 --> 0:00:08.880 It's ready. Are you get in touch with technology? With 0:00:09.039 --> 0:00:17.720 text style from how stuff works dot com. Hello again, everyone, 0:00:17.800 --> 0:00:20.400 welcome to text stuff. My name is Chris Polette and 0:00:20.400 --> 0:00:22.479 I'm an editor here at how stuff works dot com. 0:00:22.880 --> 0:00:26.800 Sitting in crush from a senior writer, Jonathan Strickland, Mr Marks, 0:00:26.880 --> 0:00:29.600 by mandate of the District of Columbia pre Crime Division, 0:00:29.640 --> 0:00:32.120 I'm placing you under arrest for the future murder of 0:00:32.159 --> 0:00:35.040 Sarah Marks and Donald Dubin that was to take place 0:00:35.080 --> 0:00:41.519 today April two hours and four minutes. I think you'd 0:00:41.520 --> 0:00:43.479 probably understand where that one came from. Oh, I know 0:00:43.479 --> 0:00:46.360 exactly where that one. Okay, we've actually seen that one. Hey, 0:00:46.400 --> 0:00:48.400 what do you know? What do you know? Who would 0:00:48.400 --> 0:00:51.440 have Guessedabes and Toiland? So we're going to talk about it, 0:00:51.640 --> 0:00:54.600 not from that, although that would have been awesome. Deleted 0:00:54.640 --> 0:00:57.440 scene from Babes and Toiland. I don't remember a pre 0:00:57.520 --> 0:01:01.880 Crime Division um to day. We're going to do this 0:01:01.920 --> 0:01:04.080 is this is both a blessing and a curse for 0:01:04.200 --> 0:01:08.160 technology journalists everywhere. We're going to do our predictions episode 0:01:08.200 --> 0:01:12.319 for the Technology Stories of twenty eleven. I remember when 0:01:12.319 --> 0:01:16.640 we did that episode with Tom Merriden Veronica Belmont. Yeah, 0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:19.199 where we talked about talked about what they like about 0:01:19.560 --> 0:01:23.920 UM tech journalism and Tom's face when you actually y'all 0:01:23.920 --> 0:01:26.480 couldn't see that, but his the look on his face 0:01:26.480 --> 0:01:31.200 when we mentioned when Jonathan mentioned predictions and yeah, yeah, 0:01:31.319 --> 0:01:34.120 it's one of those things that that we're expected to do. 0:01:34.840 --> 0:01:37.400 The worst thing is that we brought it on ourselves. Yeah. 0:01:38.560 --> 0:01:40.360 No one told us that we had to do a 0:01:40.360 --> 0:01:42.280 predictions episode, and then we did. And now we're kind 0:01:42.280 --> 0:01:45.280 of stuck because it's a tradition already. Well, it's fun, 0:01:45.319 --> 0:01:47.640 but it kind of stinks because it's so in tech. 0:01:47.680 --> 0:01:50.440 It's so easy to be wrong. Yes, as we have 0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:54.520 proven time and time again. So with that being said, 0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:58.520 Mr Pallette, will you please grace us with your first 0:01:58.520 --> 0:02:02.480 prediction for the Tech of twenty That was just lovely 0:02:03.160 --> 0:02:05.240 My favorite, my favorites of the ones that look like 0:02:05.280 --> 0:02:07.160 they're going to happen and then swerve and then may 0:02:07.280 --> 0:02:10.240 that may actually happen with this one. UM, you know 0:02:10.320 --> 0:02:13.760 how uh live Nets and Newton were both sort of 0:02:13.760 --> 0:02:17.560 working on calculus at the same time, UM, and of 0:02:17.600 --> 0:02:20.440 course everyone thinks of Newton when they think of calculus, 0:02:20.600 --> 0:02:25.040 or they think of stabbing their calculus teacher. Anyway, I 0:02:25.120 --> 0:02:28.440 came up with this one several weeks ago, and now 0:02:28.560 --> 0:02:31.639 everywhere on all the sites that have tech predictions, they've 0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:34.120 all predicted it too. But I thought of it on 0:02:34.120 --> 0:02:37.600 my own before I saw that the iPads getting a 0:02:37.639 --> 0:02:41.880 camera next year. Actually, and in the last few days, yeah, 0:02:41.880 --> 0:02:43.839 and in the last few days. Um so we don't 0:02:43.840 --> 0:02:45.280 We don't have to give me credit for that one, 0:02:45.320 --> 0:02:46.839 because other people have said it too, if you don't 0:02:46.840 --> 0:02:50.400 want to. But um, I've seen reports in the last 0:02:50.440 --> 0:02:53.480 few days, on the day we've recorded this in early 0:02:53.760 --> 0:02:59.320 ish December, that they're actually manufacturing the next version of 0:02:59.360 --> 0:03:01.480 the iPad, will have them ready to go as soon 0:03:01.520 --> 0:03:08.280 as February, so that may happen really quickly if they 0:03:08.280 --> 0:03:09.840 announced it before the end of twenty ten. Do I 0:03:09.840 --> 0:03:11.919 get credit for it anyway? Um so, yeah, I think. 0:03:12.040 --> 0:03:14.440 But I think it will have one camera forward facing, 0:03:15.280 --> 0:03:18.600 uh so that you can use face time with it. 0:03:19.680 --> 0:03:21.519 Um And I don't know what else is going to 0:03:21.600 --> 0:03:25.440 be in there, probably a faster processor. But I've been 0:03:25.440 --> 0:03:28.520 predicting for for a while now that the iPad will 0:03:28.520 --> 0:03:30.680 get a camera in it's next generation, and that's next year. 0:03:30.760 --> 0:03:32.880 So there I said it. The real question is will 0:03:33.000 --> 0:03:35.880 will there be a dedicated mute button that only mutes 0:03:35.920 --> 0:03:39.400 the system sounds and nothing else. I would really like 0:03:39.520 --> 0:03:42.560 that because I liked the the having the screen lock, 0:03:42.920 --> 0:03:44.840 and now that I don't have it anymore, I really 0:03:44.880 --> 0:03:48.720 miss it. Yeah, yeah, that was that's that's been a 0:03:48.800 --> 0:03:54.240 Molly Wood have seen it. She's been been screaming about thee. 0:03:54.520 --> 0:03:57.160 She does not like that at all the fact that 0:03:57.160 --> 0:03:59.960 that's that feature is gone. All right, So here's my 0:04:00.000 --> 0:04:03.200 and I'll still an Apple. Uh. Here's here's my big one. 0:04:03.640 --> 0:04:10.200 The iPhone will move to Verizon, but not till really. Yes, 0:04:10.880 --> 0:04:13.400 but the announcement that the iPhone will come to Verizon 0:04:13.400 --> 0:04:16.600 will happen sometime in but it won't actually make the 0:04:16.640 --> 0:04:20.320 move till That's funny. I was going to predict that 0:04:20.400 --> 0:04:25.440 it was going to head Verizon, uh, to coincide with 0:04:25.480 --> 0:04:27.560 its release of the four G network. I think that 0:04:27.680 --> 0:04:29.440 it will wait a little longer. First of all, I 0:04:29.440 --> 0:04:33.600 think it will wait because Apple does not adopt new 0:04:33.600 --> 0:04:36.440 technology in their devices right off the bat. If you 0:04:36.480 --> 0:04:39.560 remember it took they waited a generation before they added 0:04:39.560 --> 0:04:41.880 three G to the iPhone, despite the fact that there 0:04:41.920 --> 0:04:44.560 were three G networks. And part of that I think 0:04:44.600 --> 0:04:47.520 was because Jobs has this this belief that he wants 0:04:47.560 --> 0:04:50.080 his products to be absolutely the best they can be, 0:04:50.120 --> 0:04:52.280 and he doesn't want to just jump onto a new 0:04:52.320 --> 0:04:54.400 technology as soon as it's available. He'd rather wait and 0:04:54.440 --> 0:04:56.720 make sure that it's a proven one before adopting it. 0:04:58.279 --> 0:05:01.200 But another reason is because we've heard heard through various 0:05:01.200 --> 0:05:04.360 sources over the years that A T and T and 0:05:04.839 --> 0:05:09.120 Apple signed an exclusivity agreement that would last around five years. 0:05:09.240 --> 0:05:11.400 And that was back in two thousand seven and two 0:05:11.400 --> 0:05:15.919 thousand seven plus five dozen in equal eleven. Yes, but 0:05:15.920 --> 0:05:20.160 but it hasn't been said for sure, but it's been 0:05:19.640 --> 0:05:24.440 people that it's been hinted at by various sources. So 0:05:25.080 --> 0:05:29.239 I'm taking that at face value and suggesting that the again, 0:05:29.360 --> 0:05:32.000 it will come to Verizon, but we'll hear about it 0:05:32.040 --> 0:05:37.520 next year. Okay. Um. My next one actually relates to Google, 0:05:38.360 --> 0:05:42.680 and in the days actually right as we were recording this, 0:05:43.400 --> 0:05:49.400 Google's Chromos launched officially. Yes, uh, and I think and 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:54.440 I think that it will underwhelm and it's acceptance in 0:05:54.440 --> 0:05:57.719 in in that a Google product will underwhelm is also 0:05:57.800 --> 0:06:00.919 a pretty safe that's true, I don't. I think. I 0:06:00.920 --> 0:06:03.919 think it's the form factor. I think if the Chromos 0:06:04.040 --> 0:06:07.280 was on a tablet, then it might. But that's a 0:06:07.400 --> 0:06:09.719 that's a later prediction. I'm coming back to that. But 0:06:09.800 --> 0:06:12.120 I think the netbook market right now is kind of 0:06:13.640 --> 0:06:16.880 sort of stagnant. I think Google is really taking the 0:06:17.000 --> 0:06:19.640 same sort of general approach that Apple is taking in 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:23.760 a way, right because Apple has two main operating systems, 0:06:23.880 --> 0:06:27.920 mac os and iOS. The iOS is for their mobile devices, 0:06:28.400 --> 0:06:32.719 which is everything from their smartphones and iPod h line 0:06:32.760 --> 0:06:37.200 to the tap iPad the tablets, so but it doesn't 0:06:37.200 --> 0:06:43.560 include notebooks. Their notebooks are considered computers, not mobile. So uh. 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:46.040 Even though people might say, well, a netbook is really 0:06:46.040 --> 0:06:49.280 a mobile device, Apple would disagree. First of all, they 0:06:49.279 --> 0:06:52.479 don't do netbooks. But even the Mac Air, which is 0:06:52.480 --> 0:06:55.240 probably you know, the lightest of their devices, although it's 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:59.160 not not priced like a netbook, is um it runs 0:06:59.160 --> 0:07:02.200 the mac os, does run iOS well. Mark Zuckerberg agrees, 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:04.680 of course, he doesn't think that the iPad is um 0:07:04.920 --> 0:07:08.800 uh well no Apple Apples. Apple essentially says the iPads 0:07:08.839 --> 0:07:14.720 mobile because it's running the iOS. Yes, but disagrees. I'm sorry, 0:07:14.760 --> 0:07:17.080 I misunderstood what you're saying. No, no, I'm saying. I'm 0:07:17.080 --> 0:07:19.720 saying Google. Google seems to be agreeing with that strategy 0:07:19.800 --> 0:07:23.960 because they're using Android for the smartphones and for the tablets. 0:07:24.000 --> 0:07:27.320 They're using Chromos for netbooks and and higher up on 0:07:27.360 --> 0:07:30.320 the computer chain. So Google seems to be following suit 0:07:30.520 --> 0:07:33.679 with Apple. They're they're saying, there is this delineation between 0:07:34.000 --> 0:07:37.280 the tablet world and everything below it, and netbooks and 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:41.200 everything above it. So, um, but I do think that 0:07:41.280 --> 0:07:45.000 the Chromos I said that it's I don't think it's 0:07:45.000 --> 0:07:47.200 going to take off, but I do think what it's 0:07:47.200 --> 0:07:49.360 going to do is it's going to push cloud computing 0:07:49.400 --> 0:07:51.720 to that next level where we're going to see even 0:07:51.720 --> 0:07:56.360 more web based services and applications than we already do, 0:07:56.440 --> 0:07:59.400 and it's going to become even more of a commonplace, 0:08:00.200 --> 0:08:05.240 uh practice to use these web based applications, both in 0:08:05.560 --> 0:08:08.560 the home and in business. Yeah. I actually was going 0:08:08.600 --> 0:08:11.560 to make that a one of my my predictions. But 0:08:11.600 --> 0:08:14.440 I think the cloud, the cloud becoming the norm is 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:17.440 already happening. Microsoft is trying to own that. That's your 0:08:17.480 --> 0:08:21.240 current ad campaign that's out right now in December. But pushing, 0:08:21.440 --> 0:08:25.040 pushing something and having people adopted or two different things. Well, 0:08:25.160 --> 0:08:28.960 because we've seen some technologies get pushed that people just said, uh, 0:08:29.080 --> 0:08:31.720 not doing it. Nope, sorry, no, you I know you 0:08:31.760 --> 0:08:34.439 want me to try this, but I'm not gonna Did 0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:38.960 you just hear waves crashing? Yeah? I'm sorry? Stick with Google? Yes? 0:08:39.240 --> 0:08:40.959 Do you have another one? Do you want me to 0:08:41.000 --> 0:08:43.880 go again? Well? You know I just did the what cloud? 0:08:44.000 --> 0:08:45.800 I can do one here, I can cloud base, but 0:08:45.840 --> 0:08:48.240 I'll do another one. Hang on, let's see blah blah 0:08:48.280 --> 0:08:50.880 blah blah blah. Okay, Yeah, we're going to see a 0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:56.480 dramatic increase in cyber war inn This is a this 0:08:56.559 --> 0:08:58.400 is a kind of a gimme, but we're going to 0:08:58.480 --> 0:09:00.679 see more D D O S attack. We're gonna be 0:09:00.760 --> 0:09:05.920 seeing a lot more attacks through information technology than ever before, 0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:11.239 and those attacks are not necessarily going to come from 0:09:11.400 --> 0:09:14.720 quote unquote official sources, like state sponsored sources. We're gonna 0:09:14.760 --> 0:09:17.800 see a lot of vigilante cyber warfare where we're gonna 0:09:17.800 --> 0:09:20.640 see some person who happens to have enough savvy to 0:09:20.880 --> 0:09:23.320 either design and tool or just use a tool, because 0:09:23.320 --> 0:09:24.920 there's some out there that you can just pick up 0:09:24.960 --> 0:09:30.360 and use and and and attack a target on behalf 0:09:30.440 --> 0:09:34.479 of some cause or another. So so you're thinking specifically 0:09:34.520 --> 0:09:37.280 of the example, the recent example of wiki leaks in 0:09:37.320 --> 0:09:40.280 which people who are outraged on one side or the 0:09:40.320 --> 0:09:44.439 other of the argument attacked people other sites that are 0:09:44.480 --> 0:09:47.679 involved with that is the Yeah, it's like it's like 0:09:47.800 --> 0:09:51.680 seeing these private armies being set against targets. They're not fighting. 0:09:51.679 --> 0:09:54.280 The private armies aren't fighting each other, not seeing like 0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:57.360 one botan net square off. Here's another crazy thing. So 0:09:57.400 --> 0:09:59.679 a lot of these d d o S attacks they 0:09:59.679 --> 0:10:04.120 involve boton nets, you know, zombie computers. Right, Well, there's 0:10:04.120 --> 0:10:07.400 nothing stopping the fact. In fact, there's it's quite possible 0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:09.959 that you could have a single victim computer that is 0:10:10.040 --> 0:10:13.400 part of two botton nets and attacking both sides of 0:10:13.440 --> 0:10:17.240 the same issue. So you could have one computer that's 0:10:17.240 --> 0:10:21.839 sending out attacks on both sets of targets. So it's 0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:24.200 like it's like having an army full of mercenaries and 0:10:24.200 --> 0:10:28.920 they're and they're just told, okay, just shoot everywhere. Yeah. 0:10:29.160 --> 0:10:31.319 So that's my next one. That's that's not not a 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:33.520 happy prediction. I hope it's. I hope it's not one 0:10:33.559 --> 0:10:36.960 that necessarily comes to light, but I it's hard for 0:10:37.000 --> 0:10:42.160 me to imagine it otherwise. UM, let's see UM. To 0:10:42.240 --> 0:10:45.320 go with our earlier discussion, I'm going to say that 0:10:46.120 --> 0:10:48.800 is the year of the tablet. Some people might say 0:10:48.840 --> 0:10:51.719 that it was, but I think I don't think it's 0:10:51.760 --> 0:10:54.319 the iPad. I mean, the iPad sort of got the 0:10:54.320 --> 0:10:58.760 ball ruling, but I think when the the Android os 0:10:58.800 --> 0:11:02.920 that really support tablet computing is launched, I think that's 0:11:02.960 --> 0:11:05.920 when it's really gonna hit because then people who don't 0:11:05.920 --> 0:11:09.880 like the iPad for whatever reason, uh, We'll pick up 0:11:09.920 --> 0:11:12.679 an Android tablet and find out that they like it 0:11:12.760 --> 0:11:15.120 for different things. And I think it's possible that the 0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:18.360 iPad may come with new functionality in the next iteration 0:11:18.400 --> 0:11:20.160 to to let you do more things with it. Yeah, 0:11:20.200 --> 0:11:22.720 I think I think it's a fair assessment. Was not 0:11:22.840 --> 0:11:25.400 the year of the tablet. It was the year the iPad. Yeah, 0:11:25.480 --> 0:11:28.000 you know, the iPad was. It was the iPad and 0:11:28.040 --> 0:11:30.720 then a bunch of also rans. I mean, even the 0:11:30.760 --> 0:11:34.240 Samsung Galaxy Tab, which I think was probably at least 0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:40.280 the best publicized UM opponent to the iPad. UM I 0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:43.360 don't think that you could really call it a true 0:11:43.360 --> 0:11:45.960 contender yet, I think we're going to see that mature 0:11:45.960 --> 0:11:49.160 in So I agree with that that prediction, and I 0:11:49.200 --> 0:11:51.600 think it's simply that well. I mean Google has even said, 0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:54.880 you know, the the current version of Android is not 0:11:54.960 --> 0:11:57.240 meant to be run on a tablet. It's meant to 0:11:57.240 --> 0:11:59.760 you run on a smartphone. So I think once that 0:11:59.840 --> 0:12:03.320 happens and it's got a dedicated tablet os, I think 0:12:03.320 --> 0:12:06.200 it's really gonna to change things. And I think lots 0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:09.760 more people will come out with tablets. Um And and 0:12:09.960 --> 0:12:12.800 as a my next prediction is related to that that 0:12:12.960 --> 0:12:15.800 laptop sales are going to start declining as a result 0:12:15.880 --> 0:12:17.719 of of that. And I mean it's already happened, but 0:12:17.720 --> 0:12:20.320 I think it's gonna when when that happens, when the 0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:23.800 which one is a gingerbread, Yeah, yeah, that's supposed to 0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:28.400 be the Honeycomb. Honeycomb that are really tablet friendly. Um, 0:12:28.520 --> 0:12:30.600 I think that's that's you're going to see an actual 0:12:30.679 --> 0:12:32.800 hit in laptop sales. Yeah. I had a I had 0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:35.880 a similar prediction. Mine was that the laptop sales would 0:12:35.880 --> 0:12:40.160 dip slightly, but they wouldn't really be cannibalized totally because 0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.520 I think I think people are just going to realize 0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:44.600 the same thing that that you realized, which is that 0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:47.599 the tablets don't really replace stuff that you have. It 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:50.920 is supplemental. So I think there's still going to be 0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:53.680 a need for things like laptops and computers that have 0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:56.840 more capacity and more capability than your and and just 0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:00.840 an easier form factor for certain tasks than tablets are 0:13:00.880 --> 0:13:03.120 able to give you. No, that doesn't mean that tablets 0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:06.120 are are bad. It just means that for certain tasks, 0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:09.560 netbooks are computers are better. Yeah, And I think that 0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:12.200 could be said for for the desktop. Two. It can 0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:14.480 really be said for any form factor, right, Like, there 0:13:14.480 --> 0:13:18.200 are certain tasks that just work better on certain platforms. 0:13:18.240 --> 0:13:20.480 And that's not a that's not a knock to the 0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:23.120 other platforms. It's just that, you know, it's the way 0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:25.559 it's really the way humans work more than the way 0:13:25.600 --> 0:13:28.679 the technology works. So yeah, I agree with that. Um 0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.320 let's see, Oh, I have one here we go. eBay 0:13:32.240 --> 0:13:38.160 will sell Skype okay, because really I don't know that 0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:41.360 they know what to do with it, and I but 0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:43.080 I think, yeah, I think Skype is going to get 0:13:43.080 --> 0:13:45.880 a new buyer. Then I don't know that it will 0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:49.280 go in an eBay auction. That would be funny though, 0:13:50.080 --> 0:13:54.720 what about what about my Space? Oh that's a good question. Well, 0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:56.520 you know what this is. This is the make or 0:13:56.559 --> 0:13:59.559 break year for it. Yeah, so I think I think 0:13:59.559 --> 0:14:02.160 Fox sell the mind this is a on off the cuff, 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.439 just thought of it prediction. I think Fox will sell it. 0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:08.400 I think I think that's a distinct possibility if my 0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:14.480 Space doesn't get a real influx of users by I'd 0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:18.400 say the by the end of the second quarter. I 0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:20.360 could easily see Fox saying, you know what, we're just 0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:25.720 gonna We're gonna offload this. Yeah, because I mean they 0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:28.720 they've they've made no secret of the fact that this 0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:32.320 is a make or break situation for my Space. Yeah. 0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:34.880 Well that was a good one. Do you have another prediction, 0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:36.920 an official one? Or you did too it once? Should 0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.720 I do another one? Sure? We kind of actually started 0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:41.640 doing that a minute ago, and then yeah, we did 0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:45.640 kind of jump around. Okay, so will be the the 0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:50.960 true battle the test of the four geo? Okay, that 0:14:51.040 --> 0:14:53.320 actually goes with one of mine. So we're we're really 0:14:53.360 --> 0:14:56.840 looking at and it's you can argue whether or not 0:14:56.920 --> 0:14:59.400 these things belong in four G or not. It's I'm 0:14:59.440 --> 0:15:02.160 I'm using at the way the general public uses it. 0:15:03.280 --> 0:15:06.000 But really what we're getting down to is y MAX 0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:09.000 versus l T E, and which which of the two 0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:12.080 standards or which of the two technologies is going to 0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:17.840 really become the next UH foundation for wireless data transmission 0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:24.640 UM I I happen to think that will be l 0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:27.720 T E. Yeah, and i happen to be a y 0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:31.720 max customer, So I'm not happy about this prediction. And 0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:34.000 I could be wrong. Could this could be one of 0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:38.600 those things that just like there is no clear winner, right, Yeah, 0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:41.520 because G S M and C D M A do 0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:44.240 we still have both of those? That's true. Actually we 0:15:44.320 --> 0:15:47.640 uh we've already got the nation's first UH for G 0:15:48.120 --> 0:15:52.760 official for G network, and that's Metro PCs is UM. 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:56.240 Of course, T Mobile rolled out a next gen three 0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:59.080 G what they're calling it. They're calling it four G, 0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:04.320 but it's not four G technology four G speeds, yes, yes, 0:16:04.400 --> 0:16:06.240 they they're calling it for G, but it's it's an 0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:09.920 updated three G and and it actually is faster than 0:16:10.040 --> 0:16:14.600 four G technology at its current generation is confusing. And 0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:16.800 that's and and that's why I see there's so much 0:16:16.880 --> 0:16:19.160 murkiness in there that they can do that. But yeah, 0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:20.880 I think I think really this will come down to 0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:24.000 y Max versus LTE, the really big fight, and we'll 0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:26.960 see maybe maybe there won't be a clear winner, but 0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:29.560 I think there will be someone well in the lead. 0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:32.760 By the end of the year. Verizons on the cusp 0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:36.080 of launching its own for G network and I my 0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:38.480 my prediction, my next prediction, it's related, is that A 0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:41.480 T and T will go ahead and start rolling out 0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:44.480 at SWARD network by the end of next year. It 0:16:44.520 --> 0:16:47.280 may not be in in great capacity, and I've seen 0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:50.560 different numbers. I've seen twelve, I think both when we 0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:53.560 we research it. But um, that was some time ago now, 0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:56.160 and I think there now that everyone else is starting 0:16:56.160 --> 0:16:57.760 to really get on the on the ball, I think 0:16:57.840 --> 0:17:01.520 E T and T will to eighteen. Never mind, Yeah, 0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:07.800 I'm just ignoring that. Uh should I go again? Okay, UM, 0:17:07.880 --> 0:17:09.959 let's see, let me look at I'm looking through my list. 0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:11.679 I've got a bunch of these written down. I'm just 0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:14.679 trying to find feel free to uh to drop a 0:17:14.680 --> 0:17:20.280 couple in there. A new version of the we really 0:17:20.320 --> 0:17:24.640 will be announced at E three or sometime during the year. Yeah, 0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:27.119 I was thinking about gaming stuff and I couldn't really 0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:29.320 see anybody being ready to do that. Do you think 0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:31.159 it's going to be high deaf? Yeah, I think it's 0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:33.040 just gonna be the we high definition. I don't think 0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:35.760 it's gonna be significantly different. Otherwise, I think it's just 0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:37.640 going to be the high definition version of the week. 0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.159 I think that's as close as we are to a 0:17:40.280 --> 0:17:44.760 new console system. I don't I still don't see PS 0:17:44.840 --> 0:17:47.760 three or I don't see the PS four getting announced 0:17:47.880 --> 0:17:51.320 or the next X Plus getting announced. In I said this, 0:17:52.040 --> 0:17:54.080 I'm saying it again for I just don't see it 0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:59.000 because they've just launched these peripherals, which the same reason 0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:01.240 I gave last year with the Move and the connect. 0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:05.640 It just doesn't make sense to abandon that. Although if 0:18:06.040 --> 0:18:09.760 both companies pursued it the way play Station Sony did 0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:13.399 with the PlayStation three in PlayStation two, it could I 0:18:13.400 --> 0:18:16.040 could then see maybe a new device coming out if 0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.159 they if if the company said they would continue to 0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:22.680 support the current generation, because I mean Xbox Microsoft did 0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:25.200 not do that. Once they went Xbox three sixty, that 0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:27.840 was the end of the Xbox really more or less, 0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:30.840 whereas Sony was No, we'll keep making games for the 0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:36.320 PlayStation two. You know, it's a really popular platform. So okay, 0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:37.720 you want me to do another one, or you want 0:18:37.800 --> 0:18:41.239 or you I've got a pair together, hit me with 0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:44.760 your best shot. Okay. I think Spotify is actually going 0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:47.040 to show up on the United in the United States, Well, 0:18:47.760 --> 0:18:50.320 I don't think that at all, but all right, cool, 0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:52.520 that's one that we can There will definitely be a 0:18:52.520 --> 0:18:56.920 winner at the end of the year. Yes, I'm sorry. 0:18:57.280 --> 0:18:59.679 So you think Spotify is going to resolve the issues 0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:03.000 that are currently preventing it from coming over to the US. Yes, 0:19:03.280 --> 0:19:05.439 And by issues, I mean they're going to lots of 0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:09.280 legal ramifications, make all these agreements licensing agreements with the 0:19:09.320 --> 0:19:12.720 various music companies in order to be able to stream 0:19:12.760 --> 0:19:15.359 the music here in the US. Yes, but it may 0:19:15.440 --> 0:19:18.800 not necessarily matter. They've they've already got great competition in 0:19:18.840 --> 0:19:22.679 the United States from UH companies like rdio and some 0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:25.560 of the others. That's so much stuff already, all the 0:19:25.600 --> 0:19:30.000 streaming music products like last FM and Pandora and groove 0:19:30.000 --> 0:19:32.199 Shark and all that kind of stuff. But I have 0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:34.080 to say, I think there will be another new competitor, 0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:38.639 and again this is one that is probably clued in 0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:42.480 more than anything else. But I think the new streaming 0:19:43.560 --> 0:19:49.160 Apple Store will be online. Okay, so this prediction of yours, 0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:51.199 so you're gonna stick with it, I'm sticking with it. Well, 0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:53.040 there's we know that they're building a data center in 0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:56.399 North Carolina. Yes, um, I don't. I think that's just 0:19:56.480 --> 0:20:02.200 so that they can do a tar Heels app. That's okay, 0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:04.639 I you know, And I was thinking about this on 0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:06.320 the way of the office because I was doing this 0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:08.080 on the way in, and I thought, well, I think 0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:10.400 that's a safe bet. Now, I was wondering if I'll 0:20:10.440 --> 0:20:12.359 ask you this. I'm not predicting this, but I'll ask you, 0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:15.920 do you think there might be a streaming video component 0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:18.480 to this too? We think they'll they'll jump in the 0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:22.960 fray with Netflix and some of the others. It's I mean, 0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:26.119 the if they've got all that, they've they've pushed Apple 0:20:26.160 --> 0:20:29.000 TV pretty hard, but Google, but it's still hard to 0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:31.280 it's still hard to. Um, I don't know, it's still 0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:35.040 hard to find Apple TV a truly compelling product when 0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:38.240 there are other competing products on the market that have 0:20:38.359 --> 0:20:42.040 a little more versatility. It all depends on how dependent 0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:44.480 you are on iTunes. Right. If you're a heavy iTunes user, 0:20:44.480 --> 0:20:47.159 then the Apple TV is a great product. If you 0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:51.040 just casually use iTunes, but you rely heavily on others services, 0:20:51.080 --> 0:20:54.040 then you may want to look at some other solution 0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:57.320 to that. Um, all right, well, okay, so you say 0:20:57.320 --> 0:21:00.680 Spotify is definitely coming, I say Spotify not. You say 0:21:00.720 --> 0:21:03.919 that Apple will launch its streaming music service. Uh? Do 0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:05.760 I want to come down on that one one way 0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:08.520 or the other? Um? What the heck? I'll stick stick 0:21:08.520 --> 0:21:09.960 my neck out on this one too, and this way 0:21:10.000 --> 0:21:12.440 we'll we'll definitely have a winner and a loser. I 0:21:12.480 --> 0:21:14.840 will say that they will not come out with a 0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:19.880 streaming music service in although, although if September rolls around 0:21:19.920 --> 0:21:24.280 and they don't, uh, then we know, right, Like, if 0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:26.680 September comes and goes and there's no announcement about a 0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:28.760 streaming music service, then I think that's pretty much the 0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:31.760 nail in the coffin. Yeah, you know what I now 0:21:31.760 --> 0:21:33.360 that I think about it, I think this is why 0:21:33.640 --> 0:21:36.359 tech people do predictions. It is because this time of 0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:40.400 ye're so slow in tech, right, right, once you get 0:21:40.480 --> 0:21:42.800 once you get past Black Friday. Then it's it's slow 0:21:42.880 --> 0:21:45.199 until you hit c e S or or if you 0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:47.520 do have tech news, you're under embargo and you can't 0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:50.960 talk about until January. So, um, so that's good. What 0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:52.000 do you think? What are you going to see at 0:21:52.000 --> 0:21:56.480