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Speaker 1: Brought to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve Camray.

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Speaker 1: It's ready. Are you get in touch with technology? With

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Speaker 1: text style from how stuff works dot com. Hello again, everyone,

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Speaker 1: welcome to text stuff. My name is Chris Polette and

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Speaker 1: I'm an editor here at how stuff works dot com.

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Speaker 1: Sitting in crush from a senior writer, Jonathan Strickland, Mr Marks,

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Speaker 1: by mandate of the District of Columbia pre Crime Division,

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Speaker 1: I'm placing you under arrest for the future murder of

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Speaker 1: Sarah Marks and Donald Dubin that was to take place

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Speaker 1: today April two hours and four minutes. I think you'd

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Speaker 1: probably understand where that one came from. Oh, I know

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Speaker 1: exactly where that one. Okay, we've actually seen that one. Hey,

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Speaker 1: what do you know? What do you know? Who would

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Speaker 1: have Guessedabes and Toiland? So we're going to talk about it,

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Speaker 1: not from that, although that would have been awesome. Deleted

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Speaker 1: scene from Babes and Toiland. I don't remember a pre

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Speaker 1: Crime Division um to day. We're going to do this

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Speaker 1: is this is both a blessing and a curse for

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Speaker 1: technology journalists everywhere. We're going to do our predictions episode

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Speaker 1: for the Technology Stories of twenty eleven. I remember when

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Speaker 1: we did that episode with Tom Merriden Veronica Belmont. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: where we talked about talked about what they like about

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Speaker 1: UM tech journalism and Tom's face when you actually y'all

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Speaker 1: couldn't see that, but his the look on his face

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Speaker 1: when we mentioned when Jonathan mentioned predictions and yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's one of those things that that we're expected to do.

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Speaker 1: The worst thing is that we brought it on ourselves. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: No one told us that we had to do a

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Speaker 1: predictions episode, and then we did. And now we're kind

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Speaker 1: of stuck because it's a tradition already. Well, it's fun,

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Speaker 1: but it kind of stinks because it's so in tech.

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Speaker 1: It's so easy to be wrong. Yes, as we have

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Speaker 1: proven time and time again. So with that being said,

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Speaker 1: Mr Pallette, will you please grace us with your first

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Speaker 1: prediction for the Tech of twenty That was just lovely

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Speaker 1: My favorite, my favorites of the ones that look like

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Speaker 1: they're going to happen and then swerve and then may

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Speaker 1: that may actually happen with this one. UM, you know

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Speaker 1: how uh live Nets and Newton were both sort of

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Speaker 1: working on calculus at the same time, UM, and of

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Speaker 1: course everyone thinks of Newton when they think of calculus,

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Speaker 1: or they think of stabbing their calculus teacher. Anyway, I

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Speaker 1: came up with this one several weeks ago, and now

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Speaker 1: everywhere on all the sites that have tech predictions, they've

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Speaker 1: all predicted it too. But I thought of it on

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Speaker 1: my own before I saw that the iPads getting a

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Speaker 1: camera next year. Actually, and in the last few days, yeah,

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Speaker 1: and in the last few days. Um so we don't

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Speaker 1: We don't have to give me credit for that one,

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Speaker 1: because other people have said it too, if you don't

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Speaker 1: want to. But um, I've seen reports in the last

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Speaker 1: few days, on the day we've recorded this in early

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Speaker 1: ish December, that they're actually manufacturing the next version of

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Speaker 1: the iPad, will have them ready to go as soon

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Speaker 1: as February, so that may happen really quickly if they

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Speaker 1: announced it before the end of twenty ten. Do I

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Speaker 1: get credit for it anyway? Um so, yeah, I think.

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Speaker 1: But I think it will have one camera forward facing,

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Speaker 1: uh so that you can use face time with it.

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Speaker 1: Um And I don't know what else is going to

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Speaker 1: be in there, probably a faster processor. But I've been

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Speaker 1: predicting for for a while now that the iPad will

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Speaker 1: get a camera in it's next generation, and that's next year.

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Speaker 1: So there I said it. The real question is will

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Speaker 1: will there be a dedicated mute button that only mutes

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Speaker 1: the system sounds and nothing else. I would really like

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Speaker 1: that because I liked the the having the screen lock,

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Speaker 1: and now that I don't have it anymore, I really

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Speaker 1: miss it. Yeah, yeah, that was that's that's been a

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Speaker 1: Molly Wood have seen it. She's been been screaming about thee.

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Speaker 1: She does not like that at all the fact that

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Speaker 1: that's that feature is gone. All right, So here's my

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Speaker 1: and I'll still an Apple. Uh. Here's here's my big one.

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Speaker 1: The iPhone will move to Verizon, but not till really. Yes,

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Speaker 1: but the announcement that the iPhone will come to Verizon

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Speaker 1: will happen sometime in but it won't actually make the

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Speaker 1: move till That's funny. I was going to predict that

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Speaker 1: it was going to head Verizon, uh, to coincide with

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Speaker 1: its release of the four G network. I think that

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Speaker 1: it will wait a little longer. First of all, I

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Speaker 1: think it will wait because Apple does not adopt new

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Speaker 1: technology in their devices right off the bat. If you

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Speaker 1: remember it took they waited a generation before they added

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Speaker 1: three G to the iPhone, despite the fact that there

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Speaker 1: were three G networks. And part of that I think

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Speaker 1: was because Jobs has this this belief that he wants

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Speaker 1: his products to be absolutely the best they can be,

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Speaker 1: and he doesn't want to just jump onto a new

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Speaker 1: technology as soon as it's available. He'd rather wait and

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Speaker 1: make sure that it's a proven one before adopting it.

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Speaker 1: But another reason is because we've heard heard through various

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Speaker 1: sources over the years that A T and T and

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Speaker 1: Apple signed an exclusivity agreement that would last around five years.

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Speaker 1: And that was back in two thousand seven and two

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Speaker 1: thousand seven plus five dozen in equal eleven. Yes, but

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Speaker 1: but it hasn't been said for sure, but it's been

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Speaker 1: people that it's been hinted at by various sources. So

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Speaker 1: I'm taking that at face value and suggesting that the again,

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Speaker 1: it will come to Verizon, but we'll hear about it

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Speaker 1: next year. Okay. Um. My next one actually relates to Google,

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Speaker 1: and in the days actually right as we were recording this,

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Speaker 1: Google's Chromos launched officially. Yes, uh, and I think and

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Speaker 1: I think that it will underwhelm and it's acceptance in

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Speaker 1: in in that a Google product will underwhelm is also

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Speaker 1: a pretty safe that's true, I don't. I think. I

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Speaker 1: think it's the form factor. I think if the Chromos

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Speaker 1: was on a tablet, then it might. But that's a

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Speaker 1: that's a later prediction. I'm coming back to that. But

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Speaker 1: I think the netbook market right now is kind of

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Speaker 1: sort of stagnant. I think Google is really taking the

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Speaker 1: same sort of general approach that Apple is taking in

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Speaker 1: a way, right because Apple has two main operating systems,

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Speaker 1: mac os and iOS. The iOS is for their mobile devices,

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Speaker 1: which is everything from their smartphones and iPod h line

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Speaker 1: to the tap iPad the tablets, so but it doesn't

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Speaker 1: include notebooks. Their notebooks are considered computers, not mobile. So uh.

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Speaker 1: Even though people might say, well, a netbook is really

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Speaker 1: a mobile device, Apple would disagree. First of all, they

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Speaker 1: don't do netbooks. But even the Mac Air, which is

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Speaker 1: probably you know, the lightest of their devices, although it's

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Speaker 1: not not priced like a netbook, is um it runs

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Speaker 1: the mac os, does run iOS well. Mark Zuckerberg agrees,

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Speaker 1: of course, he doesn't think that the iPad is um

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Speaker 1: uh well no Apple Apples. Apple essentially says the iPads

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Speaker 1: mobile because it's running the iOS. Yes, but disagrees. I'm sorry,

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Speaker 1: I misunderstood what you're saying. No, no, I'm saying. I'm

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Speaker 1: saying Google. Google seems to be agreeing with that strategy

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Speaker 1: because they're using Android for the smartphones and for the tablets.

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Speaker 1: They're using Chromos for netbooks and and higher up on

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Speaker 1: the computer chain. So Google seems to be following suit

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Speaker 1: with Apple. They're they're saying, there is this delineation between

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Speaker 1: the tablet world and everything below it, and netbooks and

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Speaker 1: everything above it. So, um, but I do think that

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Speaker 1: the Chromos I said that it's I don't think it's

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Speaker 1: going to take off, but I do think what it's

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Speaker 1: going to do is it's going to push cloud computing

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Speaker 1: to that next level where we're going to see even

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Speaker 1: more web based services and applications than we already do,

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Speaker 1: and it's going to become even more of a commonplace,

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Speaker 1: uh practice to use these web based applications, both in

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Speaker 1: the home and in business. Yeah. I actually was going

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Speaker 1: to make that a one of my my predictions. But

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Speaker 1: I think the cloud, the cloud becoming the norm is

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Speaker 1: already happening. Microsoft is trying to own that. That's your

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Speaker 1: current ad campaign that's out right now in December. But pushing,

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Speaker 1: pushing something and having people adopted or two different things. Well,

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Speaker 1: because we've seen some technologies get pushed that people just said, uh,

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Speaker 1: not doing it. Nope, sorry, no, you I know you

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Speaker 1: want me to try this, but I'm not gonna Did

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Speaker 1: you just hear waves crashing? Yeah? I'm sorry? Stick with Google? Yes?

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Speaker 1: Do you have another one? Do you want me to

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Speaker 1: go again? Well? You know I just did the what cloud?

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Speaker 1: I can do one here, I can cloud base, but

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Speaker 1: I'll do another one. Hang on, let's see blah blah

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Speaker 1: blah blah blah. Okay, Yeah, we're going to see a

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Speaker 1: dramatic increase in cyber war inn This is a this

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Speaker 1: is a kind of a gimme, but we're going to

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Speaker 1: see more D D O S attack. We're gonna be

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Speaker 1: seeing a lot more attacks through information technology than ever before,

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Speaker 1: and those attacks are not necessarily going to come from

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Speaker 1: quote unquote official sources, like state sponsored sources. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: see a lot of vigilante cyber warfare where we're gonna

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Speaker 1: see some person who happens to have enough savvy to

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Speaker 1: either design and tool or just use a tool, because

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Speaker 1: there's some out there that you can just pick up

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Speaker 1: and use and and and attack a target on behalf

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Speaker 1: of some cause or another. So so you're thinking specifically

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Speaker 1: of the example, the recent example of wiki leaks in

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Speaker 1: which people who are outraged on one side or the

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Speaker 1: other of the argument attacked people other sites that are

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Speaker 1: involved with that is the Yeah, it's like it's like

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Speaker 1: seeing these private armies being set against targets. They're not fighting.

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Speaker 1: The private armies aren't fighting each other, not seeing like

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Speaker 1: one botan net square off. Here's another crazy thing. So

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Speaker 1: a lot of these d d o S attacks they

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Speaker 1: involve boton nets, you know, zombie computers. Right, Well, there's

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Speaker 1: nothing stopping the fact. In fact, there's it's quite possible

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Speaker 1: that you could have a single victim computer that is

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Speaker 1: part of two botton nets and attacking both sides of

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Speaker 1: the same issue. So you could have one computer that's

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Speaker 1: sending out attacks on both sets of targets. So it's

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Speaker 1: like it's like having an army full of mercenaries and

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Speaker 1: they're and they're just told, okay, just shoot everywhere. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So that's my next one. That's that's not not a

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Speaker 1: happy prediction. I hope it's. I hope it's not one

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Speaker 1: that necessarily comes to light, but I it's hard for

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Speaker 1: me to imagine it otherwise. UM, let's see UM. To

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Speaker 1: go with our earlier discussion, I'm going to say that

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Speaker 1: is the year of the tablet. Some people might say

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Speaker 1: that it was, but I think I don't think it's

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Speaker 1: the iPad. I mean, the iPad sort of got the

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Speaker 1: ball ruling, but I think when the the Android os

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Speaker 1: that really support tablet computing is launched, I think that's

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Speaker 1: when it's really gonna hit because then people who don't

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Speaker 1: like the iPad for whatever reason, uh, We'll pick up

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Speaker 1: an Android tablet and find out that they like it

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Speaker 1: for different things. And I think it's possible that the

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Speaker 1: iPad may come with new functionality in the next iteration

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Speaker 1: to to let you do more things with it. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think I think it's a fair assessment. Was not

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Speaker 1: the year of the tablet. It was the year the iPad. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know, the iPad was. It was the iPad and

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Speaker 1: then a bunch of also rans. I mean, even the

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Speaker 1: Samsung Galaxy Tab, which I think was probably at least

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Speaker 1: the best publicized UM opponent to the iPad. UM I

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Speaker 1: don't think that you could really call it a true

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Speaker 1: contender yet, I think we're going to see that mature

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Speaker 1: in So I agree with that that prediction, and I

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Speaker 1: think it's simply that well. I mean Google has even said,

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Speaker 1: you know, the the current version of Android is not

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Speaker 1: meant to be run on a tablet. It's meant to

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Speaker 1: you run on a smartphone. So I think once that

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Speaker 1: happens and it's got a dedicated tablet os, I think

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Speaker 1: it's really gonna to change things. And I think lots

215
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Speaker 1: more people will come out with tablets. Um And and

216
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Speaker 1: as a my next prediction is related to that that

217
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Speaker 1: laptop sales are going to start declining as a result

218
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Speaker 1: of of that. And I mean it's already happened, but

219
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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna when when that happens, when the

220
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Speaker 1: which one is a gingerbread, Yeah, yeah, that's supposed to

221
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Speaker 1: be the Honeycomb. Honeycomb that are really tablet friendly. Um,

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Speaker 1: I think that's that's you're going to see an actual

223
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Speaker 1: hit in laptop sales. Yeah. I had a I had

224
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Speaker 1: a similar prediction. Mine was that the laptop sales would

225
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Speaker 1: dip slightly, but they wouldn't really be cannibalized totally because

226
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Speaker 1: I think I think people are just going to realize

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Speaker 1: the same thing that that you realized, which is that

228
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Speaker 1: the tablets don't really replace stuff that you have. It

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Speaker 1: is supplemental. So I think there's still going to be

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Speaker 1: a need for things like laptops and computers that have

231
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Speaker 1: more capacity and more capability than your and and just

232
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Speaker 1: an easier form factor for certain tasks than tablets are

233
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Speaker 1: able to give you. No, that doesn't mean that tablets

234
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Speaker 1: are are bad. It just means that for certain tasks,

235
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Speaker 1: netbooks are computers are better. Yeah, And I think that

236
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Speaker 1: could be said for for the desktop. Two. It can

237
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Speaker 1: really be said for any form factor, right, Like, there

238
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Speaker 1: are certain tasks that just work better on certain platforms.

239
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Speaker 1: And that's not a that's not a knock to the

240
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Speaker 1: other platforms. It's just that, you know, it's the way

241
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Speaker 1: it's really the way humans work more than the way

242
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Speaker 1: the technology works. So yeah, I agree with that. Um

243
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Speaker 1: let's see, Oh, I have one here we go. eBay

244
00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:38,160
Speaker 1: will sell Skype okay, because really I don't know that

245
00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:41,360
Speaker 1: they know what to do with it, and I but

246
00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:43,080
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I think Skype is going to get

247
00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:45,880
Speaker 1: a new buyer. Then I don't know that it will

248
00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:49,280
Speaker 1: go in an eBay auction. That would be funny though,

249
00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:54,720
Speaker 1: what about what about my Space? Oh that's a good question. Well,

250
00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:56,520
Speaker 1: you know what this is. This is the make or

251
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Speaker 1: break year for it. Yeah, so I think I think

252
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Speaker 1: Fox sell the mind this is a on off the cuff,

253
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Speaker 1: just thought of it prediction. I think Fox will sell it.

254
00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:08,400
Speaker 1: I think I think that's a distinct possibility if my

255
00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:14,480
Speaker 1: Space doesn't get a real influx of users by I'd

256
00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:18,400
Speaker 1: say the by the end of the second quarter. I

257
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Speaker 1: could easily see Fox saying, you know what, we're just

258
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Speaker 1: gonna We're gonna offload this. Yeah, because I mean they

259
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Speaker 1: they've they've made no secret of the fact that this

260
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Speaker 1: is a make or break situation for my Space. Yeah.

261
00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:34,880
Speaker 1: Well that was a good one. Do you have another prediction,

262
00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:36,920
Speaker 1: an official one? Or you did too it once? Should

263
00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:39,720
Speaker 1: I do another one? Sure? We kind of actually started

264
00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:41,640
Speaker 1: doing that a minute ago, and then yeah, we did

265
00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:45,640
Speaker 1: kind of jump around. Okay, so will be the the

266
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Speaker 1: true battle the test of the four geo? Okay, that

267
00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:53,320
Speaker 1: actually goes with one of mine. So we're we're really

268
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,840
Speaker 1: looking at and it's you can argue whether or not

269
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Speaker 1: these things belong in four G or not. It's I'm

270
00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:02,160
Speaker 1: I'm using at the way the general public uses it.

271
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Speaker 1: But really what we're getting down to is y MAX

272
00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:09,000
Speaker 1: versus l T E, and which which of the two

273
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Speaker 1: standards or which of the two technologies is going to

274
00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:17,840
Speaker 1: really become the next UH foundation for wireless data transmission

275
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Speaker 1: UM I I happen to think that will be l

276
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Speaker 1: T E. Yeah, and i happen to be a y

277
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Speaker 1: max customer, So I'm not happy about this prediction. And

278
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Speaker 1: I could be wrong. Could this could be one of

279
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Speaker 1: those things that just like there is no clear winner, right, Yeah,

280
00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,520
Speaker 1: because G S M and C D M A do

281
00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:44,240
Speaker 1: we still have both of those? That's true. Actually we

282
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Speaker 1: uh we've already got the nation's first UH for G

283
00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:52,760
Speaker 1: official for G network, and that's Metro PCs is UM.

284
00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:56,240
Speaker 1: Of course, T Mobile rolled out a next gen three

285
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Speaker 1: G what they're calling it. They're calling it four G,

286
00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:04,320
Speaker 1: but it's not four G technology four G speeds, yes, yes,

287
00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:06,240
Speaker 1: they they're calling it for G, but it's it's an

288
00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,920
Speaker 1: updated three G and and it actually is faster than

289
00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:14,600
Speaker 1: four G technology at its current generation is confusing. And

290
00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:16,800
Speaker 1: that's and and that's why I see there's so much

291
00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:19,160
Speaker 1: murkiness in there that they can do that. But yeah,

292
00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:20,880
Speaker 1: I think I think really this will come down to

293
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:24,000
Speaker 1: y Max versus LTE, the really big fight, and we'll

294
00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,960
Speaker 1: see maybe maybe there won't be a clear winner, but

295
00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:29,560
Speaker 1: I think there will be someone well in the lead.

296
00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:32,760
Speaker 1: By the end of the year. Verizons on the cusp

297
00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:36,080
Speaker 1: of launching its own for G network and I my

298
00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,480
Speaker 1: my prediction, my next prediction, it's related, is that A

299
00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:41,480
Speaker 1: T and T will go ahead and start rolling out

300
00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:44,480
Speaker 1: at SWARD network by the end of next year. It

301
00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:47,280
Speaker 1: may not be in in great capacity, and I've seen

302
00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:50,560
Speaker 1: different numbers. I've seen twelve, I think both when we

303
00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,560
Speaker 1: we research it. But um, that was some time ago now,

304
00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,160
Speaker 1: and I think there now that everyone else is starting

305
00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:57,760
Speaker 1: to really get on the on the ball, I think

306
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,520
Speaker 1: E T and T will to eighteen. Never mind, Yeah,

307
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:07,800
Speaker 1: I'm just ignoring that. Uh should I go again? Okay, UM,

308
00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:09,959
Speaker 1: let's see, let me look at I'm looking through my list.

309
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:11,679
Speaker 1: I've got a bunch of these written down. I'm just

310
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:14,679
Speaker 1: trying to find feel free to uh to drop a

311
00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:20,280
Speaker 1: couple in there. A new version of the we really

312
00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:24,640
Speaker 1: will be announced at E three or sometime during the year. Yeah,

313
00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:27,119
Speaker 1: I was thinking about gaming stuff and I couldn't really

314
00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:29,320
Speaker 1: see anybody being ready to do that. Do you think

315
00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:31,159
Speaker 1: it's going to be high deaf? Yeah, I think it's

316
00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:33,040
Speaker 1: just gonna be the we high definition. I don't think

317
00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:35,760
Speaker 1: it's gonna be significantly different. Otherwise, I think it's just

318
00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:37,640
Speaker 1: going to be the high definition version of the week.

319
00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:40,159
Speaker 1: I think that's as close as we are to a

320
00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:44,760
Speaker 1: new console system. I don't I still don't see PS

321
00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,760
Speaker 1: three or I don't see the PS four getting announced

322
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:51,320
Speaker 1: or the next X Plus getting announced. In I said this,

323
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:54,080
Speaker 1: I'm saying it again for I just don't see it

324
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 1: because they've just launched these peripherals, which the same reason

325
00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:01,240
Speaker 1: I gave last year with the Move and the connect.

326
00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:05,640
Speaker 1: It just doesn't make sense to abandon that. Although if

327
00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 1: both companies pursued it the way play Station Sony did

328
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 1: with the PlayStation three in PlayStation two, it could I

329
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,040
Speaker 1: could then see maybe a new device coming out if

330
00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,159
Speaker 1: they if if the company said they would continue to

331
00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:22,680
Speaker 1: support the current generation, because I mean Xbox Microsoft did

332
00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:25,200
Speaker 1: not do that. Once they went Xbox three sixty, that

333
00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:27,840
Speaker 1: was the end of the Xbox really more or less,

334
00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:30,840
Speaker 1: whereas Sony was No, we'll keep making games for the

335
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:36,320
Speaker 1: PlayStation two. You know, it's a really popular platform. So okay,

336
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:37,720
Speaker 1: you want me to do another one, or you want

337
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:41,239
Speaker 1: or you I've got a pair together, hit me with

338
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,760
Speaker 1: your best shot. Okay. I think Spotify is actually going

339
00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 1: to show up on the United in the United States, Well,

340
00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:50,320
Speaker 1: I don't think that at all, but all right, cool,

341
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:52,520
Speaker 1: that's one that we can There will definitely be a

342
00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:56,920
Speaker 1: winner at the end of the year. Yes, I'm sorry.

343
00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:59,679
Speaker 1: So you think Spotify is going to resolve the issues

344
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:03,000
Speaker 1: that are currently preventing it from coming over to the US. Yes,

345
00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:05,439
Speaker 1: And by issues, I mean they're going to lots of

346
00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:09,280
Speaker 1: legal ramifications, make all these agreements licensing agreements with the

347
00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:12,720
Speaker 1: various music companies in order to be able to stream

348
00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,359
Speaker 1: the music here in the US. Yes, but it may

349
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 1: not necessarily matter. They've they've already got great competition in

350
00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:22,679
Speaker 1: the United States from UH companies like rdio and some

351
00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:25,560
Speaker 1: of the others. That's so much stuff already, all the

352
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:30,000
Speaker 1: streaming music products like last FM and Pandora and groove

353
00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:32,199
Speaker 1: Shark and all that kind of stuff. But I have

354
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,080
Speaker 1: to say, I think there will be another new competitor,

355
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:38,639
Speaker 1: and again this is one that is probably clued in

356
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 1: more than anything else. But I think the new streaming

357
00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:49,160
Speaker 1: Apple Store will be online. Okay, so this prediction of yours,

358
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:51,199
Speaker 1: so you're gonna stick with it, I'm sticking with it. Well,

359
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 1: there's we know that they're building a data center in

360
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:56,399
Speaker 1: North Carolina. Yes, um, I don't. I think that's just

361
00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:02,200
Speaker 1: so that they can do a tar Heels app. That's okay,

362
00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:04,639
Speaker 1: I you know, And I was thinking about this on

363
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 1: the way of the office because I was doing this

364
00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 1: on the way in, and I thought, well, I think

365
00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,400
Speaker 1: that's a safe bet. Now, I was wondering if I'll

366
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,359
Speaker 1: ask you this. I'm not predicting this, but I'll ask you,

367
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:15,920
Speaker 1: do you think there might be a streaming video component

368
00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:18,480
Speaker 1: to this too? We think they'll they'll jump in the

369
00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:22,960
Speaker 1: fray with Netflix and some of the others. It's I mean,

370
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 1: the if they've got all that, they've they've pushed Apple

371
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 1: TV pretty hard, but Google, but it's still hard to

372
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 1: it's still hard to. Um, I don't know, it's still

373
00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 1: hard to find Apple TV a truly compelling product when

374
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,240
Speaker 1: there are other competing products on the market that have

375
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 1: a little more versatility. It all depends on how dependent

376
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,480
Speaker 1: you are on iTunes. Right. If you're a heavy iTunes user,

377
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,159
Speaker 1: then the Apple TV is a great product. If you

378
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 1: just casually use iTunes, but you rely heavily on others services,

379
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:54,040
Speaker 1: then you may want to look at some other solution

380
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 1: to that. Um, all right, well, okay, so you say

381
00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,680
Speaker 1: Spotify is definitely coming, I say Spotify not. You say

382
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,919
Speaker 1: that Apple will launch its streaming music service. Uh? Do

383
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:05,760
Speaker 1: I want to come down on that one one way

384
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 1: or the other? Um? What the heck? I'll stick stick

385
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:09,960
Speaker 1: my neck out on this one too, and this way

386
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,440
Speaker 1: we'll we'll definitely have a winner and a loser. I

387
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 1: will say that they will not come out with a

388
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:19,880
Speaker 1: streaming music service in although, although if September rolls around

389
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 1: and they don't, uh, then we know, right, Like, if

390
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,680
Speaker 1: September comes and goes and there's no announcement about a

391
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,760
Speaker 1: streaming music service, then I think that's pretty much the

392
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 1: nail in the coffin. Yeah, you know what I now

393
00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:33,360
Speaker 1: that I think about it, I think this is why

394
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 1: tech people do predictions. It is because this time of

395
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:40,400
Speaker 1: ye're so slow in tech, right, right, once you get

396
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:42,800
Speaker 1: once you get past Black Friday. Then it's it's slow

397
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,199
Speaker 1: until you hit c e S or or if you

398
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:47,520
Speaker 1: do have tech news, you're under embargo and you can't

399
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 1: talk about until January. So, um, so that's good. What

400
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 1: do you think? What are you going to see at

401
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 1: c S? What are your predictions? Cheese? I figured you

402
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 1: had something, Well, I assume you know it'll be a

403
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,359
Speaker 1: lot of It'll be a lot to three D technology. Again,

404
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 1: it's gonna be huge. It's gonna be even beyond last year.

405
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,080
Speaker 1: And last year was big. I mean that's when we

406
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 1: started seeing the second tier television companies producing three D TVs.

407
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 1: Will also see that for displays, We'll see it for

408
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 1: gaming devices. It's just gonna be one of those things

409
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 1: where I think more companies are going to get on

410
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 1: board with that technology to try and push it, which, uh,

411
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 1: that would surprise me if I don't see that. Um.

412
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,760
Speaker 1: Apart from that, let's see, Uh, there's gonna be I

413
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 1: think I think we'll price see again more technology that

414
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:38,359
Speaker 1: involves uh like why gig technology where we see devices

415
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:43,200
Speaker 1: streaming UM data to one another without wires. So we're

416
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,680
Speaker 1: talking about I made this prediction in twenty ten that

417
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 1: we would see this in the market, and we never

418
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 1: really did. But this would be things like your DVD

419
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 1: player or Blu ray player being able to connect wirelessly

420
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 1: to your TV so you don't have to have a cable.

421
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 1: You can actually keep everything out of sight and uh,

422
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 1: you know with a with a UM radio frequency remote control,

423
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 1: you wouldn't even need a line of sight with your

424
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 1: remote to change stuff. Kind of awesome. So I think

425
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 1: that will be there. Um it's it's the green technology

426
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,120
Speaker 1: will still be big. Although one of my predictions actually,

427
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 1: I think the green technology bubble bursts in Yeah. I

428
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,440
Speaker 1: think what's gonna happen is we're going to see investments

429
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,199
Speaker 1: in green technology companies, especially the ones that have the

430
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 1: flashier green tech. I think we're gonna see that kind

431
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 1: of drop out a little bit. Inn It's not gonna

432
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,400
Speaker 1: mean that green technology is going away. It's not gonna

433
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,800
Speaker 1: mean that people are no longer concerned about the environment.

434
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 1: I think it means that we refocus our our perspective

435
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 1: on green technology and we look at very specific applications

436
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 1: like increasing energy efficiency. I think that will become the

437
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,159
Speaker 1: big thing in green tech in twenty eleven is increase

438
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:59,679
Speaker 1: efficiency with existing technology or improved versions of existing technology

439
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 1: as opposed to look at this new device that will

440
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 1: convert your foot you know, foot traffic into electricity. I

441
00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 1: don't think that's going to be as big as here's

442
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 1: a battery that will last longer, or you know, here

443
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 1: are solar panels that will have a greater efficiency in

444
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 1: converting solar energy into electricity. That's where I think it's

445
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,480
Speaker 1: gonna be. Yeah, and this one, Um, I have a

446
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 1: related prediction, but I'm not sure if we're going to

447
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,440
Speaker 1: be able to if it's going to be noticeable enough

448
00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 1: for us to make a call on it without doing

449
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 1: some heavy research. Um, so you know we can count.

450
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,439
Speaker 1: This is not a prediction if you want, but I

451
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:39,480
Speaker 1: think there will be more investment R and d uh

452
00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:44,040
Speaker 1: into alternatives to using rare earth metals. That makes sense

453
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 1: because I've already seen that people are thinking about other

454
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:48,639
Speaker 1: kinds of metals that can use and a lot of

455
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 1: that's used in green tech. There's a lot of rare

456
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 1: stuff in uh wind power. Um, what was it nearly

457
00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 1: a ton in every turbine something like that like that,

458
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:01,640
Speaker 1: it would Yeah, if you guys listen to our Rare

459
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 1: Earth Metals podcast, then you remember that the real problem

460
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 1: here is that most almost all of the rare earth

461
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 1: metals come out of China, and so if China has

462
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:15,160
Speaker 1: a project, for example, building lots and lots and lots

463
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:17,840
Speaker 1: of wind turbines, which they plan to do, that could

464
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,959
Speaker 1: mean that they are going to have to keep all

465
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 1: those rare earth metals for their own project, which means

466
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,919
Speaker 1: our supply gets cut off. So the alternatives are you

467
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:32,600
Speaker 1: either find a different way of of achieving your goals

468
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:35,440
Speaker 1: and using stuff other than rare earth metals, or you

469
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 1: start opening up rare earth metal minds in other locations.

470
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:44,159
Speaker 1: But as people have found out, that ain't cheap, at

471
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 1: least not as cheap as it's done in China. Right,

472
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,320
Speaker 1: So that's a good one. How about here, here's one

473
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:56,120
Speaker 1: that's very specific. Light Peak debuts in Yeah, and and

474
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:59,479
Speaker 1: then we start to really see it's kind of similar

475
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:01,359
Speaker 1: to the battle but between lt E and y Max.

476
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,800
Speaker 1: We see the battle between light Peak and USB three

477
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 1: point oh and uh. And some would say that Intel

478
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 1: has dragged its feet in incorporating USB technology into its

479
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 1: chip sets, specifically in order to give light Peak a

480
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 1: an advantage. I don't you know. Granted, that's an allegation.

481
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: I don't have really an opinion on that one way

482
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 1: or the other. But um, I will say that I'm

483
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 1: looking into the light peak technology. Uh, this is again

484
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: another data transmission technology where you're you're transferring data from

485
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:41,080
Speaker 1: one device to another. Um, it's it. It's amazingly fast.

486
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 1: I mean it's it's so fast that it's hard for

487
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 1: me to wrap my mind around it because you're thinking

488
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,880
Speaker 1: about like moving the equivalent of a full Blu ray

489
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:53,240
Speaker 1: disk to another device in just a few seconds. And uh,

490
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 1: I mean that's amazing to me. But I think we're

491
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,679
Speaker 1: going to see that really take off. May not be

492
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 1: in any consumer to prices, but I think we're gonna

493
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: finally get out of It'll it'll get out of the

494
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,360
Speaker 1: lab all right. Then in fact that I would love

495
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:09,919
Speaker 1: to see that at CES. Yeah, if I saw if

496
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 1: they had at the Intel booth, if they had a

497
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 1: section devoted to light peak technology and showed to working

498
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 1: light peak system, I'd be like, well, I'll just be

499
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:21,960
Speaker 1: here for the rest of the day, all right. You

500
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 1: know that that that was where all my flashy or

501
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 1: are the flashiest of my predictions. Um, And I'm not

502
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 1: sure the last one is that flashy, because the the

503
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,919
Speaker 1: only one that I have left on my list that

504
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 1: I made was the uh that HDTV prices are just

505
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 1: gonna stagnate. I think they're getting to the point where

506
00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 1: they're about as low as you're gonna get. I think

507
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:47,520
Speaker 1: they'll be they'll trickle downwards a little bit still. But um,

508
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,160
Speaker 1: the drops that that we saw over the last couple

509
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: of years where they went from hundred to eleven hundred

510
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:57,639
Speaker 1: to six hundred, I think those big jumps are gone.

511
00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,680
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be more expensive than your average TV.

512
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,600
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think some of the Black Friday deals

513
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,119
Speaker 1: we saw where we saw forty two in h D

514
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 1: t V is going for around four dollars, I think

515
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 1: that's pretty much the the bottom bottom of the barrel

516
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 1: as far as price drops go, and that that was

517
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:18,439
Speaker 1: a special circumstance, right because that's that's doing it for

518
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 1: a specific sales date. Um, I don't see that. I agree. Well,

519
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 1: here's here's one that's not terribly flashy either. I think

520
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:33,040
Speaker 1: in we will see a dramatic shift really both from

521
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 1: consumer side and from UH enterprise side, a decrease in

522
00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 1: the reliance upon discs. We're gonna look at more digital

523
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 1: delivery for things like applications. And I mean this is

524
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 1: a gimme two. Because we've got the chromos and the

525
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 1: Chrome Store. We also have the Mac Store that's opening

526
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 1: up in tylen where you will be able to get

527
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 1: applications for your Mac online. You won't it won't go

528
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 1: involved going out and getting a skin, putting that in

529
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 1: your computer and installing it. You'll get it all uh

530
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:06,440
Speaker 1: over the internet. Um. I think we're gonna see a

531
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 1: lot of that, and we're gonna see similar services pop

532
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 1: up that support this, So not just places where you

533
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 1: can purchase games like through Steam for example, but where

534
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 1: you can play them like on on live systems. So

535
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 1: um yeah, I think we're getting to the point where

536
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,200
Speaker 1: all that clutter, all those those boxes that we used

537
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 1: to have that housed all of our our disks or

538
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:33,000
Speaker 1: even just the discs themselves, that's gonna become a thing

539
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 1: of the past. And then especially if you marry that

540
00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 1: with cloud computing, then you can have an account right

541
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 1: with a particular vendor, and that way, let's say that

542
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 1: you're you're hard drive crashes or you lose all your

543
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 1: data because you have this this account with the vendor.

544
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:51,960
Speaker 1: As long as you can verify what happened, happen or whatever,

545
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: you could get another copy of it without having to

546
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 1: go out and buy another one. So you have to

547
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: have those safety nets in place, I think for people

548
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 1: to really adopt this model. M M. Trying to think

549
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:07,160
Speaker 1: of something else. Do you have any uh any others? Yeah?

550
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:09,520
Speaker 1: I got a couple of others. Here's some. I think

551
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:13,800
Speaker 1: we'll see the PlayStation phone, which has been room. I've

552
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 1: seen videos of a device that's supposedly the PlayStation phone.

553
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 1: It has a swing out keyboard, very much like the

554
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:24,240
Speaker 1: htc uh G one and G two phones did um,

555
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 1: but in this case, instead of it being a keyboard

556
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: a quirty keyboard, it's um it's a control pad and

557
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 1: and buttons. So we'll priacely see something along those lines

558
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,480
Speaker 1: debut in twenty eleven, so that that would be interesting.

559
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see color e inc E readers

560
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:43,920
Speaker 1: start to take off in Yeah, yeah, no, they've they've

561
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:48,160
Speaker 1: already announced Color e ink. It does exist, right, so

562
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: so you think it will actually become It would shock

563
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 1: me if I don't see some of that. It's e

564
00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,280
Speaker 1: S two that would that would also be something I

565
00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: would expect to see. I think it may finally become

566
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 1: time inn you might finally start to catch up with

567
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:08,520
Speaker 1: Japan and incorporate near fields communication systems into devices like

568
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 1: cell phones, smartphones, things like that, so that we can

569
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:16,720
Speaker 1: purchase items without the use of a credit or debit card. Interesting,

570
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 1: But um, I don't think it's gonna necessarily be widespread.

571
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,240
Speaker 1: I mean, there are a few places in the United

572
00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:26,480
Speaker 1: States where where companies have incorporated this, but there are

573
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 1: very few and far between. I think we're gonna start

574
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:32,680
Speaker 1: to see that change in I don't think it's gonna

575
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 1: be sudden. I don't think it's gonna be overnight. And

576
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 1: by the end of twenty eleven, it may be just

577
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 1: a tiny percentage of all companies incorporating this. But I

578
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:44,440
Speaker 1: think we're gonna start to finally see that shift. Okay,

579
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 1: then all right, So do you think we're finally going

580
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 1: to see Duke for real? Who? That's right? Twenty eleven,

581
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 1: we're supposed to Newcomb forever. Okay. I can't decide how

582
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 1: I feel about it. I'm gonna I'm gonna take them

583
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 1: for their word. I'm gonna say that I'll be squashing

584
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: alien heads underneath my big burly boot by the middle. Okay,

585
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I think they're they're really going

586
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:12,800
Speaker 1: to do it. All right, I've got a question for you.

587
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 1: This is a follow up from last year's predictions. Do

588
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 1: you think I'm still going to have the same computer

589
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 1: by this time next year? I'm pretty sure it will

590
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 1: be completely unusable from to I T S years. I

591
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 1: think they're doing it, never mind, just I think they

592
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 1: have a candid camera at your desk and or just

593
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 1: watching you. They've already been interfered with our podcast before.

594
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 1: There is a history where they went in and put

595
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 1: in an effect, so I know that they at least listen.

596
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 1: Is he please come on? I'm begging you please. How

597
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 1: many keys do I need to lose before this thing

598
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 1: becomes impossible to run? All right? Well, you know, I

599
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 1: just don't. I think it's going to be a pretty

600
00:32:57,320 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 1: laid back yere And I was trying to think in

601
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 1: our podcast on the predictions from last year. I started

602
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 1: trying to think of some you know, crazy outrageou stuff.

603
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 1: That stuff is there so hard to predict. Yeah, you

604
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 1: never mean like Steve Jobs stepping down, or that the

605
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: driverless Google car. I mean that was so out of

606
00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 1: nowhere we wouldn't be able to, like, I mean, are

607
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 1: you going to predict that Apple is going to come

608
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 1: out with a driverless airplane? I mean, it's just that's

609
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 1: like we could just spelled off crazy things, but you know,

610
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 1: there's there's no basis for that. There's gonna be there

611
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:33,440
Speaker 1: are gonna be a lot of stories like that that

612
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,440
Speaker 1: that we obviously had no bearing on. At the end

613
00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:38,040
Speaker 1: of I'm sure we'll do a show where we talk

614
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 1: about the big stories that we did not predict at all,

615
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,080
Speaker 1: and they'll probably be major things, and we might even

616
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 1: be able to say, hey, you know, if we had

617
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 1: really looked really deep into the tech news that was

618
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 1: around at the end of we could have predicted this,

619
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:57,280
Speaker 1: but we won't because we're done. We're over, this is finished.

620
00:33:57,440 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 1: This is the end of this episode. That text us

621
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,719
Speaker 1: not done just this episode. So I predict will have

622
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:07,040
Speaker 1: an awesome mirror of Tech Stuff podcast and hopefully that

623
00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,920
Speaker 1: will come true. If you guys have any cool predictions

624
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 1: or you want to take issue with something that Chris

625
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:16,800
Speaker 1: or I said, you can do so on Facebook or Twitter.

626
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,560
Speaker 1: Are handle There is tech Stuff hs W at both

627
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,839
Speaker 1: Facebook and Twitter. Or you can email us that at

628
00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:26,719
Speaker 1: us is tech stuff at how stuff works dot com.

629
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 1: Chris and I will talk to you again really soon.

630
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 1: For moral nous and thousands of other topics. Visit how

631
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 1: stuff works dot com. To learn more about the podcast,

632
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,400
Speaker 1: click on the podcast icon in the upper right corner

633
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 1: of our homepage. The how Stuff Works iPhone app has arrived.

634
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 1: Download it today on iTunes. Brought to you by the

635
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:54,359
Speaker 1: reinvented two thousand twelve camera. It's ready, are you