WEBVTT - Yates on New Covid-19 Strain

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>Global News. So let's get to it, because a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of virus headlines once again to go over, and that

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<v Speaker 1>includes we've got fiser and by in Tech raising their

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<v Speaker 1>production target for the vaccine to about two billion shots.

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<v Speaker 1>Their previous production was one point three billion. You have

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<v Speaker 1>New York City Mayor build A. Blasio reaffirming his goal

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<v Speaker 1>of dolling out a million COVID nineteen doses by the

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<v Speaker 1>end of January. Does I feel like a lot to you? Um?

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<v Speaker 1>It does feel like a lot to me. Just feel

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<v Speaker 1>like if right, yeah, yeah, by the end of January.

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<v Speaker 1>If you think about it, we know you know, this

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<v Speaker 1>is a city of nine million people, so it's not

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<v Speaker 1>too bad percentage wise. And then l A the epicenter

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<v Speaker 1>of the latest US wave, turning Dodger Stadium into a

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<v Speaker 1>mass vaccination center to inoculate as many as twelve thousand

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<v Speaker 1>people a day. Um, it's four week LA is so

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<v Speaker 1>bad right now, Carol, you have you talked to your family? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean my brother's not even there. He moved in

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<v Speaker 1>with my parents, he does, Yeah, three months ago. Alright,

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<v Speaker 1>So let's get our daily check on the virus. Dr

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<v Speaker 1>William Yates is back with us, founder and owner of

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<v Speaker 1>Yates Enterprises. It's a company that provides security solutions to

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<v Speaker 1>schools and other places, like middle detectors to detect guns.

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<v Speaker 1>Temperature detection device is something that certainly comes into play

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<v Speaker 1>during the pandemic. He is a trauma surgeon who grew

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<v Speaker 1>up on the South Side of Chicago, and he is

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<v Speaker 1>once again with us on the phone in Chicago, Doctor Yates,

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<v Speaker 1>Nice to have you back with me and Tim. How

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<v Speaker 1>are you and how's it going in Chicago? Ah? Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>Carol and Tim. Everything is about the same, uh, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the same gloom and doom, even though you know

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<v Speaker 1>everybody's gearing up with the virus, but the numbers are

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<v Speaker 1>going up, the deaths of going up. And I just

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<v Speaker 1>saw in the United States now the deaths from COVID

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<v Speaker 1>are over, you know, three hundred thousand, which is bigger

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<v Speaker 1>than a city like you know football guys know green

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<v Speaker 1>Bay here, So it's bigger than Green Bay and bigger

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<v Speaker 1>than Birmingham, Alabama. So we have a real problem. And

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<v Speaker 1>then the other problem is this new variant which we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing out of the UK and South Africa is something

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<v Speaker 1>else that really hasn't been dealt with yet. What do

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<v Speaker 1>you mean it hasn't been dealt with yet? What does

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<v Speaker 1>that mean? Well, just as we really don't know a

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<v Speaker 1>lot about what are the end results, say, of the

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<v Speaker 1>virus and getting the virus, what happens to you and

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<v Speaker 1>you get sick and then you get cured, do you

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<v Speaker 1>still have symptoms right now? As far as this new

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<v Speaker 1>virus number one, we're kind of sure that the vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>works for this virus, But what we're not sure is

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<v Speaker 1>we know it's more infectious, meaning that it has the

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<v Speaker 1>ability to spread faster and easier, but we don't know

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<v Speaker 1>the clinical sequeli meaning if you get this virus, what

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<v Speaker 1>will happen to you in the long run, even if

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<v Speaker 1>you are you know, cured or feel better. We don't

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<v Speaker 1>know the end results of this. Are we starting to

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<v Speaker 1>what I meant, are we starting to see any sort

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<v Speaker 1>of research into that, any results of early people who

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<v Speaker 1>got this. I mean, we've heard about these COVID longhaulers

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<v Speaker 1>who continue to have persistent problems, and it's terrifying I

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<v Speaker 1>think for a lot of people, right, I mean, the

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<v Speaker 1>COVID long haulers interesting and you bring this up. It

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be more prevalent in the younger population, with

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<v Speaker 1>the population which takes the most risk and lives with

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<v Speaker 1>the most wanton abandonment. Abandonment seemed to have more symptoms

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<v Speaker 1>on the back end. In the front end. I saw

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<v Speaker 1>a study where of young people who had COVID and

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<v Speaker 1>got over it, say six to eight months later, we're

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<v Speaker 1>having terrible problems like breathing rhythmias and things like that.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's kind of this is kind of uh, the

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<v Speaker 1>young people should be afraid of COVID and take it seriously,

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<v Speaker 1>even though they aren't getting that sick. Now, as far

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<v Speaker 1>as the new variant, it's just too too early to

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<v Speaker 1>know what's going to happen. It's going to be a

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<v Speaker 1>long hauler and what we don't even know the short

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<v Speaker 1>term of this one. But what we do know is

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<v Speaker 1>that some of the vaccines appear to be promising. The

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<v Speaker 1>one in Europe is the one we're not using. It's

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<v Speaker 1>called astra zeneca. I believe they've tested that against this

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<v Speaker 1>new strain in Europe and it did work. Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>that's a good I mean, and my interestanding is that

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<v Speaker 1>you can take an existing the existing COVID vaccine and

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<v Speaker 1>adapted to variance. It does take a little bit of time.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that fair? Is that accurate? That that is accurate? Um.

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<v Speaker 1>Usually the vaccines is sometimes have to be tweaked to

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<v Speaker 1>make them applicable for the new strains, Like the flu vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>Every year that we get some of those are tweaked

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<v Speaker 1>to uh make way for how the vaccine has mutated.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's unclear if these vaccines are being tweaked and

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<v Speaker 1>it fights the irregular form or they're just taking the

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<v Speaker 1>form that's out right now. I'm I'm wondering what you

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<v Speaker 1>would do. You know, here we are nine days out

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<v Speaker 1>from a new administration. If you were advising the president

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<v Speaker 1>to hit the ground running on January. What is the

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<v Speaker 1>best way to get this under control? Well, I think

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<v Speaker 1>the best We'll see the breakdown if you watch TV

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<v Speaker 1>all the time and you see the guys from the

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<v Speaker 1>military and it looks very official, and they're saying we

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<v Speaker 1>have twenty million million viruses, and then you see the

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<v Speaker 1>FedEx planes landing and so forth and so on. The

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<v Speaker 1>virus is leaving the factory. That's not the problem, right

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<v Speaker 1>the exact vaccine I'm talking about. The problem is at

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<v Speaker 1>the state level. Then things become a little haywire. So

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<v Speaker 1>to answer your question, I would make it very seamless

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<v Speaker 1>at the state level. What happens to the vaccine If

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<v Speaker 1>each state gets one million, this first million goes here,

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<v Speaker 1>and it goes today, you know, and somebody has put

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<v Speaker 1>ahead of that. All the states do the same thing

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<v Speaker 1>and follow this aim plan instead of coming up with

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<v Speaker 1>individual recipes for their success. Because that's where the breakdown

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<v Speaker 1>is right now. It's not the government. The government has

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<v Speaker 1>done pretty well. It's the states that are having the

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<v Speaker 1>problem with administering the vaccine. Right You could probably use

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<v Speaker 1>an assist from the government at this point. Yeah, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a tough thing to do. When we live in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States though, right, we don't have this. It's it's federalism, right,

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<v Speaker 1>States states rates, So it's it's not it's easier than done. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>no question. I mean, I'm answering as a scientist. But

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<v Speaker 1>the reason, the reason that people live in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States is for that reason because we do have an

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<v Speaker 1>abundance of rights, and it's not, you know, a dictatorship

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<v Speaker 1>or a fascist type of state. Dr. Yates and I

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<v Speaker 1>know your group at Yates Enterprises um at Yates Protect

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<v Speaker 1>works a lot with thermometers and thermal aging and thermal scanning.

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<v Speaker 1>One thing that we've learned though throughout the pandemic has

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<v Speaker 1>been that having a higher than usual temperature isn't necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>the only endo cater that you could potentially be carrying COVID.

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<v Speaker 1>What have we learned, Well, I guess what we have learned.

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<v Speaker 1>The converse to that is that having a higher than

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<v Speaker 1>normal temperature puts you in the realm possibly of having COVID.

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<v Speaker 1>We know that of the people who have COVID and

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<v Speaker 1>are infective won't have any symptoms at all. But what

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<v Speaker 1>we do know the people who are symptomatic, almost eight

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<v Speaker 1>of those people will have a temperature as defined by

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<v Speaker 1>the CDC above one degree point for fahrenheit. It's almost consistent.

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<v Speaker 1>If you look at every study and type in symptomatic COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>you will find fever is number one up to Some

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<v Speaker 1>studies show as low as eighty, some show as high

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<v Speaker 1>as ninety six. So I think it is worthwhile and

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's going to be standard of care in

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<v Speaker 1>the world because what it's proved to us, having a

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<v Speaker 1>fever every day is not normal. You can't fake or fever.

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<v Speaker 1>To get a fever, your hypothalamus in your brain has

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<v Speaker 1>to be activated. And even if you don't have COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>you shouldn't be at work with the feed. That's the

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<v Speaker 1>main thing we learned. What happens to this technology. If

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<v Speaker 1>you know, somebody walks in from outside and they've been

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<v Speaker 1>in below freezing temperatures for ten minutes walking from their

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<v Speaker 1>home to work or on their commute, and they walk

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<v Speaker 1>in and they get scanned and the surface of their

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<v Speaker 1>skin is is colder than usual, that's a good question.

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<v Speaker 1>So that we get asked that all the time, and

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<v Speaker 1>so we ask people to have a separate area for

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<v Speaker 1>kind of a equilibrium process where not a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people are. All it will take is from about ten

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<v Speaker 1>minutes for that person to return to what we call

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<v Speaker 1>an equilibrium state, and then we check them. But on

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<v Speaker 1>some of the machines, we can raise the threshold and

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<v Speaker 1>get what temperature they were at and it'll make the

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<v Speaker 1>calculation for but it takes, you know, some doing. So

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<v Speaker 1>to make it easy, we have them have a place

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<v Speaker 1>where the person can stay for about ten minutes and

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<v Speaker 1>then we check them. So a lot of the temperature

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<v Speaker 1>scanners that companies have are they kind of a joke.

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<v Speaker 1>Well I'm in the business, I'm gonna say mine on it. Joke.

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<v Speaker 1>Well okay, that's fine, but you know what I'm saying.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I get you. I'm gonna answer. I think

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<v Speaker 1>a lot our joke because a lot of people use

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<v Speaker 1>them incorrectly. And when I go into restaurants are different places,

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<v Speaker 1>they kind of go through the motions and they never

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<v Speaker 1>look at the number. I know that for a fact

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<v Speaker 1>because I just walk in and I just give them

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<v Speaker 1>any part of my body and they just if I

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<v Speaker 1>give them my knee, they'll scan my knee, you know.

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<v Speaker 1>So you have to be very diligent about where you

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<v Speaker 1>scan because those are measuring body surface temperature, not body

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<v Speaker 1>core temperature, and you should do it. The best place

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<v Speaker 1>to do it is the forehead or on the side

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<v Speaker 1>of the forehead, or something called the temporal artery is

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<v Speaker 1>beating under their Those are the best places the risk.

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<v Speaker 1>Everybody's hand is the coldest thing on their body. That's

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<v Speaker 1>why we wear gloves. So when you start shooting at

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<v Speaker 1>the wrist and everybody's going to pass. So I hope

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<v Speaker 1>that answers the question. But the technology is good, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's only as good as the operator. I think that

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<v Speaker 1>we get shot in our forehead, don't we get full body?

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<v Speaker 1>I think full body? Um, hey, Dr Yates just got

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<v Speaker 1>about thonds here. I don't know. So in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>getting back to normal, how do you see it? Just quickly,

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<v Speaker 1>as quick as I can say it about two years.

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<v Speaker 1>It's going to take that long, probably with the vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>and to get hurt immunity, and then by then there's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be some other pathogens that we need to worry about,

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<v Speaker 1>so it will never look the same, but it'll be closer.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you've heard about the one in South Africa.

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<v Speaker 1>We didn't even talk about that. We talked about the

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<v Speaker 1>one in the UK. There's another variant in South Africa

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<v Speaker 1>that's a little sticky as far as you know, being

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<v Speaker 1>able to you know, fall into being killed by the vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>Happy Monday, everything I was going to say. Happy Dr Yates.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Dr Yates, thank you so much. Stay safe,

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<v Speaker 1>be well. Dr William Yates, founder and owner of Yates Enterprises,

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Chicago. Well, that's the new reality. Though.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got to be aware that there's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>you know, that's why there's virus hunters out there. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we have to just adjust our expectations. That's

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<v Speaker 1>the key to not getting too disappointed. I think so too.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a new day and yet an old reminder of

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<v Speaker 1>how powerful big tech is. A social media giants Facebook, Twitter, Google,

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<v Speaker 1>All Band, President Trump and others, in an effort to

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<v Speaker 1>prevent further riot organizing, one already fighting back. Um, this

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<v Speaker 1>is already one of our big stories of let's get

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<v Speaker 1>into it reporting for a Business Week. Bloomberg News technology

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<v Speaker 1>reporter and author of No Filter, The inside Story of Instagram,

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<v Speaker 1>Sarah Fryer with us on the phone in San Francisco

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<v Speaker 1>along with Bloomberg Business Week editor Jill Weber on the

0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:52.280
<v Speaker 1>Access line in Brooklyn. You know, big tech. We knew

0:11:52.320 --> 0:11:54.920
<v Speaker 1>coming into it was going to be a story that

0:11:55.000 --> 0:11:56.520
<v Speaker 1>was on our radar, but I don't know that we

0:11:56.559 --> 0:11:58.040
<v Speaker 1>thought it was going to be on our radar, Joel,

0:11:58.120 --> 0:12:02.040
<v Speaker 1>in this way I was looking forward to that didn't

0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:04.720
<v Speaker 1>look anything like. I don't think I'll be so lucky.

0:12:04.920 --> 0:12:08.640
<v Speaker 1>Um and and obviously um um. Last week's chaos actually

0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:10.760
<v Speaker 1>came to a head even again over the weekend with

0:12:10.880 --> 0:12:15.680
<v Speaker 1>sort of the social media platforms um basically basically you know,

0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:20.080
<v Speaker 1>not only blocking Trump and and perhaps permanently banning him

0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:22.040
<v Speaker 1>in the case of Twitter. But then I think the

0:12:22.480 --> 0:12:26.439
<v Speaker 1>parlor conversation has become the one that's even more interesting

0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:30.479
<v Speaker 1>because um, both the Apple App Store and and Google's

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:33.720
<v Speaker 1>play Store have taken restrictions there. But then I thought

0:12:33.760 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the big move in the one that I was actually

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:37.280
<v Speaker 1>most eager to talk to Sara about, was sort of

0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:42.360
<v Speaker 1>the the Amazon move awus coming in and basically blocking it.

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:46.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean this, yeah, but it does show you know,

0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:49.079
<v Speaker 1>like not only are the social media companies able to

0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:51.600
<v Speaker 1>wield a stick, but like Amazon's got the biggest stick

0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 1>of all. So so Sarah kind of there's this is

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:58.480
<v Speaker 1>just a fast moving story. But I want to understand,

0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:02.160
<v Speaker 1>like how you're thinking about where this conversation goes from

0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:06.199
<v Speaker 1>from here. Well, it dove tails right in with the

0:13:06.320 --> 0:13:08.760
<v Speaker 1>tech power conversation that we're going to have a lot

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:13.600
<v Speaker 1>more of this year as these anti trust of battles

0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:17.120
<v Speaker 1>with Washington rage on, and I expect that to continue

0:13:17.160 --> 0:13:20.480
<v Speaker 1>during the Biden administration. And that tech power conversation is

0:13:20.800 --> 0:13:25.440
<v Speaker 1>both about, you know, the power to restrict as as

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:28.720
<v Speaker 1>much as it is about the power to allow um.

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 1>And so the companies are grappling with this, allowing Parlor

0:13:33.480 --> 0:13:36.720
<v Speaker 1>to be on the App Store, allowing Parlor to have

0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 1>UM posting by Amazon. That's something that employees are looking at,

0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:45.360
<v Speaker 1>critics are looking at and saying, well, why don't you

0:13:45.440 --> 0:13:48.080
<v Speaker 1>just cut them off? You have the power to do that.

0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:51.360
<v Speaker 1>You're a private company, and the company there are saying,

0:13:51.440 --> 0:13:53.559
<v Speaker 1>you know what, Yeah, we don't want to be dealing

0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:56.200
<v Speaker 1>with this this we don't want this headache. And and

0:13:56.280 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 1>it's really interesting to see that evolution because we we've

0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:01.920
<v Speaker 1>talked about it a lot, like you said, with the

0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:05.760
<v Speaker 1>social media companies, Uh, it's a lot of conservatives are

0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:10.120
<v Speaker 1>concerned about too much cutting off of people who have accounts.

0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:13.880
<v Speaker 1>A lot of people on the democratic side are concerned

0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:17.880
<v Speaker 1>about the hosting of illegal activity and um people who

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:23.040
<v Speaker 1>are inciting violence, and in the balance is really what

0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:28.360
<v Speaker 1>is is UH an issue here? So, Sara a lot

0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:31.560
<v Speaker 1>and you mentioned this that a lot of the heat

0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:35.040
<v Speaker 1>on the companies actually came from their own employees. So

0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:38.040
<v Speaker 1>what have we seen in not only from a to bus,

0:14:38.200 --> 0:14:41.880
<v Speaker 1>but but at Facebook and Apple? What what sort of

0:14:41.960 --> 0:14:46.880
<v Speaker 1>internal factions are the companies navigating well? Silicon Valley companies

0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 1>have a reputation for being really mission driven, and I

0:14:49.560 --> 0:14:54.560
<v Speaker 1>think a lot of employees have had personal reckoning over

0:14:54.600 --> 0:14:57.520
<v Speaker 1>the last few years. Is it ethical to work for Facebook?

0:14:57.600 --> 0:14:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Is it ethical to work for Google if they're working

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:04.720
<v Speaker 1>with the Offense Department on you know, um, putting people

0:15:04.720 --> 0:15:06.480
<v Speaker 1>in cases of the border. There have been a lot

0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:11.520
<v Speaker 1>of new debates about what it means if you work

0:15:11.560 --> 0:15:15.680
<v Speaker 1>for a company that has certain suppliers, certain vendors, certain contracts,

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 1>and host certain voices. And so we have seen employees

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:24.360
<v Speaker 1>the almost the more forceful voice against their leaders and

0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:28.320
<v Speaker 1>even the government because the government can't can't really be

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:31.760
<v Speaker 1>clear about what they want. Everyone's scrutinizing tech power, but

0:15:31.800 --> 0:15:35.280
<v Speaker 1>they don't necessarily have a clear direction of what would

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 1>be a good resolution. Whereas employees, you know, they're mostly

0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 1>they're mostly liberal, they're well educated, and they're saying, hey,

0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:45.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to work for a place that supports

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:47.960
<v Speaker 1>something like this. And we saw an open letter from

0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Twitter employees to Jack Dorothy asking for a bigger ban

0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 1>on Trump's They had previously only banned him for twelve

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.560
<v Speaker 1>hours and now that he's permanently banned. And we've seen

0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:04.320
<v Speaker 1>we've seen Amazon employees right to their employer about parlor, saying,

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 1>why are we hosting parlor? We should we should kick

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 1>them off. And I think that that power should not

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:14.200
<v Speaker 1>be underestimated because of how hard it is to recruit

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:17.480
<v Speaker 1>and Silicon Valley the best talent. Well, and what's to

0:16:17.600 --> 0:16:21.200
<v Speaker 1>stop I don't know, Like I don't know whether there's

0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:24.200
<v Speaker 1>oranges to oranges, apples to apples, but another company from

0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>saying I don't like Well, I guess companies do that

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:28.840
<v Speaker 1>right if they don't want to work with a supplier,

0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:30.800
<v Speaker 1>or if they don't want to work with something, they

0:16:30.840 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 1>have that opportunity to do it, Sarah. I'm just trying

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:37.400
<v Speaker 1>to understand the differences or not differences from another company

0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:41.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of banning something, you know, whether they don't sell

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:44.640
<v Speaker 1>to a certain customer. Um, they do that all the time, right,

0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:50.320
<v Speaker 1>well sometimes so Okay, a few years ago, companies, we're

0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:53.120
<v Speaker 1>happy to just work within the bounds of the law.

0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 1>There are sanctions against Iran, we won't sell to around that.

0:16:57.760 --> 0:17:00.040
<v Speaker 1>That was like, you know, if it's a legal we

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 1>won't do it. Um. And that's how Facebook and Twitter

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:06.199
<v Speaker 1>thought about content a lot in the early days, you know,

0:17:06.800 --> 0:17:10.120
<v Speaker 1>remove as little as possible. Now, I think the tech

0:17:10.119 --> 0:17:13.679
<v Speaker 1>companies are recognizing that they have this tremendous power and

0:17:13.880 --> 0:17:17.959
<v Speaker 1>the ability to move more quickly than the government in

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:20.680
<v Speaker 1>many cases to to fix that they have. They also

0:17:20.720 --> 0:17:25.080
<v Speaker 1>have this great insight into what's happening, um, faster than

0:17:25.600 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 1>law enforcement officials have. Facebook, of course this is going

0:17:29.880 --> 0:17:32.440
<v Speaker 1>to have to be providing law enforcement with a lot

0:17:32.480 --> 0:17:36.440
<v Speaker 1>of the images of people who who were in the

0:17:36.520 --> 0:17:39.480
<v Speaker 1>violent mob last Wednesday. So so I think that the

0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:42.719
<v Speaker 1>companies are coming waking up to their power. But it's

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:44.919
<v Speaker 1>also a politically convenient time for them to do so

0:17:45.040 --> 0:17:50.120
<v Speaker 1>because they're seeing that the power in Washington is shifting

0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:54.360
<v Speaker 1>to the Democrats, and that party is a lot more

0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:59.360
<v Speaker 1>um more in favor of tech companies taking responsibility for

0:17:59.720 --> 0:18:04.159
<v Speaker 1>the power. They have a Republic conversation. So so can

0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:07.640
<v Speaker 1>we just um talk about Parlor specifically for a second here,

0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 1>because what does what does the company like that go?

0:18:10.160 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Now like they've ultimately just had the power plug pulled

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:16.440
<v Speaker 1>out on them, um already, probably we're going to face

0:18:16.640 --> 0:18:19.440
<v Speaker 1>some iro from from Democrats. I thought, you know, back

0:18:19.480 --> 0:18:22.000
<v Speaker 1>to Carol's question there for a second. One interesting thing

0:18:22.000 --> 0:18:24.440
<v Speaker 1>here was it wasn't like an arbitrary decision that any

0:18:24.480 --> 0:18:27.720
<v Speaker 1>of these tech companies used to enforce this. They actually said, well,

0:18:27.760 --> 0:18:31.639
<v Speaker 1>we have a code effectively and and Parlors uh in

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:35.160
<v Speaker 1>defiance of that code and and therefore that's what gives

0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:37.639
<v Speaker 1>us cover to basically make this decision. So what does

0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:39.480
<v Speaker 1>the company like Parlor go from here? And sorry just

0:18:39.520 --> 0:18:44.200
<v Speaker 1>got about seconds just quickly. Well, Parlor is using this

0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:48.320
<v Speaker 1>as a marketing opportunity, just like you know GAB when

0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:50.919
<v Speaker 1>they were banned that they they said, you know, they

0:18:50.920 --> 0:18:53.280
<v Speaker 1>don't want they don't want to hear us, but we're

0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:56.160
<v Speaker 1>still here. We're still going to survive. I think Parlor

0:18:56.359 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 1>is going to have to find an audience a different way.

0:18:59.520 --> 0:19:02.600
<v Speaker 1>It's sinately going to be so difficult for them to

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:06.960
<v Speaker 1>survive and grow without access to the app stores that

0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:09.080
<v Speaker 1>that makes it a lot less mainstream. You have to

0:19:09.119 --> 0:19:12.199
<v Speaker 1>actually know how to get there. In other words, Uh,

0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:14.359
<v Speaker 1>let's see looking into my crystal ball. And yes, we

0:19:14.400 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 1>will be talking about this a lot this year, no

0:19:16.320 --> 0:19:18.439
<v Speaker 1>doubt about it. Um Sara and Jel You guys are

0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:21.119
<v Speaker 1>the best sarifier technology reporter at Bloomberg News. Check out

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:25.399
<v Speaker 1>our book No Filter. Joe Weber Editor. This is Bloomberg

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:29.080
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:32.680
<v Speaker 1>Stenovic on Bloomberg Radio. Bloomberg Business Week brought to you

0:19:32.760 --> 0:19:35.720
<v Speaker 1>by SEI. Since its founding fifty years ago, SEI has

0:19:35.760 --> 0:19:39.680
<v Speaker 1>provided investment managers and asset owners with robust infrastructure platforms

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 1>and flexible outsourcing solutions. Check it out go to se

0:19:42.520 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 1>I C dot com slash i m S. So let's

0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:49.080
<v Speaker 1>get to our next segment, because it's about the founding

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:52.760
<v Speaker 1>father of the People's Republic of China, controversial for his policies,

0:19:52.840 --> 0:19:56.920
<v Speaker 1>disastrous really the greatly forward and the cultural revolution back

0:19:56.920 --> 0:19:59.960
<v Speaker 1>in the late nineteen fifties and nineteen sixties. We're talking

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.320
<v Speaker 1>about Chairman Mao. And the reason we're talking about him

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:05.359
<v Speaker 1>is because his reign and his methods are not dissimilar

0:20:05.400 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 1>to President Trump. It's provocative, it's thoughtful, it's the exact

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:10.840
<v Speaker 1>conversation we need to be having right now. The reason

0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:14.119
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about it is because Bloomberg neew Economy editorial

0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:16.720
<v Speaker 1>director Andy Brown brought it to our attention. It's in

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:20.080
<v Speaker 1>his latest column. Andy is on the phone in New Hampshire. Hey, Andy,

0:20:20.240 --> 0:20:23.520
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here. Um, I haven't had a

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:25.960
<v Speaker 1>chance to talk with you. It's been such a crazy week.

0:20:26.400 --> 0:20:29.119
<v Speaker 1>How do you kind of think about this last week

0:20:29.160 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 1>and President Trump as a leader? Well, you know, the

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:38.600
<v Speaker 1>way I've been looking at it is through the eyes

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:43.360
<v Speaker 1>of Chinese officials and state media UM, and they're having

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:48.560
<v Speaker 1>a field day with this. It plays absolutely into their

0:20:50.000 --> 0:20:53.320
<v Speaker 1>a dominant narrative, which which is of the United States

0:20:53.400 --> 0:20:57.720
<v Speaker 1>is impermanent decline UM, starting with the two thousand and

0:20:57.760 --> 0:21:01.480
<v Speaker 1>eight two thousand and nine financial cry, which the United

0:21:01.520 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 1>States arguably never really fully recovered from UM, and now

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:10.440
<v Speaker 1>this meltdown as they see it, UM, of the American

0:21:10.840 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 1>system of democracy, which of course is key to American

0:21:15.680 --> 0:21:21.720
<v Speaker 1>prestige and power projections, particularly soft power projection around the world.

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:24.879
<v Speaker 1>And they're looking at this and they're saying, you know,

0:21:25.080 --> 0:21:30.520
<v Speaker 1>our system is not only produced a far more serious

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:35.200
<v Speaker 1>and successful response to COVID nineteen, which now underpins our

0:21:35.320 --> 0:21:38.960
<v Speaker 1>economic recovery, and the economy in China is pretty much

0:21:39.000 --> 0:21:44.720
<v Speaker 1>operating normally now, but it's also delivered critically stability. And

0:21:44.760 --> 0:21:48.919
<v Speaker 1>they are comparing and contrasting all this with frankly, the

0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:53.600
<v Speaker 1>chaos that we've witnessed in in Washington, d C. This

0:21:53.680 --> 0:21:56.160
<v Speaker 1>is all happening against the backdrop of a trade war

0:21:56.520 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>with China, relations not any very good place. I think

0:22:00.760 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 1>it's fair to say, Andy, um, what is the environment

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 1>that President elect Biden inherits, the relationship that President elected

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Biden inherits with China in nine days? And what does

0:22:11.640 --> 0:22:16.360
<v Speaker 1>this due to that? Well? You know, actually that one

0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 1>of the sort of what we've been seeing over the

0:22:19.040 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 1>past couple of days is yet more evidence that the

0:22:21.720 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 1>Trump administration is trying to box in the Biden administration

0:22:26.359 --> 0:22:31.440
<v Speaker 1>on China, in other words, taking actions against China, including

0:22:31.480 --> 0:22:38.119
<v Speaker 1>sanctions against Chinese companies, but also more seriously in the

0:22:38.119 --> 0:22:44.760
<v Speaker 1>geopolitical space. UM. For instance, just the other day, eliminating

0:22:44.800 --> 0:22:50.680
<v Speaker 1>all barriers to UH state to state UH contacts between

0:22:50.880 --> 0:22:54.440
<v Speaker 1>the United States and Taiwan. UM. You know, taking a

0:22:54.480 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 1>series of actions like this which will make it very difficult,

0:22:57.520 --> 0:23:00.679
<v Speaker 1>which the Biden administration will find very difficult, uh to

0:23:00.840 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 1>roll back. Less they should be accused in the early

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:09.480
<v Speaker 1>days after they've taken over of being soft on China. UM.

0:23:09.560 --> 0:23:12.080
<v Speaker 1>So you know this this is a very deliberate strategy

0:23:12.240 --> 0:23:16.800
<v Speaker 1>of of the Trump administration, and frankly, it places the

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:21.320
<v Speaker 1>relationship UM uh you know, in a in a very

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:26.760
<v Speaker 1>very brittle, UM and dangerous position. So Andy, I want

0:23:26.760 --> 0:23:29.800
<v Speaker 1>to go back there to this comparison with Chairman Mao.

0:23:30.080 --> 0:23:34.199
<v Speaker 1>I mean, how does it help us maybe understand Trump,

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:37.320
<v Speaker 1>or understand even more so, you know, kind of what

0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:41.120
<v Speaker 1>his mission maybe was from the get go. Yeah, look,

0:23:41.160 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>I I'm not I'm not saying And of course it

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:47.200
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be serious to suggest that that Trump is Mao

0:23:47.480 --> 0:23:50.679
<v Speaker 1>in any in any way. UH. And yet you know

0:23:50.920 --> 0:23:58.479
<v Speaker 1>there are these incredibly uh disturbing, uncomfortable parallels. UM. You know,

0:23:59.000 --> 0:24:05.440
<v Speaker 1>Mao hated elites, MAO adored chaos. Mao saw conspiracies everywhere,

0:24:05.720 --> 0:24:08.639
<v Speaker 1>you know. And and then, of course the parallel with

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:12.200
<v Speaker 1>the events last week is is that Mao himself when

0:24:12.200 --> 0:24:16.680
<v Speaker 1>he went um uh, you know, he went mad during

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:20.120
<v Speaker 1>the last years of his life, he launched an all

0:24:20.200 --> 0:24:24.159
<v Speaker 1>out attack on the Chinese government, the party in the

0:24:24.240 --> 0:24:29.040
<v Speaker 1>state that he himself had created after the revolution. And

0:24:29.160 --> 0:24:32.359
<v Speaker 1>he ordered his Red Guard followers too, as he put it,

0:24:32.720 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 1>or as the People's Daily put it in a famous headline,

0:24:35.320 --> 0:24:40.639
<v Speaker 1>bomber their headquarters. And he's so chaos um in China,

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:44.280
<v Speaker 1>um uh. And of course this lasted for a decade.

0:24:44.320 --> 0:24:48.720
<v Speaker 1>This was the Chinese Cultural Revolution um. And one can

0:24:48.760 --> 0:24:51.680
<v Speaker 1>see haunting echoes of that in in some of the

0:24:51.760 --> 0:24:58.000
<v Speaker 1>behaviors and personal attributes of Donald Trump. So I guess

0:24:58.040 --> 0:25:00.160
<v Speaker 1>that the question is, if we're looking at this being

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:04.479
<v Speaker 1>a historical parallel, what can be done right now, what

0:25:04.560 --> 0:25:08.040
<v Speaker 1>can the checks do, the checks and balances, that is,

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 1>do in order to prevent that from happening here in

0:25:10.840 --> 0:25:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the United States over the next few years. Well, the optimistic, um,

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the the optimists will say that the

0:25:20.320 --> 0:25:24.320
<v Speaker 1>strength of democracy is its ability to self correct. And

0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:28.280
<v Speaker 1>you are seeing that right now in the events, um

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:31.639
<v Speaker 1>that are taking place. UM, you know, as as we speak,

0:25:31.720 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 1>the effort to hold Trump accountable. Um, the election has

0:25:36.880 --> 0:25:41.320
<v Speaker 1>been confirmed, Joe Biden will take office. And yet it

0:25:41.359 --> 0:25:43.680
<v Speaker 1>has to be said that, you know, the rest of

0:25:43.720 --> 0:25:46.040
<v Speaker 1>the world aren't just going to look at this as

0:25:46.080 --> 0:25:50.320
<v Speaker 1>being you know, the the pre Biden and post Biden

0:25:51.160 --> 0:25:54.239
<v Speaker 1>eras as though there's a there's a uh, you know,

0:25:54.320 --> 0:25:58.680
<v Speaker 1>a clear dividing line between the two. Um. The fact

0:25:58.880 --> 0:26:02.639
<v Speaker 1>is that you know, seven four million Americans voted for Trump.

0:26:02.680 --> 0:26:06.440
<v Speaker 1>A hundred what was the number of hundred hundred and

0:26:06.560 --> 0:26:15.919
<v Speaker 1>thirty or hundred and forty Republican Yeah, Congressman voted seven

0:26:16.000 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>voted for this, this legislation. Um, It's going to take

0:26:19.640 --> 0:26:23.679
<v Speaker 1>years for the America, for America to rebuild trust and

0:26:23.840 --> 0:26:29.520
<v Speaker 1>credibility around the world, including most critically with allies. Yeah,

0:26:29.520 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty remarkable all the healing and fixing up and

0:26:33.320 --> 0:26:35.680
<v Speaker 1>repairing that that will have to be done. Hey, Andy,

0:26:35.720 --> 0:26:38.960
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Bloomberg New Economy editorial director Andy

0:26:39.000 --> 0:26:47.800
<v Speaker 1>Brown joining us on his latest column is a journal Now,

0:26:47.840 --> 0:26:52.879
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive, Oh no, no, no no, no, please,

0:26:52.960 --> 0:26:59.639
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right I want to drive. Just drive

0:27:02.960 --> 0:27:12.480
<v Speaker 1>the questions, get trying. This is the Drive to the

0:27:12.520 --> 0:27:18.240
<v Speaker 1>Globe Commune. Thanks, we'll drying us dawn on Bloomberg Radio. Ah. Yes, indeed,

0:27:18.280 --> 0:27:20.359
<v Speaker 1>time for the Drive to the close. Eleven minutes to

0:27:20.520 --> 0:27:24.600
<v Speaker 1>go to wrap up this Monday, January eleven one. Abbe

0:27:24.680 --> 0:27:27.160
<v Speaker 1>des Bonde is founder and chief investment officer at Center

0:27:27.240 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 1>Stone Investors. On the phone in New York City. Abe,

0:27:31.280 --> 0:27:34.160
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you back with us. Um, we talked

0:27:34.200 --> 0:27:36.879
<v Speaker 1>with you last week. It was around early November. A

0:27:36.960 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 1>lot has happened since then. Um, how are you doing

0:27:39.920 --> 0:27:42.240
<v Speaker 1>and how are you making sense of kind of our world?

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 1>Right now? Hear your voice again. M. Yeah, we're gonna

0:27:46.800 --> 0:27:50.440
<v Speaker 1>find center Yeah, we're value investors. So we've been sort

0:27:50.440 --> 0:27:54.760
<v Speaker 1>of in that doghouse. The dog house gets bigger and bigger, right,

0:27:54.840 --> 0:27:58.080
<v Speaker 1>not alone in there. Yeah, we're we're we gotta playing

0:27:58.080 --> 0:28:00.000
<v Speaker 1>a company. Um, and it's a good kind of couple.

0:28:00.000 --> 0:28:04.399
<v Speaker 1>I look around, I'm like, oh, these are thoughtful, smart people. Um,

0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:07.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, so it's good company. Um. And then you

0:28:07.480 --> 0:28:10.720
<v Speaker 1>know we're gonna We're starting to see already, UM, kind

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of some interesting signs of relief from some of the

0:28:14.080 --> 0:28:17.480
<v Speaker 1>bubble activity that we've we've been witnessing over the last

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:20.800
<v Speaker 1>many months here, and I think, you know, two thousand

0:28:21.320 --> 0:28:23.920
<v Speaker 1>one is shaping up to be potentially very interesting year

0:28:24.000 --> 0:28:26.760
<v Speaker 1>for for people like us. UM get an example, you know,

0:28:26.760 --> 0:28:29.360
<v Speaker 1>we're looking I was just looking at Zoom Media. That's

0:28:29.359 --> 0:28:33.959
<v Speaker 1>a hundred billion dollar market cap company fifty times sales.

0:28:34.000 --> 0:28:37.680
<v Speaker 1>That's kind of like a typical uh, you know ratios

0:28:37.680 --> 0:28:40.400
<v Speaker 1>that you see in some of these hot stocks, and

0:28:40.880 --> 0:28:42.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, all that's good if it's justified by a

0:28:42.920 --> 0:28:45.800
<v Speaker 1>growth and Law Street does project you're on your growth

0:28:45.880 --> 0:28:48.880
<v Speaker 1>for twenty for this year coming up, but the first

0:28:48.960 --> 0:28:52.560
<v Speaker 1>quarter growth is projected to be up two and I

0:28:52.640 --> 0:28:55.360
<v Speaker 1>think you're gonna see a lot of this uh potential

0:28:55.440 --> 0:28:58.280
<v Speaker 1>growth disappointment. It's not hard to disappoint when you're talking

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 1>about fifty times sales and we're looking at growth rates

0:29:03.920 --> 0:29:06.880
<v Speaker 1>and so um, the market, I would say, it didn't

0:29:06.880 --> 0:29:09.520
<v Speaker 1>even really get ahead of itself. It's it's it's got

0:29:09.600 --> 0:29:12.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a universe ahead of itself. And so this year

0:29:12.840 --> 0:29:15.480
<v Speaker 1>it could be very very interesting to watch the air

0:29:16.080 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>being um let out of these some of these bubbles.

0:29:19.160 --> 0:29:22.720
<v Speaker 1>And it's coincident with you know, the world potentially starting

0:29:22.720 --> 0:29:25.400
<v Speaker 1>to open up again this summer the quote unquote the

0:29:25.400 --> 0:29:30.240
<v Speaker 1>real world, you know, getting back in action. Um, and

0:29:30.320 --> 0:29:33.280
<v Speaker 1>I can I can see already what's probably likely going

0:29:33.320 --> 0:29:36.720
<v Speaker 1>to happen. Lots of growth scares in some of these names. Okay,

0:29:36.720 --> 0:29:41.400
<v Speaker 1>so how do you position yourself then to have the

0:29:41.480 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 1>year of the value investor? Finally? Yeah, so, I mean,

0:29:46.040 --> 0:29:48.719
<v Speaker 1>of course, you never know, there's just two thousand one

0:29:48.760 --> 0:29:52.440
<v Speaker 1>and everything else goes down our who knows. I don't

0:29:52.440 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 1>know that we are very fortunate. I'm Stenterstone Funds. It's

0:29:57.680 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 1>on a gold line of great businesses are trading at

0:30:00.520 --> 0:30:03.120
<v Speaker 1>a huge discount. It's like the opposite of the world

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:05.880
<v Speaker 1>that I just described as the media, for instance, where

0:30:05.960 --> 0:30:10.120
<v Speaker 1>you're looking at potential catalyst emerging from private equity getting

0:30:10.240 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 1>involved in taking advantage of some of these steep discounts

0:30:13.520 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 1>that are associated with free you know strongly, you know,

0:30:16.760 --> 0:30:21.680
<v Speaker 1>high growth in our world anyway, let's five. But more importantly,

0:30:21.720 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 1>companies that have actual cash flows that are profitable at

0:30:24.360 --> 0:30:27.120
<v Speaker 1>good businesses that have been just passed over and stock

0:30:27.160 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 1>prices have been depressed, so we weakens. I can see

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:33.560
<v Speaker 1>an environment maybe not tomorrow, you know, or next month

0:30:33.600 --> 0:30:37.240
<v Speaker 1>or what happened was sometimes starting this year. Where As

0:30:37.560 --> 0:30:41.480
<v Speaker 1>disappointment starts to filter through some of those bubble names,

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:45.200
<v Speaker 1>money starts to gravitate to where it finds a home,

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:49.400
<v Speaker 1>must naturally in casual, generative enterprises, and that's what we own. Hey,

0:30:49.440 --> 0:30:52.640
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you, obviously a listener sending us

0:30:52.920 --> 0:30:55.160
<v Speaker 1>a message saying I was wondering, you know, as a

0:30:55.200 --> 0:30:58.520
<v Speaker 1>long term under performance of international stocks, a permit situation,

0:30:58.920 --> 0:31:01.680
<v Speaker 1>or will it turn around? So what might be the catalyst?

0:31:02.160 --> 0:31:05.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, you often look globally when it comes to

0:31:05.360 --> 0:31:09.920
<v Speaker 1>name when any thoughts on that, Yeah, sure, I mean,

0:31:10.000 --> 0:31:12.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, for the last several years, we've been talking

0:31:12.080 --> 0:31:15.080
<v Speaker 1>about how the international markets have underperformed. There's a lot

0:31:15.120 --> 0:31:18.760
<v Speaker 1>of latency, they're they're undervalue compared to the US markets,

0:31:18.800 --> 0:31:21.640
<v Speaker 1>and a very very fair question that was very difficult answers, Well,

0:31:21.640 --> 0:31:24.680
<v Speaker 1>what's going to change that one of the catalysts, and

0:31:24.720 --> 0:31:26.240
<v Speaker 1>we didn't really have much of an answer to that

0:31:26.360 --> 0:31:29.840
<v Speaker 1>until recently. The three things that have been driving the

0:31:29.880 --> 0:31:34.600
<v Speaker 1>headwinds for international investing the dollar, the industrial the cyclicals

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:38.400
<v Speaker 1>the down cycle industrial economies around the world to start

0:31:38.440 --> 0:31:42.200
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand eighteen, and the very tight fiscal policies

0:31:42.200 --> 0:31:44.840
<v Speaker 1>that were in Europe that prevented that economy from recovering

0:31:44.880 --> 0:31:49.760
<v Speaker 1>post two thousand elevens euro crisis because of ironically enough,

0:31:49.800 --> 0:31:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the COVID crisis, all of those head winds have turned

0:31:55.000 --> 0:31:57.880
<v Speaker 1>into tail winds. Interest rates or zero here just like

0:31:57.920 --> 0:31:59.960
<v Speaker 1>there are everywhere else, means the pressure is off the

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:04.680
<v Speaker 1>foreign currencies, the cyclical economies have begun to repair themselves,

0:32:04.680 --> 0:32:08.640
<v Speaker 1>to pep up around the world. Uh. And and just

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:12.240
<v Speaker 1>as important, or maybe more importantly, the fiscal fiscal still uh,

0:32:12.360 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 1>what was a depression a depressant on European economies, which

0:32:15.400 --> 0:32:18.680
<v Speaker 1>is the fiscal austerity measures in places two thousand eleven

0:32:18.680 --> 0:32:21.800
<v Speaker 1>have all turned around. Now they're very fiscally aggressive. So

0:32:21.880 --> 0:32:25.880
<v Speaker 1>you've got kind of the macro intersecting with the micro,

0:32:26.040 --> 0:32:29.800
<v Speaker 1>the micro being undervalued names that have lagged for a

0:32:29.800 --> 0:32:36.080
<v Speaker 1>long time, all kind of coinciding to finally emerge as

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:39.560
<v Speaker 1>a catalyst for international hopefully for value as well. But

0:32:39.720 --> 0:32:43.040
<v Speaker 1>I think your question is about international, and so as

0:32:43.080 --> 0:32:45.120
<v Speaker 1>far as I'm concerned, I mean, it's the first time

0:32:45.120 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 1>in a long, long, long time where I can say, Okay,

0:32:46.880 --> 0:32:50.760
<v Speaker 1>we've got everything in our favor. There's nothing that says

0:32:50.800 --> 0:32:53.400
<v Speaker 1>that things can't turn around or we can't just you know,

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:55.680
<v Speaker 1>hit be hit by another crisis or whatever. But as

0:32:55.720 --> 0:33:00.120
<v Speaker 1>far as you know, lining up the odds in your favor, um,

0:33:00.160 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's as well lined up as they possibly

0:33:02.840 --> 0:33:05.440
<v Speaker 1>can be for people like us. I was really interested

0:33:05.800 --> 0:33:09.120
<v Speaker 1>earlier what you said about zoom, Um, and I want

0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:11.840
<v Speaker 1>to make sure that I understand you were Were you

0:33:11.920 --> 0:33:14.480
<v Speaker 1>were not? Were you speaking of zoom video video, the

0:33:15.680 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 1>zoom that we've been using. Yeah, zoom Sorry, yes, zoom video.

0:33:20.400 --> 0:33:23.800
<v Speaker 1>Are there other names that are are poised to see

0:33:24.080 --> 0:33:26.280
<v Speaker 1>the bubble the bubble the air come out of the bubble,

0:33:26.320 --> 0:33:28.720
<v Speaker 1>as you put it. It's interesting to me, you know,

0:33:28.760 --> 0:33:30.800
<v Speaker 1>I've been reading all these I p O documents that

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:33.960
<v Speaker 1>have been coming out these new companies Snowflake and plant

0:33:34.000 --> 0:33:38.480
<v Speaker 1>here and and the urban what's called the door Dash

0:33:38.520 --> 0:33:41.560
<v Speaker 1>and Airbnbat, and it's a there's a common thread all

0:33:41.600 --> 0:33:45.960
<v Speaker 1>of them. They all talked about the risk of growth

0:33:46.560 --> 0:33:50.480
<v Speaker 1>being disappointing in one way or another. And I find

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:53.600
<v Speaker 1>that very fascinating because these stocks are being sort of

0:33:53.680 --> 0:33:57.160
<v Speaker 1>the the built in assumption is that you're going to

0:33:57.240 --> 0:34:01.600
<v Speaker 1>have these growth rates are even more interperpetuity like you've had.

0:34:01.600 --> 0:34:04.680
<v Speaker 1>But the big differences. You know, these these companies are

0:34:04.680 --> 0:34:07.440
<v Speaker 1>not competing with legacy businesses and anymore they're competing with

0:34:07.480 --> 0:34:10.480
<v Speaker 1>other businesses have the same competitive advantages they do. Right,

0:34:11.360 --> 0:34:14.040
<v Speaker 1>So you know there's a massive capitalism is going to

0:34:14.080 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 1>do its job this year. It's going to introduce competition,

0:34:17.320 --> 0:34:19.319
<v Speaker 1>and yes, the industry can grow, but not all of

0:34:19.360 --> 0:34:24.759
<v Speaker 1>these companies can grow at those rates and strongest right

0:34:24.920 --> 0:34:28.840
<v Speaker 1>or whatever it is. Yeah, I mean you could you know,

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:31.960
<v Speaker 1>there's this uh and what kind of makes this uh

0:34:32.400 --> 0:34:35.759
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more um challenging for these companies is

0:34:36.640 --> 0:34:38.920
<v Speaker 1>they're all going to go try to make market share

0:34:38.920 --> 0:34:43.799
<v Speaker 1>at no profit. Yeah, which is like what investors have

0:34:43.800 --> 0:34:46.520
<v Speaker 1>been okay with it thus far. It's exactly you know,

0:34:46.760 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 1>create an Amazon or whatever, pick your company, and we're

0:34:49.640 --> 0:34:51.879
<v Speaker 1>okay with it. Abbe Um, so good to hear your voice.

0:34:51.880 --> 0:34:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Happy New Year, Abe Tosh Bonde, Founder and chief investment

0:34:54.680 --> 0:34:57.439
<v Speaker 1>officer at Centerstone Investors, based in New York City, which

0:34:57.440 --> 0:34:58.840
<v Speaker 1>is where we found him on the phone. Thanks so

0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:03.000
<v Speaker 1>much for listening to Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:35:03.120 --> 0:35:05.239
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0:35:05.239 --> 0:35:07.560
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0:35:07.640 --> 0:35:10.080
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0:35:10.200 --> 0:35:12.520
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