1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Okay, let's get to our next guest, and we're looking 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: into Goldman Sacks as it prepares for its biggest random 3 00:00:06,000 --> 00:00:09,319 Speaker 1: layoffs since the start of the pandemic. Discuss all this 4 00:00:09,440 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: is Sally Bakewell Bloom Big US finance team leader, Sally, 5 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: thank you some of joining us that that is this 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: really reflective of the wider industry and in banking and 7 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,439 Speaker 1: investment banking or is it company specific? I think it 8 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,920 Speaker 1: is a little bit reflective. So before the pandemic UM, 9 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: a lot of banks typically did have this kind of 10 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 1: annual cull when they would usually get rid of something 11 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: in the region of two to five percent of their 12 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: bottom performers UM. Now, because of the pandemic, they put 13 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 1: that on hold UM and gradually have started to do 14 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: it again. And now we understand we learned that Goldman 15 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: Sachs is planning to to let go of about several 16 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: hundred of its staff UM starting from this month. And 17 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: we can expect you know that the other investment banks 18 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: they faced similar to challenges they're battling inflation UM. They 19 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: have also seen a slump in dealmaking in investment banking. 20 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: And we understand that a lot of the cut cuts 21 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 1: with Goldman Sex were in that division, and so we 22 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 1: can expect that this sets the tone a little bit 23 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,559 Speaker 1: for broader Wall Street and that we we might start 24 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: to see other banks following suit. No doubt though, there's 25 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: a lot of pressure to raise the salaries of key performers, 26 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: big producers. So are we hearing much about the overall 27 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 1: strategies that to sort of hold the line, because you know, 28 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 1: if you're letting three people go and then you're hiring 29 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: somewhere else and also raising salaries, you might just tew 30 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:41,400 Speaker 1: the line. Yeah, that's right, And in fact we we 31 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 1: sort of have that dilemma played out in the comments 32 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 1: from the HSBC CFO today where they say they will 33 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: probably have to you know, materially raise pay for their 34 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: employees next year UM and that in order to kind 35 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: of battle inflation, which for a bank with two hundred 36 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: and twenty people, it's one of its um you know, 37 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: it has very very significant UM inflation related issues. It 38 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: may have to some undertake some pretty brutal cuts. I mean, 39 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: I think that any you think about that two thousand, 40 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: if you look at the number of people that work, 41 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: for instance, say at PayPal, you know you wonder whether 42 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: HSBC over the next many many years will cut headcount 43 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 1: just because it has to. Well, I mean, we're probably 44 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 1: not quite seeing the magnitude that we've seen in this 45 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: sort of tech space yet where you know, um, a 46 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 1: lot of the company is not speaking of papal here, 47 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 1: but they've faced, you know, a sort of crisis of 48 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 1: investment confidence, and so they've had to and they're facing 49 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 1: all kinds of challenges and they they've had to make 50 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:45,679 Speaker 1: these huge sweeping cuts. UM. I don't think we're we're 51 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: going to see that with the US investment banks yet. 52 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 1: I think there, if anything, they'll probably be a bit 53 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 1: more targeted in some of their teams. Goldman, you know, 54 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: we perhaps could have expected a few more to be cut. 55 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: They telegraphed in July that they were slowing their hiring 56 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: velocity amid a challenging operating environment. So this number several 57 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:12,399 Speaker 1: hundred doesn't feel like such a significant number. Of course, 58 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 1: it may transpire to be to be more um. But 59 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:18,920 Speaker 1: you know, the banks, they are facing this sort of 60 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: inflation re challenge. We've already seen them start to trim 61 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: um a lot of their mortgage related bankers um and 62 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: so we can definitely expect to see more. However, I 63 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,920 Speaker 1: mean that said you know, Citi CEO Jane Fraser, she 64 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: did rule out investment banking cuts UM and you know, 65 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 1: so it might not be that we see these huge 66 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: swathes and a bit more kind of trimming around the 67 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: edges in places, Sally. The thing is that the banking 68 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: has changed. It has a lot more competition from the 69 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: new economy now than it used to, and that has 70 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 1: of course changed the landscape because in the old days 71 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: the banks used to routinely over fire, then over higher 72 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: and just carry on with that sort of that vicious circle, 73 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: if you will, right, And it's kind of interesting now. 74 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: I mean just looking at JP Morgan UM for example, 75 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 1: it's just purchased a company, a kind of fintech payments firm, renovatee. 76 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 1: Uh so, you know, in its quest to try and 77 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: compete with technology in you know, in the new economy 78 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: online banking with apps UM with sort of the payment 79 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: apps that enable you to do these very quick transfers UM. 80 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,920 Speaker 1: So it will of course probably be acquiring people in 81 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 1: that move UM and Goldman Sex. You know, while um 82 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: it it's headcount is about forty seven thousand UM two 83 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 1: years ago it was a little bit less than that, 84 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 1: so it's actually been adding people UM as they have 85 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: also been quite aquisitive to UM. So yeah, the banking 86 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 1: landscape now is of course very different, and they're trying 87 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 1: to compete with sort of the fintech space, but that 88 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,279 Speaker 1: involves acquisition, which Bruce Head count UM just as much. 89 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:07,040 Speaker 1: I was a little surprised to see the stark price 90 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: performance of hs spec actually up two point one in 91 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: London and uh, well it didn't trade yesterday because har 92 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:16,039 Speaker 1: Kom Marca was closed. But with those comments by by 93 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: you and Stevenson and and nol Quinn about being being 94 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: short on their cost cuts by half a billion, that's 95 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 1: a lot of money. Yeah, and I think they also 96 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:31,279 Speaker 1: said that they planned to hit their two percent cost 97 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: target UM and so with costs in focus so much, 98 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 1: I think if that's what they're telegraphing, that's probably why 99 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: the UM share price didn't, you know, didn't take a 100 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 1: massive massive hit and actually ticked up a little bit 101 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:47,479 Speaker 1: UM And you know, if this is their way to 102 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: try and you know, I maybe investors are glad to 103 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: see that the bank is going to really keep a 104 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,599 Speaker 1: lit on costs because that's the thing that they do 105 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 1: care about a lot. You know, JP Morgan for all 106 00:05:57,080 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: of its positive results, it took black and shareholders for 107 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 1: not keeping it on expenses. Yeah, excellent stuff, Sally, Thank you. 108 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: Sally Bakewell, Bloomberg US Finance team leader with US live 109 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 1: here