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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. Later on in the show, Dan

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Speaker 1: Ravel and Simon Hunter are coming on, and we got

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Speaker 1: a race through our Westgate Super Contest picks. Because there's

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Speaker 1: a game tonight and Cliffhanger, we may or may not

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Speaker 1: be choosing it as one of our picks. Uh, and

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Speaker 1: you might be surprised at the side we're gonna take.

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Speaker 1: But first, let's bring on the Man, the Myth, the

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Speaker 1: Legend from Boyd Gaming, representing all the books from Boyd

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Speaker 1: Gaming in the state of Nevada and around the country.

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Speaker 1: Mr Bob Scucci, it's early for you, Scooch. We're recording

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Speaker 1: this on Thursday morning. We normally record on Tuesdays, but

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Speaker 1: you had a crazy week this week because G two E,

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Speaker 1: the big gambling conference, is in Las Vegas. I was

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Speaker 1: traveling and so we were not able to connect until

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Speaker 1: this morning. I appreciate you getting up so early in

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Speaker 1: Las Vegas. Yeah, I'm always up. You're always up. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I don't believe that I'm getting up earlier and earlier

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Speaker 1: the older I get. I'm finding that out. Yeah, well

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Speaker 1: that's what happens. You revert back to being a toddler. Listen,

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Speaker 1: I don't want a dilly dahi. Let's just get freaking

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Speaker 1: two because we got a game tonight. We gotta get

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Speaker 1: this podcast up so people can hear it before the

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Speaker 1: game tonight. All the wise guys have been coming in

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Speaker 1: on Denver. This game open at foward. It's now at three.

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Speaker 1: I kind of still like Denver or three. Yeah, this

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Speaker 1: is a tough one. I mean, the parlays and everything

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Speaker 1: of the public is all over the Chiefs. It's our

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Speaker 1: biggest game in terms of number of tickets just on

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Speaker 1: one team, more tickets on the chief than any other

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Speaker 1: team on the board. But we knew we were going

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Speaker 1: to get this, uh just that uh short road favorite.

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Speaker 1: We we hung it three and a half initially, Uh,

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Speaker 1: right out of the gate. The sharp guys took the

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half and it's been sitting at

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Speaker 1: three all week. Uh, and that's exactly kind of what

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Speaker 1: we expected. Um. You know, we had Denver rated a

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Speaker 1: lot higher than a lot of the public thought going

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Speaker 1: into last week. You know, owen owen four to start

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Speaker 1: the season. But they were in every single game that

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Speaker 1: every game was close, Every game came down to the

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Speaker 1: last play. So we really kind of favored him last week.

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Speaker 1: We went into uh that Tennessee game trying to need

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Speaker 1: Denver as best we could and we did. Actually, uh,

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Speaker 1: it was a good game to the house. So I

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Speaker 1: think they're a live dog here. I mean, it wouldn't

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Speaker 1: terribly surprise me if the Chiefs bounce back after a

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Speaker 1: couple of losses now to to to really uh uh

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Speaker 1: you know, play one of their best games. But I

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Speaker 1: think three is still the right number. And the sharp

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Speaker 1: guys indicate that we're getting at least sharp guy action

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Speaker 1: on on the Broncos and uh, public action on the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: and I like the Broncos. I don't want to spend

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Speaker 1: too much time in this game because it's the game tonight,

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Speaker 1: and so uh, let's talk about Oakland visiting the Green

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Speaker 1: Bay Packers. Oakland is a surprising three and two, Like

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Speaker 1: if you had said to me if I didn't like

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Speaker 1: when I checked the records this week, I'm like, what

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Speaker 1: Oakland's three and two? Huh? How did that happen? And

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Speaker 1: there are four and a half point dogs in Green Bay? Sneaky,

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Speaker 1: and uh, we we've actually so we've got them five

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Speaker 1: and a half point dogs and We're getting all the

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Speaker 1: money on the Raiders, and it's prides me a little

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Speaker 1: bit that the public isn't supporting the Packers as much

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Speaker 1: as I thought they would. This would be kind of

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Speaker 1: another game where I thought that the public would be

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Speaker 1: just overwhelmingly on one side the Packers while the Sharp

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Speaker 1: guys took the Raiders. But it turns out that the

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Speaker 1: actually is pretty well split between the Raiders and the

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Speaker 1: Packers from the general public and just uh completely one

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Speaker 1: sided from the Sharp guys. So we were as high

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Speaker 1: as uh six we actually opened the game six, went

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Speaker 1: down to five and a half, so quite a bit

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Speaker 1: of money on the Raiders. One of our biggest straight games,

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Speaker 1: to be honest, with the straight back games. Uh more

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Speaker 1: money on the Raiders. So that the Sharp guys really

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Speaker 1: love this team. I gotta say, I think the Packers

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Speaker 1: are a fraudulent five and one. I think they're getting

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Speaker 1: there by the skin of their teeth. They just they

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Speaker 1: don't look that good. They really are, you know, they

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Speaker 1: surprised me. The best game they played was it was

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Speaker 1: against the Vikings where they or actually they played a

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Speaker 1: couple of games where they kind of uh played the

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Speaker 1: whole game from start to finish looking good. But it

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Speaker 1: seems like they have patches of a quarter or two

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Speaker 1: quarters where they just kind of fade and they are

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Speaker 1: just barely winning some of these games that you think

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Speaker 1: that they should have won decisively, where they just look

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Speaker 1: so good to start the game and then just kind

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Speaker 1: of fade off. But um, it's getting tough to see

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Speaker 1: which NFC team really is the legit NFC contender. And

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Speaker 1: at one point we had the Packers raided right up there,

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Speaker 1: you know, in the top two or three teams, and uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, I know, it's a long season, and uh,

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Speaker 1: we've got a long way to go for for maybe

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Speaker 1: maybe things just have a mess for them, you know,

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Speaker 1: under the new coaching system. But uh, I mean, like

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Speaker 1: you said, there's still five and one. But I expected

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Speaker 1: them to be drawing a lot more public support than

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Speaker 1: they have. I'm not surprised. I'm not surprised the Raiders

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Speaker 1: getting the money. Uh. And maybe maybe I'm foreshadowing. Maybe

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Speaker 1: I already recorded with Simon Hunter and Darry Revel and

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Speaker 1: maybe the Raiders are one of the teams we pick

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Speaker 1: in our super content. Uh boy, when's the last time

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Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills were seventeen point favorites against anyone. Is

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Speaker 1: that an indication of how bad the Dolphins are? Or

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Speaker 1: is that indication of how good you think Josh Allen is. No,

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Speaker 1: it's just how bad we think the Dolphins are. Uh.

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Speaker 1: You know last week the Dolphins, Uh, they gave us

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Speaker 1: the back door cover we were looking for against Washington

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Speaker 1: when two teams that hadn't won a game played down

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Speaker 1: to our expectations. I mean, I was, uh watching that

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Speaker 1: game and just wonder, how bad can these two teams

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Speaker 1: get talking about the Redskins and the Dolphins, But at

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Speaker 1: one point, it just looked like the Dolphins, we're not

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Speaker 1: going to be competitive at all. And you know, and

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Speaker 1: every week it doesn't matter. The public just bet against

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins are so as much as the public bets

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Speaker 1: on the Patriots, they bet against Miami. So we know

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Speaker 1: this line is really inflated. Uh probably they shouldn't be

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Speaker 1: more than h fourteen and a half, but uh, it's

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Speaker 1: still Uh there's there's no wise guys support on the

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Speaker 1: Dolphins here, at least at least last week, right before

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Speaker 1: game time, we got a little play on the Dolphins,

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Speaker 1: but here nothing, It's just all all Bills Uh, even

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Speaker 1: even some pretty big money on the Bills that not

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Speaker 1: quite sure if it's from professional betters, but some big

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Speaker 1: dollars on the Bills. Uh, we're just gonna leave the

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Speaker 1: Dolphins again like we do every single week. Yeah, it's

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Speaker 1: so hard not to look at this and thing, well,

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Speaker 1: of course you have to take the Dolphins. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: the Bill's defense is amazing, and I don't know if

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins are going to score, but the Bill's offense

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Speaker 1: isn't that good, so like for them to have to

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Speaker 1: score double what the Dolphin, like, seventeen points more, eighteen

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Speaker 1: points more than the Dolphins. There have been games where

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Speaker 1: they haven't scored eighteen points and multiple games where they

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Speaker 1: haven't scored eighteen points. Yeah, now that I mean their

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Speaker 1: defense obviously is what's keeping them, uh undefeated. And they

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Speaker 1: played that real close game against New England. Actually looked

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Speaker 1: like when they played New England and I think they

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Speaker 1: got down to a third team nothing defichit. But then

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Speaker 1: they just shut down New England for the rest of

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Speaker 1: the game, which is a pretty tall task. So we

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Speaker 1: know about the defense. Uh, like you said, the offense. Um,

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Speaker 1: the problem with the Dolphins defense, I mean They're keeping

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Speaker 1: their team competitive for at least the first half, but

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Speaker 1: then they just throw on the field so much. They

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Speaker 1: just get worn down because their offense can't give them

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a breather. So I might want

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Speaker 1: to look for the Dolphins in the first half. Is

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Speaker 1: a bit of a play l a Is visiting Atlanta. Boy,

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Speaker 1: these teams are going in the wrong direction, both of them.

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Speaker 1: The Rams just look pitiful. Their offensive line cannot protect

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff. The Falcons defense, I don't think they've had

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Speaker 1: a sack in like a month, um, But if they

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Speaker 1: were ever going to get healthy in the past rush,

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Speaker 1: this is the week to do it. As much as

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Speaker 1: it pains me to say it, I like the Falcons

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Speaker 1: at plus three here. Yeah, And I think you're on

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Speaker 1: the same side as as a lot of the professionals.

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Speaker 1: And I think last week was really the telltale sign

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Speaker 1: for the Rams. I think a lot of people, including myself,

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Speaker 1: really expected them uh to show up against the Niners

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Speaker 1: and kind of exposed the forty Niners a little bit.

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Speaker 1: But that didn't happen, and they just two teams that

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Speaker 1: are on downward spiral. But the Rams just really looked dysfunctional.

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Speaker 1: On the offense, and and golf doesn't look good, and uh,

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Speaker 1: it's the Sharp guys have not been on the Falcons

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Speaker 1: one game this year until now, so I think that

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Speaker 1: says more about the Rams than it does about the Falcons.

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Speaker 1: But they're certainly on them on this game. The public

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Speaker 1: is still supporting the Rams somewhat. I just think, you know,

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Speaker 1: they're just looking at the Rams as a short road

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Speaker 1: favored minus three and just figure they're just a much

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Speaker 1: better team, even though their record doesn't indicate it. I

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Speaker 1: think every week they've been kind of saying the same

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Speaker 1: thing about the Rams, looking for them to get that

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Speaker 1: cover eventually. But the Sharp guys are all over the

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Speaker 1: Falcons on this one. The next game, Minnesota is visiting Detroit.

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Speaker 1: Minnesota's a one and a half point favorite. I wrote

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Speaker 1: a story yesterday and the Action Network Action network dot com.

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Speaker 1: You can find it right now, go look forward to

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Speaker 1: just type in Chad Millman Action Network Last place teams.

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Speaker 1: You know, the Washington Nationals in May were in last place.

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Speaker 1: They had more losses than the Detroit Tigers, who ended

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Speaker 1: up with the most losses in Major League Baseball. In

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Speaker 1: January of this year, the St Louis Blues were in

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Speaker 1: last place in the NHL, so we're a little we're

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Speaker 1: close to halfway through the NFL season, which last place

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Speaker 1: team has the best chance and the greatest value where

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Speaker 1: that those sort of ven diagrams meet to make it

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Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl. I'm going with the Detroit lines.

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Speaker 1: I love their schedule, I love their defensive line. I

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Speaker 1: like Matthew Stafford. I wish they could run the ball

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Speaker 1: a little better. Um, but this team could be five

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Speaker 1: and oh yeah, I mean they really could. You look

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Speaker 1: at their losses. I mean they were just uh easily

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Speaker 1: could have gone the other way. And they've surprised a

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Speaker 1: lot of people, and they're still kind of flying under

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Speaker 1: the radar in terms of kind of the betting public.

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Speaker 1: It hasn't been one of the teams that they've jumped on,

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Speaker 1: uh even though that they're getting quite a bit of

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Speaker 1: wins against the spread and uh even, and so in

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Speaker 1: this game here still no love for the Lions. It's

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Speaker 1: just been all vikings, both public and sharp guys. We

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Speaker 1: haven't seen any sharp action on on the Lions on

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Speaker 1: this one. A little surprising. Usually when you see, uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, a decent team at home either getting getting

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Speaker 1: a couple of points or laying a point. Uh, it's

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Speaker 1: usually a play for for the wise guys, but this

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Speaker 1: one that looks like they're on the vikings. And I

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Speaker 1: could see this line going up by game time, So

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Speaker 1: there might be a little opportunity to get some value

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Speaker 1: on the Lions played on in the week. Interesting, So

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Speaker 1: you think I should wait if I like them? It

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Speaker 1: looks like it's going up. It doesn't look like it's

218
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Speaker 1: coming back towards picked them. It looks like it's going

219
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Speaker 1: up towards three. Why do you think the wise guys

220
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Speaker 1: are in the vikings like this seems like a prime spot?

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Speaker 1: Is it because they feel like they're starting to get

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Speaker 1: see the vikings be what they should be? Is because

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Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins played so well, where's your where's your opinion there?

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Speaker 1: I mean, they they usually don't just take last week

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Speaker 1: into consideration, but it did look like their best game

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Speaker 1: of the years. I mean that was kind of how

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Speaker 1: they were expected to play coming into this season, a

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Speaker 1: lot of high hopes. Uh. They disappointed in a couple

229
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Speaker 1: of games against the Bears. They looked awful, but they

230
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Speaker 1: bounced back nicely and they put together a couple of

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Speaker 1: games against the the Giants and then last week, so, uh,

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Speaker 1: they're playing up to form and it just might be

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Speaker 1: a spot where they they're they're feeling like, uh, maybe

234
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Speaker 1: the Lions coming off of the Packer game, Uh might

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Speaker 1: be a little soft spot. All right. Um this next game, man,

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Speaker 1: it's another one, Houston doing what they did to the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: visiting the Colts coach short home favorite, Like this feels

238
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Speaker 1: like a prime by the Colts spot. Not only that

239
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Speaker 1: you buy the Cults in the money lie because like

240
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Speaker 1: you're basically saying they're gonna win. So you know what's

241
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Speaker 1: the money line number right here? And tell me if

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Speaker 1: the wise guys are taking that instead of taking the

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Speaker 1: minus one? Uh No, the money line is actually only

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Speaker 1: a dollar twenty, So I don't know that there's that

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Speaker 1: much value in the money line when you're looking at

246
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Speaker 1: either laying one or or laying the dollar twenty. You

247
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Speaker 1: can lay one and lay minus one ten, so uh,

248
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Speaker 1: not not much difference there. But we really so we

249
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Speaker 1: knew that the public would be on the Texans here

250
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Speaker 1: and we're debating on whether open the Texans one of

251
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Speaker 1: the Colts one. And it's just a matter who we

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Speaker 1: wanted a need going into this game, and as much

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Speaker 1: as I've liked the Texans in the last three or

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Speaker 1: four weeks, I think this was the spot for the Colts.

255
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Speaker 1: So we went high on the Colts and we went

256
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Speaker 1: uh minus one, haven't had I think that slowed him

257
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Speaker 1: down on Had I opened the Texans one, I think

258
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Speaker 1: the sharp guys would have taken the Colts. Um. But

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Speaker 1: as it is, I opened the Colts one. And now

260
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Speaker 1: the public has taken the Texans, but no indication yet

261
00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,199
Speaker 1: from the Sharp guys which way they're going. So I

262
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Speaker 1: think they'll be on the Colts, but they're They're probably

263
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Speaker 1: waiting until closer to game time, so they don't tip

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Speaker 1: their hand on this one. So you're saying, if I

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Speaker 1: want the Colts, I might want to get him. Now

266
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Speaker 1: now I want the Colt I want the spot for them,

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Speaker 1: and I try to put ourselves in a position where

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Speaker 1: we draw a little Texans money. Um. And like I said,

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Speaker 1: and I think Texans are a great team, and but

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Speaker 1: I just think this is really a good spot for

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Speaker 1: the Colts and that hasn't panned out for me too well.

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Speaker 1: This year a lot of these games were teams were

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Speaker 1: minus one minus one and a half at home in

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Speaker 1: good spots. Just hasn't really like even last week with

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Speaker 1: the the Browns and UH early on in the year

276
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Speaker 1: when the UH Sinnati was hosting UH San Francisco, a

277
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Speaker 1: lot of spots this year, this play hasn't turned out.

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Speaker 1: But you gotta stay with it. You gotta stick with

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Speaker 1: those those plays. Long term that's what wins. Right Like

280
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Speaker 1: we all got burned last week on the Browns, we

281
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Speaker 1: all got burned last week and the Jags. But long term,

282
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Speaker 1: that's why you got that. Also, that's why I feel

283
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Speaker 1: like you got to take the trade. Um alright, Arizona

284
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Speaker 1: is visiting the Giants. Do we think Arizona is getting better?

285
00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:32,120
Speaker 1: Like does Danny Dimes recover from the debacle against the Patriots.

286
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Speaker 1: We're the wise guys here, UH, wise guys are on

287
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Speaker 1: the Giants. UM and and the public to some extent

288
00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:41,520
Speaker 1: a on the on the Giants. Not a whole lot

289
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Speaker 1: of support for the Cardinals. Now, we did open two

290
00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:48,160
Speaker 1: and a half, so it's possibly just um there's might

291
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,520
Speaker 1: see it might have seen an opportunity just to get

292
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Speaker 1: a good number known A lot of places would be

293
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Speaker 1: at three. But all the early money was on the

294
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Speaker 1: Giants from two and a half to three. At three,

295
00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:01,040
Speaker 1: it slowed down a bit, but still just nothing big

296
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Speaker 1: on the Cardinals at all. Not a whole lot of

297
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:07,000
Speaker 1: support from the general public. So it's just all Giants here. Um,

298
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Speaker 1: I think the Giants probably are the play here, but

299
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Speaker 1: at three, it's not a it's not a not a

300
00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:18,160
Speaker 1: great play. San Francisco, big big number all of a sudden,

301
00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,160
Speaker 1: like the leading contender in the NFC to make to

302
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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. By the way, we wrote that an

303
00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:27,600
Speaker 1: Action Network like three weeks ago, no joke. People were laughing.

304
00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:29,680
Speaker 1: We're like, this is what the numbers say, San Francisco,

305
00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:32,160
Speaker 1: best odds to get to the Super Bowl, best value,

306
00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:36,360
Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorites over the Redskins. I

307
00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:38,760
Speaker 1: think this is the most interesting game on the board

308
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:43,360
Speaker 1: because it's it's the most inflated, uh game, the most

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Speaker 1: inflated team. Uh. We we've really responded to the Niners

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Speaker 1: just covering against the spread and winning. Uh you know,

311
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Speaker 1: I think there are dogs and I think four of

312
00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:57,720
Speaker 1: their five wins and uh, you know, now suddenly they're

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Speaker 1: laying ten points on the road. Now I know it's

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Speaker 1: again is a really bad team. But you can't get

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00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:07,440
Speaker 1: more inflated line than this and um, but there's two

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Speaker 1: kind of professional outfits out there that are on different

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00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:15,639
Speaker 1: sides of this game. So at plus ten we got

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Speaker 1: a lot of money on the Redskins. We went down

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Speaker 1: the nine and a half, and at nine and a

320
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Speaker 1: half we've got a lot of money on the Niners.

321
00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:24,120
Speaker 1: We bounced back and forth a few times. Now we're

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00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 1: sitting at ten even money. Great two way action on

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Speaker 1: this game. Um, it's probably the second highest game in

324
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Speaker 1: terms of number of tickets written on the forty Niners.

325
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Speaker 1: So the Chiefs have the most bets on the board

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Speaker 1: of any team. The forty Niners have the second most

327
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Speaker 1: on the board. So certainly a public game. And it

328
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Speaker 1: looks like the sharp guys are just kind of divided

329
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Speaker 1: as far as the number. At nine and a half

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Speaker 1: they like the Niners and at ten they like the Redskins.

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Speaker 1: But I'll tell you there's no value in the Niners

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Speaker 1: at ten on the road. I mean, every bit of

333
00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:57,160
Speaker 1: that value has been taken out over the last few

334
00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:01,640
Speaker 1: weeks as they've steadily increased the in terms of power rankings.

335
00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:04,880
Speaker 1: You just told me three very interesting things and It's

336
00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:08,479
Speaker 1: an indication of like how in a month things can

337
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:14,240
Speaker 1: change so quickly. But the fact that there's opposite two outfits,

338
00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:17,760
Speaker 1: respected outfits on opposite side of this game. But the

339
00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:19,600
Speaker 1: fact that you have the most tickets on this game

340
00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:21,679
Speaker 1: and the fact you have the most second most tickets

341
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:26,280
Speaker 1: on the Niners is astonishing. Yeah, it really is. I mean,

342
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:27,879
Speaker 1: you wouldn't have said that just a matter of you know,

343
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:30,359
Speaker 1: two or three weeks ago. I mean, everybody was kind

344
00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:32,840
Speaker 1: of surprised at the Niners out of the game their

345
00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,480
Speaker 1: first two games, and then then by game three they're like, hey,

346
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,280
Speaker 1: this team is pretty good, and then just kind of

347
00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: waiting for this team to get exposed against the Rams,

348
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,199
Speaker 1: which didn't happen. If anything, that made him look just

349
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,720
Speaker 1: so much better, made him look like world beaters. But

350
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:47,600
Speaker 1: I think I think that game made them look a

351
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:51,199
Speaker 1: little bit better than what they truly are, and they

352
00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:54,520
Speaker 1: keep proving me wrong. But I you know, we go

353
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Speaker 1: through this with with a team that's kind of a

354
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:59,399
Speaker 1: resurgent team and not expected to be as good as

355
00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:01,919
Speaker 1: they are. It might take a six seven, eight games

356
00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 1: to to kind of catch up to what their true

357
00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 1: rating should be. This next game Jacksonville three and a

358
00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:12,040
Speaker 1: half point favorites over Cincinnati. Can we skip it? Is?

359
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:17,600
Speaker 1: Everyone's on Jacksonville the soccer uh the next game though,

360
00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 1: the Chargers in Tennessee. I'm getting like split decisions um

361
00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:29,399
Speaker 1: all over the place because I hear the Tennessee Titans

362
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,359
Speaker 1: on the right side. I hear that the Charges of

363
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,360
Speaker 1: the right side, like what are the wise guys doing here?

364
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:40,480
Speaker 1: They're heavy on the Titans. So we're we're pretty close

365
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,159
Speaker 1: to going to uh to two and a half right

366
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:44,960
Speaker 1: We're at one and a half right now. We open

367
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 1: the game Titans one. It's another one of those games

368
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:49,800
Speaker 1: kind of similar to the Texans and Colts. You know,

369
00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 1: pretty much it tossed up. But these two teams are

370
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,120
Speaker 1: like mirror images of each other. You know, really good

371
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:59,800
Speaker 1: quarterbacks that are just kind of inconsistent and uh offenses

372
00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 1: that the you know, the talent is there, but they

373
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:06,480
Speaker 1: just they can't put it together. UH defense and both

374
00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:10,879
Speaker 1: have good defenses, but then let's up the big plays.

375
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 1: And so I don't know, I I think at one

376
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 1: and a half, I mean, we're we're still getting more

377
00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 1: money on the Titans, and just because of the home

378
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,080
Speaker 1: field and it's just one of those plays a home

379
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:25,640
Speaker 1: team laying one one and a half um And that's

380
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:27,440
Speaker 1: why I think to get any kind of Chargers money,

381
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:28,680
Speaker 1: we may have to go to two and a half.

382
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:30,879
Speaker 1: So if I want the Chargers, I'm gonna have to

383
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:34,400
Speaker 1: wait on that one too, I think. So. I don't

384
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:36,880
Speaker 1: think there's too much value right now. And it looks

385
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,159
Speaker 1: like just from where the money is, it's going in

386
00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 1: that direction. And now we're finally getting a decent stretch

387
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 1: of late games. We got the Bears and then the Saints.

388
00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,399
Speaker 1: The Bears at three and a half. Mitch Rubinski is

389
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 1: coming back. Um I I think I like the Bears. Yeah,

390
00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,360
Speaker 1: this is a tough one because the Saints have just been,

391
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:03,240
Speaker 1: you know, just on a roll, beating some really good

392
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:05,919
Speaker 1: teams in the last in the last three weeks, and

393
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:10,359
Speaker 1: folks in the roll of uh you know, home team

394
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,479
Speaker 1: as well as on the road, and uh, here they

395
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:15,159
Speaker 1: are on the road again. It's probably a spot for

396
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 1: the Bears. I think just the number three just indicates

397
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 1: that they're kind of both evenly matched and it's just

398
00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 1: the home field that's kind of driving the number here.

399
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 1: Great action on both sides, early money on the Bears.

400
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:30,920
Speaker 1: We went to three and a half briefly, but took

401
00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 1: a lot of money on the Saints that drove us

402
00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 1: right back to three. So now we're sitting at three.

403
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 1: A little heavier on the Saints, I would say even

404
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:42,440
Speaker 1: at plus three. Um, the public is on the Saints

405
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:44,920
Speaker 1: at about a two to one ratio, but the money

406
00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 1: is pretty similar. So bigger money on the Bears, more

407
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:51,119
Speaker 1: tickets on the Saints. Great action. It's one of the

408
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 1: more more heavily back games on the board, as you

409
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:57,440
Speaker 1: probably imagine, but a great action both ways. And we're

410
00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:00,800
Speaker 1: not lopsided in the game. You didn't tell me any

411
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 1: edge there. You gave me no lean whatsoever. No, no,

412
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 1: I mean that's the that's the thing that I think

413
00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 1: that's the right number. I think it's a solid number.

414
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:12,640
Speaker 1: There's no there's nothing to indicate kind of one one

415
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,679
Speaker 1: way or the other, not even from the from the

416
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,960
Speaker 1: Sharp guys, Baltimore Seattle is a new brainer to me.

417
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:23,760
Speaker 1: Take the Ravens go. Yeah, you're not kidding, Um, this

418
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:28,720
Speaker 1: is our biggest game in terms of straight pets. Um,

419
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 1: we've got more more money on the Ravens than from

420
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:36,040
Speaker 1: from the Sharp Guys. Then let me see any other

421
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: game limit to the double checking. Um, yeah, the Raiders.

422
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,120
Speaker 1: It's pretty close between the Raiders and the Ravens. Those

423
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,320
Speaker 1: are the two most heavily bet games on the board

424
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 1: for us from the wise guys in terms of just

425
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,640
Speaker 1: one way. So now we opened four on the game,

426
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,159
Speaker 1: so a lot of it was just a much higher

427
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 1: number went to three and a half. They took the

428
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: three and a half, and uh we're at three right

429
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 1: now and I could had no support at minus three

430
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:05,439
Speaker 1: for the Seahawks. Um, the public is a little heavier

431
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,359
Speaker 1: on the Seahawks. Uh, not by much, you know, maybe

432
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,159
Speaker 1: one and a half to one as as far as

433
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:14,360
Speaker 1: the ratio. But uh yeah, wise guys love the Ravens.

434
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,320
Speaker 1: So it's Ravens and Raiders from the wise guys. Well,

435
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:21,399
Speaker 1: guess who else loves the Ravens. Well, because when I

436
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 1: say wise guys, you can just substitute Chad Millman when

437
00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:26,720
Speaker 1: I say that, So why don't you just say why

438
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 1: don't you just say the Millman's instead of the guys?

439
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 1: The Millman's out there love the Ravens and the Raiders

440
00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 1: like that. Speaking of which, another one, the Eagles visiting

441
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 1: the Cowboys prime time Sunday Night Eagles plus three. That's

442
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:47,199
Speaker 1: where the milmans are. Yep, and uh that's exactly what

443
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,320
Speaker 1: what we're seeing as well. Now we never got off

444
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,160
Speaker 1: three and this one, all we've done is we moved

445
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 1: the money a little bit, but the ticket account is

446
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 1: dead even I mean this, this is a great, finally,

447
00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 1: a great Sunday Night, uh match up where we're just

448
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:04,639
Speaker 1: going to draw tremendous action on both sides. But the

449
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 1: sharp guys are favoring the Eagles. And you look at

450
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: the Cowboys in their last few games, and there's another team.

451
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 1: Kind of what I was talking about is all these

452
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 1: teams that you think are the elite teams in the NFC,

453
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 1: and we talked early on in the year and we

454
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 1: really had the Cowboys right up there with the Packers

455
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:23,280
Speaker 1: and the Saints and uh and they've fallen by the wayside.

456
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 1: And with all that talent on the offense, there's you know,

457
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: I think some of these teams, some of the defenses

458
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:32,119
Speaker 1: are starting to figure out some of the uh, some

459
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 1: of the offenses a little a little more. And uh.

460
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,240
Speaker 1: So we're seeing these teams that look dominant at the

461
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 1: beginning of the year starting to kind of get exposed

462
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:41,919
Speaker 1: a little bit. No, the problem with the Cowboys is

463
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 1: there two tackles. They're two top receivers are hurt. Uh,

464
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: and they're trying too hard to get the ball to

465
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 1: Ezekiel Elliott at a time when they don't have an

466
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,159
Speaker 1: offensive line they can support the run blocking. That's the

467
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 1: problem with the Cowboys. Skoos there there you go right

468
00:24:57,000 --> 00:25:01,480
Speaker 1: in a nutshell. Yeah, exactly, all right, Monday night, football boy,

469
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,639
Speaker 1: the Patriots are gonna go into New York to the

470
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,959
Speaker 1: meadowlands where the Jets are feeling so good about themselves

471
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:12,120
Speaker 1: after beating the Cowboys. And you know, my producer Patrick

472
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:15,960
Speaker 1: is walking around in his Jets hat feeling proud, and

473
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 1: the Patriots are just going to come in and stomp

474
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:24,640
Speaker 1: on him. I have a feeling that you're right. Um,

475
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:28,400
Speaker 1: this would be with any other team ever, this would

476
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 1: be an automatic play on the Jets. Plus pen. We

477
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,920
Speaker 1: opened ten on the game. Uh. We took a ton

478
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,119
Speaker 1: of money on the Jets, which is good because no

479
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 1: matter how much we take, we're gonna still need the Jets.

480
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 1: By by Monday night, the ticket count is like five

481
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:48,199
Speaker 1: to one Patriots to Jets. So we're trying to take

482
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: as much early money now on the Jets, knowing that

483
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 1: by game time it'll you know, we well, we'll still

484
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 1: need them for our long so uh, we're gonna be

485
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 1: big Jets fans. All the early money is on the

486
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 1: Jets only because we have played at the number. I

487
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 1: guess what time in is? Scooch Scooch roulette. Let's do it, brother,

488
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:19,360
Speaker 1: all right. I know for a fact that I lost

489
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 1: last week cause I think I was all over the Browns. Yeah,

490
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: and I was on the Jaguars and you were on

491
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:27,639
Speaker 1: the Jaguars. Were talked about, we were we both we

492
00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:29,840
Speaker 1: both lost last week, and since we both lost, I'm

493
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 1: going to give you a chance to go first. I'm

494
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 1: gonna go with the Raiders. I like this team plus

495
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,720
Speaker 1: the points. Um, I've liked them a little bit more

496
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: than a lot of my my colleagues around town earlier

497
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 1: in the year, and they've been kind of up and down,

498
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 1: but I like him. This week, I am going with

499
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles. I am joining my Millman brethren in

500
00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 1: putting my money on the Eagles, who I think are basically, uh,

501
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 1: they's more talented than the Cowboys right now, just because

502
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 1: of all the injuries Fly Eagles, Fly, Fly Eagles Fly, Scooch.

503
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 1: I want you to have a great rest of the week.

504
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,680
Speaker 1: I appreciate you coming on your podcast. Everyone stick around.

505
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:19,959
Speaker 1: We got a very important read coming up from our

506
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 1: friends at Air B and B. And then Simon Hunter

507
00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,399
Speaker 1: and Dan Ravelle are coming back, uh to talk about

508
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:32,320
Speaker 1: the West Gates Super Contest. Scooch until next week, Seybody, Okay,

509
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:35,440
Speaker 1: we're back to the podcast and Uh as usual, I've

510
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:39,040
Speaker 1: got Dan Ravelle on the phone with me. We are

511
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:42,440
Speaker 1: going to make our selections for the Westgate Las Vegas

512
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,360
Speaker 1: Super Contest. We're trying to win one point five million dollars.

513
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 1: Later on in the show, we're gonna bring up professional

514
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,199
Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter. He's gonna grade our picks, put us

515
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,399
Speaker 1: in a different direction if he doesn't like what we're choosing,

516
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:55,640
Speaker 1: if he thinks we're too square, if we're not making

517
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,520
Speaker 1: the right choices. From a game theory perspective. For the

518
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:03,640
Speaker 1: contest um last week, Darren, we were two and three

519
00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:06,800
Speaker 1: coming off of four in one week. That was no fun.

520
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 1: The Lions. We needed a miracle sit down from Jamal

521
00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:14,199
Speaker 1: Williams at the end of the Money Night game to

522
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 1: cover that. Lions plus four. Whoa that? Let me let

523
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 1: me just tell you. I mean it is really as

524
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 1: someone who has not been betting my entire life to

525
00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 1: to to root against the different root for or against

526
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:34,160
Speaker 1: the different game that goes on, it's just it's it's unreal.

527
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 1: And that one was because you know, I wasn't a

528
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,000
Speaker 1: better for the girly game. I mean that one was

529
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 1: pretty crazy. Yeah, that was. You could see it coming

530
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 1: that way too. You could see it happening with that

531
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,120
Speaker 1: that the whole way, Like the way that game was

532
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 1: playing out with the Lions only scoring field goals. We

533
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 1: knew that was going to be the shot. All right. Listen,

534
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 1: you sent me some ideas you had about the games

535
00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:03,240
Speaker 1: that you like this week. UM, go ahead, you tell

536
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 1: me what you're thinking right now. Listen, I am, I am.

537
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 1: I was a hater against the Jets. I said, you know,

538
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 1: Sam Darnald not going to make a difference with this team.

539
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 1: I saw enough. I think they're good enough. I think,

540
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 1: you know, Levian might finally have something going. And I

541
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 1: don't think the Patriots are going to cover nine and

542
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 1: a half. So I like the Jets plus nine and

543
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 1: a half. Um, I would you say that's gonna be

544
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:43,560
Speaker 1: a you're that's gonna be a no. Okay, all right,

545
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 1: we start off on the foot. We always do good. Okay, Uh, Philly, Philly, Okay,

546
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 1: you know Dallas. I really liked this game going in, UM,

547
00:29:54,800 --> 00:30:00,680
Speaker 1: but I am nauseous about Dallas now. Uh. And I

548
00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:03,280
Speaker 1: think that and they have some there's some injuries going on.

549
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:07,160
Speaker 1: I like Philly plus three in that game. Ding ding

550
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 1: ding ding. I love it, you love it? Okay, So

551
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 1: so I think we have one. I really like, uh,

552
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. I thought, I think they're there. I

553
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 1: think Kyler needed a couple of games to get going.

554
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 1: Uh and I like getting three. I like Arizona plus

555
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:36,720
Speaker 1: three in this game. Okay, we can talk about that one.

556
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:43,920
Speaker 1: What we can talk about that one? Okay? Uh. Seattle,

557
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 1: they haven't been convincing obviously if you look at their

558
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 1: uh you know what what they've done. They've in the

559
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 1: winds that they've had, They've they've you know, barely pulled

560
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:59,520
Speaker 1: it off, but they pulled it off. I I like

561
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 1: see Attle um minus four and I am my last

562
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 1: in my last game. I like, Now I have to choose.

563
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 1: I need I like both l A teams. This week.

564
00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 1: So I will let you, and it has to be

565
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 1: one of them. It has to be one of them.

566
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 1: I will let you choose the Chargers plus two for

567
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 1: the Rams minus three. Alright, Uh, Number one, I hate

568
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:33,440
Speaker 1: the Seattle pick. I actually am so all in on

569
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 1: the Ravens. But number two, I actually like the Chargers pick.

570
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:41,720
Speaker 1: It's a hard game to handicap the Chargers in the Titans,

571
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 1: and so is every game. I look at all these games, Chad,

572
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 1: now that's going through it, and I do a first path.

573
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:49,880
Speaker 1: I just want everyone to know, and I think they

574
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 1: probably do that, like you know, like you say, oh,

575
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:56,560
Speaker 1: you need five games every week. I've gone through this.

576
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:01,000
Speaker 1: I can't find five on the first path. That's how

577
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:05,320
Speaker 1: hard this is. Look, there's never an obvious choice, and

578
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 1: a lot of times I find my first instinct is

579
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 1: actually wrong. Like you know, I will immediately see games

580
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 1: that I like as soon as the line is open,

581
00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 1: and just by virtue of sort of pattern recognition and

582
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 1: philosophies that I like. You know, I I tend to

583
00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 1: look for life short home favorites, short home dogs. I

584
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:31,840
Speaker 1: tend to look for teams that got blown out the

585
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 1: week before where I think there's going to be what

586
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 1: are you doing? What are you doing? What is happening?

587
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 1: Are you opening a bag of potato chips? Can you

588
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,239
Speaker 1: hear me? Yes? I can. What do you do there?

589
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 1: And what are you doing back there? I'm doing nothing

590
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 1: like my phone is. It's like it's like the iPhone.

591
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 1: It's it's like they need to they want me to

592
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:57,320
Speaker 1: buy the new phone. I could barely hear you. So anyways,

593
00:32:57,320 --> 00:33:00,120
Speaker 1: I was saying, like, I'm looking for teams that up

594
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 1: blown out the week before, teams that are, uh that

595
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 1: I think will be a little diminished or a little

596
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:10,080
Speaker 1: over value. You looking because if it's too obvious, it's

597
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 1: going to be public exactly, and so then there's no value.

598
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 1: But it's not. It's look, as the season goes on,

599
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 1: it gets harder, right. I thought last week, actually, I

600
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: thought last week was one of the weeks where every

601
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 1: game was clear to me. And in Project to fifty six,

602
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,920
Speaker 1: which you can follow in the Action Network gap toft

603
00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:32,040
Speaker 1: or bust Um, where I'm betting every single game this year,

604
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:34,960
Speaker 1: I thought I was gonna kill it and I only

605
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 1: went eight in six and I needed, like like you,

606
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 1: I needed Jamal Williams at the end of the game

607
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 1: in order to make sure that I won that game. So,

608
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 1: um yeah, it's freaking hard to handicap. It's freaking hard

609
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:51,960
Speaker 1: to pick five games every single week. Um. I like

610
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 1: your Eagles pick, I like your Chargers pick. I think

611
00:33:55,600 --> 00:34:01,040
Speaker 1: we're both gonna be on the same side there. Um,

612
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 1: but I am against you in a lot of the

613
00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 1: other games. So what I want to do is bring

614
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:10,399
Speaker 1: in Simon Hunter and professional better from New Jersey who's

615
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 1: been guiding us on our Westgate one point five million

616
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:16,720
Speaker 1: dollar Super Contact journey, and he can weigh in judgment

617
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:24,720
Speaker 1: on us. And now a word from a wise guy

618
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:35,320
Speaker 1: with Simon Hunter. Hello Simon, good morning boys, Happy week seven.

619
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:44,799
Speaker 1: What does Simon say today? Do you get it? That

620
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 1: was a tough week last week, but I'm excited about

621
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:50,879
Speaker 1: back this week. A lot of us. What was tough

622
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:54,720
Speaker 1: about last week is like, you know, the Browns crap

623
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:59,320
Speaker 1: of the bed, and um, there were so many games

624
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 1: and the box. Jesus, how did we choose the box?

625
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 1: How did we choose the box? Simon? Yeah, I mean

626
00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:11,359
Speaker 1: we were we were due for a Winston meltdown game.

627
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:12,920
Speaker 1: As soon as that game started, I think you were

628
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:14,960
Speaker 1: you were busy with me and Darren were text and

629
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,879
Speaker 1: we're just like, oh my god, oh my god. So

630
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 1: that was that was a terrible one, but they make

631
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 1: you feel better. The leader of the whole contest when

632
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:25,240
Speaker 1: oh five this week, So at least we're not that guy.

633
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,280
Speaker 1: Well that's good. So we didn't lose too much ground

634
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,399
Speaker 1: and like to be how did you say the leader

635
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:32,200
Speaker 1: last year? What the leader of this leader? The leader

636
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 1: of this year? He went over five last week, so

637
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:38,440
Speaker 1: last dropped down to third. Okay, that's how good he

638
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,440
Speaker 1: was doing. How many games? How many games does the

639
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:46,880
Speaker 1: leader of the pack have one? Right now? Um, I

640
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 1: mean we're on a historical pace. Just the odds were

641
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:51,799
Speaker 1: fourth though, just because so many more people are doing

642
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:55,439
Speaker 1: it now. Um, there was a guy I'm pretty sure

643
00:35:55,520 --> 00:36:02,240
Speaker 1: he was seven and three, so um, I'm I'm pretty

644
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 1: sure that's what it was, but that might not be

645
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 1: right saying he might have lost or tired one, so

646
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 1: he might be twenty six three and one. But um,

647
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:13,879
Speaker 1: it's all like, no, they're never gonna keep that pace

648
00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,120
Speaker 1: up because they're not obviously not using a system, because

649
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,720
Speaker 1: that's why that guy went oh five, He's just picking.

650
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:22,319
Speaker 1: He's not using anything to back his picks, so it'll

651
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:24,640
Speaker 1: be it'll be rare for us to go oh and five,

652
00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 1: then it would ever be go five and out like

653
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 1: the way we're playing right now, we're doing sharp and chalk. Well,

654
00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 1: we'll never just go home five hopefully. Listen, Simon, don't

655
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 1: underestimate us. If anybody, if anybody can go on and

656
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,600
Speaker 1: five using multiple philosophies that they think are geared to

657
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:46,720
Speaker 1: making them go five. And now it's me and Darren.

658
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 1: I don't know my man, Darren's my man, Dare's getting

659
00:36:50,120 --> 00:36:52,520
Speaker 1: pretty sharp as these weeks go along. Here I came

660
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:54,160
Speaker 1: and talked down on my man last week. That was

661
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,640
Speaker 1: a great call in the Jets. It's true, and we

662
00:36:56,680 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 1: totally ignored him. I know, I feel terrible. I feel terrible.

663
00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 1: Well guess what. Guess what? He he likes the Jets

664
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 1: again this week, which I hate. And so, um, let

665
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:14,319
Speaker 1: me give you Darren's picks the woman, some of which

666
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:17,839
Speaker 1: I just outright rejected. Uh he chose the Jets plus

667
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 1: nine and a half. I said, absolutely not. Um I

668
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:26,200
Speaker 1: actually do like that, but um I wouldn't do it

669
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 1: for the super contest, just because, like I think we

670
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,200
Speaker 1: said earlier, the Patriots there are no rules for the Patriots.

671
00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:34,120
Speaker 1: They break all the rules. But that's a good spot.

672
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna betting on the Jets again and that spot,

673
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 1: but I wouldn't do in the Super cont What makes

674
00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 1: you say you're gonna bet him on a bet on

675
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:44,520
Speaker 1: him in that spot? Um, Like, I have this line

676
00:37:44,520 --> 00:37:47,480
Speaker 1: at six, so it's like nine and a half ten.

677
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,239
Speaker 1: So for my system, I'm gonna play that. But in

678
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 1: the Super Contest, like, we're gonna play that game and

679
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:56,279
Speaker 1: the Jets will lose one. So that's why it's like,

680
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,120
Speaker 1: I like, I liked it long term gambling on that

681
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:03,720
Speaker 1: when the short term it's not a good Super Contest

682
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:05,600
Speaker 1: because there's other games we can find it better than

683
00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 1: that one and remind people what you mean when you

684
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:10,279
Speaker 1: say long term. We talked a little bit about this

685
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:13,239
Speaker 1: last week in relation to the Browns. Explain sort of

686
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 1: last week we got we literally got lucky on the

687
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 1: two the two games that didn't work out for what

688
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:23,359
Speaker 1: you were talking about, like going against the public where

689
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:25,840
Speaker 1: the Jags and the Browns and then the Jags end

690
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 1: up getting a lot of money at the end. So

691
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: people thought that was public, but that was that was

692
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 1: mainly sharp money coming in late um. But other games,

693
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: like when you're fading in the public, like last week,

694
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 1: I hit really big on the jets Um because that

695
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 1: was like I don't know the exact number, but I

696
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 1: think I saw some books for over nine of the

697
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:50,279
Speaker 1: money was on the Cowboys. So that's one of those

698
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 1: long term percentage plays. If you just if you just

699
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 1: ride with the book fading the public all year, you're

700
00:38:57,120 --> 00:38:58,360
Speaker 1: at the end of year, you're going to make a

701
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:00,440
Speaker 1: percentage of that. That's why Vegas to be this The

702
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 1: public always loses long term against Vegas. So that's what

703
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:06,239
Speaker 1: I meant. Like the Browns one, do you watch the

704
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:08,719
Speaker 1: whole game? The referees they're dictating a lot of these

705
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 1: games right now and that was one of those games

706
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 1: that got dictated by the refs. By Brown's game, The

707
00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:16,360
Speaker 1: rest are killing us. The randomness of the rest calls

708
00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:19,799
Speaker 1: is redefining what it means to be a better and

709
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 1: it's so frustrating. She hadn't always been this way though.

710
00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:25,239
Speaker 1: I think people are just noticing more because it's more

711
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 1: more money, more like money is in the States instead

712
00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:31,560
Speaker 1: of off shore, and you know, like gambling was a

713
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:34,880
Speaker 1: little taboo, so people wouldn't really complain about it, saying

714
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 1: like how much power these refs have to change the

715
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 1: outcome of these games and spread totals. But I think

716
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 1: it's better now that more people are seeing because I

717
00:39:43,200 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 1: do think there's gonna be a big change coming where

718
00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 1: they'll be able to review all these little calls because

719
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 1: some of this stuff is just so egregious. I mean

720
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 1: that that Lions game, we should have won that outright,

721
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 1: and the fact that we had to sweat it at

722
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 1: the end. They're just it's just ridiculous the stuff going

723
00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:58,799
Speaker 1: on these refs right now. Little. I mean, can I

724
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 1: ask you, can I the fact that more people are betting?

725
00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:07,840
Speaker 1: Does that make it hard? Will that make the number

726
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:12,080
Speaker 1: better and therefore harder? You know what I'm saying, Like,

727
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,799
Speaker 1: because we always say, well, you know it's too late

728
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 1: to get I know you want to bet super Bowl,

729
00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 1: but it's too late, the numbers too refined or whatever.

730
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:25,840
Speaker 1: Does that put a greater importance on betting early because

731
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 1: there's more of a they'll be there's such a mass

732
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 1: now or do you think that's overrated? I think it's

733
00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 1: honestly been really great for taking these dogs and the

734
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:38,480
Speaker 1: money lines of these dogs is you're getting a lot

735
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,800
Speaker 1: of extra juice these days because so much more money

736
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 1: that's coming in on these favorites, like the The funny

737
00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:50,440
Speaker 1: thing with this year has been I think it's I

738
00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 1: forget this that was, but it's the most dogs that

739
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:58,400
Speaker 1: I've ever covered to start a year. Um. I definitely

740
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:00,040
Speaker 1: see it that it's changed in the sense that it

741
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,759
Speaker 1: these lines have been moving way more than they used to.

742
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 1: Like lines used to open, say they would dropped by

743
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:11,320
Speaker 1: two points. That was like insane, that was in insane

744
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,640
Speaker 1: amount of movement in the last couple of years, and

745
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,000
Speaker 1: now that's kind of common practice every week now there's

746
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:18,640
Speaker 1: big line movements just because so much more money is

747
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,880
Speaker 1: coming in now than you still all right, let me

748
00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 1: tell you the two games that Darren and I agree

749
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:30,759
Speaker 1: on so far. The Eagles plus three against the Cowboys

750
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 1: are very banged up Cowboys team, and the Chargers plus

751
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 1: two two and a half against the Titans. Uh. I

752
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:44,879
Speaker 1: would roll that ego points. I mean it's a it's

753
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:48,399
Speaker 1: a chalky favorite, I mean a dog. That's what it's

754
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 1: sitting at three, So that's nice. I'll take those points

755
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 1: with that one. But I definitely wouldn't do that Chargers one.

756
00:41:56,800 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 1: That's just not a good spot. Um, they're a banged

757
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 1: up team and they're traveling across country. Go play a

758
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:10,040
Speaker 1: really good defensive team that might be getting a boost

759
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:13,760
Speaker 1: here from tann Hill, a new quarterback starting for him. Um,

760
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:15,080
Speaker 1: I can see why you want to do. I mean,

761
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:20,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee looks like their offenses terrible. I mean they've had

762
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:22,200
Speaker 1: back to back weeks where I don't think they've scored

763
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:25,560
Speaker 1: more than eight points. But um, I actually like the

764
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:31,600
Speaker 1: Titans in the spot. Now it's gonna get ugly, boys,

765
00:42:31,640 --> 00:42:33,399
Speaker 1: these next couple weeks, you're gonna see it's gonna get

766
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 1: real ugly because these lines are gonna get really smart.

767
00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 1: They're already getting smart, all right. So then let me

768
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:41,440
Speaker 1: ask you another one. Let me ask you another one.

769
00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:44,400
Speaker 1: Are we taking the Titans, then, Chaid, I don't know.

770
00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 1: We're not. No, no, no, we're not taking let's say,

771
00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 1: let's do it. We're not taking that so far. We

772
00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 1: just like the Eagles of plus three, and we're all

773
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:53,160
Speaker 1: in agreement on the Eagles plus three. Here's a game

774
00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:57,280
Speaker 1: that we are on opposite size of. Darren like Seattle,

775
00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 1: I love the Ravens tie breaking for us I do

776
00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:06,920
Speaker 1: like the Ravens here. Um, is it three and a

777
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 1: half of the competition or only three? H only? Look,

778
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 1: I think it's three. But um, yeah, because Seattle, Seattle,

779
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:21,279
Speaker 1: they're they're just Russell Wilson right now. Every everything is

780
00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:23,239
Speaker 1: if you look at them on paper, their whole team

781
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:28,400
Speaker 1: is actually really bad. Um. And the Ravens have been

782
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,359
Speaker 1: a weird team this year where they're every week wherever

783
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:34,239
Speaker 1: they're playing, they played to that level of competition. They're

784
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 1: They're a funny team. But I like the Ravens in

785
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,840
Speaker 1: that spot better than Seattle. Do you like this game

786
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 1: generally for the contest? Uh M, I probably would. I

787
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,479
Speaker 1: like other dogs better. I think. Then let's just pick

788
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 1: one game. Let's just pick one game this week and

789
00:43:55,480 --> 00:44:01,759
Speaker 1: go one and know. Yeah, isn't easy, my friend. We're

790
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:05,759
Speaker 1: trying to pick the five best. You want winners, you want,

791
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 1: if you want, if you listen, listen, Uh, if you

792
00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:13,719
Speaker 1: want to do this game, I'll take the Ravens. If

793
00:44:13,719 --> 00:44:16,799
Speaker 1: you want to do this game, Jet, I'm putting it

794
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:18,680
Speaker 1: on the side for a second because there's one other

795
00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:20,640
Speaker 1: game that you and I are just on complete opposite

796
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:24,240
Speaker 1: sides of, and that is the Rams. And the Falcons.

797
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:26,799
Speaker 1: I mean, I feel like you have to take the

798
00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:30,640
Speaker 1: Falcons in this spot. Sign up? Yeah, I mean, it's

799
00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:34,960
Speaker 1: it's an auto play, but I would you couldn't pay me.

800
00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:37,480
Speaker 1: I'm actually it's rare. I passed on games. This is

801
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 1: one of the games. Are probably just gonna do the

802
00:44:39,080 --> 00:44:44,759
Speaker 1: over and not better side because I love Atlanta, But

803
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:48,799
Speaker 1: I just I can't. I can't back that defense. I mean,

804
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:54,200
Speaker 1: golfers look absolutely horrible, but I just can't back and

805
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,399
Speaker 1: I mean what they showed me, like, okay, okay, can

806
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 1: we make a deal. Can we make a deal. How

807
00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,319
Speaker 1: about I give you the Falcons and you give me

808
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:06,279
Speaker 1: the Jets. I don't know. UM, don't don't force that.

809
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 1: Don't force the falcons. Don't force that one in. Yeah,

810
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 1: we don't. We don't need to. Um, we don't need to.

811
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:14,319
Speaker 1: We don't need to make rash decisions yet. There's a

812
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:19,720
Speaker 1: lot of games on the board. To continue to be sharp,

813
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 1: even though we've agreed always trying to be sharp people.

814
00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:26,040
Speaker 1: Though we've agreed for joke, you public to be here.

815
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 1: Rash decisions, people, not our decisions. Don't get angry, Darren, Yes,

816
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:36,759
Speaker 1: I'm sorry you would The morning I'm hurt. You're hurt.

817
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:40,759
Speaker 1: You're hurt, But Simon, you're not leaving us with many

818
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:42,440
Speaker 1: choices here. The other game that I really like is

819
00:45:42,480 --> 00:45:47,879
Speaker 1: Detroit plus one and a half. I mean, if you want,

820
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 1: I can tell you the games I really like this week?

821
00:45:49,960 --> 00:45:52,120
Speaker 1: All right, just do that? Do you want me to

822
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:56,440
Speaker 1: do that? I love Oakland. I think it's down to

823
00:45:56,480 --> 00:46:00,799
Speaker 1: plus four and a half. I love ago Bears. I

824
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:04,120
Speaker 1: think they're minus three and a half at home. And

825
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 1: for the big Chalk one I do really like. Um.

826
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:11,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I guess it's not chocolate all at this

827
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:14,439
Speaker 1: point because the line keeps moving. But Denver, everyone's gonna

828
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:18,520
Speaker 1: be taking Denver tonight, um, even though I know the

829
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:21,080
Speaker 1: public's all over the Chiefs, but this is just this

830
00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:23,839
Speaker 1: is the reeks of a trap game. The Bronco isn't.

831
00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:31,360
Speaker 1: So you want to take Denver right now? Um? You

832
00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:33,040
Speaker 1: guys like them all, all those other ones that gave

833
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 1: you like you like that Bear than Oakland or sat

834
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:38,000
Speaker 1: I mean Chicago. No, I like Oakland too. I don't

835
00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:46,720
Speaker 1: love the Bears, um, bear, when Chad doesn't like the Bears,

836
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:52,560
Speaker 1: automatically take the Bears. All right, Darren, Here's what we

837
00:46:52,600 --> 00:47:02,840
Speaker 1: should do. Let's go Eagles, Raiders, Bears, Denver, and Ravens

838
00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:10,440
Speaker 1: one more time. Eagles yep plus three, Raiders plus four

839
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 1: and a half, Bears minus three and a half, Denver

840
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 1: plus three, and the Ravens. Okay, I feel good about that. Yeah,

841
00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:23,719
Speaker 1: I did. I mean, I know we're probably gonna sent

842
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:25,879
Speaker 1: our pictures today, so I mean, I don't really know

843
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 1: if you even need to have an extra one. Um,

844
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:30,839
Speaker 1: but I mean if we really won't, we can keep

845
00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:34,759
Speaker 1: Darren's jets as like a last minute of flipping. Well,

846
00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 1: we got I gotta send him in today. It's Thursday.

847
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 1: We're recording on Thursday today, and if we're taking the

848
00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:41,640
Speaker 1: raven if we're taking the Broncos, I gotta send him

849
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:48,800
Speaker 1: in right now. I'm good with how you feeling. There's

850
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:51,719
Speaker 1: just a lot of dogs we're doing. It's a lot

851
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:54,400
Speaker 1: of dogs. I'm okay with that. I like playing the

852
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:58,400
Speaker 1: dogs in this game though, in the I mean, in

853
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:02,680
Speaker 1: this type of super contest Simon strategy game strategy. I

854
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 1: know that it's different from as you always say, it's

855
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:09,280
Speaker 1: remember it's not you straight up bedding. Is that okay?

856
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 1: Are you okay with that? Definitely? I mean, at the

857
00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:16,080
Speaker 1: same time, we're only doing picking five games. You do

858
00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:17,960
Speaker 1: have to throw that stump some of that stuff out.

859
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 1: But I do like all these dog spots were picking

860
00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:22,960
Speaker 1: and like, these these are good numbers. I know the

861
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,399
Speaker 1: Oakland numbers come way down, but I still like that.

862
00:48:25,400 --> 00:48:29,080
Speaker 1: It's about four and a half. Al Right, guys, that's

863
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 1: what we're doing. Then we got the Eagles plus three,

864
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:34,800
Speaker 1: Oakland plus four and a half, Bears minus three and

865
00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:37,239
Speaker 1: a half, Denver plus three, and I think we got

866
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:41,439
Speaker 1: the Ravens plus three Right now at the super contest lines.

867
00:48:42,280 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 1: I'm okay with all those games. Really, I mean, we

868
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:48,360
Speaker 1: don't want to do any of these big favorites, Like

869
00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:49,400
Speaker 1: I don't really want to know if I want to

870
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:54,520
Speaker 1: do San Fray, the Bills. Definitely not the Bills at seventeen. No,

871
00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:56,719
Speaker 1: I wouldn't even think that. It's so many. Yeah, it's

872
00:48:56,760 --> 00:49:00,839
Speaker 1: too many, Darren, wouldn't even do that. What I mean,

873
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:08,000
Speaker 1: if you're looking for No, I like what we got.

874
00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:13,200
Speaker 1: I think we're good. Yeah, I like it. Alright, boys, listen,

875
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 1: we just gotta put last week behind us and look

876
00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:19,360
Speaker 1: ahead to this week. Here we go again. Eagles plus three,

877
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:23,320
Speaker 1: Broncos plus three Bears plus three and a half Ravens

878
00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:25,879
Speaker 1: plus three Oakland plus four and a half. A lot

879
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:29,880
Speaker 1: of short short dogs right there. That makes it scary.

880
00:49:30,360 --> 00:49:33,239
Speaker 1: Dann Revel from the Action Networks, Simon Hunter, Professional Better,

881
00:49:33,680 --> 00:49:38,280
Speaker 1: thank you for coming on the podcast until next week. Alright,

882
00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 1: I want to thank everybody for coming on the show. Scooch,

883
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:46,000
Speaker 1: Dann Ravel, Simon Hunter. This has been the favorites from

884
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:53,400
Speaker 1: the Action Network. Download the podcast from Apple review, rate, subscribe, unsubscribe, resubscribe,

885
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:56,880
Speaker 1: get it at where does It radio dot com and

886
00:49:57,000 --> 00:49:59,840
Speaker 1: search for the favorites at the radio dot com app.

887
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 1: Look everywhere you get your podcast. Until next week, folks,

888
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:05,440
Speaker 1: I love you