WEBVTT - Foundation Season 3 Episode 2

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<v Speaker 1>Worry. Today's episode Key Day's spoilish for Foundation season three

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<v Speaker 1>episode two. Hello, my name is Jason Concepcion and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Rosday Night, and welcome back to Extra Image of the

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<v Speaker 1>podcast where we dive deep into your favorite shows, movies,

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<v Speaker 1>comics and pop culture. Company from my Heart podcast, where

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<v Speaker 1>we're bringing you three episodes a week every Tuesday and Thursday,

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<v Speaker 1>plus the summer's biggest movies every Friday, and news on Saturday,

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<v Speaker 1>News on Saturday.

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<v Speaker 2>In today's episode, we are digging deep into Foundations season

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<v Speaker 2>three episode two, Shadows in the Math.

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<v Speaker 3>Are you ready? Are you ready to see sexy Lee Pace?

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<v Speaker 3>Are you ready to see a crazy world which may

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<v Speaker 3>be more like us than we want to admit. Well,

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<v Speaker 3>we're gonna dig into it, but you'll have some exciting

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<v Speaker 3>news for you.

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<v Speaker 1>Guys.

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<v Speaker 2>We are going to San Diego Comic Con.

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<v Speaker 1>And you've been saying where are you going to be?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, on Thursday at twelve thirty, our panel with the

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<v Speaker 2>Rodenbury Does It Fly Podcast will be in Room twenty

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<v Speaker 2>four ABC. That means they've opened up all three rooms,

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<v Speaker 2>so make sure you.

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<v Speaker 1>Come and join us and fill it up.

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<v Speaker 2>Then come join us at Petco Park at four pm

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<v Speaker 2>for the chance to bid on real Superman comic original

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<v Speaker 2>art from some of the biggest artists in the industry.

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<v Speaker 2>And on Saturday, we'll be back at Petco for a

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<v Speaker 2>massive Godzilla auction featuring rad stuff from IDW super seven

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<v Speaker 2>and me and Jason will be there with some of

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<v Speaker 2>our cool friends. And if you want to hang out

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<v Speaker 2>with me and Jason, then join us at the Mission

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<v Speaker 2>Brewery for a meet and greet. We will post all

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<v Speaker 2>of this on our socials and in our discord, of course.

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<v Speaker 1>But first, Foundation all right, Foundation Season three, Episode two,

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<v Speaker 1>Shadows in the Math. Let's bring in our resident dunehead,

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<v Speaker 1>our resident Foundation freak super producer, Abou. How are you?

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<v Speaker 4>I'm doing great?

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<v Speaker 1>We open on ignis flashback one hundred and fifty one

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<v Speaker 1>years ago. The Mentallics are waking Gail from cryo sleep.

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<v Speaker 1>They tell her, listen, the plan is going great. It's

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<v Speaker 1>going apace. They wake Harry. They both you know, look

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<v Speaker 1>at the plans and they're pleased. However, they do note

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<v Speaker 1>that there are some there's some deviations sneaking into the mathematics.

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<v Speaker 1>All of their waking time, Harry and Gale is spent

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<v Speaker 1>doing two things one trying to figure out how do

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<v Speaker 1>we get this plan back on course as it tries

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<v Speaker 1>to nudge itself off course? And then how do we

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<v Speaker 1>teach the mentalics about psychohistory so they can deal with

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<v Speaker 1>shit while we're frozen. At a certain point, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>once the Foundation goes out of its religious phase, Gail

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<v Speaker 1>is like, Hey, guess what, we don't have to do

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<v Speaker 1>the gods. You don't have to kneel to me anymore.

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<v Speaker 1>We're out of the god phase. It's more of a

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<v Speaker 1>managerial phase. Now.

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<v Speaker 4>I do need your OKRs on my desk by Friday

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<v Speaker 4>or the next time I wake up, whatever it comes first.

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<v Speaker 1>We're in a new bureaucratic era. Gaiale and Harry pour

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<v Speaker 1>over the numbers and what they see is the Mule coming.

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<v Speaker 1>Third crisis looming. It's going to be bad. They're updating

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<v Speaker 1>their models, they're trying to fix things, to figure out

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<v Speaker 1>like how they can predict this, but it's not going well.

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<v Speaker 1>Harry comes up with a solution. How about I stay awake.

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<v Speaker 1>I will stay awake and age you go to sleep

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<v Speaker 1>so that you can be young and fresh when your

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<v Speaker 1>confrontation with the Mule appears. They wake up again four

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<v Speaker 1>years before the main storyline began. In episode one of

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<v Speaker 1>this season, we meet prem Troy Kottzer from Coda. Gail,

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<v Speaker 1>upon awakening, is alarmed to realize that Harry's has been

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<v Speaker 1>awake this whole time has been up, and she finds

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<v Speaker 1>him old and washed as hell, gazing up at a

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<v Speaker 1>comet like with his bare eyes staring up at the

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<v Speaker 1>at it's the bright sky. He looks like absolute shit,

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<v Speaker 1>and he tells Gail, listen, time is more valuable than ever.

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<v Speaker 1>The mule is coming. But before we get to that,

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<v Speaker 1>check out these statues I carved of Salvoes.

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<v Speaker 4>I love the shows, I will I will say I

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<v Speaker 4>love the show's version of Harry Salden because he he

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<v Speaker 4>is much more like arrogant and self centered and really

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<v Speaker 4>like up his own ass about his own prophecy, like

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<v Speaker 4>his own math. He loves himself so much in the show,

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<v Speaker 4>which I appreciate. The books kind of glossed over that

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<v Speaker 4>version of Harry, and here we get like kind of

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<v Speaker 4>kind of a real dighead Harry, which I love.

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<v Speaker 1>Actually, he kind of muses with Gail about how it

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<v Speaker 1>could be that the plan could be this far off course,

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<v Speaker 1>and he wonders if it has something to do with

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<v Speaker 1>Gail her safe herself. You know, according to the original

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<v Speaker 1>version of the Psychohistory Plan, Gail was supposed to die,

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<v Speaker 1>like back when Raychdive was not supposed to be here,

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<v Speaker 1>and the fact that she's here with like developing superhuman

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<v Speaker 1>powers influencing modern events is perhaps one of the reasons

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<v Speaker 1>that the plan is going so off course, they don't

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<v Speaker 1>come to a full answer about that. He then takes

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<v Speaker 1>out the Prime Radiant and he's like, here's everything I

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<v Speaker 1>know about all the Crisses. There's eight Crisises. They're only

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<v Speaker 1>heading towards the third one. And he tells her that

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<v Speaker 1>everything kind of hinges on the Invictus. Remember the ghost

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<v Speaker 1>ship from season one that was integral to the Foundation

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<v Speaker 1>defeating the Empire in their first kind of big clash.

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<v Speaker 1>It's still out there and it's going to be important

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<v Speaker 1>apparently for the future. Harry goes off to rest and

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<v Speaker 1>his old friend Cale shows up. Remember Cale got Harry

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<v Speaker 1>his new body body Harry. We called this one body Harry.

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<v Speaker 1>And then there's you know, there's Harry Hologram Harry's She's

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<v Speaker 1>just like in his quarters somehow, and she calls him

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<v Speaker 1>out for lying to Gail about what We never get

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<v Speaker 1>the answer to that, But what do you think it is?

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<v Speaker 1>What do you think he's lying to her about?

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<v Speaker 4>You know, my first instinct was he didn't exactly tell

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<v Speaker 4>her that he's about to die. He's going to die,

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<v Speaker 4>and I thought that's what Cale was referencing. I thought

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<v Speaker 4>Cale was like, oh, you didn't tell her the part

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<v Speaker 4>where you're actually about to die and she should say

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<v Speaker 4>goodbye to you, and you're not going to give her

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<v Speaker 4>the chance to say goodbye to you and get closure

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<v Speaker 4>that way. I thought that's what she was criticizing. But

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<v Speaker 4>it could also be something about the plan that he

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<v Speaker 4>has yet to reveal.

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<v Speaker 1>So then Harry is like, forget that, What about a

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<v Speaker 1>new body for me? What about a fresh one? Look

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<v Speaker 1>at how look at how wrinkled this one is. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>on my last legs. What an ask? Cayla is like, nope,

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<v Speaker 1>that was your one reprieve. And then it's just an

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<v Speaker 1>amazing turn of events. Her eyes flash, she creates some

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<v Speaker 1>kind of portal through space and time. Does it go somewhere?

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<v Speaker 1>Harry is amazed, We are amazed. They go through and disappear,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're left to wonder who Kyla is. She kind

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<v Speaker 1>of intimates in she says something to Harry about being

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<v Speaker 1>part of a race of beings who are like energy

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<v Speaker 1>and so or don't have bodies, so very interesting. Gail

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<v Speaker 1>comes to Harry's office, finds out he's gone. She can

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<v Speaker 1>feel it that he's disappeared. Pream comes to see her,

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<v Speaker 1>and she's really sad about the fact that he left

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<v Speaker 1>without saying by so Preame's like, well, guess what, you

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<v Speaker 1>can see him right now? Come see the statue Harry

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<v Speaker 1>carved of himself.

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<v Speaker 2>I have.

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<v Speaker 1>I did. It's so funny and I love that. Harry's

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<v Speaker 1>version of humility is he doesn't he shows you the

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<v Speaker 1>other three other Yeah, right, he doesn't show you the

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<v Speaker 1>one he did of himself later and he'll have his

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<v Speaker 1>right hand guy should do that. So anyway, now that

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<v Speaker 1>Harry's off, Harry's off the board, Pream becomes Gail's right

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<v Speaker 1>hand guy. And it's Spream that wakes Gale up in

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<v Speaker 1>the present. She knows immediately that the mule is out there,

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<v Speaker 1>that they're out of time. They try to discuss what

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<v Speaker 1>to do. They're looking at the calculations and they realize

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<v Speaker 1>now that the mule has taken Kalgan. The future is

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<v Speaker 1>on them now. It's happening now. The crisis is looming

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<v Speaker 1>right now, and the collapse of the Dark Ages aren't

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<v Speaker 1>going to take centuries to develop. It's gonna happen right away,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe in the next few months. We go to Trantur,

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<v Speaker 1>where the Cleons and Demarzel are also looking at the

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<v Speaker 1>calculations with her prime radiant. She says that something's been

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<v Speaker 1>casting shadows in the math for years. Day takes this

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<v Speaker 1>as his cue to be like, well, peace out, guys, deuces,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going back to my sex palace in the garden.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll see you later. He leaves. He immediately leaves, which

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<v Speaker 1>I love drama. Dosk wonders if Demarzel, aren't you just

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<v Speaker 1>aren't you looking forward to the end, like this is

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<v Speaker 1>probably great for you, right, you know, no Cleons to

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<v Speaker 1>shepherd around anymore. And then he gets to the thing

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<v Speaker 1>that he really wants to ask, and has clearly wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to ask ever since we saw him in episode one

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<v Speaker 1>looking at versions of himself get burnt up and we

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<v Speaker 1>all deal with trauma friendly okay, Jay said, and he

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<v Speaker 1>basically is like man yea about ascension Day's coming up

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<v Speaker 1>in like a week. What if we push that back?

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<v Speaker 1>We've got a crisis looming, do we not?

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<v Speaker 4>Is that like a like we have to do it?

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<v Speaker 1>Day is not involved, right and we need all hands

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<v Speaker 1>on deck? So what if I stick around and I

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<v Speaker 1>just get that big talent stuff and was like hard, no, sorry,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm a clock and uh, you know the timestick. We

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<v Speaker 1>go to Calgan. The Mule is living it up. We

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<v Speaker 1>get another display of his spooky powers. He's in the

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<v Speaker 1>former the late Lord of Kalgan's house, which is at

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<v Speaker 1>his house, and as we saw in episode one, he

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<v Speaker 1>had kidnapped the lord's daughter and he brings her out

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<v Speaker 1>in front of his new staff, this kind of the

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<v Speaker 1>new assembled staff of of his that he's trying to

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<v Speaker 1>get the loyalty from, and using his powers, he gets

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<v Speaker 1>Scarlet the daughter to like put a gun to her

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<v Speaker 1>head and he's counting, you know, to three, at which

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<v Speaker 1>point she's going to fire. And then a woman in

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<v Speaker 1>the in this lineup of servants cries cries out three

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<v Speaker 1>before the Mule can get there. And what the Mule

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<v Speaker 1>is doing is seeing how his powers are affecting these

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<v Speaker 1>different people. To see which of them he really has

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<v Speaker 1>to bear down on and which of them he can

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<v Speaker 1>just like buy osmosis, suggest stuff to and they will.

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<v Speaker 4>Follow these orders, which implies that it takes a toll

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<v Speaker 4>on him to use these powers, and so he's being

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<v Speaker 4>strategic about how he does.

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<v Speaker 1>He doesn't want to use them all the time, right, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it question for both of you. So after this he

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<v Speaker 1>dismisses everybody and then he's like, Scarlet, give me the gun,

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<v Speaker 1>and she's like, no, he does get it from her,

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<v Speaker 1>But what did you make of the fact that Scarlet

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<v Speaker 1>kind of resisted him for a little bit here.

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<v Speaker 2>I think she's hart to like compel. I think as

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<v Speaker 2>you if we think of it as like a mita

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<v Speaker 2>that he asked to charge, it's gonna take more work

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<v Speaker 2>to bear down on her. That was my reading of this,

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<v Speaker 2>And I also want a cool giant gold gun.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a very cool gun.

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<v Speaker 4>I actually have the exact opposite read of it. I

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<v Speaker 4>think that the urge to shoot herself is now buried

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<v Speaker 4>somewhere into her psyche, and so she doesn't want to

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<v Speaker 4>give him back the gun, Like maybe maybe it's actually

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<v Speaker 4>harder for him to undo something he's compelled someone to do.

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<v Speaker 4>It only works one way.

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<v Speaker 2>Perhaps, And it also is almost like a butterfly effect

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<v Speaker 2>thing where if he puts it in your mind, it

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<v Speaker 2>could like kind of.

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<v Speaker 4>The seed is planted and it kind of is like

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<v Speaker 4>in the back of your mind constantly.

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<v Speaker 1>Because he does.

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<v Speaker 4>He has a weird line right after he hands it

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<v Speaker 4>back where he's like, you'll have a chance to do

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<v Speaker 4>it later or something like that. I'm paraphrasing. I don't

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<v Speaker 4>remember the exact line, but that to me implied like

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<v Speaker 4>you'll have a chance to shoot yourself later. Just bury

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<v Speaker 4>that instinct for now, give me the gun.

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<v Speaker 2>It gonna be Definitely. I love that read because if

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<v Speaker 2>he can't undo things he wants to do and that comes, he.

0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:07.840
<v Speaker 1>Doesn't want her to kill uself.

0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:11.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that could be a really interesting.

0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:13.880
<v Speaker 4>Right, and it opens up like narratively, it opens up

0:13:13.920 --> 0:13:17.640
<v Speaker 4>a way to outsmart someone who has such an overpowered skill, right,

0:13:17.720 --> 0:13:20.680
<v Speaker 4>and it opens up consequences for using that skill and

0:13:20.760 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 4>a way for someone like Gail to outsmart him and

0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:26.040
<v Speaker 4>have it backfire on him.

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:28.920
<v Speaker 1>Another thing I've wondered about, and we don't have to

0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:31.360
<v Speaker 1>answer now, but just something I've been thinking about is

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:40.840
<v Speaker 1>how potentially Harry and Gale's interaction with the mentalics started

0:13:40.880 --> 0:13:45.880
<v Speaker 1>the ball rolling on the mule and the and the

0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of tidal wave that is the mule because they

0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:53.160
<v Speaker 1>have similar powers, and is there some sort of interplay

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.240
<v Speaker 1>between those two events. I'm eager to find that out.

0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:59.360
<v Speaker 1>We go back to Trantor, where Day is gambling in

0:13:59.400 --> 0:14:02.920
<v Speaker 1>the barracks the soldiers. He is putting up a bunch

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:06.800
<v Speaker 1>of like ancient imperious stuff, just like into the pot.

0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:10.920
<v Speaker 5>But it's love, love, love love Day and this is

0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:13.360
<v Speaker 5>just like complete, just like having a great time and

0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:16.080
<v Speaker 5>just like well fuck it, like and I feel like

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:20.400
<v Speaker 5>that is like a very reasonable and kind of normal

0:14:20.440 --> 0:14:24.120
<v Speaker 5>response for what he's going through and kind of the

0:14:24.280 --> 0:14:25.880
<v Speaker 5>understanding of his path.

0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 1>But there's no need to worry about him losing the stuff,

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:33.120
<v Speaker 1>because we do see that he is cheating, which makes

0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 1>us wonder what other secrets they might be hiding.

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:38.560
<v Speaker 2>He's not following the cats.

0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:42.280
<v Speaker 1>Certainly not. We meet Torren Marlow, who is a distant

0:14:42.360 --> 0:14:45.280
<v Speaker 1>relation to Hobra Malow. He might remember Hobra Malow from

0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:50.560
<v Speaker 1>season one, and Torren and his wife Beta are some

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:55.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of like galactic influencers. They're sunbathing when the mule

0:14:56.720 --> 0:15:00.280
<v Speaker 1>blocks blocks the rays of the sun, so they get plan.

0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:05.160
<v Speaker 1>They start complaining, and later when they go inside, Prichard,

0:15:05.920 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 1>chief spy of the First Foundation, comes to see them

0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:12.160
<v Speaker 1>and basically says, hey, you guys have the perfect profile

0:15:12.440 --> 0:15:16.800
<v Speaker 1>of spies. We want you to go into the Mules

0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:19.760
<v Speaker 1>and the Mules having a party tonight. We want you

0:15:19.800 --> 0:15:22.920
<v Speaker 1>to go in there and just tell us what you see.

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:26.560
<v Speaker 1>They agree. We go back to Trantur a day is

0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:29.800
<v Speaker 1>in his sex garden. He's doing drugs, he's having sex,

0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:35.280
<v Speaker 1>living it up. He's talking about Harry Selden. He's, for one,

0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:37.600
<v Speaker 1>is kind of looking forward to the end of the Cleons.

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:42.520
<v Speaker 1>He's like, I think it's gonna be great. Dusk Dusk,

0:15:42.920 --> 0:15:44.800
<v Speaker 1>who at this point, I think we can say, is

0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:45.760
<v Speaker 1>fully spiraling.

0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:49.880
<v Speaker 2>Yes, this is like I found this to be kind

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 2>of really it's like funny to watch, but it's also

0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 2>the kind of incredibly existential kind of horror that I

0:15:58.480 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 2>had as a child about die, where like I just

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 2>couldn't stop thinking find out about it, and you think

0:16:04.600 --> 0:16:07.920
<v Speaker 2>about it all the time, and you think about the

0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 2>lack of things, You're not going to be able to

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:10.560
<v Speaker 2>do anything.

0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 1>I was a very depressed child.

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:14.400
<v Speaker 2>I used to lay in bed with my ears covered

0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:16.520
<v Speaker 2>and think like, oh, this is what it's like when

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 2>I die, like with my eyes closed. Like I was

0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:21.840
<v Speaker 2>thinking it way too much, and that is him, like

0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:25.160
<v Speaker 2>he is struggling, and I understand why.

0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:30.480
<v Speaker 1>So Dusk comes up and he's like, hey, Day, what's up? Hey?

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:38.440
<v Speaker 1>Sorry about you know previously? What do you think about

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:41.000
<v Speaker 1>pumping the brakes on a engin day? What if he

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 1>don't do it right away?

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:48.880
<v Speaker 4>I was just walking to the grocery store and not

0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 4>thinking about death, and I wanted to stop by and

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:52.040
<v Speaker 4>get your thoughts on something.

0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:56.440
<v Speaker 1>I just like having feeling. I was like, wait, maybe.

0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:58.960
<v Speaker 3>Said you Day, like some fun?

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:01.720
<v Speaker 1>How does he how does he feel about that?

0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:02.920
<v Speaker 2>Jason? What is they.

0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:07.840
<v Speaker 1>Is like, Oh, you care about your body? That's interesting?

0:17:07.880 --> 0:17:09.959
<v Speaker 1>And then he just stabs himself in the arm and

0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:12.840
<v Speaker 1>slices it down so that the nanits, you know, the

0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:15.879
<v Speaker 1>nan Knights, immediately stitch it back up and then like

0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:20.000
<v Speaker 1>flicks the knife so that the blood goes on Dusk's face.

0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:24.080
<v Speaker 1>And it's basically the most dramatic way to say one

0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:27.320
<v Speaker 1>no and then two like get over it, Like you're

0:17:27.320 --> 0:17:29.600
<v Speaker 1>so attached to your body we're gonna die, We're closed.

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:33.919
<v Speaker 1>Just stop drama. So now Dusk, having struck out with

0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:37.560
<v Speaker 1>Demarzel in the last episode and now uh and Nowaday

0:17:37.680 --> 0:17:43.239
<v Speaker 1>goes to see Dawn and he says, listen, I I

0:17:43.320 --> 0:17:49.400
<v Speaker 1>can't wait. I am. I am eager to hand over

0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:54.800
<v Speaker 1>the reins today as he becomes Dusk, and I promise

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:56.760
<v Speaker 1>to do my best to help him in the very

0:17:56.800 --> 0:18:00.639
<v Speaker 1>few days that I have left. That said, Dawn, I

0:18:00.640 --> 0:18:02.680
<v Speaker 1>guess something really cool in secret that I've been working

0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:05.440
<v Speaker 1>on to show you, and not even Den Rosel knows

0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:10.000
<v Speaker 1>about it. And Don's intrigued. Later, Dusk meets with some

0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:14.320
<v Speaker 1>of his scientists that he's been working with to create

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:17.359
<v Speaker 1>this secret thing. And the secret thing is the Navacular,

0:18:17.560 --> 0:18:21.359
<v Speaker 1>a black hole weapon that he has had manufactured. They

0:18:21.400 --> 0:18:24.359
<v Speaker 1>tested on a planet and it just sucks the planet

0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 1>in And Dusk insists that this weapon is for Dawn

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 1>to use only under the worst possible circumstances. What those

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:36.920
<v Speaker 1>will be, we don't know. Later, Dusk and Dawn meet

0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 1>with Ambassador Quent of the Foundation. They discuss Kalgan, They

0:18:42.320 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 1>discuss Mayor Inber and how the Foundation is in disarray,

0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 1>about the mule, and about Kalgan and what to do.

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.119
<v Speaker 1>Down is concerned that the mule may try to hold

0:18:52.119 --> 0:18:55.760
<v Speaker 1>on to the They're very it's troubling that the mule

0:18:55.800 --> 0:18:58.640
<v Speaker 1>hasn't just rated Kalgan and left. The fact that he's

0:18:58.680 --> 0:19:06.320
<v Speaker 1>staying there seems like a problem. Down leaves this this meeting,

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.200
<v Speaker 1>goes to his office, gets something out of a safe,

0:19:09.680 --> 0:19:13.520
<v Speaker 1>turns it on and it's a communicator device. And who's

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:15.600
<v Speaker 1>he talking to? He's talking to Gail?

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 2>Door?

0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:20.639
<v Speaker 1>What what? What? What? What?

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:21.080
<v Speaker 3>Some?

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:25.800
<v Speaker 1>This is very interesting, guys, huge, huge, huge hutus is

0:19:25.800 --> 0:19:28.359
<v Speaker 1>is he really talking to Gail? Do we think? Or

0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:32.439
<v Speaker 1>is it like a mule illusion? Can the mule do

0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:35.480
<v Speaker 1>this over those kind of distances? I think it is Gail.

0:19:35.680 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 1>I think it's got to be Yale, truly Yale.

0:19:37.840 --> 0:19:40.680
<v Speaker 4>I think it is Gail or it is a I

0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 4>guess it can't be a recording of Gail because it

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 4>responded in real time. I think it's Gail. I don't

0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:48.080
<v Speaker 4>think it's any sort of trickery. I think the show

0:19:48.160 --> 0:19:53.359
<v Speaker 4>is saying, look, Empire and Foundation working together, common enemy

0:19:53.480 --> 0:19:54.520
<v Speaker 4>mule question mark.

0:19:55.320 --> 0:19:57.919
<v Speaker 1>So here we here's where we are after this episode.

0:19:58.560 --> 0:20:05.520
<v Speaker 1>The Empire is secretly working with the Traders to undermine

0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:11.639
<v Speaker 1>the Foundation. The Second Foundation is secretly working with with

0:20:11.880 --> 0:20:16.560
<v Speaker 1>Dawn soon to be Day to take on the Mule

0:20:16.600 --> 0:20:19.119
<v Speaker 1>and do what else we don't know. And then the

0:20:19.200 --> 0:20:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Mule is out there seemingly by himself, just causing all

0:20:22.840 --> 0:20:26.080
<v Speaker 1>kinds of havoc will be interesting to see. Oh and

0:20:26.119 --> 0:20:29.320
<v Speaker 1>I forgot. And then the First Foundation is working with

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:36.480
<v Speaker 1>its own independently sourced spies against the judgment of its

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:39.880
<v Speaker 1>own leadership in Mayor inber to investigate what the Mule

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:44.680
<v Speaker 1>is up to. So currently three parties at work here,

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 1>all working at cross purposes.

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 2>Also, this is definitely coming again from my perspective from

0:20:50.280 --> 0:20:54.199
<v Speaker 2>outside of the Deep Foundation foundom but like to me,

0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 2>after this episode, what does it seem like The likelihood

0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:00.120
<v Speaker 2>to me is the Mule is going to want to

0:21:00.160 --> 0:21:04.600
<v Speaker 2>stay on Kalgan with Scarlet. That feels like what's gonna happen,

0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:08.680
<v Speaker 2>And I'm interested to see if they go that route,

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 2>especially after a Booze read on the Seed kind of

0:21:13.119 --> 0:21:15.400
<v Speaker 2>being in there. I feel like that Mule and Scarlet

0:21:15.440 --> 0:21:17.720
<v Speaker 2>relationship could go somewhere really interesting.

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:19.680
<v Speaker 4>Well, Rosie, two episodes in what do you think the

0:21:19.760 --> 0:21:20.920
<v Speaker 4>Mule's motivations are.

0:21:21.440 --> 0:21:23.600
<v Speaker 1>I honestly like couldn't tell you.

0:21:23.680 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 2>It's one of the things that's been really interesting to

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 2>me about the show is that I feel like we're

0:21:31.560 --> 0:21:35.879
<v Speaker 2>getting into again tropiness some sci fi stories. You know,

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:38.439
<v Speaker 2>you're Darth Fade or something. When it's happening, you just

0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:41.800
<v Speaker 2>don't know why they're bad, why they're evil, right, But

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:45.880
<v Speaker 2>I feel like with the Mule, there is a much

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:51.680
<v Speaker 2>more interesting exploration of his powers, how he uses them,

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:55.160
<v Speaker 2>why he uses them. So I do feel like there's

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:57.239
<v Speaker 2>some kind of and if I'm looking at what I

0:21:57.280 --> 0:22:01.439
<v Speaker 2>feel like are quite heavy influences on like Dune, I

0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:04.760
<v Speaker 2>feel like the connection and the question that Jason asked about,

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:08.800
<v Speaker 2>like the mentaalics and the way that that potentially influenced

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 2>or created the meal could be a really interesting way

0:22:12.920 --> 0:22:16.159
<v Speaker 2>to explore that story further. But so that's kind of

0:22:16.160 --> 0:22:17.160
<v Speaker 2>my read on it right now.

0:22:17.880 --> 0:22:20.760
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's fair. Well, sorry, Can I also nitpick one

0:22:20.760 --> 0:22:24.199
<v Speaker 4>more thing before we wrap up? Yeaheah, I hated the navacular.

0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:28.159
<v Speaker 4>I'm so annoyed this fucking death Star thing is in

0:22:28.200 --> 0:22:28.640
<v Speaker 4>this show.

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I was gonna say, it's so death Star coded.

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:33.080
<v Speaker 2>I didn't even bring it.

0:22:33.160 --> 0:22:34.440
<v Speaker 1>I didn't even say it like.

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:37.080
<v Speaker 4>Well it doesn't exist in the books. As the problem is,

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:40.200
<v Speaker 4>like the Empire at this stage in this story should

0:22:40.280 --> 0:22:44.199
<v Speaker 4>not have this technology, right, Like a huge theme is

0:22:44.200 --> 0:22:46.879
<v Speaker 4>that Empire is degrading. It has been one hundred and

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:52.679
<v Speaker 4>fifty plus years of Empire's technology degrading and Foundation's technology evolving,

0:22:53.240 --> 0:22:57.719
<v Speaker 4>and Foundation has overtaken Empire at this point in the books,

0:22:57.800 --> 0:23:02.040
<v Speaker 4>like they forget how to use new clear nuclear weapons

0:23:02.040 --> 0:23:04.919
<v Speaker 4>and like nucleics, and like they revert back to like

0:23:05.359 --> 0:23:09.160
<v Speaker 4>oil as a power source because Empire has stagnated so much.

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:11.960
<v Speaker 4>I just don't feel like we're seeing enough stagnation in

0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:14.680
<v Speaker 4>the show for Empire. It's this feels like the same

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:18.120
<v Speaker 4>Empire that we knew in episode one, season one, but.

0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:22.560
<v Speaker 1>They have to use mass transit. Now, sure they don't

0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:28.960
<v Speaker 1>have their own ships, but they're creating Themsell. Will you

0:23:29.000 --> 0:23:35.880
<v Speaker 1>go on Expedia and find out when the next transport, Yeah, Ignus.

0:23:35.400 --> 0:23:37.680
<v Speaker 2>Is and then can you make it like a zillow

0:23:37.800 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 2>so we can find a secret place to get up

0:23:40.280 --> 0:23:41.680
<v Speaker 2>put a secret black hole.

0:23:42.119 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So that that is my I just wanted to

0:23:44.400 --> 0:23:47.679
<v Speaker 4>nitpick that this one tiny thing about this episode. I

0:23:47.760 --> 0:23:50.480
<v Speaker 4>was extremely bothered by the navacular. I don't think it

0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:53.960
<v Speaker 4>makes sense. It's too Star Wars coded. I'm not sure

0:23:53.960 --> 0:23:55.159
<v Speaker 4>what the creative choice here is.

0:23:55.280 --> 0:23:58.440
<v Speaker 2>Does it does it also set up like an Ope

0:23:58.560 --> 0:24:01.960
<v Speaker 2>situation when now that too that overpowered because they do

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:05.880
<v Speaker 2>have like a Black Cole creation machine that can destroy planets.

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:07.000
<v Speaker 1>I don't know.

0:24:07.040 --> 0:24:08.760
<v Speaker 4>I think what it's setting up is like, oh no,

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:11.040
<v Speaker 4>the mule has taken over the navacular, what are we

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.840
<v Speaker 4>gonna do? I think it's setting up like big steaks

0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:16.680
<v Speaker 4>for the Mule fight. But I feel like there's already

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:18.879
<v Speaker 4>stakes with the Mule fight. I didn't need a planet

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:20.720
<v Speaker 4>strawing weapon thrown into the mix as well.

0:24:22.080 --> 0:24:27.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm just confused about what Dusk listen. I think that

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the navacular, while whatever he means for it, you don't

0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:38.960
<v Speaker 1>create that and then go get vaporized. He's gonna scound

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:42.760
<v Speaker 1>Dusk is not going anywhere. Okay.

0:24:46.760 --> 0:24:48.920
<v Speaker 2>He made so like and then showed it to Dawn

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:51.440
<v Speaker 2>and was like some and it's like, yeah, the west

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:54.160
<v Speaker 2>Poncipal circumstances fit Dusk.

0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:54.960
<v Speaker 1>Right now, I'm.

0:24:54.880 --> 0:24:57.960
<v Speaker 2>Getting vaporized, So he's going to be using it.

0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 1>It'll be fascinating to see what he does, because again

0:25:02.119 --> 0:25:04.120
<v Speaker 1>I do not believe that you make that and then

0:25:04.160 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 1>go okay, bye, see you later, and which leads me

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:12.639
<v Speaker 1>to just wonder, like what he I don't know that

0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:15.560
<v Speaker 1>we know what he intends to aim that at, so

0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:35.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm very interested to see that. Welcome to another edition

0:25:35.320 --> 0:25:38.719
<v Speaker 1>of the Omnibus, where lore, analysis and understanding come together.

0:25:38.840 --> 0:25:44.359
<v Speaker 1>Today we're talking about predicting the future. A history of

0:25:44.480 --> 0:25:50.600
<v Speaker 1>real life psychohistories foundation. The television show begins with the

0:25:50.640 --> 0:25:54.960
<v Speaker 1>brilliant mathematician Harry Selden defending himself in Imperial court on

0:25:55.160 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 1>charges of accurately predicting the fall of the Empire using psychohistory,

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:06.400
<v Speaker 1>which is Harry's patented mix of math, sociology, and whatever

0:26:06.480 --> 0:26:10.000
<v Speaker 1>other kind of genius wizardry he's sprinkled in. There, Seldon

0:26:10.119 --> 0:26:14.439
<v Speaker 1>sees the fall of empire and an age of societal

0:26:14.520 --> 0:26:18.800
<v Speaker 1>collapse and violent chaos known as the Dark Ages, all

0:26:18.840 --> 0:26:22.480
<v Speaker 1>of which is looming unless steps are taken to lesson

0:26:22.560 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 1>its impact. Selden's fictional trial is, in a way the

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:33.320
<v Speaker 1>culmination of the work of non fictional people and the

0:26:33.600 --> 0:26:39.159
<v Speaker 1>deeply human urge of all kinds of folks from different

0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:44.879
<v Speaker 1>walks of life, from ancient hunter gatherers to classical era

0:26:45.680 --> 0:26:49.119
<v Speaker 1>prophesiers and seers to modern day scientists, all trying to

0:26:49.160 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 1>do the same thing, which is figure out what happens

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:57.320
<v Speaker 1>next and plan accordingly. Let's start approximately twenty thousand years ago.

0:26:57.720 --> 0:27:02.639
<v Speaker 1>Paleolithic hunter gatherers, using pain derived from ochre heematite and charcoal,

0:27:02.760 --> 0:27:05.439
<v Speaker 1>decorated caves in what is now Spain in France with

0:27:05.560 --> 0:27:09.800
<v Speaker 1>images of animals. You've seen these, probably they're beautiful. These

0:27:09.840 --> 0:27:15.359
<v Speaker 1>grand creations are dominated by depictions of prey animals bison, deer,

0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:20.160
<v Speaker 1>and so on, and archaeologists and scientists have long wondered

0:27:20.280 --> 0:27:26.240
<v Speaker 1>about these peculiar markings that are next to these herds

0:27:26.280 --> 0:27:29.119
<v Speaker 1>of animals. There are like little dots and little lines.

0:27:29.720 --> 0:27:34.080
<v Speaker 1>Could these have been some early form of writing, an

0:27:34.080 --> 0:27:41.040
<v Speaker 1>early form of religious ritual? Unknown? However, a recent hypothesis

0:27:41.080 --> 0:27:44.960
<v Speaker 1>published in the Cambridge Archaeological Journal in twenty twenty three

0:27:45.040 --> 0:27:49.440
<v Speaker 1>asserts with I think some pretty compelling evidence that these

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:54.560
<v Speaker 1>marks actually correspond to months. In essence, if this paper

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:59.760
<v Speaker 1>titled in Upper Paleolithic proto Writing System and Archaeological Calendar

0:27:59.880 --> 0:28:03.600
<v Speaker 1>is correct, what these ancient hunters were trying to do

0:28:03.720 --> 0:28:08.800
<v Speaker 1>was communicate to others when the animal depicted next to

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:15.399
<v Speaker 1>the dot and line would migrate or mate, thus telling

0:28:15.520 --> 0:28:22.360
<v Speaker 1>future generations how to hunt successfully and creating again if correct.

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:26.600
<v Speaker 1>Perhaps the earliest known example of humans predicting the cycles

0:28:26.640 --> 0:28:29.840
<v Speaker 1>of nature and predicting the future. Let's fast forward now

0:28:30.400 --> 0:28:34.399
<v Speaker 1>to ancient Greece the eighth century BC. Politicians, generals, and

0:28:34.440 --> 0:28:39.000
<v Speaker 1>even everyday folks probably trek to Delfi's Temple of Apollo,

0:28:39.080 --> 0:28:42.240
<v Speaker 1>where the Pythia, the high priestess there, would breathe in

0:28:42.400 --> 0:28:48.960
<v Speaker 1>some form of mystical fumes, possibly ethylene released from nearby

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:53.440
<v Speaker 1>chasms deep chasms in the earth, and then speak prophecies

0:28:53.560 --> 0:28:59.440
<v Speaker 1>in cryptic stone verses. The oracle was consulted often in

0:28:59.520 --> 0:29:02.840
<v Speaker 1>times of dire crisis when no one could figure out

0:29:02.840 --> 0:29:06.320
<v Speaker 1>what the next move should be, but unsurprisingly, the answers

0:29:06.360 --> 0:29:11.160
<v Speaker 1>were ambiguous. The classic tale comes to us from Herodotus.

0:29:11.760 --> 0:29:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Can Crocius of Lydia asks the Pythia if he should

0:29:15.720 --> 0:29:19.120
<v Speaker 1>attack Persia, and the oracle replies, if you cross the river,

0:29:19.200 --> 0:29:21.479
<v Speaker 1>a great empire will fall and you can figure out

0:29:21.520 --> 0:29:24.560
<v Speaker 1>what happens next. Cross is like, yeah, I'm going to

0:29:24.600 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 1>attack Persia. But spoiler alerted, it was his empire that

0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:32.080
<v Speaker 1>fell apart. This is herodotous, though, so we don't know

0:29:32.120 --> 0:29:35.800
<v Speaker 1>how much of that is legit. Across the ancient world,

0:29:35.920 --> 0:29:39.959
<v Speaker 1>humans tried every method imaginable to glimpse the future. Babylonian

0:29:40.040 --> 0:29:42.880
<v Speaker 1>astrologers mapped the night sky, believing the motion of the

0:29:42.920 --> 0:29:46.720
<v Speaker 1>planets its stars foretold events on Earth. We're still doing that.

0:29:47.360 --> 0:29:49.959
<v Speaker 1>If Mars rose in a certain constellation, maybe a king

0:29:50.000 --> 0:29:52.880
<v Speaker 1>would die or a war would be born. These Babylonian

0:29:52.880 --> 0:29:58.320
<v Speaker 1>priests were essentially the first data analysts, collecting celestial observations

0:29:58.360 --> 0:30:02.880
<v Speaker 1>on clay tablets looking for Meanwhile, in ancient China, diviners

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 1>heated tortoise shells until they cracked to read the patterns there.

0:30:06.120 --> 0:30:09.680
<v Speaker 1>In ancient Rome, augurs watched the flight of birds past

0:30:09.800 --> 0:30:13.800
<v Speaker 1>windows and sacrificed animals to inspect their entrails to decide

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:17.560
<v Speaker 1>if the future would be favorable or not. The idea

0:30:17.720 --> 0:30:21.080
<v Speaker 1>was that there are clues everywhere in the world, in

0:30:21.120 --> 0:30:23.960
<v Speaker 1>the universe and the natural world, if you know where

0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:29.080
<v Speaker 1>to look. And let's not forget that magicians and seers

0:30:29.400 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>beyond official priesthoods were also at play, working with the

0:30:32.800 --> 0:30:37.200
<v Speaker 1>common people. Every culture had soothsayers, and visionaries. The Bible

0:30:37.200 --> 0:30:44.040
<v Speaker 1>talks about Joseph interpret interpreting Pharaoh's dreams of skinny cows

0:30:44.040 --> 0:30:47.040
<v Speaker 1>and fat cows in order to predict famine. In myth

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 1>and legend, we hear of seers like Cassandra from Troy,

0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:54.480
<v Speaker 1>from ancient Troy, who was cursed to predict true futures

0:30:54.480 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 1>that no one would believe. Fast forward to the Renaissance

0:30:57.920 --> 0:31:01.520
<v Speaker 1>and you get figures like Nostradamus, the sixteenth century French

0:31:02.240 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 1>apothecary guy who published cryptic poems in the form of quatrains,

0:31:08.280 --> 0:31:14.480
<v Speaker 1>these kind of foe lined poems that, according to later

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:19.800
<v Speaker 1>people who studied this, predicted everything from the rise of

0:31:19.880 --> 0:31:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Napoleon to great famines to the appearance of Hitler. In reality,

0:31:26.520 --> 0:31:28.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, go read them. You can't figure you can't

0:31:28.520 --> 0:31:31.120
<v Speaker 1>really figure out what those things are. But the fact

0:31:31.200 --> 0:31:33.880
<v Speaker 1>is that we love this stuff, and people throughout history,

0:31:34.720 --> 0:31:37.400
<v Speaker 1>ancient people and people today, and people certainly for as

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:40.400
<v Speaker 1>long as there are human beings, will love and will

0:31:40.440 --> 0:31:44.720
<v Speaker 1>subscribe to the idea that somehow someone might have figured

0:31:44.720 --> 0:31:50.080
<v Speaker 1>out how to predict the future. If there's one thing, well,

0:31:50.160 --> 0:31:52.640
<v Speaker 1>let me take that again. However, it's one thing to

0:31:52.760 --> 0:31:55.840
<v Speaker 1>ask about how the market's going to move, or whether

0:31:55.880 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 1>we should go to war, or whether we should harvest.

0:31:58.200 --> 0:32:01.560
<v Speaker 1>It's another thing to predict the end of the world entirely,

0:32:02.280 --> 0:32:05.320
<v Speaker 1>and of course this is something that generation after generation

0:32:05.440 --> 0:32:09.760
<v Speaker 1>people have tried to do. A veritable parade of Harry

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Selden's can be found all throughout the pages of history

0:32:13.520 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 1>and all around the world, often as evidenced by the

0:32:19.120 --> 0:32:23.800
<v Speaker 1>fact that we're still here. These end of time dates

0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:28.080
<v Speaker 1>come and go or get pushed back continually because what

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 1>happens nothing really happens, and many people are left disappointed.

0:32:32.400 --> 0:32:37.800
<v Speaker 1>Medieval Europe had waves of apocalyptic fever throughout history, often

0:32:38.400 --> 0:32:42.720
<v Speaker 1>around New Year's that turned from to big round numbers,

0:32:42.760 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, from year nine to ninety nine to year

0:32:44.520 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 1>one thousand. We can jump to the nineteenth century to

0:32:49.640 --> 0:32:53.280
<v Speaker 1>see more modern day versions of this. There was a

0:32:53.320 --> 0:32:55.640
<v Speaker 1>guy named William Miller, preacher from up state New York,

0:32:55.640 --> 0:32:58.640
<v Speaker 1>who predicted that Jesus would return on October twenty second,

0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:03.479
<v Speaker 1>eighteen forty four. The I love the details. Thousands of

0:33:03.480 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 1>his followers, the Millerites got ready, They prayed, they gave

0:33:06.880 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 1>away their money, They made white robes with which to

0:33:10.840 --> 0:33:16.240
<v Speaker 1>float up to heaven in and then than Avin. The

0:33:16.360 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 1>day became known as the Great Disappointment to the Miller Rights.

0:33:20.200 --> 0:33:24.200
<v Speaker 1>People wept, some lost faith, some recalculated, and this pattern

0:33:24.320 --> 0:33:27.640
<v Speaker 1>is repeated all throughout the twentieth In the twenty first centuries,

0:33:27.960 --> 0:33:32.720
<v Speaker 1>some of us might remember the twenty twelve Mayan calendar hype.

0:33:32.800 --> 0:33:36.760
<v Speaker 1>This was big for young people of my generation who

0:33:36.800 --> 0:33:40.320
<v Speaker 1>would go to raves and stuff. You know, you'd eat

0:33:40.400 --> 0:33:43.600
<v Speaker 1>some mushrooms or smoke some hash and then be talking

0:33:43.600 --> 0:33:45.200
<v Speaker 1>about it. And the next thing you know, some guy

0:33:45.240 --> 0:33:48.960
<v Speaker 1>with dreadlocks and crystals is telling you how the Mayans

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:52.600
<v Speaker 1>predicted the end of everything and it was coming. This is,

0:33:52.680 --> 0:33:56.200
<v Speaker 1>of course, a misinterpretation of the mind cycles that somehow

0:33:56.240 --> 0:33:58.840
<v Speaker 1>convinced folks that the world would end. On December twenty first,

0:33:58.880 --> 0:34:03.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty twelve, new agers held countdown parties. There was a

0:34:03.760 --> 0:34:09.000
<v Speaker 1>big budget disaster movie. You may remember, but what happened,

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:14.000
<v Speaker 1>Nothing happened, We're fine. Or about Harold Camping. Some might

0:34:14.200 --> 0:34:17.839
<v Speaker 1>remember Harold Camping. He was an American radio evangelist who

0:34:17.880 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 1>confidently broadcast the Judgment Day would happen on May twenty first,

0:34:23.560 --> 0:34:29.439
<v Speaker 1>twenty eleven. Followers spent their life savings, buying billboards, trying

0:34:29.480 --> 0:34:32.000
<v Speaker 1>to warn people the end is coming, the end is coming.

0:34:32.800 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Then nothing happened, he missed. He then recalculated, Okay, sorry

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:42.719
<v Speaker 1>I did, I didn't carry the one or whatever. October

0:34:42.760 --> 0:34:49.319
<v Speaker 1>twenty first, twenty eleven, when that date also passed uneventally uneventfully,

0:34:49.360 --> 0:34:52.680
<v Speaker 1>Camping said, quote, we humbly acknowledged we were wrong about

0:34:52.680 --> 0:35:00.719
<v Speaker 1>the timing. Eventually, a new idea in this kind of

0:35:00.800 --> 0:35:07.959
<v Speaker 1>prediction to science to cold and that was that maybe

0:35:08.040 --> 0:35:15.480
<v Speaker 1>it was a science. Maybe using the knowledge we unearthed

0:35:15.480 --> 0:35:18.360
<v Speaker 1>in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries and the Enlightenment, the

0:35:18.400 --> 0:35:22.840
<v Speaker 1>industrial evolution, and the new scientific discoveries, maybe using the

0:35:22.920 --> 0:35:28.319
<v Speaker 1>techniques learned in that era, we could actually predict with

0:35:28.480 --> 0:35:32.520
<v Speaker 1>some accuracy the future of Newton's laws for instance, for instance,

0:35:32.560 --> 0:35:35.440
<v Speaker 1>could break the motions of planets and bodies in space.

0:35:36.600 --> 0:35:38.919
<v Speaker 1>Why could we not find laws that predict the motion

0:35:39.040 --> 0:35:43.120
<v Speaker 1>of history. One of these people was August Compti. He

0:35:43.239 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 1>was in nineteenth century French philosopher often credited as being

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:51.759
<v Speaker 1>the father of sociology family. He famously said the goal

0:35:51.800 --> 0:35:54.600
<v Speaker 1>of knowledge is quote to predict in order to control

0:35:57.160 --> 0:36:02.600
<v Speaker 1>which sounds. Admittedly, like us super villain motto. But I

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:05.320
<v Speaker 1>think a lot of these kind of urges to predict

0:36:05.360 --> 0:36:10.239
<v Speaker 1>the future do have that kind of evil undertone to it.

0:36:10.280 --> 0:36:14.040
<v Speaker 1>But Comti was absolutely serious. He envisioned a physics of society,

0:36:14.800 --> 0:36:17.400
<v Speaker 1>a science of human behavior that would be as predictive

0:36:17.680 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 1>as any other science. But of course humans are much

0:36:22.760 --> 0:36:26.879
<v Speaker 1>much trickier than planets. I mean, consider the fact that

0:36:26.920 --> 0:36:29.440
<v Speaker 1>you are you and nobody knows you better than you.

0:36:29.520 --> 0:36:32.040
<v Speaker 1>But do you even know yourself? Like we have to

0:36:32.080 --> 0:36:34.359
<v Speaker 1>go to therapy to figure that out. So how could

0:36:34.400 --> 0:36:36.800
<v Speaker 1>August Comti or anybody else figure out? It's very difficult.

0:36:37.040 --> 0:36:40.400
<v Speaker 1>At the same time, there was Thomas Malthus, an English

0:36:40.440 --> 0:36:43.160
<v Speaker 1>economists and preacher who in seventeen ninety eight kind of

0:36:43.600 --> 0:36:47.520
<v Speaker 1>looked around the globe at population growth and in balance

0:36:47.640 --> 0:36:55.120
<v Speaker 1>with available resources and saw doom. He thought that populations

0:36:55.160 --> 0:37:00.960
<v Speaker 1>because they tend to increase exponentially while food production is available.

0:37:01.000 --> 0:37:05.960
<v Speaker 1>But as fruit production grows slower, the rate of population

0:37:06.080 --> 0:37:10.000
<v Speaker 1>increase gets slower as well. He extrapulated this. He extrapolated

0:37:10.040 --> 0:37:14.200
<v Speaker 1>this trend and concluded that we're headed for a mass

0:37:14.239 --> 0:37:18.200
<v Speaker 1>famine point at some point in the future. His warning

0:37:18.320 --> 0:37:22.560
<v Speaker 1>was very influential. You might have heard the term Malthusian collapse.

0:37:22.600 --> 0:37:26.800
<v Speaker 1>It comes from him, and his ideas kicked off a

0:37:26.840 --> 0:37:30.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of debates. It They influenced Charles Darwin on his

0:37:30.600 --> 0:37:33.120
<v Speaker 1>ideas of survival of the fittest, and for a while

0:37:33.160 --> 0:37:35.640
<v Speaker 1>in the eighteen hundreds it really looked like, hey, maybe

0:37:35.640 --> 0:37:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Malthus was right. There were famines, most famously the devastating

0:37:40.080 --> 0:37:43.279
<v Speaker 1>Irish potato familine, which seemed to validate his theories, but

0:37:43.480 --> 0:37:48.799
<v Speaker 1>overall it didn't happen. Why Because science created new fertilizers

0:37:48.800 --> 0:37:51.640
<v Speaker 1>that would enable us to grow more food, because of

0:37:52.719 --> 0:37:58.040
<v Speaker 1>developments in medical technology, etc. Maltheus didn't foresee these things.

0:37:58.400 --> 0:38:01.919
<v Speaker 1>So his nineteenth century prophecy of inevitable famine turned out

0:38:01.920 --> 0:38:05.040
<v Speaker 1>to be a bit like a wrong equation, or perhaps

0:38:05.040 --> 0:38:09.560
<v Speaker 1>a right equation missing some crucial variables, much like Harry

0:38:09.560 --> 0:38:15.919
<v Speaker 1>Seldon's psychohistory, which it's impossible not to note every time

0:38:15.960 --> 0:38:18.360
<v Speaker 1>he pops out of cryo sleep, it's like, oops, the

0:38:18.440 --> 0:38:22.080
<v Speaker 1>math is wrong. Still, Maltheus deserves a shout out as

0:38:22.080 --> 0:38:27.040
<v Speaker 1>an Enlightenment era attempt to scientifically predict the future of society.

0:38:27.719 --> 0:38:31.000
<v Speaker 1>He took prediction out of the realm of you know,

0:38:31.080 --> 0:38:34.840
<v Speaker 1>strange inhaled gases and crystal balls and actually tried to

0:38:34.880 --> 0:38:39.120
<v Speaker 1>make something real and coherent out of it. And in

0:38:39.160 --> 0:38:41.319
<v Speaker 1>a way he was doing the kind of trend line

0:38:41.360 --> 0:38:46.640
<v Speaker 1>extrapolation that modern data analysts do. The futurists of the

0:38:46.640 --> 0:38:50.040
<v Speaker 1>twentieth century. If the eighteen hundreds got the ball rolling

0:38:50.080 --> 0:38:53.600
<v Speaker 1>on scientific prediction, the twentieth century kicked it into overdrive.

0:38:53.640 --> 0:38:56.759
<v Speaker 1>And in fact, I think you'll find that we use

0:38:56.880 --> 0:39:01.440
<v Speaker 1>these predictive technologies every day, all the time. After two

0:39:01.520 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 1>world wars, entering a Cold war, prediction became kind of

0:39:04.719 --> 0:39:08.279
<v Speaker 1>a matter of global survival. Now that weapons of mass

0:39:08.320 --> 0:39:11.960
<v Speaker 1>destruction were capable of taking out the entire planet were

0:39:12.000 --> 0:39:16.080
<v Speaker 1>in play, governments and institutions poured resources into anything that

0:39:16.120 --> 0:39:19.360
<v Speaker 1>could give them the edge on whatever's coming around the corner.

0:39:19.400 --> 0:39:23.759
<v Speaker 1>And this is the era when futurists became an actual profession.

0:39:23.920 --> 0:39:28.719
<v Speaker 1>The think tank guy, the researcher. Most famous, perhaps in

0:39:28.719 --> 0:39:32.359
<v Speaker 1>the United States, is the Rand Corporation. Originally formed after

0:39:32.600 --> 0:39:35.280
<v Speaker 1>w after World War II to advise the Air Force.

0:39:35.800 --> 0:39:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Rand basically became a factory of future scenarios. They pioneered

0:39:41.239 --> 0:39:46.840
<v Speaker 1>pioneered techniques like scenario planning, systematically exploring how possible futures

0:39:46.960 --> 0:39:49.719
<v Speaker 1>might unfold. What if the Soviets invade Germany? What do

0:39:49.800 --> 0:39:53.920
<v Speaker 1>we do? What if the Soviets Launchanuka at England? What

0:39:53.960 --> 0:39:57.360
<v Speaker 1>do we do? They even developed something called the Delphi method,

0:39:57.440 --> 0:40:02.360
<v Speaker 1>a structured way of polling expert researchers elite opinion makers

0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:05.279
<v Speaker 1>to make forecasts about the future, and funnily enough, they

0:40:05.360 --> 0:40:11.279
<v Speaker 1>named it Delphi after the ancient oracle at Delphi. No

0:40:11.400 --> 0:40:14.920
<v Speaker 1>goat entrails, just questionnaires, which is a bit more boring

0:40:15.040 --> 0:40:21.360
<v Speaker 1>than pytheis transport, perhaps more reliable. Rand analysts also used

0:40:21.800 --> 0:40:25.399
<v Speaker 1>the earliest versions of computers to run war games and simulations,

0:40:25.440 --> 0:40:29.360
<v Speaker 1>basically trying to map out the future in much the

0:40:29.400 --> 0:40:32.280
<v Speaker 1>way Doctor Strange in Infinity War scan through fourteen million

0:40:32.280 --> 0:40:35.120
<v Speaker 1>different possible outcomes to try and give us the most

0:40:35.200 --> 0:40:37.800
<v Speaker 1>likely path to success. They always get it right now,

0:40:38.120 --> 0:40:41.480
<v Speaker 1>but the idea was if you consider enough possibilities, maybe

0:40:41.520 --> 0:40:46.280
<v Speaker 1>you won't get caught off guard. But outside the military

0:40:46.280 --> 0:40:50.000
<v Speaker 1>industrial complex, others were also trying to predict futures for humanity.

0:40:50.000 --> 0:40:53.680
<v Speaker 1>In nineteen seventy two, a group of MIT scientists working

0:40:53.719 --> 0:40:57.120
<v Speaker 1>for the Club of Rome released a bombshell study called

0:40:57.280 --> 0:41:01.360
<v Speaker 1>The Limits to Growth. They built off one of the

0:41:01.360 --> 0:41:07.080
<v Speaker 1>first computer models of the entire global economy and crunched

0:41:07.080 --> 0:41:11.160
<v Speaker 1>the numbers and figured out that in a business as

0:41:11.280 --> 0:41:14.240
<v Speaker 1>usual kind of scenario, if we were running the global

0:41:14.280 --> 0:41:19.160
<v Speaker 1>economy the same exact way after year after year, there

0:41:19.200 --> 0:41:22.439
<v Speaker 1>would come a point where we would hit a wall

0:41:22.520 --> 0:41:25.360
<v Speaker 1>somewhere in the twenty first century, around twenty fifty twenty seventy,

0:41:25.719 --> 0:41:29.920
<v Speaker 1>which would lead to a collapse of population, collapse of

0:41:30.000 --> 0:41:34.680
<v Speaker 1>industrial output, collapse of economies, and probably warfamine, all the

0:41:34.719 --> 0:41:37.680
<v Speaker 1>other kind of Harry Seldon esque stuff. The report was

0:41:39.080 --> 0:41:41.839
<v Speaker 1>a bestseller, sparked a lot of debate that we're still

0:41:41.840 --> 0:41:45.960
<v Speaker 1>debating it today. Over the decades, people have checked in

0:41:46.480 --> 0:41:49.359
<v Speaker 1>just to see, well, how good did that? How good

0:41:49.440 --> 0:41:53.839
<v Speaker 1>was that model? And depending on who you ask, the

0:41:54.000 --> 0:41:58.960
<v Speaker 1>Limits to Growth was either remarkably accurate some of its findings,

0:41:59.040 --> 0:42:03.919
<v Speaker 1>like the curves in the CO two emissions, seem right

0:42:04.000 --> 0:42:08.520
<v Speaker 1>on track, or it's too simplistic. But the legacy of

0:42:08.560 --> 0:42:11.879
<v Speaker 1>it is huge, and here we are in the twenty

0:42:11.920 --> 0:42:15.719
<v Speaker 1>first century where prediction is basically like every day, in

0:42:15.760 --> 0:42:20.080
<v Speaker 1>your pocket, do you check the weather. You're checking some

0:42:20.160 --> 0:42:25.320
<v Speaker 1>kind of complex simulation that it crunches insane amounts of

0:42:25.400 --> 0:42:27.040
<v Speaker 1>data to tell you if it's going to be sunny,

0:42:27.080 --> 0:42:28.400
<v Speaker 1>or if it's going to rain, or what the air

0:42:28.600 --> 0:42:31.400
<v Speaker 1>quality is going to be. Scroll through TikTok your YouTube,

0:42:31.440 --> 0:42:36.440
<v Speaker 1>you're getting delivered content based on an algorithm that learned

0:42:36.480 --> 0:42:39.080
<v Speaker 1>from you the kind of stuff you like. You ever

0:42:39.120 --> 0:42:41.640
<v Speaker 1>wonder why the videos you see at two am when

0:42:41.680 --> 0:42:43.920
<v Speaker 1>you reach for your phone are not the videos you

0:42:43.920 --> 0:42:47.080
<v Speaker 1>see at ten am or at eleven thirty am when

0:42:47.080 --> 0:42:49.400
<v Speaker 1>you're taking a break from work. It's because the algorithm

0:42:49.440 --> 0:42:53.759
<v Speaker 1>is trying to predict what you like, and it's probably

0:42:54.239 --> 0:42:57.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty good at it. On a much more ominous and

0:42:58.000 --> 0:43:02.040
<v Speaker 1>serious note, algorithms are now being used in policing and

0:43:02.120 --> 0:43:09.000
<v Speaker 1>criminal justice and for the observation and subjugation of mass

0:43:09.040 --> 0:43:17.799
<v Speaker 1>peoples and eerily reminiscent events and an event eerily reminiscent

0:43:17.880 --> 0:43:23.120
<v Speaker 1>to minority report. So called predictive policing software takes crime

0:43:23.160 --> 0:43:25.919
<v Speaker 1>stats and tries to forecast, like where crimes are likely

0:43:26.000 --> 0:43:29.640
<v Speaker 1>to happen so the police can deploy resources there. You

0:43:29.719 --> 0:43:32.360
<v Speaker 1>don't have to be a Harry Seldon to kind of

0:43:32.400 --> 0:43:35.520
<v Speaker 1>figure out all the ways that this could go awry,

0:43:36.400 --> 0:43:40.480
<v Speaker 1>but more on that hopefully actually hopefully much less on

0:43:40.520 --> 0:43:43.560
<v Speaker 1>that in the future. So at the end of this

0:43:43.600 --> 0:43:45.600
<v Speaker 1>World Wind tour, let's bring it back to Foundation and

0:43:45.680 --> 0:43:51.319
<v Speaker 1>Harry Seldon. After all this effort, Are we any good

0:43:51.320 --> 0:43:57.160
<v Speaker 1>at this? It certainly seems like we're good in the

0:43:57.200 --> 0:44:00.840
<v Speaker 1>short term, right. We're very good with algorithm that predict

0:44:00.960 --> 0:44:03.360
<v Speaker 1>what you might want to do in the next twenty

0:44:03.400 --> 0:44:06.040
<v Speaker 1>minutes or might want to see next, And we're good

0:44:06.040 --> 0:44:10.120
<v Speaker 1>at the very long term. We're probably very good at saying, Okay,

0:44:10.280 --> 0:44:12.879
<v Speaker 1>in ten thousand years, the earth will look like this,

0:44:14.600 --> 0:44:17.879
<v Speaker 1>But in terms of the medium term trying to figure

0:44:17.920 --> 0:44:20.440
<v Speaker 1>out what's going to happen in the next three, five,

0:44:21.200 --> 0:44:26.960
<v Speaker 1>twenty years, not so much. On this week's episodes of

0:44:26.960 --> 0:44:29.839
<v Speaker 1>Extra Vision, we're diving into Marvel's first family, the Fantastic Four.

0:44:30.280 --> 0:44:33.280
<v Speaker 1>We have two prep episodes for you Tuesday and Thursday,

0:44:33.320 --> 0:44:36.799
<v Speaker 1>and then our instant reactions to the film on Friday.

0:44:37.120 --> 0:44:39.960
<v Speaker 1>That's it. That's it for this episode. Thanks for listening.

0:44:39.960 --> 0:44:45.040
<v Speaker 4>Every Ready, Bye bye.

0:44:47.080 --> 0:44:49.720
<v Speaker 1>X ray Vision is hosted by Jason Sepsion and rosday

0:44:49.800 --> 0:44:52.040
<v Speaker 1>Night and is a production of iHeart Podcasts.

0:44:52.160 --> 0:44:55.560
<v Speaker 2>Our executive producers are Joe Alminique.

0:44:54.840 --> 0:44:57.840
<v Speaker 1>And Aaron Koleman. Our supervising producer is Abusa.

0:44:57.880 --> 0:45:02.359
<v Speaker 2>Par All produces A Calm Laurent Dean Jonathan and Bay Wack.

0:45:02.480 --> 0:45:05.279
<v Speaker 1>A theme song is by Brian Vasquez, with alternate theme

0:45:05.320 --> 0:45:06.600
<v Speaker 1>songs by Aaron Kaufman.

0:45:06.760 --> 0:45:10.120
<v Speaker 2>Special thanks to Soul Rubin, Chris Lord, Kenny Goodman and

0:45:10.239 --> 0:45:12.000
<v Speaker 2>Heide our discord moderator