WEBVTT - NFL Week 4 Early Picks | Line Movement Predictions (Ep. 526) 0:00:01.120 --> 0:00:03.400 Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:05.920 your bets. So this me Joey p Joe Pi Zapia, 0:00:06.320 --> 0:00:09.319 and this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead 0:00:09.400 --> 0:00:12.119 at the early value of lines for week four in 0:00:12.160 --> 0:00:14.400 the NFL. And who better to help me out than 0:00:14.440 --> 0:00:18.720 the Undertaker himself Andrew Rickson Ericson. It was a wacky, 0:00:18.800 --> 0:00:22.800 wild week three. It was one where as Sunday dragged on, 0:00:22.880 --> 0:00:24.920 I thought to myself, you know, I'm gonna be very 0:00:24.920 --> 0:00:27.000 careful about week three. This feels like a lot of chalk, 0:00:27.040 --> 0:00:28.800 a lot of weird stuff. I'm gonna back off a 0:00:28.800 --> 0:00:31.160 little bit. And I'm glad I did, because it was 0:00:31.640 --> 0:00:35.360 panic at the disco everywhere. And the one thing that 0:00:35.400 --> 0:00:38.960 I stayed true to was my Minnesota Vikings upset Special 0:00:38.960 --> 0:00:42.320 of the Week. We talked about it on the Thursday show. 0:00:42.840 --> 0:00:45.840 It came through Let's go Vikings. I'm repping the Viking 0:00:45.880 --> 0:00:49.280 stuff today. The Purple people eaters ate the heart of 0:00:49.320 --> 0:00:53.440 the Houston Texans. But a week three Ericson, that's still 0:00:53.440 --> 0:00:55.639 going on. We got two Monday Night games tonight. Some 0:00:55.800 --> 0:00:59.240 crazy stuff there, I mean, big takeaways from you. Some 0:00:59.320 --> 0:01:01.880 of these upsets, like, was Bryce Young really just the 0:01:01.880 --> 0:01:04.040 problem all along for the Carolina Panthers, because. 0:01:03.800 --> 0:01:06.360 It's like it, yes he was. He was the problem. 0:01:06.480 --> 0:01:09.440 And now they're talking about how we're getting trade requests. 0:01:09.440 --> 0:01:11.760 We're not going to trade him. I think his stock 0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:16.960 just went down, right. How how great Andy Dalton was 0:01:17.000 --> 0:01:19.000 able to play. He was the first quarterback this season 0:01:19.000 --> 0:01:20.920 to throw for three hundred yards and three touchdowns. Because 0:01:21.000 --> 0:01:23.600 scoring is not a thing anymore, just if you're just 0:01:23.600 --> 0:01:26.880 tuning in right now, nobody scores points anymore. Underdogs are 0:01:26.880 --> 0:01:28.960 covering at an unreal rate. Underdogs are winning out right 0:01:29.160 --> 0:01:31.399 under an unreal rate. It's more fun to better than 0:01:31.440 --> 0:01:33.720 underdog because nobody's scoring, so the games are always close 0:01:34.040 --> 0:01:35.880 and you always got a shot. So that's how I've 0:01:35.920 --> 0:01:37.880 kind of been absorbment. It was more on the underdogs 0:01:37.920 --> 0:01:40.440 this week, and it was more fun because teams aren't 0:01:40.440 --> 0:01:42.560 blowing out other teams, it's not as easy to do it. 0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:45.120 So it was a fun. Week three, really wacky, and 0:01:45.200 --> 0:01:46.520 looking forward to breaking down Week four. 0:01:47.120 --> 0:01:49.880 Yeah, absolutely, all right, let's get after it, everybody, and 0:01:49.960 --> 0:01:53.200 let's talk about Week four in the NFL. Let's start 0:01:53.240 --> 0:01:55.520 with maybe maybe a short week is a good thing 0:01:55.560 --> 0:01:57.480 for the Dallas Cowboys. You don't have too much time 0:01:57.960 --> 0:02:00.360 to dwell in the past because they are going to 0:02:00.440 --> 0:02:03.040 head to New York to play the New York Football Giants. 0:02:03.040 --> 0:02:06.320 Fresh off they are big upset win themselves against the 0:02:06.320 --> 0:02:08.840 Cleveland Browns. The New York Giants are four and a 0:02:08.880 --> 0:02:12.079 half point underdogs right now, I'm betting pros forty three 0:02:12.160 --> 0:02:14.560 and a half is the number, and you got plus 0:02:14.560 --> 0:02:16.640 one eighty five on the Giants to beat the Cowboys. 0:02:16.840 --> 0:02:18.880 This feels like they get right game here for the 0:02:18.919 --> 0:02:22.440 Cowboys to me. But Andrew, from what you've seen out 0:02:22.440 --> 0:02:24.720 of the Cowboys, is the four and a half too much? 0:02:24.800 --> 0:02:26.120 Not enough? What do you think? 0:02:26.560 --> 0:02:28.640 Well, we know one thing about the Cowboys, and this 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:30.800 is going against everything I've already said. But they only 0:02:30.800 --> 0:02:33.840 playing blowouts. I mean, if you watch this game last week, 0:02:33.919 --> 0:02:35.880 it was a blot. I know that they were able 0:02:35.919 --> 0:02:37.560 to rally and get some points on the board. That 0:02:37.600 --> 0:02:40.640 game was not competitive. The Ravens were destroying the Dallas Cowboys. 0:02:40.680 --> 0:02:43.200 They got a nonzyde kick, which never happens, especially with 0:02:43.200 --> 0:02:46.079 the new rules, so they got really lucky to kind 0:02:46.080 --> 0:02:47.880 of make that game look a lot closer than it was. 0:02:47.919 --> 0:02:51.000 But every game Dallas plays is a blowout in either direction. 0:02:51.080 --> 0:02:53.160 Either they're getting blown out or they're killing the team 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:56.280 they're playing. We've seen this. We've seen this story before 0:02:56.720 --> 0:02:59.679 Dallas against the New York Giants, Daniel Jones, the coming 0:02:59.720 --> 0:03:02.720 off of win, they're feeling good short week. I think 0:03:02.760 --> 0:03:05.040 this is where just Dallas just crushes because that's what 0:03:05.080 --> 0:03:07.519 they do. So it's not enough for me. I looked 0:03:07.520 --> 0:03:09.000 at this. I think it's be closer to Dallas by 0:03:09.040 --> 0:03:11.360 a touchdown because I've seen what this team can do 0:03:11.440 --> 0:03:14.519 when they are humming, and it's usually after they play 0:03:14.560 --> 0:03:17.160 really bad they start to hum. So I like the 0:03:17.400 --> 0:03:19.120 under because I think that both offensive lines have a 0:03:19.160 --> 0:03:21.960 lot of issues. You saw the Giants swarming after Deshaun 0:03:21.960 --> 0:03:25.080 Watson in Week three, Dak Prescott was hunder arrest by 0:03:25.080 --> 0:03:27.120 the Ravens. That's the one part of the Giants that 0:03:27.160 --> 0:03:29.640 I do like is their defensive line in their pass rush. 0:03:29.960 --> 0:03:32.440 So again, primetime unders, those have been hitting at a 0:03:32.480 --> 0:03:34.000 high rate. I like the hundred forty three and a 0:03:34.040 --> 0:03:36.080 half and I like the Dallas Cowboys to cover the 0:03:36.120 --> 0:03:37.240 four and a half point spread. 0:03:37.440 --> 0:03:40.080 All right, before we get to the Sunday Games. A 0:03:40.160 --> 0:03:42.520 quick little note here, we've got another giveaway here on 0:03:42.560 --> 0:03:46.400 Betting Pros YouTube channel. 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No way to 0:04:40.839 --> 0:04:44.160 put it. New Orleans finally turned into a pumpkin Way 0:04:44.200 --> 0:04:48.560 to go, Derek Carr. The Atlanta Falcons are now minus 0:04:48.560 --> 0:04:51.200 one and a half favorites at home. Feels about right 0:04:51.240 --> 0:04:53.799 to me. Forty five and a half is the total 0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:55.799 for this game, minus one twenty five on the Falcons. 0:04:55.800 --> 0:04:57.640 On the money line. I go to the money line 0:04:57.640 --> 0:04:59.440 on this one. I go to the Falcons. I think 0:04:59.440 --> 0:05:03.520 the Falcons are a work in progress, and I think 0:05:03.560 --> 0:05:06.240 the Falcons are going to continue to push things in 0:05:06.279 --> 0:05:09.680 the right direction. That's my feeling, that's my takeaway. New 0:05:09.760 --> 0:05:13.400 Orleans very disappointing against the Eagles, a situation where the 0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:16.880 Eagles ericson were not at full strike out AJ Brown 0:05:16.880 --> 0:05:18.960 and then DeVante Smith comes out of that game and 0:05:19.000 --> 0:05:22.720 frankly kind of disappointing. So I'm on team Atlanta here. 0:05:22.800 --> 0:05:25.520 Where are you when it comes to Falcons and Saints? 0:05:26.160 --> 0:05:28.600 I actually like the Saints here to bounce back. We 0:05:28.680 --> 0:05:31.160 look at what happened in this past game. Rashichiheed had 0:05:31.160 --> 0:05:32.680 a couple of big plays that just didn't end up 0:05:32.760 --> 0:05:35.200 panning out. You know, the first two weeks of the season, 0:05:35.240 --> 0:05:37.279 he was on fire. He was making all those big 0:05:37.279 --> 0:05:39.880 plays downfield. In this game he has over five on 0:05:39.920 --> 0:05:42.400 his five targets, so he didn't see those big passing 0:05:42.400 --> 0:05:45.719 plays downfield. And the Saints lost their starting center right 0:05:45.760 --> 0:05:47.839 at the beginning of the game, so that throws everything 0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:50.040 out of whack. An offensive line that we had concerns 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:51.720 about entering the year didn't show up in the first 0:05:51.720 --> 0:05:54.359 two weeks. But when you lose your starting center in 0:05:54.400 --> 0:05:56.520 the beginning of the game, that kind of throws everything 0:05:56.560 --> 0:05:58.960 into whack. So I think that kind of caught the 0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:01.440 Saints off guard, trying to adjust on a fly with 0:06:01.520 --> 0:06:04.120 a week of preparation, knowing they don't have Eric McCoy 0:06:04.560 --> 0:06:07.039 or I'm not sure what his his injury is long term, 0:06:07.080 --> 0:06:09.360 but that's kind of I think they'll be more prepared. 0:06:09.400 --> 0:06:11.560 I mean, you look at what's the Falcon's biggest weakness 0:06:11.760 --> 0:06:14.040 Still to this day, they still don't have a pass rush. 0:06:14.279 --> 0:06:16.640 It's non existent. They can't rush the passer. The only 0:06:16.640 --> 0:06:19.040 team that has a worse pressure rate than the Falcons 0:06:19.080 --> 0:06:22.160 this year through three games is the Carolina Panthers. So again, 0:06:22.200 --> 0:06:23.919 Derek car why was he so good the first two weeks? 0:06:24.279 --> 0:06:24.839 No pressure? 0:06:25.160 --> 0:06:27.159 They were not getting pressure on him. So I think 0:06:27.320 --> 0:06:29.680 if they're able to prepare without McCoy, I think that 0:06:29.880 --> 0:06:31.400 we can get back to what we're seeing from that 0:06:31.480 --> 0:06:33.039 offense the first two weeks of the season and not 0:06:33.080 --> 0:06:35.200 what we saw last week. So I like the Saints here. 0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:38.159 You're hanging out with Welsh too much. You know, things 0:06:38.200 --> 0:06:41.800 get thrown out of Weck, not into Weck's way. Too 0:06:41.839 --> 0:06:43.280 much time with the Welsh you're spending. 0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:45.599 I mean, I'm only half the shelves within this year. 0:06:45.880 --> 0:06:47.640 I know, That's what I'm saying, and it's shows. So 0:06:47.640 --> 0:06:49.080 we're gonna have to sit down and have a meeting 0:06:49.080 --> 0:06:51.360 about that later this week. Let's get to the Steelers 0:06:51.360 --> 0:06:54.159 and Colts. This one's in Indianapolis. The Steelers are one 0:06:54.200 --> 0:06:56.520 and a half point favorites on the road. Thirty eight 0:06:56.560 --> 0:06:58.920 and a half is the number whenever you see the Steelers. 0:06:58.920 --> 0:07:01.240 It's gonna have a three to begin the over under 0:07:01.320 --> 0:07:04.640 most days minus one twenty two on the money line 0:07:04.640 --> 0:07:06.640 for the Pittsburgh Steelers plus one h two for the 0:07:06.680 --> 0:07:09.760 Indianapolis Colts. I gotta tell you here, like the discipline 0:07:09.800 --> 0:07:11.680 of the Steelers. This is what they do. They drag 0:07:11.720 --> 0:07:15.160 you down to their level. They boring it up. Fields 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:17.800 is three to zero. I'm taking Pittsburgh year with the 0:07:17.800 --> 0:07:19.360 one and a half. I think they're gonna go on 0:07:19.400 --> 0:07:21.560 the road, They're gonna play defense, they're gonna be boring, 0:07:21.560 --> 0:07:24.480 they're gonna control the football, and unfortunately, it's gonna be 0:07:24.480 --> 0:07:25.800 a rough start to the year for the Colts, a 0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:28.200 team that I had high aspirations for, but they just 0:07:28.240 --> 0:07:30.320 don't look like they're in sync quite yet and I 0:07:30.400 --> 0:07:32.160 just don't know about that defense. That's gonna be a 0:07:32.160 --> 0:07:34.360 tough day for me. And I feel like every w 0:07:34.680 --> 0:07:36.800 the Pittsburgh Steelers get a little stronger. Eric soon, what 0:07:36.840 --> 0:07:37.920 are your thoughts on this one? 0:07:38.320 --> 0:07:39.760 Yeah, I love the Steelers in the spot. I don't 0:07:39.760 --> 0:07:43.200 really care that it's on the road. What's the big difference? 0:07:43.240 --> 0:07:44.320 And now I know the Steelers are dealing with a 0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:46.200 couple of injuries on their opensive line, so that is 0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:47.440 a little bit concerning, But it. 0:07:47.440 --> 0:07:49.440 Would be more concerning if India had a defense that I. 0:07:49.360 --> 0:07:51.280 Can Yeah, if the Colts had a defensive line that 0:07:51.320 --> 0:07:53.080 could stop the run. Yeah, they stopped the run against 0:07:53.080 --> 0:07:55.600 the Bears, who they just can't run the football, so 0:07:55.760 --> 0:07:57.760 it doesn't really matter. So I think that this is 0:07:57.760 --> 0:08:00.480 the perfect spot for Arthur Smith in this offense to 0:08:00.880 --> 0:08:03.920 hum and you look at what's the pressure point. The 0:08:03.960 --> 0:08:06.720 thing with the Colts that's their biggest problems, specially offensively, 0:08:06.760 --> 0:08:09.200 is they can't They're not running enough plays right. That's 0:08:09.200 --> 0:08:11.240 why they're all suffering in fans. That's why you're not 0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:13.960 seeing any type of fireworks because Anthey Richardson can't get 0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:16.200 any type of rhythm. So that's why he's so inaccurate 0:08:16.200 --> 0:08:18.120 because he's not developing any type of rapport with his 0:08:18.120 --> 0:08:20.880 receivers because they never have the ball because the defense 0:08:20.920 --> 0:08:22.640 is getting killed by the run and they don't have 0:08:22.680 --> 0:08:24.880 the they don't have any time of possession. So it's 0:08:24.920 --> 0:08:27.160 really probably one of the worst draws when you're looking 0:08:27.200 --> 0:08:29.240 at the Colts and their offense and they're just team 0:08:29.280 --> 0:08:31.720 in general, to draw the Steelers on a three game 0:08:31.760 --> 0:08:34.440 winning streak even I mean, it doesn't matter what this 0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:36.920 game is being played. I think I agree it's minus 0:08:36.920 --> 0:08:38.040 one and a half is not enough. 0:08:38.280 --> 0:08:40.360 I gotta tell you, dude, I feel like this one 0:08:40.400 --> 0:08:43.400 is going to be two and a half by the 0:08:43.400 --> 0:08:46.280 time we get to Sunday. Like I think this one's 0:08:46.320 --> 0:08:48.640 gonna move, I would be getting it. This is my 0:08:48.640 --> 0:08:51.240 favorite early line. I want to jump on Pittsburgh right 0:08:51.240 --> 0:08:53.400 now because I think there's more people have time to 0:08:53.520 --> 0:08:56.679 marinate on it. They're gonna feel more confident with the Steelers, 0:08:57.320 --> 0:08:59.200 and I think this is going to change a little bit. 0:08:59.320 --> 0:09:03.200 Value is going to be gone. Minnesota undefeated three and 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:05.959 oh going against the Green Bay Packers. This one's in 0:09:06.000 --> 0:09:10.199 Green Bay. Malik willis Eater of worlds. Milik willis two 0:09:10.280 --> 0:09:12.480 and oh, what a time to be alive. Malik willis 0:09:12.480 --> 0:09:17.079 Sam Darnald, you know, just your normal NFO quarterbacks getting 0:09:17.080 --> 0:09:20.360 the job done here, Andy Dalton. I mean, what a 0:09:20.400 --> 0:09:23.760 crazy week it was. But maybe we get Jordan Love 0:09:23.800 --> 0:09:26.000 back for this one. That's going to impact this line. 0:09:26.120 --> 0:09:27.840 Minus two and a half. Green Bay is the favorite 0:09:27.920 --> 0:09:31.200 right now makes sense understandably so, especially with that potential looming. 0:09:31.400 --> 0:09:33.640 Forty four and a half is the total. Plus one 0:09:33.800 --> 0:09:38.480 sixteen on Minnesota now anything Andrew For me, the over 0:09:38.679 --> 0:09:40.360 is where I'm leaning a little bit here on this 0:09:40.400 --> 0:09:43.560 one because I do think if Love was practicing last week, 0:09:43.920 --> 0:09:45.640 it might stand a reason that he's gonna give it 0:09:45.640 --> 0:09:47.320 a go this week, and if so, that elevates this 0:09:47.400 --> 0:09:50.800 offense tremendously, even if he's limited. So I do think 0:09:50.960 --> 0:09:52.760 this is going to change the dynamic quite a bit 0:09:52.760 --> 0:09:55.240 of the green Bay Packers. Hopefully the MRI for Donald 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:58.200 comes back clean. It seems like it's just precautionary. More 0:09:58.240 --> 0:10:00.000 on that to come. But what's your take on missus 0:10:00.040 --> 0:10:01.800 so to green Bay? Any early value for you? 0:10:02.200 --> 0:10:04.200 Yeah, I think it really depends on what side you're 0:10:04.200 --> 0:10:06.320 trying to lean on. You know, if you like green Bay, 0:10:06.360 --> 0:10:08.040 you want to back them at home, you should take 0:10:08.080 --> 0:10:09.959 it now. Before they announced, oh well, Jordan Love is 0:10:10.000 --> 0:10:11.920 going to start this game, and we're probably not going 0:10:12.000 --> 0:10:13.880 to know about that because we've seen, you know, Lafloor 0:10:13.920 --> 0:10:17.000 play pretty coy with announcing who he's going to play. 0:10:17.280 --> 0:10:19.640 He's had Jordan Love be questionable leading up to game time. 0:10:19.760 --> 0:10:21.280 So he's probably gonna say, oh, I don't know he's 0:10:21.280 --> 0:10:24.040 gonna play. Maybe he'll play, But if he's practicing in full, 0:10:24.240 --> 0:10:25.920 I think it's gonna be pretty obvious that he's probably 0:10:25.960 --> 0:10:28.520 going to start this game. Now, I do agree Also, 0:10:28.559 --> 0:10:30.120 the value is kind of on the over there because 0:10:30.160 --> 0:10:32.320 it's suppressed because we're not sure if Love is still 0:10:32.320 --> 0:10:34.800 going to play. But at the same time, do I 0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:36.880 really want to take the over against the Vikings defense 0:10:37.040 --> 0:10:39.360 man That Vikings defense is for real, So that's my 0:10:39.400 --> 0:10:42.320 only hesitancy. But I admit that it is pretty low 0:10:42.440 --> 0:10:44.360 depending on, you know, how good we've seen these offices. 0:10:44.400 --> 0:10:46.960 But maybe because Jordan Love is coming back from an injury, 0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:49.680 maybe it's not a smash type of start. So I 0:10:49.679 --> 0:10:51.719 think for me, it's a matter of, hey, wait for 0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:54.640 Jordan Love to be announced, see money coming on the Packers, 0:10:54.679 --> 0:10:56.840 and then take the Vikings, you know, on the road 0:10:56.880 --> 0:10:59.520 as underdogs. So again, it really depends on who you 0:10:59.600 --> 0:11:01.840 like in this game to bet your timing. 0:11:03.559 --> 0:11:07.040 Jacksonville Jaguars will play tonight and we'll see what they do. 0:11:07.200 --> 0:11:09.360 But in the meantime, Houston Texans are two and one. 0:11:09.800 --> 0:11:11.480 They're at home. We don't know the health of Joe 0:11:11.480 --> 0:11:13.960 Mixon or Damian Pierce or what that backfield looks like. 0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:17.280 Going back home is the best medicine here Indivision matchup here. 0:11:17.760 --> 0:11:20.560 I'm worried about Jacksonville starting a year zero to three 0:11:20.679 --> 0:11:22.960 and if so, Man, oh Man, maybe things just start 0:11:23.040 --> 0:11:25.520 kind of falling apart. Texan's coming off a bad loss. 0:11:25.559 --> 0:11:27.680 They're four and a half point favorites at home. Forty 0:11:27.679 --> 0:11:29.520 five and a half is the number you get plus 0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:32.240 one seventy on the Jacksonville Jaguars upset. Now, this is 0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:36.600 one of these dangerous, trappy kind of games for me, Andrew, 0:11:36.679 --> 0:11:39.280 what's your first instinct? Tell you any early value in 0:11:39.320 --> 0:11:40.400 your mind? 0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:42.520 I don't like the value on Houston right now because 0:11:42.840 --> 0:11:44.200 I do think that we see a little bit more 0:11:44.240 --> 0:11:46.199 from Jacksonville when you look at what they've done the 0:11:46.280 --> 0:11:48.400 first two weeks of the season. I think they've kind 0:11:48.440 --> 0:11:50.280 of they've just run really really bad. I mean, they 0:11:50.280 --> 0:11:52.640 should have beat Miami straight up in week one, and 0:11:52.800 --> 0:11:55.240 in week two it was a rainy game. Turnovers kind 0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:56.800 of killed them. They weren't able to degenerate a lot 0:11:56.840 --> 0:11:59.080 of big plays. So I think the Jacksonville Jaguars are 0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:00.800 gonna show out a little bit. It's Buffalo. Maybe they 0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:02.640 don't win, but I think that's going to put more 0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:06.240 money on Jacksonville against Houston coming off a devastating loss. 0:12:06.559 --> 0:12:08.240 And we've talked about Houston how they're just not a 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:10.760 good team against the spread, they just don't cover spread. 0:12:10.840 --> 0:12:13.200 So again with the number four and a half, kind 0:12:13.200 --> 0:12:15.320 of that in between a field goal on a touchdown. 0:12:15.920 --> 0:12:17.520 I like the value in Jackson because I think this 0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:19.200 line's going to move far into their favor after we 0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:20.520 watch them plan Monday. 0:12:20.720 --> 0:12:23.600 The Rams spilled a rabbit out of their hat. They're 0:12:23.600 --> 0:12:26.320 taking on the Chicago Bears this week. The Bears are 0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:28.840 one and a half point favorites. The total for this 0:12:28.880 --> 0:12:31.079 game is forty and a half. You got even money 0:12:31.080 --> 0:12:34.800 on the Rams to win this game, minus one twenty 0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:37.480 on the Bears. I mean, look, it's practically a pick them. 0:12:38.000 --> 0:12:40.680 I understand why. I think it's just chaotic, right, There's 0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:43.719 so many deficits here with the Rams, but yet they 0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:47.080 just came off this huge upset victory. The Bears have 0:12:47.120 --> 0:12:49.960 been kind of maligned a little bit, and they certainly 0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:53.240 showed a little bit more yesterday. So where are you 0:12:53.280 --> 0:12:55.280 at when it comes to the Rams and Bears? This one? 0:12:55.760 --> 0:12:59.120 My first instinct is just give me the Rams even money, 0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:01.600 give me the better coach, better quarterback, and more often 0:13:01.640 --> 0:13:02.160 than not, that's a. 0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:05.360 Better investment on the Rams. This was one of my 0:13:05.360 --> 0:13:07.160 favorite when I was looking at the early lines. I'm 0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:09.240 like Kimmi Rams, I was able to see Rams plus 0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:11.480 two and a half Rams plus one and a half. 0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:14.319 I don't care if they're playing in Soldier field. This 0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:18.000 is Sean McVay knows Shane Waldron okay, like he's underneath 0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:21.439 that tree. And unfortunately this this root is not sprouting. 0:13:21.960 --> 0:13:24.440 Unfortunately in Chicago, we do not like what we're seeing 0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:28.240 from Shane Waldron. This offense is a mess for they. 0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:30.640 Just realize he still has cole kmet Yes. 0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:34.320 It's it's not good. So again, we've seen this before 0:13:34.440 --> 0:13:37.160 where head coaches don't get fired, office of coordinators get 0:13:37.160 --> 0:13:39.880 fired if things don't start to change. So I don't 0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:42.560 I think Waldron's days may be numbered with Caleb Williams 0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:45.520 in this current. Again, he has upside, we can all 0:13:45.559 --> 0:13:47.000 see it. We can see the big plays, but we're 0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:50.560 also seeing just this chaos around him, and I don't 0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:52.199 think that gets solved. I guess I know the Rams 0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:55.600 defense is horrible, but I mean, Matthew keep betting him 0:13:55.600 --> 0:13:57.720 outstthew Stafford mat give me Matthe Staffers is a underdog. 0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:00.760 He's so gutsy, gonna make every throw go take every hit. 0:14:01.080 --> 0:14:03.600 Give me that guy as an underdog every single time. 0:14:03.720 --> 0:14:05.360 Yeah, you just can't let down too. You can't have 0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:07.320 a win like that against the forty nine ers and 0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:09.120 then go to Chicago and Lance heard like, you just 0:14:09.160 --> 0:14:11.320 can't do that. I don't think. I think show mcma 0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:12.440 to Discovery understand that. 0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:12.679 Good. 0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:15.040 Yeah, that's what I mean. That's why again, when you're 0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:16.679 looking at these games where you're like, Okay, it's basically 0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:19.560 a picker and I go coach quarterback. Oh, they're both 0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:22.720 on one side. Okay, give me that side. So I'm 0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:25.240 with you one hundred percent. By the way, I'm looking 0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:28.240 at the Betting pros app right now as we're doing 0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:31.320 the show, and I'm looking seven to one in week 0:14:31.360 --> 0:14:34.680 three and the chaos of week three see little Discipline's good. 0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:38.520 I didn't go too crazy. I kept my composure. Some 0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:40.160 crazy stuff on the board, and I was like, you 0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:42.520 know what, I'm just not going to go two nuts 0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:44.840 this week. And that's what I love about the Betting 0:14:44.840 --> 0:14:46.800 pros app is I can track all my progress see 0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:49.280 what's going on there at all times. And again, if 0:14:49.320 --> 0:14:52.240 you haven't already, you should be downloading the Betting pros app. 0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:54.800 You should be tracking your own bets. You should be 0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:57.960 using the tools the way Andrew and I are to 0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:00.840 make the best decisions we possibly can. And if you 0:15:00.880 --> 0:15:04.720 haven't already, download the Betting Pros app on iOS on Android, 0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:07.800 sink your sports books for free. You can track all 0:15:07.880 --> 0:15:10.840 your bets, doesn't matter it's football, basketball, baseball, forget it. 0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:12.640 You could track all of it. And you can track 0:15:12.680 --> 0:15:14.600 all the line movement too as the week goes on, 0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:17.400 and you get custom line alerts from the Betting Pros app, 0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.720 So these games that we're talking about, you'll be able 0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:22.760 to get all those updates as the week goes on. 0:15:22.840 --> 0:15:25.120 Anytime there's movement boom, you can set it. And if 0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:26.920 you're waiting for something to happen and it happens, you 0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:30.200 can jump on it and be early. So again, download 0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:32.280 the app, follow us at betting pros dot com, slash 0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:34.880 ericson slash Joe, so that way you can tail us 0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:36.880 too and make sure you're doing the best you can 0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:39.320 to make yourself the most profitable better you possibly can be. 0:15:39.520 --> 0:15:42.760 All right, let's get to the next one. Here on 0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:45.600 our list of games for week four, we just took 0:15:45.640 --> 0:15:49.440 care of Chicago, La. Let's talk about Tampa Bay and Philadelphia. 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:53.840 So Philly's running out of wide receivers. Tampa Bay, what 0:15:54.400 --> 0:15:57.880 a disaster. You're at home and the Denver Broncos beat 0:15:57.920 --> 0:15:59.640 up on you. This one really just straight up pissed 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:03.040 me off. You pissed me off, hated it, very upset 0:16:03.080 --> 0:16:06.880 about it. The Philadelphia Eagles minus two and a half favorites. 0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:10.120 I don't know. This feels fishy to me. Ericson on 0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:12.680 the road without aj Brown, with aut Davonta Smith, They're 0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:15.520 not gonna have either room for this game. Forty six 0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:18.160 and a half is the number. Plus one sixteen for Tampa. 0:16:18.760 --> 0:16:21.200 I might just go right to plus one sixteen for Tampa. 0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:22.880 That's where my eye goes. Where does yours go? 0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:25.600 Yeah, I'm not sure exactly why we have so much 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.000 faith that the Eagles should be favored in that game. 0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:31.600 That's kind of my first inclination looking at this again. 0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:34.120 Tampa Bay. Yes, they laid an egg against Bonix and 0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:36.160 the de But some guys you just play bad gamest. 0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.240 Some of that happens. Suffists can be fluky, you know, 0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:41.320 they were. The Buccaneers were feeling themselves after they had 0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:43.600 that big win against the Detroit Lions and then again 0:16:43.760 --> 0:16:46.080 come out against an inferior opponent and then they just 0:16:46.120 --> 0:16:47.920 kind of like lay an egg. So for me, yeah, 0:16:47.960 --> 0:16:50.360 the Eagles are kind of the walking wounded a little 0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:54.440 bit here, and Baker Mayfield again very upset after that game. 0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:56.320 I think he's gonna get the edge back here. You 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:59.160 don't have two concerns about Oh, Sirtain's gonna takeway. Mike 0:16:59.200 --> 0:17:01.400 Evant like mc evan's could have a Matt Monster game here. 0:17:01.480 --> 0:17:03.720 Chris Godwin still gonna be involved. So and again I 0:17:03.720 --> 0:17:06.119 think with Buccaneers two, they didn't have Vitavea in this 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:08.840