1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Well, it's time for our daily Wall Street Week conversation, 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: and today we're focusing on structural changes within the financial industry. 3 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 1: Mark Owen he is Apollo Global Management co founder and CEO. 4 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: He spoke with Wall Street Week host David Weston yesterday 5 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles. 6 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:22,959 Speaker 2: It is absolutely the driving force. I mean, this is 7 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:25,919 Speaker 2: focusing on the urgent, which is what we were talking 8 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: about before we came on era versus the important. This 9 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 2: is the important thing that's happening in our business. At 10 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 2: our recent partners off site, I put up a slide 11 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,880 Speaker 2: that said, in two thousand and eight Apollo forty billion 12 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 2: of AUM twenty twenty three, six hundred and fifty billion 13 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 2: of AUM. We grew fourteen times. We outgrew Apple, we 14 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 2: outgrew Amazon, we outgrew Microsoft. Pretty impressive stat next slide 15 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 2: where we lucky or smart? We were lucky. You can't 16 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 2: possibly plan on growing your business fourteen times, but you 17 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 2: can position the business in a way that you take 18 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 2: advantage of powerful tailwinds or trends. What were the tailwinds? 19 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 2: Two thousand and eight, we had a financial crisis which 20 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 2: pushed most financial institutions in the Western world on defense. 21 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 2: We built and formed a financial institution called Athene in 22 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 2: two thousand and eight. That company went from a startup 23 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 2: to today three hundred and sixty billion dollars offense could 24 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 2: never have been done but for the macro environment. The 25 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:25,839 Speaker 2: other thing that happened is rates went to zero. People 26 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 2: who had made promises to retirees, to pensioners, and had 27 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 2: other obligations that were fixed, all of a sudden needed 28 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 2: to look elsewhere for rate of return. They were willing 29 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 2: to consider that perhaps private markets offered an alternative. Okay, 30 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 2: those tailwinds powered us through two thousand and eight. Now 31 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 2: I sit in twenty twenty four and I say, what 32 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 2: are the tailwinds. This tailwind of dbanking, of having investors 33 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 2: do more and banks do less absolutely happening and happening 34 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 2: everywhere in the world. Does not mean banks will shrink. 35 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 2: It just means on the margin, growth is going to 36 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 2: come in the investment marketplace, in the banking marketplace. Second retirement. Unfortunately, 37 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 2: we're getting older. Every Western society is getting older. We 38 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 2: as societies have done a terrible job with guaranteed lifetime income. 39 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 2: Everyone will need more guaranteed lifetime income This is a 40 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 2: fixed income product. It is powered by highly rated fixed 41 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 2: income so called private investment, great big growth market. High 42 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 2: net worth institutional investors used to be the dominant forces 43 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 2: in our industry. We're at the very beginning of high 44 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,959 Speaker 2: net worth investors exploring private markets. This is going to 45 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:37,119 Speaker 2: a trend that's going to take place for the next 46 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 2: twenty years. And finally, indexation and commoditization of markets. If 47 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 2: you're an active manager of equity, you failed to beat 48 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 2: the market better than ninety percent of the time for 49 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 2: twenty years. I don't think you got stupider. I think 50 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 2: these firms are actually really good. But the structure of 51 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 2: markets changed. And this gets to the notion of if 52 00:02:55,240 --> 00:03:00,040 Speaker 2: four thousand public companies is not enough for diversification, we 53 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 2: have to find a way to participate in private markets. 54 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 2: All four trends power not just to follow about our industry. 55 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 3: You mentioned pensioners retirees, and as you say, I certainly 56 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 3: am getting older while volunteer for that is this part 57 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 3: when we talk about pensioners or retirees, there's a big 58 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:20,399 Speaker 3: looming problem. Obviously, as people advancing age, they need retirement 59 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 3: income is private. Part of the solution of that problem. 60 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 3: Are you going to help us get out of this jam? 61 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 2: It's a part of the solution. So we have we 62 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: have an actual experiment. We can look at Australia. Forty 63 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 2: plus years ago, Australia adopted superannuation, which sounds like a 64 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 2: fancy solution, but what is it. It literally just gave 65 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 2: normal investors who needed returns access to private markets through 66 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 2: supervised supervision, and Australia has been the most successful retiring 67 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 2: retirement investment market anywhere in the world. What do we 68 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 2: do in the US? Yes, we have to find benefit plans, 69 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: but defind benefit plans are shrinking, not growing. Most of 70 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 2: our retirement money is in four oh one k twelve 71 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 2: to thirteen trillion by some estimates. What are these people 72 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 2: invested in? They're invested in daily liquid funds for fifty years. 73 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 2: Why are they invested in daily liquid fund for fifty years? 74 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 3: I don't know. 75 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 2: Well, because public was safe and private was risky. It 76 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 2: will not surprise me, and we're already seeing the beginnings 77 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:23,200 Speaker 2: of it. Retirees who are thinking in twenty and thirty 78 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 2: and forty year timeframes having access to private markets. That 79 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: doesn't mean private equity, That doesn't mean venture capital or 80 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,160 Speaker 2: hedge funds. That means the whole swath of the economy 81 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 2: that is just not publicly listed. 82 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 3: So Mark, let me shift a different subject here. You 83 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 3: started as a media banker. 84 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 2: I think unbelievable. 85 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 3: Hard to know. You talk about disruption. I mean, having 86 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:45,599 Speaker 3: spent some time in media, including on the business side, 87 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 3: there's a huge disruption of media right now. Can you 88 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 3: compare what we're seeing that shifts the fundamental shifts in 89 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 3: media with what we're seeing in the move to private 90 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 3: from public. Is it a similar sort of fundamental shifting 91 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 3: of the ground under us I do. 92 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 2: I think there's a wholesale rewire if you think about 93 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:03,479 Speaker 2: where people used to spend their time in media and 94 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 2: how they consume media. I joke with my kids, who 95 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 2: are somewhat older this time, what do the numbers two, four, five, seven, nine, 96 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 2: eleven and thirteen mean? They look at me like they 97 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 2: must be prime numbers or something like that. I'm like, no, 98 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 2: they're channels. That's how people used to consume me. We 99 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 2: had a time, we watch something at a time. All 100 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 2: bets are off, not only in terms of how media 101 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 2: is delivered, but how it's created. The easy which is created, 102 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 2: and so on and so on. Financial services, we are 103 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 2: going through that same sort of revolution in a much 104 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 2: more regulated business, so it will not happen as fast. 105 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 2: It is not just about public and private markets. It's 106 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 2: about security, it's about who provides our services. We have 107 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 2: a whole group of tech companies who are encroaching on 108 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 2: the turf of the banking system. We have banks who 109 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:55,839 Speaker 2: are living in a more regulated paradigm but are nonetheless 110 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 2: the key gate keepers to services. So I look at 111 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 2: our industry, what is our job and our job at 112 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 2: Apollo our job is to match long term liabilities and 113 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 2: long term assets to provide read to return to investors 114 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 2: access return per unit of risk. 115 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 1: And that of course was Mark Rowan, Apollo Global Management 116 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 1: co founder and CEO, and of course Wall Street Week 117 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:20,600 Speaker 1: host David Weston