1
00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,080
Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

2
00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,400
Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice Podcast.

3
00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:20,919
Speaker 2: I am your host, Matt Peralt.

4
00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:23,200
Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

5
00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,760
Speaker 1: at Sports Talk. Matt back after a two and two

6
00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:32,000
Speaker 1: night in the WNBA last night. Not a horrible night,

7
00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,560
Speaker 1: not a great night for us. We get the Links right,

8
00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,879
Speaker 1: we get the over in the Chicago game, right. We

9
00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:40,879
Speaker 1: missed the Links over by a point. It fell one

10
00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,000
Speaker 1: fifty four. It could have been a two to one

11
00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,120
Speaker 1: in one night. It could have been a three in

12
00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:49,400
Speaker 1: one night if we get one more bucket in that

13
00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:54,080
Speaker 1: game between the Links and the Sun. Unfortunately, that fell

14
00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:57,520
Speaker 1: fell one fifty four. Vegas got hot in the second half,

15
00:00:57,520 --> 00:00:59,600
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter in particular, stretched it out and

16
00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,080
Speaker 1: covered the number for the Storm to go two and

17
00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:05,880
Speaker 1: two down point two on the night. I know a

18
00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:07,880
Speaker 1: bunch of you in the Discord channel and a couple

19
00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:12,000
Speaker 1: you sent me DMS on this about information, players in,

20
00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:16,440
Speaker 1: players out. Hey, you got to understand something like I

21
00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:21,839
Speaker 1: bet overnight, I bet what I bet. So we've tried

22
00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,760
Speaker 1: this in the past where like line movement happens, or

23
00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:30,480
Speaker 1: players are in or players are out. This podcast gets

24
00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:34,800
Speaker 1: consumed by so many people that it's not really fair

25
00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,080
Speaker 1: if I say, all right, I'm opting out, like I

26
00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,720
Speaker 1: bet what I bet, so regardless if it's a good

27
00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:44,760
Speaker 1: bet or a bad bet or something changes, do what

28
00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:46,039
Speaker 1: you want with it.

29
00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:48,360
Speaker 2: Okay, you don't need to tell me.

30
00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:50,360
Speaker 1: You don't need to go in the discord channel and

31
00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:53,360
Speaker 1: give some long soliloquy about what this play should be

32
00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:55,920
Speaker 1: or should not be. Just do what you're going to do.

33
00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,200
Speaker 1: That's the whole point of the podcast. You get to

34
00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:01,880
Speaker 1: do whatever you're gonna do. You play whatever you want

35
00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:04,240
Speaker 1: to play, and I play whatever I play. You can

36
00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,840
Speaker 1: take my advice and follow or fade it and go

37
00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:11,120
Speaker 1: against it. So I know, maybe you're trying to like

38
00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:13,360
Speaker 1: be a white Knight or something and like ride in

39
00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,880
Speaker 1: and save me from myself. But that's not how this works. Okay,

40
00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,519
Speaker 1: I'm a conservative gambler. I make sure I'm gonna be

41
00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:23,400
Speaker 1: in this for a long time. I don't bet heavy.

42
00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,839
Speaker 1: I don't bet you know, a dime a game. We're

43
00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,880
Speaker 1: not gonna, you know, put any pressure on me financially.

44
00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:35,160
Speaker 1: If the sparks, sorry, if the if the storm, they

45
00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,000
Speaker 1: don't cover. It's one game and we turn the page

46
00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,120
Speaker 1: and we move on. All right, So just I just

47
00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,720
Speaker 1: understand that, like I get the point I get we're

48
00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:44,480
Speaker 1: trying to do, and I appreciate it. It's nice to you,

49
00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:48,799
Speaker 1: but I don't need it like I because of how

50
00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:51,480
Speaker 1: this podcast is consumed. I mean, look, the podcast last

51
00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,799
Speaker 1: night was watched by twenty thousand people just on video. Okay,

52
00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:58,000
Speaker 1: he was listened to by another seven So like that's

53
00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:00,360
Speaker 1: a lot of people. So I'm supposed to just like

54
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:02,359
Speaker 1: ride up and be like, oh, shoot, by the way,

55
00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,760
Speaker 1: the storm they're they're benching one of their best players,

56
00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:07,800
Speaker 1: so the bets off. Like we've tried doing that in

57
00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:10,320
Speaker 1: the past. We've done this now for over four years.

58
00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:14,919
Speaker 1: That's not fair because not everybody has the time. People

59
00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,280
Speaker 1: have jobs. A lot of you guys listening to this

60
00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,440
Speaker 1: podcast on the way to work, right, so, like you're

61
00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:22,520
Speaker 1: in the car, you had a thirty minute commute, This

62
00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:24,760
Speaker 1: is a ten minute pod. You hop in here, all right,

63
00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,000
Speaker 1: what's Matt betting today? You go ahead and listen to

64
00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,720
Speaker 1: my and then you either at lunch make the play,

65
00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,200
Speaker 1: or after work make the play, or right then on

66
00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:33,680
Speaker 1: the on the way to work you make the play,

67
00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,000
Speaker 1: or you fade the play right then and there. So

68
00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,000
Speaker 1: if I all of a sudden jump up and be like,

69
00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:41,600
Speaker 1: oh whoop, psych no bet the other side, you know

70
00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:43,800
Speaker 1: you could have done that. Vegas went from a six

71
00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:45,240
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite to an eight and a

72
00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,040
Speaker 1: half point favorite. You know, at halftime they were a

73
00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:49,400
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite.

74
00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:51,240
Speaker 2: You could a laid any one of those numbers if

75
00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:51,760
Speaker 2: you wanted to.

76
00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:54,200
Speaker 1: If you wanted to get out of the plus six

77
00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:57,480
Speaker 1: and a half bet, that's your choice. Okay, I did

78
00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:59,720
Speaker 1: some other things. You know, I had some teasers. I

79
00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:02,160
Speaker 1: got little wonky last night with the WNBA. I did

80
00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:05,840
Speaker 1: pretty well last night, so things that would not recommend doing.

81
00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,840
Speaker 1: Don't tease the WNBA, even though I did three times

82
00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:12,200
Speaker 1: and I wanted all three bets. But you know, that's

83
00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,240
Speaker 1: just what I do, not recommending what you do. That's

84
00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:18,240
Speaker 1: why you know some of my stupid plays are crazier

85
00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,640
Speaker 1: plays you'll never hear of because I don't talk about them.

86
00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:24,080
Speaker 1: We're talking about conservatives and conservative bets and smart plays

87
00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,159
Speaker 1: and trying to make you guys better gamblers, you know,

88
00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:28,479
Speaker 1: trying to keep us all in the game long term.

89
00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,000
Speaker 2: Right, we all play dumb things. We all play dumb parlays.

90
00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,800
Speaker 1: We all play dumb teasers when they hit that's awesome, right,

91
00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:34,960
Speaker 1: it's fun.

92
00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:37,120
Speaker 2: But you know, I don't know.

93
00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:39,120
Speaker 1: It's like cheating on a diet or something. Only you

94
00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:42,080
Speaker 1: really know, right, only you know what you've eaten. Well,

95
00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:46,200
Speaker 1: you know what you've done. So thanks, But I appreciate

96
00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,520
Speaker 1: the number of people bringing it up. But two and

97
00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:50,440
Speaker 1: two down point two, we're still up for the week.

98
00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:53,280
Speaker 1: We're all good. We go onto a Wednesday. This podcast

99
00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:58,240
Speaker 1: is being presented by DraftKings. You guys, have you gone

100
00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:01,200
Speaker 1: and downloaded the new Pick six as yet? You should

101
00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:05,040
Speaker 1: download it now and use the code juice. That's juice.

102
00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:10,039
Speaker 1: New Pick six customers, you will get five dollars to

103
00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:14,800
Speaker 1: play with fifty bucks in Pick six credits when you

104
00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:18,640
Speaker 1: put five dollars into play. That's guaranteed plus one month

105
00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,760
Speaker 1: of NFL plus Red Zone and the NFL Network Only

106
00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:25,000
Speaker 1: on DraftKings Pick six. The Crown is Yours. Gambling Problem

107
00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:28,120
Speaker 1: Call one eight hundred. Gambler Help is available for problem

108
00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:31,760
Speaker 1: gambling called eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven

109
00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,240
Speaker 1: seven seven or visit CCPG dot organ Connecticut. Must be

110
00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,320
Speaker 1: a team plus aids and eligibility restrictions may vary by jurisdiction.

111
00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:41,080
Speaker 2: Pick six not available everywhere, including New York and Ontario.

112
00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:45,120
Speaker 1: Voidware prohibited c terms at Pick six dot DraftKings dot

113
00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,000
Speaker 1: com slash promos one per customer reward issued as fifty

114
00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,719
Speaker 1: dollars in non withdrawable Pick six credits that expire in

115
00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:53,920
Speaker 1: six months. NFL Plus Premium offerre available only to new

116
00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:57,440
Speaker 1: and former NFL Plus subscribers. Additional NFL Plus Premium Premium

117
00:05:57,560 --> 00:06:01,640
Speaker 1: terms at NFL dot com slash wh terms.

118
00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:07,760
Speaker 2: All right, it's Wednesday. What do we do? I can't

119
00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:09,839
Speaker 2: bet a full baseball slate. I just can't.

120
00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:14,080
Speaker 1: Okay, we're looking good on a bunch of our futures.

121
00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:18,640
Speaker 1: We've already cashed the Marlins. We're looking okay on a

122
00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:21,839
Speaker 1: couple of them. Colorado needs to stop winning, Red Sox

123
00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:23,279
Speaker 1: need to get going here a little bit, and the

124
00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:25,440
Speaker 1: Cubs need a miracle. But the Dbacks will get us

125
00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:28,560
Speaker 1: there pretty easily. So we should be three and two

126
00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,080
Speaker 1: most likely maybe four in one in the five season

127
00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:34,760
Speaker 1: long win total bets we made for Major League Baseball.

128
00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:37,400
Speaker 1: So I don't want to go down further. I want

129
00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:39,080
Speaker 1: to pick up if I can pick up, like two

130
00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:41,680
Speaker 1: or three units, I'll be good in the futures market

131
00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:43,800
Speaker 1: and then try to.

132
00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:44,400
Speaker 2: Figure where we go.

133
00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:46,440
Speaker 1: It'd be great to go five and oh and pick

134
00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:48,359
Speaker 1: up five units off of it would be great. But

135
00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,200
Speaker 1: I have one bet in baseball for tonight.

136
00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:51,520
Speaker 2: One.

137
00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:56,599
Speaker 1: I have a college football bet for Saturday and a

138
00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:01,000
Speaker 1: NFL bet for Thursday. Why do I bet these numbers now?

139
00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,840
Speaker 1: They're moving, they're moving. I don't want them to move.

140
00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,560
Speaker 1: I want them to stay right where they are. So

141
00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:10,720
Speaker 1: that's why. Okay, if you're wondering why I'm betting the

142
00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,920
Speaker 1: plays now to get the best number, that is why.

143
00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:17,560
Speaker 1: All right, let's start on Thursday night with the Patriots

144
00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:21,360
Speaker 1: on the road at the Jets. This handicap is pretty

145
00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:25,400
Speaker 1: easy for me. The Patriots with Jako Kobe Brissett, they're

146
00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,680
Speaker 1: not going to turn the football over. The Jets defense

147
00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,760
Speaker 1: has not looked anywhere near what the Jets defense was

148
00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,720
Speaker 1: supposed to be this season. It is a short week,

149
00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,520
Speaker 1: it's Week three. The Patriots went to overtime against Seattle.

150
00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:40,800
Speaker 1: They played them tough, and they lost. That's going to

151
00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:43,760
Speaker 1: be pretty much them of the Patriots for this season.

152
00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,880
Speaker 1: They have owned the Jets. Gerrod Mayo knows this. The

153
00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:52,320
Speaker 1: Patriots know this. Aaron Rodgers has looked pedestrian. Let's be frank,

154
00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,400
Speaker 1: he's looked pedestrian. Has time cut up with him? I

155
00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:57,800
Speaker 1: don't know, but this is the first time he's playing

156
00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:03,120
Speaker 1: the Patriots in this rivalry with the Jets. The Patriots

157
00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:06,040
Speaker 1: have more weapons than we thought. I know they just

158
00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:08,680
Speaker 1: had a major injury with their team captain on defense.

159
00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:11,960
Speaker 1: I get that that stinks. Its next man up. Patriots

160
00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:14,080
Speaker 1: mentality has been that way for a long period of time.

161
00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:15,760
Speaker 1: And I know that a lot of players on that

162
00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:17,840
Speaker 1: defense that the Patriots have lost in the last couple

163
00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,160
Speaker 1: of years that make this defense much different than what

164
00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:23,040
Speaker 1: it's been. But Christian goan Zalez has been a tremendous

165
00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:26,920
Speaker 1: shutdown corner for this Patriots team. Their pass rush has

166
00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:29,760
Speaker 1: been good enough, not been outstanding, but it's been good enough.

167
00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:32,240
Speaker 1: The offensive line has not been outstanding, but it's been

168
00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:36,400
Speaker 1: good enough. The offensive line has blocked really well Formandre Stevenson.

169
00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,640
Speaker 1: And as long as Dakobe Brissett still didn't throw picks,

170
00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,880
Speaker 1: give me the points. Patriots plus six and a half.

171
00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,480
Speaker 1: They very well might lose this game. They may lose

172
00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:47,520
Speaker 1: this game on a last second field goal, maybe an

173
00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:51,200
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers drive. Okay, but we have seen the dogs

174
00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:56,160
Speaker 1: barking teams that have been favored by six.

175
00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:56,640
Speaker 2: Points or more.

176
00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,200
Speaker 1: Let me get the stat let me make sure I

177
00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:01,120
Speaker 1: have this stack correctly. Because the stats and credible. Because Patriots,

178
00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:03,960
Speaker 1: that actually effect factors right into it. And why you

179
00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:06,240
Speaker 1: may want to just go ahead and bet this thing.

180
00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:09,520
Speaker 1: You know, bet this straight up Patriots to win the game.

181
00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:12,000
Speaker 1: I'm not saying I would do it, but you could

182
00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:14,200
Speaker 1: do it because this is going to be one of

183
00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:15,000
Speaker 1: those situations.

184
00:09:15,160 --> 00:09:16,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll probably pull it here in a second.

185
00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:23,560
Speaker 1: Hold on, there's been such an incredible amount of dogs.

186
00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:27,680
Speaker 1: I believe it's like seven and oh, eight and oh somewhere. Okay,

187
00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,720
Speaker 1: and if underdogs of six points or more this year

188
00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:34,200
Speaker 1: are eight and oh ats in the NFL, and a

189
00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:36,560
Speaker 1: lot of them have won the game outright. A lot

190
00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,800
Speaker 1: of them have won it straight up, which is nuts.

191
00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:41,720
Speaker 1: If you stop and think about it, you're like, wait,

192
00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:45,520
Speaker 1: how is that possible? They're not just covering, they're winning

193
00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:48,679
Speaker 1: straight up when they're getting six points or more so

194
00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:50,439
Speaker 1: far here in the NFL.

195
00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:52,720
Speaker 2: I I mean, that's just one of those.

196
00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,760
Speaker 1: Situations where you just can't really understand how we got

197
00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:56,840
Speaker 1: the year, but we did.

198
00:09:59,280 --> 00:09:59,559
Speaker 2: Yeah.

199
00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:01,880
Speaker 1: Jets are currently six and a half point home favorites

200
00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:02,760
Speaker 1: against the Patriots.

201
00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:04,080
Speaker 2: That's the biggest favorite.

202
00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:06,800
Speaker 1: The Jets have been versus the Patriots since September eleventh,

203
00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:12,240
Speaker 1: two thousand, twenty four years ago. Okay, long long time ago,

204
00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:15,479
Speaker 1: since we've seen this big of a spread for the Patriots.

205
00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:20,559
Speaker 1: Underdogs have won five games outright, being five and a

206
00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,360
Speaker 1: half point dogs or more here in the NFL, and

207
00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:25,040
Speaker 1: they're nine and one ats.

208
00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:27,359
Speaker 2: Okay, So if your six.

209
00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:30,400
Speaker 1: Points are more, your eight and oh, if you're five

210
00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:32,920
Speaker 1: and a half points are more, you're nine and one.

211
00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:34,640
Speaker 2: This number six and a half.

212
00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:41,079
Speaker 1: It's coming down five outright victories Patriots plus six and

213
00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:43,840
Speaker 1: a half for one point one units. I would love

214
00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:45,960
Speaker 1: this to go to seven. I don't think it's gonna

215
00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:47,400
Speaker 1: go to seven. I think six and a half is

216
00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:49,800
Speaker 1: the peak. Let's take it before the number comes down

217
00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:52,880
Speaker 1: in terms of a same game teaser, because I'm four

218
00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,840
Speaker 1: and oh in primetime same game teasers. The total for

219
00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:58,880
Speaker 1: this game concerns me right now. I would lean towards

220
00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,840
Speaker 1: the Patriots giving them six points going up to twelve

221
00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,560
Speaker 1: and a half and taking the total down to thirty

222
00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:08,280
Speaker 1: two and betting over. But I've got this like sick

223
00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,880
Speaker 1: feeling in my stomach that this game could be just

224
00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:15,840
Speaker 1: an absolute ugly, like disgusting game where we're looking at

225
00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:19,720
Speaker 1: like a nineteen seventeen type final and this game's going

226
00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:22,920
Speaker 1: under thirty two points. So I don't know, Maybe you

227
00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:24,599
Speaker 1: tease it up and say, okay, take the total of

228
00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:26,400
Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half and you go up to

229
00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:29,080
Speaker 1: like forty four and a half or forty four. Even

230
00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:31,640
Speaker 1: that scares me because I don't know if we're going

231
00:11:31,679 --> 00:11:33,800
Speaker 1: under that. Because what happens to the Patriots score like

232
00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:37,280
Speaker 1: they did against the Seahawks. They score twenty points, So

233
00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,440
Speaker 1: how many points will we see here? Out of the

234
00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:43,559
Speaker 1: Jets they score twenty three like Seattle. That's forty three points.

235
00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:45,840
Speaker 1: That's right there on the number. So I don't know

236
00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:47,560
Speaker 1: what I'm doing yet. I may not do a same

237
00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:51,400
Speaker 1: game teaser. I just know that right now, right now,

238
00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:53,439
Speaker 1: I want to jump in here and take the Patriots

239
00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:56,360
Speaker 1: at plus six and a half four Thursday Night Football

240
00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:59,160
Speaker 1: because I think it's an important number. Thing's an important

241
00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:01,160
Speaker 1: number to take a look look at. In six and

242
00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:03,520
Speaker 1: a half, I want over six and a half here

243
00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:07,720
Speaker 1: for that, So we're gonna jump in here with the

244
00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:10,240
Speaker 1: Patriots at plus six and a half for one point

245
00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,760
Speaker 1: one units. I have a Saturday bet I want to

246
00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:16,640
Speaker 1: make and it's involving Boston College, and I thought let's

247
00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:19,120
Speaker 1: just keep it close here because it's across Big ten

248
00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:23,679
Speaker 1: ACC matchup. Michigan State is three and oho on the year,

249
00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:26,559
Speaker 1: Boston College is two and one. I am already zero

250
00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:30,360
Speaker 1: to one fading Bill O'Brien this season. I was on

251
00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,800
Speaker 1: Florida State when BC went down there and won the

252
00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:36,200
Speaker 1: game outright. They lost twenty seven to twenty one. I

253
00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:39,160
Speaker 1: was on BC last week. I took the points. I

254
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:42,320
Speaker 1: was on BC. I'm one and one here involving Boston

255
00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:46,559
Speaker 1: College games. I like Michigan State's chances here in this game,

256
00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:51,320
Speaker 1: and I'm a little bit surprised that Michigan State is

257
00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:52,600
Speaker 1: a seven point dog here.

258
00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,199
Speaker 2: I think this number comes down. I don't think this number.

259
00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:57,840
Speaker 1: I think this is going to be a buye on

260
00:12:57,880 --> 00:13:00,480
Speaker 1: Michigan State coming up here. Now. Look, Michigan State has

261
00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,559
Speaker 1: not played a great level of competition. They've played FAU

262
00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,200
Speaker 1: Maryland was a good win on the road twenty seven

263
00:13:06,240 --> 00:13:09,920
Speaker 1: to twenty four. We were on that and then Prairie

264
00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:12,960
Speaker 1: View last week they won forty to nothing. But I

265
00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:16,120
Speaker 1: think Michigan State can keep this game close. I think

266
00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:20,560
Speaker 1: Michigan State can run the football here on Boston College

267
00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,960
Speaker 1: well enough. I think it's gonna be a barn burner

268
00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:25,560
Speaker 1: of a game in Michigan State could go in there

269
00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:27,440
Speaker 1: and win the game outright. I think this is a

270
00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:31,520
Speaker 1: little bit of too much love for Boston College. Given

271
00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:34,120
Speaker 1: what they did against Missouri and what they did against

272
00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:37,040
Speaker 1: Florida State. This has been a tough schedule for them.

273
00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:40,040
Speaker 1: This is a lot of big time games for Bill O'Brien.

274
00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,320
Speaker 1: Cassiano is the quarterback. I still look I faitded him

275
00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:45,480
Speaker 1: against Florida State because I don't think he can throw.

276
00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:48,360
Speaker 1: He still can't throw, but he did enough running the

277
00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:51,679
Speaker 1: football and being a weapon. He did enough. He's been

278
00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,600
Speaker 1: very efficient. That's the one thing about him. He's not

279
00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,439
Speaker 1: throwing picks. He's not, you know, putting the ball into

280
00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:00,360
Speaker 1: harm's way. He's just dinking and dunking and making what

281
00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:01,560
Speaker 1: the defense is giving him.

282
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:05,640
Speaker 2: And there's nothing wrong with that. I just don't know

283
00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:06,280
Speaker 2: if you go.

284
00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:08,800
Speaker 1: And cover a seven point line at home against a

285
00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,600
Speaker 1: Big ten team in Michigan State. I mean they're not

286
00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:15,040
Speaker 1: going to be intimidated going into Boston College, that's for sure.

287
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:16,760
Speaker 1: I Mean a lot of ways, BC is better to

288
00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:19,560
Speaker 1: play on the road. It's easier for Boston College to

289
00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:21,640
Speaker 1: go play on the road because playing at home at

290
00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:22,920
Speaker 1: BC stinks.

291
00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:26,640
Speaker 2: No one shows up, nobody cares. It's a morgue.

292
00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,720
Speaker 1: In a lot of ways, there's no atmosphere, there's no intensity,

293
00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:34,760
Speaker 1: there's no excitement. It's just college football. Okay, it's a game. Like,

294
00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:38,000
Speaker 1: let's just go play a game that's not fun. I

295
00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:41,920
Speaker 1: mean there's been years where we've seen you know, big,

296
00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,080
Speaker 1: really fun games, but otherwise we've seen sort of like

297
00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:47,840
Speaker 1: these like boring matchups and we haven't seen it really

298
00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:51,120
Speaker 1: be all that exciting and really what we want, you know,

299
00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:53,680
Speaker 1: we want excitement, you want heat, you want energy, you

300
00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:57,160
Speaker 1: want people to be like, oh, college football, this is amazing,

301
00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,600
Speaker 1: Like I can't wait to watch this game. I don't

302
00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:01,800
Speaker 1: know how many we're gonna go like circle this game

303
00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:03,920
Speaker 1: and be like I want to watch Boston College host

304
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:07,480
Speaker 1: Michigan State. This game very well might go under. I

305
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:10,200
Speaker 1: mean that's possible. Both these teams are two and one

306
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,880
Speaker 1: to the under on the year so far. Michigan State's

307
00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:14,760
Speaker 1: one and oh to the under on the road. That game,

308
00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:17,400
Speaker 1: sorry it went over. Sorry, the game against Maryland went over.

309
00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,400
Speaker 1: It was forty four and a half at twenty seven

310
00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:23,400
Speaker 1: to twenty four. But I just think Michigan State's been

311
00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:25,960
Speaker 1: good this year. BCS three to zero against the number Okay,

312
00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:28,040
Speaker 1: So I think everyone's just like, ah, free money, go

313
00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:31,160
Speaker 1: ahead and take Boston College. Michigan State's one and two,

314
00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:33,880
Speaker 1: but they're one to oh on the road. Ats. There

315
00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:35,840
Speaker 1: were eight and a half point dogs against Maryland. We

316
00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:37,960
Speaker 1: played it to ten. You remember we took Michigan State

317
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,800
Speaker 1: plus ten on the road. We're taking plus seven now

318
00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,920
Speaker 1: Michigan State plus seven on the road at Boston College

319
00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:47,720
Speaker 1: for one point one units. And finally one baseball play

320
00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:51,000
Speaker 1: for you guys. The Giants won ten to nothing last

321
00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:55,480
Speaker 1: night against the Orioles. It's Kremer against bird Song. It's

322
00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:57,520
Speaker 1: fun to look at some of these trends. It's late

323
00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:59,680
Speaker 1: in the year, right, so over under trends. Really, there's

324
00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:03,520
Speaker 1: a lot of data to take a look at teams.

325
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:03,560
Speaker 2: On the road.

326
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,600
Speaker 1: The Giants so the number one over team in Baseball

327
00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,640
Speaker 1: forty one twenty seven to four. That's sixty point three

328
00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:13,920
Speaker 1: percent of the time they've gone over on the road.

329
00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:18,000
Speaker 1: At home this year, Baltimore hasn't been great, but good

330
00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,720
Speaker 1: enough thirty nine thirty one in six that's fifty five

331
00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,120
Speaker 1: point seven percent of the time. The total is eight

332
00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:28,120
Speaker 1: in this game, and I think we're gonna see offense here.

333
00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:32,320
Speaker 1: Ten nothing was the win yesterday, huge win. Snell was tremendous,

334
00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,480
Speaker 1: shut down all the bats for the Orioles. I think

335
00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:39,000
Speaker 1: you're gonna see a bounce back here from an offensive perspective.

336
00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:39,240
Speaker 2: For the Orioles.

337
00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:41,440
Speaker 1: But I also don't think we're I'm in love with

338
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:43,680
Speaker 1: the idea that you're going to see a shutdown performance

339
00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:45,520
Speaker 1: from Kremer here, and he's gonna go out there and

340
00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:50,080
Speaker 1: just silence the Giants' bats. You know, the Orioles lost

341
00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:53,280
Speaker 1: the Yankees one. That's bad news here. It looks like

342
00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,560
Speaker 1: the Orioles are going to be the wild card team here,

343
00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,760
Speaker 1: not winning the American League East. But I do think

344
00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:02,720
Speaker 1: we see offense here coming up tonight more than eight runs.

345
00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:05,200
Speaker 1: I like the eight as a flat number as well

346
00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:08,680
Speaker 1: here on this But Birdsong hasn't been great on the road.

347
00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:12,240
Speaker 1: Kremer has been great at home. Both these teams score.

348
00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:14,880
Speaker 1: The Orioles offense I think comes to life. We're going

349
00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:18,560
Speaker 1: over eight for one point one units for the Orioles

350
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:21,879
Speaker 1: here at home against the Giants. All right, So the

351
00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:25,040
Speaker 1: play is today Patriots plus six and a half on

352
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:29,160
Speaker 1: Thursday Night Football for one point one units, Michigan State

353
00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:33,080
Speaker 1: plus seven on Saturday on the road at Boston College

354
00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:36,640
Speaker 1: at Alumni Stadium, plus seven for one point one five

355
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:40,080
Speaker 1: units in the game tonight here on a Wednesday, Orioles

356
00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:44,639
Speaker 1: Giants over eight for one point one units. Min's Matt Perrault,

357
00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:47,720
Speaker 1: Flow Mekoss all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning.

358
00:17:47,880 --> 00:18:01,000
Speaker 1: The Deal Youth podcast presented by DraftKings