WEBVTT - Markets Brace for Microsoft and Meta Earnings

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live

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<v Speaker 1>from the heart of Silicon Valley with ed La though

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<v Speaker 1>in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is s Bloomberg Tech Coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Sk Heinix reports a sixfold jump in profit and raised

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<v Speaker 3>capital spending to a record thirty one billion.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's Korean shared slumps. We'll tell you why.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus we're joined by SOFI CEO Anthony Nodo. Following the

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<v Speaker 3>company's earnings topping Wall Street estimates but showing high expenses

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<v Speaker 3>and big tech, big earnings, big AI spending. Next up

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<v Speaker 3>Microsoft Meta and a FED decision will break it all down.

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<v Speaker 3>There's an AI spending paradox careers. S k Heinix just

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<v Speaker 3>reported a sixfold jump in profit and raised capital spending

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<v Speaker 3>to a record.

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<v Speaker 2>Thirty one billion.

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<v Speaker 3>Now, under normal circumstances, that would be a positive for

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<v Speaker 3>the memory chip maker. Instead, investors sent Korean shares of

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<v Speaker 3>the market leader in high bandwidth memory for AI down

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<v Speaker 3>nearly seven percent. It's US listed ADR is basically flat

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<v Speaker 3>right now. The concerns over AI spending whether it'll ultimately

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<v Speaker 3>pay off, overshadowed another blockbuster quarter that skepticism weighing on

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<v Speaker 3>chip stocks.

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<v Speaker 2>More broadly, look at the.

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<v Speaker 3>NAZAK one hundred and the socks then NASA that one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred is down for a six straight session, longest streak

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<v Speaker 3>of decline since October twenty twenty two. The Socks down

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<v Speaker 3>for a fifth day, matching the run of losses that

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<v Speaker 3>it saw in December. Up next in earnings, Microsoft and Meta.

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<v Speaker 2>But for now, let's.

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<v Speaker 3>Kick it off with Memory Bloomberg Intelligence anast Jake Silverman

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<v Speaker 3>here on sk heinix.

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<v Speaker 2>What was the takeaway for you?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, as I said, in any other quarter, this

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<v Speaker 3>would have been a big blockbuster blowout for sk Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>I think part of what investors are focusing on right

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<v Speaker 4>now is just pricing. Pricing increases quarter over quarter, and

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<v Speaker 4>overall Skhynicks kind of missed these lofty expectations, and that's

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<v Speaker 4>been building just because AI demand has been so strong,

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<v Speaker 4>it's really been crowding out demand for other products. So

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of the capacity that sk heinez has is

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<v Speaker 4>allocated towards AI, and so that's just created an environment

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<v Speaker 4>of a lot of exuberance around that. And that's really

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<v Speaker 4>ultimately the main takeaway, But another very important couple of

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<v Speaker 4>things just to keep in mind, is one is just

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<v Speaker 4>there seems to have been some idiosyncratic issues in a

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<v Speaker 4>quarter around timing of product mix, and then also the

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<v Speaker 4>long term contracts, which is really what investors are focusing on.

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<v Speaker 4>They want a little bit more visibility in terms of

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<v Speaker 4>demand long term.

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<v Speaker 3>That's so interesting because you know, sk would say there's

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<v Speaker 3>been a change in customer behavior. You know, historically memory

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<v Speaker 3>is highly sit, boom and bust, but customers have said,

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<v Speaker 3>we're willing to commit. I'm just talking a little bit

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<v Speaker 3>more about that, Jake, the change in how the market works,

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<v Speaker 3>but also why it's not a big posative signal right now.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So typically in the past, what we've seen is

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<v Speaker 4>customers signing monthly but typically more like quarterly contracts. And

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of that was because the demand was mostly

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<v Speaker 4>coming from smartphones, PCs, consumer devices and increasingly over the

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<v Speaker 4>last several years, cloud and now more AI demand. And

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<v Speaker 4>so because AI demand is really it's growing at a

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<v Speaker 4>pace that's really unprecedented. And a lot of this is

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<v Speaker 4>just because memory is far more sorry, AI is far

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<v Speaker 4>more memory intensive relative to other applications that we've seen

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<v Speaker 4>in the past, and so because of this, as you're

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<v Speaker 4>building out these massive data centers, and there's so many

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<v Speaker 4>of them. Just the customers need assurances that they can

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<v Speaker 4>get the supply because there's been an under investment in

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<v Speaker 4>the past in terms of memory capacity. So now that's start.

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<v Speaker 4>There's kind of a you know, a give and take

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<v Speaker 4>in terms of supply and demand. The memory makers need

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<v Speaker 4>to add more capacity, but they can't add it fast

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<v Speaker 4>enough to meet the demand.

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<v Speaker 3>Jake Silverman of Bloomberg Intelligence covering memory, thank you very much.

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<v Speaker 3>The AI sell off is taking a toll on Kyosha.

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<v Speaker 3>The Japanese memory maker, has received its first analyst price

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<v Speaker 3>target cut in nearly a year, with Philip Securities slashing

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<v Speaker 3>its target by roughly forty percent. The firm sided lower

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<v Speaker 3>valuations across memory chip peers, but maintained its by rating,

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<v Speaker 3>saying Kyosha's long term growth story remains intact as demand

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<v Speaker 3>for AI storage and nan flash memory continues to build.

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<v Speaker 3>The money keeps pouring into China's AI race. Moonshot Ai

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<v Speaker 3>has raised three point five billion dollars at a thirty

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<v Speaker 3>five billion dollar valuation, according to sources, far surpassing its

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<v Speaker 3>original fundraising target. After the breakout success of its Kimmi

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<v Speaker 3>K three model they're not stopping there. The most Bailey

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<v Speaker 3>Lipschaltz on the IPO and Capital markets beat. We've been

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<v Speaker 3>reporting about this for some time now, but it's confusing

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<v Speaker 3>because Moonshot is basically doing this round seems like it's done,

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<v Speaker 3>and then doing a quick follow on give us all

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<v Speaker 3>the details we need.

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<v Speaker 5>And it's crazy how fast some of these deals are

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<v Speaker 5>coming together. So, as you mentioned, three and a half

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<v Speaker 5>billion out a thirty five billion dollar valuation above what

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<v Speaker 5>Moonshot was targeting, but it has been out to investors

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<v Speaker 5>looking to raise another private round at about a fifty

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<v Speaker 5>billion dollar valuation, So you're already talking going from thirty

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<v Speaker 5>five to fifty billion pre money, and that's all ahead

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<v Speaker 5>of an IPO in Hong Kong as soon as the

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<v Speaker 5>end of this year. So you're looking at a company

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<v Speaker 5>that was worth closer to ten eleven billion dollars end

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<v Speaker 5>of last year, earlier this year and targeting again fifty

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<v Speaker 5>billion dollars pre money in a private round followed by

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<v Speaker 5>an IPO as soon as the end of this year.

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<v Speaker 5>The momentum very much alive and well.

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<v Speaker 3>On the other side of the world, we've covered in

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<v Speaker 3>great detail the release of Kimmy K three the repercussions

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<v Speaker 3>of that open weight model on markets. You're the IPO guy,

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<v Speaker 3>you're my IPO guy, and I think, what's really interesting here?

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<v Speaker 3>This seems very close proximity. So you have the thirty

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<v Speaker 3>five billion dollar valuation, round fifty billion dollar valuation, and

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<v Speaker 3>you just told us an IPO wasting the wings? Does

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<v Speaker 3>that how it normally works in any jurisdiction? Top those

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<v Speaker 3>things so close together?

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<v Speaker 5>Not normally, And normally we would look at a market

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<v Speaker 5>that you kind of stagger out these fundraises and they'd

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<v Speaker 5>be formal and you'd say a Series A through C

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<v Speaker 5>or D and then go public. But we are not

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<v Speaker 5>a normal market environment when you look at how closely

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<v Speaker 5>tied these deals are. The big question comes back to

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<v Speaker 5>what is moonshot targeting. What are these companies who are

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<v Speaker 5>raising money actually targeting? What are their capital needs? Are

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<v Speaker 5>they raising three and a half billion dollars now to

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<v Speaker 5>maybe make a bit of a sweetheart deal and try

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<v Speaker 5>to kind of bridge to the next round, or is

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<v Speaker 5>the question really scaling valuation, bringing in the right investors

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<v Speaker 5>privately who then can make off pretty darn well. And

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<v Speaker 5>an IPO later on this year We've seen how quickly

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<v Speaker 5>some of these IPO windows can open and shut. So

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<v Speaker 5>the big question coming back to Moonshot or even when

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<v Speaker 5>we talk here in the US about ananthropic, is there

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<v Speaker 5>going to be steady investor demand through the end of

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<v Speaker 5>this year and into next year. What are those valuation

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<v Speaker 5>expectations look like? And really, at the end of the day,

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<v Speaker 5>what are the numbers look like? Because these are companies

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<v Speaker 5>that have high water marks in the private market and

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<v Speaker 5>they need to deliver in the public markets.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's baby lipshaltz on one of the most read stories

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<v Speaker 3>in the private markets, precursors to something in the public markets.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe thank you very much.

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<v Speaker 3>Coming up, before the hugging Face attack and hack open

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<v Speaker 3>AI's models access to customer account on a different cloud platform.

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<v Speaker 2>We have the details next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 3>The open ai models that hacked the startup hugging Face

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<v Speaker 3>earlier this month also gained access to a customer account

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<v Speaker 3>on the cloud platform model. Bloomberg Tech Managing editor Sarah

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<v Speaker 3>Fry joins us with the details really tricky to follow along,

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<v Speaker 3>but I suppose that's start with the basics.

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<v Speaker 2>This is different to hugging Face.

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<v Speaker 3>This was a sandbox environment, not the modal platform itself.

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<v Speaker 2>What do we need to know?

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<v Speaker 6>Well, I think what we need to understand here is

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<v Speaker 6>that this is leading to an increase in the fears

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<v Speaker 6>over AI agents going beyond what they're asked to do.

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<v Speaker 6>And this was a big concern with anthropic earlier this year,

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<v Speaker 6>and these recent incidents are both with open AI. I

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<v Speaker 6>imagine there's a lot more than this hugging face incident,

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<v Speaker 6>this modal incident, that we need to learn about, and

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<v Speaker 6>we need to understand a lot more. We have a

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<v Speaker 6>lot of more questions, honestly, about how exactly this happened,

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<v Speaker 6>why models didn't notice, how do we prevent it from

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<v Speaker 6>happening again, and what might happen if anything in Washington is.

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<v Speaker 2>A response.

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<v Speaker 3>Models saying that this was a sandboxed environment, so even

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<v Speaker 3>though the models were able to access it, it didn't

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<v Speaker 3>act outside the bands of that testing environment. We don't

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<v Speaker 3>really have a conclusion on the open AI hugging face

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<v Speaker 3>right There was an investigation that was ongoing. I don't

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<v Speaker 3>know that they've released any sort of conclusive report on that,

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<v Speaker 3>But just go back to what you mentioned about government,

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<v Speaker 3>there's something needs to happen next right.

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<v Speaker 6>Right, I mean I think that this is this is

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<v Speaker 6>one of the things that these the leaders in AI

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<v Speaker 6>have have been talking about for years now, the idea

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<v Speaker 6>that you know, an AI may act beyond what a

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<v Speaker 6>human has intended for it to do and do it

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<v Speaker 6>in a way that can be harmful to accompany to

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<v Speaker 6>its customers. On the flip side, you know, AI has

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<v Speaker 6>become very adept at finding security vulnerability, so it can

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<v Speaker 6>be help for cybersecurity in that sense. But this is

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<v Speaker 6>exactly the kind of thing that we're going to need

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<v Speaker 6>to understand a lot more about, because we just can't

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<v Speaker 6>create a solution for these problems unless we understand exactly.

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<v Speaker 7>How they happened.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Sarah Friar, who manages the team covering all things

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<v Speaker 3>chech out in New York, thank you very much. In vidio,

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<v Speaker 3>Ceo Jensen One's defending open weight AI systems as US

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<v Speaker 3>lawmakers weigh the challenge posed by Chinese startup Moonshot ai,

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<v Speaker 3>whose model rivals those from Enenthropic and open ai it's

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<v Speaker 3>open weighted model. Huang met with politicians in Washington on Tuesday,

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<v Speaker 3>saying afterwards that open weight systems are quote really important

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<v Speaker 3>for the vibrancy of the whole industry. Meanwhile, more than

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<v Speaker 3>one thousand workers from top AI firms have signed a

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<v Speaker 3>petition calling on the US government to help quote deliberately

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<v Speaker 3>pace AI development. The signatories of the letter include the

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<v Speaker 3>CEO of Anthropic and the chief scientists from Open Ai

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<v Speaker 3>and Meta Superintelligence Lab. Let's get more Bloomberg's AI editor

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<v Speaker 3>Seth Figerman's with us. This has been playing out on

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<v Speaker 3>social media too, as more high profile names become literal

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<v Speaker 3>signatories to it. Let's start with the idea out like,

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<v Speaker 3>what is it that this group of those in industry

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<v Speaker 3>researchers working on AI are trying to affect.

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<v Speaker 2>What is the result that they're looking for.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, you know, it's really a moment to step back

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<v Speaker 8>and take stock of. They're calling for basically a technical

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<v Speaker 8>and policy framework the governments or an international group could

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<v Speaker 8>use at some point if necessary, to quote deliberately pace

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<v Speaker 8>AI development. They're not specifically calling to slow it down,

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<v Speaker 8>though that seems to be the implication. And you know,

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<v Speaker 8>the backstory seems to be both a growing awareness that

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<v Speaker 8>AI might one day be able to kind of augomate itself,

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<v Speaker 8>that they're building technology that can kind of conduct its

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<v Speaker 8>own research and development and start to kind of super

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<v Speaker 8>charge and accelerate that development in ways that could potentially

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<v Speaker 8>create runaway Yeah, I progress that we may not be

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<v Speaker 8>there at the moment. And then, as you were just

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<v Speaker 8>talking about, it comes days after the first of now

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<v Speaker 8>two different but related breaches from Opening Eyes Technology you

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<v Speaker 8>that have raised heightened concerns.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's use Anthropic as a case study. They've they made

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<v Speaker 3>a social post on Tuesday yesterday explaining their people's participation.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, they are one of the leading frontier labs

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<v Speaker 3>working on advancing AI, and they're saying, we're okay with

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<v Speaker 3>joined this effort to let's call it slow it down.

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<v Speaker 8>You're right, and in some ways I think it's actually

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<v Speaker 8>borrowing from some of anthropics earlier rhetoric. I mean you

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<v Speaker 8>might recall that Jack Clark, one of anthropics co founders,

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<v Speaker 8>you know, had put out a lengthy post weeks or

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<v Speaker 8>maybe a couple of months ago calling for the idea

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<v Speaker 8>that maybe we would want to pause button or a

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:43.040
<v Speaker 8>mechanism to pause AH development, stopping short of saying we

0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:46.199
<v Speaker 8>needed it now or it's definitive, but kind of introducing

0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:48.880
<v Speaker 8>that idea, and I think that thought has been percolating

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:51.880
<v Speaker 8>a lot now in recent weeks, whether it's Demos Hasabe

0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:55.040
<v Speaker 8>is kind of calling for some sort of international framework

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:58.720
<v Speaker 8>or a finn Red type organization to and review models,

0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:02.800
<v Speaker 8>or a more explicit to slow or pause development. Again,

0:13:02.840 --> 0:13:04.480
<v Speaker 8>there's a lot of ifs ands or butts here, but

0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:07.400
<v Speaker 8>it seems like the industry is increasingly captivated by this

0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:10.000
<v Speaker 8>thought that there needs to be some mechanism to slow, pause,

0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:13.280
<v Speaker 8>or rethink the pace of development to enseth.

0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:17.480
<v Speaker 3>The petition is urging the US government to do something,

0:13:17.520 --> 0:13:20.280
<v Speaker 3>to take some kind of action in conjunction with something

0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:23.320
<v Speaker 3>that's happening around the world any way in different jurisdictions.

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:25.160
<v Speaker 3>Do we have a sense of what that would look

0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:27.840
<v Speaker 3>like from the US government? Are we talking about Congress

0:13:27.880 --> 0:13:29.720
<v Speaker 3>taking action and executive order?

0:13:30.160 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 2>What's the mechanism?

0:13:31.559 --> 0:13:34.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, certainly in that petition they're not spelling it out,

0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:37.560
<v Speaker 8>but coming you know, weeks after Demis and Sam Altman,

0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 8>I have kind of been advocating for more of an

0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:42.559
<v Speaker 8>international coalition. I would think of it in that mold,

0:13:42.720 --> 0:13:44.320
<v Speaker 8>you know. I don't know if that's just the Trump

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 8>administration lending and support or particular piece of legislation from Congress.

0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:51.480
<v Speaker 8>But I think it's the idea of the US working

0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:54.319
<v Speaker 8>with part of an international body to begin to rethink

0:13:54.360 --> 0:13:55.920
<v Speaker 8>how we govern this technology.

0:13:57.840 --> 0:14:00.680
<v Speaker 3>Being bog Sephigman, who is our AI editor here at

0:14:00.679 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg News on a really critical important read story.

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 2>Read it.

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:08.560
<v Speaker 3>Rachel Met Shringafari reporting on the Terminal online. Okay coming

0:14:08.640 --> 0:14:12.080
<v Speaker 3>up so far reported its second quarter earnings earlier this morning.

0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 3>CEO Anthony Notto's back with us on the show Next.

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:20.200
<v Speaker 3>There's lots of questions around growth, the outlook, Neo Banks,

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:23.680
<v Speaker 3>tech in finance, and the FED.

0:14:24.360 --> 0:14:25.800
<v Speaker 2>That's next. This is Winburg Tech.

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:42.040
<v Speaker 9>It's time now for talking tech. I'm your hira Anan.

0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:42.680
<v Speaker 2>First up.

0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 9>Executives and investors tied to the AI supply chain. We're

0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 9>among the biggest insider sellers in the second quarter of

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:52.240
<v Speaker 9>benefiting from the sharp and volatile rally of tech stocks.

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 9>Those include executives of companies like Nvidia, Coreweave, and Twilio.

0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:00.840
<v Speaker 9>Plus the largest US power utility, next Era Energy, is

0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:04.160
<v Speaker 9>joining forces with Brookfield to build a one hundred billion

0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:07.960
<v Speaker 9>dollars data center campus in Kentucky. The privately funded efforts

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:12.440
<v Speaker 9>will transform a cold war uranium enrichment facility into a

0:15:12.520 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 9>data center campus with a generating plants, adding to growing

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:21.040
<v Speaker 9>efforts to add new electric capacity. And Canada is scrapping

0:15:21.120 --> 0:15:24.160
<v Speaker 9>a tax plan that would have forced entertainment companies like

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:28.320
<v Speaker 9>Netflix and Disney to pay more after receiving pushback from

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:32.600
<v Speaker 9>US officials and Hollywood studios. Streaming platforms above a certain

0:15:32.640 --> 0:15:36.160
<v Speaker 9>size will still need to reinvest a percentage of their

0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:39.080
<v Speaker 9>revenues into Canadian and indigenous content.

0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 2>Edit.

0:15:40.360 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 3>Thank you Jahira so far reporting second quarter results before

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 3>the opening bill, the company posted record revenue one point

0:15:46.960 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 3>two billion dollars, but also raise its full year revenue outlook.

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 3>The bit that's unchanged is the earnings guidance look at

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:56.080
<v Speaker 3>shares down eight point four percent right now on track

0:15:56.160 --> 0:16:00.800
<v Speaker 3>as it stands for its biggest drop since Appril. There

0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 3>had been a deeper decline earlier in the session. Joining

0:16:03.960 --> 0:16:07.760
<v Speaker 3>us now is Sofi CEO and Tinodo record revenue and

0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:11.280
<v Speaker 3>the outlook for the balance of this year. It's really interesting,

0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:14.960
<v Speaker 3>like projects a lot of confidence. Let's just address the

0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:17.560
<v Speaker 3>stock move and the story of the quarter. You know,

0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:19.840
<v Speaker 3>maybe the street felt like you needed to take the

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:21.920
<v Speaker 3>bottom line with you in your confidence.

0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, I think you're right. The quarter was incredibly strong.

0:16:25.360 --> 0:16:28.120
<v Speaker 11>It was our nineteenth consecutive quarter of more than a

0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 11>rule of forty. It was actually a rule of seventy

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:33.600
<v Speaker 11>with forty percent revenue growth to one point two billion

0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:36.800
<v Speaker 11>dollars and over a billion dollars of cash revenue, and

0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 11>our EBADAM margin was thirty percent and we had a

0:16:39.160 --> 0:16:40.560
<v Speaker 11>really strong nir income margin.

0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 10>I think the street likes the trend in the business today.

0:16:43.680 --> 0:16:46.720
<v Speaker 11>Credits performed well, our new products are getting great adoption.

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 11>We're seeing the flywheel of being a one stop shop

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:54.480
<v Speaker 11>driving success and increased products per member. So really positive

0:16:54.520 --> 0:16:58.440
<v Speaker 11>story fundamentally in Q two in Q three week, expect

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:03.160
<v Speaker 11>that fundamental story to remain intact and continue strong member growth,

0:17:03.200 --> 0:17:06.760
<v Speaker 11>product growth, and product per member growth with good profitability.

0:17:07.040 --> 0:17:09.760
<v Speaker 11>We did raise our revenue expectations for the year and

0:17:09.800 --> 0:17:12.679
<v Speaker 11>the back half of the year, but we left earnings unchanged,

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.640
<v Speaker 11>primarily because we want to make sure that we keep

0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:18.359
<v Speaker 11>investing in the business to maintain these high levels of

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.520
<v Speaker 11>revenue growth for a longer period of time. And in

0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:25.320
<v Speaker 11>addition to that, we're also now anticipating two rate increases

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:27.200
<v Speaker 11>as opposed to the beginning of the year when we

0:17:27.200 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 11>anticipated two rate decreases, and that creates some uncertainty, and

0:17:31.280 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 11>so we decided to have a little bit of a

0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:36.480
<v Speaker 11>cushion as it relates to earnings if something like that unfolds.

0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:38.760
<v Speaker 11>But we couldn't be more confident in the business and

0:17:38.840 --> 0:17:41.880
<v Speaker 11>the long term profitability of the business. It's just we're

0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Speaker 11>not going to take earnings up in the near term

0:17:43.920 --> 0:17:47.159
<v Speaker 11>to try to drive market favorability. That will be short

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:50.000
<v Speaker 11>term beneficial, but not long term prudent.

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:55.280
<v Speaker 2>Right, let's talk about the FED. Why not? It's FED Day.

0:17:55.280 --> 0:17:56.959
<v Speaker 3>No one wants to talk to the tech guy on

0:17:57.000 --> 0:17:59.119
<v Speaker 3>FED Day, Anthony, to be honest with you, and I

0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:01.000
<v Speaker 3>just want to partake in it like everyone else.

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 2>So you explained it.

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:06.679
<v Speaker 3>Your assumption reflects one two hikes rather than cuts. You know,

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:10.119
<v Speaker 3>put the sort of the numbers and monetary policy joggon

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:12.480
<v Speaker 3>to one side. How does that change how you think

0:18:12.520 --> 0:18:15.760
<v Speaker 3>about the world, about how the economy grows, about the

0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:17.520
<v Speaker 3>consumer in the back half of this year.

0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:20.399
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean, if the FED is raising rates, that

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:22.520
<v Speaker 11>means we have a strong economy and we're trying to

0:18:22.600 --> 0:18:28.159
<v Speaker 11>maintain stable inflation in an environment which rates going up

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:30.439
<v Speaker 11>one to two percent will perform very well on the

0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:33.320
<v Speaker 11>revenue line, which is why we're still forecasting strong revenue

0:18:33.560 --> 0:18:36.040
<v Speaker 11>and I think ultimately we'll perform really well on the

0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:39.119
<v Speaker 11>bottom line. We're already in our guidance in you know,

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 11>providing guidance of a net income margin on an incremental

0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:46.240
<v Speaker 11>basis of thirty percent, which is our long term profile

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 11>where we can get to. So it doesn't really change

0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 11>that much. It just eliminates some of the upside that

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:55.480
<v Speaker 11>one may have called today compared to a different environment.

0:18:56.200 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 11>I think a stable economy with unemployment below five percent

0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:03.679
<v Speaker 11>and inflation around two to three percent is a great

0:19:03.720 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 11>backdob for our business. And even better backjob for our

0:19:06.600 --> 0:19:08.400
<v Speaker 11>business is if rates were declining.

0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 3>Final question on the economic side, you know, what is

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:15.720
<v Speaker 3>the health of your customer look like? And not just

0:19:15.720 --> 0:19:17.440
<v Speaker 3>the health, but like, what are the behaviors of your

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:20.480
<v Speaker 3>customers in this environment. We've gone over in the past,

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:23.879
<v Speaker 3>You and I the demographics and who you're serving, So

0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 3>how are they behaving?

0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:29.320
<v Speaker 11>The customer's behavior is very strong. We see very strong

0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:32.760
<v Speaker 11>levels of spending. We annualize that at about thirty billion

0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:36.399
<v Speaker 11>dollars of debit spending a year. We're seeing very strong

0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:39.880
<v Speaker 11>trends in credit, which we reported continuing, we're seeing good

0:19:39.920 --> 0:19:44.720
<v Speaker 11>inflows into our investment business assets under management standpoint, and

0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 11>we're seeing people take out more products. There definitely is

0:19:48.119 --> 0:19:51.000
<v Speaker 11>a desire to reduce the cost of debt. And we

0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:55.760
<v Speaker 11>saw record levels of origination across our unsecured personal loans,

0:19:56.000 --> 0:19:59.200
<v Speaker 11>our student loans were financing, and our home equity lines

0:19:59.240 --> 0:20:01.960
<v Speaker 11>of credit and home equity loans, and that's a secured

0:20:02.000 --> 0:20:04.359
<v Speaker 11>loan that has a lower interest rate. So and we

0:20:04.480 --> 0:20:07.000
<v Speaker 11>recently launched small medium business and we see a lot

0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:08.840
<v Speaker 11>of demand for small medium business.

0:20:08.520 --> 0:20:09.359
<v Speaker 10>Loans as well.

0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:12.560
<v Speaker 11>So from our vantage point, the economy looks very strong.

0:20:12.720 --> 0:20:15.800
<v Speaker 11>Inflation isn't causing consumers to hold back. We're not seeing

0:20:15.800 --> 0:20:19.520
<v Speaker 11>an uptick in unemployment. We're not seeing any deviation on

0:20:19.560 --> 0:20:20.400
<v Speaker 11>the credit side.

0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about AI.

0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:24.639
<v Speaker 3>When we went through the big bank earnings, there's debate

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 3>right on how much AI is really reshaping financial services

0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:32.800
<v Speaker 3>and the investment that's required for so far today, where

0:20:32.880 --> 0:20:37.199
<v Speaker 3>is AI having an impact, you know, across underwriting, customer service,

0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:39.680
<v Speaker 3>fraud detection, something that's real right now.

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:42.560
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, the first thing where it's having an impact is

0:20:42.600 --> 0:20:45.760
<v Speaker 11>actually on code production. We have a unit of work

0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:49.800
<v Speaker 11>within our engineering group called a squad, and historically a

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:53.640
<v Speaker 11>squad consists of seven people. Today a squad is going

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:56.080
<v Speaker 11>to consist of four people that can produce the same

0:20:56.119 --> 0:20:58.760
<v Speaker 11>amount of code as seven people, So that's a huge

0:20:58.760 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 11>productivity sailings from AI capabilities.

0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:04.399
<v Speaker 10>It also helps with testing. On the cost side of.

0:21:04.359 --> 0:21:08.240
<v Speaker 11>The equation, we're using it to automate fraud investigations, We're

0:21:08.280 --> 0:21:11.159
<v Speaker 11>using it to automate dispute resolutions, We're using it to

0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 11>help with customer service. On the underwriting side, we're not

0:21:14.600 --> 0:21:17.919
<v Speaker 11>really using it to predict the ability for people to pay,

0:21:18.119 --> 0:21:20.960
<v Speaker 11>because we underwrite to their actual cash flow based on

0:21:21.000 --> 0:21:24.040
<v Speaker 11>their actual income and their expenses. I do think that

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 11>AI is helpful in verifying some potential outliers or finding

0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:32.400
<v Speaker 11>them that could be fraudulent activity first party fraud where

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:36.480
<v Speaker 11>an individual has no intent to repay their obligations. And

0:21:36.520 --> 0:21:40.159
<v Speaker 11>then on the overall value prop of SOFI side the equation,

0:21:40.280 --> 0:21:43.520
<v Speaker 11>we've launched something called SOFI Coach, which is a chatbot

0:21:43.560 --> 0:21:44.960
<v Speaker 11>that's driven all by AI.

0:21:45.440 --> 0:21:47.560
<v Speaker 10>You can ask any question about your financial life and

0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:48.920
<v Speaker 10>it will help you get your money right.

0:21:49.160 --> 0:21:51.359
<v Speaker 11>You could ask if your REFINANCI your mortgage, where you

0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:53.639
<v Speaker 11>should invest, how do you lower your costs and your

0:21:53.680 --> 0:21:56.960
<v Speaker 11>expenses should you be investing more? And it's a super

0:21:57.080 --> 0:21:59.879
<v Speaker 11>powerful engine based on the data that we uniquely have

0:22:00.400 --> 0:22:02.919
<v Speaker 11>because we're a one stop shop. We have data across

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:07.440
<v Speaker 11>checking and same as accounts, across loans, across mortgages, across investing,

0:22:07.640 --> 0:22:10.639
<v Speaker 11>across credit cards, and across insurance. So we have not

0:22:10.840 --> 0:22:14.320
<v Speaker 11>just a great engine of information that can drive great

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:17.600
<v Speaker 11>AI solutions, but the data is a huge differentiator and

0:22:17.640 --> 0:22:19.440
<v Speaker 11>we're seeing really positive effects of that.

0:22:20.320 --> 0:22:22.600
<v Speaker 3>So Fi CEO and you know, a great picture on

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 3>digital finance in the real world.

0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:26.640
<v Speaker 2>Appreciate that a lot. Thank you very much.

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 3>Coming up oracles, Larry Edison could possibly shell out almost

0:22:29.800 --> 0:22:32.919
<v Speaker 3>ten billion dollars in fees if the Paramount Warner Brothers

0:22:32.920 --> 0:22:34.240
<v Speaker 3>merger falls through completely.

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:36.880
<v Speaker 2>Go more on that next. This is what markets look

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:37.520
<v Speaker 2>like right.

0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:40.000
<v Speaker 3>We're kind of treading water to Microsoft and Meta after

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:43.080
<v Speaker 3>the bell. There is a FED decision this afternoon, but

0:22:43.119 --> 0:22:45.359
<v Speaker 3>there is downward pressure. That's that one hundred down for

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:56.480
<v Speaker 3>sixth day. This is Bloomberg Tech. Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech.

0:22:56.600 --> 0:22:58.800
<v Speaker 3>Microsoft and Meta have earnings after the bell, there's a

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 3>FED decision this afternoon where most economists expect them to

0:23:02.119 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 3>hold rates.

0:23:03.160 --> 0:23:05.040
<v Speaker 2>Those are all factors, so is s k.

0:23:05.200 --> 0:23:10.120
<v Speaker 3>Heinex's raising capital expenditures for this year and it's sixfold

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 3>profit then as that one hundred is down for a

0:23:12.320 --> 0:23:16.360
<v Speaker 3>sixth straight session, the longest streak of declines since October

0:23:16.440 --> 0:23:20.480
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty two, the socks is down three point seven percent,

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:24.199
<v Speaker 3>down for a fifth day, matching the losing streak that

0:23:24.240 --> 0:23:28.439
<v Speaker 3>it saw in December. There's pressure under this market, but

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:32.320
<v Speaker 3>the earning story after the bell today, it's a big focus.

0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:35.439
<v Speaker 3>The market's bracing for a host of information. Let's discuss

0:23:35.480 --> 0:23:38.600
<v Speaker 3>what to expect. Bloomberg Aquities reporter Ryan Fla Seleka, I'm

0:23:38.640 --> 0:23:42.240
<v Speaker 3>trying my best. There are so many catalysts in the market, Ryan,

0:23:42.720 --> 0:23:46.240
<v Speaker 3>we're looking at them now. FED decision today, Microsoft today,

0:23:46.640 --> 0:23:49.480
<v Speaker 3>Meta today. I think we focus on Microsoft and Meta

0:23:49.520 --> 0:23:52.639
<v Speaker 3>and capital expenditures. Is that what you're hearing is the

0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:53.800
<v Speaker 3>focus of this market.

0:23:54.760 --> 0:23:56.840
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I'd say that is very much the focus of

0:23:56.920 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 12>this market. I think, especially after Alphabet reporter last week

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:04.280
<v Speaker 12>and really underlined how much skepticism there is out there,

0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:07.560
<v Speaker 12>how much growing skepticism there is towards all of the

0:24:07.560 --> 0:24:10.520
<v Speaker 12>spinning that's going on with AI. It's a real question

0:24:10.600 --> 0:24:13.520
<v Speaker 12>mark for people right now, what is the spending outlook?

0:24:13.680 --> 0:24:16.199
<v Speaker 12>What is it doing to cash flows? What kind of

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:19.000
<v Speaker 12>growth are they seen because of this spending? What is

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 12>the ROI are these stocks finally getting cheap enough that

0:24:22.160 --> 0:24:24.920
<v Speaker 12>people are feeling more optimistic about jumping in? These are

0:24:24.960 --> 0:24:27.439
<v Speaker 12>all going to be very important questions. And these are

0:24:27.480 --> 0:24:30.520
<v Speaker 12>two of the biggest and most influential companies. So I

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:32.320
<v Speaker 12>don't know, maybe I'm bisbiased, but I do feel like

0:24:32.359 --> 0:24:34.280
<v Speaker 12>that's going to be the real takeaway from today, more

0:24:34.280 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 12>so than the FED.

0:24:36.800 --> 0:24:39.160
<v Speaker 3>I said to Santy Noto, the SOFI CEO, a moment ago.

0:24:39.240 --> 0:24:42.040
<v Speaker 3>You know, on FED days, typically people don't want to

0:24:42.040 --> 0:24:45.600
<v Speaker 3>speak to me, the Bloomberg tech guy. But it's a fact,

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:49.080
<v Speaker 3>you know, just as an illustrative example with Microsoft, right

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 3>as you growth forty percent, but if you look at

0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:55.080
<v Speaker 3>expectations for Capex into the next fiscal year, Capex is

0:24:55.080 --> 0:24:56.320
<v Speaker 3>going to grow more than fifty percent.

0:24:56.440 --> 0:24:57.680
<v Speaker 2>Like that's the kind of trade off.

0:24:58.119 --> 0:25:00.720
<v Speaker 3>This morning, when you got to your desk, what was

0:25:00.760 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 3>the impact of sk Heinex's commentary on Capex? What else

0:25:03.560 --> 0:25:05.960
<v Speaker 3>were you looking at on the equities desks that might

0:25:05.960 --> 0:25:07.320
<v Speaker 3>be a factor in this market.

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:11.400
<v Speaker 12>Well, I would go back to Alphabet last week Alphabet.

0:25:11.640 --> 0:25:14.600
<v Speaker 12>Alphabet's report was very strong on a lot of metrics.

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:17.520
<v Speaker 12>Cloud growth there grew more than eighty percent, and Alphabet

0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:20.880
<v Speaker 12>is really seen as the leader in AI right now,

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 12>between Gemini, between its chips, between Cloud, Waimo, YouTube, so

0:25:25.119 --> 0:25:28.359
<v Speaker 12>on and so forth. Microsoft and Meta don't really have

0:25:28.560 --> 0:25:31.920
<v Speaker 12>those same kind of leadership qualities. So if Alphabet wasn't

0:25:31.960 --> 0:25:35.120
<v Speaker 12>able to convince investors that all of the spending it's

0:25:35.119 --> 0:25:37.520
<v Speaker 12>doing is really paying off, it's going to be a

0:25:37.560 --> 0:25:41.359
<v Speaker 12>harder hurdle for Microsoft and Meta. Now we are seeing,

0:25:41.680 --> 0:25:44.720
<v Speaker 12>like you said, ongoing chip weakness, We are seeing open

0:25:44.760 --> 0:25:47.159
<v Speaker 12>source models coming out. Maybe that's a cheaper way of

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:49.879
<v Speaker 12>doing AI. What kind of influence that's going to have

0:25:50.000 --> 0:25:53.680
<v Speaker 12>on CAPEX outlooks really remains to be seen. So that's

0:25:53.720 --> 0:25:55.680
<v Speaker 12>certainly playing a factor in here. But I do really

0:25:55.680 --> 0:25:57.800
<v Speaker 12>think there is a high bar for these companies who

0:25:57.840 --> 0:26:02.240
<v Speaker 12>convince investors that this spending strategy remains the right one,

0:26:02.400 --> 0:26:03.440
<v Speaker 12>at least for the stocks.

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:07.399
<v Speaker 3>Famos, Rym for SELICA busy week for you, Thank you,

0:26:07.520 --> 0:26:10.760
<v Speaker 3>very much. Indeed, US listed shares a Logitech with down

0:26:11.080 --> 0:26:14.600
<v Speaker 3>post earnings. The Swiss computer peripheral maker warned a serious

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:18.960
<v Speaker 3>incident and one of its suppliers impact its ability to

0:26:18.960 --> 0:26:21.639
<v Speaker 3>meet future demand. Logitech CEO ha A Favor spoke with

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:22.520
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg earlier.

0:26:23.440 --> 0:26:25.520
<v Speaker 13>We're pleased with the quarter we just delivered, and we

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:28.280
<v Speaker 13>can talk about that, but let me talk a little

0:26:28.320 --> 0:26:32.600
<v Speaker 13>bit about the incident at one of our semiconductor suppliers

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:34.879
<v Speaker 13>that happened at the end of June.

0:26:34.920 --> 0:26:36.520
<v Speaker 7>A lot is still unclear.

0:26:37.480 --> 0:26:41.600
<v Speaker 13>We do believe it's absolutely temporary and ring fenced to

0:26:41.800 --> 0:26:43.480
<v Speaker 13>Q two and Q three, but it is.

0:26:43.440 --> 0:26:44.680
<v Speaker 7>An important supplier.

0:26:45.720 --> 0:26:49.960
<v Speaker 13>They remain closed and we don't have a definitive reopening date.

0:26:50.680 --> 0:26:54.600
<v Speaker 13>We obviously have a crack team working on mitigation plans

0:26:54.600 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 13>at the moment, leveraging existing inventory, leveraging secondary.

0:26:58.600 --> 0:26:59.879
<v Speaker 7>Suppliers, which we do have.

0:27:00.840 --> 0:27:04.000
<v Speaker 13>But as you will well know, the general supply situation

0:27:04.080 --> 0:27:08.320
<v Speaker 13>for semiconductors at the moment is unusually tight, and we

0:27:08.359 --> 0:27:10.680
<v Speaker 13>need a lot of them, and we need them right now,

0:27:11.160 --> 0:27:14.160
<v Speaker 13>Hence the uncertainty in the outlook. But all that said,

0:27:14.400 --> 0:27:17.800
<v Speaker 13>we're super pleased with our results. Are tenth quarter of growth,

0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:23.800
<v Speaker 13>also growing market shares, and really great operating income growth

0:27:24.280 --> 0:27:27.440
<v Speaker 13>forty four percent into quarter versus last year and even

0:27:27.480 --> 0:27:30.159
<v Speaker 13>without the tear freefund up fourteen percent.

0:27:30.680 --> 0:27:33.600
<v Speaker 7>So this is a company that has taken.

0:27:33.400 --> 0:27:39.119
<v Speaker 13>A lot of blows between tariffs, geopolitics, component shortages, and

0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:42.119
<v Speaker 13>yet we continue to deliver quarter after quarter, growing the

0:27:42.119 --> 0:27:44.640
<v Speaker 13>top line, growing the bottom line, growing gross margins.

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, it's maybe one of the most shall we call

0:27:47.119 --> 0:27:50.000
<v Speaker 14>it interesting times to be a CEO at a company

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:52.280
<v Speaker 14>like YOURSNICA. So it's always so interesting to talk to you.

0:27:52.600 --> 0:27:55.040
<v Speaker 14>And I know that you had mentioned earlier kind of

0:27:55.040 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 14>when all of this was brewing, the concerns over chip supply,

0:27:57.920 --> 0:27:59.359
<v Speaker 14>that you would stockpiled chips.

0:27:59.400 --> 0:28:00.000
<v Speaker 2>What was that case?

0:28:00.080 --> 0:28:02.000
<v Speaker 14>So did you end up stockpiling trips? And do you

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:04.000
<v Speaker 14>have any left in the reserve that you can kind

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:06.120
<v Speaker 14>of tap on when you have these types of disruptions.

0:28:07.200 --> 0:28:09.879
<v Speaker 13>Absolutely, So that's the beauty of a great balance sheet.

0:28:10.000 --> 0:28:11.880
<v Speaker 13>So we have more than a billion and a half

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:14.800
<v Speaker 13>in cash, no debt, so we have been I wouldn't

0:28:14.800 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 13>called stockpiling, but we have really healthy levels of inventory.

0:28:18.480 --> 0:28:22.800
<v Speaker 13>And therefore, again in Q two, despite the closure temporary

0:28:22.800 --> 0:28:24.119
<v Speaker 13>closure of this supplier.

0:28:24.680 --> 0:28:27.080
<v Speaker 7>We think the impact in Q two will not be

0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:28.880
<v Speaker 7>very large. About twenty million.

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:34.399
<v Speaker 3>Those Logitech CEO Hannaka Faber. There's Center Entertainment. The highly

0:28:34.440 --> 0:28:38.120
<v Speaker 3>anticipated Warner Brozen Paramount merger was put on pause. But

0:28:38.200 --> 0:28:41.360
<v Speaker 3>if the deal falls through completely, it would have Oracle's

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 3>co founder Larry Elison on the hook for coughing up

0:28:44.360 --> 0:28:48.160
<v Speaker 3>nine point eight billion dollars in fees. Joining us is

0:28:48.200 --> 0:28:52.880
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Chris Palmary, the entertainment editor that had the inenviable

0:28:52.920 --> 0:28:55.360
<v Speaker 3>task of doing the math. I mean, this was a

0:28:55.400 --> 0:28:58.360
<v Speaker 3>part of the structure of that bid, right, you know,

0:28:58.440 --> 0:29:02.600
<v Speaker 3>it's no joke. Ten billion dollar even to Larry Ellison.

0:29:02.920 --> 0:29:04.520
<v Speaker 3>Just explain the reporting on this one.

0:29:05.000 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, I had to really dig and read the fine print.

0:29:07.200 --> 0:29:09.240
<v Speaker 15>I mean, we all knew these fees were out there.

0:29:09.280 --> 0:29:11.959
<v Speaker 15>Seven billion dollar breakup feet of Warner Brothers if this

0:29:12.040 --> 0:29:15.280
<v Speaker 15>deal falls apart, and two point eight billion the Paramount

0:29:15.280 --> 0:29:18.240
<v Speaker 15>already paid to Netflix to go away essentially, But we

0:29:18.560 --> 0:29:20.520
<v Speaker 15>want to know who was really on the hook for this.

0:29:21.120 --> 0:29:22.880
<v Speaker 15>Paramount doesn't have a lot of money, It's got a

0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:24.640
<v Speaker 15>lot of debt, and one of the reasons it's trying

0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:26.240
<v Speaker 15>to merge is so it could get bigger.

0:29:27.040 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 2>And of course there are.

0:29:27.800 --> 0:29:30.920
<v Speaker 15>These wealthy, these sovereign wealth funds from Saudi Arabia that

0:29:30.960 --> 0:29:34.080
<v Speaker 15>are involved, but they're not actually the ones. It's really

0:29:34.200 --> 0:29:38.720
<v Speaker 15>Larry Ellison and his family trust that are going to

0:29:38.760 --> 0:29:41.440
<v Speaker 15>have to pay this money if this deal collapses. And

0:29:41.960 --> 0:29:44.760
<v Speaker 15>here's the really wild part is they're going to do

0:29:44.840 --> 0:29:49.400
<v Speaker 15>this by paying essentially ten billion dollars to Paramount to

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:52.280
<v Speaker 15>buy new shares of Paramount at sixteen dollars to share

0:29:52.640 --> 0:29:55.560
<v Speaker 15>stocks about eight dollars now, So if they have to

0:29:55.560 --> 0:29:57.040
<v Speaker 15>cough up that kind of money, it's going to be

0:29:57.080 --> 0:29:57.840
<v Speaker 15>a painful check to.

0:29:57.960 --> 0:30:03.640
<v Speaker 3>Right, Chris, just quickly explain where we're at with this, right.

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:06.479
<v Speaker 3>You know, the deal is on pause because of the

0:30:06.520 --> 0:30:09.040
<v Speaker 3>intervention of a US judge.

0:30:09.040 --> 0:30:11.200
<v Speaker 2>They were also lawsuits. Just where do we stand?

0:30:12.560 --> 0:30:15.160
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, I mean, for quite a few weeks now, we've

0:30:15.200 --> 0:30:17.880
<v Speaker 15>all thought that this deal was going to go through,

0:30:17.960 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 15>particularly after the Department of Justice gave it the blessing

0:30:20.920 --> 0:30:24.280
<v Speaker 15>and we saw the EU regulators as well. But the

0:30:24.360 --> 0:30:28.400
<v Speaker 15>lawsuit this month from twelve state attorney general is also

0:30:28.440 --> 0:30:33.000
<v Speaker 15>from the Writers' Guild, really puts that into question, forced

0:30:33.080 --> 0:30:36.240
<v Speaker 15>Paramount to put the deal on hold. As they worked

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:40.680
<v Speaker 15>through this litigation. It could be as late as June.

0:30:40.720 --> 0:30:45.160
<v Speaker 15>It could be never if if the cases are successful

0:30:45.760 --> 0:30:49.600
<v Speaker 15>and thwarting this. So it's much a bigger risk now

0:30:49.880 --> 0:30:51.560
<v Speaker 15>of this deal going through than it was just a

0:30:51.600 --> 0:30:52.360
<v Speaker 15>couple of weeks ago.

0:30:53.720 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 3>The most Chris tom Mary screen time editor. I really

0:30:56.160 --> 0:30:59.400
<v Speaker 3>appreciate it, Thank you very much. Okay, Coming up, Karen McCormick,

0:30:59.440 --> 0:31:03.040
<v Speaker 3>chief investment officer Berenier, joins us to discuss the impact

0:31:03.360 --> 0:31:07.880
<v Speaker 3>Moonshotskimmu K three could have on bench capital, on the

0:31:07.920 --> 0:31:11.600
<v Speaker 3>ecosystem of other AI startups on open Weight.

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:34.680
<v Speaker 2>Will discuss it all. This is Bloomberg Tech. Moonshots mm K.

0:31:34.640 --> 0:31:38.120
<v Speaker 3>Three model has sent ripples through Silicon Valley and Washington,

0:31:38.240 --> 0:31:41.800
<v Speaker 3>But the significance, according to our next guest, isn't about

0:31:41.920 --> 0:31:47.400
<v Speaker 3>Chinese versus USAI supremacy. It's about credible, cheaper alternatives that

0:31:47.560 --> 0:31:51.200
<v Speaker 3>drive AI adoption. Karen mccormat is the chief investment officer

0:31:51.360 --> 0:31:56.040
<v Speaker 3>at Barnier firm investing in early to growth stages across

0:31:56.040 --> 0:32:00.960
<v Speaker 3>the US and Europe. Very interesting perspective. Just bring your

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:05.000
<v Speaker 3>ideas on this. You know the impact of kimmunicatory being

0:32:05.040 --> 0:32:08.960
<v Speaker 3>open weight, how the economics of it add up. It's

0:32:09.000 --> 0:32:11.960
<v Speaker 3>been constantly discussed for a week now.

0:32:13.200 --> 0:32:15.080
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, I guess it's worth framing a little bit of

0:32:15.160 --> 0:32:16.680
<v Speaker 16>what we do, and thank you for the introduction. But

0:32:16.720 --> 0:32:19.200
<v Speaker 16>as you said, we do early growth capital, so we

0:32:19.240 --> 0:32:22.920
<v Speaker 16>aren't necessarily looking for shoot the lights out ten billion

0:32:22.960 --> 0:32:25.480
<v Speaker 16>dollar type return businesses. We're looking for growth businesses that

0:32:25.520 --> 0:32:29.000
<v Speaker 16>get to real profitability and that's what we focus on.

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:31.880
<v Speaker 16>So for us, the capital efficiency of the businesses matter

0:32:31.960 --> 0:32:35.880
<v Speaker 16>quite a bit. That feeds into our European and US thesis,

0:32:35.920 --> 0:32:38.479
<v Speaker 16>which I can come on to. But I guess the

0:32:38.520 --> 0:32:41.760
<v Speaker 16>net result for US is that as frontier models become

0:32:41.800 --> 0:32:44.800
<v Speaker 16>more commoditized or more widely available and cheaper to use,

0:32:44.880 --> 0:32:48.320
<v Speaker 16>it's very helpful to our portfolio companies in the whole

0:32:48.440 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 16>because it means that it's more capital efficient to be

0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:52.640
<v Speaker 16>able to launch those businesses and to be blunt, it

0:32:52.680 --> 0:32:55.280
<v Speaker 16>also puts pressure on keeping the cost of the US

0:32:55.360 --> 0:32:56.480
<v Speaker 16>frontier models down.

0:32:57.520 --> 0:33:00.960
<v Speaker 3>So this ties together your strategy with everything in the

0:33:01.000 --> 0:33:04.200
<v Speaker 3>news cycle. The conclusion when keemy K three hit is

0:33:04.240 --> 0:33:06.760
<v Speaker 3>that it was the frontier labs that were at risk,

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:10.480
<v Speaker 3>but this was good for AI. Now in Europe, the

0:33:10.520 --> 0:33:14.960
<v Speaker 3>capital environment's completely different, and those founders run leaner businesses

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:18.640
<v Speaker 3>respond to all of that. You know why we're seeing

0:33:19.120 --> 0:33:23.600
<v Speaker 3>a Chinese startup light Moonshot make some progress. It gets backing,

0:33:23.640 --> 0:33:27.040
<v Speaker 3>of course, from national funds. But that has been the

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:27.840
<v Speaker 3>sort of debate.

0:33:29.240 --> 0:33:31.080
<v Speaker 16>It is an interesting one, and in part it does

0:33:31.120 --> 0:33:33.640
<v Speaker 16>feed into kind of our European thesis, because we do

0:33:33.760 --> 0:33:37.160
<v Speaker 16>see often European businesses or even US businesses that aren't

0:33:37.160 --> 0:33:41.080
<v Speaker 16>specifically value based, have to start to grow and thrive

0:33:41.240 --> 0:33:44.400
<v Speaker 16>unless available capital. So if you don't have the huge

0:33:44.400 --> 0:33:46.520
<v Speaker 16>amounts of capital rounds that a lot of the Valley

0:33:46.560 --> 0:33:49.120
<v Speaker 16>companies are raising, you have to do more with less.

0:33:49.240 --> 0:33:52.360
<v Speaker 16>And so the thesis in total is that the more

0:33:52.440 --> 0:33:55.680
<v Speaker 16>these frontier businesses are becoming commoditized or cheaper or more

0:33:55.680 --> 0:33:58.320
<v Speaker 16>widely available or open sourced, the better it is for

0:33:58.360 --> 0:34:00.400
<v Speaker 16>the businesses. And it helps a lot of with our

0:34:00.440 --> 0:34:03.880
<v Speaker 16>European portfolio where capital isn't as freely available as it

0:34:03.960 --> 0:34:07.640
<v Speaker 16>might be in the US, and we've genuinely seen higher

0:34:07.680 --> 0:34:10.680
<v Speaker 16>growth lower costs as a result of using models, and

0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:13.640
<v Speaker 16>different models are right for different types of activities, so

0:34:13.680 --> 0:34:15.560
<v Speaker 16>we might still be looking at using a claud or

0:34:15.600 --> 0:34:18.520
<v Speaker 16>a fable five where it's really important deep tech work

0:34:18.560 --> 0:34:21.319
<v Speaker 16>that we need to be doing, whereas deep seek or

0:34:21.600 --> 0:34:24.600
<v Speaker 16>moonshot might do more than a perfectly adequate job for

0:34:24.680 --> 0:34:26.719
<v Speaker 16>some of the day to day tasks. So we have

0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:30.400
<v Speaker 16>really seen the cost of launching these businesses start to decline,

0:34:30.680 --> 0:34:32.759
<v Speaker 16>and even where the businesses are already established. So we

0:34:32.800 --> 0:34:35.280
<v Speaker 16>have one business called Edited, which is in the traditionally

0:34:35.320 --> 0:34:39.000
<v Speaker 16>the SaaS space. They've rebuilt their entire software using AI

0:34:39.239 --> 0:34:41.960
<v Speaker 16>and the development cost has been so much lower and

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:44.080
<v Speaker 16>the launch has been so much faster, with the reception

0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:45.680
<v Speaker 16>from the market being so much better.

0:34:47.640 --> 0:34:51.520
<v Speaker 3>Karen, you're in the camp that agrees AI will be transformational.

0:34:51.600 --> 0:34:55.200
<v Speaker 3>You just gave the SaaS example. But you say that

0:34:55.200 --> 0:34:58.520
<v Speaker 3>we're in the messy You say we're in the messy middle. Yeah,

0:34:58.640 --> 0:34:59.720
<v Speaker 3>what do you mean by that?

0:35:00.360 --> 0:35:02.280
<v Speaker 16>So, I mean we've been through so many different market

0:35:02.280 --> 0:35:04.640
<v Speaker 16>cycles and Bargee as an entity has been around for

0:35:04.680 --> 0:35:06.719
<v Speaker 16>thirty years. I've been doing this for twenty years and

0:35:06.719 --> 0:35:10.040
<v Speaker 16>in the corporate world for thirty We see technology cycles.

0:35:10.080 --> 0:35:12.760
<v Speaker 16>This isn't new for us. I mean a mobile revolution,

0:35:12.920 --> 0:35:15.480
<v Speaker 16>move to cloud. Now we're in AI, we're still trying

0:35:15.480 --> 0:35:17.239
<v Speaker 16>to figure out how things are gonna work, So there

0:35:17.239 --> 0:35:19.200
<v Speaker 16>are gonna be pain points, and I feel I mean,

0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:21.200
<v Speaker 16>my own children, for example, are gonna find the job

0:35:21.239 --> 0:35:24.120
<v Speaker 16>market may be difficult. There are gonna be pain points

0:35:24.160 --> 0:35:25.839
<v Speaker 16>as we figure out how this works. But I do

0:35:25.840 --> 0:35:28.160
<v Speaker 16>think it's a net positive all around. And I also

0:35:28.200 --> 0:35:31.000
<v Speaker 16>would say, I'm I feel like the whole idea of

0:35:31.040 --> 0:35:33.720
<v Speaker 16>like SaaS apocalypse, like SaaS businesses are all gonna suffer

0:35:33.760 --> 0:35:36.800
<v Speaker 16>and not be in existence anymore, it really doesn't hold

0:35:36.840 --> 0:35:39.439
<v Speaker 16>water because what we're seeing is a lot of SaaS

0:35:39.480 --> 0:35:42.560
<v Speaker 16>businesses are just becoming. They're really just software businesses, and

0:35:42.600 --> 0:35:46.000
<v Speaker 16>whatever they're using, whether it's cloud computing or AI tools,

0:35:46.200 --> 0:35:48.200
<v Speaker 16>they will continue to thrive as long as they move

0:35:48.239 --> 0:35:50.880
<v Speaker 16>with the market. If you're standing still, then you probably

0:35:50.920 --> 0:35:53.080
<v Speaker 16>have a problem. But I think most of the software

0:35:53.120 --> 0:35:56.080
<v Speaker 16>businesses are adopting AI very quickly. One of the things

0:35:56.080 --> 0:35:58.120
<v Speaker 16>I think we are seeing is that AI is moving

0:35:58.160 --> 0:36:00.879
<v Speaker 16>so fast that what was revolutionary two or three years

0:36:00.880 --> 0:36:03.480
<v Speaker 16>ago is actually now a bit dated. So you might

0:36:03.520 --> 0:36:05.200
<v Speaker 16>have had a moat, so to speak, two or three

0:36:05.280 --> 0:36:07.640
<v Speaker 16>years ago based on your use of AI. But for

0:36:07.719 --> 0:36:09.880
<v Speaker 16>the CEOs and for the small companies, they're having to

0:36:09.920 --> 0:36:12.560
<v Speaker 16>move so fast to make sure that that moat is sustainable,

0:36:12.880 --> 0:36:15.000
<v Speaker 16>and we even see that in the large public markets.

0:36:15.000 --> 0:36:18.000
<v Speaker 16>I mean, if we think about the constitution of the

0:36:18.040 --> 0:36:20.520
<v Speaker 16>top ten holdings in the public markets, in the last

0:36:20.560 --> 0:36:22.440
<v Speaker 16>couple of weeks, those have been churning, and they've been

0:36:22.520 --> 0:36:26.640
<v Speaker 16>churning because we're looking at businesses on a reactionary basis

0:36:26.640 --> 0:36:28.480
<v Speaker 16>where we thought they had a solid moat, and then

0:36:28.520 --> 0:36:30.759
<v Speaker 16>something happens over here and we question whether that moat

0:36:30.880 --> 0:36:33.440
<v Speaker 16>is really there, and then something happens over here and

0:36:33.480 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 16>the guy who took the top ten spot is now

0:36:36.120 --> 0:36:38.279
<v Speaker 16>moving down again. So I think a lot about it.

0:36:38.360 --> 0:36:40.440
<v Speaker 16>A lot of it is this market is moving so fast,

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:42.359
<v Speaker 16>trying to determine what your mode is and how long

0:36:42.400 --> 0:36:43.880
<v Speaker 16>that's sustainable for is tricky.

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:48.640
<v Speaker 3>Karen McCormick, Chief investment Officer, BURNNGIA. We will have you back,

0:36:48.640 --> 0:36:50.480
<v Speaker 3>and I think next time there's a conversation that we

0:36:50.560 --> 0:36:54.400
<v Speaker 3>had about European defense tech as well. Absolutely first appearance

0:36:54.400 --> 0:36:56.600
<v Speaker 3>on the show. Thank you so much. Coming up, Big

0:36:56.600 --> 0:36:58.879
<v Speaker 3>Tech Faces is next AI test. We're going to break

0:36:58.920 --> 0:37:01.880
<v Speaker 3>down what to watch from Meta and Microsoft and the

0:37:01.960 --> 0:37:02.600
<v Speaker 3>chip makers.

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 2>That's next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:37:21.520 --> 0:37:24.680
<v Speaker 3>To Blockbus the day for big tech earnings, Meta, Microsoft,

0:37:24.760 --> 0:37:27.600
<v Speaker 3>qual Common Armal report after the closing bell. Let's start

0:37:27.600 --> 0:37:31.280
<v Speaker 3>with Meta. Bloomberg's Riley Griffin here, let's start with the basics.

0:37:31.840 --> 0:37:33.640
<v Speaker 3>You know this is going to be about capital expenditures

0:37:33.719 --> 0:37:34.400
<v Speaker 3>versus growth.

0:37:34.719 --> 0:37:35.399
<v Speaker 7>Absolutely.

0:37:35.760 --> 0:37:38.560
<v Speaker 17>If you remember last quarter, we saw Meta raise guidance

0:37:38.600 --> 0:37:41.520
<v Speaker 17>to one hundred and forty five billion dollars up to

0:37:41.560 --> 0:37:44.000
<v Speaker 17>that amount, and the market didn't react well to that.

0:37:44.160 --> 0:37:48.319
<v Speaker 17>Meta is struggling to explain to the street how it's

0:37:48.360 --> 0:37:51.080
<v Speaker 17>going to get a return on its massive AI spending,

0:37:51.160 --> 0:37:53.960
<v Speaker 17>and so we're looking for steer today on that very question.

0:37:54.080 --> 0:37:56.400
<v Speaker 3>I've been reading your reporting and the team's reporting, and

0:37:56.440 --> 0:37:59.480
<v Speaker 3>one other question is like return on investment, return on

0:37:59.520 --> 0:38:02.360
<v Speaker 3>the infrastry ructure. Absolutely, the idea that Meta becomes a

0:38:02.400 --> 0:38:06.160
<v Speaker 3>cloud computing company, any chance Stuckerberg says something about that.

0:38:06.080 --> 0:38:07.960
<v Speaker 17>I think that's what we're all waiting to see today.

0:38:08.000 --> 0:38:10.520
<v Speaker 17>Earlier this month, we had reported that Meta was already

0:38:10.520 --> 0:38:14.080
<v Speaker 17>developing plans to create a cloud infrastructure business, sell some

0:38:14.160 --> 0:38:18.240
<v Speaker 17>of that computing capacity to other AI companies and so forth.

0:38:18.360 --> 0:38:21.520
<v Speaker 17>We also have reported that Anthropic is in early talks

0:38:21.560 --> 0:38:25.160
<v Speaker 17>with Meta for some of that capacity. So if Mark

0:38:25.239 --> 0:38:27.919
<v Speaker 17>Zuckerberg during the call Leader today confirm some of those

0:38:27.920 --> 0:38:30.640
<v Speaker 17>details or expands on them, we could see the stock

0:38:30.680 --> 0:38:31.640
<v Speaker 17>react quickly.

0:38:31.719 --> 0:38:34.080
<v Speaker 3>That would move the needle. Bloombergs Riley Griffin, thank you

0:38:34.400 --> 0:38:36.880
<v Speaker 3>very much. Indeed, now to the other tech heavyweight reporting

0:38:36.920 --> 0:38:40.960
<v Speaker 3>after the bell, Microsoft, Bloomberg's Brody Ford on deck. As

0:38:41.000 --> 0:38:44.440
<v Speaker 3>your growth more than forty percent, capital expenditure is probably

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:45.440
<v Speaker 3>going to go up as well.

0:38:45.560 --> 0:38:47.759
<v Speaker 2>Do the math for me on that one.

0:38:48.160 --> 0:38:51.080
<v Speaker 18>The big difference with Microsoft is it's around what are

0:38:51.080 --> 0:38:55.239
<v Speaker 18>they doing with the compute right? Microsoft has defended approach

0:38:55.520 --> 0:38:58.880
<v Speaker 18>of we need the compute to shore up our internal products,

0:38:58.880 --> 0:39:01.920
<v Speaker 18>which are better in a lot run. In many cases,

0:39:02.000 --> 0:39:04.560
<v Speaker 18>the street kind of wants them just to see them

0:39:04.760 --> 0:39:08.920
<v Speaker 18>juicing Azure revenue right, allocating compute to customers getting more

0:39:09.000 --> 0:39:12.880
<v Speaker 18>near term revenue. I expect that to be a topic

0:39:12.920 --> 0:39:15.759
<v Speaker 18>that's hit quite a bit on tonight's call.

0:39:15.840 --> 0:39:17.520
<v Speaker 3>You know, I find that so interesting if you compare

0:39:17.560 --> 0:39:19.760
<v Speaker 3>to last week with Alphabet, there was so much emphasis

0:39:19.760 --> 0:39:22.600
<v Speaker 3>on Gemini, the different forms of Gemini and the traction

0:39:22.719 --> 0:39:26.160
<v Speaker 3>they're getting with Microsoft, is it as simple as copilot? Like,

0:39:26.200 --> 0:39:27.560
<v Speaker 3>how's copilot doing?

0:39:28.600 --> 0:39:31.520
<v Speaker 18>I think you're underlining what the anxiety is and that

0:39:31.560 --> 0:39:34.880
<v Speaker 18>maybe Copilot actually isn't doing that well. They keep releasing

0:39:34.960 --> 0:39:38.880
<v Speaker 18>seat numbers that sound impressive fifteen to twenty million, but

0:39:38.960 --> 0:39:41.960
<v Speaker 18>then you're a member of the Microsoft install base that's

0:39:42.000 --> 0:39:45.319
<v Speaker 18>not that big. And so as long as the Copilot

0:39:45.320 --> 0:39:49.240
<v Speaker 18>adoption and monetization figures don't look that impressive, you're gonna

0:39:49.239 --> 0:39:51.680
<v Speaker 18>hear analysts ask them to just sell the compute to

0:39:51.719 --> 0:39:52.719
<v Speaker 18>customers directly.

0:39:53.560 --> 0:39:56.080
<v Speaker 3>Microsoft down eighteen percent year today, one of the laggards

0:39:56.080 --> 0:39:56.840
<v Speaker 3>in the mag seven.

0:39:56.920 --> 0:39:58.680
<v Speaker 2>What else? What else will they say? What else do

0:39:58.680 --> 0:39:59.080
<v Speaker 2>we look to?

0:40:00.440 --> 0:40:02.759
<v Speaker 18>It's all about that spending, right, It's all about their

0:40:02.840 --> 0:40:05.040
<v Speaker 18>return on capital, and a lot of it too. Is

0:40:05.080 --> 0:40:10.279
<v Speaker 18>the SaaS apocalypse spheres right? Microsoft's traditional businesses Are they

0:40:10.400 --> 0:40:14.200
<v Speaker 18>under threat from AI replacing it? Whether that's companies building

0:40:14.200 --> 0:40:18.560
<v Speaker 18>their own alternatives or startups. We reported that Starbucks wants

0:40:18.560 --> 0:40:21.759
<v Speaker 18>to replace some of its Microsoft software. Maybe we see

0:40:21.800 --> 0:40:23.400
<v Speaker 18>that them asked about tonight.

0:40:24.520 --> 0:40:26.680
<v Speaker 3>Thin that's thirty four bring in his bingo Cob with

0:40:26.680 --> 0:40:29.759
<v Speaker 3>the SaaS apocalypse, love it, thank you, busy day for you.

0:40:30.120 --> 0:40:32.520
<v Speaker 3>It's not just software chip makers also in the spotlight.

0:40:32.560 --> 0:40:35.040
<v Speaker 3>We have arm we have Qualcom, reporting after the Bell

0:40:35.239 --> 0:40:38.920
<v Speaker 3>BlueBag intelligence is semiconductor around this Conjensivani with us, let's

0:40:38.960 --> 0:40:41.360
<v Speaker 3>start with ARM. You know, the ARM story has shifted

0:40:41.440 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 3>for me so rapidly and so.

0:40:45.440 --> 0:40:45.920
<v Speaker 2>Differently.

0:40:45.960 --> 0:40:48.520
<v Speaker 3>You know, it used to be about design and blueprint,

0:40:48.600 --> 0:40:50.160
<v Speaker 3>now fabulous chip maker.

0:40:50.440 --> 0:40:52.359
<v Speaker 2>What's the watch for you on ARM?

0:40:53.000 --> 0:40:56.640
<v Speaker 19>Well, unfortunately, look, there's majority of the revenue, royalty revenue

0:40:56.680 --> 0:40:59.320
<v Speaker 19>still is coming from smartphones, and we know those markets

0:40:59.320 --> 0:41:02.239
<v Speaker 19>are not doing that well. Most of the downside is

0:41:02.280 --> 0:41:04.960
<v Speaker 19>priced in, but we have our channel checks suggests that

0:41:05.080 --> 0:41:08.239
<v Speaker 19>intra quarter androids have been doing worsening. However, the good

0:41:08.239 --> 0:41:10.719
<v Speaker 19>news for them is because their chips are going through

0:41:10.840 --> 0:41:13.920
<v Speaker 19>versioning up, they're not going to see a lot of impact.

0:41:14.040 --> 0:41:16.799
<v Speaker 19>And as you rightly said, the focus for ARM is

0:41:16.840 --> 0:41:18.799
<v Speaker 19>all about data center now. So as long as the

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:21.799
<v Speaker 19>licensing numbers look good and the data center numbers keep

0:41:21.840 --> 0:41:24.200
<v Speaker 19>looking up and right, I think they'll be mostly immune

0:41:24.239 --> 0:41:26.080
<v Speaker 19>from the negativity from the handsets.

0:41:26.960 --> 0:41:29.359
<v Speaker 3>Data center is the story that Calcom wants to talk

0:41:29.360 --> 0:41:31.759
<v Speaker 3>about as well. To be fair, like, there's been evidence

0:41:32.120 --> 0:41:35.520
<v Speaker 3>across A six and the products that they make themselves,

0:41:35.880 --> 0:41:39.680
<v Speaker 3>they have had some traction. Christiano Ammon wants to diversify

0:41:39.719 --> 0:41:41.839
<v Speaker 3>that business. But for you, does it still come down

0:41:41.920 --> 0:41:42.880
<v Speaker 3>to smartphone?

0:41:43.680 --> 0:41:45.800
<v Speaker 19>Well, it's now a mixed of near term long term

0:41:45.800 --> 0:41:49.040
<v Speaker 19>investors are believing the story about data center, and that

0:41:49.440 --> 0:41:52.120
<v Speaker 19>show is showing in the sentiment of the stock. However,

0:41:52.320 --> 0:41:54.799
<v Speaker 19>there's nothing data center can do for this quarter and

0:41:54.840 --> 0:41:57.920
<v Speaker 19>next quarter guide, right, they will be highly, highly exposed

0:41:57.920 --> 0:42:01.560
<v Speaker 19>to that Android weakness I just talked about. Remember September quarter,

0:42:01.600 --> 0:42:04.000
<v Speaker 19>which is the next quarter Guide is usually high strong

0:42:04.040 --> 0:42:08.400
<v Speaker 19>because of Apple. Apple is going away mostly this coming quarter,

0:42:08.600 --> 0:42:10.840
<v Speaker 19>and if Android is not able to pick up that slack,

0:42:11.080 --> 0:42:13.279
<v Speaker 19>it's not looking very good for the near term for

0:42:13.600 --> 0:42:14.640
<v Speaker 19>the handset perspective.

0:42:15.640 --> 0:42:16.680
<v Speaker 2>Go back to basics here.

0:42:16.760 --> 0:42:20.360
<v Speaker 3>So you know, for Qualcomm, the Android market, particularly in China,

0:42:20.520 --> 0:42:25.319
<v Speaker 3>is so important. The CEO, chrisn wanted to sort of diverse, right,

0:42:25.360 --> 0:42:28.080
<v Speaker 3>so they pushed into automotive. They've had some success there

0:42:28.239 --> 0:42:32.000
<v Speaker 3>in data center, but looking at the data the smartphone market,

0:42:32.120 --> 0:42:36.279
<v Speaker 3>particularly Android and particularly China, you know, it's not a

0:42:36.320 --> 0:42:37.840
<v Speaker 3>good year basically.

0:42:38.840 --> 0:42:39.279
<v Speaker 7>Not at all.

0:42:39.440 --> 0:42:43.360
<v Speaker 19>As I said, every single month, those indicators keep on worsening.

0:42:43.800 --> 0:42:46.239
<v Speaker 19>We have seen a lower cell through not just in

0:42:46.280 --> 0:42:48.239
<v Speaker 19>the mid tier, but now bleeding into the high year.

0:42:48.320 --> 0:42:50.880
<v Speaker 19>This is where Qualcom really makes this business out of that.

0:42:51.040 --> 0:42:53.920
<v Speaker 19>So again the guide doesn't look like there's not a

0:42:53.920 --> 0:42:55.200
<v Speaker 19>lot of catalysts for upside.

0:42:55.200 --> 0:42:55.399
<v Speaker 13>There.

0:42:57.600 --> 0:43:02.000
<v Speaker 3>Final bit, Qualcomm the auto motive business. Does that interests

0:43:02.080 --> 0:43:03.400
<v Speaker 3>us at Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:43:04.880 --> 0:43:07.760
<v Speaker 19>Look, it's a great business. It's running ahead of its peers.

0:43:07.760 --> 0:43:10.680
<v Speaker 19>The growth little. They keep on getting ahead of the

0:43:10.719 --> 0:43:12.440
<v Speaker 19>targets that they have been laying out. But again the

0:43:12.520 --> 0:43:14.960
<v Speaker 19>question comes to it's still a small size of the

0:43:14.960 --> 0:43:17.759
<v Speaker 19>total revenue, right when the majority of the revenue today

0:43:17.840 --> 0:43:20.200
<v Speaker 19>is still hand set right, which is going to decline

0:43:20.520 --> 0:43:22.760
<v Speaker 19>in near term, those pains will exist.

0:43:23.239 --> 0:43:26.440
<v Speaker 3>Congenserbanni, who leads us semiconduct to coverage a Bloomberg Intelligence,

0:43:26.520 --> 0:43:28.799
<v Speaker 3>Thank you very much. That does it for this edition

0:43:28.840 --> 0:43:31.000
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg Tech. This is what we have on deck

0:43:31.040 --> 0:43:34.600
<v Speaker 3>today and tomorrow. It's busy because you put it mildly.

0:43:35.040 --> 0:43:38.120
<v Speaker 3>The FED decision today, Most economists expect the FED to

0:43:38.160 --> 0:43:42.600
<v Speaker 3>hold rates Microsoft and Meta after the bell tomorrow Thursday,

0:43:42.880 --> 0:43:46.239
<v Speaker 3>Apple and Amazon. There's a lot in the world of

0:43:46.320 --> 0:43:50.120
<v Speaker 3>technology that's happening right now, and this is what markets

0:43:50.120 --> 0:43:52.480
<v Speaker 3>are doing in advance of that. Then, as that one

0:43:52.520 --> 0:43:55.200
<v Speaker 3>hundred down for a six straight session, its longest losing

0:43:55.239 --> 0:43:58.640
<v Speaker 3>streak since October twenty twenty two. The pressure is really

0:43:58.680 --> 0:44:01.319
<v Speaker 3>in the chips recap on the pod. We're having fun.

0:44:01.560 --> 0:44:02.600
<v Speaker 3>There's a lot to discuss.

0:44:03.640 --> 0:44:05.120
<v Speaker 2>Have a great day. It's just boombog tech.