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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Hey everybody, Happy Friday, Welcome in to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Our UFC betting preview episodes return, and then we find

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Speaker 2: out this is our final episode of the season, the

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Speaker 2: last hurrah, as Billy Ward put in our email exchange

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Speaker 2: giving out picks for UFC Paris, it comes to us

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Speaker 2: this weekend and we're looking forward to what should be

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Speaker 2: at a great episode. We have a lot to get to,

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Speaker 2: underdog plays that you'll find across the books, big fight

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Speaker 2: of the night, Victory versus Whittaker, favorite prop plays on

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Speaker 2: the board.

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Speaker 3: We'll do a DFS breakdown as we normally do.

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Speaker 2: It's been a couple weeks, we were in here last week,

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Speaker 2: and then we'll get best bets from both Sean Zarrello

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Speaker 2: Billy Ward. They cover the MMA ad Action Network Billy

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Speaker 2: Ward former MMA Fighter, so it's good to have the

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Speaker 2: crew back together. Let's start, though, as we normally do

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Speaker 2: on the pod, with the main event. We have Siddo

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Speaker 2: Gone taking on ty tuy Vasa. That is the matchup

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Speaker 2: in the main event, and looking at the current odds

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Speaker 2: across books, it is a fight in which it's very lopsided.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't feel like it could be all that close,

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Speaker 2: but as we normally do, as these guys normally do,

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Speaker 2: they always present an angle that you can get involved

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Speaker 2: on the fight where you're not totally laying a ton

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Speaker 2: of money if it's a lopsided line. Tuivasa at plus

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Speaker 2: four to forty, Gone is at minus five eighty Zilla,

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Speaker 2: why don't you go first and give us your angle

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Speaker 2: on the main event for the weekend.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so I think the line is actually justified. I

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Speaker 4: have a difficult time seeing Tye winning the fight outside

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Speaker 4: of landing a knockout, and if you like the tiov

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Speaker 4: Vasa side, I would certainly prefer his knockout prop at

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Speaker 4: plus six fifty as opposed to his money line at

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Speaker 4: closer to plus four hundred. I think those lines should

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Speaker 4: be much tighter together. Difficult time seeing him winning a

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Speaker 4: decision and would be absolutely shocked, mouth on the floor

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Speaker 4: if he manages to submit. SERI Goan think he has

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Speaker 4: some answers to keep Gone off of him early. With

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Speaker 4: the leg kicks. His power will be scary, but Gone

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Speaker 4: is the type of attraditional fighter, technical fighter who will

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Speaker 4: stay on the outside. Pick two Ebasa apart hit him

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Speaker 4: at teap kicks tire him out and eventually drag him

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Speaker 4: to deep waters and probably finish him late. My favorite

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Speaker 4: angle on this matchup is the same game parlay. Gone

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Speaker 4: in the over one and a half rounds is minus

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Speaker 4: one twenty five, gone in the over two and a

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Speaker 4: half rounds is plus one thirty. I think I'm gonna

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Speaker 4: end up taking that over one and a half and

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Speaker 4: laying the juice. Just not sure that tay Toubasa is

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Speaker 4: gonna end up surviving all the way to twelve and

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Speaker 4: a half minutes. He could probably get to seven and

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Speaker 4: a half minutes with relatively little sweat, but I think

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Speaker 4: that five and a half to twelve and a half

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Speaker 4: minute mark is where that Cardio is really going to

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Speaker 4: start to drop off of a cliff for him. The

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Speaker 4: one way that I see this ending very quickly outside

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Speaker 4: of a twoy vasa knockout is if Gon decides to

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Speaker 4: take him down and try to submit him, because I

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Speaker 4: think Tye is a bit of a fish off of

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Speaker 4: his back, and if you put him on the ground,

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Speaker 4: like if you put most any heavyweight on the ground

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Speaker 4: and get on top of them, you're going to have

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Speaker 4: a pretty easy chance to finish them. Once you're on

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Speaker 4: top with all that weight. So a lot being made

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Speaker 4: about two Vassa's twenty pounds weight advantage. I think Gone

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Speaker 4: is the way better athlete, probably the stronger fighter too.

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Speaker 4: Think he wins this fight pretty much however he wants.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, gon A is a willing grappler, Billy what is

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Speaker 2: you might have similar thoughts to Zerrilla, But what is

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Speaker 2: another way you can play an angle on this main event?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, almost exactly in lockst up with Sean. You know,

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Speaker 5: this is something we've seen a lot of two Vassi fighters.

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Speaker 5: So if you look at all of his mashups, he's

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Speaker 5: almost never the better athlete, almost never has reached, almost

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Speaker 5: never the better technical fighter. But like five or six

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Speaker 5: straight times his fights have ended with him drinking a

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Speaker 5: beer out of shoo and give him some incomprehensible interview.

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Speaker 5: So I don't know, like it's really Shawn's right. It's

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Speaker 5: very hard to see away on paper that he beats him.

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Speaker 5: But I'm definitely playing the tie two of us and

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Speaker 5: knockout odds. I don't see why that's not the exact

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Speaker 5: same as his money line odds. He's not going twenty

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Speaker 5: five minutes and winning minutes from Cerio Gun and he's

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Speaker 5: certainly not gonna take him down. And you know, I

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Speaker 5: kind of split the difference with the bet that I

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Speaker 5: already put in on this one, but I did the

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Speaker 5: gone in over nine and a half minutes, which is

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Speaker 5: exactly in between the two that Sean said. That's the

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Speaker 5: lowest total you can get and still get plus money

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Speaker 5: on the goun side. So I'm gonna have that, you know,

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Speaker 5: enough to cover my losses if two of USA doesn't

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Speaker 5: get the knockout, and then big swing on the two

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Speaker 5: WEE knockout.

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Speaker 3: Moving right along, let's head to our favorite underdog plays.

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Speaker 2: For UFC Paris again your betting preview here on the

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Speaker 2: Action Network podcast Sorilla.

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Speaker 3: What is jumping out to you for a favorite underdog play?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I actually don't want to force anything here. Last

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Speaker 4: time we were all together, Billy and I cash a

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Speaker 4: nice plus three hundred dog on Marcine Tibura, and I

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Speaker 4: thought the past couple of cards were really good for underdogs.

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Speaker 4: I don't like any of the underdogs hardly on this card.

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Speaker 4: The one that I took a look at was John

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Speaker 4: mcdesi around plus one ninety. That line is moving in

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Speaker 4: a little bit concern with mcdessie is that he's coming

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Speaker 4: off of a long layoff. He's a bit older, coming

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Speaker 4: off of an injury. I think if he was fully healthy,

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Speaker 4: had fought relatively recently, I would certainly pick him at

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Speaker 4: this number because I think Nasara at Hockcross is a

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Speaker 4: bit of a fraud. But considering the layoff angle, I'll

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Speaker 4: probably lay off, maybe use some mcdessie in DFS contest.

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Speaker 4: Is how I would approach that instead of betting him.

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Speaker 4: Do you want to give out a quick parlay here

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Speaker 4: at plus money? Since the last time we're going to

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Speaker 4: get together and Mikhyle Figlac around minus two hundred and

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Speaker 4: Benoi Saint denis closer to minus two seventy minus three hundred,

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Speaker 4: you can parlay those two together at a plus money price.

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Speaker 4: I think they're two of the safer favorites on the card.

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Speaker 4: Still not sure if I'm parlaying them or playing them

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Speaker 4: both straight, but I'll definitely have money on both of

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Speaker 4: those fighters.

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Speaker 3: Good stuff, little parlay.

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Speaker 2: I don't think have we done the Maybe Billy's getting

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Speaker 2: out of parlayer, so don't know Zeriolla's giving out of parlay.

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Speaker 4: We've done the sgps that enough we've done a straight

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Speaker 4: moneyline parlay yet.

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Speaker 3: So gotcha?

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Speaker 6: Right?

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Speaker 3: Okay, very good? All right, Billy? What you got for

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Speaker 3: the favorite underdog?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, rare situation that I wholeheartedly disagree with Sean on

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Speaker 6: this one.

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Speaker 5: I think this is a great card for underdogs. There's

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Speaker 5: a few of them that I'm really big on. The

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Speaker 5: one I'm going to talk about right now is Allen

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Speaker 5: Perez UFC debutante. You can get her at plus two

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Speaker 5: to fifteen on FanDuel. Still, she opened the weeks high

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Speaker 5: as about plus two to seventy five, so a lot

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Speaker 5: of that value has been gone. But she's fighting Stephanie Egger,

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Speaker 5: who is two and two in the UFC and just

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Speaker 5: got Armbard three weeks to go in Vegas and took

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Speaker 5: this fight on very short notice, stepped up a white class.

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Speaker 5: I'm not gonna come up here and pretend I know

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Speaker 5: a ton about Aileen Perez or was able to find

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Speaker 5: any video on her.

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Speaker 6: That showed me much of anything.

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Speaker 5: But Stephanie Egger, fairly lower level women's MMA fighter, is

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Speaker 5: a minus three hundred or better favorite. Just doesn't make

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Speaker 5: a ton of sense. We talk about a lot when

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Speaker 5: these fights they're likelier to go to a decision. Then

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Speaker 5: we're getting a little bit of a judging swing that

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Speaker 5: can help us out to you know, when it goes

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Speaker 5: to it judges and it's a close fighter, I definitely

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Speaker 5: want the plus money ticket. So I still like her

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Speaker 5: at the plus two fifteen. I take her down to

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Speaker 5: about plus two hundred. Really like the closing line value

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Speaker 5: that I've gotten on it already. But yeah, this is

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Speaker 5: another one where you're here in this one. I'd make

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Speaker 5: that bet as soon as possible, just because that seems

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Speaker 5: to be dropping like a stone as we moved through

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Speaker 5: the week, Sean.

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Speaker 3: And Billy's fight of the night.

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Speaker 2: When you look at the card for this coming weekend,

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Speaker 2: you'll find Robert Whittaker and Marvin Vittori.

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Speaker 3: Is the matchup we're going to focus on for this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Right now, Bill, we'll go to Billy first in this one, Billy,

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Speaker 2: what make the case for Vittori as far as why

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Speaker 2: you want to bet them?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's not so much a case for victory in

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Speaker 5: a vacuum. It's just the price is pretty good on

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Speaker 5: him at plus one ninety or so. You know, both

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Speaker 5: fighters since twenty sixteen have only lost Israel otisign here.

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Speaker 5: They've both beat everyone else in front of them. Admittedly,

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Speaker 5: that's a bit of a tougher string of competition that

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Speaker 5: Whittaker's faced, you know, being the champ in there at

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Speaker 5: one point. But they've both done everything that's been asked

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Speaker 5: of them other than be out of Sonya, and they're

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Speaker 5: fairly close. If you look at their stats, they both

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Speaker 5: have about a plus one significant strike differential. The only

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Speaker 5: difference is Whittaker definitely has more power in victory definitely.

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Speaker 5: I shouldn't say definitely victory likely is the better grappler.

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Speaker 5: He's offensive wrestling a little bit more, but Whittaker has

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Speaker 5: excellent takedown defense. inventorI has never been finished as a pro,

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Speaker 5: even twice against out of Sonya. So this is almost,

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Speaker 5: you know, similar to the thesis with some of these

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Speaker 5: women's in a fights. I see this ending as a

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Speaker 5: very close decision one way or the other, and if

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Speaker 5: I can get a plus one ninety ticket on one

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Speaker 5: fighter rather than the other, that's that's what I want

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Speaker 5: to be holding when it goes to a decision, regardless

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Speaker 5: of the outcome.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Whittaker, by the way, minus two to fifty over

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Speaker 2: on FanDuel Zerillo.

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Speaker 3: How do you want to go about betting this?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, highly likely to end inside the distance, and the

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Speaker 4: line closer to plus two hundred would certainly give me

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Speaker 4: interests knowing that factor. As Billy pointed out, I victory

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Speaker 4: by decision around plus three to fifty as well well

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Speaker 4: would certainly catch my interest. That's probably the best value

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Speaker 4: bet on the fight, in my opinion, slight value on

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Speaker 4: the ghosted decision, even though it's juiced all the way

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Speaker 4: up to about minus two forty five and minus two fifty,

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Speaker 4: So I may end up betting that, may ended up

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Speaker 4: including that in a parlay projected that closer to minus

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Speaker 4: three hundred. So I think this fight very likely goes

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Speaker 4: to a decision. Both guys very durable, but Tory in

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Speaker 4: particular maybe the most durable guy in the UFC's eating

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Speaker 4: head kicks before and just not even been wobbled by it.

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Speaker 4: I do think, though, that Whittaker, in terms of the

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Speaker 4: stylistic matchup, may have the advantage here just because he's

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Speaker 4: in recent fights had to go against fighters where he's

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Speaker 4: had to lead the dance like Autasnia, like Jerry Kennaneer,

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Speaker 4: where he's had to be the guy going forward and

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Speaker 4: creating the pressure. He's actually going to be able to

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Speaker 4: stay on the back foot here and CounterPunch against Victory,

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Speaker 4: who's going to try to come forward. And I think

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Speaker 4: the big cage, Whittaker's movement on the outside should be

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Speaker 4: able to step back, counter and kind of play matt

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Speaker 4: at or against Vittori, who is a bit a plotter,

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Speaker 4: slower footed, definitely a bowl. But I think Whittaker's footwork,

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Speaker 4: his movement, his speed is going to make the difference here.

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Speaker 4: So if you're betting in for Tory by decision, probably

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Speaker 4: a small play fight to go to a decision, lay

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Speaker 4: the juice. I may end up just passing, though, because

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Speaker 4: I think Whittaker will be the eventual winner. I expect

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Speaker 4: a close and competitive fight, but I think it's one

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Speaker 4: that Whittaker takes about as often as the money line

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Speaker 4: odds probably suggest.

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Speaker 3: Okay, good stuff.

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Speaker 2: This should be a good one middle way fight this

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Speaker 2: weekend in Paris. Whittaker in Vittori our fight of the night.

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Speaker 2: Moving forward, favorite props.

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Speaker 3: That are on the board.

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Speaker 2: Always encouraged to look very carefully because you can just

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Speaker 2: dive into each fight. Even looking at the sportsbook. Now

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Speaker 2: you can dive in more wagers for each and every

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Speaker 2: fight that is on the card. What catches your attention, Zerrilla.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so I'm going with Khalid Taha here by knockout

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Speaker 4: at a round plus four twenty projected this closer to

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Speaker 4: plus three point fifty striker versus striker fight. Facing a

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Speaker 4: guy who's coming in off or can tender series who

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Speaker 4: has multiple finish losses on his record regionally, a couple

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Speaker 4: knockout losses, a submission loss, Taha hits very hard going

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Speaker 4: against the guy who's a debutante who maybe hasn't faced

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Speaker 4: that level of power before.

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Speaker 3: Even look at Taha.

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Speaker 4: Some round one props I think would be of interest

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Speaker 4: as well, But knockout plus four twenty for a guy

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Speaker 4: who typically fades the longer his fight goes, I think

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Speaker 4: is a solid play Billy.

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Speaker 3: Favorite prop on the board.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, my favorite pop is certainly Tuivasa by knockout,

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Speaker 5: But outside of that one, I'm looking at William Gomes

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Speaker 5: versus Jarno Aerons, and you guys can tell about how

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Speaker 5: much I struggle to pronounce those names. I don't know

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Speaker 5: a ton about either of these guys. They're both making

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Speaker 5: their USA debut. Neither have fought in like really big

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Speaker 5: European or regional promotions or anything like that.

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Speaker 6: Just not a ton of information on either of them.

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Speaker 5: But you can get at FanDuel their fight to end

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Speaker 5: inside the distance at minus one forty two, which is

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Speaker 5: definitely the most generous line on that, because I'm saying

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Speaker 5: one sixties one to eighties elsewhere. But the big case

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Speaker 5: for me here is that, you know, at lower levels,

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Speaker 5: we just see more stoppages. If anyone's ever gone to

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Speaker 5: like a local or even better an amateur AMA may fight,

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Speaker 5: all those fights end early. Just the range of outcomes

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Speaker 5: in terms of skill level between lower level fighters like this,

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Speaker 5: it's just much broader than when we get to the

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Speaker 5: higher level. So I think this one is going to

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Speaker 5: finish well more often than the featherweight rate would usually suggest.

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Speaker 6: I have no idea who the better fighter is. I

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Speaker 6: don't know what they're good at.

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Speaker 5: I just think when we have two guys on the

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Speaker 5: lower end of the spectrum with UFC jitters, with you know,

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Speaker 5: being a relatively big card, someone's getting stopped. Minus one

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Speaker 5: forty two is not a ton of juice delay on that.

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Speaker 5: So that's my favorite prop outside of two of us, so,

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Speaker 5: of course.

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Speaker 3: And some good price shopping.

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Speaker 4: I mean, as you said, it's closer to minus one

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Speaker 4: sixty minus one eighty at most other books. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: that numbers stood out to me as well just as

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Speaker 4: being an outlier price. Something I'm probably gonna play too, Kerry.

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Speaker 2: As we normally do on this podcast on the Action

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Speaker 2: Network podcast our UFC betting episodes again the Action Network podcast,

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Speaker 2: Our Final Ride this season, Our Final Ride in UFC, Billy,

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Speaker 2: Why don't you give us a little DFS breakdown if

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Speaker 2: we're talking GPPs, you know, other particular pool play.

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Speaker 6: What do you got? Yeah, this is a This is

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Speaker 6: a tough one for me to an extent.

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Speaker 5: There's six fighters over nineteen dollars on FanDuel and I

294
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Speaker 5: have bets out against four of them. So it's almost

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Speaker 5: a weird one where I'm gonna have a hard time

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Speaker 5: filling that salary cap, which is not a bad thing.

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Speaker 6: You know, We've talked about in the past.

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Speaker 5: Leaving some salary on the table is a really good

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Speaker 5: way to get unique on twelve fight cards like this.

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Speaker 5: But this is one where I'm leaning, especially for GPPs,

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Speaker 5: very heavily on the Fantasy Labs optimizer. I'm gonna mix

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Speaker 5: in those underdogs, I like, you know, Buckley, who we

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Speaker 5: haven't quite talked about yet, Vittori Perez, and then Tui Vasa,

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Speaker 5: and I'm just gonna have a rule to have at

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Speaker 5: least one or two of those guys, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 5: mix in their opponents because I'm not expecting all four

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Speaker 5: of these heavy underdogs to hit. But i just want

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Speaker 5: to mix and match between those those fighters and their opponents.

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Speaker 5: And yeah, that's that's gonna be my GPP strategy.

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Speaker 6: It's kind of heavily lean on that. I'm not sure

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Speaker 6: which ones are.

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Speaker 5: I'm fairly confident at least one or two of them

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Speaker 5: are gonna win at super cheap prices. And then from

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Speaker 5: a cash standpoint, I can see the the argument for

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Speaker 5: not playing Tai toy Vasa. If he doesn't get a knockout,

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Speaker 5: he's not gonna have a ton of points. Even if

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Speaker 5: it goes on. He doesn't throw with a ton of volume. I'm,

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Speaker 5: you know, leaning somewhat heavily towards the Tui Vasa side,

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Speaker 5: but this might be a rare week where I think

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Speaker 5: we could actually fade the underdog in the five round

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Speaker 5: fight and probably be okay in cash, you know, unless

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Speaker 5: he knocks him out and scores one hundred twenty points,

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Speaker 5: because that's what tui Vasa seems to do even when

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Speaker 5: he shouldn't.

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Speaker 3: So that salary is misleading, is your is your point?

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Speaker 6: I mean, I don't know that it's misleading.

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Speaker 5: It's fairly in line with with the Vegas odds, although

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Speaker 5: a lot of these expensive fighters we've seen drops in

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Speaker 5: their odds throughout the week. I guess outside of Gone,

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Speaker 5: you know, I think Benoile Saint Denis, he's up there

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Speaker 5: at twenty one dollars on FanDuel. That's one of the

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Speaker 5: few expensive fighters who's actually had some positive line movements,

333
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Speaker 5: so I'm gonna be really heavy on him. But you know,

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Speaker 5: we've seen Imovov the line move a little bit towards

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Speaker 5: Buckley's way. Egger's the second most expensive fighter. The lines

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Speaker 5: moved pretty heavily against her. So it's not so much

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Speaker 5: that it's misleading, it's just a lot of that value

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Speaker 5: has been sucked out if we're looking at win equity

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Speaker 5: per dollar or however you want to phrase it.

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Speaker 2: Okay, all right, good deal, good stuff from Billy on

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Speaker 2: that front and Sean anything to add before we move

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Speaker 2: to best bets.

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Speaker 3: No, I'll also be heavy on Satany. Uh.

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Speaker 4: You know his money line around minus two seventy minus

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Speaker 4: three hundred. I mean, it's it's difficult to call somebody

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Speaker 4: a lock in a sport like mma where anything can happen,

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Speaker 4: But I think that's a very generous price for him,

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Speaker 4: even where it's sitting currently. He's basically fighting a guy

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Speaker 4: who's going to be willing to accept takedowns and try

350
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Speaker 4: to fight for submissions off of his back, and unless

351
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Speaker 4: he locks in that submission, he's going to lose. So

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Speaker 4: Satany could end up looking like a eighty five to

353
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Speaker 4: ninety percent win probability here.

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Speaker 5: And you know, those takedowns are huge for DFS too,

355
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Speaker 5: because you get you get a ton of points for

356
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Speaker 5: those in a quick time period, especially if the guy

357
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Speaker 5: can get back up. So even I think he's probably

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Speaker 5: a better DFS player than he is betting option, even

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Speaker 5: if Sean's calling him almost locked.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and again, we talked about this earlier too. I mean,

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Speaker 2: you've both talked about this earlier. I'm just listening because

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Speaker 2: I'm like the listeners. I've been saying this all year.

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Speaker 2: I'm processing your information, but yeah, I mean twey Vas

364
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Speaker 2: is not providing you need fantasy points, and he's not

365
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Speaker 2: giving you the takedowns which are It's not an end all,

366
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Speaker 2: be all, but it's of course helpful to rack up

367
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Speaker 2: the points and beat your competition cash or GPP.

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Speaker 3: Okay, here we go.

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Speaker 2: Best bets for UFC Paris will go Sean first, and

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Speaker 2: then we'll go to Billy.

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Speaker 4: Charles Giordan on the money line minus one fifty currently,

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Speaker 4: I think that is a fair number, considering I believe

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Speaker 4: this should be closer to minus two hundred. Jordan probably

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Speaker 4: won his last fight against Shane Burgos. I had bets

375
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Speaker 4: on Burgos there. Burgos the taller, longer fighter, the better grappler,

376
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Speaker 4: and Jordan absolutely put it on him when this fight

377
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Speaker 4: was on the feet, lost the grappling. Do not see

378
00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:55,400
Speaker 4: him losing the grappling to Nathaniel Wood. Maybe gets taken

379
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Speaker 4: down a couple of times, but he should be able

380
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Speaker 4: to pop right back up. Jordan a former one fifty

381
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Speaker 4: five pounder. What came up from one thirty five recently?

382
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Speaker 4: I know they're the same reach Jordane a bit taller,

383
00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 4: he should be the bigger man in here should be

384
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Speaker 4: the stronger man, should carry more power. The volume may

385
00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:15,679
Speaker 4: be relatively equal throughout, but Jordan should land the more

386
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Speaker 4: powerful shots, the more impactful strikes, and do more damage.

387
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Speaker 4: So even if what is able to grapple him a

388
00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:23,560
Speaker 4: little bit and keep up in terms of volume, I

389
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Speaker 4: think Jordan is gonna land the much more damaging strikes,

390
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:30,320
Speaker 4: which is what the primary scoring criteria is. He really

391
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Speaker 4: only loses when he gets out grappled, and I don't

392
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Speaker 4: see Wood having a sufficient grappling advantage to pull away

393
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Speaker 4: in this fight. So Jordan minus one fifty on the

394
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Speaker 4: money line, also taking a look at his inside the

395
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Speaker 4: distance prop as well, around plus two hundred.

396
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Speaker 2: All right, Billy, we're gonna We're gonna go to twoy

397
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Speaker 2: by Ko a third time.

398
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Speaker 3: On the show, or you get something else farus.

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Speaker 5: No, No, I've beaten that one enough. No, you know

400
00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:53,879
Speaker 5: I mentioned earlier. I like a lot of underdogs here

401
00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:57,280
Speaker 5: walking Buckley. He's now down to plus two hundred at fandle,

402
00:17:57,320 --> 00:17:59,159
Speaker 5: and I still think that's a tremendous value. You know,

403
00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:01,440
Speaker 5: you open closer to plus two twenty five, two thirty

404
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 5: dropped a little bit. He's just made such tremendous strides

405
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 5: in his last fight. You know, his last few fights.

406
00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:10,359
Speaker 5: He came into the UFC Real Raw, just throwing heavy shots.

407
00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,960
Speaker 5: And you know he trains out of Mercy Alago Mma

408
00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:15,399
Speaker 5: near me in Lansing, Michigan. And they've just done a

409
00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:18,200
Speaker 5: tremendous job pushing him forward a little bit. You know,

410
00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:20,199
Speaker 5: he wanted decision a couple of fights ago. He's got

411
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,240
Speaker 5: a third round finish on there. His cardio used to

412
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Speaker 5: be really questionable. I don't see that now, and he's

413
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Speaker 5: fighting nascardin Imovov, and I'm just having a hard time

414
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Speaker 5: seeing outside of maybe cardio, what Imovov is better at.

415
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,480
Speaker 5: You know, Buckley's definitely got more power. He's equally active

416
00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 5: as a striker. He's probably the better offensive wrestler. I

417
00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:39,320
Speaker 5: think if it hits the mat, it's more in Imovov's wheelhouse.

418
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:42,119
Speaker 5: Put from a wrestling standpoint, Buckley is better. So to

419
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:43,879
Speaker 5: get plus two hundred odds on a guy who has

420
00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:47,480
Speaker 5: all the power probably some wrestling upside, And you know,

421
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:49,800
Speaker 5: I don't see him getting finished by Imovov outside of

422
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:51,680
Speaker 5: a submission. I don't think it hits the mat unless

423
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Speaker 5: Buckley wants it to.

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Speaker 6: So that's another one.

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Speaker 5: You know, I'd get out there and get on it

426
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Speaker 5: as soon as possible, because this one's just been steadily

427
00:18:57,680 --> 00:18:59,760
Speaker 5: declining throughout the week. I bet it down to about

428
00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:02,120
Speaker 5: plus one plus one seventy five. I just don't want

429
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Speaker 5: to be on the wrong side of all that line

430
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,640
Speaker 5: movement if it goes any further than that. But yeah,

431
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,680
Speaker 5: plus two hundred, great price on Buckley, really impressed with

432
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Speaker 5: the strides he's made lately.

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Speaker 2: Billy Baby, I'll throw I'm gonna throw one more question

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Speaker 2: at you. I noticed, just just getting ready for the

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00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:16,440
Speaker 2: pod that this came out the other day. There was

436
00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,840
Speaker 2: some last minute changes with UH, with injuries and whatnot

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Speaker 2: to the card. Is that that concern you at all

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Speaker 2: with any of your UH? Does that affect any of

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Speaker 2: the bets that you may give out for the weekend?

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Speaker 4: UH?

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Speaker 5: It did, and that's one of the reasons I'm on.

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Speaker 5: Alen Perez, who I mentioned earlier, is the underdog ager

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00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 5: came in as a short notice replacement, So.

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Speaker 6: That was the one that I react. I mean, I don't.

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Speaker 5: I can't think of ever seeing a fighter fight three

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Speaker 5: weeks after being finished in a fight, which is what

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00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:45,320
Speaker 5: her opponent, Stephanie Uggar is doing we see guy. You know,

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00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 5: guys are women come off wins and fight again soon.

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00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 5: This is pretty rare, so yeah, that was definitely part

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Speaker 5: of that factor for me.

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Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, that's just that's just something that came out.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, Edgar will uh Egger's medical issues yep or

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Speaker 2: part of me fair and being replaced by Egar. Yeah, okay,

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Speaker 2: very good, that's good. Just wanted to clarify to make

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00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:07,840
Speaker 2: sure that we were on top of that news as

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00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 2: well from UFC earlier in the week.

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Speaker 3: Gents, awesome job this year, a lot of fun.

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00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 2: I certainly learned something from tuning in just as a host,

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00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 2: and my goal is to try and be like the

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00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:21,639
Speaker 2: listener and understand what in the world you guys are

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00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,159
Speaker 2: doing as it pertains to a sport that was new

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00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:24,520
Speaker 2: to me admittedly starting out.

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00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 3: But it's been I've enjoyed it getting involved. So great stuff.

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00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 2: Shan Zarillo Billy Ward you can find them on the

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00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,159
Speaker 2: Action Network app also do a great job. They are

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00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:35,600
Speaker 2: both writers at Action Network covering UFC. You can find

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00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,880
Speaker 2: all of their picks data on the app and also

468
00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 2: you can find the Action Network podcast on the app

469
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:43,600
Speaker 2: where you can tune in and get yourself ready for

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00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:44,560
Speaker 2: UFC Paris.

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Speaker 3: That's going to do it, gents, Thanks so much for

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00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:48,120
Speaker 3: both of those guys.

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00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:51,399
Speaker 2: Brendan glas Sheen, you just listened to the Action Network

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00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 2: podcast UFC Paris Betting Preview, The Action Network Podcast brought

475
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:56,960
Speaker 2: to you by FanDuel.

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00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 3: Everyone, have a great and safe weekend, enjoy the fights.

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00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:04,639
Speaker 2: And be keep keep it locked into the Action Network

478
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:07,800
Speaker 2: podcast for all of our football coverage throughout the rest

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00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:08,480
Speaker 2: of the fall.

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00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:09,120
Speaker 5: Thanks so much.

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Speaker 6: M m

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Speaker 1: M mmmmmmmmmmmm