1 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,600 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,680 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: dot Com the radio plus Globile Act and on your radio. 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World Headquarters. 4 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellett. Records today for the down Jones Industrial 5 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 1: Average and the SMP five hundred index SMP five hundred, 6 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:25,440 Speaker 1: marking its longest winning streaking four months of speculation grows 7 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: for looser global monetary policies a while a better than 8 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,879 Speaker 1: forecast profit report from JP Morgan Chase boosted optimism for 9 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: bank earnings SMP up eleven to sixty three. That is 10 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:39,840 Speaker 1: a gain of five tenths of one percent. Nas stank 11 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: up twenty eight, a gain of six tenths of one percent. 12 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:45,520 Speaker 1: Down industrials up one thirty four, a gain of seven 13 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. The tenure down eighteen thirty seconds 14 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 1: yield one point five three percent, Gold down nine thirteen 15 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: thirty four, a drop there of seven tenths of one percent. 16 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: And crude oil West Texas Intermediate Crude up one points 17 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: ex percent up to seventy four cents nine for barrel 18 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: of w T. I I'm Charlie Pellett. That's a Bloomberg 19 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: Business Flash. This is taking stock with Kathleen Hayes and 20 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 1: Pin Fox on Bloomberg Radio. Airlines stocks Delta Airlines, for example, 21 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,479 Speaker 1: saying that it would seek to boost the key passenger 22 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: revenue yardstick because they're gonna reign in an expansion in 23 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: seats that was set for later this year. That capacity 24 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 1: would only increase about one percent in the fourth quarter. 25 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: Investors like the news. The shares of Delta Airlines higher 26 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 1: today by more than three and a half percent. Here 27 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 1: to tell us more about airline investing, Frank Collins. He 28 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: is the chief executive and the chief investment officer of 29 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: US Global Investors. Joining us from San Antonio, Texas. Frank 30 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: always a pleasure tell us about jets, tell us about 31 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 1: US Global Jets. That's the e t F. And what 32 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 1: the news. The news today from Delta means, well, it's good. 33 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: It's good news because all the negative going into the 34 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: bricks that going into the quarter, and it was very 35 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: negative on global growth. And we saw that the airlines 36 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 1: were sold down to such an extremely low level that 37 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: companies like American Airlines then were trading at three times 38 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: earnings three times and the industry itself trades it over 39 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: six times, and when you look at transports, they traded 40 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: eighteen and so the negative sentiments seems to now getting 41 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: behind us, and they're starting to see these stocks have 42 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 1: big pops, especially after Deutsche Bank made a call that 43 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 1: that they believe that this is the bottom and things 44 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 1: will trade higher. All right, So this is what Deutsche 45 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: Bank says. But what does Frank Colin say, because Delta 46 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:44,920 Speaker 1: said it's slowing the expansion of flights and seats because 47 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: it wants to deal with the potential slide and passenger revenue. Well, 48 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:54,919 Speaker 1: Delta's concerned regarding particular Brickxit that the flights the British pound, 49 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:57,679 Speaker 1: that the volatility of the British pound has had a 50 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 1: big impact. Uh, and so the bri has come to 51 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: America now for holidays that they're gonna have going to Europe, 52 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: and that sort of travel is concerned, and so for 53 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: going into the winter, they're going to cut that path 54 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:12,519 Speaker 1: route by six percent. However, they've got great growth in 55 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 1: Asia and there's robust activity for all the big three, 56 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: in particular United American and Delta in their Asian travel. 57 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 1: So is it possible that the exchange Traded Fund will 58 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: add non US flag carriers, we do, you know, that's 59 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: a good question. Um it's dominated by four of them, 60 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: that Southwest, Delta, American and United about of the index 61 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: and every balance of the quarter. And then we own 62 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: other names based on who has the highest cask forward 63 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: turn investor capital and revenue per share, and that would 64 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:55,240 Speaker 1: be Jet Blue, it would be Hawaiian Air, et cetera. 65 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: And then we have twenties foreign names at one percent 66 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: each and that's helpers mitigee this currency volatility and that 67 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: rebounces one supquarter. But it's all based on key metrics 68 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: that value these stocks. So it's a smart betas are 69 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 1: rules based thought process well. I note for example of 70 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 1: that Quantas Airways is in the jets et f as 71 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 1: well as China, Southern Airlines, Air Canada as well as 72 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: Air China and WestJet correct in in order of when 73 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 1: you look at the whole global scene, those foreign holdings 74 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 1: have the highest cast forward turns invested capital on a 75 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: relative basis and the highest UMU. The other the key 76 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 1: factors that revenue perceed mile revenue proceed mile. This is 77 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 1: the one of the industry standards as far as UH 78 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: input costs go to airlines. It's got to be jet 79 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: fuel prices, right. It's a key component, there's no doubt 80 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 1: about it. And the other part is it moves with 81 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: the stock market. It is a greater beta in the 82 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: stock market. So the stock markets up one percent, this 83 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: category is up one and a half percent, Marcus off 84 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 1: one percent, it's down one and a half percent. Uh 85 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: And I think the longer they go was showing these 86 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:14,840 Speaker 1: uh inexpensive pe ratios and rising dividends, and the dividend 87 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 1: increased last year was almost a hundred percent increase in dividends. 88 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: Uh And and they've been buying back their stock. I 89 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:23,039 Speaker 1: think that they're going to go to that re rating. 90 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 1: And that's always been the biggest money in the capital 91 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 1: markets to him, is that when people will pay going 92 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: from six dollars for that same dollars of earnings to 93 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 1: twelve dollars, or they turn and get worried about the 94 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 1: stock market and they just pay a less pe ratio 95 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:41,200 Speaker 1: for that same dollar earnings. Uh. The airline industry as 96 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: a whole is the least expensive out of the approximately 97 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:49,280 Speaker 1: hundred industries that make up the SMP five stocks. Frank, 98 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: I know you've been paying attention to the news out 99 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 1: of Farnborough, the Farnborough Air Show, which has just concluded 100 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 1: orders for Boeing and Airbus commercial aircraft that came through 101 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: from Farnborough. We're down about compared to last year's Paris 102 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 1: Air Show. Is that of concern? No, I don't really 103 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 1: think it's a concern. Um that I just don't feel 104 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 1: that's a big concern. Why is that Because if they're 105 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:18,840 Speaker 1: not ordering aircraft, does that indicate that maybe there is 106 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 1: a glut of aircraft on the market. No, there's no glut. 107 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,520 Speaker 1: That that's a good question. In fact, Boeing is ten 108 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 1: years backlog and when you fly you can still see that. 109 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: I still because I'm a rapid fly millions of miles. Uh. 110 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 1: A lot of these planes are not up to speed 111 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 1: and so there's a big upgrade that needs to take place. 112 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: And uh, I think that some of that slow down 113 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: those orders would be coming of the Middle East and 114 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 1: out of Latin America, but the new order is coming 115 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: out of the US. They remain strong and just finally 116 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 1: frank new efficient engines, whether it's the Neo from air 117 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: Bus or on the seven three seven or even the 118 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 1: new geared turbo fan from ut X. Is that going 119 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 1: to change the market profile of these companies. No, but 120 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 1: I'm so impressed, Pim. You just really get into those 121 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: great details of these engines and uh, you know, it 122 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: is fuel efficiencies everywhere. Uh, and I think it's a 123 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:22,160 Speaker 1: key component for upgrading on these airlines. So that's just 124 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: gonna be a good business model for both Bowling UH 125 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: and Airbus and the airlines. Thanks very much for spending 126 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: time with us. Is Frank Holmes. He is the chief 127 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 1: executive and the chief investment officer for US Global Investors, 128 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:38,119 Speaker 1: joining US from San Antonio, Texas. Thanks for taking stock. 129 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 1: I'm pim Fox. This is Bloomberg coming up, Bloomberg Law, 130 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 1: a clash between Alphabet, parent company of Google and the 131 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: European Union and the European Union's new antitrust commissioner. That's 132 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: all coming up next.