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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Spreading the court ten seconds of an age, So just

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Speaker 2: go show up to the basket under the basket.

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Speaker 3: It's the true for the wind God the amarracle.

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Speaker 4: I go.

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Speaker 1: The water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 5: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 5: Campus Podcast. This is the College Basketball Final Four betting preview.

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Speaker 5: I'm stucky in joining me today or my fellow BBOC

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Speaker 5: co hosts Mike Calvaries and Greg Wadell. This is the

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Speaker 5: penultimate episode of the season after months and months of

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Speaker 5: grinding college football and college basketball, and one episode to

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Speaker 5: go for the national title, which we'll be out by

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Speaker 5: Monday morning. All right, so we have all chalk, all

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Speaker 5: four one seeds left, first time since two thousand and eight. Off,

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Speaker 5: it's been a chalky tournament. I'll get your guys thoughts

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Speaker 5: on the tournament at large, but it's been I mean,

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Speaker 5: all these were the four best teams, although I would

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Speaker 5: argue that Texas Tech was right there when they were healthy,

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Speaker 5: and they were healthy against Florida and had it and

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Speaker 5: that was devastating to watch. I could have hedged, I

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Speaker 5: could have middled I did nothing. I thought Texas Tech

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Speaker 5: was going to win that game the entire way and

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Speaker 5: did nothing and they missed their front ends. Florida made

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Speaker 5: four straight threes and credits are the Gators for closing.

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Speaker 5: But that was a rough one to swallow. But all

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Speaker 5: four of these teams have been in the top four

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Speaker 5: on ken Pump since February twelfth. But and it's the

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Speaker 5: first time since ever that favorite swept outright. Sweet sixteen

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Speaker 5: and Elite eight favorites have won fourteen straight games overall

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Speaker 5: favorites of six or more points thirty two and two

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Speaker 5: straight up, twenty two and twelve against the spread in

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Speaker 5: the tournament. If you include the high major conference tournaments,

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Speaker 5: favorites of six or more sixty two to three straight up,

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Speaker 5: pretty wild run. It's been very chalky across the board.

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Speaker 5: These are for elite teams. If you ranked the top

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Speaker 5: ten teams on ken Pump since nineteen ninety six, all

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Speaker 5: four would be in the top ten. So I'm hoping

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Speaker 5: that we get an Elite Final four and national title

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Speaker 5: game because we kind of deserve it. I mean, I'm

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Speaker 5: okay with chalk advancing as long as we get some

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Speaker 5: drama along the way, and there hasn't really been that

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Speaker 5: much drama the Elite eight. I thought it was kind

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Speaker 5: of a dud compared to what we were expecting. And

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Speaker 5: if you look Will Warren, it does great work. On

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Speaker 5: his stubstackle on Twitter, he was he'd had an article

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Speaker 5: about the lack of close games. This was the fewest

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Speaker 5: close game, the lowest close game percentage I should say,

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Speaker 5: like within two possessions since nineteen ninety nine. So we

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Speaker 5: I'm okay if it's chalky, but I want some drama

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Speaker 5: along the way if we're not going to get any upsets,

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Speaker 5: and I feel like we've kind of been robbed of

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Speaker 5: that this tournament, so it's been rather boring overall. I

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Speaker 5: would say, Greg, I'll go to you first before we

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Speaker 5: get to these two games involving all the one seeds.

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Speaker 5: What are your takeaway so far from the tournament?

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Speaker 2: It's like the movie that you fall asleep during that's

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Speaker 2: too long, but then you get to the end and

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Speaker 2: it just ends with a bang and there's a twist.

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Speaker 6: It's m Night Shyamalan, right.

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Speaker 2: I think this Final four will save whatever negative thoughts

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Speaker 2: you have about the tournament. And I understand it's pretty

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Speaker 2: elitist to act like we want all one seeds. I

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Speaker 2: certainly don't feel this way every year, but guys, I

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Speaker 2: can't shake coming off of two seasons ago, three seasons ago. However,

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Speaker 2: many years ago, it was where we had to watch

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Speaker 2: San Diego State in Florida Atlantic in a final four game,

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Speaker 2: and we got drama. It was exciting, it was fun

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Speaker 2: to bet on. It was not great basketball, and I

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Speaker 2: was to pretending that it was. The good news here

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Speaker 2: is I think there's a lot of years where if

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Speaker 2: you went chalk you would still have some pretty large

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Speaker 2: mismatches in a Final four, Like you could see a

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Speaker 2: one seed that is ten points better than the fourth

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Speaker 2: best team in the country. I don't think we have

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Speaker 2: that here. I think we have two matchups that should

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Speaker 2: be hotly contested. You've got a five and a half

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Speaker 2: point favorite and two and a half point favorite. But

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Speaker 2: to me, there's arguments that these are coin flip games.

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Speaker 2: All four of these teams top ten teams per Ken

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Speaker 2: Palm efficiency metrics that we've seen in twenty five years.

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Speaker 2: They're all deserving of being here, and I think it's

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Speaker 2: only going to set the table for an incredibly entertaining

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Speaker 2: final four, even if the tournament has not been that

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Speaker 2: up until this point.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, no, I get what you're saying, but it's a

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Speaker 5: dangerous game to play because at the end of the day,

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Speaker 5: it's still just three games, right, So like you just

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Speaker 5: have a couple of teams that are way off from

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Speaker 5: three and then you get blowouts and then your whole

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Speaker 5: counting on this whole tournament to come down to three

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Speaker 5: games over the weekend. So that's why I just prefer

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Speaker 5: I don't even care if the Chalk advances. I just

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Speaker 5: give me some more drama along the way, late game drama,

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Speaker 5: which I thought was lacking this tournament. Don't think it's

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Speaker 5: always going to be like that. I do still think

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Speaker 5: they'll be cinderellas. This is just one of those years,

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Speaker 5: I will say, though, I'm definitely reevaluating how I'm looking

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Speaker 5: at futures, and both college football and college basketball, like

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Speaker 5: college foot on and college basketball different sports than they

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Speaker 5: were even a couple of years ago. I college football futures,

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Speaker 5: I think I got a little fortunate because Clemson snuck

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Speaker 5: in and won the ACC But I think in college football,

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Speaker 5: with all the turnover, there's more opportunity to take some

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Speaker 5: longer shots within conferences, which is what I'm gonna look

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Speaker 5: like because just the variance within conferences within leagues I

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Speaker 5: think is going to be higher moving forward. Maybe win

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Speaker 5: totals aren't as just aren't worth as much time as

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Speaker 5: usually put into them. And then in college basketball, if

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Speaker 5: we're going to get this more top heavy landscape moving forward,

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Speaker 5: I probably have to cut down on some of the

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Speaker 5: longer shots there both. You know, final four conference tournaments

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Speaker 5: is not completely with them. My futures have basically wiped

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Speaker 5: out so much profit from the season. Texas Tech was

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Speaker 5: right there. I get it, there was some bad injury luck,

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Speaker 5: but I think the process I need to look at overall.

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Speaker 5: That's one of the key takeaways that I'll have from

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Speaker 5: the season. I mean, to a new sport, there's so much,

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Speaker 5: so much different about the sport. You always have to

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Speaker 5: learn and evolve. That's one of my key takeawys Covery's

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Speaker 5: what are your thoughts on the tournament so far?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree in terms of the overall landscape it

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Speaker 4: being more top heavy moving forward. You're looking at this

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Speaker 4: news cycle and all the good mid major players have

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Speaker 4: already been, you know, on the move to go play

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Speaker 4: at these power programs. Donovan Dent going from New Mexico

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Speaker 4: to UCLA, the package deal of Drake, you know, their

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Speaker 4: head coach, and bennett'ster go into Iowa Oscar Cluff. You know,

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Speaker 4: a great story started at you know, Washington State. Now

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Speaker 4: he's back in the power for the power you know,

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Speaker 4: top conferences, at least in terms of playing for Purdue

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Speaker 4: next year.

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Speaker 1: So I agree.

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Speaker 4: I mean, essentially it's become the minor leagues to basically

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Speaker 4: be a farm system for these top teams. And you

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Speaker 4: can see it in those graphics where the starting lineups

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Speaker 4: for the Sweet sixteen teams and the Elite eight teams

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Speaker 4: in terms of where they started and all the way

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Speaker 4: through the national title. A guy like you and I

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Speaker 4: Broom starting at Morehead State, there was a chance in

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Speaker 4: you know, five to ten years ago that he would

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Speaker 4: have played his entire career there and been you know,

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Speaker 4: absolutely dominant, even more so than he has been the SEC.

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Speaker 1: But those days are totally over.

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Speaker 4: With the transfer portal the way it is, with the

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Speaker 4: way that nil is, the teams just absolutely cannot compete

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Speaker 4: in college football. You know, there's going to be a

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Speaker 4: story from time to time, like an Ashton gen Z

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Speaker 4: where they pass around the collection plate and they're able

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Speaker 4: to match or come into the ballpark and matching and

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Speaker 4: offer from an SEC or a Big ten school. But

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Speaker 4: by and large, these teams are just getting you know,

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Speaker 4: pillaged for the top brands. So I do think it

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Speaker 4: requires looking at futures in a new way. What I'll

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Speaker 4: say about this tournament though, in terms of Cinderella getting

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Speaker 4: bounced so early.

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Speaker 1: Yes, this is yeah.

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Speaker 4: I think at this point you just have to embrace

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Speaker 4: it that this is special and different. This is the

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Speaker 4: first time since two thousand and eight that all one

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Speaker 4: seeds made it to the final four. But that's basically

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Speaker 4: where that comparison ends, because if you look at the

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Speaker 4: two thousand and eight final four, at least by ken Pom,

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Speaker 4: they would be five through seven if they were stacked

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Speaker 4: up in this year's field, every single one seed in

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Speaker 4: this final four is higher than every single one seed,

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Speaker 4: including national champion in Kansas in two thousand and eight.

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Speaker 4: So I think these are all special teams. I think

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Speaker 4: this is a situation that is rarely going to happen.

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Speaker 4: You know, you look at college basketball over a forty

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Speaker 4: fifty year window, this is one of those special years,

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Speaker 4: so why.

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Speaker 5: Not embrace it?

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Speaker 4: And also, I think it's interesting to note that whoever

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Speaker 4: wins this championship is likely going to end either as

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Speaker 4: a one, two, or three highest rated Ken Pom team

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Speaker 4: of all time.

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Speaker 1: So I think that's exciting.

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Speaker 4: I mean, college basketball well is exciting because it has

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Speaker 4: different historical roots compared to the NBA. The NBA is

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Speaker 4: kind of like broken up into these windows of greatness

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Speaker 4: you can't even really compare because the rule differences in

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Speaker 4: the eighties and nineties. College basketball still has a bit

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Speaker 4: of that charm where you want to compare, like, well,

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Speaker 4: Duke immediately vault past the ninety nine, the one, the

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Speaker 4: ninety two team if they go ahead and win. Those

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Speaker 4: are fun conversations that have, on top of it, potentially

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Speaker 4: being some elite basketball played in San Antonio. So I'm

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Speaker 4: excited to cut it up at this point because, yeah,

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Speaker 4: all the Cinderella's, the luck just.

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Speaker 1: You know, wasn't there.

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Speaker 4: But what's interesting is you could say, if you see

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Speaker 4: San Diego pulls that wins one game, or if Colorado

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Speaker 4: State gets a fortunate whistle, they call it travel on

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Speaker 4: Queen on that last shot, or he doesn't make it

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Speaker 4: then all of a sudden, I think the narrative is

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Speaker 4: a tiny bit different. It's just every single opportunity for

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Speaker 4: someone to win other than a top team, it just

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Speaker 4: didn't materialize, including what happened to Tech stuck. I would

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Speaker 4: just say, I know, it's a little consolation. You didn't

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Speaker 4: need to hedge out there because they were the better team.

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Speaker 4: They're the better side of the whole. You know, if Florida

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Speaker 4: doesn't catch absolute fire and make every shot and Tech

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Speaker 4: is missing every foul shot that they should make, you know,

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Speaker 4: obviously you can play armchair quarterback after the fact, but

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Speaker 4: the fact of the matter is Tech was the right

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Speaker 4: side and just every dog is gone to die in

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Speaker 4: this tournament, so at least luckily in this spot in

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Speaker 4: the final four. That can't be the case anymore. With

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Speaker 4: all one seats they.

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Speaker 5: Should have I mean they you could argue they should

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Speaker 5: have lost Arkansas, which is my consolation because I won't

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Speaker 5: get over that loss to Florida for a long time.

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Speaker 5: And I mean Florida arguably, Florida arguably has been the

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Speaker 5: weakest one by a wide margin because they they easily.

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Speaker 5: You could argue that they should have lost twice Yukon

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Speaker 5: can't make an open three, Texas Tech can't make a

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Speaker 5: free throw, and they come back from ten down with

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Speaker 5: five to go. So with credit to the Gators for

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Speaker 5: for getting through. By the way, you mentioned two thousand

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Speaker 5: and eight, the last time all four one seats got through.

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Speaker 5: That was also in San Antonio Classic National Title. Horrenz

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Speaker 5: this Final four hoping that the I mean, I think

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Speaker 5: both Final four games will blowouts with the one seeds.

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Speaker 5: I will say I think that the you mentioned you

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Speaker 5: see San Diego and Drake where that Cinderells I think

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Speaker 5: you're gonna have to come from is it's no. I

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Speaker 5: don't think it's a coincidence that those teams had a chance,

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Speaker 5: Like I think they had the best chance this year

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Speaker 5: of like winning a couple of games, and Drake did.

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Speaker 5: They were like D two teams basically D two Russes

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Speaker 5: that were together for a while, so they had the continuity.

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Speaker 5: So these good mid majors that have then that would

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Speaker 5: have had that continuity advantage in the past, well they

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Speaker 5: probably don't because then their players get poached. So it

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Speaker 5: was it was interesting to watch like these former D

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Speaker 5: two schools where the ones that UH were arguably the

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Speaker 5: fistiest of the mid majors this year. So it's like,

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Speaker 5: can you fight? Can any of these good mid majors

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Speaker 5: stay together? It's gonna be a lot tougher in today's world,

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Speaker 5: But let's get to the final four games. We will

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Speaker 5: start own chronological order, six o nine Eastern Saturday on CBS. Oh,

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Speaker 5: I gotta tell a story about my uh. So, the

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Speaker 5: Chicago event was amazing. Thank you for everyone coming for

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Speaker 5: coming out. I wish I could have hung out with

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Speaker 5: more of you during the second game. Had some personal

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Speaker 5: stuff that went on, but the event was such as

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Speaker 5: successf We're going to do a bunch more and it

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Speaker 5: was a pleasure meeting uh the ones that I got

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Speaker 5: to meet. But in around dinner time, I get a

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Speaker 5: call from my neighbor, Like, this wasn't at eleven at night,

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Speaker 5: this wasn't at two in the morning, a call for

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Speaker 5: my neighbor. He's like, isn't in my neighborhood? He's like,

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Speaker 5: what way out back? And there's like a fence, but

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Speaker 5: he can like see my house and he was calling.

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Speaker 5: I was like, why the hell is my neighbor calling

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Speaker 5: me right now? So I assumed it had to be

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Speaker 5: like an emergency or something. I thought my dog got out.

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Speaker 5: I was like, oh, god, PD is out running around.

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Speaker 5: So I picked up and he said are you home

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Speaker 5: and I said no, I'm in Chicago. And he said,

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Speaker 5: my wife just saw a random guy sprinting out of

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Speaker 5: your back door. And I was like, I was like, oh,

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Speaker 5: my wife is home. So I was like, thank you

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Speaker 5: for calling, and I facetimed it right away and she

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Speaker 5: was shaken up. And what happened was there was a guy,

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Speaker 5: like a homeless guy on drugs, like a couple of

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Speaker 5: neighborhoods over and he was he got caught going through

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Speaker 5: someone's car and he was like trying to steal stuff.

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Speaker 5: I assume he got chased off. He ran and he

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Speaker 5: sprinted a while, and then he ended up jumping over

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Speaker 5: our fence into our backyard and then he went around

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Speaker 5: to all of our doors and we had one door open.

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Speaker 5: I mean, this was like dinnertime, Sunday was storming, and

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Speaker 5: the lesson is always lockeds no matter what. He came

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Speaker 5: into the house and luckily with cameras we have have

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Speaker 5: them all over, it's clear shots of them came into

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Speaker 5: the house and he was clearly not in the right

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Speaker 5: frame of mind, because there was like a purse there

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Speaker 5: there was, but he took a pair of pants. It's

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Speaker 5: a recent pair of pants that I bought. And then

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Speaker 5: he kept walking through the kitchen and he opened up

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Speaker 5: our bedroom door. My wife was in bed, and he said,

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Speaker 5: oh and my dog. Luckily, my pit went bananas, so

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Speaker 5: he shut the door so the dog couldn't get to him,

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Speaker 5: and then he ran out the back the back of

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Speaker 5: the house and then sprinted down into this next neighborhood.

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Speaker 5: I called my wife, she called the cops. The neighbors

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Speaker 5: called the cops, and we had them all over our

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Speaker 5: cameras and they found them, like I don't know, forty

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Speaker 5: five minutes later and arrested them. So yeah, that was insane.

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Speaker 5: You just never know, like you could he just you

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Speaker 5: never know when someone it's gonna stumble onto your house

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Speaker 5: and break in. So yeah, we left the door unlocked

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Speaker 5: and luckily PD our pit saved the day, so he

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Speaker 5: got extra treats this week. But everything was okay, But yeah,

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Speaker 5: I was dealing with that wasn't fun. I wish I

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Speaker 5: was here and I wasn't. But it was awesome meeting

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Speaker 5: all you guys was a help great turnout. We had

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Speaker 5: a great time. I wish Tech could have gotten over

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Speaker 5: the home and but that was a great game. The

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Speaker 5: second game was awful. Alabama, dude, but what are you

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Speaker 5: gonna do? All right, let's move on to the final

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Speaker 5: four games. We have Florida Auburn in San Antonio six

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Speaker 5: or nine Eastern on CBS. Florida's a two and a

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Speaker 5: half point favorite here total one sixty and a half.

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Speaker 5: This is notable. Heres Todd Golden taking on his former mentor,

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Speaker 5: his former mentor. It would he was the what was

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Speaker 5: what was his official title? He is like director of

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Speaker 5: operations or something under pearl something like that. I don't know.

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Speaker 5: The pearls is former mentor. This is a rematch and

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Speaker 5: it's the first it's actually the first ever SEC versus

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Speaker 5: SEC final four game. It is a rematch from the

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Speaker 5: regular season. Obviously, in the game that Florida won outright

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Speaker 5: in the jungle. You want to talk about a power

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Speaker 5: rating adjustment. In that game, Auburn was a ten and

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Speaker 5: a half to an eleven point home favorite, and now

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Speaker 5: they're two and a half point dog on a neutral court.

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Speaker 5: Elijah Martin didn't play in that game. Florida did win,

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Speaker 5: and Florida's been was unbelievablegainst the number leading up to

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Speaker 5: the tournament. They haven't been great in the tournament so far,

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Speaker 5: but now they're two and a half point favorite. Here.

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Speaker 5: Teams that won the first meeting in the final four

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Speaker 5: are six and four straight up. Favorites are six and

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Speaker 5: four straight up and against the spread, small sample sized,

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Speaker 5: don't know anything you could take of it. This is

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Speaker 5: a pretty high total of one six and a half

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Speaker 5: totals of one sixty or more in the final four

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Speaker 5: national title game. So I happened fifteen times since nineteen

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Speaker 5: eighty five, Unders have gone ten and five in those games.

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Speaker 5: Although these these two teams did combined for over one

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Speaker 5: hundred and seventy points in their regular season meeting. Greg,

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Speaker 5: I'll throw it to you first. Florida two and a

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Speaker 5: half point favorite. Here, there is the question about Jenni Broom. Awesome.

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Speaker 5: One of the coolest moments of the tournament in my

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Speaker 5: opinion so far as when Broom came back in got

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Speaker 5: that rebound hit that three, You know there was I

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Speaker 5: had real questions like is he is he going to

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Speaker 5: be out for next weekend? So but there definitely are

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Speaker 5: still some questions about how healthy he will be. He's

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Speaker 5: not expected to practice the next couple of days. I

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Speaker 5: do anticipate he will play, but how healthy is he?

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Speaker 5: I don't think anyone knows the answer to that outside

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Speaker 5: of that locker room and him as of right now.

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Speaker 5: And maybe there's still some uncertainty there. But what are

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Speaker 5: you seeing here with Florida Auburn in an SEC rematch

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Speaker 5: in San Antonio?

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Speaker 6: You know, I expect this to be a great game.

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Speaker 2: And apologies to our listeners if my voice is cracking.

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Speaker 2: I'm under the weather a little bit. So it's a

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Speaker 2: true flu game for me right now. But it's just

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Speaker 2: a metaphor for the way that Auburn likes to make

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Speaker 2: it hard on themselves at times. They're a very theatrical

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Speaker 2: basketball team. And that's not to say that Janni Broom

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Speaker 2: isn't hurt. I think he's pretty clearly not one hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: I think since that reaggravation of the shoulder injury against

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Speaker 2: Kentucky what a month ago, at this point, he hasn't

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Speaker 2: looked fully himself.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: The thing is, when you say that he hasn't looked

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Speaker 2: fully himself, he's still the best big in the country

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Speaker 2: if he's not fully himself. I mean what he did

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Speaker 2: in the second weekend here twenty two and sixteen against

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Speaker 2: Lad Golden and Danny Wolfe. I mean, Vlad Golden got

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Speaker 2: nothing at the rim in that game, and then to

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Speaker 2: come back, he dominated that first half against Michigan State,

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Speaker 2: had a double double in the first half of both

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Speaker 2: of them, seeing double teams for most of it. Finishes

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Speaker 2: with twenty five and fourteen and twenty nine minutes back

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Speaker 2: in after the injury hit a three. I just like,

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Speaker 2: I know he's not one hundred percent, and I think

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Speaker 2: that's almost swung the value in the market here on

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Speaker 2: to Auburn for me, because I think they can win

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Speaker 2: this game without Jenaiprumn being one hundred percent. And I think,

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Speaker 2: you know, you look back at four and a half

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Speaker 2: months of this season, if you had ever told us

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Speaker 2: we would get Auburn playing anybody but Duke at plus

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Speaker 2: money in the final four, I think we would have

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Speaker 2: jumped all over that all season long. I understand things

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Speaker 2: have changed, but to me, Florida in this run in

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Speaker 2: the tournament, they're pretty fortunate to be here. They're great,

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Speaker 2: But if not for Walter Clayton turning into Kemba Walker

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Speaker 2: not once, but twice. I mean, he saved them the

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Speaker 2: Yukon game, he saved them the Texas Tech game.

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Speaker 6: And I think Calabrese is right.

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Speaker 2: Florida's very clearly been the better team in both those games,

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Speaker 2: but they've played with their food for twenty five minutes

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Speaker 2: in both of those games, and those teams couldn't really

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Speaker 2: close the door. If Tech and hit some free throws stuck.

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Speaker 2: I know you know this, it might be a different story.

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Speaker 2: But to me, I just feel like this game should

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Speaker 2: be a true pick them. And I don't feel great

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Speaker 2: jumping aboard the team that has the injury concerns. But

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Speaker 2: I look back at what happened in that Auburn Florida

396
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Speaker 2: game the first time, I don't think there's much that

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Speaker 2: is going to map here. Elijah Martin didn't play. It

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Speaker 2: was a weird game where Florida was down ten almost

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Speaker 2: immediately and then went on like an extended sixty two

400
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Speaker 2: to thirty three run over the next twenty minutes. Like

401
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Speaker 2: give them credit, they went toe to toe and Auburn's

402
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Speaker 2: home court and did that. It just felt like an

403
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Speaker 2: avalanche of a game. Where Auburn didn't respond to the momentum. Well,

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Speaker 2: I think they'll be ready for this. They've been the

405
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Speaker 2: team in this tournament. Even though we probably haven't seen

406
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Speaker 2: Auburn play forty minutes of great ball, they haven't really

407
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Speaker 2: been in question here. I guess the only moment where

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Speaker 2: they were up in the air was down nine to Michigan,

409
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Speaker 2: and with ten minutes left they finally did flip the

410
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Speaker 2: switch and played to their ceiling for those ten minutes

411
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Speaker 2: and it was, you know, twenty five to four run

412
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Speaker 2: or something like that. So I'm gonna trust my gut here.

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Speaker 2: Neither team should be plus one thirty. I think Auburn's

414
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Speaker 2: been the better team over the course of the season,

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Speaker 2: and I'll back them at plus one thirty.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think this is closer to a coin flip too.

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Speaker 5: Obviously you got to take into account for Rooms not

418
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Speaker 5: being one hundred percent, but I do expect him to play.

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Speaker 5: I think that. And also I think Auburn's rating took

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Speaker 5: a bit of an artificial hit. And this is part

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Speaker 5: of what Auburn is though, but they kind of were

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Speaker 5: coasting for like two weeks right at the end of

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Speaker 5: the season and it just appeared that way. I think

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Speaker 5: Auburn's peak is better than Florida's peak, but Florida's a

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Speaker 5: little bit more consistent. Would you agree with that, Greg.

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Speaker 6: A ton of percent? Yeah.

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Speaker 5: So the things that I do think Matt from that

428
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Speaker 5: game or I do believe both offenses will have success

429
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Speaker 5: and like, you can get out and transition against Auburn,

430
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Speaker 5: that's a bad thing against Florida Florida. You know, Auburn

431
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Speaker 5: is vulnerable to offensive rebounds, that's a bad thing against Florida.

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Speaker 5: Florida can get to the line some here, get some

433
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Speaker 5: easy points, and the versatility of Florida's bigs did cause

434
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 5: Auburn some trouble in that first meeting. And on the

435
00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,960
Speaker 5: other side, I think the same thing can be said

436
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 5: about Auburn. I think some of their off ball stuff

437
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:34,720
Speaker 5: that they run, the versatility of some of their bigs

438
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 5: and mobility can give Florida Florida's bigs some issues. So

439
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,159
Speaker 5: and then there's obviously familiarity between the coaches here. So

440
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,920
Speaker 5: I do think both offenses have paths to success here,

441
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 5: and that makes for probably an exciting back and forth game.

442
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 5: I'm just conflicted on do I want to bet Auburn.

443
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 5: I'm probably gonna wait, see if this ticks up anymore,

444
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 5: see if there's broom news. But part of me says,

445
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 5: there's probably gonna be runs in this game and Auburn

446
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 5: has Look, we found out who what was stronger, Michigan

447
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 5: State slow starts or Auburn slow starts. Well, it was

448
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 5: Michigan States. That they have the power in that because

449
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,400
Speaker 5: Auburn's won and seven against the spreading their last eight

450
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,399
Speaker 5: games in the first half. The one cover was against

451
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 5: Michigan State, who was just unbelievably bad in the first

452
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 5: half against the spread. So I might wait, it might

453
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 5: get a little risky, and see if I can get

454
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:33,760
Speaker 5: a better number on Auburn live. I do expect it

455
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:35,640
Speaker 5: to be runs here. I think both offenses will have

456
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 5: success and we'll see if Auburn comes out focused. But

457
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 5: i'd from a pure numbers perspective, I do show value

458
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 5: in Auburn. I make I make Florida a very very

459
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 5: small favorite. And yeah, I think that if Auburn is

460
00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:54,119
Speaker 5: focused from the from the jump, that that this line

461
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 5: Burm is, you know, eighty percent and it's good to go.

462
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:01,400
Speaker 5: I think this number is a bit too but maybe

463
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,959
Speaker 5: we should just money on Parlay, Florida and Duke because

464
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 5: that's the infinite money glitch here. Calbary's what are you

465
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 5: seeing here?

466
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go under on a player prop and it's

467
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:12,880
Speaker 4: Janai Broom points and rebounds.

468
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 1: It's sitting at twenty eight and a half.

469
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,639
Speaker 4: I think they just cobbled together this number by the

470
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,960
Speaker 4: fact that he went for twenty nine in the stockstat

471
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:22,040
Speaker 4: combo in the first meeting with the Gators. Two things

472
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 4: I mean, first, Broom is a warrior. The kid plays

473
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 4: through injuries all the time. We saw it coming back

474
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 4: from he I mean, you don't need to be a doctor.

475
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 4: He hyper extended his knee. Everybody saw it, everyone assumed

476
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 4: the worst. He also had his elbow banged up. Yet

477
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 4: adrenaline kicks in. He comes back in, gets a rebound,

478
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,400
Speaker 4: hits a three. It's incredible. But now that he's coming

479
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,639
Speaker 4: off of that, not practicing, clearly not being one hundred percent.

480
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:45,920
Speaker 1: Also had that shoulder injury that's kind of lingered throughout

481
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 1: the year. He's going to get banged up again.

482
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,680
Speaker 4: If he plays like I think there's a zero percent

483
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 4: there's a none zero percent chance that he doesn't hit

484
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,199
Speaker 4: his thirty minute average, and if he doesn't, when you

485
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:58,040
Speaker 4: start to factor in the other elements of this prop,

486
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:00,399
Speaker 4: I think the only way to play it is on

487
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:02,840
Speaker 4: the under because if you look at what Florida can

488
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:04,640
Speaker 4: do in terms of their front court, they can throw

489
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:06,919
Speaker 4: bodies at him in waves, and the first.

490
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 1: Meeting they didn't have Hankleton to be able to do so.

491
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:12,440
Speaker 4: Since the SEC tournament that gets played over twelve minutes

492
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:14,439
Speaker 4: a game off the bench, and he's somebody who can

493
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:16,800
Speaker 4: make it difficult to get those easy rebounds you mentioned it.

494
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:20,080
Speaker 4: Florida is so dynamic in terms of crashing the offensive glass,

495
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 4: so just picking up those defensive boards is going to

496
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 4: be a labor and then on top of it, by

497
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:28,200
Speaker 4: being able to have all these capable bigs with five

498
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 4: fouls of their own to go around, I think there's

499
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 4: real chance for Broom to get in foul trouble here.

500
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 1: He saw it against Michigan. He fouled out of that game.

501
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:37,399
Speaker 4: He's still had a huge game statistically, but just in

502
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,399
Speaker 4: terms of Michigan's size, there was an opportunity for the

503
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 4: Whistles to work against them. So between the injuries, the

504
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,639
Speaker 4: foul potential, and also just from a game flow perspective,

505
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:49,320
Speaker 4: if Auburn is playing from behind and there's just less

506
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,679
Speaker 4: looks on the low post for him, most of his

507
00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 4: offensive work, you would have to imagine it's going to

508
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 4: come on the offensive glass.

509
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 1: He averages nearly four offensive rips per game.

510
00:25:57,560 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 4: But if they're shooting a lot from the perimeter to

511
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 4: try to with the three point shot, I think that

512
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:05,119
Speaker 4: plays against this total as well. It's actually less than

513
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 4: you know, minus one ten. I saw minus one to five,

514
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,800
Speaker 4: even money out in the market on the under. It's

515
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 4: not exciting because I think we all love this kid.

516
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 4: I mean, he's been so great for college basketball. He's

517
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 4: been one of the best success stories going for Morehead,

518
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,879
Speaker 4: coming to Auburn and just getting better every single season.

519
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:22,439
Speaker 4: But I think all these factors that potentially could take

520
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,919
Speaker 4: them off the court makes this a must underplay.

521
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:27,359
Speaker 5: All right, good stuff there. Who do you think wins?

522
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 4: Gabury's I think Florida is going to win. I feel

523
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 4: not great about that for a couple of reasons. I

524
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 4: had eighteen to one early in the year on Auburn,

525
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 4: so I got to figure a way out to hedge.

526
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 4: I've been holding off, holding off, holding off, but this

527
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:44,160
Speaker 4: Florida team, they just got the luck on their side.

528
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 4: I mean, they should not have won if you look

529
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:48,199
Speaker 4: at all the games, if you look at the Yukon game,

530
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 4: you look at the Tech game, they should have got

531
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 4: bit in one of those. But all of a sudden

532
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 4: they can just switch it on. And I think for

533
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:56,639
Speaker 4: that reason, in terms of their upside and you know,

534
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 4: spurt ability to use a made up basketball phrase, I

535
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,479
Speaker 4: think they're to go ahead and get this done and

536
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 4: kind of kill my ticket.

537
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean you got to get credit to Florida

538
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 5: and especially Walter Clayton Gregor is you a little too

539
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,879
Speaker 5: but part of their and this is this sometimes this

540
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 5: is just what happens to a national champions. You got

541
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 5: to get breaks. They definitely got lucky with. You know,

542
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,240
Speaker 5: Yukon got wide open looks that they could not hit.

543
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,480
Speaker 5: Tech couldn't hit a front end. So they were definitely

544
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 5: it wasn't just all Florida. But sometimes that's you see

545
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 5: that in every sport. You get a couple of breaks

546
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 5: along the way, and when it's all said and done,

547
00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:33,879
Speaker 5: no one's going to remember those games ten years from now.

548
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 5: If they win it all all right, I like.

549
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 2: To imagine that the Dicky v celebrates April Fools Day. Guys,

550
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 2: we're recording this on April Fool's Day. But Dick Vital

551
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 2: just tweeted, what a tough blow for Auburn as superstar

552
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 2: Jeni Broom cannot play Saturday. So many if Dick ev

553
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:52,439
Speaker 2: knows anything or not, but you've heard it here first,

554
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 2: Dick Vital, Jeni Broom won't play?

555
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 5: Does tick Bytale do April Fools jokes?

556
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 4: I feel like April Fools has been around well well

557
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 4: into the nineteen thirties or whenever he was born, So yes,

558
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 4: I feel like he's.

559
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 5: What I'm saying, Like, I got to look back at

560
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 5: his his history of April. I hate April Fools on Twitter? Like, Also,

561
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 5: what could have happened is? I mean, this is just

562
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 5: happening I did so I have no I haven't looked

563
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 5: into this at all. There's he could have also felt

564
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:27,639
Speaker 5: for another April Fools joke. Yeah, there was an Alabama

565
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 5: account that I did see earlier that was pretending to

566
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,919
Speaker 5: be some reporter that tweeted out that he's out. So

567
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 5: I'm gonna say, Tiki got got, I mean I've gotten

568
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 5: got on Twitter on that stuff too, but we'll say

569
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 5: I don't know it, just breaking news as it happened,

570
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 5: all right, before we get to the second semi final game.

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Speaker 5: Duke taken on Houston, Duke five point favorite here, Total

649
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 5: one thirty six and a half one thirty seven. This

650
00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:53,680
Speaker 5: is a rematch of last year's Sweet sixteen game when

651
00:33:54,800 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 5: Duke won, But there's a little caveat there because it

652
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 5: was they won fifty four to fifty one, and unfortunately

653
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,800
Speaker 5: Jamal Scheed got hurt in that game, only played thirteen minutes,

654
00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 5: finished with two points. Tuggler also missed, so Houston kind

655
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:16,799
Speaker 5: of got a bad break across the board and lost

656
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,359
Speaker 5: to I think Duke was a five seed in that game.

657
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 5: In the Sweet sixteen. Houston will benefit here from playing

658
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 5: in its home state. They are that nineteen to do

659
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:29,480
Speaker 5: so since nineteen seventy five to play a Final four

660
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 5: game in their home state. Seven of the previous eight

661
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 5: have each won their Final four game, including both teams

662
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,920
Speaker 5: who were listed as underdogs. They've gone two to zero

663
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:43,319
Speaker 5: in this spot, So maybe a little little home state.

664
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 5: I'm assuming there's going to be pretty mixed grout, but

665
00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 5: maybe a slight edge, very small edge to Houston there

666
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 5: getting to play in San Antonio. When I look at

667
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 5: this game at number one, then number to me is

668
00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 5: way too high. Just from a peer numbers perspective. Duke

669
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 5: is a juggernaut. I mean, Duke is just beating teams

670
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:05,759
Speaker 5: into submission. Pretty crazy what they did to Alabama with

671
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 5: flag not even having a great game. And but I mean,

672
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 5: I think this is a couple of points too high,

673
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,520
Speaker 5: just based on my numbers. Now, is it the best

674
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:21,360
Speaker 5: matchup for Houston? And I don't think it's the ideal matchup.

675
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,520
Speaker 5: I mean, one of the things that Duke has that

676
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 5: doesn't get talked about enough, or maybe it does, but

677
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 5: maybe I just think it it doesn't personally is their length,

678
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,040
Speaker 5: and that that was just what took Sears out of

679
00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:34,960
Speaker 5: the game. I mean, Sears couldn't handle their length. And

680
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 5: it's not like Houston's guards are super long. I mean

681
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:44,359
Speaker 5: you're you're talking, what's Crier six to one. Sharp's probably six'

682
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 5: to two U zan six, three six four somewhere around.

683
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 5: THERE i don't Think duke plays anyone that's under sixty

684
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:52,319
Speaker 5: five or sixty, six, Right like everyone is six five

685
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:55,240
Speaker 5: six six or. So that length is definitely an. Issue

686
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 5: can The houston guards make enough, shots because here's the.

687
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,440
Speaker 5: Thing you can't score in transition Against, duke and you

688
00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:03,440
Speaker 5: can't score at the. Rim, Well houston doesn't try to

689
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 5: score at the. Rim, hey it's you would think that

690
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 5: With houston and their bigs and offensive. Rebounding this is

691
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:10,680
Speaker 5: a team that likes to score at the. Rim, no

692
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 5: they're one of the they have one of the lowest

693
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 5: rim rates in the entire. Country this is the team

694
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 5: that loves the mid range. Jumper when they do shoot the,

695
00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:21,240
Speaker 5: three they shoot it better than anyone in the country

696
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,440
Speaker 5: at close to forty. Percent so they're gonna have to

697
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:29,719
Speaker 5: make jumpers. Here they can their guards handle The duke.

698
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 5: LENGTH i think it's basically what this game comes down.

699
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:34,840
Speaker 5: To Like mouzan's gonna have to hit some. Threes sharp's

700
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:36,319
Speaker 5: got to hit some. Threes you're gonna need a good

701
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:40,399
Speaker 5: crier game. Here you can't have a crier dud Because

702
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 5: houston's gonna get their fair share of offensive. REBOUNDS i

703
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 5: don't think they can completely Dominate duke in that aspect

704
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 5: as they do many opponents on the other end of the.

705
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:53,640
Speaker 5: Floor the thing that scares me With houston is because

706
00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:54,800
Speaker 5: this is. Good this game is gonna be played in

707
00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 5: a half, court And duke's comfortable. There so it's not

708
00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,840
Speaker 5: like this is one of those games where, Hey houston

709
00:36:59,880 --> 00:37:02,960
Speaker 5: can trolls to. Tempo duke isn't really comfortable in a

710
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 5: half court. Game duke's more than comfortable playing in a half.

711
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:08,320
Speaker 5: Court this is an elite half court offense taking on

712
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:13,120
Speaker 5: an elite half court. Defense and what scares me with

713
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:18,080
Speaker 5: This duke offense is that you, know in order to

714
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 5: beat The houston, defense which is going to swarm, you

715
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 5: it's going to trap, you you have to hit your

716
00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:31,120
Speaker 5: unguarded catch and shoot. Threes and That's duke's. SPECIALTY i,

717
00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:33,920
Speaker 5: mean they generate unguarded catch and shoot threes at a

718
00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 5: ninety ninth percentile heer, synergy and they have, FOUR i

719
00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:42,840
Speaker 5: think four players who score over one point five points

720
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 5: per possession on those contested catch and shoot. Jumpers so

721
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 5: that's what scares me is like you have guys Like

722
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,279
Speaker 5: flag who are can just get into the teeth of

723
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:56,719
Speaker 5: the defense and then kick it to those weak side,

724
00:37:56,760 --> 00:38:01,799
Speaker 5: shooters And duke has them in. Spades so like if

725
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:09,720
Speaker 5: this becomes a shooting competition Of duke hitting those uncontested

726
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 5: unguarded catch and shoot, jumpers If duke stopped turning the

727
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 5: ball over versus The houston guards who have to make

728
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 5: tougher jumpers against, length that's what worries me BECAUSE i

729
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:23,359
Speaker 5: would definitely give an advantage To. Duke BUT i think

730
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:24,799
Speaker 5: this number is way too. HIGH i, KNOW i, mean

731
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:26,920
Speaker 5: favorites have been. Dominating maybe there's just some inflation in the.

732
00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 5: Market no one wants to bet Against. Duke but, uh,

733
00:38:30,640 --> 00:38:34,320
Speaker 5: LIKE i don't think these teams are five points apart

734
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 5: on a neutral. Court so there are some things THAT

735
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:42,320
Speaker 5: i don't love about this, matchup BUT i THINK i

736
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 5: have to take the points here With. HOUSTON i will

737
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:48,919
Speaker 5: say WHAT i do really like about this is it's

738
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 5: WHAT i, said AND i said this a couple of, weeks.

739
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:52,799
Speaker 5: Agoys so the team THAT i think has the best

740
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:55,320
Speaker 5: chance of Being duke is probably A tennessee Or. Houston

741
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 5: you slow the game. Up you want to just limit

742
00:38:57,120 --> 00:38:59,719
Speaker 5: possessions like Because duke is that, good and then you're

743
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:03,360
Speaker 5: gonna had some Threes houston is capable of, doing and

744
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 5: you need To you need to be ultra physical across

745
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:10,279
Speaker 5: the board like that's we Saw clemson have some success with.

746
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 5: That these are still this is basically like men versus,

747
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 5: Kids and is that. PHYSICALITY i think that's an edge

748
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 5: For houston.

749
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 2: Here.

750
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 5: NOW i have been impressed With, duke and they've they've

751
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:24,240
Speaker 5: grown and they've become more physical as the years. Progressed

752
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 5: BUT i Think houston can play its game. Offensively it's

753
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,440
Speaker 5: not a very complex. Offense it's just can they make

754
00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:36,360
Speaker 5: jumpers against the length Of? Duke Uh that's going to

755
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:38,799
Speaker 5: be the, key and Then dude's gonna get their fair

756
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 5: share of open. Jumpers can they hit them against The houston?

757
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 5: Defense that's that's still gonna get out in. Contest they

758
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:45,160
Speaker 5: still have a ton of length all over the. Place

759
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 5: BUT i just think this is personally too many, Points

760
00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 5: SO i have to side With houston here catching. FIVE

761
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:53,160
Speaker 5: i think there's a couple points too, high WHICH i

762
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:57,719
Speaker 5: don't really see often in the final, four you. KNOW

763
00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:00,160
Speaker 5: I i think that this should be like two two

764
00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:02,800
Speaker 5: and a. Half, greg what are you seeing? Here you?

765
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 5: KNOW i agree.

766
00:40:03,600 --> 00:40:07,040
Speaker 6: BROADLY i think these are the two best teams. Left

767
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 6: Ken palm.

768
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 2: AGREES i THINK i have too much respect For auburn

769
00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 2: And florida to just call this the national championship.

770
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 6: Game BUT i think if we could.

771
00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:20,120
Speaker 2: Move the bracket, around we wanted the two best teams

772
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 2: to meet for a national, championship it would Be duke And.

773
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:25,080
Speaker 2: HOUSTON i completely agree that the Way houston plays is

774
00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:29,279
Speaker 2: probably the most dangerous approach to a basketball game to

775
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 2: try and beat This duke. TEAM i think there's a

776
00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:34,160
Speaker 2: lot of concerns with How auburn And florida play that

777
00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 2: they may just run into a wall when they get

778
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:37,359
Speaker 2: to do if they get.

779
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:39,480
Speaker 1: There to, me when you.

780
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:41,719
Speaker 2: Step back and look at this, matchup one of two

781
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:43,800
Speaker 2: things is going to. Happen BECAUSE i completely agree with

782
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 2: your point on. LENGTH i don't See houston. SCORING i

783
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:50,920
Speaker 2: just it's a team full of little. Guards they're bigs

784
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 2: are six, seven six,' Eight that's. Duke's wings their guards

785
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 2: are all six. TO six i think they're really going

786
00:40:57,520 --> 00:41:01,080
Speaker 2: to struggle, with this and yes Will be what is

787
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:04,480
Speaker 2: the number One defense houston do against the number one Offense?

788
00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:07,120
Speaker 2: In duke can they drag this game into? The mud

789
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 2: can they slow, it down make it a full blown half,

790
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,240
Speaker 2: court game make it that ugly fifty five point fifty

791
00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 2: one game it was last year In the. SWEET sixteen

792
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,719
Speaker 2: i think they. Probably CAN and i think where the

793
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 2: number is the value Is on houston five and. A

794
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 2: half that's too. Many Points ken pom has this as

795
00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:25,960
Speaker 2: a two. Point game even if You believe duke is

796
00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 2: the world BEATERS that i believe. They are the spread

797
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:28,880
Speaker 2: is too.

798
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:29,120
Speaker 6: Much.

799
00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 2: HERE now i have way too much Respect for duke To.

800
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 2: BACK houston i can't. Do it call me a coward

801
00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:38,239
Speaker 2: if you, WANT boys i think that's probably the. RIGHT

802
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,080
Speaker 2: term i think this team is head and shoulders better

803
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 2: than everybody, else HERE and i think they are going

804
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 2: to win the. National championship so as MUCH as i

805
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:49,160
Speaker 2: show value On the, Houston side i'm not willing to.

806
00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:51,400
Speaker 2: Touch That so i'm going to wait into a player

807
00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 2: prop Here and i'm going To Take conkain nipple twenty

808
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:55,759
Speaker 2: two plus point.

809
00:41:56,040 --> 00:41:57,759
Speaker 6: Rebound assists it's minus one.

810
00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:02,400
Speaker 2: Point fifteen the REASON be i Think That jojo tugler

811
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:03,359
Speaker 2: is the guy to Watch.

812
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:03,480
Speaker 4: For.

813
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:06,680
Speaker 6: Houston defensively he matches up really Well With.

814
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 2: Cooper flag he's one of maybe two guys in the

815
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:12,359
Speaker 2: COUNTRY that i think match up Well With. Cooper flag

816
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,720
Speaker 2: the Other Was, grant Nelson and coop really Struggled Against

817
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 2: grant nelson In the. Alabama, Game now duke's. Still rolled everything,

818
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 2: went well but we've seen that if it does a

819
00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:25,719
Speaker 2: much better Defender than nelson, he is and if it

820
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:30,680
Speaker 2: turns into this half court mud, Based game duke Turns

821
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 2: to kahn to become the. Primary option shire has no shortage,

822
00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:38,200
Speaker 2: of actions pinned down stuff get him into. Ball screens

823
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:42,160
Speaker 2: they just spam. Him constantly they did It. In november

824
00:42:42,200 --> 00:42:43,760
Speaker 2: they're still doing it at the end of the Season

825
00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:46,680
Speaker 2: When cooper flagg can't. GET going i think there's a

826
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,320
Speaker 2: really good chance that. Happens here con has been rolling

827
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:51,360
Speaker 2: in his last. Two games he had twenty points in

828
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:54,160
Speaker 2: twenty one points in his. Last two he's playing thirty

829
00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:57,040
Speaker 2: five minutes. A game even though these games have ended

830
00:42:57,160 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 2: up being Pretty sizable, Duke wins he's easy gone over

831
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 2: this number in both of those games against two very

832
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:06,279
Speaker 2: quality Opponents in Alabama. And arizona so, to me it's

833
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:08,759
Speaker 2: kind of my way of. MIDDLING this i respect you

834
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 2: too much to. FADE them i think the Values. On

835
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 2: houston But if houston does dictate the game and make

836
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 2: it CLOSER than, I think i think it becomes a

837
00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:19,880
Speaker 2: big honkin nipplel game and he goes over his Numbers

838
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:21,359
Speaker 2: getting duke a close.

839
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:23,920
Speaker 5: Game, win yeah ONE thing i will say IS THAT i,

840
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 5: I mean I. THINK houston i think the Key is

841
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:32,080
Speaker 5: houston's got To keep duke. UNDER seventy i think that's

842
00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 5: like the mark that they got to be. Shooting For

843
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:37,840
Speaker 5: what's duke's, Team total it's got to be close to

844
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:43,279
Speaker 5: that their team total is seventy and, a HALF because

845
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:45,640
Speaker 5: I think houston this year is. Thirty two and oh

846
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 5: when they old opponents to under. SEVENTY points, i, MEAN

847
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:51,400
Speaker 5: like i also, just THINK like i have a ton

848
00:43:51,440 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 5: of Respect. FOR duke i haven't Bet against duke once in.

849
00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 5: This tournament it's Either been duke or or nothing in

850
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 5: every game that, they've played and that this is like

851
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:05,840
Speaker 5: the first Time that i'm showing value. Against THEM and

852
00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:08,000
Speaker 5: I just i just have a ton of Respect for.

853
00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 5: HOUSTON too, i mean is the team that they Lost

854
00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:12,799
Speaker 5: to auburn in the second game of. The year, since

855
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:17,000
Speaker 5: then they've lost, three games all. In overtime. That's it

856
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:18,640
Speaker 5: two of the teams were to two of the teams

857
00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:21,520
Speaker 5: that were In The. Elite eight since the Start, of

858
00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:23,759
Speaker 5: december they've lost one Game To, texas TECH who i

859
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:26,440
Speaker 5: think is the fifth best team in, the country by one.

860
00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:29,480
Speaker 5: In overtime so and and by the way they took

861
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:32,400
Speaker 5: talk about, their path they had the hardest path to

862
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 5: the final four of. Any. Team right They played gonzaga

863
00:44:36,520 --> 00:44:39,880
Speaker 5: in the Second round purdue And. Then tennessee it was

864
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:42,600
Speaker 5: as part of a path as you can have in terms.

865
00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:46,839
Speaker 5: Of seeding and, You, know GONZAGA for kempom was a top.

866
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 5: Ten team they basically beat three top FIFTEEN kemp pomp

867
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:54,680
Speaker 5: teams on en route to Getting To. San antonio, SO

868
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:58,279
Speaker 5: yeah I respect dukatan and look if they're if they're

869
00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:03,320
Speaker 5: red hot, From three houston probably can't. Keep UP but

870
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 5: i just have to take the points here based on

871
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:09,719
Speaker 5: where my numbers put. This Game and sampson Is a

872
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 5: here's One thing i'm Worried. About samson samson is an.

873
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:17,640
Speaker 5: UNBELIEVABLE coach i despise how he handles when, His team

874
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:19,880
Speaker 5: when someone on his team gets two fouls and he,

875
00:45:20,000 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 5: says it he comes out and. Says it, HE says

876
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 5: i don't want TO risk i don't want to risk

877
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:25,960
Speaker 5: them getting, A third but he basically. Fouls out he's

878
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,719
Speaker 5: three hundred and twenty second in the country in two.

879
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 5: Thout participation i'm surprised he's not lower. THAN that i

880
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 5: think he only plays guys with two thousand the first

881
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 5: half eight percent of. The time we saw That With

882
00:45:35,640 --> 00:45:39,360
Speaker 5: juwan Roberts against tennessee Now game state does dictate some

883
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:41,560
Speaker 5: of that and they were, comfortably ahead but he does

884
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 5: this all, the Time and roberts at the final fifteen

885
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,640
Speaker 5: minutes the, first half you're gonna need your full Deck

886
00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:52,359
Speaker 5: against duke for majority of. The game so like that Could.

887
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 5: Hurt Houston duke shires much more likely to play guys

888
00:45:55,680 --> 00:45:57,800
Speaker 5: who are in, Foul trouble so depending on how the,

889
00:45:57,840 --> 00:46:00,919
Speaker 5: whistle goes that Could hurt houston in the. First half

890
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 5: so that That's something i'll be interested. To Watch but

891
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:06,080
Speaker 5: calgary's what are you seeing Here In? HOUSTON duke i think.

892
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:08,840
Speaker 4: This line is inflated because you can't get more public

893
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:11,279
Speaker 4: Than this. Duke team every casual in the world wants

894
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:13,719
Speaker 4: to bet on the number one team with the presumptive

895
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 4: number one pick IN The. Nba draft they've just been

896
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:19,120
Speaker 4: boat racing teams down. The stretch and then on the,

897
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:22,080
Speaker 4: Other side houston plays kind of that, you know rock.

898
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:26,160
Speaker 4: Fight style it doesn't in, you know it doesn't encourage

899
00:46:26,200 --> 00:46:29,439
Speaker 4: gamblers to get. Behind THEM but i think this number

900
00:46:29,560 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 4: is off by two two and a, Half Points so

901
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:34,280
Speaker 4: i'm going To. Take houston, And, ALSO greg i appreciate

902
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 4: your candor saying that you don't have the courage to

903
00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:37,160
Speaker 4: get in front Of this.

904
00:46:37,239 --> 00:46:39,400
Speaker 1: Duke locomotive i'm going to put myself.

905
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 4: Out there this will get played by, You know, duke

906
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:44,439
Speaker 4: fans you know for for, ages come, you know. Moving

907
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 4: FORWARD but i am not over the Fact that duke

908
00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:50,760
Speaker 4: has not been trustworthy at the end of. Close Games

909
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 4: and i'll get to that in. A, second well let's

910
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:56,919
Speaker 4: first look at pace. And defense they played against three

911
00:46:57,200 --> 00:46:59,919
Speaker 4: teams in the acc that, were deliberate that played, Really,

912
00:47:00,200 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 4: Slow Virginia, notre Dame.

913
00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:04,400
Speaker 1: In clemson they went one to two against the spread in.

914
00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:07,080
Speaker 4: Those games then you look at teams that they played

915
00:47:07,120 --> 00:47:10,440
Speaker 4: that had quote unquote elite defenses at least Top twenty Clemson.

916
00:47:10,520 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 4: In kansas they lost both of, Those outright and when

917
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:16,400
Speaker 4: you look at the end of, GAME situations.

918
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:18,680
Speaker 1: I still have my Fear if i'm Holding a duke

919
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:19,239
Speaker 1: ticket even.

920
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:19,320
Speaker 3: To.

921
00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:21,319
Speaker 4: Win outright you look At the, Clemson game they're up

922
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 4: seventy one to seventy in the, final minute they lost

923
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:25,880
Speaker 4: seventy seven to. Seventy one in that. Last minute they

924
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:27,920
Speaker 4: went over three from the field and flag had. A

925
00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 4: Turnover against kansas at the beginning of, the year they

926
00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 4: were up, seventy three seventy two and ninety. Seconds left

927
00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:35,120
Speaker 4: they turn it Over twice conkinepple misses.

928
00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:36,839
Speaker 1: A three at the end of. The game they lose

929
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:37,320
Speaker 1: seventy five to.

930
00:47:37,400 --> 00:47:40,800
Speaker 4: Seventy two hell even the PERFORMANCE against unc IN the,

931
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:43,799
Speaker 4: aec tournament they're up by Four without cooper flag under

932
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:46,319
Speaker 4: three minutes. To go they closed the game over two

933
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 4: from the field with a turnover and they're bailed Out

934
00:47:48,600 --> 00:47:52,040
Speaker 4: By jalen withers. Lane violation otherwise that game's. Going overtime

935
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:55,680
Speaker 4: on the, other side You, have houston who has.

936
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:56,680
Speaker 1: A ton of tight.

937
00:47:56,760 --> 00:48:00,640
Speaker 4: Game experience they played in four overtime games they'd wins

938
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,880
Speaker 4: by two possessions. Or less and that miracle comeback At

939
00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 4: Fog allen because there is going to be a Chance

940
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:06,799
Speaker 4: that duke gets up.

941
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:09,040
Speaker 1: By ten in the first half or early in the.

942
00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 4: Second half do they have the goods as a three

943
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:13,960
Speaker 4: point shooting team absolutely to get back. INTO it i

944
00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:17,200
Speaker 4: just think that they are so mentally Tough and samson

945
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:19,560
Speaker 4: has them in a rare spot that they can actually

946
00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:21,840
Speaker 4: play the. UNDERDOG card i think they're going to have

947
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:26,120
Speaker 4: a ferocious defensive effort and if it becomes a toughness

948
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:29,640
Speaker 4: competition in the last. FOUR minutes i still have my

949
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:31,640
Speaker 4: issues in terms Of does duke just put the Ball

950
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 4: in cooper's hands and say go be somebody and gets his,

951
00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:37,680
Speaker 4: own shot be. A facilitator we're putting all the pressure

952
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:39,799
Speaker 4: on You because i've seen that play out and.

953
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 1: It hasn't been at the level that the rest of his.

954
00:48:42,200 --> 00:48:44,759
Speaker 4: Game is i'm not saying that he's not a generational

955
00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:46,799
Speaker 4: player that deserves to be the number. One pick i'm

956
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,239
Speaker 4: just saying in terms of like a pure score in,

957
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:53,880
Speaker 4: CRUNCH time i haven't. Seen it and in terms of strength,

958
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:56,040
Speaker 4: of schedule this is the LAST point i Have or

959
00:48:56,160 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 4: Pat and duke on. The back they've really only elevated

960
00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:00,520
Speaker 4: their game down the stretch one flags been one hundred

961
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:02,839
Speaker 4: percent and started. AND finished i get all that there

962
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:04,880
Speaker 4: were fifty fourth in strength to schedule. This YEAR the

963
00:49:04,920 --> 00:49:07,520
Speaker 4: acc was a. Tire fire if you throw out THAT

964
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:10,919
Speaker 4: weird covid season after you KNOW the. Covid cancelation in twenty,

965
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:14,320
Speaker 4: twenty one almost every team In The ken palm database

966
00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:17,080
Speaker 4: that Won The national championship was, top thirty if not,

967
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,840
Speaker 4: top fifteen in strength. To schedule there's something to be

968
00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:22,360
Speaker 4: said for having that muscle memory of what do we

969
00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 4: do in, crunch Time and duke just didn't have to

970
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 4: face it really for.

971
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,239
Speaker 1: Three months and then you look in this, tournament run

972
00:49:28,560 --> 00:49:29,320
Speaker 1: there hasn't.

973
00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 4: Been those, high stress, you know high leverage situations in

974
00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 4: the last two or. Three minutes so all that, Being

975
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:37,520
Speaker 4: said i'm going To take houston. PLUS points i may

976
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:39,520
Speaker 4: look like A full Duke, wins by, you. Know twenty

977
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:41,040
Speaker 4: they're the generational team.

978
00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:44,200
Speaker 1: We've all heard so, much ABOUT but i just view

979
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:47,160
Speaker 1: this as closer. To IT and i wouldn't say.

980
00:49:47,200 --> 00:49:48,680
Speaker 4: COIN flip I think duke should be a three point

981
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:51,000
Speaker 4: favorite here to be on the cusp of. TWO possessions

982
00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:54,120
Speaker 4: i think that's the market Speaking to duke being Public

983
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:54,840
Speaker 4: and houston.

984
00:49:54,920 --> 00:49:59,319
Speaker 5: Being, SCRAPPED yeah i also, WILL say i mean it's

985
00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:01,480
Speaker 5: out your nipick a, little Bit and duke's a different

986
00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:01,799
Speaker 5: team than.

987
00:50:01,840 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 4: They WERE but i mean absolutely a lot of these.

988
00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:06,560
Speaker 4: These picks you Know the kansas game Of the kentucky

989
00:50:06,600 --> 00:50:09,799
Speaker 4: game that Was What. November, december yeah so they Also.

990
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:12,680
Speaker 4: Beat auburn They, beat auburn but it was an. Elite DEFENSE.

991
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 5: But i like That the houston path has been more Impressive.

992
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,919
Speaker 5: Than dukes like no One thought baylor was. Any good

993
00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:26,600
Speaker 5: did Anyone think arizona was. A threat and you know

994
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:29,879
Speaker 5: they pick him as one hundred to. Ninety three got

995
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:31,759
Speaker 5: they got they they got The good Kale of love game.

996
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 5: In one you have to get credit to them. For

997
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:34,160
Speaker 5: that and they were in control most of.

998
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:34,480
Speaker 3: The Game.

999
00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 5: BUT alabama i wasn't a Believer in alabama the. WHOLE year,

1000
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:39,799
Speaker 5: i mean this is a team with their shot, valuing profile. Their,

1001
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:44,280
Speaker 5: defense now the way that they won was. Super IMPRESSIVE

1002
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:48,840
Speaker 5: but i Also think malite brown status is kind. Of

1003
00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:51,719
Speaker 5: important is he gonna like if they can switch Everything that,

1004
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:55,160
Speaker 5: Duke's defense duke's defense just goes to. Another level and

1005
00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:57,839
Speaker 5: if they can do That, against houston who is gonna

1006
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,560
Speaker 5: need to make, shots here it's gonna be come even.

1007
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 5: More difficult He hasn't what's he only played like like

1008
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:05,520
Speaker 5: five and three minutes?

1009
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:06,360
Speaker 1: So far.

1010
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:11,880
Speaker 5: Like if he his versatility just takes he'spect four and?

1011
00:51:11,960 --> 00:51:14,760
Speaker 5: Three minutes have? You heard has have you heard anything?

1012
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:14,880
Speaker 4: On?

1013
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:16,719
Speaker 5: Him like is he? Just expected? That's it like he's

1014
00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 5: just going to play? Three MINUTES so i don't know

1015
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:22,680
Speaker 5: if he if he can play like more than their

1016
00:51:22,719 --> 00:51:26,279
Speaker 5: their defense just goes to, another LEVEL and i think

1017
00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:28,320
Speaker 5: he Would be he's going to be, Important too he

1018
00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:30,320
Speaker 5: would be even more. And more duke can easily win this,

1019
00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:33,359
Speaker 5: without him but in a potential next matchup too. As

1020
00:51:33,400 --> 00:51:37,759
Speaker 5: well let's sum it, Up here let's get. Our predictions

1021
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:40,319
Speaker 5: who's Winning the? Final four is winning the. National title

1022
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:43,719
Speaker 5: i'm going to be. The moron i'm gonna Say, that

1023
00:51:44,600 --> 00:51:49,320
Speaker 5: houston that we get the run to money. Line favorites

1024
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:54,640
Speaker 5: it comes to, An end Houston, beats auburn gets revenge

1025
00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:57,360
Speaker 5: from a game earlier this season in the. National title.

1026
00:51:57,760 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 5: PROBABLY dumb, I mean duke's the rightful favor for. A

1027
00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:02,920
Speaker 5: reason but that's that's my gut feeling as of. Right,

1028
00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:06,280
Speaker 5: now greg what's Your prediction plame?

1029
00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:09,239
Speaker 6: Game rematch that's a that would be a fitting way

1030
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:10,480
Speaker 6: to end. THIS season, I.

1031
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:14,239
Speaker 2: Fellas i have a suspicion Here that duke is just

1032
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:17,080
Speaker 2: going to run away with this and it's gonna be

1033
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,360
Speaker 2: as boring Of a final four as the tournament.

1034
00:52:19,400 --> 00:52:21,239
Speaker 5: Has been we're just hyping Up the final four and

1035
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:22,680
Speaker 5: how excited we should be in the beginning of, the

1036
00:52:22,719 --> 00:52:24,120
Speaker 5: episode and this is how you end.

1037
00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:27,800
Speaker 2: It well because it's going to be high, level basketball

1038
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:32,600
Speaker 2: but just. Not close they're they're. So good they're, So,

1039
00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:36,360
Speaker 2: good like, Come on malawoc might end up being a

1040
00:52:36,640 --> 00:52:39,440
Speaker 2: TEN Time Nba. All star he's a freak and we

1041
00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:42,080
Speaker 2: barely even talk. About him Con and coop they're just.

1042
00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,800
Speaker 2: So good i'm so impressed with what. THEY'VE done i

1043
00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:46,800
Speaker 2: Do think houston is the team that will make. It

1044
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,880
Speaker 2: CLOSE so i think that's a single, digit GAME but

1045
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:52,600
Speaker 2: I think duke wins by a couple of possessions and then.

1046
00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:55,480
Speaker 6: Just runs I'll say auburn out in the.

1047
00:52:55,640 --> 00:52:57,600
Speaker 5: Title game you know a TEAM who i think Could

1048
00:52:57,600 --> 00:53:02,040
Speaker 5: beat duke on a good Night Is texas tech because

1049
00:53:02,120 --> 00:53:03,920
Speaker 5: they slowed up and the like they have like four

1050
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:09,239
Speaker 5: elite shooters when, They're healthy so That's like houston has

1051
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:12,400
Speaker 5: that kind of but. IT'S ugly i was thinking my

1052
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:15,759
Speaker 5: MAIN bracket i Had The Texas tech houston Rematch that

1053
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:18,200
Speaker 5: i've been dying for JUST because i wanted The Bet

1054
00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:20,560
Speaker 5: texas tech, Against them but we're not going to. Get

1055
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:22,080
Speaker 5: that calbary's what's.

1056
00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 4: Your prediction I'll go duke wins by three In the

1057
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 4: Semis over houston and then they just Absolutely bomb florida

1058
00:53:30,200 --> 00:53:32,879
Speaker 4: beat him by fifteen plus In the national, title game,

1059
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:33,719
Speaker 4: all right.

1060
00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:37,440
Speaker 5: And then the. Sum up, First game I'm. Leaning auburn

1061
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 5: Greg Likes auburn calbary's stone with broom. Broom underprop. SECOND

1062
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:45,680
Speaker 5: game i think we all take the Values. On houston

1063
00:53:45,960 --> 00:53:48,640
Speaker 5: greg is not stepping in front of the train going

1064
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:53,280
Speaker 5: with a player, prop On. Mister knipple, all right that'll

1065
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:55,640
Speaker 5: do it. For us we'll be back with a national

1066
00:53:55,680 --> 00:53:58,759
Speaker 5: title preview over. The weekend fingers crossed for some good

1067
00:53:58,800 --> 00:54:03,040
Speaker 5: games and good luck on all of. Your wagers make

1068
00:54:03,080 --> 00:54:05,759
Speaker 5: sure you check Out The action. Network app shout Out

1069
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:09,480
Speaker 5: to underdog make sure you check them out And edge boost.

1070
00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:12,960
Speaker 5: As well thanks for, Tuning in Thanks to Greg and

1071
00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 5: mike for. Joining me thanks to our producer on the.

1072
00:54:14,760 --> 00:54:17,239
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1075
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1077
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1078
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1079
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1081
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1082
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1083
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1086
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