1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank. 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring, 3 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 1: and sure they definitely can be, but understanding a professionals 4 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: routine shows us how they achieve their success little by little, 5 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: day after day. It's like banking with P and C Bank. 6 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: It might seem boring to save, plan and make calculated 7 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,479 Speaker 1: decisions with your bank, but keeping your money boring is 8 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: what helps you live or more happily fulfilled life. P 9 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: and C Bank Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five. 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P and C Bank 12 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: National Association Member FDIC. 13 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 2: Is open AI in trouble. 14 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 3: I was one of the first ones screaming this, but 15 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 3: with this lawsuit and the paper trail that has been 16 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 3: left there, it doesn't mean that the company is dead. 17 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 3: I'm not saying that because I've been a big fan 18 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 3: of open Ai, but even shots to Calcanus, Jason also 19 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 3: has championed my statement that I made last year on 20 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:10,040 Speaker 3: the show is that if you're a developer, be careful 21 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 3: of the ip that you've put on chat GPT because 22 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 3: now in Silicon Valley there are some companies who are 23 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,760 Speaker 3: saying that they've uploaded some proprietary information and now that 24 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 3: information that's coming out in product form inside of open Ai. 25 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 3: So Elon may not win every battle per se, but 26 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 3: in terms of war, he's pretty good. And the sentiment 27 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:37,759 Speaker 3: on SAM is changing rapidly, so much so that Microsoft 28 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 3: is moving the Azure customers to another large language model provider. 29 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 4: So I think. 30 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 3: When Brad Gersner woke up that story and had the 31 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 3: interview with him and he was flippant in the answer 32 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 3: about the revenue, that was that caused a lot of 33 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 3: damage in the market. 34 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 4: And for that company, they have to and get this done. 35 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 3: And he needs management, crisis management like no other right 36 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 3: now because this can destroy some of the valuation of 37 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 3: the company. But Microsoft, from what I'm told inside the headquarters, 38 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 3: that's not very happy with the investment over him right now. 39 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 1: There are reasons for the concern. I think obviously, you know, 40 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,799 Speaker 1: they had a pretty good year. They brought in twenty billion, 41 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: but they've spent so much more. I think people need 42 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: to understand that open Ai is not a profitable company 43 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 1: present day right not profitable. I think what caused a 44 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: stir this or last week was the idea of them 45 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 1: now adding ads to the platform. 46 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 2: But why would you add? 47 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 1: Right, they were adamant about like that was not something 48 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: that they wanted to do, and now they've had to 49 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:48,360 Speaker 1: reverse course. 50 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 2: Well why do you take on ads? 51 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: Well, you need revenue, You need the money, like we 52 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: need money, and you have millions, like eight hundred people, 53 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 1: eight hundred million people using it or nine hundred million 54 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: people using it low tiers high. You need to bring 55 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: in some capital because the overspending. Right, at some point 56 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: that check has to be cash, right, like the The 57 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: problem with that is that the competition has a TV. 58 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 2: It's here. 59 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:18,239 Speaker 1: So the second that they say that they're going to 60 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 1: now add adds to the platform, what did Google do 61 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: with Gemini? They said, look, nah, man, we're never going 62 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: to do that because that's not the only thing that 63 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: they rely on. 64 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 2: And so the competition is here. 65 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: So when you look at that, the competition anthropic is 66 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: about to go public. 67 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 2: I know, they just try to raise the evaluation for 68 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: that as well. 69 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: You got to look for who's your support and so 70 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: the comp for them is Google for sure, meta anthropic, right, 71 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: but they support even though you just talked about Microsoft 72 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 1: is still a supporter. It's it's more advantageous for them to. 73 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 2: Want open Ai to do well. 74 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: At the deal structure, they still have Oracle, right, they 75 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: and they're kind of like in this thing together. But 76 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 1: we know that Larry Ellison is willing to do things 77 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 1: and we saw that recently with the Netflix Warner Brothers 78 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: deal and go above and beyond to make sure that 79 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: his investment works. Soft Bank is still a supporter, and 80 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 1: Video is a supporter. AMD is a supporter, ye Broadcom 81 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: as a partner, so they have a strong base of 82 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: partnerships and support that won't, in my opinion, won't allow 83 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:24,919 Speaker 1: it to fail. But they got to start making some 84 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 1: money and so the add thing and doing it quickly. 85 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: In fact, they're saying that based on the bottom line now, 86 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 1: profitability doesn't look likely till twenty twenty nine minimum. 87 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 2: Right, that's three more years. 88 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: So now, how do you get this expenditure of when 89 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:50,160 Speaker 1: we talked about the five hundred billion dollar investment and stargate, right, 90 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 1: how do we get this investment inside of AMD can 91 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: be profitable? How does the Broadcom thing make sense? They 92 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: got to figure this out and figure it out quickly 93 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 1: because it's not slowing down, and that Anthropic is not 94 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: slowing down, and I was even dropped xai is not slowing. 95 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:07,159 Speaker 4: Down, that's slowing down at all. 96 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 3: Nope, Gemini added eight million users in the last year 97 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 3: when they were behind initially, and like I said, Microsoft 98 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:22,719 Speaker 3: became one of Anthropics' top customers on pace to spend 99 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 3: nearly five hundred million dollars a year for Anthropic AI 100 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 3: to power Microsoft products. They can still invest and own 101 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 3: forty nine percent of a company, but if you have 102 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 3: an erratic leader, you're going to say, let me hedge 103 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 3: my bet and invest somewhere else so that the deliverability 104 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 3: and the quality of the AI is hired for the customers. 105 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 3: And as soon as they go public, we'll take our 106 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 3: cash coffers, and then we'll go invest in another company 107 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 3: again and leave you out to be on your own. 108 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 4: You can't have an a radic leader. That's a theft. 109 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 3: And also on top of that, that report of that 110 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 3: suicide and that and that engineer being killed. 111 00:05:56,160 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 4: Some of this shit is coming back on you. It's 112 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 4: too many. It's too many. 113 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 3: Rumblings in San fran about this was clearly stolen from 114 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 3: Elon just the it was nonprofit and you converted a 115 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 3: for profit and then moved him out. He stopped the 116 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 3: Kademene used, he's awake. Now you gotta you have a 117 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 3: real lawsuit to fight. Everyone wants to walk away, and 118 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 3: Google and anthrotopic are going to be some of the 119 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 3: biggest beneficiaries of So it goes back to you can't 120 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 3: have an emotional, erratic man leading a company of that magnitude. 121 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 4: You can't trust him. 122 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:35,359 Speaker 1: And it's the idea of it being in debt is not. 123 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: I mean you feel like you hear that investment world 124 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: all the time, especially with startups. The issue is the 125 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:45,479 Speaker 1: scale of the debt. It usually is not in the 126 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,480 Speaker 1: hundreds of billions, and that they were. 127 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 4: Action for bail that's for a bailout before they went public. 128 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 2: What's another round? 129 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:58,240 Speaker 1: The probably now when you raise another round, when people 130 00:06:58,279 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: see that the competitors have caught. 131 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:04,800 Speaker 2: Up to you, what's yeah, they got to figure something out, earners, 132 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 2: what's up? 133 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:07,760 Speaker 1: You ever walk into a small business and everything just 134 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: works like the checkout is fast, or seats are digital, 135 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 1: tipping is a breeze, and you're out the door before 136 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: the line even builds odds are they're using Square. 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