Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. So this me Joey p Joeps a PA,
Speaker 1: and this is VP and FPL and with me Andrew ericson,
Speaker 1: the Undertaker, my boy Dreelph Furman and all of you
Speaker 1: hanging out with us because football is here. We're fired up.
Speaker 1: We're getting into argums before the show even started. This
Speaker 1: is gonna be fantastic today. We're talking about our best
Speaker 1: bets and some of the best bets the guys have
Speaker 1: I think are the worst bets. So we're gonna have
Speaker 1: just a barnburger of an episode. Don't forget everybody. If
Speaker 1: you haven't already subscribed to the Betting Pros YouTube channel,
Speaker 1: also subscribe to the podcast wherever you get your pods
Speaker 1: and download the Betting Pros app. Start betting smarter, not harder.
Speaker 1: It's on iOS, it's on Android, it's everywhere. You can
Speaker 1: sink your sports most for free. It'll track your bets
Speaker 1: across all the sports books, give you the best lines
Speaker 1: so you can be the best better you could possibly be. Again.
Speaker 1: You can also get a free trial of Betting Pros
Speaker 1: Premium right now by downloading the app and activating your
Speaker 1: trial on the upgrade screen. So download the app and
Speaker 1: get winning some money. Gentlemen, It's always an exciting day.
Speaker 1: Week one is kicking off tonight officially, and you know,
Speaker 1: crazy things always happened in Week one, Terrell, I always
Speaker 1: feel like with the new changes to the preseason that
Speaker 1: Week one and two you don't want to overreact too much.
Speaker 1: A lot of teams are basically still in preseason mode.
Speaker 1: Do you approach this week kind of in the same mentality.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean a little bit. I don't want to
Speaker 2: look too much into last year. These are brand new teams,
Speaker 2: brand new rosters, brandon coaching staffs for a lot of people.
Speaker 2: So I tried sometimes I'm looking into last year, but
Speaker 2: not a lot really, I'm just trying to analyze the
Speaker 2: play on the field and just who I think is
Speaker 2: gonna be better. Like you gotta understand, this is a
Speaker 2: league of growth. There's a lot of players who were
Speaker 2: bad one year and gonna be good next year. I mean,
Speaker 2: who's gonna be the random fantasy irrelevant player that's been
Speaker 2: for the past three years and think he's gonna be
Speaker 2: Fantasy relevant this year and everybody's gonna love him like,
Speaker 2: it's so fun to see how everybody grows in the NFL.
Speaker 2: So I tried to tackle week one a little bit
Speaker 2: different than the rest of the weeks of the season.
Speaker 1: Ericson, you got a fresh cut I see for the
Speaker 1: season that looks good. Number two A stark reminder of
Speaker 1: really what happens, you know in week one and sometimes
Speaker 1: the craziness. You're wearing a Gabe Davis jersey to remind
Speaker 1: us all of the chaos.
Speaker 3: I see for the Week one victory laps for Gabe Davis.
Speaker 3: Then we never quite recovered from the amount of exercise
Speaker 3: we got from those victory laps because it did not
Speaker 3: end well for Gave Davis that season. So just a
Speaker 3: reminder that a lot of things are going to happen
Speaker 3: in week one, and a lot of takes are going
Speaker 3: to be cemented in stone. This is reality. This is
Speaker 3: going to how the entire season is going to play out.
Speaker 3: That's not reality. So I'm looking forward to taking advantage
Speaker 3: of some of those things when we talk about these
Speaker 3: games week two, week three. But I'm excited, pumped for
Speaker 3: Week one.
Speaker 2: I think I got a Sammy Watkins jersey around Sammy.
Speaker 3: Watkins, the King of the Week one victory lap.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a good one. Let me tell you're
Speaker 1: very excited about that. Also, I can't wait till we
Speaker 1: get to the end of this show. Toady. You're gonna
Speaker 1: want to stick her out to the end because not
Speaker 1: only do I have the Parlay of the Week and
Speaker 1: the Upset special to give you, but these two guys
Speaker 1: are on a game that I am on the opposite
Speaker 1: end of. So make sure you're watching the whole time
Speaker 1: because it's going to be entertaining. I'm just telling you that.
Speaker 1: All right, Let's start with Tampa and the Commanders. Look,
Speaker 1: Jay Daniels making his first start. You've got some feelings
Speaker 1: about this game, Drell lay him on us, all right.
Speaker 2: I mean, it's Jayson daniels first start, rookie quarterback Week one,
Speaker 2: and we have a veteran, veteran coaching bunch here with
Speaker 2: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I'm just gonna go ahead and
Speaker 2: fade the hype of a Jayln Daniels gonna figure this
Speaker 2: thing out. You still have Dan Quinn as the head coach.
Speaker 2: We saw how his first head coaching state went. He's
Speaker 2: one in five ats in Week one of the season.
Speaker 2: You have a rookie slot corner for the defense. Matter
Speaker 2: of fact, forget the rookie slot corner. All the corners
Speaker 2: are bad. All of the corners are bad, so it
Speaker 2: doesn't matter. I think that Mike Evans is gonna have
Speaker 2: a feast of a day. I think Chris Godwin is
Speaker 2: gonna have a great day. Shoot, we might even see
Speaker 2: Jaylen McMillan make some noise on the other side. And
Speaker 2: so Jalen Antoine Whitfield, junior Jordan Whitehead very very good
Speaker 2: safeties in nets defense for the Bucks. I think they're
Speaker 2: gonna be lights out all over the field. I just
Speaker 2: am fading this offensive line for the Washington Commanders saying
Speaker 2: that I don't think that they're going to be able
Speaker 2: to keep Jalen Daniels up right. I don't think that
Speaker 2: a rookie quarterback playing against this veteran defense is going
Speaker 2: to go out there and light the world on fire.
Speaker 2: And I think Baker is going to be smooth, steady,
Speaker 2: do enough with what's given to him. And that's not
Speaker 2: a lot, because again, this Washington secondary really bad.
Speaker 1: I'm excited for the Jane Daniels debut. Sometimes those debuts
Speaker 1: can be a little Rocky, especially on the road. So
Speaker 1: this picks makes a lot of sense to me. Ericson.
Speaker 1: Let's go to you for the first pick, and you're
Speaker 1: already jumping in to the pool for the Friday game,
Speaker 1: so let's get this one out quick.
Speaker 3: Yeah, We're going to Brazil with the Philadelphia Eagles and
Speaker 3: the Green Bay Packers, and I'm not convinced that even
Speaker 3: on neutral field, that the Eagles are the superior team
Speaker 3: to the Green Bay Packers who was playing late into
Speaker 3: the NFC playoffs last year. It was not the Philadelphia Eagles,
Speaker 3: it was the Green Bay Packers who had the forty
Speaker 3: nine ers on the run up in that game. So
Speaker 3: for me, I'm looking at how well the Packers played
Speaker 3: last year, especially as under dogs, looking what they did
Speaker 3: so sixty percent against the spread as an underdog in
Speaker 3: twenty twenty three, there were six and six overall, so
Speaker 3: they were winning games straight up as underdogs. So I
Speaker 3: don't see this Eagles team with a new officer coordinator
Speaker 3: coming in, new defensive coordinator coming in, Nick Sirianni calling
Speaker 3: the shots as the CEO head coach, that we're going
Speaker 3: to see it just turn on a dime from last
Speaker 3: year's collapse when they lost six of their last seven games.
Speaker 3: They were losing games that they had no business even
Speaker 3: being close. So I'm gonna take the Packers make Friday
Speaker 3: Night a memorable one. Packers on the money line.
Speaker 1: All right, there you go, everybody, Packers on the money line.
Speaker 1: The most popular pick this week for Survivor pools. Sam
Speaker 1: talked about on yesterday show. You can go back and
Speaker 1: check that out. Actually it was a Tuesday show. What
Speaker 1: am I saying? Time is flying? This week? The New
Speaker 1: England Patriots going to Cincinnati, which means, of course it's
Speaker 1: gonna go sideways. But Terrell, I see you have some
Speaker 1: feelings about the Patriots and Cincinnati Bengals in a way
Speaker 1: you'd like to approach this. The Bengals are historically team
Speaker 1: to kind of get out of the gate a little slow.
Speaker 1: You got the Jamar Chase thing going. We don't know
Speaker 1: how much he's gonna play in this game. I expect
Speaker 1: him to play in this game. I think we all do.
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be a full compliment
Speaker 1: of snaps, but let's talk about this one here. Let's
Speaker 1: talk about the Patriots and the Bengals. How do you
Speaker 1: see this one working out.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I think that the Patriots defense isn't getting
Speaker 2: enough credit, and I think that Drab Mayo is gonna
Speaker 2: have them playing a lot better. Is their concerns around
Speaker 2: the line, Yes, there is. I'm concerned about the pass rush,
Speaker 2: but the Bengals don't have a really good offensive line either,
Speaker 2: like I have concerns on their offensive line. In fact,
Speaker 2: they were actually twenty third in pass rush anyweit last year.
Speaker 2: So I don't think that they're gonna be able to
Speaker 2: generate their own pass rush against the Patriots. I don't
Speaker 2: think that they're gonna be able to really. I think
Speaker 2: it's fifty to fifty, honestly, on both lines, on both
Speaker 2: sides of the ball. I think both offensive lines give
Speaker 2: me a question. Both defensive lines, I think, give me question.
Speaker 2: And then everybody's like, oh, well, look at the white
Speaker 2: receivers for the Bengals and hold on, wait a minute.
Speaker 2: The Patriots still have Jonathan Jones and Christian Gonzalez, who
Speaker 2: people forget after he got hurt in Week four last year,
Speaker 2: would have torn labor. Before that, he was really really good.
Speaker 2: He was shadowing. He was shadowing, and Alvin ross Saint Brown.
Speaker 2: I think he shadowed Garrett Wilson during that span too,
Speaker 2: like he was taking on the number one receiver, and
Speaker 2: so now him and Jonathan Jones on the outside. I
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be really, really good. Jacoby Brissette also
Speaker 2: another name people are not respecting. In fact, if you
Speaker 2: put this line on jok Kobe Brissette's games his last
Speaker 2: season starting in twenty twenty two, he would have been
Speaker 2: eight to and one to this number. So eight too
Speaker 2: and one at has two this number. He was keeping
Speaker 2: his team in close games when he was playing for
Speaker 2: the Cleveland Browns. Look at last season when he played
Speaker 2: for the Commanders, and he's came in that game and
Speaker 2: relief in the Jets. He brought them back with three
Speaker 2: straight touchdowns. Like Jacoby Brissette. I'm not saying he's a
Speaker 2: great quarterback. No, I'm not saying that, but he's serviceable.
Speaker 2: I think that a good defense. This Bengals team had
Speaker 2: all this stuff going on in the off season, we
Speaker 2: still have questions offensive line. The pass is going to
Speaker 2: keep this closed. Eight points I've say nine as some places. No, No,
Speaker 2: I think this is more of a four or five
Speaker 2: point game.
Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Erickson. That's good news for our Patriots.
Speaker 1: Maybe looking a little bit, you know better than people realize.
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons. They're going to be at home debuting their
Speaker 1: new quarterback. They're going to be at home with some
Speaker 1: new pieces on defense, and the Pittsburgh Steelers are coming
Speaker 1: to town. Now. I am concerned about the Pittsburgh Steelers
Speaker 1: in this one, and like Tom nloways, got ready, everyone
Speaker 1: ready to play. I'm concerned about Russell Wilson, his ability
Speaker 1: to avoid zex, his ability to not turn the football
Speaker 1: over in this game too, because I think that pass
Speaker 1: rush is going to be ferocious on him. What are
Speaker 1: your feelings on Atlanta and Pittsburgh. I'm on the Atlanta
Speaker 1: side here, but you seem to be on the opposite end.
Speaker 3: Well, I just don't have confidence that we're going to
Speaker 3: see this Falcons offense step in immediately in Week one
Speaker 3: against a fierce Pittsburgh Steelers defense that Mike Tomlin gets
Speaker 3: the most out of every single year, especially when they're
Speaker 3: playing on the road as underdogs. This is a classic
Speaker 3: spot where you usually want to back the Steelers where
Speaker 3: the Falcons are coming. They didn't play any of their
Speaker 3: guys in the preseason at all. I think they're gonna
Speaker 3: come out rusty. We haven't seen Kirk Cousins play since
Speaker 3: Week eight of last year. He's coming off the torn achilles,
Speaker 3: so I think they're gonna be a slow start out
Speaker 3: of the gates. Yes, the Steelers offense has not in
Speaker 3: the preseason, but at least they're playing in the preseason
Speaker 3: at least they're trying to get their starters ready to go.
Speaker 3: For this Falcons defense that I'm not super concerned about. Now,
Speaker 3: it's not really about the offenses, particularly on the Pittsburgh side.
Speaker 3: It's about how good their defense is. They still have TJ.
Speaker 1: Watt.
Speaker 3: I think that's going to give issues for the Atlanta Falcons,
Speaker 3: who come out a little bit slow. Again. This is
Speaker 3: the Arthur Smith Revenge Bowl game. It's about who's more motivated. Though,
Speaker 3: Is it all players that Arthur Smith?
Speaker 1: I think it's Ajon Robinson. Like the Revenge Game is
Speaker 1: the players against Arthur Smith more than that this Arthur
Speaker 1: Smith on the players. I'm sorry, that's that's my take
Speaker 1: on it.
Speaker 3: But Arthur Smith has intel about all those guys they
Speaker 3: drafted really high. He knows their strengths and he knows
Speaker 3: their weaknesses. So he's if we told his defensive players
Speaker 3: Mike tomlin Hey, Drake London, Jon Robinson, Kyle Pitts, I
Speaker 3: know how not to use them the right way, So
Speaker 3: I can tell you exactly how you need to defend
Speaker 3: these certain types of players. So I just think, especially
Speaker 3: with the Falcons being the all hype preseason team, they're
Speaker 3: buying their way to a championship quote unquote, and the
Speaker 3: Steelers are going to come in and upset it just
Speaker 3: like they always do in a really weird way. They're
Speaker 3: going to run the football, they're going to keep it
Speaker 3: low scoring, and it's just going to cause frustrations for
Speaker 3: the Atlanta Falcons. So just given how well the Steelers
Speaker 3: have been, like last year they were five and four
Speaker 3: against the spread and the money line on the road.
Speaker 3: So this team, again I'm not willing to call the upset,
Speaker 3: but at three and a half, they can keep this
Speaker 3: within a field goal.
Speaker 1: I'll take that, all right. It's a conversation obviously it
Speaker 1: will continue to have the next couple of days, and
Speaker 1: of course, if you want to have more conversations when
Speaker 1: it comes to wagering, you can do that on betting
Speaker 1: pros Discord and the NFL podcast group, and you can
Speaker 1: go ahead and do that. Over at Bettingpros dot com
Speaker 1: slash chat, it's free to join our discord and of
Speaker 1: course you can make all your wagers actually meet up
Speaker 1: little something here or just your picks, not even your
Speaker 1: wagers in that sense. You sync all your picks over
Speaker 1: on the VP app and you go join our NFL
Speaker 1: podcast group and we're giving away some prizes there monthly
Speaker 1: and for the big end of year prize as well.
Speaker 1: Over at Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL Contests, or if
Speaker 1: you're on the app, just go to the community page
Speaker 1: and you can find on that community to have the
Speaker 1: sports betting group there for NFL podcasts, and of course
Speaker 1: you can follow all of us. I just logged all
Speaker 1: of my picks for this week, and I've also logged
Speaker 1: all of my picks for some of the futures market
Speaker 1: two over at Bettingpros dot Com slash Joe. You could
Speaker 1: follow Terrell, same thing Bettingpros dot Com slash Terrell, and
Speaker 1: of course Ericson as well at Bettingpros dot Com slash Ericson.
Speaker 1: I tried to get him to say the Undertaker. They
Speaker 1: wouldn't give me that slash. Whatever, It's fine, all right,
Speaker 1: Let's go to another pick here, this one, this one
Speaker 1: I like. I like this one a lot terrell. In fact,
Speaker 1: I think.
Speaker 2: That dang you didn't like the other ones.
Speaker 1: I like the other ones. I like the other ones.
Speaker 1: This one I really like. I think if you look
Speaker 1: at the history of the rookie quarterbacks, the week one
Speaker 1: typically does not go well. Now, Caleb Williams had a
Speaker 1: lot of hype, a lot of expectations. They're taking all
Speaker 1: the Titans, a team that everybody's kind of leaving for dead.
Speaker 1: And I don't like the Titans this year, but I
Speaker 1: like the Titans in this spot, and so do you,
Speaker 1: So let's talk about it. Because you don't even like
Speaker 1: them necessarily on the points, but you're even maybe looking
Speaker 1: for them to possibly win outright, Yes.
Speaker 2: One hundred percent. I love the Titans this year. I
Speaker 2: think they're gonna be a sleeper team and at the
Speaker 2: end of the season, we're gonna look at this Tennessee
Speaker 2: team and we're gonna be like, Wow, that went really,
Speaker 2: really good and they kept us in a lot of
Speaker 2: games and they were fun to bet. Or that team
Speaker 2: was just horrible they put up a bunch of points,
Speaker 2: but they didn't do anything on defense. But I think
Speaker 2: the defense has improved this year. I think they'll keep
Speaker 2: them in games. They bring in Lugerius Sneid, who was
Speaker 2: a really, really good corner for Kansas City, comes over
Speaker 2: and he's probably gonna shadow the best matchup for majority
Speaker 2: of the season for them, including in this game with
Speaker 2: DJ Moore. Dj Moore he faced them last year for
Speaker 2: the Kansas City Chiefs. DJ Moore was one for four
Speaker 2: three yards in that game. You look at Roger McCreary,
Speaker 2: another name on the defense, people don't know. He was
Speaker 2: really good in the slot. Jeffrey Simmons arden Key Like,
Speaker 2: I think the defense is going to be able to
Speaker 2: throw something at Caleb Williams and it's gonna be unlike
Speaker 2: he's seen before, especially in college. And we've seen Caylen
Speaker 2: Williams in college face a tough defense and kind of
Speaker 2: be rattled a little bit. Plus, I'm all over the
Speaker 2: will Levis train, I mean all the way, all the
Speaker 2: way easy, and it.
Speaker 1: Feels like a train is gonna break down at New
Speaker 1: Jersey Transit that Andrew Erickson's trying to get to my house. On.
Speaker 1: That's not doesn't sound like a good train at all.
Speaker 2: Callahan and Nick Colts have a plan. They've been talking
Speaker 2: about this all off season how they want to get
Speaker 2: this offense rolling. They bring in Calvin Ridley and you
Speaker 2: have DeAndre Hopkins there. I think those are two really
Speaker 2: good weapons on the outside for him. You bring in
Speaker 2: Tyler Boyd, who's going to be very solid for them
Speaker 2: in the slot. He doesn't have to be a world beater,
Speaker 2: but it's just something consistent. He's going to have consistent
Speaker 2: options on the outside to be able to go to
Speaker 2: I think they'll be able to get the wins. And
Speaker 2: do you remember the four touchdown game in his first
Speaker 2: game like that, that was the peak he showed us,
Speaker 2: Hey we can have four touchdowns on hold on, No, No,
Speaker 2: it's a whole different coaching staff. It's a whole different
Speaker 2: coaching staff.
Speaker 1: Hold on. But do you also remember after that tape
Speaker 1: then he didn't do anything after everyone was like, Okay,
Speaker 1: these are a strikes.
Speaker 2: And that's why that's why you move on from the
Speaker 2: defensive head coach. You bring in Bryce Kaylahan, a very
Speaker 2: good offensive minded head coach. Everybody talks about everything Joe
Speaker 2: Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals they went to do to
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl. All that that was all Callahan. He
Speaker 2: really really helped that offense. And so this is his
Speaker 2: chance to show it. Hey, it's not just Joe Burrow.
Speaker 2: I can do it with will Levis. Will Levis is
Speaker 2: a he's Jamis. He is literally Jameis. We had so
Speaker 2: much fun with Jamis and now we're gonna have fun
Speaker 2: with will Levis. Will Levis is getting this done. This
Speaker 2: is a really good defense. I think the offense is
Speaker 2: going to be way better this year. Plus four and
Speaker 2: a half sprinkle on the money line. This Titans team
Speaker 2: is gonna be good.
Speaker 1: The Jamis comparison is spot on probably. I mean there's
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of that, a lot of chucking
Speaker 1: and ducking. You got a kind of scenarios there. That's all.
Speaker 1: That's all I need.
Speaker 2: I don't know if you look, Hey, if he doesn't
Speaker 2: win this outright, I'm not mad. I got four and
Speaker 2: a half points and look at since twenty eighteen first
Speaker 2: round quarterbacks in their first game five fifteen and one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not going well. The four and a half
Speaker 1: I absolutely love. I don't know if I'm quite ready
Speaker 1: for them to win it outright, But I like where
Speaker 1: your head's at there.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 1: The train of will Levis again, Andrew kind of reminds
Speaker 1: me of that turkey sandwich that you ate on the Amtrak.
Speaker 1: I think that's like the will Levis train had that
Speaker 1: feeling that you ate and you showed up at my house.
Speaker 1: You're like, I don't feel well. I think something's a
Speaker 1: little wrong. I said, what did you do? You said,
Speaker 1: you ate a turkey sandwich from the Amtrak. I was like,
Speaker 1: that's a first mistake. That's why you got the wah
Speaker 1: wah on the way back. You packed the wah wah
Speaker 1: sandwich from ye are undefeated.
Speaker 3: I was an official sponsor.
Speaker 1: I talked about the wahwah stuff all the time on
Speaker 1: the baseball Joe, you know, Schwarberfest. We do a whole
Speaker 1: thing with the wahwah. So I got a wah wah
Speaker 1: on my corner for the last twelve years. They took
Speaker 1: it away, and the whole town is revolted. Bro. They
Speaker 1: took it away because it wasn't a gas station wah
Speaker 1: wa or whatever it was, and the whole is revolted.
Speaker 1: The thing that they put there. The gross ass whatever
Speaker 1: fake ass mark that they put there insteap nobody goes there.
Speaker 1: I'm just saying, don't take away people as wah wah.
Speaker 1: They get very upset. I know I do, all right,
Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, don't take away by wahwag Ins said, give
Speaker 1: me another pick too, because you've got some feelings on
Speaker 1: this game as well. So let's talk about Bears and
Speaker 1: Titans from your perspective.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I like the under in this game under
Speaker 3: forty five points. So Terrell laid out the case for
Speaker 3: hating the Bears offense against the Titans, So I'll just
Speaker 3: pairt that. But I'm not as high on Will Levis
Speaker 3: in this particular matchup on the road against I don't
Speaker 3: think you're giving enough credit to the Bears defense that
Speaker 3: was elite during the second half of last season, the
Speaker 3: best run defense in the NFL. Seven of the bears
Speaker 3: last ten games went under the total, four to one
Speaker 3: and one towards the under in their last six games.
Speaker 3: They're playing at home Soldier field, hostile environment for a
Speaker 3: inexperienced second year quarterback in a new offense, playing behind
Speaker 3: a shaky offensive line. So I'm fading both quarterbacks in
Speaker 3: this game, and I want to take the under all
Speaker 3: the way because it's forty five points for a guy
Speaker 3: making his first start in a guy making I think
Speaker 3: his fifth start on the road. You look at Lil
Speaker 3: Lewis at what he did on the road last year.
Speaker 3: The Titans lost by fourteen plus points twice and they
Speaker 3: went one and three against the spread. So I have
Speaker 3: no confidence that will Levis on the road and to
Speaker 3: the Jamis Winston comparison. The only thing that I don't
Speaker 3: see is Callahan's offense last year extremely low average depth
Speaker 3: of target. They weren't launching the ball downfield. So I
Speaker 3: think we're going to see a little bit more of
Speaker 3: a conservative approach with Will Lewis in this particular matchup
Speaker 3: to kind of save him from himself, and short dump
Speaker 3: off passes to tas Jay Spears and Tony Pollard. You
Speaker 3: look at the Bears defense last year.
Speaker 1: I agree with the Bears.
Speaker 3: Defense last year, what were their weakest against running backs
Speaker 3: in the passing game. So I think that's how they're
Speaker 3: going to move the ball dump off passes. But that
Speaker 3: doesn't result in a lot of points. So I'm just
Speaker 3: gonna take the under on the game.
Speaker 1: Overall, I like Poward in this game. I like the
Speaker 1: four and a half. I'm going to stay away from
Speaker 1: the over under, going to stay away from the money line.
Speaker 1: I'm just a little bit more conservative on this one.
Speaker 1: So many variables, but I think this is gonna be
Speaker 1: a fun game to watch. Let's go to the fourth
Speaker 1: picks on the board here for the gentleman. Let's start
Speaker 1: here with the Cardinals. A tough start for the year
Speaker 1: for them, having to go on the road into Buffalo,
Speaker 1: but it's September in Buffalo, so let's not overrat it
Speaker 1: too much. It's not like it's December, it's snowing, or
Speaker 1: any of that nonsense. Right now, you can get six
Speaker 1: and a half here on the Arizona Cardinals, and it
Speaker 1: looks like Terrell, you're taking.
Speaker 2: That, oh one hundred percent. I am not laying six
Speaker 2: and a half with Josh Allen first game in the season.
Speaker 2: We have to see what he looks like with this
Speaker 2: new offense and if it even translates all the way
Speaker 2: without Stefan Diggs, Like I think people get mad at, Oh,
Speaker 2: Stefon Diggs is kind of trending down and all of that,
Speaker 2: and Josh Allen doesn't need him and everything. But what
Speaker 2: was Josh Allen doing before Diggs? I mean, he was
Speaker 2: about back you know this, Oh he's got all this
Speaker 2: potential after Diggs gets there, And then before Diggs was there,
Speaker 2: he was kind of average and just hey, he's nice
Speaker 2: and he'll be on the way and he's on the rise,
Speaker 2: but he's not there yet. I just I questioned the turnovers,
Speaker 2: decision making in the zone, and I think here, the
Speaker 2: Cardinals have a really really good offense. Their offensive coordinator
Speaker 2: is actually getting looks for what he did last season
Speaker 2: for next season to be a head coach. That's how
Speaker 2: good of an offense they did. They were looking good.
Speaker 2: They got to win on the road against the Eagles
Speaker 2: late last year, and that was a really really big
Speaker 2: win for them. You look at Josh Allen when he's
Speaker 2: closed as a favorite of four or more, he's eight
Speaker 2: sixteen and one ats Kyler as a dog, eleven five
Speaker 2: and two as a dog of four points some more.
Speaker 2: Excuse me, he's eleven five and two ATS. I don't
Speaker 2: think the Bills have an answer for Trey McBride at all.
Speaker 2: I would take all the Trey McBride props that I can.
Speaker 2: I think Trayvon Bride's gonna have a huge game. I
Speaker 2: think Kyler's gonna be able to extend with his legs
Speaker 2: against that Bill's front seven and be able to create
Speaker 2: for his teammates, for a Marvin Harrison junior or Wilson
Speaker 2: something like that, because that's a very very good Bills secondary.
Speaker 2: But I think Kyler's legs can make them create and
Speaker 2: extend plays and be able to get his targets open.
Speaker 2: And then I'm just gonna batch you'all think Annon and
Speaker 2: that defense, and I think he's gonna find a way
Speaker 2: to make them somewhat comparable. Like they were horrible. It
Speaker 2: was so bad last year. That was the bottom. That
Speaker 2: was the bottom. Even if they're slightly better this year,
Speaker 2: I think they have a chance. Six and a half
Speaker 2: is just weighed too many points, and I'm just knock
Speaker 2: going to back.
Speaker 1: It, all right, Andrew Erickson, let's get to your next
Speaker 1: pick here, because you also are again on the same
Speaker 1: game as Terrell.
Speaker 3: I do like the Cardinals plus six and a half
Speaker 3: as well, but I'm approaching it with the under because
Speaker 3: I think that the total is just way too high
Speaker 3: at forty eight and a half for two teams, that
Speaker 3: want to run the football. This isn't the aerial show
Speaker 3: that we're going to get from both these teams. Look
Speaker 3: at last year when James Connor came back, Kylly Murray
Speaker 3: came back, they had a negative passwight over expectation. They
Speaker 3: wanted to run the football. What happened when Joe Brady
Speaker 3: took over, as you off it, the coordinated for the
Speaker 3: Buffalo Bills. They established the run, they got bridged to
Speaker 3: Von Diggs. They have a bunch of young receivers with
Speaker 3: Josh Allen. To me, it doesn't make any sense for
Speaker 3: the Bills game plan to be, Okay, we're going to
Speaker 3: go and air it out with all these brand new
Speaker 3: receivers when we know the Cardinals' weakest part of their
Speaker 3: defense is against the makes no sense to me why
Speaker 3: this total is at forty eight and a half. It's because, oh,
Speaker 3: Josh Allen, Kyler Murray two quarterbacks that are fun forty
Speaker 3: eight and a half. That's where the total is coming from.
Speaker 3: So I think that this is a great value betting
Speaker 3: the under here. You look at what the Bills were
Speaker 3: with the under over last year. Games in Buffalo only
Speaker 3: average forty six and a half points. It was five
Speaker 3: and five towards the over under, and the Cardinals they
Speaker 3: were a team where every game at home was essentially
Speaker 3: going over seven and two towards the over at home,
Speaker 3: but on the roads two and six. So the Cardinals
Speaker 3: team is again another offense that plays much better at
Speaker 3: home in a dome. Again, this isn't Buffalo crazy weather,
Speaker 3: but it's still outdoors, so it's still a little bit
Speaker 3: different for Arizona and their offense. So for me, I
Speaker 3: think the two teams wanting to run the football established
Speaker 3: to run, you're going to get a score that goes
Speaker 3: way under forty eight and a half. And again to
Speaker 3: Terrell's point, I still also lot because it's gonna be
Speaker 3: lower scoring. I think the Cardinals plus six and a
Speaker 3: half also makes a ton of sense.
Speaker 1: All right, before we get to the parlay of the week,
Speaker 1: and of course my upset special got one more game
Speaker 1: to break down here that the guys are both on,
Speaker 1: and it's Monday Night football. It's the San Francisco forty
Speaker 1: nine ers, I believe, taking out their aggressions on the
Speaker 1: New York Jets. But Terrell, let's get your take on
Speaker 1: this game first, and how you want to approach it
Speaker 1: from a wagering standpoint.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, because I'm about to be quick and let
Speaker 2: y'all battle it out and sit back and right relax.
Speaker 2: I I, for one, paused on the side, and I
Speaker 2: took the under under prime time under primetime, under primetime under.
Speaker 2: I really don't have a handicap. It's a primetime under.
Speaker 2: We got two really really good defenses, probably two of
Speaker 2: the top defenses in the NFL. Aaron Rodgers hasn't played
Speaker 2: football in over a year. You had all the Trent
Speaker 2: Williams holding out or holding in or whatever it is.
Speaker 2: For the forty nine ers, you had Brandon Aiyuk, who
Speaker 2: was a Steeler and then he was a Brown and
Speaker 2: then he was a Patriot, and then he was a commander,
Speaker 2: and then he was a Steeler again, and then he
Speaker 2: finally signed his deal with the forty nine ers. I
Speaker 2: think all of that goes into play, But really it's
Speaker 2: just the primetime unders. They've been like sixty percent over
Speaker 2: the past five years, closer to seventy five percent over
Speaker 2: the past two years. Like they've been really, really good,
Speaker 2: and this is a really good spot for two teams
Speaker 2: that actually has some history. Aaron Rodgers revenge game type
Speaker 2: sort of with the forty quarter of No, he's from California,
Speaker 2: He's lost in the playoffs multiple times to this team.
Speaker 3: It's the game.
Speaker 1: Maybe your your chances of revenge Rogers, Sorry, he's in
Speaker 1: the regular season versus them, all right, that's not mine.
Speaker 2: Let me get out of the way here, y'all, y'all
Speaker 2: can go.
Speaker 1: Y'all can have Andrew Erickson your take on the forty
Speaker 1: nine Ers Jets game.
Speaker 3: So I'm taking the Jets plus four and a half
Speaker 3: on the road, And it's really less about the Jets
Speaker 3: per se and more about how overrated the forty nine
Speaker 3: Ers are. At home last year three and seven against
Speaker 3: the spread, this offensive juggernaut that was unstoppable, that could
Speaker 3: not be be at home, could not be be anywhere. Well,
Speaker 3: they never come the spread basically at home three and
Speaker 3: seven that was fourth worst in the NFL. The road
Speaker 3: team has covered the spread each of the forty nine
Speaker 3: ers last twelve games. They are so overrated. They's just
Speaker 3: an overrated team. So for me, layering all the offseason antics,
Speaker 3: when's you going to show up? When Williams is going
Speaker 3: to show up? Are these guys in shape? Ricky Piersoll.
Speaker 3: This is a big thing. This guy almost died. There's
Speaker 3: a lot of distractions with this forty nine Ers team,
Speaker 3: and for me, the Jets are all in and I
Speaker 3: think it's upset alert. So that's why I'm going with
Speaker 3: the Jets plus four and a half against an overrated
Speaker 3: four nine Ers team at home.
Speaker 1: So it's nothing I love more than the Jets with expectations.
Speaker 1: Just every single time, it never fails. I want to
Speaker 1: ask you this before I begin. I seem to remember
Speaker 1: I think it was about ten to twelve minutes ago
Speaker 1: in the past where somebody was talking about Kirk Cousins
Speaker 1: coming off an injury and not playing and not having
Speaker 1: the groove of the offense and all that stuff. And
Speaker 1: now you're trying trying to sell me somehow that the
Speaker 1: New York Jets of this game with Aaron Rodgers, who
Speaker 1: hasn't played a snap of football since what January of
Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, I want to say, is the last time? Okay,
Speaker 1: it is the fall now almost just about of twenty
Speaker 1: twenty four, he was already a quarterback in decline. This
Speaker 1: notion that, like, look, the Jets defense is really good.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give the Jets. The defense Priesze Halls a
Speaker 1: terrific talent, so is Garrett Wilson. I think the Jets
Speaker 1: are gonna be competitive for that division. However, I think
Speaker 1: all that noise, all that frustration, You're right. I'm the
Speaker 1: guy who's been all these shows fading the forty nine ers.
Speaker 1: I'm faithing in twenty twenty four. I'm not faded in
Speaker 1: this game. I'm just not gonna do it. The forty
Speaker 1: nine ers are going to take out all their aggression
Speaker 1: on the New York Jets. You're telling me that Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers wasn't played a single snap in the preseason. He's
Speaker 1: gonna go three thousand miles on a plane. And let's
Speaker 1: not pretend like there's no drama going on with that organization,
Speaker 1: with the clown of an offensive coordinator. They've got with
Speaker 1: Robert sala as their head coach, and they're gonna go
Speaker 1: against Kyle Shanahan, who, by the way, is too fancy
Speaker 1: for his own good all of the time. Kyle Shanahan
Speaker 1: lost them that Super Bowl. Hand the ball to Christian
Speaker 1: McCaffrey five more times, and you got a ring on it, baby,
Speaker 1: And that's what Beyonce will be telling you. Let me
Speaker 1: tell you something else. They've also got a situation here
Speaker 1: where you have got Christian McCaffrey actually gonna play this week. Okay,
Speaker 1: he's gonna actually be there. Brand A Yuk is going
Speaker 1: to play. So everybody right now is going to be
Speaker 1: on the field and playing. What it looks like the
Speaker 1: toll this season is gonna take on just the way
Speaker 1: it did for the Eagles last year. It took its
Speaker 1: toll on them. The schedule took its toll. Some of
Speaker 1: the other stuff going around all took its toll. That
Speaker 1: is gonna happen e ventry to forty nine ers at
Speaker 1: some point. I ain't gonna happen this week. I'm sorry.
Speaker 1: I think it's a joke, and I think it's because
Speaker 1: the Jets are a New York public team and everyone's
Speaker 1: got their expectations high again and once again, when Jet
Speaker 1: fans expectations are high, how often does that work out? Well?
Speaker 1: So give me the forty nine ers. I'll even I'll
Speaker 1: even push this one to the alternate spread. Give me
Speaker 1: five and a half, yo, give it, give it, Give
Speaker 1: me all the forty nine ers this week. Welsh'll be
Speaker 1: happy with me. So there you go. How about a
Speaker 1: little parlay of the week, gentlemen, let's pick this apart.
Speaker 1: I love the Las Vegas Raiders this week. They're also
Speaker 1: my upset special, so we might as well just do
Speaker 1: that first upset special on the money line. The Chargers
Speaker 1: have no home field advantage. Hardball's there, but we don't
Speaker 1: know what this off talk about. We don't know what
Speaker 1: an offense is. Gus Edwards, JK. Dobbins. How healthy are they?
Speaker 1: How good are they? Justin Herbert come off a foot injury.
Speaker 1: Josh Palmer is onmore, Keenan Allen is one more, Mike Williams,
Speaker 1: theres Lad mcconkee. I like all those guys in theory,
Speaker 1: but I gotta see it in practice. Give me the Raiders,
Speaker 1: give me that pass rush with Max Crosby, give me
Speaker 1: them running the football, playing defense, and I think they
Speaker 1: come out here with a w. I love them plus
Speaker 1: one forty eight on the money line, my upset special
Speaker 1: of the week. And if you put that together with
Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys at plus two and a half on
Speaker 1: the road against the Shawn Watson and the Cleveland Browns,
Speaker 1: and of course the San Francisco forty nine ers the
Speaker 1: minus four and a half you get plus eight two
Speaker 1: ericson what do you think about those apples?
Speaker 3: Make sure you cash out for the forty nine Ers game.
Speaker 3: You'll be good to go.
Speaker 1: No, No, I'm gonna double down Cowboys game. Terrell, What
Speaker 1: are your thoughts on the Raiders though at the upset
Speaker 1: special of the week? Because to me, again, like we
Speaker 1: all think that hardball is gonna turn around the Chargers,
Speaker 1: but who are the Chargers right now? And defensively, who
Speaker 1: have the Chargers been? Like all of a sudden, why
Speaker 1: are the Chargers getting so much credit? We saw Antonio
Speaker 1: Peers take that Raiders team and win in Arrowhead last year.
Speaker 1: That was very impressive. I think it carries over a
Speaker 1: little bit in week one. What do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Chargers are getting this love one
Speaker 2: because bro, but it's also the poster boy Justin Herbert,
Speaker 2: who everybody's sewan it's held me is an amazing quarterback
Speaker 2: and I've just yet said let me see it.
Speaker 1: That's it. Just let me see he's had passing record.
Speaker 1: That's not enough for you. But he's good. No, No,
Speaker 1: it's not.
Speaker 2: You need to be consistent year over year. No, you
Speaker 2: need to be consistent year over year. They're trying to
Speaker 2: sell me that he's a top three quarterback in the league,
Speaker 2: and I don't believe. No, I don't think he's that good.
Speaker 2: I think he's a solid starting quarterback. They're definitely way
Speaker 2: better than whatever I have going on in New York,
Speaker 2: for sure, But I just think that I want to
Speaker 2: see more and I don't think he has the options
Speaker 2: around him, and so I think this is a three
Speaker 2: point game either way. Honestly, truly, I think that the
Speaker 2: hardball thing is a thing. I think that he will
Speaker 2: get them to play better. That was the bottom last year,
Speaker 2: and I think they will play better than they did
Speaker 2: last year. But if they play better than they did
Speaker 2: last year, is that going to be so much better?
Speaker 2: I don't think so.
Speaker 1: So I like the points. I think the Chargers are
Speaker 1: going to be a work in progress that will progress
Speaker 1: over the year. But it's Week one, and again, give
Speaker 1: me that defense. I think the Raiders defense is very underrated.
Speaker 1: They were a top ten defense and fantasy last year too.
Speaker 1: People forget that. That's one of those sneaky last round picks.
Speaker 1: Like if the defenses went that I didn't like, then
Speaker 1: I liked and they were gone too soon. I'm just
Speaker 1: waiting until the end and go take the Raiders that
Speaker 1: nobody seems to want. Ericson, do you have an upset
Speaker 1: special of the week or are you in with me
Speaker 1: on the Raiders again?
Speaker 3: Upset special of the week?
Speaker 1: Well?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean if Dallas wins, upset, isn't it.
Speaker 1: Yeah? How Deshaun Watson is favored in a game, I
Speaker 1: don't care if it's at home. I don't understand. Tarrell,
Speaker 1: You're shaking your head.
Speaker 3: What is your take on this Browns? Let's get your
Speaker 3: Cowboys Browns game?
Speaker 1: The Cowboys are overrated. I think the Cowboys are over
Speaker 1: I don't think they.
Speaker 2: Have any run game. No, But but the Browns also
Speaker 2: have a top five, maybe top three offensive line in
Speaker 2: the league. They have Jerome Ford, who is a really
Speaker 2: really good running back. And if you keep the ball
Speaker 2: out of Deshaun Watson's hands and only have them past
Speaker 2: on select downs, then I think that you're good. I'm
Speaker 2: not saying that they're going out here and running the
Speaker 2: score up by thirty, but I think that very very
Speaker 2: good offensive line back by Jerome Ford and by Perre
Speaker 2: Strong is going to be really really good running the
Speaker 2: ball against this Dallas defense, and I think that Dallas
Speaker 2: has no run game. And I questioned Dak Prescott as
Speaker 2: a quarterback on the road outdoors.
Speaker 1: When Dallas scores on defense, that's when this game goes
Speaker 1: south for the Browns and they're going to score on defense.
Speaker 1: I believe bet that one this week. This has been fun.
Speaker 1: I can't believe we've got like what seventeen more weeks
Speaker 1: of this. That's just the regular season. We get the playoffs.
Speaker 3: Wait, wait, joe, I do have an upset alert. Oh yeah,
Speaker 3: it's ca it's Carolina Panthers.
Speaker 1: Oh that's right, your car you are on this. You
Speaker 1: are wearing the black and the blue prop.
Speaker 3: Hopefully she don't come up out till till he's not
Speaker 3: longer the coach.
Speaker 1: So that's that's a good strategy, all right. Hope everybody
Speaker 1: enjoyed the best bets of the week for week one. Again,
Speaker 1: We're gonna be here every single week doing this. And
Speaker 1: don't forget to catch the prop show with ericson the
Speaker 1: Welsh and myself tomorrow. That'll do it for us. But
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Terrell and Andrew.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P We'll see you next time. Kids go Niners.
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros s