WEBVTT - Best Bets for NFL Week 1 | Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 507) 0:00:01.000 --> 0:00:03.320 Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.360 --> 0:00:05.520 your bets. So this me Joey p Joeps a PA, 0:00:05.600 --> 0:00:10.400 and this is VP and FPL and with me Andrew ericson, 0:00:10.440 --> 0:00:13.119 the Undertaker, my boy Dreelph Furman and all of you 0:00:13.200 --> 0:00:16.439 hanging out with us because football is here. We're fired up. 0:00:16.440 --> 0:00:18.799 We're getting into argums before the show even started. This 0:00:18.880 --> 0:00:21.320 is gonna be fantastic today. We're talking about our best 0:00:21.320 --> 0:00:23.000 bets and some of the best bets the guys have 0:00:23.280 --> 0:00:25.439 I think are the worst bets. So we're gonna have 0:00:26.360 --> 0:00:29.680 just a barnburger of an episode. Don't forget everybody. 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Gentlemen, It's always an exciting day. 0:01:00.880 --> 0:01:05.280 Week one is kicking off tonight officially, and you know, 0:01:05.319 --> 0:01:07.800 crazy things always happened in Week one, Terrell, I always 0:01:07.840 --> 0:01:10.080 feel like with the new changes to the preseason that 0:01:10.520 --> 0:01:12.760 Week one and two you don't want to overreact too much. 0:01:13.000 --> 0:01:15.400 A lot of teams are basically still in preseason mode. 0:01:15.400 --> 0:01:18.840 Do you approach this week kind of in the same mentality. 0:01:18.600 --> 0:01:20.520 Yeah, I mean a little bit. I don't want to 0:01:20.520 --> 0:01:22.759 look too much into last year. These are brand new teams, 0:01:22.760 --> 0:01:25.320 brand new rosters, brandon coaching staffs for a lot of people. 0:01:25.360 --> 0:01:27.880 So I tried sometimes I'm looking into last year, but 0:01:27.920 --> 0:01:30.760 not a lot really, I'm just trying to analyze the 0:01:30.800 --> 0:01:32.480 play on the field and just who I think is 0:01:32.520 --> 0:01:35.840 gonna be better. Like you gotta understand, this is a 0:01:36.440 --> 0:01:38.520 league of growth. There's a lot of players who were 0:01:38.520 --> 0:01:40.640 bad one year and gonna be good next year. I mean, 0:01:40.680 --> 0:01:44.360 who's gonna be the random fantasy irrelevant player that's been 0:01:44.440 --> 0:01:46.399 for the past three years and think he's gonna be 0:01:46.400 --> 0:01:48.680 Fantasy relevant this year and everybody's gonna love him like, 0:01:48.920 --> 0:01:52.000 it's so fun to see how everybody grows in the NFL. 0:01:52.080 --> 0:01:53.720 So I tried to tackle week one a little bit 0:01:53.760 --> 0:01:55.240 different than the rest of the weeks of the season. 0:01:55.800 --> 0:01:57.520 Ericson, you got a fresh cut I see for the 0:01:57.560 --> 0:02:01.680 season that looks good. Number two A stark reminder of 0:02:02.760 --> 0:02:05.240 really what happens, you know in week one and sometimes 0:02:05.240 --> 0:02:07.760 the craziness. You're wearing a Gabe Davis jersey to remind 0:02:07.840 --> 0:02:08.800 us all of the chaos. 0:02:08.600 --> 0:02:12.519 I see for the Week one victory laps for Gabe Davis. 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:15.280 Then we never quite recovered from the amount of exercise 0:02:15.280 --> 0:02:17.600 we got from those victory laps because it did not 0:02:17.760 --> 0:02:20.079 end well for Gave Davis that season. So just a 0:02:20.120 --> 0:02:22.120 reminder that a lot of things are going to happen 0:02:22.200 --> 0:02:24.200 in week one, and a lot of takes are going 0:02:24.280 --> 0:02:26.799 to be cemented in stone. This is reality. This is 0:02:26.800 --> 0:02:28.440 going to how the entire season is going to play out. 0:02:28.720 --> 0:02:30.880 That's not reality. So I'm looking forward to taking advantage 0:02:30.880 --> 0:02:32.480 of some of those things when we talk about these 0:02:32.480 --> 0:02:35.360 games week two, week three. But I'm excited, pumped for 0:02:35.400 --> 0:02:35.839 Week one. 0:02:36.280 --> 0:02:39.119 I think I got a Sammy Watkins jersey around Sammy. 0:02:38.800 --> 0:02:41.119 Watkins, the King of the Week one victory lap. 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:44.240 Yeah, that is a good one. Let me tell you're 0:02:44.280 --> 0:02:46.600 very excited about that. Also, I can't wait till we 0:02:46.680 --> 0:02:48.399 get to the end of this show. Toady. You're gonna 0:02:48.440 --> 0:02:50.080 want to stick her out to the end because not 0:02:50.120 --> 0:02:52.040 only do I have the Parlay of the Week and 0:02:52.120 --> 0:02:54.959 the Upset special to give you, but these two guys 0:02:54.960 --> 0:02:56.560 are on a game that I am on the opposite 0:02:56.639 --> 0:02:58.799 end of. So make sure you're watching the whole time 0:02:58.880 --> 0:03:01.240 because it's going to be entertaining. I'm just telling you that. 0:03:01.240 --> 0:03:05.160 All right, Let's start with Tampa and the Commanders. Look, 0:03:05.240 --> 0:03:07.359 Jay Daniels making his first start. You've got some feelings 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:09.480 about this game, Drell lay him on us, all right. 0:03:09.720 --> 0:03:12.920 I mean, it's Jayson daniels first start, rookie quarterback Week one, 0:03:13.000 --> 0:03:16.800 and we have a veteran, veteran coaching bunch here with 0:03:17.120 --> 0:03:20.280 the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I'm just gonna go ahead and 0:03:20.320 --> 0:03:22.919 fade the hype of a Jayln Daniels gonna figure this 0:03:22.960 --> 0:03:25.359 thing out. You still have Dan Quinn as the head coach. 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:27.519 We saw how his first head coaching state went. He's 0:03:27.520 --> 0:03:29.680 one in five ats in Week one of the season. 0:03:30.040 --> 0:03:32.720 You have a rookie slot corner for the defense. Matter 0:03:32.760 --> 0:03:35.360 of fact, forget the rookie slot corner. All the corners 0:03:35.400 --> 0:03:37.720 are bad. All of the corners are bad, so it 0:03:37.760 --> 0:03:40.240 doesn't matter. I think that Mike Evans is gonna have 0:03:40.280 --> 0:03:42.560 a feast of a day. I think Chris Godwin is 0:03:42.600 --> 0:03:44.520 gonna have a great day. Shoot, we might even see 0:03:44.600 --> 0:03:47.680 Jaylen McMillan make some noise on the other side. And 0:03:47.760 --> 0:03:52.120 so Jalen Antoine Whitfield, junior Jordan Whitehead very very good 0:03:52.200 --> 0:03:54.640 safeties in nets defense for the Bucks. I think they're 0:03:54.680 --> 0:03:57.800 gonna be lights out all over the field. I just 0:03:57.880 --> 0:04:01.800 am fading this offensive line for the Washington Commanders saying 0:04:01.800 --> 0:04:03.320 that I don't think that they're going to be able 0:04:03.320 --> 0:04:05.280 to keep Jalen Daniels up right. I don't think that 0:04:05.320 --> 0:04:08.160 a rookie quarterback playing against this veteran defense is going 0:04:08.200 --> 0:04:09.960 to go out there and light the world on fire. 0:04:10.200 --> 0:04:12.160 And I think Baker is going to be smooth, steady, 0:04:12.240 --> 0:04:14.440 do enough with what's given to him. And that's not 0:04:14.600 --> 0:04:19.120 a lot, because again, this Washington secondary really bad. 0:04:20.120 --> 0:04:23.480 I'm excited for the Jane Daniels debut. Sometimes those debuts 0:04:23.520 --> 0:04:25.560 can be a little Rocky, especially on the road. So 0:04:26.520 --> 0:04:28.520 this picks makes a lot of sense to me. Ericson. 0:04:28.560 --> 0:04:30.360 Let's go to you for the first pick, and you're 0:04:30.360 --> 0:04:32.920 already jumping in to the pool for the Friday game, 0:04:32.960 --> 0:04:34.200 so let's get this one out quick. 0:04:34.480 --> 0:04:38.640 Yeah, We're going to Brazil with the Philadelphia Eagles and 0:04:38.880 --> 0:04:41.920 the Green Bay Packers, and I'm not convinced that even 0:04:41.960 --> 0:04:44.560 on neutral field, that the Eagles are the superior team 0:04:44.640 --> 0:04:47.080 to the Green Bay Packers who was playing late into 0:04:47.120 --> 0:04:50.159 the NFC playoffs last year. It was not the Philadelphia Eagles, 0:04:50.160 --> 0:04:51.920 it was the Green Bay Packers who had the forty 0:04:51.960 --> 0:04:54.640 nine ers on the run up in that game. So 0:04:55.040 --> 0:04:58.200 for me, I'm looking at how well the Packers played 0:04:58.279 --> 0:05:01.800 last year, especially as under dogs, looking what they did 0:05:01.800 --> 0:05:04.000 so sixty percent against the spread as an underdog in 0:05:04.000 --> 0:05:06.680 twenty twenty three, there were six and six overall, so 0:05:07.240 --> 0:05:10.680 they were winning games straight up as underdogs. So I 0:05:10.680 --> 0:05:12.919 don't see this Eagles team with a new officer coordinator 0:05:12.920 --> 0:05:15.960 coming in, new defensive coordinator coming in, Nick Sirianni calling 0:05:15.960 --> 0:05:19.839 the shots as the CEO head coach, that we're going 0:05:19.839 --> 0:05:21.920 to see it just turn on a dime from last 0:05:21.960 --> 0:05:24.320 year's collapse when they lost six of their last seven games. 0:05:24.320 --> 0:05:27.000 They were losing games that they had no business even 0:05:27.040 --> 0:05:30.920 being close. So I'm gonna take the Packers make Friday 0:05:31.000 --> 0:05:33.400 Night a memorable one. Packers on the money line. 0:05:33.720 --> 0:05:35.880 All right, there you go, everybody, Packers on the money line. 0:05:35.920 --> 0:05:40.280 The most popular pick this week for Survivor pools. Sam 0:05:40.720 --> 0:05:42.560 talked about on yesterday show. You can go back and 0:05:42.640 --> 0:05:44.200 check that out. Actually it was a Tuesday show. What 0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:46.600 am I saying? Time is flying? This week? The New 0:05:46.600 --> 0:05:49.640 England Patriots going to Cincinnati, which means, of course it's 0:05:49.680 --> 0:05:53.240 gonna go sideways. But Terrell, I see you have some 0:05:53.360 --> 0:05:56.160 feelings about the Patriots and Cincinnati Bengals in a way 0:05:56.200 --> 0:05:59.240 you'd like to approach this. The Bengals are historically team 0:05:59.279 --> 0:06:01.159 to kind of get out of the gate a little slow. 0:06:01.520 --> 0:06:03.440 You got the Jamar Chase thing going. We don't know 0:06:03.440 --> 0:06:05.159 how much he's gonna play in this game. I expect 0:06:05.200 --> 0:06:06.719 him to play in this game. I think we all do. 0:06:07.040 --> 0:06:08.760 I don't know if it's gonna be a full compliment 0:06:08.800 --> 0:06:11.680 of snaps, but let's talk about this one here. Let's 0:06:11.720 --> 0:06:14.520 talk about the Patriots and the Bengals. How do you 0:06:14.560 --> 0:06:15.640 see this one working out. 0:06:16.279 --> 0:06:19.839 Yeah, So I think that the Patriots defense isn't getting 0:06:19.920 --> 0:06:21.920 enough credit, and I think that Drab Mayo is gonna 0:06:21.960 --> 0:06:24.960 have them playing a lot better. Is their concerns around 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:27.520 the line, Yes, there is. I'm concerned about the pass rush, 0:06:27.680 --> 0:06:32.400 but the Bengals don't have a really good offensive line either, 0:06:32.440 --> 0:06:34.520 like I have concerns on their offensive line. In fact, 0:06:34.520 --> 0:06:37.040 they were actually twenty third in pass rush anyweit last year. 0:06:37.320 --> 0:06:40.520 So I don't think that they're gonna be able to 0:06:41.279 --> 0:06:44.719 generate their own pass rush against the Patriots. I don't 0:06:44.760 --> 0:06:46.920 think that they're gonna be able to really. I think 0:06:46.960 --> 0:06:49.400 it's fifty to fifty, honestly, on both lines, on both 0:06:49.400 --> 0:06:51.760 sides of the ball. I think both offensive lines give 0:06:51.760 --> 0:06:54.279 me a question. Both defensive lines, I think, give me question. 0:06:54.680 --> 0:06:57.200 And then everybody's like, oh, well, look at the white 0:06:57.200 --> 0:07:00.160 receivers for the Bengals and hold on, wait a minute. 0:07:00.240 --> 0:07:03.200 The Patriots still have Jonathan Jones and Christian Gonzalez, who 0:07:03.240 --> 0:07:06.720 people forget after he got hurt in Week four last year, 0:07:06.720 --> 0:07:09.920 would have torn labor. Before that, he was really really good. 0:07:09.960 --> 0:07:14.640 He was shadowing. He was shadowing, and Alvin ross Saint Brown. 0:07:14.680 --> 0:07:16.880 I think he shadowed Garrett Wilson during that span too, 0:07:17.200 --> 0:07:19.480 like he was taking on the number one receiver, and 0:07:19.520 --> 0:07:21.840 so now him and Jonathan Jones on the outside. I 0:07:21.840 --> 0:07:25.920 think it's gonna be really, really good. Jacoby Brissette also 0:07:26.000 --> 0:07:29.280 another name people are not respecting. In fact, if you 0:07:29.360 --> 0:07:32.560 put this line on jok Kobe Brissette's games his last 0:07:32.560 --> 0:07:34.880 season starting in twenty twenty two, he would have been 0:07:34.920 --> 0:07:37.400 eight to and one to this number. So eight too 0:07:37.440 --> 0:07:39.800 and one at has two this number. He was keeping 0:07:39.840 --> 0:07:42.000 his team in close games when he was playing for 0:07:42.440 --> 0:07:44.880 the Cleveland Browns. Look at last season when he played 0:07:44.880 --> 0:07:46.800 for the Commanders, and he's came in that game and 0:07:46.840 --> 0:07:48.920 relief in the Jets. He brought them back with three 0:07:48.960 --> 0:07:51.840 straight touchdowns. Like Jacoby Brissette. I'm not saying he's a 0:07:51.840 --> 0:07:54.440 great quarterback. No, I'm not saying that, but he's serviceable. 0:07:54.480 --> 0:07:57.520 I think that a good defense. This Bengals team had 0:07:57.560 --> 0:07:59.320 all this stuff going on in the off season, we 0:07:59.360 --> 0:08:01.760 still have questions offensive line. The pass is going to 0:08:01.840 --> 0:08:05.880 keep this closed. Eight points I've say nine as some places. No, No, 0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:07.680 I think this is more of a four or five 0:08:07.720 --> 0:08:08.360 point game. 0:08:08.880 --> 0:08:12.440 All right, Andrew Erickson. That's good news for our Patriots. 0:08:12.480 --> 0:08:16.200 Maybe looking a little bit, you know better than people realize. 0:08:16.480 --> 0:08:19.320 Atlanta Falcons. They're going to be at home debuting their 0:08:19.320 --> 0:08:21.320 new quarterback. They're going to be at home with some 0:08:21.400 --> 0:08:24.400 new pieces on defense, and the Pittsburgh Steelers are coming 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:26.960 to town. Now. I am concerned about the Pittsburgh Steelers 0:08:26.960 --> 0:08:29.800 in this one, and like Tom nloways, got ready, everyone 0:08:29.840 --> 0:08:33.360 ready to play. I'm concerned about Russell Wilson, his ability 0:08:33.400 --> 0:08:37.480 to avoid zex, his ability to not turn the football 0:08:37.520 --> 0:08:39.120 over in this game too, because I think that pass 0:08:39.200 --> 0:08:42.000 rush is going to be ferocious on him. What are 0:08:42.040 --> 0:08:44.160 your feelings on Atlanta and Pittsburgh. I'm on the Atlanta 0:08:44.280 --> 0:08:47.160 side here, but you seem to be on the opposite end. 0:08:47.600 --> 0:08:50.079 Well, I just don't have confidence that we're going to 0:08:50.120 --> 0:08:53.400 see this Falcons offense step in immediately in Week one 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:56.760 against a fierce Pittsburgh Steelers defense that Mike Tomlin gets 0:08:56.800 --> 0:08:59.240 the most out of every single year, especially when they're 0:08:59.240 --> 0:09:01.880 playing on the road as underdogs. This is a classic 0:09:01.960 --> 0:09:04.480 spot where you usually want to back the Steelers where 0:09:04.520 --> 0:09:06.560 the Falcons are coming. They didn't play any of their 0:09:06.559 --> 0:09:08.760 guys in the preseason at all. I think they're gonna 0:09:08.760 --> 0:09:11.880 come out rusty. We haven't seen Kirk Cousins play since 0:09:12.080 --> 0:09:14.920 Week eight of last year. He's coming off the torn achilles, 0:09:15.200 --> 0:09:16.880 so I think they're gonna be a slow start out 0:09:16.880 --> 0:09:19.200 of the gates. Yes, the Steelers offense has not in 0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:21.880 the preseason, but at least they're playing in the preseason 0:09:21.880 --> 0:09:23.839 at least they're trying to get their starters ready to go. 0:09:24.080 --> 0:09:27.280 For this Falcons defense that I'm not super concerned about. Now, 0:09:27.600 --> 0:09:30.120 it's not really about the offenses, particularly on the Pittsburgh side. 0:09:30.120 --> 0:09:32.320 It's about how good their defense is. They still have TJ. 0:09:32.400 --> 0:09:32.640 Watt. 0:09:32.640 --> 0:09:35.720 I think that's going to give issues for the Atlanta Falcons, 0:09:35.760 --> 0:09:37.760 who come out a little bit slow. Again. This is 0:09:37.760 --> 0:09:41.679 the Arthur Smith Revenge Bowl game. It's about who's more motivated. Though, 0:09:41.720 --> 0:09:44.120 Is it all players that Arthur Smith? 0:09:44.240 --> 0:09:47.599 I think it's Ajon Robinson. Like the Revenge Game is 0:09:47.640 --> 0:09:50.000 the players against Arthur Smith more than that this Arthur 0:09:50.040 --> 0:09:53.360 Smith on the players. I'm sorry, that's that's my take 0:09:53.440 --> 0:09:53.640 on it. 0:09:53.679 --> 0:09:56.320 But Arthur Smith has intel about all those guys they 0:09:56.440 --> 0:09:58.640 drafted really high. He knows their strengths and he knows 0:09:58.679 --> 0:10:01.400 their weaknesses. So he's if we told his defensive players 0:10:01.440 --> 0:10:06.080 Mike tomlin Hey, Drake London, Jon Robinson, Kyle Pitts, I 0:10:06.160 --> 0:10:08.040 know how not to use them the right way, So 0:10:08.280 --> 0:10:10.280 I can tell you exactly how you need to defend 0:10:10.280 --> 0:10:12.679 these certain types of players. So I just think, especially 0:10:12.720 --> 0:10:15.760 with the Falcons being the all hype preseason team, they're 0:10:15.760 --> 0:10:18.240 buying their way to a championship quote unquote, and the 0:10:18.280 --> 0:10:20.400 Steelers are going to come in and upset it just 0:10:20.400 --> 0:10:22.400 like they always do in a really weird way. They're 0:10:22.400 --> 0:10:23.719 going to run the football, they're going to keep it 0:10:23.720 --> 0:10:26.440 low scoring, and it's just going to cause frustrations for 0:10:26.559 --> 0:10:29.720 the Atlanta Falcons. So just given how well the Steelers 0:10:29.760 --> 0:10:31.120 have been, like last year they were five and four 0:10:31.200 --> 0:10:33.120 against the spread and the money line on the road. 0:10:33.520 --> 0:10:36.439 So this team, again I'm not willing to call the upset, 0:10:36.480 --> 0:10:38.800 but at three and a half, they can keep this 0:10:38.840 --> 0:10:39.560 within a field goal. 0:10:39.840 --> 0:10:43.640 I'll take that, all right. It's a conversation obviously it 0:10:43.679 --> 0:10:45.760 will continue to have the next couple of days, and 0:10:45.800 --> 0:10:47.520 of course, if you want to have more conversations when 0:10:47.559 --> 0:10:49.640 it comes to wagering, you can do that on betting 0:10:49.640 --> 0:10:52.440 pros Discord and the NFL podcast group, and you can 0:10:52.520 --> 0:10:54.679 go ahead and do that. Over at Bettingpros dot com 0:10:54.720 --> 0:10:57.800 slash chat, it's free to join our discord and of 0:10:57.840 --> 0:11:00.000 course you can make all your wagers actually meet up 0:11:00.080 --> 0:11:02.480 little something here or just your picks, not even your 0:11:02.480 --> 0:11:05.240 wagers in that sense. You sync all your picks over 0:11:05.280 --> 0:11:08.000 on the VP app and you go join our NFL 0:11:08.080 --> 0:11:12.240 podcast group and we're giving away some prizes there monthly 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:14.640 and for the big end of year prize as well. 0:11:14.800 --> 0:11:17.120 Over at Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL Contests, or if 0:11:17.160 --> 0:11:18.880 you're on the app, just go to the community page 0:11:19.120 --> 0:11:20.800 and you can find on that community to have the 0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:24.600 sports betting group there for NFL podcasts, and of course 0:11:24.640 --> 0:11:26.640 you can follow all of us. I just logged all 0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:29.400 of my picks for this week, and I've also logged 0:11:29.440 --> 0:11:31.880 all of my picks for some of the futures market 0:11:31.920 --> 0:11:34.480 two over at Bettingpros dot Com slash Joe. You could 0:11:34.480 --> 0:11:37.280 follow Terrell, same thing Bettingpros dot Com slash Terrell, and 0:11:37.320 --> 0:11:41.080 of course Ericson as well at Bettingpros dot Com slash Ericson. 0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:43.120 I tried to get him to say the Undertaker. They 0:11:43.120 --> 0:11:45.800 wouldn't give me that slash. Whatever, It's fine, all right, 0:11:45.840 --> 0:11:48.480 Let's go to another pick here, this one, this one 0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:51.400 I like. I like this one a lot terrell. In fact, 0:11:51.520 --> 0:11:52.160 I think. 0:11:51.960 --> 0:11:53.800 That dang you didn't like the other ones. 0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:57.440 I like the other ones. I like the other ones. 0:11:57.600 --> 0:12:00.720 This one I really like. I think if you look 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:03.400 at the history of the rookie quarterbacks, the week one 0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:06.160 typically does not go well. Now, Caleb Williams had a 0:12:06.160 --> 0:12:08.520 lot of hype, a lot of expectations. They're taking all 0:12:08.559 --> 0:12:10.559 the Titans, a team that everybody's kind of leaving for dead. 0:12:10.800 --> 0:12:12.920 And I don't like the Titans this year, but I 0:12:13.000 --> 0:12:14.800 like the Titans in this spot, and so do you, 0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:16.680 So let's talk about it. Because you don't even like 0:12:16.760 --> 0:12:20.000 them necessarily on the points, but you're even maybe looking 0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:22.760 for them to possibly win outright, Yes. 0:12:22.640 --> 0:12:25.120 One hundred percent. I love the Titans this year. I 0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:26.760 think they're gonna be a sleeper team and at the 0:12:26.840 --> 0:12:28.679 end of the season, we're gonna look at this Tennessee 0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:30.400 team and we're gonna be like, Wow, that went really, 0:12:30.440 --> 0:12:32.040 really good and they kept us in a lot of 0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:34.280 games and they were fun to bet. Or that team 0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:36.120 was just horrible they put up a bunch of points, 0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:38.680 but they didn't do anything on defense. But I think 0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:41.280 the defense has improved this year. I think they'll keep 0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:43.920 them in games. They bring in Lugerius Sneid, who was 0:12:43.960 --> 0:12:47.520 a really, really good corner for Kansas City, comes over 0:12:47.840 --> 0:12:50.800 and he's probably gonna shadow the best matchup for majority 0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:53.120 of the season for them, including in this game with 0:12:53.200 --> 0:12:55.559 DJ Moore. Dj Moore he faced them last year for 0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:57.720 the Kansas City Chiefs. DJ Moore was one for four 0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:00.600 three yards in that game. You look at Roger McCreary, 0:13:00.760 --> 0:13:02.960 another name on the defense, people don't know. He was 0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:05.440 really good in the slot. Jeffrey Simmons arden Key Like, 0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:07.480 I think the defense is going to be able to 0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.839 throw something at Caleb Williams and it's gonna be unlike 0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:13.840 he's seen before, especially in college. And we've seen Caylen 0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:16.360 Williams in college face a tough defense and kind of 0:13:16.400 --> 0:13:19.840 be rattled a little bit. Plus, I'm all over the 0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:23.800 will Levis train, I mean all the way, all the 0:13:23.960 --> 0:13:25.440 way easy, and it. 0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:27.200 Feels like a train is gonna break down at New 0:13:27.240 --> 0:13:29.960 Jersey Transit that Andrew Erickson's trying to get to my house. On. 0:13:30.320 --> 0:13:31.960 That's not doesn't sound like a good train at all. 0:13:32.120 --> 0:13:34.400 Callahan and Nick Colts have a plan. They've been talking 0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:36.400 about this all off season how they want to get 0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:39.520 this offense rolling. They bring in Calvin Ridley and you 0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:42.040 have DeAndre Hopkins there. I think those are two really 0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:43.880 good weapons on the outside for him. You bring in 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:46.000 Tyler Boyd, who's going to be very solid for them 0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:47.720 in the slot. He doesn't have to be a world beater, 0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:50.680 but it's just something consistent. He's going to have consistent 0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:52.400 options on the outside to be able to go to 0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:54.320 I think they'll be able to get the wins. And 0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:56.880 do you remember the four touchdown game in his first 0:13:56.920 --> 0:13:59.920 game like that, that was the peak he showed us, 0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:02.920 Hey we can have four touchdowns on hold on, No, No, 0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:05.800 it's a whole different coaching staff. It's a whole different 0:14:05.800 --> 0:14:06.640 coaching staff. 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:09.240 Hold on. But do you also remember after that tape 0:14:09.280 --> 0:14:11.120 then he didn't do anything after everyone was like, Okay, 0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:12.080 these are a strikes. 0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:13.960 And that's why that's why you move on from the 0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:16.440 defensive head coach. You bring in Bryce Kaylahan, a very 0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:19.320 good offensive minded head coach. Everybody talks about everything Joe 0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:21.720 Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals they went to do to 0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.080 the Super Bowl. All that that was all Callahan. He 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:26.400 really really helped that offense. And so this is his 0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:28.640 chance to show it. Hey, it's not just Joe Burrow. 0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:30.560 I can do it with will Levis. Will Levis is 0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:33.280 a he's Jamis. He is literally Jameis. We had so 0:14:33.360 --> 0:14:34.960 much fun with Jamis and now we're gonna have fun 0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:37.320 with will Levis. Will Levis is getting this done. This 0:14:37.360 --> 0:14:39.360 is a really good defense. I think the offense is 0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:41.000 going to be way better this year. Plus four and 0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:43.120 a half sprinkle on the money line. This Titans team 0:14:43.200 --> 0:14:44.080 is gonna be good. 0:14:44.640 --> 0:14:48.440 The Jamis comparison is spot on probably. I mean there's 0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:49.920 gonna be a lot of that, a lot of chucking 0:14:49.960 --> 0:14:52.800 and ducking. You got a kind of scenarios there. That's all. 0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:53.880 That's all I need. 0:14:53.960 --> 0:14:56.360 I don't know if you look, Hey, if he doesn't 0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:58.240 win this outright, I'm not mad. I got four and 0:14:58.280 --> 0:15:01.320 a half points and look at since twenty eighteen first 0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:05.000 round quarterbacks in their first game five fifteen and one. 0:15:04.920 --> 0:15:06.800 Yeah, it's not going well. The four and a half 0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:08.640 I absolutely love. I don't know if I'm quite ready 0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:10.480 for them to win it outright, But I like where 0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:11.240 your head's at there. 0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:11.720 Uh. 0:15:11.960 --> 0:15:15.880 The train of will Levis again, Andrew kind of reminds 0:15:15.880 --> 0:15:18.200 me of that turkey sandwich that you ate on the Amtrak. 0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:21.240 I think that's like the will Levis train had that 0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:23.160 feeling that you ate and you showed up at my house. 0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:25.280 You're like, I don't feel well. I think something's a 0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:27.280 little wrong. I said, what did you do? You said, 0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:29.640 you ate a turkey sandwich from the Amtrak. I was like, 0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:32.240 that's a first mistake. That's why you got the wah 0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:34.880 wah on the way back. You packed the wah wah 0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:37.760 sandwich from ye are undefeated. 0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.800 I was an official sponsor. 0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:43.400 I talked about the wahwah stuff all the time on 0:15:43.440 --> 0:15:45.800 the baseball Joe, you know, Schwarberfest. We do a whole 0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.520 thing with the wahwah. So I got a wah wah 0:15:48.560 --> 0:15:52.320 on my corner for the last twelve years. They took 0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.760 it away, and the whole town is revolted. Bro. They 0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:57.840 took it away because it wasn't a gas station wah 0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:00.680 wa or whatever it was, and the whole is revolted. 0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:03.400 The thing that they put there. The gross ass whatever 0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:06.400 fake ass mark that they put there insteap nobody goes there. 0:16:06.960 --> 0:16:08.840 I'm just saying, don't take away people as wah wah. 0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:10.760 They get very upset. I know I do, all right, 0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:13.600 Andrew Erickson, don't take away by wahwag Ins said, give 0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:15.240 me another pick too, because you've got some feelings on 0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:18.280 this game as well. So let's talk about Bears and 0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:19.360 Titans from your perspective. 0:16:19.480 --> 0:16:21.880 Yeah, so I like the under in this game under 0:16:21.920 --> 0:16:24.960 forty five points. So Terrell laid out the case for 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:28.080 hating the Bears offense against the Titans, So I'll just 0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:30.760 pairt that. But I'm not as high on Will Levis 0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:33.760 in this particular matchup on the road against I don't 0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:35.760 think you're giving enough credit to the Bears defense that 0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:38.440 was elite during the second half of last season, the 0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:40.600 best run defense in the NFL. Seven of the bears 0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:42.720 last ten games went under the total, four to one 0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:44.840 and one towards the under in their last six games. 0:16:44.880 --> 0:16:49.120 They're playing at home Soldier field, hostile environment for a 0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:52.960 inexperienced second year quarterback in a new offense, playing behind 0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:57.000 a shaky offensive line. So I'm fading both quarterbacks in 0:16:57.040 --> 0:16:58.880 this game, and I want to take the under all 0:16:58.880 --> 0:17:01.080 the way because it's forty five points for a guy 0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:02.960 making his first start in a guy making I think 0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:05.160 his fifth start on the road. You look at Lil 0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:06.880 Lewis at what he did on the road last year. 0:17:07.560 --> 0:17:10.119 The Titans lost by fourteen plus points twice and they 0:17:10.119 --> 0:17:12.840 went one and three against the spread. So I have 0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:15.560 no confidence that will Levis on the road and to 0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:18.320