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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we.

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Speaker 3: Go spreading the court ten seconds or maining. He just

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Speaker 3: goes show under the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 2: It's the true for.

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Speaker 1: The wind Godike Amarracle.

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Speaker 2: I just shut the water.

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Speaker 1: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: What's up the gener nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast. This is the college basketball midweek slate show.

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Speaker 2: I'm stucky and joining me as they will each and

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Speaker 2: every Tuesday afternoon, my fellow BBOC cos Mike Calvaries and

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Speaker 2: Tanna McGrath. This episode will be a little quicker. It's

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Speaker 2: always going to be a quicker than the one later

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Speaker 2: in the week. This will be a tad bit quicker

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Speaker 2: than it will moving forward because we will usually take

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Speaker 2: a conference. We'll pick a rand conference out each picking

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Speaker 2: overvalued undervalue team. We'll do that starting next week, but

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Speaker 2: we'll go through a couple of spots they have circled

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Speaker 2: on Wednesdays and Thursday's card talk about some high level

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Speaker 2: topics right off the bat, both the good and the bad.

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Speaker 2: So let's start there. I guess yeah, we'll start with

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Speaker 2: the good. I'm gonna go in this. I think we'll

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Speaker 2: lead into yours. Calvaries is a guy who helped me

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Speaker 2: get to the window single handedly. In addition to some

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Speaker 2: three point regression, some three point variants, I should say

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Speaker 2: Javon Small incredible game against Iowa State and that defense

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Speaker 2: at the amount of tough shots, the amount of timely

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Speaker 2: shots that he hit was unbelievable. And he's been great

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Speaker 2: potential All American and what West Virginia has been able

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Speaker 2: to do with some of their injuries. I don't think

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Speaker 2: the mareise is coming back, which I think really hurts

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Speaker 2: their offensive upside and ceiling. But a lot of that

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Speaker 2: is just on Small. Defens been great. You got to

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Speaker 2: give Dere's credit there, and I think that's what you

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Speaker 2: kind of want to touch on Calvary's. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I mean, if you watch the game against the Cyclones,

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Speaker 3: essentially they were daring, you know, their perimeter weapons to

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Speaker 3: make shots without Mom Chilovitch on the floor. It's not

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Speaker 3: just the shots he's knocking down, but the spacing and

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Speaker 3: you could see it. They were just you know, playing

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Speaker 3: off of Lipsey there I go ahead and beat us

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Speaker 3: and he couldn't do it. And it's not just him,

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Speaker 3: like they have a real problem to solve in this

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Speaker 3: let's call it month period with that mom Chieldovich in

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Speaker 3: the lineup, what are they going to do to give

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Speaker 3: you know, opposing teams fits in terms of what they're

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Speaker 3: running because as of right now it seems like the

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Speaker 3: book is out. Debrees is obviously a phenomenal coach and

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Speaker 3: he had a great game plan, but this is something

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Speaker 3: that other teams in Big twelve play can just steal and.

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Speaker 1: Use against him.

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Speaker 3: In as far as his son coming back, it doesn't

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Speaker 3: seem likely, and they've kind of been mum, you know,

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Speaker 3: in terms of any news coming out of Morgantown, I

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Speaker 3: do think they're going to try their best to see

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Speaker 3: if they can back channel a clarity, you know, at

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Speaker 3: least some kind of semi decision from Nancuba. Is he

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Speaker 3: going to get that medical red shirt or not. I'm

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Speaker 3: just hopeful maybe there's some kind of miracle, maybe there's

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Speaker 3: a bionic shoulder in the future for his son, because

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Speaker 3: I agree if he is in this offensive lineup, all

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Speaker 3: of a sudden they have Final four ceiling potential. But

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Speaker 3: either way, all of a sudden, now they're going to

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Speaker 3: be a top four or five team in the Big

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Speaker 3: twelve moving forward, and when you look at ken Palm,

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Speaker 3: one of the best home court advantages in the entire country.

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Speaker 3: So they're going to be a difficult tough out no

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Speaker 3: matter who's on the floor with this coaching staff, with

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Speaker 3: Jamon Small, you know, being the straw thatser is the drink?

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Speaker 2: Yep, Tedny, you got anything?

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Speaker 4: On the years, I think they have the best home

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Speaker 4: court advantage now. I think Ken Bomb recently updated it,

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Speaker 4: and I think Small also is to have.

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Speaker 2: Them back and neck with Texas Tech for a big game.

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Speaker 4: Both both also snuck into ken Pom's top ten Player

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Speaker 4: of the Year ratings. He's he's been amazing his entire

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Speaker 4: college career and I'm just I'm ecstatic that he gets

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Speaker 4: to work with a coach like Device who's miracle worker.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll by the way, I'll throw in speaking of

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Speaker 2: coaches before I get to you, tenors, Travis Steel has

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Speaker 2: done a really good job with this mind Ohio team

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Speaker 2: this year, and you know they've won seven in a row. There.

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Speaker 2: It looks like that's gonna be them an akron as

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Speaker 2: the class of the Max because I don't know. And look,

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Speaker 2: Cam Kraft, a Xavier transfer, did nothing the past two games,

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Speaker 2: and they pick up two road wins, including one at

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Speaker 2: Kent State. I don't know what's going on with Kent State.

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Speaker 2: I mean, granted, they can't make a shot, but maybe

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Speaker 2: that doesn't last forever. They don't profile as a great

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Speaker 2: shooting team, but they're shooting like to twenty one percent

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Speaker 2: from three in the league play, but they're under twenty

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Speaker 2: five percent on the season, which is I think for

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Speaker 2: dead last or second to last. But there's just something

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Speaker 2: wrong with them. I mean, they gave up ninety four

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Speaker 2: at home to Western Michigan. This is supposed to be

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Speaker 2: a defensive first team, but look at their home games

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Speaker 2: this year. They barely beat Heidelberg eighty four to eighty,

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Speaker 2: which is bizarre. They lose the Ball State, they lose

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Speaker 2: the Western Michigan, they lose to Mine of Ohio. They

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Speaker 2: barely beat Niagara, they beat Niagara by one possession. I

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Speaker 2: have no idea what's going on with Kent State. But

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Speaker 2: I got to give credit to Travis Steele and Mine

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Speaker 2: of Ohio because that was an impressive win at Kent State.

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Speaker 2: You expected a desperation effort from the Golden Flashes that

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Speaker 2: they're just getting thoroughly embarrassed at home, and you can't

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Speaker 2: give up ninety plus to Western Michigan at home. So

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Speaker 2: some credit to myo Ohio who this Saturday will travel

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Speaker 2: to Akron. We'll see if both teams can take care

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Speaker 2: of business. They should, I mean, they'll both be substantial

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Speaker 2: favorites and set up an undefeated clash in the mac

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Speaker 2: but tenor where you're going for some positive for this week.

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Speaker 4: I want to hop on this bandwagon as early as

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Speaker 4: possible and become the biggest advocate for US as I

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Speaker 4: possibly can. And that's the two bid. Big West. Big

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Speaker 4: West Ball has been cinema this year. It has been awesome.

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Speaker 4: Ty Johnson for UC Davis is one of the most

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Speaker 4: entertaining point guard ball screen orchestrators in the nation. UC

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Speaker 4: riverside Barrington Howard Gress. He's averaging over twenty per game.

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Speaker 4: He just dropped forty the other night in a road

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Speaker 4: upset of the Tritons. Keyante Jones for Seasun He's averaging

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Speaker 4: three and a half steals and blocks per game on

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Speaker 4: top of nine rebounds, on top of shooting forty five

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Speaker 4: percent from DP. Hawaii's still running the deepest drop coverage

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Speaker 4: in the nation. They're twelve and six with my man

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Speaker 4: Tanner Christensen. He's averaging twelve and seven and the league's

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Speaker 4: worst team, cal Bally did upset Stanford in the non Con.

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Speaker 4: I think there's depth in this league, but it really

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Speaker 4: comes down to the top two squads. You see. San

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Speaker 4: Diego Tritons are fifteen to four. They've already upset Utah

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Speaker 4: State in Logan. They took San Diego State to the

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Speaker 4: wire at Vias. They're fifty eighth in the net. They're

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Speaker 4: tough to scheme for on defense because they switch between

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Speaker 4: this like matchup zone and this aggressive switching man demand.

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Speaker 4: Utah State was clueless in their matchup. I think they

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Speaker 4: scored like point eight points per possession. The trade's ranked

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Speaker 4: fourth nationally. Defensive turnover rate, Hayden Gray is leading the

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Speaker 4: nation with three point seven steals per game. They're fun

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Speaker 4: on offense because they run this up tempo spread scheme,

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Speaker 4: a lot of interchangeable ball handlers and shooters. Tate Jones

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Speaker 4: is the guy that starts to drink, but their two

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Speaker 4: way versatility is just so impressive. I want them in

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Speaker 4: the tournament, but Irvine is a wagon. They rank eighth

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Speaker 4: nationally in defensive efficiency switching between this like hyper discipline

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Speaker 4: drop and a jumbo two three zone like most drop

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Speaker 4: covered squads. They're like, they're awesome defending the rim, good

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Speaker 4: in their catch and shoot denial. But I employ you

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Speaker 4: to read this piece on their defense written by Will

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Speaker 4: Warren at Stats by Will and co signed by my

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Speaker 4: friend Matthew Winnick. The Eaters allow the highest rate of

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Speaker 4: unguarded catch and shooter shoot jumpers in the nation, over

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Speaker 4: sixty three percent of opponents catch and shoot jumpers unguarded.

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Speaker 2: But they leave them weird too. They guard them oddly.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they they leave the nation in points for shot

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Speaker 4: allowed on those attempts though, and you'd think, you know,

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Speaker 4: how is that possible? Woman, think regression. But if you

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Speaker 4: dig into the scheme, this is something they do every

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Speaker 4: year because Russ Turner and this coaching staff are just

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Speaker 4: elite at orienting their game plan around only allowing jumpers

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Speaker 4: to bad shooters. It's incredible. The stat that I read

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Speaker 4: in that article was seventy nine percent of all open

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Speaker 4: catch and shoot three point attempts allowed have gone to

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Speaker 4: shooters who shoot less than thirty percent from three. That's

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Speaker 4: how you gain plan on the other end of the court.

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Speaker 2: They're an awesome don't They never like contest with their

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Speaker 2: hands either. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I think they just leave like bad shooters, just wide open.

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Speaker 4: They just don't care. And then I think they sometimes

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Speaker 4: run like a box on one where they give one

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Speaker 4: attention to the other team's best shooter and they just

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Speaker 4: make it impossible for you to get three point attempts off.

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Speaker 4: And it's just it. It works, man. It's a really

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Speaker 4: smart game planning.

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Speaker 2: And they always have seven footers at the rim. And

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Speaker 2: I think they're going I think there might have been

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Speaker 2: one year where they did, but they're they're going on

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Speaker 2: something like nine out of ten years where they rank

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Speaker 2: in the top ten nationally and two point defense.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and this year it's I forget how to say

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Speaker 4: his last name, Ben Luketon Luton, Yeah, who is probably

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Speaker 4: the Big West player of the year. I mean he's

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Speaker 4: great as a rim protector, but also you can move

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Speaker 4: the ball through him as a hub and work it around. Well,

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Speaker 4: they get to the line at will. They're seventeen to two.

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Speaker 4: One of their losses came against Oregon State, one of

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Speaker 4: the biggest over performers in the early going. I was

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Speaker 4: so impressed when they came back down from down fourteen

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Speaker 4: in the second half shorthanded on a cross country holiday

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Speaker 4: road trip against Belmont. They're forty third of the net.

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Speaker 4: I want them in the tournament too. I think they

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Speaker 4: could win a game, maybe two, and I have power

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Speaker 4: rated the teams I most want to bet on Irvine

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Speaker 4: against in the first round, maybe in like a twelve

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Speaker 4: five or an eleven to six matchup. Number five Irvine

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Speaker 4: over Purdue feed me Matt Painter. Number four Irvine over

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Speaker 4: Old miss Those ISO Creators would be lost. Number three

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Speaker 4: Irvine over Texas A and M. They can hit a

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Speaker 4: jump shot and they won't against Irvine. Number two Irvine

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Speaker 4: over Louisville. They can only hit jump shots and you

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Speaker 4: can't do that against Irvine, and my absolute favorite, I

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Speaker 4: please let me bet this in the tournament, Irvine over Memphis.

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Speaker 4: Russ Turner would have Penny Hardaway and and those mistake

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Speaker 4: prone guards in Hell. I need to see Irvine up

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Speaker 4: ten in the second half while the cameras zoom into

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Speaker 4: Penny with just the most painstakingly blank look on his face.

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Speaker 4: I love the Big West.

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Speaker 2: I want them to be a too big league. I

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Speaker 2: mean it could happen. Yeah, you see San Diego, I

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Speaker 2: love the traite. They really hurt themselves the last week though, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: because losing the riverside, losing it home to Irvine, It's

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Speaker 2: gonna be tough. But yeah, one of my favorite, one

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Speaker 2: of my biggest bets ever in the tournament was which

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Speaker 2: was like one of those matchup like you're describing, is

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Speaker 2: when you see Ervine played Kansas State. That was ye

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Speaker 2: a sexual matchup. So yeah, there's if you get the

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Speaker 2: right matchup with either of these teams, I think it's

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Speaker 2: going to be a great betting opportunity. Like Big West,

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Speaker 2: definitely worth checking out. The problem for Hawaii is with

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Speaker 2: their the way that they play defense. It's just and

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Speaker 2: this was I mean, it's still somewhat true this season,

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Speaker 2: but there's there's a lot of teams that it doesn't

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Speaker 2: they don't it doesn't match up well with some of

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Speaker 2: the teams in the conference, like the structure of their

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Speaker 2: defense and what they want to encourage, especially like last

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Speaker 2: year you had all these guards that could just crush

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Speaker 2: you in the mid range, and it just doesn't work

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Speaker 2: for Hawaii in that particular league. But yeah, all right,

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Speaker 2: let's move on to the bad from the week that was.

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Speaker 1: Remember this is a safe space. You know what pisses

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Speaker 1: me off most of all. Okay, you're randing now, baby.

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Speaker 5: I'm rand Why not.

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Speaker 2: You've got to let it up somehow by randed, the

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Speaker 2: week's gonna be ulm, I think this is this is

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Speaker 2: just a repeat of Texas Tech against Iowa was. I

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Speaker 2: have multiple starters go down with injuries or foul trouble

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Speaker 2: you have. I thought they were cooked. They lose their

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Speaker 2: starting backwards as a team that goes like sixty it

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Speaker 2: was their starting back court in like the first couple

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Speaker 2: of minutes of the game of injury. They somehow come

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Speaker 2: back in the second half, and this is I can't believe.

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Speaker 2: I'll watch this whole game, ulm, ul you want to

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Speaker 2: talk about bad basketball. They come all the way back,

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Speaker 2: and once they get their starters back, they take the lead,

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Speaker 2: finally take the leave them a minute ago, and then

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Speaker 2: they missed their one on ones. Louisiana's sixty percent free

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Speaker 2: throw shooters make them all and they die. So I

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Speaker 2: am I should have just turned it off, but I

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Speaker 2: kept it on for hope. They did come all the

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Speaker 2: way back. That was super annoying. Other things SPARTI got

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Speaker 2: so lucky against Illinois with that whistle. Was not really impressed.

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Speaker 2: Was looking like to see them against the top tier opponent.

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Speaker 2: And yes they won at home, but came away actually

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Speaker 2: less impressed than I thought i'd be if they won

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Speaker 2: that game. And here's a by the way, Miami, I

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Speaker 2: gotta get Miami in the bad. This team is trending

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Speaker 2: toward worst defense for a power conference team of all time?

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Speaker 2: I mean, is that where we're headed? They scored seventy

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Speaker 2: five or what did they score? And they lost by

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Speaker 2: forty at homes SMU.

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Speaker 4: I think it was one seventeen seventy five was the

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Speaker 4: final score.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it. They're just like a free faith

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Speaker 2: It's like a free fade square. I'm too dumb to

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Speaker 2: ever actually just do that. I actually was like, it's

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Speaker 2: just the bottom of Miami. Thank god I didn't bet

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Speaker 2: them like it is. Where is the bottom for this Miami? Now?

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Speaker 2: Adjust the defensive efficiency if we just look at KEMPOM

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Speaker 2: three hundred and forty first, I mean, it is it's embarrassing.

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Speaker 2: They haven't covered since what were they were they? What

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Speaker 2: were you against Man Presbyterian? Maybe it's it's been ugly

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Speaker 2: and now they hit the the West coast swing for

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Speaker 2: Stanford and cow We'll see if they show up. I

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Speaker 2: am not sure I want to catch the falling knife

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Speaker 2: with Miami anytime soon. But there's a bottom and there's

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Speaker 2: a price for everything, so we'll see.

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Speaker 4: Stanford just came off that win over un Seed, didn't

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Speaker 4: they Yep? Is that a good letdown spot. I'm not

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Speaker 4: going to do it.

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Speaker 2: I'm too scared. I can't. I got to see something

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Speaker 2: first for Miami. Just any poll some I mean, you

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Speaker 2: might look smart catching the knife here, but like if

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Speaker 2: you tried at the last six five times, you look

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Speaker 2: like an idiot. So uh, I'm not sure. Bad. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: that was a bad loss for Carolina. They were I

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Speaker 2: think starting to turn the corner with some of the

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Speaker 2: lineup changes and that they've made because they just have

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Speaker 2: nothing inside. It's like, hey, let's go smaller and more

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Speaker 2: guard heavy, and they end up losing to Stanford. Now

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Speaker 2: they go what two wake? You got road games against

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Speaker 2: Pitt and Duke coming up in the next week or so.

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Speaker 2: Is where does Carolinas sit on the bubble? I mean

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Speaker 2: they should be in as of now, but I mean

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Speaker 2: if they lose like three.

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Speaker 3: Or four as them as the top ten seed right now,

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Speaker 3: which gives them, you know a little bit of wigglelyway.

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Speaker 2: But that Stanford lost is gonna hurt. Yeah, that kind

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Speaker 2: of takes away some of your margin for air. And

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Speaker 2: then one of the last six again one opportunities too.

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Speaker 2: That's tough. Yeah. They just have that UCLA win, that's all,

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Speaker 2: which started to not look as good until UCA's last game.

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Speaker 2: We'll see what UCLA does. Here's a question for you.

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Speaker 2: I'll ask you, guys both who which one of these

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Speaker 2: three teams that these are teams that have been mainstays

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Speaker 2: at the top of college basketball for the last couple

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Speaker 2: of seasons led by Yukon, Three teams that have had

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Speaker 2: just as much success as any team in the country

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Speaker 2: that I just haven't been really impressed with. Who do

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Speaker 2: you trust most to go the furthest in the tournament

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Speaker 2: between Yukon just this year, Yukon, Houston, and Gonzaga. Like

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Speaker 2: Houston and Gonzaga, they're I mean, yes, I know Houston

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Speaker 2: won by one. Auc what is their best win this year?

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Speaker 2: I don't know. Gonzaga can't close out a game. Yukon's

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Speaker 2: offense now looks like I thought it was their defense

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Speaker 2: that was an issue. I know mcneely's still been out,

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Speaker 2: but sit definitely not the same team. So I'll Coby's

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Speaker 2: ill thought defense. Who do you trust more out of

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Speaker 2: those three? Like, if you had a how to put

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Speaker 2: a bet on it, who's going further?

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Speaker 3: I think this one you gave me, gave me the

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Speaker 3: right three pack because I immediately gravitate towards Houston. I

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Speaker 3: understand that they've dropped a lot of close games, but

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Speaker 3: at least from that pairing, if you're talking about the

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Speaker 3: last couple of minutes of a game, at least I

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Speaker 3: can close my eyes and picture Houston getting stops defensively

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Speaker 3: and winning that one as opposed to some of these

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Speaker 3: other teams. I'm totally out on the Zags. It's not

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Speaker 3: just the losses, but the way in which they're losing,

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Speaker 3: and I think they just unfortunately they were overrated, you know,

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Speaker 3: early in the season, I think we were giving a

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Speaker 3: lot of credit to Mark Few for what he's done

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Speaker 3: over the course of his career and some of the

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Speaker 3: promising offensive numbers.

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Speaker 1: Early Once they've run into.

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Speaker 3: Some teams that either have experience against his system or

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Speaker 3: have better athletes on the perimeter.

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Speaker 1: They've run into some issues, So I'm out on the Zags.

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Speaker 2: So I think this.

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Speaker 1: One's Houston the UCF game.

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Speaker 3: Yes, like they did everything they could at the end

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Speaker 3: to give it away, including that foul, getting that whistle,

341
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Speaker 3: giving them another look at it, But you saw what happened.

342
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Speaker 3: Their defensive players were able to make a play and.

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Speaker 1: Win them the game.

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Speaker 3: So that would be my answer, particularly in a tournament setting.

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Speaker 3: I trust that coaching staff to be able to put

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Speaker 3: together a great defensive game plan and execute. They so

347
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Speaker 3: desperately miss shed being a playmaker, being somebody laid in

348
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Speaker 3: the shot clock, bail them out, like when they're not

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Speaker 3: running their stuff at a high level. At least they

350
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Speaker 3: had him. Cryer's not that guy. Cryer is a robin

351
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Speaker 3: at best in a Batman robin situation. He is not

352
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Speaker 3: an alpha. So in terms of a deep run him

353
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Speaker 3: out on Houston. But to get at least one win

354
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Speaker 3: in the tournament from these three teams, I'll go to

355
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Speaker 3: the Koogs.

356
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Speaker 4: I agree on Houston also because yeah, they they only

357
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Speaker 4: won by one Overuse yet, but they shot like three

358
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Speaker 4: for sixteen from three, and this is a good shooting team.

359
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Speaker 4: Like they You can say what you want about Houston

360
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Speaker 4: their offense. I don't love how they run offense, but

361
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Speaker 4: they should shoot forty percent from three for the rest

362
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Speaker 4: of the year. And I've been out on Yukon since

363
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Speaker 4: Breeze you and I did that Feast Week pod, Like

364
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Speaker 4: I was out on this team before the season. I

365
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:41,840
Speaker 4: think that I don't think they have great guard play.

366
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Speaker 4: I don't love their center rotation the Zags. I was

367
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Speaker 4: all the way in on the Zags in the preseason

368
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Speaker 4: because I thought that that their experience, their returning production,

369
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Speaker 4: their continuity, I thought they would roll and they have

370
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Speaker 4: been quite probably the least impressive team relative to expectation

371
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Speaker 4: this year. I still trust Houston. Yeah, that defense gives

372
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Speaker 4: you such a high floor, and Kelvin Samson is, you know,

373
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Speaker 4: still one of the best to do it.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I probably agree with you, But

375
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Speaker 2: I there's definitely just trouble, Like, yeah, Houston is going

376
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Speaker 2: to be an analytical darling. We know that, and kidzag

377
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Speaker 2: is probably going to be up there as well. But

378
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Speaker 2: just look at the especially Gonzaga. I mean, how many

379
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Speaker 2: times can you blow a lead before I have to

380
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,320
Speaker 2: to say this isn't bad luck. This is a trend.

381
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Speaker 2: I watched them trying to close out games, then losing

382
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:29,720
Speaker 2: to Oregon State, and then coming back home losing to

383
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Speaker 2: Santa Clara. That never happened in the past under few.

384
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Speaker 2: So yeah, there's definitely something off with all three teams.

385
00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,360
Speaker 2: I mean, maybe i'd just say, look, it's Hurley, They're

386
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Speaker 2: going to get McNeely back, who I do think matters.

387
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Speaker 2: This is a team that lost so much, so like

388
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Speaker 2: you expect them and Hurley to figure it out and

389
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Speaker 2: them to address some of their issues. Their staff is

390
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Speaker 2: so good, so it'd be between them those two. But

391
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Speaker 2: I'll agree with you. I was making a clean sweep

392
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Speaker 2: on Houston copy before I get to you. We got

393
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Speaker 2: to give Tanner shit for making convincing us all about UNBC.

394
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Speaker 2: So Saturday afternoon sit down, I have like a bunch

395
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Speaker 2: of bets at the same time. So I got to

396
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Speaker 2: pull up a stream on UMBC. I went and made

397
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 2: a drink first, and so you know, it's UMBC Maine.

398
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:31,159
Speaker 2: I missed the first three minutes. Who cares? Yep, I

399
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 2: missed the first three minutes. It's fifteen nothing main So yeah,

400
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:36,200
Speaker 2: what happened there?

401
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I made my America East debut talking about how

402
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Speaker 4: much I love the Retrievers, and Maine started the game

403
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:45,119
Speaker 4: on a twelve nothing run won by a million. And

404
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 4: it sucks, man, because.

405
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Speaker 2: I've been Baltimore. Baltimore ruined my a Ravens fan on Sunday.

406
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:54,639
Speaker 2: I get heartbroken on Saturday. At least it was it

407
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 2: was quick and painless. With Baldmore County.

408
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Speaker 4: It was so early. I mean, look, I've been a

409
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Speaker 4: defender of head coach Jim Ferry since he took over. Really,

410
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Speaker 4: I've been in the minority actually because I thought he

411
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Speaker 4: did a great job with the roster he had last

412
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Speaker 4: year and a solid job in the non con But

413
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Speaker 4: I heard some rumors out there that he was on

414
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,880
Speaker 4: the hot seat, which I thought was ridiculous. But losing

415
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 4: to dreadful New Hampshire as a double digit home favorite

416
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 4: and then following it up by no showing again at home,

417
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:23,119
Speaker 4: I'm starting to understand the rumors. They threw the ball

418
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:27,240
Speaker 4: away nineteen times. This is truly truly embarrassing. I mean,

419
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 4: on the other hand, Mayne's head coach, Chris Markwood, he's

420
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:33,080
Speaker 4: probably the bad best head coach in that league. I mean,

421
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,120
Speaker 4: nine is still shooting way above their head. They shot

422
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 4: eleven for twenty three from deep in that win. But

423
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Speaker 4: mark Wood's game planning was just superb in the early going.

424
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:42,960
Speaker 4: I mean, he was so smart to full court full

425
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,719
Speaker 4: court press. UNBC took him out of their tempo, funneling

426
00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:48,159
Speaker 4: more offense through their center Keelan Steele, who finished with

427
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 4: I think twelve points on perfect shooting, and you know

428
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:55,120
Speaker 4: the point remains pathetic performance from Ferry and Retriever's horrific

429
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:59,200
Speaker 4: call by me and excited for segment number two.

430
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Speaker 2: This upcoming week. We'll be tailing, but if you keep

431
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 2: giving us UMBC, we might start fading. No, I thought

432
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 2: I bet Arkansas on Saturday. So my article got picked

433
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,120
Speaker 2: up by some of the fan bases that, oh my god,

434
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:16,040
Speaker 2: they're so annoying. My article got picked up by like

435
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 2: all these miszoo fans and miszoo bloggers. They like screenshot

436
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,880
Speaker 2: at me saying I don't expect Missouri to keep shooting

437
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 2: this well from three, and then they went they shot

438
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 2: fifty percent from three, but Arkle's a back anyway, but

439
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,199
Speaker 2: they went five to twenty three from three, Missouri went

440
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:35,119
Speaker 2: eleven to twenty three. There's your eighteen point difference. It

441
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 2: doesn't mean it's gonna happen that one game. I just

442
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 2: mean that I don't think Missouri is gonna keep shooting

443
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,080
Speaker 2: this well. And I said, I don't think Caleb Girl's

444
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 2: gonna keep shooting this well. Obviously he had an incredible game.

445
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, I thought Arkansas was they went with the

446
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 2: lineup that I wanted, the starting lineup that I wanted,

447
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:59,880
Speaker 2: and it didn't matter. Another embarrassing performance for coach cal

448
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 2: But I mean, it's not working. But they're also getting

449
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 2: unlucky from a shooting perspective. But that doesn't mean it's

450
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 2: it's gonna come. There's something that's just off with that

451
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:15,199
Speaker 2: Arkansas team. And credit to Missouri for keeping it rolling.

452
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,440
Speaker 2: But that's you just got to live with that stuff.

453
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 2: You're never it's you're gonna have bad calls and get

454
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,119
Speaker 2: caught out and just laughing. I just replied you I

455
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 2: was wrong. Sorry, it's all you gotta do, Calvary. So

456
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 2: you want to yell about some coaches, I do.

457
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 3: I also just want to be a part of this

458
00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 3: support group for getting burned by three point variance.

459
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 2: Monster. You talk about they all they had shot to

460
00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:38,120
Speaker 2: tie it or win it. At the end, they shot

461
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 2: to win it. You're not like eleven with a minute

462
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:41,640
Speaker 2: to go, and they almost won.

463
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 1: Delaware made eleven of their first sixteen threes.

464
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:47,919
Speaker 3: That's fantastic. I'm out with the wife, trying to be

465
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,120
Speaker 3: a supportive husband. I don't, you know, have my eye

466
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 3: on the game for the first five minutes and I'm

467
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 3: immediately getting blown up on social media.

468
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:56,680
Speaker 1: I mean, that was horrific.

469
00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 3: And also I'm shouting out the twin tower, Sam Sherry

470
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:00,679
Speaker 3: and Van Coman.

471
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:02,800
Speaker 1: It's a walking block party.

472
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,000
Speaker 3: Zero blocks out of the six eleven and seven foot

473
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,119
Speaker 3: three front court monsters for the Phoenix, and then they

474
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 3: still almost win the game.

475
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 1: I would rather go through with the UNBC experience and

476
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:16,640
Speaker 1: know at aftime that is truly over. Yeah, I'm gonna

477
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:17,399
Speaker 1: go back to nowhere.

478
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:21,679
Speaker 2: Melt It was an epic meltdown. And Spilowar is not

479
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:24,640
Speaker 2: very good. That's the frustrating part. I've were up twenty

480
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 2: with twenty with ten to go there, I think they're

481
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 2: up like eleven a minute ago, and then they missed

482
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,119
Speaker 2: the free they missed two a free throw, Elon had

483
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,439
Speaker 2: a three turnover, and then they had another shot to

484
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 2: tie it and uh, yeah, John Camden had an incredible

485
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 2: game for for Delaware, but yeah, the VA Tech transfer

486
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 2: from from Downingtown. By the way, speaking of Downingtown, it's

487
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 2: a good weekend for downtown. Will Howard went the Downingtown West. Uh,

488
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,879
Speaker 2: just won the National Championship. But what else you got?

489
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 3: Uh just the quick rants on the whining temper tantrums

490
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,640
Speaker 3: of Dan Hurley and mccron And like, before I got

491
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 3: full time into sports media, I used to work in

492
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 3: content for startups for medium sized companies and the last

493
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,040
Speaker 3: couple that I had I would work with like the

494
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 3: c suite, the CEOs and ghost right for them and

495
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 3: all the good leaders. They'd always say, like, if you

496
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,440
Speaker 3: want these jobs, it's all about just fixing problems. This

497
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:20,160
Speaker 3: problem solving is what your job is at that level.

498
00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 3: And they're big problems, but that's you know, the buck

499
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 3: stops at the top. This is what you get paid

500
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,439
Speaker 3: to do. Not every year is you win the national

501
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:30,560
Speaker 3: Championship and you win seventeen in the last eighteen games

502
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 3: with a perfectly constructive roster. This is also your fault,

503
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:36,640
Speaker 3: Dan Hurley. This is the nil portal era. You brought

504
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 3: in the wrong pieces I understand they've had some injuries,

505
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 3: but there were issues with this team from the jump,

506
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:44,200
Speaker 3: and then Mick Cronin just stuff it.

507
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,119
Speaker 1: Man, like I've had enough of it. Oh, we had

508
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:46,639
Speaker 1: to travel.

509
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 3: Everyone knows that you control the narrative. Yes, you have

510
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 3: these brutal cross country road trips. You could, you know,

511
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 3: spell it out to your team and say, we're going

512
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 3: to be battle tested by the time we get to

513
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 3: Indianapolis for the Big Ten Tournament, by the time we

514
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 3: get sent probably crawl country for March Madness will be

515
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 3: able to do it and other teams will be complaining. No,

516
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,640
Speaker 3: it's just every game, even when they win. He wants

517
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 3: to pick fights with the media. It's like, how small

518
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:11,800
Speaker 3: are you as a human being that this is what's

519
00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 3: front of mine for you. He makes four point five

520
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 3: million after bonuses per season. Hurley is on a new

521
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 3: sixty or fifty million dollar contract. You have the best

522
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,160
Speaker 3: job in the world when you're winning and days are good,

523
00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:24,919
Speaker 3: and then the bad days you get paid millions of

524
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 3: dollars per year to do it. So I just don't

525
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 3: understand why these guys act like they're stuck in some

526
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 3: dead ends. Corporate America job and they're just a cubicle

527
00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 3: monkey and they want to blow their brains up.

528
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 1: No, you are not. You have a great job.

529
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 3: Just like get past this, and maybe, I don't know,

530
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,000
Speaker 3: help your players get past it because at first, you know,

531
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 3: I think people on social media and in general, they

532
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 3: want to say, well, maybe they're trying to light a

533
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 3: fire under their team, trying to do it in the

534
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,680
Speaker 3: same way repeatedly and kind of throwing your team under

535
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 3: the bus as Cronin does.

536
00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 1: It's just it's old hat.

537
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,960
Speaker 3: It's not working, and it does make it a little

538
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 3: bit more fun for me because UCLA and the Big Ten,

539
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,120
Speaker 3: if you told me that two years ago, I would

540
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:04,640
Speaker 3: say they probably have the least interest in what they're

541
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,639
Speaker 3: doing in football and basketball. But now I can at

542
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:08,880
Speaker 3: least hate watch the Bruins on a weekly basis because

543
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 3: of what he's doing on the sideline.

544
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 1: So that's it for my rant.

545
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 3: But just unbelievable that these two and the last piece

546
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,280
Speaker 3: Hurly needs to get ejected. I don't understand what these

547
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 3: referees are doing. They just eat shit from him constantly

548
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,439
Speaker 3: over calls that are at worst fifty to fifty calls.

549
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: He acts like he's the only coach in America that

550
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 1: doesn't get the whistle every single time, So that's it

551
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:31,680
Speaker 1: for me. But they get my chili running hot here

552
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 1: in January.

553
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 2: Partly just seems like he's not having any He doesn't

554
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:36,200
Speaker 2: have any fun, but he doesn't enjoy it.

555
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:36,439
Speaker 1: I know.

556
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,880
Speaker 3: It's like, sorry, Bud, you you almost won a national championship.

557
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 3: That was a great team that you put together, you know,

558
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,199
Speaker 3: with your front court and everything that classic against you know,

559
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 3: the Zags, And like I said, you're probably gonna end

560
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 3: your career what with fifty million dollars in the bank

561
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:51,359
Speaker 3: being a guy who's.

562
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,879
Speaker 1: An above average coach. He's not like in the pantheon.

563
00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 3: He's not in the top ten coaches in the sport,

564
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,400
Speaker 3: but he's gonna end with just an absolute war chest

565
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,280
Speaker 3: of money. And if he just kept his head down

566
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 3: in his mouth shut, I think people will kind of

567
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 3: respect him as a tactician a little bit. But he's

568
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,960
Speaker 3: just basically laying all the goodwill on fire at this point.

569
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,560
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586
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587
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 2: some midweek action, uh, tabary, I'm gonna start with some

588
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:20,440
Speaker 2: Patriot League.

589
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,560
Speaker 1: All right, right in my wheelhouse, let's do this.

590
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 2: I'm curious to get your thoughts. I'm going to play

591
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,640
Speaker 2: Lehi if Keith Higgins plays.

592
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 1: I mean, they have a phenomenal backward when healthy.

593
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 2: I can't I can't get info on I like, I've

594
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 2: been messaging so many people. I don't know when he's

595
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 2: coming back. Every game it's a game time decision. But

596
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 2: they've lost five in a row. Guess what, it's the

597
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 2: five games that he's missed. And he is so important

598
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 2: to everything that they do. You know, he played versus

599
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 2: buck Noll in their first conference game. They won that game,

600
00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 2: then heard ever since lost five in a row. So

601
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 2: if you see me put a bet in on the

602
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:09,200
Speaker 2: app on Lee High tomorrow, that means I got confirmation

603
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:12,640
Speaker 2: that Higgins is gonna play. Uh. If not, I will,

604
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 2: I'll get confirmation the same time as everybody else, but

605
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 2: I'll try to find out on the same you know,

606
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 2: kind of in the same vein you're you're alma mater,

607
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 2: loyal Maryland. I'm looking to fade them against Lafayette because

608
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 2: you look they've won there. They they beat Army by two,

609
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 2: they beat excuse me, they lost Army. They beat Navy

610
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 2: by one at home, and they beat Lee High without Higgins.

611
00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 2: That's their three wins in league play. I am not

612
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,720
Speaker 2: a believer in this team whatsoever. And then you have Lafayette,

613
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:51,480
Speaker 2: who's dropped too in a row. I think that they are.

614
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 2: I have them. I think three points better than Loyl

615
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 2: Marlon and Oyl and Maryland's home courted. Then sorry, I

616
00:30:58,720 --> 00:30:59,920
Speaker 2: have nothing.

617
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 1: Serena is laughable.

618
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 3: There'll be forty people attached to the program there and

619
00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 3: no bands. Yeah, it's it's the program will never go

620
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 3: anywhere until they fix that or at least do some

621
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 3: kind of time share in downtown Baltimore. Play at the

622
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:16,440
Speaker 3: I think it's the Royal Farms Arena. They need to

623
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 3: do that.

624
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 2: My only thing here in this game because just a bit,

625
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 2: just my thoughts, lost by one to Navy, they lost

626
00:31:23,400 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 2: an overtime the buck Now they lost by two to Army,

627
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 2: and so they've been super unlucky. Then they got blown

628
00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 2: out by Colgan. I think you get a really good

629
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 2: effort here, and I think Loyel Marland, who's terrible and

630
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:38,120
Speaker 2: everyone agrees, is terrible. They're metrics, you know, overall, and

631
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:40,520
Speaker 2: the record are just bumped up even a little bit

632
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:42,200
Speaker 2: because Leehi didn't have Higgins and they have to plan

633
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:44,520
Speaker 2: twice in the span of a week without him, and

634
00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 2: he's as important to any team at this level.

635
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 3: But were you gonna say, I think it'll just come

636
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 3: down to justin Vanderbahd for Lafayette and the illag Twins,

637
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:57,560
Speaker 3: because if he plays really well and stays out of

638
00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 3: oul trouble on the Lafayette side, I agree with you.

639
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 1: I think they'll probably win by close to double digits.

640
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 3: But there have been games where he's got himself into

641
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 3: foul trouble, and that I really think is the only

642
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 3: advantage that the Leopards have to be able to really

643
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 3: press in, you know, easy second chance buckets. So I

644
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 3: find this to be incredibly unlikely. But if you're watching

645
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 3: this game and you're looking for a live betting angle,

646
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 3: then just make sure to keep an eye on him

647
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 3: in terms of his foul trouble. If he goes to

648
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 3: the benure elite, maybe try to buy out of it

649
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 3: a little bit. But if he plays let's call it

650
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 3: north of thirty minutes, I like that play stuck.

651
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, needle in there.

652
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 4: Patriot League thoughts, I was thinking about betting holy Cross

653
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:35,760
Speaker 4: hosting Army tomorrow.

654
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 2: Any thoughts.

655
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 3: I haven't looked at it, so yeah, I think they're

656
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 3: in auto fad at this point.

657
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 2: Well you got to. I mean, I love they have

658
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 2: one of the best, they have one of the I

659
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 2: shouldn't say the best, but they have one of the

660
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 2: jalen Ruckers. He can he can go absolutely off. What

661
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 2: are you saying just by low?

662
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 4: They've lost three in a row, Armies off a few wins.

663
00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 4: I kind of like the schematic matchup.

664
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 2: They're all laying one. I don't know.

665
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 4: I just wanted breeze thoughts.

666
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 2: I could see it. It would be holy Cross or nothing.

667
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:09,560
Speaker 2: I think it's a good spot. So I think you're

668
00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 2: on the right track. There is there is there a

669
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 2: line out?

670
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, minus one and a half holy Cross.

671
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 2: I don't mind that. Yeah, fire that one in Chanell.

672
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 2: Go to you. What are you looking at Wednesday? You

673
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 2: looking at the corn at home? Yeah?

674
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:23,080
Speaker 4: I actually didn't love this Wednesday slate. But as long

675
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:26,200
Speaker 4: as Nebraska doesn't open up something crazy like minus nine

676
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 4: or something, I'll probably be on the corn Huskers here

677
00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:31,560
Speaker 4: at home against USC. Nebraska's to win the game eventually,

678
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:35,000
Speaker 4: after four straight losses, including two by one possession a

679
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 4: third that went to overtime, those four opponents shot a

680
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 4: combined fifty eight for one two from three. It's forty

681
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 4: eight percent. So I think there's some positive regression coming.

682
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,680
Speaker 4: I think this is a good by low spot at home. Meanwhile,

683
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 4: USC has been playing a lot better lately. I mean,

684
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 4: Muscleman is starting to build real cohesion and continuity with

685
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 4: the squad, especially on the offensive side of the ball.

686
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 2: But I don't want to say he kind of altered

687
00:33:57,440 --> 00:33:59,120
Speaker 2: the lineup a bit and how they're playing.

688
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:01,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, but I still I don't want to get too

689
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 4: high on them, especially after they shot the lights out

690
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 4: against a lifeless Iowa defense and they caught Illinois shorthanded obviously,

691
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 4: and I really hate this matchup for the Trojans. They're

692
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:15,320
Speaker 4: an interior base offense. They love creating off the dribble

693
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,920
Speaker 4: with you know, Claude Yates Thomas. They'll run a lot

694
00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:21,399
Speaker 4: of cutting off that creation with Noling Cohen. They'll run

695
00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:25,240
Speaker 4: a lot of dho posting sets. And they love the midrange.

696
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:27,400
Speaker 4: They live in the mid range. So I think they

697
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,399
Speaker 4: score score thirty five paint points per game and rank

698
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:32,600
Speaker 4: last in the Big Ten and three point rate. But

699
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 4: Fred Hoiberg packs it in more than anyone. On defense,

700
00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 4: the huskersm is a complete and total post denial they rank.

701
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 2: That's why they can get three point.

702
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 4: Yeah exactly, Yeah, that could swing, but you know they

703
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,479
Speaker 4: ranked top twenty nationally in paint points per game allowed,

704
00:34:48,520 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 4: bottom ten and three point rate allowed. And so you

705
00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 4: have to beat the Huskers over the top and with

706
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 4: like efficient catch and shoot creation. The Trojans will not

707
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 4: do that, and it's gonna be really tough for them

708
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 4: to run their offense against the set defense. And on

709
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 4: the other end of the court, Nebraska's are gonna run

710
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 4: their secondary dribble, handoff, inside out offense, and I think they'll.

711
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:07,640
Speaker 2: Be able to do that.

712
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 4: I mean, in theory, USC is kind of versatile switching defense.

713
00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:13,640
Speaker 4: Could they could switch all those actions. But it's not

714
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 4: like the Trojans have been that good on defense this year.

715
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 4: They've been gashed at the rim. They're allowing a ton

716
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 4: of threes. They don't grade out well against handoff secondary actions.

717
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 4: The problem with Nebraska is Bryce Williams has to be

718
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 4: just an electric factory for this offense to be really good. Yeah,

719
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 4: but he's more efficient at home than he is on

720
00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 4: the road. And he's been really efficient in ball screen

721
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 4: creation this year, which is a very vulnerable part of

722
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,759
Speaker 4: the USC defense. So I'd love to see plenty of that.

723
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 4: I just think behind Williams in a strong defensive effort.

724
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 4: I'm baking on Nebraska snapping the four game losing streak

725
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:48,640
Speaker 4: in convincing fashion. I would love to get like five

726
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 4: or fewer, but six or seven that's good for me.

727
00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. Nebraska usually a wagon at home, although they were

728
00:35:57,120 --> 00:36:01,319
Speaker 2: recently upset, especially in conference plays. Looks like a pretty

729
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 2: good spot and matchup. Calbriy's I agree with you, Tanna,

730
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 2: that at the Wednesday card is pretty gross. One of

731
00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 2: the uglier Wednesday cards for January that I've seen. Calbry's

732
00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,600
Speaker 2: some surprise number one you didn't mention in the bad

733
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:18,400
Speaker 2: your delta Devil's Mississippi Valley State. They're the Miami of

734
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 2: the low majors. Where's the bottom? I mean they lost

735
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,799
Speaker 2: by thirty the Florida A and M last night.

736
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 3: I'm going to find a spot this year to play them.

737
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,560
Speaker 3: I just haven't figured it out yet. I'm trying to look,

738
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 3: you know, six moves ahead on the chess board, to

739
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:36,080
Speaker 3: find some kind of situational angle that maybe they can

740
00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 3: play a little bit better. I am glad that we

741
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 3: are one to O on our swack plays for the year.

742
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:42,800
Speaker 3: Hidden that over between Arkansas, Pine and buff and Florida

743
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,080
Speaker 3: A and M. I think we got fifteen points in

744
00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:47,360
Speaker 3: the last like minute and ten seconds to push that

745
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:48,080
Speaker 3: one over the top.

746
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 1: So I appreciate the work by the Golden Lions and Rattlers. Yeah,

747
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 1: I was close.

748
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 3: I agree with you that this card is rough, but

749
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 3: I do have one on Wednesday that I like North

750
00:36:57,680 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 3: Texas land. It's called it eight or nine against Temple.

751
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,719
Speaker 3: Temple is still Ryan high. Two games ago, they upset Memphis,

752
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 3: they avoid the letdown against Tulane, but they're walking in

753
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:10,400
Speaker 3: against an exceptionally well coached North Texas team under Ross Hodge.

754
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 3: He has been a really good home bet as a

755
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:16,479
Speaker 3: home favorite since taking over in Denton, the third most

756
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,759
Speaker 3: profitable coach in the AAC. And for people who aren't

757
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:22,359
Speaker 3: familiar with their brand of basketball, they're their Virginia of

758
00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:25,040
Speaker 3: the American, the old school Virginia, no middle defense. They

759
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 3: rotate exceptionally well. Temple has been shooting out of their

760
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 3: minds so far in AAC play and far above what

761
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 3: you can expect out of the Ls over the course

762
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 3: of the entire season. And I just don't think North

763
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:38,279
Speaker 3: Texas is going to give them many open looks and

764
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 3: good looks from three point range, and when you look

765
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:44,240
Speaker 3: at it, it's not just you know, getting the variants

766
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 3: luck in terms of three pointers not following. They're not

767
00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:48,879
Speaker 3: even allowing opponents to put them up fewer than three

768
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:51,839
Speaker 3: point attempt fewer than twenty three point attempts per game,

769
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 3: which is thirty fourth in the whole country. I like

770
00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 3: them to basically squeeze Temple in three ways.

771
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 1: The Temple.

772
00:37:57,239 --> 00:38:00,280
Speaker 3: They're the defense that I just discussed rebounding the twenty

773
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:03,399
Speaker 3: ninth into defensive rebounding percentage this year, the Mean Green,

774
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 3: and they are an elite foul shooting team, and I'm

775
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 3: looking for them to close this out in the last

776
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 3: couple of minutes of this game. They're fifteenth nationally as

777
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,960
Speaker 3: a team in terms of their percentage from the charity stripe.

778
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:14,400
Speaker 3: So I'm go to go with the Mean Green. As

779
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 3: I said, laying up to I'd love to get eight.

780
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:18,840
Speaker 3: I'll lay up to nine in this spot against the

781
00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,040
Speaker 3: eld It's a long AAC road trip.

782
00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:25,319
Speaker 4: Temple's also shooting like forty five percent from three you play.

783
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 2: That's how Texas is allowing forty percent, which is very

784
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 2: rare for them, and I don't think Temple's going to

785
00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 2: dominate the offensive glass. They've done a really good job

786
00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 2: in that, but in this particular matchup, so if they're

787
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:39,400
Speaker 2: if that two way regression hits, they could be toast.

788
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 2: By the way Temple they had those allegations about shaving,

789
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 2: and then we had them with a Max School recently.

790
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:55,440
Speaker 2: Remind me when these reports come out, it's the next

791
00:38:55,480 --> 00:39:00,360
Speaker 2: game to bet that team first half, Like you're like,

792
00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 2: all right, everyone's onto us. We have to play the

793
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 2: best half of our lives to make sure we can't

794
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 2: not cover this first half guys. So and then like

795
00:39:13,080 --> 00:39:17,120
Speaker 2: their profiles probably not fully accounted for because they've had

796
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:19,959
Speaker 2: guys that were shaving. I don't know. That's always an angle.

797
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 2: I thought about moving on to Thursday Tanner, you have

798
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 2: one that I had circled. This is I have a

799
00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 2: list of regrets, my major regression candidates. I have my

800
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:33,479
Speaker 2: team at the top right now, as Peyton Manning would say,

801
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:37,400
Speaker 2: oh ma o ma, I have them as number one,

802
00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:40,760
Speaker 2: and they're taking on a Saint Thomas team that should

803
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 2: be able to potentially bring some of that regression home.

804
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 2: I think of the class of the league, and this

805
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,720
Speaker 2: is a matchup of two undefeated teams in the summer.

806
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:52,879
Speaker 2: You like the Tommies as well.

807
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, love the Tommies, and I mean shout out to

808
00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 4: the Mavericks for starting Summer League play five and zero.

809
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 4: But like you said.

810
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 2: If you're losing Fiddler, who's been great for Michigan State.

811
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:05,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, they they've they've been awesome this year. But yeah, no,

812
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:09,560
Speaker 4: it's not sustainable when you're shooting in conference play forty

813
00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:12,160
Speaker 4: five percent from three while opponents are shooting thirty one percent.

814
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:14,840
Speaker 2: And you can look at you can look at their

815
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 2: the profile, their players. I mean, because sometimes people will

816
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:22,440
Speaker 2: always say like, oh, this team's shooting this, but like

817
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,279
Speaker 2: where that where where is their level supposed to be.

818
00:40:25,360 --> 00:40:28,560
Speaker 2: You can look at their players historical three point shooting.

819
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,760
Speaker 2: They're all way over their heads, so yeah, there's major

820
00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 2: aggression coming.

821
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 4: You can also look at their shot diet, their profile.

822
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:38,399
Speaker 4: I mean, they live in the mid range. They rank

823
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:40,960
Speaker 4: second to last in the Summit League in women three rate.

824
00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,120
Speaker 4: They you spend all your time in the midrange, you're

825
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 4: not creating good shots and you're just shooting forty five

826
00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:47,600
Speaker 4: percent from three. No way that is going to come.

827
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:49,600
Speaker 2: It's a bad it's a bad two point offense.

828
00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:52,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, absolutely, yeah, it's going to come crashing down. And

829
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:59,240
Speaker 4: you're right. The Tommy's are an unbelievable women three based

830
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 4: offense are i think second nationally and rim and three rate,

831
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 4: and yes, they're shooting the lights out from three, but

832
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:09,279
Speaker 4: they just generate so many good looks and on the

833
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:11,680
Speaker 4: defensive side of the ball, I think they're due for

834
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:14,120
Speaker 4: a little bit of positive three point regression on defense,

835
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:18,399
Speaker 4: and they actually are surprisingly doing a solid job quote

836
00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:21,160
Speaker 4: unquote of denying mid rage attempts, which isn'fficient, but like

837
00:41:21,560 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 4: when that's where Omaha wants to work. I like that

838
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 4: matchup and Nebraska Omaha on defense they ranked sub three

839
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 4: hundred and nationally in rimen three points per possession allowed,

840
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:34,560
Speaker 4: which is a terrible matchup for a Tommy's team that

841
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 4: just is so well run. I agree Tommy's are the

842
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:41,399
Speaker 4: class of the Summit League. I think that they hand

843
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 4: the Mavericks a well deserved regression loss here, even on

844
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:46,759
Speaker 4: the road, and I'm hoping we get like a short

845
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:49,239
Speaker 4: line on the road, like maybe like minus one minus two.

846
00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:52,400
Speaker 2: That'd be nice. But yeah, yeah, would love that out

847
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 2: to John Tower, to their head coach, you have great

848
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 2: Princeton stuff that he runs.

849
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 3: Just phenomenal stuff and just a winner. I mean he

850
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:02,200
Speaker 3: took him from D three up to this level. He

851
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:05,399
Speaker 3: won a national title at that level, another Final four.

852
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,000
Speaker 3: I think he's like eighty percent of the time he coached,

853
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 3: they won a regular season title. So it goes to

854
00:42:10,640 --> 00:42:13,399
Speaker 3: show that there's still people even in the transfer portal era.

855
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:16,640
Speaker 3: They're not just essentially general managers with a roster. He

856
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 3: can actually coach them up. So I think this is

857
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:20,319
Speaker 3: the year that they punched through. I agree with you,

858
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:23,160
Speaker 3: this is the time it's still I think you're getting

859
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:25,759
Speaker 3: a reasonable price on them. They're not being taxed as

860
00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:27,520
Speaker 3: though they're the top team in the Summit, and they

861
00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 3: should be.

862
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:30,600
Speaker 2: You you have something in the Summit too, right, Mike,

863
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 2: I do. I can flip these around. I'll go with

864
00:42:33,640 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 2: the Summit.

865
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 3: Play first, South Dakota State laying three and a half

866
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 3: on the road at UMKC.

867
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:40,239
Speaker 1: You know, I think the rules are.

868
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 3: Just going to get worked by Oscar Cloff in this one,

869
00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:43,839
Speaker 3: as long as he can avoid foul trouble. They're three

870
00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 3: hundred and thirtieth and two point percentage defense. He's an

871
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:49,439
Speaker 3: old school big, like a rec league kind of guy.

872
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,640
Speaker 3: He's got a full bag, he's got all these low

873
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 3: post moves, and he's the best offensive rebounder in the Summit.

874
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 3: When you look at his last five games, he's averaging

875
00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:59,880
Speaker 3: nineteen and fourteen per game. He's an absolute beast. And

876
00:43:00,040 --> 00:43:01,359
Speaker 3: I think the rules are in the skid right now.

877
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:04,319
Speaker 3: They've lost three straight and if South Dakota State makes

878
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:06,360
Speaker 3: this up tempo the way that they want to in

879
00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:08,880
Speaker 3: high scoring, I just don't think Casey has the shooters

880
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,160
Speaker 3: to hang around here. So I would probably lay up

881
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:13,680
Speaker 3: to just the edge of two possessions at three and

882
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:16,400
Speaker 3: a half. That at least is the projection on Tourbik

883
00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:17,719
Speaker 3: and Evan Mia right now.

884
00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 2: I love the Jacks and Tanner. Do you have something

885
00:43:20,920 --> 00:43:22,760
Speaker 2: Georgia State and Marshall, you got anything there?

886
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 4: Yeah? I think this is a really good spot for

887
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:28,360
Speaker 4: Georgia State to bounce back coming home after back to

888
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 4: back road losses. The Panthers have won and covered all

889
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 4: three game home games before that two game road skid,

890
00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 4: and I'm begging on a Marshall letdown after they beat

891
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:42,880
Speaker 4: Coastal last Saturday. The Herd are a terrific, sorry, a

892
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 4: horrific road team. They're a good at home team, but

893
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:46,919
Speaker 4: they are just abhorrent on the road. I think they're

894
00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:49,920
Speaker 4: one and seven straight up two and six against the spread.

895
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,360
Speaker 4: On the road, they're three hundred and sixteenth nationally and

896
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 4: haslo metrics away from home metric. They beat and covered

897
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 4: against Coastal, mostly because of some favorable shooting variants, which

898
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,640
Speaker 4: they've been get so far in conference play. They're shooting

899
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:04,319
Speaker 4: thirty five percent from three while opponents are shooting twenty

900
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:07,319
Speaker 4: seven percent, and I expect that to flip. Same thing

901
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:11,080
Speaker 4: for the Panthers, as they've only shot twenty eight percent

902
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:12,799
Speaker 4: from three in conference play. So I think this is

903
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,799
Speaker 4: a good buy low sell high spot to snag a

904
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:19,239
Speaker 4: home dog, catching hopefully for better and just quickly. From

905
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 4: a schematic perspective, I've been really unimpressed with the Thundering

906
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:27,080
Speaker 4: Herd offense so far, just spamming middle pick and roll

907
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:30,120
Speaker 4: with zero spacing. They can't really get to the rim

908
00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:31,920
Speaker 4: because the lanes are so crowded. They end up in

909
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:34,839
Speaker 4: the mid range way too often. And Georgia State's been

910
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:38,080
Speaker 4: not a good like ballscreen coverage unit, but they've been

911
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:40,799
Speaker 4: a good ball screen denial unit because they mix in

912
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 4: some zone and kind of muck it up underneath, and

913
00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:45,560
Speaker 4: they never foul, which is good to keep Marshall off

914
00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:49,200
Speaker 4: of the charity stripe. And Georgia State on the other

915
00:44:49,320 --> 00:44:52,240
Speaker 4: end of the court, they play almost exclusively through the post,

916
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 4: and they will have a big, excize, big size advantage

917
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,759
Speaker 4: over the Marshall interior and you can just post and

918
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:02,600
Speaker 4: repost the herd over and over. They ring third to

919
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 4: last in the Sun Belt and two point shooting allowed

920
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:07,600
Speaker 4: and allowed the most post up points per game. They

921
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:09,719
Speaker 4: defend the three well, but they just funnel everything down

922
00:45:09,760 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 4: low and they can't stop it. So I like the spot,

923
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:14,160
Speaker 4: I like the matchup, and hopefully we get a good

924
00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 4: number once the market opens.

925
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:20,320
Speaker 2: Cabrey's Mary Mack and Saint Peter's.

926
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:24,919
Speaker 3: I'm going to go with the full total in this game. Yeah,

927
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 3: I think what is it? What's the game show with

928
00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:30,040
Speaker 3: Steve Harvey family feud? You know, if you asked one

929
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:32,720
Speaker 3: hundred Americans, if you as one hundred college basketball fans,

930
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:37,200
Speaker 3: the following question, where is Mary Mack located, what's their nickname?

931
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:39,560
Speaker 3: And what conference do they play in? I don't know,

932
00:45:39,560 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 3: what would you get? Two out of one hundred They're

933
00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:43,080
Speaker 3: going to be able to come up with North andover

934
00:45:43,120 --> 00:45:44,480
Speaker 3: mass Rape below New Hampshire.

935
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:45,400
Speaker 1: They're the Warriors.

936
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 3: They're playing in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference the MAC,

937
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 3: and this is the second year that they're eligible for

938
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 3: the nit NCAA tournament, so it's clear they're.

939
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:56,200
Speaker 2: Extents so tremont zone heavy team in the country. On defense,

940
00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:57,759
Speaker 2: it's the new Syrakese.

941
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:00,879
Speaker 1: So here we are. The new year is working. They're

942
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 1: six and one in MAC play.

943
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:04,840
Speaker 3: They're a top three defensive team with that structure, and

944
00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 3: they have the best player in the MAC in Bud Clark.

945
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:09,279
Speaker 3: I still think this could be a defensive battle. But

946
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:11,920
Speaker 3: Saint Pete's can't shoot. They're three hundred and forty fourth

947
00:46:12,080 --> 00:46:14,759
Speaker 3: in shooting percentage. They struggle in the defensive class and

948
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,920
Speaker 3: they are super sloppy with the basketball nearly nineteen percent

949
00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:21,040
Speaker 3: of their possessions and in turnovers, which is just terrific,

950
00:46:21,080 --> 00:46:24,240
Speaker 3: So second chance buckets, big turnover advantage. As I mentioned,

951
00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:27,479
Speaker 3: Bud Clark averaging nineteen seven and four in conference play.

952
00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:30,359
Speaker 3: Evan Mia has him rated as the second best low

953
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:34,400
Speaker 3: major playmaker in the entire country, behind second mention of

954
00:46:34,520 --> 00:46:38,560
Speaker 3: Barrington Hargras of UC riverside in one episode, so got

955
00:46:38,560 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 3: to make sure to give that guys flowers as well.

956
00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 3: But if this is anything other than you know, we'll

957
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 3: call it Mary maclay in three. I don't think it'll

958
00:46:45,120 --> 00:46:46,840
Speaker 3: ever get to that price, but I would play it

959
00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:48,200
Speaker 3: up to one possession.

960
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:51,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Mary Mack is not just they'll pressure too,

961
00:46:51,600 --> 00:46:53,400
Speaker 2: and there's zone, so Saint Peter's who have a ton

962
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,359
Speaker 2: of turnovers here. The only thing I would worry about

963
00:46:55,360 --> 00:46:57,239
Speaker 2: is this game is so ugly in Saint Peter's just

964
00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 2: gets like thirty offensive rebounds against the zone. But like

965
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:06,359
Speaker 2: from a shot volume perspective, Mary Mack might be able

966
00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 2: to just make up for all of that with the

967
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 2: turnovers because they're not going to turn it over and

968
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:13,920
Speaker 2: Saint Peter's will probably turn it over a bunch. By

969
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:18,120
Speaker 2: the way, teams like Marymack are the exact teams that

970
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:22,359
Speaker 2: I want to get into the NCAA tournament. I want

971
00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 2: teams with wildly unique profiles, that play unique schemes that

972
00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 2: can give us like some fascinating matchups.

973
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,239
Speaker 4: And nobody can figure out the Joe gallow zone.

974
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 2: I mean they especially, they don't see it.

975
00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:38,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, they went to the NEC. They won the league

976
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:40,320
Speaker 4: in their first year, and then they religned to the

977
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:42,280
Speaker 4: Metro Atlantic this past year, and now they're the class

978
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:44,040
Speaker 4: of the MAC. I mean, nobody can figure it out.

979
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:48,240
Speaker 4: I assume eventually coaches will adjust. But yeah, that zone

980
00:47:48,239 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 4: plus Bud Clark, who I just am in love with

981
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,359
Speaker 4: every time I watch him. So yeah, I'll probably play

982
00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:54,439
Speaker 4: this with you, actually.

983
00:47:55,360 --> 00:48:01,759
Speaker 2: And it's redemption time. We'll close out here, Tanner, if

984
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 2: you're beloved America East. This is where we'll finish New Hampshire,

985
00:48:06,960 --> 00:48:10,959
Speaker 2: who has been They've been playing a little better of late,

986
00:48:11,120 --> 00:48:13,640
Speaker 2: maybe starting to figure some things out. I mean, I'm

987
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:16,719
Speaker 2: not let's not get I'm not getting too I'm not

988
00:48:16,719 --> 00:48:19,399
Speaker 2: gonna give them too much credit. But they just did

989
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:22,480
Speaker 2: lose that NJIT. But before that they beat they won

990
00:48:22,560 --> 00:48:25,640
Speaker 2: at UNBC, although maybe that's not a good win anymore,

991
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 2: and they beat Binghamton, so it showed some signs of

992
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:35,760
Speaker 2: life of late. They will host Bryant on Thursday, Bryant

993
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:40,160
Speaker 2: fresh off a I mean, they're an impressive streak. They've

994
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:44,359
Speaker 2: won four straight including I mean they dominated Vermont. They've

995
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 2: won them all by double digits and then UMass Lowell.

996
00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:50,480
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, Chris was a highly anticipated game and

997
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 2: Bryant ended up winning by twenty three. Are you looking

998
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:59,040
Speaker 2: to potentially buy the Wildcats here? Yeah?

999
00:48:59,080 --> 00:49:01,400
Speaker 4: I always have to have some Amy's thoughts when I

1000
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:03,680
Speaker 4: come on the pod. Yeah, I'm gonna get snake bitten

1001
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 4: for this. But I'm still not totally in on the Bulldogs.

1002
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:09,120
Speaker 4: They have looked, like you mentioned it, they've looked dominant,

1003
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:12,640
Speaker 4: absolutely dominant for four games, but they also played three

1004
00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:15,680
Speaker 4: of the four at home, and they've been much much,

1005
00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:18,520
Speaker 4: much worse on the road this year four and seven

1006
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 4: against the spread three hundred and fourth and has the

1007
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:24,839
Speaker 4: metrics away from home metric. And still I still wonder

1008
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:28,479
Speaker 4: if the offense is sustainable. Just so much running into

1009
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:30,720
Speaker 4: the middle of the floor and hitting floaters or runners

1010
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 4: pinzone makes it much more sustainable. But how long can

1011
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:37,120
Speaker 4: he shoot over fifty percent from three? The new found

1012
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:43,320
Speaker 4: offensive rebounding prowess that really changes the dynamic, But their

1013
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:45,480
Speaker 4: numbers there might be a tad inflated. After they grab

1014
00:49:45,560 --> 00:49:49,359
Speaker 4: seventeen against Lowell, which has a bad, bad rebounding problem,

1015
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:52,000
Speaker 4: they're in trouble because they can't rebound. New I'm sure

1016
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:56,080
Speaker 4: has looked like a totally different team. Lately, and the

1017
00:49:56,120 --> 00:49:59,840
Speaker 4: two things that are really important is the interior defense

1018
00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 4: against UNBC and Binghamton, who both of those teams will

1019
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:06,799
Speaker 4: try and crash the rim downhill Like Bryant Well really

1020
00:50:06,880 --> 00:50:09,000
Speaker 4: impressed me holding that dude, or like forty seven percent

1021
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:12,320
Speaker 4: shooting that was unheard of before conference play started. I

1022
00:50:12,320 --> 00:50:15,160
Speaker 4: didn't think that was possible. And point guard Sammy Pisis

1023
00:50:15,560 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 4: has been unconscious. He's just been dragging the Wildcats and

1024
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:21,279
Speaker 4: keeping them competitive in these games. He's been among the

1025
00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:24,040
Speaker 4: most impressive juco transfers the low major level for me,

1026
00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:26,720
Speaker 4: for a terrible New Hampshire team, but he's been awesome.

1027
00:50:27,120 --> 00:50:30,400
Speaker 4: If we can get some crazy inflated number because everyone

1028
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:32,920
Speaker 4: is so enamored with Brian right now, like maybe fifteen

1029
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:35,799
Speaker 4: even seventeen something crazy, yeah, I would take.

1030
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:40,719
Speaker 2: A shot with Newmpshire not getting seventeen fifteen, yeah, could

1031
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 2: get fifteen, all right, I'll probably join you with us,

1032
00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:45,279
Speaker 2: so I can give you shit if a losers or

1033
00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:48,080
Speaker 2: credit if it wins. But Brian, are you not? Are

1034
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:49,640
Speaker 2: you under selling Brian's defense?

1035
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,720
Speaker 4: The I'm the problem is so I love their defensive

1036
00:50:54,760 --> 00:50:57,440
Speaker 4: structure and the way that PMJ has adjusted it. To

1037
00:50:57,520 --> 00:50:59,799
Speaker 4: where they just funnel everything towards the rim. And then

1038
00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:02,439
Speaker 4: they have five dudes who all stand like six foot

1039
00:51:02,440 --> 00:51:06,960
Speaker 4: seven that can block everything. But the defense looked, honestly,

1040
00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 4: kind of bad in the non con like way, worse metrics.

1041
00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:12,400
Speaker 4: And then all of a sudden they've self corrected in

1042
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,600
Speaker 4: conference places. I just don't know which version is. I

1043
00:51:15,640 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 4: don't know if they're gonna regress to the mean or

1044
00:51:17,160 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 4: if they have self corrected entirely. So I'm still I

1045
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:20,839
Speaker 4: got to see more.

1046
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 2: I give you credit week five days after UNBC you

1047
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:27,000
Speaker 2: give out arguably.

1048
00:51:27,239 --> 00:51:30,560
Speaker 4: How how tell me how the path for new Mster

1049
00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:34,319
Speaker 4: to score year Sammy, Sammy's got to hit. He's got

1050
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:36,200
Speaker 4: to hit like you know, He's got to score thirty

1051
00:51:36,200 --> 00:51:38,120
Speaker 4: five points and hit like all of his threes.

1052
00:51:38,160 --> 00:51:39,480
Speaker 2: But he he can do it. Man.

1053
00:51:39,560 --> 00:51:41,799
Speaker 4: He like when he gets hot, he gets crazy hot.

1054
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:46,359
Speaker 2: All right, Good stuff, gentlemen. Mike, myself and Greg will

1055
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:50,280
Speaker 2: be back on Thursday to preview the weekend, and Tenor

1056
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:57,279
Speaker 2: will joined for his second America East segment previewing the

1057
00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:01,360
Speaker 2: Saturday America East Games. Thank you to both of you

1058
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:03,279
Speaker 2: for joining me. Thanks to our producer David on the

1059
00:52:03,280 --> 00:52:04,840
Speaker 2: back end, Most importantly, thanks to all of you for

1060
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:07,920
Speaker 2: tuning in. Make sure you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe, tell

1061
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:09,879
Speaker 2: friends ton On to me. You know the drill. Good

1062
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:11,560
Speaker 2: luck on all of your wagers the next two nights.

1063
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:13,040
Speaker 2: We'll cut jaw later in the week.

1064
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:25,440
Speaker 5: Cheers.

1065
00:52:26,640 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1066
00:52:31,200 --> 00:52:34,000
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1067
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:37,160
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler