1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 2: This is the BLUEBG Day Bake You podcast, available every 3 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 2: morning on Apple, Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Wednesday, 4 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 2: the twenty second of January in London. I'm Caroline Hepka. 5 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,160 Speaker 3: And I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today. After a brief reprieve, 6 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 3: Donald Trump threatens China with ten percent trade tariffs. 7 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: The new US president launches a potential five hundred billion 8 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 2: dollar plan to fund AI infrastructure, dubbed Project Stargate. 9 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:40,159 Speaker 3: Plus divisions at Davos, bankers cheer talk of US deregulation 10 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 3: as Europe faces being left behind. 11 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:44,599 Speaker 2: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 12 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 3: Donald Trump says he is still considering imposing across the 13 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 3: board tariffs on Chinese imports. Speaking at an event to 14 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 3: the White House, the newly installed US president said the 15 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 3: tariffs could be just weeks away. 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 4: We're talking about a tariff of ten percent China based 17 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 4: on the fact that they're sending fentanyl to Mexico in Canada. 18 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 3: Beijing imposed restrictions last year on production of chemicals used 19 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 3: to make fentanyl after pressure from the Biden administration. Trump's 20 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 3: comments came just a day after he notably left the 21 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 3: world's second largest economy off a list of imminent targets 22 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 3: for tariffs. Trump also singled out the European Union in 23 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 3: comments on Tuesday, which he said was very very bad 24 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 3: to the US, adding quote, they treat us very very badly, 25 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 3: so they're going to be in for tariffs. 26 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: Donald Trump has announced a US joint venture with soft Bank, 27 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 2: Open Ai, and Oracle to fund the expansion of USAI infrastructure, 28 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 2: dubbed Stargate. The project will deploy one hundred billion dollars immediately, 29 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 2: with plans to increase that to at least five hundred 30 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 2: billion dollars. Blue Big Intelligence senior tech analyst man Deep 31 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 2: Singh explains how the money will be deployed. 32 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 5: All these hyperscalers. We know they have spent about two 33 00:01:57,120 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 5: hundred and forty billion dollars in twenty twenty four, and 34 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 5: now think of it as additional. You know, one hundred 35 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 5: billion dollars that will be invested in building compute capacity 36 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 5: and all of it is going to open AI. So 37 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 5: I think that puts them at a big advantage in 38 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 5: terms of, you know, the foundational model players when you 39 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:18,800 Speaker 5: compare them to Google or Entropic or Meta. 40 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 2: As Man Deep Seeing hinted at their open AI will 41 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 2: oversee operations. Initial equity will come from SoftBank, Open Ai, Oracle, 42 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 2: and Abu Dhabi state investor MGX, with a buildout of 43 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 2: the first computing system starting in Texas. The announcement comes 44 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 2: after Trump rescinded Biden's sweeping executive order on AI and 45 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:46,639 Speaker 2: so halting the implementation of key safety and transparency requirements 46 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 2: for AI developers. 47 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 3: Yes, president suggested he'd be open to Elon Musk or 48 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 3: Oracle chairman Larry Ellison purchasing TikTok and a joint venture 49 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 3: with the United States. Donald Trump said the buyer would 50 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,639 Speaker 3: give the half of the company to the US government 51 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 3: in exchange for being allowed to operate. 52 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 4: The deal I think is this, and I've met with 53 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 4: owners of TikTok, the big owners. It's worthless if it 54 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 4: doesn't get a permit. It's not like, oh, you can 55 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 4: take the US. The whole thing is worthless. With a 56 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 4: perman It's worth like a trillion dollars. So what I'm 57 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 4: thinking about saying to somebody is buy it and give 58 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 4: half to the United States of America half, and we'll 59 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 4: give you the permit, and they'll have a great partner 60 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:28,079 Speaker 4: the United. 61 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 3: States to speaking after the weekend where TikTok temporarily went 62 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 3: offline for users in the United States, Trump then signed 63 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 3: an executive order on his first day in office to 64 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:42,880 Speaker 3: extend the deadline for a sale by seventy five days. 65 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 3: The platform's Chinese owner, Byitdowns, has publicly refused to sell, 66 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 3: though perspective buyers hope the Supreme Courts ruling and brief 67 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,119 Speaker 3: shutdown could push it to reconsider well. 68 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 2: Amid the slow announcements on the White House, the president 69 00:03:57,440 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: also discussed the ongoing conflict between Ukraine. Donald Trump said 70 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 2: that he would probably impose sanctions on Russia if Vladimir 71 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 2: Putin doesn't come to the table to negotiate. The news 72 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 2: comes as Ukraine's Vladimir Zelenski praised President Trump's ambition to 73 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 2: expand US energy exports. 74 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 6: Right now, things on our side. President Trump is going 75 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:25,839 Speaker 6: to export more energy, but Europe needs to step up 76 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 6: and do more long term work to secure real energy independence. 77 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 6: You can't keep buying guests from Moscow while also expecting 78 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:40,919 Speaker 6: security guarantees, help and back up from the Americas. 79 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 2: That's just strong Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski, speaking there at 80 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 2: the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davas. 81 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 2: He went on to refer to the US as an 82 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 2: indispensable ally and called on Europe to become more self 83 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 2: reliant and develop its industry. 84 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 3: Netflix as reporters, it's the biggest quote really increase in 85 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 3: subscribers in its history. The swimming Giant added nearly nineteen 86 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 3: million customers in the last three months of twenty twenty four. 87 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:10,840 Speaker 3: New live sporting events and the return of hit Korean 88 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:15,159 Speaker 3: show Squid Game helped the company nearly double the analyst estimates. 89 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde says it's a blockbuster number, and. 90 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:23,279 Speaker 7: They've added on net forty one million more people around 91 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 7: the world over the course of this year. I mean, 92 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:28,359 Speaker 7: this is better than they did during twenty twenty in 93 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 7: the onset of COVID, when we were all suddenly trapped 94 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 7: on our homes and had nothing. 95 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 3: Else to do. He'd ads, it's the last time we'll 96 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 3: ever get subscriber numbers, as the company intends to stop 97 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 3: releasing them. Netflix shares rose as much as fourteen percent 98 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 3: in extended trading. 99 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 2: Now in the UK, the government has asked the chair 100 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:51,119 Speaker 2: of its Competition and Markets Authority, Marcus Block and Rink, 101 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 2: in a bid to show the business world that it 102 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 2: is serious about economic growth. Bloomberg was told that ministers 103 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 2: had been underwhelmed by this EMA's proposals to deregulate Plotomberg's 104 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 2: James Walcock has the story. 105 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 8: There's a new villain in Westminster. Government ministers have been 106 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 8: calling on regulators to give businesses more leeway for months now. 107 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 8: I frustrated with the response. They've decided heads must roll. 108 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:18,599 Speaker 8: It's a close signal from the UK government. It wants 109 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 8: to be seen as pro business and wants to boost 110 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:23,800 Speaker 8: the economy. But will a new face at the regulator 111 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 8: drive new policy in London? 112 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:29,160 Speaker 3: James Wilcock Bloomberg Radio, Well, those are your top stories 113 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:31,480 Speaker 3: on the markets. Yesterday we saw the dollar wiping out 114 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 3: earlier gains to close flat on the day. On Wall Street, 115 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 3: stocks climbed into the closes. The S and P five 116 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 3: hundred rose by zero point nine percent. We mentioned the 117 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 3: rise in Netflix shares. Postmarket treasuries held their rally, closing 118 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 3: seven basis points lower. Today they're holding at that level 119 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 3: four point five to eight percent on the ten year 120 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 3: oil price is slumped. Yesterday WTI fell over two and 121 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 3: a half percent. It's down another half of a percent 122 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 3: this morning at seventy five dollars and forty seven cents. 123 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 3: Elsewhere in Asian trading, we have seen the dollar touch 124 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 3: stronger after those latest signals from Donald Trump about tariff's 125 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 3: on China. The offshore you on as weekend as zero 126 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 3: point three percent versus the dollar as well, and the 127 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 3: CSI three hundred decks of Chinese shares is down by 128 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 3: one percent. 129 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 2: Well, we'll bring you more on Trump's tariff thurdson just 130 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 2: a moment, and we'll also be going live to Davis 131 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 2: to hear what's happening in a pack schedule today. But 132 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 2: another story has caught our Horis had loads of attention 133 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 2: in the newsroom this morning, having boasted about being among 134 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 2: the top players in the world for a couple of 135 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 2: very well known video games. Elon Musk has now admitted 136 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 2: that he has used level boosting services. What a level 137 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 2: boosting are those things? 138 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 3: Where I think that I am one hundred and fifty 139 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 3: years old because I had never heard of this, But 140 00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 3: it is no I know, I'm very ignorant. This is people. 141 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 3: Essentially you pay someone else to play the game for you. 142 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 2: Like that, well, you can pay. Sometimes people are not 143 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 2: sure whether Elon Musk actually paid, or whether people might 144 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 2: have volunteered and done it for free just to sort 145 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 2: of be close to Elon Musk. He he has spent 146 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 2: quite a long time boasting about his proficiency in a 147 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 2: couple of games, and so that's why it has sort 148 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:09,840 Speaker 2: of had it's in the Game of World, It's had 149 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 2: a lot of attention. I'm not an online gamer, I 150 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 2: must admit, but I do love other games, card games, 151 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,240 Speaker 2: board games. I'm totally obsessed at the moment with backgammon. Anyway, 152 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 2: that aside, I think the reason this story is so 153 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 2: fascinating is that it has it shows you a lot 154 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 2: of things, you know, in terms of competition, whether you 155 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 2: think that cheating is worthwhile possible, whether you should do 156 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 2: it or not. 157 00:08:34,200 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 3: Whether whether you show admit to us, yes, admit to it. 158 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 2: Whether it shows something about your real world personality in 159 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 2: terms of your gaming profile or not. I think that's 160 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 2: why it's kind of sparked so much. 161 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 3: Interestingly, I must have discuss this another day on the program. 162 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 3: Let's go back though, to our top story this morning. 163 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 3: Now in President Trump initially focusing tariff threats on Canada 164 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 3: and Mexico, but on Tuesday, the President also discussed imposing 165 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 3: ten percent tariffs on all Chinese imports at the start 166 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:02,839 Speaker 3: of February. An effect on the Chinese markets. We can 167 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 3: discuss further now with Boomberg opinion Columnst. Krishma Vaswani, who 168 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 3: has written extensively about Trump and She's relationship. Krishma, great 169 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 3: to have you on how does China view the threat 170 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 3: of tariffs which now seem to be materializing under Donald Trump. 171 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,840 Speaker 1: Well, to put it simply, they don't want them. They've 172 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: talked in the past about how this is being viewed 173 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 1: as a way to pressure the Chinese economy. But more 174 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 1: than that, they have consistently said, even during the Biden 175 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:34,080 Speaker 1: administration and of course during the first Trump administration, that 176 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 1: the US is out to keep China down. And what 177 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 1: they mean by that is there is a growing sense 178 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: amongst the Chinese establishment that the United States is not 179 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: happy watching China's rise, neither in terms of economic strength, 180 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 1: but also in terms of its influence, particularly in this 181 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: part of the world, in the Indo Pacific. Now, what 182 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,560 Speaker 1: we've seen from the Trump administration is very much to 183 00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:03,680 Speaker 1: be expect. You know, there were campaign promises made about 184 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: imposing tariffs on China, and it looks like those will 185 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: materialize at some point. But to me, what was really 186 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 1: interesting was the relationship that was tied to the export 187 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:19,320 Speaker 1: of fentanyl from China with regards to the tariffs. And 188 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,320 Speaker 1: this is something Donald Trump has talked about extensively before 189 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 1: and something I think he will continue to hammer home 190 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:29,000 Speaker 1: to the Chinese as a way to sort of negotiate 191 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: on the tariffs, as a way to use them as 192 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:33,559 Speaker 1: some sort of leverage to get what he wants. 193 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:38,200 Speaker 2: Yes, indeed, I mean Trump has criticized China's failure to 194 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 2: curb those fentanyl exports to the US. I mean, obviously 195 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 2: the fentanyl crisis has led to so many US deaths. 196 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: Does he have a point, Yes, Caroline, he definitely has 197 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 1: a point. I think it's worth looking back in history 198 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: for this and just to remind our audiences that in 199 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, I believe more than one hundred thousand 200 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: Americans died as a result of drug overdoses, most of 201 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 1: them due to fentanyl, which is a highly addictive drug. 202 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 1: And interestingly, I found this statistic or rather, this piece 203 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 1: of research really interesting. I've written about it before for 204 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Opinion. But a Pew Research Center study into voter 205 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: concerns published in February ahead of the election found that 206 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 1: over half of the people surveyed prioritized reducing the availability 207 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:32,719 Speaker 1: of illegal drugs over reducing the budget deficit and improving 208 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:35,480 Speaker 1: the job market. And that just goes to show how 209 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 1: important an issue this is for American voters. And I 210 00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 1: think that is at the heart of why you're seeing 211 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: Donald Trump saying, look, we need to stop these exports 212 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,440 Speaker 1: of fentanyl from China. He said it before. The issue 213 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 1: with fentanyl exports is, even though the Chinese say that 214 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,560 Speaker 1: they have taken some action, and to be fair to them, 215 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 1: they have. The problem is the roots through which these 216 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 1: drugs find themselves back in the United States, and it 217 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 1: is also through Mexico through a sort of complex network 218 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: of illegal cartels. Now it will be really interesting to 219 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:13,520 Speaker 1: see what happens if and when the two sides sit down. 220 00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: You know, Donald Trump has talked about meeting Siegenpin going 221 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 1: to China. He had a conversation with him on the 222 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: phone last Friday, and I wouldn't be surprised if this 223 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:24,319 Speaker 1: is at the top of the agenda as a way 224 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:27,319 Speaker 1: to say, look, crack down on the fentanyl trade seriously 225 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 1: and realistically, because it really matters to my constituents, and 226 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 1: then we can discuss tariffson trade. 227 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 2: Christmas. 228 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,760 Speaker 3: Also reading your latest piece about Taiwan and how Taiwan 229 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 3: to be thinking about Donald Trump as president, I mean, 230 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 3: is there an opportunity here for the island? 231 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 1: Well, yes and no. You know, I've just been in 232 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:49,680 Speaker 1: Taipei for the last week and it was really interesting 233 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 1: to me talking to a variety of people from across 234 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 1: the political as well as the business sector, and I 235 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: think it's fair to say that most people are very 236 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:03,400 Speaker 1: concerned about a Trump presidency, partly because they simply don't 237 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 1: know what to expect. 238 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 9: Now. 239 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 1: Taiwan, of course, has depended on the United States for 240 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 1: its security. China claims it as its own and has 241 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 1: threatened to take it by force, if not through peaceful means. 242 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: You know, by twenty forty nine is the sort of 243 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:20,239 Speaker 1: deadline that the Chinese have set for themselves. Most analysts 244 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 1: believe it's somewhere in between twenty twenty seven and twenty 245 00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 1: thirty five, so it's not far away. Right, At the 246 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 1: same time, there are precious political pressures inside Taiwan that 247 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: has seen the domestic defense budget paralyzed in parliament. Trump 248 00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 1: has talked about Taiwan having to increase defense spending up 249 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:40,680 Speaker 1: to ten percent of GDP. All of that is in 250 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 1: doubt right now, and so the Taiwanese are basically in 251 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 1: a situation where they have no way to convince Trump 252 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 1: to protect them. One of the things I've argued, though 253 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,360 Speaker 1: in the latest column that you've talked about, is that 254 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 1: if you increase investment into the United States from Taiwanese companies, 255 00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: as well as open up market access and make business 256 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 1: for American companies easier to do in Taiwan, that is 257 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 1: one way to convince the Trump administration that, look, you know, 258 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,319 Speaker 1: this is an island that is worth protecting, not least 259 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:11,600 Speaker 1: because of the massive semiconductor industry there. 260 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:16,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, does that transactional approach then translate into more military security. 261 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,800 Speaker 2: It's a really interesting piece that you've written, Krishma. Thank 262 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 2: you so much for being with us this morning and 263 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 2: talking about the big picture of the relationship between the US, 264 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 2: the new president Donald Trump, and China. Bloomberg Opinion columns 265 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 2: Karishma Buswani. 266 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 3: Well, the announcements coming from Washington are being closely watched 267 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 3: in Davos as well, where business and political leaders are 268 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 3: attending the World Economic Forum. Bloomberg TV anchor Jamani Versacchi 269 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 3: is there and she joins us. Now, Jamana, good morning. 270 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 3: What is the mood among CEOs there when it comes 271 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 3: to the announcements we're getting out of Donald Trump on 272 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 3: the White House? Is it fears over tariffs or excitement 273 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 3: about deregulation. 274 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 9: Yeah, well, it depends which geographically location you're talking about. Definitely. 275 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:01,119 Speaker 9: The American executives we've spoken to are feeling really excited 276 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 9: about the year to come. Yesterday on our banking panel 277 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 9: at the World Economic Forum, we spoke to Mary Erdos, 278 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 9: who runs JP Morgan Wealth and Asset Management, and she 279 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 9: basically said, this is go time. They're ready to go. 280 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 9: They're really excited. Of course, JP Morgan coming on back 281 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 9: of their most profitable year on record last year, and 282 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 9: there's this real feel amongst the business community, at least 283 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 9: in the US, that the administration will be pro business, 284 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:31,640 Speaker 9: pro growth, deregulation or perhaps not even deregulation, but a 285 00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 9: more permissible approach to regulation. All of those things will 286 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 9: be good for M and A activity, liquidity, and deal making. 287 00:15:39,400 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 9: So those are some of the tables for the US economy. 288 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 9: I think from the European standpoint, obviously, the perspective is 289 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 9: a little bit different because of some of the growth headwinds, 290 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 9: but also the regulatory headwinds. And that was one of 291 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 9: the conversations that has come up as well, and we 292 00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:57,480 Speaker 9: can talk more about this, but ultimately European banks were 293 00:15:57,520 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 9: bemoaning the fact that they're on the back foot versus 294 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 9: the US and UK counterparts simply because the European regulators 295 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:07,320 Speaker 9: have decided to implement parts of Basil three, while other 296 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 9: jurisdictions have the state delayed or postponed the decision altogether. 297 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 2: So is there a real fear that Europe might fall 298 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 2: behind as Trump pursues this America First agenda? Does anyone 299 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 2: have any solutions? 300 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 9: I thought the opinion piece that Mark Champion wrote today 301 00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 9: on the Terminal was really interesting because he said President 302 00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 9: Trump and Ursula vonder Len, who spoke yesterday, presented two 303 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 9: completely different pictures of how they see their own economies. 304 00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 9: President Trump, on one hand, was painting this dystopian picture 305 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 9: of the US economy and decline and that he's going 306 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 9: to turn it around. Arcevon Delane, on the other hand, 307 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 9: was talking about the vision that europeads for the future 308 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 9: and the innovation drive, but of course in reality it's 309 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 9: quite the opposite. It's in fact, people are more excited 310 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 9: about the productivity and growth I'll look for the US 311 00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 9: than they are for Europe. I think the discussions around 312 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:05,879 Speaker 9: Europe more long term are these very existential questions about 313 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 9: what Europe can do to boost growth and boost productivity, 314 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 9: and that comes down to investment, right, infrastructure, deregulation of course, 315 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:16,959 Speaker 9: as we spoke about, but perhaps reducing some of the 316 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,719 Speaker 9: red tape and the bureaucracy that it takes to get 317 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 9: things across the line, and to help invest more in 318 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 9: technologies of the future as opposed to industries of the past. 319 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:28,920 Speaker 3: Jaman, I think it's fair to say Donald Trump's casting 320 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 3: a fairly long shadow over this Davos meeting. But of 321 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:35,679 Speaker 3: course there's lots more going on in the world. What 322 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:39,560 Speaker 3: are the other key geopolitical conversations that are being had. 323 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 9: There, Well, there's quite a lot on the Middle East front, 324 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 9: of course, just speaking from my own perspective. I think 325 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 9: there really is this feeling that it's a new dawn 326 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 9: almost for the region, given the ceasefire that's in place. 327 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:56,280 Speaker 9: And we will be speaking to the Iraqi president tomorrow, 328 00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,640 Speaker 9: amongst others in Saudi Finance Minister to take to get 329 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:03,320 Speaker 9: there take on political developments in that part of the world. 330 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 9: But then within Europe, Bloomberg are having a very high 331 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:11,439 Speaker 9: profile conversation later today with President Zelenski of Ukraine that 332 00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 9: is going to be very interesting and high on the agenda. 333 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:17,880 Speaker 9: Zelenski yesterday did give a speech and it was interesting 334 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 9: because he actually sort of took aim at Europe in 335 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:22,720 Speaker 9: his speech yesterday, and he was saying that for too 336 00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 9: long Europe has relied on Russian gas. It's time to 337 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 9: completely reduce that dependency. He also called on European allies 338 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:34,399 Speaker 9: to continue to increase defence spending. So you've got to 339 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 9: think that perhaps his audience is one person, and that 340 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 9: one person is President Trump, who, by the way, will 341 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:45,119 Speaker 9: also be giving a video address to Davos tomorrow. So 342 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 9: there's gonna be quite a lot of political news over 343 00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 9: the next two of four hours. 344 00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. 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