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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Do us prout

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Speaker 1: read enough? There were running again? So smooth, so sweet,

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Speaker 1: slipid sixteen, just glorious execution. Guys, all I'm looking for

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Speaker 1: is sixty percent effort four thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: How shot with that?

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Speaker 2: Shop with mind bog buddy, And that's why you see

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Speaker 2: your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements, the.

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Speaker 1: Most dangerous amount of the planet. Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 2: Shut up, I'm trying.

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Speaker 1: The love.

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Speaker 2: It's left to one the wide eyed drill.

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Speaker 1: Bibews, how old Earth pick that happens? Hello, and welcome

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Speaker 1: back to Wonder Goal, the soccer betting podcast from the

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Speaker 1: Action Network. I'm Anthony Dbundo, joined as always by BJ

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Speaker 1: Cunningham and know Michael leeboff tonight he's out sick, he said,

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Speaker 1: he's out sick, but he may be out celebrating his

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Speaker 1: DECI Matsuyama winning ticket at whatever golf tournament finished on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: so no leave off. But BJ's here. We've got Champions League,

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Speaker 1: We've got Europa League second leg playoffs. We've got some

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Speaker 1: big time Premier League matches with City and Liverpool both

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Speaker 1: now jockeying in the title. Race with your gunners to

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Speaker 1: figure out you know, where they're all going to be

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Speaker 1: positioned come the stretch. Run here. But before we get

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Speaker 1: into the Champions League, we've got four really enticing matchups.

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Speaker 1: It's a reminder that woner goal is presented by Bet

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Speaker 1: three sixty five. Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary.

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Speaker 1: That's why you get more boosts with them than anyone else.

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Speaker 1: Every day they power up the odds one hundreds of

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Speaker 1: bets to give you a chance to win more. They

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Speaker 1: boost specific markets, your winnings and even parlays, and they

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Speaker 1: don't stop there. Keep an eye out for their biggest

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Speaker 1: and best odds with the incredible super boost. Check out

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Speaker 1: these boosts and see why it's never ordinary at Bet

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Speaker 1: three sixty five. As a disclaimer, you must be twenty

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Speaker 1: one or older and president in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia, or eighteen and older in Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem called winning one hundred gambler or win one

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Speaker 1: hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms and conditions apply. So

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Speaker 1: when the draw came out BJA, I think there were

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Speaker 1: a couple of matches people saw as maybe coin flips,

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Speaker 1: but this was probably the highest profile match in terms

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Speaker 1: of two really high quality teams going at it. Inter

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Speaker 1: Milan leaders in Syria, they've started to open up a lead.

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Speaker 1: They're thefit and defending runner ups. They've had all the

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Speaker 1: tournament's success in the Italian Cups and in the Champions League.

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Speaker 1: Recently going up against historically one of the great managers

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Speaker 1: in these competition in Diego Simone. It's a shame, Lee,

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Speaker 1: Bob's not here to tell us all why we should

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Speaker 1: bet Atletico Madrid because they're such a good tournament team.

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Speaker 1: But really it's been Inter that has kind of developed

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Speaker 1: their versatility and their ability to be good in these

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Speaker 1: kind of settings, and they are the ones now that

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Speaker 1: have taken money. Seemingly every time I checked the line,

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Speaker 1: it moves further and further toward Intern, both in the

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Speaker 1: money line and the two advance for this first leg.

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Speaker 2: Be Jack, Yeah, I actually do like Inter quite a bit.

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Speaker 2: In this first leg projected them at minus one sixty one.

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Speaker 2: Obviously the number is rising, so anything minus one thirty

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Speaker 2: five or better is good enough for me. And it

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Speaker 2: kind of comes down to, you know why I like

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Speaker 2: them for this match is similar to how I like

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Speaker 2: them because to win the Champions League, and it's their

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Speaker 2: ability to not only be great in possession and dominate

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Speaker 2: the ball, but to be fantastic out of possession, sitting

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Speaker 2: in a three to five to two usually five at

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Speaker 2: the back. They have only allowed ten goals in Syria

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Speaker 2: six point eight or excuse me, point six to eight

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Speaker 2: non penalty XG for ninety minutes in Italy five point

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Speaker 2: three expectacles allowed in their six Champions League matches, and

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Speaker 2: they are an elite team and can really hurk you.

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Speaker 2: In transition to rom and Martinez are both over a

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Speaker 2: point sixty five x G plus XA per ninety minutes,

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Speaker 2: both combining for almost seven shots per ninety like they

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Speaker 2: are an elite, elite team and really shouldn't be around

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Speaker 2: twenty to one, should be probably closer to the twelve

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Speaker 2: ten to one range to win the Champion Athletic COO

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Speaker 2: Madrid's gonna be without Marata, which is a really big

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Speaker 2: loss for them. Not only is he having a fantastic

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Speaker 2: season in front of net in terms of finishing, he

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Speaker 2: is so good for what they want to do tact

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Speaker 2: He's probably, you know, one of the things we talked

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Speaker 2: about with Marata is why he starts up top for

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Speaker 2: Spain all the time, is because he is one of

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Speaker 2: the smartest tactical forwards in the world. He is so

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Speaker 2: good at pulling defenders out of the way to create

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Speaker 2: space for Griaismon and everybody else, and that's why Griasmon

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Speaker 2: has really been able to flourish without him. They don't

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Speaker 2: really have a striker like him to especially, trying to

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Speaker 2: break down a back five is going to be really difficult.

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Speaker 2: Now you'll probably see Diego Simioni go back to his

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Speaker 2: old ways. I'm sure it'll be four to four to

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Speaker 2: two low blocker. I'll play five at the back and

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Speaker 2: he'll sit deep and he'll try to get a result

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Speaker 2: here in the first leg. But Inter has shown the

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Speaker 2: ability to break down low blocks throughout Syria. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of teams that play deep low blocks. Nobody presses anymore.

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Speaker 2: So they've seen it time and time again, and honestly,

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Speaker 2: Athletic COO's defense really hasn't been as good as it's

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Speaker 2: been in years past. They've been more willing to play open,

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Speaker 2: but one point one xtgal for ninety minutes is the

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Speaker 2: highest they've allowed under SIMIONI since we started tracking expected

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Speaker 2: goals in twenty fifteen, and if we just look at

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Speaker 2: pure expect to gole differential, Athletico is at point five

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Speaker 2: to seven per ninety in La Liga Inters at plus

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Speaker 2: one point two to one in Syria. So by UEPH coefficients,

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Speaker 2: these two leagues are actually pretty similar. So I think

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Speaker 2: Intern is undervalued here in the first leg. I really

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Speaker 2: like them on the money line here at home where

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Speaker 2: they've been fantastic at the San zero and again you

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Speaker 2: probably are gonna see Simeona go back to his old ways.

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Speaker 2: But if he doesn't and he decides to play more open,

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Speaker 2: Inter is going to punish them time and time again

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Speaker 2: on the counter. So I really like Inter here in

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Speaker 2: the first leg. Anything minus one thirty five are better.

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Speaker 2: I think best price you can find out there right

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Speaker 2: now is minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so the market opened here, Inter was like plus

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Speaker 1: one oh five. They were minus one thirty four to

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Speaker 1: advance at one book two weeks ago. The total opened

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Speaker 1: when the draw came out in de Sevenmber at two

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Speaker 1: and a half, and it didn't take long for it

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Speaker 1: to get bet down. I think it's pretty, you know,

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Speaker 1: pretty clear stuff here, right like first leg. Two managers

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Speaker 1: who are generally pretty pragmatic, not going to particularly open.

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Speaker 1: You know, Inter's going to play a very passive defensive line.

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Speaker 1: They're not going to press a ton, but they're very

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Speaker 1: good against presses, so you're not going to see it.

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Speaker 1: Letty come out and really like force the issue necessarily,

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Speaker 1: and so i'd let he does get the advantage with

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Speaker 1: the first leg on the road that like, okay, just

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Speaker 1: get a draw, come home and feel pretty good about

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Speaker 1: your chances. I think what we've seen now is the market.

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Speaker 1: The market has moved on this match pretty substantially to enter.

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Speaker 1: I mean I logged in the app and I talked

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Speaker 1: about it on the last week's show heading into the

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Speaker 1: Champions League that you could bet minus one thirty four.

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Speaker 1: The best price I could find on Interview Advance is

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Speaker 1: now minus one seventy, which is generally where I think

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Speaker 1: it should be. I don't think it should be much

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Speaker 1: high than that. But their price to win the Champions

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Speaker 1: League hasn't moved, and that doesn't really make a ton

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Speaker 1: of sense if you think about it, because this is

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Speaker 1: a huge obstacle, right, like the reason their price so

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Speaker 1: much lower than say PSG or even a buyern at

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Speaker 1: this point is because they have a more tenuous position

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Speaker 1: to advance, whereas right now, I think if you were discussing,

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Speaker 1: like ranking teams most likely to win the Champions League

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Speaker 1: right now, of course Cities won, I'd probably say Arsenals

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Speaker 1: two and I'd probably say Enters three before I even

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Speaker 1: said real Madrader Byron just based on you know, even

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Speaker 1: what we saw last week from those two teams. Obviously

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Speaker 1: Byron more on them later but maybe next week, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna end up betting them in the return.

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Speaker 2: Like I think.

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Speaker 1: The question here though, is inter can beat you in

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Speaker 1: so many different ways. You mentioned it. They have the

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Speaker 1: most passes per passing sequence in Syria. They also have

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Speaker 1: the most direct attacks shots from direct attacks in Syria.

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Speaker 1: They're very good against the press. We talked about that,

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Speaker 1: and they've also been great in these tournaments. Right So

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Speaker 1: they won the cope It Talia this year, they won

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Speaker 1: it last year rather and the year before, so the

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Speaker 1: last two Copa Italias, Enters one, the Super Copa they've

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Speaker 1: won two of the last three years. So it's an

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Speaker 1: inner team that has under in Zogie really developed this

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Speaker 1: excellent kind of resume to respect and even in their

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Speaker 1: recent Champions League losses, like they went out too one

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Speaker 1: on aggregate to to Liverpool two years ago, a Liverpool

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Speaker 1: team that they beat on expected goals, and then they

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Speaker 1: go to the final last year and really played even

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Speaker 1: with Cities. So I think they are well built, not

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Speaker 1: just for this match but for the tournament. And I

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Speaker 1: think if you're going to play them, you may have

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Speaker 1: missed your opportunity now in the match market, just because

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Speaker 1: this is getting like minus one thirty one thirty five.

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Speaker 1: It's like a seven eight percent swing in the last

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Speaker 1: two weeks. But I do think there's a clear advantage

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Speaker 1: they have and marat To being out is a big loss.

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Speaker 1: I think it puts a lot more pressure on Griaisman,

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Speaker 1: who's not going to have a ton of space to

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Speaker 1: operate again in the middle of the pitch against intern

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Speaker 1: all Right, so this is the matchup I'm most excited

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Speaker 1: for Tuesday afternoon. It's going to be a great multi

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Speaker 1: cast day. Like the first week, games were pretty dull.

185
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Speaker 1: In the end, Pipsig Madrid was probably the best one

186
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Speaker 1: and it ended up being like unexciting for the second half,

187
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Speaker 1: and of course you know you get the big Buyern upset,

188
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Speaker 1: but that was a terrible watch, and Copenhagen got smoked

189
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Speaker 1: and PSG like survived because they haven't bape. But none

190
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Speaker 1: of those games were particularly exciting. I do not think

191
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Speaker 1: that's the case with this one. This is the most

192
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Speaker 1: evenly matched in the betting markets. PSB is plus one

193
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Speaker 1: oh five to advance Dortman. You can find like a

194
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Speaker 1: minus one twenty five minus one thirty. I'm not even

195
00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:21,760
Speaker 1: sure I agree with that. I think we need to

196
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Speaker 1: have a conversation about the Bundesliga. But first, you like PSV,

197
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Speaker 1: I also do too. Can the Dutch team make a

198
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Speaker 1: run here?

199
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Speaker 2: Yes? I actually really like this matchup for them now.

200
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Speaker 2: They're running rampant through the arid vs right now plus

201
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Speaker 2: forty nine point six expected goal differential in twenty two matches,

202
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Speaker 2: all averaging close to three expect goals per ninety that's insane.

203
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Speaker 2: Like I know, the AIRDVC is like down once you

204
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Speaker 2: get past ix and who is even down as well,

205
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Speaker 2: FI and ore twenty and al Kamar after those names,

206
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Speaker 2: it's it's very bleak and very bad, quite frankly. So

207
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Speaker 2: they put up, you know, crazy numbers against really bad teams.

208
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Speaker 2: That's why you're seeing this right now. But even if

209
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Speaker 2: we look at what they did in the Champions League,

210
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Speaker 2: they had basically one bad match and or Smow where

211
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Speaker 2: they got beat four nothing, and outside of that, the

212
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Speaker 2: remaining five matches they had a plus one point two

213
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Speaker 2: expect a golden fernial. And I know they had Lens

214
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Speaker 2: and Launce and Saville and their group, which are not

215
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Speaker 2: great teams. But you know, PSV is a team that

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Speaker 2: actually plays similar to you're in klops Dortmund that we

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Speaker 2: saw many many years ago. I mean, you remember Boss

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Speaker 2: was a manager at Dortmund at one point after Klopp

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Speaker 2: had left for Liverpool. It is high intensity pressing, crazy

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Speaker 2: intense counter pressing, and it is quick transitions and it

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Speaker 2: is in your face and if you're not ready for it,

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Speaker 2: they will punish you over and over and over again.

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Speaker 2: This year, you know they've they've They're pressing has gotten

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Speaker 2: so much better. Their pass per defense action went from

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Speaker 2: twelve last year to about ten this year. They're high

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Speaker 2: their averaging about two more high turnovers for ninety minutes.

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Speaker 2: But I know it isn't sound like a lot, but

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Speaker 2: it is actually quite a bit in the grand scheme

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Speaker 2: of things. You know, We've talked about Dormant obviously quite

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Speaker 2: a bit on this podcast, and what it boils down

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Speaker 2: to is their defense still is just terrible. They've had

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Speaker 2: this run over the last few matches where they haven't

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Speaker 2: really played anybody difficult, So now everybody thinks Dormin's back

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Speaker 2: and you know, they're working their way back inside the

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Speaker 2: top four in the Bundesliga. But they only played one

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Speaker 2: team over their last six seven matches that's in the

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Speaker 2: top half of the Bundesliga table on it's Freiburg and

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Speaker 2: they beat them pretty badly. But in the four matches

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Speaker 2: they've played against Bayern, Munich, Leverkusen, Stuttgart and Leipzig, they

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Speaker 2: have conceded twelve point three expectacles and they drastically overperformed

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Speaker 2: during the group stage, allowed only four goals in the

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Speaker 2: Group of Death of ten point six expected This defense

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Speaker 2: is still really bad. And it's funny because they go

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Speaker 2: through this great run and it's just like, okay, well,

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Speaker 2: let's just peak what happened when they actually had to

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Speaker 2: play good teams and they got dominant by stut Guard

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Speaker 2: in the Cup, dominated by PSG in the Champions League,

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Speaker 2: got routed by both Leverkusen and Bayern Munich.

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Speaker 1: It's an Leipzig and SIG as well.

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Speaker 2: There was a red card in there, but still this

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Speaker 2: defense is terrible defending in transition and for a PSV

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Speaker 2: team that's going to just come at you in waves

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Speaker 2: and has so much attacking talent for a Dutch team,

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Speaker 2: I think they are very live here to win. I

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Speaker 2: have them projected as a pretty decent favorite here. So

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Speaker 2: I really like PSV at plus one twenty five. I

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Speaker 2: think they're probably one of the best values on the

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Speaker 2: board this week the Champions League.

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Speaker 1: I agree. I think there is a world where PSV

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Speaker 1: gets done on the break, right, That's what happened against Arsenal.

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Speaker 1: They went to Arsenal on the road first matchup, and

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Speaker 1: they kind of over committed themselves a little bit. They

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Speaker 1: really went for it. They tried to go at Arsenal,

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Speaker 1: and Arsenal really cooked them on the break and dominated

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Speaker 1: that match. And so that's like the scary case. But

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Speaker 1: you're going to hear this narrative, it's like, Wow, Dortmund

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Speaker 1: they won the Group of Death, did they really?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: They were outplayed by PSG badly in both games. They

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Speaker 1: needed like multiple goal line clearances and terrible misses from

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Speaker 1: PSG and the second leg to win it in Dortmund

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Speaker 1: and Dortmund gave up over two x G and a

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Speaker 1: win against Milan on the road they give up over

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Speaker 1: six XG and they're three away matches combined, and then

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Speaker 1: you just talked about it. I mean even the away

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Speaker 1: game again Wolfsburg. I watched the game. There is no midfield.

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Speaker 1: You can run through them with relative e's. It's very,

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Speaker 1: very simple. And you know, I think they've done a

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Speaker 1: nice job getting Matts in and Sancho in to help

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Speaker 1: their attack because they were kind of struggling to fit

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Speaker 1: the pieces together. And now I think with like Sancho,

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Speaker 1: Matts and Molin and full crew, like they have a

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Speaker 1: group they trust and like and I think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: probably score. But I really think PSV the thing about them.

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Speaker 1: You know, most people probably haven't watched PSV play all year.

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Speaker 1: They're one of the most direct extreme transition teams in

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Speaker 1: the world. They don't recycle the ball, they don't keep possession,

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Speaker 1: they don't let they're not gonna let them get set

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Speaker 1: and the biggest weakness for Dortmann is their transition defense,

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Speaker 1: their set piece defense. PSV is elite in transition, so

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Speaker 1: I think that's where this matchup has decided ultimately. And

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Speaker 1: also like the whole conversation about the Bundesliga, because we

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Speaker 1: have talked about Byron a lot and I've kind of

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Speaker 1: waffled on Byron where I'm like, well, like, these results

295
00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:18,720
Speaker 1: don't make sense if you put their Champions League results

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Speaker 1: up in that group with a Copenhagen team that we

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Speaker 1: know is really not that good, with a United team

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Speaker 1: that we've shipped on more than anybody else in the world,

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Speaker 1: probably on the show, and Gala Tassara I who outplayed

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Speaker 1: them badly in one of the two games. We now

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Speaker 1: have a Byron team that had like pretty mediocre underlying

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Speaker 1: numbers in the Champions League and then followed up just

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Speaker 1: like a nothing showing against Lotzio. They could not press Lotsio,

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Speaker 1: they could not frustrate Lotzio. They had their chances, like yeah,

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Speaker 1: they probably should have scored a goal, but they couldn't

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Speaker 1: force Lotsio into real conflict. It was very much like

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Speaker 1: Loatzio attacks and then Byron gets the ball back, and

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Speaker 1: then Byron attacks and they they Peters out and then

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Speaker 1: lot So they were not impressive in that game. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: they lost even before the penalty in the red card though,

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Speaker 1: they were like very mediocre against an average Seria team,

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Speaker 1: so that's another red flag. Let's go down on the board.

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Speaker 1: Leipzig plays Real Madrid without center backs, without Jude Bellingham

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Speaker 1: and they looked pretty average. I mean, they had their chances.

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Speaker 1: They probably should have had a goal. They were a

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Speaker 1: little unlucky, like a weird set police deflection, but they

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Speaker 1: didn't really threaten when they needed to, and that's concerning.

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Speaker 1: And their field till numbers in the Champions League group

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Speaker 1: stage were way down compared to last year. Even in

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Speaker 1: the games against Young Boys and Belgrade on the road

321
00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,000
Speaker 1: home against Young Boy like, they did not control those

322
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Speaker 1: matches the way you would expect like the third best

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Speaker 1: team in the Bundesliga to do it. Then there's Dortmund.

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Speaker 1: We talked about them. They get through the group of death. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I hate the fact that I feel like I'm saying

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Speaker 1: like everybody just stinks. But like Newcastle, by the time

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Speaker 1: they got to play Dortmund were running out like skeleton units.

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Speaker 1: And we don't think much of Milan defensively. So yes,

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Speaker 1: it was a tough group, but it's like, let's not

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Speaker 1: intend they were beating Real Madrid here and they got

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Speaker 1: hammered by PSG in both games. So the results of

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Speaker 1: the Bundesliga in Europe this year are not very good.

333
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Speaker 1: And that goes down to like even Freiberg, who was

334
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Speaker 1: like okay in a group with West ham and that's

335
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Speaker 1: like pretty much it. Like the league is just clearly down,

336
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Speaker 1: and I think it's really hard. The hardest thing of

337
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:33,960
Speaker 1: the Champions League is trying to figure out how to

338
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Speaker 1: wait to teams. We talked about it all the time DJA.

339
00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:38,440
Speaker 1: We go back and forth and we're like, well, you know,

340
00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:42,520
Speaker 1: the coefficients say this, but the coefficients don't know. Like

341
00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,680
Speaker 1: it's really hard to directly assume for that because like

342
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Speaker 1: things can change really quick and like the numbers aren't

343
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Speaker 1: going to pick up on it necessarily. So that's the

344
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Speaker 1: hardest part of the thing we do. And I've come

345
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Speaker 1: into this situation and come out of it and just said, like,

346
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Speaker 1: aren't all of these German teams a fraud except maybe Leverkusen.

347
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Speaker 2: They might be quite frankly, I don't know what to

348
00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,199
Speaker 2: make them Byron anymore. I I want to say it's

349
00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:11,040
Speaker 2: just a bad a bad run. But given how badly

350
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Speaker 2: they were beaten by lever Housen, that doesn't feel like

351
00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:15,440
Speaker 2: a bad run to me.

352
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Speaker 1: Yeah, and that was bad luck. Okay, they created like

353
00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:20,040
Speaker 1: you get a half x G. They lost a bocum.

354
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Speaker 1: Everybody's freaking out. Made you know, it's bad, and it's

355
00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:24,640
Speaker 1: very bad.

356
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Speaker 2: When the coaches mentioned XG, it's very very we're supposed.

357
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:29,080
Speaker 1: To talk about XG, not the contains.

358
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Speaker 2: You don't ever hear a coach, yeah, you know, don't

359
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,000
Speaker 2: ever coach when things are going good talk about it.

360
00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:36,560
Speaker 2: What their x G. No, they never say that. It's

361
00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:38,520
Speaker 2: always when things are going bad and they can't score,

362
00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:41,320
Speaker 2: that's when they bring it up. But no, it's uh yeah.

363
00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:44,159
Speaker 2: So you know, from a projection standpoint, I obviously use

364
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,240
Speaker 2: it with coefficients, but I've changed over the last few

365
00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:51,399
Speaker 2: years and now I start taking overall league transfer value

366
00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,600
Speaker 2: from transfer market dot Com to give it kind of

367
00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 2: more of a like talent level as opposed to oh,

368
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,600
Speaker 2: you know, for example, Italy just had a good run

369
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:01,399
Speaker 2: last year, and you know of the bracket you know

370
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:05,000
Speaker 2: obviously set up for Napoli and ac Milan and Enter

371
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:09,680
Speaker 2: pretty well compared to the right exactly and Fiortina as well.

372
00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:11,960
Speaker 2: So it's kind of like, oh, is Italy good now

373
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,439
Speaker 2: It's like, okay, maybe not, so you know, it's it's

374
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:16,840
Speaker 2: kind of a little bit of both, you know, using

375
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:20,680
Speaker 2: past results and obviously current talent levels. So yeah, I agree,

376
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,119
Speaker 2: Germany is very top heavy too. Like if you look

377
00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 2: at the German table, if you go to FB ref

378
00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:30,280
Speaker 2: and you look at x she differential, it is Leverkusen, Byron,

379
00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:35,120
Speaker 2: stute Guard, Dortmun's like, you know, getting up there after

380
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 2: these like you know, this stretch of run where they've

381
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:39,720
Speaker 2: had to play some bad teams Leipzig and then it

382
00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:43,159
Speaker 2: just completely craters after that. I don't think everybody like.

383
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 1: The top half team like they're exactly you know what

384
00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:46,439
Speaker 1: they are.

385
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:49,320
Speaker 2: You know what it is, Anthony, It's blob. It's a

386
00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:51,959
Speaker 2: blob of teams that is just like some of them

387
00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:55,240
Speaker 2: are like okay, some of them are average, some of

388
00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:56,920
Speaker 2: them are bad. We have a couple of like really

389
00:18:56,960 --> 00:19:00,520
Speaker 2: bad teams like Darmstock and Cologne, but there's just like this, yeah,

390
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:04,480
Speaker 2: and there's just this blob of teams that are just average.

391
00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:07,240
Speaker 2: And so yes, stut Guard, Byron and Leverkusen will just

392
00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 2: beat up on those teams. But what we've seen from

393
00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 2: Byron is when they have to play the really good teams,

394
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:19,320
Speaker 2: maybe they're not so good. Yeah, So I don't know

395
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:20,760
Speaker 2: what to make a Byron. It looks like they're keeping

396
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:24,719
Speaker 2: toucol right now, which I thought, you know, for the vibes.

397
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,399
Speaker 2: I think they should have fired him and brought in

398
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 2: the Rainho because I thought that would have been great theater.

399
00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,359
Speaker 1: I think it's like new manager bounds time. They got

400
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,399
Speaker 1: lights e weekend and they have like Latzio in a

401
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,680
Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Yeah, if the line creeps down to

402
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 1: like one and a half plus money, I'm gonna bet

403
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,359
Speaker 1: them against Loatzio on their return. Like, but I just

404
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 1: think that like when you watch, you know, and it

405
00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:49,280
Speaker 1: all makes sense with Byron right like they're running back

406
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 1: this team. They don't have wingers right now because Coleman

407
00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:56,040
Speaker 1: and Ganabri are out, and they don't really have fullbacks.

408
00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 1: The fullbacks have been kind of injured too, and it's

409
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 1: like everything is just in front of a team. There's

410
00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:04,760
Speaker 1: no conflict that they force in tukele ball, like they

411
00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 1: want control and you're just not gonna control teams to

412
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 1: death in that situation unless you finish really well, and

413
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:16,000
Speaker 1: they have it. So they had a little, you know,

414
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,240
Speaker 1: weird patch where they didn't because if Kane scores that

415
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,440
Speaker 1: chance early in the match agins Latzio, they probably just

416
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,160
Speaker 1: win it. And then we're like, oh, yeah, Byron's fine,

417
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 1: like they blew it in the Bundesliga, but like okay,

418
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,600
Speaker 1: but yeah, no, So I think I'm out on the

419
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,480
Speaker 1: Bundesliga as a whole. I think I'm going to fade

420
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:35,399
Speaker 1: them by betting PSB here. I think plus one twenty

421
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 1: five is so good. I bet them down almost even

422
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:39,000
Speaker 1: money in the first leg. I think they may have

423
00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,479
Speaker 1: problems when they go to Dortmann in the reverse leg,

424
00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:42,679
Speaker 1: like they could easily get pounded.

425
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:45,200
Speaker 2: But yeah, the one thing about PSB is they do

426
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 2: play a high line. So that's the one thing where

427
00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:51,840
Speaker 2: it's like okay, if you're going to counterpress like really

428
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,440
Speaker 2: aggressively and play a high line. I mean, if you

429
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 2: watched Dormant against Newcastle, like that's how they beat you.

430
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,800
Speaker 2: That's how Dorman beat Newcastle was just balls over the

431
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 2: top on the break and scored a couple of goals

432
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,119
Speaker 2: that way. So that's the worry here.

433
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,880
Speaker 1: Sancho game. I think Sancho has to be involved if

434
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:10,399
Speaker 1: they they're going to do this right, because he's so

435
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 1: good as an outlet. And I think you mentioned it right.

436
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 1: They they ambush Newcastle when they lost the ball, they

437
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 1: like repress Newcastle and forced some turnovers. It's gonna be

438
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,640
Speaker 1: PSB is better in possession than Newcastle, so I think

439
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 1: that'll be a challenge for them. But I agree, like

440
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 1: obviously there's gonna be space for dormant time. Listen, I

441
00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 1: mean this is this is the total by the way,

442
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 1: Like I know, it's like a first leg and teams

443
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,400
Speaker 1: are supposed to be cagey and like overs or like voodoo,

444
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 1: Like what how is this not three?

445
00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,480
Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm gonna have to take it.

446
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 1: Woman is playing like a competent team and the total

447
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 1: is two and a half. It's just crazy.

448
00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 2: Doordan matches are averaging like close to three three and

449
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:50,440
Speaker 2: a half bundes.

450
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 1: Right now exactly, and they're and again it's not like

451
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 1: they're playing teams who don't fit the German style like

452
00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 1: PSV is playing Bundesliga ball. They're not. There's no ten

453
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:00,640
Speaker 1: to be in the league, but there might as well

454
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:05,199
Speaker 1: be the great stew guardian and what they do and Dorman.

455
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,199
Speaker 1: I mean they gave up three goals every time they

456
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:13,440
Speaker 1: played do guard. Yeah, yeah, it's a fun one. Let's

457
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 1: shift to Wednesday because we've got a really boring one now,

458
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 1: probably the most boring matchup of this round. Sorry bj

459
00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 1: Arsenal Porto. Much like inter Arsenal taking a ton of money.

460
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:27,640
Speaker 1: Everybody's watching them pile on the goals all week.

461
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 2: Shout out by the way, they can't create from open play.

462
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 1: It is really funny because I was I was loading

463
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 1: up a text to you. It was like a forty

464
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:41,680
Speaker 1: second minute. They had like two shots in the first

465
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 1: Africans Burnley like Lodguard had a nice goal, nice finish,

466
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 1: and they didn't take a shot for like thirty minutes.

467
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 1: And uh, I was getting ready to load up the

468
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: text when they won the penalty, and I was like,

469
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:52,680
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna save the I'm going to save the text.

470
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:53,560
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna send it.

471
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:58,399
Speaker 2: Yeah nothing, by the way, what's that it's after they

472
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 2: went up one, nothing that they didn't get well.

473
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:02,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, but you would expect them to continue to take

474
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 1: shots against the one of the worst teams in the league. No,

475
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 1: they're fine. Arsenal's Arsenal is gonna great. They're gonna win

476
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:11,080
Speaker 1: the Champions League and the Premier League and the Premier

477
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 1: League and they're out of the cup so they won't

478
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:15,439
Speaker 1: win that. But no, no trouble for us all this year.

479
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 1: But they might do the double. It's okay. So anyway, Porto. Now,

480
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,120
Speaker 1: now when you think Porto, you probably think like good

481
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,600
Speaker 1: defensive team, good on the counter. It's not really true.

482
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 1: They're they're a good defensive team, but they can't really

483
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,680
Speaker 1: play on the counter. They're kind of average. They like

484
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: to have a lot of the ball. They get a

485
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 1: lot of the ball in Portugal. They like to just

486
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 1: keep the ball and do nothing with it. Now they're

487
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:38,280
Speaker 1: playing a team who will not let them do that,

488
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 1: who will prioritize control. And I just don't think they

489
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 1: are attacks any good, and that's gonna be the biggest

490
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 1: issue for them against Arsenal, who has the best tack

491
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 1: in the world. According to one of the two Wonder

492
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 1: Goal hosts, they created nine expected goals in six group

493
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: matches against three pretty flawed defensive teams. Right they played Barcelona,

494
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:58,679
Speaker 1: we talked about them, and we're gonna talk about them

495
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 1: in a minute and play shack Tar and Antwerp. Antwerp

496
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,160
Speaker 1: proving to be like the worst defense in the pool.

497
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:12,359
Speaker 1: So they only got nine XG and six matches against them.

498
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 1: That's not great. You'd expect more. They scored a shit

499
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 1: ton of goals. If you look at it, you're like

500
00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:19,919
Speaker 1: all fifteen goals. They were so threatening. Even the games

501
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 1: against Barsa, they struggled to really do much on the break.

502
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:25,639
Speaker 1: They had a couple moments that broke through that, you know,

503
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: like var kind of intervened and said, no, you don't.

504
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:31,119
Speaker 1: You don't get your penalties or your goals. But I

505
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 1: really don't think their numbers in Portugal give me any

506
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 1: reason to believe that they're going to threaten Arsenal here.

507
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 1: I did take some under two and a half openers,

508
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 1: Like the total opened under two and a half was

509
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 1: plus one ten. I threw it in the app. Now

510
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 1: it's like minus one twenty five, one thirty. I think

511
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,520
Speaker 1: that's way too high. I think this total should be

512
00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: two and a half period so you can get plus money.

513
00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 1: It's great, but you're not anymore. So I don't really

514
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 1: like a total anymore. And I think from a side perspective,

515
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 1: it would be Arsenal or nothing. But now you're paying

516
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 1: an extra tax on Arsenal based off of what Like

517
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:09,679
Speaker 1: the vibes are good, No, because they're better now than

518
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:11,600
Speaker 1: they were two weeks ago. Just so I didn't think

519
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 1: they were meaningfully worse a month ago when everybody wrote

520
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 1: them off and said they lost to west Ham and Fulham.

521
00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:18,639
Speaker 1: Like the season's over. They don't have the it factor.

522
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: Like I haven't changed my opinion of Arsenal in the

523
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 1: last month at all. The market has though, which I respect,

524
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 1: but like I think it's kind of gone far to

525
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:30,120
Speaker 1: the point where I'm not going to pay the tax.

526
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,680
Speaker 1: I'm not saying take porto. I'm not taking it. I'm

527
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,160
Speaker 1: you know, let this one sit. You can have fun,

528
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 1: hope on Arsenal wins, to know with the second goal

529
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,399
Speaker 1: coming in stoppage time, so I don't have to sweat

530
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 1: and we move on to the next round. So Arsenal

531
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 1: is so back and so do you buy camp save

532
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 1: the team? That's what I was reading today.

533
00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, Well, I think what has saved Arsenal and what

534
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 2: has made them so difficult is these last three matches

535
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,200
Speaker 2: they're playing obviously a false night they're not playing Gabe Jesus.

536
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,399
Speaker 2: They're playing In the last two it's been Trosar the

537
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,920
Speaker 2: Liverpool match of was Averts, and they have become with

538
00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:10,439
Speaker 2: their fluidity and their build up, insanely difficult to prepare

539
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:15,159
Speaker 2: for because what will happen repeatedly is Trossard or Odeguard

540
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 2: will drop deep and build up and basically create the

541
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 2: box midfield, which you see from Leverkusen, Brighton, Bayern. You know,

542
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 2: all the elite teams in the world. They're trying to

543
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 2: overload the middle middle part of the pitch. Even in

544
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 2: their last match against Brownley, bart Arsenal was basically playing

545
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:34,320
Speaker 2: a four two two two. They once they were dropping

546
00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 2: Trossard and Odeguard so far back that it makes it

547
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,439
Speaker 2: very difficult for opposing defenders to say, because a lot

548
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:42,919
Speaker 2: of teams obviously like to go a man to man,

549
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:44,840
Speaker 2: they say, wait, do we track those guys all the

550
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:46,960
Speaker 2: way back there and get in a really uncomfortable position,

551
00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 2: because if they do that, then what's gonna happen. SoC

552
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 2: and Martinelli are gonna make runs in behind them and

553
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,359
Speaker 2: punish them. And Socca and Martinelli are absolutely complete wingers

554
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,159
Speaker 2: because they can play out wide and one v one,

555
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,360
Speaker 2: they can come in centrally and be inside the halfpace

556
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 2: and finance received the ball play it. You know, obviously

557
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 2: one of them can make a run off the back line.

558
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 2: So you know, if you watch the west Ham match,

559
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 2: you know Arsenal didn't score for about the first you know,

560
00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 2: twenty or so minutes, and west Ham was they were

561
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 2: scrambling in their low block like they were trying so

562
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:18,159
Speaker 2: hard like to you know, obviously, find fine guys keep them,

563
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 2: keep Arsenal from getting overloads. But what kept happening is

564
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 2: Arsenal had had three v twos and build up everywhere

565
00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,160
Speaker 2: in the pitch, no matter where if they went out,

566
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 2: why they went centrally. They were manipulating space and doing

567
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,159
Speaker 2: all that. So when that happens, you know, teams that

568
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 2: like to play passive low blocks struggle for a full

569
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 2: ninety minutes to defend that fluidity. And then the last

570
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 2: few matches Ben White's been inverting into the midfield, so

571
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 2: it's like what do we do, like, how do we

572
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 2: how do we defend this? And yes, there will be

573
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,120
Speaker 2: a match where Arsenal gets called on the wrong side

574
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:50,879
Speaker 2: of variants. They you know, take a bunch of shots

575
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 2: and they don't score, and everybody's going to say, oh

576
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 2: my gosh, the offense sucks again, it's not elite. They

577
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 2: can't score from open play. But the reality is is

578
00:27:57,560 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 2: that they are the most difficult team to prepare for

579
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,399
Speaker 2: World Rune given what they have tactically with them. Obviously,

580
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,119
Speaker 2: Socca has been in great form when they're playing this

581
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 2: false nine. Socca is the one that's getting the most shots,

582
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 2: like he is the one that, like I said, playing

583
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 2: in the half space, making runs off the back line.

584
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 2: He's the one that's going to probably score all the goals.

585
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 2: And guess what, he's in fantastic form right now. So Porto,

586
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 2: you mentioned it a team that you know, you think

587
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,120
Speaker 2: four to four to two low block. Actually the last

588
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 2: five matches in Portugal they've switched to a four two

589
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,920
Speaker 2: three one like they're played trying to play more possession dominant.

590
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,120
Speaker 2: So I think for this match you'll probably see them

591
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 2: obviously sit back in a four to four two whatever

592
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 2: it is, but they actually like to play a little

593
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 2: more of a mid block, kind of a higher line.

594
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 2: They like to condense the space in the middle, so

595
00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 2: that's going to try to help them to prevent Arsenal

596
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 2: from creating that overload and essentially, but as we know

597
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 2: with Arsenal, because they have such good wingers, they're going

598
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,239
Speaker 2: to try to create those overloads out wide and then

599
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 2: get the ball essentially and create obviously a bunch of

600
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 2: chances that way. So if you're wondering why Arsenal's suddenly

601
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 2: scoring all of these goals without his true striker up top,

602
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 2: it's because they have become the most difficult team to

603
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 2: prepare for in the world. You know, Portugal, you know Porto.

604
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 2: They're really allowing point seven five non penalty XCHIEP ninety

605
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 2: minutes in Portugal, which is obviously very good, and like,

606
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 2: you know, that's something to you know, write off. But

607
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,240
Speaker 2: if you look at their three matches, you know against Braga,

608
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 2: Sporting and Benfica, they allowed about one point four x

609
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 2: G and all three of those matches. And then you know,

610
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 2: like you mentioned during the group stage, like they weren't

611
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 2: that great defensively against you know, shock Tar put three

612
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 2: past them in the final match in a match they

613
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 2: had to win Barcelona in the second meeting at barso

614
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 2: they pretty well dominated them. So Arsenal's gonna be able

615
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 2: to control possession. It's how good is Porto in their

616
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,040
Speaker 2: low block. I don't think they're really that good comparatively

617
00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 2: to what we've seen against the good teams in Portugal

618
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 2: and the fact that they were in a pretty weak groups.

619
00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 2: So you mentioned obviously the offensive Porto I mean Tom

620
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 2: to Remy is point two seven XG per ninety minutes

621
00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 2: and getting one point two shots per ninety in Portugal,

622
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,360
Speaker 2: Like that's really really down and bad for him. You know,

623
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,480
Speaker 2: even Nilsen is the only guy that's over a point

624
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 2: three to five x sheper ninety minute. So this is

625
00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 2: not a really good Porto team comparatively to what we've

626
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 2: seen in the past. So I love Arsenal here I

627
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 2: have been projected minus point eighty eight. Love them at

628
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 2: minus poet forty. That and PSV are probably you know,

629
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 2: I really like this Champions Leek slate. You know, I

630
00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:18,600
Speaker 2: have three bets that I feel very very confident in.

631
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 2: So I'm sure it'll end up, you know, going on

632
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 2: the wrong side and I'll look like an idiot, But

633
00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:26,160
Speaker 2: I really feel confident in inter PSB and Arsenal given

634
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: the tactical matchups that they have. Yeah, I like all three.

635
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 1: Two generally, I just think like now, you know, and

636
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:32,479
Speaker 1: this is why we talk about like getting the best

637
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,239
Speaker 1: of the number of matters. These lines have been up

638
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:35,720
Speaker 1: for three months, and I know we just did the pot.

639
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:37,239
Speaker 1: We're doing the pod now. We're talking about it now

640
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 1: because it's happening now. But you could have bet intered

641
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: even money in Arsenal minus one fifteen twenty like three

642
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 1: months ago, three weeks ago, two weeks ago, and I

643
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 1: know limits go up now and more people will, you know,

644
00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:51,880
Speaker 1: sharp people bet into the markets. I feel very good

645
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 1: about our positions on intern at Arsenal from a future's perspective,

646
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 1: seeing just how much market support they're getting now as

647
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 1: we go into this group stage so or the round

648
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 1: of sixteen. So since we've decided that nobody is good

649
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 1: except for Arsenal and ter Porto is not good, Dortmann

650
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 1: is not good, the Bundesliga is not good, let's talk

651
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 1: about two more teams who are just not very good.

652
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 1: Napoli and Barcelona go lock in this match.

653
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 2: I have no idea what's gonna happen.

654
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 1: It's truly the hardest match I think to kind of predict.

655
00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:24,800
Speaker 1: Going back and forth here, Napoli Barcelona Wednesday three pm.

656
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 1: Just gonna be the main screen for me. Arsenal will

657
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 1: have like a corner of my laptop because I don't

658
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 1: don't don't.

659
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:35,360
Speaker 2: You don't want to watch them win six nothing.

660
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: Only that'll be two, So I would not appreciate six nothing.

661
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:41,160
Speaker 1: I can kiss my CLV goodbye if if they lose

662
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:45,960
Speaker 1: six nothing or win six nothing but Napoli Barcelona. So

663
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 1: you got one team who all of a sudden can't

664
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 1: stop anybody, Barcelona, and one team who all of a

665
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 1: sudden just can't score going up against one another. And

666
00:31:57,080 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 1: that creates a fun matchup because you've got Missari who

667
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,320
Speaker 1: might be fired by the time this game kicks off Wednesday.

668
00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:04,640
Speaker 1: There's rumors that he's out. They already have his replacement

669
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:06,719
Speaker 1: lined up. You've got osa men who may or may

670
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:09,160
Speaker 1: not be healthy enough to play this match. Looked awful

671
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 1: at the end of Afcon. Couldn't get our Nigeria tickets

672
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 1: home for ye he was injured. Yeah, and then he

673
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 1: gets a week off, week and a half. Now they

674
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,280
Speaker 1: think he might be back for this match. But how

675
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 1: good is he going to be? That's another big question mark.

676
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 1: And then then it's like a Okay, Look, Napoli has

677
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 1: run unbelievably bad in Italy. From an attacking perspective, They've

678
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 1: scored since December zero point sixty five goals per match,

679
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,959
Speaker 1: creating over one next G per match. They're still creating chances. Obviously,

680
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 1: osa Men missed some time due to injury, then he

681
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 1: missed some time due to AFCON, so that's a big loss.

682
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 1: But they're better than those numbers suggest. And Barcelona's defense

683
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 1: is as bad as it looks. I watched the whole

684
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 1: Vegle match on Saturday. Like their transition defense is awful.

685
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,760
Speaker 1: They don't stop the ball. There is nobody that stops

686
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 1: the ball for the team, Christensen deong Pedri with a

687
00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 1: starting midfield, you're getting no ball winning from them. Conselo

688
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 1: has been exposed as a defensive you know, fullback who

689
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 1: can't defend, and you know, with Tersteagan being out for

690
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 1: a while, like their defense was really bad. And now

691
00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 1: if you look at it, they're allowing more final third

692
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 1: touches than they did last year by fifteen percent. Their

693
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 1: shots allowed per match went from eight point seven last

694
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 1: year to ten point eight this year. XG per shot

695
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 1: is way up and all of these problems Chavi has

696
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 1: never had a tactical solve for, and he's never had

697
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: a tactical solve in the past either, So I think

698
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:33,760
Speaker 1: that's just like the personnel's not good and the defense

699
00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:35,600
Speaker 1: is not good enough, and their leaguing goals left and right.

700
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:40,960
Speaker 1: They really could have conceded multiple goals to Vigo. If

701
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 1: you know Vigo, it was like, you know, it didn't

702
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 1: register in the XG, but there were so many moments

703
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 1: where Vigo looked like they were running at the Barcia

704
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:49,240
Speaker 1: back line with numbers and it was like they just

705
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,239
Speaker 1: missed the pass or they just didn't quite come off,

706
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:54,600
Speaker 1: and that's very self of Vego. But Napoli is a

707
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 1: much better attacking team than that. I think both teams

708
00:33:57,040 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 1: here have success scoring Barcelona on the road. If this

709
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: were reversed where Barcelona was at home in the first

710
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:08,000
Speaker 1: leg and you saw much more reserve defensive Napoli, I'd

711
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 1: be less inclined about this over actually at two seven

712
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 1: to five. But because I think Barsa is on the road,

713
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 1: like they have an incentive to kind of go for

714
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 1: it a little bit with that home leg coming back,

715
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:19,759
Speaker 1: Napoli needs to get a result, so I think you

716
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: get goals in this one, like over two point seventy

717
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:26,279
Speaker 1: five for Napoli Barsa. I think both defenses are a

718
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 1: little flawed.

719
00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I might be there be with it might be

720
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 2: excuse me, I might be with you on that one.

721
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,239
Speaker 2: Be you know, obviously, like you mentioned in Barcelona can't

722
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 2: stop anybody. This is from our pal mark stats. You

723
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:42,360
Speaker 2: put out this box defending in the Premier League in

724
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 2: La Liga, so essentially the amount of the opponent cross

725
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,879
Speaker 2: success rate and your block shots, like how many times

726
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 2: you're actually blocking shots? So essentially how good are you actually,

727
00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:55,719
Speaker 2: like from preventing teams when balls are flying into the

728
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 2: penalty area. Barcelona's dead last between the Premier League and

729
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:02,959
Speaker 2: La Liga. You want to guess who is the best

730
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:06,440
Speaker 2: box defending team, I'll give you a hint. It's a

731
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 2: mid table Premier League team that just pulled off a

732
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:10,320
Speaker 2: massive upset this weekend.

733
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:11,959
Speaker 1: Wolves. Yeah.

734
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 2: The highest percentage of block shots and preventing opponents crosses

735
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:17,479
Speaker 2: into their penalty area.

736
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:19,120
Speaker 1: So it's very very gary.

737
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 2: But the point remains true is that, like you know,

738
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,919
Speaker 2: like you said, Barcelona can't stop anybody, and they can't

739
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 2: prevent anybody from getting into their box. So you know, obviously,

740
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:31,479
Speaker 2: like you said, the Napolete team that has run pretty

741
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:35,759
Speaker 2: bad offensively is going to have their chances. And Barcelona

742
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 2: in possession is obviously very very there's still offense, like

743
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,719
Speaker 2: there's no doubting that. So I agree with you. I'll

744
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:44,400
Speaker 2: probably be on the over here. I might have a

745
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,960
Speaker 2: bet in every every one of those in every game

746
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 2: so far this Champions League.

747
00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:52,239
Speaker 1: So when I went to last week and yeah, I mean,

748
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 1: you know, time to recoups and losses. I know.

749
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:57,800
Speaker 2: That we'll talk about in a second coming up. So

750
00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:00,719
Speaker 2: it's actually pretty fun week it is in terms of

751
00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,280
Speaker 2: betting on soccer. So yeah, I agree with you. If anything,

752
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:05,719
Speaker 2: maybe a both team I don't know, if you know

753
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:07,360
Speaker 2: both teams to score over two and a half, It

754
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 2: sounds a little enticing to me.

755
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 1: Maybe cashed in the looton game and like eight minutes

756
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 1: did and over.

757
00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:15,800
Speaker 2: Three didn't after you know, three goals and signed fifteen minutes.

758
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,520
Speaker 2: But yeah, so I agree with you. I mean, Barcelona

759
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,320
Speaker 2: can't stop anybody. I'm not feeling very confident about my

760
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 2: twenty to one ticket for Barcelona to win La Liga,

761
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 2: although the games two points back this weekend after some

762
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 2: hilarious var stuff and stoppage time against Vigo and obviously real.

763
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:36,439
Speaker 1: Marid like it was a penalty. Was can any team

764
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 1: in the on God's Earth run worse than this Vigo team?

765
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:41,560
Speaker 1: I felt badly over I cashed my ticket and then

766
00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:43,359
Speaker 1: of course the guy was Gita was off the line.

767
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:49,080
Speaker 1: But it was like it was Groundhog Day for Rafa.

768
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:51,719
Speaker 1: I really felt bad, and even the commentator made a joke,

769
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:54,000
Speaker 1: made a comment about it because they've lost like three

770
00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 1: or four matches like in stoppage time on penalties, and

771
00:36:57,840 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 1: then they saved the pen but then he was like,

772
00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 1: way off the line, but only because Levindowsky is like

773
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 1: doing that joke trick thing with like where you stop

774
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 1: fake it go stop again, Like yeah, they need to

775
00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 1: figure something out with that. But yeah, uh we go

776
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 1: down bad again. Played played out played Varsa for most

777
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:16,680
Speaker 1: of that match. I'd say yeah anyway, anyway, I meant

778
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 1: all the man, let's go Europa League quickly. Fun week

779
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 1: for for US in Europa League last week probably the

780
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 1: only thing we won as a group. Uh almost swept

781
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 1: the board. I think we gave out five picks. You

782
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:31,160
Speaker 1: were three in our I s put mine where do

783
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,760
Speaker 1: we go for this week? Now? Total was still below three, which.

784
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 2: That's one of my favorite I watched. I ended up

785
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:41,279
Speaker 2: watching most of that match and was live betting in

786
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:43,960
Speaker 2: like crazy because Galla was getting pumped and after they

787
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:47,240
Speaker 2: scored the first goal against Smart and Prague, uh, Prague

788
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 2: was really taking it to them, and as we know

789
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:53,080
Speaker 2: about that's right, they it's chaos ball. It's like all

790
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 2: ninety minutes, it's just chaos ball. Even they even when

791
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 2: you know they were up to one, like they can

792
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 2: see like literally minutes later they get a red card Nielsen,

793
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,839
Speaker 2: their best defender is going to miss this match. So yeah,

794
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:08,800
Speaker 2: I mean I'm projecting like close to three and a

795
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 2: half goals, so over two and a half is still

796
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 2: sitting at minus one twenty five minus one thirty in

797
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:16,560
Speaker 2: that range. So that's one of my favorite bets. It's

798
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 2: just going to be very back and forth, just like

799
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 2: the first leg was.

800
00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 1: I was kind of like, they're like, I pick him

801
00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 1: at home here.

802
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,399
Speaker 2: I don't really like pet Line. I'll be flat honest

803
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 2: with you. I actually have galatass right at plus one

804
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:28,880
Speaker 2: twenty five. I'm not betting them because they're obviously up

805
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 2: oneing them without their best defender. But there were stretches

806
00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:36,040
Speaker 2: where they were playing extremely open, and I mean they

807
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 2: had a chance to win it. They had a two

808
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:42,480
Speaker 2: on one versus just the goalkeeper and the guy decided

809
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 2: to shoot and it went off Mussolai's face and then

810
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,800
Speaker 2: immediately Galatas right got the ball, got it down in

811
00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:51,200
Speaker 2: a card. He scored the winner from outside the box.

812
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 2: But like there, if he just passes the ball like

813
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 2: that was an easy winner.

814
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 1: I think they played them too. I watched I was

815
00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:00,879
Speaker 1: split screening that with the Nord and I really thought,

816
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 1: I really thought, like, first of all, Fineoid Roma is

817
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 1: going to be an awesome second leg. The first leg

818
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 1: was awesome, really good stuff, and we couldn't get a

819
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:11,000
Speaker 1: third goal, but it was a fun match, and I

820
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 1: think that match is going to be really interesting because,

821
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 1: like you watched the ROSSI set up this Roma team.

822
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:18,920
Speaker 1: It is so different from how they were playing on

823
00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 1: the Marino. I mean that's most managers, but especially this one,

824
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,800
Speaker 1: like they actually were sending the Bala and Lukaku forward

825
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 1: and bringing in supporting runs. They got a goal from

826
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:30,640
Speaker 1: their center back today against frostin On, so they're committed

827
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 1: to playing this different style. I am tempted by Prague.

828
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:34,840
Speaker 1: I want to do more research into it. I did

829
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,359
Speaker 1: bet the over two and a half there. I'm also

830
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:39,279
Speaker 1: tempted by Fine Orid. I thought they played really well.

831
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 1: Santi didn't come on until the sixty fifth minute. You know,

832
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 1: they're kind of managing his minutes a little bit. I

833
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:46,319
Speaker 1: expect him to start in this one for the second leg,

834
00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:48,319
Speaker 1: so that makes their attack a lot better. And their

835
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:50,239
Speaker 1: attack really kicked in a gear once he came in,

836
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 1: so that will be a fun, fun tie. And again,

837
00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:56,160
Speaker 1: I mean like this is the fifth time they've played

838
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:56,799
Speaker 1: in three years, so.

839
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's crazy. And one more I'll give out quarter

840
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 2: back Braga over two and a half first leg, six goals,

841
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:09,759
Speaker 2: five point two expected goals between the two. Braga has

842
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:16,040
Speaker 2: become a very very aggressive team. Exactly, they are very

843
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:17,839
Speaker 2: very aggressive. They have to go to their down two

844
00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 2: goals going to Abaijan, uh so it's gonna be a

845
00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 2: lot of space out on the break. We just had

846
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 2: like a punish in the first leg, so love the

847
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 2: over it and that. So I just kind of like

848
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:30,879
Speaker 2: a little couple overs here, kind of steering clear waiting

849
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:32,879
Speaker 2: for the next round. In terms of betting any money,

850
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 2: lines or anything like that. But as always follow us

851
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,560
Speaker 2: in the action of our cap. Join the discord and

852
00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:41,759
Speaker 2: we'll be obviously, you know, talking through any of the

853
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 2: bets that we make throughout the week.

854
00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:46,120
Speaker 1: All right, we have two prem matches before we get

855
00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:49,120
Speaker 1: out of here. Interestingly enough, Liverpool plays Lowton Man City

856
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:51,920
Speaker 1: plays Brentford. The lines are the same, yep, for the

857
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 1: two matches. They're both laying about two goals. Who would

858
00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:54,560
Speaker 1: you rather bet?

859
00:40:54,680 --> 00:40:55,320
Speaker 2: Is that the question?

860
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 1: That was the question? I think answer Brentford is my

861
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:01,480
Speaker 1: answer to that, because there's multiple ways to look at

862
00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:03,799
Speaker 1: this right these two Brentford and City literally just played.

863
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,680
Speaker 1: We just watched it on Monday night. I bet the

864
00:41:06,719 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 1: Brentford first half team total both teams to score. We

865
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 1: cashed both in the first half. I was feeling great

866
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 1: and they created over one nextg they had eighteen box touches.

867
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:18,239
Speaker 1: It's something I've talked about with the City team for

868
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:20,560
Speaker 1: like a month now, and it's they're just not that

869
00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 1: good defensively right now. The way they're playing, they're shoving

870
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,960
Speaker 1: all these attackers on the pitch. They're not keeping clean

871
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:29,839
Speaker 1: sheets at the same rate because they're more open, they're

872
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:31,719
Speaker 1: more easy to play through, you can keep possession more.

873
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 1: The press is not as effective, and you saw all

874
00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:36,880
Speaker 1: of that on Saturday, Like Chelsea created over one and

875
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:40,440
Speaker 1: a half xg on like seven shots because they're just

876
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:42,120
Speaker 1: good on the break. And if you have guys who

877
00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 1: can do that and you have just you have more

878
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 1: time to pick out those passes and play that one

879
00:41:46,040 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 1: to two combo, you can really get to City. And

880
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 1: I think that's the path. So look, if you played

881
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:55,480
Speaker 1: first half team total with us at plus one eighty

882
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 1: at Brentford a couple weeks ago, how do we not

883
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:01,600
Speaker 1: play at plus two fifty for the first half team total? Right?

884
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,040
Speaker 1: I mean I'm playing Brerdford to score here, Brentford to

885
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:07,880
Speaker 1: score minus one ten right yep, So like that you're

886
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:10,080
Speaker 1: paying a little bit of a tax there now relative

887
00:42:10,160 --> 00:42:12,759
Speaker 1: to two weeks ago. But again I completely disagree with

888
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:15,319
Speaker 1: the market two weeks ago. I still do now. So yeah,

889
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 1: Brentford team totals again, Like, yeah, I don't Liverpool, but

890
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 1: they created a bunch of good chances in the first

891
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 1: five minutes they got done in. I thought it was funny, like,

892
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,279
Speaker 1: of course Brentford give up a goal to Liverpool that

893
00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 1: Brentford has scored on so many different teams in the

894
00:42:28,760 --> 00:42:31,120
Speaker 1: last two years, where it's just a two man attack,

895
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 1: one ball, simple flick header in on goal, finished, and

896
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:36,320
Speaker 1: they that's what they usually do with teams. And I

897
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 1: thought they got a little bit panicky in the second half,

898
00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:42,080
Speaker 1: like they over committed. They really pressed too high. You

899
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:44,520
Speaker 1: can't beat Liverpool at their own game, and that's what

900
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:46,759
Speaker 1: they tried to do. And Liverpool was like, okay, thank

901
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:50,719
Speaker 1: you Nunez in on goal, sala over the top, uh two, no,

902
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 1: three nil, and then it was over. But the Bees

903
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:55,520
Speaker 1: will be live. And if the Bees don't catch the

904
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 1: first half team total, I might add more live at half.

905
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 1: I just really think they're always in this game. That

906
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:02,360
Speaker 1: being said, if you're Pep, how do you not just

907
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:05,520
Speaker 1: roll the same crew, Just roll the same five wint

908
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:08,640
Speaker 1: out there and say, hey, we created three XG almost

909
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 1: in four post shot. Flecking stood on his head to

910
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:14,320
Speaker 1: keep it at three to one. We could have just

911
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 1: won that game like five to one if he really

912
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:20,919
Speaker 1: wanted to, but on better finishing day. So if you're Pep,

913
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 1: I mean, just play the Holland Debryna Foden Alvarez lineup

914
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 1: again with Doku. Worst case Silva comes in, he does

915
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:31,759
Speaker 1: make a difference. But yeah, I think it's Brentford team

916
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 1: totals again. I want no part of fitting the city

917
00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 1: attack right now. Yeah, Holland's worst finishing game ever for them,

918
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:40,440
Speaker 1: for them to not score multiple goals last week, I know,

919
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:41,480
Speaker 1: it's crazy.

920
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:46,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Brentford. Like I said, team total basically

921
00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:51,280
Speaker 2: score minus one ten. You know we're not a trend's podcast,

922
00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:54,520
Speaker 2: but Brentford has scored in their last ten matches and

923
00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:57,319
Speaker 2: they've created over one expected goal. The last time they

924
00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:01,520
Speaker 2: in their last eight last time didn't was against aston

925
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 2: Villa when they went up on nothing and got a

926
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 2: red card in the second half, so they had created

927
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 2: over one expected goal against It changed the city against

928
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 2: all of these teams, and guess what a lot of

929
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:13,799
Speaker 2: that was without Ivan Tony. Since he's been back, they

930
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:17,279
Speaker 2: have obviously looked much much better and the biggest thing

931
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,560
Speaker 2: and then we talked about this on the last Premier

932
00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:22,160
Speaker 2: League episode. You know, teams like Liverpool and Arsenal are

933
00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 2: pressing at an elite level to the point where they

934
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:27,240
Speaker 2: are allowing a very very low long ball completion percentage.

935
00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 2: Cities Press is not elite enough to at least to

936
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:33,279
Speaker 2: the point where Arsenal and Liverpools are, so they are

937
00:44:33,280 --> 00:44:36,880
Speaker 2: allowing a close to fifty three percent long ball completion percentage,

938
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 2: which is in the bottom half of the of the

939
00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:41,520
Speaker 2: Premier League. And as you saw, how did Brentford score

940
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:43,799
Speaker 2: their only goal against Minches City a long ball off

941
00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:46,719
Speaker 2: a goal kick which I was doing some reading that

942
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:50,000
Speaker 2: was by design, like they took it. What Brentford did

943
00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 2: is they took advantage of the fact that there is

944
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 2: no offsides on goalkicks. So Ivan Tony shielded the defender

945
00:44:56,360 --> 00:44:58,399
Speaker 2: and obviously he draws a lot of attention because he's

946
00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,600
Speaker 2: you know, Ivan Tony and Neil Bopai just snuck right through.

947
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:03,839
Speaker 2: Now the ball is perfect, like don't get me wrong,

948
00:45:03,960 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 2: like that. You know, you have to hit the ball

949
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:07,520
Speaker 2: perfectly to get it through like that. But it just

950
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:10,160
Speaker 2: goes to show that like Brentford takes advantage of these little,

951
00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:13,279
Speaker 2: you know, minute scenarios, and obviously they have to do

952
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,920
Speaker 2: that against Manchester City, who by the way, is still

953
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:17,399
Speaker 2: on the bottom half of the Premier League and next

954
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:19,839
Speaker 2: few per set piece allowed. So Brentford does have an

955
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 2: advantage on set pieces here. So there's a couple you

956
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 2: know roots where Brentford can't actually create chances. So I

957
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 2: protected them fer point nine goals in this match. So

958
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:32,520
Speaker 2: to score at minus one ten is pretty close, I guess.

959
00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:35,239
Speaker 2: But I like the value on them. I think that

960
00:45:35,360 --> 00:45:36,959
Speaker 2: they're definitely live here to score.

961
00:45:38,080 --> 00:45:41,799
Speaker 1: Yep, that makes two of us. I will be fascinated

962
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:47,000
Speaker 1: to see what changes tactically between Frank and Guardiola.

963
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 2: I mean, that's been terrible, like they gotta figure something out.

964
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:52,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're they're in trouble there. Commins has been bad.

965
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 1: He was really bad. I thought it was Saturday morning,

966
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,400
Speaker 1: which you know, these seven thirty games I never win,

967
00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:02,400
Speaker 1: so I gotta quite Yeah, I can't quite him. With

968
00:46:02,520 --> 00:46:05,399
Speaker 1: that being said, I have and Tony to score. Don't

969
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,759
Speaker 1: even know the odds didn't even check. It's uh, I

970
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:11,400
Speaker 1: believe one calling me Tony props. Now I'm gonna just

971
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:16,400
Speaker 1: put my marker down too. I love again assume that

972
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 1: I saw plus three eighty to score. Well, So he

973
00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 1: scored in four or five. The only one he didn't

974
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:25,440
Speaker 1: score was against City yep, but again scored and some

975
00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:26,440
Speaker 1: some big matches.

976
00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:28,960
Speaker 2: Plus three eighty anytime both score I have Tony.

977
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:33,920
Speaker 1: Yep, we'll roll again. Doubt Okay, last match Liverpool Lowton.

978
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:38,479
Speaker 1: Now I just talked about this, right, If your plan

979
00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 1: against Liverpool is to try to beat them at their

980
00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:46,719
Speaker 1: own game and like turn this into a chaotic match,

981
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 1: and your plan is also to go to anfield with

982
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:52,520
Speaker 1: this strategy, good luck. That's just my belief on this,

983
00:46:52,800 --> 00:46:55,480
Speaker 1: and yeah, that's one way to look at this. The

984
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:57,480
Speaker 1: other way to say it is, oh, well, like who's

985
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 1: actually gonna play for Liverpool because Trent stillow up? I know,

986
00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:03,319
Speaker 1: I say this like every week and then it doesn't

987
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:07,319
Speaker 1: matter because they score five goals. But Darwin likely out

988
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 1: based on my reading of the situation. Maybe he comes,

989
00:47:11,120 --> 00:47:13,400
Speaker 1: maybe he doesn't start, and if it's like tied late

990
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:15,239
Speaker 1: they need a goal, they'll bring him in. But it

991
00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:16,719
Speaker 1: doesn't seem to me he's gonna play. They've got the

992
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:20,680
Speaker 1: Cup final on Sunday against Chelsea. He's probably out. Diego's out,

993
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:23,279
Speaker 1: So now you're your front three is going to be

994
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:27,279
Speaker 1: Diaz who's been kind of bad, Jack Po who's also

995
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:29,800
Speaker 1: been kind of bad, and Salo who's back now and

996
00:47:29,840 --> 00:47:33,280
Speaker 1: looks great. So you know, does that hurt their attacking

997
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:37,279
Speaker 1: output or is Lowton's defense so bad and the way

998
00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:39,600
Speaker 1: they play so enticing in Liverpool, it just doesn't matter

999
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:40,560
Speaker 1: and they're just gonna get pumped.

1000
00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:44,879
Speaker 2: I think option too is the is what's going to happen.

1001
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:48,439
Speaker 2: I actually do like over three and a half. Yeah,

1002
00:47:48,440 --> 00:47:53,320
Speaker 2: I mean Luton, I mean Rob Edwards has basically just

1003
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:56,640
Speaker 2: kind of said we can't sit in the low block,

1004
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 2: like we just we've tried it. They tried it early

1005
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:02,760
Speaker 2: on in this season. They got ripped apart so many times.

1006
00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:06,759
Speaker 2: So he basically has just said, you know what, we're

1007
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:09,839
Speaker 2: pressing high, we're playing fast matches and we're just going

1008
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:13,080
Speaker 2: for it. And hey, guess what, it's hard to say

1009
00:48:13,120 --> 00:48:15,200
Speaker 2: he's wrong given the squad that he has, like give

1010
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:15,440
Speaker 2: it you.

1011
00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 1: Know in the prem yeah, like and like it doesn't

1012
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:22,800
Speaker 1: get them many point they're probably gonna get relegated. But

1013
00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 1: the fact that they're this close is I mean, he's

1014
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:28,800
Speaker 1: getting applodded off the pitch. After the loss today to

1015
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:33,280
Speaker 1: Men United, the pun the tree, they barely mentioned United.

1016
00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:36,759
Speaker 1: They all it was was, well, you know, looting at Robed.

1017
00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:39,200
Speaker 1: We're just doing a hell of a job. Look a passion,

1018
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:43,600
Speaker 1: the quality you know, they're they they played six Big

1019
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:45,600
Speaker 1: six teams and five of them were within a goal

1020
00:48:45,640 --> 00:48:46,560
Speaker 1: and one of them was a draw.

1021
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:48,120
Speaker 2: But what exactly like.

1022
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:49,759
Speaker 1: They have that's a good point.

1023
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:55,040
Speaker 2: They have played everybody, you know, essentially tough. Now, you know,

1024
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 2: if you look at their last few matches, I think

1025
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:01,880
Speaker 2: the last you know, especially the matches you know, against

1026
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:06,520
Speaker 2: against Brighton and against Newcastle, they have identified that like

1027
00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 2: we're just pressing high and it doesn't really matter if

1028
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:11,080
Speaker 2: the team is a good build up team or a

1029
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:13,240
Speaker 2: bad build up team, Like we are just pressing intensely

1030
00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:15,320
Speaker 2: and that's what we're doing and we're going for it

1031
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:19,400
Speaker 2: and it just creates these incredibly high event matches. But

1032
00:49:19,440 --> 00:49:23,040
Speaker 2: guess what when Lowton is also in possession and they have,

1033
00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:25,359
Speaker 2: you know, the ability to actually be on the ball,

1034
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 2: like they are dangerous, throwing in crosses and set pieces

1035
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:31,719
Speaker 2: and everything. In Liverpool they have kind of struggled with those.

1036
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:34,320
Speaker 2: Allison is also still out, so you have a backup

1037
00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:36,520
Speaker 2: goalkeeper in which is you know obviously is a downgrade.

1038
00:49:36,960 --> 00:49:41,800
Speaker 2: So there are paths where Lowtontown hand hit Liverpool on

1039
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 2: the break here. But again, like there is a scenario

1040
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:48,600
Speaker 2: where Liverpool just puts four past them and it's an

1041
00:49:48,640 --> 00:49:52,719
Speaker 2: absolute route, especially at the infield. So there's four point

1042
00:49:52,760 --> 00:49:55,480
Speaker 2: two goals for this match, Anthony, and I don't think I'm.

1043
00:49:55,360 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 1: That wrong, So I actually don't agree. I don't disagree.

1044
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:00,279
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously it like depends of Nunez can go

1045
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:01,200
Speaker 1: or not and how fit he is.

1046
00:50:02,080 --> 00:50:05,239
Speaker 2: But Solomaniac is obviously huge, Like that is that is

1047
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:07,080
Speaker 2: you know, if he was if he was also out

1048
00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:10,800
Speaker 2: alongside Nunias, and then it's like, okay, then we're starting

1049
00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:13,440
Speaker 2: Harvey Elliott DZ and gackpo up top Like that's not

1050
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:17,200
Speaker 2: It's still it's okay, but like it's not as comparatively

1051
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:19,399
Speaker 2: to be fine.

1052
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:23,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, So I think you bet every looton over. I

1053
00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:25,640
Speaker 1: was updating our spreadsheet on best bets. You're You've had

1054
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:27,120
Speaker 1: looten over like five straight weeks.

1055
00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:28,279
Speaker 2: I'm gonna keep doing it.

1056
00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 1: Any of them you pushed today it was unlucky and

1057
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 1: you haven't lost any of them, so why not keep

1058
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:35,600
Speaker 1: the trend going? I generally, I mean, you would have

1059
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 1: to do a lot of things to get me to

1060
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,480
Speaker 1: bet under in this game. So if you gave me four,

1061
00:50:40,560 --> 00:50:43,640
Speaker 1: I still think about it, Probably not bet the under uh,

1062
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:45,759
Speaker 1: just because of how insane these matches have been with

1063
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:49,200
Speaker 1: Luton and you know, we haven't seen them play like

1064
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:53,320
Speaker 1: the elite elite with this new approach yet. They played Newcastle,

1065
00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 1: they played Brighton. I'm curious to see what this looks

1066
00:50:57,040 --> 00:50:59,120
Speaker 1: like against like one of the three big boys. They

1067
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:01,560
Speaker 1: also didn't go to Arsenal yet, right, and they haven't

1068
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:02,279
Speaker 1: gone to City yet.

1069
00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:05,880
Speaker 2: Correct, they haven't gone They have not gone to Tottenham

1070
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:08,080
Speaker 2: yet either. That match you should set the total at

1071
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:09,080
Speaker 2: four and.

1072
00:51:09,120 --> 00:51:12,160
Speaker 1: A half and seriously, like they haven't gone on the

1073
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 1: road against these top tier attacking teams yet. Yeah, so

1074
00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:20,799
Speaker 1: let's uh, let's see how that goes. I'm excited to see.

1075
00:51:21,200 --> 00:51:23,880
Speaker 1: Then again, there's no better spot to catch Liverpool, right

1076
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:27,680
Speaker 1: like off a big win Cup final loading injury concerns

1077
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:32,279
Speaker 1: both ends of the pitch, so if like a good

1078
00:51:32,320 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 1: half and they also staggered it a little bit, so

1079
00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:38,080
Speaker 1: we get like thirty good minutes before for Napoli Bars

1080
00:51:38,160 --> 00:51:40,680
Speaker 1: on Wednesday, so that would be a little jouable watch.

1081
00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:43,399
Speaker 1: And this has been an enjoyable show and we will

1082
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:46,720
Speaker 1: be back on Thursday morning to preview the full Premier

1083
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:49,160
Speaker 1: League slate. So another good one. We got a Cup

1084
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:53,080
Speaker 1: final this weekend to discuss and is Chelsea back. Some

1085
00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:56,960
Speaker 1: people are saying yes, not me, and we were discussing

1086
00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 1: all of those matches on Thursday morning. Thanks again to

1087
00:52:00,160 --> 00:52:02,440
Speaker 1: j Cunningham, Thanks again to our sponsor Bet three sixty five.

1088
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:05,839
Speaker 1: Hope everybody enjoyed it. Hope everybody enjoys a great Champions League.

1089
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 1: Hopefully we win some this week and we will be

1090
00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:18,080
Speaker 1: back on Thursday, So thank you everybody. Action Network reminds

1091
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:22,000
Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care

1092
00:52:22,040 --> 00:52:25,160
Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four

1093
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:27,200
Speaker 1: to seven at one eight hundred gambler