1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to the Monday edition of The Clay Travis 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:09,680 Speaker 1: and Buck Sexton Show. Iran Iran, Iran very much the 3 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: center of the news and information space right now. People 4 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 1: focused in our whole range of aspects of the campaign 5 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:22,920 Speaker 1: in Iran. We're not calling it a war. It is 6 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: ongoing strikes overseas, kinetic activity kind of like a war. 7 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 1: But we are seeing now concerns over the Strait of 8 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 1: Hormus rising. We had card Island was hit over the 9 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: weekend by US. It's where they refined the oil, and 10 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: we didn't hit the oil infrastructure. We're hitting military targets. 11 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,840 Speaker 1: Is the latest on this, but showing that we can 12 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 1: hit that island if we choose to do so. Trump 13 00:00:56,480 --> 00:01:00,080 Speaker 1: is speaking about the mission set here, talking about what 14 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 1: the plan is. People are asking more and more questions 15 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: about this. The oil price is something that you're going 16 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: to be watching in the days ahead, and it is 17 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,919 Speaker 1: likely to go up considerably as you have a major 18 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:17,479 Speaker 1: bottleneck at the straight of Horne moves because ships do 19 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 1: not want to enter. Nobody wants to be the first 20 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 1: oil tanker to get blown to smithereens by Iranian missiles drones. 21 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: They have a whole bunch of stuff, Clay. I believe 22 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: at the narrowest the straight of horn Moves is three 23 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 1: miles across. That is a puddle. For the purposes of 24 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: military targeting and technology of today, I mean that is 25 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 1: couldn't be any easier. There's no oh we're gonna you know, 26 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: back in the day and the age of wooden ships 27 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: in sail, maybe you could try to make a run 28 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: for it across a three mile No. So there's a 29 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: lot of concern over this one. The Energy Secretary talking 30 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: about short term price disruption and Trump saying the mission 31 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: is getting more and more accomplished. But well, also there 32 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: were the oscars last night. We'll just make fun of 33 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: them because it was really sad the Oscars. Sad watch 34 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: exclamations at all the last ten minutes, because Carrie wanted 35 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: to the last ten minutes, yes, to. 36 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 2: See what I'm gonna be honest, I did not watch 37 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 2: a single moment. I don't even think I've seen hardly 38 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 2: a clip. I watched the World Baseball Classic, which was fantastic, 39 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:27,959 Speaker 2: but I didn't even watch a single minute. I haven't 40 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 2: seen anything. 41 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 1: We will get into that stuff later because I know 42 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: many of you will start groaning rightfully, So if we 43 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: talk Oscars instead of Iran, because this is actually important. 44 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: The Oscars is only worth talking about because it is 45 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: so clearly unimportant. Now it's pretty funny, all right, Let's 46 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 1: look at where we are at this. First of all, 47 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: play straight of war moves. Caroline Levitt spoke out about 48 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: where the administration on the is on this. When this 49 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: is cut one from the White House, listen to where 50 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: things stand hit it. 51 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 3: Yes, the President is speaking with our allies in Europe 52 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 3: and also many of our partners in the Gulf and 53 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:02,080 Speaker 3: Arab world. I encourage them to step up, to do 54 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 3: more to open the strait of her moves, and our 55 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 3: NATO allies especially need to step up. Look, President Trump 56 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 3: has been very frank with our friends in NATO for 57 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 3: a very long time. He got them to increase their 58 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 3: defense spending up to five percent, and now he's calling 59 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 3: on them to do the right thing because again the 60 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 3: United States of America is leading the way not just 61 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,679 Speaker 3: to support and protect our American assets and bases in 62 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 3: the Middle East, but also to defend Europe in the 63 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 3: Middle East and the rest of the world from the 64 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 3: rogue Iranian regime from obtaining a nuclear bomb play. 65 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: The anti Trump media very happy with so far, places 66 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 1: like Germany putting out very clear statements saying things like, 67 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 1: this is not our war, we did not start it, 68 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 1: we are not getting involved in it. Trump administration still 69 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: trying to get more allies outside of the immediate allies 70 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 1: in the region on board. How do you think this 71 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: is going? I mean we're starting to get into how 72 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: do you think this is going territory? And how long 73 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 1: is this going to keep going. 74 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 2: I think it's gone incredibly well, and I understand people 75 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 2: out there was I finished my book in North Africa, 76 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 2: which I encourage everybody to read. I encourage more historic 77 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 2: history reading. I had a lot of time here. I 78 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:21,799 Speaker 2: read the Elon Musk Walter Isaacson huge biography over the weekend. 79 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 2: So I've just been basically reading down here in Florida. 80 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 2: And I think there is an expectation that military attacks 81 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 2: costs no lives and are immediately successful, or you're going 82 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 2: to now attack people for being involved in them. And look, 83 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:47,039 Speaker 2: we've lost thirteen lives. I wish that there had not 84 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 2: been any loss of life at all, but I think 85 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 2: relative to what we have accomplished, that is a cost 86 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:59,280 Speaker 2: that I think if the United States had been modeling this, 87 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 2: they would have said, hey, we expect for Iran to 88 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 2: be more successful than they have been in terms of 89 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 2: implementing casualties. And again that doesn't mean that you want 90 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:11,920 Speaker 2: or don't think casualties are significant. It's just in all 91 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 2: of this buck you model out what we did in Iraq, 92 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 2: there were thousands and thousands of casualties of a very 93 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 2: significant nature, and I would argue we had a pinprick 94 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 2: of the immediate success that we have seen here. I 95 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 2: actually think that if necessary, we should say we talked 96 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 2: about this, and then we saw the attacks on the 97 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 2: Carge Island. We talked about this on Friday. I actually 98 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 2: think putting boots on the ground on Carge Island and 99 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 2: letting Iran know we now control all of your oil 100 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:47,840 Speaker 2: is not an awful choice. And I understand some people 101 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 2: out there get nervous about this, but I don't think 102 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:55,040 Speaker 2: Iran has any ability to strike back really against us. 103 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 2: I think if you look at what we have done 104 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 2: in terms of inter dating the drones and the missiles 105 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:06,600 Speaker 2: that Iran has has been able to fire, we're down 106 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 2: ninety or ninety five percent in their capability. They have 107 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:15,119 Speaker 2: just been firing them scattershot. There's been very limited success rates. 108 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 2: And if you think that the way Iran responded to 109 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 2: this doesn't make you think even more, boy, I'm glad 110 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 2: they don't have nuclear weapons because they've been so haphazard 111 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 2: and so reckless in the way that they've used the 112 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 2: weaponry that they do have. I actually think if you 113 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 2: had to give a grade. And I know we're still 114 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 2: in the early days of this couple of weeks in hey, 115 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 2: I suspect, and I suspect that this has always been 116 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 2: the plan, buck that the expectation was they would be 117 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 2: done before President Trump went to China, and I still 118 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 2: feel like that is likely to be the case. 119 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:52,480 Speaker 1: And so. 120 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 2: Iran knows now that we can strike them at any 121 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 2: point in time, that we can kill anybody in their 122 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 2: country that we decide to. There are now stories coming 123 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:05,280 Speaker 2: out that nobody has any idea where moch tebah Kamine is. 124 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 2: He may be gay. Uh fascinating. 125 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: I thought you were gonna you were gonna really make 126 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: a thing of this, because we're now at the place 127 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 1: where he may not be alive. And Trump was apparently 128 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 1: briefed on mouch Tiba was considered to be a bad 129 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:30,119 Speaker 1: leader to follow up for coming in by his dad, 130 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 1: by his own father, and it is believed that Mochtiba 131 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 1: is gay. Yes, not not that there's anything wrong with that, 132 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 1: but in Iran that that could be an issue. 133 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 2: Now. To be fair, this is also uh probably successful 134 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 2: intelligence propaganda even if it were not true, because I 135 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 2: would imagine most Iranians who are religious do not want 136 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 2: a gay Ayatola. Just tossing it out there doesn't seem 137 00:07:57,760 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 2: to me like Iran is a very progressive country when 138 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 2: it comes to gay rights. I'll just I think that's 139 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:05,120 Speaker 2: a fair assessment. 140 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:09,840 Speaker 1: Their robes may get much more fashionable. They you know 141 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:11,640 Speaker 1: what I'm saying, There could be some upside here. 142 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 2: This is this is a great point, Like we could 143 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 2: have a rainbow Iranian uh uh you know burka, that 144 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 2: would be glorious. 145 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 1: The decors of the Tehran Palace probably gonna get a 146 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 1: whole lot nicer, musing. 147 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 2: Music probably gonna improve. 148 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:33,839 Speaker 1: Just gonna say, I'm just saying there's gonna there there's 149 00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 1: some real upside here that Muchtaba's detractors may not see. 150 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: That would just be very possible, depending on whether or 151 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: not this, this rumor is true. But back to the 152 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:51,679 Speaker 1: realities here of the Iran conflict. I think that this 153 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:54,200 Speaker 1: is gonna drag. I believe that this will be over 154 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 1: before April fools. That's my sense right now. So I 155 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: think it'll be this month and this month only. And 156 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:03,079 Speaker 1: what's going to happen is Trump is going to wake up. 157 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 1: We're going to find a way. The biggest challenge I 158 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 1: think right now is to get ships going back to 159 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:11,680 Speaker 1: the Strait of war moves. And as much as we've 160 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 1: decimated the infrastructure of the Iranian military, you don't need 161 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: to have much. It's an oil tanker across a choke 162 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 1: point like this is not a hard thing to hit 163 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:26,599 Speaker 1: for any any military outfit. So once we get the 164 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: boats flowing through again, I think Trump's gonna wake up 165 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,960 Speaker 1: and say, Okay, we taught them a less ad mission accomplished. 166 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:35,800 Speaker 1: We'll talk to them at some point in the future 167 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 1: about when they're willing to be a normal country, and 168 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: that'll be that. I think that's where this is most 169 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: likely heading. Do you've noticed you're hearing nothing about some 170 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 1: spontaneous uprising, some opposition taking over. Regime change is not 171 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 1: even in the discussion really right now, it's just not 172 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: I'm not seeing anything about it, not hearing anything about it. 173 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, and again, this is the question we've asked, and 174 00:09:57,559 --> 00:09:59,959 Speaker 2: I do think it's a significant one. Leave us high 175 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 2: the fact that the gay Ayatola may be in charge. 176 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 2: I think there's a real question about whether he's alive. 177 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 2: And I would continue to echo the questions that we 178 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 2: asked last week, which is, to what extent are they 179 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 2: using him as a figurehead to try to protect other 180 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 2: people who may be actually making decisions in Iran. 181 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 1: Trump's talking about it right now. Let's go him live 182 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 1: for a few minutes. You can hear from the president himself. 183 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 1: Go live, go to it. 184 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 4: A wonderful group of very very smart, talented patriots at 185 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 4: this table are powerful military campaign to end the threats 186 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 4: posed by the Iranian regime continued in full force over 187 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 4: the past few days. They have been literally obliterated. The 188 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 4: air force is gone, the navy is gone. Many many 189 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:58,560 Speaker 4: ships have been sunk. They're war fighting ships, but I 190 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:02,720 Speaker 4: guess they didn't know how to use them, and anti 191 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 4: aircraft is decimated, their radar is gone, and their leaders 192 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 4: are gone. 193 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 5: Other than that, they're doing quite well. They've been a terra. 194 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 4: For forty seven years, and now I guess the world 195 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 4: through the United States, with the help of Israel, is 196 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,320 Speaker 4: doing what should have been done many years ago. 197 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,200 Speaker 5: Should have been done many years ago. 198 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 4: Since the beginning of the conflict, we've struck more than 199 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:38,520 Speaker 4: seven thousand targets across Iran, and these have been mostly 200 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:44,840 Speaker 4: commercial and military targets. We've achieved a ninety reduction in 201 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 4: their ballistic missile launches and a ninety reduction in drone attacks. 202 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:53,439 Speaker 5: The missiles are trickling. 203 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 4: In now at very low levels because they don't have 204 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:04,960 Speaker 4: too many missiles. We've also attacked the manufacturing plants where 205 00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:08,240 Speaker 4: the places where they manufacture the missiles and the drones, 206 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 4: and that's going on today. We just hit three of 207 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 4: them today and it's getting very hard for them to manufacture. 208 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 4: More than one hundred Iranian naval vessels have been sunk 209 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 4: or destroyed over the last week and a half. It 210 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,520 Speaker 4: has to be some kind of a record. Additional strikes 211 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 4: continue to launch from all directions every single hour. As 212 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 4: you know, we attacked Cargo Island and knocked it, knocked 213 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 4: it literally destroyed everything of the island except for the 214 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 4: area where the oil is. I call it the pipes. 215 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:48,319 Speaker 4: We left the pipes. We didn't want to do that, 216 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 4: but we will do that. We can do that on 217 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:55,959 Speaker 4: five minutes notice, it'll be over. But for purposes of 218 00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:01,400 Speaker 4: someday rebuilding that country, I guess the right thing, but 219 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 4: it may not stay that way. Just one simple word 220 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 4: and the pipes will be gone to but it will 221 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 4: take a long time to rebuild that. We are aggressively 222 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 4: dismantling Orens defense industrial base and ability to rebuild its 223 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 4: missiles and drone capability is getting down to close to zero, 224 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 4: and we're hammering their capacity to threaten commercial shipping in 225 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 4: the Strait of Hormos. With more than thirty mine laying 226 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 4: ships destroyed. We hit, to the best of our knowledge, 227 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,199 Speaker 4: all of their mind laying ships. Now they can put 228 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 4: them on other types of ships, I guess, and drop 229 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 4: them in, But we don't know that any have even 230 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 4: been dropped in. We're not sure that any have been. 231 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 4: That's a big negative for them. If they do, it's 232 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:49,959 Speaker 4: a form of suicide. But we don't know that they 233 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 4: have dropped any. But we've hit all thirty of their 234 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 4: ships and destroyed them. 235 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:57,480 Speaker 5: They're all at the bottom of the sea. 236 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 4: We strongly encourage other nations whose economies depend on the 237 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 4: Strait far more than ours. You know, we get less 238 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:10,079 Speaker 4: than one percent of our oil from the Strait, and some. 239 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 5: Countries get much more. 240 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:15,320 Speaker 4: Japan gets ninety five percent, China gets ninety percent, many 241 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 4: of the Europeans. 242 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 5: Get quite quite a bit. 243 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 4: South Korea gets thirty five percent. So we want them 244 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 4: to come and help us with the Strait. We have 245 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 4: it in very good shape. The countries, I said, we've 246 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 4: already taken care of Iran, but now because of the 247 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 4: fact that literally a single terrorist can put something in 248 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 4: the water, or shoot something, or shoot a missile, a 249 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 4: small missile, and it's fairly close range because it is 250 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 4: a tight area, and which is one of the reasons 251 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 4: they've always used that as a weapon. 252 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:50,560 Speaker 5: Iran has always. 253 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 4: Used that as an economic weapon. 254 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 1: And we're going to come back here in a second 255 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 1: to bring you the highlights of what Trump is saying. 256 00:14:57,680 --> 00:14:59,800 Speaker 1: But you notice there straight of war moves. That is 257 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 1: that is the focal point. That is what we are 258 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 1: looking at for today. Imagine this scenario and how frustrating 259 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 1: it is. You have a tax refund coming from the IRS. 260 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 1: You get your paperwork on time you file your return. 261 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 1: Weeks later, you get a letter from the IRS stating 262 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 1: they've already received your return and sent the refund. How 263 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 1: is that possible, Well, because cyber hackers are stealing info 264 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 1: and illegally filing returns with your name but their address 265 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: to get the refund ahead of you. Every year, IRS 266 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,680 Speaker 1: can expect as many as a million tax returns are 267 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 1: filed by cyber criminals. This year is no different. If 268 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 1: you're the victim of identity theft, it's up to you 269 00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: to prove that to the IRS. So it's really important 270 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: to understand how cybercrime and identity theft are affecting our lives, 271 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: just like it's important you know how to protect your 272 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 1: online identity. It's best done with a LifeLock membership. LifeLock 273 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 1: monitors millions of data points a second for risk to 274 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,280 Speaker 1: your identity. That's how they discover your identity is in 275 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 1: the wrong hands. When LifeLock sees it, they're in touch 276 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: with you quickly to confirm whether you have a problem, 277 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 1: and if you do become a victim of identity theft, 278 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 1: a dedicated US based restoration specialist will fix it guaranteed 279 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 1: or your money back. It's easy to help protect yourself 280 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 1: with LifeLock. Join now say forty percent off your first 281 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 1: year with my name. Buck is your promo code. Call 282 00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 1: one eight hundred LifeLock or go online to LifeLock dot 283 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:12,720 Speaker 1: com use promo code buck for forty percent off. Terms apply. 284 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 5: You ain't imagining it. The world has gone insane. 285 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 2: Reclaim your sanity with Clay and find Find them on 286 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 2: the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. 287 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 2: Welcome back in Clay Travis buck Sexton Show. President Trump 288 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 2: addressing the media right now. Will continue to keep updates 289 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,760 Speaker 2: on that and the meantime. President Trump has also just 290 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 2: posted this. Susie Wilds, the chief of staff of the 291 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:46,120 Speaker 2: White House and the person who led President Trump's campaign 292 00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty four. I'm reading from President Trump's post, 293 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 2: has been diagnosed with early stage breast cancer. Has decided 294 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 2: to take on this challenge immediately. She has a fantastic 295 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 2: medical team, her prognosis is excellent. During the treatment, she 296 00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 2: will be spending virtually full time at the White House. 297 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 2: And he says that that is an incredible testament to 298 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 2: her and tells you everything you need to know about her. 299 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 2: Susie as one of my closest and most important advisors, 300 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 2: tough and deeply committed to serving the American people. She 301 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,240 Speaker 2: will soon be better than ever. Milania and I are 302 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:23,760 Speaker 2: with her in every way look forward to working with 303 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,359 Speaker 2: her on many big and wonderful things happening for the 304 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,439 Speaker 2: benefit of the country. But I do think this is 305 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:32,000 Speaker 2: significant Buck, because I mean, first of all, everybody should 306 00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 2: be praying for Susie Wiles as she is dealing with 307 00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 2: breast cancer. I would imagine it's gonna be very difficult 308 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 2: for her to keep up the same schedule, because in general, 309 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 2: the White House schedules are incredibly difficult in terms of 310 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 2: hours and stress. And for those of you who have 311 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 2: ever gone through any form of chemotherapy, you know what 312 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:58,680 Speaker 2: that takes away from you. And so we will keep 313 00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 2: you updated on that she's in our prayers. I want 314 00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:06,119 Speaker 2: to also tell you Eerie Home is doing an amazing 315 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:10,280 Speaker 2: job of putting in as many different roofs as they can. 316 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 2: You can save up to twelve hundred dollars by getting 317 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 2: hooked up with Eerie Home right now. Fifty year transferable 318 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:22,120 Speaker 2: warranty on your home, so if you sell your home, 319 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 2: you're providing even more value in the selling process. You 320 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 2: can schedule a free inspection at eerie hoome dot com 321 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:32,119 Speaker 2: slash clay today. Get a discount on the installation price. 322 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:36,919 Speaker 2: That's er i e home dot com slash clay. Discount 323 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 2: maximized at twelve hundred dollars valid on new roofing installations only. 324 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 2: That's Eerie hoome dot com slash clay for a big 325 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:51,040 Speaker 2: discount of twelve hundred dollars eerie home dot com slash clay. 326 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 6: I think that this conflict will certainly come to the 327 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 6: end in the next few weeks, could be sooner than that, 328 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 6: but the conflict will come to the end in the 329 00:18:57,600 --> 00:19:00,639 Speaker 6: next few weeks, and we'll see a rebound in supplies 330 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 6: and a pushing down of prices after that. But yes, 331 00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 6: we were very aware and we would have short term disruption. 332 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 6: We would cause a little bit of increased prices on Americans. 333 00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 6: Prices today are still far below what they were in 334 00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:16,960 Speaker 6: the Biden administration, where they were begging, bartering, and bribing 335 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 6: Iran to behave better. We had five dollars gasoline in 336 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 6: the middle of the Biden administration. We hope we don't 337 00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:26,159 Speaker 6: get there this time, but at least this increase in 338 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:29,439 Speaker 6: gasoline prices is for something that's going to change the 339 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 6: geopolitical situation in the world forever. 340 00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 1: So there you have Energy Secretary Chris Wright laying out 341 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 1: a few things won the timeline that the White House, 342 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 1: Trump himself has been hammering, and I just said that 343 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 1: I think that that's probably going to be the timeline, 344 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 1: which is a few weeks from now. I think it's 345 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,199 Speaker 1: going to be two weeks or less. We'll see. But 346 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:57,360 Speaker 1: there's an artificial disruption and supply that is happening right now. 347 00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 1: Because of that, Energy Secretary sounds like he's confident that 348 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 1: supply will come back online prices will start to drop 349 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 1: from there. That is certainly the hope, and I think 350 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:11,560 Speaker 1: that that is very possible. Clay. The question that we 351 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 1: look at now, though, is what exactly what exactly the 352 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 1: end state here is supposed to look like. It's starting 353 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:28,840 Speaker 1: to feel more and more like the destruction of Iran's 354 00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 1: military and then just walking away and saying we can 355 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:36,880 Speaker 1: do that again if we want to is the goal here. 356 00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 1: There is not really much talk of regime change. John Fetterman, 357 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 1: the Senator, weighed in on this one and the state 358 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 1: of things in Iran. This is cut three. Listen to 359 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:47,959 Speaker 1: Senator Fetterman. 360 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 7: I largely agree with what the president said that Iran 361 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 7: has essentially been defeated, and why don't the. 362 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,560 Speaker 5: Western media's just demand. 363 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 7: That Iran provide proof of life of the Ayatola because 364 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,359 Speaker 7: I think the Iranians are doing kind of like a 365 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:09,280 Speaker 7: weekend at Iatola's and they're trying to pretend this guy 366 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:12,040 Speaker 7: is functional or even alive at this point, and I 367 00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 7: think we just called him out and realize that they're 368 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:18,399 Speaker 7: a nation that's been effectively defeated and they don't have 369 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:23,600 Speaker 7: any leadership. They're unwilling to even provide proof to refute that. Overall, 370 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 7: I think it's entirely appropriate to remind the world that 371 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:29,480 Speaker 7: if you want their oil, you know, you need to 372 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:31,760 Speaker 7: help us to reopen the straits. 373 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,280 Speaker 1: Weekend at Iyatola's, he says, Clay. 374 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 2: Maybe he's a listener. We need to at producer ally. 375 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,320 Speaker 2: Do we have an invite recently that we've given to 376 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,680 Speaker 2: John Fetterman. I don't know if we have. We should 377 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 2: extend one to him as well to come on in 378 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 2: the program because he's making a lot of sense and 379 00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,400 Speaker 2: the most recent data that I've seen. Buck says that 380 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 2: Fetterman now is more popular with Republicans in Pennsylvania than 381 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 2: he is with Democrats. So we should definitely reach out 382 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 2: to him, producer Ali Will and invite him on the program. 383 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:09,000 Speaker 2: As you were hearing President Trump, Buck, you're talking about like, 384 00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:11,760 Speaker 2: what are the long range goals? He said that based 385 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:15,480 Speaker 2: on the numbers, we have seen a ninety five percent 386 00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 2: reduction in Iran's drone attacks and a ninety percent reduction 387 00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:23,440 Speaker 2: in their missile attacks. And he said, quote, they don't 388 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:28,359 Speaker 2: have many missiles left at this point, and so essentially 389 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 2: they are wiped out. And I think the question is 390 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:35,600 Speaker 2: who is their leader. We said earlier that there were reports. 391 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 2: There's actually been two reports. One is that the much 392 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 2: Tabah had to go to Europe for months to be 393 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 2: treated for impotence so that he could have children. Just 394 00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 2: leaving it here for a moment, now they're saying that 395 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:58,480 Speaker 2: he was gay. Is it possible that the impotence just 396 00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:04,680 Speaker 2: was with the women. My point on this is, I 397 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 2: think more and more there is a likelihood that he 398 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 2: is unable to be leader and that they are just 399 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,879 Speaker 2: using him as a figurehead. Now, Buck, I don't know 400 00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 2: if you saw this. There's even some reports that he's 401 00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:21,679 Speaker 2: not in Iran, that he is potentially in Russia, that 402 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,960 Speaker 2: he may be in China, that he may be in 403 00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 2: a different country right now, and that Iran is using 404 00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,280 Speaker 2: him as a figurehead. We still have not heard his voice, 405 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,160 Speaker 2: we haven't seen any video from him at all. They 406 00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:39,880 Speaker 2: released a statement, they showed up for a celebratory raising 407 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,959 Speaker 2: ascension I guess of him to the leadership of Iran, 408 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,880 Speaker 2: and danced around with a cardboard cutout of him. None 409 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,360 Speaker 2: of these things inspire confidence that he is okay, And 410 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 2: I wonder again, used to do all this analysis. I'm 411 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:55,640 Speaker 2: sure there's you how many people do you think are 412 00:23:55,680 --> 00:24:00,560 Speaker 2: working in the CIA right now on whether Little Mo 413 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 2: is still alive? Like if a thousand, like how many 414 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:07,680 Speaker 2: people are looking at every single aspect of evidence out 415 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,480 Speaker 2: there and writing up reports on this. How big would 416 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 2: that group be right now? 417 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 1: You think? I mean it's I don't say it's the thousands. 418 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:15,399 Speaker 1: A lot. It's a lot of people that are going 419 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:19,239 Speaker 1: to be pouring over all of the different collection that 420 00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 1: the intell agencies have access to to try to figure 421 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 1: this out. But again, even if he's let's say he's dead, okay, 422 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:31,399 Speaker 1: so what so then what right? And this is the 423 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: next step still is not clear. We don't have an 424 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 1: opposition that looks like they're going to take over, and 425 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:41,800 Speaker 1: we haven't heard about any so called moderate from within 426 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:48,480 Speaker 1: the existing governance infrastructure of Iran that could maybe be 427 00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:52,320 Speaker 1: a more moderate future for the country. So I just 428 00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 1: feel like we're gonna we're taking away all the Iitellas toys, 429 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:58,120 Speaker 1: are blown up, all their stuff. We are killing thousands 430 00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 1: of their soldiers in this process, I might add, don't 431 00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,520 Speaker 1: really talk about that, but there are there are people 432 00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,679 Speaker 1: on these ships, there are people operating these trucks and 433 00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:09,239 Speaker 1: these manpads and such. So we are we are just 434 00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:11,320 Speaker 1: to know when when people say it's not really war, 435 00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:13,600 Speaker 1: we're blowing up thousands of their soldiers. This is a war. 436 00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 1: Let's let's always make sure that we have that obligation 437 00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 1: to speak truthfully about this stuff. It's not a boots 438 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 1: on the ground all in war, but it's a war. 439 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:25,920 Speaker 1: If somebody else was doing this to us, we would 440 00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: certainly think of it as a war. So we're in 441 00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 1: a in a short term war where they were on 442 00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 1: a conflict and and I think that we're gonna, like 443 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:38,320 Speaker 1: I said, Trump is gonna wake up one day and 444 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:40,919 Speaker 1: look at the look at the numbers and the charts 445 00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:43,879 Speaker 1: and everything else and say, all right, we've we've punished 446 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 1: them enough. Now let's see if they want to be 447 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:49,760 Speaker 1: more reasonable going forward. I will add I don't think 448 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 1: they will be more reasonable going forward. This is the 449 00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:54,159 Speaker 1: other part of this, right, this is this is an 450 00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:57,560 Speaker 1: intractable problem. It's like dealing with North Korea. Everything that 451 00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,679 Speaker 1: you would think would work on a country that has 452 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:05,720 Speaker 1: even the most baseline reason morality, all these kinds of things. 453 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:07,920 Speaker 1: If you look at it from the perspective of, well, 454 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:09,800 Speaker 1: of course they should do that, because we would do that. 455 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 1: At No, it's not how they do things. It's certainly 456 00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 1: not how they do things in Iran. And from a 457 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:18,760 Speaker 1: leadership perspective, and you know, I think everyone should just 458 00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:23,119 Speaker 1: gauge their expectations with this in mind. There's no opposition 459 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 1: faction that has emerged. We're not seeing any protests on 460 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:29,840 Speaker 1: the streets or anything like that at all. And yeah, 461 00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 1: I think Trump's gonna wrap this up. We're gonna say 462 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 1: their military is essentially gone, and we'll see what he 463 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,600 Speaker 1: will say and I mean this like a quote Trump 464 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 1: will be like, we'll see what happens. That's going to 465 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 1: be where this ends. 466 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 2: I look, the message that we have sent to Iran is, 467 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:45,080 Speaker 2: first of all, we got to figure out who the 468 00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,159 Speaker 2: leader is. And I think it's not a surprise that 469 00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:49,919 Speaker 2: they don't want us to know who the leader is 470 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:53,159 Speaker 2: because they're aware that we could kill whoever the leader is, 471 00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:56,159 Speaker 2: and we have established that that is the fact. I 472 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,360 Speaker 2: think one of the challenges going forward for Iran will 473 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 2: be they now know that we can take out their 474 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 2: leadership whenever we want. And so how do you stand 475 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:10,960 Speaker 2: up in any way to anyone in the United States 476 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 2: or Israel with that knowledge. I'll also point this out. 477 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,040 Speaker 2: There are reports, and I think this is super significant 478 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 2: and it has not been talked about enough. There are 479 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:26,199 Speaker 2: reports that Saudi Arabia's leader is calling President Trump and 480 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 2: saying keep hitting them. This is NBS. He is the leader, 481 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:35,159 Speaker 2: forty three forty four year old, relatively young leader of 482 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia, the crown prince there, who has effectively taken 483 00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:42,080 Speaker 2: on the power. This is not a United States and 484 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 2: Israel against the Middle East war, the Middle Eastern powers. 485 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:50,679 Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, the ones that actually have 486 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:56,679 Speaker 2: developed in functional economies, they're all saying hit Iran. So 487 00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:58,919 Speaker 2: what I think is going to be the legacy that 488 00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 2: comes out of this is with Iran newtered, with Iran 489 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:09,240 Speaker 2: without any significant weaponry. I think the UAE, Bahrain, all 490 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:12,520 Speaker 2: of these different places, including Saudi Arabia, buck are going 491 00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,560 Speaker 2: to sign on Saudi Arabia in particular, who has not 492 00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:18,320 Speaker 2: done it yet, to the Abraham Accords, and we're going 493 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:21,560 Speaker 2: to see a level of peace start to emerge in 494 00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:23,880 Speaker 2: the Middle East that frankly, we haven't seen in generations. 495 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:25,960 Speaker 2: And that peace is not going to be based on 496 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:30,280 Speaker 2: Arab versus jew It's going to be based on countries 497 00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:35,119 Speaker 2: that want to have functional, growing economies and countries that don't. 498 00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,879 Speaker 2: You know, the real part that I think has to 499 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:41,280 Speaker 2: be galling to Iran is if you study Middle Eastern history, 500 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:45,800 Speaker 2: Iran was one of the economic powers of this region 501 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 2: for hundreds of years. Now they've been overwhelmingly surpassed by 502 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:56,760 Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia and Qatar and the UAE, certainly Israel. And 503 00:28:56,800 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 2: if you're a proud educated member of Iran's you know, 504 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:06,080 Speaker 2: middle class, which is fairly substantial. Don't you have to 505 00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:08,960 Speaker 2: look around and ask what you've gotten for the last 506 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 2: forty seven years? Do you feel like, hey, life is 507 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,120 Speaker 2: better now than it was before the Islamic Republic came 508 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 2: into power. The one thing they sold buck was we 509 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,560 Speaker 2: are a military power and we can punch above our weight. 510 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:24,920 Speaker 2: And they just got completely defanged and almost no time 511 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,600 Speaker 2: at all. What have you actually gotten that's positive after 512 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 2: forty seven years? 513 00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: This is one of the very sad but true things 514 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:37,840 Speaker 1: about authoritarian regimes and why they're so intractable. They can 515 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:43,480 Speaker 1: rely on the phobia of the population, of the extreme 516 00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 1: fear of the population. Who wants to be the person 517 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 1: clay from the Iranian educated classes, you know, not part 518 00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:55,400 Speaker 1: of the government's and government infrastructure, who ends up the 519 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: first one dangling from a crane by their neck in 520 00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:03,000 Speaker 1: the neighborhood. Very tough. Yeah, people have families, People want 521 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 1: to live, they don't want to die, and you know 522 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 1: you're thinking about this, where does this go? This was 523 00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 1: the one of the huge problems we had in Afghanistan. 524 00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 1: Was even even the Afghans who were brave enough and 525 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 1: there were many of them to fight alongside Americans at 526 00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:20,240 Speaker 1: different times against the Taliban, they're like, you guys, you 527 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 1: guys aren't gonna leave us. 528 00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 2: At some point you have our back, right, and then you're. 529 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: Gonna stay and you're gonna you're gonna make sure that 530 00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,200 Speaker 1: this we we were in this fight till the end. Right. Yeah, 531 00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:31,560 Speaker 1: you can imagine with the Iranians right now, Okay, we're 532 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 1: blowing up the military. There's still a lot of bad 533 00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 1: guys with AK forty seven's and probably uh, you know, 534 00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:40,080 Speaker 1: scimitars or something like it, machetes walking around the neighborhood. 535 00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:43,239 Speaker 1: And this is what what are we offering on that? 536 00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:45,840 Speaker 1: And the answer is not a whole heck of a lot. 537 00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:48,880 Speaker 1: So I don't see this changing, this on the ground 538 00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 1: reality changing in any meaningful way, which just means that 539 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: we're in a little bit of, like I said, the 540 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,240 Speaker 1: moograss phenomenon with the Iranian military. We're gonna blow up 541 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,120 Speaker 1: all their stuff and now whatever they do. Also, if 542 00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:02,959 Speaker 1: if when they get enough stuff back, meaning military capability 543 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 1: or even just paramilitary capability, terrorist capability essentially, they decide 544 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:08,840 Speaker 1: to hit us, they'll be like, well, yeah, you guys 545 00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 1: blew up all of our ships and all of our stuff, 546 00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 1: and you know, you can see how this is going 547 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 1: to go right. We're not. We're not in a place 548 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,960 Speaker 1: where I, like you, are more optimistic about the long 549 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 1: term prospects here than I'm very optimistic about Venezuela and 550 00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:24,440 Speaker 1: have them all along, to be clear, very optimistic. I 551 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:25,880 Speaker 1: think it was the right move, a great move. 552 00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:27,080 Speaker 5: Uran. 553 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:29,360 Speaker 1: I'm still sitting here like I want to see what 554 00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 1: the I think I know what the end state is, 555 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:32,720 Speaker 1: and we can go back and play this in a 556 00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:34,880 Speaker 1: few weeks. It's gonna be Trump saying, all right, we 557 00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:38,280 Speaker 1: destroyed their military. We showed them what's up. Maybe we'll 558 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 1: talk in the future. That's it. I think that's where 559 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 1: this is headache. I don't see it heading some other way. 560 00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:47,480 Speaker 1: I think it's one. Yeah, this is an interesting conversation. 561 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 2: I'm optimistic only in the sense of it's one thing 562 00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,000 Speaker 2: for Israel to do well, it's another thing for the 563 00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:55,800 Speaker 2: United States to do well. A lot of times it's 564 00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 2: when people who are similar to you that start doing 565 00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 2: well where where you really start to question the decision 566 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:06,080 Speaker 2: making that you have have embraced. Right, It's one thing 567 00:32:06,120 --> 00:32:08,960 Speaker 2: if Elon Musk gets richer. It's another thing if a 568 00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 2: guy you went to school with. Is suddenly a billionaire 569 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,200 Speaker 2: and you're looking around saying, wait a minute, what did 570 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,240 Speaker 2: he did? We had made the same grades everything else. 571 00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 2: Iran's neighborhood, the Middle East, A lot of these countries 572 00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,600 Speaker 2: are thriving. Yeah, they used to look down on Saudi Arabia, 573 00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:23,840 Speaker 2: they used to look down on Qatar, they used to 574 00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 2: look down on you know, Bahrain, all these countries, and 575 00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 2: they used to think, hey, those guys are backwoods. And 576 00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:34,120 Speaker 2: now all those countries are thriving, The people are rich, 577 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 2: They're building huge, incredible edifices all over those countries, and 578 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:42,520 Speaker 2: meanwhile Iran keeps falling further behind. And I do wonder 579 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 2: how much looking at your neighbors and how much success 580 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:48,680 Speaker 2: they're going to have makes the antagonism and the anger 581 00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:50,800 Speaker 2: more prevalent in Iran. That's one of the things that 582 00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 2: I just keep coming back to. It's one thing again, 583 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 2: Us Israel, they've already been, always been richer, But now 584 00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:59,440 Speaker 2: what about the people used to be better than I 585 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,640 Speaker 2: want to tell you, I love trees. My wife makes 586 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,960 Speaker 2: fun of how much I love trees. I like old trees, 587 00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,920 Speaker 2: I like different types of trees. 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I was it will play 617 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:47,360 Speaker 2: a couple of cuts. I haven't honestly hardly seen anything 618 00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,680 Speaker 2: from the oscars, but I did when I saw the 619 00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:56,399 Speaker 2: story about the argument that moch Deba Khamene is gay, 620 00:34:57,160 --> 00:35:01,359 Speaker 2: I definitely started thinking, there's HBO is going to make 621 00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 2: a gay Ayatola show, and it's it's gonna be like 622 00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:09,160 Speaker 2: as a serious show or as a oh yes, no, 623 00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,120 Speaker 2: it's like a serious show. I could see like HBO, 624 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,319 Speaker 2: I mean, somebody should do like a mock up of 625 00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:17,680 Speaker 2: like a funny version of this, like the gay Ayatola, 626 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,360 Speaker 2: which probably wouldn't be called the gay Ayatola, but I 627 00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:25,600 Speaker 2: could one hundred percent see them doing a story from 628 00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:28,799 Speaker 2: like inside of Iran and although they the Muslims might 629 00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,839 Speaker 2: be willing to kill them for doing it, so maybe 630 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 2: that would be the reason that they don't do it. 631 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:36,320 Speaker 2: But it definitely feels like a spin on you. 632 00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:39,640 Speaker 1: He wants to real quick, wants to weigh in on 633 00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,440 Speaker 1: this one. Which one is it? Justin and New Jersey 634 00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:42,960 Speaker 1: go for it? 635 00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:47,200 Speaker 8: Yeah, clam Bucks. So I got two quick ones for you. First, 636 00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:51,319 Speaker 8: of course they're hiding yayahtola. I mean, the Democrats said 637 00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:54,600 Speaker 8: Joe Biden for four years, so that's not a surprising. 638 00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:58,239 Speaker 8: And Second, Claire, you have a layup right here. How 639 00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,319 Speaker 8: are you not calling it the gay a toola? It's 640 00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:01,840 Speaker 8: right on the silver flatter for you. 641 00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 1: It's good. 642 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,839 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take it the Gayatola. And again, there's nothing 643 00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:10,200 Speaker 2: wrong with being gay, probably a little bit being wrong 644 00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:12,759 Speaker 2: with being the leader of Iran and being gay in 645 00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:14,120 Speaker 2: the minds of the Iranians. 646 00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:17,239 Speaker 1: I will considering that they'll execute gays in Iran as 647 00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,400 Speaker 1: part of the regime. It would be a little bit 648 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:22,400 Speaker 1: of a weird deal for the actual guy in charge 649 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:23,640 Speaker 1: of all that to be gay. 650 00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:29,160 Speaker 2: That is indeed, So hopefully the Gayetola is doing well 651 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,400 Speaker 2: and we will continue to break down the latest on 652 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 2: Iran President Trump. 653 00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:36,800 Speaker 1: Do you know what I know for sure? By the way, 654 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:40,440 Speaker 1: you know you know for sure the Ayatolas do not 655 00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 1: have a good sense of humor. These are not funny guys. 656 00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:44,759 Speaker 1: That much I can assure you. 657 00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:46,360 Speaker 2: Yes, that is very much so.