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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p Joe Pi Zapia,

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. We're continuing our series year,

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Speaker 1: one division at a time until we reach that pinnacle

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Speaker 1: and cash every single bet, or at least most of them.

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Speaker 1: And to help me do it this time, of course,

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Speaker 1: it's my two best friends, Roll Furman Junior and Andrew Ericson,

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Speaker 1: the Undertaker himself. And this week it's about the AFC East.

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Speaker 1: That's right, Finally a little bit of a movement here

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Speaker 1: in the AFC East because the Jets have a new

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Speaker 1: coach and a new quarterback and the whole new outlook.

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Speaker 1: The new England Patriots have a second year quarterback and

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Speaker 1: a new coach who's kind of old to the team,

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Speaker 1: So lots of optimism here brewing for at least those squads.

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Speaker 1: And of course the Buffalo Bills they're pretty good at

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Speaker 1: football last time I checked, too. And the Dolphins are

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Speaker 1: also here. They're just marked as present currently, especially with

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Speaker 1: that offensive line and potentially that defense too. But we're

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Speaker 1: gonna tell you how to exploit all of these pluses

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Speaker 1: and minuses for hard cash. Don't forget to subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros channel right now. Drop your comments below. Again,

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Speaker 1: we're trying to get to one hundred thousand subscribers this year.

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Speaker 1: We could do it with your help. Subscribe like this

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Speaker 1: video and hang out with us so that way you

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Speaker 1: never miss a piece of content when you ring that

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Speaker 1: bell to Lick goes Ding and subscribe to the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel. All right, gentlemen, let's kick things off

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Speaker 1: here with a recap of We'll start with the Buffalo Bills,

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Speaker 1: the team at the top that's been at the top

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Speaker 1: for a while. A couple of new wide receivers Elijah

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Speaker 1: Moore and Joshua Palmer, cornerback Maxwell Harriston. Those are the

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Speaker 1: additions I would say the big ones year over year.

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Speaker 1: Terrelle Furman Junior. There's been a lot of buzz about

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Speaker 1: josh Palmer, and you know, as a fantasy nerd myself

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Speaker 1: and somebody who's been in that weeds for about twenty

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Speaker 1: five years now, you know we've seen this before as like, oh,

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Speaker 1: there's a player who we pick up some times and

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Speaker 1: then he gets hurt and he doesn't really produce the

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Speaker 1: way we want him to. And then he goes to

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Speaker 1: a new team and all of a sudden, it's this

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Speaker 1: new excitement. Do you think we should be excited about

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Speaker 1: Josh Palmer or is this Keon Coleman year two breakout

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Speaker 1: really what we should be looking for?

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Speaker 2: Oh Man, I mean, I'm excited about Josh Palmer. I

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Speaker 2: think Josh Palmer is a good veteran receiver that has

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Speaker 2: proved when you put him in a solidified role, he

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Speaker 2: can step up big for you and Eddrew Erickson. I

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Speaker 2: mean last year I had a wide receiver call if

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Speaker 2: you would remember, and if you remember the ADP of

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Speaker 2: said wide receiver, he has the same ADP as Josh

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Speaker 2: Palmer here. So I think that it's going to be

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Speaker 2: a very very good season for Josh Palmer. I actually

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Speaker 2: really do like that pickup for this Bills sayman, I

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Speaker 2: don't know. I'm here with a couple of Pats fans

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Speaker 2: and it's looking like a lot of Rensen repeat in

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Speaker 2: this division.

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Speaker 1: It is. I do think it's still the Bill's division

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Speaker 1: to lose. But more on that later. Doesn't mean that

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Speaker 1: necessarily that's how we should approach wagering in this division necessarily,

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Speaker 1: But we're all about value here Andrew ericson anything you

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Speaker 1: want to add here to the off season the Buffalo Bills,

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Speaker 1: it seems kind of static to me. A little bit

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Speaker 1: more wide receiver depth here, but no clear alphas as

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Speaker 1: far as I'm concerned. It's not like they added somebody

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Speaker 1: to replace what Stefon Diggs used to bring to this team.

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Speaker 3: No, because we kind of saw with the Joe Brady

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Speaker 3: offense that he's really gone away from using a quote

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Speaker 3: unquote number one bona fide wide receiver, even with Digs.

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Speaker 3: In twenty twenty three, when Joe Brady took over, they

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Speaker 3: totally phased Digs out of the offense, and we were wondering,

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Speaker 3: is Digs healthy?

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Speaker 1: What's going on?

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Speaker 3: Why aren't they get the ball to Digs? Because Brady

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Speaker 3: operates a system where quote unquote everybody eats, and apparently

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Speaker 3: they're giving out T shirts at Bill's Craning camp where

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Speaker 3: it says everybody eats. So that's a not exactly what

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Speaker 3: we want for fantasy football purposes, but you know, guys

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Speaker 3: can step up. We'll see there's a lot of breakout

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Speaker 3: candidates on this offense, whether it's Palm or it's Ken Coleman.

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Speaker 3: I think that even a guy like Elijah Moore, He's

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Speaker 3: playing with the best quarterback of his career, so maybe

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Speaker 3: he can mix a noise as well. But a very

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Speaker 3: deep wide receiver room, I think the thing I will

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Speaker 3: say the roster turnover is not that large with Buffalo,

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Speaker 3: so it is mostly status quo. They do have some

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Speaker 3: question marks on the defensive line. They signed two guys

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Speaker 3: in free agency who will both be suspended for the

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Speaker 3: first six games of the season. They had Joey Bosa,

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Speaker 3: who maybe he's healthy, maybe he's not. We don't know

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Speaker 3: exactly sure how many games are gonna get out of him.

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Speaker 3: But they did add some depth on the defensive tackle

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Speaker 3: side in the NFL draft, so more or less same

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Speaker 3: thing with Buffalo going on.

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Speaker 1: All right, Robert Kraft opened up his check book this offseason.

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Speaker 1: He paid Mike were Able to come in as the

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Speaker 1: head coach. That's probably the biggest move there. But they

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Speaker 1: also brought in veteran Stefan Diggs, who was way ahead

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Speaker 1: of schedule already working out. Looks pretty sharp to me,

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Speaker 1: so I'm shocked, to be honest with you, how far

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Speaker 1: along he is. They drafted Will Campbell there for that

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Speaker 1: tackle position with their top three overall pick, and then

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Speaker 1: they also drafted Kyle Williams, a wide receiver who creates

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Speaker 1: quite a bit of separation. They also went crazy on defense,

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Speaker 1: which is something they needed to do. The defense just

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Speaker 1: was not good enough. Carlton Davis from the Lion shows up,

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Speaker 1: Roberts Bulane from the Raiders, Milton Williams from the Eagles ericson.

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Speaker 1: This is a whole new ballgame here for the New

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Speaker 1: England Patriots. This roster is so much better year over year.

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Speaker 1: The question is how quickly can I come together? Because

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Speaker 1: you're bringing in Josh McDaniels again too, so he is

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Speaker 1: not new to the Patriots, but he's new to a

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Speaker 1: lot of these guys here on the offensive side.

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Speaker 3: I just think that everything is so much improved from

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Speaker 3: last year that it doesn't matter that it's new, because

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Speaker 3: it's better. Everything is better. The personnel is better, the

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Speaker 3: coaching is better. They have adults in the room that

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Speaker 3: know what is going on. And when you bring in

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Speaker 3: someone like Mike Rabel, who what did he get with

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Speaker 3: the Tennessee Titans. He got everything out of that team

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Speaker 3: that was possible to get with the talent level that

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Speaker 3: they had. I don't think anyone looked at those Titans

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Speaker 3: rosters and thought, man, this team top to bottom AFC

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Speaker 3: contender every single year. No more like an average team

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Speaker 3: with average personnel that Mike Grabel got the most out of.

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Speaker 3: So even though this Patriot's roster is significantly better than

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Speaker 3: was last year, you can still have some question marks

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Speaker 3: about Okay, great offensive line is better, still probably gonna

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Speaker 3: be a bottom five unit unless things really start to gel.

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Speaker 3: So I do think that they greatly benefit from the

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Speaker 3: easiest schedule in the NFL, which last year that was

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Speaker 3: not the case. You know, drowd Mayo was not set

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Speaker 3: up for success because number one, he'd craft didn't let

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Speaker 3: him sigle a lot of the guys, and number two

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Speaker 3: he also had the toughest schedule in the NFL. So

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Speaker 3: the path is so much easier for the Patriots this year,

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Speaker 3: but unfortunately it hasn't gone unnoticed by the sports books.

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Speaker 3: And you just look at the win totals for the Patriots,

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Speaker 3: it's baked in. So it's a matter of figuring out, Okay,

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Speaker 3: we all agree that they're going to improve, but isn't

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Speaker 3: enough to then factor in what the win totals are?

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Speaker 3: And as we'll get into.

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Speaker 1: And we will get into those win totals. Terrell Furman Jr. Look,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of new here. We just talked about it,

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Speaker 1: but it's also a lot better, which I think is

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Speaker 1: the point Andrew's making, and I tend to agree with him.

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Speaker 1: There was nowhere to go but up after last year.

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Speaker 1: But this is a significant upgrade. And if you believe

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Speaker 1: in Drake May and I do. I liked him in

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Speaker 1: college and I like what I saw out of him

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Speaker 1: in an almost untenable situation last year. I feel like

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Speaker 1: with that schedule, with his leadership, now that they can

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Speaker 1: approach double digit wins, I don't think that's out of

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Speaker 1: the question.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm there yet, but I don't.

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Speaker 2: As much as I do love the Mike Vrabral move.

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Speaker 2: I wanted Mike Rabel as a coach. I thought Mike

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Speaker 2: Rabel is a great coach. I didn't think that Tennessee

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Speaker 2: need to move on from him. I think he was

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Speaker 2: figuring out and I love betting Mike Vrabel. I do.

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Speaker 2: I can see myself betting this team a lot this year,

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Speaker 2: But is it gonna lead out right wins? I'm not

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent certain. I'm really concerned about the offensive line.

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Speaker 2: If that offensive line doesn't come ready to play, then

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Speaker 2: I mean as a team that as a fan of

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Speaker 2: a team that has had horrible offensive line play for

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Speaker 2: the better part of a decade. No matter how good

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Speaker 2: you could feel about your quarterback, we're about anything else

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Speaker 2: that you have going on. That offensive line is going

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Speaker 2: to destroy it and you're gonna feel really really bad

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Speaker 2: about it, and he's not gonna be able to get

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Speaker 2: the most out of them if they're not ready. So

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Speaker 2: I think it's upfront for me. That offensive line has

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Speaker 2: to be there ready to play. I like the defense

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Speaker 2: of like the pieces of like everything, but that offensive

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Speaker 2: line isn't able to stay upright for Drake May, then

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Speaker 2: it may not be as good as it feels.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the New York Jets.

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Speaker 1: You're a team. Where as if you're watching that of

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Speaker 1: our fantasy firs con and I told you Justin Fields

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Speaker 1: will be the quarterback in New York Jets. And guess what.

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Speaker 1: Justin Field is the quarterback in the New York Jets.

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Speaker 1: So it was one hundred percent on that one from

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Speaker 1: day one minute one. I love Aaron Glenn too. I

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Speaker 1: think he's the right guy. He's got a history of

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Speaker 1: that organization. They lack a combination of discipline and charisma,

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Speaker 1: and I feel like Aaron Glenn brings both of those things.

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Speaker 1: He understands the New York media market. I think Robert

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Speaker 1: Sola was actually a pretty good football coach. He just

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Speaker 1: could not get out from under some of the decisions

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Speaker 1: made around him, I think at times, and they ultimately

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Speaker 1: led to his demise. And now you've got a fresh

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Speaker 1: start here. You've got Garrett Wilson reunited with his head coach.

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Speaker 1: You've got a situation too where I think the New

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Speaker 1: York Jets looking at Membu in the offensive tackle spot,

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Speaker 1: a really good draft pick Mason Taylor a tight end.

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Speaker 1: But I think this is going to be a simplified

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Speaker 1: offense is going to be pretty efficient. They're going to

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Speaker 1: run the hell out of the football on trell I'm

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Speaker 1: on board for that because I think if you're the Jets,

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Speaker 1: the identity has to be run the football, control the football,

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Speaker 1: don't turn the football over, play defense and scratch out some.

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Speaker 2: W's, especially because they feel really good about the interior

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Speaker 2: of the offensive line there with the guard spots in

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Speaker 2: the center position. It's just the tackles that they're like,

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Speaker 2: all right, let's see if that's going to be okay.

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Speaker 2: But I think that that's aged the run game interior

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Speaker 2: the offensive line. Being able to run between those guards

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Speaker 2: is going to aid the run game. I think that

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Speaker 2: justin fields and his mobility, he'll be able to get away.

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Speaker 2: And I think that if pressure comes, he's his ability

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Speaker 2: to be able to extend plays here that's really really

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Speaker 2: going to help out, especially when you have a target

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Speaker 2: like Garrett Wilson that I have been I mean incredibly

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Speaker 2: higher on every single year, and even though the forces

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Speaker 2: of the Jets just refuse to give me that huge, big,

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Speaker 2: big Garrett Wilson breakout year every year because the Jets

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Speaker 2: are just, oh the Jets. I feel like this is

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Speaker 2: the year. I feel like this is the year. J

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Speaker 2: E t as Jets, Jets, Jets. I'm all in on

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Speaker 2: Aaron Glenn with this team. I like the defense, and

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Speaker 2: hopefully Garrett Wilson has that year for me.

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Speaker 1: All right, ericson your thoughts here on New York Jets

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Speaker 1: offseason here. I know it's going to take a little

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Speaker 1: bit of time to get all these pieces together, but Sir,

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Speaker 1: a lot to prove here, and Aaron Glenn, I think

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Speaker 1: is just a really sharp football guy. Coming from that

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Speaker 1: environment with the Lions to where he's been the defensive

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Speaker 1: coordinator for a couple of years, I think he's bringing

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Speaker 1: the right kind of leadership that the Jets have really lacked.

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Speaker 3: I'm glad you brought up the connections to the Detroit

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Speaker 3: Lions because I think that's a good thing to point

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Speaker 3: out where we think back to when Dan Campbell started

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Speaker 3: out in Detroit. They didn't start out of the gates

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Speaker 3: very hot. They were a team that was losing a

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Speaker 3: lot of games even they were playing close to some

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Speaker 3: of these other actional teams. So I think it's going

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Speaker 3: to be more of a slow burn with Aaron Glenn,

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Speaker 3: with Tanner extra and also coming as the OC from Detroit.

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Speaker 3: You look at the Jets, they have almost a brand

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Speaker 3: new roster compared to last season in terms of the

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Speaker 3: highest turnover eate and their roster compared to what the

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Speaker 3: Jets looked at in twenty twenty four. So there's a

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Speaker 3: lot of moving pieces in this offense and defense. So

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Speaker 3: I think that it's probably gonna be a slower start

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Speaker 3: I don't think that this is the year where the

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Speaker 3: Jets all kind of come together, which is for That's

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Speaker 3: why I'm kind of tempering expectation from a win loss perspective.

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Speaker 3: If we just look at the opening schedule for New

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Speaker 3: York again, they have that big matchup against Pittsburgh Steelers

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Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers just in filter venge game, etc.

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Speaker 1: Etc.

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Speaker 3: But then after that it's Buffalo and then they're playing

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Speaker 3: at Tampa Bay. So I think it's a scenario where

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Speaker 3: the Jets start zero to three and you're really looking out, Okay,

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Speaker 3: what are we gonna look like in twenty twenty six,

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Speaker 3: rather than Okay, how much of an impact can we

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Speaker 3: make in twenty twenty five. So that's kind of my

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Speaker 3: read on the New York Jets.

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Speaker 1: I like it. Eank Sure is going to be interesting

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Speaker 1: too running that offense. We'll see what he brings. Their

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Speaker 1: notable additions for the Miami Dolphins while they have a

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Speaker 1: backup quarterback in Zach Wilson, which actually I think is

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Speaker 1: kind of interesting. I kind of like this in this

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Speaker 1: fast paced offense. I think maybe Zach Wilson thinking might

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Speaker 1: be the worst possible thing for Zach Wilson to do.

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Speaker 1: On a field safety's Melifuanu. Ashton Davis brought in, Alexander

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Speaker 1: Madison brought in for depth again kind of a I

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Speaker 1: feel like a lackluster offseason. I didn't quite understand their

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Speaker 1: draft Andrew Erickson, So I don't know, if you're grading

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Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins offseason, what would you give it?

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Speaker 3: C minus? Not really impressed by it overall. Interesting moves.

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Speaker 3: I know they had to get an offensive lineman, but

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Speaker 3: do they have to move up to get him when

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Speaker 3: they have other needs across the roster. I think the

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Speaker 3: secondary is very suspect. When you're starting Jack Jones and

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Speaker 3: Storm Duck as your perimeter cornerbacks because he treated Jalen Ramsey,

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Speaker 3: then yeah, you're gonna come under some scrutiny entering the season. Now,

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Speaker 3: maybe those guys can play better than what they profile

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Speaker 3: as from what they've done historically, but I think this

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Speaker 3: defense has a lot of question marks. We know the

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Speaker 3: team is super fragile on the health of two tongue

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Speaker 3: of Iola. If he's healthy, then okay, they can win

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Speaker 3: some games, but we've also seen the negative side where

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Speaker 3: if he misses games, they lose. When they play teams

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Speaker 3: that have winning records. The Miami Dolphins lose when they

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Speaker 3: play in December. Outside, the Miami Dolphins lose games. So

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Speaker 3: there's a lot of scenarios where you can see things

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Speaker 3: quickly bottoming out for the Miami Dolphins. And I think

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Speaker 3: it starts in Week one when they play the Indianapolis Colts,

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Speaker 3: another team that also has a head coach on the

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Speaker 3: hot seat. The loser of that game is going to

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Speaker 3: be sitting on a very very high see when they

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Speaker 3: do that post game presser.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I look, I think that we talked about this

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Speaker 1: one of us together. I think it's Week twelve where

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Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel has the bye week but right before and

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Speaker 1: it's just this brutal schedule of like just big time

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Speaker 1: contending teams. I think that's the swan song here for

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Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel Turill, I really do.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I the the dumpster fire that is going on

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Speaker 2: in the organization. I think I think this is this

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Speaker 2: is gonna be it. The accusations that were out of

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins tanking games and Brian floresay, no, I'm not

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Speaker 2: with that. I think Mike McDaniel's gonna be cool with it.

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Speaker 2: I think that they might just bottom out here, Like

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Speaker 2: I don't really like either side of the ball. I

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Speaker 2: think that the offensive line is is wonky and they

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Speaker 2: got to figure that out. And if Tula gets hurt

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Speaker 2: like Tula, We've been talking about Tula's injury problems since

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Speaker 2: Alabama and the fact that it's a year after year

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Speaker 2: after year thing like that is a part of him.

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Speaker 2: You have to consider that you might not have have

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Speaker 2: him playing games, and you can be kind of in

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Speaker 2: on Zach Wilson. I'm not gonna be in on Zach Wilson,

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Speaker 2: especially with Mike Laflord as well. We already seen that before.

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Speaker 2: It didn't work out, then, don't think it's gonna work

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Speaker 2: out now. I don't like anything the Dolphins have right now.

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Speaker 1: Here's that stretch I was talking about Week eight at Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: then at home against Baltimore, at home against Buffalo, and

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Speaker 1: then at home against Washington. And now, look, there's a

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Speaker 1: good chance you win. You lose three straight home games.

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Speaker 1: They're going into the buy that's it. That's the death now,

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Speaker 1: and I just think I just I'd be shocked. Maybe

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Speaker 1: they can sneak out one of them, maybe, but I

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Speaker 1: think it's highly unlikely. Let's look at the win totals

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Speaker 1: here we go, win totals from the Buffalo Bills. I'll

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Speaker 1: start the bidding at nine and a half to eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half, your twelve firm and junior. Where do

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Speaker 1: you want to go?

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Speaker 2: Uh? I guess we go up? I don't.

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Speaker 1: You don't have to. No one's forcing your hand. You

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Speaker 1: want to go to twelve and a half. Here's a thing.

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Speaker 2: There's nobody in the division is stopping that. What are

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Speaker 2: you guys doing? Can you guys pleast make it competitive

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Speaker 2: for me?

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Speaker 1: Hold on a second?

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Speaker 2: Hold on?

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Speaker 1: What's interesting is on a FanDuel specifically, they have eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half, but they don't have twelve and a half.

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Speaker 1: They jump right to the thirteen and a half. Right.

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Speaker 1: They're doing the odd numbers there because I think twelve

359
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Speaker 1: and a half is actually like the smart bets, so

360
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:01,040
Speaker 1: you can get the twelve and a half and other

361
00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:04,400
Speaker 1: books to do that one. But I mean, if you

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Speaker 1: want to go to over thirteen and a half wins,

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Speaker 1: that's plus two hundred to row. Are you ready for that?

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Speaker 4: No?

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Speaker 1: I'm not either.

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Speaker 2: I think the eleven and a half twelve and a

367
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Speaker 2: half does kind of feel like a little sweet spot there.

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Speaker 2: I do think the Bills are going to be a

369
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Speaker 2: good team, and I think it's going to be really

370
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Speaker 2: really easy in this division where they just kind of

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Speaker 2: handle business and it's some extra wins on the total there,

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Speaker 2: and so yeah, I'm on the Bills. I may not

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Speaker 2: be as enthusiastic about everybody else about the Bills, but

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Speaker 2: I still think that they should be good. Like there's

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Speaker 2: nothing telling me that they're going to be They're not

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Speaker 2: going to be any worse than what they are last year,

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Speaker 2: Like they're a good scene.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, eleven and a half minus one sixty

379
00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:43,640
Speaker 1: five erics and that's where I want to live.

380
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Speaker 3: How about you co sign clean sweep over eleven and

381
00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:49,360
Speaker 3: a half wins? Again, they ain't broke, don't fix it right,

382
00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:52,040
Speaker 3: they have it easy schedule. It's a division with I

383
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Speaker 3: mean the Jets and Dolphins, frank that I don't think

384
00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,880
Speaker 3: are going to be very good. And I like the Patriots,

385
00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:58,720
Speaker 3: but are they going to be able to go toe

386
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Speaker 3: for toe with Buffalo? Still need to see it.

387
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Speaker 2: I think it's a.

388
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Speaker 1: Toe two toe, not toe four toe, because that sounds ominous,

389
00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:07,840
Speaker 1: Like I don't want to be chopping off toes here midseason.

390
00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:08,680
Speaker 1: That just sounds like a hole.

391
00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:10,879
Speaker 2: Hey we could God, so I could chop my, you

392
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:12,159
Speaker 2: could shop yours? Like what's up?

393
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Speaker 3: He has healthy toes. As long as Justin Fields has

394
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Speaker 3: healthy toes, then that's fine.

395
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Speaker 1: Toll.

396
00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:19,760
Speaker 2: Does you have some first person to pass out loses?

397
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Speaker 1: Worst party game ever? All right, let's talk about the

398
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Speaker 1: New England Patriots. Seven and a half, eight and a half,

399
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:29,439
Speaker 1: nine and a half. That's what the bidding is, gentlemen,

400
00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:33,240
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what I'm feeling frisky plus one ninety

401
00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:34,760
Speaker 1: over nine and a half wins. I'm telling you I'm

402
00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:38,000
Speaker 1: looking at that schedule. Boys. I think good coaching, good

403
00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:41,919
Speaker 1: quarterback play, and a pretty favorable schedule. I think they

404
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:43,720
Speaker 1: can scratch out ten wins. I don't know if that

405
00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:46,080
Speaker 1: gets them in the playoffs in the AFC. That's the

406
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Speaker 1: one thing that I'm not exactly short because I think

407
00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:51,040
Speaker 1: the West is very good and I think the North

408
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,560
Speaker 1: is obviously very good as well, so that is where

409
00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:55,359
Speaker 1: I struggle. But I do think they can get to

410
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Speaker 1: ten wins. Andrew Erickson, put your rooting interest aside. Let's

411
00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:02,040
Speaker 1: talk bites. Where are you at with the Patriots win total?

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Speaker 3: Well, I'm gonna cheering for them every single week basically,

413
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,439
Speaker 3: no matter what. So I'm also taking the over here

414
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:09,480
Speaker 3: on the double digit. I think they get to double

415
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,399
Speaker 3: digit wins too. You look at Mike Frable historically, what

416
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,320
Speaker 3: he's done six season with the Tennessee tight ends his

417
00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,440
Speaker 3: team's average nine wins per year for those teams won

418
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,280
Speaker 3: nine or more games. So given the fact that they

419
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,159
Speaker 3: have the easiest schedule in the NFL, and it starts

420
00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:26,119
Speaker 3: out with very easy beatable matchup, so I think this

421
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,560
Speaker 3: team can actually build some momentum early in the season

422
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:30,800
Speaker 3: and then as they kind of find their identity, they're

423
00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,520
Speaker 3: still winning games along the way. So I like the

424
00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,680
Speaker 3: Patriots a lot. And you know, don't forget about that.

425
00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:39,560
Speaker 3: I know again, going toe four tow or tot tot

426
00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:39,880
Speaker 3: to toe.

427
00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: Stop going toe tote.

428
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Speaker 3: It's disgusting going toe to toe with the Buffalo Bills.

429
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Speaker 3: Last year recalled the Patriots went to Buffalo. They were

430
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Speaker 3: up fourteen nothing against Buffalo in Week sixteen. They outgained

431
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:54,200
Speaker 3: the Buffalo Bills in terms of total yardage, but because

432
00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,200
Speaker 3: they were poorly coached, they lost the turnover battle and

433
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,320
Speaker 3: that's why they end up losing the game. So with

434
00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:01,240
Speaker 3: better coaching, I think that they maybe can give Buffalo

435
00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:02,680
Speaker 3: run for their money a little bit. I think that

436
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 3: both teams are gonna win a lot of games, So yeah,

437
00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:06,120
Speaker 3: I'm taking the over as well.

438
00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:10,119
Speaker 1: Look, the season opens with Vegas, Miami, Pittsburgh, Carolina, Terrell,

439
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:14,560
Speaker 1: that's pretty good. It closes with Buffalo Baltimore Jets in Miami.

440
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:18,040
Speaker 1: That is a little bit tougher potentially there, but they

441
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:19,879
Speaker 1: do have that buy and we fourteen. They're another one's

442
00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,359
Speaker 1: late by teams, which is interesting because the Miami Dolphins

443
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:26,480
Speaker 1: have the same bye week as them in that same division. So, uh, Terrell,

444
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,320
Speaker 1: go ahead, throw some cold water on the optimism of

445
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:30,760
Speaker 1: Andrew myself for this win total.

446
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 2: I mean, you see everything that looks good, and you

447
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 2: have to remember that there are parts that just aren't

448
00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 2: that good with the team yet. And so with this,

449
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:45,400
Speaker 2: I'm really looking at the big spender in free agency

450
00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,120
Speaker 2: this year. They're the big spender in free agency. Did

451
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,359
Speaker 2: you both know that since twenty twenty one, every single

452
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:54,400
Speaker 2: big spender in free agency has made a three win

453
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 2: increase except the tweeny twenty two Jacksonville Jaguars, who made

454
00:19:57,600 --> 00:19:59,919
Speaker 2: a six win increase, But other than that, it's been

455
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,960
Speaker 2: three win increase every single time. So a three win

456
00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:06,480
Speaker 2: increase for the Patriots puts them at seven wins, which

457
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:08,679
Speaker 2: is under the total, which is what I think they are.

458
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:10,400
Speaker 2: I think they're a better team. I think that I'm

459
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,200
Speaker 2: gonna love betting them. They're gonna be good ats for me.

460
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 2: They're probably not gonna win as a money like dog

461
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,119
Speaker 2: all the times, but I'm gonna enjoy those few times

462
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:19,680
Speaker 2: that they do win as a money line dog. I

463
00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:21,800
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a successful season when you look

464
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:23,639
Speaker 2: at it at the end, it's just not gonna be

465
00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:27,720
Speaker 2: nine wins, ten wins, all of that. So yeah, I'm

466
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:29,960
Speaker 2: on the under eight and a half minus one thirty.

467
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:31,560
Speaker 2: I'll lay it a little bit of juice. But I

468
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:34,080
Speaker 2: do think they're a good team, So it's gonna be

469
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 2: seven eight wins, and I might play a little bit

470
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 2: on seven wins, Zach, just because the three wins trend

471
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:40,119
Speaker 2: has been pretty.

472
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:44,480
Speaker 3: Goodman, curse your your logic. That that was fantastic logic

473
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 3: and I hate it because it's process.

474
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 2: Wait till I get my chance to tell this to

475
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:55,520
Speaker 2: Matt Parral. He's gonna shut down. He's gonna be so bad.

476
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,359
Speaker 1: This is the worst, the three of us, all Patriot

477
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 1: fans here. But look again, I I'm the guy that

478
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:02,879
Speaker 1: was crushing them last year. Like I always keep it

479
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:04,399
Speaker 1: real with the Patriots. It's one of the things that

480
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: annoyed a lot of my friends in the industry is like,

481
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:08,159
Speaker 1: you know, you're not one of those Patriot fans that

482
00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 1: sees the world through the red, white and blue glasses. Like, no,

483
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 1: I don't, because I know when they're going south. And

484
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 1: I was watching that decline there at the end of

485
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 1: Belichick and I'm saying, look, this is not gonna work.

486
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:18,840
Speaker 1: Cam Newton's not the solution. None these guys the solution.

487
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 1: I'm curious though, when you go look back in the

488
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,440
Speaker 1: data on those teams, if they had a young quarterback

489
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 1: of the caliber of Drake May, he's the X factor.

490
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: If he plays well, I think they can go over it.

491
00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 1: If he doesn't, then I'm with Terrell. All right, let's

492
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 1: talk about the New York Jets here. Look, I know

493
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:37,239
Speaker 1: we're looking at win increases here. I think they can

494
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:38,919
Speaker 1: get over five and a half wins. I think I'm

495
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 1: very comfortable with this at minus one twenty trol. How

496
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 1: about you?

497
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:47,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I five and a half wins. I think that

498
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:50,480
Speaker 2: the Jets. I think the Jets personally, because again, you

499
00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 2: guys are higher on the Patriots but if I'm not

500
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 2: high on the Patriots, I have to be higher on

501
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 2: somebody else in the division. It's the Jets. For me,

502
00:21:57,359 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 2: I think the Jets have a chance to be second

503
00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 2: in the division here, Like, I really really think that

504
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,680
Speaker 2: Aaron Glenn with all the pieces that he has on

505
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 2: that defense to play with and toilet, Like we forget

506
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,399
Speaker 2: just a couple of years ago, the Jets defense was

507
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 2: really really good. Last year, it was the whole dumpster

508
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,639
Speaker 2: fire of everything going on and defense went off the rails.

509
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,359
Speaker 2: But if he just takes those pieces, he implements his

510
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:20,440
Speaker 2: scheme and he gets them buying in and they lock in.

511
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,120
Speaker 2: Is a really really good defense again that can run

512
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:26,760
Speaker 2: the football, control the football, not turn the ball to

513
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 2: not turn the ball over to too much. It looks

514
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 2: a lot similar to what Justin Phils had last season

515
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:34,800
Speaker 2: with Pittsburgh when he started out and he was on

516
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 2: a hot start. Like, I think that they're gonna be

517
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 2: a really really solid team that can be also there

518
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,760
Speaker 2: right there with the Patriots and that seven to eight

519
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:46,920
Speaker 2: maybe even more win totals. So yes, slam over five

520
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 2: and a half wins.

521
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,399
Speaker 1: I agree Terrell and I are at five and a

522
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 1: half on the over minus one twenty and Drew Orgson,

523
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 1: would you like to join us at that lunch table. No,

524
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:55,399
Speaker 1: I would not.

525
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 3: I'm taking the under a plus money under five and

526
00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 3: a half plus one hundred. Going back to my point,

527
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 3: I don't think this is this offense and this team

528
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 3: is looking at twenty twenty five as hey, we have

529
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 3: to win a bunch of games this year. I think

530
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,760
Speaker 3: it's about let's establish the culture. It's a brand new roster.

531
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:11,960
Speaker 3: They have the most roster turnover any team in the

532
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,720
Speaker 3: NFL compared to last year. So it's all new pieces.

533
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,880
Speaker 3: And I think that the opening schedule is kind of tough.

534
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:19,680
Speaker 3: You gotta play Buffalo in week two, you gotta play

535
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 3: the Steelers in week one, you gotta play at Tampa

536
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,640
Speaker 3: Bay in week three. And Fields we know he has

537
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 3: his problems as a passer, as a processor, how does

538
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:29,680
Speaker 3: he gel with all the new offensive pieces that he's

539
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 3: working with. So I just think it's more of a

540
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:33,399
Speaker 3: slow burn with this team. I just don't expect them

541
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:34,680
Speaker 3: to win a lot of games this year.

542
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:36,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the Miami Dolphins, and this

543
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 1: is my favorite one of all of them, because I

544
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 1: want to bet the under six and a half wins

545
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 1: of plus one fifty. I'm looking at that week fourteen,

546
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 1: or excuse me, week twelve, by I said there was

547
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 1: Week fourteen. I was wrong. I'm sorry. They don't have

548
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 1: the same by week as the Patriots. They have Week

549
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 1: twelve by two weeks before. But they get the New

550
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,680
Speaker 1: Orleans Saints right after. Oh my god, I can't wait

551
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 1: to bet the Dolphins to beat the Saints after firing

552
00:23:57,800 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 1: their coach. It's going to be so great telling you

553
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 1: right now, that's exactly what I'm gonna be doing. The

554
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 1: mortgage payment, all of it's going there. But after that,

555
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:08,360
Speaker 1: they finish up against the Jets, the Steelers, the Bengals,

556
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: the Tampa Buccaneers, and then they end with New England.

557
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:12,720
Speaker 1: Oh god, look, I don't think things are going to

558
00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:14,359
Speaker 1: go well here for this team. I really don't. I

559
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:18,360
Speaker 1: just think the lack of discipline is showing. The off

560
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,959
Speaker 1: season was disappointing, and everybody else in this division got

561
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:24,400
Speaker 1: better except them. To me, that's the problem. I link

562
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 1: ighthans of spectacular talent. You have a quarterback here with

563
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:29,480
Speaker 1: concussion issues. If you miss a significant time, you're turning

564
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:31,760
Speaker 1: the keys over to Zach Wilson. Oh, that looks like

565
00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson. But to me, it looks like six wins

566
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:37,160
Speaker 1: or less. And I will take that bad boy again.

567
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: Plus money, Yes, please, I agree with you.

568
00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 3: I'm taking the plus money bets under six and a half.

569
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:45,959
Speaker 3: I honestly think you can bet on them totally bottoming out.

570
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,159
Speaker 3: So under four and a half at what is it?

571
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,159
Speaker 3: Plus five hundred I'm seeing here? I think that's in

572
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 3: play because when things go bad, I don't think they're

573
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,840
Speaker 3: going to get any better. Why would they they start again?

574
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,159
Speaker 3: Trell mentioned this earlier where this is a team that's

575
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,639
Speaker 3: embraced the idea of tanking, right, so if they are

576
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,120
Speaker 3: starting to lose a bunch of if they lose Week

577
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,680
Speaker 3: one against the Colts and Daniel Jones, I mean, come on,

578
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 3: this is gonna be this is gonna be a disaster

579
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 3: for Miami. And I actually have a question for you

580
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,440
Speaker 3: two guys, who leaves Miami. Who's out of Miami first?

581
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 3: Kyrie Hill or Mike McDaniel.

582
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 1: Ooh, Mike McDaniel. Actually know what? No, Tyreek kill? Because

583
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 1: the trade deadline is earlier, right, they could be gone

584
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 1: the same week, all right? When's the trade deadline? Is

585
00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:25,600
Speaker 1: it we twelve?

586
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:27,360
Speaker 3: It's a package deal?

587
00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: Is twelve this year? I don't even know.

588
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 2: I have Look, but do you think Mike McDaniel is

589
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:33,200
Speaker 2: a man of integrity?

590
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: I think he is a I think he's a pretty

591
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 1: decent guy. But he's a good one.

592
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,560
Speaker 2: That's the question. That's your question, and that's how you

593
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 2: answer it. If you think Mike McDaniel is a man

594
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 2: of integrity, then all right, Mike McDaniel's gone first because

595
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,520
Speaker 2: because the owners go to fire rope. But if you

596
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 2: think he's not a man of integrity, oh, it's Tyreek Hill,

597
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:53,240
Speaker 2: you're outscoring me.

598
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,159
Speaker 1: It's a good perspective. Terrell. Any thoughts here on the

599
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:58,239
Speaker 1: win total for the Dolphins? Oh?

600
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, under under under under what?

601
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:00,920
Speaker 1: Under?

602
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:01,479
Speaker 2: How far?

603
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 1: Oh?

604
00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:04,520
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm I'm over here.

605
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 1: Digging.

606
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 2: I'm looking at fewest wins.

607
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,879
Speaker 1: We're under four and a half is plus five hundred

608
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 1: if you want to go there. But that's really brutal.

609
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:13,639
Speaker 1: I don't think that happens.

610
00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:19,359
Speaker 2: No, But if SUA, if SUA gets hurt, what if

611
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 2: they so just imagine it's like, this is the worst

612
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,640
Speaker 2: possible scenario. If they have a bad season, SUA gets

613
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 2: hurt and they start having a worse season because Tua

614
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 2: is now out for the rest of the year, Like

615
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,440
Speaker 2: that is something that could really really put them in

616
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 2: the three win department. Like, so I'm with it. You

617
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 2: want to go all unders on on them, And plus

618
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 2: I think the other teams in division are better, Like

619
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:41,159
Speaker 2: I think the Pats are better. I think that the

620
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 2: Jets are better. We know that the Bills are better. Like,

621
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:45,399
Speaker 2: somebody's got to be bad.

622
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 3: So yeah, man, I think two with the under on

623
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 3: the four and a half. It's really about the early

624
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 3: season because that's when they have their layoup games. So

625
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,199
Speaker 3: they have the open against we talked about already. They

626
00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 3: open against the Colts, it's the Patriots that they play

627
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 3: at home, Jets, Panthers, Browns, and Falcons. Like, that's the

628
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 3: really easy part. So if they're going to get around

629
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 3: that four and a half wins, that's where it's going

630
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 3: to be. But if for some reason they just don't

631
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:12,440
Speaker 3: look good, they're not yelling, there's issues again that week

632
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:15,120
Speaker 3: one loss turns into a week two loss, they start

633
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,719
Speaker 3: zero to two, you could just see things get off

634
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 3: the rails, which is why I think it's worth it

635
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,440
Speaker 3: to throw a couple bucks on the under four and

636
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 3: a half because once things get off the rails, they're

637
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 3: not getting back on until they play the Saints.

638
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:28,600
Speaker 1: Of course. All right, let's take a look at the

639
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 1: numbers to win this division. Before we do, don't forget

640
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,840
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641
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:37,359
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642
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:39,960
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643
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644
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:44,680
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645
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646
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,600
Speaker 1: and that's the piece right there of the puzzle. It

647
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,600
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648
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 1: hit and which picks will miss and if plus, it

649
00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 1: gives you a live look at what the public is

650
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,360
Speaker 1: doing so you can in real time time track them,

651
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 1: follow them, and get in on the action to determine

652
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 1: which plays to make and which ones to fade. So

653
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:10,679
Speaker 1: track your picks today with the Betting Prospicktracker app right now.

654
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 1: Betting pros dot com slash picktracking is the place to go. Again,

655
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 1: download the Betting pros app and use that picktracker today.

656
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:21,120
Speaker 1: Let's get to the division winner here the Buffalo Bills

657
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 1: minus two ninety, the New England Patriots plus five fifty,

658
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 1: the Dolphins plus seven to fifty, and the Jets at

659
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:27,680
Speaker 1: plus twenty one hundred. I think it's hilarious that the

660
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:29,639
Speaker 1: Dolphins have a better one than the Jets. Personally, I

661
00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:31,840
Speaker 1: think that's just wrong. So if you want to the

662
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 1: only way to approach this, because there's no value on

663
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 1: the Bills is to bet the order, at which case

664
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,960
Speaker 1: I would bet Bills, Patriots, Jets, Dolphins as the order.

665
00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:41,200
Speaker 1: If you can get that right on some site as

666
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 1: a special I think that's the way to do it. Otherwise,

667
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,160
Speaker 1: hard fade for me here minus two ninety too much

668
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 1: Juice ericson Terrell? Anything to add here?

669
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 3: Boys, what's the payout on that? That exact order?

670
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 1: Joe, the exact I'd have to look, you know. It

671
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 1: just popped in my head right now where I was like,

672
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 1: there's no you can dance and sing though. If I

673
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 1: try to look at it and see if I can find.

674
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 3: It, well, I will talk about that. I like the

675
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 3: Patriots at plus five fifty. I think that's good value. Again,

676
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,040
Speaker 3: going diving into the trying to find that team that

677
00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 3: goes from worse to first in the division. You know,

678
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 3: the Patriots are one of those teams after finishing in

679
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 3: last place in the AFC last year so or in

680
00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 3: the ANFC East last year. So I think that it's

681
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 3: good value with that. Again, it's tough to knock down

682
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 3: the Bills, but if any team could do it, I

683
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 3: think that would be the Patriots.

684
00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,680
Speaker 2: In this division, therell's six to one, six to one

685
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 2: on Bills pass Jets Dolphins six to one.

686
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 1: I was gonna say it was probably somewhere on five

687
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 1: and six is even better.

688
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 2: So there you go.

689
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:37,640
Speaker 1: I think that's actually pretty good. Drell. What do you

690
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 1: think that's really good? Let's go. I don't.

691
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 2: I actually thought it was gonna be better. Not gonna lie.

692
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 2: I thought you were gonna get a better price, a

693
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 2: little it. But if you guys like it, I love it.

694
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean guys like it. I love it, Like

695
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 1: you know, let's move on to all other things you

696
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:52,160
Speaker 1: love that. I don't want to waste too much time

697
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:52,840
Speaker 1: here on this one.

698
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 2: Yes, I mean well, out of principle, I'm gonna throw

699
00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:01,800
Speaker 2: something on the Jets out of principle, it's not. I

700
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna happen. But if there was a

701
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 2: situation where, I mean the unthinkable happened in Buffalo, I'm

702
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:10,800
Speaker 2: not even gonna say it, but it's say.

703
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:13,800
Speaker 1: This division, that's for sure.

704
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 2: See looks, I don't.

705
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: Care nobody's betting. Pros would leave when I'm on the MinC.

706
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 2: Nobody's safe maybe, and people are gonna blame me for

707
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 2: this watch they should, But I'm gonna tell you what's

708
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 2: even more interesting for me. Jets second in division plus

709
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 2: four forty, all right, don't I don't care what everybody

710
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 2: else does. Play around however. You want, just be better

711
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 2: than the Patriots, that's all I ask. Just be better

712
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 2: than the Patriots. I'll take a stab at it. Plus

713
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 2: far forty. That's like, come on, I would think that

714
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 2: the Jets and the Patriots are more like closer to

715
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 2: even money both ways for both of them to be

716
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 2: second in division. You're telling me that the Pats are

717
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 2: just clear cut second best team here. I don't know.

718
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 2: Let me take plus pover forty on the Jets.

719
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 1: That's fine, that's fine. I mean, remember you're betting on

720
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: the Jets. Just remember that.

721
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 2: Aaron Glenn, I'm betting on Yeah, I love it.

722
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:08,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's still the Jets.

723
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 2: Let's do it. Still the Jets.

724
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to our favorite bets for this division.

725
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 1: Will wrap this up here. For me, it's Drake May

726
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 1: total passing yards over thirty two seventy five and a half. Yes,

727
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 1: please at minus one fourteen. My other favorite bet, I

728
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:23,520
Speaker 1: just took the one Terrell when I were just talking

729
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 1: out and I'm gonna use that now. Bills, Pats, Jets,

730
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 1: Dolphins in that order of the finish plus six hundred. Yeah,

731
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 1: let's go. I mean, look, I think the Jets are

732
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: going to be better, But do I think they're going

733
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,720
Speaker 1: to win this division or all of a sudden become

734
00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:38,680
Speaker 1: the number two? I don't. I just think there's too

735
00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:41,840
Speaker 1: much new there, completely, even more than the Patriots in

736
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 1: some ways, because at least the infrastructure between Vraibol and

737
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 1: McDaniels is there. So I think that's a little bit

738
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 1: of a different situation than FanDuel's special here around the Horns.

739
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 1: This is a fun one.

740
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 2: You like this.

741
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 1: The Bills, Texans, and Rams to each win their division

742
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 1: plus seven hundred. You see that, because they've all got horns.

743
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 1: So I'm a little horny for this bet. That's what

744
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:03,959
Speaker 1: I am. Andrew Erickson, let's take a look at your

745
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 1: favorite bets here for the AFCAS. What do you have?

746
00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 2: All right?

747
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:10,480
Speaker 3: So going the over on the Patriots win total seven

748
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 3: and a half, and then you can always tease it

749
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 3: up if you want more action on it. So I

750
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 3: like the over under on the Miami Dolphins. Bought me out,

751
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 3: So I think under six and a half, under four

752
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,680
Speaker 3: and a half, laddering the unders on the Dolphins dumpster fire,

753
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:23,240
Speaker 3: and then you gotta have fun.

754
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 1: You gotta have fun on these shows. Wild Card play.

755
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 3: Jalen Wattle, my guy, Oh, he is the NFL in

756
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 3: receiving yards at plus eight thousand and eighty to one,

757
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:35,960
Speaker 3: And I looked, I looked at my receipts because I

758
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 3: bet this same thing. I think it was either last

759
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 3: year two years ago and it was thirty seven to one,

760
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 3: and I liked it then. So of course at eighty

761
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 3: to one, I'm gonna love this bet because what if

762
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 3: Tyreek Hill has gone from this offense. We've seen Tua

763
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 3: leave the NFL in passing yards, We've seen him target

764
00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:54,840
Speaker 3: a number one wide receiver. He has all the chemistry

765
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 3: in the world with Jalen Wattle, and you talk about

766
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 3: all the bad vibes with Tyreek Kill, you know, the

767
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 3: rebuilding relationship, whereas Wattle, they're praising constantly every single day.

768
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 3: This guy's stepping up, this guy's a leader in this offense.

769
00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 3: To me, it seems so obvious that Wattle's going to

770
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,240
Speaker 3: step up and be the guy in this offense that

771
00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:16,400
Speaker 3: too relies on and it's not going to be Tyreek Hill,

772
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 3: whether he's on the team or he gets traded. So

773
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 3: I think that Wattle, this price is just way too

774
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 3: long for a player that is thirteenth in receiving yards

775
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:28,760
Speaker 3: per game over the last three seasons, and we look

776
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 3: at the number of yards he's averaged in the three

777
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 3: games that Tyreek Kill has played less than fifty percent

778
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 3: of the snaps eighty five receiving yards per game per

779
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 3: Jalen Wattle, so twenty six years old.

780
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 1: This is just way too long.

781
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 3: It's my favorite long shot.

782
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 1: Somebody's drinking that pink kool aid, baby, that's what's happening

783
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 1: right now. All right, let's see Terrell Furman Junior's favorite

784
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 1: bets for the AFC is what do you got.

785
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 2: To all right, let's do it. I'm gonna start with

786
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 2: my guy, if you know me, I'm talking about him,

787
00:33:55,880 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 2: Garrett Wilson. They comically have Garrett Wilson's receiving yards prop

788
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,480
Speaker 2: at nine to fifty and a half. I would just

789
00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:06,239
Speaker 2: let want to let everybody know that Garrett Wilson has

790
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,920
Speaker 2: had a thousand yard receiving season and every single season

791
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:11,680
Speaker 2: he's played from twenty twenty two on in the NFL.

792
00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:14,520
Speaker 2: I would also like to let people know that the

793
00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 2: quarterbacks that he played within that span, Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco,

794
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:22,800
Speaker 2: Mike White, Chris Streveler, Tim Boyle, Aaron Rodgers, Trevor Simeon,

795
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 2: Tyrod Taylor, Adrian Martinez, Jordan Travis Steven. So yes, I

796
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 2: am taking Garrett Wilson to go over his nine to

797
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:37,520
Speaker 2: fifty and a half receiving yards with that another player

798
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:39,480
Speaker 2: from the Jets, because I do love the Jets this

799
00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 2: season justin fields over five and a half rushing touchdowns,

800
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 2: Oh like that one. Absolutely absolutely give me a full

801
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:50,040
Speaker 2: season justin fields, and he's going to find the end zone.

802
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 2: I think that Aaron Glenn is gonna let him be him,

803
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:54,759
Speaker 2: and that's why the offense is going to thrive. So

804
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:59,320
Speaker 2: love the Justin fields rushing touchdowns. I also played the

805
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 2: Pats exactly seven wins and exactly eight wins. So exactly

806
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 2: seven wins is five to one, exactly seven eight wins

807
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 2: is four to one. But and that was a lot

808
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 2: better than just putting that one unit I was placing

809
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 2: on the pass under win total and just saying what

810
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 2: I said, I don't think they're gonna be bet They're

811
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:20,799
Speaker 2: just not gonna hit the win total. So I'm gonna

812
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 2: say the I really think it's seven. But you know,

813
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 2: I hate when I play it and I get the

814
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 2: one extra win. I'm like, oh I just lost, so

815
00:35:28,360 --> 00:35:28,920
Speaker 2: I got the eight.

816
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 1: Okay, there you go. How many games will the Newingald

817
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,759
Speaker 1: Patriots win this year? Drop your comments below, Subscribe to

818
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:36,800
Speaker 1: the channel, download the betting pros app. You know what

819
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:38,560
Speaker 1: to do, baby again. We're trying to get to one

820
00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 1: hundred thousand subscribers on the YouTube channel. Don't forget to

821
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 1: ring that bell to let goes dings so you never

822
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:45,880
Speaker 1: miss a piece of content on the channel. Because NFL

823
00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:48,279
Speaker 1: season is gonna be right around the corner. That'll do

824
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:49,839
Speaker 1: it for us. But the story of the game goes

825
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 1: on for Andrew Erickson and Treell Furman Junior. I'm Joey P.

826
00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:54,800
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time, GIDZ.

827
00:35:55,239 --> 00:35:57,840
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

828
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:00,279
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

829
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

830
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

831
00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:10,360
Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

832
00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros