1 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: We were just talking before the show, you know, killing 2 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: some time as you do, and Producer Jesse, of all people, 3 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: presented what I think qualifies as a Keystone nightmare scenario 4 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: as we let to call it around here. Pennsylvania, of course, 5 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 1: the Keystone state. And it was brought to my attention 6 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,159 Speaker 1: that Dodgers and Phillies are underway as we speak on 7 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: this Tuesday, October Thursday, October ninth, the our Ower twenty 8 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: twenty five. We have a world where Philly could get 9 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: eliminated from the Major League Baseball playoffs, and then Penn 10 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: State could go three and out on their opening drive Saturday, 11 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: and a lot of that would overlap in terms of 12 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: fandom and it could just get really toxic. And I 13 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: don't even want to present the scenario where in Northwestern 14 00:00:55,200 --> 00:01:00,040 Speaker 1: scores on their opening possession Saturday, Ucla did. Anyway, he 15 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 1: happy times elsewhere, we're jam packed. We're high atop a 16 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 1: sunny downtown Nashville, Tennessee. I've got upset alerts. I've got 17 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:11,040 Speaker 1: a whole stock of them here. And it turns out 18 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 1: last week we only put a two on that Ucla 19 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: Penn State game needed to go a little higher. We 20 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 1: needed to be a little bit more on guard for 21 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: that one. So we've got the antenna up this week. 22 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 1: No stone left unturned on the upset alert concern meter. 23 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 1: Many of you, who I don't think listen to the 24 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 1: whole show the other day have pointed out, shame on you. 25 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 1: You left Indiana and Oregon out of the Tuesday show. 26 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: Well I know that. I know that because I mentioned 27 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 1: it thrice on the Tuesday Show and I said, we 28 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: will do it on the Thursday show. And there it is, 29 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 1: paper thump, It's right there in the pack of them. 30 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: We're gonna do it tonight. I'm gonna talk one time 31 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: only about Bill Belichick, basically to take a victory lap. 32 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: And anyone who ever doubted that this was going to 33 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: be anything other than a disaster, just take notes tonight. 34 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: That's all we're gonna do. We're gonna take notes tonight. 35 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 1: JP poll tonight, got kublic on the show Tonight. We 36 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 1: got a Jampack show. They're watching us in Phoenix, Arizona, Halifax, Nova, 37 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: Scotia up in Canada, tuned in Slidel Louisiana, Denton, Texas, 38 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:18,799 Speaker 1: North Texas hosting USF Tomorrow Night. Speaking of Tomorrow Night, 39 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 1: gonna be one of those classic Friday night lines tomorrow night. 40 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 1: I know we've been doing some of the late afternoon stuff, 41 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 1: some of the late afternoon Friday shenanigans. Not tomorrow. Tomorrow, 42 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 1: we're gonna be in Missouri. I don't know if you 43 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 1: saw Coach Coach Drink did extend the invitation delayed, But 44 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: we appreciate the invitation to work out at Missouri. So 45 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: we'll fly up there. We'll work out at Missouri tomorrow. 46 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: We'll we'll do all the things we need to do, 47 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 1: we'll see who we need to see. But we will 48 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 1: be in a hotel room, poorly lit, late at night 49 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 1: Tomorrow night. I'll tweet out and I will ig out 50 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,919 Speaker 1: the exact time. But Friday Night Lines will emanate from 51 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 1: Missouri tomorrow night. And the model is hot. Rominill Express 52 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: is red hot. Right now. You don't want to miss 53 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: that at Josh pay CFB in case you haven't been 54 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:06,239 Speaker 1: following already. So I wanted to. I gotta itch on 55 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: my nose. Oh, all right, here we go now, I'm good. 56 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 1: I want to get into a lot of stuff tonight. 57 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:13,920 Speaker 1: Normally we leave with the upset alerts. But if I 58 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 1: didn't talk about this to lead the show. I was 59 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: gonna let it get buried. So I just want to quickly. 60 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 1: I want to quickly discuss this whole Bill Belichick thing 61 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: because it is a disaster, and anyone who tells you otherwise. 62 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:27,239 Speaker 1: And I don't even care if there's a Twitter graphic, 63 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: which I know we got one of yesterday, I don't 64 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 1: care what they say. No vote of confidence is going 65 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: to change my mind. This is a disaster. He'll be 66 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: gone at the latest at the end of this season. 67 00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: I have no doubt about that. Yesterday the report started 68 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: to circulate in case you haven't been paying attention that, hey, 69 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 1: there were some rumblings this thing with Belichick. It may 70 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: be on rocky ground. Yeah, absolutely it is. Oh no, no, no, no, 71 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: not just that it could be over. They're negotiating or 72 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 1: reduced buyout. Yeah, I think all that was happening. I 73 00:03:57,400 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 1: think it is happening. I don't know when it's gonna happen, 74 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: but look, we got the graphic yesterday. North Carolina Athletics 75 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: had to put out a statement Bill Belichick' said I'm 76 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: fully committed to u NC football, and Bubba Cunningham, the 77 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 1: athletic director, there Hey, coach Belichick has the full support 78 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:18,919 Speaker 1: of the Department of Athletics and the university. Translation, it's over. 79 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: We are screwed. So yes, it's gonna end when I 80 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: don't know, kind of irrelevant. They're terrible in this year, 81 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:30,679 Speaker 1: no matter who's the interim coach or the current coach. 82 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: The most shocking part of this whole thing is not 83 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: that they've been bad. That's the least shocking part of 84 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:40,480 Speaker 1: this whole thing. The shocking part to me kind of twofold. 85 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 1: Number one, there were people that thought this would work, 86 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 1: and number two, enough of those people have control of 87 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,480 Speaker 1: North Carolina Athletics that they made the higher because I 88 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:55,279 Speaker 1: can promise you one thing. The athletic director there that 89 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:57,479 Speaker 1: had to put out that statement was in one of them. 90 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 1: I don't think Bubba Cunningham really wanted to go this route, 91 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: But in the end, why would you let an athletic 92 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 1: director make a hire when we can have overreaching board 93 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 1: of trustee members and people with deep pockets and great relationships, 94 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 1: and we can use intermediaries and we can apply logic 95 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 1: that has zero place in a coaching search to make 96 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: a coaching decision. And that's college football in a nutshell 97 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: too often, and it was the North Carolina hiring process. 98 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: So the most shocking part of this whole thing to 99 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: me has been North Carolina ended up looking out for 100 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 1: the best interest of Bill Belichick instead of the best 101 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: interest of North Carolina Athletics, and up to this very moment, 102 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: every second that guy remains the head coach there. That's 103 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 1: what they're doing. I sound like I have some kind 104 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 1: of acts to grind against Bill Belichick. I have no animosity, 105 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:53,360 Speaker 1: no ill will towards him, towards Michael Lombardi, towards anyone there. 106 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 1: I don't know them, I've never met them. It is 107 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: not about that. And I don't blame Belichick one bit. 108 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:04,160 Speaker 1: It's not his fault. He got offered the job. He 109 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:08,120 Speaker 1: didn't offer himself the job. So someone offers me ten million, 110 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: I'm probably accepting whatever it is they're offering me to 111 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: do if I'm a coach. So I'm not blaming Bill Belichick. 112 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: He just happens to be the guy they hired, the 113 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: guy who was very ill qualified for the job. And 114 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 1: I know good and well that there were some quality 115 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 1: candidates out there that may have been somewhat attracted to 116 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 1: the North Carolina job, which has always been viewed as 117 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 1: kind of a low key sleeping giant, maybe not quite 118 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 1: a giant, but very underutilized, very underleveraged. All those quality 119 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:40,280 Speaker 1: candidates got scared away. I know because I know some 120 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:43,039 Speaker 1: of them. They got scared away from the process because 121 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,799 Speaker 1: at any given time you couldn't even get a straight 122 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 1: answer as to who was running the search. That sounds 123 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:52,719 Speaker 1: like something you would find in the SEC but yet 124 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: it happened at North Carolina. So the saddest part of 125 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: this is it wasted a season for North Carolina. And 126 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: if you're fifty eight years years old, you could look 127 00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: at that and you could say, oh, well, on the 128 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,040 Speaker 1: year fifty nine of my life. But what if you're 129 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,839 Speaker 1: a junior. What if you're a senior there you only 130 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: get four years to attend said university. I'm not even 131 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 1: talking about the players. I'll get to them in a second, 132 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: but just if you're a student, it's kind of a 133 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: crapshoot anyway as to what kind of experience you get 134 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: from an athletics perspective in the years that you're enrolled 135 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 1: at a school. So it burned one of their years. 136 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 1: And then when it comes to the players. The players 137 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 1: are the ones who really get the shaft here, and 138 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: they burn one of their few years that they have 139 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: to play college football on this and you will never 140 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 1: Now this is where I will be a little critical 141 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 1: of the way things are being handled there. Dude, no 142 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: one there cares about the players right now. I know 143 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 1: everyone says so in their statement. Let me put that, 144 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 1: let me put that back in the bottle. There are 145 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 1: people at North Carolina who care about the players. I 146 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: don't think the front facing members of North Carolina Athletics 147 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: and football right now are all that concerned about the players. 148 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: So there's that the staff gets set back. So anyone 149 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: that's on that staff right now, they kind of get 150 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 1: that stinch of having been part of that one and 151 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: done season, which it absolutely will be of Belichick at 152 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 1: North Carolina. But number two is it shows how broken 153 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:24,680 Speaker 1: the process is and it scared legit candidates off. And 154 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: so now you're gonna have another coaching search there, and 155 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: I wonder how that one operates, and I wonder who's 156 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:32,320 Speaker 1: allowed to make the higher there. I hope we have 157 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: put this sentence to bed that I'm about to say. 158 00:08:35,520 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 1: I've never said it seriously on this show. I've said 159 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: it mockingly, but many people have said it serious, and 160 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 1: that is college football is pretty much like the NFL. Now, 161 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 1: can we please, at least if we learn no other 162 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 1: lesson from this disaster, put to bed the idea that 163 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:56,320 Speaker 1: college football is like the NFL. College football is like 164 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: the NFL in that the field dimensions are the same, 165 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 1: and we play with a football, and we do score 166 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:07,079 Speaker 1: in threes and sevens, and the equipment's roughly the same. 167 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 1: It's eleven on eleven out here, Yes, it is. That 168 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: is about where the similarities end when it comes to 169 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 1: how you win, how you build a talent roster, how 170 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: you have to navigate things like a salary cap, how 171 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: you have to deal with agents, how uneven the footing is, 172 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: competitive landscape style in college versus the NFL. None of 173 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 1: that stuff's the same. So here we are. Here, we 174 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 1: are fresh off of coaching search at North Carolina, getting 175 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 1: ready for yeah, a coaching search coming up. I don't 176 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:45,479 Speaker 1: know when, not too far down the road. Quick Trip 177 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 1: would never would, never, ever ever be caught dead making 178 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,920 Speaker 1: a hire like this. They wouldn't. They make good decisions. 179 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: They made one in Westchester, Ohio, so much so that 180 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 1: we're going to celebrate it a second time tomorrow. Jesseyah 181 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:01,680 Speaker 1: on the tenth right. So this is worth the paper pop. 182 00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: I think if you're watching or listening anywhere near Cincinnati, 183 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 1: there is a little town, great people, I'm told in 184 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: this community, west Chester, Ohio. It's about oh thirty minutes 185 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: north northeast as the crow Flies, powered by Quick Trip, 186 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: and they're having a regrand opening tomorrow. Now you know 187 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: the rule around here. One of you has already preemptively 188 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:24,520 Speaker 1: gone and done this, and your chalices on the way. 189 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 1: I've got five chalive supremacy to send randomly to any 190 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 1: of our viewers who attend the regrand opening of the 191 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:35,839 Speaker 1: west Chester, Ohio Quick Trip tomorrow. There's going to be 192 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: a bouncy castle in the parking lot. People. I don't 193 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:40,560 Speaker 1: know that I've ever said that about a Quick Trip 194 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 1: parking lot. And they got pretty much everything else. So 195 00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:45,280 Speaker 1: you can go get gas and trail mix and pizza 196 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:48,640 Speaker 1: and colbrew on tap and have fun in the bounce castle. 197 00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 1: Because I'm looking Jesse, and it doesn't say kids only, 198 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: don't know, it doesn't say it anywhere on my copy. 199 00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 1: It does not say kids only in the bouncy castle. Now, 200 00:10:57,520 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: if Quick Trip Joe wants to text me before the 201 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 1: end of the show and put out a legal disclaimer, 202 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 1: no adults in the bouncy castle. Okay, but as of 203 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 1: now we are operating under the understanding that it's every 204 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 1: man for himself in the bouncy castle in the Westchester, 205 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,559 Speaker 1: Ohio Quick Trip parking lot tomorrow. A lot of fun 206 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: should be had. I would keep security close by, though, 207 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 1: all Right, Upset Alert Concern meter off the charts last week. 208 00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: This thing was generated by flex Power last week. It's 209 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 1: generated by flex Power every week. And you know what 210 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 1: got generated. What got generated was UCLA last week. And 211 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: I only put a two on the Upset Alert Concern 212 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 1: meter for that game. So I got to be extra 213 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:43,559 Speaker 1: careful this week. So the first game we're going to 214 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 1: look at is Pitt at FSU FSU favored by ten 215 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 1: and a half. This is an early kickoff Saturday. Have 216 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 1: you watched Pitt this year? 217 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 2: No? 218 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 1: I see a lot of shakings of the heads. No 219 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,960 Speaker 1: you have not. Well, they lost to West Virginia. They 220 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 1: lost to Louisville. That doesn't matter though, because they've benched 221 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:06,920 Speaker 1: the QB. They brought in the backup last week and 222 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,960 Speaker 1: they just rolled Boston College. So it's a new day 223 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:12,440 Speaker 1: for pitt football. You know how much we love betting 224 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: on backup quarterbacks around here. FSU is reeling after the 225 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,480 Speaker 1: Miami loss. This is an inflection point for the season. 226 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: Remember they started hting against Alabama. Well, now they've lost 227 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 1: two conference games in two consecutive weeks. What if they 228 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 1: need to throw to win here? Because Tommy Castellanos famously 229 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 1: now one in six when throwing for two hundred and 230 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 1: forty or more yards. It sounds very counterintuitive, I know, 231 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 1: but the thinking there is, well, if he's having to 232 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: throw a whole lot, that means things aren't going well 233 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:46,920 Speaker 1: for Florida State and we frankly don't love putting him 234 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: in a spot at Boston College or here where he's 235 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:51,839 Speaker 1: got to throw a lot. Guys, I'm nervous about this game. 236 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 1: So I'm going to put an eight and a half 237 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 1: on the upset Alert Concern scale. Now that's a recalibrated 238 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 1: scale after last week, because Ucla did an number to 239 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:06,199 Speaker 1: the upset Alert Concern meter. Next up, Ohio State's only 240 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,200 Speaker 1: favored by fourteen and a half at Illinois. Well, I'm 241 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 1: gonna be very disrespectful here because I don't see it. 242 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 1: Ryan Day is not gonna love this segment all that much. 243 00:13:14,559 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 1: But frankly, Ryan Day needs to get used to praise 244 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 1: because he's going to get a lot of it from us. 245 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:23,200 Speaker 1: For me at least, then again, I never called for 246 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: his job, so I was kind of grading on the 247 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 1: Ryan Day scale. I was always praise worthy of him. Look, 248 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 1: it's possible the run defense for Ohio State is secretly vulnerable. 249 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:34,960 Speaker 1: I don't know. If I'm trying to pick them apart. 250 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:38,080 Speaker 1: I've got to use a very fine toothcomb, and if 251 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 1: I'm trying to find some path for Illinois. It feels 252 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: a little weird, to be honest with you, because there 253 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 1: are times where we'll have a game in the upset 254 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 1: alert concerned portion of the show where the spread's like twenty. 255 00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 1: But I could really talk myself into the idea that 256 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:55,040 Speaker 1: the upset could happen. This line's fourteen and a half, 257 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 1: and I just I have no idea really, short of 258 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 1: turnovers and special team scoring, how Ohio State loses this game. 259 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 1: I just don't see it. So maybe the run defense 260 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 1: is a little more vulnerable and Illinois has success there 261 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,600 Speaker 1: and maybe in the limited possessions that Ohio State has, 262 00:14:15,640 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: maybe Julian saying they take something away from him. We 263 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 1: find out there's a flaw that hasn't been exposed in 264 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 1: his game. But what's Illinois specialty? I don't know. I 265 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: have no idea, So I'm putting a two on this. 266 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 1: It sounds disrespectful. Yes, that's the exact rating I put 267 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 1: on Ucla Penn State last week, So I I don't know. Man, 268 00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: Maybe Luke Altmeyer goes full Niko Yamaliava, but Penn State 269 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 1: was dead Ohio State's not. So I have no idea 270 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: how this happens. I'm putting a two on it. Prove 271 00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 1: me wrong, I guess. Prove me wrong. I've been labeled 272 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 1: a Buckeye hater this week, so secretly I'm probably rooting 273 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 1: for Illinois according to the internet, So prove me wrong. 274 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: Northwestern at Penn Oh my goodness, it's time, Jesse. Jesse, 275 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 1: he hears me. Penn State is favored by twenty two 276 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 1: and a half. Big deal. They were favored by Moore 277 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 1: last week. This might as well be a pickham. Northwestern 278 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 1: is terrible, so was Ucla. They hadn't led a single 279 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 1: second of the season, and then they didn't trail a 280 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,840 Speaker 1: single second against Penn State. The last time Penn State 281 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:29,320 Speaker 1: lost three consecutive games, when was it, everyone, It was 282 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. Now I have it on good authority, 283 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 1: good old fashioned gut feel here that the running back 284 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 1: rotation will change or the distribution of carries will change. 285 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 1: K Tron Allen should be toting the mail for Penn State, 286 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: and I think he will a lot more this week. 287 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 1: This could be a transitive property special though, because I 288 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: have it right here in front of me, we all 289 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 1: know how tried and true the transitive property is in 290 00:15:56,480 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: college football. More on that in a second. Northwestern, this 291 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 1: Northwestern team that Penn State is looking to rebound against 292 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 1: this weekend. They beat UCLA. Northwestern has done what Penn 293 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:13,240 Speaker 1: State could not do. Friends, Northwestern already took UCLA down, 294 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 1: and now they walk into State College and it is 295 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 1: a toxic environment there. It is a powder keg. I 296 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 1: am telling you, I am telling you, I am telling you. 297 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 1: If Penn State goes three and out on the opening drive, 298 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 1: or god forbid, I don't even want to say it 299 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 1: out loud. If Northwestern scores on their opening drive, I 300 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 1: actually don't know what the scene would be. It would 301 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: be terrible. But if you don't believe in the transit 302 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 1: of property, I normally wait until about midway through the 303 00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 1: season to introduce it. It's done tongue in cheek. But 304 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: you know what, if we can hook some people, if 305 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: we control some people with this, then why not. I 306 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 1: took it down the road a couple of miles to 307 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: the locker room Wednesday, sitting there with Will and Taylor, 308 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: and we were talking about another game. We were talking 309 00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: about OU Texas, but I felt like, given the fact 310 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: that I'm sitting straight across from a former Michigan left tackle, 311 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 1: I need to explain the implications of oh you in 312 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,280 Speaker 1: Texas as it relates to the Ohio State Michigan game 313 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 1: later down the road. And when you believe in the 314 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:16,439 Speaker 1: transitive property, it can happen. This is what it sounded like. 315 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:20,639 Speaker 3: If Texas beats Oklahoma and Ohio State beat Texas and 316 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 3: Oklahoma beat Michigan, what does that mean for Ohio State Michigan? 317 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:26,840 Speaker 1: And what it means is buck eyes by ninety That's 318 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:27,440 Speaker 1: what it means. 319 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 4: There is no other way. 320 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:32,679 Speaker 3: Here's here's your problem. Oh there's therapy you went to 321 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 3: about having a Michigan problem. I got a Michigan problem 322 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 3: that has nothing to do with that. 323 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: You're still. 324 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 3: I feel more coming about Michigan now than ever be 325 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,159 Speaker 3: in usc because you don't believe you're just saying it 326 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 3: because you said in the past. 327 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,919 Speaker 2: The transitive property states that if a first item relates 328 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:51,720 Speaker 2: to a second item, and the second item relates to 329 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 2: the third item in the same way, then the first 330 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 2: item also relates to the third item in that same way. 331 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:56,920 Speaker 4: That's what I said. 332 00:17:57,040 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's exactly what I never thinking that the definition 333 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,120 Speaker 3: is more canusing the way you framed. 334 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 2: It to me, But there's there's nothing too like when 335 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:05,679 Speaker 2: somebody throws a definition and then you check it and 336 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:07,960 Speaker 2: that definition is the exact same as the Internet. To me, 337 00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 2: it's like, oh, buddy, you operate at a different level. 338 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 3: Yea, it's Francis Ellis on the pond. 339 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, like I could put definitions together just with a 340 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 2: you know, I can try to throw words at something 341 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 2: and be like, oh, that kind of makes sense, But 342 00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 2: when it's spot on, a lot of respect for you, Josh, 343 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 2: I'm a texting sark, so. 344 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:24,400 Speaker 3: We your saying. 345 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 1: It's a three and a half For me, the upset 346 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 1: alert concern meter is at a solid three and a half. 347 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:34,440 Speaker 1: This is a gut check for a defense that gave 348 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:38,120 Speaker 1: up forty two to UCLA last week. No Tony Rojas. 349 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:41,679 Speaker 1: Apparently we don't have linebacker depth, Jesse tells me. This 350 00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:43,960 Speaker 1: is a recent development at Penn State. We just don't 351 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 1: have linebacker depth. I got misled on that, by the way. 352 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:50,119 Speaker 1: I thought they did so three and a half. But 353 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 1: if they go three and out opening drive, this bumps 354 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 1: up to a five. If Northwestern scores on their opening drive, 355 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 1: this is a solid eight. 356 00:18:58,480 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 4: We're in a world. 357 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 1: Where anything could happen. Remember, the guardrails are off of 358 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:03,800 Speaker 1: Penn State football right now, so there's no limit to 359 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:06,439 Speaker 1: how far down the cliff you could tumble and crash. 360 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 1: Go Niitney Lyons. Next up, Arkansas, led by Bobby Patrino, 361 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: is going into Niland Stadium. What a fever dream of 362 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:18,359 Speaker 1: a sentence. Tennessee's favored by twelve and a half. I've 363 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 1: already got some really really good ideas for what the 364 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:28,359 Speaker 1: celebration graphic could be, what the phrase on the celebration 365 00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:31,240 Speaker 1: graphic could be. If Arkansas, when's this thing? I was 366 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 1: talking about it with our buddies over at Next Round 367 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:37,480 Speaker 1: Live earlier this morning. Can you imagine Bobby Petrino and 368 00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 1: the boys ride into NLAN, they pull the outright upset 369 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:47,120 Speaker 1: and then Arkansas Football on the Twitter account just leans 370 00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: fully into the joke of the thing, two words road rash, 371 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:59,479 Speaker 1: and then they just ride out of there unbelievable cinema theater. 372 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:04,879 Speaker 1: To do it, something wild's gonna have to happen, but 373 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,360 Speaker 1: it may be possible because Arkansas has got a top 374 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 1: twenty passing offense, Tennessee pass defense in the one hundreds. 375 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 1: So what we're thinking there is, I'm pretty sure Tennessee's 376 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:16,239 Speaker 1: gonna get theirs. They're off a buy, they're at home. 377 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:20,679 Speaker 1: They're gonna get theirs. Arkansas could as well. How often 378 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 1: do we love betting on interim coaches on this show? 379 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,000 Speaker 1: Because you never know what portion of a locker room 380 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:30,719 Speaker 1: or an organization is galvanized because status quo has been broken, 381 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 1: you just never know. There's wild variants in each quarterback. 382 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:39,560 Speaker 1: Taylor Green could blow up or he could implode. I'm 383 00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:42,680 Speaker 1: not gonna I'm not quite sure Joey Agilar is gonna implode, 384 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 1: but he could have a se he can have a 385 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:47,119 Speaker 1: C game. We've seen his A game before. If he 386 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: plays his A game, they're gonna win. They may cover. 387 00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna put a seven on this game. I think 388 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,360 Speaker 1: it's gonna be low key, way more competitive than America 389 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,040 Speaker 1: is ready to admit. I don't think most of America 390 00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 1: even knows this game's happening. I think there are four 391 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 1: or five SEC games bigger than this one this week, 392 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 1: and no one's paying attention to this game except us. 393 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 1: And if my neck wasn't strained, I would pet myself 394 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,320 Speaker 1: on the back right now. Lastly, another one we need 395 00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,359 Speaker 1: to be heads up about. Kansas goes to Texas Tech. 396 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:21,360 Speaker 1: Texas Tech has been flawless virtually. They've won every game 397 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:25,040 Speaker 1: by twenty four plus. You can't get your A game 398 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,160 Speaker 1: every week. You're not gonna play at an A plus 399 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,240 Speaker 1: level every week. And if they're gonna dip, this would 400 00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 1: be the week because they got Arizona State on deck. 401 00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,920 Speaker 1: They're coming off that trip to Houston. It's a classic 402 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,359 Speaker 1: let down look ahead sandwich spot, and I don't care 403 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 1: how much you guard against it. You also need to 404 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:45,439 Speaker 1: understand your human Your team is full of humans and 405 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 1: Kansas peaked or started to peak at this time last year, 406 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:53,360 Speaker 1: and I think they could do it again. Kansas, they 407 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:57,080 Speaker 1: need to flip third down. The third down percentage is woeful. 408 00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 1: They're one hundred and twenty seventh offensively, Tech Tech top 409 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: ten defensively. If that inverts, and remember it's just four 410 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,199 Speaker 1: quarters that we're playing here, it's not a full season. 411 00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:10,199 Speaker 1: If that inverts. If there's just something off, something's a 412 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:15,399 Speaker 1: little wobbly about Texas Tech Saturday, Kansas could scare them. 413 00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 1: I'm putting a five on this game. I am not 414 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 1: overlooking this. I'm taking this dead serious. I think Kansas 415 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 1: in a one off, just like a one night only 416 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 1: type deal, Kansas could do this. They could push Texas Tech. 417 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 1: So I'm putting a five on it. Let's keep an 418 00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: eye on that one. We just mentioned our friends at 419 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:37,160 Speaker 1: flex Power. They generated that entire segment. Some would say 420 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,160 Speaker 1: that any upset that happens in the sport kind of 421 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 1: is being generated by flex Power. But you don't just 422 00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:45,359 Speaker 1: have to believe in the upset, cause some of you 423 00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 1: could be victimized by the upset. But you know what 424 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:51,119 Speaker 1: you can believe in. You can believe any time the 425 00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 1: power goes out, and it's gonna happen for every one 426 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:56,919 Speaker 1: of you. Statistics show that one hundred percent of our 427 00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 1: audience has, at some point in their lives gone without power. Statistics. 428 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,600 Speaker 1: You can't argue with statistics. Did you have a backup generator? 429 00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:08,160 Speaker 1: The thirty three hundred I is just sitting over there 430 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:12,400 Speaker 1: right now myflexpower dot com forward slash Josh Pate. They 431 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 1: are major partners of ours. They've watched the show for 432 00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,040 Speaker 1: a long time, and they have recently become major partners 433 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:21,520 Speaker 1: of ours. So I appreciate them. You, unbeknownst maybe to 434 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:25,440 Speaker 1: you have needs for their products in your life. Makes 435 00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,720 Speaker 1: it a whole lot simpler, makes it a whole lot 436 00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 1: more fail safe. You won't get upset. It's a good line, Jesse. 437 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:33,960 Speaker 1: We need to put that in. If we had a prompter, 438 00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 1: we could put it in the prompter. You can avoid 439 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 1: your upset in your life by just heading over to 440 00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:42,399 Speaker 1: myflexpower dot com forward slash Josh Pap. I have in 441 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:47,119 Speaker 1: my hand something that they said would not happen. I 442 00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:50,320 Speaker 1: didn't forget about this. We just delayed it forty eight hours. People, 443 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 1: Indiana is going to Oregon Saturday, three thirty Eastern twelve 444 00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 1: thirty local kick. This is the CBS Game of the week, 445 00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 1: which means our friends, including but not limited to Jennifer Dell. 446 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 1: I'm just mentioning her because I know she lives in 447 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: South Florida. Have flown to Seattle and then La and 448 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 1: now Eugene in back to back to back weeks. Who 449 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:18,679 Speaker 1: we know what happened last year when Indiana went to 450 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,679 Speaker 1: Ohio State, they were built up, built up, built up. 451 00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:25,120 Speaker 1: They got handled pretty thoroughly. We know what happened when 452 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 1: they went to Notre Dame in the playoff, got handled 453 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:31,639 Speaker 1: physically pretty thoroughly. Well, this is their next shot. I 454 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:33,919 Speaker 1: happen to believe this is a better Indiana team than 455 00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,560 Speaker 1: they were last year. So this is their next shot. 456 00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 1: The Travel Spot saw Zach Shaw say this earlier today. 457 00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:44,000 Speaker 1: It's a paper popper. Big ten teams traveling across the 458 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: Rockies twelve and twenty one. This country has not come 459 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,480 Speaker 1: that far since the Donner Party, if you really think 460 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,080 Speaker 1: about it, Big ten teams are still having trouble getting 461 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:57,439 Speaker 1: across the Rockies. So Oregon, their odds right now are 462 00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:00,119 Speaker 1: pretty good to make the playoff. I'm a believer if 463 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,680 Speaker 1: Oregon wins this game, their odds may cross into minus 464 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 1: territory to make the playoffs, which in betting vernacular is 465 00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:08,880 Speaker 1: like a good thing negative is a good thing. There, 466 00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:13,639 Speaker 1: So major quarterback showdown. You need to tell your family 467 00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:15,919 Speaker 1: and friends, Tell your wife, tell your kids, tell your 468 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 1: aunt if they need something to watch this weekend, above 469 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:24,920 Speaker 1: and beyond just their game. Quarterback play high level here Saturday. 470 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,159 Speaker 1: It's the number one versus number six guy in the 471 00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:31,560 Speaker 1: heismanods at FanDuel right now, Dante Moore is the favorite. 472 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,919 Speaker 1: And then look there at number six, Fernando Mendoza. I 473 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 1: was on Get Up this morning. You know what Orlovsky said, 474 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:43,640 Speaker 1: Jesse Orlovsky said, in terms of NFL future, that dude 475 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:47,679 Speaker 1: at Indiana number one in the country right now, How 476 00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:51,200 Speaker 1: did Kurt Signetti pull this off? All of you need 477 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,520 Speaker 1: to transfer portal quarterbacks and sig goes and says, yeah, 478 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:58,439 Speaker 1: I'll take the kid from col and win with him. Yeah, 479 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,320 Speaker 1: that's what we're looking at here. So there's some stuff 480 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 1: about these teams that it's going to be put to 481 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,040 Speaker 1: the test both ways. Like there's this thinking out there 482 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 1: right now, Oh, Indiana's going to get run. Why is that? Well, Indiana. Yeah, 483 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: they're a good team, but they haven't really faced anyone yet. 484 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:17,520 Speaker 1: So a lot of these fancy stats that we have 485 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:21,439 Speaker 1: on this slider right now, they're inflated. People think that 486 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,360 Speaker 1: about Missouri too, Oh, they're inflated. Bam will come into 487 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: town and deal some truth. Well, people think Indiana is 488 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 1: going to go out to Eugene and get some truth, 489 00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:32,119 Speaker 1: and maybe they will. I just want to say, could 490 00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,520 Speaker 1: that not be looked at both ways? Oregon's got the 491 00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 1: number six passing defense in the country right vaunted, Well, 492 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 1: they haven't faced a top eighty passing game in P four. 493 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:47,080 Speaker 1: I'm just throwing a scenario out there. I'm throwing a 494 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,320 Speaker 1: theory out there. Could it be in the interest of 495 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,879 Speaker 1: a competitive game that Oregon's pass defense is just a 496 00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 1: little inflated? Because if it is, is this not the 497 00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:01,440 Speaker 1: quarterback and pair of receivers to expect? Ow that it's 498 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 1: the best quarterback in wide receiver duo combo they've seen 499 00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,360 Speaker 1: so far this year by a mile. I know that 500 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 1: Dante More Oregon quarterback, over seventy two percent completion, fourteen touchdowns, 501 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:19,600 Speaker 1: one pick, He's only taken one sack. Have they faced 502 00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:22,919 Speaker 1: a team that can pressure like Indiana for that matter. 503 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:28,760 Speaker 1: How legit is that fifteenth rated pressure team that Indiana is? 504 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,080 Speaker 1: How legitimate is a lot of this stuff? Is what 505 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:34,120 Speaker 1: I'm trying to ask. How good is Indiana versus the run? 506 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:38,760 Speaker 1: They're seventeenth, they're top twenty in run defense, but teams 507 00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 1: have been in catchup mode against them. So if Oregon's 508 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 1: trying to come from behind, then okay, I pretty much 509 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:45,919 Speaker 1: expect that to hold. 510 00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:47,399 Speaker 4: But what do we know about Oregon? 511 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,920 Speaker 1: It's pretty good. What do we know about Austin. It's 512 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:52,240 Speaker 1: a pretty tough place to play. So what do we 513 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 1: think is likely here? What's likely or at least very 514 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 1: possible is Oregon's the one up ten to three, up 515 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:02,680 Speaker 1: thirteen to six early. And that's not ballgame. But what 516 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,840 Speaker 1: it does mean is Oregon can play their full offense. 517 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,920 Speaker 1: Oregon can do whatever they want, which means running the ball, 518 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 1: because they've got a very effective stable of tailbacks so 519 00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 1: far this year. At that point, we find out these 520 00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:19,000 Speaker 1: transfer portal offensive lineman Oregon brought in. We find out 521 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,600 Speaker 1: when they lean on Indiana for a full four quarters, 522 00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:24,600 Speaker 1: When a team as talented as Oregon commits to running 523 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:26,920 Speaker 1: the ball for a full four quarters. We find out 524 00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:31,560 Speaker 1: also Oregon top twenty five on third down offense. The 525 00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:36,399 Speaker 1: explosive runs here are really key. Both teams are tied 526 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:40,320 Speaker 1: at fifth in the country in explosive runs. So I 527 00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:43,840 Speaker 1: do think there's one swinging gate in this game, and 528 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:47,520 Speaker 1: it's turnover. And obviously, if Oregon's plus in the turnover battle, 529 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,000 Speaker 1: there is a chance this is a blowout. There is 530 00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 1: a chance they pull away, they win by three scorers 531 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,160 Speaker 1: or something like that. If the turnover battle goes the 532 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 1: way of Indiana, I don't think it guarantees that on 533 00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 1: the other side, but it does make it really interesting. 534 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:02,160 Speaker 1: So it's the game and play that to be clear. 535 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,720 Speaker 1: I don't think Indiana has to have turnovers to win. 536 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 1: They just have to have really high level execution. They 537 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 1: have to win in the red zone. They do have 538 00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,479 Speaker 1: to do that both ways, and they have to expose 539 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,000 Speaker 1: a couple of things from Organ's perspective that maybe we 540 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,560 Speaker 1: didn't know were flaws. Let's take a look at what 541 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,560 Speaker 1: the model things. Because the fandual number right now is 542 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,800 Speaker 1: Oregon minus seven and a half. I got to tell 543 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 1: you when this thing was nine and a half earlier 544 00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 1: this week, Indiana plus the Points was the favorite play 545 00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:32,840 Speaker 1: of the model. The model, there was not a game 546 00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 1: on the board it liked more than Indiana. The model 547 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:39,840 Speaker 1: still loves Indiana. The model has organ minus six, so 548 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:43,239 Speaker 1: when you cross seven, when you cross that threshold, the 549 00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 1: model really loves Indiana. I think the model is drugs 550 00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: on this. I think the model has gotten just a 551 00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 1: little bit hopped up on a lot of the churching 552 00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:58,840 Speaker 1: up statistically that Indiana does against inferior competition. I'm not 553 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 1: falling for it. And I know I went on the 554 00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,200 Speaker 1: Locker Room earlier this week and I picked Andyana plus 555 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:07,960 Speaker 1: the Points. But I checked my constitutional rights right before 556 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:09,840 Speaker 1: we went on air, and one of those amendments, I 557 00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,800 Speaker 1: can't remember which one it was, it clearly states that 558 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:16,720 Speaker 1: up until kickoff, any American citizen reserves the right to 559 00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,400 Speaker 1: change their pick on a football game. And so here, 560 00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:21,840 Speaker 1: I am you gonna argue with the Constitution. I am 561 00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:25,120 Speaker 1: changing my pick. I think Oregon's gonna win. I think 562 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:28,040 Speaker 1: Oregon's gonna cover. It's a shame. Sig sent those texts 563 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,920 Speaker 1: to Dan Lanning allegedly earlier this week. If you don't know, 564 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:33,479 Speaker 1: you need to go watch the Locker Room. It's actually 565 00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 1: on our channel. We collabed with the Busting Guys to 566 00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,920 Speaker 1: feature it on both channels. Listen, I think Dan Lanning 567 00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 1: and company, you are gonna take care of business here. 568 00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 4: So I changed my mind. 569 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,360 Speaker 1: I had a change of heart, and I am slamming 570 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:47,440 Speaker 1: the model shut on this game. Oregon's gonna win. Organ's 571 00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 1: gonna cover. You can go to Academy Sports and Outdoors 572 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: and get you a Duck beanie right now if you 573 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,480 Speaker 1: want to. You can go get an Oregon T shirt 574 00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 1: right now if you want to, at select stores, but 575 00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,760 Speaker 1: at pretty much any story you can get camping equipment 576 00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:03,680 Speaker 1: and grilling equipment and maybe a little kayak paddle over there. 577 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,080 Speaker 1: You know you probably already have the kayak. You can 578 00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 1: get whatever you need. 579 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:10,200 Speaker 4: Bats balls, goals. 580 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:13,560 Speaker 1: Anything like that. But everyone knows Academy has that. I 581 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:16,240 Speaker 1: like to talk about the things you don't know Academy has, 582 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 1: and it's a lot, a whole lot. So I encourage 583 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,040 Speaker 1: you check out Academy Sports and Outdoors. They've been a 584 00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,640 Speaker 1: partner of ours almost from day one. And if you 585 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 1: can't get there in person, it's a shame. But that's okay. 586 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:31,000 Speaker 1: Academy dot Com has you covered. We appreciate them. We've 587 00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:32,440 Speaker 1: had a lot of fun with them over the years. 588 00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 1: No end in sight. It's not the last day of 589 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:36,480 Speaker 1: high school or anything like that. We're not signing each 590 00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:44,200 Speaker 1: other's yearbooks. But we appreciate them, all right. I know 591 00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,040 Speaker 1: I confused people earlier this week. We had a little 592 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 1: change up in the format of the show. I did 593 00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:53,760 Speaker 1: the Commissioner's Poll on Tuesday, when I normally do the jpeople, 594 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 1: and we're doing the JP Poll tonight. So here's a 595 00:31:56,360 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 1: good endpoint for you. Bradley got the week seven edition 596 00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,840 Speaker 1: of the JP Pole. I wonder why we waited until Thursday. 597 00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 1: I guess ballots were incomplete. 598 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 4: JP Pole. 599 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,200 Speaker 1: We were running a little refresh on the model. Now reminder, 600 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:11,720 Speaker 1: this is not rankings. The rankings are the Commissioner's Pole. 601 00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,760 Speaker 1: So when you see, for instance, where Notre Dame is 602 00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:17,480 Speaker 1: power rated in this thing, don't think for a second 603 00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:20,440 Speaker 1: that's where I would rank Notre Dame. When you see 604 00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:23,640 Speaker 1: teams that have beaten teams but they're still power rated 605 00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 1: behind those teams, it has nothing to do with where 606 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,280 Speaker 1: I would rank those teams. And no one believes in 607 00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:31,520 Speaker 1: valuing on field results more than me. Up to and 608 00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 1: including the committee. Sometimes I just am very interested in 609 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:37,800 Speaker 1: power ratings and all. This is what I'm about to 610 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 1: show you is teams listed in order of how they 611 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:45,200 Speaker 1: would be favored against each other on the neutral field. 612 00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:48,360 Speaker 1: So it's very much a Vegasis Odds Makers type way 613 00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:50,240 Speaker 1: of thinking. I do want to tell you before we 614 00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,160 Speaker 1: dive in, we do not have Brigham Young in the 615 00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 1: top thirty rankings wise, we had them top twenty the 616 00:32:57,200 --> 00:33:00,720 Speaker 1: other night. Brigham Young, They're like thirty teams the model 617 00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 1: would favor against them. And if you don't believe me 618 00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,760 Speaker 1: on that, that's okay. I would call your attention to 619 00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:08,760 Speaker 1: the fact that they're playing Arizona this weekend and that 620 00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:14,239 Speaker 1: line is right near a pickam. So there's record and 621 00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 1: then there's what you would be power rated. Those are 622 00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 1: different things. Also, Ohio State's kind of opened up a 623 00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:21,880 Speaker 1: little bit of a gap on the rest of the field. 624 00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:25,960 Speaker 1: But after Ohio State, if you go number two through 625 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:30,880 Speaker 1: number nineteen, ten point gap between two and nineteen, I'll 626 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 1: show you who two is in a second. Okay, let's 627 00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:35,880 Speaker 1: go top twenty. Clemson is still a top twenty power 628 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:39,120 Speaker 1: rating team. That's how you know these are not rankings Florida. 629 00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:43,040 Speaker 1: Is that Florida back in the power ratings? Florida's back 630 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:46,040 Speaker 1: at number nineteen. Florida's on the road this weekend, Ladies 631 00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:48,520 Speaker 1: and gentlemen, They're at Texas A and M. Is it 632 00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:53,280 Speaker 1: New Florida or is it Old Florida. You'll know by 633 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:55,080 Speaker 1: whether they get blown out or not. If they get 634 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 1: blown out, assume it's old Florida. Utah is at number eighteen, 635 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 1: not going Anywherelorida's date number seventeen. JP poll didn't drop 636 00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:05,000 Speaker 1: them because the JP pole got pretty much what we 637 00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:09,160 Speaker 1: expected in that game, so it didn't drop them. Missouris 638 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:12,480 Speaker 1: at sixteen. We'll see where Bama is in the second. 639 00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:17,480 Speaker 1: Missouri's at sixteen, all right, top fifteen, LSUS at fifteen. 640 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:21,239 Speaker 1: They have a critical game. I would almost call it 641 00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 1: a must win game, but it feels like we have 642 00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:24,760 Speaker 1: half a dozen of those in the SEC this week. 643 00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:28,200 Speaker 1: They play South Carolina Saturday night. I got Cublic just 644 00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:30,439 Speaker 1: waiting in the on deck circle over here to talk 645 00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:33,080 Speaker 1: about that game. He's not actually in the room, but 646 00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:35,760 Speaker 1: he is calling that one. He'll be on the sideline 647 00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:41,320 Speaker 1: down there, and I am just utterly and completely enamored 648 00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 1: with how LSU could come out of this bye week 649 00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:49,840 Speaker 1: offensively versus how they do, because I've got high hopes. Okay, 650 00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:53,759 Speaker 1: don't embarrass me. Penn State's at number fourteen. If the 651 00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,359 Speaker 1: bottom has fallen out of this team, that is not right. 652 00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,160 Speaker 1: So the model cannot pick up on that. It cannot 653 00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:02,280 Speaker 1: account for that. There's no way to know. We cannot 654 00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:04,959 Speaker 1: measure the emotion inside of a building. So Penn State 655 00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,120 Speaker 1: I would put a giant asterix on them being at 656 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:09,600 Speaker 1: number fourteen. But this is just who would be favored. 657 00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:12,839 Speaker 1: I know LSU fans look at that and say, are 658 00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,840 Speaker 1: you telling me if we went and played Penn State 659 00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:19,560 Speaker 1: in Nashville that we would be a dog? Well, I'm 660 00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:22,440 Speaker 1: telling you, according to the model, you would be and 661 00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:24,439 Speaker 1: then you would be free to gobble up LSU plus 662 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:26,120 Speaker 1: the points if you wanted to. I would be right 663 00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:28,319 Speaker 1: there with you. I don't have to agree with the model. 664 00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:30,320 Speaker 1: I just have to tell you what it thinks. Tennessee's thirteen. 665 00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:34,320 Speaker 1: Oh you is twelve Oklahoma, probably a little bit lower 666 00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 1: than what folks would expect. That is not the Materier injury. 667 00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:42,279 Speaker 1: That is what John Matier Oklahoma at twelve. So you 668 00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:46,120 Speaker 1: go in, you handle Texas this weekend, and that fundamentally 669 00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 1: changes the profile that the model has about you. But 670 00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:52,680 Speaker 1: if you've been wondering why I picked Texas against OU 671 00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:54,640 Speaker 1: number one, it's called I think Texas is the more 672 00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:58,439 Speaker 1: desperate team number two power ratings wise, it's a neutral field, 673 00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:01,040 Speaker 1: and we got Texas power rated a little bit higher 674 00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:04,520 Speaker 1: than OU. Indiana being at eleven is just incredible. That's 675 00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:06,719 Speaker 1: why I'm telling you. They were never up there last year. 676 00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:10,439 Speaker 1: The model never took them as seriously last year as 677 00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:11,840 Speaker 1: it is now, which is why I'm telling you I 678 00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:13,919 Speaker 1: think this is a much better team than they had 679 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:17,440 Speaker 1: last year. Now, if they go into Oregon and they 680 00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:21,440 Speaker 1: lose by ten or something like that, you'll expect them 681 00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,759 Speaker 1: to fall. They won't fall that much. That'll be a 682 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,719 Speaker 1: result sort of in line with what you would expect 683 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,439 Speaker 1: the number eleven team in the country to do on 684 00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:32,520 Speaker 1: the road against a top five team. To the very 685 00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:35,480 Speaker 1: nature of how power ratings were top ten time A 686 00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,960 Speaker 1: and M's at ten and Texas Texas at nine, and 687 00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:43,200 Speaker 1: Texas is at eight, and the profile on those three 688 00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:47,080 Speaker 1: respective teams from Texas couldn't be any more different right now, 689 00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:50,880 Speaker 1: But look at the one that everyone's selling on because 690 00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:54,439 Speaker 1: that's the one rated the highest. Texas is at number eight. 691 00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:57,880 Speaker 1: A lot of folks are about to find out this weekend, 692 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:01,799 Speaker 1: including me, Microphone. We're about to find out one way 693 00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,160 Speaker 1: or another, because it could just be that the talent 694 00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:08,720 Speaker 1: profile of Texas has them overinflated. I'm willing to grant 695 00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:13,319 Speaker 1: you that's a possibility. But just remember last week. You know, 696 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,239 Speaker 1: Texas got beat by Florida, and we expected it on 697 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:19,360 Speaker 1: the show. So as long as we're getting what we expect, 698 00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:20,920 Speaker 1: there's not going to be a whole lot of adjustment, 699 00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:25,520 Speaker 1: especially from the model's perspective. In the power ratings. Texas Tech, though, 700 00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:29,240 Speaker 1: look at where they are. I mean they're above OU, 701 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 1: They're above Tennessee, they're above LSU. The reason I'm mentioned 702 00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:35,400 Speaker 1: in these teams is because those are perennially top ten, 703 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:38,719 Speaker 1: top fifteen recruiters, and Texas Tech's above them. That means 704 00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,000 Speaker 1: they portled in the right talent and it's sort of 705 00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:44,920 Speaker 1: verifying itself in terms of on field result. Ole Missus seven, 706 00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 1: Notre Dame at six is the one that's going to 707 00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,319 Speaker 1: turn everyone's next sideways, and except mine because I can't 708 00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:56,920 Speaker 1: because it's hurt right now. No, they're not the number 709 00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:00,880 Speaker 1: sixteam in the country from a rankings perspective. And I 710 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:02,759 Speaker 1: know I'm saying this for a third time and he 711 00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,840 Speaker 1: gets very redundant. But we're gonna put out a graphic. 712 00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:08,520 Speaker 1: I scheduled it so it's probably already out. And that's 713 00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,360 Speaker 1: what's pushback I'll get. I'll get folks at this point 714 00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:14,720 Speaker 1: who will say no, no, no, no no. I get 715 00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,799 Speaker 1: how the power ratings work. I'm telling you, even by 716 00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 1: power ratings standards, Notre Dame's overrated. They're not. I'm just 717 00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,359 Speaker 1: telling you, I think you'd be shocked at how many 718 00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,240 Speaker 1: teams they'd be favored against, even with two losses. Top 719 00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:32,920 Speaker 1: five is pretty much what it's been. We've got Georgia five, 720 00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:37,800 Speaker 1: Bama four, Miami's up to three, Oregon's two, and Ohio 721 00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 1: State's one right now, neutral field, the model would make 722 00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,440 Speaker 1: Ohio State about a four and a half point favored 723 00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:50,680 Speaker 1: against organ And like I said, in the SEC grouping specifically, 724 00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:59,800 Speaker 1: there is so much disaster scenario cause you're looking at one, two, three, four, five, six. 725 00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:03,680 Speaker 1: There are seven SEC teams in the top fifteen. A 726 00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,239 Speaker 1: lot of them play each other, almost all of them 727 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,719 Speaker 1: already have losses. I think aside from Ole, miss A 728 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:13,080 Speaker 1: and m most of them do have losses Oklahoma. But 729 00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 1: the point is they're all going to play each other. 730 00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:16,680 Speaker 1: They're going to be some three and four lost teams. 731 00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:21,279 Speaker 1: It's inevitable, and there are some major disaster scenarios coming 732 00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:23,960 Speaker 1: because there are no elite teams here. It's just it's 733 00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:26,680 Speaker 1: pretty good or really good. There are no elite teams, 734 00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:29,479 Speaker 1: which means like you watched what happened to Penn State 735 00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:32,600 Speaker 1: last week and everyone laughs at them. I wouldn't laugh 736 00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:36,240 Speaker 1: too long, I wouldn't laugh too loud. That's the first one. 737 00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:40,600 Speaker 1: That's not the last one. And so the big question 738 00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:42,719 Speaker 1: with me is going to be the same as it 739 00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:47,200 Speaker 1: was at media days. How many people have truly recalibrated 740 00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 1: their perspective to account for the new landscape of college football, 741 00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:53,960 Speaker 1: specifically in that conference. Because you're gonna have some three 742 00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:57,880 Speaker 1: and four loss teams, four and five loss teams even 743 00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:01,239 Speaker 1: that are kind of good and I'm not vouching for 744 00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 1: them to make the playoff. What I'm saying is you're 745 00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,160 Speaker 1: gonna have some hot seat talk in places that they 746 00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:09,360 Speaker 1: have no business talking hot seat. It's just kind of 747 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:12,239 Speaker 1: the way the ball bounced. It's gonna happen. This is 748 00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:13,799 Speaker 1: not an if. This is a this is a win. 749 00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,120 Speaker 1: Just don't know where yet. All right, let's keep it rolling. Oh, 750 00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:23,279 Speaker 1: I underestimated something. I gotta admit to you. I so 751 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:26,520 Speaker 1: we have petstatemateial dot com, which is our store, our 752 00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:28,799 Speaker 1: merch store, and we got some T shirts in there, 753 00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:31,320 Speaker 1: you guys love and that's what I wear. I just 754 00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:33,520 Speaker 1: wear a white T shirt every day, so like that's 755 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:37,600 Speaker 1: my thing. Savannah State had been on me for a 756 00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 1: long time, as had a couple of other people. You 757 00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 1: gotta get onesies, you gotta get infant gear, you gotta 758 00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:47,440 Speaker 1: get stuff for babies. So we launched the Little Freights 759 00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:49,839 Speaker 1: collection mainly because I like the name, but I had 760 00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:54,680 Speaker 1: no concept of how in demand this stuff was. So 761 00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:59,359 Speaker 1: we launched our kids' collection the other night on Sunday, 762 00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:03,800 Speaker 1: and I had my mind blown at what happened because 763 00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:07,880 Speaker 1: they became our best sellers. So they tell me reproduction 764 00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:10,799 Speaker 1: rates are going down. I can't prove it from the 765 00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,960 Speaker 1: store because the store indicates that there are way more 766 00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:16,880 Speaker 1: babies out there than there are adults, at least babies 767 00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:19,359 Speaker 1: that want to wear paint State Little Freights Gear. So 768 00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:22,560 Speaker 1: what did we do? We tripled down on it. We 769 00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:24,520 Speaker 1: put like three or four new products in the store 770 00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:27,400 Speaker 1: since two days ago. So even if you bought the 771 00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:29,959 Speaker 1: other day, and judging by the numbers most of you did, 772 00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 1: I'm half convinced some of you that don't even have 773 00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:36,600 Speaker 1: newborns went and bought one just in case. Mixed great 774 00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:40,400 Speaker 1: Christmas gifts, birthday gifts as well. Paintstatematerial dot Com. Go 775 00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:42,000 Speaker 1: check it out. Yeah, if you're like us, you know, 776 00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:44,680 Speaker 1: just good old fashioned T shirts and crew necks. Yeah, 777 00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:48,120 Speaker 1: those are over there as well. I'm about to get 778 00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:50,320 Speaker 1: to the Rominul Express and then I'm gonna get to Cublic. 779 00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:53,040 Speaker 1: But I do want to remind you we got a 780 00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:54,759 Speaker 1: big weekend coming up. I know a lot of you're 781 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:56,960 Speaker 1: gonna have action on these games. Make sure that you 782 00:41:57,120 --> 00:42:00,120 Speaker 1: are stopping by FanDuel, It's exclusive odds provider of our 783 00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:03,279 Speaker 1: show FanDuel dot Com Forward Slash Josh Paid. If you're 784 00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 1: a new customer, you know you always got the bet 785 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,680 Speaker 1: five to get three hundred in bonus bets, which just 786 00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:10,640 Speaker 1: means bet five bucks on what you think is an 787 00:42:10,640 --> 00:42:13,040 Speaker 1: easy winner, and when you win you'll get three hundred 788 00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:17,000 Speaker 1: in bonus bets. Right now, we're going to add to 789 00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:20,200 Speaker 1: the Ramen Noodle Express, and I want to remind everyone 790 00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:24,440 Speaker 1: true sign of legitimacy in this world. Do you go 791 00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:27,880 Speaker 1: to FanDuel, go to college football and have your own tab. 792 00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:30,799 Speaker 1: That's how you know you're legit. We have our own 793 00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:33,279 Speaker 1: tab there. I'm not kidding about that. You can go 794 00:42:33,320 --> 00:42:35,840 Speaker 1: to FanDuel and you can go to college football. And 795 00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,239 Speaker 1: if you're wondering what's on the Ramen Noodle Express this week, 796 00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:40,960 Speaker 1: like if you missed a show, which you would never do, 797 00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:42,400 Speaker 1: but if you miss the show, you can just go 798 00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:44,759 Speaker 1: to FanDuel and pull up the Josh paid tab. There 799 00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:49,080 Speaker 1: are the numbers. Now you'll notice FanDuel freezes the numbers 800 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:51,920 Speaker 1: that I hand it out, but a lot of times 801 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,279 Speaker 1: will move the line. Just a powerful show. We move 802 00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,200 Speaker 1: the line. So you're going to have to lay worse 803 00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:01,160 Speaker 1: juice the later in the wee that you bet these sometimes, 804 00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:03,160 Speaker 1: so you need to be tuned into the shows when 805 00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:06,360 Speaker 1: they happen. I'm about to add two more games, then 806 00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:08,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you know about tomorrow night. Then we're 807 00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:10,400 Speaker 1: gonna get to Cublic Nebraska minus five and a half. 808 00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,200 Speaker 1: We were on that one earlier this week, Northern Illinois 809 00:43:13,480 --> 00:43:16,239 Speaker 1: plus one and a half, Kansas State plus one and 810 00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 1: a half, and Stanford plus nineteen and a half. I 811 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,319 Speaker 1: have two more games to add. Give me Bowling Green 812 00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:26,520 Speaker 1: plus eleven and a half they're playing Toledo, and give 813 00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:30,640 Speaker 1: me Kansas. I spoke so forcefully about that game because 814 00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:33,919 Speaker 1: I'm betting at Kansas plus fourteen and a half at 815 00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:39,799 Speaker 1: Texas Tech. Dangerous Jayhawks, just pecking around. Be careful. So 816 00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:44,400 Speaker 1: I'm gonna add several more games on Friday night lines tomorrow. 817 00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:47,920 Speaker 1: I'm telling you we're not done. The model is hot 818 00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:50,880 Speaker 1: right now and we are going to ride that thing immunity. 819 00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:53,640 Speaker 1: So it's gonna be sometime tomorrow night. Make sure you're 820 00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,840 Speaker 1: checking Twitter and the Instagram story tomorrow at Josh pat CFB. 821 00:43:57,320 --> 00:44:00,000 Speaker 1: I'll let you know what time it's gonna be. Probably 822 00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:03,160 Speaker 1: after the games, maybe after the games ten eleven o'clock 823 00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:06,560 Speaker 1: something like that. So a traditional Friday night line start time, 824 00:44:06,800 --> 00:44:08,000 Speaker 1: but just make sure you're following. 825 00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:10,440 Speaker 5: There must be twenty one plus and present in select 826 00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:13,560 Speaker 5: states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or 827 00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,600 Speaker 5: eighteen plus and present in DC first online real money 828 00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:20,120 Speaker 5: wager only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as 829 00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:23,040 Speaker 5: non withthrawable bonus bets, which expires seven days after receipt. 830 00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:27,040 Speaker 5: Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. 831 00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:30,200 Speaker 5: Gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel 832 00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:32,799 Speaker 5: dot com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven 833 00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,839 Speaker 5: eight nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot 834 00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:39,480 Speaker 5: org slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gamblinghelp dot 835 00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:43,479 Speaker 5: org in Maryland. Hope is here, visit gambling Helplinema dot 836 00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:46,200 Speaker 5: org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty 837 00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:48,839 Speaker 5: for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts, or call one 838 00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:51,399 Speaker 5: eight seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text Hope 839 00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:52,399 Speaker 5: and Why in New York. 840 00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:55,479 Speaker 1: In the meantime, I hear him, I hear c blick. 841 00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:59,319 Speaker 1: He's ready to go. So uh, let's welcome our friend Dan, 842 00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,640 Speaker 1: usual spot, Usual time on Thursday Night's cole kublick of 843 00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:08,279 Speaker 1: many different fames. Your most favorite thing, though, and the 844 00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:11,600 Speaker 1: thing that I would say, inarguably you're becoming the most 845 00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:16,520 Speaker 1: known for, is being recognized on the sideline at games 846 00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:20,400 Speaker 1: because you're on this show. Take the folks through what 847 00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:20,840 Speaker 1: that's like. 848 00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:25,959 Speaker 4: Uh, it's really cool. When I bump into people and 849 00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:28,959 Speaker 4: they say, Pete State, why are you not the main 850 00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:30,920 Speaker 4: attraction on that show? And I say, that's not a 851 00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:32,959 Speaker 4: question for me, it's a question for the other guy. 852 00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:35,759 Speaker 4: Ask him like, why don't why are you not on more? 853 00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:38,480 Speaker 4: You know so much more about football than the other dude, 854 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:41,160 Speaker 4: And I'm just a cube show is all I can 855 00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:43,960 Speaker 4: tell you. That one out crazy it is because you 856 00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:45,560 Speaker 4: said it's uncomfortable, is what it is. 857 00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:47,279 Speaker 1: You sent me a video of it last week and 858 00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:49,719 Speaker 1: I heard him say the first part. I didn't hear 859 00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:51,080 Speaker 1: the whole not knowing ballpark. 860 00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:52,359 Speaker 4: You must have cut that out. 861 00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:54,399 Speaker 1: You edited it down a little bit so the video 862 00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:55,080 Speaker 1: would in faster. 863 00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:57,359 Speaker 4: I know how I was trying to. I was trying 864 00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:00,640 Speaker 4: to boost morale. Yeah, not hurt morale. Let you feel 865 00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:02,920 Speaker 4: like you were important. Still. Yeah, I like he doesn't 866 00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:05,080 Speaker 4: need to hear about how you really don't like him 867 00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:05,880 Speaker 4: that much. It's okay. 868 00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:10,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, are you aware that it is October? We're here, 869 00:46:10,680 --> 00:46:13,680 Speaker 1: it's time and you got a South Carolina game Saturday night. 870 00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:17,400 Speaker 1: I do Lina South Carolina LSU. For the folks that 871 00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:21,120 Speaker 1: don't know, seven forty five ish, six forty five ish 872 00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:24,239 Speaker 1: Central time kickoff down there on SEC network, You'll be 873 00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:28,440 Speaker 1: roaming the sidelines. Everybody thinks, everybody in this game, wait. 874 00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:30,919 Speaker 4: A second, are we're kicking off at seven forty five 875 00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:32,120 Speaker 4: Central Eastern? 876 00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:33,760 Speaker 1: Is that real Eastern? 877 00:46:34,560 --> 00:46:36,480 Speaker 4: Okay? Yes, it's Central, And I was like, hold on 878 00:46:36,520 --> 00:46:38,160 Speaker 4: a second, I gotta change my entire plans. 879 00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:40,719 Speaker 1: It would have been tough. Bradley, just we're going to 880 00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 1: cut it in here. South Carolina LSU Saturday, seven forty 881 00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:49,799 Speaker 1: five Eastern kick, six forty five local kick there, that's 882 00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:53,360 Speaker 1: in Louisiana. You'll be roaming the sideline down there. Everybody 883 00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,200 Speaker 1: feels like they're in must win mode in this game. 884 00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:57,680 Speaker 1: Everyone tells you they got to have it. I think 885 00:46:57,840 --> 00:46:59,759 Speaker 1: especially LSU would tell you they have to have it. 886 00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:03,239 Speaker 1: So I am very interested for us to just ping 887 00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:05,319 Speaker 1: pong back and forth because we rarely get to do 888 00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,960 Speaker 1: a game preview together. But since it's such a loaded week, 889 00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:10,960 Speaker 1: we had to spill over into the little Thursday reservoir here. 890 00:47:11,160 --> 00:47:13,640 Speaker 1: So first key, where does your mind go? Go? Anywhere 891 00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:17,319 Speaker 1: you want to? South Carolina LSU. 892 00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:18,600 Speaker 4: First key is something I've been saying about LSU for 893 00:47:18,640 --> 00:47:21,960 Speaker 4: weeks now, and it has become more balanced. Some people 894 00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:23,680 Speaker 4: may hear that, Josh, they're going to say, oh yeah, 895 00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,239 Speaker 4: run pass, don't put as much on nus Meyer. It's 896 00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,520 Speaker 4: not even that. I don't mind you using the quick 897 00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:31,120 Speaker 4: game as an extension of running the football and find 898 00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:33,680 Speaker 4: different ways to get the ball in your playmaker's hands quickly. 899 00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:36,520 Speaker 4: You have to even up the formations a little bit more. 900 00:47:36,560 --> 00:47:40,399 Speaker 4: Give me some different formations other than shotgun offset running back. 901 00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:40,799 Speaker 1: Now. 902 00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:44,479 Speaker 4: They did this actually seven times against Old Miss, which 903 00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:48,279 Speaker 4: was a big leap for the LSU offense, so really expanding. 904 00:47:48,320 --> 00:47:48,560 Speaker 5: There. 905 00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:50,799 Speaker 4: Still need more of it, though, and I would like 906 00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:52,839 Speaker 4: to see you develop a little more of a traditional 907 00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:55,520 Speaker 4: run game to be able to offset what Garrett nus 908 00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:57,960 Speaker 4: Meyer needs to be has to be for this offense. 909 00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:01,320 Speaker 4: The receivers are fantastic, ends are playing pretty good football. 910 00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:05,160 Speaker 4: The offensive line is not. They cannot withstand thirty five 911 00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:09,440 Speaker 4: forty snaps of this South Carolina front being able to 912 00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:12,080 Speaker 4: go straight attack mode and being able to play basically 913 00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:14,160 Speaker 4: jet formation where they think it's passed and they're going 914 00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:15,440 Speaker 4: to tee off and they're going to give you the 915 00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:18,200 Speaker 4: twists and the pressures and the blitzes and line up 916 00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:19,840 Speaker 4: in different ways to be able to go after you. 917 00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:22,480 Speaker 4: I don't think LSU wins this football game if they 918 00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:25,600 Speaker 4: have to play that way. So even things up, Josh, 919 00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:29,680 Speaker 4: more traditional run game, more evened out formations, make South 920 00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:33,200 Speaker 4: Carolina defend more that you're capable of doing, and I 921 00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,000 Speaker 4: think that would give LSU a massive advantage. 922 00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:37,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, basically, what you're telling that offensive staff is earn 923 00:48:37,760 --> 00:48:40,719 Speaker 1: your paycheck, which is really where I am on this one. 924 00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:43,279 Speaker 1: When I look at LSU, they're about two or three 925 00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:45,720 Speaker 1: teams honestly in the SEC where I'm looking this week, 926 00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,520 Speaker 1: and I'm breaking down the game almost like someone who 927 00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,000 Speaker 1: is just passing by on the street would break down 928 00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:53,680 Speaker 1: the game like you guys a getting paid, how much 929 00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:56,880 Speaker 1: money you have, how much advantage in recruiting and talent acquisition? 930 00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:00,400 Speaker 1: And you're ware in the offensive ratings right now. You 931 00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:02,399 Speaker 1: know a lot of people are gonna yell, we got 932 00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:04,080 Speaker 1: establish the run, man, we got to run the ball, 933 00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:07,000 Speaker 1: like you said right there, however you accomplish that's however 934 00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:09,719 Speaker 1: you accomplish it. You've talked about Alabama many times this 935 00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:12,239 Speaker 1: year and how jam Miller's not running it for seven 936 00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:14,520 Speaker 1: yards per carrier, but yet the offense isn't. 937 00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:15,960 Speaker 4: Getting bogged down because of that. 938 00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:20,280 Speaker 1: LSU's offense has been bogged down because they lack that ability. 939 00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:22,879 Speaker 1: But I'm wondering a couple of things. Okay, yeah, it'd 940 00:49:22,920 --> 00:49:26,360 Speaker 1: be great number one if they just find something in 941 00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:28,399 Speaker 1: the run game. But I'm to the point in the season, man, 942 00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:31,560 Speaker 1: where I'm not going to assume that you'll ever get that, 943 00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:34,000 Speaker 1: And if you do, I'll be happy to be proven wrong. 944 00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:36,960 Speaker 1: I'll be pleasantly surprised, so more so than established the 945 00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:41,200 Speaker 1: run or establish this or that. That's first thing. Second 946 00:49:41,239 --> 00:49:43,680 Speaker 1: thing is if Nuss is healthy, I just want you 947 00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:48,279 Speaker 1: to establish whatever, like, establish something that works. Also, if 948 00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:50,879 Speaker 1: he has the added ability to stretch the field, which 949 00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:53,080 Speaker 1: they really haven't so far this year because he may 950 00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:55,439 Speaker 1: be a little better health wise, which is a huge 951 00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:58,480 Speaker 1: question mark. I just think to myself, all right, I'm 952 00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:00,759 Speaker 1: looking at what Alabama does, and I'm looking at the 953 00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:02,920 Speaker 1: fact that they've got that and they don't have a 954 00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:06,080 Speaker 1: power ground game element to their offense right now. They 955 00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:08,160 Speaker 1: hope it shows up at some point this year, but 956 00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:10,200 Speaker 1: it hadn't been there so far. I just look at 957 00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:13,239 Speaker 1: it from the most rudimentary point of view possible, and 958 00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:14,880 Speaker 1: that is there are a lot of people in that 959 00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:18,000 Speaker 1: building that have jobs that a lot of folks in 960 00:50:18,040 --> 00:50:21,160 Speaker 1: college football would love. And at some point, man, I 961 00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:23,960 Speaker 1: like those guys on that offensive staff. You got to 962 00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:27,319 Speaker 1: earn your money. You've got what you've got. You don't 963 00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:29,880 Speaker 1: get to go to the portal during week six or 964 00:50:29,920 --> 00:50:32,400 Speaker 1: week seven. It's same thing with Texas. You got to 965 00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:34,560 Speaker 1: use what it is you have in the building and 966 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:36,160 Speaker 1: you got to find a way to squeeze enough juice 967 00:50:36,160 --> 00:50:39,400 Speaker 1: out of that orange to win a game. Key number two, 968 00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:40,440 Speaker 1: by the way, go ahead. 969 00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:43,680 Speaker 4: I think, let me just fallou Bush. You're staying there 970 00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:47,000 Speaker 4: real quick. It's not even about going out and running 971 00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:49,440 Speaker 4: the ball thirty five times four, one hundred and ninety 972 00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:53,440 Speaker 4: six yards. It's the presentation of it. So it's a 973 00:50:53,480 --> 00:50:55,719 Speaker 4: great example when you go to Alabama because what do 974 00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:58,600 Speaker 4: they make you defend? Obviously the width of the field 975 00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:01,360 Speaker 4: with those receivers, but hid in the flat tight end, 976 00:51:01,360 --> 00:51:03,080 Speaker 4: down the middle of the field, running backs out of 977 00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:06,920 Speaker 4: the field, screen game two receivers, two running backs, quarterback 978 00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:10,239 Speaker 4: run bootleg. We've seen a couple of design quarterback runs 979 00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:12,759 Speaker 4: at Alabama gives you. And then in the actual run game, 980 00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:16,440 Speaker 4: two back running back behind quarterback. We've seen Ty Simpson 981 00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:19,200 Speaker 4: under center a couple of times this year outside zone, 982 00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:21,759 Speaker 4: inside zone duo, we've seen them hand it off to 983 00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:24,440 Speaker 4: the left tackle and throw it to him. Also, so 984 00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:27,680 Speaker 4: that presentation of what do we have to defend, how 985 00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:30,000 Speaker 4: and why and what that allows us to truly be 986 00:51:30,120 --> 00:51:32,839 Speaker 4: that we think we are or are not. That's where 987 00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:34,960 Speaker 4: I think I would agree with you that LSU's got 988 00:51:34,960 --> 00:51:37,440 Speaker 4: to go and just that they can't let Clayton White 989 00:51:37,440 --> 00:51:39,880 Speaker 4: t off because when he does, he's really good at it. 990 00:51:39,920 --> 00:51:41,520 Speaker 4: He knows how to free guys up and get to 991 00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:43,839 Speaker 4: the quarterback. And I know for a fact he spent 992 00:51:43,920 --> 00:51:47,319 Speaker 4: his entire offseason study on how to free up an 993 00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:50,360 Speaker 4: elite pass rusher. Because of course they have Dylan Stewart 994 00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:52,960 Speaker 4: next in line. For me, would be key to this 995 00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:58,880 Speaker 4: game include Leonora Sellers in the run game heavily. That, however, 996 00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:02,040 Speaker 4: Josh does not mean he has to carry the football 997 00:52:02,120 --> 00:52:05,920 Speaker 4: eighteen twenty twenty two times. The threat of him carrying 998 00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:09,680 Speaker 4: the football has to be there though. This LSU defense 999 00:52:10,040 --> 00:52:12,719 Speaker 4: has to not only be aware but they have to 1000 00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:15,560 Speaker 4: think that he has the capabilities of keeping the football 1001 00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:18,080 Speaker 4: and running on a very regular basis. Now that could 1002 00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:20,959 Speaker 4: mean zone read sort of sprint out with a pop 1003 00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:23,200 Speaker 4: pass element to it, which we've seen other teams do. 1004 00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:25,680 Speaker 4: It almost looks like a triple option nowadays. Could be 1005 00:52:25,719 --> 00:52:28,840 Speaker 4: your traditional zone read. Give me just a straight quarterback 1006 00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,320 Speaker 4: power or quarterback inside zone every once in a while, 1007 00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:34,120 Speaker 4: boot him move the pocket with the ability to tuck 1008 00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:37,720 Speaker 4: the ball and run. I felt like Mike Shula got 1009 00:52:37,760 --> 00:52:40,600 Speaker 4: a little bit nervous around the second third game of 1010 00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:43,279 Speaker 4: the season to just let Leonoris go in the run game. 1011 00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:45,959 Speaker 4: And again not saying he has to carry the load 1012 00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:48,680 Speaker 4: in the run game, but the threat of him carrying 1013 00:52:48,719 --> 00:52:50,840 Speaker 4: the load has to be there or else. This is 1014 00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:54,080 Speaker 4: an LSU defense that can absolutely teoffs in similar fashion 1015 00:52:54,160 --> 00:52:56,280 Speaker 4: to South Carolinas, and they'll do it even more ways 1016 00:52:56,560 --> 00:52:58,799 Speaker 4: with how Blake Baker is going to design it. You 1017 00:52:58,840 --> 00:53:02,200 Speaker 4: need to keep those safeties. You need to force defenders 1018 00:53:02,200 --> 00:53:05,040 Speaker 4: to stay out wide because of what Leonora's can potentially 1019 00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,440 Speaker 4: give you on the perimeter. If you're going to number one, 1020 00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:09,759 Speaker 4: develop any kind of traditional run game here, because that 1021 00:53:09,800 --> 00:53:12,640 Speaker 4: hasn't gone for South Carolina anyway, and then number two 1022 00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:14,720 Speaker 4: be able to find some things down the field because 1023 00:53:14,960 --> 00:53:17,839 Speaker 4: you offset what they can do. From a pressure standpoint. 1024 00:53:18,280 --> 00:53:21,040 Speaker 4: If there's that belief that, hey, this guy could keep 1025 00:53:21,080 --> 00:53:22,839 Speaker 4: the ball and take over at any moment, we have 1026 00:53:22,920 --> 00:53:23,719 Speaker 4: to be wary of that. 1027 00:53:23,880 --> 00:53:26,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm thinking about that. So what you just said, 1028 00:53:26,440 --> 00:53:28,440 Speaker 1: I'll copy paste, I'll sign off on all that, and 1029 00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:29,880 Speaker 1: then I take it and I just throw it in 1030 00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:33,160 Speaker 1: a pot and try and bake myself to a South 1031 00:53:33,160 --> 00:53:36,600 Speaker 1: Carolina win if it is to happen Saturday night. And 1032 00:53:36,680 --> 00:53:39,439 Speaker 1: I don't know what. Sometimes you do the magic number things, 1033 00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:41,600 Speaker 1: sometimes you don't. I've got a magic number in my 1034 00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:45,879 Speaker 1: head where if it's just offensive scoring, that's gonna dent 1035 00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,200 Speaker 1: the scoreboard for South Carolina. I've got to think I 1036 00:53:48,239 --> 00:53:52,040 Speaker 1: got to keep them under twenty three, under twenty something 1037 00:53:52,160 --> 00:53:54,160 Speaker 1: like that. Again, if I'm not getting special teams or 1038 00:53:54,200 --> 00:53:57,439 Speaker 1: defensive scores, I think my defensive effort has to be 1039 00:53:57,640 --> 00:53:59,919 Speaker 1: of that caliber. It would help me if they're still 1040 00:54:00,040 --> 00:54:01,799 Speaker 1: not able to run the ball. It would help me 1041 00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:04,520 Speaker 1: if I make them incapable of running the ball. But 1042 00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:08,920 Speaker 1: also I've I have always watched Nussmayer. Now this is 1043 00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:11,160 Speaker 1: me if I'm a defensive staffer at South Carolina. I 1044 00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:13,880 Speaker 1: always watch this tape of Garrett Nusmayer, and there's always 1045 00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:16,560 Speaker 1: just an inexplicable decision or two in there. I've got 1046 00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:19,000 Speaker 1: to capitalize on that. It can't just be where the 1047 00:54:19,040 --> 00:54:21,440 Speaker 1: crowd goes, ooh man, that could have been bad. Oh well, 1048 00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:23,440 Speaker 1: we live to play third down. I got to make 1049 00:54:23,480 --> 00:54:26,400 Speaker 1: them pay for that. I've got to find explosive plays 1050 00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:29,440 Speaker 1: the cap busters somehow, someway. I've been bad at it 1051 00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:32,799 Speaker 1: so far this year, I'm eighty ninth in explosive play rate. 1052 00:54:33,200 --> 00:54:35,560 Speaker 1: Let's use defense has not allowed a single play of 1053 00:54:35,640 --> 00:54:38,680 Speaker 1: forty plus their top twenty and thirty plus ers. So 1054 00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:41,960 Speaker 1: there's just some inversion that has to happen there. Now, 1055 00:54:41,960 --> 00:54:44,279 Speaker 1: that's just to win a traditionally played game. If that 1056 00:54:44,440 --> 00:54:47,200 Speaker 1: doesn't happen, you just got to have some weird stuff. 1057 00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:49,399 Speaker 1: You gotta have some October stuff happen. Take a look, 1058 00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:51,480 Speaker 1: by the way, at the FanDuel number is eight and 1059 00:54:51,520 --> 00:54:54,160 Speaker 1: a half. The model agrees. So I've got no strong 1060 00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:57,320 Speaker 1: lean on this game. As far as the model goes, 1061 00:54:57,440 --> 00:55:00,239 Speaker 1: as far as I go, I think I've I've seen 1062 00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:02,440 Speaker 1: the worst of LSU this year, it's gonna be a 1063 00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:04,279 Speaker 1: tough stretch for South Carolina. I think I've seen the 1064 00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:07,719 Speaker 1: worst of LSU. I got really, really gut feelings about 1065 00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:10,120 Speaker 1: LSU and Texas this week that there's gonna be a 1066 00:55:10,160 --> 00:55:12,360 Speaker 1: little bit of a bounce back about them. And so 1067 00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:15,320 Speaker 1: for LSU, look, that could mean winning a game twenty 1068 00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:17,279 Speaker 1: three to ten or something like that, but I think 1069 00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:20,480 Speaker 1: they're going to find a way to win and cover here. 1070 00:55:20,280 --> 00:55:22,560 Speaker 1: You're calling the game, so it would be very unethical 1071 00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:25,160 Speaker 1: of you to sound off here. But final thoughts on 1072 00:55:25,160 --> 00:55:26,200 Speaker 1: this one before we move on. 1073 00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:28,920 Speaker 4: A similar thought that I'm going to give you to 1074 00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:30,480 Speaker 4: about eight other games this weekend. 1075 00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:34,320 Speaker 1: Take the under points at a premium. 1076 00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:34,839 Speaker 4: Get out of there. 1077 00:55:34,840 --> 00:55:36,920 Speaker 1: It's like a Greg Maddox game for you. Get out 1078 00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:39,200 Speaker 1: of there before ten thirty or eleven something like that. 1079 00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:40,520 Speaker 4: Possibly. 1080 00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:44,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, man, let's talk about OU Texas for a second. 1081 00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:47,640 Speaker 1: Out of all, even including the game I'm going to 1082 00:55:47,960 --> 00:55:51,000 Speaker 1: this week, This one's the one I'm actually most fascinated 1083 00:55:51,040 --> 00:55:55,400 Speaker 1: to watch unfold. Oklahoma Texas, Texas, Oklahoma, whichever direction you 1084 00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:57,960 Speaker 1: want to say, the team's in. It is the Red 1085 00:55:58,000 --> 00:55:59,960 Speaker 1: River Shootout, known by no other name on this show, 1086 00:56:00,760 --> 00:56:03,719 Speaker 1: there is this mentality out there. You can really tell 1087 00:56:03,719 --> 00:56:05,480 Speaker 1: who kind of pays attention to college football and who 1088 00:56:05,480 --> 00:56:08,319 Speaker 1: looks at it driving by it that Texas has this 1089 00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:11,880 Speaker 1: almost insurmountable hurdle in front of them this week, and 1090 00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:13,279 Speaker 1: then you look at the bottom of the screen and 1091 00:56:13,280 --> 00:56:14,840 Speaker 1: you see they've been anywhere from a one and a 1092 00:56:14,840 --> 00:56:16,720 Speaker 1: half point favorite to one and a half point dog. 1093 00:56:18,120 --> 00:56:21,120 Speaker 1: I know, one's undefeated, one's two losses, like that's all 1094 00:56:21,160 --> 00:56:23,719 Speaker 1: the wallpaper. But when you tear off the wallpaper and 1095 00:56:23,760 --> 00:56:25,719 Speaker 1: you get into this game. I've listened to you talk 1096 00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:27,279 Speaker 1: a little bit this week, We've talked on the phone 1097 00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,160 Speaker 1: a little bit about it this week. It feels like 1098 00:56:29,200 --> 00:56:31,359 Speaker 1: you and I are sort of on the same page here. 1099 00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:33,680 Speaker 1: I went as far as to just pick Texas to 1100 00:56:33,719 --> 00:56:37,160 Speaker 1: win the game. At the very least you vocalized on 1101 00:56:37,239 --> 00:56:40,239 Speaker 1: your show all week, how yes, this is going to 1102 00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:43,040 Speaker 1: be a struggle for Texas, but it should be a very, 1103 00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:45,880 Speaker 1: very tall order for the Oklahoma offense as well. So 1104 00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:47,920 Speaker 1: just walk folks through what you talked about all week. 1105 00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:51,520 Speaker 4: I just don't know what the baseline offense is going 1106 00:56:51,600 --> 00:56:54,440 Speaker 4: to be for Oklahoma in this game. If John Mattier 1107 00:56:54,520 --> 00:56:57,360 Speaker 4: doesn't go. Now, if John Matier goes, it completely changes 1108 00:56:57,400 --> 00:56:59,160 Speaker 4: the dynamic of what this game is and what this 1109 00:56:59,239 --> 00:57:02,799 Speaker 4: game can be. I would love Oklahoma in this game 1110 00:57:02,840 --> 00:57:05,520 Speaker 4: if we had a ninety percent John Mattier, that was 1111 00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:09,440 Speaker 4: gonna play because the ball distribution, the ability to operate 1112 00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:11,680 Speaker 4: the offense at a high level, none of that is 1113 00:57:11,680 --> 00:57:14,360 Speaker 4: a real concern anymore, even if you lack the balance 1114 00:57:14,440 --> 00:57:17,040 Speaker 4: kind of that we reference with say Lsu a little 1115 00:57:17,040 --> 00:57:18,920 Speaker 4: bit earlier, Josh, you know what you're gonna get in 1116 00:57:18,920 --> 00:57:21,120 Speaker 4: Matier because he can just create, and he has that 1117 00:57:21,240 --> 00:57:23,600 Speaker 4: it factor and he has the ability to just make 1118 00:57:23,640 --> 00:57:25,920 Speaker 4: things happen. I couldn't believe my eyes when I was 1119 00:57:25,960 --> 00:57:29,880 Speaker 4: watching Michael Hawkins Junior last week against Kent State. It 1120 00:57:29,920 --> 00:57:34,560 Speaker 4: didn't look good. It looked sporadic. It looked panicked, It 1121 00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:38,120 Speaker 4: looked rushed. It never looked comfortable. And even if you 1122 00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:40,040 Speaker 4: want to say to yourself, hey, we're gonna go back 1123 00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:42,840 Speaker 4: and throw in our Alabama game plan from last year 1124 00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:45,560 Speaker 4: and put that in install that in this year, I 1125 00:57:45,600 --> 00:57:48,480 Speaker 4: don't feel like that's an advantageous plan against what this 1126 00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:51,959 Speaker 4: Texas defense brings. You're gonna have Colin Simmons. You're gonna 1127 00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:55,360 Speaker 4: have Trey More, You're gonna have Ethan Burke elite and 1128 00:57:55,600 --> 00:57:59,880 Speaker 4: older edge defenders, outside linebackers. Guys are gonna be playing 1129 00:57:59,880 --> 00:58:02,120 Speaker 4: on the outside of the line of scrimmage that can 1130 00:58:02,160 --> 00:58:05,080 Speaker 4: defend those kind of things. And you have a defensive 1131 00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:07,160 Speaker 4: line that I think, yes, got pushed around a little 1132 00:58:07,200 --> 00:58:09,360 Speaker 4: bit against Florida, most of that a little bit later. 1133 00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:12,280 Speaker 4: I think they were worn down, but has still shown 1134 00:58:12,320 --> 00:58:15,120 Speaker 4: signs of life over the course of this season. An 1135 00:58:15,160 --> 00:58:17,720 Speaker 4: active group of linebackers that I also think works against 1136 00:58:17,880 --> 00:58:20,200 Speaker 4: let's just say playing that type of offense for an 1137 00:58:20,320 --> 00:58:23,200 Speaker 4: entire day. I don't know how anybody scores in this 1138 00:58:23,280 --> 00:58:27,240 Speaker 4: game because the Texas skill players have not been wowing 1139 00:58:27,240 --> 00:58:29,680 Speaker 4: anyone this year. You go back to last year, it 1140 00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:32,080 Speaker 4: was a screen, make a guy miss, take it for fifty, 1141 00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:35,080 Speaker 4: it was a screen, break a tackle, go for twenty outside, 1142 00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:38,320 Speaker 4: zone break a tackle, shake a safety. All of a sudden, 1143 00:58:38,400 --> 00:58:40,800 Speaker 4: five yard game turns into a fifteen yard game. You 1144 00:58:40,840 --> 00:58:43,400 Speaker 4: go inside zone, bounce it outside, make a guy miss, 1145 00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:45,640 Speaker 4: break an arm tackle, looks like a two yard game. 1146 00:58:45,720 --> 00:58:48,520 Speaker 4: It's a twenty two yard game. Where are those this year? 1147 00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:52,280 Speaker 4: I have hardly seen any of those from this Texas offense. 1148 00:58:52,440 --> 00:58:55,520 Speaker 4: Start's not running a different plan. Now the offensive line 1149 00:58:55,560 --> 00:58:57,680 Speaker 4: can't protect that's not a secret. You don't need me 1150 00:58:57,760 --> 00:58:59,440 Speaker 4: here to tell you that and be some sort of 1151 00:58:59,480 --> 00:59:01,960 Speaker 4: an expert to share that with people. So that limits 1152 00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:05,160 Speaker 4: things that you're gonna do. In arch Manning hasn't been great, 1153 00:59:05,600 --> 00:59:07,080 Speaker 4: but I don't think a lot of that's on him, 1154 00:59:07,160 --> 00:59:08,680 Speaker 4: or at least not near as much as some of 1155 00:59:08,680 --> 00:59:10,880 Speaker 4: the people in the media are potentially trying to portray. 1156 00:59:11,720 --> 00:59:14,200 Speaker 4: I think both these teams struggle. I think there could 1157 00:59:14,240 --> 00:59:17,680 Speaker 4: be an explosive play or two that decide this game. 1158 00:59:17,960 --> 00:59:20,840 Speaker 4: Whether that's a dB falling down, whether it's a quarterback 1159 00:59:20,880 --> 00:59:23,800 Speaker 4: getting outside the pocket, scrambled drill, somebody forgets to cover 1160 00:59:23,880 --> 00:59:26,440 Speaker 4: somebody out of the backfield, he runs down the sideline. 1161 00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:30,240 Speaker 4: I don't see anyone manufacturing yards or points in this game, 1162 00:59:30,520 --> 00:59:33,320 Speaker 4: neither side. And it's been cool talking to people who 1163 00:59:33,320 --> 00:59:34,880 Speaker 4: have been a part of this game. I've never been 1164 00:59:34,880 --> 00:59:37,240 Speaker 4: to it, you've been to it, but to hear how 1165 00:59:37,360 --> 00:59:40,760 Speaker 4: different and how unique it is from the noise perspective, 1166 00:59:40,880 --> 00:59:43,640 Speaker 4: the crowd perspective. We know it's split, but I think 1167 00:59:43,720 --> 00:59:46,000 Speaker 4: people forget about the age of the stadium and what 1168 00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:48,800 Speaker 4: it's like entering the stadium using the same tunnel, the 1169 00:59:48,800 --> 00:59:51,000 Speaker 4: fact that the crowd noise never dies down, Like I've 1170 00:59:51,040 --> 00:59:53,800 Speaker 4: never heard that about Georgia, Florida. I've never heard somebody 1171 00:59:53,840 --> 00:59:56,720 Speaker 4: say that players struggle with this that haven't been in 1172 00:59:56,760 --> 01:00:01,480 Speaker 4: it because the noise never stops. Therefore, I talked to 1173 01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:03,880 Speaker 4: Chip Brown earlier this week on our show, and he 1174 01:00:03,920 --> 01:00:07,439 Speaker 4: said the coin toss is critical in this game. And 1175 01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:11,680 Speaker 4: for me, I'm not super experienced in this game. I'm thinking, okay, 1176 01:00:11,880 --> 01:00:14,200 Speaker 4: like give me your little deal that you think you're 1177 01:00:14,240 --> 01:00:16,280 Speaker 4: trying to be cute and different than everybody else. And 1178 01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:18,840 Speaker 4: he goes on to make a fascinating point about how 1179 01:00:19,600 --> 01:00:22,440 Speaker 4: you better be going into your fans late if it's 1180 01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:24,760 Speaker 4: going to be a game winning field goal or attempting 1181 01:00:24,800 --> 01:00:26,640 Speaker 4: to score late to try to win this football game, 1182 01:00:26,680 --> 01:00:28,640 Speaker 4: because if not, it's gonna be a real problem, and 1183 01:00:28,680 --> 01:00:30,800 Speaker 4: how much strategy goes into that part of it. So 1184 01:00:31,680 --> 01:00:33,560 Speaker 4: I look at this Texas team and I wonder, like, 1185 01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:36,480 Speaker 4: where are the Jake Majors, Where are the John A. Barns, 1186 01:00:36,520 --> 01:00:38,680 Speaker 4: Where are the gunner helms? The guy who had been 1187 01:00:38,720 --> 01:00:40,920 Speaker 4: around your hard hat dirty work guys. And I know 1188 01:00:41,000 --> 01:00:43,160 Speaker 4: people see joh Ay Barron, they're like, he's not like 1189 01:00:43,200 --> 01:00:45,400 Speaker 4: some utility player, dirty wark guy. But you know what 1190 01:00:46,200 --> 01:00:47,880 Speaker 4: he got put in his place two years ago about 1191 01:00:47,920 --> 01:00:50,560 Speaker 4: where he was gonna get drafted, essentially had to come 1192 01:00:50,560 --> 01:00:52,400 Speaker 4: back to try to earn his keep and get his 1193 01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:55,640 Speaker 4: rating back up, change his position and goes out and 1194 01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:57,440 Speaker 4: does that. So yeah, that tells me his makeups a 1195 01:00:57,480 --> 01:01:00,320 Speaker 4: little bit different than the second year five stars guy 1196 01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:03,000 Speaker 4: out of East PLAINO or whatever it is. I just 1197 01:01:03,120 --> 01:01:07,040 Speaker 4: I don't know if Texas has those experienced guys, bring 1198 01:01:07,080 --> 01:01:09,120 Speaker 4: your lunch pales, show up to work, want to do 1199 01:01:09,160 --> 01:01:11,600 Speaker 4: it anyway possible. I haven't seen a lot of those 1200 01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:13,720 Speaker 4: guys making plays for this team this year. I feel 1201 01:01:13,720 --> 01:01:15,640 Speaker 4: like Oklahoma will still have a few more of those 1202 01:01:15,720 --> 01:01:19,320 Speaker 4: on the field than Texas will, and that experience allows 1203 01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:21,480 Speaker 4: the Sooners to get the win here. I'll take Oklahoma, 1204 01:01:21,520 --> 01:01:24,480 Speaker 4: but I think it might give Auburn Mississippi State from 1205 01:01:24,520 --> 01:01:26,880 Speaker 4: two thousand whatever that was a run for its money. 1206 01:01:27,320 --> 01:01:29,920 Speaker 1: Yes, score three and WM the other weird thing, I 1207 01:01:29,960 --> 01:01:33,080 Speaker 1: don't I'm not sure how Florida Georgia splits it, but 1208 01:01:33,160 --> 01:01:37,080 Speaker 1: they may split it. You know down the goalposts where 1209 01:01:37,160 --> 01:01:39,960 Speaker 1: one side fit end zone to end zone dot to 1210 01:01:40,000 --> 01:01:42,200 Speaker 1: you the other side. This is way different here. It 1211 01:01:42,280 --> 01:01:44,000 Speaker 1: is a good point. I picked up on it because 1212 01:01:44,000 --> 01:01:45,520 Speaker 1: I've been there before, but I never thought about it 1213 01:01:45,520 --> 01:01:47,560 Speaker 1: from that standpoint. They split it right down the middle 1214 01:01:47,600 --> 01:01:50,040 Speaker 1: of the fifty. So what stands out the most is 1215 01:01:50,080 --> 01:01:52,800 Speaker 1: depending on the end zone you're standing in when a 1216 01:01:52,840 --> 01:01:55,680 Speaker 1: big play happens, and typically in this game there are 1217 01:01:55,720 --> 01:01:57,960 Speaker 1: a lot of them this year maybe the exception, you're 1218 01:01:58,000 --> 01:02:01,240 Speaker 1: either used to an immediate sledgehammer two your ears, or 1219 01:02:01,240 --> 01:02:04,080 Speaker 1: there's like a three quarter second delay because it takes 1220 01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:07,000 Speaker 1: the sound that time to travel, and it's really really 1221 01:02:07,000 --> 01:02:09,640 Speaker 1: it sticks with you. Not to mention both sides are 1222 01:02:09,680 --> 01:02:13,360 Speaker 1: firing some form of artillery when big plays happen towards 1223 01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:16,360 Speaker 1: gun smoke all over the place the fair food. Since 1224 01:02:16,360 --> 01:02:19,040 Speaker 1: it's not a double decker stadium, it's really easy for 1225 01:02:19,120 --> 01:02:22,680 Speaker 1: the aroma from outside to come in. Unbelievable. You guys 1226 01:02:22,680 --> 01:02:24,760 Speaker 1: broke down some of the new dishes they're serving at 1227 01:02:24,760 --> 01:02:26,760 Speaker 1: the State Fair this week on your show. By the way, 1228 01:02:26,880 --> 01:02:28,160 Speaker 1: I don't know if you had that one with the 1229 01:02:28,160 --> 01:02:30,920 Speaker 1: fruity pebbles and the what you're not memorized this morning, 1230 01:02:31,360 --> 01:02:35,120 Speaker 1: but I like I had thirty percent of my caloric 1231 01:02:35,160 --> 01:02:38,880 Speaker 1: intake from listening to you read the menu item this morning. 1232 01:02:39,240 --> 01:02:40,160 Speaker 1: That's how devastating. 1233 01:02:40,200 --> 01:02:43,080 Speaker 4: Is some kind of like a super fruity Sprite special 1234 01:02:43,160 --> 01:02:45,400 Speaker 4: drink and it comes in like a big plastic boot 1235 01:02:45,560 --> 01:02:49,360 Speaker 4: and you know Sprite. I think it's got skittles like 1236 01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:52,400 Speaker 4: gummy straws. It's just like, yeah, you can tell that 1237 01:02:52,480 --> 01:02:54,680 Speaker 4: was a drink that was made for the sorority girls 1238 01:02:54,720 --> 01:02:56,840 Speaker 4: to have a little something extra to dump in there 1239 01:02:56,880 --> 01:02:57,800 Speaker 4: and then head into the game. 1240 01:02:58,040 --> 01:02:59,960 Speaker 1: And that's what this country's all about. That's how the 1241 01:03:00,040 --> 01:03:03,640 Speaker 1: founders intended it up. In Columbia, when's the last time 1242 01:03:03,680 --> 01:03:05,240 Speaker 1: you went to Columbia, Missouri? 1243 01:03:05,800 --> 01:03:08,120 Speaker 4: Which one? Oh, Missouri? We were there last year. 1244 01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:12,840 Speaker 1: What's a construction site now? Debor ish to one at 1245 01:03:12,840 --> 01:03:15,680 Speaker 1: construction site so far at Alabama because Vandy last year 1246 01:03:15,680 --> 01:03:18,920 Speaker 1: got him, so he's looking to avoid going oh and 1247 01:03:18,960 --> 01:03:22,240 Speaker 1: two at construction sites. I had someone ask me with 1248 01:03:22,320 --> 01:03:25,960 Speaker 1: a dead serious face this morning on a certain network program, 1249 01:03:26,800 --> 01:03:29,880 Speaker 1: should Alabama be on upset alert? Here? You're looking at 1250 01:03:29,880 --> 01:03:31,880 Speaker 1: the bottom of the screen. That number says minus three 1251 01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:33,439 Speaker 1: and a half, not minus thirty three and a half 1252 01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:36,440 Speaker 1: minus three and a half. Not only are they on 1253 01:03:36,640 --> 01:03:39,400 Speaker 1: upset alert, it's not an upset ladies and gentlemen of 1254 01:03:39,480 --> 01:03:42,200 Speaker 1: Missouri just you know, has the audacity to win a 1255 01:03:42,240 --> 01:03:44,960 Speaker 1: game at home here or a pretty good team. I 1256 01:03:45,000 --> 01:03:47,360 Speaker 1: think my questions all week, I want to get your 1257 01:03:47,520 --> 01:03:49,440 Speaker 1: you know, get your read on this. My questions all 1258 01:03:49,480 --> 01:03:52,360 Speaker 1: week have been more along the lines of what's the 1259 01:03:52,400 --> 01:03:56,080 Speaker 1: scalability of these different stat profiles for them once they 1260 01:03:56,080 --> 01:04:00,160 Speaker 1: play really really legitimate competition. Because other than that, I mean, 1261 01:04:00,360 --> 01:04:02,520 Speaker 1: they've been really good running the ball. I think for 1262 01:04:02,640 --> 01:04:05,600 Speaker 1: all of the hype that Mackay Hughes got when he 1263 01:04:05,680 --> 01:04:08,920 Speaker 1: went to Oregon, Amad Hardy should have gotten the hype, 1264 01:04:08,920 --> 01:04:11,480 Speaker 1: and now he is getting the hype for having gone 1265 01:04:11,520 --> 01:04:14,720 Speaker 1: to Missouri. But when we broke the game down Tuesday, 1266 01:04:15,560 --> 01:04:17,439 Speaker 1: the more you look at it, the more you realize, dude, 1267 01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:20,560 Speaker 1: the stuff that you would normally fear if your Bama 1268 01:04:20,680 --> 01:04:23,760 Speaker 1: going to Georgia, their defensive front getting after you and 1269 01:04:23,800 --> 01:04:26,200 Speaker 1: you not having enough time to throw and get behind 1270 01:04:26,200 --> 01:04:28,680 Speaker 1: the eight ball early, that's actually should be your biggest 1271 01:04:28,680 --> 01:04:31,000 Speaker 1: fear on the road at Missouri because they're more likely 1272 01:04:31,040 --> 01:04:32,360 Speaker 1: to do that to you and put you in a 1273 01:04:32,360 --> 01:04:34,919 Speaker 1: blender than Georgia. And now I think the common fan 1274 01:04:35,360 --> 01:04:37,960 Speaker 1: has to see that to believe it, because George is Georgia. 1275 01:04:38,040 --> 01:04:42,120 Speaker 1: Missouri is just Missouri. And so I went Bama here 1276 01:04:42,160 --> 01:04:44,440 Speaker 1: by the slimmest of margins. But if we were on 1277 01:04:44,480 --> 01:04:46,440 Speaker 1: a debate stage and it was my job to make 1278 01:04:46,440 --> 01:04:49,600 Speaker 1: a case for Missouri, I could really really easily talk 1279 01:04:49,640 --> 01:04:52,280 Speaker 1: myself into a Missouri win here, and I could talk 1280 01:04:52,320 --> 01:04:56,160 Speaker 1: myself into seeing this game script, especially if Missouri starts 1281 01:04:56,200 --> 01:04:59,040 Speaker 1: hot taking on the same kind of feel as Alabama 1282 01:04:59,080 --> 01:05:01,800 Speaker 1: FSU did, where you're just in catchup mode all day, 1283 01:05:01,840 --> 01:05:04,160 Speaker 1: and so all this good will and these good vibes 1284 01:05:04,200 --> 01:05:06,440 Speaker 1: you got about jam Miller running the ball better and 1285 01:05:06,800 --> 01:05:09,760 Speaker 1: all men, we're not penalized as much anymore. It is 1286 01:05:09,840 --> 01:05:12,920 Speaker 1: such a thin ice with hot blades situation with that, 1287 01:05:13,080 --> 01:05:15,760 Speaker 1: because it relies on everything to keep going right and 1288 01:05:15,880 --> 01:05:20,120 Speaker 1: execution to keep being almost flawless, and the moment it doesn't, 1289 01:05:20,160 --> 01:05:22,720 Speaker 1: the moment the crowbar gets thrown in the spokes a 1290 01:05:22,720 --> 01:05:26,320 Speaker 1: little bit. I'm interested to see how Alabama responds. 1291 01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:28,920 Speaker 4: Well some of those things that you mentioned in the past, 1292 01:05:29,000 --> 01:05:31,360 Speaker 4: be it Alabama or Georgia. I think there are probably 1293 01:05:31,360 --> 01:05:33,240 Speaker 4: the only two teams in our lifetimes that we can 1294 01:05:33,320 --> 01:05:36,760 Speaker 4: use these examples for. It was just it was overwhelming 1295 01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:39,440 Speaker 4: blunt force trauma and there was just nothing you could 1296 01:05:39,480 --> 01:05:42,560 Speaker 4: do about it. And that I don't think that exists 1297 01:05:42,600 --> 01:05:45,080 Speaker 4: really with any team in college football right now. Ohio 1298 01:05:45,080 --> 01:05:47,560 Speaker 4: State's offensive line is probably the close I've seen to 1299 01:05:47,600 --> 01:05:50,000 Speaker 4: it of just being able to do things to you 1300 01:05:50,120 --> 01:05:52,840 Speaker 4: that you cannot have an answer for unless you can 1301 01:05:52,840 --> 01:05:55,680 Speaker 4: physically match up to it. There's not a number of bodies, 1302 01:05:55,720 --> 01:05:57,680 Speaker 4: there's not a scheme. It's just at the end of 1303 01:05:57,720 --> 01:05:59,440 Speaker 4: the day, we're going to put you on your backside, 1304 01:05:59,440 --> 01:06:00,960 Speaker 4: and there's not all that you're gonna do about it, 1305 01:06:01,000 --> 01:06:02,360 Speaker 4: and you're gonna like it by the time we get 1306 01:06:02,360 --> 01:06:05,160 Speaker 4: to the fourth quarter. That's not this Alabama football team. 1307 01:06:05,200 --> 01:06:06,959 Speaker 4: Georgia is not going to be that way this year either. 1308 01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:10,200 Speaker 4: So I don't think Missouri having to fear that is 1309 01:06:10,200 --> 01:06:13,320 Speaker 4: going to have to go in some shell of themselves 1310 01:06:13,320 --> 01:06:15,320 Speaker 4: and not be able to run their offense or run 1311 01:06:15,360 --> 01:06:17,520 Speaker 4: their defense and not have a chance to win this 1312 01:06:17,560 --> 01:06:19,280 Speaker 4: football game. I'm with you. I could sit here and 1313 01:06:19,320 --> 01:06:21,720 Speaker 4: convince myself and you that Missouri is going to win. 1314 01:06:21,880 --> 01:06:23,800 Speaker 4: I think there's a really good chance Missouri wins this 1315 01:06:23,840 --> 01:06:27,000 Speaker 4: football game. I go back to last week and you 1316 01:06:27,080 --> 01:06:28,919 Speaker 4: kind of started to hint around something that I think 1317 01:06:28,960 --> 01:06:32,360 Speaker 4: we are really falling for in college football, specifically in 1318 01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:37,040 Speaker 4: the SEC this year. Scorers, final scores are not indicative 1319 01:06:37,080 --> 01:06:39,160 Speaker 4: of how these games have gone. You look at Ole 1320 01:06:39,200 --> 01:06:42,479 Speaker 4: miss at LSU, you look at Alabama Vanderbilt. We walked 1321 01:06:42,480 --> 01:06:44,840 Speaker 4: away from that thinking that that was a dominant win 1322 01:06:44,920 --> 01:06:47,800 Speaker 4: by Alabama, that was two plays away from going the 1323 01:06:47,800 --> 01:06:51,000 Speaker 4: opposite direction, and I think Alabama's going to need similar plays. 1324 01:06:51,120 --> 01:06:54,440 Speaker 4: Whether it's justin Jefferson punching a ball out at the 1325 01:06:54,480 --> 01:06:56,480 Speaker 4: ten yard line going in, which would to put you 1326 01:06:56,520 --> 01:06:58,960 Speaker 4: down two scores going into the behalf of Vanderbilt receiving 1327 01:06:58,960 --> 01:07:03,400 Speaker 4: the kick, or if it's Demanti Jackson working through a 1328 01:07:03,480 --> 01:07:06,280 Speaker 4: tackle or excuse me, a tight end who was kind 1329 01:07:06,280 --> 01:07:08,800 Speaker 4: of pulling around to be able to make a stop 1330 01:07:08,840 --> 01:07:10,920 Speaker 4: on fourth and short, to be able to flip the 1331 01:07:10,920 --> 01:07:13,439 Speaker 4: ball back to them and not give Vanderbilt a chance 1332 01:07:13,440 --> 01:07:16,000 Speaker 4: to go down and make that a game late. Those 1333 01:07:16,040 --> 01:07:17,760 Speaker 4: are the kind of plays that Alabama's going to have 1334 01:07:17,760 --> 01:07:20,240 Speaker 4: to come up with, and not just on defense because 1335 01:07:20,280 --> 01:07:23,360 Speaker 4: they've made those plays recently on offense as well. Bea 1336 01:07:23,480 --> 01:07:27,440 Speaker 4: jam Miller, Ryan Williams, Jeremy Bernard Wuavos has been excellent 1337 01:07:27,440 --> 01:07:31,320 Speaker 4: at tight end. But Missouri will match Alabama physically in 1338 01:07:31,400 --> 01:07:34,600 Speaker 4: this game. And the stretch play is a booger bear. 1339 01:07:34,880 --> 01:07:37,960 Speaker 4: That thing is hell on wheels to defend, and Kirby 1340 01:07:37,960 --> 01:07:41,040 Speaker 4: Moore is going to give you every formation, every motion, 1341 01:07:41,560 --> 01:07:45,560 Speaker 4: every splitter, everything that you can possibly imagine coming with it. 1342 01:07:46,160 --> 01:07:49,280 Speaker 4: The eyes of the Alabama defense decide this game because 1343 01:07:49,280 --> 01:07:52,160 Speaker 4: I think bo Perbula at times moves the football. I 1344 01:07:52,160 --> 01:07:54,800 Speaker 4: think Missouri gets an explosive player too, either from he 1345 01:07:55,040 --> 01:07:57,680 Speaker 4: or a Mat Hardy. I think Alabama gets an explosive 1346 01:07:57,680 --> 01:08:01,200 Speaker 4: player two in this game because the missourid is very aggressive. 1347 01:08:01,600 --> 01:08:04,080 Speaker 4: I mean, they have a safety number one that wants 1348 01:08:04,160 --> 01:08:06,479 Speaker 4: to knock your helmet off every game. Marvin Burks wants 1349 01:08:06,480 --> 01:08:08,120 Speaker 4: to try to ruin you. It's what he does, it's 1350 01:08:08,120 --> 01:08:11,000 Speaker 4: who he is. I absolutely love it. But don't think 1351 01:08:11,040 --> 01:08:13,480 Speaker 4: for a second that this defensive line can't get after you. 1352 01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:16,840 Speaker 4: I mean, Chris McClellan, Zion Young, they understand how the 1353 01:08:16,880 --> 01:08:20,080 Speaker 4: physicality is supposed to work upfront in this league. They're 1354 01:08:20,120 --> 01:08:21,960 Speaker 4: not going to get bullied for four quarters by this 1355 01:08:22,000 --> 01:08:26,080 Speaker 4: Alabama offense. So I think explosive plays at a big 1356 01:08:26,120 --> 01:08:29,040 Speaker 4: player two defensively decide this game. I'm with you. I 1357 01:08:29,080 --> 01:08:31,040 Speaker 4: just think Ty Simpson's playing at such a high level 1358 01:08:31,120 --> 01:08:33,479 Speaker 4: right now he finds a way to get this one done. 1359 01:08:33,640 --> 01:08:35,800 Speaker 4: But there's no way that I'll hop on my flight 1360 01:08:35,800 --> 01:08:38,240 Speaker 4: out of New Orleans to Charlotte on Sunday morning and 1361 01:08:38,320 --> 01:08:41,439 Speaker 4: be extremely surprised if Missouri were to find a way 1362 01:08:41,439 --> 01:08:41,960 Speaker 4: to get this. 1363 01:08:41,880 --> 01:08:45,439 Speaker 1: One last few minutes here. I tried and tried and 1364 01:08:45,520 --> 01:08:48,759 Speaker 1: tried to find a path to talk myself into Auburn 1365 01:08:48,840 --> 01:08:52,519 Speaker 1: getting the job done against Georgia, and I couldn't find it. 1366 01:08:52,800 --> 01:08:55,240 Speaker 1: And trust me, I tried because I want to do 1367 01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:57,760 Speaker 1: the whole thing I did with Florida last week. A 1368 01:08:57,800 --> 01:09:01,440 Speaker 1: team that's in desperation mode goes into the by discovers 1369 01:09:01,520 --> 01:09:04,559 Speaker 1: themselves the magic of self scouting, and then you come 1370 01:09:04,600 --> 01:09:06,879 Speaker 1: out and you got a home game and it's charged, 1371 01:09:06,920 --> 01:09:10,160 Speaker 1: and you got a vulnerable Georgia team going on the road, 1372 01:09:10,160 --> 01:09:12,320 Speaker 1: and you're building this it's not some elite Georgia team. 1373 01:09:12,600 --> 01:09:14,960 Speaker 1: But I just kept thinking about two things. Number one, 1374 01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:18,360 Speaker 1: what is the special thing that I'm gonna sort of 1375 01:09:18,439 --> 01:09:20,720 Speaker 1: hitch my wagon to because I thought Florida could do 1376 01:09:20,760 --> 01:09:22,639 Speaker 1: some things they just hadn't done, and then they did 1377 01:09:22,680 --> 01:09:25,400 Speaker 1: those things to a large enough degree against Texas. I 1378 01:09:25,439 --> 01:09:28,320 Speaker 1: couldn't find that with Auburn. And number two, if we're 1379 01:09:28,320 --> 01:09:32,760 Speaker 1: counting on the environment to swallow Georgia up, I got 1380 01:09:32,800 --> 01:09:36,240 Speaker 1: respect for very few environments more than that one at night. 1381 01:09:36,720 --> 01:09:38,840 Speaker 1: But I watched them go into Nland. I watched Georgia 1382 01:09:38,880 --> 01:09:41,519 Speaker 1: go into Neland's zero false starts, So I've already seen 1383 01:09:41,560 --> 01:09:45,080 Speaker 1: them handle the road. Young team handle the road very well. 1384 01:09:45,240 --> 01:09:47,920 Speaker 1: So I think you are going to have to beat 1385 01:09:48,000 --> 01:09:51,559 Speaker 1: them doing something better than them, and I couldn't find 1386 01:09:51,600 --> 01:09:53,679 Speaker 1: it with Auburn. Did you find it at all this week? 1387 01:09:54,720 --> 01:09:56,840 Speaker 4: The only thing that I could find if that were 1388 01:09:56,960 --> 01:09:59,479 Speaker 4: to take place, is going to be some of the 1389 01:09:59,479 --> 01:10:02,519 Speaker 4: incons season. Let's just say a poor play that has 1390 01:10:02,520 --> 01:10:05,200 Speaker 4: shown up at times on the Georgia offensive line and 1391 01:10:05,280 --> 01:10:07,439 Speaker 4: the Auburn front being able to take advantage of that. 1392 01:10:07,520 --> 01:10:10,680 Speaker 4: Guys like Kieron Crawford Keldric Faugh if they are in 1393 01:10:10,720 --> 01:10:14,439 Speaker 4: position to make massive plays, I mean game changing plays, 1394 01:10:14,960 --> 01:10:18,320 Speaker 4: stripsack fumbles, hit a quarterback to where the ball is 1395 01:10:18,360 --> 01:10:20,840 Speaker 4: tipped up, intercepted, and even if it's not back for 1396 01:10:20,880 --> 01:10:22,559 Speaker 4: a touchdown, it's giving you the ball in the twenty 1397 01:10:22,600 --> 01:10:25,000 Speaker 4: eight or the thirty two going in. Because I'm with you, 1398 01:10:25,080 --> 01:10:28,439 Speaker 4: I don't see Auburn driving the football in this game. 1399 01:10:28,760 --> 01:10:31,439 Speaker 4: I would not be surprised, Josh if all of a 1400 01:10:31,479 --> 01:10:35,080 Speaker 4: sudden Auburn decides that the neighborhood that they're going to 1401 01:10:35,160 --> 01:10:38,080 Speaker 4: move into is one that contains a lot more direct 1402 01:10:38,160 --> 01:10:42,400 Speaker 4: quarterback run and just say, you know what, we're past 1403 01:10:42,479 --> 01:10:45,320 Speaker 4: the time here the glass slippers coming off. This is 1404 01:10:45,360 --> 01:10:46,920 Speaker 4: who we need to be if we're going to make 1405 01:10:46,960 --> 01:10:50,000 Speaker 4: our offense go still looking at some shot plays down 1406 01:10:50,040 --> 01:10:53,320 Speaker 4: the field, still running Hugh Freeese's our po based offense. 1407 01:10:53,720 --> 01:10:56,160 Speaker 4: But that's probably one of the few things that has 1408 01:10:56,200 --> 01:10:58,960 Speaker 4: a realistic chance to go. Here's the problem for Auburn 1409 01:10:59,000 --> 01:11:01,639 Speaker 4: in this game. Offensively. People are gonna say, oh, the pressure, 1410 01:11:01,720 --> 01:11:05,200 Speaker 4: the offensive line. You mentioned Florida a moment ago. When 1411 01:11:05,240 --> 01:11:08,880 Speaker 4: Florida's offense is good, what's the foundation of it? Running 1412 01:11:08,920 --> 01:11:12,120 Speaker 4: the football, the zone scheme inside outside zone. What do 1413 01:11:12,160 --> 01:11:14,120 Speaker 4: they do off that they counter off that which is 1414 01:11:14,200 --> 01:11:15,960 Speaker 4: essentially looks like the zone scheme and it goes the 1415 01:11:15,960 --> 01:11:18,840 Speaker 4: opposite direction. Then you get a jet sweep, then you 1416 01:11:18,840 --> 01:11:22,600 Speaker 4: boot DJ lagway. The basis of this Auburn offense is 1417 01:11:22,600 --> 01:11:26,000 Speaker 4: the RPO. The run has to go first, and this 1418 01:11:26,080 --> 01:11:28,519 Speaker 4: Auburn offensive line does not appear as though it's going 1419 01:11:28,560 --> 01:11:30,799 Speaker 4: to be able to push this Georgia front seven around. 1420 01:11:30,840 --> 01:11:34,280 Speaker 4: And to further that point, I walked away from the 1421 01:11:34,320 --> 01:11:36,519 Speaker 4: Georgia film last week against Kentucky. I know a lot 1422 01:11:36,520 --> 01:11:38,080 Speaker 4: of people saw and said, God, it was a boring game. 1423 01:11:38,080 --> 01:11:40,479 Speaker 4: I got nothing from that game. I was actually wowed 1424 01:11:40,520 --> 01:11:43,280 Speaker 4: by Georgia's defense in that game. And here's the reason 1425 01:11:43,320 --> 01:11:46,720 Speaker 4: why I watched that game. And I watched Kentucky have 1426 01:11:47,840 --> 01:11:51,639 Speaker 4: the number count in the box, time after time after time, 1427 01:11:51,880 --> 01:11:54,160 Speaker 4: four in the box, five in the box, five in 1428 01:11:54,200 --> 01:11:56,680 Speaker 4: the box, four in the box, even six with a 1429 01:11:56,720 --> 01:11:58,560 Speaker 4: tight end or two, which is still gives you the 1430 01:11:58,640 --> 01:12:01,439 Speaker 4: numbers game, and you should hand the football off. I 1431 01:12:01,479 --> 01:12:04,240 Speaker 4: watch that offensive line work a combo. They go, oh, 1432 01:12:04,280 --> 01:12:06,200 Speaker 4: I got a little movement there. Oh, left guard a 1433 01:12:06,240 --> 01:12:08,639 Speaker 4: nice little push. Oh, right guard's pulling around and getting 1434 01:12:08,640 --> 01:12:11,040 Speaker 4: a kickout block. They got the numbers. Look at this up. 1435 01:12:11,439 --> 01:12:13,559 Speaker 4: Then the next thing. You know, as soon as that 1436 01:12:13,680 --> 01:12:16,040 Speaker 4: running back got to the line of scrimmage, that number 1437 01:12:16,080 --> 01:12:18,760 Speaker 4: count went from four to six or five to eight, 1438 01:12:19,040 --> 01:12:22,200 Speaker 4: or six to eight or four to seven like that. 1439 01:12:22,800 --> 01:12:24,759 Speaker 4: And if the Auburn offense is going to be based 1440 01:12:24,800 --> 01:12:28,439 Speaker 4: on winning versus a light box with a team that 1441 01:12:28,560 --> 01:12:32,000 Speaker 4: can close and compress space as quickly as this Georgia 1442 01:12:32,080 --> 01:12:34,719 Speaker 4: defenses can, I don't see how they're going to generate 1443 01:12:34,840 --> 01:12:36,160 Speaker 4: enough offense to win this game. 1444 01:12:36,920 --> 01:12:38,479 Speaker 1: All right, you got to catch a flight. First thing 1445 01:12:38,520 --> 01:12:41,160 Speaker 1: you gotta do is let people know where they can 1446 01:12:41,160 --> 01:12:44,320 Speaker 1: find Cube Show, because the live chat is blowing up, 1447 01:12:44,360 --> 01:12:46,280 Speaker 1: like where can I get more of this guy? It's 1448 01:12:46,280 --> 01:12:48,200 Speaker 1: like the antithesis of what they ask you when you're 1449 01:12:48,240 --> 01:12:49,719 Speaker 1: in the stadium. 1450 01:12:50,240 --> 01:12:53,280 Speaker 4: It is on the internet somewhere via YouTube maybe even 1451 01:12:53,320 --> 01:12:56,559 Speaker 4: if you listen to your podcast on Spotify or Apple Podcasts. 1452 01:12:56,560 --> 01:12:59,200 Speaker 4: Just search Cube Show. We do it every Monday. We 1453 01:12:59,240 --> 01:13:01,280 Speaker 4: watch all the see games. We tell you what we 1454 01:13:01,320 --> 01:13:04,240 Speaker 4: saw on film. Don't have a bias either way. We 1455 01:13:04,360 --> 01:13:06,760 Speaker 4: just break it down for you there and you'll be 1456 01:13:06,840 --> 01:13:08,840 Speaker 4: able to hear and see exactly what I saw when 1457 01:13:08,840 --> 01:13:10,640 Speaker 4: I put the film on. So every Monday we come 1458 01:13:10,680 --> 01:13:14,040 Speaker 4: out round probably seven a pmish. Even with five games 1459 01:13:14,080 --> 01:13:15,920 Speaker 4: last week, we still couldn't get it out on Sunday. 1460 01:13:15,960 --> 01:13:17,280 Speaker 4: Not that we want to go toe to toe with 1461 01:13:17,320 --> 01:13:18,240 Speaker 4: you anyway. 1462 01:13:17,920 --> 01:13:21,200 Speaker 1: No bias. It'll never work. It will never work. 1463 01:13:21,439 --> 01:13:22,200 Speaker 4: Not a single time. 1464 01:13:22,280 --> 01:13:25,599 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, but travel safe, enjoy the boot. And 1465 01:13:26,200 --> 01:13:29,200 Speaker 1: here's to over twenty points being scored fingers crossed. 1466 01:13:29,240 --> 01:13:31,439 Speaker 4: In any game, yeah this week, in any game. 1467 01:13:32,479 --> 01:13:36,639 Speaker 1: Bye see you. All right. That's him. 1468 01:13:36,680 --> 01:13:37,280 Speaker 4: That's our show. 1469 01:13:37,560 --> 01:13:40,040 Speaker 1: That's our show. We're off. We're off to the show 1470 01:13:40,080 --> 01:13:43,479 Speaker 1: me State of Missouri. Friday Night Lines. Remember at Josh 1471 01:13:43,479 --> 01:13:46,240 Speaker 1: Pate CFB on Instagram. It's going to be a classic 1472 01:13:46,280 --> 01:13:48,720 Speaker 1: Friday Night Lines. It will actually be at night. No 1473 01:13:48,840 --> 01:13:52,080 Speaker 1: softball tomorrow, so we'll do it sometime later in the 1474 01:13:52,120 --> 01:13:56,599 Speaker 1: evening in a very very dimly lit Missouri hotel room. 1475 01:13:56,680 --> 01:14:00,519 Speaker 1: Immunity to everything I just said, and roll express on 1476 01:14:00,600 --> 01:14:04,240 Speaker 1: fire right now, so do not miss it until then. 1477 01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:07,800 Speaker 1: For director Bradlet for producer Jesse now, Josh Paid, take care, 1478 01:14:07,920 --> 01:14:10,880 Speaker 1: have a great week and enjoy the games. Everyone will 1479 01:14:10,880 --> 01:14:12,800 Speaker 1: be back Sunday to discuss it all. 1480 01:14:12,920 --> 01:14:28,639 Speaker 5: Godless must be twenty one plus and present in select 1481 01:14:28,640 --> 01:14:31,760 Speaker 5: states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 1482 01:14:31,760 --> 01:14:34,800 Speaker 5: eighteen plus and present in DC. 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