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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites from the Action Network.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Brandon Kravitz, joined by my fellow djens,

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Speaker 2: your new crew at the Favorites Kendra Middleton, the Prime

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Speaker 2: Minister of Degenerate Nations Stucky. On today's show, we're going

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Speaker 2: to submit our official plays for week two in the

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Speaker 2: NFL Sides, Totals, props, parlays, anything and everything.

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Speaker 1: Is on the table.

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Speaker 2: Like and subscribe wherever you are tuned in, Kendra, The

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Speaker 2: feat conversation from our first episode together as a trio

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Speaker 2: took on a life of its own. Almost everybody that

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Speaker 2: I know that reached out to me about the podcast

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Speaker 2: had something to say about it. How is the reaction

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Speaker 2: and that's just me. How is the reaction on your

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Speaker 2: end to our first episode? I imagine some new weird

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Speaker 2: followers might be in the mix as.

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Speaker 3: Well, so many new strange followers.

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Speaker 4: The response that I got was very much, how is

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Speaker 4: this a conversation that comes up anytime somebody meets you?

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Speaker 4: Always the first two things that come up are the

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Speaker 4: feet and the shrimp, the two things that people want

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Speaker 4: to talk about all the time consistently.

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Speaker 3: That was the reaction that I got Outside of I.

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Speaker 4: Don't remember the name. What was the crazy username? I

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Speaker 4: texted you guys that followed me, and I was just like, wow.

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Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I think I already blocked that out of

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Speaker 1: my mind.

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Speaker 3: Some of the really like, really weird people.

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Speaker 4: I got some dms asking if people could sniff my

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Speaker 4: the between of my.

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Speaker 3: Toes and stuff. But we can. We can move on

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Speaker 3: from the feed talk somehow. That is always what comes

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Speaker 3: up with me, though. I guess when you Google me,

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Speaker 3: it's one of the top things that pops up.

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Speaker 2: So well, I mean it was it was a get

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Speaker 2: to know you episode, stucky what about you? Early early

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Speaker 2: returns from the Trial by Fire episode.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, people liked it so not everyone liked the feet conversation.

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Speaker 5: But I said that those people are like closeted. Maybe

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Speaker 5: those the people that really have the fetishes that are

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Speaker 5: just trying to hide it. But I do have breaking news.

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Speaker 5: Oh my god. No, they I went and got Zaxby's

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Speaker 5: this morning.

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Speaker 1: Nice.

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Speaker 5: They forgot the sauce.

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Speaker 2: No, So here's the thing with Zaxby's. You have to

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Speaker 2: ask for it, you would I have to zack sauce. Okay,

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Speaker 2: all right.

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Speaker 3: You can't not have the sauce. Oh my God, this

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Speaker 3: is horrible.

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Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, that's crazy.

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Speaker 5: My before was open at ten thirty recording a ten

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Speaker 5: to forty five. I flew back and there's no sauce. Wait,

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Speaker 5: maybe it's in.

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Speaker 1: I think you need to go back.

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Speaker 5: No sauce, so I can't really judge you to call

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Speaker 5: them next week. I will get the sauce as well,

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Speaker 5: but no feedback was good overall. My dog is uh

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Speaker 5: God had of surgery and uh it went okay. He's

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Speaker 5: he's hurting. It's in a lot of pain after a

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Speaker 5: CCL surgery. I mean you're like down for the count

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Speaker 5: for weeks and you're just drugged and it's painful. I've

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Speaker 5: had two ACL surgery, so I can only imagine. I'm

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Speaker 5: it wasn't the worst pain I ever had, but it

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Speaker 5: was close after the surgery A my a cl like

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Speaker 5: the just the absolute throbbing pain at some point when

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Speaker 5: the pain killers weren't kicked in. What is the I'll

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Speaker 5: ask you guys, what is the worst pain that you've

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Speaker 5: ever felt in your life? For me, I think it

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Speaker 5: was a tooth absess I had one time, and there

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Speaker 5: was nothing I could There's nothing you can do about

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Speaker 5: it until you go to the dentist that night. I

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Speaker 5: was like screaming into a pillow, was the way. It

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Speaker 5: was like unfathomable pain. That was the worst I've ever felt.

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Speaker 3: I would say the hardest.

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Speaker 4: The hardest thing about dogs is that you can't explain

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Speaker 4: to them what's going on, so they're just in pain

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Speaker 4: and you don't know why, and it makes you really upset.

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Speaker 4: My dog had got attacked by another dog two Christmases

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Speaker 4: ago and had to have his throat stapled shut, and

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Speaker 4: it was like the most like miserable experience ever, just

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Speaker 4: because he was so sad and I couldn't explain to

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Speaker 4: him what was going on, and he's just drugged out.

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Speaker 3: So I am. I empathize with you so hard through

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Speaker 3: this most I won't.

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Speaker 4: I can't talk about the most painful thing that I've

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Speaker 4: ever experienced because it was like some lady issues, and

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Speaker 4: I don't think our audience wants to go through that.

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Speaker 3: But I will say when my.

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Speaker 4: Gallbladder ruptured, that was pretty bad because I don't fit

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Speaker 4: the demographic. I was like seventeen or eighteen, so I

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Speaker 4: didn't fit the demographic of someone who would have a

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Speaker 4: gullbladder rupturing. So it took them a while to find it,

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Speaker 4: and I felt like I was fucking dying.

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Speaker 5: I can't even imagine at how about you, Graham.

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Speaker 2: I took TCU plus the points against Georgia in the

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Speaker 2: National Championship game.

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Speaker 1: That was pretty painful. But other than that, I was

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Speaker 1: a bartender in a.

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Speaker 5: Past I mean less though you knew it was.

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Speaker 2: Over, it was like, yeah, it was a quick, swift

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Speaker 2: punch to the punch.

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Speaker 1: To the groin.

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Speaker 2: I had this nerve pain in my foot, which doesn't

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Speaker 2: sound that extreme, but anywhere. I was a bartender in

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Speaker 2: a past life, so I was on my feet a lot,

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Speaker 2: and then I had this pain like right in the

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Speaker 2: middle of my foot and trying to stay on your

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Speaker 2: feet walk back and forth all day and act like

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Speaker 2: you're not in writhing pain. It was probably, off the

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Speaker 2: top of my head, the most pain that I've been in.

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Speaker 1: But I feel for you.

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Speaker 2: On the dog stuff, I've got a thirteen year old

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Speaker 2: Mini Australian shepherd who somehow has been hanging on, somehow

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Speaker 2: been hanging on.

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Speaker 1: With with some level of health. So I'm sure, I'm sure,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure.

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Speaker 2: Depressing stories are right around the corner from the Crabit's household.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, was our last dog. I don't know how people

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Speaker 5: deal with their dog passing like so I've been lucky

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Speaker 5: enough to never our childhood dog. I was in college

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Speaker 5: when he passed, so I didn't have to like see

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Speaker 5: it at the time. Girlfriend's dog now wife, she had

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Speaker 5: her childhood dog followed. He was a bar dog. He

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Speaker 5: would go to the bar with her and like he

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Speaker 5: was the best dog. He's an Austine Shepherd as well.

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Speaker 5: And at the end, it was he hit the end

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Speaker 5: of his line and she couldn't see it happen, so

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Speaker 5: like he went. He went to her parents' house for

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Speaker 5: like the last two weeks. I was like before they

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Speaker 5: had to go put him down, and we would just

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Speaker 5: go there and visit it all the time and lay

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Speaker 5: with him. But she couldn't see him twenty four hours.

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Speaker 5: But I wasn't that close to them, like we only

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Speaker 5: just started dating. So I like the actual like process

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Speaker 5: of that and driving them to I don't know how

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Speaker 5: anyone has ever. I don't know how I'm ever going

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Speaker 5: to deal with it, but yeah we can. Let's talk

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Speaker 5: about more more painful things, which is uhy still beats.

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Speaker 2: Yeah exactly, especially on a day like today for all

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Speaker 2: of us. If you're looking at the date, hard not

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Speaker 2: to stand out to you for very obvious reasons. So

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Speaker 2: if we can be a distraction to you, it is

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Speaker 2: certainly something that we we wear.

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Speaker 1: With with some honor.

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Speaker 2: The Thursday show is going to be pay heavy, and

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Speaker 2: we're going to start.

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Speaker 1: With the shrimply unbelievable stat.

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Speaker 2: Of the week, courtesy of Action Network Director of Research

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Speaker 2: Evan Abrams, in collaboration, of course, with Kendra's pets Monica

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Speaker 2: Lashimsky and Oj Shrimpson. We had to check in on

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Speaker 2: them for the latest stats. I'm sure that they will

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Speaker 2: be getting a check from Action any moment now. Detroit

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Speaker 2: opened is a four and a half point favorite. They're

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Speaker 2: now out to six against the Chicago Bears. The Lions

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Speaker 2: looked pretty off last week without Ben Johnson, and now's

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Speaker 2: the real tests of who's the real engine of that

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Speaker 2: Detroit offense? Is it Detroit or is it Ben Johnson?

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Speaker 2: And keep this in mind, the Lions have won and

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Speaker 2: covered their last ten games after a straight up loss,

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Speaker 2: including a four to zho stretch against teams inside of

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Speaker 2: their division. Is that enough to make you and your

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Speaker 2: pregnant shrimp back the Lions.

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Speaker 1: Kendra, where are you at?

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Speaker 4: I'm going to say no, I don't think I want

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Speaker 4: anything to do with this game, just because I am

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Speaker 4: so far gone on the Lions this season. You can't

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Speaker 4: lose both your coordinators and a lot of your staff

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Speaker 4: under them and continue to be successful. We talked about

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Speaker 4: this on the Tuesday Show a little bit. I'm just

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Speaker 4: you can't. Until the Lions show me who they are

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Speaker 4: this season, I can't put my hard earned American dollar

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Speaker 4: behind them. And my other thing with Chicago is that

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Speaker 4: I love Ben Johnson.

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Speaker 3: I really wanted him for the Jags.

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Speaker 4: I love Liam Cohen as well, But why would they

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Speaker 4: hire a head coach whose big thing is having a

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Speaker 4: script for his quarterback and put them put him with

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Speaker 4: someone like Caleb Williams, who's you know, bread and butter

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Speaker 4: is the opposite of that. So until these teams kind

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Speaker 4: of find their footing, until they show me who they are,

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Speaker 4: I'm not going to listen. I'm not gonna put my

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Speaker 4: dollar behind them. I just I don't know where this

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Speaker 4: this game is going to go. I have zero gut feeling,

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Speaker 4: and I'm a gut feeling better. I just I cannot

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Speaker 4: I'm not there I feel like.

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Speaker 2: This is a really good tease opportunity with that number

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Speaker 2: still at six, bring that down to pick and pair

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Speaker 2: it with another that you like, and we can give

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Speaker 2: some other options.

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Speaker 1: Stuck, where do you end up landing on this?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I have nothing as of now. I mean, I

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Speaker 5: it's not a great spot for the Bears. Right They're

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Speaker 5: played on Monday night football, going on the road now,

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Speaker 5: so shorter week, and they have some defensive injuries which

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Speaker 5: are worth monitoring. A couple of their starting cornerbacks Grady

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Speaker 5: Jared didn't practice yesterday, so they might be shorthanded defensively,

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Speaker 5: But I want nothing to do with Detroit. Also, I

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Speaker 5: mean you look at Tanner Engstram, what he's doing with

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Speaker 5: the Jets. He was on that staff last year, and

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Speaker 5: justin fields, that offense looked incredible. Caleb Williams, it's gonna

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Speaker 5: maybe it never works, but at the bare minimum, based

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Speaker 5: on what I saw, it's gonna take time. And he

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Speaker 5: was still inaccurate his off throw target Rave was still

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Speaker 5: too high. So yeah, look, and this is the story,

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Speaker 5: guy you just said. Under Dan Campbell rally game after

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Speaker 5: a loss indoors Jared Goff against the potentially short handed defense,

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Speaker 5: but that offense, I just don't trust that. The the

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Speaker 5: interior offensive line way down, the play calling, the like,

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Speaker 5: just everything was so short. There was no easy button.

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Speaker 5: So this is pure pass on National revenge weekend. There's

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Speaker 5: revenge matchups all over Super Bowl revenge, just as a

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Speaker 5: revenge DK Metcalf against the Steelers. There's a bunch of them.

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Speaker 5: This one I'm just gonna enjoy. I have Lions win

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Speaker 5: total under I took some Bears flyers, so I'll be

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Speaker 5: rooting for the Bears, but I'm passing on this game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Great tweet by you, by the way, with laying out

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Speaker 2: all of the revenge narratives this weekend in the NFL,

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Speaker 2: it's good stuff.

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Speaker 3: I did enjoy that.

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Speaker 4: I think I also read a stat that will last

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Speaker 4: week was the first time the Lions hadn't had a

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Speaker 4: stack in like two or three seasons. I think that

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Speaker 4: the big thing for Caleb Williams this week, if they're

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Speaker 4: going to be successful, is you have to get his

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Speaker 4: confidence up. He has to score first drive, and you

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Speaker 4: cannot deviate from that plan because what I've noticed with

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Speaker 4: him is that the second his confidence is gone, that's

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Speaker 4: when he gets down on himself, he gets down on

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Speaker 4: his team, he loses his ability to keep his mind

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Speaker 4: in check. So if you want Caleb Williams to be successful,

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Speaker 4: he has to score opening drive and you have to

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Speaker 4: keep his confidence up, even if that's you know, not

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Speaker 4: calling the game that you want to call to better

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Speaker 4: suit him. I think that that has to be their

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Speaker 4: game of attack this week is keeping Caleb Williams mind

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Speaker 4: in check, making sure that you're giving him easy checkdowns,

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Speaker 4: all of those types of things, and score opening drive.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm so curious to how it all works with like,

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Speaker 5: in order to operate the Ben Johnson offense optimally, you

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Speaker 5: have to understand what he wants to do. Strategic you

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Speaker 5: that you have to take those easy throws, make those

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Speaker 5: quick reads. How does how did like they find that

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Speaker 5: happy balance of like okay, but Caleb Williams some of

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Speaker 5: what he can do. Yeah, the best is the off

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Speaker 5: script things. How do they marry those two things? And

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Speaker 5: maybe it's just they never end up getting married, And

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Speaker 5: so I'm fascinated to watch how this progresses throughout the season.

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Speaker 5: But it's not there yet, And I think it's unfair

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Speaker 5: to think that they would be right right on the

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Speaker 5: same page in Week one, again the good Vikings defense,

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Speaker 5: so we'll see how it progresses, and we'll see how

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Speaker 5: the lines offense progresses without some of their coaches and

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Speaker 5: their intoier offensive line. So definitely a good data point

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Speaker 5: early in the season.

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Speaker 2: One of the other ones that I saw that came

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Speaker 2: from Evans phenomenal research the primer, if you have not

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Speaker 2: made that a part of your weekly routine as a

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Speaker 2: sports better, you are missing out on valuable information. The

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Speaker 2: market loves the idea of a shiny new toy toy

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Speaker 2: coming in and dethroning Patrick Mahomes, unless it's the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 2: because I believe the betting splits had the Chiefs getting

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Speaker 2: a lot of money from the betters in terms of

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Speaker 2: that last Super Bowl. But in the regular season, Mahomes

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Speaker 2: is closed as a two and a half point favorite

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Speaker 2: or shorter at home eight times, so a small favorite

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Speaker 2: or a dog in all eight.

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Speaker 1: Of those games.

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Speaker 2: He's never seen a line move in his direction between

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Speaker 2: open and close. I find that absolutely fascinating that you

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Speaker 2: have Mahomes is either a short favorite or an underdog,

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Speaker 2: and money doesn't just pour in from from from the

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Speaker 2: public or the sharp's enough to move the line in

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Speaker 2: the direction of the Kansas City Chiefs. And yet again,

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Speaker 2: if you look at the line and maybe the Jalen

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Speaker 2: Carterner's news Kendras, he did not get suspended.

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Speaker 3: You were right on that one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they and they came out with that exit with

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Speaker 2: with that exact phrasing of well he already served the suspension,

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Speaker 2: So there you are.

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Speaker 1: But I find that stat fascinating.

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Speaker 3: I here's my thing with this game.

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Speaker 4: I didn't put this down as something that I'm going

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Speaker 4: to bet, and I wish that I had gotten in

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Speaker 4: on it a little earlier. But the fact that they're

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Speaker 4: going to be without you know, potentially exacer' worthy.

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Speaker 3: He's been ruled out correct or does it?

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Speaker 4: It's not trending in that way that he's going to pay.

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Speaker 5: I don't think he's like there's a chance he would

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Speaker 5: play with a brace, but I doubt that they would.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the thing is.

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Speaker 4: You can you can give me the Patrick Mahomes stats

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Speaker 4: and narratives and everything like that.

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Speaker 3: They also just traveled back from Brazil.

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Speaker 4: That is a tough that's a lot of travel, a

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Speaker 4: lot more than like just a West coast situation or

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Speaker 4: you know, in a way after an away game coming

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Speaker 4: back home.

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Speaker 3: That's that's stressful, especially after a loss.

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Speaker 4: Travis Kelcey is old and distracted and feeling guilty for

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Speaker 4: injuring Xavier Worthy. He came out on his podcast and

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Speaker 4: said that there was no excuse for it and that

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Speaker 4: he felt really bad. Obviously, where she Rice is suspended,

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Speaker 4: I just without Xavier Worthy, no where she raced. Travis

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Speaker 4: Kelsey being as old as he is and in his

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Speaker 4: own head, I just don't see, with how the Eagles

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Speaker 4: looked last week and the revenge tour that Jalen Carter

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Speaker 4: is going to be on this week, how they're going

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Speaker 4: to be able to overcome that even at home.

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Speaker 5: I disagree. I'm on the Chiefs. I bet the Chiefs.

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Speaker 5: I'd like, Yes, it's part of it is Mahomes catching

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Speaker 5: points at home. And he's twelve to two and one

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Speaker 5: against the spread as an underdog in his career eighty

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Speaker 5: six percent. A lot of times he's gone up against

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Speaker 5: teams with better rosters. I mean, how the AFC Championship game,

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Speaker 5: I had tons of Ravens futures. I'll never forget that game.

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Speaker 5: The Ravens were better. I think they closed it.

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Speaker 6: I don't know.

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Speaker 5: Four and a half five point favorites, and Chiefs did

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Speaker 5: it again. But they've done it so many times, and

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Speaker 5: when their roster is shorthanded or they're gone up against

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Speaker 5: a more talented team, I get it. It's it's very

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Speaker 5: concerning they're running games concerning their lack of receiving options.

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Speaker 5: But it feels like a game to me where Mahomes

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Speaker 5: will just find a way, they'll span the middle of

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Speaker 5: the field. And the Eagles defense lost a lot, and

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Speaker 5: there we talked about the Lions coordinator, the Eagles lost

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Speaker 5: Kellen Moore and that offense. Granted it's one week so

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Speaker 5: you don't really want to overreact too much, but we

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Speaker 5: saw this a couple years ago with the Eagles with

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Speaker 5: a new offense coordinator. It was a disaster and their

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Speaker 5: offense looked awful. I mean there was no creativity, there

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Speaker 5: was no innovation. So I'm worried about and maybe a J.

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Speaker 5: Brown's not fully healthy and you'll have one target, So

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Speaker 5: I'm worried about the Eagles offense as well. Their defense

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Speaker 5: is attackable. It feels like a Chiefs classic Chiefs voodoo game.

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Speaker 5: They just find a way to win on like a

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Speaker 5: walk off field goal.

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Speaker 3: It's it's a DeVante Smith game.

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Speaker 4: For me.

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Speaker 3: That's the only option for them here. He's got to

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Speaker 3: be the guy.

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Speaker 4: I just when I look at this Chiefs team and

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Speaker 4: this Chief's roster and their struggles and everything else, I

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Speaker 4: still believe in Patrick Mahomes. I think that he is

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Speaker 4: the second coming of Jesus Christ. I hate their fan base.

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Speaker 4: I think his family's annoying, whatever, But I think that

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Speaker 4: they're going through something similar that the Patriots did between

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Speaker 4: when they won the Super Bowl and what like two

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Speaker 4: thousand and four and two thousand and five and then

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Speaker 4: their next super.

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Speaker 3: Bowl that they won. They need a little bit of retooling.

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Speaker 4: They need a little bit of a roster change, a

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Speaker 4: little bit of turnover just to keep Patrick Mahomes at

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Speaker 4: the tier that Brady was and keep chasing his numbers.

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Speaker 3: It's just I have the undergund the Chiefs win total

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Speaker 3: for the year.

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Speaker 4: I think that they just need a retooling around Mahomes

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Speaker 4: to get back to winning super Bowls again.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, who was supposed to work? Who was supposed to

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Speaker 5: be explosed? This is going to be the explosive offense,

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Speaker 5: But that was supposed to be Worthy and Rice and

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Speaker 5: now you're without either, so that's your back to like,

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Speaker 5: and then your defense isn't as good on the back

365
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Speaker 5: ends you're back to like. I got to dink and dunk.

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Speaker 5: I gotta just hope the play calling is phenomenal and

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Speaker 5: Mahomes is just on. But I did like him throwing

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Speaker 5: down the field. He was the least throwing down the

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Speaker 5: field against the Chargers. Maybe Thornton can have a big day,

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Speaker 5: but you got to break the tie here, Brandon, is.

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Speaker 3: This a jeorgiw Smith game?

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Speaker 1: I have a random prop for you.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if they're gonna even gonna make him available,

374
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Speaker 2: But Taekwan Thornton, Patrick Patrick Mahmes took three deep shots

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Speaker 2: to Taekwon Thornton in the first half of that game

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Speaker 2: against the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: I don't think he connected on any of them.

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Speaker 2: Maybe it was there was one at the most because

379
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Speaker 2: he had six Fantasy points on my bench, it's one

380
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Speaker 2: of the reasons I remember that. But it was all

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Speaker 2: in the first half. They're clearly trying to get the

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Speaker 2: ball to this guy, and if they're without Xavier Worthy,

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Speaker 2: well why get away from that?

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Speaker 1: It would have worked.

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Speaker 2: It was just you know, a dropped pass or a

386
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Speaker 2: slight overthrow from Mahomes. I think they go back to that.

387
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Speaker 2: His number, because he's an obscure player, will be crazy low.

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Speaker 2: So I'd keep an eye on that. I'll break the tie.

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Speaker 2: I'm on the Chiefs. It was one of the first

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Speaker 2: bets that I made this week. I also have a

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Speaker 2: fun one here if if you want to take Kansas

392
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:03,399
Speaker 2: City sixty four and seven straight up since twenty eighteen

393
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Speaker 2: after having a lead in the first quarter, it's the

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Speaker 2: best win percentage of any team in the NFL, including

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Speaker 2: twenty nine to oh in the last three seasons when

396
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Speaker 2: they have a lead after one. So how about this,

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Speaker 2: Chiefs win the first quarter, Chiefs win the game plus

398
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Speaker 2: one forty five. If you want to look at this

399
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Speaker 2: a different way, Kendrew.

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Speaker 4: I was gonna say, I do have a little nugget

401
00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,840
Speaker 4: as like a look ahead. A little birdie told me

402
00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:34,080
Speaker 4: that the Chiefs might be looking at trading for Tyreek Hill.

403
00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 4: I could see it, do it, So just a little

404
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:39,440
Speaker 4: bit of a look ahead, maybe like a second of

405
00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:41,600
Speaker 4: the seat, second and second half of the season situation.

406
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Speaker 4: But it sounds it sounds like that might be a

407
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Speaker 4: possibility that could be on the board coming soon.

408
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Speaker 1: Would not be great for your season long under right.

409
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Speaker 3: There he's washed. I'm not worried about it.

410
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Speaker 5: I mean, I hope you'll help that based on whatever

411
00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:57,159
Speaker 5: they have now. But the Dolphins are gonna blow it

412
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Speaker 5: all up. I could so I could see a couple

413
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Speaker 5: of their players ending up elsewhere. Is our voice in

414
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Speaker 5: the sky, our own personal stapway, have an Abrams, Can

415
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Speaker 5: you look up something quickly? I know this is on

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Speaker 5: the spot because this these are two teams that are

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Speaker 5: I believe second half under gods. Because once either of

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Speaker 5: these teams gets a lead, all they want to all

419
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Speaker 5: they want to do is I got They'll just try

420
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Speaker 5: to hold the ball and go on like twelve minute

421
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Speaker 5: drives and they can and that Eagles can do that

422
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Speaker 5: run run, little pass, push push, and the Chiefs just

423
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Speaker 5: do that now because they only can move three yards

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Speaker 5: at a time. So these teams are the lead. I

425
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Speaker 5: mean we saw that in the Week one with the

426
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Speaker 5: Cowboys and Eagles game. Somehow going under what are the

427
00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:45,399
Speaker 5: Eagles last We'll say last five years, Eagles and Chiefs

428
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Speaker 5: second half unders, they got to be the top two.

429
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Speaker 5: I mean, just looking.

430
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Speaker 6: Up by quarterback, I feel like is the easiest way to go.

431
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Speaker 6: So Mahomes, you know Mahomes is he's seventy two fifty

432
00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 6: seven and five career second half under.

433
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Speaker 5: And that was inclined. That was back when he was

434
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Speaker 5: explosive too. Though, like correct, I feel like lately Hurts

435
00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:07,680
Speaker 5: is good too. I mean forty thirty five and one.

436
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Speaker 6: But let's see, yeah, let's see like last few years

437
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:14,679
Speaker 6: with Mahomes just to get the uh so Owen won

438
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,159
Speaker 6: this year ten and nine. See the thing that skews

439
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:19,760
Speaker 6: it all and I remember doing this in twenty three

440
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 6: he was seventeen and three to the second half under,

441
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:26,679
Speaker 6: which skews it all every year of his career basically

442
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:27,639
Speaker 6: around five hundred.

443
00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:31,399
Speaker 5: It's at home usually, I believe the home second half.

444
00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:34,880
Speaker 6: Hunders are like twenty nine and twelve or twenty nine

445
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 6: and thirteen last few years. So it's arrowhead where they

446
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:41,440
Speaker 6: usually stop you second half, no points and they in

447
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 6: the game just strangle out the game.

448
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, unreal that pulling that straight from the.

449
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 2: Dome, by the way, impressive, major flex for Ebony.

450
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:52,080
Speaker 5: He's the voice of God.

451
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:53,720
Speaker 1: You got to talk about this.

452
00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:56,119
Speaker 2: Brock Purty News Kyle Shanahan said that he is a

453
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 2: long shot to play this week and that it's likely

454
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 2: going to be a mole Ti week absence. Ian Rappaport

455
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 2: followed that up and said that Brock Parties expected to

456
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:07,600
Speaker 2: miss two to five weeks with a turf toe variant.

457
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 2: I've never heard of this before. This is like a

458
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 2: Marvel Multiverse injury, a turftoe variant. Looked at PFF dot com,

459
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,840
Speaker 2: they do a good job in terms of the UH

460
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 2: spread worthiness of these quarterbacks. He's worth three and a

461
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,359
Speaker 2: half points to the spread according to the According to

462
00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 2: their database, this line opened at minus seven for San Francisco,

463
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:28,639
Speaker 2: So if you were to bake in that adjustment, that

464
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:30,880
Speaker 2: would make the Niners three and a half point favorites.

465
00:21:31,280 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 2: Add a sprinkle of George Kittle news and some market

466
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 2: sentiment towards San Francisco, and actually, you know what, scratch

467
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 2: that action is tracking seventy one percent of the tickets

468
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:43,880
Speaker 2: to New Orleans.

469
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 1: But it does get us to where we're at.

470
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 2: Niners minus three is the side stucky? Are you touching

471
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 2: this one or have you already?

472
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,919
Speaker 5: I'm what I want to bet on this game. It's ugly,

473
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 5: so no one is gonna like this. I said to myself,

474
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:01,879
Speaker 5: if party gets ruled out. What's gonna happen is the

475
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 5: line's gonna drop, and I want neither part of it.

476
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,679
Speaker 5: I don't want any part of either side, but I

477
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 5: want to bet the over after the total comes down,

478
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 5: Like can it get into the thirties?

479
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 1: Talking in game or are you talking out pre game?

480
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:15,640
Speaker 5: I just want to see how low it goes. Where

481
00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 5: are we at now forty forty and a half? Have

482
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 5: I want to see if we can get into the

483
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 5: thirties because look, the talent for San fran isn't great.

484
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,520
Speaker 5: It's Mac Jones, but it's still like a good play

485
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 5: call in Shanahan. It's not a great New Orleans defense.

486
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 5: The Niners defense was basically reset. I like some of

487
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 5: the things that the Saints offense did last week. It's

488
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 5: indoors two good play callers. And the Saints are going fast,

489
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,840
Speaker 5: super fast. They were the fastest team Underkelmore. They were

490
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:49,359
Speaker 5: the highest tempo in the league last week. So they're

491
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,720
Speaker 5: spreading it out, going a lot eleven personnel and going

492
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:55,200
Speaker 5: fast with tempo. And the Niners, what's their kicking situation

493
00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 5: gonna be? Like maybe they're just gonna go forward to

494
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,200
Speaker 5: more and fourth downs be a little bit more aggressive.

495
00:22:58,200 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 3: But can they sign Eddy Pinero?

496
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:03,719
Speaker 5: Is that how they signed? I haven't even chin Well,

497
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 5: that's a huge upgrade. They won't miss. That's a huge

498
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 5: upgrade over Moody. You missed seven field goals a game.

499
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 1: The worst throws dart to that man's face at night.

500
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:16,880
Speaker 5: They held on to him. This is why you never

501
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:23,720
Speaker 5: draft kickers like Vin Terry wasn't drafted, Justin Tucker wasn't

502
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,600
Speaker 5: drafted like a lot. You don't waste a third round

503
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:30,439
Speaker 5: draft pick. They they selected Jake Moody in the third

504
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:34,120
Speaker 5: round and that draft was one of the go book

505
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 5: up that draft. There was like Jyu Brown, Cameron Lay

506
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 5: to Robert Beale like nobody. I think de Winters is

507
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:44,679
Speaker 5: like the their best drafting. But their second pick in

508
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 5: that draft was Jake Moody. Insane, don't draft a kicker.

509
00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:48,760
Speaker 5: And then they had Anchor By They just held onto

510
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:52,439
Speaker 5: him for so long. So that's an upgrade, but ugly scary.

511
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 5: Who wants to bet Mac Jones Spencer Rattler over nobody.

512
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 5: But if this gets low enough indoors with some tempo,

513
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 5: Shannon and We'll still have some good stuff scripted up.

514
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 5: It's ugly That's what I'm looking at.

515
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 2: I do think you're gonna get into the thirties, Kendra.

516
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,880
Speaker 2: Are you excited for the return of the Mac mac joe?

517
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 1: Okay?

518
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,680
Speaker 4: First of all, you don't drop the kicker unless it's

519
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 4: Cam Little in the sixth round. Never miss an extra point,

520
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:22,160
Speaker 4: high school, college or NFL fun sound rounds Okay? Now? Third,

521
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:26,400
Speaker 4: agree a great second of all turf toe variant sounds

522
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 4: like some d shit.

523
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 3: Three.

524
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 4: I hate Mac Jones with every fiber of my being.

525
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 3: I hate him.

526
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:36,119
Speaker 4: I told you guys, I was gonna let you know

527
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,439
Speaker 4: why I hate him. Here is I will t ld

528
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 4: are this for you. One both from Jacksonville. He went

529
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 4: to like the hoity toity rich kid high school and

530
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 4: kicked everybody's ass in football because they recruited all the good.

531
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,520
Speaker 3: Talent in town. Two.

532
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:54,399
Speaker 4: I go to Auburn, he goes to Alabama. Three, I

533
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:57,120
Speaker 4: transfer to you and h and he gets drafted by

534
00:24:57,119 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 4: the Patriots. Four I have to to watch him again

535
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 4: in Jacksonville after Trevor Lawrence gets hurt and watch him

536
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 4: throw more touchdowns to be TJ last season than Trevor Lawrence.

537
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:10,040
Speaker 4: And now he's back in San Francisco. The only other

538
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,959
Speaker 4: place I've ever lived that he hasn't that was mine

539
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 4: and now he's there.

540
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 3: Oh, I hate him so much. You have two d uys.

541
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 4: You get caught doing things that you should not do,

542
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 4: that your sister posted on the internet.

543
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:24,919
Speaker 3: I hate him so much. I hate him. I hate him.

544
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 3: He's kicked my ass and every sport ever.

545
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,159
Speaker 4: Except for when he was on the Jaguars and then

546
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 4: he forced.

547
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,600
Speaker 3: Us to lose all these games because he's hot, garbage,

548
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:34,800
Speaker 3: hot ass. I hate him.

549
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 4: I am I'm going to the Jags forty nine ers

550
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 4: game in San Francisco and I cannot wait to boo

551
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:40,440
Speaker 4: that mf or.

552
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:41,639
Speaker 3: Out of the stadium.

553
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,120
Speaker 5: And you're gonna wear his DUI picture when he when

554
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 5: he was young and he's like crying, uh A smugshot, yeah.

555
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 1: Right on his face.

556
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,359
Speaker 3: If he has no haters, I am dead.

557
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,439
Speaker 5: I get I'm in the club. I'm in the Mac

558
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 5: Johns hater. I have a hilarious story. I don't know

559
00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:04,800
Speaker 5: how many people know this. When Matt before Mac Jones

560
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 5: committed to Alabama, he was committed to Kentucky and at

561
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:11,800
Speaker 5: the time I was dating my wife who went to

562
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 5: University Kentucky. But it was much older than Mac Jones.

563
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:17,399
Speaker 5: She's I don't know. At the time, mac Jones was

564
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 5: visiting Kentucky. This is twenty fifteen. I think he was

565
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:27,880
Speaker 5: visiting Kentucky and he slid into my wife's DMS while

566
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 5: I was dating her. She was twenty fifteen, so she

567
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:35,719
Speaker 5: was twenty five and he was in high school and

568
00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:38,159
Speaker 5: he slid into her DM saying like stop what you do.

569
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:39,879
Speaker 5: I didn't know or just said to stup what you're

570
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 5: doing tonight. He was in high school track and my

571
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,159
Speaker 5: wife showed me. I didn't even know who he was

572
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 5: at the time. I knew he like it was a

573
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 5: high recruit. And then he ended up going to Alabama

574
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 5: and I used to love fading him when he was

575
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,640
Speaker 5: in college because he was slid into my wife's DM.

576
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 5: So put me on board of So maybe we should

577
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 5: bet that the Saints. I'm in Maybe the Saints is

578
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 5: the grouper.

579
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:09,119
Speaker 4: Bet and his what's his pick line at his odds

580
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:10,040
Speaker 4: to throw an interception?

581
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:11,879
Speaker 5: I'm down for that.

582
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 4: That might be I might take the over on whatever,

583
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,840
Speaker 4: because I think that that is my Mac Jones revenge tour.

584
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 4: I'm going to bet be over on all of his

585
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 4: interceptions all season.

586
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:22,399
Speaker 1: I think that's the way to go.

587
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 2: Because here's the problem, Okay, I do have to bring

588
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 2: us back to earth a little bit. We cannot back

589
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 2: the Saints right We can't back the Saints right now

590
00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 2: because the public is getting crushed early on in this season.

591
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 2: The Saints are getting seventy one percent of the bets.

592
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 2: The Saints are terrible. Okay, I know it's Mac Jones,

593
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:41,879
Speaker 2: and I'm with you. Hey, if you fuck with Kendra

594
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,440
Speaker 2: and you fuck with Stucky, you fuck with me too. Okay,

595
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,359
Speaker 2: I'm with you, guys, but I cannot be on the

596
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 2: side of seventy one percent of the bets on an

597
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:52,080
Speaker 2: awful team. The forty nine ers are still good enough

598
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:54,879
Speaker 2: roster wise to win this football game, and win this

599
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,399
Speaker 2: football game by more than a field golf with you

600
00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 2: on the pick, let's find the number on that.

601
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,600
Speaker 5: Laying three with Sam fran just I'm looking for the

602
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 5: over I'm gonna be I'll probably be. I gott all

603
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 5: care if the public, if I'm side with the public

604
00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:11,159
Speaker 5: on some games, but I might be the only person

605
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,240
Speaker 5: in the country that that's the over in this game.

606
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,480
Speaker 5: Very well, good, Yeah, it sounds like you were talking

607
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 5: about paining. We were talking about pain. That might be

608
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 5: the most painful thing that I ever endure trying to

609
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,600
Speaker 5: watch that game and rooting to get into the forties.

610
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:25,359
Speaker 6: I don't know.

611
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 3: I would rather be on. It's more. I'm very much

612
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:29,720
Speaker 3: an under better in comparison.

613
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 5: Same I hate betting overs regardless. Now I've got a

614
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,200
Speaker 5: betting over with Rattler and Jones, but.

615
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 4: That shit hits like crack, like cheering for an over

616
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:39,560
Speaker 4: and cheering for scores hits.

617
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 2: So, speaking of the public stat that was shared via

618
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 2: Evan Abrams, the public went three and thirteen against the

619
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:51,280
Speaker 2: spread last week. It was the worst Week one mark

620
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 2: in the NFL since Week five, or it was the

621
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 2: worst mark that the public had and since Week five

622
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 2: of twenty twenty two, the worst week one in twenty

623
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:05,080
Speaker 2: two years of action Networks database teams with sixty percent

624
00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 2: of the tickets.

625
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna rattle these off.

626
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 2: This is not a don't bet, this is a buyer

627
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:12,920
Speaker 2: beware on the following teams. The vikings against the Falcons,

628
00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 2: the Saints, as we've just talked about against the forty

629
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 2: nine ers, the Titans, Stuckey, I know that's one of

630
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 2: yours as well, seventy percent of the bets on the

631
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:24,440
Speaker 2: Titans going up against the Rams, the Pittsburgh Steelers, they're

632
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 2: always a heavily bet public team sixty two percent, and

633
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 2: the Panthers, so I think we're gonna have sold to

634
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 2: us in a moment. Sixty two percent of the bets

635
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 2: against the Arizona Cardinals. So let's use that as a

636
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,880
Speaker 2: launch pad to nominate a player too and see if

637
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 2: we can find some general consensus on the board and

638
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 2: eventually land on the cheesiest named parlay I could possibly

639
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 2: come up with. We're gonna call this the three Musketeers,

640
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 2: all for one and one for all. Eh, you guys

641
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:54,840
Speaker 2: with me?

642
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 3: That is such a Dodd joke. I think that we

643
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:00,680
Speaker 3: should public leach game right now.

644
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 1: Bring it.

645
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 2: That was rough, but a right, We're roll with it, okay,

646
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 2: all right, you know, hey, look, I'll take submissions.

647
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 1: But yeah, I have been working on my dad jokes

648
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 1: over the last five years.

649
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 5: So if I hit you, I should have played this.

650
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 5: I have that horn.

651
00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:21,280
Speaker 1: This is just the beginning, folks, just the beginning.

652
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 2: I like the Jets plus six and a half, stucky,

653
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 2: slightly jealous of you you picked up the seven a

654
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 2: few days ago.

655
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: Wish I had gotten in on them a little bit earlier.

656
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 1: But this team runs the ball really well.

657
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 2: Buffalo clearly struggled in that area on Sunday night. Yes,

658
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 2: they won the game. They came back heroic fashion, YadA YadA.

659
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 2: They give up two hundred and thirty eight yards on

660
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 2: the ground to the Baltimore Ravens. Their secondaries beat up

661
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:43,959
Speaker 2: as well. So I think Justin Fields can have some

662
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 2: success in this game home dogs of seven or more.

663
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 2: And this doesn't exactly qualify because I'm taking a six

664
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 2: and a half, but just to give you an idea

665
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 2: of the range eighteen to one and two against the

666
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 2: spread over the last three years in the beginning portions

667
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:00,480
Speaker 2: of the season, first half of the I like the

668
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 2: Jets plus six and a half. I'll stop there, are

669
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:07,800
Speaker 2: you guys sold on the Jets plus the number?

670
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 1: Or should I continue?

671
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 5: I'm in on the Jets personally. May maybe a little

672
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 5: hangover for the Bills. I liked what I saw from Engstam.

673
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 5: I like what I saw from Fields like I didn't

674
00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 5: know what that office is going to look like. The

675
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 5: offensive line is so improved, their tackles, Membu, the rookie

676
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 5: twenty six pass protection STAPs, nothing, no pressures, and he

677
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 5: went against Watt and that passerrush. So really liked what

678
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:33,920
Speaker 5: I saw from the offensive line. And yeah, that Bill's

679
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,719
Speaker 5: defense has issues right now, Like they're safeties. There a problem,

680
00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 5: there's injuries at corner the Rundies, so asking them to

681
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,200
Speaker 5: win by margin the road divisional game. I'm in on the.

682
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 1: Jets, Kendra.

683
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 3: I want to be in on the Jets. I just

684
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 3: once again.

685
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 4: Need to see their identity a little bit. I definitely

686
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 4: agree with Stucky's thing the other day about Justin Fields

687
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 4: maybe being the guy we see to be like the

688
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 4: Gino Smith, Sam Darnold Baker Mayfield type.

689
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:00,720
Speaker 3: I have been chasing that high for him.

690
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 4: I thought that was going to be him in Pittsburgh

691
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 4: and that wasn't so I can't. I feel like I

692
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 4: no longer have the cards to play to say that

693
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,120
Speaker 4: he's going to maybe be in the running for that

694
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 4: conversation again. But I just worry about Josh Allen being

695
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,200
Speaker 4: able to expose the Jets secondary. I will say their

696
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 4: run game looked a lot better than I expected last week.

697
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 4: I just think that the Bills are way too deep

698
00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 4: Bills year that you just can't convince me to bet

699
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:27,320
Speaker 4: against the Bills out all this entire season.

700
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 3: I think that out of every team in the NFL,

701
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 3: they have the opportunity.

702
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 4: If there was to be a team to be perfect

703
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,640
Speaker 4: and go seventeen to O this year, it's them.

704
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 2: Okay, well, we need consensus on this, so I'm going

705
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 2: to move on to the Cowboys. I like the Cowboys

706
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 2: minus five and a half against the Giants. They wreck

707
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 2: NFC East opponents that they face. I think the Giants

708
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,560
Speaker 2: are still pretty awful. So when you add in the

709
00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:54,360
Speaker 2: extended rest as well smash spot for the Dallas Cowboys,

710
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 2: can I get some consensus?

711
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 3: Yes, I'm with you.

712
00:32:58,040 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 4: That is one of my bets that I gave out

713
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 4: this week, the Dallas Cowboys. I'm higher on the Giants

714
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 4: than I think a lot of people are this year,

715
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 4: but not until day replace Russ with Jackson Dart. I

716
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 4: am on the Jackson Dart train, been here since he

717
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:14,160
Speaker 4: was at old Miss Love Jackson Dart. One of the

718
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 4: most disappointing bets I ever lost in my life was

719
00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:18,040
Speaker 4: when I got in early on him for Heisman odds

720
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 4: and then he kind of shited the bed last yearly

721
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,760
Speaker 4: in the season. But I really think that the Giants

722
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,360
Speaker 4: have done a decent job at adding depths and drafting.

723
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 3: I just don't think.

724
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:30,480
Speaker 4: That the coaching situation is doing anybody any favors. Jackson

725
00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 4: Dart's got to be the guy. It's got to be

726
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:36,600
Speaker 4: Dallas or nothing for me this week, I.

727
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 5: Can't get there. But I can't. I'm not betting the Giants.

728
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:41,280
Speaker 5: I'll tell you that, Yeah, I need them to change Ross.

729
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 5: Ross was awful, and there's to build your case. Neighbors

730
00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 5: might not be fully healthy. Wanda Robinson didn't practice yesterday.

731
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 5: Is Andrew Thomas going to be back? Like the line

732
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 5: is bad, but when he's out, it's just a disaster.

733
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:58,280
Speaker 5: I know Parsons isn't there, but and Dak's really good

734
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 5: as a favorite. He can pull up those numbers. What

735
00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:05,320
Speaker 5: is Dak is like a six plus point favorite? Usually

736
00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 5: pretty good, like I think, And part of that is

737
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,320
Speaker 5: that they'll get a lead and then their defense historic

738
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 5: has been able to be aggressive and then you know

739
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:18,040
Speaker 5: a kind of snowballs. But maybe that's not the case

740
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,480
Speaker 5: anymore without Parsons. But they're gonna get pressure. It's this

741
00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 5: Giants offensive line So if I were if I was

742
00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:27,400
Speaker 5: choosing between the two, I would go Jets and Kendrick

743
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 5: Wild go Cowboys. So we'll do one of them.

744
00:34:30,520 --> 00:34:31,879
Speaker 1: And then how about this.

745
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,480
Speaker 2: So to add to the Dak impressive in these situations

746
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,880
Speaker 2: seventy one percent over the course of his career ats

747
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:40,320
Speaker 2: against the NFC East.

748
00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:41,520
Speaker 1: This is what he does.

749
00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 5: He covers what is Dak as a favorite?

750
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, closes well, closing six or more as a favorite

751
00:34:48,600 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 6: thirty one, fifteen and one, which just feels stupid in

752
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:54,600
Speaker 6: itself as that big of a favorite, especially on the

753
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:57,280
Speaker 6: closing line as a favorite just itself fifty to thirty

754
00:34:57,360 --> 00:34:58,640
Speaker 6: nine and two, so pretty good.

755
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:02,319
Speaker 5: That is dumb numbers. That's like Lamar. Lamar first half

756
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 5: numbers are dumb fifty nine, thirty four and two against

757
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:07,879
Speaker 5: the spread sixty.

758
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 6: The crazy thing with Lamar first half is Flacco's second,

759
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:12,799
Speaker 6: so it's like mostly John.

760
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 5: Yep, that's true. But the crazy thing even as a

761
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,760
Speaker 5: favorite of six plus in the first half, Lamar twelve

762
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:21,879
Speaker 5: three and one against the spread and he's covered by

763
00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:24,319
Speaker 5: a field goal game when he's favored by like a

764
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,160
Speaker 5: touchdown in the first half, it's that shock of the

765
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 5: speed is part of it and then the hardball effect two.

766
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:33,480
Speaker 5: So all right, how are we going to choose? Then?

767
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:34,600
Speaker 5: How are we breaking this tie?

768
00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 1: Well?

769
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 2: I think because we well, yeah, because there's two, we

770
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,399
Speaker 2: have two thirds. We're only on one person right now.

771
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:46,239
Speaker 2: So Evan, you're you're officially in. You're breaking the tie.

772
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,799
Speaker 2: Are we putting the Cowboys minus the points or the

773
00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 2: Jets plus the points into the not named three most

774
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 2: Keteers parlay?

775
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:55,399
Speaker 6: I like the Jets. I mean I already bet the Jets.

776
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 6: I put in the ap myself. I had it at seven,

777
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:00,400
Speaker 6: So I'm a Jets guy this week. I like the

778
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 6: Giants way too much. That defensive lines can cause havoc.

779
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:05,839
Speaker 6: I mean, even with the injuries, you assume neighbors will

780
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:07,120
Speaker 6: play like Jets.

781
00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 1: The Jets are in.

782
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,759
Speaker 2: Let's move to Stucky sell us on one of your

783
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:12,399
Speaker 2: plays for this week that we can get in there

784
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:13,920
Speaker 2: as the favorites, parlay.

785
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 5: Does that to be on Sunday? Or are we on Monday?

786
00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 5: Are we keeping it to the Sunday?

787
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:18,760
Speaker 1: I don't think Yeah, I don't think it matters.

788
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,960
Speaker 5: All right, let's go Atlanta plus three and a half

789
00:36:22,560 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 5: Sunday night. It looks like Mooney and London are going

790
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 5: to play. That's important. Pennick's faredwell against the Blitz last

791
00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 5: week against Bowls, that's important against Flores, the Vikings, short

792
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 5: week off a big win, a couple defensive injuries. And

793
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:38,920
Speaker 5: I'm not fully sold on McCarthy. And I know somehow

794
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:43,320
Speaker 5: NFC offensive Player of the Week, but for three quarters

795
00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 5: it looked awful. And he was going against the Bear's

796
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 5: na without their top two corners, without a starting lineback,

797
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:50,239
Speaker 5: and like, it didn't look great. And yeah, eventually he

798
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:52,920
Speaker 5: got there, but it was with Justin Jefferson, a good

799
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 5: offensive line, and I know he was without his left tackle.

800
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 5: Might be back this week. But the Falcons anything over

801
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 5: a field goal here, rookie quarterback on the road, you

802
00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 5: got an extra day of wrest and prepp. You should

803
00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 5: have your receivers. And look, they should have won that

804
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 5: game last week. They were plus seven percent net success, right,

805
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 5: they dropped like three picks. Their zones were really good.

806
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,359
Speaker 5: Macarth's gonnaee a lot more zone than he did last week.

807
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,320
Speaker 5: Might force the ball, some couple of balls to Jefferson,

808
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 5: make a mistake. I'm in on the Falcons plus three

809
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:25,320
Speaker 5: and a half. Brandon agree. Disagree.

810
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 1: I'm in. I'm in on that.

811
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 2: I kind of like the idea of continuing the fade

812
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:35,040
Speaker 2: of these really strong public favorites. Last year was such

813
00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:38,400
Speaker 2: a heavy public success year that you could kind of

814
00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:41,480
Speaker 2: see this reversing course going into twenty twenty five. It's

815
00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:44,279
Speaker 2: already happened in pretty dramatic fashion. And then you have

816
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:48,040
Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy back to back night starts for a quarterback

817
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:50,560
Speaker 2: making his debut and he was a darling.

818
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 1: I mean, come on, this is obvious. This has crashed

819
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 1: back down to Earth written all over it. I'm in.

820
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:56,919
Speaker 1: I like getting the three in the hook.

821
00:37:57,160 --> 00:37:59,720
Speaker 5: All right. Well, my favorite bet before I get Kendra's thoughts,

822
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:01,839
Speaker 5: because you're probably not gonna like this, because no one

823
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:05,440
Speaker 5: is probably gonna like this is the Texans. Who wants

824
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 5: to bet the Texans is a favorite? Apparently me? But

825
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 5: that's my favorite. Be that's on Monday Night. Anything under three.

826
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:13,800
Speaker 5: Last week was a mess offensively, but you have to

827
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:18,120
Speaker 5: understand that before the game they ruled their guard out

828
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 5: with an abdomen injury. Hopefully he's back this week, and

829
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 5: he was really good in the preseason ingram. They removed him.

830
00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:28,000
Speaker 5: That changed three positions around and throughout the game. They

831
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:31,920
Speaker 5: had seven or five or six different combinations. They had

832
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,040
Speaker 5: like all these guys playing tackle. Then they had two injuries.

833
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 5: There was no way it was going to be functional.

834
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:38,920
Speaker 5: So no matter what this week, I think Ingram be back,

835
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,240
Speaker 5: that'll allow Howard go to tackle, and I think Patterson

836
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 5: at safety for Andrews is even better. But they'll get

837
00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:45,359
Speaker 5: a week to practice with it. Like they went into

838
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:47,160
Speaker 5: the game game day and then had to switch up

839
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:50,360
Speaker 5: their entire offensive three positions and then had two injuries.

840
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:52,960
Speaker 5: It was a disaster, So it won't look that bad.

841
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,000
Speaker 5: The Bucks defense is bad. They got lucky last week.

842
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 5: Their offensive line is a mess. They got their center

843
00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:59,719
Speaker 5: playing tackle, their guard playing center because Wurfs is out,

844
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 5: they're missing mcmill and Godwin. Still, Baker should have thrown

845
00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 5: like three or four picks last week. They got very fortunate.

846
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:09,760
Speaker 5: Texans get it done that defense at home. I'm trusting

847
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 5: them and Stroud the bounce back with a more stable

848
00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 5: offensive line. So Texans minus two and a half, Falcons

849
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 5: plus three and a half. My favorite two bets, I

850
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 5: won't make you guys. Bet the Titans, Kenjre, You're you're

851
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 5: going to make the decision here.

852
00:39:22,640 --> 00:39:25,040
Speaker 4: I'm more likely to be with you on the Texans

853
00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 4: than the Falcons after what I've seen from young Waku

854
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:30,360
Speaker 4: in his career in the NFL.

855
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:31,879
Speaker 3: There's no way you're going to get me to back

856
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:32,239
Speaker 3: him on.

857
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:34,719
Speaker 5: He might not be kicking, they might.

858
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 1: They might have a and Pennick's touchdowns only, okay, and

859
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:40,480
Speaker 1: we're going for two.

860
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 4: It's not that I'm high on the Texans this year.

861
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:45,840
Speaker 4: It's that I'm high on the Bucks having a slow start.

862
00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:48,239
Speaker 4: You could tell that they were missing Liam Cohen last week,

863
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 4: that their offense is getting old, that it's getting stale,

864
00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 4: that the injuries certainly have hit them in the preseason.

865
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:55,840
Speaker 4: Guys need to come back, need to get healthy. Like

866
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,040
Speaker 4: you said, their offensive line is a mess. It's not

867
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:00,400
Speaker 4: that I'm high on the Texans. It's just truly that

868
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 4: I think if the Bucks are going to have a

869
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:04,640
Speaker 4: good season, it's going to take them a minute to

870
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:07,239
Speaker 4: get into the flow of the season because so much has.

871
00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:07,920
Speaker 3: Changed for them.

872
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:10,240
Speaker 4: And you know, Baker Mayfield has had so many different

873
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:13,200
Speaker 4: offensive coordinators throughout his career. I think that he's due for,

874
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 4: maybe like the right to have a little bit of

875
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:17,960
Speaker 4: a slow start after this turnaround we've seen from him.

876
00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:20,760
Speaker 4: I think that they're going to be fine shit division,

877
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 4: and I think that it's theirs to lose. But the

878
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 4: Texans are good, They're good coached, they draft really well.

879
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:26,960
Speaker 3: They need to win.

880
00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:30,240
Speaker 4: They also earn an ass division, but a less ass division,

881
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:32,040
Speaker 4: so they've got to get wins where they can get them.

882
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:33,520
Speaker 4: I think they have to take advantage of this year

883
00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 4: at home. I would be more likely to be with

884
00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:36,080
Speaker 4: you on the Texans.

885
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 5: All right, Well, I guess this is Evan Abrams podcast.

886
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 5: I might I might use Sennori here and just call it,

887
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:46,120
Speaker 5: but do you have a preference. I don't.

888
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:47,800
Speaker 6: I'm going to allow you guys to take it. I

889
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:48,719
Speaker 6: really don't care about it.

890
00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:50,760
Speaker 5: All right, I'm signed with Kenju. We're going to Texans.

891
00:40:51,920 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 5: So Texans minus two and a half and Jets where

892
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,279
Speaker 5: we're at plus six and a half is the best

893
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 5: price available right now? Are there any sevenths left?

894
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 1: I don't see any sevens out there.

895
00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:08,239
Speaker 5: No seven? Okay, we'll go six and a half.

896
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:14,839
Speaker 4: And so I hinted to this on a Tuesday show

897
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:18,120
Speaker 4: that I am behind the Carolina Panthers.

898
00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 3: I know that it's ugly.

899
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 4: I know nobody likes it. But I have some information

900
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 4: for you guys. But before I give you this information,

901
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 4: who do you think is better or worse? The Saints

902
00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:33,759
Speaker 4: or the Carolina Panthers. The Saints, but you think the

903
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 4: Saints are better than the Panthers.

904
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:37,400
Speaker 5: No, no, no, I think the Panthers are better than

905
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:37,800
Speaker 5: the Saints.

906
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:38,800
Speaker 3: Okay exactly.

907
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 4: And last week who struggled against the Saints The Arizona Cardinals.

908
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:48,360
Speaker 4: Last year, in the matchup between the Panthers and the Cardinals,

909
00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,560
Speaker 4: the Cardinals beat Arizona thirty six thirty in that overtime

910
00:41:51,640 --> 00:41:54,840
Speaker 4: matchup that knocked Arizona out of playoff contention. The Panthers

911
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 4: are fifteen and six against Arizona all time, and the

912
00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 4: Panthers are six and two on the road in Arizona

913
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 4: in that all time matchup. In that game last season,

914
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:05,759
Speaker 4: Chewba Hubbard ran for one hundred and fifty two yards

915
00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 4: and had two touchdowns and Bryce Young threw for two

916
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:11,800
Speaker 4: touchdowns and rushed for another. For some reason, the Panthers

917
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:14,240
Speaker 4: have their number them getting this big of a spread.

918
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,520
Speaker 4: I absolutely think that the Panthers are to play here.

919
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:20,120
Speaker 2: My issue with this one is I think the Panthers

920
00:42:20,160 --> 00:42:22,320
Speaker 2: are running out of wide receivers and they already traded

921
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:25,880
Speaker 2: Adam Thielen Jalen Coker just hit the ir hunter Renfros

922
00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:27,360
Speaker 2: on the injury report already.

923
00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:28,479
Speaker 1: He just got to the team.

924
00:42:28,920 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 3: He had a monster catch.

925
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 4: Last week though in te Roald McMillan like Heed, but

926
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:34,800
Speaker 4: he can't do it all himself.

927
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:38,760
Speaker 1: I just think they are they're a little too depleted

928
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 1: right now for me to back them. I have a

929
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 1: hard time. I have a really hard time getting behind

930
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 1: this one.

931
00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:46,560
Speaker 3: Thank you. Kuanu also back.

932
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 5: That would be that would be helpful because his backup

933
00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 5: was was bad. Yosh the ex packer. Yeah, the weapons

934
00:42:56,160 --> 00:42:59,160
Speaker 5: scare me a little bit. Also that the Panthers at

935
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:01,280
Speaker 5: their defense is void of talent, so they're just running

936
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:04,719
Speaker 5: this like basic cover three and then that's usually that's

937
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,800
Speaker 5: not good against Murray and McBride. I am curious about this,

938
00:43:08,200 --> 00:43:10,320
Speaker 5: so I don't think I can get there. Like it

939
00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:13,719
Speaker 5: does make sense. It's like they looked awful. I mean,

940
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:19,160
Speaker 5: if you look back historically, teams off of double digit

941
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:21,279
Speaker 5: I think Evan probably has this. Teams off of double

942
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 5: digit losses that are dogs in Week two probably have

943
00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:30,200
Speaker 5: hit around like sixty sixty five percent, And yeah, like,

944
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 5: how about a team that didn't cover in week one

945
00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 5: on the road versus a team that did twenty two

946
00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:37,879
Speaker 5: and twelve against the spread sixty five percent last ten years.

947
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:40,359
Speaker 5: So like it makes sense, like buying low. You don't

948
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:43,239
Speaker 5: want to overreact in week one. You want to stick

949
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:46,319
Speaker 5: more to your priors. Like that's it's just one data

950
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:49,839
Speaker 5: point you have to remember. But the total does feel

951
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:53,480
Speaker 5: a little low because you just mentioned that game it

952
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:54,920
Speaker 5: was thirty.

953
00:43:54,719 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 3: Six thirty you said, yeah, but it was also an

954
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:57,600
Speaker 3: overtime game.

955
00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, but so like there was still sixty points in regulation.

956
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:03,879
Speaker 5: Now this total, and that total was like forty six

957
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:05,640
Speaker 5: forty seven the US it was forty three and a

958
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:07,920
Speaker 5: half indoors. I get the Panthers offense a little beat up,

959
00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:10,319
Speaker 5: but I don't know. That total seems a little bit

960
00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 5: low for me. But why which what's your other one before.

961
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 4: We the also fun fact, this is the matchup between

962
00:44:17,640 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 4: the two smallest quarterbacks that we've ever had ever so for.

963
00:44:23,160 --> 00:44:25,800
Speaker 5: Post Super Bowl there was one in like the fifties

964
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:26,120
Speaker 5: with like.

965
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:28,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, remember him.

966
00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,160
Speaker 4: I also told you guys that I am gonna back

967
00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 4: Miami this week I'm still there. McDaniel's job watch must

968
00:44:35,760 --> 00:44:38,279
Speaker 4: win in a week to to and never loses to

969
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:38,960
Speaker 4: the Patriots.

970
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:41,879
Speaker 3: Must win. And the thing is that it's a divisional game.

971
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:46,160
Speaker 4: They have to consider one Miami in September Tough we

972
00:44:46,239 --> 00:44:49,040
Speaker 4: talked about there's really no home field advantage outside of

973
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:51,840
Speaker 4: the fact that it's the weather and New Englanders and

974
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:54,919
Speaker 4: people who like play up here, there's no shot they're

975
00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:56,279
Speaker 4: going to be able to survive it. When you spend

976
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:59,440
Speaker 4: an entire summer working in a New England summer environment

977
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:02,120
Speaker 4: and compare into a Florida summer environment, I don't care

978
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:05,839
Speaker 4: where you're from. Will Campbell even has struggled up here,

979
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 4: and he's from down south and it's not even that

980
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:12,000
Speaker 4: hot in comparison. I thought, so, here's the thing for me,

981
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:15,760
Speaker 4: here's the big question. Mark Gonzalez was posting. Christian Gonzalez

982
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 4: was posting on his Instagram like he was gonna play

983
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:20,399
Speaker 4: this week, but the rumors coming out from the team

984
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:22,960
Speaker 4: or that he's not, so I don't really know what

985
00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 4: to expect there. When comparing the position groups, quarterback basically

986
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:29,640
Speaker 4: a wash, I would give the edge of running back

987
00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:30,400
Speaker 4: to the Patriots.

988
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:33,719
Speaker 3: With the secondary being injured, Tyreek.

989
00:45:33,440 --> 00:45:37,040
Speaker 4: And Jalen Waddall obviously far superior to anything or the

990
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:38,800
Speaker 4: Patriots have coaching.

991
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:40,279
Speaker 3: I probably go Rabel, but I.

992
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:43,120
Speaker 4: Give the edge to Miami here and they're still running

993
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:46,920
Speaker 4: the fullback in today's NFL shout out alec Engeld on Wisconsin.

994
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:48,439
Speaker 3: I'm behind Miami this week.

995
00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 5: Look, I pride myself on betting the ugliest all. I

996
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:54,440
Speaker 5: mean my college football bets this week, and are like

997
00:45:55,120 --> 00:46:00,120
Speaker 5: the worst teams in the country, and I bet some ugly's,

998
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:01,240
Speaker 5: but I'm addicted to bend the Titans.

999
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 1: I don't.

1000
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:06,600
Speaker 5: I don't have many, uh healthy habits, and that's most unhealthy.

1001
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:08,240
Speaker 1: But this is ugly.

1002
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:12,239
Speaker 5: I mean. Yeah, So I'm like the Panthers and the Dolphins.

1003
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 5: So I like that You're you're trying to buy the

1004
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:20,399
Speaker 5: teams that looked awful last week. I cannot put any

1005
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:27,240
Speaker 5: money or recommend anybody put any money behind the Dolphins

1006
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:29,160
Speaker 5: right now, given the state of their offensive line, the

1007
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:31,840
Speaker 5: state it seems like everything in the back, like everything

1008
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 5: could just explode, Like they could just be arguing on

1009
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,920
Speaker 5: the sidelines the ten minutes into this game. Their secondary

1010
00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:39,279
Speaker 5: is a disaster. There's all kinds of injuries. They've all

1011
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:40,759
Speaker 5: these guys that just brought on that are like they're

1012
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 5: relying on to pick up the defense. So what are

1013
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:44,719
Speaker 5: they doing. They're just blitzing everyone like that's just what

1014
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 5: they're doing because they don't trust anyone in the back end.

1015
00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:48,840
Speaker 5: And to a looked awful last week. I don't know

1016
00:46:48,920 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 5: as he can cost again, I don't know he could.

1017
00:46:51,160 --> 00:46:53,160
Speaker 5: He wasn't just system quarterback. He's been in the system

1018
00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:54,359
Speaker 5: for years. He looked like he did was the first

1019
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:58,600
Speaker 5: time ever run in the system. So I'm voting by

1020
00:46:58,680 --> 00:47:03,160
Speaker 5: far easily. I can't go. I'm voting for the Panthers

1021
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:03,960
Speaker 5: plus six and a half.

1022
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:08,680
Speaker 2: I will say, Kendrew, your your mindset on the Miami

1023
00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:11,160
Speaker 2: Dolphins is a winning.

1024
00:47:11,320 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 1: Profitable mindset. This game in particular can't do it. So

1025
00:47:16,320 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 1: I'm with you. Let's go with the Panthers plus the

1026
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:19,840
Speaker 1: six and a half.

1027
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:24,360
Speaker 4: Quarterering you guys into betting on the Carolina Panthers.

1028
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:27,520
Speaker 5: That was very strategic. That was that was a ploy, alright,

1029
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:31,000
Speaker 5: the only other one, only other team. I really don't

1030
00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:34,200
Speaker 5: want to that default Panthers in the parlor.

1031
00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:38,719
Speaker 4: Well, I really just put a gun to both of

1032
00:47:38,800 --> 00:47:42,799
Speaker 4: your heads and was like, choose between two shitty options.

1033
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:46,439
Speaker 5: Perfect execution, very well done.

1034
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:50,240
Speaker 1: The official All Favorites all day parlay.

1035
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:53,440
Speaker 2: Texans minus two and a half, Jets plus six and

1036
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:56,600
Speaker 2: a half, and the Panthers plus six and a half.

1037
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 1: That's good.

1038
00:47:57,120 --> 00:47:58,400
Speaker 3: Do we may not make it on here?

1039
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:04,319
Speaker 5: Well that's people are going to learn here and I'm

1040
00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,879
Speaker 5: listening on Friday. Uh we by the way, we will

1041
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 5: be back on Sunday recapping the day and then we'll

1042
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:13,520
Speaker 5: talk a little you know, Sunday night football, Monday night football.

1043
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 5: Uh where warranted? So yeah, well we can't get out

1044
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:18,960
Speaker 5: there Thursday night football. We talk a little bit about

1045
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:22,000
Speaker 5: on the Action Network podcast. But uh yeah, I'll have

1046
00:48:22,120 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 5: you room for the Packers tonight.

1047
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 1: Make sure you will make you it same.

1048
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:28,400
Speaker 2: Make sure you find us on the Action Network YouTube

1049
00:48:28,440 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 2: page where we will talk Week two NFL recap Sunday night.

1050
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:34,719
Speaker 2: Good luck with all of your bets. I'll see you

1051
00:48:34,760 --> 00:48:37,080
Speaker 2: back here next time on the Favorites podcast. Let's go

1052
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:38,640
Speaker 2: cash these tickets I go.

1053
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1054
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:52,080
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, Help is

1055
00:48:52,080 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler