1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:03,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast. 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 2: I'm Pat Fitzmorris, joined as always by Beau mcbrair. 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:07,640 Speaker 1: Today we will give. 4 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:10,399 Speaker 2: You our betting preview of the second major of the year, 5 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 2: the PGA Championship. 6 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 1: We'll also do. 7 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:16,440 Speaker 2: A quick recap of the Wells Fargo Championship and a 8 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 2: very quick recap off the Myrtle Beach Classic, and at 9 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 2: the end of the show we will. 10 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: Give you our one and done picks. 11 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: The Betting pros PGA Podcast is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy. 12 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 2: Underdog is the place to go for best ball fantasy 13 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 2: football contest, but you might not have known that Underdog 14 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:36,559 Speaker 2: as golf contest. To visit Underdog Fantasy dot Com or 15 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 2: find Underdog in the app store, and don't forget to 16 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 2: register with the promo code BP Golf to claim your 17 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 2: special pick and to get a first time deposit offer 18 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,280 Speaker 2: of up to two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus cash. 19 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 2: More on Underdog and It's golf contests a little bit later, Boll, 20 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 2: I want to start by thanking you for giving me 21 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 2: the courage to bet on Rory McElroy at the Wells 22 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 2: Fargo Championship last week. That might sound like a strange 23 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 2: thing to say, considering that Rory was the betting favorite 24 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:09,199 Speaker 2: at either plus six fifty or plus seven hundred, depending 25 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 2: on where you went. But Rory's only win this year 26 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:17,400 Speaker 2: had been the Zuri Classic Team Events kind of a 27 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 2: garbage events that he won with Shane Lowry and Mceilroy 28 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: finished third at the Valero Texas Open in early April, 29 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 2: but his only other top twenty finish this season was 30 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 2: a tie for nineteenth of the Players Championship. 31 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 1: Rory has traditionally played really well. 32 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 2: At Quail Hollow, but he died for forty seventh last 33 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 2: year after I had bet on him. And if you 34 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 2: can't back Rory at Quail Hollow, where can you back him? 35 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: So you reassured me. 36 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 2: Bo You pointed out that the length of Quail Hollow 37 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: might sort of negate Rory's erratic wedge game, which I 38 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 2: think it did, so I did, in fact bet Rory 39 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 2: last week and it obviously paid off. Sunday boiled down 40 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 2: to a match play duel between Rory and Xander Schoffley, 41 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: and Shoffley took a one shot lead into the final 42 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,799 Speaker 2: round was up two after making an eagle on the 43 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 2: par five seventh. Then Rory just went bonkers eight under 44 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 2: power over his next eight holes, just just squeezed the 45 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 2: life out of poor Xander. Rory hit a seven shot 46 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,079 Speaker 2: lead going into the final hole, and maybe Rory was 47 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 2: trying to send a message to Xander and perhaps some 48 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 2: other competitors when he aggressively fired at the pin with 49 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:33,239 Speaker 2: his approach on eighteen and wound up in the creek 50 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 2: behind the green. But at that point the victory was 51 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 2: a mere formality. And even with that double bogie, Rory 52 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 2: finished five shots. I had a Shoffley and seven shots. 53 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 2: Excuse me, eight shots. I had a third place ben on. 54 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 2: Rory just put on a clinic at Quel Hollowbow And 55 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 2: this was a course that was playing firm and fast 56 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 2: all week long, and yet Rory made it look like 57 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,640 Speaker 2: some pushover, like the the course at hosted the Myrtle 58 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 2: Beach Classic. So as for Xander Shaffley, this tournament did 59 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 2: nothing to shake his reputation as a player who has 60 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 2: trouble closing and possibly lacks killer instinct. Boe your thoughts 61 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 2: on the Wells Fargo Championship. 62 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 3: I think we'll pump the brinks on the Xander Schaffley analysis, 63 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 3: because he didn't lose that tournament like Xanderswoffley would have 64 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 3: blown that tournament away. But Rory was on such a 65 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 3: run on Sunday that was a magical round, and if 66 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 3: he had just made par on eighteen, he would have 67 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 3: shot a sixty three. A sixty three at Quail Hollow 68 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 3: in those conditions. That's how good Rory is at his best, 69 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 3: and there's a lot to be said about his form 70 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 3: coming in not Rory's usual successful self. We've seen a 71 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 3: lot better of Rory in years past. What he did 72 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 3: on Sunday Fount was him finding his peak and that's 73 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 3: a really good time to do it. Sixty five on Sunday, 74 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 3: which very easily could have been a sixty three if 75 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 3: he wasn't messing around on eighteen. He had the thing 76 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 3: in the bag in a huge lead, and it wasn't 77 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 3: Xander's fault that he got beat by a pretty historic round. 78 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 3: So I'll say Xander is a gold medalist. He's won 79 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 3: plenty of times before, he just hasn't had quite the 80 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 3: quite enough to win in the last almost two years. 81 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:31,280 Speaker 3: He's still a world class player. This guy's still stacking 82 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 3: top fives and top tens every week. The time will 83 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 3: come for him. He's too good not to not to 84 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 3: keep betting on because it's eventually going to break through 85 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:43,600 Speaker 3: because he's that good. But Rory, my god, I mean, 86 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 3: that was exactly what I was hoping to see. It 87 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 3: is what I expected to see. And I am very 88 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 3: glad that not only did I bet Rory, but I 89 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:55,919 Speaker 3: bet him with the most exposure, and I put the 90 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 3: most money on him this last week as I have 91 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 3: on any one player the entire season, and so that 92 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 3: that's a really good feeling as a golf better to 93 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:09,479 Speaker 3: bet somebody with so much confidence and then to watch 94 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 3: them go and pull it off just how we hoped. 95 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 2: So, yeah, you were, you were extremely confident last week. 96 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 2: It was It helps that Rory hits such a high ball. 97 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:24,919 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Apex line that he has combined with the 98 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 3: carry distance. He was playing a different golf course entirely. 99 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 3: I mean the whole number one, very very long part 100 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,559 Speaker 3: four over five hundred yards. He was hitting a gap 101 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 3: wedge into that hole on Sunday, and that's because he 102 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 3: was taking a line that wasn't just aggressive, it was 103 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 3: some It was a line that nobody else in the 104 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 3: field could even even attempt. 105 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean like that course was set up 106 00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 2: at basically Major's distance, US Open, PGA type distance. 107 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 3: Imagine if they had grown the rough out longer. 108 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: Oh well, we're not gonna have to imagine. We're gonna 109 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 1: get some longer. 110 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 3: Rough very very similar course this week. 111 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:13,799 Speaker 2: Very And as for the other events on the PGA 112 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 2: Tour calendar last week, Chris got her Up won the 113 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 2: Myrtle Beach Classic and rather easily got her Up finished 114 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 2: minus twenty two, six shots better than Davis Thompson and 115 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 2: Alistair Doherty. So not much drama. Not much drama down 116 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 2: the stretch, and really either of the tournaments last week. 117 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 2: We'll get to the PGA Championship preview in just a minute, 118 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 2: but first, our friends at Underdog Fantasy are letting you 119 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 2: make picks on your favorite golfers all season long. Just 120 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 2: pick higher or lower on selected stats for two to 121 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 2: five golfers, and you can win up to twenty times 122 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 2: your money in a single day. You can also make 123 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 2: rivals picks, choosing, for instance, which of two golfers will 124 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 2: shoot a better score in a round. Golf picks can 125 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 2: be combined with player stats from other sports, too, go 126 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 2: sign up an Underdog Fantasy with the promo code BP 127 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 2: Golf to claim your special pick and to get a 128 00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 2: first time deposit offer up to two hundred and fifty 129 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 2: dollars in bonus cash now. The PGA Championship will be 130 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 2: held at Valhalla Country Club, a Jack Nicholas design in 131 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 2: we lopo. I'm a Northerner, so I pronounced it louis Vill, 132 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 2: but I know it's supposed to be pronounced Louisville or 133 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 2: something like that. 134 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 3: Anyway, he just rounded off Louisville. Okay, I'll not villa 135 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 3: like vu hl Louvo Louisville. 136 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 2: Valhalla has posted has hosted three previous PGA Championships, the 137 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 2: first in nineteen ninety six, when Mark Brooks beat Kenny 138 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 2: Perry in a playoff, finishing minus eleven. In the year 139 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 2: two thousand, Tiger Woods won that memorable duel against Bob 140 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 2: May also went to a playoff. Tiger had finished minus 141 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 2: eighteen in that and in twenty fourteen, Rory McElroy finished 142 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:06,960 Speaker 2: minus sixteen to win by one strokeover Phil Mickelson. Valhalla 143 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 2: is a par seventy one that will play two seven, 144 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 2: six hundred and nine yards and Like Quail Hollow, Valhalla 145 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 2: is a lengthy course. The shortest of the par threes 146 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 2: is one hundred and ninety yards, the longest is the 147 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty four yard fourteenth. Five of the 148 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 2: par fours measure at least four hundred and eighty four yards. 149 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,040 Speaker 2: All of the par fives are between five hundred and 150 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:32,199 Speaker 2: seventy yards and five hundred and ninety four yards, so. 151 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:34,199 Speaker 1: They're reachable, but not easily reachable. 152 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 2: Valhalla replaced its bent grass fairways with xeon Zeusa grass 153 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 2: fairways a few years ago. The Zouja plays firm and fast, 154 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 2: so we are going to see some big drives this week, 155 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 2: but we are also going to see a lot of 156 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 2: drives that roll through the fairway and into the rough, 157 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 2: which is reportedly nice and thick thanks to an early 158 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 2: spring in Kentucky. The little patches of rock between the 159 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 2: fairways and the fairway bunkers at Valhalla have been removed, 160 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:08,640 Speaker 2: so you're gonna see a lot of players hitting from 161 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:13,480 Speaker 2: the sand this week, and beware of Floyd's Fork, the 162 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 2: stream that comes into play on a handful of holes. 163 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 2: The greens are bent grass and they are on the 164 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 2: small side. There is some rain in the forecast for 165 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 2: Friday and possibly Saturday, but the wind should be moderate 166 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:28,199 Speaker 2: throughout the tournaments. Bo please give me your thoughts on 167 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 2: Valhalla and what it's going to take to win on 168 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:30,840 Speaker 2: this course. 169 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 3: It's another full bag test. It's a lot like Quail 170 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 3: Hollow in the way that it challenges from tee to green. 171 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 3: On the green, it tests your metal mentally, physically. It's 172 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:45,439 Speaker 3: a long course, it takes a lot off the tee, 173 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 3: and there's more penalty than there was last week for 174 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 3: an errant t shot, So you're gonna see guys out 175 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 3: there bombing it to get a shorter club in their hand, 176 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 3: but don't expect to see many guys holding these really tight, 177 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 3: tiny greens. We're talking. This is the third longest golf 178 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 3: course they're going to have all season, and it's also 179 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 3: got the top five smallest greens, and so with the 180 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,800 Speaker 3: rough growing out like it is, you're going to see 181 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 3: a lot of miss greens. So I think scrambling is huge, 182 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 3: bogie avoidance is huge, and I think the real test 183 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 3: is going to be how how well you can avoid 184 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 3: the big number. So I'm looking at bogie avoidance and 185 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,839 Speaker 3: double bogie avoidance because par on a lot of these 186 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:32,880 Speaker 3: holes is going to be really good. You're going to 187 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 3: gain strokes on the field with pars and the three 188 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 3: or four maybe five birdy opportunities that are on this course, 189 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 3: you better convert those. If you don't, you're you're going 190 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 3: to be shooting over par and probably won't see the weekend. 191 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 3: So I do expect to see some great golf with 192 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 3: reasonable good, reasonably good scoring that this course will reward 193 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:57,640 Speaker 3: good good shot making. It will reward good shots all around, 194 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,560 Speaker 3: So don't expect it to be brutally difficult, but expect 195 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 3: the guys who are struggling with any one piece of 196 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,959 Speaker 3: their game to fizzle out quickly and miss the weekend. 197 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, just to reiterate winning scores at the three PGA 198 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:13,680 Speaker 2: Championships that have been played here minus eleven, minus eighteen, 199 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 2: minus sixteen, so you can score here. Yeah, it is gettable, 200 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 2: but it will also beat you up if you are 201 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 2: not on top of your game. We will get to 202 00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 2: the odds in just a moment. But if you want 203 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 2: a chance to win a free one year premium Betting 204 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 2: Pro subscription, you need to subscribe to the Betting pros 205 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 2: YouTube channel right now. Comment below, on this video and 206 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 2: that's it. We'll be announcing a winner right here on 207 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 2: the channel. So make sure to turn on those notifications 208 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 2: so you can be alerted when new episodes are up 209 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 2: and to claim your prize. All right, let's get to 210 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,960 Speaker 2: the odds. These are courtesy of Draft Kings as of 211 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 2: Monday afternoon. New Dad Scottie Scheffler returns to action this week, 212 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 2: and after winning four of the last five events he 213 00:11:57,520 --> 00:12:01,320 Speaker 2: entered stumbling horribly with a tie for second place and 214 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 2: his other event in those last five, it should come 215 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 2: as no surprise that Scotty is a heavy favorite at 216 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:12,080 Speaker 2: plus four hundred. Rory, who won here in twenty fourteen, 217 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 2: is plus seven hundred Xanderschoffli plus twelve hundred, Brooks Koepka 218 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:21,199 Speaker 2: plus fourteen hundred, John Rahm plus sixteen hundred, Ludwig Oberg 219 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 2: plus eighteen hundred, Bryce and d Chambeau plus twenty two hundred, 220 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:29,680 Speaker 2: Maxhoma plus twenty five hundred, Kalin Morikawall plus twenty eight hundred, 221 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 2: Joaque Neeman plus three thousand, Tommy Fleetwood and Patrick Cantley 222 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 2: plus thirty five hundred, and at plus four thousand, we 223 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 2: have the trio of Wyndham Clark, Victor Hoveland and Cameron Smith. 224 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:42,200 Speaker 1: What do you like from this group? 225 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:45,079 Speaker 3: Both right off the bat, you gotta look at Rory 226 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 3: McElroy again. This is a very comparable course, a little tougher, 227 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 3: but what we saw from Rory McElroy this last week 228 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 3: was so impressive. And I've run a couple of preliminary 229 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 3: models and he's number one in all of those too, 230 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 3: even over Scottish. And that comes as a surprise to 231 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 3: some because of how dominant Scheffler has been in the stats, 232 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 3: the Strokes gained stats. I mean, Scotty Scheffler sweeps the board. 233 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 3: But when I go to longer golf courses over seventy 234 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:16,440 Speaker 3: four hundred yards and I changed the filter to bent 235 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 3: grass greens, he drops down out of the top ten, 236 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 3: which should be a It raised my eyebrows. That should 237 00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 3: surprise everyone. But the one who popped up right to 238 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 3: the top is Rory McElroy, along with some really good 239 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 3: long shots. So we can take a shot at but 240 00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:36,719 Speaker 3: brooks Kepka brooks Kepka in the PGA Championship. He's won 241 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 3: this thing three times, not necessarily a valhalla yet, but 242 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 3: we're talking about a guy who's just as hot as anybody. 243 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 3: Rory's won his last two events, Scotty's won his last 244 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 3: two events, and four of the last five. Brooks kept 245 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 3: had just won in Singapore. This is a battle of 246 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 3: the Titans, and we are this place. VA already sold 247 00:13:57,920 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 3: out all the PGA Championship tickets, They sold out all 248 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:04,960 Speaker 3: their hospitality. This is a main event, must see TV, 249 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 3: and we get to watch it for free. Pad But Scotty, Rory, Brooks, Koepka. 250 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,880 Speaker 3: There's probably a host of other guys that are worthy 251 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 3: of claim, but they're not getting bet on like those 252 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,040 Speaker 3: three guys. Even John Rahm at sixteen to one is 253 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 3: insane to me. That's a really, really soft number for 254 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 3: a guy that good. His recent form kind of scares 255 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,120 Speaker 3: you off of that. And even Xander Schoffley, he matches 256 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 3: ups extremely well with this golf course too, just the 257 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 3: same as last week. So I would start with Rory, 258 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 3: and I think I'll lean towards Koepka as my next one. 259 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 2: In Let me just press you on Rory for a second. 260 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 2: You're okay with that price? 261 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 3: Seven to one, seven and a half to one is 262 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,560 Speaker 3: what I see right now on Monday afternoon. The only 263 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 3: thing that scares me with him is with the way 264 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 3: I'm filtering it. His putting is nearly dead last in 265 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:58,000 Speaker 3: this field on bent grass, and he's one hundred and 266 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 3: thirty third in scrambling. So if he's a little bit 267 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 3: off with his approaches, which he was, he was spot 268 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 3: on last week. But those approaches, he has to stay 269 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 3: sharp there or he's going to fizzle out quickly. Because 270 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 3: if you're if you're hoping Rory is gonna be ald 271 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 3: to miss greens like he did last week and get 272 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 3: away with it. It won't happen at Valhalla that that 273 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:20,720 Speaker 3: gorse that course will eat him alive. But I mean 274 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 3: he did win the last Valhalla PGA Championship. It was 275 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 3: a long time ago, back in a different Rory era, 276 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 3: But I think if he can stay in play, he's 277 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 3: gonna he's gonna have a run at it. 278 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: Yeah. 279 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 2: I do worry a little bit about the weight of 280 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 2: great expectations on Rory, but then again, he hasn't fared 281 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 2: well in recent majors when expectations weren't so high, and 282 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 2: so I don't know. 283 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 3: He's number one on approach in this field and that 284 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,320 Speaker 3: that's better than Scotty in these conditions. 285 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, you mentioned Brooks, the three time PGA Championship winner, 286 00:15:56,520 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 2: five time major winner, defending PGA champion, and as you said, 287 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 2: he won in Singapore a couple of weeks ago. And oh, 288 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 2: by the way, bo the last time the PGA was 289 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 2: held on a course with Zouja fairways, it was bell 290 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 2: Reeve in twenty eighteen and Brooks won at Belle Reeve. 291 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:16,000 Speaker 3: That was a deep dive. 292 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: I'm glad you appreciate that. 293 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 2: So Xander Schoffley posted top twenty finishes in has posted 294 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 2: top twenties in four of his last five PGA Championships, 295 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 2: but hasn't really been in serious competition or serious contention 296 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 2: late on a Sunday best finish a tenth in twenty 297 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 2: twenty plus he just getting smoked by Rory like that. 298 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 2: I do wonder what sort of mental state he's in 299 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 2: coming into this. It seems like this is a course 300 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 2: that should suit John Ram's game. Oh yeah, you would 301 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 2: think big hit or great toucher on the greens. And 302 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 2: I would imagine Ram is going to have a big 303 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:04,679 Speaker 2: chip on his shoulder after the colossal disappointment at the Masters. 304 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 2: So yeah, you said it clash of the Titans. What 305 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:13,639 Speaker 2: about Oberg Oh pulled out of the Wells Fargo Championship 306 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 2: with a knee issue, but not believed to be major. 307 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 2: He's finished top twenty five and eight straight events top 308 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 2: fifteen in four string. 309 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna skip over this week for one reason. 310 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,959 Speaker 3: It's his numbers plus eighteen hundred, which for a guy 311 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,800 Speaker 3: who's never won anything at this level. I'm going to 312 00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 3: take my time on him. And from what I'm hearing 313 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,160 Speaker 3: from people who are watching practice rounds, is he's still 314 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 3: favoring that knee? Can he play through it? Yes? Is 315 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:48,119 Speaker 3: he thinking about it? Also? Yes? So Oberg's knee worries 316 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:50,840 Speaker 3: me because this golf course is not easy to walk. 317 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 3: It's not easy to maintain composure mentally, let alone physically, 318 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:58,959 Speaker 3: and I just don't have I know that he's going 319 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:01,200 Speaker 3: to win a few of these before he hangs him up, 320 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:05,160 Speaker 3: because he's that good. He's a prodigy. But I think 321 00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 3: an injured golfer is always a dangerous thing, but it 322 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 3: can work against you. And I think that I would 323 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:13,600 Speaker 3: bet on an injured Ludwig Olberg if he was twenty 324 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 3: five or thirty to one, But he's not nearly as 325 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,879 Speaker 3: good of a fit for this golf course as it 326 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 3: looks on the surface. As I dive deeper and then 327 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:27,199 Speaker 3: I account for whatever level that injury is, it just 328 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 3: pushes me further and further away from him. At eighteen 329 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:30,960 Speaker 3: to one, it's just too short for him. 330 00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 1: That's fair, i' have to admit. 331 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 2: Even though Wyndham Clark has a scant track record in majors, 332 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:42,240 Speaker 2: I'm pretty intrigued by his blend of power off the 333 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:44,919 Speaker 2: tee and touch around the green. I mean, if this 334 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,040 Speaker 2: dude gets hot with the flat stack, I expect him 335 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:49,480 Speaker 2: to contend into the weekend. 336 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 3: He's he's another fade for me because he gets squirrely 337 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:57,160 Speaker 3: off the tee. He does have length, but when he's off, 338 00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:00,720 Speaker 3: he's a lot like Jordan Speith, except Jordan Speeth is 339 00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 3: the better chipper, Wyndham Clark's the better putter. They both 340 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 3: have their their bugaboos off the tee where accuracy is 341 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:12,639 Speaker 3: king here. Yes, it helps to have distance. He has that, 342 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,160 Speaker 3: but if you miss the fairways here you are absolutely 343 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 3: dead and it's gonna it's gonna require more accuracy than distance, 344 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 3: even though of course it's seventy six hundred yards plus 345 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:27,400 Speaker 3: accuracy wins at Valhalla. That's why Rory won here back 346 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 3: in twenty sixteen. He hit most of the fairways, and 347 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:32,080 Speaker 3: when he missed the fairways, he was in the first cut. 348 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,120 Speaker 3: He wasn't killing himself off the tee. He was able 349 00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,320 Speaker 3: to attack pins that nobody else could attack. Wyndham Clark 350 00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:41,120 Speaker 3: needs to have one of his best, most accurate tea 351 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,639 Speaker 3: games that he's ever had to win here, and I 352 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 3: just don't know if he has that right now. 353 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, even going back to Mark Brooks, if I recall 354 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,920 Speaker 2: Mark Brooks was not a big hitter at all, kind 355 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 2: of a bunter, but he kept it in the fairway, And. 356 00:19:56,280 --> 00:20:00,880 Speaker 3: Yeah said, the crazy off for finding the fairway is 357 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:05,879 Speaker 3: less important than the penalty for missing it. That's what 358 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:06,399 Speaker 3: I'll say. 359 00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:08,440 Speaker 1: Let's look at the mid range options. 360 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 2: We've got Tyrol Hatton, Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, and Cameron 361 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:15,479 Speaker 2: Young at fifty to one. Sam Burns and Jason Day 362 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,919 Speaker 2: are fifty five to one. Sahiita Gala, Minwu Lee and 363 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 2: Ben On are sixty to one. Sung JM. Matt Fitzpatrick 364 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 2: and Sepstraca are sixty five to one. Seewoo Kim Jordan 365 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,920 Speaker 2: Speeth and will Zala Taurus are seventy to one, Dustin 366 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 2: Johnson seventy five to one, and Tony Final, Russell Henley 367 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 2: and Corey Connors are eighty to one, like any of 368 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:38,960 Speaker 2: the mid range players. 369 00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 3: So right off the bat, Justin Thomas, this is a 370 00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:44,880 Speaker 3: bounce back season for him. Looks pretty good last week. 371 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,680 Speaker 3: This is a type of course that requires accuracy. He's 372 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 3: a very accurate player. It requires good approach game. He 373 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 3: has great approach game. It requires good touch around the 374 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:55,280 Speaker 3: greens when you miss the green. He has one of 375 00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:58,080 Speaker 3: the best short games in the world. So Justin Thomas, 376 00:20:58,119 --> 00:20:59,919 Speaker 3: don't sleep on him. Fifty to one as an insult 377 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:03,560 Speaker 3: number for him. He's a top, top flight caliber player. 378 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 3: I'm gonna be betting the heck out of Justin Thomas 379 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:08,480 Speaker 3: at fifty to one. 380 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:13,960 Speaker 1: And he's a native of Louisville, thank you, yeah. 381 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 2: And so as it turns out, JT's last win on 382 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 2: the PGA Tour twenty twenty two PGA Championship at Southern Hills. 383 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 1: So this would be a nice. 384 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:31,280 Speaker 2: Way to close up a yawning two year gap between 385 00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 2: victories for JT. 386 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,439 Speaker 3: You just think of the vibes each time he tees 387 00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 3: off at the first hole all four days, because I 388 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,359 Speaker 3: assume he's going to make the cut now on the 389 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:44,439 Speaker 3: tee from Louisville, Kentucky, Justin Thomas. That's going to give 390 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,119 Speaker 3: him goosebumps, is going to give him motivation. The crowd 391 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:51,440 Speaker 3: will be one million percent behind him all four days. 392 00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:53,919 Speaker 3: I think the vibes are good enough. His form has 393 00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:56,919 Speaker 3: been good enough. He's fourth in my model. All the 394 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:58,880 Speaker 3: things checked the box where he should be at thirty 395 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 3: five to forty to one, and getting him at fifty 396 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,439 Speaker 3: to one means I'm getting it really aggressive on him. 397 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's a fiery cat, so I could imagine getting 398 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 2: a big lift from Matt crowd. I believe Cameron Young 399 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:15,320 Speaker 2: has finished top ten in five of his last nine majors. 400 00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 1: This dude is just always around. 401 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 2: And you know, like it seems like a pretty good 402 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 2: price on him at fifty to one. 403 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:26,320 Speaker 3: So how many PGA to our wins does he have? 404 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 1: Good point? Good point? 405 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 3: Yeah? I think you get on the stat sheet with 406 00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,639 Speaker 3: TD Green game. He's got that in spades. He's the 407 00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 3: American version of Corey Connors, great great ball striker, one 408 00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:43,399 Speaker 3: of the best golf swings pure contact guys. Watching a 409 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,520 Speaker 3: shot tracer is a sight to behold. But you have 410 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 3: to get the ball in the hole. You have to 411 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,159 Speaker 3: get the ball in the hole at par better and 412 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,880 Speaker 3: he's streaky that way. He gets really hot on approach 413 00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,680 Speaker 3: and he can score with anybody. But when the chips 414 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 3: are down Saturday Sunday roll around and everybody's making pars 415 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 3: where it's required, Cam Young has folded like a launch 416 00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:08,159 Speaker 3: hair every single time. So betting him outright I can't. 417 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,919 Speaker 2: Do it good point might be worth saving for a 418 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,159 Speaker 2: top ten or a top twenty bats I would. I 419 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,200 Speaker 2: would not hate the fifty to one odds on Hideki 420 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:21,640 Speaker 2: Matsuyama with his Teeta Green game, but he withdrew from 421 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:25,119 Speaker 2: the Wells Fargo Championship with a back injury very shortly 422 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 2: before the tournament began, which I know after lock. Yes, 423 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:33,480 Speaker 2: that irritated a lot of people who complained about it 424 00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 2: on Twitter. I know that much. 425 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:36,200 Speaker 1: So with the back thing, I. 426 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:39,880 Speaker 3: Just Hideki doesn't withdraw very often, but every time he does, 427 00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 3: it's after lock. He's a give it a go type 428 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:47,080 Speaker 3: of guy. I appreciate the perseverance, but come on, man, 429 00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,679 Speaker 3: at least at least let's give it a go on 430 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:53,880 Speaker 3: Wednesday and figure out how we're feeling before Thursday starts. 431 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,640 Speaker 3: We skipped over one of my guys that I'm intrigued 432 00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,640 Speaker 3: by Cameron Smith. Obviously, his short game, his his approach 433 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 3: game puts him up there with me. Forty to one's 434 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 3: a little short for me. That's why I'm kind of hesitant. 435 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:07,600 Speaker 3: But if we start to see that number tumble towards 436 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,440 Speaker 3: fifty where JT is, I'm going to be on Cameron 437 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:14,199 Speaker 3: Smith because putting wins championships and Cameron Smith is the 438 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 3: best putter in the world. 439 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you, really like Cameron Smith. 440 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,400 Speaker 2: I just that does seem like it's a little bit 441 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 2: too short in a field this good. Let's talk long shots, 442 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 2: bo Is there anyone you like with odds of ninety 443 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 2: to one or longer? 444 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:34,120 Speaker 3: Well, I'm glad you asked. There's actually quite a few. 445 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:37,200 Speaker 3: I actually do, like justin Rosa three hundred to one. 446 00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:41,399 Speaker 3: That seems crazy to me. And a lot of people 447 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,720 Speaker 3: are talking about Keegan Bradley at one hundred and eighty. 448 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,840 Speaker 3: I'm I think Keegan Bradley is just in terrible form 449 00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 3: right now. 450 00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 2: He is well top twenty five and two of his 451 00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 2: last three, so not like but most of the season 452 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 2: has been kind of calamitous. I agree with you. But 453 00:24:57,359 --> 00:24:59,040 Speaker 2: big hitter is good with the irons. 454 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 3: Actually see it good long iron. 455 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 2: Yeah so, and at one hundred and eighty to one, 456 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:06,199 Speaker 2: I get it, I get it. 457 00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,679 Speaker 1: I'm a little bit I might throw a little something 458 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:09,199 Speaker 1: down and key. 459 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:11,399 Speaker 3: I think tiger Wood at three hundred to one is 460 00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 3: always worth a yolo bet. I mean, who doesn't love 461 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,639 Speaker 3: Tiger and Tiger Woods three hundred to one. That's a 462 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 3: fun one for me because he likes Valhalla two. That's right, 463 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 3: and then you can keep going down. Shoot, I got 464 00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 3: some wild ones down here. Just a couple bucks, maybe 465 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 3: even one dollar would do it for me. But JT 466 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:36,360 Speaker 3: posting rates out well here two hundred and fifty to one, 467 00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:41,560 Speaker 3: Doug gimm five hundred to one, and Bobby Mack Robert 468 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:47,159 Speaker 3: McIntyre four hundred to one. Interesting, So just just a 469 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:49,800 Speaker 3: good fit for the course, good long iron players that 470 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:51,560 Speaker 3: don't beat themselves. 471 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's no one I'm in love with at over 472 00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:58,640 Speaker 2: two hundred to one, Like you ball though, I might 473 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 2: throw a bock on our real He saw Suny at 474 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:05,479 Speaker 2: four hundred to one. Actually, Batilla is interesting in one 475 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:09,680 Speaker 2: hundred and ten to one, a good short game, No, 476 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 2: why not? 477 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:12,400 Speaker 3: How did he do last week? 478 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:12,960 Speaker 1: Were you. 479 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 3: He did? He did fine, he was fine, but he 480 00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:20,400 Speaker 3: wasn't there. He was thankful there was no cut. That's 481 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 3: let's just say that another guy who at the with 482 00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:25,880 Speaker 3: short iron in hand is the best in the world. 483 00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 3: He's the best wedge player on approach that there is. However, 484 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:32,200 Speaker 3: long aron approach kills him. He's not a very accurate 485 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 3: driver of the golf ball, and I think that pays 486 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,680 Speaker 3: way too much. His short game's good, his wedge game's great, 487 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:41,320 Speaker 3: His putting not good. His accuracy of the tea not good, 488 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,440 Speaker 3: and that was exposed last week and with even more 489 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:47,520 Speaker 3: penalty for those arrant t shots this week. I can't 490 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 3: do it. 491 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:53,800 Speaker 2: What about Taylor Penrith, No chance, I know, just because 492 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 2: he's so erron with the driver. 493 00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, and one hundred and thirty to one is completely 494 00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 3: because he just won two weeks ago. He'd be a 495 00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 3: forty one if he didn't do that much. One hundred 496 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,679 Speaker 3: and eighty to one, Patrick Reid, just Matt is so 497 00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 3: much better of a play. 498 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, for good for a good player, that is long 499 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:17,160 Speaker 2: price on Patrick Reid, not just the win. I mean 500 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 2: Pendrith has finished top eleven in four straight granted one 501 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:21,960 Speaker 2: of them was the Zeri Classic. 502 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:23,160 Speaker 1: The team of that thought. 503 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,120 Speaker 3: He's great on easy golf courses. 504 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, and this is not Matt. I get it all right, BO. 505 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 2: So as of now, what are you in your betting card? 506 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,919 Speaker 3: We're going Rory again plus seven fifty. I'm gonna do 507 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 3: a top five kicker, just like it did last week 508 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:42,040 Speaker 3: where we won really big Brooks Koepka plus fourteen hundred 509 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 3: or the top five and a top ten kicker. I'm 510 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 3: playing him aggressively too. Who did I talk about with 511 00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 3: the aggression I already forgot, darn it. Cameron Smith. Yeah, JT. 512 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:56,719 Speaker 3: That's the one Cameron Smith. I'm gonna monitor at forty, 513 00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 3: but I'll probably hit him at fifty JT at fifty 514 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:03,440 Speaker 3: to one with a big, big, aggressive top ten bet, 515 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 3: and then I'll take sprinkles on all of those long 516 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:14,960 Speaker 3: shots I mentioned, including Patrick Reid Tiger Woods, and I 517 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:19,159 Speaker 3: scream went bat justin Rose all right. 518 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:25,359 Speaker 2: So I'm not going for Scotty. I think we didn't 519 00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,360 Speaker 2: really talk about whether we're bat. We're live betting Scotty, right, 520 00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 2: that's the way to play it now. 521 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's short so good. 522 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 3: He's that good where if he did, he does start slowly, 523 00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,160 Speaker 3: like a couple of weeks ago where we bet him 524 00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:40,480 Speaker 3: live after he made a double bogie on the fourth 525 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 3: hole of Thursday's round and he slipped a plus eleven hundred. 526 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:47,240 Speaker 3: That was as as quickly as I've run to hit 527 00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:51,360 Speaker 3: a button in my life. But if that happens here, 528 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 3: it's less likely that he can pull that off, but 529 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:55,959 Speaker 3: you still want to do it. If if it slips 530 00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 3: past ten to one, you have bet Scotty because he 531 00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 3: can come back from eight ten strokes and eighteen holes. 532 00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:06,040 Speaker 3: It's he's that good. He's that streaky, and he gives 533 00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:09,320 Speaker 3: himself so many scoring opportunities. That's the same thing with 534 00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 3: Rory last week is it's not that he converts all 535 00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,640 Speaker 3: of his opportunities, but he's always there, always putting for 536 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:20,760 Speaker 3: Bertie and some of them go in. And that's that's 537 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 3: the name of the game, is easy par tap ins 538 00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 3: and and just move on and if Bertie goes in, 539 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:28,440 Speaker 3: then we're then we're drinking good. 540 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, we had not really talked about whether we were 541 00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:33,440 Speaker 2: going to bet on Scotty, but I think at this 542 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 2: point that's sort of our approach where we are live 543 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:36,880 Speaker 2: betting Scotty. 544 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 1: It's just it's so tough when you're. 545 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,800 Speaker 2: Only getting him at you know, somewhere from plus three 546 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 2: point fifty to plus five hundred in these events. 547 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 1: You know, so. 548 00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 3: Chances are if he's if he's gonna win, then I 549 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:51,960 Speaker 3: want to get him at better odds anyway, because it's 550 00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 3: not it's not really worth the investment. You're putting a 551 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 3: lot of money down to for one guy out of 552 00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:58,640 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty five to win. And I know 553 00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:00,880 Speaker 3: it's that one guy is the best player in the world, 554 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,000 Speaker 3: but it is major and we have all these guys 555 00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:04,960 Speaker 3: at our disposal. 556 00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,560 Speaker 2: So bo, I'm I'm just not feeling it with Rory, 557 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 2: and like, I know this everything sets up so well 558 00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:16,800 Speaker 2: for him. I'm just not digging him at the short price. 559 00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 2: I am digging Brooks. I'm all over him. I've got 560 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 2: him at plus fourteen hundred. I've got John Rahm at 561 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,680 Speaker 2: plus sixteen hundred. I think Ram is going to be 562 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 2: very focused this week. I've got a top five on 563 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,800 Speaker 2: Colin Moore Kawa at plus six hundred. 564 00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 1: You know, t. 565 00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 4: De Green. 566 00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,160 Speaker 1: I think his game is going to play at Valhalla. 567 00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 2: Wyndham Clark, I've got a forty to one will Zalatoris. 568 00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 2: We haven't really talked about him. 569 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 1: Bo. 570 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 2: The guy's played in two PGA Tour event or PGA 571 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 2: Championships and has finished top ten in both, including his 572 00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:53,400 Speaker 2: playoff loss to Justin Thomas in twenty twenty two at 573 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:57,400 Speaker 2: Southern Hills. So yeah, and seventy to one on Zaladauris 574 00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:00,640 Speaker 2: just seems like a great price. You've talked me Batia. 575 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:03,640 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna bet him, but I am going to 576 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:08,080 Speaker 2: throw a little something down on Keegan Bradley and I'm 577 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:09,160 Speaker 2: gonna throw a bock on Rio. 578 00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:14,520 Speaker 3: So let's go. As far as Alataurus is concerned, the 579 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:18,719 Speaker 3: back injury is still there for me too. He's a 580 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:20,920 Speaker 3: lot like Hideki, except I think that if he wasn't 581 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,480 Speaker 3: ready to go, he would withdraw on Tuesday or Wednesday 582 00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 3: for us. But yeah, the Xalaturs thing, from what I'm hearing, 583 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:31,400 Speaker 3: is that he's going to start slipping farther down the board. 584 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 3: So if you feel good or that he's going to 585 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,960 Speaker 3: finish four rounds, then it's a great bet because he's gonna, 586 00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:37,920 Speaker 3: You're gonna the number is gonna get better and better. 587 00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 3: But a lot of people are concerned about the. 588 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 2: Back before we get to our one and done picks. 589 00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:45,480 Speaker 2: If you are playing in a one and done golf pool, 590 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:47,719 Speaker 2: or if you're playing in any sort of tears based 591 00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 2: majors pool this year, our friends at pool Genius have 592 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 2: a new product that gives you an edge and hey, 593 00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 2: we have a major this week. 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Again, that's poolgenius dot com 605 00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 2: slash Fantasy Pros. 606 00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 1: Now for our one and done picks. 607 00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:43,479 Speaker 2: Last week at the Wells Fargo, bow I struck a 608 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,680 Speaker 2: big blow by taking mister Rory McElroy his win in 609 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:48,200 Speaker 2: that elevated events. 610 00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,320 Speaker 1: With good you're a wealthy point six million. 611 00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,160 Speaker 3: That's a two fold you very much, pol dear welcome. 612 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:58,520 Speaker 2: Oh yes, so the three point six million lifted me 613 00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:01,120 Speaker 2: to the lead and for the first time all year, 614 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 2: and bow like, I was kicking myself so hard for 615 00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:07,560 Speaker 2: not taking Scotti Scheffler at the Players Championship. These elevated events, 616 00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:10,720 Speaker 2: like if you are in a big one and done pool, 617 00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:13,720 Speaker 2: you you've got to hit the elevated events. You just 618 00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:15,760 Speaker 2: have to if you're gonna win your one and dune pool, 619 00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 2: if you're going against more than a handful of other players. 620 00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:22,360 Speaker 2: So let's see, Bo, you and Justin Thomas who finished 621 00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:25,480 Speaker 2: tied for twenty first. That was good for two hundred 622 00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,360 Speaker 2: and twenty one thousand, six hundred and sixty seven dollars. 623 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,720 Speaker 2: So the new tally has made about six point six 624 00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 2: million and you at about five point one million. But Bo, 625 00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:37,680 Speaker 2: we've got ourselves a major this week, so that means 626 00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 2: a big old purse. 627 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,160 Speaker 3: Don't get used to chance don't get used to the 628 00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:41,800 Speaker 3: top here. 629 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:46,280 Speaker 1: Well, this is your chance to strike back. 630 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:49,080 Speaker 2: But I am up first this week, and I'm gonna 631 00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:50,440 Speaker 2: try to land another Haymaker. 632 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Brooks Kopka. 633 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:52,920 Speaker 3: Good pick. 634 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:54,160 Speaker 1: Who's it going to be for you both? 635 00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 3: So last week I should have taken Rory McElroy. I 636 00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,920 Speaker 3: talked you into taking Rory mcleroe and you probably thought 637 00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:02,800 Speaker 3: I was going to take Rory McElroy and you had 638 00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:07,120 Speaker 3: Xander Schoffley in your holster. I believe if I was 639 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 3: to take Rory, and for for some no reason, I 640 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,640 Speaker 3: can't remember why I didn't take Rory last week, but 641 00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:17,799 Speaker 3: I didn't, and Galaxy brained myself into giving up this lead. 642 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 3: This week, I'm going to take the ultimate ace out 643 00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 3: of the hole and play Scotti Scheffler. 644 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:26,960 Speaker 2: Nice there, it is the big Wow. This is uh 645 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:29,920 Speaker 2: Clash of the Titans. That's Scotty. 646 00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:32,160 Speaker 3: That should be the name on this thumbnail. And when 647 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:35,000 Speaker 3: we publish it is Clash of the Titans. The big 648 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 3: boys are going to eat. 649 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 2: Only fitting at Valhalla. I mean that's a place where 650 00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 2: the gods go to relax. 651 00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:47,000 Speaker 3: That's the Viking heaven. 652 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 2: And that's going to do it for this week's show. 653 00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:53,680 Speaker 2: I want to thank our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy. Sign up 654 00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:56,200 Speaker 2: for Underdog with the promo cod BP Golf to claim 655 00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 2: your special pick and to get a first time to 656 00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:00,759 Speaker 2: posit off or up to two hundred fifty dollars in 657 00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,480 Speaker 2: bonus cash, and please come join Bow and I again 658 00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:06,759 Speaker 2: next week when we will be previewing the Charles Schwab 659 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:10,719 Speaker 2: Challenge at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. 660 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:13,920 Speaker 1: Until then, so longer, thanks. 661 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,359 Speaker 4: For listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love 662 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:18,680 Speaker 4: the show, the best freeway to support us is by 663 00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:22,560 Speaker 4: leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 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