WEBVTT - Trump Threatens 25% Tariffs on Apple

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where innovation, money and power collide

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Caroline Hyde and Ed.

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<v Speaker 2>Ludlow live from New York.

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<v Speaker 3>This is Blomberg Technology, and we get straight to our

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<v Speaker 3>top story. President Trump taking aim and Apple yet again,

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<v Speaker 3>threatening a twenty five percent tariff on the iPhone maker

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<v Speaker 3>if they don't produce the devices in the United States

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<v Speaker 3>for US consumers. Shares as you see, down yet another

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<v Speaker 3>two point seven percent. We're dropping below that three trillion

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<v Speaker 3>dollar market capitalization, and we're bringing the analysis Blombergs. Mike

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<v Speaker 3>Shepherd joins us we have seen Tim Cook in the

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<v Speaker 3>line of fire from Donald Trump for at least the week.

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<v Speaker 4>Now, how does he respond, Mike, This is.

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<v Speaker 5>A tough one for him, Caro, because the President's dander

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<v Speaker 5>really is up here. Last week he singled him out

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<v Speaker 5>during an appearance with reporters while he was traveling to

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<v Speaker 5>the Middle East, and he noted Cook's absence during a

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<v Speaker 5>forum with other CEOs in Riab where he called out

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<v Speaker 5>Tim Cook. Tim Cook, do I see? And he said,

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<v Speaker 5>I don't think Tim is here, And then later he

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<v Speaker 5>pointed to Apple's intention to move some of its China

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<v Speaker 5>based iPhone production for the US to India to avert

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<v Speaker 5>what would be higher costs related to tariffs on goods

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<v Speaker 5>coming from China. Trump wants to see something different, though.

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<v Speaker 5>He wants that production not to go to India but

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<v Speaker 5>to the US. He would like to see domestic production

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<v Speaker 5>move here. And whatever Tim Cook has been promising the President,

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<v Speaker 5>with whom in the past he's had a good relationship,

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<v Speaker 5>clearly wasn't enough. And remember Tim Cook did meet with

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<v Speaker 5>Trump at mar A Lago after the election, and he

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<v Speaker 5>attended the inauguration too. He had a visible spot along

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<v Speaker 5>with other tech leaders in the capital rot Tuanda on

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<v Speaker 5>that day, January twentieth.

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<v Speaker 4>And we're not seeing for Tim.

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<v Speaker 5>Cook the results that he might have hoped for in

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<v Speaker 5>this relationship with the President.

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<v Speaker 3>The signals have been their Mike, as you mentioned, the

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<v Speaker 3>little problem with Tim Cook that Trump spoke of last

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<v Speaker 3>week being that of shifting manufacturing from China to India,

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<v Speaker 3>and then the ft with a report showing that that

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<v Speaker 3>India manufacturing focus had been being doubled down on in

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<v Speaker 3>the last week. More broadly, to speak to the relationship

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<v Speaker 3>therefore that we see of Tim Cook with the US

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<v Speaker 3>and investing him because already he had promised five hundred

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<v Speaker 3>billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 5>He had promised five hundred billion dollars and it was

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<v Speaker 5>not insignificant, and he had talked about moving some iPhone

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<v Speaker 5>related chip production here and other efforts here, including training

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<v Speaker 5>and other works, but it wasn't enough. Trump is really

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<v Speaker 5>about the symbolism. He wants the iconic products, including the iPhone,

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<v Speaker 5>but others as well made here in the US. But

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<v Speaker 5>one of the problems is, of course, the workforce. We

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<v Speaker 5>don't have the workforce, and then the cost. Do we

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<v Speaker 5>have the workforce that is prepared to do the kind

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<v Speaker 5>of high tech, high skill assembly of these phones that

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<v Speaker 5>you see on mass in China and in India and

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<v Speaker 5>in Vietnam. We really don't. And Tim Cook has made

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<v Speaker 5>this point over and over again, as have other chief

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<v Speaker 5>executives when they talk about the challenge of bringing production

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<v Speaker 5>here to the US. So is a difficult moment for

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<v Speaker 5>Tim Cook and trying to figure out this relationship with

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<v Speaker 5>the US.

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<v Speaker 6>The cost.

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<v Speaker 5>There are estimates all over the place about how much

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<v Speaker 5>more an iPhone would cost if it were produced here,

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<v Speaker 5>from beginning to end. One analyst out this morning saying

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<v Speaker 5>as high as thirty five hundred dollars per unit. That

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<v Speaker 5>may be high, but it gives you an idea of

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<v Speaker 5>just how much more of a cost there may be

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<v Speaker 5>for moving production here, which Caro, it's important to note,

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<v Speaker 5>would take years to reroute all those supply lines, find

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<v Speaker 5>that land, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, said Mike Sheppard.

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<v Speaker 3>We appreciate it, of course, that being Dan ives a

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<v Speaker 3>Webburshoe called about a thirty five hundred price tag, and

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<v Speaker 3>indeed he called it a fairy tale. And it's calling

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<v Speaker 3>this an absurd directive coming from the president. Let's get

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<v Speaker 3>more analysis with Gil Luria Da Davison managing director joining us.

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<v Speaker 3>Now you have a buy rating on Apple, a two

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and fifty dollars price target. Does any of that

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<v Speaker 3>change if they indeed have to bring production hitting the

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<v Speaker 3>United States?

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<v Speaker 6>It does not. This is really just a matter of timeframes. Yes,

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<v Speaker 6>if we needed to make an iPhone right now in

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<v Speaker 6>the US, it would be very expensive. But can we

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<v Speaker 6>do this in five years? If Apple was to commit

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<v Speaker 6>to bringing production on iPhones to the US in five

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<v Speaker 6>years and invested its considerable resources into doing that, it

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<v Speaker 6>wouldn't be that much more expensive. And that's what the

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<v Speaker 6>President is looking for. And I'm surprised that Apple is

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<v Speaker 6>at a point where they're negotiat eating this badly that

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<v Speaker 6>the President has to go out publicly and threaten them.

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<v Speaker 6>You've seen other technology CEOs do a much better job

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<v Speaker 6>of giving the President what he wants and moving forward

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<v Speaker 6>and making those commitments. And I'm surprised that Apple is

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<v Speaker 6>continuing to be humbled. Let's not forget this has been

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<v Speaker 6>a humbling week for Apple. Yes, at Google Io, we've

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<v Speaker 6>seen that that Google is way ahead on AI on Android.

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<v Speaker 6>Then there was the embarrassing announcement from Open Ai and

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<v Speaker 6>Johnny Ive. Apple needs to do a better job of

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<v Speaker 6>negotiating because if it does commit to a long term path,

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<v Speaker 6>it could make iPhones in the US at a competitive price.

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<v Speaker 6>It doesn't have to do it today.

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<v Speaker 3>How Gil, at the moment, we're hearing that we don't

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<v Speaker 3>have the skill set in the United States. We don't

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<v Speaker 3>have the ecosystem of supply chain here. It has taken

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<v Speaker 3>decades to build it up in China, It's taken years

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<v Speaker 3>to build up in India. What do they have to

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<v Speaker 3>go about sorting here in the United States?

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<v Speaker 4>Three to five year timeframe.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that's exactly right. It is a skills issue. But

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<v Speaker 6>if you give them five years, we can hire internationally,

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<v Speaker 6>we can develop the skill Here. Apple is sitting on

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<v Speaker 6>fifty billion dollars of cash and it produces one hundred

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<v Speaker 6>billion dollars of cash every year. That is, that is

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<v Speaker 6>enough to accomplish great things. And if the great thing

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<v Speaker 6>Apple needs to accomplish right now is to develop that

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<v Speaker 6>skill set domestically, then it should be focusing its own

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<v Speaker 6>resources on that.

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<v Speaker 4>Again, Gil jumping in there.

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<v Speaker 3>The opportunity cost of diverting that cash away from R

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<v Speaker 3>and D. Boy, they have to catch up in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of Generator AI and integrating it there, but instead having

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<v Speaker 3>to focus on production here in the United States? Is

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<v Speaker 3>that not an opportunity cost? That does indeed drag down

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<v Speaker 3>the price target it needs for the stock.

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<v Speaker 6>It is a headwind and that's the head whend they're

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<v Speaker 6>dealing with this year. That's why the stock is down

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<v Speaker 6>so much, is that they've been caught in this cross

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<v Speaker 6>us fire and they didn't need to again. All they

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<v Speaker 6>needed to do is make some early commitments, start down

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<v Speaker 6>a path, and then this path either it leads them

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<v Speaker 6>to a successful outcome or they have a fallback of saying, okay,

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<v Speaker 6>let's just absorb the twenty five percent tariff from India.

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<v Speaker 6>That's why when people say it'll cost thirty five hundred

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<v Speaker 6>dollars to make an iPhone in the US, that's not

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<v Speaker 6>a real thing. The only possibility year is that they're

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<v Speaker 6>going to say, okay, even in a five year time frame,

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<v Speaker 6>it's going to cost us so much to make an

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<v Speaker 6>iPhone that will absorb the twenty five percent tariff from

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<v Speaker 6>India and absorb it through higher prices, slightly lower margin,

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<v Speaker 6>and push it down to vendors. So this is really

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<v Speaker 6>just a matter of them doing a better job negotiating

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<v Speaker 6>moving forward. But yes, absolutely this is a drag on

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<v Speaker 6>the stock. It has been this year, and until they

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<v Speaker 6>find a path forward and get out of the headlines,

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<v Speaker 6>it'll continue away on the stock.

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<v Speaker 3>So, Gil, if you're saying it's not a real thing,

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<v Speaker 3>estimate what an iPhone made in America would cost. Are

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<v Speaker 3>you anticipating that they do stomach a twenty five percent

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<v Speaker 3>tariff coming on just continue into import or are you

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<v Speaker 3>anticipating that they do go about a three to five

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<v Speaker 3>year investment plan in the US When look the term

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<v Speaker 3>of President Trump is in five years.

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<v Speaker 6>I think they need to proceed on both pasts again

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<v Speaker 6>this year. They can't make iPhones in the US now

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<v Speaker 6>this year, not in the next three years, so they

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<v Speaker 6>are going to have to try to negotiate that tariff

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<v Speaker 6>down or absorb it in the short term, which is

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<v Speaker 6>what they're doing, and then proceed on both paths, because

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<v Speaker 6>to your point, this administration isn't going to be in

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<v Speaker 6>power forever and they're going to have to find out

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<v Speaker 6>over time how what it is going to cost. I

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<v Speaker 6>think that we're also minimiz I think that I've heard

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<v Speaker 6>some comments minimizing the changes to manufacturing in the US.

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<v Speaker 6>Manufacturing is going to change dramatically over the next few

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<v Speaker 6>years in the US for a variety of reasons, because

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<v Speaker 6>labor has become more expensive in China and Taiwan, because

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<v Speaker 6>robotics are getting that much better. So in a five

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<v Speaker 6>year timeframe they may be able to accomplish these goals.

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<v Speaker 6>They have to pursue that now they don't have a choice.

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<v Speaker 6>But at the same time they need to use that

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<v Speaker 6>as leverage to go back to the administrator and say, hey,

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<v Speaker 6>give us five years to do this. Let's take off

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<v Speaker 6>that twenty five percent on India because we are making

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<v Speaker 6>a firm commitment to the five year timeframe and that'll

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<v Speaker 6>buy them the time to find a good resolution that

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<v Speaker 6>is possible, and mister Cook is a skillful enough negotiator

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<v Speaker 6>that he needs to be able to accomplish that.

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<v Speaker 3>But how frustrating do you think it is for investors,

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<v Speaker 3>for yourself or indeed Tim Cook, to just think about

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<v Speaker 3>the inefficiencies that have to be built into the business

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<v Speaker 3>model now. Even if they do bring over a component

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<v Speaker 3>building here in the US, it's not going to be

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<v Speaker 3>an easy task and they're likely to have to still

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<v Speaker 3>assemble in China and India for the time being.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, it's a reality. I think sometimes other countries and

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<v Speaker 6>some CEOs are a little bit in denial over the

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<v Speaker 6>fact that President Trump got seventy seven million votes and

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<v Speaker 6>believes he has a mandate to make these very profound

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<v Speaker 6>changes to the global order, including changing the way the

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<v Speaker 6>global supply chain works. This is not going to change

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<v Speaker 6>in the next three years. This is something that all

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<v Speaker 6>these companies and by the way, these countries have to

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<v Speaker 6>acknowledge and move forward with, and we as analysts and

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<v Speaker 6>investors have to adapt to it. We can't go back

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<v Speaker 6>in time and change the outcome of the US elections.

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<v Speaker 6>This is the administration, this is its policy, and we

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<v Speaker 6>have to adapt as investors, which means that Apple is

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<v Speaker 6>going to have a choppy year for sure, and other

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<v Speaker 6>companies that try to negotiate badly are going to have

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<v Speaker 6>choppy years. That's why we favor companies that have handled

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<v Speaker 6>this better. Microsoft, Amazon I've handled this a lot better.

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<v Speaker 6>Their business is more resilient to this, and they should

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<v Speaker 6>be better able to get through the rest of this

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<v Speaker 6>year and the rest of this administration.

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<v Speaker 3>All lies on the political navigation of Tim Coke.

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<v Speaker 4>Next, Gil Luria.

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<v Speaker 3>Great to have you Da Davidson coming up, renowned computer

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<v Speaker 3>scientist in Ai developed and row and he's going to

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<v Speaker 3>be joining us to talk about his new VC fund.

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<v Speaker 3>But also this talent, the skill issue that we're just

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<v Speaker 3>talking about with Gil Luria, can that be brought here

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<v Speaker 3>to the United States.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's just take a quick.

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<v Speaker 3>Check on the market's ahead of that though, because the

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<v Speaker 3>Nazak is under pressure as we dial up tariff anxiety.

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<v Speaker 4>Nazak off by more than percent.

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<v Speaker 3>We see this semiconductor index also off by two percent,

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<v Speaker 3>and video gets sold for Apple in the line of fire.

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<v Speaker 3>This is bluebog technology. The big news today it is

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<v Speaker 3>Apple shares trading low as investors react to President Trump's

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<v Speaker 3>threat of a twenty five percent tariff on the company

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<v Speaker 3>if it doesn't bring more iPhone production to the United States.

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<v Speaker 3>But doing that requires skills many American workers currently do

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<v Speaker 3>not have. We're pleased to welcome to the show Andrew

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<v Speaker 3>and his world renowned computer scientist, thought leader and also

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<v Speaker 3>the co founder of online education company called Serah, and

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<v Speaker 3>is also announcing his second fund targeting AI startups. Andrew,

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<v Speaker 3>it is wonderful to have your voice on the show.

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<v Speaker 3>And before we get into really the AI talent that

0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:26.240
<v Speaker 3>you've been building, I just want to get your take

0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:28.559
<v Speaker 3>on the labor skills that are currently needed in the

0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:31.520
<v Speaker 3>US for this manufacturing pivot. If we were to bring

0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:35.160
<v Speaker 3>iPhone manufacturing to the United States, could we do it

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:36.880
<v Speaker 3>in a near ative time frame?

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:40.480
<v Speaker 7>It will take years to develop the talent based needed

0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:42.480
<v Speaker 7>to bring a lot of advanced manufacturing back to the

0:12:42.559 --> 0:12:45.440
<v Speaker 7>United States. I think there's a certain largely to making

0:12:45.480 --> 0:12:48.240
<v Speaker 7>sure that advanced manufacturing is under the control of the

0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:51.240
<v Speaker 7>US and our allies, and that's important, not just US

0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:54.920
<v Speaker 7>but also I trusted Ollies. Several years ago, I actually

0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:58.760
<v Speaker 7>visited Wisconsin where the first Trump administration and fox Con

0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:01.880
<v Speaker 7>might be put fed into Wiscon Valley, which is an

0:13:01.920 --> 0:13:06.560
<v Speaker 7>attempt to move semiconductor, sorry, move display manufacturing panel display

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:10.040
<v Speaker 7>manufacturing to the United States in Wisconsin, and frankly it

0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:13.200
<v Speaker 7>was a great effort, but it really struggled to gain

0:13:13.320 --> 0:13:16.320
<v Speaker 7>traction because it's very difficult to find the talent in

0:13:16.360 --> 0:13:20.079
<v Speaker 7>Wisconsin or the US more broadly, with the advanced manufacturing skills,

0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:24.480
<v Speaker 7>manufacturing today is often a high skill requiring knowing about robotics,

0:13:24.520 --> 0:13:27.480
<v Speaker 7>knowing about software. It's not just people assembling little things

0:13:27.480 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 7>with their hands anymore. And we've got a lot of

0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:31.560
<v Speaker 7>work to do to grow that talent in the US.

0:13:31.720 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 3>Where could we bring in from and where have you

0:13:34.160 --> 0:13:37.000
<v Speaker 3>seen that skill set among allies that can be broad

0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:39.080
<v Speaker 3>in because in many ways it's feeling as though we're

0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 3>not bringing in.

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:41.439
<v Speaker 4>Talent from abroad at this moment either.

0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:46.680
<v Speaker 7>I think that in the case of manufacturing talent, curly

0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:49.439
<v Speaker 7>China has a lot of it. I think Taiwan interestingly

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:52.240
<v Speaker 7>also has a lot of manufacturing talent. So I feel

0:13:52.240 --> 0:13:55.040
<v Speaker 7>like and obviously also Japan. I think some parts of

0:13:55.120 --> 0:13:57.480
<v Speaker 7>career as well, especial when it comes to semiconductors. But

0:13:57.559 --> 0:14:01.600
<v Speaker 7>so many of our allies do have skilled manufacturing talent.

0:14:01.720 --> 0:14:04.080
<v Speaker 7>But how to work with them to import some of

0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:06.520
<v Speaker 7>those skills to the US is I think something still

0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.000
<v Speaker 7>to be figured out. And then on the other sid

0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 7>of the spectrum they alluded to, I think one of

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:13.760
<v Speaker 7>the best things that US could do to ensure American

0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:17.160
<v Speaker 7>competitiveness in AI and other advanced technology fields is to

0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 7>frankly support our universities and support high skill immigration.

0:14:22.480 --> 0:14:26.280
<v Speaker 3>How have you been considering the cuts to science funding

0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:29.520
<v Speaker 3>in particular? Is that impacting your sector? The sector you

0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:32.640
<v Speaker 3>want to invest more in with your second fund.

0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:35.960
<v Speaker 7>So AFUNS Adventure Studio. We work with many entrepreneurs to

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:39.440
<v Speaker 7>build companies and I feel like over the last many decades,

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 7>America led the world in science and technology, and this

0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:45.720
<v Speaker 7>is an eraror when we have strong institutions like the

0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:49.320
<v Speaker 7>National Science Foundation and the NAH the funded open research.

0:14:49.800 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 7>One thing that I think not many people fully understand

0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:55.600
<v Speaker 7>is when say, the National Science Foundation funds and researcher

0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:58.040
<v Speaker 7>the writer research paper there's published a free anyone in

0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:01.560
<v Speaker 7>the Internet can can read it. Yes, it holds their adversaries. Yes,

0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:03.720
<v Speaker 7>it helps the whole world. But the country it helps

0:15:03.760 --> 0:15:07.200
<v Speaker 7>the most is America because when an American researcher on American

0:15:07.240 --> 0:15:11.160
<v Speaker 7>assault publishes a paper, that diffusion of knowledge is fastest

0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:14.640
<v Speaker 7>within America. And yes, other countries, including our adversaries, can

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:17.680
<v Speaker 7>benefit from it too, but that openness of research helps

0:15:17.680 --> 0:15:19.960
<v Speaker 7>the country that does it the most. And so I

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 7>think America's ability to attract amazing international I always once

0:15:24.120 --> 0:15:26.760
<v Speaker 7>an international student myself on an F one visa, and

0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:28.520
<v Speaker 7>I came to the US study and it ended up

0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:31.800
<v Speaker 7>saying and hopefully making some positive contributions to this country.

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 7>I think welcoming school immigration would be a they would

0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 7>be an important piece of insurance American competitiveness.

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:41.920
<v Speaker 3>Well, let's talk about your positive contribution when it comes

0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:44.480
<v Speaker 3>to raising one hundred and ninety million dollars second fund

0:15:44.480 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 3>to invest in ai talent and startups and sort of

0:15:48.200 --> 0:15:50.480
<v Speaker 3>co found them in many ways. What sector is you

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 3>looking at and are they US built companies alone?

0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:57.440
<v Speaker 7>We are building the majority of countries we built are

0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.960
<v Speaker 7>in the US, but we are also working with businesses

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:05.200
<v Speaker 7>in Japan and Taiwan. Career and so on, Afan's Adventure studio.

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 7>So what I decided was unlikely traditional VC. You know,

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 7>I don't want to be competing for or chasing deal flow,

0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:15.840
<v Speaker 7>so we exclusively work of entrepreneurs to co found companies.

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 7>What that means is my team is alongside the entrepreneurial

0:16:18.840 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 7>We're writing code and customers debating what features to build.

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 7>And because my team is fortunate to be close to

0:16:25.640 --> 0:16:29.000
<v Speaker 7>the AI technology, a less of local across many different

0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:32.880
<v Speaker 7>industry sectors, recruit great AI talent and apply our technical

0:16:32.920 --> 0:16:36.160
<v Speaker 7>expertise to all sorts of different sectors where AI can

0:16:36.160 --> 0:16:36.720
<v Speaker 7>be applied.

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:39.960
<v Speaker 3>Well come back as that portfolio continues to grow.

0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:41.720
<v Speaker 4>Andrew has been a joy speaking with you.

0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:44.640
<v Speaker 3>Congratulations on the new fund and thank you for sharing

0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 3>your expertise and drawing. Of course, managing general partner at

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 3>the AI Fund, It's also founder of Deep Learning AI and.

0:16:50.000 --> 0:16:51.840
<v Speaker 4>Of course co founder of Coursera.

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:55.400
<v Speaker 3>Sticking with artificial intelligence and forropic well, it's rolling out

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:58.040
<v Speaker 3>two new versions of its claud AI software, including a

0:16:58.120 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 3>longer laid.

0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 4>Update to the high end model.

0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:02.720
<v Speaker 3>This is as a startup really advised to stay ahead

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 3>of a crowded market. Mike Kreiger joined ed a little

0:17:06.240 --> 0:17:09.880
<v Speaker 3>earlier Andthropic's chief product officer, Our really.

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:12.199
<v Speaker 8>You know constraint for the slaunch was we wanted to

0:17:12.240 --> 0:17:14.520
<v Speaker 8>be available to you know, as many people as want

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:16.520
<v Speaker 8>it on the launch day itself as well, and so

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:19.080
<v Speaker 8>it'll be generally available. It'll be in claud dot ai

0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:22.080
<v Speaker 8>for our more end users. It'll also be available in

0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:24.760
<v Speaker 8>the API for usage on day one, and then as

0:17:24.800 --> 0:17:27.000
<v Speaker 8>people scale up their usage, you know, there's often you know,

0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:29.199
<v Speaker 8>capacity and rate limit conversations that we need to have

0:17:29.280 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 8>just because the models aren't really in demand. But in

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 8>terms of being generally available.

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:36.680
<v Speaker 3>It's day one coming up tech IPOs and we're back.

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:39.359
<v Speaker 3>We'll discuss a Bream and ch equity Zen. This is

0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:58.359
<v Speaker 3>reuly Meg technology. Now as the broader market sells off

0:17:58.560 --> 0:18:02.400
<v Speaker 3>shares of Mountain of Hinge Health, both trading higher after

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.520
<v Speaker 3>making their public debuts just yesterday. Their success is giving

0:18:05.600 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 3>hope to other tech startups that have been waiting to

0:18:07.600 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 3>go public in some cases for many years.

0:18:10.920 --> 0:18:11.800
<v Speaker 4>Let's talk about it all.

0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 3>Briann lynches with US head of market Insights at equity

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:16.840
<v Speaker 3>Zen and one of the largest pre IPO platforms for

0:18:16.960 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 3>private shares. It's in the secondary market and brand. Look,

0:18:20.000 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 3>are we seeing the creaking open? Is it companies that

0:18:23.040 --> 0:18:24.840
<v Speaker 3>have to come to the market or are we going

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 3>to start to see companies that just want to come

0:18:26.600 --> 0:18:27.320
<v Speaker 3>in this environment?

0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:31.040
<v Speaker 9>Thanks for having me now. If you had asked me

0:18:31.080 --> 0:18:33.640
<v Speaker 9>a few weeks ago if we would be seeing positive

0:18:33.680 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 9>IPO activity right now, I would have said no. But

0:18:36.800 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 9>these few companies that have bit the bullet and decided

0:18:40.080 --> 0:18:43.240
<v Speaker 9>to go out Eutro last week, Hinge Health, and mount

0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:46.879
<v Speaker 9>In yesterday are performing well in are outperforming the market.

0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:49.240
<v Speaker 9>So I think, you know, we're not in a market

0:18:49.359 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 9>environment where we'll see the floodgates open up. But for

0:18:52.960 --> 0:18:57.160
<v Speaker 9>companies that need to go public for liquidity or other reasons,

0:18:57.400 --> 0:19:00.359
<v Speaker 9>or feel like they have a really compelling story, they

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:02.719
<v Speaker 9>might just be brave and decide to despite you know,

0:19:02.760 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 9>the volatility there is.

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 3>What are the story necessities. It's interesting that core we've

0:19:06.840 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 3>now really outperforming. We're at priced despite the initial volatility.

0:19:10.720 --> 0:19:13.640
<v Speaker 3>So we've got an AI focus, you've got release services

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:16.480
<v Speaker 3>and consumer focus businesses. Thus far, does it have to

0:19:16.520 --> 0:19:19.160
<v Speaker 3>be there or could we even go into broader hardware

0:19:19.240 --> 0:19:19.920
<v Speaker 3>and deep tech?

0:19:21.359 --> 0:19:23.520
<v Speaker 9>I think we can go broader into a hardware detech.

0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:26.480
<v Speaker 9>There's other names that are on our radars. Rebra Swan

0:19:26.560 --> 0:19:29.480
<v Speaker 9>who has filed and you know, has been on the

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:32.600
<v Speaker 9>IPO pipeline for some time now. But what's interesting is

0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:35.399
<v Speaker 9>the companies we've seen recently. You have a fintech, you

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:37.360
<v Speaker 9>have a health tech, you have an ad tech company,

0:19:37.440 --> 0:19:41.520
<v Speaker 9>so very different companies, but there are some similarities. These

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 9>are older companies that are over a decade plus years old,

0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 9>so there's a lot of investors and early employees who've

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 9>been reading a very long time for liquidity. Surprisingly, when

0:19:51.560 --> 0:19:54.400
<v Speaker 9>you look at the two from yesterday, these are unprofitable

0:19:54.440 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 9>companies as well, so it's a little bit surprising to

0:19:57.080 --> 0:19:59.720
<v Speaker 9>see how well they've then received given that they're not

0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:03.000
<v Speaker 9>yet profitable. They're almost there, but it seems like maybe

0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:06.720
<v Speaker 9>that's not a requirement now for public market investors when

0:20:06.720 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 9>you're achieving thirty five plus percent growth rates and hundreds

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:13.320
<v Speaker 9>of millions of dollars in revenue. So I think there's

0:20:13.520 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 9>a similar story well we're seeing across some of these sectors.

0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:20.480
<v Speaker 9>And another thing to notice, these have been down round IPOs,

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:24.160
<v Speaker 9>you know, the to yesterday both raising in their IPO

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:28.320
<v Speaker 9>at valuations below their last round of private funding, and

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:30.800
<v Speaker 9>especially for a lot of these companies that last raise

0:20:30.880 --> 0:20:33.480
<v Speaker 9>in twenty twenty one, twenty twenty two, I think that's

0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:35.280
<v Speaker 9>going to be a reality in the market. So just

0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:37.680
<v Speaker 9>some commonalities and things that we may expect to see

0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:39.000
<v Speaker 9>as others enter the market.

0:20:39.200 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 3>Bran, Let's talk though about some of the pressures that

0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:44.639
<v Speaker 3>can be taken off by the secondary market, because liquidity

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:47.080
<v Speaker 3>for employees that have been there a long time, liquidity

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:48.600
<v Speaker 3>for the venture that's back them for a long time,

0:20:48.640 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 3>and it's actually getting far easier in the secondary market

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:53.439
<v Speaker 3>right absolutely.

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:57.040
<v Speaker 9>And what we've seen is the VC ecosystem as a

0:20:57.040 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 9>whole is at this really interesting inflection point where it

0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:02.400
<v Speaker 9>used to be raise capital from LPs, deploy that into

0:21:02.440 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 9>early stage startups, have exits around the ten year time

0:21:05.280 --> 0:21:10.199
<v Speaker 9>horizon return capital, rinse, repeat, rinse repeat. That crucial exit

0:21:10.240 --> 0:21:13.280
<v Speaker 9>at the ten year timeline piece is not happening, and

0:21:13.320 --> 0:21:17.840
<v Speaker 9>that's really driving more secondary activity. Precursor Ventures gave a

0:21:17.880 --> 0:21:20.080
<v Speaker 9>stat a few weeks ago that they expect seventy five

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:23.640
<v Speaker 9>to eighty percent of distributions to LPs to be from

0:21:23.720 --> 0:21:26.359
<v Speaker 9>secondaries over the next five years, and that's a huge

0:21:26.440 --> 0:21:29.800
<v Speaker 9>number and it really speaks to the liquidity crunch that

0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:33.640
<v Speaker 9>we're seeing in the venture market, and secondaries are certainly

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:35.080
<v Speaker 9>becoming a larger avenue.

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:39.600
<v Speaker 3>To address that briefly, though, we've seen an interesting tech

0:21:39.960 --> 0:21:42.919
<v Speaker 3>focus from vcs where they convert to be able to

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.159
<v Speaker 3>buy more of the secondary market, maybe even some of

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:46.120
<v Speaker 3>the public market too.

0:21:47.160 --> 0:21:47.440
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:51.320
<v Speaker 9>Absolutely, so, we've seen this trend of more vcs registering

0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:54.760
<v Speaker 9>as Ria's light Speed is the most recent example of

0:21:54.800 --> 0:21:57.320
<v Speaker 9>a VC firm that's done that, and that really allows

0:21:57.359 --> 0:22:00.480
<v Speaker 9>them more flexibility to invest more than twenty percent of

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:05.160
<v Speaker 9>their portfolio into both public companies and secondaries. And while

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:07.840
<v Speaker 9>we've talked a lot about, you know, the secondary need

0:22:07.960 --> 0:22:11.720
<v Speaker 9>on the cell side, there's also a secondary need on

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:15.440
<v Speaker 9>the buy side where these AI companies they have just

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:18.480
<v Speaker 9>so much capital available to them, it's hard for most

0:22:18.520 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 9>investors to get access to a funding round or get

0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:23.680
<v Speaker 9>the allocation that they're looking for in you know, the

0:22:23.800 --> 0:22:26.920
<v Speaker 9>latest AI startup, So they're also coming to the secondary

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 9>market to either build or establish investments.

0:22:30.359 --> 0:22:32.359
<v Speaker 3>Brian Lynch, great to catch up with you, thank you,

0:22:32.400 --> 0:22:34.960
<v Speaker 3>head of Market inside It at Quityzen. Meanwhile, we check

0:22:35.000 --> 0:22:37.439
<v Speaker 3>bick back on the big story of the day, Apple

0:22:37.480 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 3>shares lower well, we see a twenty five percent tariff

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 3>that they don't move more US manufacturing for the iPhone.

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Technology