1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: your bets and it's meet Joey p Joe Pizza Pia. 3 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: And in case you didn't know, there's a game of 4 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:10,799 Speaker 1: this Sunday between the Chiefs and the forty nine Ers. 5 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 1: It's called the Super Bowl. It's the fifty eighth of 6 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: its kind, and the boys and I are going to 7 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: break down some of the crops, get their takes on 8 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:20,959 Speaker 1: some of the other wagers you can make with in 9 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:23,799 Speaker 1: these games. So make sure you got your notepads out, 10 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 1: your digital versions of it, or if you still have 11 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: a pencil in your house, like me, you write it 12 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: down on a piece of paper because you're old. But 13 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: that's okay. Andrew Erickson is young. He brings a youthful 14 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: exuberance to the program as always. And I'm not sure 15 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 1: who Welsh is supporting in the Super Bowl. I don't 16 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:43,200 Speaker 1: know if you could tell in the YouTube channel either, 17 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: but we'll get his take as well. But we also 18 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:48,560 Speaker 1: want your takes. To make sure you drop your comments 19 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: below on our YouTube channel. Subscribe to the Betting Pros 20 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: YouTube channel because it's awesome and fun. Bring the bell 21 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: for notifications so you know every time a piece of 22 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: content drops here on the channel, and you just might 23 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: win yourself a one year free premium grade to the 24 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: best betting tools on the planet right here at Betting Pros. 25 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: Not to mention boys, we've got a Super Bowl contest bruined, 26 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 1: So if you haven't already, download the Betting Pros app, 27 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: join the Betting Pros group called super Bowl fifty eight contest. 28 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 1: Do you think y'all can? Remember that? I know you 29 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:18,760 Speaker 1: can and play a minimum of five NFO bets on 30 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. That's it. First place gets a Fantasy 31 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: Pros Slash Betting Pros Premium subscription for a year, also 32 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 1: a twenty five dollars gift shop to purchase amazing Betting 33 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: Pros swag, t shirts, hats, hoodies. Who knows We've got it. 34 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 1: Also prizes second through fifth also get the twenty five 35 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: dollars gift cards. So again it's free, have some fun, 36 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 1: make some picks again only on our Betting Pros app, 37 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:41,960 Speaker 1: So download that bad boy too, and don't forget when 38 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: you do. If you have iOS, you get three free 39 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: days of premium to check that out. Because NBA season's here, 40 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 1: super Bowl's here, Baseball's around the corner. We've been doing 41 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,240 Speaker 1: shows on that, so many fun things. But gentlemen, let's 42 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 1: get to the game. Welsh, We'll start with you because 43 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: Ericson and I have talked about the Super Bowl a lot, 44 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: so Pat Fitzmorris, I think is your friend. Andrew Erickson 45 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 1: and I are probably your enemies here. So let's hear 46 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: from you and your two cents or maybe three cents, 47 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:10,800 Speaker 1: So whatever many cents you have when it comes to 48 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl fifty eight, what are you looking about 49 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: on when it comes to the game. 50 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 2: I have very little sense in general, and I'm actually 51 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 2: used to this. I love this company, and I've been 52 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 2: on for a month, five weeks. 53 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: I have literally for like a two years, okay, full time, 54 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: full time. 55 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 2: I've been here for a long time. But all I 56 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 2: have been fighting is you monsters. You monsters that want 57 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 2: to see me hurt, keep going against me. Some cases 58 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 2: in the spreads and stuff. It's worked out, But I 59 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 2: stand the lowly forty nine area, which, by the way, 60 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 2: shout out to Fantasy Pros Corporately, because we have quite 61 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:45,119 Speaker 2: a few forty nine yours fans in the docket here. 62 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 2: But I'm pretty stoked about this. It's gonna be as 63 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 2: tough as it's gonna be. Ironically too, we saw the 64 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:56,360 Speaker 2: Chiefs kind of underperform in some instances, get absolutely bonkers 65 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 2: lucky with is a Flowers situation. Forty nine ers have 66 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: done this. So you have just these two mega superstar 67 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 2: teams that also have underplayed themselves, just clashing and we'll 68 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 2: probably on other sides. So am I, do you want 69 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 2: me to start with my first bet? 70 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's start with your game related bet. And just 71 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:16,679 Speaker 1: so you know, Welsh, if the forty nine ers do win, 72 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 1: the things that will make me happy is George Kittle 73 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: getting a ring because I love George Kittle. He's also 74 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: a big wrestling guy. As am I. I like to 75 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 1: have him on my wrestling podcast someday. But you being 76 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: happy would also be nice. So I mean those are 77 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: like the two pretty good. It would those are the 78 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 1: only solaces in there, you know that, I think, Yeah, 79 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: I would. I would still smile in my heart about 80 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: but unfortunately my bank account would be mad at me. 81 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: So you know, it's personal in business. It's the end 82 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: of the day. Let's get to your bet. 83 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 2: Let's get to the bet. So I played around with 84 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 2: two sides of this. I was actually kind of inspired. 85 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 2: I didn't see Ericson's bet until literally like twenty minutes 86 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 2: ago before we did this, and he had a version. 87 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 2: I didn't know if we wanted to do this type 88 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 2: of cheekiness, but I'm down with the cheekiness where we 89 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 2: same game parlay some of these bad boys together. The 90 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 2: original bet I will just throw it out was I 91 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 2: would go alt line in some places this is not alltlined. 92 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 2: But our friends over at DraftKings they had the lowest 93 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 2: line currently out there, and how did I know. I 94 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 2: went over to betting pros dot Com, checked on the screen, 95 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 2: got all the books, and the one in favor for 96 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:20,359 Speaker 2: me was DraftKings at two. I allt lined it to 97 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 2: two and a half. That was the bet that I 98 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 2: really liked. And if you believe the forty nine ers 99 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 2: were going to win, then this is a great spot 100 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 2: to be. Currently, sixty percent of cash and tickets are 101 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 2: on the money line for Kansas City, though, but where 102 00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 2: there's the spread you could play. What I liked about 103 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 2: this was in twenty twenty three, the forty nine Ers, 104 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 2: in every single win they've had have not won by 105 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,480 Speaker 2: less than three points, so that two and a half 106 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 2: marker still works really well. But at the end of 107 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 2: the day, what I did was I took that two 108 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 2: and a half, I altlined, spread it, and I parlayed 109 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 2: it with the forty nine ers team total going twenty 110 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 2: three and a half over, And I parlayed those two 111 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 2: together almost getting one and a half on my money. 112 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 2: I in no chance would go against the forty nine 113 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 2: ers absolute homer of the world forty nine ers minus 114 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 2: two actually and twenty three and a half team total. 115 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 2: Parlay that together. 116 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: That is my play, all right, Ericson, I know you've 117 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 1: given a lot of opinions on these games. If you 118 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:23,719 Speaker 1: miss it, you can go back and watch the episode 119 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 1: with Fits and Ericson and myself where we broke down 120 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: the game some of the lines, the over unders, et cetera, 121 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 1: et cetera. But Erickson, let's go a little deeper here, 122 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: because I think you've got a little skinny parlay as 123 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: well to take advantage of for the people. 124 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, So in the earlier show I talked about I'm 125 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 3: on the Chiefs. I like the Chiefs money line, and 126 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:42,279 Speaker 3: I also like the under in the game total. And 127 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 3: this is different from when you look at the pro 128 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 3: forty nine ers folks between Fits and Welsh. 129 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:47,840 Speaker 4: They like the over. 130 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 3: They are showing suggesting that if forty nine ers win 131 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 3: this game, it's because they score a lot of points 132 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:55,719 Speaker 3: or more points than are to be expected based on 133 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 3: the total. So this is where you got to play 134 00:05:57,760 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 3: with the same game parlays. If you're going to build one, 135 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 3: I forget about the five leggor three legg or whatever. 136 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 3: Use the betting pros tool that has the same gay 137 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 3: parlay tool. You have to play into the game script. 138 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,279 Speaker 3: So if the game is gonna go under, it probably 139 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 3: is gonna be accompanied by a Chiefs win, a Chiefs victory. 140 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:12,960 Speaker 3: If fourt Nineers don't score enough point, they're probably not 141 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 3: gonna win this game. So that's why I like the 142 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 3: Chiefs money line parlayd with the under at forty seven 143 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:19,160 Speaker 3: and a half. You can get this almost at plus 144 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 3: three hundred and plus two to ninety over on DraftKings, 145 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 3: and you just look at the peripherals the metrics. 146 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 4: When it comes to the Chiefs. 147 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 3: Look, they've lost the last four or five games that 148 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 3: they've allowed twenty one or more points in Again, if 149 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 3: they give up twenty one points, they're probably not gonna 150 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 3: win this game. That's why I think if they held them. 151 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,480 Speaker 3: They held the forty nine ers to under twenty points, 152 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 3: they're undefeated when they hold opponents to seventeen or fewer points. 153 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:43,800 Speaker 3: Now you might be thinking, Andrew, that's ludicrous. How are 154 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 3: they going to hold this offense to make? Can I points? 155 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: Can I do that? Andrew, that's ludicrous. How can they 156 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 1: hold this offense it's so little points. 157 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 3: Well, they're an elite defense and they've been doing it 158 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:56,160 Speaker 3: all year long. So that's why I think that if 159 00:06:56,200 --> 00:06:58,919 Speaker 3: you are putting together a bunch of different plays, if 160 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 3: you're trying to have some fun, you have to have 161 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 3: a projected game script in mind. You can't just throw 162 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 3: random bets that have no correlation whatsoever. It's gonna make 163 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 3: it really hard to hit so things strategically and be like, 164 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 3: all right, like the Chiefs to win, I gotta go unders. 165 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 3: If I like the forty nine Ers to win, I 166 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 3: gotta go overs. So that's the way I would approach it. 167 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 3: I think that Welsh and I both coming into today 168 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 3: having two separate bets, both kind of following that pop pattern. 169 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 3: I think is a really good suggestion of what you 170 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 3: guys should be doing when you're placing your single game parlays. 171 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 2: Also two things I wanted to add to this. Here's 172 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 2: a fun stat when you're talking about the point totals. 173 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 2: The forty nine ers since week eighteen have only not scored. 174 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 2: I think it's twenty four points twice the entire and 175 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 2: since week eight. So week eight, so there's you know whatever, 176 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 2: how any game ten ten that are in there or 177 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 2: twelve that are in there. But I also did see 178 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 2: I was actually kind of leaning and floating around that 179 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 2: total marker because I was actually doing some quarter looking 180 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 2: by quarters something that kind of jumped out to me. 181 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 2: I was really interested in doing a first quarter over 182 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 2: at nine and a half. But I found some info 183 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:02,120 Speaker 2: that was talking about how the Super Bowl typical quarter 184 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 2: scoring is down by around two points per team on 185 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 2: average versus the regular season on what teams score per quarter, 186 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 2: which leads to unders, which I had to move away 187 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 2: from my quarter bet. But typical scoring playing under and 188 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 2: especially the first three quarters in the first two quarters 189 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 2: of the game, those playing two or more points under 190 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 2: than what they typically score is ironic. Two with scripted plays, 191 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 2: I think that's what's so crazy. With like high end 192 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 2: two weeks of preparation, scripted plays, it almost doesn't play right. 193 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:32,959 Speaker 2: So as much as what you were talking about, I'm 194 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 2: not like full bore over. I don't feel as confident 195 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 2: about the over and anything like that simply because of this. 196 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 2: But the Fournitans can also not have to score a 197 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 2: gajillion points and can still win. The Niners are also 198 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 2: pretty good defense. I'm not sure if you guys are aware, 199 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:47,840 Speaker 2: but they're pretty good too. Is where the Chiefs are 200 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 2: they are. 201 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 1: It's funny. I was looking at the Niner schedule to 202 00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: see what those games were. Both of those games, by 203 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: the way, where they did not score over twenty points 204 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 1: were against AFC teams, the Bengals and the Ravens, So 205 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:01,319 Speaker 1: that's kind of a fun little note. All the other 206 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: games except one role against NFC teams. 207 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 4: So many points against the Browns too. 208 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:10,079 Speaker 1: I was doing the since then week eight. 209 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I did the week because. 210 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 1: Then you would add another AFC team into that, and 211 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,440 Speaker 1: that doesn't fit the narrative of the jersey that Welsh 212 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: is wearing. 213 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 2: Well let's get okay, you know what, now you gonna 214 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 2: do this? No, do this having some fun every single 215 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 2: win but one. The entire year for the forty nine ers, 216 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,840 Speaker 2: they have scored twenty seven or more points except for one. 217 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:34,439 Speaker 3: Every single We're gonna win if they score twenty seven points, 218 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:35,520 Speaker 3: I've been clear about that. 219 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 4: But they don't. 220 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 3: They're gonna lose, which is why I like the over 221 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:39,560 Speaker 3: or the under and cheaps money line. 222 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:42,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, no, no, I get the dimetric differences we have here, 223 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,319 Speaker 2: but just pointing out, like the forty nine ers. 224 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: Some differences, but they're exactly in lockstep with each other 225 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 1: in terms of sides of the narrative. I just wanted 226 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 1: to point out that all those times that they fell short, 227 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 1: for the most part was against AFC teams, which I 228 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:59,160 Speaker 1: thought was just an interesting tidbit. It's just facts. I'm 229 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 1: just throwing out fast. That's all I'm doing. I'm living 230 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: in the real world. Let's go to some of the 231 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: props now, because we promise props, So let's do some props. Welsh. 232 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 1: Let's start with you, what do you have for the 233 00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:11,319 Speaker 1: people lined up for Super Bowl Sunday. 234 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:13,319 Speaker 2: I'm glad you into me for this one first too, 235 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 2: because we did not see each other's sheets at all, 236 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 2: and somehow ericson and both I came to this exact 237 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 2: same conclusion. I'm actually shocked that you would bet any 238 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 2: forty nine er in this, But I also get the logic. 239 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 2: We saw Brock Party running last week forty eight yards, 240 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 2: which was huge. Over the two playoff runs, he's averaging 241 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 2: five and a half carries during the playoffs and he 242 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 2: has just been going. So this big breakout has really 243 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 2: got me thinking that we're going to see an extended 244 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 2: amount of him being comfortable moving down. I also don't 245 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:48,800 Speaker 2: think that any of this would be an easy win. 246 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 2: There's going to be a really heavy pass rush, Brandon 247 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:54,480 Speaker 2: Ayuk is going to be on lockdown, especially on deep plays. 248 00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:55,959 Speaker 2: It's actually going to play to something I like a 249 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:58,680 Speaker 2: little bit later. So I think Brock Purty has found 250 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,679 Speaker 2: a comfortability run. This is a better defense of the 251 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 2: pass rush. And we've seen him comfortably start moving average 252 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 2: ten yards per carry last game, and you're gonna see 253 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 2: him go four or five and I believe like maybe 254 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: every time, but once this entire year that he's had 255 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 2: four carries, he's hit this prop marker. So twelve and 256 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 2: a half are the rushing yard total for him. I 257 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 2: am taking the over for Party because I think he 258 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 2: will be moving win or lose. I think it both 259 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 2: plays in the favor for Perdy to take it on 260 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 2: the ground a little bit. 261 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:30,640 Speaker 1: All right, So ericson, as Walsh alluded to, you've got 262 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: Purdy as well on the over twelve and a half. 263 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:34,200 Speaker 1: What's your reasoning? 264 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 4: Finally some of that we can agree on. 265 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:39,199 Speaker 3: So yeah, rock Perry because the well, obviously the forty 266 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 3: nine ers are going to be losing and Rockberry's gonna 267 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:43,439 Speaker 3: have to drop back and run. That's my lodge, you know, 268 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 3: but that's not really the lodge again, just looking at 269 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:47,319 Speaker 3: you know what he's done again. Welsh mentioned how he's 270 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 3: been running a lot more in the postseason. Both postseason 271 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:52,560 Speaker 3: starts he has over fourteen or more rushing yards, and 272 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 3: specifically against Chiefs defense. Chiefs face the most rushing attempts 273 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 3: and red zone touches to quarterbacks this season. So not 274 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:00,640 Speaker 3: only do I think Rockberry is going to run just 275 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 3: based on the defensive matchups, that's bags is running out there, 276 00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 3: but you could see him potentially scramble more in the 277 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 3: red zone like closer where it would usually be Oh, 278 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 3: handed off to McCaffrey, find your guy. It's like he 279 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 3: may look at his one read. If it's not there, 280 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 3: he may just take off and run like he's running 281 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 3: with more confidence. 282 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:16,839 Speaker 4: I think so. 283 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 3: I think brock Perdy even as like an anytime touchdown. 284 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:22,439 Speaker 3: I think both quarterbacks a pretty interesting. As I'm teasing 285 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 3: one of my future bets coming up, I do like 286 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 3: the quarterbacks to score in this game, potentially at some 287 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:28,680 Speaker 3: longer shot odds. 288 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 1: All right, well, since you know you do like to tease, 289 00:12:31,679 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 1: let's just go right into it here, Taylor Swift bet? 290 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 2: Are you going to do those nice little Taylor Swift song. 291 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: Already wearing Oakley's who are turning off the channel right 292 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:44,720 Speaker 1: now that they don't want to hear this? All right, 293 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:48,199 Speaker 1: Let's let's get to that next wager that you have here. 294 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:51,319 Speaker 1: It doesn't have to do with her, but it does 295 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 1: have to do with him. Let's talk about your Travis 296 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 1: Kelsey love. 297 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 4: Yeah. 298 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 3: So again, going back to the fact, I think the 299 00:12:57,679 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 3: Chiefs are gonna win this game, that means I think 300 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 3: that a Chiefs players gonna win MVP, and I like 301 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 3: the odds the best for Travis Kelcey to win Super 302 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:04,720 Speaker 3: Bowl MVP. 303 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:05,079 Speaker 4: You can. 304 00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 3: The best odds I found were plus seventeen hundred seventeen 305 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 3: to one odds over at fan duel and again playing 306 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:14,200 Speaker 3: into the correlation factor. Here, last four super Bowls that 307 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:16,960 Speaker 3: have gone under the projected total, a quarterback has not 308 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 3: won Super Bowl MVP. So again, if this game goes 309 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 3: over and then all these bets are gonna flame out 310 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 3: for me, like I'm going to have a very sad day. 311 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 3: If there's a lot of scoring, so that's okay, but 312 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:28,480 Speaker 3: if it, if I'm right and the game goes under, 313 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 3: then well I'm going to be eating shrimp on Monday night. 314 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:35,679 Speaker 3: It's gonna be absolutely fantastic jumbo. Maybe some shrimp, maybe 315 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 3: some lops lobster. Mac and cheese loses, not just you know, 316 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 3: mac and cheese with some fake meat in it because 317 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 3: I'm trying to leave fancy. 318 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:47,839 Speaker 4: It's gonna be with real meat, lobster, lobster. Here we go. 319 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 2: So imitation, no imitation, imitation crap? 320 00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:53,199 Speaker 4: That's what to say. 321 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:54,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, I get you. 322 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 2: And by the way, how can is imitation? Crab is 323 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 2: just like fish? Why is it even? It's not? I 324 00:13:58,040 --> 00:13:59,680 Speaker 2: don't think it's crap. I don't think there's any version 325 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 2: it's not, So why not just call it fish? Mix 326 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 2: or fish but. 327 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 3: It's a crap, it's not even crack money. Well, so 328 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:09,000 Speaker 3: try to sell a product. 329 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, fish mix is your chief. This is your chief's narrative. 330 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 2: As much nonsense there. 331 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 1: It is, So Travis Kelcey taking home the big hardware. 332 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,320 Speaker 1: That's what you guys, Pretty big number two. I mean 333 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 1: you know you're not jerking around here. Plus seventeen hundred, 334 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 1: I can tell you that much, and certainly possible, especially 335 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:28,040 Speaker 1: with some of that fan vote that goes out there too. 336 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:31,640 Speaker 1: Last time I checked that fan base. Pretty rabid. All right, 337 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 1: let's get back to you Welsh for another one of 338 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 1: your props for Super Bowl fifty eight. No shock here, 339 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:36,920 Speaker 1: it's a Niner. 340 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 2: It is a Niner. Yeah, I'm not. There's no Chiefs 341 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 2: that are gonna be happening. I'm gonna stay loyal. 342 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 1: To unders on Chiefs. You could do that if you 343 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: wanted to. 344 00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 2: But I also think the Chiefs are a good team. 345 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 2: Erickson doesn't think the forty nine ers are a good team. 346 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 2: He thinks they're dogwater and they don't deserve to be here. 347 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 2: But I do think the Chiefs are also a good team. 348 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 2: So I'm fair and balanced here where you can take 349 00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 2: this one solo narrative, but I'm fair and balancing it all. 350 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 2: I actually love the Super Bowl MVP f by the way, 351 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:03,200 Speaker 2: I think those are interesting. I just find it impossible 352 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,600 Speaker 2: that you're not going to have mahomes or party whichever 353 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,600 Speaker 2: side wins, that it's not the quarterback, but for forty 354 00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 2: nine Ers defense just you know, gets at the Chiefs 355 00:15:10,880 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 2: and the home struggles. I could see Kelsey if he's 356 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 2: all the received. 357 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 1: Question about that before you jump into your other problem. 358 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,640 Speaker 1: Do you think that's weird that you know the forty 359 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 1: nine Ers are favorite to win, but Brock Purdy is 360 00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: not the favorite. For Emphy Page. 361 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 2: I almost said it. I almost said that it like, 362 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:26,640 Speaker 2: how often do you see the favorite team have these seconds? 363 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 4: So should the four Niners not be favorites? 364 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 2: Or should I even lying in here? 365 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 1: Yesterday Fitz said that's because CMC and Purty are close 366 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 1: and they kind of cannibalize each other, so they've got 367 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 1: to be higher. 368 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 2: Well, I actually think that's a that's actually a good logic, 369 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 2: and I believe McCaffrey is like five and a half 370 00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 2: to one on this part of the thing. That here 371 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 2: was another bet. I almost did that. I didn't do 372 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 2: two touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey, who has done this in three 373 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 2: of four I think it's three of five games. Yeah, 374 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 2: he has done that, and he only gets like plus 375 00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 2: one forty or something like that. The likelihood of him 376 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 2: scoring two touchdowns is high, and the likelihood that perty 377 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 2: could be walking away with one passing touchdown and McCaffrey 378 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 2: has done a lot of the rest, and maybe there's 379 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 2: some other goofy thing that goes on. I like the 380 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 2: McCaffrey bet. If you were fading the quarterbacks, I agree 381 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 2: Kelsey is the chief side and McCaffrey to me is 382 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers, non quarterback side. But yeah, I 383 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 2: think those are all weird. This is boring. And the 384 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 2: only reason I mentioned all that is like, you look, 385 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 2: and there's amazing there's so many amazing, fun goofy bets 386 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 2: that you can get in on here, and you're getting 387 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 2: big Super Bowl odds. I just wanted to lock one 388 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 2: more in that I felt really comfortable with, and then 389 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:33,520 Speaker 2: I've got like a novelty ish one. So I went 390 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 2: back to Deebo. As you said, it's not going to 391 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 2: be a chief, it's going to be a forty nine 392 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 2: er receiving yards over Now, I will say I got 393 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 2: it at fifty six and a half, but the books 394 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 2: are all over the place. DK it was fifty seven 395 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 2: and a half, Fandal fifty nine and a half, and 396 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 2: here were some of the logic with it. There's a 397 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 2: lot that's coming down to Sneed locking up Brandon Ayuk, 398 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 2: which is the presumed matchup pretty much everywhere that you look. 399 00:16:57,280 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 2: Now we're not saying that this is going to be 400 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 2: the case, of course, but if Sneed he does lock 401 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 2: Ayuk out, and he's been one of the best over 402 00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,879 Speaker 2: ten yard completion percentage cornerbacks in the league, and that 403 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:10,600 Speaker 2: is a big place of what Brandon Ayuke does. Brandon 404 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 2: Ayuk spreads the field. Deebo Samuel comes in early, so 405 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 2: if they can't pass the ball really deep, the deep 406 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 2: balls are probably gonna go to Kittle or you're going 407 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 2: to have a majority more of targets going to Deebo Samuel. 408 00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:24,239 Speaker 2: So I really like Deebo in that respect. And this 409 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:27,440 Speaker 2: is obviously another not the case. But went and looked 410 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:31,199 Speaker 2: up where Brandon Ayuk is out of the game and 411 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:33,720 Speaker 2: it is Debo, So this is obviously I couldn't find 412 00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 2: the way to like subtract where Deebo's the number one 413 00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 2: wide receiver to Ayuk, but in games where Ayuk is 414 00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 2: just out and we're going to presume this is happening, 415 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:43,800 Speaker 2: he's averaging eight and a half catches and over one 416 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,159 Speaker 2: hundred and thirty yards, So I think he's going to 417 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 2: be a primary force. They're gonna have a lot of 418 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:49,880 Speaker 2: short passes. They're going to get him involved, and if 419 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:52,160 Speaker 2: Ayuk is locked out of that, it is more work 420 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:55,840 Speaker 2: for McCaffrey, Kittle and specifically Deebo. Samuel also love anytime 421 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 2: touchdown on debo, So fifty six fifty seven, I really 422 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:00,399 Speaker 2: like that number. I think he's a number one nine 423 00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:03,480 Speaker 2: ers receiver this Super Bowl action. So that's my BET's 424 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,120 Speaker 2: around minus one to ten on DK and I'd even 425 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,760 Speaker 2: consider maybe laddering it up to eighty plus on a 426 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 2: big play, and I think that gets you around two 427 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 2: almost two and a half on your money. 428 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:16,640 Speaker 1: All right, Erickson, back to you for one more Super 429 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 1: Bowl prop. What do you have? 430 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 4: Here's a fun fact. 431 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes has not scored a touchdown yet this season, 432 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,879 Speaker 3: zero touchdowns between the regular season the postseason. So I 433 00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 3: think that regression to the mean, folks, Patrick Mahomes anytime 434 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 3: touchdown plus four hundred over on FanDuel. Again, no player 435 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:35,719 Speaker 3: has more red zone attempts rushing than Patrick Mahomes does 436 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 3: without a touchdown score yet this season. And Welsh correct 437 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 3: me if I'm wrong. Last time these two teams played 438 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,160 Speaker 3: in the Super Bowl, you know who the first touchdown 439 00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:46,680 Speaker 3: score was. It was it was Patrick Mahomes on a 440 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:49,400 Speaker 3: rushing score. So maybe they look back and be like, hey, 441 00:18:49,600 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 3: we like this play as our first touchdown on our 442 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 3: first red zone trip. Let's bring it out again. So 443 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:56,920 Speaker 3: I just like the autos here with Patrick Mahomes' score. 444 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 1: The Chiefs do like to pull out a lot of 445 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: gadget plays fun things down the goal line too, so 446 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:03,360 Speaker 1: it would not surprise. 447 00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 2: Me give up only two rushing touchdowns all season one. 448 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:08,880 Speaker 4: Did more regression to the mean? 449 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: Sure? Regression, my god, just running to the mean, just 450 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:14,880 Speaker 1: running to it, all right? It feels like more aggression 451 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:17,159 Speaker 1: to the mean between you two today. Let's get to 452 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,160 Speaker 1: your last prop that you have for the people, and 453 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:21,440 Speaker 1: it's a bit of a novelty one, so let's talk 454 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:21,880 Speaker 1: about it. 455 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 2: It actually was under DK's novelty bets and I just 456 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 2: kind of locked into this. It was time of the 457 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:31,400 Speaker 2: first possession. It was at three minutes fifteen seconds from 458 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:33,600 Speaker 2: minus one to fifteen, So it's not a plus money bet. 459 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 2: Forty nine Ers actually rank the most time per play 460 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 2: in the NFL in the regular season, at around thirty 461 00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:44,360 Speaker 2: seconds scripted drives. They're usually going to reap the most completions. 462 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:48,000 Speaker 2: I mean, you guys have planned for this the best opportunity, 463 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 2: not saying all the time, but it's the best opportunity 464 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:52,679 Speaker 2: for you to be hitting on all cylinders because you 465 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 2: know exactly what you're jumping into. Chiefs, they ranked in 466 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 2: the bottom half of the league in run stop, which 467 00:19:57,280 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 2: is also a rock pretty stat. So I feel right 468 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 2: if the forty nine Ers get the ball out of 469 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:05,439 Speaker 2: the gates, they're gonna be running one first down. I 470 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:08,480 Speaker 2: believe locks this bet in now the Chiefs. They've been 471 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:11,000 Speaker 2: inside the top fifteen on the year as far as 472 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:14,120 Speaker 2: time goes, but over the last three games they've averaged 473 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 2: almost thirty seconds per play. Both of these teams also 474 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 2: rank inside the top six in first downs per game 475 00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 2: in the NFL this year. So, as I said, either 476 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 2: one of these teams get one first down we're gonna 477 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:29,919 Speaker 2: lock that first possession three fifteen over. And I wouldn't 478 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:31,960 Speaker 2: be surprised that the Chiefs are also trying to establish 479 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,199 Speaker 2: a run early on, because what that is something you 480 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,440 Speaker 2: can do against the forty nine Ers early in games 481 00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:39,040 Speaker 2: as well. So both of these teams establishing a run, 482 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 2: give me one first down and we're golden. So time 483 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,160 Speaker 2: of possession over three minutes, fifteen seconds. 484 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 1: One of my other favorite bets, too, is that the 485 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:49,120 Speaker 1: forty nine Ers get that first possession. That Christian McCaffrey 486 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 1: first time touchdown score is plus three hundred or more 487 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 1: in some spots, and the field goal settling is plus 488 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: four hundred or more. I like both of those wagers too. 489 00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:01,119 Speaker 1: Get up early, get a money there, and then you 490 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,600 Speaker 1: can spread it around. Bet live during the game, of course. 491 00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 1: I got our livestream coming up on Super Bowl Sunday 492 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:08,679 Speaker 1: with Matt Paroult, and I believe Andrew Erickson continuing to 493 00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,720 Speaker 1: just do the yeoman's work because he's a yeoman, that's 494 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 1: what we say about him. 495 00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 2: I'm going I might be in there. We'll see. 496 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: Well, let's see what side Parolt is on at the game. 497 00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:20,240 Speaker 1: Of course, watch the Aljus I'm sure he's got lots 498 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,639 Speaker 1: of feelings about that. He's in Vegas right now as always, 499 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 1: because I believe Matt lives there Lem reserves, So make 500 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:27,720 Speaker 1: sure you tune in for that, make sure you subscribe 501 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 1: to the channel. But we want to hear from you. 502 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 1: What are your favorite prompt bets for Super Bowl fifty eight. 503 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:34,280 Speaker 1: Drop them below right there in the comments. I want 504 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 1: to read them and of course enjoy the big game, 505 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 1: and don't forget to join our contest as well. To 506 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 1: increase your enjoyment right now, download the Betting Pros app 507 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,359 Speaker 1: or if you have it already, go join the Betting 508 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 1: Pros groups super Bowl fifty eight. Join the contest, win 509 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:51,399 Speaker 1: free swag, win free upgrades to Betting Pros and Fantasy 510 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,480 Speaker 1: Pros Premium just for making five picks. That sounds like 511 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:56,359 Speaker 1: a good day at the office to me. This is 512 00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:57,919 Speaker 1: always a good day at the office when you hang 513 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,000 Speaker 1: out with your friends and you talk about the Super Bowl. 514 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 1: But that'll do it for us. However, the story of 515 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 1: the game goes on for the Welsh and Andrew ericson. 516 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. 517 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:07,639 Speaker 4: Kids. 518 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,879 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you 519 00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,320 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 520 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,720 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 521 00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:19,639 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 522 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 5: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 523 00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,960 Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros