1 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: Good Saturday morning, everybody. Welcome into another edition of the 2 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parold. You can 3 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:19,920 Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Maatt here off 4 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: bettingcros dot com and this is always being brought to 5 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. Last night sucked so BYU boat 6 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:33,159 Speaker 1: races Houston to a twenty two to nothing score in 7 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 1: the fourth quarter when Houston's got a nice and cushy lead. Really, 8 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: if we had any points in the fourth quarter from Houston, 9 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: we win that teaser man alive. So that's the second 10 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 1: straight day where an in game two leg teaser doesn't hit. 11 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:52,279 Speaker 1: Now you see why the books give you minus one 12 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: oh five, right, it's hard to hit it, but you know, actually, 13 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: well no, actually we hit one of them right now. 14 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, let me take that back. We hit that 15 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: on Thursday. We hit the end game teaser. So no, okay, 16 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 1: so we were one and one on those we got. Unfortunately, 17 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: SMU wins the game in overtime, but they don't cover 18 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 1: the six and a half point spread. So that's a stinker. 19 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: And really, I mean it was over by time we 20 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 1: went to overtime. It was over because you don't kick 21 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: the extra point in overtime and that just really not fun. 22 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 1: So oh and to night last night. You couple that 23 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: with Tampa losing again to the Houston Astros, and Friday 24 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: night was a disaster. So yeah, there's some new guys 25 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:32,119 Speaker 1: tuning into the podcast. And look, I appreciate you guys 26 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 1: coming in, so let me reset something here for all 27 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 1: the newbies. And this is awesome. Look we're growing and 28 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 1: I love this the hashtag Daily Juice on Twitter. It's 29 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: picking up a ton of momentum. It's really fun. But 30 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: understand that this is a marathon, not a sprint. You 31 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: don't need to tweet me and say I started listening 32 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 1: to your podcast on Thursday. I've lost three bets and 33 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,559 Speaker 1: I'm no longer going to listen to your podcast. Like great, 34 00:01:57,640 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 1: I mean you're not who I want really listening to 35 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 1: this beaure quite honest. I don't want short term people 36 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: who are gonna jump in and jump out. I want 37 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 1: people who are gonna be committed to realizing how hard 38 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 1: this is. And it's a marathon, right, I mean, I 39 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:12,359 Speaker 1: told you guys this before, but pretty much like we've 40 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 1: gone through four months and I think we're either down 41 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: a couple of units or up a couple of units, 42 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 1: like this is what we're going after. Fifty three percent, 43 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: that's what we're trying to get to. We want to 44 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 1: make money. We're trying to make money. But it's entertainment. 45 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: It's for fun, and it's part of the community, and 46 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: we're enjoying this. I mean, last night was awesome. I 47 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: was on dming with like five guys last night going 48 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:33,839 Speaker 1: back and forth about the whole game, like try into 49 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 1: game theory, how we're gonna get home for that teaser, 50 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 1: and you know, they had different ideas. Some of them 51 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 1: had four leg teasers and they had used Houston as 52 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 1: being part of it. And look, the over came through 53 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: and then BYU did the fu touchdown. I mean, you know, 54 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:54,360 Speaker 1: I thought Mormons were nice. I'm kidding, but man, you 55 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: thought they might take a knee there, run the clock out, 56 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 1: they're up by ten, and they go in for that 57 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: touchdown and they score and they win by seventeen points, 58 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: and it's just a kick in the nuts. If you 59 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: had the over, that was a lucky win. I mean, 60 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: it was a bad beat. If you had the under, 61 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 1: that was a bad beat. If you had what we had, 62 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: it was a bad beat. If you got a teaser 63 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: on any leg, it was a bad beat. So those 64 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 1: are those things are gonna happen. You know. We had 65 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:19,959 Speaker 1: a couple of good days in the Sunbelt Conference on 66 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: Wednesday and Thursday, and then Friday not so good. So look, 67 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: it happens, right, I mean, you just pick yourself back 68 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: up when we get going here today on a Saturday. 69 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: Now here's the thing about Saturday. I have a hedge 70 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 1: bet coming, which if you guys have heard the Daily 71 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: Juice before, you know I'm doing this with the Astros. 72 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 1: It's a hedge bet. I've got one side in college football. 73 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: I've got two legs, sorry, two plays for totals, and 74 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,119 Speaker 1: then I've broken up one unit bet on the main 75 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: events for both the boxing fight and for the UFC 76 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 1: fight coming up here tonight. This is an awesome sports day. 77 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: I don't like the card for college football gonna be 78 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 1: completely Twenty percent of the games that were supposed to 79 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: be on the card today are off due to COVID nineteen. 80 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: This is the worst weekend we have had so far 81 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 1: in college football due to COVID nineteen. So this is 82 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: not a card that I really want to get too 83 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: heavily invested in and involved in, and I kind of 84 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: want to save things, hold back a little bit, and 85 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: make sure that we really can go strong into Sunday 86 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:21,280 Speaker 1: for what will happen for the NFL in week number six. 87 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: I like the NFL card a lot more than I 88 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,719 Speaker 1: do the college football card here on a Saturday. So 89 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: I'm coming in here, and you know, I don't feel 90 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 1: great about everything I'm playing here, but these are plays 91 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:35,840 Speaker 1: and bets I have made so far here today. So 92 00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 1: one baseball, three college football, two in fighting, one UFC 93 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 1: in one boxing that I'll get to here in just 94 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 1: one second. But first and foremost, if you want to 95 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: get a bet MGM account for new users with the 96 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: Juice one hundred code well New Jersey, Indiana, West Virginia, Colorado, 97 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: you bet one dollar on any game, okay, any game 98 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: in the NFL. You pick one team to win. If 99 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 1: a touchdown is scored in that game, you win one 100 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: hundred dollars in free bets. It's easy, it's simple. You 101 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: can't get easier than that, my goodness. 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If you do have a gambling problem, 110 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:44,799 Speaker 1: please call one eight hundred five to two forty seven hundred 111 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: in Colorado and Nevada, one hundred gambler in New Jersey, 112 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,479 Speaker 1: in West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it 113 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: in Indiana. So the live stream hits you tomorrow morning 114 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:58,599 Speaker 1: at eleven am Eastern eight am Pacific time. Off the 115 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: YouTube channel for bettings. If you have not subscribed, we're 116 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: trying to get to one thousand subscribers. We're at like 117 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 1: eight thirty, so we're close. We're churning away and chipping 118 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: away and trying to get that. We're going to give 119 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:17,239 Speaker 1: away the Clyde Edwards E Layer autograph chief helmet coming 120 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: up at the thirty first of August. On the thirty 121 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: first of August, so you still have some time to 122 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: leave a review on Apple podcast or Stitcher and then 123 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:27,839 Speaker 1: send the picture of that screenshot you take of the 124 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 1: review to bettingcros dot com slash juice. Still have time 125 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: to do that. And if you are both a subscriber 126 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 1: to the YouTube channel and you enter into the contest 127 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:40,359 Speaker 1: for the Clyde Edwards Eiler helmet and you win, you 128 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: get a fifty dollars gift certificate gift card to Pristine Auction. 129 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: So it's worthwhile to do both right, simple, easy. He 130 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 1: takes to five minutes to do it, and you could 131 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 1: have a really cool piece of memorabilia plus fifty bucks 132 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,839 Speaker 1: from Pristine Auction. So that's all coming up. So live 133 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 1: stream for all the player props that we're gonna get 134 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: into coming up. I'll have player props for you on 135 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,239 Speaker 1: Sunday morning, and questions and just hanging out and talking 136 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 1: about how are the Patriots playing with this COVID problem 137 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:08,720 Speaker 1: and should the Broncos be nervous? And what happens with 138 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: Drew Locke, And now you've got you know, here comes 139 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: a couple of really good games. There's some really crap 140 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: games in the NFL tomorrow, but a couple of really 141 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: good games in the NFL as well coming up tomorrow. 142 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: So all right for the picks here, Astros even money 143 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: money line, this is a hedge to get my one 144 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 1: unit back. It's even money. I'm taking the Astros, and 145 00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 1: if the Astros win, fine, I don't like it, but 146 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: I get my bet back and we're flat. I hedge. 147 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 1: Some people don't I hedge. I like getting my money back, 148 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 1: and I like basically having you know, I'll win nine 149 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 1: units instead of winning ten units. I'm okay with that 150 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:53,800 Speaker 1: to get my bet back, so I don't wind up 151 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: losing if the Astros come up and win here today. 152 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 1: I mean, goodness, gracious, Tampa's just so cold at the plate. 153 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 1: Their due to bust out of it. But my gosh, 154 00:08:06,880 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 1: the lack of fans and lack of travel, I think 155 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: makes this way worse for Tampa. Like you can't get 156 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: out of this nightmare. You just can't get going. No 157 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: change of scenery, no change of backdrop, no flight, no 158 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 1: getting away from your fans, no going into a different hotel, 159 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: none of that. It's just like Groundhog Day over and 160 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 1: over again. And look, do the Astros have more talented 161 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 1: baseball players? Yes, we knew that going in and they're awake, 162 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 1: they're confident, and they smell blood in the water. My goodness, gracious, 163 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: Tampa's gonna have to pull a rabbit out of their hat. 164 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: They're favored. But Charlie Morton, the former Astro, goes to 165 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 1: the mound today. Oh my goodness, gracious, I'm gonna watch 166 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 1: this game like with my hands over my face, staring 167 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,839 Speaker 1: through my fingers. If the Astros win, fine, I don't 168 00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 1: like it, but fine, they win, and then we wind 169 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:03,079 Speaker 1: up even so. First bet is the hedge bet even 170 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: money on the money line for the Astros. Second bet 171 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:09,599 Speaker 1: to college football game of the night, Game of the 172 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 1: day Alabama Georgia, right every other game being played. I 173 00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: don't really have that gread of a rooting interest in watching, 174 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 1: like I might watch Boston College in VA Tech. I 175 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,599 Speaker 1: thought about taking BC there at plus twelve and a 176 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 1: half plus thirteen, but I didn't. I don't have a 177 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 1: huge rooting interest on any of these games. There's nothing 178 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: that jumps off the page except Alabama Georgia. If Nick 179 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: Saban tests negative again for COVID nineteen Saban's coaching in 180 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 1: this game, how I have no bleeping idea, Like, what 181 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,559 Speaker 1: did they give him like a pull blood body transfusion. 182 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 1: How the hell did this happen? But he tested negative yesterday, 183 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:48,040 Speaker 1: so we test negative again. He's going to coach Alabama 184 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 1: against Georgia. I don't know if they have to have 185 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:54,079 Speaker 1: him to win, but it doesn't hurt. It doesn't hurt 186 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,599 Speaker 1: from Morale's standpoint, to see your coach get COVID and 187 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 1: come back and he's on the sidelines and he's there 188 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: for you. I mean, you're gonna play hard. Kirby Smart 189 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 1: versus Alabama, this is an awesome matchup here. I thought 190 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 1: about taking the under, but Alabama's defense is scaring the 191 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: holy crap out of me. I don't know about Bama's 192 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:14,360 Speaker 1: defense being able to stop anybody. Their tackling was so 193 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: bad against Ole Miss. There are all these excuses being 194 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 1: made about why they played so poorly, and Lane Kiffin's ability, 195 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: how great he is to call plays. It just scares 196 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 1: me a lot. I'm very concerned about Alabama's defense, So 197 00:10:27,640 --> 00:10:29,680 Speaker 1: I had to stay away betting unders, and anything in 198 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 1: college football or pro football right now is really is 199 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: really dangerous and just not really worthwhile. So I'm gonna 200 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 1: stay away from that, and I'm gonna take Mac Jones 201 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:41,959 Speaker 1: and Alabama at home. Here, I'm gonna lay the four 202 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,320 Speaker 1: and a half points. The line was six before and 203 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 1: then Saban got sick and it dropped to four. It 204 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:50,520 Speaker 1: ticked back up to four and a half. I'm gonna 205 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: take the I mean, I'm gonna say Saban's gonna coach. 206 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,800 Speaker 1: This is Bama, this is what they do. They'll find 207 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: a way to get Nick Saban on the sidelines. And 208 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: so I get a point and a half of value 209 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 1: from where it was to where it is now at 210 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:05,079 Speaker 1: four and a half. So I laid the four and 211 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: a half With Alabama against Georgia, I think these receivers 212 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:10,040 Speaker 1: get going. Naja Harris is the key. Okay, you want 213 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: to know, is Alabama gonna win the game? Yes or no? 214 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 1: Does Naja Harris have a big game running the football. 215 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 1: If Bama's offensive line can move that defensive front from Georgia, 216 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 1: and if Bama can run the football and establish the run, 217 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 1: then comes play action. Then they're throwing deep and then 218 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:25,079 Speaker 1: you've got all the receivers waddle and whatnot you can 219 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 1: throw too. So I really think this is the key 220 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: for Bama to watch. If they can run the football, 221 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 1: they win the game, and they might win the game 222 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: going away, just because Bama is this talented on offense 223 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 1: and Georgia's offense is good, it's just not as good. 224 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:40,000 Speaker 1: And I think Bama's defense is got a lot to prove, 225 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 1: but I'm worried that they won't prove it. So the 226 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 1: total is fifty seven. I don't know, man, I just 227 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 1: it could be like a twenty four to seventeen game, 228 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty eight to twenty type of game. Maybe, But 229 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 1: you know, this is the SEC which has become the 230 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 1: Big twelve, and offenses are so far ahead of defenses. 231 00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 1: I just can't do it. So I laid the four 232 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: and a half Alabama at home, and I think Nick 233 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 1: Damen coaches, So Bama min was four and a half 234 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 1: for Alabama versus Georgia. I got two total plays I 235 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,199 Speaker 1: want to talk about. Let's get to A and M 236 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:14,680 Speaker 1: and Mississippi State. We're in Starkville, which people call stark Vegas, 237 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: which I don't like. A and M is favored by 238 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 1: five in this game. So A and M's first game 239 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: went under forty six and a half. They won seventeen 240 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:26,319 Speaker 1: to twelve against Vanderbilt. Their offense looked horrible, and then 241 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: Kellen Mod got going, and Kellen Mod against Alabama looked good. 242 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 1: His defense sucked fifty two points they gave up to Alabama. 243 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,280 Speaker 1: They put up twenty four points, but the total was 244 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 1: fifty four and a half. It flew over second game 245 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 1: against Florida, a win for A and m upset win 246 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:49,120 Speaker 1: at home against Florida forty one thirty eighth the final 247 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 1: the total was fifty nine and a half. It flew 248 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 1: over for Mississippi State. In their first game against LSU, 249 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 1: they scored forty four points and everybody was like, oh 250 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: my gosh, Mike Leach, here we go. Air raid. Wow, 251 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 1: wow wow. Fourteen points in their loss to Arkansas and 252 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:13,079 Speaker 1: two points last week against Kentucky twenty four to two. 253 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 1: They lost. The total was fifty seven and a half. 254 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 1: And that has everybody really concern right now as to 255 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: what's gonna happen for this game coming up on Saturday 256 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 1: with Missispi State hosting Texas A and m is kJ 257 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 1: Gustello gonna keep on throwing picks because nine Now, look, 258 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:35,280 Speaker 1: I don't mind it because I played the over fifty six. 259 00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: If you like, Missisbei State to win m you're gonna 260 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:42,199 Speaker 1: hope that you're not seeing that three star quarterback come 261 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 1: in and play like he did against Kentucky. That was ugly. 262 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:49,720 Speaker 1: Costillo thought the world was his against LSU, and really 263 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 1: it was just LSU's defense. But I'm just not that 264 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 1: thrilled with A and M's defense, to be quite honest, 265 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,760 Speaker 1: I don't think it's that good. And if you just 266 00:13:57,800 --> 00:13:59,679 Speaker 1: look at the game against Alabama, look at the game 267 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 1: against Florida, I just don't think that they're that great. 268 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 1: So I think this is a chance for a bounce 269 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 1: back spot here for the offense for Mississippi State, and 270 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 1: at fifty six, I just need them to get here, 271 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:13,440 Speaker 1: you know, into the twenties, because I think you're gonna 272 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 1: see A and M score a bunch of points here. 273 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 1: I know Mississipp's defense has been somewhat stingy, you know, 274 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 1: but this is it's still a team coached by the Pirate, Okay, 275 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 1: so it's like, does he no defense? So I'm going 276 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 1: over fifty six here protects A and M and Mississippi State. 277 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: And my third play for college football is Duke and 278 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 1: North Carolina State. So let's talk a little bit about 279 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 1: Duke for a second. Their last three games forty five, 280 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 1: fifty three and fifty three and a half in fifty 281 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: two and a half, Virginia, VA Tech, and Syracuse over 282 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: over over all, Right, every game's gone over by thirteen 283 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: nine and a half, fifteen and a half. They've given 284 00:14:56,520 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 1: up a bunch of points. Give up thirty eight to Virginia, 285 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 1: they gave up thirty eight to VA Tech. They gave 286 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: up twenty four to Syracuse. Okay, they're taking on NC State, 287 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 1: who also in every game so far this year, NC 288 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 1: State has allowed a ton of points in the over 289 00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 1: has hit. Against wake Forest the total was fifty three. 290 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 1: That cleared it by thirty four points. Against VA Tech 291 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: fifty six and a half. They cleared it by twelve 292 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 1: and a half points. Against Pittsburgh forty five and a half, 293 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: it cleared it by thirteen and a half. And then 294 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 1: last week against Virginia fifty eight fifty sorry, fifty eight 295 00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 1: and a half point was the total, thirty eight to 296 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 1: twenty one. It just gets home for a victory for 297 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 1: NC State, but it goes over here. It's fifty eight, Okay, 298 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: fifty eight points is the total, and I'm taking the over, 299 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: taking the over, and I think this is an offense 300 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 1: for Duke that's gonna put up some numbers with David 301 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 1: Cutcliffe back and forth battle in the ACC. It's another 302 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 1: one of these. Does anybody play defense anymore? It's gonna 303 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 1: be care anymore. It's just I think both these teams 304 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 1: are gonna score, and they're gonna score a lot. I 305 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 1: think both these defenses are not that good. I mean 306 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 1: yards per play, both these defenses five point six and 307 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 1: five point five giving up yards per play. You move 308 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 1: the football on Duke and NC State, and I think 309 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 1: we're gonna see a whole lot of points being scored 310 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 1: between Duke and NC State coming up here today. So 311 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 1: we're going over fifty eight for Duke and NC State. 312 00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 1: So three plays in college football. Alabama is four and 313 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 1: a half, Duke, NC State over fifty eight, and Texa 314 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 1: A and M and Mississippi State over fifty six are 315 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 1: the plays for college football. Like I mentioned, it's a 316 00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 1: lighter day. I'm not going all that heavy here. Let's 317 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 1: talk about combat sports. Do you guys realize that ESPN 318 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 1: is airing. Everyone's saying it's free. No, it's not free. 319 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 1: You pay for ESPN with cable, but it's not pay 320 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 1: per view to watch loman chenk O versus Lopez. Lomancheko 321 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: was the matrix. He's thirty two years old. He's fought 322 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: a million fights amateur wise. He has a really uncanny 323 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:08,160 Speaker 1: ability of moving in the ring and getting angles and 324 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 1: just frustrating the holy hell out of his opponents. Lopez 325 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 1: is talking all this nonsense. He's twenty three years old, 326 00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 1: he's brash. He's gonna come in here and he's gonna 327 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 1: knock out Lomanchenko. The problem with that is you have 328 00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 1: to be able to hit the guy. No one can 329 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 1: hit the guy. You can't square him up. He doesn't 330 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:31,399 Speaker 1: let you square him up. He frustrates you, he makes 331 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 1: you throw, and then he'll get into a position where 332 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 1: he's just gonna pepper you. He's not a guy who's 333 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:38,920 Speaker 1: going to knock you out, all right, I don't Lomonjenko's 334 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:42,280 Speaker 1: not gonna knock out Lopez. He's just gonna outpoint him, 335 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 1: and he's going to frustrate him and make him make 336 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,120 Speaker 1: mistakes and then he just beats the dude up, all right. 337 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 1: The total is ten and a half rounds. Gives you 338 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,359 Speaker 1: an idea of what the books think of this lo 339 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:57,399 Speaker 1: Monchenko's gonna win this fight. I'm really really confident he's 340 00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:59,399 Speaker 1: gonna win this fight. He's gonna win this fight. On 341 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 1: the scorecard, it's gonna go the distance. I'm not laying 342 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 1: minus four to twenty juice, however, on Lomonchenko. And I'm 343 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 1: also gonna gonna sit there and say I'm gonna go 344 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:11,200 Speaker 1: to the cards because well, I don't know, maybe there's 345 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:13,639 Speaker 1: a stoppage, maybe there's an injury, I don't know. I'm 346 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 1: not gonna go to a prop bet with that because 347 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:17,920 Speaker 1: I know Loma's gonna win. I just think it's gonna 348 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,920 Speaker 1: go to the cards. So to me, I'm playing the 349 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:24,520 Speaker 1: over half a unit on the over minus one point 350 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:29,159 Speaker 1: eighty on Lomachenko and Lopez to go deep into this 351 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,800 Speaker 1: twelve round fight, and I'm really excited about this. This 352 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 1: fight should be paid per view. The only reason why 353 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:39,000 Speaker 1: it's not is the division lightweight division at Lopez is 354 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:41,920 Speaker 1: twenty three years old. He doesn't have this gigantic resume, 355 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: and Lomonchenko is still a guy who has fought so 356 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,159 Speaker 1: many amateur fights. When two gold medals, he's just not 357 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 1: really somebody in America that everyone knows all about ESPN's 358 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 1: trying desperately to promote it. Top rank is dying for 359 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 1: this to become a monster trilogy type of fights Magatti 360 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 1: War type of trilogy. But I'm not sure it's gonna 361 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:05,119 Speaker 1: get there. But if you have nothing to do, seriously, 362 00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 1: get in front of a TV set and watch this fight. 363 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 1: It's going to be awesome. And the other half a 364 00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 1: unit half a unit on the over for Loma and 365 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 1: Lopez at Miss one pint eighty. I'm gonna sprinkle on 366 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:23,159 Speaker 1: Brian Ortega and the Korean Zombie the under two and 367 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 1: a half rounds. It's even money. The other half unit 368 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 1: going on the under. Here's my thought on that fight. 369 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 1: All right, if you look at the average fight time 370 00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: for the Korean Zombie under ten minutes, even Brian Ortega 371 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 1: here comes in at just a little over eleven minutes, 372 00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: but he has been off since twenty eighteen in the 373 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,920 Speaker 1: loss to Max Holloway, which is not pretty. Or take 374 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 1: as a guy who in the UFC would love to 375 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,960 Speaker 1: see get in contention here in the featherweight division, or 376 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:52,919 Speaker 1: Korean Zombie for that matter, because of the international crowd, 377 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:56,920 Speaker 1: the international attention that the Korean Zombie would bring and 378 00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:01,399 Speaker 1: this guy is going to go to work. I think 379 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:05,000 Speaker 1: on Artaga, I'm a little concerned about ring rust. I 380 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,239 Speaker 1: know people say it's not a thing. I think it 381 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:10,959 Speaker 1: could be against Brian Ortega. Here's the thing that scares 382 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 1: me the most about Brian Ortega. Before he took the layoff, 383 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 1: his strikes absorbed per minute were seven point three six 384 00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 1: for the Korean Zombie three point seventy three. Ortiga gets 385 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 1: hit man. He's a great submission specialist, but the Korean 386 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 1: Zombie is not horrible on the mat either. So I 387 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: think Ortiga, if he gets to the met and gets 388 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 1: a sub maybe he gets it fast. It could happen quickly. 389 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 1: He's that good. So maybe the return of Artaica is 390 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:42,960 Speaker 1: take it to the ground, don't get hit, don't get 391 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,280 Speaker 1: beat up. For Zombie, maybe it's just come forward and 392 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 1: whale on Artaga and knock him out because this dude 393 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:53,000 Speaker 1: has had some of the more spectacular knockouts in this division. 394 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:57,520 Speaker 1: So I know it's a little scary because Artaga is 395 00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: durable and so is Zombie. But I'm gonna sprinkle the 396 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 1: half unit on the under for even money for Ortega 397 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,800 Speaker 1: and Zombie at two and a half rounds. Take a 398 00:21:07,840 --> 00:21:09,880 Speaker 1: half unit and put it on that so I've got 399 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 1: something to watch and something to root for coming up here. 400 00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,480 Speaker 1: I think there's a real good shot that or Tega 401 00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: by submission or Korean Zombie by knockout. That's how this 402 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 1: fight ends, because I think both are possible. I'm gonna 403 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,119 Speaker 1: say that it happens quickly, it doesn't happen, doesn't go 404 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:29,200 Speaker 1: deep into these rounds, you know, second third round, this 405 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 1: thing ends and the under comes in for Taga and 406 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:36,680 Speaker 1: the Korean Zombie. So under at even money half a unit, okay, 407 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: So to recap our plays, Astros even money to hedge 408 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: on my plus one thousand bet with the Tampa Bay Rays. 409 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 1: You know, I got ten to one going, so now 410 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 1: we'll have nine to one going if the Rays win, 411 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:51,240 Speaker 1: and if not, I wind up even and I gig this. 412 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,439 Speaker 1: It's really frustrating, but go raise, Okay, go raise, but 413 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:59,120 Speaker 1: Astros even money taking them on the money line to hedge. 414 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 1: Alma minus four and a half, Duke NC State over 415 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,639 Speaker 1: fifty eight, Texas A and M in Mississippi State over 416 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:11,199 Speaker 1: fifty six, Loma Lopez over ten and a half rounds 417 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 1: at minus one eighty half a unit and Artega Zombie 418 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 1: under two and a half rounds even money for a 419 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 1: half of units. Those are our plays for a Saturday. 420 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:24,719 Speaker 1: Remember the Sunday live stream The Daily Juice Podcast drops 421 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:26,919 Speaker 1: on Sunday morning with all of my picks and plays, 422 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 1: including my favorite little teaser bet that I've got rolling 423 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 1: for you. I haven't bet it yet because of the 424 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,480 Speaker 1: I'm not positive that Patriot game is gonna get played. 425 00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:36,199 Speaker 1: That's why I haven't given it to you guys. And 426 00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 1: I haven't bet it yet because I want to see 427 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 1: more about this Patriots game with the Broncos. I'm just 428 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 1: a little concerned about the COVID nineteen stuff with the Patriots. 429 00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 1: I'm not positive that game is getting played, so I 430 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 1: may have to pivot to a different bet for my teaser. 431 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,199 Speaker 1: But that's why you don't have it yet. I'll have 432 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:53,320 Speaker 1: it for you on the Sunday edition of the Daily 433 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:56,879 Speaker 1: Juice Podcast along with all my other plays, plus the 434 00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:00,359 Speaker 1: live stream eleven am Eastern eighty am Pacific. We go 435 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,439 Speaker 1: live Sunday morning on the YouTube channel Go subscribe to 436 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 1: it right now for betting pros so you get the 437 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 1: unification when I go live for player props. In latest news, 438 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:13,040 Speaker 1: as we head towards Week six in the NFL. My 439 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:15,159 Speaker 1: name is Matt Paroltz. You can follow me on Twitter 440 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,480 Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matts. Let's go on a Saturday. Best 441 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,119 Speaker 1: of luck to us, and I'll talk to you tomorrow 442 00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,480 Speaker 1: morning for the Sunday edition of the Daily Juice podcast 443 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: from Bettingpros dot com, presented by BEDAMGM