1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: Nike reported global sales for the prior quarter that beat 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 1: analysts expectations. Joining us now to discuss this is Punam Goil, 3 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 1: senior US e Commerce and retail analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. Well. 4 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: Seemingly dominating a lot of news flow out of the 5 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: earnings was the fact, punum that sales were up seventeen 6 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 1: percent and up in in every jurisdiction except for China, 7 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 1: and in these kind of recessionary fearing times, I suppose 8 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: investors really like that story. Is it as simple as that? Yeah, 9 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 1: I mean, they definitely delivered on the top line, and 10 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: if you look at it on an effects neutral basis, 11 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: even China was up. So overall, very very solid top 12 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,160 Speaker 1: line numbers here, and even on the margin front, they 13 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: you know, had markedowns that definitely drove margins down, but 14 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: they did better than what consensus estimate. It's called for. Really, 15 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: the only you know, the only concerning area from this 16 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: release was the inventory levels, which we're still up north, 17 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: which means that there's going to be marked downs even 18 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 1: in the coming fiscal quarter, and that's expected, and you 19 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 1: know that's really what we're watching for how they clear inventory. 20 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: But outside of that, UM strong brand, heat, strong momentum, active, 21 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:20,759 Speaker 1: We're still a heavily sought after category and Nike leading 22 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: its charge there. One China does just stand out in 23 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: terms of a soul sum at least, but one can 24 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: understand that people aren't exactly exercising while they've been in lockdown. 25 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: That's absolutely right. So China, you know, of all the regions, 26 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: is definitely lagging and continues to so as those lockdowns ease, which, um, 27 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: you know, we've heard that they are beginning to eat slightly. 28 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:45,679 Speaker 1: It's a weight and watch situation when these lockdowns do 29 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: go away, if they go away. When they go away, 30 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: I think China still remains a promising area for Nike. 31 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: It's a big growth category, growth area, growth region with 32 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: highest profits of the company. You know, China is a 33 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: very highly profitable region. And um, the consumers there will 34 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: go out and we'll start working out once they can. 35 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,239 Speaker 1: So I was kind of musing aloud as I was 36 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 1: putting some notes together for our data checks, and I 37 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: was thinking that Nike and FedEx tell different stories. But 38 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: in both cases the stocks jumped, and we just talked 39 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: about how Nike flexed its muscles with really strong sales 40 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: and that's a company just getting things right. I suppose 41 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 1: well FedEx flexed its cost cutting efficiencies with a billion 42 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 1: dollars of cost savings and would seem to bode well 43 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 1: for two of these kind of big American companies that 44 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: that people follow. But will Nike focus its energies going forward? 45 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: Do you think on on cost cutting so that it 46 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:52,040 Speaker 1: can kind of win at both ends? Well, I think 47 00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 1: Nike has to be careful if it does that. Um, 48 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:57,359 Speaker 1: we don't want to see costs go down in areas 49 00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 1: where they have future growth potential and market share gains. 50 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: For example, in the quarter, you know, they've had um 51 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: price increases this year and despite that, they saw full 52 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: price selling do really well across their top products and 53 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 1: what we're franchises, so that demand creation expense which continues 54 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 1: to rise. I wouldn't want to see them pull back 55 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 1: at that, So I think they have to be really 56 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,119 Speaker 1: careful if I don't think they have the same option 57 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: to cut back as aggressively, because it would really hinder 58 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: growth going forward. Tell me something, I mean, how far 59 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: can we look at Nike as and I mind the 60 00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: pun if you will, as a shop window into the 61 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: rest of what's going on. In the retail space. I think, 62 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: you know, each retailer tells a different story because it's 63 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 1: the consumer is pulling back a little. We've heard that 64 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 1: across the board. The macroeconomic conditions could, um, you know, 65 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: swing us into a recession and therefore the consumer will 66 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: pull back. But I think what differentiates Nike from the 67 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:00,160 Speaker 1: rest is that it is the leader. It has over 68 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 1: forty billion dollars in sales and number one at leisure 69 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: brand in the world, and it has a lot of 70 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: innovation and star endorsement, celebrity endorsements that really differentiate or 71 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 1: help differentiate its place in the marketplace. Um, not all 72 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,599 Speaker 1: retailers are doing well. We heard from Adidas and you 73 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 1: know there are some struggles there. So, um, it's it's 74 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 1: a catch. It's a catch twenty two in terms of 75 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 1: how retailers are performing and resonating. So the the extra inventory, 76 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:34,359 Speaker 1: you know, part part of that is a comparison with 77 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: twenty one. But let's not go there because it gets 78 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: kind of complicated. But uh, can they can they take 79 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 1: care of it with just volume? I mean can they? 80 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 1: You say they after cost cut? I mean they'll have 81 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 1: to lower the prices, but they can sell a lot 82 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 1: of volume. Absolutely can. If you look at the inventories 83 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: and you break it down parter over quarter, inventory was 84 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 1: actually down UM three on a dollar basis and high 85 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 1: single digits on a unit base. This so you can 86 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:04,280 Speaker 1: see that the inventories are trending in the right direction. 87 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: There's just more of it that needs to be done. 88 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:09,280 Speaker 1: And the only piece that I'm watching for, which could 89 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: you know be a red flag is where they clear it. Okay, yeah, 90 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: we'll have to close it there, but that's an interesting question. 91 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 1: Punham Goyle, with his senior US e Commerce and Retail 92 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence are analyst Wing