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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen hondy twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the Kickers block Book, College Football World Stundus.

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Speaker 1: Good Bye, Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 2: He stumbled, and football the lateral turn a corner on

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Speaker 2: the inside. Don't you the lad.

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Speaker 3: Table up the veil of the night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side on the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 2: it's the.

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Speaker 3: Size of the fight in the hall.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast, presented by Bett and GM. This is

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Speaker 2: the Week zero college football betting Preview. I'm stuck, joining

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Speaker 2: me as always co host of now going on seven years,

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Speaker 2: Colin Wilson, it's here. We are recording this three days away,

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Speaker 2: soon to be two, and before you know it will

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Speaker 2: be off and running on another grind of a season.

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Speaker 2: Be excited, brother, Am I excited?

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Speaker 1: Why are we the best podcast in the world because

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Speaker 1: we move U mass lines, which I'm gonna hold you

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Speaker 1: directly responsible for it. Now you're showing up here for

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Speaker 1: those of you without visuals wearing your UMass T shirt.

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Speaker 1: I'm about to run through a wall because it's the

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Speaker 1: side I want to take, I can't. This is the

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Speaker 1: Week zero podcast. We get to give all these G

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Speaker 1: five teams that we have to kind of, you know,

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Speaker 1: gloss over during the season. We need to give them

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Speaker 1: full attention. So I love this podcast. I'm ready to go.

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Speaker 2: I will also say it's kind of Week zero to me,

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Speaker 2: it's kind of like Bowl season that like sometimes you

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Speaker 2: just have to fire on the game even though you

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Speaker 2: don't so, and I actually think there's bigger edges early on,

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Speaker 2: there's more uncertainty. So I'll be betting most of these

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Speaker 2: games on Saturday. It's been long enough so I actually liked,

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Speaker 2: like really liking show edges on most of the games.

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Speaker 2: So we will go through them one by one. And

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Speaker 2: it's good to be back. Shout out to all the listeners,

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Speaker 2: you guys make the podcast. Feels good to be back.

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Speaker 2: So let's start things off in Dublin. Naturally, we'll start

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Speaker 2: the American collegeta ball off in Ireland. Oh downyboy. The

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Speaker 2: pipes pipes are from Thenool down the Mountains on two

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Speaker 2: thirty two thirty pm Eastern on Saturday. Make sure you

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Speaker 2: have your schedules cleared. NBC Notre Dame twenty and a

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Speaker 2: half twenty one point favorite, depending on where you look.

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Speaker 2: Over eighty over unders come down from fifty one to

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Speaker 2: forty nine and a half forty nine depending on where

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Speaker 2: you look. This is the ninety sixth meeting in this

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Speaker 2: historic rivalry. It's the third in Dublin. For what it's worth.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame one fifty four to twenty seven and ninety six.

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Speaker 2: They also rolled in twenty twelve, but that was the

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame team that went undefeated and went to the

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Speaker 2: National Championship game. So obviously, big, big story. These two

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Speaker 2: teams played last year. Navy covered they went down big early,

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Speaker 2: stormed back and made it a game. In a three

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Speaker 2: point loss. You had many different quarterbacks. You were down

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Speaker 2: to a quarterback that's no longer on the Notre Dame roster.

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Speaker 2: You were down to like the third and fourth string

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Speaker 2: on Navy. They will have different quarterbacks. Notre Dame will

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Speaker 2: obviously have Sam Hartman coming in to rejuvenate the quarterback room,

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Speaker 2: and he'll work behind a very good offensive line with

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Speaker 2: two really good tackles. Wide receiver rooms in talent, but

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Speaker 2: a lot of questions there. Navy, meanwhile, Ty Lavatai was

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Speaker 2: a little more you know, a little more passing ability

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Speaker 2: than most Navy quarterbacks. Mainly it's just hey, well the

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Speaker 2: defense to sleep and then we're gonna take some deep shots.

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Speaker 2: We'll get the start. He's the experienced guy. And then

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Speaker 2: Blake Horvath, who has never played a collegiate game, will

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Speaker 2: probably get some run. He is a pure like option runner.

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Speaker 2: And then you also have Xavier Arline, who they're trying

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Speaker 2: to work in it like the slot in other places.

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Speaker 2: He was playing lacrosse, got banged up. You might see

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Speaker 2: him too. You have a new head coach and Brian

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Speaker 2: Newberry from the staff, and a new offensive coordinator, Brant

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Speaker 2: Chestnut comes over from Kennesas State. Not the same exact offense,

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Speaker 2: but option principles. You might see a few wrinkles, you know,

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Speaker 2: some trick plays, some more different formations, maybe areline in

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Speaker 2: the slot like you maybe see reverse passes, things like that.

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Speaker 2: It'll be interesting to see what the Navy offense looks like.

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Speaker 2: The defense does return nine starters. I really like the

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Speaker 2: hire of secondary coach Eric Lewis, who has really improved

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Speaker 2: secondaries wherever he's been, most recently at Bowling Green. So

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Speaker 2: before we get into some of the nuts and bolts

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Speaker 2: this matchup, Colin, what do you see here? Sam Hartman

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Speaker 2: has torn apart. We watched him tear apart a Service

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Speaker 2: Academy secondary and this Navy secondary really bad last year.

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Speaker 2: You also have to worry Aboutnavy being a little undersized,

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Speaker 2: so the defensive line, but they shoot gaps and they'll

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Speaker 2: try to create casts that way, and they tend to

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Speaker 2: hold their own and their run defense was fantastic last year.

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Speaker 2: He's Notre Dame going to come out here and try

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Speaker 2: to pound them with their size and the offensive line.

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Speaker 2: Are they going to try to throw with the secondary?

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Speaker 2: What do you think the Notre Dame approaches here? And

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Speaker 2: how do you think this game plays out? Could be

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Speaker 2: a little cloudy and maybe some rain, but it might

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Speaker 2: looks like it might taper off by night. When this

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Speaker 2: game kicks, it's seven thirty Eastern in Dublin time. What

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Speaker 2: do you see here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, teams aren't fast enough for us to handicap what

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Speaker 1: the turf is going to be over in Dublin. But

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of change on both sides of the ball.

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Speaker 1: Gerrod Parker gets promoted from tight end coach to offensive

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Speaker 1: coordinator after Tommy Reese left. Parker has never been given

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Speaker 1: this opportunity to be an offensive coordinator. He was going

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Speaker 1: to join Cincinnati staff with Luke Fickle before he got

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Speaker 1: a DUI in twenty seventeen he had to resign from

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Speaker 1: his position, so of a sort of a big thing.

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Speaker 1: It is a big day for Parker for Notre Dames

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Speaker 1: offensive coordinator, and the reason that he got the job

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Speaker 1: we're on the street is that he had the best

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Speaker 1: chemistry with Sam Hartman and Sam Martin got to campus.

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Speaker 1: So we'll see if that translates onto the field. I

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Speaker 1: don't expect anything. I mean, Hartman can throw it down

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Speaker 1: the field, he can torch this secondary. But at the

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Speaker 1: same time, who returns Jayden Thomas he had twenty five

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Speaker 1: catches last year. Both are freshmen, Jaden Greathhouse, Rico Flores.

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Speaker 1: Both have drawn praise from the coaching staff. But I

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Speaker 1: mean there's no experience there whatsoever. Mark la Mara was

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Speaker 1: the entire offense. A lot of change over here. I

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Speaker 1: expect Notre Dame to start slow. I think Hartman's going

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Speaker 1: to take shots down field, but you're doing that with

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Speaker 1: some very inexperienced wide receiver unit, and from what I hear,

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Speaker 1: his favorite targets and training camp has been freshmen. So

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Speaker 1: when you flip over to the Navy side, yeah, we

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Speaker 1: have a lot of change. I hate other places that say, well,

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Speaker 1: we don't know what Navy is gonna do. No, we

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Speaker 1: know exactly what Navy's going to do. You mentioned Chestnut

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Speaker 1: comes in from Kennesaw State. He's a Paul Johnson disciple.

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Speaker 1: He played offensive tackle at Georgia Southern for Paul Johnson.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be the spread option. Listen, Kennesaw led

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Speaker 1: the Big South and rushing and scoring the last five seasons.

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Speaker 1: They had a top three rushing attack in the FCS.

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Speaker 1: But they are going to throw the ball. And everybody's

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Speaker 1: freaked out about this. You know Navy's throwing the ball.

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Speaker 1: But let's break down the tape here. What they really

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Speaker 1: do is they go into three wide receiver sets and

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Speaker 1: then they dump off in the flats to running backs

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Speaker 1: and tight ends, or they'll run bubble screens. They don't

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Speaker 1: take shots downfield like average depth of target like two yards.

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Speaker 1: So what I see as is, yes, we have a

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Speaker 1: different way to run the triple. They did name Blake

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Speaker 1: Horvath as quarterback one on the depth chart, but ty

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Speaker 1: Lavatai was also right beneath him. They said, it's one

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Speaker 1: A one B. Lavati is going to get a lot

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Speaker 1: of play. They picked Horvath as number one on the

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Speaker 1: depth chart. They said that his throwing fundamentals and decision

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Speaker 1: making is what separated him from everybody else. So I'm wondering, like,

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Speaker 1: when that doesn't work against Notre Dame, you bring Tyler

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Speaker 1: h Tie in to completely just run the triple.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but bub Labatae is gonna start the game like

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Speaker 2: he's gonna start the first series because Newberry said that hoh'reorbat.

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Speaker 2: You know, it would be tough, a tough thing for

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Speaker 2: him to, you know, come into his first collegiate experience

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Speaker 2: and first coleagic games starting off. So yeah, you might

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Speaker 2: see him like the on the second drive, but Laptie's

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Speaker 2: gonna actually start the first drive.

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Speaker 1: We saw a massive shift. We're recording this on Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: We saw a massive shift in the total today. I

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Speaker 1: think for some fifteen and a halves are out there

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Speaker 1: and now they all got blown away at about forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half. Forty eight being a very big

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Speaker 1: key number in totals. Notre Dame's gonna run a lot.

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Speaker 1: Navy's still gonna burn a whole ton of clock. I

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Speaker 1: love Navy's rush defense here. They didn't really lose anybody

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Speaker 1: out of the front seven. So I expect periods of

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Speaker 1: inactivity on the scoreboard here. And with that total stuck

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Speaker 1: going down forty nine, forty eight, and that point spread

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Speaker 1: continuing to sit on twenty and a half, twenty one

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Speaker 1: out there if you can find it. I love the spread.

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Speaker 1: I like the Navy side. I already laid money on

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Speaker 1: it a couple months ago. This total keeps going down.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look at Nome last year, last November, they

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Speaker 1: only rushed for sixty six yards against Navy. I mean

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Speaker 1: that was last November, one of the last games of

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Speaker 1: the year. So I don't see a huge change in

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Speaker 1: how this defense prepares under Newberry for this offense. And

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Speaker 1: the last thing I'll say about this game is I'm

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Speaker 1: reminded of three years ago, going into the pandemic. There

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Speaker 1: was this big talk about Navy not being physical. They

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Speaker 1: were out there tackling tires. They weren't tackling each other.

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Speaker 1: They were tackling tires, and I don't know, tackling the grass,

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Speaker 1: no physicality in practice whatsoever. Brian Newberry takes over and

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Speaker 1: some of the first things he's saying is we must

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Speaker 1: be physical. We must be physical. We're going to beat

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Speaker 1: the crap out of each other during the summer.

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Speaker 2: So that's fine.

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Speaker 1: But then I go and read Marcus Freeman, and Marcus

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Speaker 1: Freeman said, We've done everything we can in twenty practices

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Speaker 1: during training camp to stay as healthy as possible. We

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Speaker 1: have We're down seventy nine percent dehydrations, we have half

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Speaker 1: the concussions we had a year ago. And I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying this is you can't put this in a spreadsheet.

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Speaker 1: I can't mathematically do this. But these teams that really

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Speaker 1: take it easy on physicality and in their training camp

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Speaker 1: can sometimes come out and take a couple of punches

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Speaker 1: in the face before they really turn it around in

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Speaker 1: the middle of the game. So I think Navy has

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Speaker 1: a chance to actually start off a little hot here.

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Speaker 2: We saw that with Navy a couple years and they

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Speaker 2: just got destroyed in fifty five. Yeah, a couple other

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Speaker 2: interesting nuggets for this game. You know, I was kind

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Speaker 2: of looking back at, you know, the preparation for Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame is interesting. Because you know, you get they spent

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Speaker 2: two full weeks and it's it's nice when you get

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Speaker 2: the extra time to prepare for the triple option. It's

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Speaker 2: going to be some new wrinkles that Kennisall State offensive

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Speaker 2: coordinator Grant Chestnut brings in. So it's not just hey,

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Speaker 2: we're preparing for the straight option. Freeman, he was a

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Speaker 2: defensive coordinator. You know, he gave up forty two the

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Speaker 2: first time he saw a trip option, then zero and

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Speaker 2: then ten. But last year the game plan all went

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Speaker 2: to Al Golden was a perfect name to be a

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame defensive coordinator, and he has the game plan

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Speaker 2: again this year. And you know, I know Navy started slow,

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Speaker 2: but they still scored thirty two points two hundred and

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Speaker 2: sixty yards rushing five and a half a clip. So

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Speaker 2: the one thing that does give me pause for concern

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Speaker 2: Navy's last three openers as bad as you can get.

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Speaker 2: They lost fourteen to seven to Delaware, forty nine to

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Speaker 2: seven to Marshall, and fifty five to three against BYU.

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Speaker 2: They scored a total of seventeen points in those three games.

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Speaker 2: But this is a different offense. That Navy offense had

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Speaker 2: gone stale.

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Speaker 1: It's a different coaching regime too.

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Speaker 2: Yep, a change was needed. They made one. It's worth

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Speaker 2: thirty that Navy's not trying to throw it down the field,

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Speaker 2: which takes away one of the strengths of this notre

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Speaker 2: name defense, which is their pair of corners, which are

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Speaker 2: really good. I think that the intangibles here, you have

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Speaker 2: some if there is some weather, some wind, or some rain,

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Speaker 2: doesn't look like it'll be effective, but that obviously would

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Speaker 2: help Navy, So that can only help the Navy side. Also,

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Speaker 2: the traveling and the jet lag and the discipline to

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Speaker 2: go over to Dublin and stay focused.

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Speaker 1: You have to.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's a Service Academy team, you would have

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Speaker 2: to favor Navy in that aspect. And plus who's better

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Speaker 2: at handling jet lag and traveling than the Navy. This

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Speaker 2: is an obvious play for me, if you've listened to

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Speaker 2: this podcast before. It's a Service Academy catching over two touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: There's no way I'm not playing Navy here waiting for

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Speaker 2: that flat twenty one twenty one minus one twelve. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I would still play it at twenty a half. See

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Speaker 2: if that twenty one pops, If you can get the

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Speaker 2: twenty one when you're listeners. I don't know what we'll

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Speaker 2: be out there, but Service Academy catching three touchdowns. Total's

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Speaker 2: coming down to they want to limit possessions. Clock will

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Speaker 2: be going. It's and it's Navy. They're never gonna quit.

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Speaker 2: Just look at last year, like you could easily get

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Speaker 2: a back door. Here the stat I'll leave you with

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Speaker 2: for the Navy side. If Navy doesn't cover, fine, it'll suck.

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Speaker 2: It's the first game, but the taking Service Academy is

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Speaker 2: catching over two touchdowns. I've done it for as long

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Speaker 2: as I can remember, and a treat to me very well.

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Speaker 2: Since two thousand and five, Service Academy is catching over

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Speaker 2: fourteen points forty two, twenty two and two against the

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Speaker 2: spread sixty five and a half percent. That included this

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Speaker 2: matchup last year. So yeah, give me the middies. Keep

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Speaker 2: this close. Should be an interesting game to watch into.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the second game. People

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Speaker 2: are like, oh, there's no good teams playing. This day

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Speaker 2: was crafted for this podcast and for me specifically, Service

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Speaker 2: Academy catching over two touchdowns. UMass Minor Nation, Like, give

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Speaker 2: me a break, this is a glorious day. So let's

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Speaker 2: go to Minor Nation.

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Speaker 1: We're talking Minor Nation out in the West Texas town

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Speaker 1: of el Past.

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Speaker 2: Picks up Minor Nation laying one at Jacksonville State one

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Speaker 2: one and a half over under, a shot up from

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Speaker 2: fifty one to fifty one and a half up to

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Speaker 2: fifty three and a half fifty four. This game will

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Speaker 2: we played five thirty Eastern on CBS Sports Network, again

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Speaker 2: my favorite network as well UTEP. This will be obviously

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville State's first game in the FBS, so you can

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Speaker 2: imagine they're going to be pretty fired up. I think

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Speaker 2: that's a little overrated narrative though that could also work

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Speaker 2: against them, right, like trying to make too many things happen.

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Speaker 2: And it's definitely an aggressive team. It's rich Rodriguez if

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Speaker 2: you weren't familiar as the head coach at Jacksonville State,

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Speaker 2: it's the Rich Rod offense. First coach ever to use

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Speaker 2: the pure zone read with a quarterback by the way

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Speaker 2: ahead of the curve there, simple offensive line reads and

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Speaker 2: then just kind of test the perimeter of defenses. A

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Speaker 2: lot of slants and fast pace. A lot of pace

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Speaker 2: as well for rich Rod offense. Last year you had

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Speaker 2: a six year quarterbacks on Web can't really throw the ball.

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Speaker 2: I think you only had ten touchdowns eight interceptions, but

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Speaker 2: he can run it. They had a really good back

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Speaker 2: who will not be playing. He's not on the depth

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Speaker 2: chart in a war. Lewis Anne Ar Lewis is not

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Speaker 2: on the depth chart. They said his injury was too

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Speaker 2: much for him to play. Now today it's tweeted out

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Speaker 2: there's a chance that he might be healthy before the game.

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Speaker 2: That's such a big piece. Yeah, he was big average

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Speaker 2: like seven yards per carry last year. They have two

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Speaker 2: guys listed on the depth charter quarterback, even though Zion

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Speaker 2: What got cleared, he received a waiver for his seventh year.

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Speaker 2: But it's he will start. But Logan's Smothers. I had

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Speaker 2: money on Logan Smothers once at Nebraska. He came like

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Speaker 2: into the game or I remember at one point I

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Speaker 2: had money on Logan Smothers. But the Nebraska transfer is

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Speaker 2: also a quarterback who will see some packages here. The

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Speaker 2: way that I look at this game, you know, if

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Speaker 2: you're wondering, it's hard. It's hard to gauge these f

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Speaker 2: FCS teams when they're making the jump. We saw jam

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Speaker 2: you have a ton of success last year. And when

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Speaker 2: I look back historically, some teams have a ton of success.

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Speaker 2: Some teams, you know, go win less and it's not

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Speaker 2: a huge sample size and the results are all over

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Speaker 2: the map if you're wondering. Last year they lost fifty

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Speaker 2: four to seventeen at Tulsa. The year before they lost

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Speaker 2: thirty one and nothing UAV, but they did win at

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Speaker 2: Florida State. I think I'm going to bet minor nation here.

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Speaker 2: I'm worried that their special teams are going to cost

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Speaker 2: them the game, which is I just have this feeling,

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Speaker 2: but they lost a really good kicker, but I show

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Speaker 2: a little value in the line. The Jacksonville State defense

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Speaker 2: is horrific. I mean they gave up like four hundred

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Speaker 2: yards per game FCS level last year. They are very undersized. Specifically,

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Speaker 2: they are undersized on the defensive line. That is my

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Speaker 2: biggest concern here because UTEP's biggest strength is their offensive line.

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Speaker 2: It is massive, massive offensive line. They're gonna lean on

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Speaker 2: their ground game and they should be able to just

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Speaker 2: run at will and that's the UTEP offense. And the

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Speaker 2: UTEP offense is basically Gavin Hardison back at quarterback. They

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Speaker 2: also got Tyron Smith, their leading receiver, who went to

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Speaker 2: Texas A and m transferred and then came back and

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Speaker 2: he's on the depth chart. He's their best receiver. Huge addition,

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Speaker 2: but their offense is hard, like just run, run, run,

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Speaker 2: pound you with a really really good offensive line and

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Speaker 2: really big and then Hardison who's not an efficient accurate passer,

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Speaker 2: but he'll just take deep shots right Like it's just

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Speaker 2: all explosiveness. And this Jacksonville State defense is very aggressive,

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Speaker 2: like they try to get like just taboc plays and

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Speaker 2: then they kind of play out the offense and then

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Speaker 2: otherwise they're just gonna give up points. Well, they're gonna

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Speaker 2: get like burnt here and then they're not able to

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Speaker 2: they're not able to defend the run, and I just

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Speaker 2: think UTEP's gonna defend the trenches. UTEP's run defense is

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Speaker 2: the strength of their team. Their secondary does have more

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Speaker 2: experience coming back, but that's Jacksonville State wants to run

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Speaker 2: the ball. They also want to go really fast. So

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Speaker 2: I think that just UTEP will get a couple more

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Speaker 2: stops here, they'll be able to more consistently move the

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Speaker 2: ball because of their advantage in the trenches. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: and the other good thing is if UTEP doesn't cover,

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Speaker 2: we can blame Minor Nation for losing to an FCS

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Speaker 2: team and he has to call into the voicemail. This

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Speaker 2: is Jason, and I just want to tell you guys

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Speaker 2: that Minor mother f in Nation just covered. Doesn't matter

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Speaker 2: that we didn't score, we cover spread.

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Speaker 1: I hope you guys eat a bag of the size

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Speaker 1: of the distance from Lexington to l pass O Baby Boom.

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Speaker 2: By the way, reminder of the voice smails. We'll be

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Speaker 2: starting them back up, so just call in whenever you can.

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Speaker 2: I will tweet the number all the time, but it's

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Speaker 2: nine to five to nine, Bad Beat, nine five to nine,

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Speaker 2: Bad Beat. If you're new to the show, you call in.

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Speaker 2: We have callers who call in. They can bitch, complain, yell, scream,

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Speaker 2: praise this if you want, but usually it's negative or

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Speaker 2: just funny drunk ramblings. And then we play a recap

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Speaker 2: on the Monday episode. It's a lot of fun and

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Speaker 2: very cathartic, and you can hear other people bitch about

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Speaker 2: losing money on the same games that you did. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: Minor Nation one of our favorite callers. To hope to

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Speaker 2: hear from him after this weekend. I'm riding I'm riding

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Speaker 2: my minor nation line sitting at one. I'm let's see

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Speaker 2: where it goes. Maybe Jacksonville State takes some money. I

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Speaker 2: don't know where the market's going to go on this

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Speaker 2: because people could have very differing opinions on Jacksonville State.

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Speaker 2: What do you see here?

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Speaker 1: Well, the first thing I had to do was check

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Speaker 1: to see if Jacksonville was in the Eastern or Central

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Speaker 1: time zone. As we know, UTEP failed to record a

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Speaker 1: win I believe, in twenty seven straight Eastern time zone

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Speaker 1: games until they went to club late last year and

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Speaker 1: beat Charlotte. So sadly enough, Jacksonville State is in the

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Speaker 1: Central time zone, so it did not apply. But keep

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Speaker 1: your keep that in your thoughts as well. UTEP goes

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Speaker 1: on their road schedule, so yeah, you're right. Gavin Hardis

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Speaker 1: is coming back for a fifth year. He gets three

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Speaker 1: sixth year seniors in front of him on the offensive line,

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Speaker 1: So I don't really see a lot of problems coming

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Speaker 1: out of this UTEP offense from running the ball, although

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Speaker 1: you know, we'll see who the belcow is going to be.

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Speaker 1: But Tyron Smith one hundred and twenty two catches a

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Speaker 1: year ago, tried to transfer to Texas A and M.

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Speaker 1: His credits did not apply, so he withdrew his transfer

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Speaker 1: portal and stayed at UTEP. That's a monster, I think,

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Speaker 1: the best wide receiver in Conference USA by far so.

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Speaker 1: And the reason why Gavin Hardison has like such a

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Speaker 1: huge average depth of target. He's a great deep ball thrower.

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Speaker 1: That's because UTEP is generally like third and twelve, third

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Speaker 1: and fifteen, like they're almost always behind the chains. That

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Speaker 1: really has to increase how much he throws. But he's

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Speaker 1: a pretty accurate downfield passer, very explosive, and he gets

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Speaker 1: Smith back. So I don't see a lot of issues there,

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Speaker 1: especially against the Jacksonville State secondary that's got some new

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Speaker 1: faces in there. When you switch over to the other side. Man,

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Speaker 1: I love this game. I love seeing rich rod go.

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Speaker 1: I was really excited to think that anwar Lewis was

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Speaker 1: going to be playing in this game. He's dealing with

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Speaker 1: an injury. He was not on the published depth chart

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Speaker 1: it was announced. I believe today today, Wednesday, this morning,

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Speaker 1: he could see some playing time if he's healthy. I

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Speaker 1: think that that is why we saw a bump in

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Speaker 1: the total fifty three in some places up to fifty four.

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Speaker 1: And a half fifty five B and the biggest key

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Speaker 1: in all of college football. So keep your eyes on that.

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Speaker 1: But I mean these two offenses are complete contrasts of

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Speaker 1: each other. U TEP goes about twenty seconds. Yeah yeah,

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Speaker 1: and rich Rod last year in FCS played twenty three

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Speaker 1: point one seconds per play. They had the third lowest

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Speaker 1: time of possession in all of FCS last year. So

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Speaker 1: when you see Jacksonville State's offense on the field, it's

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Speaker 1: not gonna be there very long. You're either gonna get

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Speaker 1: you know, Zion trying to bust some explosive play on

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Speaker 1: the ground, or you're gonna get ah More Lewis if

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Speaker 1: he's healthy out there. They did get ULM transfer uh

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Speaker 1: uh probably, you know, rich Rod digging in getting some

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Speaker 1: ul transfers. Malik Jackson is going to be running the

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Speaker 1: ball there too. Well, he hasn't really shown anything from

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Speaker 1: a yards after contact when he did get playing time

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Speaker 1: at ULM. But we'll see what he can do, so

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Speaker 1: you can see yeah great, yeah, so you know, not great.

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Speaker 1: We'll see what he can do here. But you know

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Speaker 1: the team is really great, uh in total offense and

429
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 1: FCS last year. We'll see if that applies here. They're

430
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 1: you know, they're strong points coming into Conference USA. Their

431
00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,400
Speaker 1: offensive line should be able to make some holes. Their

432
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,320
Speaker 1: special teams is much better than UTEP here coming into

433
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,800
Speaker 1: the season. So for me, when I looked at these

434
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:44,440
Speaker 1: two offenses to see what they're going against, it really

435
00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:48,719
Speaker 1: screamed over. I'm playing the over here. Both offenses are

436
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:52,639
Speaker 1: built in a way to expose the opposing defense. Like

437
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 1: I said, Harrison's going to hit Tyron Smith. That is

438
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:58,639
Speaker 1: just too much for the game Cock secondary. Nicol Colby

439
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:02,119
Speaker 1: Fuquah and Maine black Bear's transfer. Austin Ambush is the

440
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: only experience that the game Cocks have in the secondary.

441
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:08,119
Speaker 1: Lots of new faces for Hardiston to pick apart. You know,

442
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,919
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State wants to go up tempo against a UTEP

443
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,399
Speaker 1: front seven. That is all juco And I don't know

444
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,919
Speaker 1: how we handicap whether those are good players or bad players,

445
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,040
Speaker 1: but they're all fresh new faces for UTEP in the

446
00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 1: front seven. I think you're getting a little bit of

447
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 1: a discount here. I'm playing the over I'm gonna be

448
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 1: on the floor at Circa on Saturday. Join me in

449
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,680
Speaker 1: a booth because I'll have some coin down and I'm

450
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,920
Speaker 1: gonna be yelling my head off, don't cross the number

451
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 1: of fifty five, biggest number in totals in all of

452
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 1: college football.

453
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:35,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, my only concern with you know, I mean, obviously

454
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 2: we're still gonna see how the rule changes impact totals

455
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 2: in the market and what the market thinks of it

456
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:44,479
Speaker 2: over the first week or two, which will be interesting

457
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 2: to watch. My only concern here and look these two,

458
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 2: these first two games which I'm gonna have money on

459
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 2: in Navy and and and you Tap, they're they're very

460
00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:01,400
Speaker 2: There's a lot of outcomes that very high variants in both.

461
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,440
Speaker 2: You have an FCS team jumping up for the first time,

462
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 2: and then obviously you have a service academy with new offense,

463
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 2: and you're playing in Ireland, my own, so who knows

464
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 2: what the I mean, UTEP does have a really one,

465
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,120
Speaker 2: really good defensive end who didn't have a great year

466
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 2: last year, Whoman will A or whatever, Prince the My

467
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,440
Speaker 2: only concern with the total because I agree with you,

468
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:28,320
Speaker 2: I think Jacksonville State's going to go super fast is

469
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 2: if if UTEP has their slow grinding drives just running

470
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:37,159
Speaker 2: it down their throat and then they are scoring touchdowns

471
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 2: Jacksonville State is down and they're going fast. But because

472
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 2: they're down, they're like, oh it's rich Rod, right, So

473
00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 2: they're going fast, they're going on the field, and then

474
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 2: they're not like converting on fourth downs, so then they're

475
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,359
Speaker 2: turning the ball over after like a long drive on

476
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 2: a fourth down, and then the other the only other

477
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 2: worry would be and I'm just playing Devil's advocate. Years

478
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,639
Speaker 2: like UTEP is missing field goals because their field goal

479
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:04,920
Speaker 2: kicker could be shaky, but that could maybe they go

480
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,119
Speaker 2: for it more with their offensive line advantage.

481
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 1: We will see from a logic standpoint, Yeah, I shaved

482
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 1: five percent of the totals off in Week zero because

483
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,160
Speaker 1: I did all the math on the minutes that we're

484
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 1: gonna kill with the spotting the ball. But it only

485
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:21,200
Speaker 1: applies to first downs. I don't mind taking overs on

486
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 1: teams that were really subpar FBS last year and creating

487
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 1: first downs. If you create a ton of first downs,

488
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:31,119
Speaker 1: which like Naty we just talked about, I think there

489
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 1: were third and first downs by rush, Like that's gonna

490
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 1: burn a lot of clock. But with teams like UTEP

491
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,120
Speaker 1: that rely more on explosives than having twelve play drives,

492
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 1: then I think you might be okay. Getting away with

493
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 1: an over is a rule of thumb.

494
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:49,119
Speaker 2: So Colin everybody action knows. I treat my body like

495
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,640
Speaker 2: a temple. That's why I'm excited about our new sponsor, Factor,

496
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497
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502
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Speaker 2: the nutritional quality you need to tackle challenging topics like

503
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Speaker 2: the UMass defense. Three factors fresh never frozen meals are

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Speaker 2: ready in just two minutes. So this August run your

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506
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507
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508
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:36,640
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509
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Speaker 2: code BBOC five zero at Factor Meals dot Com slash

510
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Speaker 2: BBOC five zero to get fifty percent off. I have

511
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 2: some on the way they're sending me, and I will

512
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 2: tell you. Our producer Matt Mitchell shot to him, raves

513
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 2: about them, says him and his wife have been eating

514
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:55,680
Speaker 2: for months, so that is an authentic plug. And I'll

515
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 2: let you guys know how they are. But I'm excited

516
00:25:57,280 --> 00:26:01,119
Speaker 2: to get some. All right, let's move on to the

517
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 2: third game of the day. We had Service Academy catching

518
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 2: more than two touchdowns. We had a minor nation. Let's

519
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 2: bring in U Mass, baby, you Mass, New Mexico State.

520
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 2: So yes, I'm gonna be on you. Mass already put

521
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 2: in the app lines. Now down to plus six and

522
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 2: a half. I think I still like it there. I

523
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 2: project this game at minus two. I basically have these

524
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 2: teams even and I will tell you why. So first

525
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 2: of all, you Mass, I think potentially could be fairly improved.

526
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:40,720
Speaker 2: Still gonna be one of the worst teams in the country.

527
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 2: But what they have not had a quarterback like they

528
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 2: usually play like four or five quarterbacks in ages. Well,

529
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:52,280
Speaker 2: they finally have one in Puma Chan Tyson. Puma Chan

530
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 2: my first hard pronunciation. I'm a wool and Puma Chan

531
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:00,679
Speaker 2: I think he pronounced pumachan looks like Foamachon Tyson, who

532
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:05,480
Speaker 2: was like a top ten recruit was that Georgia Tech Clemson.

533
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:09,159
Speaker 2: He has a ton of talent, huge upgrade at UMass,

534
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 2: like just the potential for someone to just complete passes,

535
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 2: can also use his legs. They also brought in some

536
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 2: Power five transfers at wide receiver, one from Arizona, one

537
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 2: from Miami who started for Miami in Pope. They have

538
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 2: a much older, improved offensive line. A couple years ago,

539
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,119
Speaker 2: their offens line was just like freshmen and they were

540
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 2: a disaster. Now a bunch of juniors, they should be

541
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 2: a little better. So I think the offense has a

542
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 2: lot more potential. You know, it's year two of this system.

543
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 2: On both sides of the ball. They've lost twenty four

544
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 2: straight on the road. I think they have a really

545
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 2: good chance of winning this game and ending that streak.

546
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,479
Speaker 2: They played last year at UMass. New Mexico State won

547
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 2: that game there one point favorite, so now they were

548
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 2: around a touchdown if I mean u Mass home field

549
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 2: is like nothing, neither is New Mexico State, but there's

550
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,280
Speaker 2: some travel. But it's the first game of the year.

551
00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 2: That's but that's assuming that these teams are the same.

552
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:09,320
Speaker 2: I think UMass is improved and could be really improved

553
00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:11,919
Speaker 2: from just going from the worst possible offense you can

554
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:15,159
Speaker 2: have to hey, look we can actually complete passes and

555
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 2: we have some talent and wide receiver. Our offensive line

556
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 2: is better. The Mexico State, we know who they are.

557
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 2: I'm not This offense stinks and their defense, which I

558
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 2: liked last year. While I bet a lot of their unders,

559
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:29,399
Speaker 2: and I bet on the Mexico's State a bunch of

560
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:32,760
Speaker 2: they lost a lot. And their back seventh specify had safety,

561
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 2: which is what I liked for this defense, and they

562
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,320
Speaker 2: lost a lot there. So I think the Mexico State

563
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 2: takes a step back. U Mass gets better and these

564
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 2: two teams are on par and I think New Mass

565
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 2: is more upside. And I think that a lot of

566
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 2: this and I played in the Mexico State win total

567
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,479
Speaker 2: under as well. I think a lot of people are

568
00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 2: in the market. The market implied ratings. New Mesico State

569
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 2: went up artificially because of what they were doing. But

570
00:28:58,320 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 2: if you dig at the end of the year, they

571
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:03,040
Speaker 2: got the seven and six. They beat a horrendous garbage

572
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 2: bowling green team in a bowl, and they got to

573
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 2: a bowl. Here's how they got to a bowl. They

574
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:12,360
Speaker 2: beat Hawaii. The rebuilding Joe Hawaii, We're gonna get to

575
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 2: and probably bet on soon New Mexico. Then they beat

576
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 2: U Mass the rebuilding joke and U Mess without a quarterback.

577
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:26,560
Speaker 2: Then they beat Lamar, then they beat the Liberty corpse

578
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 2: who quit, and then they added Valpo and beat them like,

579
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 2: come on, New Mexico, U Mass, Lamar a liberty corpse,

580
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,640
Speaker 2: and then you add Valpo. That was their wins, like

581
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 2: they had everything go right at the end of the year.

582
00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 2: Diego Pavia. He has to improve a little. Bet he's

583
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:47,920
Speaker 2: still not a good quarterback. There's still not a good offense.

584
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 2: I love UMass here minute men football outright trash pick

585
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 2: of the week, by the way, our first of the year.

586
00:29:58,000 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 3: I'm the trash man.

587
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 1: Just throw the trash, your garbage and you know it.

588
00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 3: Totally unreliable, undependent, whether that's it, you've been told off?

589
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 2: How do you like that?

590
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 1: Good? Yeah, you're wearing the T shirt? I mean, who

591
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: hiw was New Mexico State favored by six and a

592
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 1: half or seven over anybody? But no, I think you're right.

593
00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 1: U Mass is definitely on the rebound. A lot of

594
00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 1: good stuff going on here. They lost their left tackle,

595
00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:23,080
Speaker 1: Max Long, when he transferred to Indiana. But all the

596
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 1: other offensive line spots are solid and secure from last year.

597
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,880
Speaker 1: You mentioned Tyson Fomachan from you know Clemson Highlight Blue,

598
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 1: Puma Kuma umahehn Uma John, And you know what's going

599
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 1: to happen is U Mass is going to be aggressive

600
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,800
Speaker 1: running between the tackles. Carlos Davis was a good running

601
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 1: back at Western Carolina. He transfers in to take some

602
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 1: of the duties there. And Jerry kill was talking this

603
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 1: week about how he does not enjoy going against the

604
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 1: U Mass because what they did on defense last year

605
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 1: they actually finished top fifty in success rate and finishing

606
00:30:56,280 --> 00:31:00,120
Speaker 1: drives like this massive upgrade that you Mass had on

607
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 1: defense last year, and Jerry Kiel mentioned it. He said,

608
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:05,360
Speaker 1: they're going to put eight in the box and they

609
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:07,480
Speaker 1: always have good corners and they're going to challenge us

610
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 1: to throw outside. And I mean that's what they have

611
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,560
Speaker 1: this year. Jordan Mahoney had six PBUs three I in

612
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:15,120
Speaker 1: T's last year for the minute men. He's back. So

613
00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,680
Speaker 1: you know U Mass is going to cause a lot

614
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 1: of problems in Diego Pavilla. If you look at his numbers,

615
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:23,479
Speaker 1: they look okay. He had a two to one ratio

616
00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 1: in tds and big time throws over, turnover worthy plays

617
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 1: and interceptions. So the numbers are there and say that

618
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 1: he's okay. He had five hundred yards on the ground,

619
00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 1: pretty even split between scramble and design. But once you

620
00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:39,520
Speaker 1: get past him, there's just there's not a lot here.

621
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:41,959
Speaker 1: They were one hundred and twenty first and offensive success. Right,

622
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,840
Speaker 1: they were one hundred and first and finishing drives. So

623
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 1: if U mess can figure it out on the offensive

624
00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 1: side of the ball, which they think they finally have

625
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 1: the talent to kind of figure it out, then they

626
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 1: can win this game out right. So I don't know

627
00:31:57,040 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: if I'm worried about the humidity is going to actually

628
00:31:58,720 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 1: be pretty low. I know it's going to be ninety

629
00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:03,160
Speaker 1: four degrees in Las Cruses and Amherst is rolling in

630
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 1: about mid seventies, but the humidity is actually going to

631
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 1: be pretty low on Saturday. So I'm not really worried

632
00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 1: about the heat. But I would be worried if I'm

633
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:14,120
Speaker 1: New Mexico State and I'm trying to cover that inside

634
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:16,960
Speaker 1: zone that U Mass is gonna run. And plus the corners,

635
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: Jerry Kill's right, the corners are a problem eight in

636
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:24,240
Speaker 1: the box, always trying to create havoc on defense. I agree,

637
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 1: I like U Mass. I think the under is probably

638
00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 1: gonna hit im. Not sure if I'm gonna play it.

639
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 1: If I'm making any kind of round robin parlay, I'll

640
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 1: definitely have a UMass money line ticket in there.

641
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 2: Look, Diego Pavia. You look at his numbers on the surface,

642
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: get thirteen touchdowns, six interceptions. Let's take a closer look.

643
00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 2: By the way, this is a guy that went six

644
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 2: of nineteen for fifty yards against Wisconsin, six of seventeen

645
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:53,760
Speaker 2: for seventy yards against Missouri. Val Barrezo he had four touchdowns,

646
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:56,840
Speaker 2: no picks in three hundred and thirty yards. Lamar he

647
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 2: had two touchdowns, no interceptions. You know, one hundred and fifty.

648
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 2: U Mass he had two hundreds two touchdowns, So Valpo

649
00:33:04,320 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 2: and then the corpse of Liberty who didn't get off

650
00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:08,200
Speaker 2: the bus. He had three touchdowns, no interceptions, So it

651
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:13,160
Speaker 2: gains Valpo, Liberty, Lamar, and U Mass he had eleven

652
00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 2: touchdowns and no interceptions. And all the other games he

653
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 2: had two touchdowns and six interceptions. Like he benefited from

654
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 2: just four corpses or FCS teams that's it. If this

655
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 2: offense is terrible, I'm excited for you Mess to burme

656
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 2: on opening day. We're gonna do it. And yeah, the

657
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 2: defense did improve last year. And guess what if the

658
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 2: defense improves. If the offense improves, that's gonna help the

659
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 2: defense even more. The defense improved with having to be

660
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:40,920
Speaker 2: on the field the entire game and then just breaking

661
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 2: down at the end, which is what happened in the

662
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 2: Mexico State game. I think they were upper tied at

663
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:47,000
Speaker 2: the half because U Mess couldn't sustain any drivess was

664
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 2: on the field all day. So now I think of

665
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 2: it to be better. That'll help the defense. Let's go

666
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 2: minute men. All right, So we started with I got

667
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:59,240
Speaker 2: a Navy UMass and UTEP ticket so far. Let's move

668
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 2: on to the fourth game of the day, Ohio San

669
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:08,279
Speaker 2: Diego State, also at seven Eastern Ohio. Santago said two

670
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:09,839
Speaker 2: two and a half pint favorite the numbers come down,

671
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:12,839
Speaker 2: it was up above three total, sitting around forty eight

672
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 2: and a half. Our quarterback, the Maple Missile, mister Rourke

673
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 2: was announced that he's going to start move safety all

674
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 2: fifties off. He tours ACL last year, but he's ready

675
00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:30,800
Speaker 2: to go. So Ohio took money as a result, and

676
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:32,920
Speaker 2: I think a lot of people are betting Ohio here

677
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 2: this game seven Eastern on FS one Curio. Let me

678
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 2: get your thoughts. First year, you're just gonna tell us

679
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:39,240
Speaker 2: about the San Diego State over.

680
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 1: As tech overs. Well, you know I'm betting the over.

681
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,920
Speaker 2: I'm just waiting for that. I see the most classic

682
00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:47,960
Speaker 2: week zerosoever. We got all my teams the San Diego

683
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 2: State over.

684
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, we're not. We're not changing any form here.

685
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 2: No. I do like the over.

686
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 1: I don't like the number. I'd rather have forty eight.

687
00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: I do see a couple of books that have there

688
00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 1: got forty eight and a half out there. So I'm

689
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 1: willing to be paid here. I'm willing to see if

690
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:04,719
Speaker 1: this trickles down. I'm wondering if people just see the

691
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 1: name San Diego State and pile in on the under

692
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 1: and that'll give me a better number. But you know,

693
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:10,960
Speaker 1: there's there's a lot to like here from the offenses

694
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:13,400
Speaker 1: on both sides. I mean, this is the best quarterback,

695
00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 1: running back wide receiver trio in the MAC between Curtis Rourke,

696
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:20,840
Speaker 1: Sam Wiggles on the outside and then Sea ban Gerra

697
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,320
Speaker 1: one of the just an absolute Tuesday Wednesday night banger

698
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:27,160
Speaker 1: for us in MAC football. He's a thousand yard running back.

699
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,720
Speaker 1: When I talked to Brady Hokee at Mountain West Conference

700
00:35:29,800 --> 00:35:33,719
Speaker 1: Media Days cashing tickets tickets, he was worried about the

701
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,160
Speaker 1: trench on both sides of the ball. That tells me

702
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,400
Speaker 1: the bangor is going to be able to run wild here.

703
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 1: So I don't know what Rourk and Wiggles is going

704
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 1: to do against the secondary of San Diego State, but

705
00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:47,439
Speaker 1: I think the running lings are going to be open

706
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:49,840
Speaker 1: all day here for Ohio to do that, you know,

707
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 1: And if there is an issue with Ohio, it's their secondary.

708
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:58,720
Speaker 1: This secondary might be the worst in the Mac. Defensive

709
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 1: coordinator Spence Nowitzki, he has a nickel scheme, but it's

710
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:04,439
Speaker 1: just it's not paying off. They did finish top thirty

711
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 1: five and havoc, but the problem is they were one

712
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:08,919
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty sixth and tackling, they were one hundred

713
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,279
Speaker 1: and thirteenth in coverage. It's not good. And if you're

714
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:12,840
Speaker 1: going to face a quarterback that's going to try to

715
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:14,960
Speaker 1: sling it down the field, that could be a problem.

716
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 1: Oh let's talk about Jalen Maiden, who completely redeemed himself.

717
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:20,800
Speaker 1: He's stunk in the spring game. He's stunk in the

718
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 1: first scrimmage, comes down in the second scrimmage, tosses two

719
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:27,400
Speaker 1: tds in the first two drives, completes a forty eight

720
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:30,040
Speaker 1: yard pass down the middle of the field that is

721
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 1: to start the game. That was his very first pass

722
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:34,560
Speaker 1: is forty eight yards down the field. I don't know

723
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:37,279
Speaker 1: if that says something about San Diego State secondary, but

724
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: what I do know is that Ohio has two new safeties.

725
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,880
Speaker 1: That's going to be an issue. And now Brady Hokee

726
00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 1: emphasized the fact that you know, Jalen Maiden came in

727
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:50,800
Speaker 1: last year with a playbook that wasn't his, a coordinator

728
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 1: that was in flux. I mean, they're firing hiring guys now.

729
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:57,680
Speaker 1: Ryan Linley is in tow and they've completely tailored the

730
00:36:57,719 --> 00:37:01,040
Speaker 1: playbook around the skills of me. And I think that's

731
00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:02,960
Speaker 1: a good thing because all I can hear is we

732
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 1: want him to talk and run. We want him to

733
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 1: run as many times as possible. That's going to open

734
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:09,440
Speaker 1: up things downfield. Whenever he gets behind the chains and

735
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 1: he has to throw so again, this is kind of

736
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:16,080
Speaker 1: what I see in one of the UTEB Jacksonville State

737
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 1: game earlier. I like the over here because Ohio has

738
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:20,680
Speaker 1: a bunch of a couple of safeties that are not

739
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 1: ready for any downfield shots. Ohio, on the offensive side

740
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 1: of the ball, is going to be able to run

741
00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 1: with Sia Bangera against this brand new San Diego State

742
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: defensive line that even Brady Hoaks got worries about. So

743
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 1: I'm going to take it over in this game. But

744
00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:36,919
Speaker 1: it is still San Diego State. So I am going

745
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,480
Speaker 1: to look for the best number and wait for forty eight.

746
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 1: As far as the spread goes, I mean, I think

747
00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:43,439
Speaker 1: this has gone way too far. What are you saying

748
00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 1: here that aral on a neutral field? This is a pick?

749
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,399
Speaker 1: I don't think so, like you're taking a Mac team

750
00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 1: on the road to the West. Come on, what's going

751
00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:51,399
Speaker 1: on here?

752
00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:53,560
Speaker 2: I like to say, I this is we're going to

753
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:55,560
Speaker 2: switch it up with the podcast. I'm fading my beloved

754
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:58,319
Speaker 2: Bob's Yeah, I'm taking sad State. Now, this is under

755
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 2: a field goal, I make this close a five. Here's

756
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:02,480
Speaker 2: a couple of things that I like. I mean, the

757
00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:06,120
Speaker 2: San Diego State offense I think is being undervalued. They

758
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 2: when Maydan came in, and this is the guy who's

759
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 2: playing safety. He threw in his first start more yards

760
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:14,360
Speaker 2: in San Diego State had thrown four total in five games.

761
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 2: Their offense down the stretch was so much better. Now

762
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 2: he has a year like under his belt. And look

763
00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 2: they wanted. San Diego State still wants to run the ball,

764
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:23,880
Speaker 2: and they're gonna be able to run on this Ohio

765
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 2: team and throw on them. They Ohio lost their entire

766
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:30,759
Speaker 2: defensive line like Caesar and company. They were big. And

767
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:36,319
Speaker 2: by the way, Ohio's starting corner Cox, he's banged up.

768
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:38,880
Speaker 2: He might not play. And oh, by the way, to

769
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:42,040
Speaker 2: Kobe Jones, their second best receiver, he's also banged up.

770
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 2: That'd be important because I really like one of San

771
00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:46,879
Speaker 2: Diego State's corners. San Diego State's pass defense fell off

772
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:51,720
Speaker 2: last year, but they returned six of seven. Yes, the front,

773
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:53,920
Speaker 2: they lost a ton, they lost really good players. They

774
00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:56,920
Speaker 2: lost their whole the d line and two really good linebackers.

775
00:38:57,480 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 2: Hope you said is worried about it. But if there

776
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:01,239
Speaker 2: is one thing, that's Sandego State, who's got a top

777
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:06,720
Speaker 2: twenty defense for since fucking the ice age. They always

778
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:09,160
Speaker 2: figure out the run defense and they always just plug

779
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:13,120
Speaker 2: in their D line and linebackers. And last year their passed.

780
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:14,560
Speaker 2: He took a big step back. But I think that

781
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:18,919
Speaker 2: you know, six to seven back that defensive pedigree, they're

782
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,840
Speaker 2: gonna be really improved. Yeah, so I think they'll be

783
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:23,839
Speaker 2: able to move the ball on this team. We also

784
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 2: look with Jones potentially been up. We don't know how

785
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:29,279
Speaker 2: healthy work is, how hesitant he's going to be. And

786
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:33,440
Speaker 2: also the other thing, Ohio lost a really really good

787
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:37,440
Speaker 2: kicker in Vacos San Diego State, which once again had

788
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 2: a top five or really good special teams coordinator, top

789
00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:44,640
Speaker 2: five ten special teams last year. Brings back Browning, who

790
00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:47,759
Speaker 2: is awesome. He's their punter and their kicker. He had

791
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:49,399
Speaker 2: a monster year. I think he was the Mountain West

792
00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:52,239
Speaker 2: Conference Special Teams Player of the Year last year. So

793
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 2: if it comes down to a field goal, field goals,

794
00:39:55,200 --> 00:39:56,879
Speaker 2: Ohio is going to miss. There is that their MAC

795
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 2: team with the after losing Vacos San Diego State has

796
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:04,359
Speaker 2: outstanding special teams across the board, So yeah, I think

797
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,319
Speaker 2: that could be a difference too in a really close game.

798
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 2: And now that it's under a field goal. It is

799
00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 2: still San Diego State. I think that's important. I think

800
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:13,839
Speaker 2: this has come down too much. Ye and everyone I'm

801
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:15,640
Speaker 2: seeing is betting Ohisle, so it makes sense. And then

802
00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:18,319
Speaker 2: you have the Rourk news. So yeah, I'm fading. We'll

803
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,359
Speaker 2: fading the MAC here. I'm going with San Diego State

804
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:21,080
Speaker 2: under a field goal.

805
00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna get less than minus one

806
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:25,279
Speaker 1: thirty on the money line. That's what I'm staring at

807
00:40:25,360 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 1: right now. I mean, there is a two out there,

808
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 1: but I'd rather just lay the money line. I would

809
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:30,399
Speaker 1: love one twenty five, but if I got to lay

810
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:31,319
Speaker 1: minus one thirty, I will.

811
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:33,320
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'll join you. I'm just going wait to

812
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 2: see all it goes. Because San Diego State too and

813
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 2: the MAC team, so like a one point win is

814
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 2: definitely in the cards. Like the weird things definitely happen.

815
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:43,680
Speaker 1: Uh.

816
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,279
Speaker 2: San Diego State, by the way, has owned owned the

817
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 2: MAC historically, including last year they had no loss. Do

818
00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:51,480
Speaker 2: you know who it was to Ohio?

819
00:40:51,560 --> 00:40:54,880
Speaker 1: I think yeah it was still high Yeah.

820
00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:58,239
Speaker 2: Five years ago or something maybe. Oh yeah, we're in

821
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 2: agreement there and Colin got a Sandy State over so

822
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 2: we bar producer could play that clip as always for

823
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:08,680
Speaker 2: everyone wondering. Colin went a stretch of like ten weeks

824
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:12,239
Speaker 2: trying to bet the Sandyo State over and uh it

825
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 2: went under. And then he bet the under and it

826
00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 2: went over. So it was a big thing, and then

827
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:18,000
Speaker 2: we got a bunch of voicemails about it. All right,

828
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:21,920
Speaker 2: let's move on to another night game, Hawaii at Vanderbilt

829
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,879
Speaker 2: Band about seventeen and that point home favorite over under

830
00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:28,319
Speaker 2: fifty five and a half. Let me take you back

831
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:29,759
Speaker 2: in time. We just talked about five years ago. I

832
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 2: think I just mentioned rewind the clock, take you back

833
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 2: in time, back to the future. Twenty seventeen. Nick Rolovich

834
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 2: is the coach of Hawaii. They were horrendous. They won

835
00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 2: three games. He says, you know what I'm gonna do.

836
00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:56,840
Speaker 2: I'm gonna bring back the June Jones run and shoot

837
00:41:57,239 --> 00:42:02,399
Speaker 2: for twenty eighteen. Twenty eighteen Week one, they played Colorado State.

838
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 2: They're seventeen point underdogs. The year before they lost to

839
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 2: Colorado State by a billion. They came out and they

840
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 2: rolled outright and then started six and one. Well this year,

841
00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 2: Timmy Chang, who started to implement some of the run

842
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 2: and shoot towards the end of last year and it

843
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 2: started to you saw some improvements in the offense, which

844
00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:26,919
Speaker 2: was so bad early. He's going full full on board

845
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:31,880
Speaker 2: the old June Jones run and shoot offense. And they

846
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 2: start with Vandy and they're catching seventeen on the road.

847
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:37,040
Speaker 2: They were at Colorida State, by the way, in that

848
00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:39,680
Speaker 2: game when they catch seventeen year rolled, you want to

849
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:42,640
Speaker 2: hear a throwback name in that game, kJ Carter Samuels

850
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 2: was who did tay. He threw for like five touch

851
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:46,960
Speaker 2: and I think the score is like sixty to forty.

852
00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:50,640
Speaker 2: Hawaii won. Hawaii started six and one that year, So

853
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,759
Speaker 2: there's some precedent here for what it's worth. Do you

854
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:56,760
Speaker 2: start and that they started Cole McDonald who never started

855
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:58,439
Speaker 2: war They had a brand new quarterback and a brand

856
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 2: new system. Now you're actually bringing back a quarterback who

857
00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:05,320
Speaker 2: started to you know, get some of those run and

858
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:07,839
Speaker 2: shoot principles that Chang was implementing. Then to last year,

859
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:11,799
Speaker 2: you have Brandon Shager who's back at quarterback. Didn't start

860
00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:13,760
Speaker 2: for a while when the offense he started the opener,

861
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:16,600
Speaker 2: then start for three games. He works He's worked all

862
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:20,360
Speaker 2: off season with Dan Morrison, who you know was the

863
00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 2: quarterbacks coach at Hawaii under June Jones, no one knows

864
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,840
Speaker 2: to run and shoot as well as him or obviously

865
00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:30,400
Speaker 2: June Jones. So there's potential here for this Hawaii offense

866
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 2: to be significant improved right off the bat. And Van

867
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 2: he's not gonna know what had on Vandy Roll last year,

868
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 2: might be taking him lightly here. It is timing based,

869
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:41,839
Speaker 2: but that Kyle out of taking gives me like hope

870
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:43,919
Speaker 2: they's put up like a billion yards with the first

871
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:48,239
Speaker 2: time quarterback. I'm already on Hawaii next week. And by

872
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 2: the way, teams that play a first game against teams

873
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:52,560
Speaker 2: that haven't like peings of playwe's year against teams that

874
00:43:52,600 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 2: didn't very successful against the spread historically. We'll talk about

875
00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 2: that next week. But I'm I think I'm going to

876
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:00,440
Speaker 2: bat Hawaii too again here catching seventeen. If I make

877
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:03,640
Speaker 2: this lower, I like this the run and shoot pop

878
00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:07,800
Speaker 2: coming and just surprising Dandy here. Last year. Randy was like,

879
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,759
Speaker 2: I mean it took Benny took a ton of money.

880
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:12,160
Speaker 2: I think on game day if I recall, but you

881
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:13,600
Speaker 2: got to remember it, I think that what was the

882
00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:16,480
Speaker 2: spread nine to close that ten? But they got to fourteen?

883
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:20,319
Speaker 1: I remember, Yeah, it rose from like six to nine.

884
00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:22,160
Speaker 1: It was like seven and a half on game day.

885
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, it got up to like nine or ten. So

886
00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:29,520
Speaker 2: now you're going, right, there's not you're switching home fields.

887
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:35,080
Speaker 2: But that why team was brand new, right, like everyone

888
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 2: left in the portal. They started completely over like there was.

889
00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 2: They were a disaster early. So they are so much improved.

890
00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:46,719
Speaker 2: And how much really is Dandy improved? So like, you know,

891
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:49,000
Speaker 2: you could argue that why he could be like a

892
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:52,920
Speaker 2: touchdown better than they were how they were playing at

893
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 2: that point in the state of their program. So over

894
00:44:57,000 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 2: seventeen with the bows, I'm in interesting condence. Me.

895
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, these teams are so horrific at finishing drives, like

896
00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:14,160
Speaker 1: both of them bottom twenty nationally. I cannot get over

897
00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:17,399
Speaker 1: how bad these teams just fall apart once they get

898
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:21,680
Speaker 1: into scoring position. And I was telling Timmy Chang actually

899
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,400
Speaker 1: on the floor at CIRCA interesting story for that. I

900
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:26,480
Speaker 1: told him, you know, I said, you know, you guys

901
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 1: are top thirty in tempo. I'm like, oh, yeah, we

902
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:29,200
Speaker 1: like to play fast.

903
00:45:29,239 --> 00:45:30,040
Speaker 2: We like to be fast.

904
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:32,640
Speaker 1: I said, but you went to the under nine times.

905
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:34,880
Speaker 1: And he's like thinking, I see it computing in his

906
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:37,759
Speaker 1: head and I'm like, that is your finishing drives right,

907
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 1: Like you're not able to score, Like there's a ton

908
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:42,000
Speaker 1: of unders here, but you're one of the fastest teams

909
00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:43,880
Speaker 1: in the nation, you know. I think that's something that

910
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 1: we'll see if they can improve on. And Branden Schager

911
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:50,920
Speaker 1: is like he just has no protection whatsoever. Seventh highest

912
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 1: and pressures of any quarterback in FBS football last year.

913
00:45:54,719 --> 00:45:56,920
Speaker 1: We'll see if they can get this turned around. Not

914
00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:59,800
Speaker 1: a lot to boast home about sixty three percent returning

915
00:45:59,840 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 1: on offense, thirty nine percent returning on defense, you know,

916
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 1: and their defense was one hundred and twenty ninth and

917
00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:05,400
Speaker 1: generating havoc.

918
00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:08,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you just finished. It's not gonna get worse.

919
00:46:09,000 --> 00:46:11,680
Speaker 1: You know, this is a very close knit team. The

920
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:14,240
Speaker 1: way Timmy Chang coaches, it's like he's still a player.

921
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:17,160
Speaker 1: I mean, it's amazing they've got they always go in packs,

922
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:19,879
Speaker 1: there's always groups, and there's a real raw, raw high five.

923
00:46:19,960 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 1: It's definitely a different atmosphere than what we get with

924
00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:24,320
Speaker 1: clark Lee. Clark Lee being very formal.

925
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:27,800
Speaker 2: We know that in time, Bannable football will be the

926
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:29,399
Speaker 2: best program in the country.

927
00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:31,719
Speaker 1: And aj Swan is going to be the quarterback. He

928
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:34,320
Speaker 1: had a pretty impressive year. He's really good when he

929
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:36,640
Speaker 1: has a clean pocket one hundred and eighteenth. Why he

930
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:38,960
Speaker 1: was in pass rush last year, so they didn't generate

931
00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: much and if they can't, then aj Swan's probably gonna

932
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:43,279
Speaker 1: have some success. But you know, I mean, the thing

933
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:45,840
Speaker 1: is this is a very large inflated point spread, and

934
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 1: a lot of people look at that sixty three to

935
00:46:47,680 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 1: ten game from last year and think that that's just

936
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:52,359
Speaker 1: going to happen again. I'm not sure that it does.

937
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:55,879
Speaker 1: And one thing that I think the total is way

938
00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:58,800
Speaker 1: too high. It's blitzed past fifty five. It's a fifty

939
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:02,640
Speaker 1: five and a half. If these teams behave.

940
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 2: I don't care. There is nothing you can say to

941
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,239
Speaker 2: me if they If this run shoot comes out and

942
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:14,759
Speaker 2: UH has success early, now, well I'm not betting alai

943
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:16,600
Speaker 2: under to start the year. I'm not sitting down.

944
00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:18,240
Speaker 1: Doesn't even.

945
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:20,320
Speaker 2: College football.

946
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:24,040
Speaker 1: I'm interested in the under. But the big problem for

947
00:47:24,120 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 1: me is Vanderbilt was almost dead last in the nation

948
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:30,840
Speaker 1: last year and allowing pass explosives, that doesn't look like

949
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:32,520
Speaker 1: it's going to get any better this year. They only

950
00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:36,839
Speaker 1: returned forty eight percent on defense, I'm shocked that clark Lee,

951
00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:41,200
Speaker 1: who is a disciple of Mike Elko, I mean, and

952
00:47:41,760 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 1: was a big piece of a big part of Notre

953
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:46,759
Speaker 1: Dame going to playoff a few years ago, that their

954
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:49,640
Speaker 1: defense filled a bottom ten and tackling and coverage, because

955
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:55,800
Speaker 1: tackling and coverage is all coach based, technique based practice,

956
00:47:55,960 --> 00:47:58,359
Speaker 1: you know, And how does a Clark Lee defense fall

957
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 1: that far? Confuse me a little bit. So I'm very

958
00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:03,560
Speaker 1: interested in the Hawaii side. I'm gonna join you there.

959
00:48:03,640 --> 00:48:05,439
Speaker 1: Maybe you'll steam a little bit more. I don't see

960
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:08,520
Speaker 1: it coming back across seventeen and I just, yeah, I

961
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:10,640
Speaker 1: think you're right. I can't play the under when Vanderbilt's

962
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 1: been so bad against pass explosive. So there we go.

963
00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:15,839
Speaker 1: I mean, you boy, you and I are rummaging if

964
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:17,400
Speaker 1: only Charlotte played this weekend.

965
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:20,359
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, we're gonna be at Hawaii this week. Zero,

966
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:22,480
Speaker 2: you better be on it with me. You can fire.

967
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:27,239
Speaker 2: There's only seven games. And Colin also a very quick

968
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 2: note to our listeners. Week's here. I means college football

969
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 2: is about to make its first impression, and whether you're

970
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:35,200
Speaker 2: a football team or a football fan, we all want

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00:51:18,920 --> 00:51:20,760
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1026
00:51:20,760 --> 00:51:22,959
Speaker 2: In New York, Dear, here's what a game. I won't

1027
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 2: be on pregame, but I might look for an opportunity

1028
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 2: to bet at live or second at that's USC Santase

1029
00:51:29,200 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 2: State eight pm, Eastern Pac twelve Network, USC thirty one

1030
00:51:33,120 --> 00:51:36,040
Speaker 2: point favorite. You know, when I look at this game,

1031
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:38,839
Speaker 2: you know, Chevin Carde Cordero is back for Santase State,

1032
00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:42,760
Speaker 2: but they have a lot of really critical losses elsewhere,

1033
00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:44,719
Speaker 2: specifically on the defensive line, and that was like the

1034
00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 2: heart of their defense last year, and that's gonna be

1035
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,240
Speaker 2: tough against USC, Like how are you going to get stops?

1036
00:51:50,920 --> 00:51:54,360
Speaker 2: So you know this has potential to get ugly early.

1037
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:57,120
Speaker 2: So and I make this twenty nine and a half.

1038
00:51:57,440 --> 00:51:59,560
Speaker 2: So like there's so I don't I don't see value

1039
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:03,840
Speaker 2: pre game either way. But here's my potential thinking is

1040
00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 2: we saw USC, but I don't know which way it's

1041
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:10,680
Speaker 2: gonna go. I want to clarificate. I want to get

1042
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 2: your thoughts on this. So USC last year, you know,

1043
00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:17,200
Speaker 2: they like wore down against Utah towards the end of

1044
00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:19,680
Speaker 2: the year. They were like they worn out against Tulane

1045
00:52:20,320 --> 00:52:23,160
Speaker 2: at the end of the game. So they play from

1046
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:28,279
Speaker 2: week four nine straight weeks, USC they really early by

1047
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:30,879
Speaker 2: So does part of what they want to do here

1048
00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:35,320
Speaker 2: in these first couple of Cake games is get Caleb

1049
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:38,800
Speaker 2: Williams a ton of stats for his heisman early, build

1050
00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:42,600
Speaker 2: a lead, and then get like rest and then other

1051
00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 2: guys rep I'm sure they also want to work on

1052
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:48,399
Speaker 2: some like new defense, like just a different defensive looks,

1053
00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:51,279
Speaker 2: some backup some defense, and then they also probably want

1054
00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:54,000
Speaker 2: to get their backup quarterbacks some run before they go

1055
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:56,319
Speaker 2: to the Big Ten next year. Even though kayleb Wims

1056
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:57,759
Speaker 2: is saying he might come back, but you have to

1057
00:52:57,800 --> 00:53:00,600
Speaker 2: assume he's not. So does like A Riley say, like,

1058
00:53:00,719 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 2: let's just in these games, let's get up by twenty

1059
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:06,120
Speaker 2: eight at the half, and then let's get our backup

1060
00:53:06,160 --> 00:53:08,239
Speaker 2: quarterbacks in, let's get some rest early in the year

1061
00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:10,839
Speaker 2: because we got to play nine straight weeks. So does

1062
00:53:10,880 --> 00:53:13,759
Speaker 2: that potentially open up an opportunity to bet San Jose

1063
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 2: State second half? If they're down by a million, you

1064
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:19,120
Speaker 2: know they're going against the USC defense that definitely has questions,

1065
00:53:19,200 --> 00:53:21,719
Speaker 2: especially depthwise, and then Caleb Williams will be out of

1066
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:23,919
Speaker 2: the game. And I'm thinking earlier than maybe the market

1067
00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 2: might think. What are your thoughts there?

1068
00:53:26,080 --> 00:53:30,440
Speaker 1: Well, yes, absolutely, And I think there's two things that

1069
00:53:30,560 --> 00:53:32,480
Speaker 1: people need to know when you're gonna bet on this game.

1070
00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:33,960
Speaker 1: Do I make it this high?

1071
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:34,080
Speaker 2: No?

1072
00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:35,919
Speaker 1: I don't. Am I going to back San Jose State?

1073
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:39,240
Speaker 1: Absolutely not. They return only twenty percent of their pressures

1074
00:53:39,280 --> 00:53:40,840
Speaker 1: on the defensive line. I'm not sure they could have

1075
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:43,000
Speaker 1: busted through the USC offensive line in the first place,

1076
00:53:43,440 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 1: but they only returned twenty percent of their pressures last year.

1077
00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:47,680
Speaker 1: They are not going to get their hands. They're not

1078
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:51,160
Speaker 1: going to sniff touch Grays be anywhere near Caleb Williams

1079
00:53:51,760 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 1: and Caleb Williams said it twice in Vegas at pact

1080
00:53:56,080 --> 00:53:59,840
Speaker 1: told Media Days. He said, I realized last year that,

1081
00:54:00,520 --> 00:54:03,160
Speaker 1: especially when we lost to Utah in the PACTOL Championship game,

1082
00:54:03,560 --> 00:54:06,439
Speaker 1: that I don't have to leave the pocket. I don't

1083
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 1: have to scramble and I don't have to get all

1084
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 1: these yards myself. I can stay in the pocket and

1085
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:12,640
Speaker 1: I can just take shots downfield. I'm thinking to myself,

1086
00:54:12,719 --> 00:54:15,560
Speaker 1: Oh my god, San Jose State, You're in deep shit

1087
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:20,759
Speaker 1: because your secondary's in trouble. Your defensive line loses all

1088
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:24,480
Speaker 1: of its pressures. You know, all these new defensive players

1089
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:26,320
Speaker 1: that you have you're gonna get USC in the Heisman

1090
00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:29,319
Speaker 1: winner in Week one. The other thing that would bother

1091
00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:31,880
Speaker 1: me if you want to back San Jose State pregame

1092
00:54:32,400 --> 00:54:35,719
Speaker 1: is the fact that the defense actually for USC now

1093
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:38,880
Speaker 1: has some talent. Mason Cobb comes in middle linebacker, comes

1094
00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:40,560
Speaker 1: in from Oklahoma State. He was one of the best

1095
00:54:40,640 --> 00:54:43,080
Speaker 1: linebackers in the Big Twelve. Now he's going to be

1096
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:46,200
Speaker 1: patrol in the middle for USC. Alex Grinch is hearing

1097
00:54:46,239 --> 00:54:48,359
Speaker 1: all the whispers about how much of a terrible job

1098
00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:52,040
Speaker 1: that he's done. Cheavn Cordero is I don't even know

1099
00:54:52,080 --> 00:54:55,560
Speaker 1: if we can call him Caleb Williams light. But really,

1100
00:54:55,680 --> 00:54:58,680
Speaker 1: after you get past him as a weapon, you know

1101
00:54:58,760 --> 00:55:01,120
Speaker 1: they do have experienced offensive line. They do have the

1102
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:04,440
Speaker 1: most experienced tight ends. I do love Brent Brennan, you know,

1103
00:55:04,560 --> 00:55:07,920
Speaker 1: as a coach, but this is just way too much,

1104
00:55:08,200 --> 00:55:11,759
Speaker 1: especially for a USC team that has a Heisman winner

1105
00:55:11,800 --> 00:55:13,800
Speaker 1: that wants to put up Heisman numbers and is convinced

1106
00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:15,239
Speaker 1: he doesn't need to run all over the place and

1107
00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:19,800
Speaker 1: just take shots deep downfield. Taj Washington, Mario Williams. That

1108
00:55:20,120 --> 00:55:23,800
Speaker 1: is scary. So I don't know what the betting deliverable

1109
00:55:23,840 --> 00:55:26,799
Speaker 1: here is stuck because this is You're right, this could

1110
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:28,680
Speaker 1: be thirty five zero by the end of the first quarter.

1111
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,759
Speaker 1: I maybe there's a speed bump in the first two drives.

1112
00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:34,520
Speaker 1: I don't know why, because it's the first two drives,

1113
00:55:34,560 --> 00:55:36,439
Speaker 1: and maybe all those points come in the second quarter.

1114
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:40,799
Speaker 1: What number? Maybe we leave everybody with this, what number

1115
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,319
Speaker 1: are you playing live on San Jose State? Thirty eight?

1116
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:46,800
Speaker 2: I don't want to play it live. I'll play it

1117
00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:51,080
Speaker 2: second half. And because honestly, like I think depending on

1118
00:55:51,160 --> 00:55:57,000
Speaker 2: how big, like if USC is up like thirty five

1119
00:55:57,239 --> 00:56:02,080
Speaker 2: nothing or twenty eight or more at the half, and

1120
00:56:02,160 --> 00:56:04,439
Speaker 2: then I can get San Jose State as a dog

1121
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:07,480
Speaker 2: in the second nice dog in the second half, I

1122
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:10,640
Speaker 2: think that they're not like maybe twenty eight might be

1123
00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:13,839
Speaker 2: two low, maybe thirty one or more. Then I think

1124
00:56:13,840 --> 00:56:17,680
Speaker 2: that they might they might just not play Williams in

1125
00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 2: the second half, and then they're gonna like try some

1126
00:56:20,960 --> 00:56:25,480
Speaker 2: things out on defense. It's gonna depend on a lot

1127
00:56:25,520 --> 00:56:27,400
Speaker 2: of fact. It's gonna depend on a field thing. But

1128
00:56:28,200 --> 00:56:30,719
Speaker 2: keep an eye on the Action Network AAP. I'm gonna

1129
00:56:30,719 --> 00:56:32,080
Speaker 2: be looking for Santase say they gotta be down by

1130
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:34,480
Speaker 2: a lot because I'm just thinking that if it's a

1131
00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:39,640
Speaker 2: certain amount, then it's not just. It's not just. It's

1132
00:56:39,640 --> 00:56:41,920
Speaker 2: not just not Caleb Williams. I think it's like other

1133
00:56:42,000 --> 00:56:43,879
Speaker 2: starters too. They're gonna try to get a lot of rest.

1134
00:56:43,920 --> 00:56:45,839
Speaker 2: They played nine straight weeks. They wore down last year.

1135
00:56:45,920 --> 00:56:47,680
Speaker 2: They also want to see some other bodies on this

1136
00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:52,960
Speaker 2: defense try some other things. So if they're getting crushed, Yeah,

1137
00:56:53,000 --> 00:56:55,320
Speaker 2: but the defensive line losses. I mean, and it's not

1138
00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:57,879
Speaker 2: just they lost all the pressures. Hol and Fojoko were

1139
00:56:58,360 --> 00:57:01,480
Speaker 2: unbelievable players got drafted I think the third orourth roun.

1140
00:57:01,760 --> 00:57:05,080
Speaker 2: He's on the Cowboys now. They were really good defensive

1141
00:57:05,120 --> 00:57:06,759
Speaker 2: lineman at San Jose State.

1142
00:57:07,320 --> 00:57:09,719
Speaker 1: Hold on, do they get to fifty, because I mean,

1143
00:57:09,800 --> 00:57:11,600
Speaker 1: by the total in the spread, we're looking at about

1144
00:57:11,600 --> 00:57:14,640
Speaker 1: a forty nine to seventeen game. Does USC get to fifty?

1145
00:57:15,080 --> 00:57:18,640
Speaker 2: They want to say, yeah, I'll say they get depends

1146
00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:20,400
Speaker 2: on how long they played Kleboys, and I'll say they

1147
00:57:20,440 --> 00:57:22,840
Speaker 2: between forty eight and fifty five, depending on how long.

1148
00:57:24,120 --> 00:57:26,480
Speaker 2: If Santose State gets a couple of touchdowns early, then

1149
00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:28,240
Speaker 2: it's they could get really utherause and they got to

1150
00:57:28,280 --> 00:57:28,760
Speaker 2: keep everyone in.

1151
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:31,040
Speaker 1: I wonder what the first half team total is on

1152
00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:32,840
Speaker 1: USC because if it's twenty seven and a half or

1153
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:35,480
Speaker 1: twenty eight, that is probably where I'll be looking if

1154
00:57:35,520 --> 00:57:37,040
Speaker 1: I play anything pre game on this one.

1155
00:57:37,320 --> 00:57:39,320
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the last game of

1156
00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:43,200
Speaker 2: the night. Week zero Florida International at Louisiana Tech. Louisiana

1157
00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:47,240
Speaker 2: Tech eleven point favorites. Here, I'll tell you that this

1158
00:57:47,440 --> 00:57:50,280
Speaker 2: is a non This is a little different stee. But

1159
00:57:50,360 --> 00:57:53,880
Speaker 2: I played Louisiana Tech leg ten, played them up to

1160
00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 2: eleven and a half. So last year f value they

1161
00:57:57,360 --> 00:58:02,920
Speaker 2: won four games. Here's who. They beat U Mass New

1162
00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:08,200
Speaker 2: Mexico State, Charlotte and Bryant by one on a miraculous

1163
00:58:08,240 --> 00:58:13,200
Speaker 2: comeback overtime in overtime. So and that team last year,

1164
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:15,280
Speaker 2: and I have a lot of respect for Mike mcdover.

1165
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:18,680
Speaker 2: Was his first year. They had a running back named

1166
00:58:18,760 --> 00:58:23,080
Speaker 2: Lexington Joseph. It's pretty good. He tore his ACL as

1167
00:58:23,280 --> 00:58:27,320
Speaker 2: DJ now knows. They had a really, really good wide

1168
00:58:27,400 --> 00:58:31,040
Speaker 2: receiver in Tireech Chambers who I loved, who could just

1169
00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 2: go off at anytime. He's gone transferred out. They lost

1170
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:37,760
Speaker 2: their other top receiver too. They only have I think

1171
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:40,360
Speaker 2: thirty five to forty starts the offensive line, returning with

1172
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:43,200
Speaker 2: a new a line coach. He lost the defensive tackle.

1173
00:58:43,240 --> 00:58:46,120
Speaker 2: They lost their star running their star linebacker to the portal.

1174
00:58:46,680 --> 00:58:48,280
Speaker 2: He has a lot more experience than the offense. But

1175
00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:52,040
Speaker 2: I think this offense is a joke. I mean, this

1176
00:58:52,160 --> 00:58:54,280
Speaker 2: team is a joke. They beat a couple of clowns

1177
00:58:54,360 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 2: late in the year. Well we'll see if they show

1178
00:58:56,440 --> 00:58:59,280
Speaker 2: up with helmets this time. LA Tech has revenge from

1179
00:58:59,320 --> 00:59:02,160
Speaker 2: that game, talking about it all summer, like some of

1180
00:59:02,200 --> 00:59:05,000
Speaker 2: the quotes say, We're like, yes, it's revenge, and obviously

1181
00:59:05,120 --> 00:59:06,760
Speaker 2: a lot of that narrative. But they've been waited for

1182
00:59:06,840 --> 00:59:09,160
Speaker 2: this game. So they got lost in overtime and embarrassing fashion.

1183
00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:11,760
Speaker 2: How did they lose the FIU they started when we

1184
00:59:11,960 --> 00:59:14,240
Speaker 2: used to always fade them. This is sunny Comby, by

1185
00:59:14,240 --> 00:59:16,040
Speaker 2: the way, this second year of his passing office, I

1186
00:59:16,120 --> 00:59:18,720
Speaker 2: expect to improve. He started the year with McNeil and

1187
00:59:19,040 --> 00:59:21,560
Speaker 2: Downing as his quarterbacks, and they actually started the show

1188
00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:24,120
Speaker 2: some promise. They threw for like four hundred. One game

1189
00:59:24,560 --> 00:59:26,920
Speaker 2: they one of them got they both got hurt. They

1190
00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:29,520
Speaker 2: were out for the year. They were down to a

1191
00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:34,680
Speaker 2: true freshman. You're a boy, Lyddy who was awful, and

1192
00:59:35,320 --> 00:59:37,880
Speaker 2: then a walk on played too. They went zero and

1193
00:59:38,000 --> 00:59:42,680
Speaker 2: four with those two. They lost to Charlotte. FIU got

1194
00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:47,480
Speaker 2: destroyed by UAB and UTSA, so like their numbers were

1195
00:59:47,520 --> 00:59:49,760
Speaker 2: so deflating. They just didn't have a quarterback. So now

1196
00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:52,440
Speaker 2: you bring in Hank Backmeyer, say what you want about him,

1197
00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:56,680
Speaker 2: a ton of experience, huge upgrade over what they were

1198
00:59:56,760 --> 00:59:59,880
Speaker 2: playing with the end of last year. So and he's

1199
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:02,840
Speaker 2: would be able to pick apart this FIU defense. They're

1200
01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:04,480
Speaker 2: gonna be up for it. They did lose their top receiver,

1201
01:00:04,600 --> 01:00:08,200
Speaker 2: but you got Apps Cyrus Sound, da Coldest Crawford from

1202
01:00:08,240 --> 01:00:10,920
Speaker 2: the NEBRASKAA isn't all the depth chart, but they have

1203
01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:13,640
Speaker 2: the best names. If he was like sire, it would

1204
01:00:13,680 --> 01:00:17,120
Speaker 2: be Cyrus Sound, Smoke Harris who's awesome, great returner too,

1205
01:00:17,360 --> 01:00:19,760
Speaker 2: and Da Cooldest Crawford. The running back room is a

1206
01:00:19,800 --> 01:00:23,280
Speaker 2: bit of a concern because their main guy Crosby's out.

1207
01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:25,400
Speaker 2: He was their leading rusher last year. I think like

1208
01:00:25,480 --> 01:00:28,680
Speaker 2: third team All conference, leading leading returning rusher in the conference.

1209
01:00:28,720 --> 01:00:31,920
Speaker 2: He's out. Tyree Shelton, the transfer from Minam of Ohio.

1210
01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:35,400
Speaker 2: He's like questionable but doesn't really matter against FIU, you

1211
01:00:35,480 --> 01:00:37,120
Speaker 2: got a bunch of you lost. You lost a really

1212
01:00:37,120 --> 01:00:39,440
Speaker 2: good guard, but you got your center back from injury.

1213
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:43,680
Speaker 2: A lot of returning starts like their secondary got depleted.

1214
01:00:43,960 --> 01:00:45,240
Speaker 2: Not a lot of returning on the day. But it

1215
01:00:45,360 --> 01:00:47,720
Speaker 2: was bad anyway, and this is FIU, but they lost

1216
01:00:47,760 --> 01:00:50,880
Speaker 2: all their best players. I think La Tech Glitz is

1217
01:00:51,640 --> 01:00:52,439
Speaker 2: l well.

1218
01:00:52,560 --> 01:00:55,160
Speaker 1: I have a full preview coming out at Action Network.

1219
01:00:55,200 --> 01:00:57,880
Speaker 1: Everyone go check it out in the Action app maybe

1220
01:00:57,960 --> 01:01:00,840
Speaker 1: yesterday morning. I bet La Tech minus five and a

1221
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:03,840
Speaker 1: half in the first half, and that number, I believe

1222
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:06,440
Speaker 1: is about six everywhere else. But I would shop for

1223
01:01:06,480 --> 01:01:09,200
Speaker 1: that and get that number because you're right stuck. That's

1224
01:01:09,320 --> 01:01:12,040
Speaker 1: all these guys can talk about is that this game

1225
01:01:12,240 --> 01:01:15,440
Speaker 1: is personal after they lost in double overtime to Florida

1226
01:01:15,480 --> 01:01:21,360
Speaker 1: International last year. So not only that, the best unit,

1227
01:01:22,080 --> 01:01:26,240
Speaker 1: the most cohesive, and best most talented aspect of this

1228
01:01:26,400 --> 01:01:30,640
Speaker 1: game is Hank Bachmeyer's arm throwing to Smoke Harris and

1229
01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:33,480
Speaker 1: Cyrus Allen. Now, Smoke Harris probably gets a lot of attention,

1230
01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:36,200
Speaker 1: but Cyrus Allen two point one to three yards per

1231
01:01:36,320 --> 01:01:39,200
Speaker 1: route run. He is extremely explosive. He's going to get

1232
01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:40,800
Speaker 1: one on one coverage. I don't even if he's gonna

1233
01:01:40,800 --> 01:01:44,120
Speaker 1: get covered by Florida International secondary, but that is the

1234
01:01:44,160 --> 01:01:46,240
Speaker 1: most explosive And if there's anything from Hank Bakchmeyer I

1235
01:01:46,280 --> 01:01:49,600
Speaker 1: can remember from Boise State, he's got no problem an

1236
01:01:49,600 --> 01:01:51,800
Speaker 1: average depth of target. The guy can throw a mile.

1237
01:01:52,120 --> 01:01:53,919
Speaker 1: Maybe not the best decision making, but then again, Boise

1238
01:01:54,040 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 1: State didn't protect him very well and he got concussed

1239
01:01:56,160 --> 01:01:58,320
Speaker 1: almost every other game, so we'll see how that goes.

1240
01:01:58,920 --> 01:02:01,120
Speaker 1: I can't really make a case for Florida International other

1241
01:02:01,200 --> 01:02:02,880
Speaker 1: than the fact that I can say that Louisiana TECs

1242
01:02:02,960 --> 01:02:07,760
Speaker 1: defense is horrific. One hundred and thirtieth in tackling last season,

1243
01:02:08,000 --> 01:02:11,160
Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty second in lineyards. This team was

1244
01:02:11,480 --> 01:02:14,720
Speaker 1: near dead last, and defending rush explosives, it just bad

1245
01:02:14,840 --> 01:02:16,200
Speaker 1: up and down the board. And when you look at

1246
01:02:16,200 --> 01:02:18,600
Speaker 1: what they return on defense, I don't get a lot

1247
01:02:18,640 --> 01:02:20,600
Speaker 1: of warmth that they're going to be able to improve.

1248
01:02:21,160 --> 01:02:23,680
Speaker 1: The warmfall comes on the offense. Seventy percent of experience

1249
01:02:23,720 --> 01:02:26,680
Speaker 1: returning the offensive lines. They should be able to protect Bachmeyer,

1250
01:02:27,080 --> 01:02:29,160
Speaker 1: Smoke Harris and Sires. Island are going to go crazy

1251
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:32,000
Speaker 1: new defensive back seven from the portal on the defense,

1252
01:02:32,080 --> 01:02:37,120
Speaker 1: so I'm taking the first half. Yeah, the eleven screams

1253
01:02:37,160 --> 01:02:40,000
Speaker 1: back door, I'd stop vetting this at eleven. I'm going

1254
01:02:40,080 --> 01:02:43,040
Speaker 1: to go first half, let Lawtech extract the demons of

1255
01:02:43,120 --> 01:02:46,200
Speaker 1: losing in double overtime to to the Panthers last year,

1256
01:02:46,800 --> 01:02:48,280
Speaker 1: and then let the rest of the game ride.

1257
01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:51,200
Speaker 2: Yeh, all right, col Before we get out of here,

1258
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:54,200
Speaker 2: I do have Also, I'm going to run through a

1259
01:02:54,280 --> 01:02:57,400
Speaker 2: couple giveaways, but just quickly. Best bet for week zero,

1260
01:02:58,080 --> 01:03:02,600
Speaker 2: I'm going to say, UMass, here's a chance be a

1261
01:03:02,720 --> 01:03:06,120
Speaker 2: man taking my hand on a stand. I don't want

1262
01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:07,400
Speaker 2: no man and man.

1263
01:03:09,600 --> 01:03:10,520
Speaker 1: I don't want no.

1264
01:03:10,720 --> 01:03:14,480
Speaker 2: Man and man. I'd play this top six and a half.

1265
01:03:14,480 --> 01:03:17,240
Speaker 2: I've played this down to six last year. This line.

1266
01:03:17,880 --> 01:03:19,680
Speaker 2: Mexo State is a one point favorite on the road

1267
01:03:20,040 --> 01:03:22,440
Speaker 2: at UMass. They ends up winning that game. I think

1268
01:03:22,440 --> 01:03:26,240
Speaker 2: the Mexico State overall is worse. Their profile improved by

1269
01:03:26,280 --> 01:03:30,000
Speaker 2: beating just yeah, teams have quit or FCS teams are

1270
01:03:30,040 --> 01:03:33,040
Speaker 2: really bad rebuilding teams last year. U Mass meanwhile, has

1271
01:03:33,120 --> 01:03:36,880
Speaker 2: potential to be significantly better. They actually have a quarterback now.

1272
01:03:37,200 --> 01:03:39,840
Speaker 2: I think U Mess is on the rise. I think

1273
01:03:39,880 --> 01:03:43,200
Speaker 2: they can end their twenty four game road losing streak

1274
01:03:43,240 --> 01:03:45,240
Speaker 2: and pull this off. Go U Mass.

1275
01:03:46,800 --> 01:03:49,720
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go UTEB Jacksonville State over trying to get

1276
01:03:49,760 --> 01:03:52,160
Speaker 1: the key number below fifty five, which is the biggest

1277
01:03:52,200 --> 01:03:54,640
Speaker 1: number in totals in college football. There's a lot going

1278
01:03:54,680 --> 01:03:56,920
Speaker 1: on here with both of these offenses where what they

1279
01:03:57,040 --> 01:03:59,960
Speaker 1: do best, their identity and how they make their money

1280
01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:03,520
Speaker 1: goes against the opposing defenses that they're playing against. When

1281
01:04:03,560 --> 01:04:05,280
Speaker 1: you look at what rich Rod does with with the

1282
01:04:05,360 --> 01:04:09,520
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State offense, extremely fast twenty three seconds per play.

1283
01:04:09,840 --> 01:04:12,440
Speaker 1: That's going against a UTEP front seven that is loaded

1284
01:04:12,520 --> 01:04:15,120
Speaker 1: with JUCO players, first time for them to play. And oh,

1285
01:04:15,240 --> 01:04:18,000
Speaker 1: by the way, anwar Lewis breaking news on this Wednesday,

1286
01:04:18,160 --> 01:04:20,840
Speaker 1: might be recovered from his injury, and if he does,

1287
01:04:21,000 --> 01:04:23,840
Speaker 1: he is the best ground rusher attack on both sides

1288
01:04:23,880 --> 01:04:26,840
Speaker 1: of the ball here average four point three yards after contact,

1289
01:04:26,880 --> 01:04:29,280
Speaker 1: So if he plays, it only boosts this over take

1290
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:30,680
Speaker 1: the over. I like it all the way up to

1291
01:04:30,720 --> 01:04:31,200
Speaker 1: fifty four and.

1292
01:04:31,200 --> 01:04:35,840
Speaker 2: A half YEP. Also public service announcement mentioned week zero.

1293
01:04:35,880 --> 01:04:37,440
Speaker 2: I have a little fun. I'm probably gonna bet most

1294
01:04:37,480 --> 01:04:39,400
Speaker 2: these games. Time to do it, but also make sure

1295
01:04:39,400 --> 01:04:42,040
Speaker 2: you bet responsibly. Last year I think had one of

1296
01:04:42,120 --> 01:04:44,520
Speaker 2: my best cultural World seasons ever. Didn't have one bad Saturday,

1297
01:04:44,560 --> 01:04:46,280
Speaker 2: and I can promise you that won't be the case

1298
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:48,720
Speaker 2: this year. If you take a look when you have

1299
01:04:48,760 --> 01:04:51,360
Speaker 2: a Saturday in all those bets, if you can't afford

1300
01:04:51,440 --> 01:04:54,880
Speaker 2: a horrific you know, four and thirteen, four and sixteen day,

1301
01:04:55,480 --> 01:04:58,520
Speaker 2: just look at your card and say, if everything went

1302
01:04:58,560 --> 01:04:59,960
Speaker 2: wrong and I went four and thirteen, that's gonna have

1303
01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:02,760
Speaker 2: promise you. If you can't afford that, you're betting too much,

1304
01:05:02,840 --> 01:05:05,520
Speaker 2: make sure you bet responsibly. Before we get out of here,

1305
01:05:05,680 --> 01:05:08,440
Speaker 2: let's Susan giveaways. We love them. People leave reviews, five

1306
01:05:08,440 --> 01:05:10,000
Speaker 2: star reviews. This is the time you really help us

1307
01:05:10,000 --> 01:05:11,360
Speaker 2: out and we just do a bunch of giveaways. When

1308
01:05:11,360 --> 01:05:13,000
Speaker 2: you do, it doesn't matter what you say, sleep a

1309
01:05:13,040 --> 01:05:14,880
Speaker 2: five star review, you've already levet them before. Just grab

1310
01:05:14,960 --> 01:05:17,800
Speaker 2: a phone with your girlfriend, mom, whoever, and leave one.

1311
01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:19,880
Speaker 2: But I'll do a bunch of giveaways. Marshall M fourteen.

1312
01:05:19,880 --> 01:05:21,360
Speaker 2: When you break down the lines of Easter Michigan and

1313
01:05:21,360 --> 01:05:22,560
Speaker 2: Bowling Green, there's no other part that you need to

1314
01:05:22,600 --> 01:05:25,960
Speaker 2: listen to. Master Berte best college Turble podcasts out there,

1315
01:05:26,000 --> 01:05:29,480
Speaker 2: the real passion energy, Psycha sports back from vacation. Got

1316
01:05:29,520 --> 01:05:32,640
Speaker 2: the notebook feed usually taken notes, love it t Schaeffer.

1317
01:05:32,880 --> 01:05:35,200
Speaker 2: If you listen to one college football pocast each week,

1318
01:05:35,200 --> 01:05:37,680
Speaker 2: it is this. It will make you money. Gmy Saint.

1319
01:05:37,800 --> 01:05:39,840
Speaker 2: This podcast helped me become a smarter better throughout the

1320
01:05:39,880 --> 01:05:42,439
Speaker 2: year's top much stuff, Love to hear It, Trash Trash,

1321
01:05:42,560 --> 01:05:45,680
Speaker 2: Trash picks Up, U Tech Minor Nation is just a review.

1322
01:05:45,920 --> 01:05:50,000
Speaker 2: Love that You're in. Jay's fifty nine excellent pod, perfect

1323
01:05:50,040 --> 01:05:52,360
Speaker 2: for college football. Love doing all the conference as much appreciated.

1324
01:05:52,480 --> 01:05:55,480
Speaker 2: Let's keep going. Eldon Fairbanks Smart, Profitable, must Worley Entertaining,

1325
01:05:55,720 --> 01:05:58,600
Speaker 2: Peter twenty four. I'm astounded by the knowledge. Chris Codd

1326
01:05:58,720 --> 01:06:00,960
Speaker 2: can't say enough good things about the show. Stucking COLMN

1327
01:06:01,040 --> 01:06:03,960
Speaker 2: Go Deep Funny preview after the weekend Patter two to

1328
01:06:04,120 --> 01:06:07,440
Speaker 2: two ten is the best See you two zero two

1329
01:06:07,440 --> 01:06:09,200
Speaker 2: thousand and one. Ready for another profitable season, Colin and

1330
01:06:09,280 --> 01:06:13,360
Speaker 2: Stuff and one last one. Josh Flamingo Pool, JOBU Flamingo Pool,

1331
01:06:13,360 --> 01:06:15,520
Speaker 2: your podcast the best love list to my commute. Reach

1332
01:06:15,600 --> 01:06:18,520
Speaker 2: out to our producer Matt Mitchell or me. I'll send

1333
01:06:18,560 --> 01:06:23,000
Speaker 2: them to you. Hey, just email me at podcasts at

1334
01:06:23,080 --> 01:06:28,360
Speaker 2: Actionnetwork dot com to claim your prizes podcasts at actionnetwork

1335
01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:31,440
Speaker 2: dot com. Thanks guys, we'll send you some gear. We'll

1336
01:06:31,480 --> 01:06:32,960
Speaker 2: do some more throughout the year. Just leave a five

1337
01:06:32,960 --> 01:06:35,160
Speaker 2: story review. Really help us out as always been. Sure

1338
01:06:35,200 --> 01:06:39,080
Speaker 2: you tell friend, tone enemy, Subscribe on subscribe, subscribe. It's

1339
01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:41,880
Speaker 2: good to be back. Seven games. You got to figure

1340
01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 2: out a way next week and the week's have to

1341
01:06:43,240 --> 01:06:45,360
Speaker 2: do one hundred and twenty. But it's time for us

1342
01:06:45,440 --> 01:06:46,880
Speaker 2: to continue to go get to work, Let's have some

1343
01:06:47,040 --> 01:06:51,200
Speaker 2: fun on Saturday, and let's have a profitable season. It's

1344
01:06:51,200 --> 01:06:53,640
Speaker 2: good to be back. Don't forget about the voicemail shouts

1345
01:06:53,680 --> 01:06:56,479
Speaker 2: as always to all of our sponsors, our producers, video

1346
01:06:56,680 --> 01:06:58,520
Speaker 2: audio teams on the back end, and of course to

1347
01:06:58,560 --> 01:07:01,400
Speaker 2: all of you. We'll catch you next arm cheers, peace out.

1348
01:07:13,440 --> 01:07:17,960
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1349
01:07:18,000 --> 01:07:20,800
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1350
01:07:20,800 --> 01:07:23,880
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler