1 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:05,680 Speaker 1: Last week, we talked about US military veterans who've had 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: to fight with mortgage lenders that move to foreclose on 3 00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: their houses. Today a look at a different corner of 4 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:16,480 Speaker 1: the lending market, where ordinary people are also struggling with payments, 5 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: not on their homes but their cars. Many used car 6 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: dealers offer high priced loans to hard up customers who 7 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: have poor credit, sometimes leaving them with big monthly payments 8 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: and more debt than they can afford. Large financial institutions 9 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: are then packaging together thousands of these higher risk subprime 10 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 1: car loans and selling them as bonds to investors. Bloomberg's 11 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: Page Smith and Scott Carpenter report that a lot of 12 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: these car loans can go sour when customers fall behind. 13 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: They can lose their vehicles and even end up in bankruptcy. 14 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: But the banks build in rock solid protection for the 15 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: investors who profit from this system. 16 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: If some thing were to happen and a large portion 17 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 2: of those loans were to go sour, the investors would 18 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 2: still be fine. 19 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: If all this sounds a little like the practices of 20 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 1: the subprime mortgage lenders back in two thousand and eight, well. 21 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 3: When I go around the newsroom and I've been telling 22 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 3: colleagues with them working on a story about subprime motel 23 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,679 Speaker 3: loans being packaged into bonds. Invariably, one of the first 24 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 3: things people say to me is, g that reminds me 25 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 3: a lot of the subprime housing crisis. And yet we're 26 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 3: not experiencing the next great financial crisis. In fact, experts 27 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 3: in this area don't think that there's systemic risk. 28 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 1: I'm Westksova today on the Big Take Wall Street takes 29 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: used cars for a ride page. Your story starts in 30 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen with a married couple named James and Janis Siler. 31 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: Can you tell us about them? 32 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 2: So, mister Syler lives in Dixie, Georgia. It's a very small, 33 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 2: unincorporated town on the Florida Georgia line, and he is 34 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 2: a church custodian and host. And the story sort of 35 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 2: starts with him needing a new car. He was driving 36 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 2: a really old Pontiac and he bought that in cash 37 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,799 Speaker 2: and kept breaking down and he wanted a new truck. 38 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:37,519 Speaker 2: He stepped onto this dealership in South Georgia and looked 39 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 2: at a Ford F one fifty truck, which is one 40 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:43,959 Speaker 2: of the country's best selling vehicles. Was just over a 41 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 2: year old, so mister Syler's wife Janis, signed up for 42 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 2: a thirty thousand dollars car loan. They went with Janis's 43 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 2: name on the loan because her credit score was a 44 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,920 Speaker 2: bit higher than his was a little bit stronger. These 45 00:02:56,919 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 2: were really high risk borrowers because James and Janis had 46 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,680 Speaker 2: filed for bankruptcy just six years before. 47 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 1: And the rate on that loan was pretty high. 48 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:10,959 Speaker 2: Santander Consumer USA, a unit of the Spanish bank Manco 49 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 2: Santander Finance the loan, and Santander Consumer USA is one 50 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 2: of the largest subprime lenders in the US. They financed 51 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 2: the loan for a rate of twenty two point five percent, 52 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,079 Speaker 2: and at that point in time, that was just about 53 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 2: more than three times the rate of a used car 54 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 2: for someone with a prime credit score or sort of 55 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 2: a credit score on the higher end of the credit spectrum. 56 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 2: So yeah, twenty two point oh five percent is a 57 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 2: pretty expensive car loan. 58 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: And page how much was his monthly payment for that loan? 59 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 2: The Sidlers drove away with a car loan that called 60 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 2: for a seven hundred and fifty dollars monthly payment. I 61 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 2: don't know about you, but for me that would be 62 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 2: really expensive, Scott. 63 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: That is a lot of money to pay each month, 64 00:03:57,640 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 1: and was he able to afford that loan? 65 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 3: This was a big payment and soon after taking out 66 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 3: the loan, the Silers had trouble making the payments. 67 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: Paige, Why did he tell you he took out such 68 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 1: an expensive loan that he possibly would have a hard 69 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: time taking the payments on. 70 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:19,840 Speaker 2: So he really was eyeing a truck to be able 71 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 2: to do a number of the odd jobs that he 72 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 2: was doing at that time. He was mowing lawns, he 73 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:28,719 Speaker 2: was working as a church custodian and host, but you know, 74 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 2: he was also doing jobs on the side like many 75 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 2: other you know, Americans do to kind of make ends 76 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 2: meet every month. You know, I think it's important to 77 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:41,359 Speaker 2: point out that, you know, yes, consumers in the US 78 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 2: could pay for a car in cash, but a lot, 79 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:47,680 Speaker 2: a lot a lot of US consumers opt to finance 80 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 2: their loans instead of paying for things in cash. And 81 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 2: mister Siler made that choice just like a lot of 82 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 2: other US consumers. 83 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: And did he know that his monthly payment was going 84 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: to be that much when he signed those documents? 85 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 2: So mister Syler knew that the monthly payment was going 86 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 2: to be seven hundred and fifty dollars, but he told 87 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 2: us he really was not aware that the interest rate 88 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 2: would be that high twenty two point zero five percent, 89 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 2: And he did say that when reviewing the documents after 90 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 2: he had already signed that he saw the interest rate 91 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 2: and said that he'd wished he could have negotiated it 92 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 2: down a bit more. He said it seemed pretty high 93 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 2: to him. 94 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 3: Loans like Silers are considered to be subprime. They are 95 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 3: loans made to borrowers with credit scores generally below about 96 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:40,160 Speaker 3: six twenty and people who have a history of not 97 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 3: paying their debts back or who are inconsistent with some 98 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 3: of their payments, who've defaulted in the past. In fact, 99 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 3: the Silers had previously gone through a bankruptcy, which is 100 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 3: a great example of something that would have reduced their 101 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:56,359 Speaker 3: credit score. I think what was happening with the Silers 102 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 3: loan was actually very common. When you're looking at people 103 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 3: with low credit scores, they need to get a car 104 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 3: to go to the dealership, and they end up walking 105 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 3: away with a loan that is very expensive. So overall, 106 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:16,480 Speaker 3: what you have is dealers and auto lenders lending money 107 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 3: for expensive loans that consumers aren't taking the time to 108 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 3: properly understand because there are very few guardrails in this process. 109 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 3: It's a kind of conveyor belt of loans that's designed 110 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,719 Speaker 3: to give you financing as quickly as possible, and that's 111 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 3: the goal. 112 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 2: It's interesting comparing sort of a buying a house with 113 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:40,280 Speaker 2: buying a car. Those are sort of two of the largest, 114 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 2: you know, maybe the biggest purchases you might make as 115 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:45,599 Speaker 2: a US consumer in your life. And while it's not 116 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 2: in apples to apples comparison, you know, you think of 117 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 2: how much time and process and due diligence you might 118 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 2: do if you're a consumer and you're buying a house, 119 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 2: and then you contrast that with buying a car and 120 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 2: going onto a dealer and maybe driving it away that 121 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 2: same day as mister Syler did. It's a very different process. 122 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 2: One is very fast, very expedient, and that's sort of 123 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 2: for a reason. So as a consumer, when you're at 124 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 2: the dealership, you're signing that loan or what's known as 125 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 2: a retail installment contract, you're committing to a really costly debt. 126 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 2: By the time many consumers are done paying off their debts, 127 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 2: if they make every single monthly payment. Some of them 128 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 2: pay as much as twice the value of the cars 129 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 2: that they. 130 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: Bought and Paige. In the US, where a lot of 131 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: people rely on cars, Santander and other lenders say they're 132 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 1: throwing a lifeline to those with poor credit and not 133 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: a lot of other options. What did Santander say to 134 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 1: you about this reporting? 135 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 2: Son Tander says that the benefits of car ownership are 136 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 2: really substantial. When we asked the lender sort of what 137 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 2: they thought of the gist of the story and the 138 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 2: overall situation, the lender essentially said that consumers who own 139 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 2: a car more likely to have higher income, live in 140 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 2: safer neighborhoods, and more likely to exit income support programs. 141 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 2: And Sonnder did say that it adheres to all regulatory 142 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 2: requirements and industry best practices. Bradley Cobb, the president of 143 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 2: Bower's Automotive Group, is the co owner of Langdale Hondai 144 00:08:26,520 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 2: of South Georgia, where the Sailors bought the Ford F 145 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 2: one fifty, and he said that the high interest rate 146 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 2: reflected the risk of the loan due to the siler's 147 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 2: recent bankruptcy. The lender was essentially giving her a second 148 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 2: chance he said, and Cobb said that Santander made an 149 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:50,200 Speaker 2: ethical and sound decision in granting Missus Syler alone based 150 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 2: on the information provided. 151 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 3: I should also say that Jim Bass, who's the chairman 152 00:08:56,320 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 3: of the National Automotive Finance Association, says that the Prime 153 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 3: Ministry makes it possible to extend credit to people who 154 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 3: need to recover after a setback such as a divorce 155 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:10,080 Speaker 3: or job loss. And he says, if it wasn't for 156 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 3: the finance companies that were willing to finance these individuals, 157 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 3: it would have such a negative impact on the day 158 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 3: to day life in most of the country. 159 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: And Scott, this loan the Silers took out was really 160 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,960 Speaker 1: just the first step in your story. What happens next, 161 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:26,719 Speaker 1: That's right. 162 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 3: So James gets the car, he pays for it with 163 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 3: the loan, he drives away. What does Santander do with 164 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 3: that loan? Though James now owes monthly payments for the 165 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 3: next several years, Santander takes that stream of money that 166 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 3: is now owed to it and puts it into a 167 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 3: bond or called an asset backed security. In this case, 168 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 3: it takes about seventy five thousand other loans that it's 169 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 3: made to borrowers similar to Siler across the country, puts 170 00:09:56,040 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 3: them into the asset backed security and sells this asset 171 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 3: beech security to dozens, perhaps one hundred or more investors, 172 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 3: mutual funds, insurance companies, asset managers. It's actually considered a 173 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 3: very plain, vanilla thing. And that asset bach security had 174 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 3: a name. It was called Drive twenty nineteen Dash three Scott. 175 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: Let's take a moment and really pull this apart. Why 176 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 1: would a financial institution want to bundle together lots and 177 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 1: lots of high risk subprime loans and sell them. 178 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:38,080 Speaker 3: Think about it from Santander's point of view. So it's 179 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 3: just given Siler this loan. It's just given seventy five 180 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:44,319 Speaker 3: thousand other people across the country lots of loans. Now 181 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 3: it's got two options here. One it could keep the 182 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 3: loans for itself and wait the five, six, seven years 183 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:56,400 Speaker 3: however long it will take for everybody to repay their loans. 184 00:10:56,960 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 3: Or it could take those loans, package them together, sell 185 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 3: it in the form of a bond. The benefit of 186 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 3: that second option is actually pretty big, because now Santander 187 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 3: doesn't have to wait around for five years however long 188 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 3: it will take. It can get cash immediately from the investors. 189 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 3: The investors are happy to wait around. Santander would rather 190 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 3: have the cash today so it can make more loans today. 191 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 3: That is the business model that it's in. Santander is 192 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 3: not the only auto finance company that does this, There's 193 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 3: plenty of others. 194 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: So that explains really well why Santander would want to 195 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 1: do this. But why would a pension fund or another 196 00:11:46,120 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: place want to buy loans that are higher risk than 197 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 1: other kinds of loans. 198 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 3: One word, and that word is returns. It's considered to 199 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 3: be a very good return for the amount of risk 200 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 3: that it has. That had to be repaid first, got 201 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 3: top credit ratings, you know, triple A, and those that 202 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 3: were at the bottom and they took the losses first 203 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:16,199 Speaker 3: and were repaid last, they were you know, rated lower 204 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 3: triple B in this case triple B. They were still 205 00:12:19,280 --> 00:12:24,199 Speaker 3: considered very safe. They're investment grade, but they're riskier altogether. 206 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 3: The bonds paid interest rates ranging from two point five 207 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 3: to three point two percent. Meanwhile, on the underlying car loans, 208 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 3: which are supplying the cash flows for the bonds, they 209 00:12:37,880 --> 00:12:43,000 Speaker 3: have a much higher interest rate, on average nineteen percent 210 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 3: in some cases, though going up to twenty nine point 211 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:50,560 Speaker 3: nine to nine percent. If you're a pension fund, you're 212 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 3: not worried that top part of the bond is going 213 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:57,679 Speaker 3: to default, and meanwhile you're getting a decent return. So 214 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:00,719 Speaker 3: it's actually considered to be very safe, and for the 215 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 3: amount of safety that it offers, it's a good investment. 216 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 2: As long as no more than fifty nine percent of 217 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 2: all of the money owed by these car loan borrowers defaulted, 218 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 2: all of those investors and all of those bondholders would 219 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 2: get repaid. According to some SMP Global ratings data. We 220 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 2: had one investor even tell us that you could sort 221 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 2: of think of these bonds as structured like a bomb 222 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,839 Speaker 2: shelter against a nuclear blast and paige. 223 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 1: You also write that if some of these loans go bad, 224 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 1: there's another way that the financial institution is able to 225 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: recoup the losses. 226 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 2: Yes, the repossession market is alive and well. The repelman 227 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 2: is alive and gone are the days of driving around 228 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 2: trying to find a car that's out for repossession. There 229 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 2: are much more advanced technologies to help the repossession agents 230 00:13:56,160 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 2: find and repossess vehicles of US consumers that are way 231 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:04,440 Speaker 2: behind on their loans. Essentially, it's much easier to find 232 00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 2: and repossess a car today than it was in the past. 233 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 2: GPS tracking devices which aren't in as many subprime cars 234 00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 2: as you would think, but things like license plate scanners 235 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 2: really help the repilman these days. 236 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 1: And so if someone buys a car and then they 237 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 1: default because they can't afford the payments, then the financial 238 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 1: institution can repossess it, sell it and recoup some or 239 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: even all of their losses. 240 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 2: Essentially, today it's gotten much easier, especially because used car 241 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 2: prices are still quite elevated, they are able to recoup 242 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 2: a good amount of that investment. 243 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:45,680 Speaker 1: When we come back, how big is this market for 244 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: subprime car loans? So is it accurate to say that 245 00:14:57,040 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: because these package security these are very profitable for financial 246 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: institutions and there's a big market of people who want 247 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: to buy them, that there's a big incentive to give 248 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 1: people these very expensive subprime loans and to get as 249 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: many of them as possible. 250 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 3: There is a strong incentive. It's very profitable. You know, 251 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 3: if you give somebody a loan with an interest rate 252 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 3: that's very high, and if they don't default and they 253 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,640 Speaker 3: pay instead all the way to the time that they're 254 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 3: finished paying the loan, you're going to make a lot 255 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 3: of money. And the problem is when people default, and 256 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 3: the default rates are very high. For all subprime auto loans, 257 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,720 Speaker 3: about thirty percent of them default. As far as we 258 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 3: can tell. That data is not perfect. We tried really 259 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 3: hard to get that data, but that's as far as 260 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 3: we can tell, about thirty percent of all loans to fault. 261 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 3: And defaults are not good for anybody. They're not good 262 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 3: for the borrower, They're not good for the lender. I 263 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 3: mean to be sure the lender has an interest in 264 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 3: the borrower paying. Because of the very high interest rates, 265 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 3: because of the ability to repo cars. When somebody does default, 266 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 3: the penalty from the lenders point of view of the 267 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 3: person defaulting is not an insurmountable obstacle to making profits. 268 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 3: A lot of profits on lending to subprime borrowers. 269 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: Scott, How large is the subprime auto loan market? How 270 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 1: many people have these subprime loans? 271 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 3: As of June, subprime debt made up twenty one percent 272 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 3: of the roughly one point six trillion in outstanding auto loans, 273 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 3: so it's essentially tied with student debt as the second 274 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 3: largest kind of consumer debt after mortgages, and that's according 275 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 3: to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. And this 276 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 3: is interesting because overall car lending is booming, but the 277 00:16:53,520 --> 00:17:00,440 Speaker 3: share going to subprime borrowers has actually declined. The major 278 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 3: banks have been shifting their focus to more credit worthy 279 00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 3: borrowers who are taking out larger and larger loans. Meanwhile, 280 00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:16,560 Speaker 3: lenders that focus on the subprime market, they tend to 281 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:20,400 Speaker 3: securitize their loans, meaning they put them into bonds, sell them, 282 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 3: and overall they do this because it gives them access 283 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:25,679 Speaker 3: to more funding. 284 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,199 Speaker 1: In page we've been talking about James Seiler in the 285 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 1: truck that he bought. But you spoke to a lot 286 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: of people who are in a similar situation. Is that right, Yeah. 287 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:39,440 Speaker 2: We spoke with around forty borrowers, all of whom were 288 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 2: struggling across I think more than a dozen states, and 289 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,919 Speaker 2: a lot of them just expressed that they had taken 290 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 2: on this really expensive debt and some of them just 291 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:54,479 Speaker 2: couldn't keep up their payments. Others had life events that 292 00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:57,679 Speaker 2: came up and they couldn't keep up their payments. But 293 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:00,480 Speaker 2: the vast majority of them at the time that we 294 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 2: spoke with them had already had their cars repossessed, and 295 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:05,880 Speaker 2: we're sort of trying to figure out what to do next. 296 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: I suppose there are some people listening to this podcast saying, 297 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 1: you know, that's a really bad situation to be in, 298 00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 1: but they decided to put themselves in this situation. They 299 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 1: signed these loans. They knew what they could afford, and 300 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 1: they knew what they signed up. 301 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 2: For definitely, And I think that consumers do. At the 302 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 2: end of the day, it is their name that is 303 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 2: signed on the dotted line before they drive that car 304 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 2: off of the lot. But that being said, I think 305 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:39,119 Speaker 2: that often times consumers don't necessarily understand the full gravity 306 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 2: of what they're signing. They don't understand that they'll be 307 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 2: having to continue to make these payments for years and years, 308 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 2: and for many of those payments, if they make every 309 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,920 Speaker 2: single payment and their loan, they will have paid twice 310 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 2: the value of their car. And that's a pretty shocking figure. 311 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:02,239 Speaker 1: After the break, helping car buyers to avoid taking on 312 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:14,640 Speaker 1: more debt than they can afford. Scott, you right that 313 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 1: what's happening in the subprime auto loan market has a 314 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: pretty strong echo to two thousand and eight. 315 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 3: It certainly does. When I go around the newsroom and 316 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 3: I've been telling colleagues with them working on a story 317 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 3: about subprime auto loans being packaged in the bonds, invariably 318 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 3: one of the first things people say to me is 319 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 3: ge that reminds me a lot of the subprime housing 320 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,280 Speaker 3: crisis back in two thousand and eight. So let's talk 321 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 3: about what's similar was different here. Back in two thousand 322 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 3: and eight, subprime mortgages were this hot new product being 323 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 3: made to people with low credit scores. Subprime mortgages made 324 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 3: in two thousand and six went on over their life 325 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:58,719 Speaker 3: to have a default rate of thirty five percent. That 326 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 3: was the highest it ever got for subprime mortgages, according 327 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 3: to an economist, is now at mit thirty five percent. 328 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 3: That's as bad as got and that caused essentially the 329 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 3: world financial markets to explode and helps lead to the 330 00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:19,680 Speaker 3: Great Financial Crisis. Today with subprime auto loans, the default rate, 331 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:24,439 Speaker 3: as best we can tell, is chronically nearly that high 332 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 3: or higher. That is, thirty percent or higher, and yet 333 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:34,800 Speaker 3: we're not experiencing the next great financial crisis. In fact, 334 00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:38,800 Speaker 3: experts in this area don't think that there's systemic risk 335 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 3: the bonds are extraordinarily safe. They can survive extremely high 336 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 3: default rates, and part of the reason why we're not 337 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,359 Speaker 3: facing systemic risk even with very high default rates. A 338 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:56,200 Speaker 3: few reasons. One, subprime auto loans are much smaller than 339 00:20:56,280 --> 00:21:01,240 Speaker 3: the subprime mortgage market was. That's one thing. Number two. 340 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,280 Speaker 3: Back in two thousand and seven two thousand and eight, 341 00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 3: those subprime mortgage bonds was just part of the story. 342 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 3: They were actually getting synthetically secured, this whole other complicated thing, 343 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 3: synthetically securitized and threading their way throughout the rest of 344 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:22,359 Speaker 3: the economy that way. That added just whole other levels 345 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 3: of risk that's not happening today. And also you could 346 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:30,400 Speaker 3: say that the interests of lenders are more closely aligned 347 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:32,879 Speaker 3: with borrowers today, and that's because of something in dot frank, 348 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:35,200 Speaker 3: which was a law that was passed after two thousand 349 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,200 Speaker 3: and eight to make sure that something similar wouldn't happen again. 350 00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 3: That requires lenders like Santander and others when they're issuing 351 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 3: these bonds to hold some of the risk themselves. They 352 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:48,639 Speaker 3: can't get rid of all of it. They have to 353 00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:50,919 Speaker 3: keep at least five percent. The idea that here is 354 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,199 Speaker 3: you have skin in the game. So that your incentives. 355 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,240 Speaker 3: All right, you don't want to sell a bond that's 356 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:58,240 Speaker 3: going to go bad because you own some of it, 357 00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:01,520 Speaker 3: you're going to experience the effects of that. And I 358 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,399 Speaker 3: think you can see that this it's called risk retens, 359 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 3: this skin in the game role is actually working. And 360 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,399 Speaker 3: this brings me to the last thing that's different is 361 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:14,440 Speaker 3: with subprime mortgages, the amount the volumes year after year 362 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 3: from two thousands to two thousand and eight just went 363 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 3: up every year, skyrocketing. That's not happening with subprime model lending. 364 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:25,240 Speaker 3: It's actually been relatively stable. You know. One of the 365 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 3: reasons probably is because lenders are experiencing some of these 366 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 3: high default rates on their own balance sheets, and that's 367 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,320 Speaker 3: constraining them. It's caused them to pull back when conditions 368 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 3: aren't great. 369 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 2: These are sort of controlled explosions. They're expected. The high 370 00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 2: rates of default are expected. The lenders expect this all 371 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:51,880 Speaker 2: to happen, and they've sort of planned accordingly. It's not 372 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 2: like the subprime housing crisis where things really went off 373 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,439 Speaker 2: the rails and as Scott said, really just kind of 374 00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:02,520 Speaker 2: wove through every part of the US economy. That is 375 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:03,320 Speaker 2: not happening here. 376 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 1: So paige. If the system is safer in that it 377 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:12,400 Speaker 1: protects the investors, it protects the financial institutions, and even 378 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:16,199 Speaker 1: protects the larger economy from shocks. But what about the 379 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 1: individual consumers. What's protecting them from lenders who want to 380 00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 1: issue these loans so that they have something to package 381 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:27,440 Speaker 1: up into these profitable bonds. 382 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:32,600 Speaker 2: The individual consumers are really the ones who are facing 383 00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 2: the brunt of this. After a car is repossessed very 384 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,960 Speaker 2: soon after you see a hit to your credit score, 385 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 2: it's much harder to take on additional debts and also 386 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,920 Speaker 2: to bring it back to the silers. I mean, they 387 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:51,359 Speaker 2: had already filed for bankruptcy once before they took on 388 00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 2: this expensive debt, but then they ultimately filed for bankruptcy 389 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 2: again in twenty twenty three earlier this year to be 390 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:02,360 Speaker 2: able to reach shuffle their debts. So we spoke with 391 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 2: more than forty barwers kind of struggling to pick up 392 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 2: the pieces after their cars had been repossessed. And it 393 00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,919 Speaker 2: is really really hard for people to go without a 394 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:13,840 Speaker 2: car in the US. 395 00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:19,280 Speaker 1: And are any federal or state agencies thinking about these 396 00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:23,040 Speaker 1: buyers trying to put protections in place so that they 397 00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,879 Speaker 1: have a better sense of the terms of these loans 398 00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 1: for people who just aren't as financially savvy. 399 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,879 Speaker 2: So in the wake of the Great Financial Crisis, the 400 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,560 Speaker 2: subprime housing crisis in two thousand and eight, there was 401 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 2: an agency created called the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau the CFPB. 402 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:46,200 Speaker 2: But they do not oversee car dealers themselves. They only 403 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:50,400 Speaker 2: oversee the big lenders. And that's a tricky carve out 404 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:53,680 Speaker 2: because if you think of the actual car buying process, 405 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 2: you drive onto a car lot to look for a 406 00:24:57,160 --> 00:25:00,719 Speaker 2: used car, you sign all of the paperwork in the 407 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:04,800 Speaker 2: car dealership, but really you are dealing with a lender 408 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 2: who might be hundreds of miles away approving this transaction. 409 00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 2: So to have that sort of carve out, that was 410 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:15,760 Speaker 2: a very intentional lobbying effort in Washington, DC, while Dodd 411 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 2: Frank was being creative and it was successful. 412 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:22,200 Speaker 1: Scott. When the CFPD was started, one of the first 413 00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,040 Speaker 1: big things they did was to make sure that there 414 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:27,639 Speaker 1: was no more tiny type when describing the terms of 415 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:34,040 Speaker 1: say a credit card application. Is there any push to say, okay, buyer, 416 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,680 Speaker 1: if you take a loan at this amount, the actual 417 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:39,160 Speaker 1: amount you're going to pay for the car is twice, 418 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:41,520 Speaker 1: but the sticker is or something like that, to just 419 00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 1: make it very plain to people what they're getting into. 420 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:48,640 Speaker 3: I think they certainly have tried. You are required on 421 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:53,479 Speaker 3: your auto finance contract to very clearly disclose what the 422 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 3: APR or the interest rate is, the amount finance that's 423 00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 3: the amount that's being lent, and the finance charge, which 424 00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 3: is the amount that that money will cost you an interest. 425 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,240 Speaker 3: So it's clear in one sense, you can see it 426 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:10,320 Speaker 3: right there at the top of the contract. On the 427 00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:14,160 Speaker 3: other hand, I think, based on our reporting, having talked 428 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:18,120 Speaker 3: to many of these borrowers, it's still a confusing system 429 00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:20,159 Speaker 3: to a lot of borrowers. 430 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:25,160 Speaker 1: And Page what about On the state level, there. 431 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,640 Speaker 2: Have been efforts on the state level to rein in 432 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 2: some of these subprime lending practices, and to some effect 433 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:35,720 Speaker 2: they have been successful. The Massachusetts Attorney General now Governor Morihally, 434 00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:39,040 Speaker 2: for example, sued a few of these lenders, and there 435 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:42,439 Speaker 2: have been other efforts as well. The CFPB, which is 436 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 2: the agency that oversees protections for US consumers, and state 437 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:52,600 Speaker 2: regulators have been cracking down the sales practices of subprime lenders, 438 00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 2: including Santa There in twenty twenty actually Santander reached a 439 00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:02,360 Speaker 2: five hundred and fifty million dollalitler's settlement to resolve abusive 440 00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 2: lending allegations made by sort of a salew of state 441 00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:10,399 Speaker 2: attorneys general, and one of the allegations was that the 442 00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 2: company knew it made loans that were likely to default. 443 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 2: As part of that settlement, Santander neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing, 444 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 2: but it agreed to waive some customers balances and in 445 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:26,240 Speaker 2: the future to decline to extend credit to customers who 446 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,720 Speaker 2: had no income left after other debt and required spending. 447 00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:34,640 Speaker 2: At the time, Santander called the matter a legacy underwriting issue. 448 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,080 Speaker 1: Scotty, as you continue to report on this story, what 449 00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 1: are you looking for? 450 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,040 Speaker 3: I'd like to know more of what the default rates 451 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 3: are going to wind up being for a lot of 452 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:48,639 Speaker 3: people who are getting loans today. I'd like to see 453 00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 3: how some of these recently issued subprime auto securities are 454 00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 3: going to perform. There are some signs that they're not 455 00:27:56,200 --> 00:28:01,480 Speaker 3: performing perfectly. Some of them are actually on track to 456 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:04,920 Speaker 3: deliver losses to their investors, the bond holders, which is 457 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:08,639 Speaker 3: very unusual for the most part. I think lending to 458 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,560 Speaker 3: issuance of these bonds is going to continue about roughly 459 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,359 Speaker 3: what it is now. Twenty twenty two saw issuants of 460 00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:19,800 Speaker 3: thirty seven billion of these per year will probably see 461 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 3: roughly similar amounts going forward. But I think essentially everybody 462 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 3: wants to know how many people are going to default 463 00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:31,359 Speaker 3: on their auto loans, and nobody quite knows. One thing's 464 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 3: for sure. Though, the investors who buy the top of 465 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:36,720 Speaker 3: these bonds, the triple A, the Double A, et cetera, 466 00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 3: they are not too worried and they'll still be understood 467 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 3: in buying more of them. 468 00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 2: The CFPB also does not currently collect information on how 469 00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:50,720 Speaker 2: many US consumers have their cars repossessed every year, and 470 00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 2: it was really hard for us in the reporting of 471 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:56,760 Speaker 2: the story to nail down an approximation of that figure 472 00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 2: based on default data. We had to go to an 473 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:03,480 Speaker 2: number of different sources just to find out that around 474 00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 2: thirty percent of American's default on their car loans, which 475 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 2: effectively translates to them having their cars repossessed. And that 476 00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:16,239 Speaker 2: makes it tough to figure out how consumers fare in 477 00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 2: this country. 478 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 1: Drive twenty nineteen to three wound down in October. The 479 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,560 Speaker 1: customers who had taken out all those auto loans that 480 00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:28,320 Speaker 1: were packaged together paid back three quarters of the money 481 00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: they'd borrowed. That was way more than necessary to repay 482 00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 1: the bond holders, and it worked out very well for 483 00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:39,760 Speaker 1: Santander too. Remember Scott said earlier that Santander had to 484 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:43,040 Speaker 1: have some skin in the game. It was required to 485 00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:47,440 Speaker 1: hold at least a five percent interest in its securitizations. 486 00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 1: In this case, it put seventy one million dollars of 487 00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 1: its own money at risk. In the event of any shortfall, 488 00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 1: it would be the last to get repaid and the 489 00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,400 Speaker 1: first to lose money. But it also gets to keep 490 00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:04,280 Speaker 1: a share of any excess money after everyone else is paid, 491 00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 1: and there was a lot left over. According to sec filings, 492 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,719 Speaker 1: Santander got to keep at least one hundred and fifty 493 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 1: five million dollars as a kind of bonus, and that 494 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 1: was on top of its servicing fees, which totaled one 495 00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty one million dollars. And Paige, what happened 496 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 1: with the Silers. You write that ultimately they couldn't afford 497 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:29,520 Speaker 1: to keep that f one to fifty pickup truck, and 498 00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:33,160 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty it was taken back and sold it auction. 499 00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 2: For mister Syler, it got to a point where he 500 00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 2: just could no longer keep up with payments. COVID was 501 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 2: also a really challenging time for him. The COVID pandemic 502 00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:44,960 Speaker 2: was tough because the church where he was working cut 503 00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:48,000 Speaker 2: his hours. He finally just sort of threw in the 504 00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,160 Speaker 2: towel and said, if you want to come and get 505 00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 2: the truck, come and get it. 506 00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 1: Page Scott, thanks so much for sharing your reporting on 507 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: this story. 508 00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 2: Thanks for having us. 509 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to us here at The Big Take. 510 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 1: It's a daily podcast from Bloomberg and iHeartRadio. For more 511 00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:08,640 Speaker 1: shows from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or 512 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,280 Speaker 1: wherever you listen, and we'd love to hear from you. 513 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 1: Email us questions or comments to Big Take at Bloomberg 514 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 1: dot net. The supervising producer of The Big Take is 515 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 1: Vicky Burgolina. Our senior producer is Catherine Fink. Sam Gabauer 516 00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 1: produced this episode. Field Garcia is our engineer. Our original 517 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,840 Speaker 1: music was composed by Leo Sidrin. I'm West Kasova. We'll 518 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:32,840 Speaker 1: be back tomorrow with another Big Take