1 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Thursday 2 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 1: morning edition of the Dealer Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: Matt Paroltire on Bettingpros dot Com, always being brought to 4 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: you by Bett MGM, and you can find me on 5 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:23,760 Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. All right, So here we are. 6 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:26,760 Speaker 1: It's a one and two mark right now with the 7 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: undergoing for Vancouver and the Montreal Canadians. It's getting late. 8 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 1: It's nine thirty on the West Coast. It's two to 9 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,160 Speaker 1: one still right now for Montreal. We got three goals 10 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: to play with, so hopefully we don't get burned in 11 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: the third period again, because that's what happened with the 12 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: Golden Knights and the Minnesota Wild. Look, I didn't think 13 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,239 Speaker 1: Flurry would fall in his face like that and give 14 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: up three goals in the third period and get pulled. 15 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 1: We were looking pretty good at the five and a 16 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: half under one one going into the third period and 17 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: then man, all hell broke loose. Four to three was 18 00:00:56,800 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: the final. So seven goals get scored there, So been wacky. 19 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: And when you have the under, you just know the 20 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 1: third period's coming, so you've got to brace yourself. So 21 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 1: I'm kind of bracing myself. I hopefully get three goals 22 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: and the hook saves us at six and a half. 23 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:13,640 Speaker 1: It gets to six and we wound up winning. So 24 00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 1: if that happens, we're two and two and then we 25 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: will wind up a little bit down on the jew 26 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:20,680 Speaker 1: So I was one in one of my personal plays yesterday. 27 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: So it's been kind of a blah week. We've just 28 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: been flat. You know. It's you know, down the juice basically. 29 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: So it's not winning, not losing. It's well the books, 30 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,040 Speaker 1: it's losing because the books are making money on us, 31 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: but they're not making a lot of money on us. 32 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: The thing, you know, we're pretty pretty much five hundred. 33 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 1: You can't go five hundred sports gambling, like we know, 34 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: you go five hundred and you're losing. So that's what 35 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: happens when you bet one hundred and ten to they're 36 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 1: one hundred. That's why they make money all the time 37 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 1: off of us. We have to win, we have to 38 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: be up. You can't go two and two. You got 39 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: to go three and one every night basically to be 40 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: making money. So I've got a ton of picks to 41 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: give you guys here today, okay, and I'm going to try. 42 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: I'm not going to go in depth on all of 43 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:05,559 Speaker 1: them because I'm trying to keep this podcast to fifteen minutes. Okay, 44 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 1: that's going to be kind of my goal here. I've 45 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: been going twenty three minutes, twenty four minutes. It's just 46 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: been kind of, you know, not in the spirit of 47 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 1: this podcast. It's supposed to be fifteen minutes. I'm supposed 48 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: to be asking you guys for just fifteen minutes of 49 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 1: your time to listen, so without me rambling on and 50 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: on and on. Okay, So the name's being pulled for 51 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:25,519 Speaker 1: the bet MGM trip and so tonight, so you should 52 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:27,799 Speaker 1: know within by the time you're listening to this, I 53 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 1: would say you get an email if you have won 54 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: that trip here to Vegas. So if it daily Juice 55 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 1: listener wins, let's go tell me, email me, you know, 56 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: discord me, whatever, get in touch with me because that's 57 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: incredible and I want to pump you up big time. 58 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 1: If you're the one coming here thanks to bet MGM, 59 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: but a lot of people are involved. Always use that 60 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 1: promo code Juice one hundred when you sign up for 61 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 1: a bet mgm account if you're going to do that, 62 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:51,679 Speaker 1: and we'll see who winds up winning that very cool, 63 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 1: very cool thing coming up here. Remember, the Coach K 64 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 1: signed autograph picture is up for grabs this month. When 65 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:01,239 Speaker 1: you leave a review on Apple or stitch your screenshot, 66 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 1: drop that picture at bettingpros dot com slash juice, and 67 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: you are in. We're nearly at nine hundred reviews I 68 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: think at last time I saw that, So pretty cool. 69 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 1: If you've already done a review, you're already in. So 70 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: if you want to Coach K picture autograph sign picture, 71 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 1: thanks to Pristine Auction, we've got that for you. Coming up. 72 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk golf and so I've been making 73 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: my phone calls. I've been talking to people. I've been 74 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 1: trying to find some value here on the PGA. You 75 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:27,120 Speaker 1: guys wanted me to post the bets early in the 76 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 1: discord channel, which I did. Okay, I've got three bets going. 77 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 1: They're all a quarter unit, so I'm not going to 78 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: get too heavy to in depth with this. I'm just 79 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 1: gonna give you what I've bet and then move on 80 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: and you guys can fade or follow as to what 81 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: you want to do with this. But the golf BET's 82 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: been pretty good, So let's start with John Rahm, who 83 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: came in in the top five two weeks ago, didn't 84 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: play all that great last week. The equipment chains, and 85 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 1: people will bring it up saying what about the equipment chains. 86 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 1: I think he's got it figured out. Okay. I think 87 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 1: John Rahm is in for a very big top ten 88 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: finish here. I've got John Rohm to bounce back after 89 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: a soso performance last week. Because much like the Masters, 90 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: this golf course at TPC Sawgrass, You've got to put 91 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: the ball in the right place. You can't be wayward. 92 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: That's why I'm a little bit wary on Bryson Dave Chambeau. 93 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: You can't just rip this golf course and blast it. 94 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: You got to be accurate. You've got to be on 95 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 1: the right side, you got to be in the right 96 00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: place on the greens. I think that's perfect for John Ram, 97 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,159 Speaker 1: who hits it a far away and also can control 98 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: the ball really well. I got John Ram top ten 99 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: plus two hundred for the first play second play. A 100 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 1: little bit of a longer shot, but a guy who 101 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,040 Speaker 1: has played really well on this golf course in the 102 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: past has had some success here at the Players Championship 103 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: Web Simpson Top ten Web Simpson. We're going plus two 104 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 1: seventy five for Web Simpson in the top ten. All right, 105 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: a little bit of a flyer, a little bit of 106 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:45,040 Speaker 1: a longer shot there, but I think a guy who 107 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: could be in contention, who could actually win this golf 108 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: golf tournament. A lot of people are saying, you know 109 00:04:50,279 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 1: that those eighty five to one odds on him at 110 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 1: FanDuel yesterday not a bad flyer to take on Web 111 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 1: Simpson to win this thing and kind of avoid the 112 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: bigger names and take somebody a little bit off the 113 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 1: beaten path who maybe you know, rising up and maybe 114 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: having a big performance because he played well at this 115 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 1: golf course. So I'm gonna trail that that comes from 116 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:10,160 Speaker 1: my golf guys. They think Web Simpson's playing some really 117 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: good golf. We're going top ten Web Simpson at plus 118 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 1: two seventy five. And I've got one kind of like 119 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,040 Speaker 1: bleep you play for you. So I got an email 120 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: from a guy who was critiquing everything every word that 121 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: I say. He does not like the way that I 122 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: say can't delay, it can't lay when I say its 123 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: fastest Kntiley, but it's can't lay. Patrick Cantley. Okay, I 124 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,479 Speaker 1: understand I'm saying the name. I'm adding an a. It 125 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 1: bothered this person a lot. He was mad that I 126 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 1: say Gonzaga, Gonzaga. He's like, it's Gonzaga. Okay, fine, we 127 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 1: say Nevada, Nevada. I get that people get angry at 128 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: that stuff. But this person went on and on trying 129 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:46,719 Speaker 1: to critique my language. So I'm now betting Patrick Kentley. 130 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 1: Patrick can't lay. Patrick can't to lay. Patrick Kentley. He's 131 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: going to go top twenty, top twenty, plus one twenty five. 132 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 1: Got that here in Vegas. That's a Vegas bet. At 133 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 1: the Westgates Super super Book. You can get that at 134 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 1: Patrick can't lay plus one twenty five to come in 135 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: the top twenty. So I bet that at a quarter unit. 136 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:11,919 Speaker 1: So three plays rom top ten, Simpson top ten can't 137 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 1: lay top ten at plus one twenty five for the players, 138 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: which begins this morning in Florida. Okay, so let's now 139 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: go and say, Okay, Matt, you've got a quarter unit 140 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: flying around. I'm gonna get involved here with the Boston 141 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 1: Celtics and the Brooklyn Nets. And we had we got 142 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: one in one last night on the player props. We 143 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: got the easily. On the DeMar De rozen over nineteen 144 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:39,599 Speaker 1: and a half got there easily. We missed by a 145 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:42,359 Speaker 1: point and a half one bucket. All we needed was 146 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 1: one more bucket or one of the five sorry two 147 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 1: of the five miss free throws by John Morant. He 148 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,359 Speaker 1: finished with twenty one points. He missed five for the 149 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 1: free throw. I mean that's just so he hits two 150 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 1: more and hits two of those free throws and we cover. 151 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 1: So we don't cover, unfortunately, So we come up a 152 00:06:57,800 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: bit short on the Ja Morant bet from last night, 153 00:06:59,880 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: one and one on the player props. I'm just gonna 154 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 1: do one here tonight because of the fact that we've 155 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 1: got a quarter unit hanging out here at thanks to 156 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 1: the golf bets. So I'm gonna put a quarter unit 157 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:14,240 Speaker 1: on Jason Tatum to score over twenty five and a 158 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:18,239 Speaker 1: half points here, and that is at minus one oh five. 159 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: So a couple of things here on Jason Tatum. His 160 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: performances against Brooklyn have been okay. They took them on 161 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 1: in the second game of the year and Jason Tatum 162 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 1: scored twenty points. But he's had some pretty big games. 163 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 1: He's scored forty in a game scored thirty four against 164 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 1: the Clippers before the break, we had him with Toronto 165 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: at twenty seven and he got there. The game before that, 166 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 1: he had fourteen points against the Clippers. Not great. But 167 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: in the last real up and down high scoring game 168 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 1: was against Washington he scored thirty one. I think Tatum 169 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: as an All Star coming out of the break. Here 170 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,760 Speaker 1: in a game that's going to be really high scoring, 171 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: I got Jason Tatum going over twenty five and a 172 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: half points at a quarter units here for only NBA 173 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 1: player prop going for the day today, Tatum over twenty 174 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 1: five and a half. So why am I betting that? Well, 175 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: I'm betting that because I have bet the over for 176 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: Brooklyn and the Boston Celtics. Here's the logic behind this. Okay, 177 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 1: I am going over. Let me make sure I'm telling 178 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 1: you the right to twy four to two thirty four. 179 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: So over two thirty four for Boston and Brooklyn. So 180 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: here is Boston as three point dogs on the road 181 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 1: at Brooklyn coming out of the All Star break. Here's 182 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 1: the interesting thing. And I know you could say, well, 183 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 1: no Kevin Durant. I think they scored better without Durant, 184 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:35,439 Speaker 1: be quite honest, for Brooklyn. But Boston is nine three 185 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: and one to the over over the last thirteen games 186 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 1: when they are underdogs on the road. Okay, road dogs. 187 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: It has hit consistently here for Boston, including it is 188 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 1: now after hitting the last time against Utah. When we 189 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: bet this. It has hit one, two, three, four, five 190 00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 1: five at the last six times Boston, including all this season, 191 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 1: Boston has been an underdog on the road, the over 192 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 1: has hit. Okay, just one of those freaky trend things here, 193 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: but that's what happens when Boston is catching points on 194 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: the road. The over is in play in a big 195 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 1: time way. We bet it against Utah and it hit 196 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 1: pretty easily. So we're gonna go it hit by well, 197 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 1: not I guess hit by three points last time against 198 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: against Utah. We're going back to the well here. Nine 199 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:29,200 Speaker 1: three and one last thirteen games over two thirty four 200 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: for Boston and the Nets here tonight for a half 201 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 1: a unit. Okay, So that leaves us with two plays 202 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: in hockey to get into. And here I am going 203 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 1: to do something that I might regret. So I'm watching 204 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 1: this incredible series between Toronto and the Winnipeg Jets. In Winnipeg. 205 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,439 Speaker 1: Win's the let whin's the first game four to three, right, 206 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 1: So the goaltending has been really good for Winnipeg. And 207 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: I can't figure out why the Maple Leafs are minus 208 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: one eighty here and I'm catching plus one fifty two, 209 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 1: plus one fifty five somewhere in that range. You'll get 210 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: it with the Winnipeg Jets on the money line. I mean, 211 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 1: I thought about betting the over here at six and 212 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: a half. I think that's a potential bet. But man, 213 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 1: I just think Winnipeg they might win this game, and 214 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win this game. But I'm gonna 215 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:32,560 Speaker 1: roll the dice here a little bit and say that 216 00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 1: Winnipeg they're win four to three in the last game 217 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:39,640 Speaker 1: against Toronto, that that wasn't a fluke. I'm gonna go 218 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 1: back here and say, you know what, that's a lot 219 00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 1: of value here for a week that's gone kind of eh. 220 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 1: If we could get a plus one fifty two, if 221 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 1: we're gonna get that on the money line, we get 222 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:54,559 Speaker 1: Winnipeg to just win the game against Toronto, and if 223 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: the Jets cool if the Leafs just cool off a 224 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,719 Speaker 1: little bit and the Jets get better goaltending and the 225 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,559 Speaker 1: Jets win. They won four to three last time. I'm 226 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 1: gonna take money line Winnipeg Jets at plus one fifty two. Okay, 227 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,960 Speaker 1: I might live to regret this by fading. Toronto has 228 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 1: been so damn good. But at some point they've got 229 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: to cool off at some time, at some point, they've 230 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: got to come back down to earth. They lost the 231 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 1: first game. Let's see if they can lose the second game. Here, 232 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:22,680 Speaker 1: let's take Winnipeg get plus one fifty two on the 233 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 1: money line to beat the Toronto Maple Leaves here, and 234 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 1: I love the maple Leafs. You guys know this, but 235 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:30,320 Speaker 1: I just think that's that's a little funky for a 236 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 1: team that beat Toronto to get that type of value 237 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:34,559 Speaker 1: for a team that justin is coming off of a win. 238 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 1: I mean, I was looking at the Bruins. The Bruins 239 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 1: are minus one ninety eight. That's too heavy, Okay, it's 240 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 1: too many. The Islanders are minus two twenty five, Hurricanes 241 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: are minus two twenty five. All these favorites Panthers in 242 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,840 Speaker 1: Columbus minus one thirty eight. I can't go back here 243 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:52,959 Speaker 1: because I think Columbus maybe you know the whole zigzag 244 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:55,680 Speaker 1: theory Columbus might wind up winning that game with Florida, 245 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 1: So you could say, Matt, well, then what's the zigzag 246 00:11:57,920 --> 00:12:01,720 Speaker 1: theory with Toronto? Okay, I'm gonna give it you value play. Okay. 247 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:03,839 Speaker 1: I may be dead wrong about this, and you may 248 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 1: want to fade this and go the other way, but 249 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: I can't lay minus one eighty on this. It's just 250 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,440 Speaker 1: too expensive. I think these teams are more evenly matched 251 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:14,079 Speaker 1: than that. So we're going Winnipeg plus one fifty two 252 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 1: on the money line, and with the other half unit, 253 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 1: we're gonna go look at my one of my favorite 254 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:23,200 Speaker 1: teams to bet on the over, the Pittsburgh Penguins. All right, 255 00:12:23,320 --> 00:12:27,240 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Penguins. Right now. You can get this a 256 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:32,079 Speaker 1: couple different ways. Okay. I got this at five and 257 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 1: a half minus one thirty five. Okay. I saw a 258 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 1: book here in Vegas at six minus one ten. Okay, 259 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: so you can shop around. You probably can find five 260 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:45,720 Speaker 1: and a half somewhere. You're gonna pay a little more 261 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: juice on it, but I'm comfortable paying a little more juice. 262 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: Penguins sabers five and a half. We're going over. The 263 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,560 Speaker 1: trends are wild. Pittsburgh four to two, five to one, 264 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,079 Speaker 1: four to three, three, four to three, five to two. 265 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: Last five Penguin games all over Sabers five to four, 266 00:13:02,360 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: five to two, five two, five two three two, last 267 00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:09,720 Speaker 1: four all have gone over. Buffalo is horrible. Like we know, 268 00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:11,959 Speaker 1: this is the first time these two teams have played 269 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 1: each other. Sabers again. I just need two goals out 270 00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 1: of the Sabers, Okay, that's it. They're gonna give up four. Okay, 271 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 1: they're giving up four five and a half minus one 272 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,320 Speaker 1: thirty five. It's a little expensive, I know on the 273 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: Jews here, but we're going over five and a half 274 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 1: goals for Pittsburgh in Buffalo. I'm going over here between 275 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 1: these two teams, and I just think you're gonna wind 276 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 1: up getting I mean, bet this as soon as you can, 277 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 1: because six is okay too, because six is a push, 278 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 1: and but you probably will catch because I think seven 279 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 1: goals are very good potentially to be scored here with 280 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,439 Speaker 1: this a horrible Sabers team. So just need a couple 281 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:46,199 Speaker 1: of goals out of the Sabers and then we should 282 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 1: be okay Pittsburgh against Buffalo. Here, we're going over five 283 00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 1: and a half goals at minus one thirty five for 284 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:59,480 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Buffalo. Okay, so a lot of plays, a 285 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 1: lot of things action, but we have a half a 286 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:03,679 Speaker 1: unit hanging out, and he may go mill, Matt. That's 287 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 1: not like you. You normally wrap that up. You don't 288 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:07,640 Speaker 1: like to leave a half of unit hanging The Creighton 289 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 1: Blue Jays, the line's not out. The Creighton Blue Jays 290 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:15,319 Speaker 1: are taken on Butler in the quarterfinals. Yeah, quarter files 291 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 1: or semifinals Thursday quarter files of the Big East Tournaments. Okay, 292 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 1: so Xavier gets bounced by Butler. Yesterday Xavier had a lead, 293 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 1: they couldn't hold onto it. They lost by one to Butler, 294 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: who played in the opener. The Creighton Blue Jays are 295 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 1: playing their first game with Greg McDermott. It's gonna be 296 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 1: a lot of emotion. The Jay's just beat Butler by twenty. 297 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 1: On Senior Day, the Jays beat The Jay's lost to 298 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 1: Butler on the road by seven. This is the rubber 299 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 1: match between these two teams. The Jays are not going 300 00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: to take Butler easily. The line, I'm gonna predict the 301 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: line is going to be somewhere around ten eleven. Okay, 302 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:55,480 Speaker 1: if this thing is like fourteen fifteen, I may bet 303 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:57,880 Speaker 1: on Butler. Okay, if we were talking about like a 304 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: really lopsided line. If it it comes in at ten 305 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 1: or eleven points, I'm gonna lay it. And I think 306 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 1: the Jay's are gonna come out in really smack Butler. 307 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 1: I think in their first game in the biggest tournament. 308 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: I think having the extra day's rest is big, But 309 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 1: then getting coach McDermott back, I think it's a really big, 310 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 1: big lift for these guys. I think they're gonna play 311 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 1: really hard for their coach. They're past that controversy. It's 312 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 1: not hanging over their heads anymore. And I think they'll 313 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 1: shoot really well and on the handle hit a bunch 314 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 1: of threes, and I think they're gonna I think they're 315 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 1: gonna smack Butler pretty good. So that's where my happy 316 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 1: unit's going to go. If that line is so out 317 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: of whack, I can't play it. I might play the Butler, sorry, 318 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: the ball State and Toledo over, but I gotta watch 319 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 1: and see how high that thing gets. If that thing 320 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 1: gets to a one point fifty eight, I'm gonna bet. 321 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:50,680 Speaker 1: Under Unders in tournaments are sometimes better because teams play 322 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: more tightly. They're a little bit more conservative. They're not 323 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,560 Speaker 1: running up and down like crazy in the first game. 324 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 1: Maybe that happens, but I'm a little bit skeptical, and 325 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: I'm a little shy to bet totals here in conference tournaments. 326 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 1: It's just it's not like the regular season. I don't 327 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: like playing tournament. I don't like playing overs or unders 328 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 1: in the n so DOAA tournament at all. I really 329 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 1: don't like playing it in conference tournament. So I'm a 330 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: little bit skeptical to get involved here with Toledo and 331 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:19,080 Speaker 1: ball State for the over, even though we bet a 332 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 1: ton in Toledo. Overs where a thing for us during 333 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 1: the regular season. But just not entirely comfortable doing that. 334 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 1: So that's where kind of where where my mind is 335 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 1: right now. For that extra half a unit in the 336 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot COM's last chat to get into 337 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:35,960 Speaker 1: the Discord channel, I will post the final play at 338 00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 1: some point during the day. Yes, I will have a 339 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 1: personal UNLV play going against Utah State today. I got 340 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: that right. I'm twelve and eleven now betting on Utah 341 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:46,280 Speaker 1: and competting on UNLV. We'll have another play. They're gonna 342 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 1: lose today, so it's just gonna be It's gonna be 343 00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 1: the end of the season for U and LV. So 344 00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 1: let's see if I can go thirteen and eleven and 345 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 1: get over on the juice a little bit for the 346 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 1: every game betting on UNLV little thing that I've been doing. 347 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:01,960 Speaker 1: So to recap the plays real quickly here for Thursday, 348 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 1: John Rahm Top ten plus two hundred, Web Simpson Top 349 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,479 Speaker 1: ten plus two seventy five, Patrick cantel A Top twenty 350 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 1: plus one twenty five, Jason Tatum over twenty five and 351 00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 1: a half points quarter unit, the Jets money line win 352 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 1: over Toronto half a unit, Pittsburgh over five and a 353 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:22,240 Speaker 1: half miles one thirty five for a half of units Boston, 354 00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 1: the Celtics over to thirty four against the Brooklyn Nets 355 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 1: to thirty four over with that, and we are taking 356 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,640 Speaker 1: one college basketball game, the Creaton Blue Jays, which I'm 357 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 1: not sure yet what we're gonna bet, but we will 358 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 1: have something in the Discord channel for you for that. 359 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Paroltz. Follow me on Twitter at 360 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,440 Speaker 1: sports Doc Matt. Every single morning it's the Dele Juice 361 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 1: podcast right here in bettingpros dot Com brought you I 362 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 1: bet 'mjm