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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys, what's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into a very fun episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: It is Game seven Central on a Sunday. Myna's Matt

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Speaker 2: parolog You guys can follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt. This podcast being brought to you by bet

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Speaker 2: MGM and the one thousand dollars offer first bet offer

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Speaker 2: for new users with the promo code Juice when you

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Speaker 2: set up for a new account at betmgm dot com.

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Speaker 1: All Right, so it's been a good week.

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Speaker 2: We're up about three units for the week four and

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Speaker 2: two yesterday, but because of that late goal with the

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Speaker 2: Rangers in the first period, it's actually I gotta do

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Speaker 2: the math.

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Speaker 1: I think we lost zero point two units.

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Speaker 2: Like, we're down slightly because both player props hit easily

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Speaker 2: the over all of a sudden. I'm seventeen and ten

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Speaker 2: in the NBA, so that's not bad. It's not a

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Speaker 2: bad starting to the playoffs for me. I hadn't bet

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Speaker 2: much in the NBA, but we're now seventeen and ten

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Speaker 2: for the NBA. I'm fourteen and thirteen for NBA player props,

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Speaker 2: so it's been okay. Let's see we keep that going

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Speaker 2: here today with two bets in the NBA, got two

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Speaker 2: bets in the NHL as well. But you should understand

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Speaker 2: some philosophies that I've got going into these games. I'm

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Speaker 2: going to explain what's happening. I've got future wagers that

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Speaker 2: are impacting these game seven. So this is why I

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Speaker 2: like taking positions ahead of time. Not all of them

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Speaker 2: are official. Actually I think neither one are official. But

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what I've got to why I'm betting

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Speaker 2: what I am betting, which is what the purpose of

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Speaker 2: this podcast is. So you can do what you want

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Speaker 2: with that information. I'll give it to you here in

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Speaker 2: just one second. But four and two hockey goes oh

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Speaker 2: into which is really annoying. So three and oh on

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Speaker 2: three to oh in the NBA, one to oh in

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Speaker 2: Major League Baseball, got the Pirates, right, the Pirates. You

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Speaker 2: can bet the Pirates again today if you want against

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Speaker 2: the Nationals. Sunday baseball is just I tend not.

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Speaker 1: To bet it. I don't like it.

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Speaker 2: There's a game in Mexico City, by the way, with

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Speaker 2: a twenty one and a half, right, twenty one and

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Speaker 2: a half for the Padres and the Giants. They scored

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Speaker 2: twenty seven yesterday. I think pop flies are home runs.

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Speaker 2: They're at you know, they're a mile and a half up.

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Speaker 2: Major League Baseball is never putting a team in Mexico City.

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Speaker 2: Pitchers would revolt. I'm having to pitch in that environment.

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Speaker 2: But you can bet the over if you want. I

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Speaker 2: don't hate it. It's just to the under. But I

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Speaker 2: don't know, like just for a principal play, just bet

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Speaker 2: under twenty one and a half and be like, give

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Speaker 2: me a break, it's twenty one runs. But you might

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Speaker 2: hate it after like the third inning when they've scored

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Speaker 2: fifteen runs.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: So two bets in hockey, two bets in the NBA.

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Speaker 2: We've got two game sevens. We've got one game one

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Speaker 2: and one Game seven in the NBA here on a Sunday.

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Speaker 2: But before we talk about the picks for today, let's

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Speaker 2: close the week out strong. Let's talk about the one

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Speaker 2: year upgrade to Betting Pros Premium, which is available right

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Speaker 2: now to you guys. If you do three things like

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Speaker 2: this video, subscribe to this YouTube channel for Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: and leave a comment underneath this video on YouTube, and

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Speaker 2: when you do, you'll be entered into the giveaway, which

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Speaker 2: bet recommendations tailored to your interests. And you guys, can

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Speaker 2: get this simply by doing what I just said. Subscribe

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Speaker 2: to this podt or this YouTube channel, like this video

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Speaker 2: and give me a comment underneath, because when you do,

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Speaker 2: you will be entered into the contest. We have one

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Speaker 2: day left today. A name gets drawn today to win

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Speaker 2: the one year upgrade to Betting Pros Premium will start

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Speaker 2: the next contest coming up in the month of June.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so let's start with hockey for a second.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So the Boston Bruins are inexplicably in a Game

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Speaker 2: seven today against the Florida Panthers. I have a pretty

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Speaker 2: good bet on the Golden Knights and parlayed with the

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Speaker 2: Bruins to both win their series at plus one oh seven. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So because I've made that bet, I am going to

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Speaker 2: bet the Panthers today. Okay, that's a personal bet for me,

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Speaker 2: but I'm gonna bet them twice. I'm betting them once pregame,

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Speaker 2: which is at plus two hundred. I'm taking that bet once,

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Speaker 2: and then if the Bruins score first, I'll bet them again.

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Speaker 2: I'm not coming in heavy. This is about This is

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Speaker 2: a pretty good sized bet for me to come in

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Speaker 2: and cash it.

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Speaker 1: So I want to definitely hedge off of it if

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Speaker 1: I can.

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Speaker 2: Don't want to totally hedge off of it, but I

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Speaker 2: don't have to bet a ton to cover most of

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Speaker 2: the wager and could probably get become profitable if the

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Speaker 2: Bruins score first and they blow it, and they blow it,

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Speaker 2: I'll probably become profitable. If the Bruins do blow a

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Speaker 2: Game seven at home and the Panthers win the game.

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Speaker 2: So that's how I'm approaching this game. From a side perspective,

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Speaker 2: from a total perspective, I'm betting over six goals. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's one point two units. It's minus one twenty. Most

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Speaker 2: books have this at six or five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Some books, well, one book is at six and a

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Speaker 2: half here in Vegas, but a lot of the most

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Speaker 2: books are at six. What you're going to see is

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Speaker 2: open nets. Okay, Florida will pull their goalie early. They're

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Speaker 2: big dogs. If the Bruins are up four to one,

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Speaker 2: three to one, easily could get two goals, two open

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Speaker 2: net goals for the Bruins, easy.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: If the Bruins are down, they're gonna pull their goalie

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Speaker 2: big time as well, and Florida could get two goals easily. Okay,

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Speaker 2: who wins? I really don't know, to be honest. The

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Speaker 2: Bruins have played so well at home this year. The

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Speaker 2: Bruins have played so well all year, but Florida has

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Speaker 2: caused them to turn the puck over so many times.

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Speaker 2: And I don't know who's in net. If it's all Mark,

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Speaker 2: I love this over.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: If it's all Mark against Barbrovski, this game is going

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Speaker 2: over six and it might be All Mark, it should

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Speaker 2: be Swaymen. Okay, if I'm Jim Montgomery, I'm playing Swaymen.

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Speaker 2: But to play All Mark for six games not pull

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Speaker 2: him in game six, I don't know how the I mean.

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Speaker 2: He may feel like I've got to play the guy

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Speaker 2: that got me here, and if I go down, I

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Speaker 2: go down. I don't know. I would play Swayman. He

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Speaker 2: seems to be the healthier of the two guys. I

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Speaker 2: think the hip injury is significant for all Mark. I

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Speaker 2: wouldn't play a round with it. I would play Swayman,

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Speaker 2: but that's just me. If it's all Mark over six,

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Speaker 2: even with Swimen and get in that, I still like

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Speaker 2: the over six over six minus one twenty one point

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Speaker 2: two units down Bruins Panthers over official. Like I mentioned,

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Speaker 2: I do have the personal play on the Panthers to

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Speaker 2: win this game because I've got the Bruins on the

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Speaker 2: other side to win. I cash a good ticket if

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Speaker 2: the bru so I don't want to give back everything.

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Speaker 2: With the Bruins score first, I'll sprinkle in again. I'll

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Speaker 2: double down. But the Bruins score first. They need to

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Speaker 2: score first to win the game. Okay, when the Bruins

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Speaker 2: score first, they generally win. They don't score first, oh,

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Speaker 2: big time problems, and the Bruins may blow a three

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Speaker 2: to one lead and the President's Cup trophy becomes a

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Speaker 2: reality again for another team.

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Speaker 1: In the NHL.

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Speaker 2: So it's been about what ten years since the team

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Speaker 2: with the President's Cup has actually won the Stanley Cup.

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Speaker 2: So Bruin's trying to avoid some embarrassment here tonight to

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Speaker 2: tack on Toronto Maple Leafs in the second round. Now,

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Speaker 2: the other game seven, Colorado and the Kraken. I'm actually shocked.

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Speaker 2: This is five and a half In a lot of

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Speaker 2: these books. Now it's used to the over at minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty five. But I mean, given the way that

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Speaker 2: this series has gone, given the way that the Kraken

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Speaker 2: play on the road, they play wide open on the road,

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Speaker 2: I mean they have absolutely I mean they're playing with

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Speaker 2: house money. This is a second year franchise, much like

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Speaker 2: the Golden Knights did on their run. I think Seattle

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Speaker 2: can win this game. I think they're absolutely live to win.

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Speaker 1: This game here.

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Speaker 2: And you look at the way the games have been played. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I know you might go, well, Matt, these games have

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Speaker 2: kind of slowed down. Only one game has gone over well,

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Speaker 2: I think the open net is a real possibility here again. Okay,

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Speaker 2: five and a half minus won twenty five, five goals,

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Speaker 2: five goals, five goals last three games. Okay, so five

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Speaker 2: and a half has been a pretty good number. But

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Speaker 2: that's where the open net comes in. Okay, if it's

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Speaker 2: three to two, open net, pull it early. Bang, Okay,

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Speaker 2: we could get the open net goal. If it's four

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Speaker 2: to one, open net even earlier, open thatt goal, Bam,

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Speaker 2: we get that. Okay, I'm betting over five and a half.

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Speaker 2: I lean towards Seattle to win this game. If you

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Speaker 2: want to take a flyer, I mean, the Avalanche are

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Speaker 2: heavy favorites here the Krack and we're twenty six, eleven

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Speaker 2: and four on the road this year, unbelievable road warriors

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Speaker 2: Colorado twenty two, thirteen and six. But you want to

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Speaker 2: take a flyer bet, I mean, look the Kracking live.

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Speaker 2: I think the Crack and during the game and in game,

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Speaker 2: wager on Seattle maybe a very good bet. I like

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Speaker 2: the krakend though, I think they have a chance. Colorado

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Speaker 2: is gonna have to get I mean, look Tampa just

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Speaker 2: going out. I think Colorado could go out today as well,

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Speaker 2: so very possible over five and a half at minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty five, one point twenty five units down on that.

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Speaker 2: All right, Bruins over six minus won twenty Colorado over

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Speaker 2: five and a half, one point twenty five units down

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Speaker 2: on that. Hockey's been kind of iffy. I'm not gonna,

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Speaker 2: not gonna lie. I mean, I'm a little concerned about

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Speaker 2: the hockey bats. I don't love them, but I made

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Speaker 2: them because I want to. I think they're good bets.

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Speaker 2: But I've been a little bit cold all of a

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Speaker 2: sudden betting on hockey, which is kind of a bummer.

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Speaker 2: Two games in the NBA, all right, let's start with

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Speaker 2: game one in New York Miami and the New York Knicks.

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Speaker 2: So Randall's ankle injury definitely is something to pay attention to. Okay,

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Speaker 2: he is doubtful to play in this game. The these

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Speaker 2: two teams played to the under in both games in

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Speaker 2: New York this year in the regular season. I just

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Speaker 2: have a hard time saying, let's bet the over in

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Speaker 2: a game won in New York where there's no Randall,

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Speaker 2: and we know what Tom Thibodeau is gonna want to do.

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Speaker 2: He's gonna double team Jimmy Butler and take the ball

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Speaker 2: out of Jimmy Butler's hands. Okay, I mean Tim Tips

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Speaker 2: knows Butler obviously, so I really wonder how this game

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Speaker 2: doesn't go under.

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Speaker 1: It's two oh seven and a half. It just to me,

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Speaker 1: I know the numbers.

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Speaker 2: If you look at the New York Knicks this year,

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Speaker 2: for them on the road or sorry them at home,

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Speaker 2: they're pretty much flat from a total perspective, like there's

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Speaker 2: not like any real massive trend to look at. But

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Speaker 2: every game for the Knicks and the Cleveland Calves went under.

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Speaker 2: Every game for the Bulls sorry for the Heat, and

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Speaker 2: the Bucks went over. So it's too contrasting two you know,

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Speaker 2: ships passing in the night. I guess going different directions

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Speaker 2: from a total perspective, I leaned towards the Knicks to

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Speaker 2: win this game because I think the Garden's going to

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Speaker 2: be insanity.

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Speaker 1: So I want the Knicks. I mean, I sorry, I

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Speaker 1: want the Heat to win this game.

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Speaker 2: But a party was like, man, I don't know, hard

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Speaker 2: to bet on Miami here in game one, much like

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Speaker 2: the Suns yesterday and what happened to the Suns in

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Speaker 2: Game one. I think the Suns come back and win

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Speaker 2: Game two, but Denver was on fire, couldn't miss game

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Speaker 2: flew over. We were good to go there, twenty four

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Speaker 2: and nineteen at home to the over the Knicks, but

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Speaker 2: twenty eight and twenty eight and one against the Eastern Conference.

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Speaker 2: They were twelve and four against their division to the over.

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Speaker 2: Miami was twenty one and twenty three on the roads.

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Speaker 2: They were a road team to the under, twenty three

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Speaker 2: and twenty one to the under, but eight and two

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Speaker 2: for them. Over the last ten games have gone over

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Speaker 2: twenty nine and sorry, thirty and twenty nine to the

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Speaker 2: over against a Eastern Conference opponent. I just think New York.

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Speaker 2: It's a one o'clock game, early start. I can see

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Speaker 2: the Knicks ticking the air out of the ball. Stop

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Speaker 2: Jimmy Butler. Make somebody else beat them under two oh

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Speaker 2: seven and a half, one point one units down, I'm

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Speaker 2: going under New York and Miami and then finally Game seven,

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Speaker 2: Warriors Kings. I have a plus three point fifty bet

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Speaker 2: with one unit riding on the Warriors to win the West,

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Speaker 2: all right, So I'm gonna hedge off that, and I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna hedge a unit back off this and try to

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Speaker 2: either wind up being flat off this bet or just

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Speaker 2: give a unit back if the Warriors win. I'm still

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Speaker 2: live with two point five units in play for the

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Speaker 2: Warriors to win the Western Conference. So as we know,

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Speaker 2: point spreads don't matter. I mean, it's basically a pick game. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's one and a half. Now, I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 2: one and a half with the Sacramento Kings. The Warriors win,

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Speaker 2: my future tickets live. The Kings win, I cover it,

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Speaker 2: and I'm good.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: So I'm hedging off of this. I know it's not

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Speaker 2: the best way. You might be like Matt, this doesn't

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Speaker 2: help me. I don't have that same bet. Okay, I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: but that's what I'm playing. The only bet I'm making.

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Speaker 2: I can see the under coming in in this game,

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Speaker 2: but I don't know how I bet the under in

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Speaker 2: this game. I think I lean to the under, but

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Speaker 2: two twenty nine and a half for these two teams

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Speaker 2: scares the holy heck out of me.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I could easily see this game be up and down

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Speaker 2: track me type. The Warriors, though, were thirteen thirty one

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Speaker 2: this season to the over on the road thirty one

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Speaker 2: and thirteen to the under on the road. I mean,

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Speaker 2: but the last game for them on the road was

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Speaker 2: they won by seven. Didn't look like a typical I

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Speaker 2: actually sorry, that wasn't that was they were Sorry, excuse me?

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Speaker 2: That was the their ATS record. They're thirty and thirteen

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Speaker 2: and one to the over on the road, Golden State.

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Speaker 2: That's a better number. Sacramento twenty six, twenty seven, sixteen

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Speaker 2: and one to the over at home morning been under.

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Speaker 2: Last game went under by nineteen points, but the last

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Speaker 2: game in Sacramento went over by five and a half points.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I can't do it. I can't touch

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Speaker 2: the total in this game. I just don't know how

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Speaker 2: it's gonna go. Kings minus one and a half for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. All right, So those are the

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Speaker 2: four plays. Officially, I'm not going to NBA player props today,

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Speaker 2: even though we went to and Oh yesterday. We're not

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Speaker 2: going to bet any Major League Baseball today. It's a Sunday.

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Speaker 2: We'll bet that coming back on Monday. We'll start having

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Speaker 2: bigger cards for Major League Baseball. But Bruins over six,

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Speaker 2: Colorado over five and a half, under two O seven

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Speaker 2: and a half, the Knicks and the heat and Kings

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Speaker 2: minus one and a half up against the Warriors here

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Speaker 2: on a Sunday minus. Matt Parol followed me on Twitter

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Speaker 2: at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it is

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Speaker 2: the Diligence Podcast being brought to you.

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Speaker 1: I bet I'MGM.