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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All Right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five

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Speaker 2: fifty and the kick as block book College Football World Standard.

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Speaker 1: Good Bye, Oh my goodness, he stumbled and football the

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Speaker 1: lateral turn canter on the inside, don't you? The lad

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Speaker 1: came them up the field tonight.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side of the dog.

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Speaker 3: In the fight.

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Speaker 1: It's the side of the fight in the roll. What's

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Speaker 1: up the general nation?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 2: Bett MGM. This is the week seventh college football betting preview.

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Speaker 2: And joining me as always Colin Wilson. Oh baby, we

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Speaker 2: got a good one. I've been counting down the hours

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Speaker 2: until noon Eastern on Saturday, eleven am. Year time. It's

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Speaker 2: what did you call it? It's separation Saturday.

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Speaker 1: It's separation Saturday. We've got so many top twenty five

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Speaker 1: matchups and I don't know, I feel like we've been

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Speaker 1: struggling for a big time upset the last couple weeks.

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Speaker 1: We had a crazy what Week two I think when

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Speaker 1: I was in Vegas. But this one is shaped up.

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Speaker 1: I mean at least five teams are going to lose

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Speaker 1: in the top twenty five. I mean it's completely separation Saturday.

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Speaker 1: We're in prime football season.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, all top ten teams won last week that we're

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Speaker 2: in action. I don't think that's necessarily going to be

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Speaker 2: the case this week. And yeah, this is the most

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Speaker 2: top twenty five matchups of undefeated teams since nineteen ninety three.

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Speaker 2: If you have plans, cancel them. If you can't reach

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Speaker 2: out to me, I'll get you a doctor's note. Get

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Speaker 2: out of whatever you need to get out of. We

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Speaker 2: have a lot to get to today. We'll get to

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Speaker 2: I think twenty to I think with maybe twenty two

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Speaker 2: to twenty three games and hopefully under an hour and

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Speaker 2: a half. Will of course cover before marquee games that

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Speaker 2: pit top twenty five teams against each other. We'll cover,

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Speaker 2: you know, four or five more really other intriguing matchups.

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Speaker 2: In the rundown, I'll take out the trash. I got

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Speaker 2: my UMass football shirt on little teaser for that segment. Colin,

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Speaker 2: you get a week off of the San Diego State

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Speaker 2: handicap no totals. There sad for our caller who called

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Speaker 2: in on the voicemails early in the week, who was

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Speaker 2: looking forward to that, and we'll go three and out.

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Speaker 2: We'll give our favorite favorites, underdogs favorite bets. Yeah, we

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Speaker 2: got a lot to get to. But first I did

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Speaker 2: want to remind all our listeners it's baseball season. That

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Speaker 2: means Action Networks Baseball betting podcast Payoff Pitch well of

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Speaker 2: new playoff best bet episodes basically every weekday through the

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Speaker 2: World Series. So if you want to bet some playoff baseball,

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Speaker 2: check out the Payoff Pitch podcast presented by our friends

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Speaker 2: at bet MGM. All those guys do a wonderful job.

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Speaker 1: But I perfectly is don't know we can finally play

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Speaker 1: the game.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's start before we get into Saturday. We do

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Speaker 2: have a Friday night. Now, look, we're recording this on

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Speaker 2: Thursday night. The football gods are going to make us

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Speaker 2: get through some bad football to get to Saturday. We

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Speaker 2: have Commanders Bears NFL game, and then Friday night. It

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Speaker 2: is not the most appetizing coach football slate we will

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Speaker 2: see all year. So we'll go through these very very briefly.

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Speaker 2: Navy at SMU. SMU is a twelve and a half

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Speaker 2: point favorite. Here overs taking some money. I think up

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Speaker 2: to like fifty seven. This is such an intriguing game

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Speaker 2: to me for one reason. These are polar opposites. So

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Speaker 2: Navy wants to run the ball. Obviously, triple option team,

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Speaker 2: you run it as much as anyone in the country.

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Speaker 2: Sm he wants to throw the ball. Well, what can

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Speaker 2: do Navy can defend the run, they can't defend the pass.

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Speaker 2: Navy's defense is yeah, one hundred and thirty first the

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Speaker 2: EPA per pass on defense SMU. On the other hand,

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Speaker 2: they can't defend the run. They are one hundred and

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Speaker 2: seventeenth EPA per run. So what gives very difficult game

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Speaker 2: to handicap. Probably, you know, both offenses should have success

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Speaker 2: moving the ball, you know, so it would lend me

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Speaker 2: to look maybe at the over. But it's such a

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Speaker 2: high total for a Navy game could come down to

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Speaker 2: just like one or two possessions where Nady drives up

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Speaker 2: the field over the course of like six or seven minutes.

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Speaker 2: Do they end up like turning it everyrun downs do

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Speaker 2: they get a touchdown? That's basically what I think we'll

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Speaker 2: decide this game because both offenses who are polar opposites

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Speaker 2: have advantages in this game. Probably a stay away from

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Speaker 2: me and you see anything in this game.

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Speaker 1: I want the over in this game pretty bad. Navy's

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Speaker 1: on a short week after beating Tulsa. SMU has extra

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Speaker 1: day's rest after a UCF beatdown, So you would think

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Speaker 1: that that would lean into SMU and playing on that.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's a number where I project it right

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Speaker 1: at where the market is right now at twelve. The

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Speaker 1: problem with SMU, and what's funny is is everybody like

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Speaker 1: freaks out about what Navy did to Tulsa. We spelled

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Speaker 1: it out on BBOC Live on Saturday. Nobody else talked

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Speaker 1: about this except US. Tulsa came out and said, we

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Speaker 1: can't build a scout team for Navy. We don't know

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Speaker 1: how to fill the run of the fullback position. We

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Speaker 1: don't know how to replicate what they do at quarterback. Well,

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Speaker 1: what happens this week? Defensive coordinator for SMU, Scott Simon's

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Speaker 1: comes out and says, we're having a hard time replicating

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Speaker 1: what it is they do from the fullback position. I

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Speaker 1: would be nervous backing SMU here considering the fact that

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Speaker 1: I'm hearing the same things from the defensive coordinator that

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Speaker 1: they're just not getting there. At the point of attack

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Speaker 1: against the ground. I like the over because you have

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Speaker 1: to ask, can Navy defend the pass? No? No, They're

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Speaker 1: one hundred and tenth in defensive passing success rate one

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Speaker 1: hundred twelfth in coverage. So I want the over. It's

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Speaker 1: at fifty seven. The two biggest key numbers in this

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Speaker 1: range fifty five to fifty nine. If I had to

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Speaker 1: bet it, like if kickoff was in thirty minutes, I've

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Speaker 1: bet over fifty seven now, but there's no reason. I'll

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Speaker 1: wait and see if it floats towards either number and

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Speaker 1: make a decision.

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Speaker 2: I might also look potentially for like a live over

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Speaker 2: if Nady has like a long drive to start the game,

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Speaker 2: they kick a field goal or something where they turn

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Speaker 2: it over on downs boom right into range under that

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Speaker 2: fifty five key number.

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Speaker 1: Yes.

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Speaker 2: The other game on Friday night, nah boy, this one is?

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Speaker 2: This one is gross at UTSA at FIU UTSA is

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Speaker 2: what are they? Thirty three and a half point favorite

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Speaker 2: the lasts all Yeah, thirty three and a half point

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Speaker 2: favorite over under sixty three and a half. This is

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Speaker 2: eighty son on CBS Sports Network Man one of the

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Speaker 2: ugliest Friday night games of the year. FIU is bad, bad, bad, bad,

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Speaker 2: bad bad. I still don't know what their floor is.

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Speaker 2: They just got demolished by Yukon. These two teams are

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Speaker 2: both want to play fast, which is why the over

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Speaker 2: is probably taken money. UTSA should score it will I mean,

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Speaker 2: FIU has really nothing to write home about. They do

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Speaker 2: have a bunch of injuries. These do two defenses basically

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Speaker 2: play the same exact scheme, so each offense has some

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Speaker 2: familiarity with the other defense. The problem for FIU they

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Speaker 2: have a couple of injuries. Most notably, they have like

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Speaker 2: one good player, I would say, and that's the receiver Chambers,

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Speaker 2: who's like their entire offense. He's a game time decision,

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Speaker 2: like didn't practice yesterday. He's like in order for them

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Speaker 2: to stay in this game, like he's gonna have to

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Speaker 2: have like three or four he doesn't play. I don't

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Speaker 2: know this is this game is impossible to handicap. I

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Speaker 2: have nothing here, and I hope I don't even accidentally

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Speaker 2: put this on my TV any point anything from you.

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Speaker 1: I I'm questioning whether I'm gonna have it on TV,

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Speaker 1: because you know, baseball's been hot. I have to watch

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Speaker 1: any gooses. It might be any geese might be landing

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Speaker 1: in the outfield, so you know, I mean I project

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Speaker 1: this thirty two and a half and fifty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half on the total, so the market's pretty neutral

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Speaker 1: on the side, but the under was taking some money

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Speaker 1: once it got to sixty four. Now that it's got

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Speaker 1: down to sixty two and a half, we're starting to

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Speaker 1: see some over money. So there's kind of a battle

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Speaker 1: going on with sixty two and sixty.

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Speaker 2: Five bing who wants to battle in this game? Worst

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Speaker 2: battle of all time? I don't know, but money's money.

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Speaker 1: But it is an overlook spot for UTSA. They got

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Speaker 1: North Texas next week being two and both of them

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Speaker 1: are two and zero, so really you want to be

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Speaker 1: the leader in the clubhouse in the Conference USA. Then

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Speaker 1: the big game is next week and Frank Harris has

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Speaker 1: set passing records two weeks in a row. Now he

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Speaker 1: gets an FIUD that's dead last and passing downs explosiveness,

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Speaker 1: and that just means, you know, that's the calling card

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Speaker 1: for UTSA. They get to third and thirteen and boom

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Speaker 1: is a touchdown. So there's a reason to think that

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Speaker 1: UTSA is going to roll and going to score points.

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Speaker 1: But it is a look ahead spot. So does that

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Speaker 1: mean Jeff Trailer wants to ground and pound this. Western

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Speaker 1: Kentucky put up four seventy eight, So Frank Wilson wants

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Speaker 1: to keep breaking school records throwing in the air. He's

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Speaker 1: going to be able to do this here. So I

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Speaker 1: kind of sided with the UTSA first half number that

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Speaker 1: opened like eighteen and a half. It's up to twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's teetering on twenty one. Because if

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Speaker 1: Jeff Trailer wants to call off the Dogs in the

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Speaker 1: second half because they got North Texas next week, maybe

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Speaker 1: that's the play. But now weathers involved sixty percent chance

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Speaker 1: of precipitation coming in during the game, which sets me

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Speaker 1: back and says maybe this is ground and pound from

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Speaker 1: UTSA all the way. I don't want to be swallowing

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Speaker 1: spreads that large. This is the second half underspot like

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Speaker 1: all the way right, Like UTSA is going to call

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Speaker 1: off the Dogs and Florida International is completely inept on

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Speaker 1: the offensive side of the ball. You want to throw

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Speaker 1: mother Nature into it. This is the second half underplay

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Speaker 1: all the way.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see that. All right, enough of the

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Speaker 2: Friday stink before we get to the four marquee games.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with a quick little look ahead or look away.

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Speaker 1: Segment, Hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 3: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: We're gonna look at a pair of the potentially the

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Speaker 2: best situational spots on the card. Let's let's start with

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Speaker 2: I think the most obvious one, and that's Iowa State

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Speaker 2: was catching plus seventeen. That numbers come down to fifteen

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Speaker 2: and a half at Texas. Iowa State's zero to three

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Speaker 2: in conference player that had three close losses. They're going

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Speaker 2: to Texas, Texas fresh off of forty nine to zhering

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Speaker 2: bludgeoning of Oklahoma. Guess who they have on deck? Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 2: So this scream sandwich, sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches. Here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: I took the seventeen with Iowa State. It's obviously a

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Speaker 2: great spot and it's very did Iowa State offense has

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Speaker 2: been disappointing, but it is very difficult to blow out

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Speaker 2: and get margin on this. Iowa's st eighteen always has been,

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Speaker 2: always will be Since Mac Campbell's after mccampi's first season

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Speaker 2: in twenty sixteen, he has never lost the game by

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Speaker 2: more than seventeen points never. The only one that he's

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Speaker 2: lost by seventeen came in the twenty twenty season opener

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Speaker 2: against Louisiana, when they had a kick return and a

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Speaker 2: punt return for a touchdown. They won by seventeen. The

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Speaker 2: only other time since twenty seventeen that they lost by

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Speaker 2: more than ten was by fourteen back in twenty eighteen

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Speaker 2: to Texas. Matt Campbell is thirty and seventeen sixty four

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Speaker 2: percent against the spread as an underdog, covering by five

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Speaker 2: points per game. More importantly, he's seventeen and four eighty

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Speaker 2: one percent against the spread when catching at least a touchdown,

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Speaker 2: including fourteen and one fourteen to one against the spread

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Speaker 2: when catching over a touchdown against the conference opponent. So

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Speaker 2: given the spot, given Iowa State's defense that i was state,

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Speaker 2: there's one to three straight in the series. Their defense

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Speaker 2: has give him Texas some problems in the past. Texas

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Speaker 2: did just see a similar scheme last week, which maybe

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Speaker 2: helps them out here. But I think with the spot

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Speaker 2: over two touchdowns a bit too much. I don't mind the

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Speaker 2: under as well. Do you agree?

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Speaker 1: I like the over because you mentioned that they just

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Speaker 1: saw this defense last week, and for Quinn Yewers to

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Speaker 1: have experience against that is going to help them out here.

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Speaker 1: I think Texas is going to be able to score points.

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Speaker 1: But at the same time, I completely agree with you

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Speaker 1: at Matt Campbell. This ten to nine game against Kansas State,

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Speaker 1: just so many things had to happen to make this

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Speaker 1: score so ugly. And then you look at Texas's defense,

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Speaker 1: you know, blanking out the Sooners, and you can understand

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Speaker 1: why this number opened up at fifty five and a

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Speaker 1: half on the total, and it is just raced all

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Speaker 1: the way down finally caught some really strong resistance of

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Speaker 1: forty eight, a number that I want to bet the

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Speaker 1: over on. I know forty eight and a half is

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Speaker 1: out there as you and I are recording this, but

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Speaker 1: forty eight the play that I want to make is

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Speaker 1: on the over. And you know, a big issue last

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Speaker 1: week was finishing drives. You know against Kansas State, just

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Speaker 1: ten points and four trips past the forty yard line.

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Speaker 1: Texas's twentieth in defensive finishing and offensive finishing drives, which

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Speaker 1: means I think when they get their scoring opportunities, they're

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Speaker 1: going to be able to put the ball away, whether

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Speaker 1: that's when you weres, you know, finding somebody in the air.

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Speaker 1: But I think more more than likely it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: Jean Robinson running his way. And I think another thing

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Speaker 1: about Texas. The numbers too high, right, it should be thirteen,

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Speaker 1: It shouldn't be up around sixteen and a half. But

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Speaker 1: Iowa State's one hundred and thirtieth in Special teams SP plus.

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Speaker 1: And when you dig into that, it's punt efficiency like

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Speaker 1: they're god awful and punt efficiency which means Texas is

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Speaker 1: going to have extremely good starting field position all the time.

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Speaker 1: So there are a number of reasons that I think

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Speaker 1: that there's going to be some points up on the board.

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Speaker 1: The extremes of Texas putting up a goose egg against Oklahoma,

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Speaker 1: combined with Iowa State playing a nineteen point game, has

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Speaker 1: really deflated a number that I think should be around

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Speaker 1: fifty seven. So give me the over in this one,

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Speaker 1: and you're right. I think Iowa State's going to come

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Speaker 1: to play. You can count them in for a couple

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Speaker 1: of touchdowns on the board and that's going to help

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Speaker 1: get over a forty eight.

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Speaker 2: Yep, allright, let's move on to the other situational spot.

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Speaker 2: I had circle here, and that's Kentucky home pop plus

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Speaker 2: four and a half. This one I think almost touch seven,

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Speaker 2: maybe a juice seven, and then came down after news

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Speaker 2: broke that Will Levis was practicing. Boot was off for Kentucky,

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Speaker 2: so I would expect him to play last week obviously

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Speaker 2: a disastrous result with their backup quarterback against South Carolina

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Speaker 2: at homes. You hat Kentucky coming off back to back losses,

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Speaker 2: including a bad loss at home against South Carolina. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 2: Mississippi State coming off that win against Arkansas, I guess

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Speaker 2: who they have on deck Alabama, So you know, a

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Speaker 2: trip to Lexington obviously screams potential flat spot. For whatever

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Speaker 2: it's worth. In twenty fourteen, these teams play every year.

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Speaker 2: The home team is a perfect eight to zero against

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Speaker 2: the spread in this series, covering by fifteen points per game.

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Speaker 2: When I look at Misissippi State, I love Will Rodgers,

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Speaker 2: I love this team, I love Leech, But I think

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Speaker 2: that there's some value in Kentucky with the spread, assuming

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Speaker 2: that Levis plays. You know, because if you look back

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Speaker 2: at that Texas A and M, there's the Texa ANEM

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Speaker 2: and the Arkansas results. They won the turnover battle six

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Speaker 2: to one, and Arkansas turned the ball over like three

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Speaker 2: times inside the twenty on down, you know, and even

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Speaker 2: with a backup quarterback, Arkansas moved the ball all day.

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Speaker 2: And how they did it was a lot on the ground.

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Speaker 2: And that's been a weakness of Mississippi State this year's

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Speaker 2: a run dye. So the question is, is this that

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Speaker 2: the chance for Kentucky's rush offense, which has been bad.

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Speaker 2: Their offensive line has been bad, but you got Rodriguez back,

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Speaker 2: he's had a few games under his belt. Is this,

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Speaker 2: you know, the opportunity for flaw for Kentucky to get

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Speaker 2: their run game going. And that's basically how everything flows

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Speaker 2: from there against the Mississippi State defense at franks outside

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Speaker 2: the top eighty and epa per rush. You know, in

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Speaker 2: Kentucky's run defense has been worse than its pass defense

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Speaker 2: in some sense this year. That's not a big deal

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Speaker 2: against the air raid. So, you know, as much as

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Speaker 2: I like Misissippi State, Kentucky at plus four and a

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Speaker 2: half here, I think that there's some value on the

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Speaker 2: Home Cats. Do you agree one percent?

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Speaker 1: I absolutely, They're not my underdog pick of the week,

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Speaker 1: but I think that they can win this game. And

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure they're going to be on our show

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Speaker 1: on BBOC on Saturday. I mean, the weakness of the

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Speaker 1: Mississippi State defense is they have no pass rush. They

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Speaker 1: are playing top thirty five in coverage, but they're getting

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Speaker 1: dominated upfront and on the ground. And you mentioned it

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Speaker 1: with Malie Hornsby for Arkansas. Arkansas should have had no

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Speaker 1: business being in that game whatsoever, and they had a

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Speaker 1: chance to cover, and you know, it was actually a

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Speaker 1: really pathetic performance by Arkansas and Mississippi State couldn't do

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Speaker 1: anything to stop them. You kind of pivot back to

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Speaker 1: the last time Mississippi State went on the road, not

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Speaker 1: good against LSU. They had less than three hundred total

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Speaker 1: yards on offense. LSU scored a touchdown on nearly every

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Speaker 1: single opportunity when they got drives past the forty yard line.

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Speaker 1: It was Mississippi State's worst offensive day from a success

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Speaker 1: rate standpoint. And you know, you look at Kentucky. They're

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Speaker 1: a top fifteen team in defensive success rate. They don't

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Speaker 1: allow teams to get a lot of first downs and

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Speaker 1: that is great fundamentals their top twenty and tackling and

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Speaker 1: finishing drives. They're really good at stopping teams and getting

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Speaker 1: them behind schedule. But they have like moments of you know,

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Speaker 1: allowing a chunk play to break and maybe possibly be

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Speaker 1: a score. Well, the good news is Misissippi State doesn't

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Speaker 1: do that on offense. They're non exposive offense whatsoever. So

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Speaker 1: I believe Kentucky's defense they should force a lot of

335
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Speaker 1: three and outs against the Bulldogs. So you know, that

336
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Speaker 1: ship is sale. That ship has left the port. When

337
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Speaker 1: it comes to me hoping that Will Levis is going

338
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Speaker 1: to run the ball, Chris Rodriguez is back. The running

339
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Speaker 1: game is at least better than what we saw a

340
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Speaker 1: few weeks ago, So Kentucky's gonna have success here. Mississippi

341
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Speaker 1: State is dreadful on the road and they got tore

342
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Speaker 1: up on the ground last week. So yeah, Kentucky can

343
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Speaker 1: win this game. All right.

344
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Speaker 2: Time to move on to the marquee games of the day,

345
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Speaker 2: and there are a lot. It's another fabulous weekend of

346
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Speaker 2: college football. Let's check out the marquee matchups we'll all

347
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Speaker 2: end up betting for week seven. We're gonna kick things

348
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Speaker 2: off at noon with the I think this is the

349
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Speaker 2: Fox game New and Eastern Penn State at Michigan Penn

350
00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,240
Speaker 2: State five and l Michigan six and ow both teams

351
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Speaker 2: ranked inside the top ten. Michigan six and a half

352
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Speaker 2: seven point favorite here over under fifty and a half

353
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Speaker 2: fifty one. I'll you know, I'll give my handicapper. I

354
00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:14,399
Speaker 2: don't have the strongest feel for this game. But my

355
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 2: one take, and I played this over fifty one small.

356
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Speaker 2: My one take, and it's it's partly guesswork, is that

357
00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:26,439
Speaker 2: the Michigan defense is not is not as good as

358
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:29,440
Speaker 2: it was last year because of the lack of edge rush.

359
00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:32,080
Speaker 2: You know, they lost two star edge rushers to the NFL,

360
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:36,200
Speaker 2: and their defensive metrics are I mean, look, they all

361
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:42,920
Speaker 2: look excellent, but they've played Hawaii, Colorado State, Yukon, Iowa,

362
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:47,800
Speaker 2: and Indiana. You can't get worse than that is from

363
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:52,160
Speaker 2: a group of opponents. From an offensive standpoint, the only

364
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Speaker 2: team that they played with an offensive pulse was Maryland,

365
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:59,160
Speaker 2: who put up four hundred yards, moved the ball, put

366
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Speaker 2: up twenty seven points. And from what I saw in

367
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Speaker 2: that game, that's just one data point the other day

368
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Speaker 2: of what I'm basically throwing out. So I think that

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00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:09,879
Speaker 2: Penn State will have success moving the ball. Now, the

370
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:12,159
Speaker 2: same thing I could say the same thing about the

371
00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:14,560
Speaker 2: Penn State team. I mean, like, you know, they played

372
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Speaker 2: Ohio at Down, Auburn team, Central, Michigan Northwestern, and a monsoon.

373
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Speaker 2: The one game that did play Perdue early in the year,

374
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Speaker 2: they put up thirty one points. I'm still worried about

375
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Speaker 2: this Penn State front seven. I think Michigan will have

376
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 2: success running the ball. I think this is a big

377
00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 2: step up in class for Penn State. I also think

378
00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 2: Penn State's going to play fast and their offensive numbers

379
00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 2: might be a bit deflated because they've been trying to

380
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:41,840
Speaker 2: get you know, freshmen worked in to build depth. So yeah,

381
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Speaker 2: I don't love either side. Hopefully you can guide us

382
00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,240
Speaker 2: in that direction, but I did play the over part.

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Speaker 2: Guess works. It's just like we're not going We don't

384
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Speaker 2: have a lot of data points here for what Penn

385
00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:55,200
Speaker 2: State and Michigan have done so far this year against

386
00:19:55,280 --> 00:20:00,000
Speaker 2: inferior competition. But I think at fifty one it's a player.

387
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Speaker 2: I think the total should be closer to fifty five.

388
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Speaker 2: What do you see here in Wolverine's Nitney lyons.

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Speaker 1: I make the total, you know, higher than I make

390
00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:10,360
Speaker 1: the total sixties, So I would agree on over here.

391
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:15,119
Speaker 1: But I am have strong convictions about Michigan here, and

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty deep into him.

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Speaker 2: Can we pause for a boatdog Jim cliff Thank.

394
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Speaker 1: You, don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers. Avoid it like

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Speaker 1: the plague. Let's check in with bowdog Jim. Well, he

396
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Speaker 1: may not like gamblers, but he's going to make me

397
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Speaker 1: some coin this weekend. I don't think Penn State is

398
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:43,680
Speaker 1: near as good as what everybody else thinks. So we'll

399
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:45,640
Speaker 1: start off with the Penn State offensive line where they're

400
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 1: outside the top fifty and pass blocking, and that means

401
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,720
Speaker 1: there's going to be plenty of pressure on Sean Clifford. Yes,

402
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:53,120
Speaker 1: the Michigan defensive line is not what it was last year,

403
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,400
Speaker 1: but they're going to get pressure on Clifford. And if

404
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,240
Speaker 1: you look at Clifford's numbers, his big time throw rate

405
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:00,520
Speaker 1: has been chopped in half from what he had last year.

406
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 1: All of that comes from pressure. He whatever Mike Yerisitch

407
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 1: did to him last year, it's gone. But he does

408
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 1: have a ton more pressure and that's caused you know,

409
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:12,240
Speaker 1: a lot of turnover worthy plays. And you know I

410
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,280
Speaker 1: mentioned that this big time throw rate has been cut

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Speaker 1: in half.

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Speaker 2: This year.

413
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Speaker 1: He has not had a big time throw against Michigan

414
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,560
Speaker 1: the last two years that these teams have played. So

415
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Speaker 1: it doesn't matter if it's jesse mentor it doesn't matter

416
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 1: if it's you know, it doesn't matter who the defensive

417
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 1: coordinator is that they're pulling from the Ravens. They have

418
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,760
Speaker 1: had the number of Sean Clifford. When you look at

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Speaker 1: the Michigan d there is a huge fundamental difference between

420
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Speaker 1: Penn State and Michigan. Michigan is number one in the

421
00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 1: nation and tackling, Penn State's not going to be able

422
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Speaker 1: to have explosive plays because they're going to get stopped

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Speaker 1: in one on one tackles and that is something Michigan

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00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,480
Speaker 1: excels in. So Penn State may have some success with

425
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:48,680
Speaker 1: Nick Singleton, I mean five yards after contact, but all

426
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:50,480
Speaker 1: of those runs, I mean you go deep into what

427
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 1: Penn State's doing on offense. None of that is between

428
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 1: the tackles. It's all bounced out on the outside, which

429
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 1: plays into the strength of Michigan and what they've been

430
00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:01,919
Speaker 1: able to do with tackling in their secondary. So, you know,

431
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 1: we'll see how that lines up. Now the Penn State defense,

432
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,879
Speaker 1: they're legit against the pass stuck. You mentioned their resume

433
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:10,919
Speaker 1: of who they've played against, but I mean it is impressive.

434
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: Eleven point two pass breakups per game. I mean that

435
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,439
Speaker 1: is a record breaking pace. And think about this, that

436
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 1: is double the pass breakups per game than one hundred

437
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:25,240
Speaker 1: and twenty other teams in college football. That is amazing.

438
00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 1: So when you look at it that way, JJ McCarthy

439
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 1: and Blake Korum, it's just going to be a running

440
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,720
Speaker 1: show and they're going to be popping it outside the

441
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 1: tackles right from PJ Musifer. So specifically when you start

442
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 1: looking at the edge positions for Penn State, and specifically

443
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:42,480
Speaker 1: when you look at a couple of their safeties some

444
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,119
Speaker 1: of the worst tackling grades in all of FBS for

445
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 1: starters in Power five, it is a dnight and day

446
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:52,879
Speaker 1: difference about what they're what Michigan and Penn State are

447
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,560
Speaker 1: doing on the defensive side of the ball with tackling

448
00:22:55,920 --> 00:23:00,320
Speaker 1: and just you know, against a run defense, Michigan has heavy, heavy,

449
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:05,199
Speaker 1: heavy favorites and just not just analytics but tackling, and

450
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:07,920
Speaker 1: I think Michigan's gonna be able to roll here. Penn

451
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,760
Speaker 1: State's defense is going to get a reality check, especially

452
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 1: on the ground. You know, the one thing is JJ McCarthy.

453
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 1: I hope he doesn't fumble. He can't really predict that.

454
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,080
Speaker 1: That is one fly in the ointment here. But everything

455
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 1: lines up schematically for Michigan to just run over Penn State.

456
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 1: Outside of the tackles.

457
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 2: Michigan also probably hasn't been showing much say with Penn State,

458
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 2: which might work into good favor of the over, like

459
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 2: they haven't had a show much on offense at all.

460
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,639
Speaker 1: Donovan Edwards, right, he was one of my long shot

461
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 1: heismans from the summer because the guy cannot just catch

462
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,679
Speaker 1: passes sixty yards down the field. He's not just a

463
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,000
Speaker 1: great running back. He can also throw touchdown passes. He

464
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 1: was injured for a few games. We have not even

465
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:51,919
Speaker 1: seen the tip of the iceberg when it comes to

466
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,400
Speaker 1: Donovan Edwards. All of that might have been held back

467
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 1: for this game.

468
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,639
Speaker 2: Yep. All right, So there does a look at the

469
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 2: over and the home favorite obviously shop around to see

470
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 2: if you can get under the key number of seven.

471
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:08,280
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the next game where

472
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:13,400
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna disagree. Alabama at Tennessee. Let's see

473
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,080
Speaker 2: the updated line here, This is a three thirtiest and

474
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,840
Speaker 2: CBS game, one of the most type games of the

475
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:20,479
Speaker 2: season so far, and I'm sure it's gonna be one

476
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,879
Speaker 2: of the most watched. And bet Alabama seven seven and

477
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 2: a half point favorite over under sixty five and a half.

478
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 2: This there's a lot of questions with who's gonna play

479
00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:33,440
Speaker 2: in this game? First of also, like is Bryce Young

480
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 2: gonna play? Cedric Tolman is one of the best receivers

481
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 2: in the country. Is he gonna play for Tennessee. Have

482
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 2: Tennessee's safety who was arrested? Pipel said, they're still looking

483
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 2: into it and gathering facts. You have their one of

484
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 2: their offensive linemen as well. There's a lot of uncertainty,

485
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 2: which is why, like you know, you see this line

486
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 2: like pop seven and a half and seven, and I

487
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 2: think there's like some wait and see. I took the

488
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,920
Speaker 2: seven and a half because if if Bryce doesn't play,

489
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 2: I think Tennessee wins this game. So and if he

490
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 2: if Bryce Dunk does play, I make the line like seven.

491
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 2: So I'm fine with taking the hook with that uncertainty,

492
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:09,600
Speaker 2: and if Tilman comes back, Tennessee look and from an

493
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 2: adjustin at EPA per play perspective this year, justin for competition,

494
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 2: Tennessee's been better overall. Look, you have Alabama against they

495
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:19,479
Speaker 2: played a bunch of they played a really bad teams,

496
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 2: and then the two data points that we have is

497
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 2: like they beat Texas by one, but yours was shredding them.

498
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:28,119
Speaker 2: You know, they played texta in but they didn't have

499
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:30,639
Speaker 2: Bryce Young in there, so their offense look completely different.

500
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:33,639
Speaker 2: But I was really disappointed in how their secondary looked. Again,

501
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 2: so they have really young corners. I think Hooker is

502
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 2: going to be able to move the ball through the air,

503
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 2: especially if Tillman is in there. He can create even

504
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,880
Speaker 2: more mismatches for the other receivers who have played well

505
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 2: in his absence. But Tillman is just a different town.

506
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,320
Speaker 2: Probably be a first round draft pick. The other side

507
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 2: of the ball, Look, the Tennessee run defense is excellent,

508
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,959
Speaker 2: really good across the board and every metric. Their secondary stinks,

509
00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 2: so Bryce Young plays. I still some questions about the

510
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 2: explosedness of the Alabama offense, but they're gonna score. Price

511
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:06,920
Speaker 2: Young plays and is healthy. They're gonna score, and they're

512
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 2: gonna be able to throw it easily on Tennessee. I

513
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 2: just think Tennessee can catch up. I just took the

514
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 2: seven and a half of the team I'm higher on

515
00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 2: than a lot in the market with the uncertainty a quarterback.

516
00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 2: But even if Young plays at seven, I still have

517
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:23,680
Speaker 2: some questions about this Alabama secondary. And we'll see what

518
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:27,200
Speaker 2: Tennessee can do in their secondary in order to just

519
00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 2: get a stop here or there. But curious to see

520
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:32,160
Speaker 2: how you see this playing out, because I think your

521
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:34,640
Speaker 2: role tied in this weekend.

522
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, not a big bet, just a one unit bet

523
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,399
Speaker 1: on Alabama at seven. I wouldn't bet at seven and

524
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 1: a half. And it was a really tough bet to

525
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 1: make because for me, this is a very cut and

526
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,879
Speaker 1: dry handicap. If Bryce Young is playing, you want to

527
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 1: be on Alabama minus seven. If Jaylen Milroe is playing,

528
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:55,760
Speaker 1: you want to be under sixty six. It's that easy, right,

529
00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:59,919
Speaker 1: Because Tennessee is a great rush defense, they would be

530
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:02,960
Speaker 1: to stop Jalen Milroe and his zone read. They would

531
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 1: dare him to throw after five turnover worthy plays against

532
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,640
Speaker 1: Texas A and M last week, they would they would

533
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 1: happily invite Jalen Milroe to throw. But then again, if

534
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,359
Speaker 1: Bryce Young is in there, you know this number I

535
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 1: don't think is going to stick at seven, right, because

536
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:19,199
Speaker 1: a lot of people are out there asking, like, well,

537
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 1: if Bryce Young is out of this game, is they're

538
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 1: going to go down even further? Well, you have to

539
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: ask yourself if he does play this game and the

540
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: number sticks at seven, is that right? The answer is no,

541
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 1: Tennessee is not you take out home field advantage. Tennessee

542
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 1: is not within four points of a power rating of Tennessee.

543
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 1: This thing is telling me that Jalen Milroe is going

544
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 1: to play. So I bought the Alabama minus seven. Now

545
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:43,119
Speaker 1: Jalen Milroe is announced, you know, to be playing. I

546
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: can't see this thing going past six and a half.

547
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:47,359
Speaker 1: I can't. There's just going to be too many people

548
00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:50,480
Speaker 1: out there betting on Alabama to keep that number propped up.

549
00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 1: But I just don't see it moving that much if

550
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 1: Bryce Young is out. So from a market perspective, you know,

551
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 1: that's what I'm seeing. Like, this number already tells me

552
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:01,600
Speaker 1: that it's Jalen Milroe time, although that's not definitive because

553
00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 1: Nick Sable won't give anybody any information and nobody knows

554
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 1: what Bryce Young's passing.

555
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 4: So don't ask. There is no more I know you

556
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 4: would like to some kind of way extract something out

557
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,639
Speaker 4: of this pipe that's not there. It's not there. You

558
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 4: all speculate and create things, and then you want people

559
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:19,080
Speaker 4: to respond to it.

560
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,359
Speaker 1: It's study. He's right. The Alabama, you know corp of

561
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,159
Speaker 1: wide receivers. The only one that's been explosive this year

562
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 1: is Jacory Brooks at least from a yards per route

563
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 1: run perspective. And Tennessee's secondary is atrocious. I mean, they're terrible,

564
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: but at the same time, you know, how are they

565
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,119
Speaker 1: going to get exposed by it? You know, the key

566
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: stat for me is Tennessee allows more first downs through

567
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 1: the air on defense than almost any other team in

568
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:43,080
Speaker 1: the nation. You can move the chains all day through

569
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 1: the air, But how's Alabama going to do that? They're

570
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 1: going to do that with Jalen Milroe, I don't think so.

571
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 1: Will they do it with Bryce Young?

572
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 2: Yeah?

573
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: They will so. I like Alabama at seven. It's not

574
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:55,680
Speaker 1: a love, it's not a heavy bet. I'm expecting Bryce

575
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 1: Young to play. If he doesn't, then you know, the

576
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 1: number will trickle down a litle little bit. I can

577
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 1: get out of it live, but I will definitely be

578
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 1: playing under if Jalen Milroe is indeed the starter. Yeah.

579
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 2: I mean, Alabama's past defense numbers look good and they're covered,

580
00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 2: but they played UTAs State, Uel Monroe, and Vandy. You

581
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,240
Speaker 2: know you're gonna win by one hundred and all those games,

582
00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 2: and that's half their games. But you know, if you

583
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 2: look at the Texas game, yours was picking them apart.

584
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,840
Speaker 2: Card was efficient, and then he even got banged up.

585
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 2: kJ Jefferson had some success. The one that scares me

586
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 2: a lot is the fact that Haines King was twenty

587
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,440
Speaker 2: five of forty five two hundred and fifty five yards,

588
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,880
Speaker 2: two touchdowns and a pick like in like this the

589
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 2: ultra revenge spot. Haines King the week before against Mississippi

590
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 2: State was six to thirteen for forty yards and two picks.

591
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 2: Against app State, he was thirteen to twenty for ninety yards,

592
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 2: no touchdowns. I mean, I don't know how he was

593
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 2: moving the ball through the air against Alabama, and Hendon

594
00:29:55,640 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 2: Hooker is astronomically better than Haines King. And then we

595
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 2: you know quinnin yours was just dealing dimes and Hooker

596
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 2: is capable of doing that. So I do have some

597
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 2: concerns about the Alabama secondary Dames.

598
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,040
Speaker 1: King was doing the three step drop and then throwing

599
00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:15,600
Speaker 1: off of his back foot the entire day like it

600
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 1: still works.

601
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 2: I mean, but you've known I've been on high on

602
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 2: Tennessee since the start of the year, so this.

603
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 1: Is the I think it's just I'm not sitting here

604
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 1: saying Tennessee's their secondaries trash bottom ten and coverage grading.

605
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 1: And that's with two MAX schools and a backup quarterback

606
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,440
Speaker 1: at pitt So it's just the fact that no one's

607
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,120
Speaker 1: been able to expose.

608
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 2: That Rocky Top played the music.

609
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 1: Wish that was Rocky Top down in Tennessee.

610
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 2: Ain't all right? Let's move on to the next game,

611
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State at TCU. TCU is up to a three

612
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 2: and a half four point favorite here over under sixty

613
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:02,840
Speaker 2: eight and a half. I think we talked about this

614
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 2: over early in the week. Both defense, both offenses have

615
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 2: major advantages here. Oklahoma State's obviously a speed racer. I've

616
00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 2: talked about Oklahoma State. I think they're a fraud. They're

617
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 2: a good team, they're not a top ten team. If

618
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 2: you look back to last weekend, playing a kid making

619
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 2: his first start on the road, Oklahoma State by net

620
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 2: success rate, luckiest win of the week last week, just

621
00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 2: got out gained by about one hundred and twenty yards

622
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 2: even with the kid getting hurt. So they've been quite

623
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 2: fortunate this year against a pretty poor schedule. And if

624
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 2: you look at who they've played, and then you look

625
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 2: at their defensive metrics, especially in the secondary, it's pretty ugly.

626
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 2: And TCU has as good of a receiving corps as

627
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 2: you'll see in the Big Twelve. Some of those catches

628
00:31:56,760 --> 00:32:00,720
Speaker 2: last weekend against Kansas were insane. Doug has been awesome.

629
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,600
Speaker 2: He can use his legs here to evade some some pressure,

630
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 2: also some designed runs, because that's really what what bit

631
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 2: who's our boy?

632
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 1: Baron?

633
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 2: Baron Morton. He was slinging and just shredding, first career start,

634
00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 2: freshman shredding this Okoma State defense, and then what ended

635
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 2: up being his downfalls, he hurt his leg and then

636
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 2: he couldn't They were just bringing pressure and then he

637
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 2: couldn't get out of the way. Dugan w obvious to

638
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:27,600
Speaker 2: be able to do that. So Okama State also came

639
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 2: out of that game much more banged up last week

640
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 2: than TCU did after the Kansas game. So you know,

641
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 2: but I also, A'm worried about the TCU defense. The

642
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 2: TCU defense especially in the back end, and Spencer Sanders

643
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:41,840
Speaker 2: is playing well. TCU defense has not been great, but

644
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 2: ultimately I think the TCU offense will have but we'll

645
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 2: have more success than Oklahoma State and win this game.

646
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 2: Would have loved a three or under A three will

647
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 2: be in my round, Robin. I will be on them

648
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 2: in some former fashion enough that's in like money line

649
00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,959
Speaker 2: money that probably also, guys, I mean I would lead

650
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 2: over here too, I make it. I think seventy two.

651
00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 2: This is Look, we're talking about lots of points here.

652
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 2: There's gonna be swings in this game. So like live betting,

653
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 2: if you like an angle, if you want to trade this,

654
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 2: I think it's probably a great game to do so.

655
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 2: But I think the horn Frogs get it done. I'll

656
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 2: be on them in some form or fashion pregame and live.

657
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 2: It's Oklahoma State defense. God exposed last week, but they

658
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,120
Speaker 2: got away with it. It's about to get really exposed

659
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 2: this week and they're not going to get away with it.

660
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 2: What do you say?

661
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I have the same cinemas you. This

662
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 1: is the live trading game of the day. I was

663
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 1: ready to fire on Oklahoma State plus four. The market

664
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 1: got hit once they got there pretty fast. So again,

665
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 1: that's the number I'm looking for with all intentions of

666
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 1: coming back and firing on TCU at money line or

667
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 1: a plus number. When this game is actually being played,

668
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 1: I make the game TCU minus two. So I think

669
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 1: it is a little bit too much. And if you

670
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 1: look at Oklahoma State, yeah, I mean they have some

671
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 1: holes and they got away with you know, they've survived

672
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 1: to be undefeat at this point. But they're actually top

673
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 1: ten and havoc and their fourth in the line yards

674
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 1: right now, which means they might have the best chance

675
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,439
Speaker 1: at at least putting a speed bump in the road

676
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:13,920
Speaker 1: of what's going on on the ground now. The coverage

677
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 1: has not been great. Max Duggan's gonna go to the

678
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:17,840
Speaker 1: air and he's gonna have ton.

679
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 2: A ton of explosive plays, a ton of explosive plays.

680
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 1: But the Oklahoma State defense is second in the nation

681
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 1: and stuff rate. So I'm not saying you're gonna be

682
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,919
Speaker 1: able to stop you know, Amari Democato, or you're gonna

683
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:33,560
Speaker 1: be able to stop Kendre Miller or Max Duggan on

684
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 1: the ground. But at the same time, this will be

685
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:39,319
Speaker 1: the stiffest test from a ground perspective that TCU has

686
00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:40,880
Speaker 1: had to face. So yeah, there's gonna be a lot

687
00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 1: of stuff going through the air. And then again, Oklahoma

688
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:46,120
Speaker 1: State's offensive line they've failed to protect Spencer Sanders and

689
00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:48,000
Speaker 1: the good news for the poss is at TCU they

690
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 1: just they don't have any pass rush. So yes, this

691
00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 1: is going to go back and forth all day. I'll

692
00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:54,680
Speaker 1: take Oklahoma State if I can grab before pregame, but

693
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:56,799
Speaker 1: I am I am definitely gonna play both sides of

694
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:58,160
Speaker 1: this live betting game of the.

695
00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 2: Day, Oklahoma State, Twitter, I know you're gonna be coming

696
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:05,760
Speaker 2: after me if Oklahoma State wins this game, So be ready.

697
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,359
Speaker 2: Get to get those drinks in. I'll see at three

698
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 2: point thirty on ABC up right up against Tennessee al About.

699
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,359
Speaker 2: Oh baby, what a day? What a day? All right,

700
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:18,560
Speaker 2: let's move on to the fourth marquee game of the day.

701
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 2: Let's talk a little pac twelve USC at Utah. Utah

702
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 2: is a three and a half point favorite or over

703
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:27,359
Speaker 2: under sixty four and a half. I'm going to see

704
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,759
Speaker 2: if you can talk me out of I'm starting the

705
00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:34,200
Speaker 2: lean USC. I know it's criminal. Look you're the one

706
00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 2: who got me on the set. You had USC last week.

707
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:42,760
Speaker 2: So look, Utah has issues. Their defense is just very worrisome.

708
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,200
Speaker 2: They're run dy specifically, which is one of the reasons

709
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 2: why we were both on Utah excuse me UCLA last week.

710
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 2: And you know, I look back at their you know,

711
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:55,839
Speaker 2: go back to the Florida game. Run defense wasn't great there.

712
00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 2: And I've talked about this incessantly in the past. Everything

713
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 2: with a link Riley offense starts with the rushing attack,

714
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,799
Speaker 2: and if they can get that going, then I think

715
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 2: it's going to open up the rest of the offense.

716
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 2: Clark Phillips can only cover so many guys that explosive offense.

717
00:36:11,560 --> 00:36:13,280
Speaker 2: And the other side of the ball, the USC's defense

718
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:15,480
Speaker 2: is trending up. Like am I starting to believe in

719
00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:18,960
Speaker 2: the USC defense. They their past defense is good, they

720
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 2: can get pressure. Their run defense is still really bad.

721
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 2: So it is that and look, Utah's now down there

722
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:28,279
Speaker 2: two arguably best weapons that they were throwing to last year.

723
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 2: They lost one to the NFL. One got hurt and

724
00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:34,759
Speaker 2: is now out for the year. So you know, I

725
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 2: think that can U Chad just line up but they

726
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 2: gonna line up and run the ball and now, and

727
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:43,359
Speaker 2: they could move the ball on the ground. Us he's

728
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,360
Speaker 2: run defense this week, but catching three and a half

729
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,640
Speaker 2: is starting to look appealing. Here. The two things that

730
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:53,400
Speaker 2: get me a couple things like USC up in that

731
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,360
Speaker 2: true road game at Oregon State, the offense did not

732
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 2: look anywhere close to as it's looked the rest of

733
00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 2: the year. And this is going to be crazy environment.

734
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:02,839
Speaker 2: This is one of the best home fields in the

735
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 2: entire country. Wild things happen, are such a hard place

736
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,239
Speaker 2: to win. It's a great spot. Also, you're coming off

737
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:13,359
Speaker 2: a blowout loss. USC is undefeated, so all of these

738
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 2: things and then then and then you have the this

739
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 2: looming monster, you know, in a weird place in a

740
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:23,280
Speaker 2: great spot. And then there's this looming turnover regression monster,

741
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:27,840
Speaker 2: this cloud also in the weird place in a great spot.

742
00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:30,840
Speaker 2: It means USC is gonna turn the ball over seven times.

743
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,879
Speaker 2: The seven fumbles returned for touchdowns by Clark Phillips. By

744
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 2: the way, the guy for Toledo last week, a cornerback

745
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,839
Speaker 2: had four picks in the first seven drives, would turn

746
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 2: two for a touchdown. The same guy that could happen

747
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 2: with Clark Phillips here if this turnover regression monster hits. So, yeah,

748
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 2: I'm starting to lean towards USC.

749
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 1: Oh, but you could tell I'm scared.

750
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 2: So pull me back and make your case for your

751
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 2: beloved utes, because I know you're your one week of

752
00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:00,320
Speaker 2: fair fading them is over. You're back home and U

753
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:04,560
Speaker 2: safe with your wife and the comforts of where you

754
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:05,800
Speaker 2: belong and are comfortable.

755
00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, my wife, Utah and I are going to roll

756
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 1: this week.

757
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:08,879
Speaker 2: Now.

758
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 1: When I say a roll, it's like I make the

759
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 1: game four and a half, right, I would certainly spend

760
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,720
Speaker 1: a lot less on four, less on three and a half.

761
00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 1: At three, I'm buying three minus one twenty. I'm buying

762
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:23,960
Speaker 1: at three minus one ten. I'm probably looking for a

763
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:26,879
Speaker 1: money line at minus one forty five or better. I'm

764
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:30,120
Speaker 1: looking for money lines under one forty five. I'm looking

765
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:32,880
Speaker 1: for minus threes no greater than one fifteen or one twenty.

766
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,320
Speaker 2: So, you know, with all that, would you try to

767
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 2: wait because this total is high? Would you wait live?

768
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 2: Or do you think Utah's going to jump out?

769
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:43,760
Speaker 1: Well? Okay, So I think what people need to understand

770
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,640
Speaker 1: is that limits get raised, you know, depending on the

771
00:38:46,640 --> 00:38:49,399
Speaker 1: book ten hundred thousand on Friday, Like, the limits are

772
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:51,600
Speaker 1: just as high as are going to be, and you're

773
00:38:51,600 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 1: going to see public money on USC. Happens every week, right,

774
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:56,879
Speaker 1: That's what's going to get you a better line on Utah.

775
00:38:56,960 --> 00:38:58,600
Speaker 1: So if you're listening to this one of those people

776
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 1: that gets it, like midnight on Thursday night, wait, if

777
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:03,839
Speaker 1: you're listening to this on Friday morning, wait right, because

778
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 1: I think a better Utah number is going to come.

779
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:11,440
Speaker 1: There is some strong, strong similarities between Oregon State and Utah.

780
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:13,319
Speaker 1: When's the last time USC went on the road, they

781
00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: struggled against Oregon State.

782
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 2: Not came books way worse now because Oregon State has

783
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 2: looked horrendous sense.

784
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:22,359
Speaker 1: Right, what does Oregon State do? They run the ball

785
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 1: at elite level. They tear you up in between the tackles,

786
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 1: and they run the ball. That is exactly what Utah

787
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:29,800
Speaker 1: wants to do here, especially with a healthy tav On Thomas,

788
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 1: who looks like a man possessed. You know, he couldn't

789
00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:35,319
Speaker 1: carry the entire team last week, I guess UCLA and

790
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:38,040
Speaker 1: a loss. But there are a lot of similarities between

791
00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:41,279
Speaker 1: Utah and Oregon State. They both want to have a

792
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:45,640
Speaker 1: methodical approach, run the ball, dominate in standard downs and

793
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:49,880
Speaker 1: keep the chains going. Evidence Utah is fourteenth and standard

794
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:52,279
Speaker 1: down success rate. They want to run the ball all

795
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:54,400
Speaker 1: the time with Tavy and Thomas, who is fully healthy.

796
00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 1: You look at USC, why did they get pushed around

797
00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:59,200
Speaker 1: by Oregon State? Because there are one hundred and twelfth

798
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 1: in defensive standard down success rate. That's all the Beavers

799
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:04,560
Speaker 1: did over and over is run the ball up and

800
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:08,320
Speaker 1: down the field with great success. They had sustained drives. Listen,

801
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 1: if we make a bet on Utah and Cam Rising

802
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:13,360
Speaker 1: has eight drives that all get into the red zone,

803
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:15,959
Speaker 1: you know, and burn like six minutes off the clock,

804
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 1: and then he throws an interception. Fine, we lose right

805
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:21,120
Speaker 1: because of turnovers. And that's when USC's thing the entire year.

806
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:23,799
Speaker 1: But there are so many similarities between what Utah wants

807
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 1: to do here, how they handle themselves in standard downs,

808
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:30,240
Speaker 1: and the fact that they don't commit turnovers on offense

809
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 1: and USC just crumbled at Reeser Stadium in front of

810
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:36,080
Speaker 1: twenty five thousand people. I said this the other day

811
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 1: on the new BCS Recer stadiums like under construction, only

812
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 1: you only saw the half of the field that had

813
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:43,799
Speaker 1: the fans in it. The other half completely silent. No

814
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 1: one was talking. This is Rice Eckels. And if you're

815
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:47,960
Speaker 1: never been keeping up with Rice Echels, they had a

816
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 1: construction project like two years ago, like they added ten

817
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:53,839
Speaker 1: twenty thousand fans in the top. This place is going

818
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:57,319
Speaker 1: to be rocky. I mean literally rocking, and it's going

819
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,799
Speaker 1: to be I think too much for USC. Signals are

820
00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:01,920
Speaker 1: not going to go through for Caleb Williams. This is

821
00:41:01,960 --> 00:41:04,880
Speaker 1: going to be Utah's best effort of the year. Last

822
00:41:04,880 --> 00:41:06,759
Speaker 1: week could not have set this game up any more

823
00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:08,799
Speaker 1: perfect to me. It's a gift for the number that

824
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:10,879
Speaker 1: we're getting. I think some USC public money is coming

825
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 1: in on Friday. Utah is going to capitalize on their

826
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:17,879
Speaker 1: scoring opportunities, and unlike Oregon State, they will not take

827
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 1: themselves out of drives.

828
00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 2: Right, I think you may have convinced me. You brought

829
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 2: me back into the house. Pray for any tito's near

830
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:29,879
Speaker 2: colin during that time. If Utah fumbles the opening kick,

831
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 2: we're drinking, Pray for any ttos I've.

832
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:35,239
Speaker 1: Got over here. I've got two handles over here at

833
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:36,279
Speaker 1: the bar. They're ready to go.

834
00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 2: All right before we continue as a reminder, the Big

835
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 2: Bets on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM.

836
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:45,120
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837
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848
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849
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Speaker 2: if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or

860
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:58,200
Speaker 2: someone close to you, please contact Connects Ontario at one

861
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 2: eight six six five to three one two six zero

862
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:02,640
Speaker 2: zero to speak to an advisor free of charge. Sports

863
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:04,920
Speaker 2: betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, Ohio, and Utah and

864
00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:08,640
Speaker 2: other states were promimitted promotional offers not available in Nevada

865
00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 2: and New York. All right, let's move on to the rundown.

866
00:43:12,800 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 2: Let's cover a couple other games. Really, you know some

867
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:18,200
Speaker 2: interesting games that we didn't get to in the market.

868
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:22,400
Speaker 2: Games Minnesota four and one at Illinois, Illinois five and

869
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:24,920
Speaker 2: one and ranked twenty fourth in the country. We talked

870
00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:27,360
Speaker 2: about this earlier in the week on the New BCS

871
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 2: episode if you haven't tuned into that. Every Tuesday, myself,

872
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,840
Speaker 2: Cohen and Brett McMurphy kind of shoot the ship in

873
00:43:33,880 --> 00:43:36,319
Speaker 2: college football and talks and betting stuff as well. We

874
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:38,719
Speaker 2: talked about how Illinois, I mean, they played anybody, but

875
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:41,319
Speaker 2: they're like second in the country and defensive success rate

876
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:45,319
Speaker 2: and their defensive numbers are all legit, but you know,

877
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:47,920
Speaker 2: take it with a grain of salt. This total is

878
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 2: thirty nine and a half. Minnesota gets their star back

879
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:54,600
Speaker 2: Ibrahm back, their start running back wo returns from injury.

880
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:59,840
Speaker 2: Illinois has a bunch of injuries worth noting, mainly quarterback

881
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:05,160
Speaker 2: Tomi Devido. I would guess doesn't play. It's what I'm hearing,

882
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:09,360
Speaker 2: but it's not confirmed. And he's not great, but he's

883
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:13,359
Speaker 2: a lot better than Art Sitkowski this game. And look,

884
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:16,600
Speaker 2: Minnesota is a snail. I don't know. This might play out.

885
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:17,480
Speaker 1: I don't know.

886
00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:21,319
Speaker 2: I mean, this could play out like Illinois Iowa. If

887
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:24,040
Speaker 2: de Vito is out, you're just gonna have Illinois trying

888
00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:27,000
Speaker 2: to run the ball leading on its defense. Minnesota is

889
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:31,640
Speaker 2: a complete snail, but it's a low number. There's not

890
00:44:31,680 --> 00:44:33,560
Speaker 2: a lot of margin at thirty nine and a half,

891
00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 2: but that would be my first inclination. But there's definitely

892
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:40,000
Speaker 2: a lot of uncertainty on the injury front. Here s

893
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 2: games at noon Eastern and Champagne. What do you see here?

894
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:44,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I took an over on this. The number is

895
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:46,840
Speaker 1: just too low. I mean it's a number I projected fifty.

896
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 1: There is a lot of reason to believe these numbers

897
00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 1: you see from Illinois are a little bit fraud considering

898
00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:56,400
Speaker 1: the schedule of offenses that they've gone up against. I mean,

899
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:58,239
Speaker 1: give them credit for winning games. At this point, I've

900
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:00,800
Speaker 1: already been torn up on the voicemails for fa these guys.

901
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:03,520
Speaker 1: I am playing the over. I would play it at

902
00:45:03,600 --> 00:45:06,000
Speaker 1: thirty eight is great, forty one is pretty key, so

903
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:07,680
Speaker 1: I would try to get it before that. So over

904
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:09,640
Speaker 1: is going to be the play because I do not

905
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:12,239
Speaker 1: believe what Illinois has done on defense. And then if

906
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 1: you look at you know, Chase Brown, They're going to

907
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:15,640
Speaker 1: be able to run the ball a little bit against

908
00:45:15,880 --> 00:45:18,160
Speaker 1: a Minnesota defense as sixtieth in the line yard, So

909
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:21,480
Speaker 1: there's going to be some scoring here. We're getting different

910
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,960
Speaker 1: bits of information. This is being recorded on a Thursday afternoon.

911
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:27,319
Speaker 1: Brett Bilama just addressed the media a couple hours ago

912
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:29,839
Speaker 1: said Tommy DeVito has not been ruled out. What are

913
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 1: you talking about? It's like still up in the air.

914
00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:35,240
Speaker 1: What Bilama is saying in practice is the complete opposite

915
00:45:35,239 --> 00:45:37,400
Speaker 1: of what we're hearing. So I am not going to

916
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 1: be a part of the side. So I will take

917
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:41,719
Speaker 1: the over. If Tommy Deviato plays, should be three and

918
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 1: a half. If not, you know Sakowski is it three points?

919
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 1: There should be more. I don't know. We've been through

920
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:50,560
Speaker 1: a lot of Sakowski struggles in our life, so.

921
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,120
Speaker 2: I would need seven to back Illinois. If at Sakowski,

922
00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:53,719
Speaker 2: I'll tell you that.

923
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:54,160
Speaker 1: Yep.

924
00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:57,279
Speaker 2: All right. Next game, another Top twenty matchup between NC

925
00:45:57,520 --> 00:46:00,960
Speaker 2: State five and one. NC State travel up to the

926
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:05,160
Speaker 2: Carrier Dome, trying to avoid some voodoo up there at Syracuse.

927
00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 2: Syracuse five and zero rank eighteenth, Syracuse three and a

928
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:11,399
Speaker 2: half point favorite. Here over under down to forty one

929
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:14,200
Speaker 2: and a half. I played this under forty four. Was

930
00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:16,920
Speaker 2: shocked it was at forty four. Still like it at

931
00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 2: forty one and a half, Still like it at forty one.

932
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:24,240
Speaker 2: Here's look, death, Devin Leary's not playing for NC State.

933
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:26,440
Speaker 2: Their offense was already limited, like they just have no

934
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:29,920
Speaker 2: one that can get separation that receiver and it's just

935
00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:32,560
Speaker 2: a constant struggle. And now you bring in a kid,

936
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:35,719
Speaker 2: you know, a transfer that's really limited with his arm.

937
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 2: He was at Charleston Southern, I think like running the

938
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:42,080
Speaker 2: triple option at one point last week. He came in

939
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:44,000
Speaker 2: and they just didn't. They just didn't. I don't think

940
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:45,840
Speaker 2: they attempted to pass with him, and they just ran it,

941
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 2: ran it and relied on their defense, which is elite.

942
00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:51,839
Speaker 2: Like that's the same game plan here Syracuse's defense as

943
00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:55,200
Speaker 2: like if you look at the run defense numbers, there's

944
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:58,319
Speaker 2: some holes there which would concern me if I'm accuse fan,

945
00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:00,319
Speaker 2: But I assume that Sarah is just going to bring

946
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 2: everybody up into the box because they know that NC

947
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:05,920
Speaker 2: State can't throw, they'll be able to slow down a

948
00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 2: very limited NC State offense and NC State offens it

949
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:10,839
Speaker 2: look limited with Leary. Now you're going to big drop

950
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:15,200
Speaker 2: off at quarterback. And then on the flip side, Syracuse offense,

951
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:18,239
Speaker 2: you know, it's looked good this year, you know, and

952
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 2: ay the new offensive Coidator has done some great things.

953
00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 2: Traders made some strides throwing the ball. Tucker's an excellent

954
00:47:25,160 --> 00:47:27,759
Speaker 2: running back. But you know, if you look at when

955
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:31,759
Speaker 2: they played Perdue, they had eighteen points until late and

956
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:34,200
Speaker 2: then they got a couple of late scores. They got

957
00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 2: twenty two against Virginia. This is by far, by far

958
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:44,520
Speaker 2: the best defense they will face all year. So yeah,

959
00:47:44,520 --> 00:47:45,920
Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a struggle for the

960
00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 2: Syracuse offense. I think NC State's goal here is to

961
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 2: just try to turn this into what we saw last week.

962
00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:58,840
Speaker 2: Aether Leary went down. Steal steal it with their special teams,

963
00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:04,040
Speaker 2: win the game, like twenty to seventeen if they can.

964
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:07,240
Speaker 2: I think that's the range for either team or this ends.

965
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:10,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, I like the underd. I think it should

966
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:12,200
Speaker 2: keep going down.

967
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,440
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean the Tony Gibson defense has not failed

968
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:19,040
Speaker 1: in C State yet this year. You know, seventh in

969
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:21,759
Speaker 1: the line yards, fifth and defensive passing success rate. They're

970
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:25,359
Speaker 1: going to give Syracuse everything that they can. I'm really

971
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:28,920
Speaker 1: interested what's going on with this spread because I adjusted

972
00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:31,960
Speaker 1: for Devin Leary being out. I made this game a

973
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 1: pick sp plus, which you know, whatever does not account

974
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,319
Speaker 1: for injuries whatsoever. They'd run the numbers. Number pops out,

975
00:48:40,600 --> 00:48:43,799
Speaker 1: it doesn't get adjusted for injuries whatsoever. They made it four,

976
00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:47,520
Speaker 1: and they made an NC State minus four. So based

977
00:48:47,560 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 1: on that, what is Devon Larry Worth? Is he worth

978
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 1: seven points? I don't think so. I don't think he's

979
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:55,920
Speaker 1: even close. I think he's worth three. Now. Jack Chambers,

980
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 1: this kid from Charles the Southern right as it stuck.

981
00:48:57,920 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 1: He said he ran the triple option. He knows how

982
00:48:59,920 --> 00:49:04,319
Speaker 1: to run a ground game, which kind of negates Syracuse's

983
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:07,280
Speaker 1: home field advantage, which is being loud enough to stop

984
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:10,200
Speaker 1: signals and audibles at the offensive line so that the

985
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 1: quarterback can change you know, reads and hot routes and everything.

986
00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:15,160
Speaker 1: And that's just not going to be a factor here

987
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,680
Speaker 1: in this game. So I would make the argument that

988
00:49:17,760 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 1: it's disgusting and I don't like it, and the Wolfpack

989
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,080
Speaker 1: offense has let me down before. But the number is

990
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:24,120
Speaker 1: just way too high, and I think we've seen that.

991
00:49:24,160 --> 00:49:25,680
Speaker 1: I think this was what four to four and a half,

992
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 1: and it's just taken nothing but money down to three

993
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:29,400
Speaker 1: and three and a half. So if you can stomach

994
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:32,400
Speaker 1: inca State, that's you know, that's the side. I mean,

995
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,680
Speaker 1: I agree with you from a total perspective, but this

996
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:38,359
Speaker 1: number is so inflated on the Syracuse side. I mean,

997
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,320
Speaker 1: three may be fine, maybe you can argue that Devin

998
00:49:42,360 --> 00:49:44,680
Speaker 1: Larry's worth six points, but at three and a half,

999
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:48,520
Speaker 1: four no way no. I mean incy State still plays defense,

1000
00:49:48,760 --> 00:49:51,480
Speaker 1: they still play defense really well, and if NC State's

1001
00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:53,160
Speaker 1: going to go all ground attack on offense, it takes

1002
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:54,880
Speaker 1: away to Syracuse homefield advantage.

1003
00:49:55,120 --> 00:50:00,279
Speaker 2: So yeah, Syracuse bottom ten in rush success, right, and

1004
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:04,400
Speaker 2: epa perush on defense. Their run defense has not been good,

1005
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:07,319
Speaker 2: so that's something that NC State can lean on, and

1006
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,000
Speaker 2: I think that's all have success from the wall. That's

1007
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:10,719
Speaker 2: one of the reasons why I like the under two.

1008
00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:13,840
Speaker 2: You can't have a team that's trying to run it

1009
00:50:14,000 --> 00:50:16,880
Speaker 2: and then not have success doing it and then just

1010
00:50:16,920 --> 00:50:18,840
Speaker 2: punning it right away or they have to throw it

1011
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:20,680
Speaker 2: that they get down. So yeah, three and a half,

1012
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:23,720
Speaker 2: I think it's NC State or nothing. I would agree

1013
00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:24,200
Speaker 2: in NC.

1014
00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:26,319
Speaker 1: State's third and defensive stuff, right, I mean, sewn Tucker

1015
00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:28,400
Speaker 1: is gonna have a rough day here. I mean, it's

1016
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:30,040
Speaker 1: not easy for Syracuse's offense.

1017
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:36,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, let's move on to let's talk to

1018
00:50:36,640 --> 00:50:40,960
Speaker 2: your boys here, Colin, talkin Arkansas. Your brutal schedule continues.

1019
00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:45,280
Speaker 2: Now you're traveling out to some altitude at BYU. BYU

1020
00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:48,359
Speaker 2: coming off of loss, they're pretty thoroughly dominated by Notre

1021
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:51,560
Speaker 2: Dame one and a half point. I mean, this line's

1022
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:53,600
Speaker 2: been flipping all over the place. Yeah, but by the

1023
00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:54,920
Speaker 2: time you listen is I don't know who's going to

1024
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:56,799
Speaker 2: be a one in that point favorite, but that's right

1025
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:59,400
Speaker 2: around where the line is over under over's taking a

1026
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:01,879
Speaker 2: lot of money, sixty six and a half. I don't

1027
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 2: have a great feelure, so phill a sitting on what

1028
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:04,880
Speaker 2: we should look for.

1029
00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 1: Woo pick suey.

1030
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:09,879
Speaker 2: Absolute, dumpster fine, dumpster fine.

1031
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:11,279
Speaker 1: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1032
00:51:11,280 --> 00:51:13,440
Speaker 1: of the year. Just flow a program up, give us

1033
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 1: a death sentence. Collins talking razorback football. Well, this game

1034
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:20,960
Speaker 1: is going to be a shootout because neither of these

1035
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:24,319
Speaker 1: teams play any defense whatsoever. BYU has been pushed around

1036
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:27,640
Speaker 1: by every single team they played Oregon. I mean, I mean,

1037
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 1: getting a fifty burner up on BYU has not been tough.

1038
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:33,440
Speaker 1: One hundred and thirteenth in defensive finishing drives, near dead

1039
00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 1: last in the line yards. If you can't control the rush,

1040
00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:37,920
Speaker 1: Arkansas can run all over you. It doesn't matter who's

1041
00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:40,399
Speaker 1: playing quarterback. And I expect Arkansas to move the ball

1042
00:51:41,160 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 1: just fine. Maybe they're physician. Jefferson's a full go, right,

1043
00:51:44,360 --> 00:51:46,879
Speaker 1: Jefferson's a full go. He's practicing full pads. They said

1044
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:49,719
Speaker 1: that he's gonna go. And so what's funny is I

1045
00:51:49,719 --> 00:51:51,640
Speaker 1: would like to thank the odds makers for putting out

1046
00:51:51,640 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 1: an Arkansas plus three on Sunday. You know, I took

1047
00:51:54,160 --> 00:51:57,160
Speaker 1: that number as much as I could from a limit perspective, tweeted,

1048
00:51:57,400 --> 00:51:58,560
Speaker 1: and this is why you got to follow in the

1049
00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:00,080
Speaker 1: action app put it out and I said, hey, j

1050
00:52:00,160 --> 00:52:02,640
Speaker 1: Jefferson's playing this game. They shouldn't be plus three. The

1051
00:52:02,680 --> 00:52:05,240
Speaker 1: line flips all the way over to like Arkansas minus

1052
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:07,520
Speaker 1: two and a half. And I don't know what this

1053
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:10,160
Speaker 1: second move is like. Maybe it's people that got the

1054
00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:12,160
Speaker 1: three and wanted to play the other side. I'm not sure.

1055
00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 1: I have not been able to find out the reason

1056
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,240
Speaker 1: why BYU has taking so much money since that initial

1057
00:52:17,280 --> 00:52:20,600
Speaker 1: kJ Jefferson news came out Monday and it all flipped over.

1058
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:22,600
Speaker 1: What I can tell you is that both of these

1059
00:52:22,640 --> 00:52:28,920
Speaker 1: defenses are absolutely atrocious. Arganstas still bottom ten and coverage

1060
00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:33,200
Speaker 1: that's not good against Puka Nakua, Gunner Romney. Byu has

1061
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,960
Speaker 1: three explosive wide receivers and Jaren Hall to throw it

1062
00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:38,359
Speaker 1: to him and Arkansas is not going to be able

1063
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:40,359
Speaker 1: to do anything about it. But try to tackle him

1064
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:43,680
Speaker 1: thirty yards downfield on the other side of the ball. Listen,

1065
00:52:43,800 --> 00:52:46,399
Speaker 1: Kj's playing, he can run them over, he can throw

1066
00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:48,239
Speaker 1: it downfield. I don't know if Jadon and Hazel what's playing.

1067
00:52:48,560 --> 00:52:51,719
Speaker 1: He's on the injury report. But you know there's just

1068
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:55,480
Speaker 1: no resistance in this BYU defense whatsoever. So the question

1069
00:52:55,640 --> 00:52:57,920
Speaker 1: is does Arkansas run out of gas? If you're playing

1070
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:00,200
Speaker 1: this over, you have to question like is our it's

1071
00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:02,000
Speaker 1: gonna go run heavy? And are they gonna run out

1072
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:05,960
Speaker 1: of gas? Because of the altitude, you know, Arkansas faebuel

1073
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:08,359
Speaker 1: sits it. I don't know, a couple thousand feet not

1074
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:12,560
Speaker 1: nothing like, nothing like what's going on you know up

1075
00:53:12,560 --> 00:53:16,200
Speaker 1: in Provo. So I do like Arkansas in this game.

1076
00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:18,480
Speaker 1: I took him, I would bet him again. I think

1077
00:53:18,480 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 1: it's back and forth. I think I've already said that

1078
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:22,919
Speaker 1: the live trading game of the day is TCU Oklahoma State,

1079
00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 1: You're gonna get the same thing here. Arkansas is not

1080
00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:26,719
Speaker 1: gonna be able to maintain a fourteen point lead, and

1081
00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:28,640
Speaker 1: BYU is not gonna be able to maintain a fourteen

1082
00:53:28,640 --> 00:53:31,239
Speaker 1: point lead. So I would play accordingly.

1083
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:38,480
Speaker 2: Live all right, good stuff there, and our final game

1084
00:53:38,520 --> 00:53:43,640
Speaker 2: of the rundown Clemson at Florida State. I love the

1085
00:53:43,719 --> 00:53:48,280
Speaker 2: Knoles here. See what are we at? Three in Florida

1086
00:53:48,320 --> 00:53:51,359
Speaker 2: State plus three and a half here over under fifty one,

1087
00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:55,040
Speaker 2: fifty one and a half. If Clemson wins this game convincingly,

1088
00:53:56,040 --> 00:53:59,520
Speaker 2: I'm in. I'll buy into them. I'll raise them a

1089
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:01,520
Speaker 2: bunch of my poweries. I still haven't done that. I

1090
00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:04,480
Speaker 2: still have these team two teams like I have Clemson

1091
00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:07,720
Speaker 2: around twentieth and I have Florida State around twenty eighth.

1092
00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:11,480
Speaker 2: And look, they played two common opponents, Clemson one. They

1093
00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:14,759
Speaker 2: played three common apponents. They both blew out BC. Clemson

1094
00:54:14,880 --> 00:54:17,279
Speaker 2: beat Wake and again they should have lost. If you

1095
00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:20,480
Speaker 2: look at postgame win't expectancy blah blah blah. Florida State

1096
00:54:20,560 --> 00:54:23,440
Speaker 2: lost to Wake in the game, it probably should have lost.

1097
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:27,600
Speaker 2: The difference came against NC State. Florida State should have

1098
00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:30,200
Speaker 2: beat NC State and then you But the two other

1099
00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:33,760
Speaker 2: data points is like you know, Clempston played a Georgia

1100
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:35,799
Speaker 2: Tech corpse earlier in the year, and then Furman who

1101
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:37,920
Speaker 2: moved the ball on then and in Florida State, I

1102
00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:40,359
Speaker 2: have two other pretty good data points when they won

1103
00:54:40,440 --> 00:54:44,400
Speaker 2: at Louisville and they won basically at LSU, So I

1104
00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:46,839
Speaker 2: think their overall body of work has been a little

1105
00:54:46,840 --> 00:54:50,160
Speaker 2: bit stronger. I'm still really worried and look, Clemson's going

1106
00:54:50,200 --> 00:54:52,360
Speaker 2: to be as healthy as they've been apparently all year,

1107
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:55,399
Speaker 2: which is a concern. On the defensive line, We'll see

1108
00:54:55,400 --> 00:54:57,600
Speaker 2: if Florida State has a few guys back, like love It,

1109
00:54:57,600 --> 00:55:00,680
Speaker 2: who's important their defensive tackle. I think he might be back.

1110
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:03,520
Speaker 2: We'll see on their left tackle as well. But I

1111
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:06,120
Speaker 2: think Florida State has massive They're not gonna be able

1112
00:55:06,160 --> 00:55:09,080
Speaker 2: to run the ball a lot here, but Jordan Travis

1113
00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:10,840
Speaker 2: has been great throwing it, and I think they have

1114
00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:14,960
Speaker 2: big advantages on the outside. I still have major questions

1115
00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:18,680
Speaker 2: about this Clemson secondary, and I think that's where Florida

1116
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:21,680
Speaker 2: State can attack. And I also think that they can

1117
00:55:21,680 --> 00:55:26,120
Speaker 2: get pressure on DJU. I think that this anything over

1118
00:55:26,200 --> 00:55:28,800
Speaker 2: three is knowles for me. I think Florida State wins

1119
00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:34,120
Speaker 2: this game. I'm excited for it, and I hope Dabo

1120
00:55:34,200 --> 00:55:39,560
Speaker 2: goes down because I bet on the other side, agree, disagree.

1121
00:55:40,800 --> 00:55:44,000
Speaker 1: A few times in this podcast history, I've said I

1122
00:55:44,040 --> 00:55:47,600
Speaker 1: can't explain it. I don't know why, but the market

1123
00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:51,960
Speaker 1: is screaming one side. And almost every time I've done

1124
00:55:51,960 --> 00:55:55,160
Speaker 1: that on this podcast, it's been a one it's it's

1125
00:55:55,200 --> 00:55:57,160
Speaker 1: been a one hundred percent winner. And I will tell

1126
00:55:57,200 --> 00:55:59,479
Speaker 1: you right now, the market is screaming Florida State wins

1127
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:03,160
Speaker 1: this game out and I can't explain it. They let

1128
00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:06,600
Speaker 1: me try to break it down, like wake Forest attacks, Yeah,

1129
00:56:06,640 --> 00:56:11,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet Florida State. Yeah, wake Forest attack. Well,

1130
00:56:12,040 --> 00:56:15,080
Speaker 1: wake Forest attack the secondary they were highly successful. Dabbo

1131
00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:16,839
Speaker 1: keeps putting out a two deep chart and then those

1132
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 1: guys in the secondary don't even play. The one thing

1133
00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:22,479
Speaker 1: that is so frustrating with Florida State, I mean, it's

1134
00:56:22,560 --> 00:56:26,040
Speaker 1: so frustrating and you should never base your handicaps on this,

1135
00:56:26,480 --> 00:56:29,800
Speaker 1: but this is just Florida State football. They're absolutely terrible

1136
00:56:29,800 --> 00:56:31,600
Speaker 1: in standard downs. I don't know what it is with

1137
00:56:31,719 --> 00:56:34,799
Speaker 1: Jordan Travis. He has to be behind schedule to make

1138
00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:40,520
Speaker 1: an explosive play. Florida State is twenty sixth the passing

1139
00:56:40,520 --> 00:56:43,560
Speaker 1: downs explosive this, and thirty fifth and passing down success rate,

1140
00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 1: and they're almost always in passing downs they have a

1141
00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 1: top twenty rate and being in passing downs, they're always

1142
00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:53,319
Speaker 1: behind schedule. They're always exploding. And if you look at

1143
00:56:53,320 --> 00:56:56,719
Speaker 1: Clemson's numbers, they are seventy ninth defensively and containing the

1144
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 1: explosive pass. So you want to know what the Florida

1145
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:02,279
Speaker 1: State formula is. They're gonna get stuffed on first down,

1146
00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:05,600
Speaker 1: They're gonna get stuffed on second down, and then Jordan

1147
00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:08,440
Speaker 1: Travis is gonna do something amazing on third down. And

1148
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:10,680
Speaker 1: doesn't sound like the best handicap and not something you

1149
00:57:10,680 --> 00:57:12,719
Speaker 1: really want to put your money behind. But I am

1150
00:57:12,760 --> 00:57:15,400
Speaker 1: telling you that the market is screaming for the seminals

1151
00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:17,760
Speaker 1: and that is exactly what's gonna happen in this game.

1152
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:20,080
Speaker 1: I don't want to go against Clemson. I've been tooting

1153
00:57:20,120 --> 00:57:23,480
Speaker 1: their horn. I can't see a legitimate reason why Clemson

1154
00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 1: doesn't score themselves on offense. You know, the offensive line

1155
00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:29,520
Speaker 1: is playing better. Florida State's defensive line is pretty good,

1156
00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:33,160
Speaker 1: but DJ's playing great I'm gonna be at Florida State.

1157
00:57:33,200 --> 00:57:34,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be there with you, and I'm gonna feel

1158
00:57:34,800 --> 00:57:38,560
Speaker 1: like a fool if it doesn't cover. But I'm with you.

1159
00:57:38,680 --> 00:57:40,760
Speaker 1: Welcome aboard, Slugger.

1160
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:43,640
Speaker 2: Love it th throw it up to Johnny Wilson every

1161
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:46,920
Speaker 2: play and we win. All right. Time to take out

1162
00:57:46,960 --> 00:57:50,760
Speaker 2: the trash. Smell it, smell it smelly.

1163
00:57:51,280 --> 00:57:53,480
Speaker 1: It's the smell. It's quite pungent.

1164
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:54,680
Speaker 3: Dude, plug your nose.

1165
00:57:55,320 --> 00:57:56,440
Speaker 1: It's stinks.

1166
00:57:57,120 --> 00:57:59,600
Speaker 5: This is your stink of the Wii.

1167
00:58:07,160 --> 00:58:10,080
Speaker 2: All right, stinks of the week. I got four of

1168
00:58:10,120 --> 00:58:12,640
Speaker 2: them here. I'll go through about a minute each. You

1169
00:58:12,760 --> 00:58:16,040
Speaker 2: tell me if you agree or disagree. All right, let's

1170
00:58:16,040 --> 00:58:19,160
Speaker 2: start you Mass baby, repping you Mass. U Mass plus

1171
00:58:19,200 --> 00:58:22,760
Speaker 2: seventeen at home against Buffalo. It's a terrible spot for Buffalo.

1172
00:58:22,920 --> 00:58:25,680
Speaker 2: Buffalo's fourth road game in seven weeks. They just won

1173
00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:31,240
Speaker 2: three MAC games, including one lucky one against Miami. They

1174
00:58:31,280 --> 00:58:34,320
Speaker 2: played two backup quarterbacks and they have Toledo on deck.

1175
00:58:34,440 --> 00:58:37,800
Speaker 2: I mean they're going to U Mass in between sleepy

1176
00:58:38,000 --> 00:58:41,760
Speaker 2: sleepy spot and look, I think this is the top

1177
00:58:41,760 --> 00:58:45,560
Speaker 2: of the value on Buffalo. The market value and U

1178
00:58:45,600 --> 00:58:47,560
Speaker 2: Mass has been a little They still can't complete a

1179
00:58:47,560 --> 00:58:50,479
Speaker 2: foward pass, but they've been a little feisty under Don Brown.

1180
00:58:50,520 --> 00:58:54,200
Speaker 2: They're more competitive this year and since two thousand and five,

1181
00:58:54,280 --> 00:58:56,800
Speaker 2: teams on a current straight up and against the spread

1182
00:58:56,800 --> 00:58:58,920
Speaker 2: winning streak of at least three games which Buffalo is

1183
00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:04,040
Speaker 2: on favored seventeen or more out of conference are twenty

1184
00:59:04,200 --> 00:59:06,640
Speaker 2: forty two and three against the spread, thirty two percent

1185
00:59:07,040 --> 00:59:08,680
Speaker 2: fill in the car by over a field goal per game.

1186
00:59:08,720 --> 00:59:10,960
Speaker 2: I think the sign should be like thirteen fourteen. I

1187
00:59:11,000 --> 00:59:15,480
Speaker 2: think U Mess will be feisty, flat slat city for Buffalo.

1188
00:59:15,920 --> 00:59:19,160
Speaker 1: Minute man, baby, I guess I should put the play

1189
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:22,560
Speaker 1: because once everybody follows on the app, SAS's play come through,

1190
00:59:22,600 --> 00:59:25,520
Speaker 1: it's just the Twitter is gonna explode. All right, Why

1191
00:59:25,560 --> 00:59:27,800
Speaker 1: are we back in U Mess? Yes? We it's we. Yeah,

1192
00:59:28,080 --> 00:59:30,520
Speaker 1: I'm there. You say, why are we back in UMSS?

1193
00:59:30,520 --> 00:59:30,640
Speaker 2: Well?

1194
00:59:30,640 --> 00:59:32,440
Speaker 1: First off, Stuck's right, the numbers should be fourteen. It

1195
00:59:32,480 --> 00:59:36,240
Speaker 1: shouldn't be seventeen. And if you look at Buffalo, where

1196
00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:41,480
Speaker 1: do they struggle dead last against rush explosiveness? UMass is

1197
00:59:41,520 --> 00:59:44,760
Speaker 1: actually fiftieth. I mean they have no success they can do.

1198
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,280
Speaker 1: They don't have first downs, they just have explosive runs.

1199
00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:49,240
Speaker 1: And he's right, about Don Brown. I mean, look at

1200
00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:52,360
Speaker 1: the sixtieth and tackling that is amazing for you Mass,

1201
00:59:52,640 --> 00:59:55,880
Speaker 1: forty ninth and defensive finishing drives that is amazing for

1202
00:59:56,000 --> 01:00:00,080
Speaker 1: you Mass. These are great numbers. So yes, it's too high.

1203
01:00:00,120 --> 01:00:04,320
Speaker 1: I'm gonna play it. Expect one or two UMass explosive

1204
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:06,520
Speaker 1: runs to be scores and to get us a cover.

1205
01:00:08,160 --> 01:00:11,640
Speaker 2: All right. Next one is I don't even want to

1206
01:00:11,640 --> 01:00:15,160
Speaker 2: say it. We're back on our bullshit baby, Charlotte plus

1207
01:00:15,200 --> 01:00:16,520
Speaker 2: twenty four against UAB.

1208
01:00:17,760 --> 01:00:30,640
Speaker 3: No, no, no, you're crazy.

1209
01:00:30,720 --> 01:00:33,640
Speaker 2: Too high for me, and Chris Reynolds is playing there

1210
01:00:33,640 --> 01:00:40,720
Speaker 2: off of a bye. The problem is UAB Dwayne McBride

1211
01:00:40,800 --> 01:00:46,280
Speaker 2: might run for seven hundred yards, is my fear, because

1212
01:00:46,320 --> 01:00:50,800
Speaker 2: Charlotte can't tackle too any points. I think this is

1213
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:53,160
Speaker 2: the last time we're going to the dance with the

1214
01:00:53,160 --> 01:00:55,920
Speaker 2: forty nine ers. If they don't cover, I assume you're

1215
01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:57,600
Speaker 2: just gonna tell me I'm nuts for this one.

1216
01:00:57,720 --> 01:01:00,280
Speaker 1: You're crazy. Don't don't do it. Hey, just look, just

1217
01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:02,360
Speaker 1: let me plead with you. Don't do it.

1218
01:01:02,400 --> 01:01:06,040
Speaker 2: I've already done it. Oh my gosh, I've already done it.

1219
01:01:06,080 --> 01:01:07,960
Speaker 2: I've already dealt with the Twitter backlash.

1220
01:01:08,120 --> 01:01:09,960
Speaker 1: All right, all right, I mean you're on I mean

1221
01:01:10,400 --> 01:01:13,280
Speaker 1: Sunday morning. You wake up when we start recording the pod.

1222
01:01:13,680 --> 01:01:16,640
Speaker 1: I'm not going to say anything. It's all you all

1223
01:01:16,720 --> 01:01:18,040
Speaker 1: trust me, you won't have to say anything.

1224
01:01:18,480 --> 01:01:20,920
Speaker 2: The people on the voice smail. Well, next one, I

1225
01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:22,240
Speaker 2: mean I knew that was going to get no love.

1226
01:01:23,520 --> 01:01:27,040
Speaker 2: The next one, Cal at Colorado. I haven't played this

1227
01:01:27,080 --> 01:01:30,400
Speaker 2: one yet. Thinking about Colorado plus fifteen and a half.

1228
01:01:30,680 --> 01:01:32,720
Speaker 2: They're both off of a bye. Cal has the organ

1229
01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:35,080
Speaker 2: on DAK. Now they're going to like windless. Colorado hasn't

1230
01:01:35,080 --> 01:01:37,840
Speaker 2: covered yet. Their offense has been a little better with

1231
01:01:37,880 --> 01:01:39,640
Speaker 2: all an account. I mean, they couldn't even throw it

1232
01:01:39,640 --> 01:01:42,040
Speaker 2: at all with their past two quarterbacks. Now you get

1233
01:01:42,120 --> 01:01:45,520
Speaker 2: him two weeks with a new staff, you know, getting

1234
01:01:45,520 --> 01:01:48,040
Speaker 2: more reps with the ones they're able to, like, actually

1235
01:01:48,040 --> 01:01:50,400
Speaker 2: move the ball a little bit. Their defense has been

1236
01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:53,760
Speaker 2: so so, so bad. They've had a bunch of freshman

1237
01:01:54,120 --> 01:01:56,080
Speaker 2: d backs. You hope that, you know, you assume they

1238
01:01:56,080 --> 01:01:57,400
Speaker 2: would get better as the year beause on. They're going

1239
01:01:57,440 --> 01:02:00,600
Speaker 2: to simplify the defense with the new coordinators because their

1240
01:02:00,600 --> 01:02:03,680
Speaker 2: linebacker should be this bad. And you know, Cal has

1241
01:02:03,720 --> 01:02:06,400
Speaker 2: been very inconsistent this year. And one thing that we've

1242
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:10,120
Speaker 2: seen from teams this year constantly is when they fire

1243
01:02:10,160 --> 01:02:13,960
Speaker 2: their coach, there's this big uptick in morale. And why

1244
01:02:13,960 --> 01:02:16,720
Speaker 2: do I think Colorado might have? You know, this might

1245
01:02:16,720 --> 01:02:20,800
Speaker 2: be a positive morale boost. The transfer portal window just opened.

1246
01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:24,560
Speaker 2: Zero people left, so they went and talked with every

1247
01:02:24,560 --> 01:02:27,120
Speaker 2: player that they all decided to stay. That has to

1248
01:02:27,160 --> 01:02:30,560
Speaker 2: be some kind of good sign. Yeah, I want to

1249
01:02:30,560 --> 01:02:33,280
Speaker 2: do it. I'm scared, but I wouldn't even be shocked.

1250
01:02:33,360 --> 01:02:35,680
Speaker 2: I mean, look, Georgia Tech one is what three touch

1251
01:02:35,720 --> 01:02:37,760
Speaker 2: on underdogs and they're firing their coach at pitt we

1252
01:02:37,840 --> 01:02:41,680
Speaker 2: saw Arizona State has two touch on underdogs beat Washington. Like,

1253
01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:44,440
Speaker 2: if Colorado wins this game, I won't be that shocked.

1254
01:02:45,720 --> 01:02:48,520
Speaker 2: But because look, Georgia Tech was a corpse, Arizona State

1255
01:02:48,600 --> 01:02:53,960
Speaker 2: was a corpse. Fire the coach Frankenstein mode, and then

1256
01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:56,200
Speaker 2: you win a game, maybe I'll throw Conlord on the

1257
01:02:56,280 --> 01:02:58,480
Speaker 2: round robin. Not now I'm talking crazy in the dumpster,

1258
01:02:58,960 --> 01:03:04,040
Speaker 2: Butler over two touchdowns. It's tempting me. Should I dive

1259
01:03:04,080 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 2: in the dumpster or Now?

1260
01:03:05,360 --> 01:03:06,479
Speaker 1: Who's the interim head coach?

1261
01:03:07,360 --> 01:03:09,320
Speaker 2: I know I hate him, but he's not the coordinator.

1262
01:03:10,440 --> 01:03:12,960
Speaker 1: What do you mean he letther Cory he's calling offensive plays?

1263
01:03:13,320 --> 01:03:16,240
Speaker 1: All right, listen, all right, I have to admit the

1264
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:20,360
Speaker 1: numbers should be fourteen, not fifteen and a half, not fifteen.

1265
01:03:20,760 --> 01:03:23,480
Speaker 1: It's not enough for me, all right. I understand that

1266
01:03:23,920 --> 01:03:27,120
Speaker 1: col covering has spread, that big is near impossible going

1267
01:03:27,120 --> 01:03:31,440
Speaker 1: to altitude. I get it, But I am not shedding

1268
01:03:31,840 --> 01:03:34,960
Speaker 1: a penny of my money on Mike Sanford junior calling

1269
01:03:35,000 --> 01:03:37,959
Speaker 1: plays or being an interim head coach. I don't care

1270
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:40,480
Speaker 1: that you just put his name into Google and it

1271
01:03:40,520 --> 01:03:43,320
Speaker 1: says he's fired up, he's full of energy. I don't care.

1272
01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:46,200
Speaker 1: You're a terrible coach, so you're on your own on

1273
01:03:46,240 --> 01:03:49,160
Speaker 1: this one. I will admit there is value in the number,

1274
01:03:49,240 --> 01:03:51,280
Speaker 1: but not enough for me to join you.

1275
01:03:52,440 --> 01:03:57,680
Speaker 2: I'm probably doing it. And then, lastly, god, I didn't

1276
01:03:57,680 --> 01:04:01,720
Speaker 2: think I was gonnaffect this team all year after what

1277
01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 2: they I think I only bet them against Minnesota and

1278
01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:08,439
Speaker 2: they got destroyed. Michigan State. Yes, I'm including Michigan State

1279
01:04:08,440 --> 01:04:12,480
Speaker 2: in the dumpster. Four straight losses, four straight failed covers.

1280
01:04:13,520 --> 01:04:16,320
Speaker 2: They are now catching over a touchdown at home against

1281
01:04:16,360 --> 01:04:21,640
Speaker 2: Graham Mertz. That's crazy to me. I don't know, I

1282
01:04:21,640 --> 01:04:24,160
Speaker 2: think this number is out of whack. Michigan State also

1283
01:04:24,200 --> 01:04:27,600
Speaker 2: could be getting during this four game losstic. They haven't

1284
01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:32,080
Speaker 2: had their star safety Davier Edison, who dressed and went

1285
01:04:32,080 --> 01:04:34,280
Speaker 2: through war ups last week, didn't play, and their star

1286
01:04:34,400 --> 01:04:38,400
Speaker 2: defensive tackle Slade who dressed that went through warrups last week.

1287
01:04:38,720 --> 01:04:42,000
Speaker 2: Good chance they get both of them back this week. Michigan,

1288
01:04:42,000 --> 01:04:44,400
Speaker 2: even without the Michigan State's run defense has been good.

1289
01:04:44,840 --> 01:04:46,960
Speaker 2: That that's what Wisconsin wants to do now. I know

1290
01:04:47,040 --> 01:04:49,480
Speaker 2: Mertz went nuts last week and through for five touchdowns.

1291
01:04:49,920 --> 01:04:52,040
Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna pay to make him prove it

1292
01:04:52,080 --> 01:04:54,680
Speaker 2: to me that'll do it again on the road. Michigan State.

1293
01:04:54,720 --> 01:04:56,600
Speaker 2: This is like Tucker's old team. It's homecoming. I think

1294
01:04:56,600 --> 01:04:58,240
Speaker 2: they'll be fired if they need this game pretty much

1295
01:04:58,360 --> 01:05:00,000
Speaker 2: to go to a bowl. I don't think they're gonna

1296
01:05:00,080 --> 01:05:02,920
Speaker 2: lie down if they lose this game, they might. I

1297
01:05:02,960 --> 01:05:05,280
Speaker 2: think this is the time to potentially buy Michigan State,

1298
01:05:05,840 --> 01:05:09,040
Speaker 2: who's been a dumpster fire to back. You agree or.

1299
01:05:09,040 --> 01:05:11,680
Speaker 1: Disagree, No, I'm playing. I'm gonna play Michigan State. I'm just,

1300
01:05:11,760 --> 01:05:13,480
Speaker 1: you know, wondering how far this number is going to

1301
01:05:13,520 --> 01:05:15,840
Speaker 1: go before it gets some buyback today, there was buy

1302
01:05:15,880 --> 01:05:19,040
Speaker 1: back on the number, you know, above seven. Yeah, you're

1303
01:05:19,040 --> 01:05:22,440
Speaker 1: gonna have to play this. The world is aware of

1304
01:05:22,440 --> 01:05:24,760
Speaker 1: what Wisconsin is doing under new management, and that has

1305
01:05:24,800 --> 01:05:27,400
Speaker 1: put some inflation in a number that should be about

1306
01:05:27,640 --> 01:05:30,600
Speaker 1: four and a half. So above a touchdown, you're going

1307
01:05:30,680 --> 01:05:33,920
Speaker 1: to get a Mel Tucker team where Mel Tucker is

1308
01:05:33,960 --> 01:05:36,680
Speaker 1: breathing fire, saying he's prepared for this game. It's homecoming.

1309
01:05:37,080 --> 01:05:39,160
Speaker 1: They're only focused on this one and not in the past.

1310
01:05:40,720 --> 01:05:42,720
Speaker 1: You know, I'm not gonna get into coach speak or anything,

1311
01:05:42,720 --> 01:05:45,520
Speaker 1: but the number is above a touchdown has a lot

1312
01:05:45,560 --> 01:05:49,080
Speaker 1: of value on Michigan State. Who said injuries in the secondary,

1313
01:05:49,680 --> 01:05:52,000
Speaker 1: you know, you know the whole you know read not

1314
01:05:52,080 --> 01:05:55,320
Speaker 1: traveling to Washington. It's just been a snowball effect of

1315
01:05:55,400 --> 01:05:58,920
Speaker 1: ineffectiveness and injuries, and it looks like some of those

1316
01:05:58,960 --> 01:06:02,360
Speaker 1: things are getting alleviated this week and the market is

1317
01:06:02,600 --> 01:06:06,280
Speaker 1: heavily oversaturated with Wisconsin money for the first time in

1318
01:06:06,320 --> 01:06:08,480
Speaker 1: a long time. So yeah, I'm with you. I'm gonna

1319
01:06:08,480 --> 01:06:09,320
Speaker 1: be playing Michigan State.

1320
01:06:09,800 --> 01:06:14,400
Speaker 2: All right, good stuff there, Let's move on. Let's go

1321
01:06:15,080 --> 01:06:17,920
Speaker 2: three and out.

1322
01:06:18,200 --> 01:06:23,040
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out, all right, First.

1323
01:06:22,800 --> 01:06:28,600
Speaker 2: Down favorite. Bet I was gonna go with Auburn, who

1324
01:06:28,600 --> 01:06:30,439
Speaker 2: I really do like, So I'll throw them out there

1325
01:06:30,480 --> 01:06:34,680
Speaker 2: catching over two touchdowns. I think this line is super inflated.

1326
01:06:35,120 --> 01:06:37,200
Speaker 2: I still have questions about the ole Miss offense. I

1327
01:06:37,200 --> 01:06:39,080
Speaker 2: think Auburn will be able to run the ball. I

1328
01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 2: think catching over two touchdowns here is very generous on Auburn,

1329
01:06:43,280 --> 01:06:47,160
Speaker 2: who is still fighting at least on a weekly basis.

1330
01:06:47,720 --> 01:06:50,400
Speaker 2: So I do like Auburn. I'll also throw out Kent State.

1331
01:06:51,000 --> 01:06:53,480
Speaker 2: I like them catching seven and a half, which is

1332
01:06:53,520 --> 01:06:56,360
Speaker 2: where the line is now against Toledo. Now I'm taking

1333
01:06:56,400 --> 01:06:58,600
Speaker 2: a leap of faith here. I'm gonna write this game up.

1334
01:06:58,840 --> 01:07:02,200
Speaker 2: But Toledo's played Nope, nobody except Ohio State. I give

1335
01:07:02,240 --> 01:07:05,240
Speaker 2: up eighty. You know, they lost to San Diego State

1336
01:07:05,280 --> 01:07:07,880
Speaker 2: by basically the same score that Hawaii did at San

1337
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:11,560
Speaker 2: Diego State. Their schedule is outside the top one hundred

1338
01:07:11,600 --> 01:07:14,640
Speaker 2: and thirty. Meanwhile Kent State's in the top thirty. They've

1339
01:07:14,640 --> 01:07:17,840
Speaker 2: played a brutal schedule, and I was impressed with their

1340
01:07:17,880 --> 01:07:20,400
Speaker 2: defense against like Georgia, and they were able to move

1341
01:07:20,440 --> 01:07:24,200
Speaker 2: the ball. Washington Oklahoma held them scores when they were

1342
01:07:24,200 --> 01:07:29,680
Speaker 2: at full strength. Kent State's numbers are very deflated. I

1343
01:07:29,720 --> 01:07:32,640
Speaker 2: still questions about the Toledo secondary their wide receiver room.

1344
01:07:33,800 --> 01:07:36,200
Speaker 2: I think these two teams are closer than the market thinks,

1345
01:07:36,240 --> 01:07:41,040
Speaker 2: and the statistical profiles would lend you to believe. So

1346
01:07:41,160 --> 01:07:42,600
Speaker 2: taking a leap of faith, they're based on what I

1347
01:07:42,640 --> 01:07:45,720
Speaker 2: saw from Kent State and flashes against how our five teams,

1348
01:07:45,720 --> 01:07:48,520
Speaker 2: which you rarely see with these MAC teams. So yeah,

1349
01:07:48,720 --> 01:07:52,040
Speaker 2: I'm taking over a touchdown with Kent State. This is

1350
01:07:52,080 --> 01:07:56,200
Speaker 2: the Toledo Once you start believing in them too, they

1351
01:07:56,240 --> 01:08:00,960
Speaker 2: always just flop in recent seasons. So yeah, I'll go

1352
01:08:01,000 --> 01:08:03,440
Speaker 2: with Auburn and and honorable mention of Kent State. Where

1353
01:08:03,480 --> 01:08:04,480
Speaker 2: you're going, I'm going to.

1354
01:08:04,480 --> 01:08:07,479
Speaker 1: Go with Arizona. Spread is just too high a little

1355
01:08:07,480 --> 01:08:11,560
Speaker 1: bit too. It's a number that you should be around fourteen,

1356
01:08:11,680 --> 01:08:13,160
Speaker 1: not at fourteen and a half. I know it's come

1357
01:08:13,200 --> 01:08:15,640
Speaker 1: back down and it's kind of settled there, but why

1358
01:08:15,680 --> 01:08:18,840
Speaker 1: are we trusting the Washington defense against an Arizona offense

1359
01:08:18,880 --> 01:08:21,880
Speaker 1: that passes all the time sixty percent passing rate. When

1360
01:08:21,920 --> 01:08:24,519
Speaker 1: you look at the Washington defense, they have been terrible

1361
01:08:24,520 --> 01:08:27,720
Speaker 1: against the pass, better against the run, not great, But

1362
01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:30,679
Speaker 1: we're still talking like eighty eight and defensive passing success

1363
01:08:30,760 --> 01:08:34,760
Speaker 1: rate eighty fifth in coverage that's below FBS average. Arizona's

1364
01:08:34,760 --> 01:08:36,160
Speaker 1: going to be able to throw on that all day.

1365
01:08:36,160 --> 01:08:37,840
Speaker 1: That's really what their forte has been. They have not

1366
01:08:37,880 --> 01:08:41,000
Speaker 1: been bad on offense whatsoever. And they have a major

1367
01:08:41,040 --> 01:08:43,680
Speaker 1: advantage in scoring opportunities because Washington is one hundred and

1368
01:08:43,720 --> 01:08:46,920
Speaker 1: twelve and defensive finishing drives they allow everybody to score

1369
01:08:47,320 --> 01:08:49,200
Speaker 1: a touchdown, and then when you flip to the other

1370
01:08:49,280 --> 01:08:51,680
Speaker 1: side of the ball, there's not a lot that Arizona

1371
01:08:51,720 --> 01:08:55,120
Speaker 1: can do defensively. But I expect them to be able

1372
01:08:55,160 --> 01:08:58,640
Speaker 1: to trade scores here. Washington probably not the game on

1373
01:08:58,680 --> 01:09:02,080
Speaker 1: their schedule they're really looking forward to. I think got

1374
01:09:02,080 --> 01:09:05,200
Speaker 1: bigger fish to fry coming up down. So Arizona here,

1375
01:09:05,200 --> 01:09:07,680
Speaker 1: I think, is going to surprise with explosive plays. The

1376
01:09:07,720 --> 01:09:09,519
Speaker 1: passing game is going to keep going. They're not going

1377
01:09:09,560 --> 01:09:11,680
Speaker 1: to see much of a pass rush, and Washington's let

1378
01:09:11,720 --> 01:09:13,679
Speaker 1: it allowing a lot of teams to score once drive

1379
01:09:13,720 --> 01:09:16,920
Speaker 1: to get past the forty. So give me Arizona greater

1380
01:09:17,000 --> 01:09:18,800
Speaker 1: than two touchdowns. Fourteen and a half would be great.

1381
01:09:18,840 --> 01:09:21,519
Speaker 1: If you got to get fourteen, that's good too, all right,

1382
01:09:21,560 --> 01:09:25,200
Speaker 1: let's be on a second down favorite favorite. I'll kick

1383
01:09:25,240 --> 01:09:25,679
Speaker 1: things off.

1384
01:09:25,720 --> 01:09:31,400
Speaker 2: I'm going Oklahoma. I think Dylan Gabriel's back this week.

1385
01:09:32,160 --> 01:09:35,000
Speaker 2: Jalen Daniels is not for Kansas, and I think this

1386
01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:36,840
Speaker 2: is the time the Biokome in Oklahoma. Tin that was

1387
01:09:36,840 --> 01:09:39,760
Speaker 2: a thirty eight point favorite at Kansas last year. They're

1388
01:09:39,800 --> 01:09:43,840
Speaker 2: now owned under ten. And I think without Daniels and

1389
01:09:43,840 --> 01:09:46,120
Speaker 2: that dynamic cluff being came into a great job just

1390
01:09:46,160 --> 01:09:48,680
Speaker 2: slinging it all over. But you got to remember the

1391
01:09:48,720 --> 01:09:51,800
Speaker 2: Kansas defense is still dreadful and with Gabriel and it

1392
01:09:52,000 --> 01:09:56,639
Speaker 2: just they've lost three straight in blowout fashion and embarrassing fashion.

1393
01:09:57,560 --> 01:10:00,400
Speaker 2: If they can punish an opponent and run it up,

1394
01:10:00,640 --> 01:10:02,600
Speaker 2: they're going to do it. And I think this is

1395
01:10:02,680 --> 01:10:07,479
Speaker 2: the spot after Kansas is undefeated, streak ended. I think

1396
01:10:07,479 --> 01:10:10,160
Speaker 2: this is the spot to buy Oklahoma and to sell

1397
01:10:10,240 --> 01:10:16,800
Speaker 2: Kansas with Gabriel versus being Maybe I'm crazy, but I'm

1398
01:10:16,880 --> 01:10:18,479
Speaker 2: back in Oklahoma minus nine.

1399
01:10:18,760 --> 01:10:20,360
Speaker 1: Well, we've been looking at it for a couple of weeks,

1400
01:10:20,439 --> 01:10:22,200
Speaker 1: right Kansas. The more you get them on tape and

1401
01:10:22,240 --> 01:10:24,680
Speaker 1: you see the motion the defense is playing, you know,

1402
01:10:25,800 --> 01:10:27,920
Speaker 1: I think this magic will run by Kansas. I'm not

1403
01:10:27,920 --> 01:10:30,439
Speaker 1: gonna say it's going to come crashing down, but there's

1404
01:10:30,479 --> 01:10:31,439
Speaker 1: not going to be as good as it was a

1405
01:10:31,479 --> 01:10:33,000
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. So I agree with you there.

1406
01:10:33,360 --> 01:10:35,720
Speaker 1: I'm going to go Notre Dame right now. Minus there

1407
01:10:35,800 --> 01:10:37,160
Speaker 1: was a sixteen and a half on the board's gone,

1408
01:10:37,200 --> 01:10:39,800
Speaker 1: so I better fire it in on seventeen before it

1409
01:10:39,800 --> 01:10:43,920
Speaker 1: gets higher. Going up against Stanford, Stanford somehow found a

1410
01:10:43,960 --> 01:10:46,479
Speaker 1: way to not win that game, but got, you know,

1411
01:10:46,560 --> 01:10:50,479
Speaker 1: stucky to cash at the window. There's some serious issues

1412
01:10:50,479 --> 01:10:52,120
Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball here in this matchup

1413
01:10:52,120 --> 01:10:56,679
Speaker 1: against Notre Dame. Notre Dame defensively from a passing success

1414
01:10:56,720 --> 01:10:58,760
Speaker 1: right perspective, they're twenty first in the nation. That's going

1415
01:10:58,800 --> 01:11:00,479
Speaker 1: to be able to shut down with Tanner Key is

1416
01:11:00,520 --> 01:11:03,439
Speaker 1: doing and Stanford is still one hundred and twenty third

1417
01:11:03,439 --> 01:11:06,200
Speaker 1: and havoc allowed. That offense is a walking turnover. And

1418
01:11:06,240 --> 01:11:08,599
Speaker 1: when you go to the other side, that Stanford defense

1419
01:11:08,680 --> 01:11:12,719
Speaker 1: is in for a punishing, punishing day. Notre Dame sixty

1420
01:11:12,720 --> 01:11:16,320
Speaker 1: percent rush rate, they're seventeenth in lineyards. Who is dead

1421
01:11:16,439 --> 01:11:18,599
Speaker 1: last in the line yards and all of college football

1422
01:11:18,600 --> 01:11:22,920
Speaker 1: and defense Stanford Stanford, that is a really bad matchup.

1423
01:11:22,920 --> 01:11:24,960
Speaker 1: One hundred and thirtieth and stuff rate, They're not going

1424
01:11:25,040 --> 01:11:27,000
Speaker 1: to be able to stop them behind the line of scrimmage.

1425
01:11:27,280 --> 01:11:29,639
Speaker 1: At the line of scrimmage. Two yards past the line

1426
01:11:29,640 --> 01:11:33,320
Speaker 1: of scrimmage. Notre Dame is going to run all day

1427
01:11:33,600 --> 01:11:35,240
Speaker 1: and if they have to pass, they're gonna have success

1428
01:11:35,240 --> 01:11:38,519
Speaker 1: with that too. I think this could be a route.

1429
01:11:39,040 --> 01:11:41,880
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, speaking of Stanford not giving up a Hail

1430
01:11:41,880 --> 01:11:44,839
Speaker 2: Mary to lose last week, that was my money on underdog,

1431
01:11:45,160 --> 01:11:46,840
Speaker 2: which of course lost in the last second.

1432
01:11:47,200 --> 01:11:49,479
Speaker 1: Where is this team's head? By the way, I like,

1433
01:11:49,600 --> 01:11:51,439
Speaker 1: really like, oh man, we lost that and now we

1434
01:11:51,479 --> 01:11:54,080
Speaker 1: got to go across country and listen to that Catholic

1435
01:11:54,120 --> 01:11:57,240
Speaker 1: band play all day? I I where is this team like? Mentally?

1436
01:11:57,520 --> 01:11:58,559
Speaker 1: Is everybody checked out?

1437
01:11:59,240 --> 01:12:02,200
Speaker 2: Could? Then? All right, so let's move on. Hopefully we

1438
01:12:02,280 --> 01:12:04,440
Speaker 2: have some better luck with the money of the underdogs

1439
01:12:04,439 --> 01:12:11,519
Speaker 2: than Stanford gave us last week, turning good weekends into

1440
01:12:11,560 --> 01:12:12,640
Speaker 2: great weekends.

1441
01:12:13,160 --> 01:12:15,720
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay.

1442
01:12:17,280 --> 01:12:20,080
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with a short one here. I'm gonna

1443
01:12:20,120 --> 01:12:25,920
Speaker 2: go with LSU at Florida. I think this is a

1444
01:12:25,960 --> 01:12:28,519
Speaker 2: good bounce back spot for us. You I was not impressed,

1445
01:12:28,520 --> 01:12:30,400
Speaker 2: but by the way, Oklahoma State was the luckiest win,

1446
01:12:30,479 --> 01:12:33,519
Speaker 2: you know it was the second luckiest was Florida. They

1447
01:12:34,080 --> 01:12:35,960
Speaker 2: should have lost that game. They got a pick six early.

1448
01:12:36,400 --> 01:12:38,639
Speaker 2: Missouri was moving the ball and I was on Florida.

1449
01:12:38,760 --> 01:12:41,280
Speaker 2: Missoria's moving the ball up and down the field. I

1450
01:12:41,280 --> 01:12:44,719
Speaker 2: am not impressed with this Florida defense, especially the run defense,

1451
01:12:44,760 --> 01:12:48,160
Speaker 2: which is just dreadful. That should set up well for LSU.

1452
01:12:48,320 --> 01:12:51,519
Speaker 2: LSU can lean on their ground game here, should be

1453
01:12:51,600 --> 01:12:53,559
Speaker 2: able to move the ball up and down the field.

1454
01:12:53,920 --> 01:12:57,880
Speaker 2: I assume they'll have a more buttoned up game plan

1455
01:12:57,920 --> 01:13:03,880
Speaker 2: to contain Anthony Richardson's explosiveness. Still having accuracy issues. Yeah,

1456
01:13:03,880 --> 01:13:06,080
Speaker 2: it just was not impressed with Florida last week, and

1457
01:13:06,400 --> 01:13:10,120
Speaker 2: hopefully LSU doesn't have a million special teams miscues which

1458
01:13:10,120 --> 01:13:12,479
Speaker 2: we saw last week. But yeah, I think this is

1459
01:13:12,520 --> 01:13:16,120
Speaker 2: a good matchup for LSU. I know that they might

1460
01:13:16,200 --> 01:13:19,600
Speaker 2: have some offensive lineman out which is worth watching. But

1461
01:13:19,640 --> 01:13:22,200
Speaker 2: Florida's rush defenses outside the top one hundred and both

1462
01:13:22,200 --> 01:13:25,800
Speaker 2: EPA per Russian rush success rate. LSU top twenty five

1463
01:13:25,840 --> 01:13:28,240
Speaker 2: in both categories. So last week can't run the ball

1464
01:13:28,240 --> 01:13:31,479
Speaker 2: against Tennessee. This week, should be able to run the ball,

1465
01:13:31,760 --> 01:13:33,679
Speaker 2: and I think that should open up some other things.

1466
01:13:33,960 --> 01:13:36,160
Speaker 2: And for what it's worth following a straight up loss,

1467
01:13:36,479 --> 01:13:39,960
Speaker 2: Brian Kelly is twenty five and sixteen against the spread,

1468
01:13:40,280 --> 01:13:44,439
Speaker 2: including fourteen and six seventy percent as an underdog or

1469
01:13:44,479 --> 01:13:46,880
Speaker 2: favorite of a field goal or less, covering by about

1470
01:13:47,000 --> 01:13:49,800
Speaker 2: six points per game. So I'm going to go with

1471
01:13:49,840 --> 01:13:53,080
Speaker 2: a small road dog in LSU.

1472
01:13:53,880 --> 01:13:55,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm going to go to the Mac again MAC.

1473
01:13:55,960 --> 01:13:58,439
Speaker 1: I was on Miami Ohio last week, got to watch

1474
01:13:58,479 --> 01:14:00,240
Speaker 1: a lot of av and Smith playing for my Miami

1475
01:14:00,280 --> 01:14:02,439
Speaker 1: of Ohio. He has been great in the absence of

1476
01:14:03,240 --> 01:14:05,760
Speaker 1: Gabbart after the injury. But the problem is is he's

1477
01:14:05,760 --> 01:14:08,040
Speaker 1: not been on tape for a couple of games. That's

1478
01:14:08,040 --> 01:14:11,200
Speaker 1: perfectly enough for defenses to be able to adjust, pile

1479
01:14:11,320 --> 01:14:14,000
Speaker 1: up in the box and stop that run. But really

1480
01:14:14,040 --> 01:14:16,400
Speaker 1: this handicap comes down for bowling Green at plus seven

1481
01:14:16,800 --> 01:14:18,760
Speaker 1: is about how often they throw the ball. They throw

1482
01:14:18,800 --> 01:14:20,960
Speaker 1: the ball at more than almost any other MAC team,

1483
01:14:21,200 --> 01:14:23,240
Speaker 1: and that's behind Matt McDonald, who's having a lot of

1484
01:14:23,280 --> 01:14:26,640
Speaker 1: success throwing the ball at least against lesser competition. You

1485
01:14:26,720 --> 01:14:28,639
Speaker 1: kind of take their season stats and throw them out.

1486
01:14:28,800 --> 01:14:32,160
Speaker 1: But Miami of Ohio is a great rush defense. In

1487
01:14:32,240 --> 01:14:35,280
Speaker 1: terms of the MAC they are not against the pass whatsoever.

1488
01:14:35,640 --> 01:14:39,160
Speaker 1: They are absolutely getting torched their coverages outside the top

1489
01:14:39,240 --> 01:14:41,880
Speaker 1: one hundred. They have no pass rush whatsoever. They have

1490
01:14:42,000 --> 01:14:44,720
Speaker 1: no havoc whatsoever. That's going to allow Matt McDonald to

1491
01:14:44,720 --> 01:14:47,320
Speaker 1: sit back pick them apart, and I expect them at

1492
01:14:47,360 --> 01:14:50,400
Speaker 1: home and a big spot after Miami, Ohio is getting

1493
01:14:50,439 --> 01:14:53,040
Speaker 1: a little inflated after a couple of wins as underdogs.

1494
01:14:53,680 --> 01:14:55,240
Speaker 1: Bowling Green's going to be able to pick them off

1495
01:14:55,240 --> 01:14:57,200
Speaker 1: here with Matt McDonald and how many times they throw,

1496
01:14:57,200 --> 01:15:00,760
Speaker 1: because that is certainly the weakness of the run hawks.

1497
01:15:01,040 --> 01:15:04,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, thought this was a great good spot there, all right,

1498
01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:07,720
Speaker 2: good stuff, con thanks for joining me. As always, I

1499
01:15:07,720 --> 01:15:11,280
Speaker 2: think we covered about twenty five games. Good timing this week.

1500
01:15:11,320 --> 01:15:13,680
Speaker 2: We got through a ton. Hopefully we can win some

1501
01:15:13,720 --> 01:15:16,960
Speaker 2: money this weekend and keep it rolling. Appreciate all of

1502
01:15:17,000 --> 01:15:20,120
Speaker 2: you for listening. Appreciate producer Matt Mitchell on all of

1503
01:15:20,160 --> 01:15:23,320
Speaker 2: our audio and video people on the back end. Make

1504
01:15:23,320 --> 01:15:26,679
Speaker 2: sure you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe, lead review, five star review.

1505
01:15:26,680 --> 01:15:29,559
Speaker 2: We'll do giveaways producer if you have any throw out

1506
01:15:29,560 --> 01:15:30,080
Speaker 2: some now.

1507
01:15:30,600 --> 01:15:35,960
Speaker 5: Hey, Thanks Douc. This week's winners are DT underscore the handicapper,

1508
01:15:36,720 --> 01:15:41,280
Speaker 5: Jay Dollar sign Dollar Sign Dollars, sign Dollar Sign Dollars

1509
01:15:41,320 --> 01:15:44,719
Speaker 5: signed to forty four forty four. Wow, these fucking names.

1510
01:15:45,240 --> 01:15:52,240
Speaker 5: Jesus Stts seven and finally Jalen for Heisman for his

1511
01:15:52,280 --> 01:15:55,920
Speaker 5: review quote. I'm really just leaving this rating for the

1512
01:15:55,960 --> 01:15:58,639
Speaker 5: caller who called Brett McMurphy and direction.

1513
01:15:59,160 --> 01:16:00,200
Speaker 2: Thanks for the review news.

1514
01:16:00,800 --> 01:16:04,639
Speaker 5: Reach out to me at podcasts at actionnetwork dot com

1515
01:16:04,680 --> 01:16:06,679
Speaker 5: to claim your prize. Thanks for listening.

1516
01:16:07,280 --> 01:16:09,920
Speaker 2: Don't bet, Charlotte, don't forget about the voicemail. This week

1517
01:16:09,920 --> 01:16:12,639
Speaker 2: on nine to five nine Bad Beat Caller of the Week,

1518
01:16:12,640 --> 01:16:15,240
Speaker 2: we'll get a cash prize. I'll name that winner on

1519
01:16:15,280 --> 01:16:19,080
Speaker 2: our Monday morning recap episode Beat Bets on Campus Live

1520
01:16:19,120 --> 01:16:22,120
Speaker 2: ten thirty am Eastern. We'll tweet out that link. Myself,

1521
01:16:22,160 --> 01:16:24,200
Speaker 2: Colin and Brett McMurphy will go over the card, the

1522
01:16:24,240 --> 01:16:26,680
Speaker 2: glorious card. I can't wait for it. I hope that

1523
01:16:27,240 --> 01:16:29,599
Speaker 2: you're as excited as we are and we can enjoy

1524
01:16:29,640 --> 01:16:32,200
Speaker 2: the day and win some money. Make sure you check

1525
01:16:32,200 --> 01:16:34,000
Speaker 2: out the group of five guys who do a great job.

1526
01:16:34,040 --> 01:16:37,000
Speaker 2: Their episode came out yesterday. Action Network ap for all

1527
01:16:37,000 --> 01:16:40,479
Speaker 2: of our bets. Thanks for listening. As always, let's have

1528
01:16:40,520 --> 01:16:42,160
Speaker 2: a weekend. We'll catch you all later.

1529
01:16:42,320 --> 01:16:43,479
Speaker 1: Cheers, peace out,