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Speaker 1: Yeah, we don't talk a lot about Heisman on the

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Speaker 1: show because I'm not a Huysman voter. But I'm not

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Speaker 1: angry about it at all. Trusts me. But I've got

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Speaker 1: some theories on what happened with the Highsman this year.

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Speaker 1: We're not gonna leave the show with it. Bit. I've

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Speaker 1: just been workshopping at theory today. I'll see if you

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Speaker 1: agree with me. We're jam packed, high a top a

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Speaker 1: frozen solid downtown Nashville, Tennessee, Sunday, December fourteenth, the Year

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Speaker 1: of Our Lord. Yeah, it is the fourteenth, twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: five high of twenty two in Nashville. Today it's been

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Speaker 1: miserable here. It is that time. It is Sunday night.

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Speaker 1: It is college football playoff prediction time, at least the

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Speaker 1: first round games now on Tuesday night, I'll do the

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Speaker 1: full bracket, but I'm gonna do the games tonight because

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Speaker 1: it would be very anti climactic for the first round

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Speaker 1: predictions if we did the bracket where you could already

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Speaker 1: see where I'm who I'm picking. So's a very convoluted

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Speaker 1: way of saying, make sure you're also here Tuesday night. Now,

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Speaker 1: that'll be the last show we do of the week,

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Speaker 1: by the way, because the playoffs start on Friday. The

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Speaker 1: Michigan coaching search continues. There have been some statements put

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Speaker 1: out today, there have been some rumors, and we're just

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Speaker 1: here to separate fact from possibly fact. Heisman, as I said,

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Speaker 1: I've got some thoughts. We of course are going to

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Speaker 1: continue the age old December tradition of worst predictions in

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Speaker 1: the history of the show. That's the name of the segment,

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Speaker 1: and we will do that at your expense, not mine.

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Speaker 1: I'm the butt of the joke. Eleven months out of

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Speaker 1: the year around here, but one month the season of mercy,

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Speaker 1: as they call it, in December. You people have to

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Speaker 1: tote the load, not me. In reality, we do it together. Spokane,

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Speaker 1: Washington is tuned in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, Freeport, Florida, Elizabethtown, PA.

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Speaker 1: The drive to one million continues. Now. Some may say, oh,

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Speaker 1: you're a long way from a million subs. Yeah, but

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Speaker 1: they were saying this time last year we were a

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Speaker 1: long way away from five hundred thousand subs. The haters

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Speaker 1: are nowhere to be found now, so it's okay. It's

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Speaker 1: a process. We're gonna get it there, and we're gonna

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Speaker 1: get it there with your help, So you and ten

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Speaker 1: of your friends make sure you are subscribed to the channel. Hey,

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Speaker 1: we got a live appearance later in the week. You know,

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Speaker 1: we did a live show a couple of weeks ago

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Speaker 1: in Atlanta. We're going to be part of another live show.

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Speaker 1: I'm just going to be the friends part. So it's

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Speaker 1: like Peate State and Friends in Atlanta. Well, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: be the and Friends on this live show. I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you about it a little while. In the meantime, let's

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Speaker 1: dive in. Let's dive into the college football playoff. It

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Speaker 1: is six five days away, Yeah, five days wim kickoff

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Speaker 1: Miami at Texas. A and M is the game that

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Speaker 1: I want to break down. First Saturday noon Eastern time,

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Speaker 1: eleven am local time, kickoff in College Station, Texas. We

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Speaker 1: will be on hand for this game. We will have

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Speaker 1: been in Norman the night before, and I will be

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Speaker 1: on hand with several friends of the program. Actually, Hoops'

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Speaker 1: identities will be made public as the week goes on.

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Speaker 1: There on the sideline for this one, Let's just set

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Speaker 1: the table for this because it's obviously the first playoff

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Speaker 1: appearance for A and M. It's the first playoff appearance

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Speaker 1: for Miami. Kyle Field, I don't care if they kick

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Speaker 1: it off at seven am, seven pm, it's going to

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Speaker 1: be a factor here A and M seven and zero

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Speaker 1: at home this season. You may not have much appreciation

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Speaker 1: for that, and you may not respect their schedule this year.

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Speaker 1: I don't really care. I've been at that place, like

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Speaker 1: last time. I think we were there. Jesse was at

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Speaker 1: the Missouri game. Yeah, we were there, and they blew

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Speaker 1: out Missouri. So Miami. Here's the funny thing about this.

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Speaker 1: Miami went up to Pitt last game of the regular season.

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Speaker 1: Remember the kickoff temperature was in the low thirties, and

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Speaker 1: I was terrified for him. And it turns out I

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Speaker 1: shouldn't have been, because they made easy work of Pitt.

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Speaker 1: And because Miami went and won a game in thirty

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Speaker 1: degree weather, their reward is now playing a game in

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Speaker 1: seventy degree weather. That's right. I've been checking the long

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Speaker 1: range forecast here and many things will come into play,

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Speaker 1: but weather will not. We're looking at low seventies and

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Speaker 1: Sonny at kickoff. So thank you God. Look at God

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Speaker 1: smiling down on us as only he can. Who is

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Speaker 1: the strength here? Well, both of them. So who's strength

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Speaker 1: tops the other's strength. Let's dive into this. Miami profiles

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Speaker 1: as the best run defense that an M is seen

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Speaker 1: this year. I believe that, all right, so we have

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Speaker 1: the paper here. That's what the paper says. I do

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Speaker 1: believe that to be the case. A and M top

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Speaker 1: twenty five run offense. It is a critical part, obviously,

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Speaker 1: of their offensive game plan, as it is most teams

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Speaker 1: outside of Alabama in this playoff. Ironically, Alabama and Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: are the two teams in the playoff. They don't run

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Speaker 1: the ball very well. They face each other in round one.

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Speaker 1: Everybody else gives it the good old college. Try to

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Speaker 1: run the ball. A and M especially so so Miami

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Speaker 1: can get after you. Now Miami can get after the

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Speaker 1: passer as well. But really, when you look at this, okay,

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Speaker 1: from a standard run profile, pe Miami figures to really

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Speaker 1: limit you. But then you think to yourself, hmm, but

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Speaker 1: first off, have they seen a rushing attack like A

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Speaker 1: and M's at its best? H remains to be seen.

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Speaker 1: Maybe not? And then part B is doesn't A and

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Speaker 1: M also possess the ability to run the ball at

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Speaker 1: the quarterback position? Yes they do. Marcel Reid. Now he

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Speaker 1: doesn't do it every game, but he'll just randomly pop

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Speaker 1: a forty yard run on you. I'll just add this note.

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Speaker 1: I think the quarterback run being an integral part of

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Speaker 1: A and M's success here is pretty unlikely. It's a

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Speaker 1: huge hinge point. But I'll tell you why. I think

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Speaker 1: it's unlikely. We were diving into this earlier today. Miami

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Speaker 1: has faced their fair share of mobile quarterbacks this year.

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Speaker 1: This is a post it popper because I had to

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Speaker 1: write it on a post it Byron Brown, Kevin Jennings,

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Speaker 1: DJ Lagway, Tommy Castellanos, and Kyne Drones. Miami faced all

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Speaker 1: of them this year. Out of those five mobile quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: would you like to guess how many combined rushing yards

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Speaker 1: those quarterbacks had against Miami? That would be so seventy four,

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Speaker 1: not average seventy four combined rushing yards. So unless Marcel

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Speaker 1: Read and Texas A and M completely invert that stack category,

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Speaker 1: I don't expect him to do a ton of damage

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Speaker 1: with his legs. What they could do is a ton

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Speaker 1: of damage on the ground, but that would also have

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Speaker 1: to invert the stat profile that I expect Miami to

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Speaker 1: carry into this game. It's a huge hinge point, because

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Speaker 1: if A and M can run the ball effectively, it

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Speaker 1: opens up the entire offense. And I'm not saying if

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Speaker 1: they don't run the ball effectively, they can't. I just

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Speaker 1: think you get where I'm going there. If they can't,

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Speaker 1: it just falls on Marcel Reid's arm. So if they

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Speaker 1: crack the code, that's great, and it helps Marcel Read

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Speaker 1: and it gets them in second, manageable, third and shut.

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Speaker 1: The entire playbook is at their disposal. But if it's

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Speaker 1: a lot of obvious passing downs, we all watched Marcel

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Speaker 1: Read struggle at times with interceptions. In fact, three of

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Speaker 1: his final five games of the regular season he had

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Speaker 1: multiple interceptions. So that's one side of the equation, but

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Speaker 1: I think it profiles the same way. On the other

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Speaker 1: side of the equation. A and M's probably way more

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Speaker 1: likely to shut down Miami's ground game then Miami is

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Speaker 1: to totally shut down A and M's because A and

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Speaker 1: M specializes in running the ball. Miami's seventy seventh in

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Speaker 1: the country in rushing offense. So that's where Carson Beck

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Speaker 1: walks into the room. And I think Carson Beck started

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Speaker 1: the season and they won the Notre Dame game. Then

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Speaker 1: they had some games where why aren't they pushing the

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Speaker 1: ball down the field more? Is he hurt? Wow? He

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Speaker 1: just doesn't look special, and then people kind of gave

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Speaker 1: up on him. But if you watched him in his

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Speaker 1: final three games, eighty one percent completion percentage. Guy, he

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Speaker 1: was averaging nearly three hundred yards per game, passing ten

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Speaker 1: to one touchdown to I int ratio. So Carson Beck

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Speaker 1: played his best ball down the stretch and he's going

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Speaker 1: to face a top ten pressure rate defense here. Their

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Speaker 1: number one are the Texas A and m Aggies and

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Speaker 1: sacks per game. So I leave it up to a

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Speaker 1: veteran quarterback to be able to manage move around in

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Speaker 1: the little bit, buy himself a little bit of extra time.

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Speaker 1: A lot of it's just on that Miami offensive line.

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Speaker 1: And this is where going on the road's real tough,

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Speaker 1: because you do not play in environments like this in

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Speaker 1: the ACC. You don't play in many of them like

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Speaker 1: this anywhere. So again, eleven am kickoff, eleven PM kickoff, whatever,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be tough for him. They're gonna make it

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Speaker 1: really tough for him there, especially if Miami is not

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Speaker 1: able to start fast and grab an early lead. So

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Speaker 1: what I'll watch especially is not can Carson Beck make

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Speaker 1: the place. He'll make some plays here, They'll move the

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Speaker 1: chains here. How much does Miami have to focus their

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Speaker 1: passing attack on malakay Tony? Really good player, really good

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Speaker 1: wide receiver there, so much so that he's had more

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Speaker 1: production than the next two behind him have at Miami.

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Speaker 1: And that is notable because Texas A and m another

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Speaker 1: paper proper to watch here. They have held wide receiver

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Speaker 1: ones under forty yards receiving half a dozen times this year.

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Speaker 1: Now you hadn't faced half a dozen malachay Tonies. Would

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Speaker 1: be my retort if I were the Miami Sports and

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Speaker 1: Information Department friends of the program, and they would be

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Speaker 1: right about that. That's why it's a prediction. That's why

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Speaker 1: it remains to be seen. But I think it does

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Speaker 1: come down to quarterbacks under pressure in all seriousness, as

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Speaker 1: I said Marcel Reid, if he is part of a

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Speaker 1: balanced attack and if they're running the ball and he's

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Speaker 1: just kind of working off that in a complimentary fashion,

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Speaker 1: great game on. But if not, like I said, three

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Speaker 1: of his final five games, multiple I INT's the thing

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Speaker 1: I love about Texas A and M. One of the

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Speaker 1: sort of big personnel edges here is I think they've

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Speaker 1: got a deeper and more versatile group of weaponry offensively,

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Speaker 1: like they don't have to focus in on one guy

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Speaker 1: as much as Miami does Malachi Toni. But also like

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Speaker 1: even within that A and M was banged up at

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Speaker 1: the skill positions, as was pretty much every other team

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Speaker 1: towards the end of the year. So these two to

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Speaker 1: three weeks off, what does it do in terms of freshness,

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Speaker 1: Like does Mario Craver I'm out in this game looking

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Speaker 1: like you shot out of a cannon, because that's gonna

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Speaker 1: happen case by case with some of these teams. So

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Speaker 1: as you look at the way the different ways rather

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Speaker 1: this game could go. I think if if you have

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Speaker 1: a game where they kind of start off feeling each

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Speaker 1: other out, and you know, you got a ball that

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Speaker 1: goes off a DB's fingertips and you're breathing this sigh

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Speaker 1: of relief, like oh man, and we're not running the

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Speaker 1: ball all that great and we just put it in

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Speaker 1: the air. That could have been disastrous. If that kind

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Speaker 1: of stuff happens early, I think the game could grind

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Speaker 1: to a halt. I think scoring in the game could

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Speaker 1: grind to a halt, and I think no matter what

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Speaker 1: with Miami, the big question as it goes on, like

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Speaker 1: once you feel it out, once your guys settle in,

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Speaker 1: and there will be a period of that from Miami offensively,

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Speaker 1: how bold is Shannon Dawson willing to get here? Because

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Speaker 1: Miami trusts their defense to win this game. Texas did

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Speaker 1: and Miami will. Is that the way the game starts

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Speaker 1: to play out because Miami's defense, they're really good at

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Speaker 1: p in cap buster plays. Those are plays of forty

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Speaker 1: plus and A and m is seventy ninth in explosive

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Speaker 1: plays eighty eighth in cap busters defensively, so you can

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Speaker 1: pop them. That's one of the big statistical edges Miami has.

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Speaker 1: You've typically had to drive the field and several plays

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Speaker 1: and extend to drive and whatnot to score on Miami.

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Speaker 1: A and m will give up explosive plays here, But

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Speaker 1: that's given that Carson Beck can stretch the field. That's

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Speaker 1: given that guys other than Malachai Tony step up, and

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Speaker 1: that's given Shannon Dawson feels like his guy has enough

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Speaker 1: time to where they can dial it up. So let's

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Speaker 1: take a look at what the model thinks on this game.

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Speaker 1: FanDuel's got Texas A and M minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half right now. The model is a little bit higher

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Speaker 1: on Texas A and M. We got Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M minus five and a half. Neither of these big

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Speaker 1: opening round matchups I have a great feel on. So

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Speaker 1: I was very close to picking Miami outright earlier today,

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Speaker 1: but then I talked myself over to I think, if

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Speaker 1: there's a more consistent ground game here, it's likely to

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Speaker 1: be A and M. So you know, if I've got

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Speaker 1: these other variables, I'll lean on the more dependable ground game.

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Speaker 1: But then I taught myself off that and I said, man,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if anyone's going to dependably run the

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Speaker 1: ball on Miami. So then I thought about home field

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Speaker 1: and what it can mean. So I don't really have

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Speaker 1: a strong feel on the game. Therefore, I'll just ride

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Speaker 1: the model. I'll have fun watching it there, as we

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Speaker 1: all will. I'll take Texas A and M to win

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Speaker 1: and cover, and we're not betting a dime on it,

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Speaker 1: no strong field whatsoever. I will say it's crazy that

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Speaker 1: Ohio State's sitting there and they're awaiting the winner of

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Speaker 1: this game, and if it's A and M they could

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Speaker 1: have to play they get to Slash have to play

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Speaker 1: them in Arlington. I think that's what happened last year

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Speaker 1: though in Jesse, Ohio State had to play Texas in Texas.

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Speaker 1: So no matter what, you're playing a really, really good

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Speaker 1: team here and you're gonna play them in Dallas. We

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Speaker 1: will be on hand for this one courtesy of Quick Trip.

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Speaker 1: Quick Trip fuel us everywhere we go. The Fall Don't

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Speaker 1: Lie Tour has been fueled all season long by Quick Trip.

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Speaker 1: Myself personally from just a pure high unleaded caffeine intake standpoint,

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Speaker 1: I've been fueled by Quick Trip all year, the Quick

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Speaker 1: Trip cold brew on tap. I'm ready to call it

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Speaker 1: one of the top five most important inventions in American

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Speaker 1: history and one of the top two or three most

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Speaker 1: important inventions in my lifetime. So I hope I haven't

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Speaker 1: been unclear there, and Quick Trip will fuel us out

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Speaker 1: to Norman, Oklahoma and then down to College Station this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Is anyone else out there and making that track. I

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Speaker 1: know that's not the easiest thing to pull off, but

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Speaker 1: I thirty five if you drive it late enough at night,

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Speaker 1: can be kind of fun during the day nightmare, but

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Speaker 1: at night can be kind of fun. The fall Don't Lie.

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Speaker 1: T shirts, by the way for both of these games

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Speaker 1: available at petstatemterial dot com. All right, that piece of

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Speaker 1: paper out of the way. I think I had like

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Speaker 1: four whale breaches there, Jesse. By the way, if you

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Speaker 1: really really pay close attention to the show, you'll notice

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Speaker 1: that there are some wrinkles in the white T shirt tonight.

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Speaker 1: It's very uncharacteristic. I am a very very high level dresser,

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Speaker 1: and my palette from a food standpoint may be unrefined,

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Speaker 1: but my fashion pallette is second to none. So you

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Speaker 1: know that something's wrong. If the white T shirt is wrinkled, well,

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Speaker 1: it's because it is my second string T shirt because foolishly,

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Speaker 1: my T shirt provider soon to be my former T

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Speaker 1: shirt provider, shipped me some new T shirts today and

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Speaker 1: I did not take them out of the pack. I

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Speaker 1: just threw the pack in the car, drove to the office,

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Speaker 1: and fifteen minutes before showtime started to change, and realized

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Speaker 1: they had shipped me what equated to white garbage bags.

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Speaker 1: That is a six x L white T If you're

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Speaker 1: listening on podcasts, thank you. I would prefer no one

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Speaker 1: see this, but I figured I had to address the

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Speaker 1: wrinkles and the backup T shir that's because this is

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Speaker 1: a backup T shirt, because I was not walking on

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Speaker 1: air looking like that. Imagine the accumulation of shirt in

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Speaker 1: the chair here, I would have looked like I was

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Speaker 1: sitting in a snow drift. It's terrible. So on a

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Speaker 1: slightly related note, I am now in the market for

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Speaker 1: a new white T shirt provider because that I can't.

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Speaker 1: I've got to take it as disrespect if I don't

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Speaker 1: know any better, and I don't, so I hope you're

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Speaker 1: listening out there, Hoopstever. Hoopstever could answer my call as

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Speaker 1: I throw it out into the market. We don't even

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Speaker 1: have an official shirt provider of the show anyway, so

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Speaker 1: probably about time we do that. Next up, let's continue,

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Speaker 1: I got some Michigan coaching stuff coming up. That one's

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Speaker 1: about to get really, really interesting. But in the meantime,

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Speaker 1: Alabama at Oklahoma Friday night, eight eastern seven Central kickoff

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Speaker 1: on AB see. This game happened a month ago in Tuscaloosa.

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Speaker 1: That was a very memorable weekend. If you'll recall that

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Speaker 1: was a game I was ultra confident on Bama. I

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Speaker 1: think it was about a five and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorite or so. Again, that game was in Tuscaloosa. This

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Speaker 1: one was in Norman. Bama is still favored by one and

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Speaker 1: a half on the road here. But remember that was

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Speaker 1: the game where I felt ultra confident, the model felt

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Speaker 1: ultra confident, and I think we had Alabama projected as

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Speaker 1: like a nine and a half or a ten and

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Speaker 1: a half point winner. So we made it one of

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Speaker 1: our best bets of the week. And you'll be happy

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Speaker 1: to know that Alabama outgained OU four six to two twelve.

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Speaker 1: It's great news. They had a twenty three to twelve

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Speaker 1: first down edge. That's fantastic. And yet, oh wait, I'm

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Speaker 1: hearing they still lost the game twenty three to twenty one.

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Speaker 1: How could that be? Oh? I remember there were minus

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Speaker 1: three turnovers or OHU was plus three turnovers. I say

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Speaker 1: it that way because sometimes turnovers are freak occurrences, and

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Speaker 1: while it is a randomized stat game to game, there

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Speaker 1: was nothing random or accidental about how Oklahoma forced turnovers

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Speaker 1: in that game. And I also remember a lot of

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Speaker 1: other interceptible balls that Ty Simpson was made to throw,

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Speaker 1: and I remember other balls just on the ground that

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Speaker 1: oh you happen to not recover, So it could have

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Speaker 1: been even worse. I mean, they put on a clinic

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Speaker 1: just teach tape stuff from Oklahoma's defense on how to

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Speaker 1: punch the ball out. I think they forced one on

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Speaker 1: a punt return too, if I'm not mistaken with Ryan Williams.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, Oklahoma went into Tuscal loosen knowing we're really

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Speaker 1: limited offensively and we're gonna have to play a complimentary

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Speaker 1: game and we're gonna have to win this game defensively,

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Speaker 1: and they did it, and they did it. So the

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Speaker 1: biggest theme from that game as we roll it over

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Speaker 1: into this game is the reason why we were confident

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Speaker 1: in Alabama because any high level passing attack that Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: had faced to that point, I e. Ole, Miss and

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Speaker 1: Tennessee had been able to throw for three to twenty

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Speaker 1: plus I think it was, and we expected Alabama to

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Speaker 1: do the same. And Alabama did do the same. They

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Speaker 1: had three twenty six through the air. What did it

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Speaker 1: come at the expense of turnovers? So that's where I

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Speaker 1: think we should start here. Should we expect that kind

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Speaker 1: of production? Because I know this piece of paper playoff

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Speaker 1: games not played on these but this piece of paper

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Speaker 1: says Alabama's got the number twenty three passing offense in

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Speaker 1: the country. I don't believe that. I don't know that

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Speaker 1: I would call the current passing attack that Alabama's been

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Speaker 1: putting on the field as one of the twenty five

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Speaker 1: best in the country. I think a lot of that

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Speaker 1: is front loaded statistically to where, yes, over the span

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Speaker 1: of twelve games they were that, but you got a

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Speaker 1: long way to go to sort of pull the stick

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Speaker 1: back up, pull the nose back up before you're operating

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Speaker 1: at the kind of efficiency level that you were against

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma the first time. Now, if they are back to

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Speaker 1: those ways, then Alabama's got a good shot to win

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Speaker 1: this game. Ty Simpson early close watching here, because if

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Speaker 1: Ty Simpsons had off games, it hasn't been in the

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Speaker 1: second half, third quarter, fourth quarter. It's been early, you

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Speaker 1: can tell pretty early. And Oklahoma will get after him

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Speaker 1: more than Georgia did. And Georgia got after him. So

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Speaker 1: that really goes back to the whole health thing with Alabama. Firstly,

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Speaker 1: how much of Ty Simpson do we get. Secondly, Parker

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Speaker 1: Brailsford at the center position, how much have these couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks down between the SEC title game in this

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Speaker 1: game helped him. But the running back position is key here,

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Speaker 1: not just their health in terms of being able to

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Speaker 1: scratch out seventy or so yards on the ground, but

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Speaker 1: receiving the ball, catching the ball out of the backfield.

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Speaker 1: None of that was existent against Georgia. It's got to

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Speaker 1: be here. So that's the first thing. The second thing

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Speaker 1: is what should I expect from Oklahoma Offensively? Both of

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Speaker 1: these offenses had been very challenged Alabama down the stretch,

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma pretty much all year after the material injury. One

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Speaker 1: game probably not going to be there for either one

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Speaker 1: of them. I mean, Oklahoma's got the sixty third rated

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Speaker 1: pass offense in the country right now and Bama's top

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Speaker 1: ten and pass d Oklahoma hadn't run the ball nearly

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Speaker 1: enough effectively, so you know, they don't profile as a

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Speaker 1: playoff team Offensively. Mattier has been under two twenty five

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Speaker 1: passing five of his final final six games. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I could rub the magic eight ball and I could

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Speaker 1: just wish for them to magically appear out of these

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Speaker 1: two or three weeks down as a different looking offense.

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Speaker 1: I don't expect that they did. Now here's the good news.

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Speaker 1: They did. Matier did have over three hundred through the

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Speaker 1: air against LSU. They threw three picks. So I don't

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Speaker 1: know that that's the approach. I don't know that a

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Speaker 1: trigger happy approach is what either of them will take here.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma's offensive approach will be complementary to the team approach,

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Speaker 1: just like it was last time, and that is approximately this.

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Speaker 1: If it ends in a K, then that means that

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Speaker 1: it was a successful drive for us, and we're going

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Speaker 1: to get a few opportunities to strike, and when we

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Speaker 1: get them, we got to strike, because that's exactly what

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Speaker 1: happened last time. Okay, they didn't drive length to the field,

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Speaker 1: but they also knew Bama wasn't going to be able

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Speaker 1: to against them, or at least they didn't think they would.

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Speaker 1: And if they do, they're gonna have to take enough

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Speaker 1: risk to where we'll force turnovers. And I'll get back

404
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Speaker 1: to that in a second, cause field position has tilted

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Speaker 1: both of the games Bama has lost down the stretch,

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Speaker 1: and Oklahoma put on a clinic in that department last

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Speaker 1: game as well. So looking at some practice stuff from

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Speaker 1: Alabama and talking to some people over there. Josh Quavis

409
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Speaker 1: is I think likely to play in this game. Jam Miller,

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Speaker 1: I think they expect him back for this game. Lt

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Speaker 1: Overton maybe back for this game. Well see, I know

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Speaker 1: that's been more of a medical thing than an injury thing.

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Speaker 1: Parker Brailsford, he played against Georgia way less than one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent at center. Jeremy Bernard, you know, kind of

415
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Speaker 1: hobbling around. So how hell year they relatively speaking? John

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Speaker 1: mattiir with his legs on third down bears close. Watching

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Speaker 1: in a game like this where every third down is precious,

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Speaker 1: kind of like an old school game when you used

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Speaker 1: to watch, like high level defensive teams play every third down,

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Speaker 1: you celebrate it like it's a touchdown. Every third down

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Speaker 1: conversion to a first down at least. So the field

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Speaker 1: position thing I think is the most important part of this.

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Speaker 1: This game that Bama played against them Oklahoma, and this

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Speaker 1: game BAMA played against Georgia in Atlanta did not go

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Speaker 1: their way. Against Oklahoma a month ago, Bama never started

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Speaker 1: a drive past their thirty yard line against Georgia. Last week,

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Speaker 1: they never started a drive past their own twenty five

428
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 1: yard line. Oklahoma in this game had four drives that

429
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:53,120
Speaker 1: started in Bama territory. Georgia last week had three drives

430
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 1: that started in Bama territory and they scored twenty one

431
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 1: points on them. They also blocked punt. Alabama had a

432
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:03,159
Speaker 1: punt block last week. So that sort of thing. I

433
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:06,119
Speaker 1: guess if you have a high level coaching staff and

434
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,159
Speaker 1: you're getting guys back healthy, you know you would think,

435
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:13,560
Speaker 1: especially with all the red sharpie circles around what went

436
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 1: wrong for you last time, that maybe that stuff gets

437
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 1: quote unquote cleaned up. The phrase I just love. So

438
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 1: let's take a look at what the model thinks. Fanduels

439
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 1: got Bama minus one and a half. Models got Bama

440
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. How many points do you

441
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:30,679
Speaker 1: think it takes to win this game? Our guess is

442
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:34,240
Speaker 1: twenty one, twenty one or less maybe, but I would

443
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 1: say twenty one probably if you if you tell either

444
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:40,480
Speaker 1: one of them, you're gonna get that many. I think

445
00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 1: they feel good about holding the other to less. The

446
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 1: over unders forty and a half. Here, look, my instinct

447
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,880
Speaker 1: is to take Alabama in this game. I've got Alabama

448
00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 1: winning the national title. Now, of course, that prediction was

449
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,199
Speaker 1: made months ago, and I don't feel great about that

450
00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 1: right now. But I actually am gonna pick Oklahoma to

451
00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:01,080
Speaker 1: win the game because I've watched Alabama played this team

452
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:04,160
Speaker 1: twice in the past two years, and I've watched the

453
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:09,800
Speaker 1: things that you would call freak occurrences randomized outcomes, i e. Turnovers.

454
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 1: I've watched Brent Venables and his team able to do

455
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 1: that two times, and I'm starting to think that maybe

456
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:19,440
Speaker 1: it's not so randomized. And I don't know if we're

457
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 1: looking at the beginnings of a trend or if those

458
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 1: were just sort of a couple of one offs and

459
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:29,440
Speaker 1: Alabama restore order here. I don't know that. But I've

460
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:34,160
Speaker 1: heard rumors of sooner magic. I've heard rumblings of sooner magic,

461
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:37,159
Speaker 1: and I'm not go I don't want to go as

462
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,679
Speaker 1: far as to say I totally believe in sooner magic,

463
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:41,680
Speaker 1: but I will go as far as to say I

464
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:44,360
Speaker 1: don't want to bet against it. So I will take

465
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 1: Oklahoma to win this game, and I will be in

466
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 1: attendance for it no matter what. That one's the Friday

467
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 1: night game, remember, kids, on your calendar, that's the Friday

468
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 1: night game. Also, it should be noted the night before

469
00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: Thursday night, that's December eighteenth at River Wind Theater. There

470
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,560
Speaker 1: in Norman. I believe it's in Norman, okac or Norman.

471
00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:08,359
Speaker 1: I think it's I think it's Norman, seven pm. Yours

472
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 1: Truly Cublic, Stanford, Steve, Dusty de Vorchak appearing alongside Gabe

473
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 1: Ikard and Teddy Lehman. There, Oklahoma, Breakdown Live. A live show.

474
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:23,840
Speaker 1: Whom'st amongst us? Whomstead of thunk it? A live show?

475
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 1: People like us able to put on live shows. I

476
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 1: have nothing to do with this as far as I know,

477
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 1: I'm not making a dime off this show. Although they

478
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 1: are shipping me some food and we may get some

479
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,639
Speaker 1: chips to play with in the casino, but no, we

480
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:40,200
Speaker 1: are just there to lend our unwavering support to longtime

481
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: friends of the program. And maybe if we get a

482
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:46,159
Speaker 1: free dinner out of it, maybe that's a bonus. But

483
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 1: we're just there to have fun. So we'll see a

484
00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:50,119
Speaker 1: lot of you guys Thursday night before the game on

485
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 1: Friday night. All right, let's continue to roll merrily along. Here.

486
00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 1: Got a lot of post It's an inordinate amount of

487
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:59,879
Speaker 1: post its on the desk right now. The Michigan co

488
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 1: Coaching Search continues, It's been a very, very whirlwind, memorable

489
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:09,199
Speaker 1: type week for Michigan football. I think they're gonna end

490
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 1: up so much better for this. They're not in a

491
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 1: great place right now, but I mean, once the fog clears,

492
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 1: Michigan will have clearly upgraded at their head coaching position.

493
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 1: And it's not the means with which you wanted to

494
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 1: do it. This is not necessarily the playbook that you

495
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,399
Speaker 1: wanted to execute, but it is what it is, and

496
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 1: so it is my belief at the outset of this

497
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 1: coaching search, Michigan is going to come out a big winner.

498
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 1: On the other end. Translation, when the dust settles and

499
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:38,520
Speaker 1: you've hired your new coach and he gets his staff

500
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,080
Speaker 1: in there, and you've got your roster for twenty twenty six,

501
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:44,120
Speaker 1: you're gonna look at it and say, yep, I much

502
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 1: rather take this than whatever the alternative was. So there

503
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,840
Speaker 1: is not a favorite, let me rephrase, I don't think

504
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:54,080
Speaker 1: there's a favorite for this job. Yet. What that doesn't

505
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:57,879
Speaker 1: mean is there may not be factions or pockets of

506
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,240
Speaker 1: people that have their preferred candidate. Of course, of course,

507
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 1: everyone has their preferred candidate. Hey, I got a guy

508
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:05,640
Speaker 1: or two that I think would be best cut out

509
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 1: for this job. I'm sure that members of the Board

510
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:12,199
Speaker 1: of Regents, maybe the athletic director there, members of the

511
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 1: search firm, and the currently being assembled search committee. Everybody's

512
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 1: got a favorite or two. I don't think there's a

513
00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 1: consensus favorite for the job, because I don't think that's

514
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 1: where the search is just yet. I do think, though,

515
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:26,959
Speaker 1: they will end up in a much better spot because

516
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:28,879
Speaker 1: I think just from the names that have been thrown

517
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:32,800
Speaker 1: around that I've heard that have expressed interest, several of

518
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:36,439
Speaker 1: them would have been upgrades anyway. That's whether or not

519
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 1: there was any off the field scandal. Just if the

520
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 1: job had poof come open, these were going to be

521
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 1: upgrades anyway. So the kayland Bor thing, let's start on

522
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:49,879
Speaker 1: that first. Kaylan de Boor is a hot candidate for

523
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 1: pretty much any head coaching opening. Penn State would have

524
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 1: loved to have had Kaylan de Bor, there was little

525
00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 1: interest there. Michigan would love to have Kaylan de Boor.

526
00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:01,119
Speaker 1: There's been a lot of debate about whether there's interest there.

527
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:04,960
Speaker 1: And now earlier today, Kaylen de Boor and Alabama released

528
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 1: a statement and he said, my family and I are

529
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:12,200
Speaker 1: very happy in Tuscaloosa. We're grateful, President ad We're looking

530
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 1: forward to playing Oklahoma. Here's the money quote. I have

531
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 1: not spoken with and have no interest in speaking with

532
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 1: anyone else about any other job. I'm fully committed to

533
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:22,719
Speaker 1: this program and look forward to continuing as the head

534
00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 1: football coach at the University of Alabama now. I tweeted

535
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:30,400
Speaker 1: out the water gift Friday, which I usually tweet out

536
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,360
Speaker 1: when I think big news is coming. I perceived this

537
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 1: to be pretty big news. I thought this was coming

538
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:38,320
Speaker 1: out on Friday. This had been rumored for a while

539
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 1: in conjunction with a new contract or a contract extension

540
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 1: or a reworked contract for Kaylen de Bor, which I

541
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 1: still expect sometime soon. But I think it was smart

542
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 1: that they got out ahead of this. Certainly, if you're

543
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 1: a believer that Kaylan Moore was the favorite for the

544
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: Michigan job, there was nowhere in that statement where he said, hey,

545
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 1: I'm not taking the mission job. So if that's what

546
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 1: you require, you're not getting that from him. And in

547
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 1: lieu of that, if you believe that he is still

548
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:12,920
Speaker 1: the number one target slash the most likely candidate to

549
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 1: take that job, I don't know what to tell you

550
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 1: other than to tell you this, I don't think Kaylen

551
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 1: de Boor is going anywhere. Feel pretty good about our

552
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 1: sourcing on that. So you guys are free to believe

553
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 1: whatever you want. But I do believe that he'll be

554
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 1: at Alabama this Friday and well beyond this Friday, no

555
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 1: matter what the outcome of that game is. I hope

556
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: I've been pretty clear there now. As for candidates beyond

557
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:40,080
Speaker 1: Kaylin de Boor, Kenny Dillingham's name has been a pretty

558
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 1: hot name in this coaching search. There's Pete Nacos, Pete

559
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:46,160
Speaker 1: Nakos via on three his hot board right there. Debor

560
00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley's on there. I don't expect Lincoln Riley to

561
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 1: be involved in this search unless something changes. Eli Drinkwuitz,

562
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 1: I think is a dark horse name. Jeed Fish absolutely

563
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,520
Speaker 1: in the equation Kenny Dillingham is on this list though.

564
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:02,080
Speaker 1: I think Kenny Dillingham is a wonderful candidate for Michigan.

565
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 1: That would be the guy that I would pursue. That's

566
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 1: where I need to hit pause, And I got to

567
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 1: remind a lot of our Arizona State brethren who have

568
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: been really really angry at me suggesting that because they're

569
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 1: suggesting that I'm trying to advocate for him leaving Arizona State.

570
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 1: I'm not advocating for anything. I have been asked who

571
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,280
Speaker 1: I would go after if I were in Michigan or

572
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 1: on this show. If we've done these segments, it would

573
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 1: be pretty stupid for me to do it and not

574
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 1: tell you who I think they should go after. Who

575
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,760
Speaker 1: I'd go after is Kenny Dillingham, just like I'd go

576
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 1: after Caylin de Boor if I were them. Debor's gonna

577
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 1: tell him no. He already did, and if that wasn't enough,

578
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 1: when he actually says n to them when they officially

579
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 1: offer him, that'll be the no from Debor. Kenny may

580
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 1: tell him no too. I couldn't care less what he

581
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 1: tells them. I think it's great when guys like Kenny Dillingham,

582
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 1: who have unique ties to a program, in this case,

583
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 1: Arizona State, when they stay with that program, I think

584
00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 1: it's wonderful. So I'm not rooting one way or the other.

585
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 1: I'm telling you if I'm advocating for the Michigan side

586
00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 1: of things, that means I'm putting on my Michigan hat

587
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 1: for a second and putting on my Michigan hat means

588
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 1: I look at that guy and I see what he's

589
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 1: done in terms of quarterback development. I see what he's

590
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 1: done in terms of lighting a fan base on fire.

591
00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 1: I love the energy, I love the passion. I love

592
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,120
Speaker 1: how much his guys will go over a cliff for him.

593
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 1: I love the energy that he would bring. And also,

594
00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 1: aside from him being a good football coach, because that's

595
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 1: the first and foremost by ten Miles, you got to

596
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 1: understand what Michigan has had versus what he would bring.

597
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:38,920
Speaker 1: Michigan is like an oil field. I've been watching land

598
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:42,440
Speaker 1: Man lately. It's like an oil field that really hasn't

599
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: been drilled properly. Now that sounds weird because they've won

600
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: a national championship recently. I'm just telling you from a passion,

601
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 1: energy and resource standpoint. In the New Age, no one's

602
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 1: really drilled deep at Michigan. Yet when you do, money's

603
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 1: flying all over the place. It's there, it's there. I've

604
00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: got it on good word. A little birdie has flown

605
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,600
Speaker 1: in my ear recently and told me, you know, maybe

606
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 1: since the Sharon War firing, there's a little bit of

607
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 1: an uptick even in nil contribution. They are primed from

608
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: an nil contribution standpoint, from a donor, energy and engagement

609
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 1: standpoint to where anybody, but especially a guy as dynamic

610
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 1: as that, if they get dropped in that seat is

611
00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 1: it's no guarantee from a records perspective. I just think

612
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 1: it's a home run. And I really hate saying that,

613
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 1: so I just think it would be very successful, let

614
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 1: me put it that way. So anyway, that's how I

615
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 1: would feel if I were in Michigan, if I were

616
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: Arizona State, I would be rooting for him to stay there.

617
00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:49,360
Speaker 1: I am neither. In fact, I prefer that guys stay

618
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 1: at a job a long time. But I mean that's

619
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 1: not the spirit of the segment. The spirit of the

620
00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,479
Speaker 1: segment or the spirit of me doing a radio hit

621
00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 1: in Detroit and they ask who should Michigan go after?

622
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 1: Is to just tell you who I would go after

623
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:04,560
Speaker 1: if I were Michigan. So here's where I think that stands.

624
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 1: By the way, Kenny, yesterday, as we're talking, this is Sunday, Saturday,

625
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 1: they had practice. He comes off the practice field. He

626
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 1: talked about a few things. He talked about how much

627
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,920
Speaker 1: he loves ari Arizona, state, which is obviously accurate. He

628
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:19,840
Speaker 1: talked about how much he'd love to be there, which

629
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: is one hundred percent accurate. He said Michigan has not

630
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 1: contacted him whatsoever. He has not spoken with anyone at Michigan.

631
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 1: I can tell you that's one hundred percent accurate. And

632
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 1: that was about it. And they've been working on a

633
00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 1: contract extension for him, and that's been going on for

634
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:40,120
Speaker 1: several weeks now. So everything he said yesterday, as far

635
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 1: as I know, one hundred percent true, that doesn't mean

636
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 1: that anything is overdone with. At least I wouldn't perceive

637
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:50,920
Speaker 1: it that way from the outside looking in, I wouldn't

638
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,720
Speaker 1: perceive it that way. This is the Michigan job, guys,

639
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:56,480
Speaker 1: it's a it's the Michigan job. I don't know what

640
00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 1: else to tell you. Pretty much everyone's gonna listen outside

641
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 1: of my Ryan Day. I'm gonna go ahead, and in fact,

642
00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:06,080
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do this now. I'm gonna rule Ryan Day

643
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 1: out for Michigan. And that's breaking on this show. So

644
00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,920
Speaker 1: anyone reporting that, please source us properly. Ryan Day is

645
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:16,359
Speaker 1: not a candidate for the Michigan job. I'm pretty sure

646
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:19,360
Speaker 1: Kirby's happy at Georgia, you know, things of this nature.

647
00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:24,520
Speaker 1: Other than that, I'd be nervous. I'd be nervous. It's

648
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:28,120
Speaker 1: a little euphemism here, but I'd be nervous if if

649
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 1: my candidate had not said no or signed an extension

650
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:32,800
Speaker 1: and the Michigan job are still open. This is a

651
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: very coveted job. It is a primed opportunity. It's an

652
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:40,000
Speaker 1: elite opportunity, it's elite resources, and it just so happens

653
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:42,879
Speaker 1: to have come open when it came open. I think

654
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 1: that right now the status of that search is it's

655
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,880
Speaker 1: in the search firm stages, and the search firm is

656
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:55,840
Speaker 1: basically identifying and vetting and accumulating information, and then that

657
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,719
Speaker 1: information is handed over to a committee like this is

658
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 1: going way differently than the penns where it was pretty

659
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:04,080
Speaker 1: much Pat Kraft. So they're going search firm, I believe,

660
00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:07,400
Speaker 1: over to a search committee, and there's there's a rush,

661
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 1: but there's not a hurried rush. You know, you want

662
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 1: to get it right. However long it takes to get

663
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 1: it right, not a second longer. So I think the

664
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 1: wheels will be put in motion. It would not surprise

665
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 1: me at all if they still waited until after Friday,

666
00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:24,279
Speaker 1: and if Bammy gets eliminated Friday forced Kaylen to Boor

667
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:26,800
Speaker 1: to say no, I believe you will and then move on.

668
00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:29,920
Speaker 1: That could be their strategy, or they could get pretty

669
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:32,319
Speaker 1: strong feedback that hey, man, no means no, like he's

670
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 1: locked in this week, and maybe they move on this week,

671
00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:38,719
Speaker 1: maybe to Borne Alabama going to win the national championship.

672
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 1: And it's a moot point either way, but yeah, I

673
00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 1: would Here's what I'll say. I said it over on

674
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 1: the Michigan on three board earlier today, and I will

675
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 1: say it again. I know it seems like, you know,

676
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 1: the whole Kenny Dillingham, Kaylin de Boor thing. They just

677
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 1: kind of look similar. It's just a couple of Hey,

678
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:58,560
Speaker 1: I'm happy where I'm at. I don't think those were

679
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 1: the same thing. That's what I'll say. Academy Sports and

680
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 1: Outdoors is your one stop shop for fill in the blank,

681
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 1: because I don't want to limit you, I don't want

682
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:10,680
Speaker 1: to box you in. So it could be your one

683
00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:13,879
Speaker 1: stop shop for hunting gear. It could be your one

684
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:16,839
Speaker 1: stop shop for the fact that you just spent your

685
00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 1: Christmas bonus installing an indoor batting cage, and so your

686
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:24,440
Speaker 1: kid is about to dominate coach pitch this year, and

687
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 1: you're gonna go gear up and you guys are gonna

688
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 1: be hitting over Christmas break and in January. More power

689
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 1: to you. That's great, Go to Academy to do it now.

690
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:35,640
Speaker 1: You may also want to go to Academy because you're

691
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 1: fully stocked up. You're good to go, but you have

692
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,800
Speaker 1: Christmas shopping to check off the list. Boom boom boom.

693
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:46,360
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors is the place to do that,

694
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 1: and Academy dot Com if you can't get there in person.

695
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 1: I encourage both. But in person there's just that magic.

696
00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 1: There's just that magical feel this time of year in

697
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 1: an Academy Sports and Outdoors, that Christmas smell. And I

698
00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: don't really know what that means per se, but I'm

699
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 1: just saying you feel it when you walk in. I

700
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:10,680
Speaker 1: talked about Sooner Magic earlier, Academy Magic. Academy magic as well.

701
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:19,600
Speaker 1: Probably need the trademark that. All right, let's continue now. Look,

702
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 1: I know that some of you scratch that. Many of

703
00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 1: you are looking at the playoff first round and you're saying,

704
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 1: oh cool, two games. No, no, let's be nice about this.

705
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:34,560
Speaker 1: There are four games. It just so happens that two

706
00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: of the games have point spreads of seventeen and a

707
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,320
Speaker 1: half and twenty one and a half. You know, but

708
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:45,759
Speaker 1: they are playoff games. So TWU Lane plays Old Miss

709
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:48,840
Speaker 1: this Saturday, three point thirty Eastern kickoff on T and T.

710
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:53,240
Speaker 1: You heard me right. Oftentimes on the show during the season,

711
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:55,480
Speaker 1: when we break down games and they have really big

712
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:58,320
Speaker 1: point spreads, we don't bother just predicting the winner because

713
00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:00,839
Speaker 1: pretty much everyone knows who's gonna win, or they think

714
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:02,880
Speaker 1: they knew who's gonna win. So what we like to

715
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:06,480
Speaker 1: do is we like to say, let's just pretend the

716
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:10,279
Speaker 1: upset's gonna happen. How would it happen? And we've been

717
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 1: left with no choice. That's how we have to break

718
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:14,800
Speaker 1: down these playoff games. In this case, this game already

719
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 1: happened in this venue. This year, Tulane went to Ole

720
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:23,399
Speaker 1: Miss and they lost forty five to ten. They got

721
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:25,759
Speaker 1: out gained five forty eight to two eighty two. Ole

722
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 1: Miss scored on their first five possessions. That was during

723
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 1: the Lane Kiffin era. Now we're in the peak Golden era.

724
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 1: So how would this happen? Well, I've tried my best

725
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:40,360
Speaker 1: to paint the path here. Follow me, follow me twu lane.

726
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 1: You cannot get torched through the air. Now I have

727
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:47,279
Speaker 1: bad news. That was very easily said. The problem is

728
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 1: you're looking at the number three passing offense in the

729
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 1: country against number one twenty four pass D number three

730
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:55,239
Speaker 1: explosive pass place number one twenty eight explosive pass D

731
00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 1: said goes downhill so quickly. All you gotta do is

732
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 1: flip that to lane. That's all you gotta do. Limit explosives.

733
00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 1: Maybe you can shorten the game. Maybe you don't fall

734
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 1: behind twenty three to three like you did last time,

735
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:12,799
Speaker 1: which means this is the part B of the scenario here.

736
00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 1: That means that maybe just maybe you can have a

737
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,920
Speaker 1: little more balance in your offensive play calling, and maybe

738
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 1: just maybe Jake Rhett slav quarterback there at two lane,

739
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 1: by way of Brigham Young, can use his legs a

740
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,239
Speaker 1: little bit more, and maybe you can run the ball

741
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,759
Speaker 1: a little bit more. They ran for one seventy eight

742
00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 1: last time, but they were in ketchup mode the whole time,

743
00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:38,120
Speaker 1: so they just had to throw the ball. Need more

744
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:41,360
Speaker 1: than one seventy eight. Need a game script that allows

745
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 1: us to run the ball more frequently, and you gotta

746
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 1: make third and fourth down matter, and you got to

747
00:39:46,680 --> 00:39:49,239
Speaker 1: tilt it way, way, way heavy in your favor. Last time,

748
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,919
Speaker 1: two lane was six of eighteen on third and fourth down.

749
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:56,120
Speaker 1: And I don't know how much better it needs to be,

750
00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 1: but it needs to be markedly better than that. And

751
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 1: then there's the other an elephant in the room, and

752
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:04,360
Speaker 1: that is lane Kiffin's not there for this game. I

753
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:06,480
Speaker 1: have no idea how to quantify that. I don't know

754
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 1: what it means. I know odds makers think that he

755
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:11,800
Speaker 1: and his staff were worth about four points. Some of

756
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:16,120
Speaker 1: them are back. He's not. Trinidad Chambliss has had zero

757
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:19,839
Speaker 1: multiple I games this year. That's why I didn't even

758
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,560
Speaker 1: mention turnovers yet. Sure if two lanes plus three turnovers,

759
00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:25,640
Speaker 1: good shot that Pully upset or at least good shot

760
00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 1: they're in position to try to try to ole Miss

761
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 1: hasn't done that, and you've got their full focus. Gonna

762
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:34,600
Speaker 1: say the same thing about jmu Oregon. A lot of

763
00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 1: times in these big point spread games, they happen in

764
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:38,239
Speaker 1: the middle of the year, and it could be a

765
00:40:38,320 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 1: letdown spot, it could be a look ahead spot. You

766
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:42,680
Speaker 1: get none of this. This is one of those rare

767
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 1: situations where teams that you're two to three touchdowns better

768
00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:50,320
Speaker 1: than you're fully focused on. And this isn't even a

769
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:53,480
Speaker 1: great G five team. I mean, some role has been

770
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 1: brutally honest about this team all year. He's just shot straight.

771
00:40:57,960 --> 00:40:59,959
Speaker 1: He's like, hey man, I'm glad we're winning. These games

772
00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:04,480
Speaker 1: were very immature, we're very young. We are undisciplined at times.

773
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:08,320
Speaker 1: But because of the landscape this year, they made the

774
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 1: playoff seventeen and a half points spread. What do we

775
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 1: think here, Let's take a look at what the model thinks.

776
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,680
Speaker 1: It thinks the exact same thing FanDuel things. We've both

777
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:20,560
Speaker 1: got ole miss minus seventeen and a half. The way

778
00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:23,120
Speaker 1: I think these games are going to play out, I'm

779
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:24,759
Speaker 1: going to do the organ game in a second. I

780
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 1: think the same thing. You've got a rare opportunity here

781
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,480
Speaker 1: if you are the favorite. It used to be that

782
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:35,919
Speaker 1: I was scared of playoff expansion because I thought we'd

783
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:37,839
Speaker 1: get to a spot where the playoff was so big.

784
00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,880
Speaker 1: Teams would like rest starters at the end of the

785
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 1: year in games if they knew they had a playoff

786
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:45,800
Speaker 1: spot locked up. What I didn't plan on is we

787
00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:48,920
Speaker 1: made the playoffs so big that we would have games

788
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 1: where teams could rest starters during playoff games. But if

789
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:54,920
Speaker 1: you get out to an early lead in these games,

790
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:57,719
Speaker 1: think about the opportunity if you get out to an

791
00:41:57,719 --> 00:41:59,440
Speaker 1: early lead, if you go for the throat, if you

792
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 1: go for the shot early and you get it, you

793
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:05,720
Speaker 1: could be up thirty five to seven and your starters

794
00:42:05,760 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 1: are already out midway through the third quarter, late third quarter,

795
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:11,040
Speaker 1: and you're looking at it like, wait, we're not supposed

796
00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:13,320
Speaker 1: to be getting rest our backups aren't supposed to be

797
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 1: getting reps in a playoff game, are they. Well, this

798
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:19,160
Speaker 1: is the playoff in the Year of Our Lord twenty

799
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 1: twenty six. Anything can happen. I'm gonna take a old

800
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 1: miss to winn and cover. I I don't know what

801
00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:29,040
Speaker 1: to tell you other than it's a playoff game. Enjoy it.

802
00:42:29,120 --> 00:42:32,239
Speaker 1: We only get so many of them. Paystatemterial dot com.

803
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:37,440
Speaker 1: There's a favorite over there, and it's everything. The tis

804
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 1: the Season Collection. I implore you, as I do about

805
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:44,120
Speaker 1: once per year, that if you want to get this

806
00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:48,359
Speaker 1: stuff by Christmas, really two days ago was the best

807
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,440
Speaker 1: time to order. But who knows, it's only December fourteenth

808
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 1: right now, so you can still go over there and

809
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 1: order got a bunch of different Christmas sweaters. Got the

810
00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:58,120
Speaker 1: Chuggy Tiss the season to be Chuggy sweater right there.

811
00:42:59,120 --> 00:43:02,440
Speaker 1: Jesse's contribute to the store Merry Christmas You Filthy Casual

812
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 1: inspired by producer Jesse, and they are all available at

813
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 1: peatstatemterial dot com. Perfect perfect stocking stuffers, even though you'd

814
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,320
Speaker 1: be hard pressed to fit those in a stocking. But

815
00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 1: I digress, you know what I mean by that. Let's continue.

816
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna break down this game too, and then we're

817
00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 1: gonna get some Heisman thoughts and some worst predictions thoughts.

818
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 1: The Heisman thing, you know what. I'll get to it

819
00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:30,920
Speaker 1: in a second. It's that time of year. Let me

820
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 1: say hey to the live chat right quick. James Madison

821
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:39,359
Speaker 1: is in the playoff. Take time and celebrate. You deserve it. Well,

822
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:42,479
Speaker 1: according to some you deserve it and you played based

823
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:44,880
Speaker 1: on the rules, you played based on the structure of

824
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 1: the sport, and you got in the playoff. That means

825
00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:48,400
Speaker 1: you deserve to be in the playoff and that's all

826
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:51,160
Speaker 1: that matters. So you may or may not know this,

827
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:56,520
Speaker 1: but pres is one of our production assistants. He makes

828
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 1: a lot of those fancy looking graphics that you see.

829
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:03,879
Speaker 1: He handles more the social media for us. Pres went

830
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:06,279
Speaker 1: to JMU, right, Pres, Yeah, went to JMU. I don't

831
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 1: even think he has the ability to talk to me.

832
00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:14,040
Speaker 1: Also worked there. He knows James Madison intimately. Not the

833
00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:16,920
Speaker 1: president of the school knows him intimately. He knows this

834
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:20,440
Speaker 1: team intimately, and he has ridden the roller coaster with

835
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,919
Speaker 1: them all year. And I called him into my office today.

836
00:44:24,080 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 1: I made it sound like we were firing him. And

837
00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:27,759
Speaker 1: I walked in and I said, you're not getting fired.

838
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:29,720
Speaker 1: It's actually way worse than that. These were my exact

839
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:32,360
Speaker 1: worse to him, and I said, you're not getting fired,

840
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: it's way worse. I need you to give me ammunition

841
00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:41,840
Speaker 1: for the JMU Upset segment tonight. I have assembled his quotes.

842
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 1: Quote we're just having fun man, quote, we are very

843
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:52,320
Speaker 1: happy to be here. Quote I am a realist. Quote

844
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 1: and this one's fortune cookie stuff right here. If you

845
00:44:55,719 --> 00:45:00,800
Speaker 1: expect disappointment, you will never actually be disappointed with that.

846
00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 1: We enter into the JMU Oregon Upset Alert segment for

847
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:09,840
Speaker 1: the evening. Rarely, rarely are you this outmanned, but getting

848
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:14,440
Speaker 1: the opposition's full weight leaned upon you. But this is

849
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:18,200
Speaker 1: a playoff game. It's a home playoff game in Autson Stadium,

850
00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:20,879
Speaker 1: and I don't really care if it's a local high

851
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,920
Speaker 1: school wandering in there. They're gonna look for the splattering.

852
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:27,200
Speaker 1: They're gonna just look to have purple all over the place,

853
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:30,879
Speaker 1: paint the walls with their blood type situation. So, yeah,

854
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 1: it is good that JMU made it here. But now

855
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:35,279
Speaker 1: you've got a football game to play. You're a twenty

856
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:37,839
Speaker 1: one and a half point dog Wayne Knight over twelve

857
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:40,480
Speaker 1: hundred rushing yards this year. That's wonderful. You're facing the

858
00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:44,759
Speaker 1: top ten run defense. I felt the pregnant pause was

859
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:48,880
Speaker 1: necessary there because the game script we're most likely to

860
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:52,879
Speaker 1: see play out is that of JMU trailing and trying

861
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:56,799
Speaker 1: to keep up, and that's where the prediction really goes

862
00:45:56,880 --> 00:46:01,319
Speaker 1: downhill paper pop, because this is the ninety fourth ranked

863
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 1: passing offense in the country. So I think I found

864
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:09,360
Speaker 1: a path. It's really really narrow. You got to angle

865
00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:11,880
Speaker 1: it just right for the sunshine to come through. But

866
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:15,359
Speaker 1: if the worst were to happen here and Oregon were

867
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 1: to be upset, I think it would probably be that

868
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 1: Oregon got out to a lead, but it was like

869
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:23,480
Speaker 1: ten to nothing or thirteen to nothing, and it could

870
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:25,279
Speaker 1: have been way worse. But you know, they're like a

871
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:27,200
Speaker 1: turnover on downs at the three or something like that.

872
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:30,000
Speaker 1: There's some missed opportunities. But they get out to a

873
00:46:30,080 --> 00:46:34,600
Speaker 1: misleading early margin, and somehow they take their foot off

874
00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:38,200
Speaker 1: the gas and they keep messing around and you can

875
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:40,799
Speaker 1: tell that you're the only one keeping them in the game.

876
00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:43,400
Speaker 1: But whatever, because they're still in the game. And you

877
00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 1: come out of the half in the third quarter and

878
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 1: they cattle proud you and special teams score a fake

879
00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 1: punt like they just steal a possession, They steal some

880
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:57,359
Speaker 1: field position, and they get in the game. And once

881
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,279
Speaker 1: you've kind of turned it off a little bit, it

882
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:01,960
Speaker 1: proves to be difficult to throttle it back up. And

883
00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:05,040
Speaker 1: it's a game in the fourth quarter. And JMU at

884
00:47:05,080 --> 00:47:08,040
Speaker 1: that point says, hey, man, if it's a one possession

885
00:47:08,040 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 1: game and it's a fifteen minute game, we can hang

886
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 1: in that four quarters. Was gonna be tough. One quarter

887
00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 1: could happen. I think that's the way it has to go.

888
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 1: Oregon is not without but they are losing both coordinators,

889
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,480
Speaker 1: so will Stein is the head coach at Kentucky. Taj

890
00:47:25,640 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 1: Lapoi's new head coach at cal so they've been splitting duties.

891
00:47:28,640 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 1: But Bob Chesney's the head coach at JMU. He's taken

892
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:34,640
Speaker 1: a new job. And by the way, for anyone who says, oh,

893
00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:40,040
Speaker 1: it's just a scapegoat to blame the calendar, I present

894
00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:44,319
Speaker 1: to you Exhibit ABCDEFG because it feels like every game

895
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:47,120
Speaker 1: that we're previewing so far we got coaches on the move.

896
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:50,000
Speaker 1: It's not like coaches have never left jobs before. It's

897
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:51,839
Speaker 1: just normally, you know, in a sane world, you can

898
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:52,960
Speaker 1: wait till the end of the year to do it.

899
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 1: Forgot to even mention A and M, both of their

900
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 1: coordinators moving on as well. So let's take a look

901
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:01,719
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. Fanduels got Organ minus twenty

902
00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:05,720
Speaker 1: one and a half. Hey, models only got Organ minus nineteen.

903
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:08,360
Speaker 1: I think this will be the Sarah McGlaughlin special. And

904
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:10,080
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily know that we want to poke fun

905
00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:12,160
Speaker 1: at JMU if it were to happen that way. But

906
00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 1: I think Organ is going to get out to a

907
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:17,879
Speaker 1: huge lead really early games over at halftime and they

908
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:23,759
Speaker 1: are resting starters in the second half. Also, I want

909
00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:26,279
Speaker 1: to see how many starters they get back, by the way,

910
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:28,839
Speaker 1: So I don't know. I'm taking organ to winning cover.

911
00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:32,279
Speaker 1: It is what it is. It's no one's fault that's

912
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:34,719
Speaker 1: in the game. But I think we all know that

913
00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:39,520
Speaker 1: if if the impetus for expanding the playoff is having

914
00:48:39,640 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 1: more competitive games, that's not it. That's unlikely to be it. Now.

915
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 1: I already went through my whole spiel about the G

916
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 1: five and why they should and shouldn't be in, and

917
00:48:46,120 --> 00:48:48,160
Speaker 1: if they should and shouldn't be in. It has nothing

918
00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 1: to do with what the score of this game will

919
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 1: be Saturday, has nothing to do with that. For me,

920
00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:56,400
Speaker 1: that's not my argument. My argument about whether or not

921
00:48:56,480 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 1: the G five should be included in the playoff is

922
00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:01,239
Speaker 1: a whole separate thing. J You could lose by fifty

923
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,800
Speaker 1: or win by three, and my opinion would be unchanged.

924
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:09,280
Speaker 1: Let's move on. We had a question about the Heisman.

925
00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:11,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a drink of water. We don't normally

926
00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:14,759
Speaker 1: talk about this a lot, but Caleb hit us up.

927
00:49:14,760 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 1: I feel like we need to. All right, Oh, there's

928
00:49:20,680 --> 00:49:24,160
Speaker 1: a whale breach there too, So Caleb, here in Nashville

929
00:49:24,239 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 1: hit me and said, since when did the Heisman turn

930
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 1: into the best player on the best Team award? Diego

931
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:32,120
Speaker 1: Pavia had better stats and was way more important to

932
00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:36,840
Speaker 1: his team than Fernando Mendoza was. Caleb. I would have

933
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,200
Speaker 1: voted for Diego Pavia. He would have been my number one.

934
00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:41,920
Speaker 1: I don't think people paid a whole lot of attention

935
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,600
Speaker 1: to the Heisman Trophy this year. I've got a theory

936
00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:47,200
Speaker 1: on this, and that is that there was not this

937
00:49:47,440 --> 00:49:51,560
Speaker 1: breakout star on a brand name team this year that normally,

938
00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:54,239
Speaker 1: you know, captures your imagination. There was no like Cam

939
00:49:54,360 --> 00:49:57,360
Speaker 1: Newton or Johnny Manziel or anything like that. And so

940
00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:00,400
Speaker 1: that's part one. Part two is think about how typical

941
00:50:00,440 --> 00:50:02,680
Speaker 1: this year was in that we had all these coaching

942
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:06,600
Speaker 1: searches happening during October and November, which took a lot

943
00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:08,440
Speaker 1: of people's attention. And then of course you just got

944
00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:11,239
Speaker 1: the normal things that would take your attention, like playoff race,

945
00:50:11,800 --> 00:50:15,239
Speaker 1: a lot of playoff debate, and you know, obviously the

946
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 1: people voting on the Heisman are people who are also

947
00:50:17,560 --> 00:50:19,920
Speaker 1: going to be locked into talking about that stuff. I

948
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:21,759
Speaker 1: just don't think a lot of people paid attention to

949
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:24,239
Speaker 1: the Heisman, and then it came to the very end

950
00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:26,439
Speaker 1: of the season and they just kind of looked around

951
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:29,279
Speaker 1: and said, well, no one's really standing out. Let's just

952
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:32,040
Speaker 1: make our decision on conference championship Saturday. So here's the

953
00:50:32,120 --> 00:50:33,840
Speaker 1: one thing you're never gonna get me to do. You

954
00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:36,120
Speaker 1: will never get me to speak ill of Fernando Mendoza.

955
00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:38,920
Speaker 1: I love that, dude. I saw a tweet that was

956
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,800
Speaker 1: circulating over the last couple of days. Hey, good for

957
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:45,360
Speaker 1: Fernando Mendoza. But we'll see how he fits in the NFL.

958
00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:49,560
Speaker 1: We'll see how that vibe plays in the NFL. Yeah.

959
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:55,520
Speaker 1: So the only vibe check needed on Fernando Mendoza is

960
00:50:55,560 --> 00:50:58,359
Speaker 1: the first play of the Big Ten Championship game where

961
00:50:58,400 --> 00:51:00,759
Speaker 1: he was into where he was. He was basically in

962
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:03,960
Speaker 1: a car crash on the first play. The impact was

963
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:06,520
Speaker 1: that of a car crash, and he got up and

964
00:51:06,719 --> 00:51:10,120
Speaker 1: played the remaining fifty nine minutes and forty five seconds

965
00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:13,319
Speaker 1: of the game in a state that would have ended

966
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:16,399
Speaker 1: most people's lives, and he still won the game, didn't

967
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:19,439
Speaker 1: score a ton, but won the game and beat Ohio State,

968
00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:21,120
Speaker 1: only team to do it as far as I can tell.

969
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:25,239
Speaker 1: In the process, I am just a believer. You don't

970
00:51:25,360 --> 00:51:28,279
Speaker 1: have to tear one down to build the other up.

971
00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:31,200
Speaker 1: I believe Diego Pavia should have won this award. I

972
00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:33,280
Speaker 1: would have voted for him. I don't have to speak

973
00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:36,120
Speaker 1: ill of Fernando Mendoza to do that. That's what always

974
00:51:36,200 --> 00:51:39,920
Speaker 1: used to get me about the Lebron MJ debate. It's

975
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 1: like someone says, oh, look, MJ's the goat man. Lebron sucks.

976
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:45,880
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure he doesn't. Guys, I'm pretty sure, no

977
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:48,359
Speaker 1: matter where you land on that argument, the other one

978
00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:51,680
Speaker 1: was pretty good bo versus Herschel. Oh Man, Bo's nowhere

979
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:54,759
Speaker 1: close to Herschel. I'm pretty sure he was. It's one

980
00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:57,239
Speaker 1: of the few aliens that have just been loaned to us,

981
00:51:57,480 --> 00:52:00,480
Speaker 1: and they happened to play several sports. That was Jackson,

982
00:52:00,680 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 1: So I'm pretty sure, no matter where you fall in

983
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:05,880
Speaker 1: that debate, the other one was pretty good. In this

984
00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 1: comparison here, neither one of them had transcendent great seasons

985
00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:12,760
Speaker 1: or anything like that. They're not going to be remembered

986
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:15,640
Speaker 1: as one of the ten best Heisman seasons period. There's

987
00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 1: a lot of merit to Fernando Mendoza. I just happened

988
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:20,320
Speaker 1: to think Diego Pavia was the most outstanding player in

989
00:52:20,360 --> 00:52:23,680
Speaker 1: college football this year last I checked. That's the definition

990
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:27,200
Speaker 1: of the award. He was the leading rusher in seven

991
00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:30,640
Speaker 1: of his twelve games and still had more passing yards

992
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:34,840
Speaker 1: than Fernando Mendoza did and played one fewer games. But

993
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:40,400
Speaker 1: people weren't paying attention. I'm telling you, ironically, you know what,

994
00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:42,680
Speaker 1: I'm not going to complain about it. I know a

995
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:44,960
Speaker 1: lot of the folks that have Heisman votes and how

996
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 1: they watched the sport. Not all of them. There's a

997
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:49,359
Speaker 1: lot of folks who have Heisman votes. Some of them

998
00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:51,440
Speaker 1: were glued to this every week and they did their

999
00:52:51,520 --> 00:52:53,759
Speaker 1: due diligence. And if you did that, I don't really

1000
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:55,520
Speaker 1: care who you voted for, because you did your job.

1001
00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:58,680
Speaker 1: A lot of people have votes and just didn't pay

1002
00:52:58,680 --> 00:53:01,400
Speaker 1: a whole lot of attention. And the reason I know

1003
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:07,360
Speaker 1: that is because going into conference championship Saturday, Diego Pavia

1004
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:10,160
Speaker 1: was the favorite to win the award, and by the

1005
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:13,480
Speaker 1: end of the Big Ten Championship game, Fernando Mendoza was

1006
00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:16,120
Speaker 1: minus three thousand to win the award. And so you

1007
00:53:16,200 --> 00:53:17,879
Speaker 1: may think to yourself, oh, dude, they must have beat

1008
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:20,319
Speaker 1: Ohio State fifty five to nineteen. He must have thrown

1009
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:23,799
Speaker 1: for five hundred yards. No, he had a pretty good game.

1010
00:53:24,239 --> 00:53:26,960
Speaker 1: They won the game. He was fifteen of twenty three

1011
00:53:27,000 --> 00:53:29,439
Speaker 1: for two hundred and twenty two yards, one touchdown, one pick,

1012
00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:32,480
Speaker 1: took a big hit to start the game. But does

1013
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,439
Speaker 1: that really sound like the kind of performance that would

1014
00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:40,600
Speaker 1: have overwhelmingly tilted the scales. No, unless people hadn't really

1015
00:53:40,640 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 1: been paying a whole lot of attention and just decided

1016
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:45,520
Speaker 1: to cast their vote at the eleventh hour with whatever

1017
00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:48,719
Speaker 1: the last shiny object they saw was. That's kind of

1018
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:50,600
Speaker 1: how he won the award. I'm not saying he's not

1019
00:53:50,640 --> 00:53:53,319
Speaker 1: deserving of it. I'm just saying for anyone who's looking

1020
00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:56,400
Speaker 1: for an explanation about why the margin was so wide,

1021
00:53:56,520 --> 00:54:00,960
Speaker 1: like this wasn't even close. That's why. So, yeah, man,

1022
00:54:01,239 --> 00:54:03,399
Speaker 1: I would have been the Diego Pavia guy. I would

1023
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:05,279
Speaker 1: have voted for him. They don't give me a vote

1024
00:54:05,280 --> 00:54:07,239
Speaker 1: on the Heisman. I don't pay enough attention to the

1025
00:54:07,280 --> 00:54:09,480
Speaker 1: sport to get a vote. Am I salty about it?

1026
00:54:10,080 --> 00:54:13,000
Speaker 1: I'm salty about the concept of it a little bit.

1027
00:54:13,680 --> 00:54:17,040
Speaker 1: That's on you, Jesse, all right, FanDuel is the exclusive

1028
00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:19,880
Speaker 1: odds provider of this show. I was citing odds there

1029
00:54:19,920 --> 00:54:21,719
Speaker 1: that you could have found at FanDuel. You know, you

1030
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:25,200
Speaker 1: could have bet Fernando Mendoza the morning of the Big

1031
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:28,520
Speaker 1: Ten championship game and cashed in. He wasn't even the favorite.

1032
00:54:28,520 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 1: He was like a co favorite, but he wasn't the

1033
00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:33,600
Speaker 1: outright favorite to win the award. Well, that's in the past.

1034
00:54:33,640 --> 00:54:35,920
Speaker 1: They don't let you bet things that already happen, very

1035
00:54:35,960 --> 00:54:38,320
Speaker 1: poor business model. But what they will let you do

1036
00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 1: is they'll let you bet on the playoffs. And right now,

1037
00:54:42,600 --> 00:54:46,480
Speaker 1: there's the fancy token there as of right now, thirty

1038
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:49,800
Speaker 1: percent profit boost on college football playoff futures bets. So

1039
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:51,239
Speaker 1: if you think you know who's going to win the

1040
00:54:51,280 --> 00:54:53,200
Speaker 1: whole thing, go bet it. They're going to give you

1041
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:57,239
Speaker 1: a thirty percent profit boost. Lot of different odds and

1042
00:54:57,360 --> 00:54:59,200
Speaker 1: ends that you can bet over there, and a lot

1043
00:54:59,239 --> 00:55:02,120
Speaker 1: of you don't bet, in which case, if you're curious,

1044
00:55:02,160 --> 00:55:03,719
Speaker 1: you could just go look at what the numbers are.

1045
00:55:04,440 --> 00:55:07,120
Speaker 1: You can like kind of live voyeuristically as your buddies

1046
00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:10,120
Speaker 1: take all the risk, which is fine. I actually consider

1047
00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:13,280
Speaker 1: that one of the great American sports watching your neighbor

1048
00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:17,560
Speaker 1: wager uncomfortable amounts of money while you just sit back

1049
00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:22,160
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1050
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1051
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Speaker 1: We wrap our show tonight with what has become a

1067
00:56:11,880 --> 00:56:14,400
Speaker 1: Great December tradition around here. You'll notice we don't have

1068
00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:16,160
Speaker 1: a Christmas tree in the studio. It's not because we're

1069
00:56:16,160 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 1: anti Christmas. It's because we are cheap. But what we

1070
00:56:19,280 --> 00:56:21,640
Speaker 1: do have is we have Internet and we have an

1071
00:56:21,800 --> 00:56:23,960
Speaker 1: archive that means we can go back in the spring

1072
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:27,120
Speaker 1: to all the bold predictions that you submitted to the show.

1073
00:56:27,440 --> 00:56:31,960
Speaker 1: And you did it under two conditions. Firstly, if you

1074
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:34,080
Speaker 1: make a prediction that's bold enough that I give it

1075
00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:37,000
Speaker 1: a nine point five or higher on the Boldness scale

1076
00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:41,000
Speaker 1: and it hits, you get a chalice of supremacy. But

1077
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:44,680
Speaker 1: the catch is you give us full right to trash

1078
00:56:44,719 --> 00:56:50,239
Speaker 1: you unmercifully if your bold prediction crashes and burns. So

1079
00:56:51,040 --> 00:56:53,680
Speaker 1: we're here to do the latter, not the former. Tonight,

1080
00:56:53,880 --> 00:56:59,520
Speaker 1: first up stat Matt said, Clemson, Penn State, and LSU

1081
00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:03,640
Speaker 1: will be top three in the playoffs in that order.

1082
00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:09,200
Speaker 1: What did it end up being, Jesse, Indiana, Ohio State, Georgia.

1083
00:57:09,520 --> 00:57:14,239
Speaker 1: Was that number one, two, three? Yes? Okay, Clemson, Penn State,

1084
00:57:14,280 --> 00:57:17,720
Speaker 1: and LSU in the preseason were number two, number four,

1085
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:21,320
Speaker 1: and number nine. So this didn't sound crazy. Sure, there

1086
00:57:21,320 --> 00:57:23,560
Speaker 1: were some people who doubted Penn State, but it didn't

1087
00:57:23,600 --> 00:57:27,560
Speaker 1: sound crazy. But you also probably didn't think that they

1088
00:57:27,600 --> 00:57:29,280
Speaker 1: were going to go seven and five, seven and five

1089
00:57:29,320 --> 00:57:32,720
Speaker 1: and six and six. You probably didn't think that these

1090
00:57:32,760 --> 00:57:35,000
Speaker 1: teams would struggle to just make a bowl. They'd be

1091
00:57:35,080 --> 00:57:37,920
Speaker 1: closer to missing a bowl game than they would be

1092
00:57:38,040 --> 00:57:40,200
Speaker 1: to making the playoffs. And at the very least you

1093
00:57:40,240 --> 00:57:42,960
Speaker 1: would think or maybe one of them crashes and burns,

1094
00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:46,120
Speaker 1: maybe two of them. But we're taking twelve teams in

1095
00:57:46,160 --> 00:57:49,040
Speaker 1: the playoff. All of these teams are preseason top ten.

1096
00:57:49,200 --> 00:57:51,560
Speaker 1: Surely one of them is gonna make it. I mean, Clemson,

1097
00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:55,520
Speaker 1: all you gotta do is win the ACC Yeah. No,

1098
00:57:55,960 --> 00:57:59,000
Speaker 1: they all finished the season unranked. This was an abject

1099
00:57:59,160 --> 00:58:03,440
Speaker 1: disaster of a prediction. It got a ten on the

1100
00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:06,360
Speaker 1: boldness scale, so it qualified. And you can see why.

1101
00:58:06,600 --> 00:58:09,440
Speaker 1: By the way, what did they have in common? What

1102
00:58:09,520 --> 00:58:13,080
Speaker 1: they having at Drew aller Cade Club Nick Garrett Nsmeyer.

1103
00:58:13,160 --> 00:58:17,360
Speaker 1: They all returned quarterbacks, and we saw just a complete

1104
00:58:17,640 --> 00:58:21,040
Speaker 1: stall on several quarterbacks this year in terms of their

1105
00:58:21,120 --> 00:58:25,880
Speaker 1: progression development or alternate theory that we softly floated in

1106
00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:29,680
Speaker 1: the summer, maybe they just were who they were. Turns

1107
00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:33,400
Speaker 1: out they were. Next up, we go to the Palmetto

1108
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:37,600
Speaker 1: State Lexington South Carolina checked in and said South Carolina

1109
00:58:37,880 --> 00:58:40,680
Speaker 1: will have a top ten offense, a top fifteen defense,

1110
00:58:40,880 --> 00:58:43,560
Speaker 1: and they make the College Football Playoff. Oh, by the way,

1111
00:58:43,720 --> 00:58:46,120
Speaker 1: Leonora Sellers goes to New York. I don't know if

1112
00:58:46,120 --> 00:58:48,280
Speaker 1: Sellers went to New York. He's free to do whatever

1113
00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:50,040
Speaker 1: he wants to do in his free time, and he's

1114
00:58:50,080 --> 00:58:53,240
Speaker 1: had plenty of it in December because they went what

1115
00:58:53,360 --> 00:58:55,640
Speaker 1: would they go, Jesse four and eight? They missed a

1116
00:58:55,680 --> 00:58:57,680
Speaker 1: bowl game. Yeah, they went four and eight. And what

1117
00:58:57,840 --> 00:59:01,120
Speaker 1: really hurt was they were win listing October and that

1118
00:59:01,280 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 1: cut me personally. So I took this season personal because

1119
00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:07,920
Speaker 1: Coctober is supposed to be special, even if nothing else is.

1120
00:59:09,240 --> 00:59:11,160
Speaker 1: This is why missing the playoff was so tough for

1121
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 1: them last year. I've said this a few times recently.

1122
00:59:13,840 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 1: Alabama missed the playoff last year. Who cares? They're right

1123
00:59:16,360 --> 00:59:19,520
Speaker 1: back there, They're in it this year. Old miss barely

1124
00:59:19,560 --> 00:59:22,680
Speaker 1: missed out last year. Who cares? They're in South Carolina

1125
00:59:22,880 --> 00:59:27,320
Speaker 1: barely missed out last year. It hurt because this was

1126
00:59:27,360 --> 00:59:30,640
Speaker 1: always the risk. A sub five hundred season is always

1127
00:59:30,680 --> 00:59:33,720
Speaker 1: in the cards, and as it turns out, the prediction

1128
00:59:33,960 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 1: was they were top ten offense, Top fifteen defense survey

1129
00:59:37,600 --> 00:59:41,360
Speaker 1: says they were number one eight offensively and number fifty

1130
00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:48,440
Speaker 1: three defensively. So in no way, shape, form, or fashion

1131
00:59:48,840 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 1: did this prediction come remotely close to hitting. You got

1132
00:59:53,400 --> 00:59:55,360
Speaker 1: to award them no points and may God have mercy

1133
00:59:55,440 --> 00:59:57,440
Speaker 1: on their souls. At that point, that's all you can say.

1134
00:59:57,840 --> 01:00:02,760
Speaker 1: Move on to another conference. Kurt from Rexburg, Idaho. Beautiful

1135
01:00:02,800 --> 01:00:05,800
Speaker 1: this time of year. Kurt said, three big twelve teams

1136
01:00:05,800 --> 01:00:09,720
Speaker 1: will make the playoff and none will be Arizona State.

1137
01:00:11,240 --> 01:00:13,600
Speaker 1: On the surface, this looks like a terrible prediction, Kurt,

1138
01:00:13,840 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 1: because they only got one in. But you know what,

1139
01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:20,120
Speaker 1: we're not a surface based show. So we pull out

1140
01:00:20,120 --> 01:00:23,160
Speaker 1: the back hole and we die back home and we

1141
01:00:23,320 --> 01:00:26,720
Speaker 1: dive beneath the surface. If this were not a live show,

1142
01:00:26,720 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 1: I would have them edit it out, but I can't.

1143
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:30,920
Speaker 1: So we pulled out the old back hole and we

1144
01:00:31,120 --> 01:00:35,320
Speaker 1: dove beneath the surface, and what I found is, yeah,

1145
01:00:35,400 --> 01:00:39,280
Speaker 1: they only made one. You predicted three, but think about

1146
01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:44,200
Speaker 1: how close they came. Brigham Young finished twelfth, Utah fifteenth,

1147
01:00:44,480 --> 01:00:48,400
Speaker 1: Arizona was seventeenth. So you need a three in. You

1148
01:00:48,520 --> 01:00:50,800
Speaker 1: got one, but two of them were on the bubble

1149
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:54,320
Speaker 1: there at least. Also, you said Arizona State wouldn't be

1150
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:56,800
Speaker 1: one of the three. Arizona State finished outside the top

1151
01:00:56,880 --> 01:00:59,560
Speaker 1: twenty five. So, Kurt, this was a ten on the

1152
01:00:59,600 --> 01:01:03,160
Speaker 1: Bold scale and it didn't hit. But I kind of

1153
01:01:03,240 --> 01:01:06,040
Speaker 1: wanted to throw it in because I kind of wanted

1154
01:01:06,080 --> 01:01:07,920
Speaker 1: to give you like a low key hat tip on this.

1155
01:01:09,280 --> 01:01:11,760
Speaker 1: And even though the segment is called worst Bold Predictions,

1156
01:01:12,200 --> 01:01:15,640
Speaker 1: this was only a subpar Bold prediction. So see, I'm

1157
01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:19,440
Speaker 1: very generous. I understand, I understand the attitude one should

1158
01:01:19,480 --> 01:01:23,200
Speaker 1: have this time of year. I took it upon myself.

1159
01:01:23,240 --> 01:01:25,120
Speaker 1: I took it as a personal challenge to do exactly

1160
01:01:25,200 --> 01:01:28,280
Speaker 1: a sixty minute show. It's eight o'clock. Look at that.

1161
01:01:28,840 --> 01:01:31,560
Speaker 1: We'll be back Tuesday night. That will be when we'll

1162
01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:34,320
Speaker 1: just go full bracket prediction. We'll lay it all out.

1163
01:01:34,440 --> 01:01:37,680
Speaker 1: I will bear my soul as much as I'm raking

1164
01:01:37,800 --> 01:01:40,000
Speaker 1: some of you over the coals for your poor predictions.

1165
01:01:40,600 --> 01:01:42,400
Speaker 1: We all know how this is probably going to end

1166
01:01:42,480 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 1: for me, so you will get the last laugh as

1167
01:01:44,840 --> 01:01:47,920
Speaker 1: you usually do. For director Bradley, for producer Jesse, I'm

1168
01:01:48,000 --> 01:01:50,080
Speaker 1: Josh Pate. Take care, have a great start to your week.

1169
01:01:50,160 --> 01:01:51,440
Speaker 1: Stay warm, and god.

1170
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Speaker 2: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

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Speaker 2: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts, or call one eight

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Speaker 2: In New York