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Speaker 1: Hey everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Pros podcast. I'm

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Speaker 1: your host, Dan Harris. Find me on Twitter at Dan

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Speaker 1: Harris eighty. It is time for an early look at

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Speaker 1: the week six NFL lines, and to break it all

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Speaker 1: down with me is my friend Mike Randall from the

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Speaker 1: Action Network. You can find him on Twitter at Randall Rant. Mike,

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Speaker 1: thanks for coming on the show.

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Speaker 2: How you doing, Dan, I'm doing great. It's an honor.

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Speaker 2: Week six here, refreshed and replenished from an exciting Week five,

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Speaker 2: we can hit week six and go over all the games.

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Speaker 1: First of all, is the second time we've been talking

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Speaker 1: that you've said that it's an honor to be on

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Speaker 1: this podcast, So I feel like you have definitely put

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Speaker 1: this up way too.

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Speaker 3: High on like a pedestal.

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Speaker 1: Right, all right for me, I'm fine to be here.

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Speaker 1: It's nice to have you whatever. I don't really care

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Speaker 1: that much, but anyway, let's get into it.

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Speaker 2: We got it.

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Speaker 3: You're right. It was a crazy week.

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Speaker 1: Watching last night was just nuts, absolutely nuts. You know,

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Speaker 1: we do a lot of fantasy, obviously, and it was

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Speaker 1: just insane, completely decided fantasy. I was thankfully on the

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Speaker 1: Colts plus seven and a half did you climb to

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Speaker 1: it at the very end, so thankfully, but it was

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Speaker 1: getting a little nerve wracking there.

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Speaker 3: Anyway, let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: Before we do, let me give you the latest software

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Speaker 1: team I'm sorry scores a touchdown on any NFL game

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Speaker 1: that you bet on.

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Speaker 3: Use the code Juice one hundred.

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Speaker 1: That is our other podcast, the Daily Juice Gray podcast,

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Speaker 1: hosted by Matt Parrel. You should listen to it every

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Speaker 1: single day you wake up. I mean Matt has not

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Speaker 1: it from the hospital, as he did it from Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you let amazing the dedication. I by the way, we

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Speaker 1: are doing this on the Tuesday instead of a Monday.

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Speaker 1: I happen to be visiting my mother, which I could

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Speaker 1: have recorded there I opted not to. That's my low

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Speaker 1: level of dedication. That's why I listened to the Jews.

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Speaker 1: Definitely Deally juice. Juice one hundred is of Codett bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: All right, Mike, we walked through it a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Are you ready to get going? Walk through some of

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Speaker 1: the lines.

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Speaker 2: Let's go through them. We'll run through them. Dan, if

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Speaker 2: you want, walk over whatever you want.

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Speaker 3: I should have you on this podcast every week. Let's

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Speaker 3: go with.

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Speaker 1: The Bucks are visiting the Eagles on Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 1: The Bucks are currently laying seven. The total is fifty

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Speaker 1: two and a half. We obviously have some unknowns a

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Speaker 1: little bit here. You've got maybe Rob Gronkowski plays. Hopefully

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Speaker 1: we'll know that soon. Brady has the big rap apparently

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Speaker 1: on his thumb. Chances are he's going to play. What

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Speaker 1: do you think here with the point spread of seven.

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Speaker 2: Well, I'm going towards the Bucks. Do you know Dan

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Speaker 2: that the Buccaneers have allowed to opposing quarterbacks a grand

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Speaker 2: total of thirteen yards this year on nine attempts. On

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Speaker 2: the other side, we have Jalen Hurts here second among

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Speaker 2: all quarterbacks and rushing yards. Something has to give. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with the Bucks defense. The Bucks play at

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Speaker 2: a real fast paced Philadelphia has been tough. They battled.

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Speaker 2: They had the great comeback win against Carolina this week.

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Speaker 2: But Tampa Bay has just been clicking. Has so many weapons,

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Speaker 2: Antonio Brown, Tom Brady, the offense is so efficient. I

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Speaker 2: just don't see a way that Philadelphia is gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to generate enough points if they're not dominant on

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Speaker 2: the ground, and they're not going to be. Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 2: has been oppressive for fantasy owners. They love him because

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Speaker 2: he finds a way to get to those twenty to

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Speaker 2: twenty five fantasy points, but I don't trust their passing attack.

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Speaker 2: The Eagles always play hard, have a strong defense. It

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Speaker 2: looks like they'll be without Dallas Goddard this week, also,

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Speaker 2: who was just placed on the COVID list. Bucks are

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Speaker 2: also four and one to the over this year in

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Speaker 2: their games. This game is hovering in that low fifty range.

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Speaker 2: I think it's gonna go well. Over games in prime

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Speaker 2: time were really hot going to the over, then they

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Speaker 2: slowed down in Week four. I think this one picks

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Speaker 2: up again. The Eagles always can score points late. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take the Bucks and lay the points. I wish

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Speaker 2: it was at six and a half, which it was

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Speaker 2: at earlier in the week, but I'll lay this here

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Speaker 2: for the Buccaneers on the road.

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Speaker 1: It is oddly enough, it is at six and a

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Speaker 1: half at my book, thankfully at DraftKings, so I will

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Speaker 1: be able to take it. But I am in agreement

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Speaker 1: with you all the way around. And again, people have

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Speaker 1: been listening to this podcast now, I basically back the

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Speaker 1: Eagles every week we have our three best bets. I

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Speaker 1: took the Eagles this week against the Panthers.

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Speaker 3: I like, sort of.

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Speaker 1: I think there's so much more under the surface with

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Speaker 1: the Eagles, but not in this game right now. I

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Speaker 1: really don't see how it's gonna happen. And again, the total,

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Speaker 1: you're right, do you think it's gonna move by the way,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I assume it's probably seven. I feel like

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Speaker 1: it's probably where other than DraftKings. Seven is probably where

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Speaker 1: it lands in the end. I mean, we all have

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Speaker 1: a couple of days at this point, but.

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Speaker 2: I think it's seven. You don't want to give that

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Speaker 2: seven and a half. And we saw last night with

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Speaker 2: the Colts and the Ravens how important that seven is.

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Speaker 2: That's the place it's gonna end up. I just see

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Speaker 2: this game being very similar when the Chiefs played at

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia and it just gets away from them late couple

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Speaker 2: turnovers there. They will battle with Hurts, but I don't

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Speaker 2: see a situation Dan where Hurts and the Eagles offense

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Speaker 2: can dominate on the ground. And if that's the case,

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Speaker 2: this game could get blown wide open.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're not even gonna Nobody even attempts at

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Speaker 1: this point to run the ball whatsoever. It's gonna be

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Speaker 1: interesting to see what Hurt says. But it was a

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Speaker 1: great sat that you gave there about quarterbacks rushing. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to the Dolphins visiting the Jaguars. Dolphins are laying

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Speaker 1: three and a half right now in the total is

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Speaker 1: forty seven.

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Speaker 3: What do you think.

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Speaker 2: Favorites in the London game over in the pond nineteen

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Speaker 2: to ten against the spread. That's sixty six percent. Jaguars

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Speaker 2: have their bye week coming up, and there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of reports that Urban Meyer will be fired, so you

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Speaker 2: can argue he's a dead man walking here. Miles Gaskin

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Speaker 2: came alive for the Dolphins. He was the PPR RB

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Speaker 2: two and the Jags are just dreadful on defense, thirty

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Speaker 2: first overall, only behind the Chiefs. I trust Brian Flores

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Speaker 2: more getting his team ready. There's not gonna be Will Fuller.

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Speaker 2: There's injuries on both sides. No DJ chalk for Jacksonville.

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Speaker 2: I just think that the Dolphins right now are the

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Speaker 2: more cohesive unit. I think they're better coached, and I

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Speaker 2: think they find a way here with a little more

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Speaker 2: talent than a Jaguars team that is just going in

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Speaker 2: the wrong direction. I do like the under here, though,

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Speaker 2: I have to tell you the Jags in Miami, they're

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Speaker 2: both very slow in their pace. I know that the

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Speaker 2: over got there last week in sort of an odd

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Speaker 2: situation at the end of the game. But I like

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins to win this game to cover the number,

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Speaker 2: and I do like the under here. Over in the

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Speaker 2: pond with this game between the Jags and Dolphins.

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Speaker 3: This is where you think it ends up, by the

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Speaker 3: way three and a.

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Speaker 2: Half, Yeah, I think so. They're gonna those key numbers

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Speaker 2: are three and seven, so they're gonna want to keep

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Speaker 2: it there to try to attract the fifty to fifty action.

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Speaker 2: But I just don't think it's gonna matter because I

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Speaker 2: think the Dolphins here finally have found a running back

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Speaker 2: that they need, Jacoby Brissett, is very solid. Trevor Lawrence

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Speaker 2: has had some turnover problems. They still should have beat

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals in that game except for that ridiculous flea

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Speaker 2: flicker at home that was a pick six. So I'm

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Speaker 2: just trusting the better team. Other Jaguars going to break

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Speaker 2: through here for a lame duck coach over in the

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Speaker 2: pond against the Dolphins, I don't see it.

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Speaker 3: Hey, can I ask?

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Speaker 1: Because I think and again I'm being as totally honest

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Speaker 1: with our audience as possible as I said. I was

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Speaker 1: visiting family in New York. I've been keeping up with

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Speaker 1: the news. I've still been working, but I've been driving

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Speaker 1: pretty much all day. I there seems to be some

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Speaker 1: kind of remote optimism that Tua could potentially play in

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Speaker 1: this game.

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Speaker 3: Or am I totally off on that? Is it just

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Speaker 3: definitely preset in.

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Speaker 2: This I'm hearing that I think it's gonna be Brissett.

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Speaker 2: If it was Tua, I would feel even stronger about

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Speaker 2: this because I think he comes back and he gives them,

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Speaker 2: you know, he still has that talent. People are down

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Speaker 2: on two are very polarizing in Miami. If he comes back,

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Speaker 2: I like it even more. I'm making this pick based.

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Speaker 3: On Bressett perfect.

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Speaker 1: That's exactly what I thought, by the way, because I

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Speaker 1: also like it more if Tua comes back, and I

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Speaker 1: agree like I was very high, again mostly from a

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Speaker 1: fantasy perspective, but on what we were going to see from

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Speaker 1: two and now they've got injuries. Who who knows a

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Speaker 1: Parker is going to play, and as you said, they're

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Speaker 1: already down Will Fuller. I don't think it matters. I

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Speaker 1: think they can easily take this game. The Jaguars are

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Speaker 1: in disarray, and you're right after that bye week, we're

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Speaker 1: going to see what's coming up. The Vikings now are

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Speaker 1: visiting the Panthers. The Panthers are laying a point and

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Speaker 1: the total is forty six.

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Speaker 3: What do you think about this one?

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Speaker 2: I like the Vikings here. I have had some strange

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Speaker 2: attraction to the Minnesota Vikings all year. I trust Mike Zimmer.

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Speaker 2: I think this defense is going to improve. They should

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Speaker 2: have had a couple more wins. Of course, the miskick

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Speaker 2: against Arizona. They were gaming at Cincinnati in the opening game.

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Speaker 2: Both Carolina and Minnesota are great against the pass. The

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Speaker 2: Vikings do need Dalvin cookback. I'm hoping he returns here.

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Speaker 2: Alexander Madison is fine. But I like this Vikings team.

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Speaker 2: I think they're gonna get better as the year goes on. Now,

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Speaker 2: the line opened at three and dropped despite the overwhelming

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Speaker 2: amount of bets and money are coming in on the Panthers.

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Speaker 2: I think the Vikings are very live underdog here. People

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Speaker 2: are going to be off them because you can argue

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Speaker 2: they should have lost against Detroit last week. No problem,

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Speaker 2: I like the Vikings. I think the Panthers are a

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Speaker 2: little overrated right now. Sam Darnold's been fantastic. I don't

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Speaker 2: think last week is going to repeat itself. But I

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Speaker 2: think this is a very close game. I think it's

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Speaker 2: a low scoring game and I will take the Vikings

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Speaker 2: here to pull the upset straight up against the Panthers.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's right. Again.

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Speaker 1: I actually thought very disappointing with the Vikings because I

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Speaker 1: mean they were laying I think it might have closed

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Speaker 1: at ten. It was nine and half when I saw

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Speaker 1: it early on the week. I thought they were gonna cover.

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Speaker 1: I thought they were gonna absolutely blow the doors off

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Speaker 1: that game, and they didn't. And they just couldn't put

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Speaker 1: the lines away. Now admittedly they should, I mean, you

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Speaker 1: know they fumbled at the end. The fact that they

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Speaker 1: won on the last second field go like they also

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Speaker 1: fumble the ball away that allowed the Lions obviously to

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Speaker 1: score and take the lead. But I agree, I've kind

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Speaker 1: of look, man, I get that the Panthers start out hot,

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Speaker 1: their defense played has played better than expected generally, and

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Speaker 1: it's fairly strong. But realistically, I've seen Sam Donald play

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Speaker 1: for years. This does not look like a different version

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Speaker 1: of Sam Donald right now. So I'm all about fading

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Speaker 1: the Panthers. I agree with you right now, even on

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Speaker 1: the road, I would. I do like the Vikings here.

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Speaker 1: Bengals are visiting the Lions. The Bengals are laying three

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Speaker 1: and a half. The total is forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 3: What do you think?

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Speaker 2: You know, the Lions have played very tough and if

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Speaker 2: you look at the stats, they don't look that great

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Speaker 2: with DVOA. But I like the Lions at home here

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Speaker 2: getting that number. That is a key number you're going

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Speaker 2: to give to me. The Bengals are going on the road.

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Speaker 2: They fought against that Packers team. The Lions should have

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Speaker 2: won this game. They are still fighting for Dan Campbell.

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Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift has been absolutely fantastic and the Bengals get

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Speaker 2: gashed by opposing pass catching running back second most targets,

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Speaker 2: third most receptions. I think this is a possible win

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Speaker 2: for the Lions at home. I think they're gonna get

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Speaker 2: off the schneid here and find a way to beat

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Speaker 2: a Bengals team that still has troubles Dan on that

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Speaker 2: offensive line, Dan Campbell gets that defense fighting Jared Goff.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully Hockinson is able to play and can be effective.

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Speaker 2: I like the Lions here. That's a lot of points

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Speaker 2: to be laying with a Bengals team on the road.

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Speaker 2: They have played well, the defense has played well, so again,

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Speaker 2: I like the under here, but I'm not at the

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Speaker 2: point where I'm laying points with the Bengals on the

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Speaker 2: road yet, not against the team that will respond positively

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Speaker 2: to that Dan Campbell press conference after the loss last week.

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Speaker 1: This strikes me as a game where the public is

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Speaker 1: going to be more on the Bengals and the sharp

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Speaker 1: betterers are going to be more on the Lions, right

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Speaker 1: because as long as you are getting that hook, there's

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Speaker 1: going to be value with that on lines at home.

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Speaker 1: Who again, as you mentioned, they play their butts off

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Speaker 1: all right. They may not have the talent right now.

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Speaker 1: Their offensive line has been decimated another injury a wide

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Speaker 1: receiver right now with quint Stivas and the collar bone,

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Speaker 1: but they have enough.

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Speaker 3: Sort of wherewithal I think to keep this game close.

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Speaker 1: So if you are getting overfield goal out of curiosity,

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Speaker 1: do you think, because I'm assuming right now, that when

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Speaker 1: you're going to count the number of bets that come in,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be heavily on the Bengals. When you're

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Speaker 1: gonna count the money, it's going to be closer to

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Speaker 1: fifty to fifty, maybe even lean the Lions. Do you

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Speaker 1: think the Lion stays at above the field goal? Do

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Speaker 1: you think there's any possibility of the books putting it down,

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Speaker 1: in which case it's better to grab it now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the bets are probably about two to one to

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Speaker 2: the Bengals right now, but the Lions are getting the

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Speaker 2: majority of the money. Of course, I love those situations

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Speaker 2: where the majority of bets are going one way and

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Speaker 2: the line moves in the favor of those people that

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Speaker 2: are betting, because it sort of gives you an idea,

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Speaker 2: if Vegas has an idea how this is going to go.

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Speaker 2: But the Lions three and two against the spread despite

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Speaker 2: not having a win and two and zero against the

285
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Speaker 2: spread at home. Those bets are going to come in

286
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Speaker 2: on the Bengals. But I like the underdo here grabbing

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Speaker 2: the points.

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Speaker 3: Love it.

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Speaker 1: Texans are visiting the Coults. Killer for the Colt I

290
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Speaker 1: feel so bad right the Cults. The Cults are laying

291
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Speaker 1: nine and a half here at home against the Texans.

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Speaker 3: Total is low forty two and a half. What do

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Speaker 3: you think?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Colts. The Cults are gonna make

295
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Speaker 2: some noise in this division when all is said and done.

296
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Speaker 2: I remember seeing Dan beginning of the year, like ninety

297
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Speaker 2: five percent of the bets in that AFC South were

298
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Speaker 2: going on the Titans. It was almost like a FATA

299
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Speaker 2: comp play that the Titans are going to win the division.

300
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Speaker 2: I still think the Cults are going to have something

301
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Speaker 2: to say about it. That was a tough, tough loss

302
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Speaker 2: last night. Yeah, they found some things. Jonathan Taylor's over

303
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Speaker 2: under proper receiving yards is twelve and a half. He

304
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Speaker 2: goes right away, goes seventy three yards right to start

305
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Speaker 2: the game.

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Speaker 3: I love it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, they've been Michael Pittman should do some things.

308
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Speaker 2: And I also believe in something I call the law

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Speaker 2: of efforts. So the Texans really came out against the Patriots.

310
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Speaker 2: They gave it there all. They almost had that game won.

311
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Speaker 2: Now they have to go on the road against the

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Speaker 2: division rival that's going to be angry, that has not

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Speaker 2: won a lot of games to start the year, that's

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Speaker 2: having a disappointing season. This one reeks to me to

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Speaker 2: be a blowout. I understand Davis Mills played well. I

316
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Speaker 2: think they can scheme something for Brandon Cooks. This is

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Speaker 2: a cult win, I think comfortably by double digits. I

318
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Speaker 2: know I have to lay a lot of points, but

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do that here With Indianapolis.

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Speaker 1: This is interesting to me, Mike, because of the fact

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Speaker 1: that I think there's probably a line of thought out

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Speaker 1: there that just said the Colts not only are they

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Speaker 1: going to be on a short week, of course, but

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Speaker 1: they just got their guts ripped out in like the

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Speaker 1: most painful way. Pageant you might be thinking they might mail.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's one in four at this point. The

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Speaker 1: fact that you're talking about the division is fantastic actually

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Speaker 1: just for discussion points. But you think that despite that,

329
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Speaker 1: despite the short week, they are gonna come out here

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Speaker 1: and make a statement in conjunction with the fact that

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Speaker 1: the Texans probably poured their heart and soul into that

332
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Speaker 1: game against the Patriots and maybe a due for a

333
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Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown.

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Speaker 2: Dan, I've seen it before. I think Frank Reich is

335
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Speaker 2: a solid coach. If this was a situation like Jacksonville

336
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Speaker 2: with Urban Meyer, no way. But I think Frank Reich

337
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Speaker 2: is a good coach. They come home, He's going to

338
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Speaker 2: have this team ready. They're not going to mail it in,

339
00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:00,400
Speaker 2: and they've started to unleash Jonathan Taylor. Paris Cambo was

340
00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,440
Speaker 2: involved as well. Moley Cox at a couple of receptions,

341
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Speaker 2: I think this is a surprise. I know most people

342
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Speaker 2: will grab the points. To me, I was a little

343
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Speaker 2: surprised that it was high, but then I realized, I

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Speaker 2: like the Colts. I feel like they're almost tempting you

345
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Speaker 2: to take the Texans. Yeah, Texans almost beat the Patriots,

346
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Speaker 2: so they can certainly cover ten. I'm gonna go the

347
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Speaker 2: other way. It reminds me of the Washington Buffalo game

348
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Speaker 2: from a couple weeks ago, when everyone was wondering what's

349
00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:25,760
Speaker 2: wrong with Josh Allen. That line was nine and a

350
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Speaker 2: half and then the Bills ended up blowing him out.

351
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Speaker 2: I think the Colts have a big game here on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it actually, And I love what you're

353
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Speaker 1: saying because when you do look at the line, you

354
00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:36,440
Speaker 1: do say this is a you have to take the

355
00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,040
Speaker 1: Texans on this line like that, that's what it's telling.

356
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Speaker 1: And whenever you see something like that, you're like, Okay,

357
00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,240
Speaker 1: I probably don't need to be taking the Texans. And

358
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Speaker 1: again with the Colts, even with all of that, there

359
00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:48,880
Speaker 1: are so many positives that you could have taken away.

360
00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,520
Speaker 1: I mean, Rodrigo Blanket Ship got hurt in the game

361
00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:53,280
Speaker 1: or early on in the game. If he's not hurt,

362
00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:55,640
Speaker 1: they win that game. They suffered a massive amount of

363
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Speaker 1: injuries just as that game went on on defense and

364
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Speaker 1: stuff like that. Maybe they hold the ford of that,

365
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Speaker 1: so it's not as if it was a pure choke

366
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Speaker 1: job like they obviously could have. And Carson Wentz like

367
00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:10,080
Speaker 1: looked fully healthy. Jonathan Taylor is running extremely well. Now

368
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:11,920
Speaker 1: I'm starting to buy into this and it's making me

369
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Speaker 1: a little annoyed. So let's get to the next game,

370
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Speaker 1: which is the Chiefs visiting Washington. The Chiefs are laying

371
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Speaker 1: seven on the road. The total fifty five and a half,

372
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Speaker 1: by the way, just came across the wire as we

373
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Speaker 1: were recording this that Clyde Edwards Hilaire. We knew he

374
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Speaker 1: was going to be out, but he's officially been placed

375
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Speaker 1: on injured reserve, so he's gonna be out for at

376
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Speaker 1: least three weeks. God Chiefs saying.

377
00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:30,400
Speaker 2: Seven desperate time for Kansas City. Here. They are in

378
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Speaker 2: last place in the AFC West. Go figure that after

379
00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,360
Speaker 2: five weeks they are one in four against the spread.

380
00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:40,880
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Chiefs in a desperation situation. Look, Washington,

381
00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:43,240
Speaker 2: I think could be a lot better than their two

382
00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:45,960
Speaker 2: and three record if they had a different quarterback. Taylor

383
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Speaker 2: Heineke is fine. He's a backup. He's doing what he can,

384
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Speaker 2: but he is sort of the issue here. One of

385
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Speaker 2: the most disappointing units, I would say in the NFL

386
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Speaker 2: has been Washington's defense. I expected a very big performance

387
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Speaker 2: against the Saints. That it was a limited Saints team,

388
00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:06,240
Speaker 2: Winston conservative game plan, coming off a loss to the Giants,

389
00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,000
Speaker 2: I expected them to play well. I was disappointed. They're

390
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,960
Speaker 2: going to give up deep passes and bombs to the Saints.

391
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Speaker 2: What's gonna happen with the Chiefs. They need to win

392
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Speaker 2: in the worst way. I would like it if this

393
00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:20,240
Speaker 2: number can get under that seven, stays under that seven,

394
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Speaker 2: because of course it's a great teaser play. You can

395
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Speaker 2: argue teasing this with the Bucks. Both of those games down.

396
00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,320
Speaker 2: But let's keep in mind here before we bury the

397
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Speaker 2: Chiefs or think that maybe they're a notch below their

398
00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:33,840
Speaker 2: slate of opponents that have started this year. They started

399
00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:36,120
Speaker 2: with the Browns, who are legitimate contender, at home, and

400
00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,040
Speaker 2: they won that game. They played at the Ravens, another

401
00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:43,000
Speaker 2: AFC contender, and lost by one. The Chargers, another really

402
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:45,760
Speaker 2: solid team and a contender for the Super Bowl, lost

403
00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,200
Speaker 2: by six. Then they hung forty two on Philly, and

404
00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,080
Speaker 2: then they lost to Buffalo, who may be the best

405
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Speaker 2: team in the NFL right now. I think this is

406
00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 2: a King of the Little People situation with the Chiefs.

407
00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:56,680
Speaker 2: I think they go in here and cover it. I

408
00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 2: do not see how Washington can generate enough offense and look,

409
00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:02,440
Speaker 2: if their defense was going to show up and change

410
00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:04,640
Speaker 2: the script, they would have done it against a limited

411
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Speaker 2: Saints team. I don't like this game at all. I

412
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Speaker 2: think the Chiefs role let me.

413
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Speaker 3: Ask you something.

414
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Speaker 1: You've got a Chiefs offense that is almost certainly going

415
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Speaker 1: to come out and just go ape right, like that's

416
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Speaker 1: just they know they have to because their defense is terrible.

417
00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:21,760
Speaker 1: But their defense is terrible. The total is an astronomical

418
00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:23,680
Speaker 1: fifty five and a half. Is that a stay away

419
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:26,000
Speaker 1: for you? And do you expect it to probably hang

420
00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:27,200
Speaker 1: around there for most of the week.

421
00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:29,480
Speaker 2: I think it'll hang around And I don't like going

422
00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:33,919
Speaker 2: over high numbers. But Washington's defense twenty eighth and DVA

423
00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:37,719
Speaker 2: overall ninth against the run, twenty ninth against the pass.

424
00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:41,199
Speaker 2: So here we have a Washington defense that struggles against

425
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Speaker 2: the pass against the desperate Patrick Mahomes led team, and

426
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Speaker 2: the Chiefs defense, which is the worst for football outsiders

427
00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,760
Speaker 2: in DVA. I don't see the contrarian play here. I

428
00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,560
Speaker 2: don't see how Washington's defense, who could not stop the

429
00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:55,280
Speaker 2: Bills and could not stop the Saints, is now going

430
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Speaker 2: to stop the Chiefs. So they're going to have to

431
00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:00,919
Speaker 2: score Antonio Gibson's explosive, so is Terry McCain. So I

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Speaker 2: lean to the over there. If I'm gonna have to

433
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Speaker 2: make a pick.

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Speaker 1: So do I, which makes me feel disgusting because I

435
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:07,960
Speaker 1: don't ever like to go into these high numbers. But

436
00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 1: give me, I don't care what it is at this

437
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:11,600
Speaker 1: point because you're right, you got and you mentioned it.

438
00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:13,760
Speaker 3: Mike Washington's defense.

439
00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,159
Speaker 1: Probably like I mean, I know people talk about it

440
00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:19,080
Speaker 1: generally speaking, and I deal with it from a fantasy perspective,

441
00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 1: but probably like the most disappointing I mean overall unit,

442
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:25,959
Speaker 1: just that there is, like this was supposed to be

443
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:28,320
Speaker 1: like a top unit right now, a unit that you

444
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,040
Speaker 1: faded generally speaking when you were betting against them and

445
00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,600
Speaker 1: in fantasy, and it is neither. You pick on them

446
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,480
Speaker 1: right now. Skim's gonna be fun to watch. I think

447
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,400
Speaker 1: they're gonna be a lot of fireworks. And I agree

448
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 1: with you if I have to go to over fifty

449
00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,120
Speaker 1: five and a half, I've never bet a spread over

450
00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 1: that high, Like I just I can't. Like it's very

451
00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:46,359
Speaker 1: difficult for me, but I would if I were somebody

452
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,119
Speaker 1: other than me. Chargers are visiting the Ravens now who

453
00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:52,480
Speaker 1: Chargers are getting three in this game in the totals fifty.

454
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,040
Speaker 3: One and a half. Real interesting one here? What do

455
00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:54,439
Speaker 3: you think? Like?

456
00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 2: I think the Browns brought a different level of physicality

457
00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:03,880
Speaker 2: and the overall rushing attack against the Chargers. I think

458
00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,919
Speaker 2: Brandon Staley's going to adjust to that. I like the

459
00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:09,719
Speaker 2: Chargers here going on the road. Ravens had a big comeback.

460
00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:12,120
Speaker 2: They have a short week. This Charger team is very,

461
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,880
Speaker 2: very strong. I know the Ravens are gonna pound the ball,

462
00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:16,680
Speaker 2: and if you look on the surface, you're gonna say, well,

463
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:18,919
Speaker 2: the Browns just ran all over the Chargers. What are

464
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 2: the Ravens gonna do? I think their secondary can limit

465
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:24,879
Speaker 2: Marquise Brown. I think that Staley will learn from the

466
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,119
Speaker 2: Browns game, which were they were lucky to escape, and

467
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 2: I think they will come out here and continue. The

468
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:33,360
Speaker 2: Ravens defense does have trouble with big plays. This Chargers

469
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:35,440
Speaker 2: offense is at a different level. We saw what happened

470
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,879
Speaker 2: with Jonathan Taylor with pass catching running backs and now

471
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:41,080
Speaker 2: here comes Austin Eckler. I like the Chargers, even though

472
00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 2: you would look on the surface and say the Browns

473
00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:45,760
Speaker 2: just put all those numbers up. Ravens will do better

474
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,160
Speaker 2: not coming off a short week. I like the Chargers

475
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:49,680
Speaker 2: to went now right, and I would love the points

476
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 2: there as well.

477
00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll take them on the money line.

478
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 1: For sure, because I do think the Chargers are actually

479
00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:55,639
Speaker 1: gonna win this game, and again, it has all the

480
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 1: makings of a put aside the public sort of thing.

481
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 1: I mean, the Ravens have to be completely after that win,

482
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,879
Speaker 1: like win great, like fantastic, but you've got to be

483
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:08,440
Speaker 1: absolutely drained after that win. And the raven like, their

484
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 1: defense is nothing really that you need to be afraid

485
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:12,880
Speaker 1: of anymore. And even if it were, the Chargers are

486
00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,680
Speaker 1: obviously a strong enough unit that they can attack anyone.

487
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,719
Speaker 1: I worry a little bit about how vulnerable the Chargers

488
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 1: are on the ground, But again, the Ravens are sort

489
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 1: of more like they're putting their running backs on the

490
00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:25,919
Speaker 1: block at this point, like in real life, they're just like,

491
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 1: you know whatever, we're gonna have Lamar throw the ball

492
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:28,880
Speaker 1: or have Lamar run.

493
00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:30,080
Speaker 2: I agree with you.

494
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,040
Speaker 1: Do you think, by the way that this ends at three?

495
00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 1: Like I honestly I expected it to be within a

496
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,679
Speaker 1: field goal. And maybe it's because the fact that Ravens won,

497
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:39,760
Speaker 1: you know, in such a dramatic fashion last night, But

498
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: I expected this to be within a field goal. So

499
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 1: do you think it's gonna move either way? Or do

500
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 1: you think it basically sits here at three.

501
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I expect the money to come in on the

502
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,359
Speaker 2: Ravens because betters tend to have that recency bias, you know,

503
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,920
Speaker 2: you just it's vividness to you. You saw it last

504
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 2: night Lamar Jackson and Scott Fishbell had like sixty four points.

505
00:20:57,359 --> 00:20:59,920
Speaker 2: He broke the whole thing. So I expect that the

506
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 2: Ravens will get money and the Ravens will get bets.

507
00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 2: And I wouldn't be surprised if we see Vegas. As

508
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,720
Speaker 2: we said, adjust that line and sort of make it lower.

509
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 2: The Chargers are very live. They have no trouble going

510
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,640
Speaker 2: on the road. Everyone talks about the home field advantage,

511
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,160
Speaker 2: which may be an oxymoron, but I like this team.

512
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 2: They're very solid, they're very well coached, and they have

513
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,199
Speaker 2: no problem with big play. Who's hotter than Mike Williams

514
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:23,240
Speaker 2: right now as a wide wide receiver two in fantasy.

515
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 2: And we're forgetting about Keenan Allen, who will dominate that

516
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 2: intermediate short to intermediate area against this Ravens team. I

517
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 2: expect both defenses to play well, go towards the under,

518
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:34,439
Speaker 2: but I will grab the points with the Chargers. Like

519
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,120
Speaker 2: you said, money line is a great bet yep.

520
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,280
Speaker 1: Packers are visiting the Bears. The Packers are laying four

521
00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 1: and a half total forty five.

522
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:41,320
Speaker 3: What do you think?

523
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:44,280
Speaker 2: Packers have won nine of the last ten against Chicago.

524
00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 2: Chicago is thirty first in pass offense DVOWA. They really

525
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:51,359
Speaker 2: struggle justin fields hyper extended. D may be a little

526
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:55,119
Speaker 2: banged up. I expect him to play here come the

527
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,959
Speaker 2: Bears without David Montgomery with a limited justin fields, the

528
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 2: Packers defense should play very well. And what I think

529
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:05,399
Speaker 2: dan is without Vic Fangio. When they've played four games

530
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,359
Speaker 2: here Packers and Bears. Without Fangio as a defensive coordinator,

531
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 2: Green Bay is four and zero and the last three

532
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 2: games besides the opener in twenty nineteen, they have won

533
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:16,439
Speaker 2: by an average of seventeen and a half points while

534
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 2: averaging themselves thirty eight points. I don't think the Bears

535
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,200
Speaker 2: was a nice road win Khalil Mack revenge game against

536
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 2: the Raiders that all the chaos going on. I don't

537
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 2: think they changed the script here with justin fields. Great

538
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 2: staff from JJ Zacharison on FanDuel today. DeVante Adams has

539
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 2: forty five targets in the last three weeks. The entire

540
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:38,679
Speaker 2: Bears team has fifty seven targets. Packers are four and

541
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 2: one against the spread. I think they'll contain fields here.

542
00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:43,679
Speaker 2: I also love the under. The Bears are four and

543
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,840
Speaker 2: one to the under. Yeah, Green Bay plays at a

544
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,399
Speaker 2: very slow pace. This reeks to me to be like

545
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:51,399
Speaker 2: sort of a Browns Bears game from a couple weeks ago.

546
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 2: Packers cover under as well with the total.

547
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 3: I agree.

548
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,760
Speaker 1: I bet both now and I probably will usually Mike,

549
00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 1: I do it during the podcast. That's when I said

550
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,600
Speaker 1: something that I like, I'm gonna wait out of just

551
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 1: sheer respect for you.

552
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:04,400
Speaker 3: I completely.

553
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 1: I mean the Bears, they you know what I think,

554
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,240
Speaker 1: justin fields. Unless I'm either make some numbers. It might

555
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 1: be seventeen twenty seventeen or twenty seventeen twenty either way

556
00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:16,400
Speaker 1: for pass attempts in his three starts right now, they

557
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 1: have no interest in passing the ball. And he's banged up.

558
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 1: As you mentioned, he is going to play. I agree

559
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:23,400
Speaker 1: with the hyper extension, but he's banged up. The receiver's

560
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,959
Speaker 1: doing nothing. You know, again, from a fantasy standpoint, everybody

561
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 1: get really excited about Darnell Mooney. I didn't get it

562
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,600
Speaker 1: because there's just I understand that when Fields does throw,

563
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 1: he pushes the ball down the field, but he doesn't

564
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 1: want to throw.

565
00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:35,680
Speaker 3: That's just what it is. That's not how they want

566
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 3: to run their offense. They want to rely on their defense.

567
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 1: Which is good, not great though, because you can't exploit

568
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 1: that secondary pretty easily that Monta Adams can exploit any secondary,

569
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 1: but especially you know in the slot.

570
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 3: They can do some things there.

571
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:50,239
Speaker 1: But the Packers as well, coming off you know, a

572
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,480
Speaker 1: tough game against the Bengals, they're not that explosive anymore

573
00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:55,960
Speaker 1: offensively or anything like that. So I agree with you

574
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 1: that I lean the under and I will take the points.

575
00:23:58,200 --> 00:23:59,439
Speaker 1: I don't think you have to run to bed at

576
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 1: four and a half, Like the move is not going

577
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 1: to be someplace that I think is going to put

578
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,200
Speaker 1: you off it either way, right, it's not going to

579
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,160
Speaker 1: get to seven, it's not going to get to three.

580
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 1: So I think you're fine to wait if you want.

581
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 1: But I'm in total agreement with you on the sides.

582
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 2: On both the Bears are going to have to force turnovers,

583
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 2: and Rodgers is just the king. He milks that clock

584
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 2: to the very end. You have Damian Williams and Khalil

585
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 2: Herbert who are trying to do a decent job in

586
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 2: the backfield. But it's not the same as having Montgomery

587
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,440
Speaker 2: Alan Robinson mi Ia right now. There's no chemistry with

588
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 2: him and fields. It just seems like they would have

589
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 2: to force a lot of turnovers and I don't see

590
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 2: that happening with an intra division game here where Rodgers

591
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:35,439
Speaker 2: are very used to the Chicago defense.

592
00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 1: I think it's got to be something flugy realistically for

593
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 1: the Bears to be able to win this game or

594
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:41,800
Speaker 1: really keep it that close.

595
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 3: So I'm in total agreeing with you.

596
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 1: And again, it's not a game in my opinion that

597
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 1: you have to run out to do something now, because

598
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: I don't expect.

599
00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 3: It to move all that much. I think the numbers are.

600
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 1: Fine, but I'm definitely with you on both the side

601
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: and the total. The Rams are visiting the Giants, the

602
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:56,879
Speaker 1: Rams are laying ten and a half and the totals

603
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,919
Speaker 1: forty seven and a half. Obviously, we have questions about

604
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: here about the Giants as to who's going to start

605
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 1: at quarterback, which receivers are going to be healthy. You've

606
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 1: obviously already got Saquon Barkley out we know Kenny Galladay

607
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 1: is out, So what do you do here with the

608
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 1: line that's over ten points?

609
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,120
Speaker 3: Ten and a half here at forty seven and a half.

610
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,520
Speaker 2: Really tough one for me. Dan, It's to stay away.

611
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:17,880
Speaker 2: If I had to lean, I would lean towards taking

612
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 2: the points at home. This Giant team plays hard. Daniel

613
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,840
Speaker 2: Jones can do some things as a mobile quarterback that

614
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 2: can throw off the defense. The Rams are just playing

615
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:29,120
Speaker 2: at a different level though. Stafford and that offense are clicking.

616
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 2: They struggled last week, but they found a way to

617
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,359
Speaker 2: get a win on the road Cooper Cup. There's a

618
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:36,880
Speaker 2: lot of receiving options, so I think the Rams win.

619
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:38,679
Speaker 2: I have no interest in taking the Giants on a

620
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 2: deep money line or something. It's just that number is

621
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 2: right there. If that number was seven, I would like

622
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:46,679
Speaker 2: it eight even, but ten is an awful lot. Jones

623
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 2: can do a backdoor cover lead them down there in

624
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:50,680
Speaker 2: garbage time. I don't want any part of that. Kadarius

625
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 2: Tony looks fantastic, So it's a stay away from me.

626
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:55,959
Speaker 2: The line is a really good one set here by Vegas.

627
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 3: It's too many question marks for me there.

628
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,160
Speaker 1: I completely agree with you, like there is just there's

629
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:04,240
Speaker 1: no path that I see, absent multiple major injuries for

630
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:06,919
Speaker 1: the Giants to be able to win this game. But

631
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,160
Speaker 1: it's ten and a half, Like I have no interest

632
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,360
Speaker 1: in taking the Giants like, there's just no chance. There

633
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:13,880
Speaker 1: are no circumstances under WHI I would feel comfortable regardless

634
00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 1: of the spread. But it's just too much for me

635
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 1: to go. Really interesting game here, a game that everybody's

636
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 1: gonna be watching. The Cardinals are visiting the Browns. The

637
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 1: Browns home favorites two and a half, the total fifty

638
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:27,480
Speaker 1: and a half. What do you think, Mike, I.

639
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,119
Speaker 2: Love the Browns. I think the Browns have a style

640
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:33,400
Speaker 2: that's very unique in today's NFL. Everyone's doing the short,

641
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 2: quick passing attack. They are gonna pound that ball, They're

642
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:38,959
Speaker 2: gonna go strong, and then Baker Mayfield's going to make

643
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 2: enough place to win the game. The Arizona's defense is

644
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 2: legit fourth overall in DVOA, but thirteenth in run defense.

645
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:47,440
Speaker 2: That's bad against the Browns, who when they come home,

646
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 2: they are going to be an issue. They just pound

647
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 2: that ball down your throat. Second in volume to the

648
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,680
Speaker 2: Saints as well. Kyler Murray was much less effective last

649
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,159
Speaker 2: year when he got injured, and what was interesting is

650
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:01,159
Speaker 2: he had one rushing yard last week. The key to

651
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,679
Speaker 2: this game, I think is the health status of center

652
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 2: Rodney Hudson, who came over from the Raiders. He's done

653
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,919
Speaker 2: a fantastic job for the Cardinals. When he came out

654
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 2: of that game, Bosa came in hit Kyler Murray. You

655
00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 2: saw him on the on the bench moving his arm

656
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 2: trying to get it loose. That to me means they're

657
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 2: going to have a conservative offensive game plan, which is

658
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:21,640
Speaker 2: what happened last year. If you look at his box

659
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:23,800
Speaker 2: scores once he had a little bit of an injury,

660
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 2: his rushes went down nineteen yards, thirty one yards, fifty yards.

661
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:30,320
Speaker 2: When he's rushing a lot is when their offense is clicking.

662
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield rumors about his shoulder, I think that was

663
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 2: Kevin Stefanski trying to do some some questionable things there

664
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 2: to throw us off because he looked fine, especially on

665
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:41,600
Speaker 2: the Hail Mary. Bets are about fifty to fifty, but

666
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 2: the heavy money is on the Browns. Sign of a

667
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 2: sharp play. I really like the Browns here.

668
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:48,159
Speaker 1: I was surprised, I guess a little bit. I mean,

669
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 1: there's a three out there at Fandle by the way,

670
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:51,879
Speaker 1: which is fine. I mean that no, I get it,

671
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 1: but that's I was surprised a little bit about it.

672
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 1: I thought that it would be maybe you pick him,

673
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,359
Speaker 1: you know, because I think the I guess, you know, the.

674
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 3: Public is whatever.

675
00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,160
Speaker 1: I thought the public would be all over the Cardinals

676
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 1: if I've no Cardinals Kyler Murray.

677
00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:07,399
Speaker 3: We love it, so exciting, so explosive getting points.

678
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 1: But I agree with you. The Browns are great. I

679
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:11,959
Speaker 1: mean they should have won that game against the Chargers.

680
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:16,399
Speaker 1: They are extraordinarily well coached. They are Their defense is

681
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 1: very regardless of all the points they gave up last week,

682
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,680
Speaker 1: their defense is highly above average.

683
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 3: Mayfield, you're right again.

684
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 1: We talked to doctor David Chow, who's on our fantasy

685
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:27,639
Speaker 1: podcast every Friday, and he said, this is nothing like.

686
00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 1: The injury to Mayfield is nothing like. It's his left shoulder.

687
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 1: It's a harness, totally fine, yet a bad day. It

688
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: wasn't really the shoulder, and he looked fantastic here against it.

689
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:37,439
Speaker 3: I am in agreeing with you.

690
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 1: I wish Baker and Odell Beckham Junior could get on

691
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:42,560
Speaker 1: the same page a little bit. But it's it's kind

692
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 1: of irrelevant really really for their offense. They're playing extremely well,

693
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 1: So go ahead.

694
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:49,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a concern, and I'm looking for negative regression here.

695
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 2: I mean, the Cardinal should have lost to the Vikings,

696
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 2: and then if Jimmy Garoppolo plays that game instead of

697
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 2: Trey Lance against the Niners, they probably lose at home there.

698
00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 2: So there's two games at home. They probably had a

699
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 2: path to having two losses. I think we have the

700
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 2: regression here. The Browns are good folks. They are legitimate

701
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 2: Super Bowl contender, and they have a style with Chubb

702
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 2: and Hunt that no one else has.

703
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 3: Yeah.

704
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 1: No, they're a really, really good team and they're fun

705
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 1: to watch. So I'm with you on that. The Cowboys

706
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 1: now are visiting New England. They are laying four points.

707
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 3: And the total is fifty and a half.

708
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 2: What do you think give me the points? With Belichick,

709
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 2: I said the same thing when they ended up playing

710
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,080
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay. The book said that was the game they

711
00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 2: needed the absolute most besides like a Super Bowl where

712
00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 2: all the money is being bet. Right now, the Patriots

713
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 2: back against the wall, coming off a game that they

714
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 2: almost lost to the Texans. Belichick scheme over the Cowboys.

715
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 2: Cowboys have been fantastic and they probably should be undefeated

716
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 2: except for that opening game against Tampa Bay. But you're

717
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 2: gonna give me points of Bill Belichick at home, I

718
00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 2: will grab them. I think the Pats can find a

719
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 2: way here to maybe win the game. You know they're

720
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 2: going to shut down the top option Amari Cooper was

721
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 2: injured at the end of that game last week, so

722
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:57,240
Speaker 2: we don't know how that's going to go. You know

723
00:29:57,280 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 2: their run defense will be solid. I like the underheat

724
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 2: and I love the points of Belichick. It worked well

725
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 2: for me against Tampa Bay. I'm going back to it

726
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 2: in Foxborough.

727
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I don't know how I feel about the spread.

728
00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 1: I don't want the Cowboys, I can tell you that,

729
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 1: but I love the under. I love the under at

730
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 1: fifty and a half for sure. I would take it

731
00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:15,840
Speaker 1: now because wherever it's going to go. But this strikes

732
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 1: me as a game that's going to see way fewer

733
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 1: points than anybody expects.

734
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:19,719
Speaker 3: I think.

735
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 1: You know, the public loves the Cowboys, that love their offense,

736
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:23,840
Speaker 1: but you're right, they've got some issues right now. You

737
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:25,480
Speaker 1: know Belichick is going to have a scheme that's going

738
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 1: to work and again the New England offense like it.

739
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 1: They don't try to be explosive. They don't want to

740
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,719
Speaker 1: be explosive. They want to kind of control everything. Make

741
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 1: it that way.

742
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 3: I love the under at fifty and a half. I

743
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 3: was surprise that was that high.

744
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Raiders. Some turmoil with the Raiders

745
00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 1: visiting the Broncos. The Broncos are laying three and a half.

746
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 3: The totals forty four.

747
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 2: What do you think if you look at this the

748
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 2: Denver Denver Raider game had usually gone the last couple

749
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 2: of years for the home team. The Raiders had a

750
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 2: run there where they were upsetting teams on the road. Again,

751
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 2: I'm going to trust the better coach. I'm going to

752
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:01,080
Speaker 2: trust the one that's prepared. Vic Fangio Courtland Sutton into

753
00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 2: that game last week against the Steelers. He was a

754
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: little banged up. I wasn't sure. He looked fine. I

755
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 2: think he gets this defense rolling. This is a Raiders

756
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 2: team that's in turmoil. If you want to say there's

757
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 2: some benefit emotionally from firing Gruden, I don't think so.

758
00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 2: I think they were doing very well. The situation happened.

759
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 2: He had to be let go. I understand that, but

760
00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 2: it's not the win one sort of for the new coach,

761
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:26,080
Speaker 2: which could happen in Jacksonville because that's drawn out. I

762
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:29,200
Speaker 2: just think the Broncos are better prepared. Teddy Bridgewater against

763
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 2: the spread historically has been fantastic, especially at home. Denver

764
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:35,320
Speaker 2: has the home field advantage. I'm rolling with the Broncos

765
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 2: here against the Raider team that right now is in

766
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 2: a little bit of chaos.

767
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I look for any reason, especially relatively early in

768
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 1: the season. I know it's not real early, but to

769
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,400
Speaker 1: back the Broncos at home early in the season, four

770
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 1: teams have fully gotten their conditioning all set and everything

771
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 1: like that, I agree with you. I like the Broncos

772
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 1: here in a game that they fought hard. I did

773
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 1: think the Steelers were gonna win that game last week.

774
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 3: I did have them. But I think that this is

775
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:56,840
Speaker 3: a game again.

776
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:58,560
Speaker 1: You're right that this is a bounce back sort of

777
00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 1: spot for them now after winning the three and then

778
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 1: losing a couple, I think they bounced back here and again.

779
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:04,800
Speaker 1: The Raiders right now are just in such this array,

780
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 1: and by the way, their offense does not look anything

781
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 1: like it looked early on in the season.

782
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 3: I mean, Derek.

783
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 1: Carr has looked sort of skittish a little bit in

784
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 1: the pocket and everything like that. So I agree with

785
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 1: you here. I like the Broncos. Let's go to the

786
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 1: Seahawks visiting the Steelers.

787
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 3: Probably not the.

788
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 1: Game that the NFL really envisioned it would be at

789
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 1: this point when they made that Sunday Night Football. But

790
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 1: the Steelers are laying four and a half and the

791
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 1: total is forty two and a half.

792
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 2: I grabbed it right away when it was three, and

793
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 2: now it's climbed. I'm all over Pittsburgh. I think they

794
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 2: turned a corner. Look if this was Russell Wilson, this

795
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 2: is a spot that the Seahawks could step up. I

796
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,360
Speaker 2: think they turned a corner. Juju is out, I understand that.

797
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 2: I think it streamlines the receiving options. I think pat

798
00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 2: Freyermuth is gonna have a big game here, and Najay

799
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 2: Harris has just been clicking. That was a good Denver

800
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 2: run defense, yes, and he ended up scorching them last week.

801
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 2: I think at prime time at home, Geno Smith, I'm sorry,

802
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 2: I just don't see Gino coming in. I don't think

803
00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 2: the Seahawks Dan can win. So if that's the case.

804
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 2: Am I going to debate over four points or three points?

805
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 2: I am not. I think the Steelers are starting to

806
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 2: get it going. You know, their run defense is going

807
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:15,240
Speaker 2: to be solid, which means they'll probably have a conservative

808
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 2: game plan with Gino here that's not going to work.

809
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 2: They could hit a couple deep shots, but Gino's also

810
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 2: a radic got picked off to end the game at

811
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:24,640
Speaker 2: the end against the Rams. I can't take Gino on

812
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 2: the road. Give me the Steelers who are trending in

813
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:29,440
Speaker 2: the right direction now primetime at home with a solid

814
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 2: defense that should stifle the Seahawks rushing attack.

815
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, this was This really was something where it did

816
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:37,880
Speaker 1: feel like I don't want to call it a get

817
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 1: right game because the Steelers have plenty of issues, but

818
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 1: the fact that Nagie Harris was able to succeed and

819
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:45,680
Speaker 1: looks so good running the ball against at Denver defens

820
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 1: made me feel a little more just excited about him

821
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,320
Speaker 1: and the team generally, because the offensive line has had

822
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 1: so many issues. You're right, you do is out for

823
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 1: the season pretty much. I don't think it matters. He

824
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 1: wasn't doing much anyway as long as Chase Claypole and

825
00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 1: Deante Johnson are healthy, and again, Pat Fryer, I would

826
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 1: love it because we'd love to see the breakout happen.

827
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 1: And for the Seahawks, look kudos to Gino who stepped

828
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 1: in and looked really good. Step again, but I think

829
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:11,439
Speaker 1: right now, you're going to give a team Steelers at

830
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:14,800
Speaker 1: home on a primetime game a week to prepare for

831
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 1: Gino Smith. They're not going to be able to run

832
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 1: the ball they've got obviously the pass catchers and the

833
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 1: Steelers are vulnerable through the year. But I think again,

834
00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 1: with Gino there, I agree with you. I will take

835
00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 1: it at four and a half right now. It's at

836
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 1: five at my book. But again, I'm not going to

837
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,120
Speaker 1: qubble necessarily with that at that but kudos to you

838
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 1: for grabbing it. At three Monday night football, last game

839
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 1: of the week, the Bills are visiting the Titans. The

840
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 1: Bills are laying five and a half and the total

841
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:39,959
Speaker 1: is fifty four.

842
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 3: What do you think?

843
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think there's a little bit of letdown here.

844
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,360
Speaker 2: I like Tennessee at home getting those points, so that

845
00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: five to five and a half number always sets bells

846
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 2: off in my head because it's sort of a no

847
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 2: man's land there. The Bills look great. They beat the Chiefs.

848
00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 2: They struggled last year they came into Tennessee. I think

849
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 2: it was a Monday night or Sunday night game, or

850
00:34:57,680 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 2: maybe it was postponed. There was a postponeing because of

851
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 2: a COVID issue, and they really struggled. I think the

852
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 2: Titans defense has been rough this year, but I do

853
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:07,280
Speaker 2: think with Derrick Henry, they have the type of script

854
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 2: that can frustrate the Bills. I think the Titans keep

855
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:12,560
Speaker 2: this game close. I think Mike Vrabel has Tennessee ready.

856
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 2: Five is a lot of points. I expect the Bets

857
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:17,799
Speaker 2: to pour in on Buffalo here, but with aj Brown

858
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:20,080
Speaker 2: looking a little bit better, maybe Julio Jones is back.

859
00:35:20,160 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 2: Ryan Tannehill's a mobile quarterback and you have the big

860
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:26,480
Speaker 2: dog back there running the ball into that Bills line.

861
00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:29,320
Speaker 2: They just need a couple turnovers. Five as a frisky number,

862
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take it with the underdog Titans.

863
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 1: Yet, despite the fact that the Titans obviously are coming

864
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:36,759
Speaker 1: off a nice win here, there is a lot of

865
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 1: negativity around the team because they just don't look you know.

866
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,359
Speaker 1: It's basically a you've got Derek Henry and nothing else,

867
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:44,759
Speaker 1: and Ryan Tannehill hasn't really been gone because they haven't

868
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 1: had the wide receivers and even when AJ Brown has

869
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:49,480
Speaker 1: been healthy, he hasn't quote unquote produced from you know,

870
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 1: at least a fantasy standpoint or whatever.

871
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:52,359
Speaker 3: But I agree with you.

872
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,280
Speaker 1: I think this is a great spot for the Titans

873
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: with the Bills coming off that you know, enormous win

874
00:35:57,480 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 1: right now, and they're a great team. Okay, their defense

875
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:01,960
Speaker 1: is played better than I expected to see them necessarily,

876
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 1: but there is no defense right now that can stop

877
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry and I think hopefully Julio Jones. Again, this

878
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 1: is the third week I think for Julio Jones. He

879
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,360
Speaker 1: wasn't placed on injured reserve. That means that they probably

880
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 1: expected him to be able to return at this point,

881
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 1: and if they have him, then it really is a

882
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:17,280
Speaker 1: difference maker.

883
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 3: But I agree with you. Again, it's a weird number.

884
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:21,439
Speaker 1: And again, you know, I talk about this with Matt

885
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,320
Speaker 1: Parult a lot, like the favorites at five and a

886
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 1: half always a little weird.

887
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:25,440
Speaker 3: He always thinks that like the four and.

888
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:27,040
Speaker 1: A half to five and a half is Vegas, basically

889
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 1: being like, oh, we don't really know, let's just see

890
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,640
Speaker 1: it out, yes, right, but I like the Titans in

891
00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:33,800
Speaker 1: this spot as well, and again I do generally favor

892
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 1: the Titans overall.

893
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:36,960
Speaker 3: All right, this was great.

894
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 1: I appreciate you rolling with the punches, man, I know

895
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 1: I'd originally wanted to do this on Monday. I appreciate

896
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 1: you being able to squeeze us in here and to

897
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 1: remind everybody where they can find more of you and

898
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:45,879
Speaker 1: your work.

899
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,080
Speaker 2: You can follow me on Twitter at Randel Ran. I

900
00:36:48,160 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 2: have a work up for the Action Network working on

901
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:54,160
Speaker 2: college basketball previews. Also last word on NFL. I do

902
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 2: some work for betting pros. Just all over the place,

903
00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 2: just working away here, loving the NFL. It's a great

904
00:36:58,760 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 2: time of year, Dan. I appreciate you, myke.

905
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,399
Speaker 1: Youar superstar. I'm really glad we were finally able to talk.

906
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:05,240
Speaker 1: I look forward to doing it again soon. In the meantime,

907
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,360
Speaker 1: everybody enjoyed the rest of your week. Joe will be

908
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:09,640
Speaker 1: back with the College Football Podcast with Bagman. I'll be

909
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:12,640
Speaker 1: back on Thursday with our best bets. I will talk

910
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 1: to you then,