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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: Throwing. We're sitting up to cash touch.

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Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to Wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right, this is the

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Speaker 1: ultimate Kaban.

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Speaker 3: Want to pull.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: Happy Thanksgiving, and welcome to another edition of the Action

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Speaker 3: Network Podcast. This is the Week thirteen NFL Betting Edition.

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Speaker 3: I am your host, Chris Raybond. In On today's show,

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Speaker 3: we will be breaking down, as always, our top six

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Speaker 3: spread bets on the Sunday slate, in the Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 3: and also giving you our favorite total teaser money, wine

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Speaker 3: parlay and Survived Iverpool pick. In this week, of course,

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Speaker 3: we have the three game Thanksgiving slate, so we will

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Speaker 3: start by breaking down all three games and then we

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Speaker 3: will jump right into the six packs. So let's get

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Speaker 3: right to it. Man here to help me break down

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Speaker 3: the games. The prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, my guy Stucky,

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Speaker 3: whose bets you can follow in the Action Network app

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Speaker 3: at Stucky two, as well as mine at Chris raybond

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Speaker 3: and be short of download that app, and we just

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Speaker 3: made some really cool updates to the app where you

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Speaker 3: can see your pro system plays on each game now,

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Speaker 3: and of course you can track your bets, see live scores,

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Speaker 3: and win probabilities in real time.

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Speaker 2: So be short to check out the Action Network cap.

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Speaker 3: But stucky, Happy Thanksgiving. How was last week and how

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Speaker 3: you feeling about this one?

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Speaker 1: Well, first of all, it was a huge Sunday and

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Speaker 1: I didn't even pick up a point on you. I

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Speaker 1: had an enormous Sunday and our race continues to be crazy.

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Speaker 1: We'll get to the six packs soon. I think that

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Speaker 1: the updated score is thirty seven seven thirty six.

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Speaker 2: I picked up a point, Yeah, I picked up I

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Speaker 2: had a schedule.

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Speaker 1: I got four out of five and my uh, my

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Speaker 1: favorite team, the Seahawks, they went another game by one possession,

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Speaker 1: and I warned you. I didn't warn you, Yeah, but

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Speaker 1: I mean this team continues that they had a trick play.

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Speaker 1: They scored, but everyone who could have possibly been ruled

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Speaker 1: out for the Eagles was ruled out. But my Ravens

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Speaker 1: looked spectacular. They're scary. The Rams are. I was one

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Speaker 1: of the most underprepared performances I've ever seen in my life.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's a brilliant game plan from what the

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Speaker 1: Ravens did to the interior that defensive line, but there

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Speaker 1: was a couple of plays and I had the under

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Speaker 1: that loss despite the Rams scoring six points that thanks

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Speaker 1: for having twelve men on the punt when the Ravens

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Speaker 1: were gonna punt it, which ended up costing me the under.

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Speaker 1: But then at the end of the half when they're

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Speaker 1: running it all out blitz against Lamar Jackson with twelve

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Speaker 1: seconds left when the Ravens have no timeouts, like that's

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Speaker 1: there was just some questionable and just the effort and

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Speaker 1: the offense once again for the Rams looks really bad.

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Speaker 1: But just staying healthy and then keeping Marcus Peters out

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Speaker 1: of fights is my main concern is the Ravens fans.

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Speaker 1: It's nice, nice, nice position to be if those are

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Speaker 1: your two main concerns.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I had a pretty good week, actually went

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Speaker 3: undefeated on the early slate thanks to like a bunch

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Speaker 3: of crazy breaks at the end with the Giant scoring

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Speaker 3: that that touchdown. The only the only loss I had

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Speaker 3: on Sunday was the I had the under in the

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Speaker 3: Titans game. Like I just I need to just stop

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Speaker 3: betting on the Titans period, like anything to do with

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Speaker 3: the Titans game.

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Speaker 2: It was a pretty good week for both of us.

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Speaker 3: And let's keep it going with this with this week thirteen,

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Speaker 3: we got the three Thursday games started off by the

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Speaker 3: five and six Chicago Bears three point favorites in Detroit

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Speaker 3: against the three seven and one Lions.

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Speaker 2: The total is thirty eight and a half.

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Speaker 3: As far as the spread, seventy nine percent of the

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Speaker 3: bets eighty four percent of the money on the Chicago

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Speaker 3: Bears is three point favorites. As far as the total,

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Speaker 3: seventy one percent of the bets, eighty four percent of

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Speaker 3: the money on the under.

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Speaker 2: Thoughts on this game stuff.

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Speaker 1: I love on Thanksgiving if I can tease two of

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Speaker 1: the game's long teaser style and pass Thanksgiving and then

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Speaker 1: just have two games covered, enjoy my Thanksgiving. So I

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Speaker 1: was all ready to tease the Cowboys down, which we'll

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Speaker 1: get to, and the Lions up from you know, two

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Speaker 1: and a half too or one and a half or

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Speaker 1: two to two and a half up pass the touchdown.

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Speaker 1: But now with Jeff Driscoll, it's in base onlineman. I

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Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna play, and it's not like Jeff

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Speaker 1: Triscoll is Patrick Mahomes Lamar Jackson, but he has their

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Speaker 1: second string quarterback, which means if he doesn't go, it's

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Speaker 1: David Blau, who was the fourth string quarterback for the

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Speaker 1: Browns during preseason. So it's not great Bob, and it

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Speaker 1: is still Mitch Bortles. It is still an interesting tease

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Speaker 1: option because the Bears offense is a knemic, you know,

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Speaker 1: with a total of thirty eight. Teasing the dog the

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Speaker 1: home dog from two and a half or three up

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Speaker 1: is still intriguing even if it is David Blou. But

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Speaker 1: it gets scarier. The Lions also have injuries on their defense.

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Speaker 1: They have no running game to speak of, so you know,

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Speaker 1: going with a quarterback that you don't really trust to

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Speaker 1: throw the ball, and you know, one of the things

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Speaker 1: that Driscoll did at least bring is he could run

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Speaker 1: a little bit and get a couple of first downs.

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Speaker 1: But it's messy. It's one of the worst noon Thanksgiving

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Speaker 1: games I can remember. And we've had a bunch with

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Speaker 1: how bad the Lions have been in the years past.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know. I mean I would, I couldn't

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Speaker 1: argue with you for going with the under. I might

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Speaker 1: think about still teasing the Lions, but I might end

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Speaker 1: up opting to pass on this game altogether tease the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: which we'll talk about next with something on Sunday. But

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Speaker 1: this game is ugly and there's a lot to keep

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Speaker 1: an eye on, especially with who's going to be under

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Speaker 1: center for Detroit.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I took the under in this game at thirty nine.

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Speaker 3: It is going down, so I feel good about that.

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Speaker 3: I think it's at thirty eight and a half right now.

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Speaker 3: And basically the reason being is you kind of mentioned

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Speaker 3: that the Bears, their offense is not in a position

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Speaker 3: to put up points really on anybody. You know, we

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Speaker 3: kind of saw that playout against the Giants, one of

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Speaker 3: the worst defenses in the National Football League. The Bear

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Speaker 3: scored nineteen points. Didn't even cover that game. I do

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Speaker 3: think they probably will be able to cover this They

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Speaker 3: at least in theory, they should be able to cover

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Speaker 3: this game. If I had to pick us side, I

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Speaker 3: would take the Bears with the Lions, even if it

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Speaker 3: was Jeff Driscoll. To be honest with you, I think

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Speaker 3: the Bears defense is good enough, and that's kind of

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Speaker 3: why I picked the Redskins on the money line.

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Speaker 2: Last week against this Lions team.

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Speaker 3: I think we've seen this a bunch with quarterbacks this year,

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Speaker 3: with these kind of fill in, replacement level quarterbacks, where

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Speaker 3: a lot of times the more the sample size grows

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Speaker 3: and the more film that these opposing teams get on

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Speaker 3: these quarterbacks, the worst they perform. And we kind of

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Speaker 3: saw Driscoll that play out with Driscoll where he threw

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Speaker 3: the backbreaking interception that set up Washington for the win.

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Speaker 3: And you know, the Bears, if you just look at

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Speaker 3: the Bears games as far as the undergoes, I mean,

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Speaker 3: nineteen fourteen against the Giants, seventeen to seven loss to

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Speaker 3: the Rams, twenty to thirteen win against these same Lions,

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Speaker 3: twenty two to fourteen loss to the Eagles, seventeen to

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Speaker 3: sixteen loss to the.

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Speaker 2: Los Angeles Chargers. You know, that's their last five games.

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Speaker 3: They haven't cleared that total of thirty eight and a

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Speaker 3: half that it's set out here, And with the Lions

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Speaker 3: playing with a backup quarterback, I mean, yes, there's always

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Speaker 3: a possibility of turnovers or something in the special teams

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Speaker 3: with Cordell Patterson or whatnot. But I think the Unders

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Speaker 3: probably the most confident play in this game.

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Speaker 1: This is even a shorter week than the normal short

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Speaker 1: Thursday night week. For the two day games, you don't

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Speaker 1: even have a day in between, so the injuries are

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Speaker 1: even more important to keep an eye on. And we

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Speaker 1: always talk about how on these short weeks it tends

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Speaker 1: to favor favorites, so something to keep in mind, and

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Speaker 1: that has been the case on Thanksgiving since two thousand

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Speaker 1: and three. In our bet Labs database, favorites on Thanksgiving

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Speaker 1: are thirty and eleven against the spread. That's seventy three

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Speaker 1: point two percent, and now teams favor by six or

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Speaker 1: more sixteen and three against the spread. So that Thursday

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Speaker 1: night trend that we talk about it even is even

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Speaker 1: more illustrated on Thanksgiving in the best.

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Speaker 2: So let's get into the second game.

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Speaker 3: They and three Buffalo Bills going to Dallas to face

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Speaker 3: the six and five Cowboys, fresh off a cover against

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Speaker 3: the vaunted New England Patriots in Fox Burn, a game

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Speaker 3: that the Cowboys had a chance to win that game,

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Speaker 3: so you know, obviously Jerry Jones not happy about that,

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Speaker 3: had had some negative things to say about his coaching staff.

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Speaker 3: Really kind of put them, threw them under the bus.

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Speaker 3: I think in a game where I don't know if

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Speaker 3: that was the right time to do it necessarily. I mean,

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Speaker 3: it's tough to go to Foxborough and even keep it

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Speaker 3: close for a lot of squads in the NFL, So

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Speaker 3: I don't know if it was the timing was good

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Speaker 3: right before the holidays. But Cowboys are seven point favorite here.

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Speaker 3: The total forty five and a half, sixty percent of

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Speaker 3: the bets, sixty nine percent of the money on Buffalo though,

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Speaker 3: sixty one percent of the bets. As far as the

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Speaker 3: total on the over, seventy eight percent of the money

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Speaker 3: on the over. Is this a spot where you kind

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Speaker 3: of fade the public, fade the looks like a little

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Speaker 3: bit of sharper bigger bunny on Buffalo and take Dallas here.

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Speaker 1: Well, the first thing I want to say is thank

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Speaker 1: you Jason Garrett. You play to cover the game. I

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Speaker 1: was worried about the coaching mismatch, and it ended up

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Speaker 1: being a coaching mismatch that worked in my favor. Kicking

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Speaker 1: that field goal, that's all I was worried about. Down seven.

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Speaker 1: I didn't care if the Cowboys won at that point,

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Speaker 1: so I do appreciate that field goal. And I got

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Speaker 1: to get this in here. Mike Pereira the drunk is

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Speaker 1: man in in America And I was at the bor

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Speaker 1: all day coming on and defending that trip call is

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Speaker 1: beyond it. Say it. And Troy Aikman for going back

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Speaker 1: at him saying he's blocking Mike, Well, I mean, you know,

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Speaker 1: it's a tough one, but when you look your league

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Speaker 1: like he's blocking, it speaks to you know, I could

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Speaker 1: say the Cowboys got rob with that Couls was an

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Speaker 1: awful call, but it speaks to something that I want,

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Speaker 1: you know, I want to convey of why what makes

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Speaker 1: the Patriots great? And it's just a theory. So you know,

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are always overperforming, and they didn't cover this

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Speaker 1: week luckily, but in general terms, they're always over performing expectations, right,

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Speaker 1: and then they do a lot of the little things.

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Speaker 1: They have a quarterback doesn't turn it over, they don't

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Speaker 1: get penalized, they're usually good on special teams. They're obviously

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Speaker 1: very well coached, although they should have taken a couple

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Speaker 1: more seconds to kneel it. But there's been times in

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Speaker 1: the past where Belichick and he'll do this and good

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Speaker 1: and games against teams that you know, he's like, we

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Speaker 1: might lose this game. I'm I'm almost positive that before

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Speaker 1: this game he went to the NFL or the reps

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Speaker 1: and said, the Cowboys offensive lineman trip, do you have

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Speaker 1: the trip? You have to watch it, you have to

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Speaker 1: watch for. I think there was four tripping calls and

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Speaker 1: offensive Linman of all Year there was two on Sunday

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Speaker 1: in that game, and I guarantee you it just got

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Speaker 1: into their head and then they looked for and then

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Speaker 1: you know, you're it's hard to be a ref and

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Speaker 1: to see that. But I bet Belichick implanted that it

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Speaker 1: happened in with a Ravens game with one of their

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Speaker 1: formations before an AFC championship. Those are the little things

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Speaker 1: that you know that make the Patriots so great and

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Speaker 1: why they continuously cover even though they didn't on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: But I just a theory. I don't know, but I

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Speaker 1: bet with two tripping calls that would looked I was like, what,

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Speaker 1: I bet you was a Belichick was behind that.

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Speaker 3: Does that fall back on Jason Garrett then, because does

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Speaker 3: Jerry Jones essentially have a point there that maybe there

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Speaker 3: are things that Yes, of course it's brilliant by the

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Speaker 3: Patriots in Belichick, and it's just a theory. But on

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Speaker 3: the other and you have to kind of question Jason

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Speaker 3: Garrett then, because at the end of the day.

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Speaker 2: They're putting something on film for Belichick to pick up.

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Speaker 1: I can't blame him for that. I can blame Jason

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Speaker 1: Garrett for a lot of things, even the field goal,

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Speaker 1: some of the play calling, just his general strategic decisions

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Speaker 1: at the end of games. But in that sense, there

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Speaker 1: literally was nothing he could do because it wasn't tripping.

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Speaker 1: It's not like his offensive lineman did trip. And then

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Speaker 1: he could have told them ahead of time, we can't

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Speaker 1: trip like they were just literally blocking. And so I

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Speaker 1: can't put that on Garrett, but Jones, he should look

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Speaker 1: in the mirror though. This is these things have been

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Speaker 1: going on for years. This isn't anything new. But anyway,

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys are still a really good team. They just

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Speaker 1: aren't well coached and they can't get over the hump

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Speaker 1: against good teams. I don't consider you know, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see the record.

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Speaker 2: Like, yeah, they don't have a win against the winning game, But.

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Speaker 1: I don't consider the Bills in you know, the elite

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Speaker 1: teams the NFL. But the Cowboys can't get over the humping. Yes,

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Speaker 1: the Bill's wanting covered on Sunday. I was on the

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Speaker 1: Broncos there. I was wrong there, But let's cool our Jets,

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Speaker 1: Bill's mafia. Who was in my mentions? You beat the

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Speaker 1: Broncos at home with Brandon Allen, a team with three wins.

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Speaker 1: Shockingly enough, the Bill's strength of victory improved with a

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Speaker 1: win over the three Broncos. So this team is still

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Speaker 1: deeply flawed. The run defense is still deeply flawed. Their

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Speaker 1: offense is deeply flawed. Zeke should have a day. The

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Speaker 1: offensive line for the Cowboys should dominate, you know, and

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Speaker 1: then the Bills passing defense is great. Their pressure is

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Speaker 1: getting a little better of a time, but it's still

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Speaker 1: not elite. I just at the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: if the Cowboys at home, I don't trust the Bills

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Speaker 1: offense to keep up with the Cowboys, and Elliott should

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Speaker 1: have a big day here. But once Zeke gets going

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Speaker 1: and they have to start bringing safeties down, and you know,

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Speaker 1: it'll set up the play action. The line is about

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Speaker 1: right to me at seven. It's a perfect teaser piece

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Speaker 1: or money line parlay piece. I'm sure the whole world

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Speaker 1: is going to have the Cowboys and the Saints and

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Speaker 1: a moneyline parlayer ties. We'll get to that Saints game next,

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Speaker 1: but I like this matchup for the Cowboys. They'll be

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Speaker 1: on my card in some former fashion, probably in a

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Speaker 1: moneyline parlay or aties.

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Speaker 3: How do you feel about the total in this game?

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Speaker 3: Because you mentioned, you know, probably a the game Bills.

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Speaker 3: You know what they want to do is run the football.

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Speaker 3: The Unders fifteen and seven and Josh Allen starts sixty

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Speaker 3: eight percent. Dat Prescott, the the regular season under in

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Speaker 3: his career is actually fifty seven percent itself. This game

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Speaker 3: kind of strikes me as one where you know it

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Speaker 3: could it could be a lower scoring game than we

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Speaker 3: think if these teams running because the Bills, I don't

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Speaker 3: know if they really how much they bring those safeties

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Speaker 3: down at the end of the day, because we know

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Speaker 3: they want to they want to win with the big

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Speaker 3: play in the past game, and I think if if

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Speaker 3: Zeke is gonna get four or five yard chunks, I

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Speaker 3: think they'll live with that against an offense like this.

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Speaker 2: So do you think the under has any.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's I think it's under or nothing here.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, it's kind of how I'm feeling too.

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Speaker 3: Okay, let's get into the third game, which is, as

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Speaker 3: you mentioned, the New Orleans Saints nine to two, seven

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Speaker 3: point favorites going to Atlanta to facety three and eight Falcons,

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Speaker 3: who cooled off with the loss of the Bucks last week.

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Speaker 2: The total is forty nine.

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Speaker 3: As far as he spread, seventy eight percent of the bets,

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Speaker 3: eighty one percent of the money on the Saints, the

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Speaker 3: total eighty percent of the bet, seventy percent of the

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Speaker 3: money on the over.

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Speaker 1: By the way, I think this is a under a

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Speaker 1: Thanksgiving Underdad. I'd look under here too. I know that

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Speaker 1: you know it's Falcon Saints, but the Saints are an

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Speaker 1: odd team to figure out to me too. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I know that they're really good, but you know, like

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Speaker 1: a thirty four to thirty one versus Carolina last week,

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Speaker 1: the home loss to the Falcons a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: that'll obviously be on the mind of the Saints to

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Speaker 1: get revenge here. But they have some injuries that are

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Speaker 1: worry Marshawn Lattimore, whether or not he can play, obviously

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Speaker 1: really important to that secondary. We saw that last week,

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Speaker 1: but especially on their offensive line now with Armstead they're

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Speaker 1: starting left tackle, was huge. Him being out their left

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Speaker 1: guard and Pete has already out. They might have to

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Speaker 1: bring in a rookie from Villa Nova tackle. They might

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Speaker 1: move Ram check over from right tackle left tackle. They're

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Speaker 1: not sure yet. And it's a short week. And last

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Speaker 1: time these two teams played, the defensive line of the

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Speaker 1: Falcons dominated the line of scrimmage and that was different.

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Speaker 1: So the Falcons do have a good run deve. It's

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Speaker 1: good defensive line. Their secondary is a mess. They're not

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Speaker 1: goil to cover Thomas, but I think that they could

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Speaker 1: get pressure once again. And the other side that look

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Speaker 1: the Falcons. Julia Jones is banged up, I think based

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Speaker 1: in the last two weeks and based on what I've read,

335
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Speaker 1: and now it's a short week, and their offensive line

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Speaker 1: is also a mess. They can't run the ball. They

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Speaker 1: might be down to like their nineteenth tight end. So

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Speaker 1: this offense, especially if Latimore can play, I don't see

339
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Speaker 1: him doing too much. I mean, last week against a

340
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Speaker 1: really bad Bucks defense, they needed a late touchdown, thank

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Speaker 1: you Ridley for the over. They only had fifteen points

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Speaker 1: before then, So I think the Saint should get an

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Speaker 1: inspired effort for their defense here. But I don't think

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Speaker 1: the Saints offense is going to be humming with their

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Speaker 1: offensive line issues matched up against that Atlanta defensive line. Look,

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Speaker 1: I played Atlanta plus thirteen a few weeks ago, and

347
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Speaker 1: I didn't expect them to win out right, but they

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Speaker 1: did in New Orleans. If this is a flat seven,

349
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Speaker 1: you know, I'd probably play Atlanta again, But if it's

350
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Speaker 1: six and a half or seven juice, I'll probably stay away.

351
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Speaker 1: But I am liking the under here. I think this

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Speaker 1: is lower scoring the most think. I think you're getting

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Speaker 1: a couple extra points right here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: And if you look at in our bet Labs database,

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Speaker 3: one of our pro systems is actually to target divisional

357
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Speaker 3: unders wait in the season week eleven or later.

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Speaker 2: When the total is forty four and a half or more.

359
00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:03,720
Speaker 2: A divisional under.

360
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:06,320
Speaker 3: Will hit at a sixty two percent clip going back

361
00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:07,960
Speaker 3: to two thousand and three.

362
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Speaker 2: So that's also something to keep in mind.

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Speaker 3: And I agree, I think the Saints have to play

364
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Speaker 3: this a little close to the vest and kind of

365
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Speaker 3: protect their old lines, so you're not going to see

366
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Speaker 3: as much.

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Speaker 2: Explosive and the Saints aren't really an explosive play team,

368
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Speaker 2: to be honest.

369
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Speaker 3: I mean, it's just kind of drive down the field

370
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Speaker 3: with Kamara and Michael Thomas and every once in a

371
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Speaker 3: while they might get something out again or something like that,

372
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Speaker 3: but on a coverage bus.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm with you.

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Speaker 3: I think this could be a clean sweep for the

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Speaker 3: Unders here on Thanksgiving Day and divisional Unders even in

376
00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:37,480
Speaker 3: the low total games, still hit it about a sixty

377
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,080
Speaker 3: percent clip. But you know, if you want to go

378
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:41,400
Speaker 3: back to the Bears and the Lions game and look

379
00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:44,040
Speaker 3: at that one as well, so Wooglean Saints, just because

380
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Speaker 3: I think you hit on it. The revenge factor clearly

381
00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:49,800
Speaker 3: the better better team. And I think there's always that

382
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Speaker 3: letdown factor for the Falcons now because once they won

383
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Speaker 3: those two games, they were three and seven, they had, like,

384
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Speaker 3: you know, a winning season was still kind of within reach.

385
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Speaker 3: You know, they felt like they turned things around, and

386
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,280
Speaker 3: now you know, the best they can do is five hundred.

387
00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:05,280
Speaker 3: It's a short week, They're not they're they're their inferior team.

388
00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:08,439
Speaker 3: They're dealing with more injuries than the Saints. Even so,

389
00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:11,119
Speaker 3: this could be just kind of a big win for

390
00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:12,840
Speaker 3: the Saints with a Falconsione score and.

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Speaker 1: That because they have San Fran on deck, which is

392
00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,399
Speaker 1: a huge game for them in the NFC. You're not

393
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:19,200
Speaker 1: going to see them trying to run this up, and

394
00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,840
Speaker 1: it's let's let's get a win. Let's come out focused,

395
00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:25,159
Speaker 1: play defense, good special teams, and get out of Atlanta

396
00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:26,679
Speaker 1: with the win. I think that's how they approach this,

397
00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:28,600
Speaker 1: which I think lends itself to an under here.

398
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Speaker 3: Yeah, So that does it for our breakdown of the

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Speaker 3: three Thursday Thanksgiving games. And just wanted to remind everybody

400
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Speaker 3: that DraftKings is actually running a cool little promo on

401
00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:44,760
Speaker 3: their site where you can build a moneyline parlay for

402
00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:47,720
Speaker 3: the three Thanksgiving games. You know, you pick all three

403
00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:50,919
Speaker 3: and if your parlay hits, you get paid out, and

404
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:54,639
Speaker 3: if it doesn't, you still get essentially a free bet.

405
00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:56,920
Speaker 3: You know, you get refunded a free bet to make.

406
00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,600
Speaker 3: So it's it's a win win situation. So be sure

407
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:03,439
Speaker 3: to check that out at DraftKings Sportsbook. All right, so

408
00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 3: let's get into the Sunday six pack, the main event.

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Speaker 2: Thursday for action.

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Speaker 1: Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: Stuck an I We draft our top three favorite spread

412
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Speaker 3: bets for the Sunday Slate. Our top pick is worth two,

413
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:26,240
Speaker 3: our others are worth one, and then we do our

414
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Speaker 3: favorite total, which is also worth a point. Stuck up

415
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:32,359
Speaker 3: thirty seven thirty six on the year, gained a point

416
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Speaker 3: on him last week.

417
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Speaker 2: I think I swept last week with the yeah yeah, so.

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Speaker 3: Hanging in there. This is gonna be for me anyway.

419
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Speaker 3: It's gonna be an interesting week. I think it'll be

420
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Speaker 3: interesting for the viewers to kind of hear us go

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Speaker 3: back and forth on this because a little different than

422
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Speaker 3: my usual type of picks for this week, because it

423
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Speaker 3: is a week where, even if your team is playing

424
00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:54,920
Speaker 3: on Sunday, a little bit more distraction than usual. It's

425
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Speaker 3: kind of you know, with the holidays going on. So

426
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Speaker 3: I look for a little bit what a different style of.

427
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Speaker 2: Team to pick.

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Speaker 3: I'm usually looking for underdogs and trying to get a

429
00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:05,720
Speaker 3: little edge, you know, a point here, half a point there.

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Speaker 2: This week, I'm looking more at favorites.

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Speaker 3: I'm looking at teams that I think clearly the more

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Speaker 3: talented team and a team that I think can dominate

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Speaker 3: the other team. Because it's really tough to kind of

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Speaker 3: get a gauge on where some of these teams are.

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Speaker 3: It's tough to end skids, it's tough to kind of

436
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 3: bounce back if you don't have great momentum. Interested to

437
00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:26,320
Speaker 3: hear your kind of rebuttals for some of my picks,

438
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,520
Speaker 3: But you start us off this week, So where are

439
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:30,880
Speaker 3: you going with your first pick?

440
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,520
Speaker 1: All right? For my first pick, I'm going back to

441
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,560
Speaker 1: what we've done the past couple of weeks, and that

442
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:42,720
Speaker 1: is fade the Dolphins again. Two weeks ago, I said

443
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:46,320
Speaker 1: why are the Bills not touchdown or more favorites here?

444
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 1: Last week I said why are the Browns not fourteen

445
00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:54,760
Speaker 1: or more point favorites here? This week, I'm saying, why

446
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,960
Speaker 1: are the Eagles not ten or more point favorites here?

447
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:02,080
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are an absolute mess. We know this. The

448
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 1: roster is historically bad. There's some weird thing in the

449
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:08,159
Speaker 1: market where they the market thinks that the Dolphins are

450
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 1: a couple points bigger than I do because they beat

451
00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:13,320
Speaker 1: the Jets at home and they beat Brian Hoyer, and

452
00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:15,600
Speaker 1: I mean, this is still one of the worst rosters

453
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,639
Speaker 1: I've ever seen in my entire life, especially when you

454
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 1: consider all the injuries they've had and you know guys

455
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,399
Speaker 1: that they've traded since. So on the other hand, the

456
00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:29,199
Speaker 1: Eagles should be getting a lot healthier this week. You know,

457
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 1: Brooks should be back lane. Johnson should be back. You

458
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,280
Speaker 1: might even get Jeffrey and Algalar on the outside. But

459
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,480
Speaker 1: more importantly, the Eagles should just dominate this game in

460
00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,640
Speaker 1: the trenches, both on the offensive line and defensive line.

461
00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 1: And the Eagles defense is actually coming around. If you

462
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:46,200
Speaker 1: look over the past month, the Eagles are top five

463
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 1: in most categories in the NFL in terms of net

464
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:51,439
Speaker 1: yards per play, and you know a lot of advanced

465
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,760
Speaker 1: messers that say, look, this defense is playing a lot better.

466
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,480
Speaker 1: A lot of it is correlated with when Jalen Mills

467
00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,320
Speaker 1: came back at corner and he's playing really well there.

468
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 1: But the defense, it's Bryan Fitzpatrick trying to throw to

469
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 1: Devonte Parker. It's about it. I don't understand with these

470
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,680
Speaker 1: these Dolphins lines. They should all be fourteen, seventeen twenty

471
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,119
Speaker 1: like we were seeing earlier in the year. This is

472
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:16,400
Speaker 1: an angry, get right spot for the Eagles. They're going

473
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,919
Speaker 1: down to a Miami stadium that won't have anyone in it.

474
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,399
Speaker 1: There's no home field to speak of. They can just

475
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:24,360
Speaker 1: sit even if none of the receivers play. I don't

476
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 1: even care their offensive line's healthy. They could just throw

477
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,879
Speaker 1: to their tight ends. Even the receivers that they have

478
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,359
Speaker 1: can get open against these Dolphins corners. This line is

479
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,920
Speaker 1: too low. I'm going to be on just like the

480
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 1: last two weeks, a little bit of Eagles first half

481
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:41,199
Speaker 1: and Eagles game. This will probably be a theme the

482
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 1: rest of the year in unless the lines catch up,

483
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,320
Speaker 1: which they haven't been. I'm just gonna keep fading this

484
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:47,159
Speaker 1: Dolphins team.

485
00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you.

486
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 3: I think you know this is kind of this is

487
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,119
Speaker 3: the kind of pick you want to make in this

488
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,120
Speaker 3: type of week where it's just a clear talent discrepancy

489
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 3: and the Eagles have kind of been banged up, and

490
00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 3: it's it's probably brought the market to a place where

491
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,240
Speaker 3: you know, there the Dolphins are getting overvalue, the Eagles

492
00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:04,520
Speaker 3: are getting undervalue. But I think it's really big for

493
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,080
Speaker 3: them to just get right on the old line because

494
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,120
Speaker 3: Carson Wentz hasn't played particularly well this year.

495
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:10,440
Speaker 2: That hasn't had a lot of help.

496
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 3: But this Dolphins seed is not the same team that

497
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 3: beat the Jets or the Colds even.

498
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 1: I mean, it's like a practice squad.

499
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:21,399
Speaker 3: It's the XFL from my first pick, going with the

500
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 3: Green Bay Packers six and a half point favorites, at

501
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 3: the New York Giants faded the Packers last week, felt

502
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,639
Speaker 3: like the forty nine Ers were a freight train, you know.

503
00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 3: That kind of played out like the bounce back spot

504
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 3: for the Packers. Though Aaron Rodgers coming off a straight

505
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:37,159
Speaker 3: up loss in his career thirty two to twenty one

506
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,119
Speaker 3: sixty percent against the spread coming off and against the

507
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 3: spread loss, he's even better thirty eight twenty one and

508
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:46,440
Speaker 3: one sixty four percent. That's according to our bet Labs data.

509
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,359
Speaker 3: I think these teams, there's there's a lot separating these teams.

510
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:52,200
Speaker 3: Even though the Giants are are at home. Green Bay

511
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:56,160
Speaker 3: is number ten in weighted DVOA, which it just looks.

512
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 2: At recent games and waits them a little more heavily.

513
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 3: The Giants are twenty ninth, so they're eight bottom bottom fourteen.

514
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 3: And if you look at the Packers, six of their

515
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 3: eight wins have been by a touchdown or more. And

516
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:10,240
Speaker 3: this Giants team just doesn't profile as a team that

517
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 3: I think can stick with the pack I think generally,

518
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,879
Speaker 3: I thought the Packers, you saw what you needed to

519
00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:19,479
Speaker 3: see on defense from them to go into to New

520
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:22,639
Speaker 3: Jersey here and shut down this giant squad that you know,

521
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,800
Speaker 3: They're lucky to have even fourteen points against the Bears.

522
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 3: Last week Dallas beat him thirty seven eighteen in New Jersey.

523
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,880
Speaker 3: So I think when the Giants face a good offense,

524
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones just turns the ball over too much and

525
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,359
Speaker 3: they're facing the solid defense that can get pressure. I

526
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 3: just think too many turnovers, not enough on offense here

527
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 3: for the Giants to stay close in this one. And

528
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,360
Speaker 3: they throw in the fact that the Packers know they

529
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 3: need this one, they need to get right.

530
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers usually good.

531
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 3: At leading his team and getting the winning and getting

532
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 3: the cover in these spots. I just think that the

533
00:23:57,119 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 3: Packers are capable of completely blowing the Giant out of

534
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 3: the water. Again, six of their eight wins came by

535
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 3: at least seven points.

536
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't disagree here. I mean that the Giants

537
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 1: secondary is not great. They're not elite at getting pressure,

538
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 1: and you know, so Rodgers is going to do his thing,

539
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones not taking care of the ball. And when

540
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 1: you're playing a team like the Packers, who you know

541
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:19,679
Speaker 1: don't have a great run defense, but they create a

542
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 1: lot of havoc. They have a second and aggressive secondary,

543
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,840
Speaker 1: and then they have two great edge rushers. It spells

544
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:28,199
Speaker 1: turnovers from Daniel Jones. So I can't disagree with you

545
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 1: on the Rodgers bounce back. For my second pick, I

546
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 1: am going with another Patriots fade. I'm going with the

547
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:42,240
Speaker 1: Houston Texans plus three. You follow me on the app.

548
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 1: It's all I got a plus three and a half.

549
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 1: We'll go with the plus three consensus line right now. Look,

550
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: one thing I've always preached here. We faded the Patriots

551
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:51,360
Speaker 1: against the Ravens, and we faded the Patriots last week

552
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:54,640
Speaker 1: against Prescott. What is the common theme that quarterbacks who

553
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 1: can move around, well, guess what Deshaun Watson ken against

554
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 1: man defense at the Patriots play. It's important keep the

555
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,920
Speaker 1: sticks moving, move out of pressure that the Patriots will

556
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,959
Speaker 1: inevitably bring. And you know, if he gets past that

557
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,879
Speaker 1: first level of defense, you know he can make some

558
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,440
Speaker 1: things happen. Situationally, it's also a good spot. I mean, look,

559
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 1: Texans have extra pre extra rest here. Patriots going on

560
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,399
Speaker 1: the road after squeaking that out against Dallas, they do

561
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:22,400
Speaker 1: it's the Patriots. They'll still want to show up, they

562
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: still want to be excellent. They still need to keep

563
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 1: winning to stay ahead of the Ravens for home field.

564
00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 1: So it's not any of those things. But with this

565
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 1: is it's another fade of the Patriots offense, which still

566
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:38,600
Speaker 1: is not right. Like this offense. Here's the stat I'll

567
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:42,160
Speaker 1: throw out to you. Out of there's twenty nine quarterbacks

568
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: in the NFL that have at least two hundred and

569
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 1: fifty dropbacks on the year twenty nine when under pressure.

570
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 1: The quarterback with the lowest completion percentage is Tom Brady

571
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 1: at thirty four point five. You know that golf is

572
00:25:57,280 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 1: at forty one point seven Minshew's at forty points. Brady

573
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,239
Speaker 1: has an elbow issue, apparently he's getting older. These are

574
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:06,000
Speaker 1: all factors, but that also doesn't speak just to Brady.

575
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 1: The offensive line isn't as good, so he's under pressure

576
00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 1: a little more than usual. End it's you know, your

577
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 1: completion percentage isn't just on the quarterback, especially when you're

578
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 1: under pressure. That's chemistry with your receivers, knowing where they're

579
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,680
Speaker 1: going to be, knowing your routes, knowing when to break off.

580
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 1: The chemistry and timing aren't there. And I say this

581
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,040
Speaker 1: every week on the podcast. Well, yeah, because they have

582
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 1: different they've had different groups of receivers every week. They've

583
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 1: all been hurt. They've had you know, Antonio Brown come

584
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 1: and go, Josh Gordon come and go. They don't have

585
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,760
Speaker 1: great tight ends. Their tight ends have been different every

586
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,800
Speaker 1: week their entire season. They've beat like one or two

587
00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 1: good teams. They've had a very easy schedule, so they've

588
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,239
Speaker 1: been able to get by with his offense. But this

589
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 1: offense is nowhere close to the offenses that we're used

590
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 1: to seeing with New England. The defense is still great,

591
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 1: but I do think Houston will have some success running

592
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 1: the ball, not only with Watson but just in their

593
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 1: general running game, and that's been a weakness and I

594
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 1: think we'll continue to be a weakness for the Patriots.

595
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 1: They have excellent corners. The Texans have excellent receivers. I

596
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 1: don't think that Hopkins is going to get shut out

597
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,960
Speaker 1: like Cooper did last week. But I think the Texans

598
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,920
Speaker 1: win a close game, if not maybe lose by a

599
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,639
Speaker 1: field goal, but three and a half three and what

600
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,160
Speaker 1: I think is a coin flip game and just another

601
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 1: fate of this Patriots offense.

602
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, getting will Fuller back I think really helps because

603
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 3: we saw Dallas have some success even with Cooper getting

604
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,880
Speaker 3: shut out, have some success down the field with Michael Gallup,

605
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,360
Speaker 3: and I think a guy like Will Fuller can kind

606
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,199
Speaker 3: of replicate that Texans haven't been to be frank that

607
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,440
Speaker 3: impressive as I thought they would be this year. I've

608
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 3: kind of been dealing with some injuries, but the only

609
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:40,680
Speaker 3: thing you worry about is just the coaching. Really, like

610
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 3: Bill O'Brien versus a winning team thirteen to twenty three

611
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:48,439
Speaker 3: and one thirty six percent against the spread, you know,

612
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 3: the Patriots have a way of kind of getting these things.

613
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 2: But I do agree.

614
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,119
Speaker 3: I think the Patriots this team against teams like Baltimore

615
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 3: Houston with these mobile quarterbacks, it really is a toss

616
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 3: up because, like you said, Brad Brady's not creating anything

617
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:04,360
Speaker 3: and his receivers aren't really helping them out.

618
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:08,000
Speaker 1: And Watson as a dog, is a quarterback that I

619
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,440
Speaker 1: like to back as an underdog. And it just the

620
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 1: way that the Patriots defense operates. You know, they're obviously

621
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 1: able to play a ton of cover zero with no

622
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:17,879
Speaker 1: safety or time, and they just bring a ton of pressure.

623
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,520
Speaker 1: So if you're just a statue back there, and then

624
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 1: you have these great corners who are playing press man,

625
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,199
Speaker 1: they're gonna stop you more times not. But if you

626
00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,679
Speaker 1: have legs and you can move around the pocket and

627
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,679
Speaker 1: buy some time and use your legs to move and

628
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 1: pick up first downs and run the ball, it's just

629
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:36,640
Speaker 1: a whole different element than it makes what the Patriots

630
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 1: want to do. It neutralizes that in a lot of ways.

631
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:40,240
Speaker 2: No argument there.

632
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 3: Always worried about the coaching, but yeah, I think this

633
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 3: is a game that Euston has a good shot at winning.

634
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 2: For my second pick, don't use again now this is

635
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 2: where it starts to come in.

636
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 3: I don't usually like to do this, but going with

637
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,560
Speaker 3: the Kansas City Chiefs here got them at nine and

638
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 3: a half.

639
00:28:56,040 --> 00:29:00,200
Speaker 2: I think the consensus is ten now, so go with that, listen.

640
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 2: Raiders faded him last week.

641
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 3: One of those teams that they had a winning record

642
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 3: with a negative point differential. That always should raise red

643
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 3: flags that this team is not as good as you

644
00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 3: think it is. I think there's still a bit of

645
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 3: that going on in the market. I'm I think the

646
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,840
Speaker 3: chief should be favored by more than this ten points here.

647
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 2: And if you look at the Raiders, you know they've

648
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 2: been able.

649
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,280
Speaker 3: To stick with some teams that have had have had

650
00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 3: some issues either offensively or major issues defensively, but for

651
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 3: the most part, when they've played a good offensive team

652
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:33,720
Speaker 3: that can at least do something on defense, and the

653
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 3: Chiefs have been pretty good in past defensive They've obviously

654
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:39,239
Speaker 3: struggled in run defense. But if you just look at

655
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 3: the Raiders in games where they're facing kind of a

656
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:47,080
Speaker 3: solid all round team, decently coached, decently quarterbacked. Lost twenty

657
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 3: eight to ten to the Chiefs in Oakland, lost thirty

658
00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 3: four to fourteen to twenty point loss in Minnesota, lost

659
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 3: forty two to twenty four at Green Bay, lost and

660
00:29:57,720 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 3: then and then lost thirty four to three in New York.

661
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 2: To the Jets in Jersey.

662
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 3: Really, but you know, this Ocal team, first of all,

663
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 3: going on the road hasn't been kind to them in

664
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 3: these kind of spots. The only one they really kept

665
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 3: it close was Houston when they lost by three points

666
00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 3: to the Texans twenty seven to twenty four. But I'm

667
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 3: just betting with the Chiefs again, just a talent discrepancy.

668
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,600
Speaker 3: You have the Andy Reid with you know, more than

669
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 3: seven days to prepare where he is thirty two to

670
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:23,960
Speaker 3: twenty two and one in his career of fifty nine

671
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 3: percent against the spread. I don't think this is the

672
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 3: week Thanksgiving week where the Raiders can go on the

673
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 3: road and stop a skid against a powerful offense like this.

674
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 3: I just think the game is highly likely to get

675
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:40,120
Speaker 3: away from them to the point where dont even know

676
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 3: if they'll be in position to come close to a

677
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 3: backdoor cover like I think this could just be a

678
00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:47,800
Speaker 3: smash spot for the Chiefs. So back in the Chiefs here.

679
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 3: Big favorites don't usually like to do it, but I

680
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 3: like the spot for Casey.

681
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 2: Yeah.

682
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 1: The only thing you worry about here is I mean,

683
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 1: last week we talked about the Jets run defense being

684
00:30:57,000 --> 00:31:00,040
Speaker 1: really good, and it showed the Chiefs run defense. This

685
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 1: is obviously not so you know, but we talked about

686
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:05,880
Speaker 1: this ad nausea and that the Raiders get no pass

687
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 1: rush and they can't cover so against Patrick Mahomes, it's

688
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 1: not ideal, So they're not I don't see them getting

689
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 1: many stops at all. So the Chiefs just need to

690
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 1: figure out a way, which they were able to do

691
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 1: in the first meeting, to just get a couple stops.

692
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs is just running out will and the Raiders

693
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 1: are moving the ball, and it sets up their short passing,

694
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 1: they might then be in position to either cover or

695
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 1: get a back door in this game. But I can't

696
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 1: argue with you because the safer bet here is for

697
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 1: the Chiefs to just move the ball at will against

698
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 1: the Raiders defense that is really, really poor. I mean,

699
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 1: if you try, if you're trying to defend in today's

700
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,239
Speaker 1: NFL and you can't generate a pass rush and you

701
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:53,120
Speaker 1: cannot cover, that is just a recipe for disaster. All Right,

702
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 1: For my next and my final pick, I'm going with

703
00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 1: a spot that I have clamored for before and I

704
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 1: will do so many other times. It is a and

705
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 1: for those of you that were following me on Twitter

706
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 1: all weekend when we were when I was rooting for

707
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 1: the Bengals out right, then the Bengals cover the Bengals

708
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 1: came through. I guess what Tomlin As a road favorite

709
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 1: against bad teams, it is the worst bet you can make,

710
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 1: great fade. I think he's eight and nineteen against the spread,

711
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 1: even worse if you look at when he's a favored

712
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 1: by six or more points. But on the flip side,

713
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 1: he's one of the best motivators. And you know I

714
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,160
Speaker 1: call him the best Rara coach. So the guy that

715
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 1: you have, you know, your your high school coach. You know,

716
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:34,160
Speaker 1: the opposite of of Bill Belichick, right, the guy that

717
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 1: just comes in and gets you wanting to run through

718
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,520
Speaker 1: a wall. So when is that great? Well, when you're

719
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: an underdog, when it's he can take on the US

720
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 1: against the world mentality. Over the last fifteen years, he

721
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 1: is I think the second or third most profitable coach

722
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 1: as a home underdog. He's nine three and two against

723
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,800
Speaker 1: the spread and he's also won a bunch outright, so

724
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 1: you know this this spreads. He is a home underdog here,

725
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 1: but it's right around a pick. But this is more

726
00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:00,200
Speaker 1: about the spot. And look, I've been on the Browns

727
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:01,720
Speaker 1: three weeks in a row and they covered three weeks

728
00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 1: in a row for me. It's a miracle. The Cleveland

729
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:06,360
Speaker 1: Browns three weeks in a row covered for me. Never

730
00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 1: thought I would say this. So we were on the

731
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:09,720
Speaker 1: Browns against the Bills. We were at minus two and

732
00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 1: a half, we were on the minus two and a

733
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 1: half against it, and we were on them last week

734
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 1: every which way against the Dolphins. But now I'm jumping

735
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 1: off and if this is the spot based on what

736
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: happened at the end of that game. Tomlin, not Kitchens,

737
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 1: is going to be the one to use that to

738
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: fire up the locker, and they're going to come out.

739
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:29,440
Speaker 1: The crowd is going to be crazy. They're probably You're

740
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 1: playing a very undisciplined team too. By the way, in

741
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,440
Speaker 1: the Browns, you're gonna get a couple key penalties, but

742
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 1: the Steels are gonna come out with their hair on fire.

743
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 1: That defensive line should dominate the Browns offensive line. I

744
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:43,959
Speaker 1: got Duck Duck time, a duck going and not Mason Rudolph.

745
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 1: I don't care. I had them rated about equally, but

746
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:50,000
Speaker 1: I wanted anybody in except Mason Rudolph. Duck Hodges at

747
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 1: least is out there and we'll throw the ball down

748
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,680
Speaker 1: the field and looks at least confident. So I'm happy

749
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 1: that Hodges is in there. Some have said, you know,

750
00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 1: Rays and Grewolf is better. I don't care. I wanted

751
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 1: Hodges in Duck time. So I think that this is

752
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 1: a Baker Mayfield turnover game. Penalties on the Browns and

753
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 1: the Steelers just come out in a classic Tomlin spot

754
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 1: where he will have them fired up. That's what I'm

755
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:12,400
Speaker 1: trusting in. And now that this line is moving getting

756
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 1: to you know, Shuster might be out, which hurts obviously,

757
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,160
Speaker 1: but don't forget that Garrett being out is also big

758
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,080
Speaker 1: in this game. It wasn't against the Dolphins, it is here.

759
00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:22,680
Speaker 1: So with this line hitting two at some places, it's

760
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 1: also a great tease spot in a game that should

761
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 1: be low scoring. So teas if you can tease the

762
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 1: Steelers up above seven. So I'm riding with Tomlin here.

763
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 3: I think one thing you said, you know, undisciplined team

764
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:35,719
Speaker 3: coming off what is it three straight wins now Thanksgiving week?

765
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,760
Speaker 3: It seems it just seems like, oh okay, Odell Beckham

766
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,400
Speaker 3: finally got his touchdown. You know, everyone's kind of happy,

767
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:43,839
Speaker 3: and it just seems like that letdown spot. And then

768
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 3: you combine that going into Pittsburgh an angry team. You know,

769
00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:50,399
Speaker 3: Miles Garrett hit their former starting quarterback in the head

770
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 3: with a helmet. The situational spot definitely favors the Pittsburgh Steelers.

771
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 1: If I'm like, if I had to choose the locker

772
00:34:57,040 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: room to go into to get if I wanted to

773
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 1: just pump myself up for the game, and I got

774
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,800
Speaker 1: kitchens over here, Tomlin over here, I'm going into Tomlin's

775
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 1: room and I'll probably come out of it wearing a helmet,

776
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 1: bashing it against the wall as I'm running out to

777
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:10,399
Speaker 1: the field, helmet bashing.

778
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:12,839
Speaker 2: I like it. I see what you did there. I

779
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:13,279
Speaker 2: like it.

780
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 3: From my final pick, I think you're gonna disagree with

781
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:17,920
Speaker 3: this one. Started that we thinking I was gonna be

782
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,279
Speaker 3: on the other side. But the more I look at it,

783
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 3: the more I feel confident in the New York Jets

784
00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:26,719
Speaker 3: three and a half point favorites on the road in Cincinnati.

785
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,279
Speaker 3: The reason I like the Jets is, you know, every

786
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 3: year you have a couple of teams that they just

787
00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:35,759
Speaker 3: start to figure things out. And granted it can come

788
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 3: against bad teams, but I think there are some marked

789
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,320
Speaker 3: improvements in the Jets beyond them just beating bad teams.

790
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,720
Speaker 3: And of course they've scored thirty four and three straight

791
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:47,240
Speaker 3: against the Giants, against the Redskins, and then against the Raiders.

792
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:51,439
Speaker 3: But first of all, the Bengals are just as bad,

793
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:55,520
Speaker 3: if not worse than any of those teams on defense.

794
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 3: Second of all, I think that a lot of people

795
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,480
Speaker 3: don't realize that Jets are number five now in defensive

796
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,520
Speaker 3: dv OA. So this is not just like a battle

797
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 3: between two bad teams where you say.

798
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:08,480
Speaker 2: Okay, you know either offense, you know whoever.

799
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 3: You know the Bengals are at home, you know, maybe

800
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:13,080
Speaker 3: they'll get catch a break. I think the Jets are

801
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 3: a clearly better team in this spot. Sam Darnold playing

802
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 3: a lot better, a lot more confident. Don't think this

803
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,000
Speaker 3: is the week, you know, going back to Dalton kind

804
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:21,799
Speaker 3: of signals the Bengals don't really know, Like they don't

805
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 3: really have a plan.

806
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:23,879
Speaker 2: I don't really know what they're doing.

807
00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 3: I do agree that Dalton is worth probably a couple

808
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 3: of points to the spread. But when you talk about, Okay,

809
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 3: who do I think is gonna win this game?

810
00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:31,600
Speaker 1: The Jets?

811
00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:33,680
Speaker 2: Who do I think can dominate this game?

812
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:34,360
Speaker 1: The Jets.

813
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:37,920
Speaker 3: I think the Jets can flat out just dominate the Bengals,

814
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 3: because again, the defense top five DVA overall, not just

815
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:44,879
Speaker 3: against the run overall dv OA top five. And then

816
00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 3: we look at what a couple of changes they've made.

817
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:50,919
Speaker 3: Lashawn Austin cornerback. He has a PFF grade of eighty

818
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,960
Speaker 3: seven point five. He doesn't have enough snaps yet to qualify,

819
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 3: but if he did, that would be a top three

820
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:59,920
Speaker 3: mark in the entire league. He's really solidified that that

821
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,719
Speaker 3: corner spot in place of Darryl Roberts. You also have

822
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,040
Speaker 3: Brian Poole in the slot playing really well, which is

823
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,360
Speaker 3: important when you play the Bengals because of course, Alex

824
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:10,680
Speaker 3: Erickson and Tyler Boyd tend to be their best means

825
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:12,080
Speaker 3: of moving the football down the field.

826
00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 2: Bengals aren't gonna be able.

827
00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:15,440
Speaker 3: To run because the Jets have the top run defense

828
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 3: or top two run defense. You don't expect them to

829
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 3: be able to throw as much because the Jets have

830
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 3: solidified that their cornerback spots and two of the most

831
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:25,439
Speaker 3: important cornerback spots when you're facing the Bengals. The Jets

832
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 3: still have really good safety play with Adams in may

833
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 3: you know, top.

834
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:28,759
Speaker 2: Ten safety play.

835
00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 3: You just kind of look at it like, Okay, where's

836
00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:34,320
Speaker 3: the advantage now going to come for the Bengals if

837
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 3: the Jets offense has kind of figured some things out

838
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:39,279
Speaker 3: and are playing well and are kind of taking care.

839
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:40,960
Speaker 2: Of business against these bad defenses.

840
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 3: So I like the Jets actually got them at three

841
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 3: with a little bit of juice, But we'll go with

842
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:49,080
Speaker 3: three three and a half, which is the consensus line here.

843
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 3: But again, this is just a spot where I think

844
00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:54,360
Speaker 3: some people, a lot of people probably will be on

845
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 3: the Bengals, but I think that this is not the

846
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 3: week in my opinion, where the Bengals are able to

847
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,400
Speaker 3: this kid Andy Dalton or not.

848
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:05,440
Speaker 1: Well, you already know what I'm gonna say. This is

849
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:08,719
Speaker 1: the time to sell the Jets. I mean, let's be honest.

850
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,360
Speaker 1: In November, there's love building for the Jets now. But

851
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:13,279
Speaker 1: in November they played the Dolphins, who they lost to

852
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,320
Speaker 1: by eight. They played the Giants, they played the Redskins,

853
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:18,640
Speaker 1: and then they played the Raiders, and they did beat

854
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,719
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. And that result is one thing that does

855
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:23,799
Speaker 1: give me a little pause because it looks more like,

856
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:26,600
Speaker 1: all right, that's what this team is starting to look like.

857
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:28,960
Speaker 1: The run defense is legit. But now you're talking I

858
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 1: grabbed plus four three, I probably wouldn't have grabbed it.

859
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 1: I grabbed bus four once I heard Dalton was playing.

860
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:37,120
Speaker 1: If you look at the Jets earlier in the year,

861
00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:38,920
Speaker 1: a lot of their numbers look worse than they are

862
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:42,440
Speaker 1: because they had Luke Falk at quarterback, and Luke Falk

863
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,759
Speaker 1: what we've found out is one of the worst quarterbacks

864
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 1: to start in NFL history, But so was Ryan Finley.

865
00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:52,640
Speaker 1: Ryan Finley is very close to Luke Falk. So Andy

866
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:56,839
Speaker 1: Dalton is still a competent NFL quarterback and you're gonna

867
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 1: have to pass against the Jets. So if this was

868
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:03,960
Speaker 1: Ryan Finley playing, there's no shot I would play Cincinnati.

869
00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 1: But there's another thing here that in just a sneaking suspicion.

870
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 1: But the other thing here is why is why are

871
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 1: the Bengals going with Dalton.

872
00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:15,600
Speaker 2: They're definite to wing, that's what they think they can

873
00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:16,480
Speaker 2: beat the Jets here.

874
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:18,719
Speaker 1: Yes, but listen, but they're wrong.

875
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:20,240
Speaker 2: They've been wrong all year about everything.

876
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:21,520
Speaker 1: I don't even know if I'm dead wrong on this

877
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:22,920
Speaker 1: because I haven't gotten up there. I've been doing the

878
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 1: college spot before this. I'm thinking this is a directive

879
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 1: from mister A. J. Green, who you may see out

880
00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:33,080
Speaker 1: on the field on Sunday thoughts. You're the fantasy guy

881
00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 1: that keeps up with it.

882
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:35,400
Speaker 2: I think I think I think he's not coming back.

883
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:36,400
Speaker 2: I think he's not gonna play this year.

884
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 1: I don't think he's gonna play all year.

885
00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 2: I can be wrong.

886
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:42,800
Speaker 1: Dalton playing would be like Green, him, Green and Taylor

887
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:45,000
Speaker 1: in a room. Taylor trying to get him to play,

888
00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:47,120
Speaker 1: and he says, look, I'm not playing with Ryan Finley.

889
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 1: I'll play if Dalton starts. So don't be shot if

890
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:53,760
Speaker 1: you see Aj Green now on that field on Sunday,

891
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:55,239
Speaker 1: which would only be a bump. But I mean, I

892
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:56,560
Speaker 1: can't hate you for playing the matchup.

893
00:39:56,560 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 3: But I took yeah, I mean I like to the

894
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:01,960
Speaker 3: with you like and it's I saw you take the

895
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,080
Speaker 3: plus four and I was like, you know, the Bengal's

896
00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:06,919
Speaker 3: probably the right play. But I think the Jets right

897
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:09,080
Speaker 3: now are a good football team.

898
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:10,440
Speaker 2: Like I don't know, I don't know.

899
00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:11,799
Speaker 3: I just don't know if this is the week that

900
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:13,759
Speaker 3: like like the Bengals to me just seemed desperate, Like

901
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:15,799
Speaker 3: I don't Aj Green is quote unquote day to day.

902
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:17,480
Speaker 2: He's been day to day forever.

903
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,959
Speaker 3: The Bengals are notoriously kind of like like they always

904
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 3: present more of an optimistic look than it seems with

905
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 3: these with their injuries.

906
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 2: That's just what they've been known to do. But man.

907
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,120
Speaker 1: For last week against the Steelers and didn't play Dalton,

908
00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:34,560
Speaker 1: So why this week there has another And I think

909
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 1: it might have to do with Greens. It's just it's

910
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:36,800
Speaker 1: just a theory.

911
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:38,879
Speaker 3: I think that they now they have a two game

912
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,239
Speaker 3: we lead for the first pick, and now they're in

913
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:44,719
Speaker 3: like panic mode on some like like we wanted, we

914
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:47,080
Speaker 3: wanted like the first pick is nice and we we'd

915
00:40:47,120 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 3: love to do that, but we also didn't mean to

916
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 3: go Owen sixteen. And now we see, you know, on paper,

917
00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:54,400
Speaker 3: it's like, okay, the Jets. They look they're winnable, Like

918
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 3: you know, they're obviously on paper a winnable matchup for

919
00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 3: the Bengals, and I think they're desperate to get win

920
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 3: and that they have a couple winnable games up ahead

921
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 3: where they have the Steelers on deck to it again.

922
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:05,520
Speaker 2: Right, I think they have another win.

923
00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:06,840
Speaker 3: I know they have the Dolphins coming up in a

924
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:08,799
Speaker 3: couple weeks, but I think they have another winnable game

925
00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:11,239
Speaker 3: before that coming up, and I just think they feel

926
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:12,040
Speaker 3: like they need to get a win.

927
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:13,440
Speaker 2: I just don't see it with.

928
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:15,440
Speaker 3: This improved Like the Jets have improved in all the

929
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:17,839
Speaker 3: areas that you would kind of knock them for, Like, man,

930
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 3: if the Bengals win, I mean, I'll I'll take the lump,

931
00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:22,239
Speaker 3: but I don't see it.

932
00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:24,360
Speaker 2: I don't see it on this week. Yea let's just

933
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:24,640
Speaker 2: move on.

934
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 3: Let me mention one thing, because we did talk about

935
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:30,879
Speaker 3: that Patriots team and their offense and howards struggling. And

936
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:33,800
Speaker 3: as we've done the past three weeks, we are running

937
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:38,000
Speaker 3: a new Fade Darren Ravel promotion with our friends at

938
00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:42,080
Speaker 3: points bet sportsbook. This week, our colleague Darren Ravel taken

939
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:46,279
Speaker 3: Tom Brady plus Deshaun Watson passing prop He's taking under

940
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,400
Speaker 3: four hundred and ninety nine and a half combined passing yards,

941
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 3: and points Bet is boosting the odds on the over

942
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 3: from minus one twenty to plus one twenty, which is

943
00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:59,440
Speaker 3: certainly a big advantage. So if you're interested in fading

944
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 3: our guy, Darren Ravel, just follow the link in this

945
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 3: episode description for more details. All right, now, let's get

946
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 3: into our favorite over under of the week. We've been

947
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:13,799
Speaker 3: spot on with these, I think more than anything on

948
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,320
Speaker 3: this podcast for the duration of the season.

949
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 2: So okaick it to you. Who do you got this week?

950
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:21,000
Speaker 1: Well, you stole my under, which you'll get to next.

951
00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:24,399
Speaker 1: And this was the toughest podcast we've had to record

952
00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 1: as far as picks, because you know you on Thanksgiving.

953
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:30,719
Speaker 1: We're recording this earlier than usual and there's a limited

954
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:32,839
Speaker 1: amount of games on Sunday. So as of right now,

955
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:35,680
Speaker 1: I don't love any totals on Sunday, but one I

956
00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 1: think I might play. Look, the Bucks over is worth

957
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 1: a look again, even against the Jags. I don't know

958
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 1: if I'll play it, but the Bucks over is my

959
00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:46,360
Speaker 1: favorite thing in the world. They've hit nine overs in

960
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:48,640
Speaker 1: a row. The Bucks don't have the pass defense, and

961
00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 1: they can move the ball and they'll turn it over

962
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 1: for you. It's just a recipe for overs. But I

963
00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:54,480
Speaker 1: decided to dig into that some more and what's going

964
00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 1: on with the Jags, So I ended up rolling with

965
00:42:58,680 --> 00:43:03,200
Speaker 1: the Panthers Red Skins Under the Panthers, you know, they've

966
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:06,680
Speaker 1: been reeling here of late. They've played some good teams

967
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 1: though when they came back down to Earth. But I

968
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:11,520
Speaker 1: think that, you know, I still think Kyle Allen is broken,

969
00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 1: even though he had a good game last week against

970
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,320
Speaker 1: the Saints. But I just don't think that the Skins

971
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:19,280
Speaker 1: will have much success here. They won last week. The Panthers'

972
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:21,760
Speaker 1: run day is still kind of shaky. I'm not afraid

973
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:24,880
Speaker 1: of the Redskins rush offense, and one of the reasons

974
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:27,360
Speaker 1: why the Panthers run d is shaky is because they

975
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:30,000
Speaker 1: switched from a four to three to a three to

976
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 1: four in the offseason, and that's in order to generate

977
00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 1: more of a pass rush, which they've been able to do.

978
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:38,160
Speaker 1: But their linebackers have also been out of position and

979
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:41,400
Speaker 1: a weakened their run defense. They've also had some injuries

980
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 1: up front. But I'm not afraid of the Redskins running

981
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:46,880
Speaker 1: wild on the Panthers. And I also think that they

982
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:49,760
Speaker 1: can get pressure on Haskins, and if you pressure Haskins,

983
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,960
Speaker 1: he gets completely off of his game and he still

984
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 1: just looks shaky and inaccurate, missing some easy throws. So

985
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:57,800
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have a really tough time scoring.

986
00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 1: I think the Skins can put up some resistance on defense.

987
00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 1: They have some talent up front, So give me the

988
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 1: under forty and a half there.

989
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:07,399
Speaker 3: It was a pretty big outlier that one game, of course,

990
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:09,400
Speaker 3: against the New York Jets, which is, you know, the

991
00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:11,560
Speaker 3: Jets just seemed to be kind of getting it right

992
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:13,680
Speaker 3: on offense lately. But besides that, I mean, you look

993
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,920
Speaker 3: back all these games Callahan has coached as the interim

994
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 3: coach for John Gruden. Seventeen sixteen against Miami nine to nothing, lost,

995
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:25,280
Speaker 3: to the Niners, nineteen nine loss to the Minnesota Vikings

996
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:27,560
Speaker 3: twenty four to nine. Man, they love scoring nine points

997
00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 3: or having nine points in twenty four to nine loss

998
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 3: to the Buffalo Bills, then that thirty four to seventeen

999
00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:34,000
Speaker 3: Jets game where they got behind thirty four to three,

1000
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:36,440
Speaker 3: and then nineteen to sixteen against the Lions.

1001
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 2: So I mean, I I've also been kind of.

1002
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 3: Hammering these Redskins unders since Callahan took over there one

1003
00:44:40,640 --> 00:44:41,760
Speaker 3: of the most run heavy teams.

1004
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 2: That Jets game was an outlier, or maybe not an

1005
00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:45,560
Speaker 2: outlier for the Jets.

1006
00:44:45,560 --> 00:44:47,840
Speaker 3: We'll see if they can take care of business against Cincinnati,

1007
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 3: but yeah, I think you kind of got it better

1008
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:52,040
Speaker 3: under the Redskins unders here. I think the only thing

1009
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:55,840
Speaker 3: that maybe could could destroy this is Christian McCaffrey just

1010
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:58,160
Speaker 3: having a day and you know, you know, scoring like

1011
00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 3: three touchdowns on his own or something like that, and

1012
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:03,280
Speaker 3: the Panthers get another turnover or too. But generally speaking,

1013
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 3: I think Redskins unders are the play and are going

1014
00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:07,160
Speaker 3: to be the play for.

1015
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:07,920
Speaker 2: The rest of the season.

1016
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 3: Looks like fifty seven percent of the best ninety six

1017
00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:13,120
Speaker 3: percent of the money's on the under here at forty.

1018
00:45:13,160 --> 00:45:15,239
Speaker 3: So by the time you guys listen to this, if

1019
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 3: you if you agree with the pick, you probably want

1020
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:19,480
Speaker 3: to jump on it because I could see this gipping

1021
00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:23,080
Speaker 3: under forty sooner than later a similar in a similar

1022
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:26,160
Speaker 3: vein the total. I'm going with under forty in Cleveland Pittsburgh,

1023
00:45:26,200 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 3: and you know, kind of similar reasons. I mean, you

1024
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 3: got Duck Hodges on one side, you got a strong

1025
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,839
Speaker 3: Steelers probably still underrated just because a lot of talk

1026
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:36,000
Speaker 3: about their offense, but the bottom line is their defense

1027
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,040
Speaker 3: has been one of the best in the league.

1028
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:39,800
Speaker 2: You mentioned it. They get a ton of pressure.

1029
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:43,120
Speaker 3: So like the Steelers defense in this spot to kind

1030
00:45:43,120 --> 00:45:46,360
Speaker 3: of win with this Browns offense on the other side,

1031
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:48,440
Speaker 3: I mean, you don't know exactly what you're gonna get

1032
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:49,919
Speaker 3: out of Pittsburgh, Let's be honest.

1033
00:45:49,960 --> 00:45:51,360
Speaker 2: I mean, you're gonna probably just get a ton of

1034
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 2: running the ball.

1035
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 3: Tomlin usually good in these spots, and I think you know,

1036
00:45:54,719 --> 00:45:57,360
Speaker 3: if you know Tomlin has success in this spot and

1037
00:45:57,400 --> 00:45:59,319
Speaker 3: the Steelers have success, it's gonna because of their defense.

1038
00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:01,320
Speaker 3: I don't think they're gonna go out and score twenty

1039
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,279
Speaker 3: eight points with Duck Hodges and a banged up offense. Right,

1040
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,680
Speaker 3: So at the end of the day, the last game

1041
00:46:06,719 --> 00:46:09,839
Speaker 3: was a twenty one seven Browns win. You know, if

1042
00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:11,680
Speaker 3: this one's close, I think it's it's another one kind

1043
00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:14,279
Speaker 3: of like the Cincinnati game sixteen to ten, something like

1044
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:15,399
Speaker 3: that might have.

1045
00:46:15,760 --> 00:46:17,520
Speaker 2: Might have some wins playing in here.

1046
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 3: We like the wind that usually lead to about a

1047
00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:23,480
Speaker 3: fifty six percent hit rate just blind betting on unders

1048
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:26,799
Speaker 3: in windy games. You have the divisional under angle here,

1049
00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 3: so I mean lots of like give me the underfund.

1050
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:35,480
Speaker 1: Tomlin spots his raw Ross spots that when I played football,

1051
00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:38,160
Speaker 1: I played in high school like most people that did,

1052
00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:40,640
Speaker 1: I played on both sides. When you were like really

1053
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 1: pumped up for a game, it showed much more on

1054
00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 1: the defensive side. Like offense, you're worried about execution. It's

1055
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 1: not like you're flying around when you're really pumped up.

1056
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:51,799
Speaker 1: Whenever you Tomlin has these, you know, spots whereas team

1057
00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:54,440
Speaker 1: is fired up, it's not like you have the offensive

1058
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:58,040
Speaker 1: lineman running out there and it's the defense comes out

1059
00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 1: swarming and that's when the crowd is op So it

1060
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 1: all these things on these Thomas spots are what it

1061
00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:07,400
Speaker 1: usually translates to the defensive side.

1062
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, totally agree. So that that does it for our

1063
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:11,319
Speaker 2: favorite total.

1064
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:13,919
Speaker 3: Just to recap as far as the Sunday six pack,

1065
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,560
Speaker 3: Stuck had the Texans plus three against the Pats, Steelers

1066
00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:20,880
Speaker 3: plus two against the Cleveland Browns, and the Eagles minus

1067
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:23,720
Speaker 3: nine and a half against the Dolphins. And then Stuck's

1068
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 3: total is under forty in Washington, Carolina. I had Packers

1069
00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:32,120
Speaker 3: minus six and a half against the Giants, Jets minus

1070
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 3: three and a half against the Bengals, Chiefs, minus nine

1071
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:36,840
Speaker 3: and a half against the Raiders, and I'm going under

1072
00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:43,040
Speaker 3: forty in Steelers Browns. Okay, now let's get to our

1073
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:44,720
Speaker 3: weekly teaser segment.

1074
00:47:45,280 --> 00:47:48,400
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

1075
00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:50,840
Speaker 3: All right, this is a standard six point two team teaser.

1076
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:52,439
Speaker 3: If you're not familiar, it just means you get six

1077
00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:54,640
Speaker 3: extra points for each team you're bet on to cover

1078
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:58,240
Speaker 3: with against the spread, and first light, we reduced payout.

1079
00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:01,520
Speaker 2: Stuck, who do you have this week?

1080
00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:04,000
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, So there's a lot of great teaser options

1081
00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:05,520
Speaker 1: this week, but a lot of them aren't On Sunday,

1082
00:48:06,000 --> 00:48:10,759
Speaker 1: I mentioned Dallas potentially the Lions, also the Vikings on

1083
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 1: Monday Night, teasing them from three up to nine. The

1084
00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:15,000
Speaker 1: Sealks don't win games on more than one possession. They've

1085
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:17,440
Speaker 1: only won one all year. They have nine wins all right,

1086
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,640
Speaker 1: So but if we're sticking with Sundays here, Titans are

1087
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:23,440
Speaker 1: a great teaser piece. People have to start giving more

1088
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:26,879
Speaker 1: credit to how Ryan Tannell was playing. He's playing really

1089
00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 1: well since taken over at quarterback. But I really like

1090
00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:33,720
Speaker 1: their defense still. The Colts also only play one possession games.

1091
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:37,600
Speaker 1: They have only played one game that hasn't been decided

1092
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:40,600
Speaker 1: by one possession all season, so this one should be

1093
00:48:40,600 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 1: close divisional battle, really important game both teams at six

1094
00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:45,600
Speaker 1: and five. Give me just that classic teas from two

1095
00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:47,520
Speaker 1: and a half up to eight and a half. Another

1096
00:48:47,560 --> 00:48:51,320
Speaker 1: divisional matchup which should be low scoring between the Chargers

1097
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,759
Speaker 1: and Broncos, teaching the Broncos from a field goal up

1098
00:48:53,800 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 1: to plus nine in a total that's thirty eight and

1099
00:48:56,680 --> 00:49:00,960
Speaker 1: a half. Again, who always plays one possession games, Philip Rivers,

1100
00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:05,960
Speaker 1: So sticking with that trend here, So Broncos teasing from

1101
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,080
Speaker 1: three to nine and Titans from plus two and a

1102
00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:09,120
Speaker 1: half to plus eight and a half.

1103
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:12,320
Speaker 3: For my teas, I'm going with the Green Bay Packers

1104
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:14,680
Speaker 3: mentioned it Alta liked them as a teas while they're

1105
00:49:14,680 --> 00:49:16,400
Speaker 3: at six and a half. I think I think this

1106
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:18,520
Speaker 3: is a really good spot, you know, for them to

1107
00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:21,359
Speaker 3: win the game. I think they cover two, but if

1108
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:23,680
Speaker 3: you like teasing, you can tease them down to half point.

1109
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:25,600
Speaker 3: I think they should be able to get that win.

1110
00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:28,400
Speaker 3: And then yeah, going with the Titans here plus eight

1111
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:30,840
Speaker 3: and a half. Again, don't ever take my word for

1112
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,160
Speaker 3: Titans picks, because I never I'm never seem to be

1113
00:49:33,200 --> 00:49:35,200
Speaker 3: on the right side here, but I'm with you, stuck.

1114
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:38,560
Speaker 3: I think this just screams one possession game. It was

1115
00:49:38,560 --> 00:49:40,200
Speaker 3: a one possion game. The first time they met, it

1116
00:49:40,200 --> 00:49:41,959
Speaker 3: was a two point game. I don't see them getting

1117
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:44,239
Speaker 3: blown out here by the Indianapolis coach. So yeah, I'm

1118
00:49:44,239 --> 00:49:46,680
Speaker 3: going Titans teasing them from two and a half to

1119
00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 3: eight and a half, and then Packers from six and

1120
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,319
Speaker 3: a half down to a half point. Now it's time

1121
00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:53,840
Speaker 3: for our underdog moneyline parlay.

1122
00:49:56,880 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends in two great weekends, It's time for

1123
00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:06,960
Speaker 1: the money line parlay. Yeah, we're rolling with the Texans.

1124
00:50:07,200 --> 00:50:10,360
Speaker 1: That coin flip game to me a good spot. Trusting

1125
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:13,720
Speaker 1: Watson here and fading the Pats offense which is broken

1126
00:50:13,800 --> 00:50:15,360
Speaker 1: until further notice.

1127
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:17,600
Speaker 2: And I am going with there you have it, the

1128
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:24,759
Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals, Ray Baun's betting hun Kyler Murray. There they are.

1129
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 3: And listen, man, I came into the season high on

1130
00:50:27,880 --> 00:50:30,239
Speaker 3: the Rams and Jared goffin it. It just hasn't been there.

1131
00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 3: They haven't been able to beat good teams, and I

1132
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:35,320
Speaker 3: think they this is a team that's going to struggle against.

1133
00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:37,040
Speaker 3: The Cardinals to me, are an average team. And if

1134
00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 3: you look back at their recent results. Okay, so they

1135
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:41,439
Speaker 3: lose to the forty nine Ers thirty six twenty six,

1136
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,279
Speaker 3: but that was kind of a fluky scorer. Even with

1137
00:50:44,280 --> 00:50:46,719
Speaker 3: the forty nine scoring on the last play, it was

1138
00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 3: thirty twenty seven of the Bucks. They move twenty eight

1139
00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:50,520
Speaker 3: twenty five to the Niners and they get bron up

1140
00:50:50,520 --> 00:50:52,719
Speaker 3: by the Saints. They beat the Giants, they beat the

1141
00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 3: falcon So this is a team that could definitely hang

1142
00:50:56,120 --> 00:50:59,040
Speaker 3: in there with the Rams long enough. I think, especially

1143
00:50:59,120 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 3: this version of the Rams, especially with the Cardinals more

1144
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:05,160
Speaker 3: time to prepare coming off to buy Rams on a

1145
00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:07,880
Speaker 3: short week, I think this is a good spot.

1146
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:09,319
Speaker 2: For the Cardinals to kind of sneak one in there.

1147
00:51:09,600 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 3: You know, their defense has been a little better with

1148
00:51:11,160 --> 00:51:14,200
Speaker 3: Patrick Peterson, they've been a little better against the run.

1149
00:51:14,920 --> 00:51:18,120
Speaker 3: And you know, listen, the Rams had trouble against a

1150
00:51:18,200 --> 00:51:20,719
Speaker 3: mobile quarterback in Lamar Jackson. Now you have to deal

1151
00:51:20,719 --> 00:51:23,640
Speaker 3: with Kyler Murray and and Cluff Kingsbury with extra time

1152
00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:25,799
Speaker 3: to prep. So you know, the line that's kind of

1153
00:51:25,800 --> 00:51:29,600
Speaker 3: moved in Arizona's favorite was I think Rams four minus

1154
00:51:29,640 --> 00:51:31,719
Speaker 3: forward to start four and a half, and now it's

1155
00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:33,840
Speaker 3: down to three. So it looks like some of the

1156
00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 3: big money is coming in on the Cardinals there, and

1157
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:38,480
Speaker 3: I think they have enough to sneak in this divisional

1158
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:40,839
Speaker 3: win and what could be a lower scoring game than

1159
00:51:40,840 --> 00:51:44,000
Speaker 3: some people think, So going with the Cardinals plus one

1160
00:51:44,040 --> 00:51:47,040
Speaker 3: forty with your Texans plus one sixty five, that would

1161
00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:50,000
Speaker 3: be a five hundred and thirty six dollars payout. So

1162
00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:51,680
Speaker 3: if you bet one hundred dollars, you would win six

1163
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:54,960
Speaker 3: thirty six if you parwayed these two dogs and they hit.

1164
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:57,040
Speaker 3: To calculate payouts for parways or any other bet go

1165
00:51:57,080 --> 00:52:01,480
Speaker 3: to Action Network dot com slash betting. Thatsh calculators and

1166
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:03,799
Speaker 3: now let's could they cover the best of the rest,

1167
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:05,319
Speaker 3: which is all the games we didn't get to in

1168
00:52:05,360 --> 00:52:08,040
Speaker 3: any other segment. So we only have two games here,

1169
00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:09,839
Speaker 3: and one of them should be a really good one.

1170
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:11,880
Speaker 3: Almost don't even want to bet on this game, just

1171
00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 3: to kind of enjoy it. Ten and one San Francisco

1172
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,800
Speaker 3: at nine into Baltimore Ravens six point favorites. The total

1173
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 3: is forty six fifty seven percent of the bets eighty

1174
00:52:20,640 --> 00:52:22,640
Speaker 3: one percent of the money on the Ravens, which is

1175
00:52:22,640 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 3: interesting because I feel like the Sharps were on the

1176
00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:28,440
Speaker 3: Rams last week and now it seems like everyone's on

1177
00:52:28,480 --> 00:52:31,400
Speaker 3: the Ravens here seventy eight percent of the bets, ninety

1178
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:33,759
Speaker 3: six percent of the money on the over forty six

1179
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:34,759
Speaker 3: Stuck thoughts on this game.

1180
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:38,600
Speaker 1: The forty nine Ers should present the biggest challenge to

1181
00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:40,840
Speaker 1: the Ravens all year, especially with how they play defense

1182
00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 1: on the back end. It's going to come down to

1183
00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:45,400
Speaker 1: which defense, and the same thing with the with the Ravens.

1184
00:52:45,400 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 1: I don't think that the forty nine Ers are going

1185
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:48,960
Speaker 1: to have much success passing the ball at all. I mean,

1186
00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:51,480
Speaker 1: the Ravens really do now have three elite corners. Jimmy

1187
00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:54,800
Speaker 1: spits up the game speed, Marcus Peters Elite man corners

1188
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:57,200
Speaker 1: have gone over colviless times now that he's healthy, and

1189
00:52:57,200 --> 00:52:59,520
Speaker 1: then obviously Marlon Humphrey. So it's going to come down

1190
00:52:59,520 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 1: to with team can have more success running the ball,

1191
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:05,480
Speaker 1: and that also comes down, you know, includes Lamar Jackson.

1192
00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:08,560
Speaker 1: What's happening to these teams though? The Ravens runs such

1193
00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 1: a unique offense and Lamar Jackson is so difficult to

1194
00:53:11,320 --> 00:53:13,879
Speaker 1: defend and he's playing so well that the Ravens are

1195
00:53:13,920 --> 00:53:17,280
Speaker 1: just jumping on teams early. And then what that does

1196
00:53:17,800 --> 00:53:20,600
Speaker 1: is they can play aggressively on defense. They have the

1197
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:23,120
Speaker 1: corners to mand you up. They're bringing a ton of pressure,

1198
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:25,440
Speaker 1: and then it takes other teams out of their running game.

1199
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:28,239
Speaker 1: It makes them one demension. I don't think that the Ravens,

1200
00:53:28,520 --> 00:53:29,920
Speaker 1: you know, maybe they will, I don't think they'll be

1201
00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:32,280
Speaker 1: able to go up you know, fourteen seventeen nothing against

1202
00:53:32,320 --> 00:53:34,920
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers. So then I think this game

1203
00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:37,799
Speaker 1: becomes more of a grind and who can grind out

1204
00:53:37,800 --> 00:53:40,960
Speaker 1: more possessions? I mean, the Ravens right now are scoring

1205
00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:44,160
Speaker 1: at a hot on more higher frequency of possessions at

1206
00:53:44,160 --> 00:53:47,719
Speaker 1: any team in NFL history since the merger. So they

1207
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:50,040
Speaker 1: are scoring on almost every possession, especially if late. But

1208
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:51,440
Speaker 1: I think it's like fifty eight percent of the year.

1209
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:53,359
Speaker 1: It's crazy. It's not gonna be as easy for them

1210
00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:54,759
Speaker 1: as it has been, at least I don't think so.

1211
00:53:54,960 --> 00:53:57,480
Speaker 1: Both teams are coming across the country from the West coast.

1212
00:53:57,560 --> 00:53:59,120
Speaker 1: The forty hundreds did have an extra day of prep.

1213
00:53:59,160 --> 00:54:01,719
Speaker 1: They played on Sunday. The Ravens played on Monday night.

1214
00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:04,880
Speaker 1: But the shock of seeing Lamar for the first time

1215
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:08,480
Speaker 1: all these teams, that just seems to be with how

1216
00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:10,759
Speaker 1: well the Ravens offense is playing, it is such an

1217
00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:12,920
Speaker 1: advantage for the Ravens and they're jumping out to a

1218
00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:15,160
Speaker 1: lead and then it enables them to do everything that

1219
00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:17,160
Speaker 1: they want to do. So if the forty niners can

1220
00:54:17,160 --> 00:54:18,960
Speaker 1: hang in there early, and which should be a raucous

1221
00:54:19,080 --> 00:54:21,319
Speaker 1: environment at the Bank, especially after what the Ravens did

1222
00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:24,240
Speaker 1: last week, then I think they can hang around here

1223
00:54:24,600 --> 00:54:27,360
Speaker 1: and they can have some success running right at the Ravens,

1224
00:54:27,400 --> 00:54:30,480
Speaker 1: which they're the heart and the underbelly of that defense

1225
00:54:30,560 --> 00:54:33,280
Speaker 1: is the weakness. So I think it'll be a fascinating matchup.

1226
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:35,760
Speaker 1: I think the Ravens end up pulling it out. Wouldn't

1227
00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:37,520
Speaker 1: be shocked with the forty nine ers do a lot

1228
00:54:37,520 --> 00:54:39,239
Speaker 1: of it will come down at the start of the game.

1229
00:54:39,719 --> 00:54:40,960
Speaker 1: But line looks about right to me.

1230
00:54:41,320 --> 00:54:42,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I think.

1231
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:44,480
Speaker 3: This will be a troubling spot for Sam fran I

1232
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:46,920
Speaker 3: think you know, loved them last week. Again, I just

1233
00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:49,040
Speaker 3: think if you look at them, who they struggled with

1234
00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:52,400
Speaker 3: is like the Cardinals Kyler Murray mobile quarterback. They we

1235
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:56,880
Speaker 3: also the Seattle Seahawks mobile quarterback Russell Wilson, and there

1236
00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:58,719
Speaker 3: they still have some weaknesses on run defense and they're

1237
00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:01,040
Speaker 3: the more likely team to turn it over. They're going

1238
00:55:01,040 --> 00:55:04,080
Speaker 3: on the road, They're going across the country. Ravens have

1239
00:55:04,200 --> 00:55:08,040
Speaker 3: just been a different team with Peters and Jimmy Smith healthy.

1240
00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:10,399
Speaker 3: So if I had to pick a side, probably would

1241
00:55:10,400 --> 00:55:12,200
Speaker 3: go Baltimore. Don't love it just because I think this

1242
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:14,480
Speaker 3: is really good forty nine team, but I wouldn't be

1243
00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:16,359
Speaker 3: surprised to see them pick up their second loss and

1244
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:20,279
Speaker 3: get blown out here in Baltimore. And the second game

1245
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 3: we have is remaining on the best of the rest

1246
00:55:22,640 --> 00:55:24,880
Speaker 3: four and seven Tampa Bay going to four and seven Jacksonville.

1247
00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:27,319
Speaker 3: Jacksonville favored by a point forty eight and a half

1248
00:55:27,440 --> 00:55:30,000
Speaker 3: is the total eighty two percent of the bets ninety

1249
00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:32,520
Speaker 3: two percent of the money on the Bucks, fifty three

1250
00:55:32,560 --> 00:55:34,800
Speaker 3: percent of the bets, eighty two percent of the money

1251
00:55:34,800 --> 00:55:36,760
Speaker 3: on the under anything on this one stuff.

1252
00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:38,960
Speaker 1: I think James Winston, by the way, already's like one

1253
00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:41,760
Speaker 1: and eleven straight up or something in the last twelve games.

1254
00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:43,879
Speaker 1: Is when the spreads between like two and two when

1255
00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:46,879
Speaker 1: it's a toss up. I generally liked backing Jamis as

1256
00:55:46,880 --> 00:55:49,520
Speaker 1: a dog. I generally like looking at overs with the Bucks.

1257
00:55:49,520 --> 00:55:51,560
Speaker 1: This year, they've hit nine straight. I have to dig

1258
00:55:51,600 --> 00:55:54,040
Speaker 1: into what's going on with the jag. So we'll have

1259
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,880
Speaker 1: later in the week all of our game previews on

1260
00:55:56,920 --> 00:55:59,239
Speaker 1: every game on actionwork dot Com, the Action Nework app.

1261
00:55:59,560 --> 00:56:02,200
Speaker 1: So they've beat by twenty plus in the last three

1262
00:56:02,280 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 1: games in all divisional games. Very worrying. But the Bucks

1263
00:56:06,560 --> 00:56:09,000
Speaker 1: aren't going to run the ball, which is something that

1264
00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:11,640
Speaker 1: Note and Foles might be getting back into. He's been

1265
00:56:11,640 --> 00:56:14,040
Speaker 1: throwing it a ton. He's having some success and not

1266
00:56:14,120 --> 00:56:15,680
Speaker 1: really fine in the end zone. But against the Buck

1267
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:18,640
Speaker 1: secondary he's starting to get up the game speed. I

1268
00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:20,799
Speaker 1: imagine he can have some success. But and I think

1269
00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:23,879
Speaker 1: Jamis will have success with his receivers as he usually does.

1270
00:56:24,320 --> 00:56:25,920
Speaker 1: I just want to dig into what's going on with

1271
00:56:26,000 --> 00:56:28,800
Speaker 1: the Jags if it's a deeper problem than what I'm seeing.

1272
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 3: I think, you know, at first glance, I was looking

1273
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:32,719
Speaker 3: at this one like, Okay, you got to take the

1274
00:56:32,760 --> 00:56:34,880
Speaker 3: Jags here. There's no way you could say the Bucks

1275
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:37,399
Speaker 3: are two points better on a neutral field. But then

1276
00:56:37,440 --> 00:56:39,799
Speaker 3: you know, thought about it not really a road game

1277
00:56:39,800 --> 00:56:42,160
Speaker 3: for the Bucks. I mean it's in Florida, Tampa Bay, Jacksonville.

1278
00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:45,719
Speaker 3: I'm worried that the Jags are quitting, honestly, like we

1279
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:48,200
Speaker 3: thought last year, came out big with it the Derrick

1280
00:56:48,239 --> 00:56:51,319
Speaker 3: Henry run, but in general, they just they stopped winning

1281
00:56:51,360 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 3: games down the stretch. They stopped winning games, they stopped covering,

1282
00:56:54,280 --> 00:56:58,800
Speaker 3: and you know, there's inexplicable that they like they shouldn't

1283
00:56:58,800 --> 00:57:00,440
Speaker 3: have lost by these wide of more margins to.

1284
00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:02,440
Speaker 2: Any of these teams that you just mentioned. Tampa Bay

1285
00:57:02,480 --> 00:57:03,240
Speaker 2: is probably the play.

1286
00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:05,400
Speaker 3: Here, especially where you're still while you're still getting a point.

1287
00:57:05,440 --> 00:57:07,160
Speaker 3: I think it might go to a pick them because

1288
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:08,879
Speaker 3: there is a lot of money coming in on Tampa

1289
00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:10,000
Speaker 3: Bay again ninety two percent.

1290
00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 2: So that's all I can think of there. But let's

1291
00:57:13,120 --> 00:57:15,839
Speaker 2: get into our survivor pool pick of the week one

1292
00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:20,080
Speaker 2: pick one chance to advance.

1293
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:26,360
Speaker 3: Survivor still surviving here had the Browns last week they

1294
00:57:26,440 --> 00:57:31,040
Speaker 3: took care of biz against the Miami Dolphins. It's tough

1295
00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:33,440
Speaker 3: Week thirteen. I think I'm going Kansas City, though I

1296
00:57:33,480 --> 00:57:37,440
Speaker 3: haven't used them yet. Not many other spots that I

1297
00:57:37,520 --> 00:57:40,120
Speaker 3: really want to use them down the stretch. This Raider

1298
00:57:40,120 --> 00:57:42,600
Speaker 3: team again mentioned it just not a good enough defense.

1299
00:57:42,640 --> 00:57:45,320
Speaker 3: I think to hang with teams that can score the football,

1300
00:57:45,360 --> 00:57:55,760
Speaker 3: So going with case have used Seattle, Houston, Dallas, Chargers, Eagles, Patriots, Bills, Vikings, Niners, Ravens, Raiders,

1301
00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:58,400
Speaker 3: and Browns to this point, so let's get Casey out

1302
00:57:58,400 --> 00:57:58,720
Speaker 3: of the way.

1303
00:57:58,760 --> 00:58:00,600
Speaker 2: Stuck. If you couldn't go with k See, who do

1304
00:58:00,640 --> 00:58:02,720
Speaker 2: you go with in this Week thirteen?

1305
00:58:02,800 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 1: Sleep If you haven't used the Eagles, use them, Fay

1306
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:08,160
Speaker 1: the Dolphins if not, I think the Panthers are okay too.

1307
00:58:08,560 --> 00:58:11,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, where's me a little just Kyle Allen can kind

1308
00:58:11,880 --> 00:58:15,880
Speaker 3: of stoop to Haskins levels, but yeah, you know, ten

1309
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:17,680
Speaker 3: point favorite. You got to kind of go with the

1310
00:58:17,840 --> 00:58:20,640
Speaker 3: percentages there, so I agree.

1311
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:26,080
Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving gamblers, We're thankful for you.

1312
00:58:27,600 --> 00:58:29,400
Speaker 3: And that does it for another episode of the Action

1313
00:58:29,520 --> 00:58:33,160
Speaker 3: Network podcast, follow Stucky on Twitter at Stucky two and

1314
00:58:33,320 --> 00:58:35,840
Speaker 3: me at Chris Raybond. You can also follow us on

1315
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:38,600
Speaker 3: the Action Network app at those same handles, as.

1316
00:58:38,480 --> 00:58:40,040
Speaker 2: Well as get live odds, in game.

1317
00:58:39,960 --> 00:58:44,080
Speaker 3: Win probabilities, and track every bet that should make happy

1318
00:58:44,120 --> 00:58:47,760
Speaker 3: howadays enjoy, eat good, be responsible.

1319
00:58:48,200 --> 00:58:49,160
Speaker 2: Let's get this money.

1320
00:58:49,400 --> 00:59:04,040
Speaker 4: Go pack, Go go Ravens. We're finished talking