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Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of his information.

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Speaker 2: You agree, great?

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Speaker 1: Five dollars. This is a rat up cowboy tackle ship one. Man.

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Speaker 1: You're saying that.

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Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 2: My goodness, that was good prose, the best, relentless, refusing

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Speaker 2: to give up. All right, hit that horn, babe less

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Speaker 2: and Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast, presented by Prize Picks.

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Speaker 2: I am your host, Chris Raymond, joined as always by

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Speaker 2: my guy, Sean Kerner. We're here to preview week number

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Speaker 2: five in DFF.

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Speaker 1: Sean, what's going on? Man?

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Speaker 3: What's up? I was bummed that you were able to

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Speaker 3: make it out and go watch Monay football with my buddies.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, you know, I was driving over to my bodies,

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Speaker 3: bobbing and weaving through actual lightning, wondering, hey, is this

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Speaker 3: is this game gonna get delayed or you know, even

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Speaker 3: play night and lo and behold. We had our first

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Speaker 3: weather delay at SOFI, So you're you're bringing that New

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Speaker 3: York weather with you. I don't like it.

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Speaker 2: I know, I heard it never rained in southern California,

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Speaker 2: but it was lightning.

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Speaker 3: It wasn't even raining that much though. It was just

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Speaker 3: lighting crazy.

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Speaker 1: Oh no, it was. It's still rain.

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Speaker 2: There's still water on my balcony. My balcony would would

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Speaker 2: beg to differ. There's there's there's rain.

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Speaker 3: There was rain.

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Speaker 1: It did rain.

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Speaker 3: Any lightning by you though.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah it was.

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Speaker 3: It was.

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Speaker 2: I would say more lightning here than than I saw

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Speaker 2: on the telecast at the game.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, it was. It was pretty crazy. I was.

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Speaker 1: I was kind of surprised, but.

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Speaker 2: I was also confused for a second because I was like, wait,

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Speaker 2: does it so far had to have a roof.

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Speaker 1: And then yeah, they kind of explained the same thing.

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Speaker 2: Everyone was wondering, like, oh yeah, they do have a roof,

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Speaker 2: it's still open on the side, and I was like

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Speaker 2: that doesn't make sense, but okay, whatever geniuses.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and so I was on the fence. I didn't

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Speaker 3: have any action on the game. I did like the

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Speaker 3: Chargers minus three despite the lack of home field advantage,

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Speaker 3: but the lightning bolts was assigned, so I ended up

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Speaker 3: betting on the Chargers, which which helped make make up

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Speaker 3: for my horrible Jalen gotten prop so ended up last night.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, Brian Edwards got like one catch. I did

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Speaker 2: the under the first half under in the full game

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Speaker 2: under though nice the Raiders defense. You know it's been

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Speaker 2: and expected, but you know they got Austin Echer a

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Speaker 2: great game for him.

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Speaker 1: But let's get into this, uh this week five.

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Speaker 2: Sweet, We're gonna switch the format up a little bit.

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Speaker 2: People have been wanting us to talk a little more,

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Speaker 2: you know, wind up building prices and things like that.

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Speaker 2: So we're gonna go position by position and just want

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Speaker 2: to see how it goes here. We'll still do one

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Speaker 2: prop you know, for for each position, but we'll kind

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Speaker 2: of go you know through the studs who are we hire,

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Speaker 2: will be low on our DFS cheat code, you know,

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Speaker 2: we'll go with some cheap guys we like.

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Speaker 1: So so let's jump right in here at quarterback and.

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Speaker 2: Oh no, let me say it again, but we're gonna

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Speaker 2: start with the Thursday night slate and we'll talk about

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Speaker 2: the showdown slate, the one game slate for Thursday night.

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Speaker 1: It should be a good one.

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Speaker 2: Between the Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: I guess first of all, just kind of talk.

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Speaker 2: About the game scripts. I kind of see a Rams

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Speaker 2: rebound here. I thought, you know, coming off the game

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Speaker 2: with the Patriots. You could see a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a letdown spot because that's just how you know, human

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Speaker 2: nature goes. But if you look historically at Sean McVay,

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Speaker 2: he is eight and two against the spread.

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Speaker 1: On the road coming off of a loss.

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Speaker 2: He's about sixty seven percent against the spread coming off

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Speaker 2: a loss, you know, in all games. So I trust

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Speaker 2: him to have these guys ready here in this spot.

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Speaker 2: I still think Seattle is a little bit overrated. I've

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Speaker 2: actually been playing Seattle really well this year, just kind

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Speaker 2: of figuring out, you know, when they're going to go off,

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Speaker 2: when they're going to kind of not go off, And like,

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Speaker 2: this is a game where I worry a little bit

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Speaker 2: about Seattle. I thought they got lucky kind of getting

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Speaker 2: half of Trey Lance to play against in that second half.

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Speaker 1: So who do you like for this matchup?

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Speaker 2: On the one game slate in DFS if you had

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Speaker 2: to go with like a captain, is it still Cooper Cup?

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Speaker 1: Is it one of the Seahawks receivers? Who do you

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Speaker 1: like here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I still like Cooper Cup. He might be a

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Speaker 3: little too obvious here. I think DK Metcalf might be contrairing,

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Speaker 3: right because he'll probably match up with Jalen Ramsey. He

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Speaker 3: struggled against him last year, so maybe his rostership is

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Speaker 3: a bit too low here. So I haven't decided who

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Speaker 3: I want as captain, but I certainly think a guy

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Speaker 3: like Tyler Higbee is still being overlooked. You know, he's

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Speaker 3: still running a healthy seventy five percent restaurant rate. It's

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Speaker 3: only amount of time until he busts out for a

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Speaker 3: big game. We also know like he's gonna be a

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Speaker 3: threat in the red zone, so a two touchdown game

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Speaker 3: from him went surprised me. But there's a ton a

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Speaker 3: fancy goodness in this game. The one guy that I

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Speaker 3: wanted us to kind of talk about real quick is

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Speaker 3: Chris Carson and what's going on there because you know,

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Speaker 3: I have him in almost every one of my leagues

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Speaker 3: and I'm just wondering where the consistence is with him

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Speaker 3: because he's been slipping a little bit. And Alex Collins

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Speaker 3: had a bigger role this week. So are you concerned

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Speaker 3: about him at all? Or like, what do you think

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Speaker 3: is going on there? Are they just trying to, you know,

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Speaker 3: monitor Carson's rep since we have a seventeen game season,

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Speaker 3: or is Alex Collins really turning this into like committee.

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Speaker 2: Well, first of all, you can't ask me about no consensus.

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Speaker 2: I don't fucking know.

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Speaker 1: I don't.

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Speaker 2: I don't look at nobody else, especially he's except yours,

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Speaker 2: really because I'm the.

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Speaker 3: Only people that have rankings up right now.

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Speaker 2: Right, I mean, they're in the same spreadsheets, so I

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Speaker 2: got to look at yours.

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Speaker 1: But I don't. I don't know what the fucking sensus thing.

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Speaker 2: And I don't really care obviously, except for projecting how

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Speaker 2: what percentage of the time of player is going to

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Speaker 2: be rostered. Obviously, I do think, you know, just based

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Speaker 2: on common sense. Chris Carson kind of gets out produced

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Speaker 2: by Alex Collins last week. His workload gets eaten into

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Speaker 2: that we're going to see a downturn in the confidence

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Speaker 2: in Carson. I'm not as worried as I was initially

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Speaker 2: when I saw the usage numbers.

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Speaker 1: And here's why Pete Carroll was Chris Carson.

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Speaker 2: Pete Carroll knows they have a game on Thursday night,

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Speaker 2: a very important game against the Los Angeles Rams. He

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Speaker 2: knows that they don't want to get like he just

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Speaker 2: doesn't want to get in shootouts. It's not that he

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Speaker 2: knows he doesn't want to he doesn't like to get

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Speaker 2: shoot ats. This is clear, and so I think they

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Speaker 2: were just kind of saving them up because if you

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Speaker 2: look at the first half carries, Chris Carson had seven

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Speaker 2: and Alex Collins had three. So that's still seventy percent

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Speaker 2: for Carson, which is right where we want him to

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Speaker 2: be and right where he's kind of been. Is that

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Speaker 2: weed back the average wed back, it's about seventy percent

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Speaker 2: of the backfield carries just throughout the NFL, you know,

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Speaker 2: just just over two thirds. So I actually don't think

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Speaker 2: it's a reason to panic. I just think that when

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Speaker 2: you saw Trey Lance come in for the Niners, when

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Speaker 2: the Seahawks started to grab control of that game and

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Speaker 2: you realize that Tredye Lance couldn't throw, they were like, okay, hey,

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Speaker 2: let's you know, let's ride Collins a little bit.

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Speaker 1: You know, Penny still hurt. Homer and Dallas.

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Speaker 2: They look at them as strictly third downbacks, I believe,

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Speaker 2: you know, hurry yep backs kind of thing. So I

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Speaker 2: just think it was more of a we got a

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Speaker 2: game Thursday, we might want to give this guy twenty carries.

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Speaker 3: Let's let's let's let's be smart. I can see that,

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Speaker 3: and you know, I just think this is a pretty

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Speaker 3: good matchup too. You know, the Rams have been sort

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Speaker 3: of inviting the run, and they were like twenty second

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Speaker 3: in DdO against the run. So I wonder, since this

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Speaker 3: it's going to be hard to be controlling on this light,

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Speaker 3: I wonder if playing both Chris Carson Olex Collins might

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Speaker 3: be a sneaky play here because we saw James Connor

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Speaker 3: and Chase Edmonds hit value last week, so this is

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Speaker 3: a situation I could see both ending up with the

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Speaker 3: touchdown here. It's just a sneaky play playing both running

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Speaker 3: backs because I think that there's there's enough yards to

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Speaker 3: go round for both to hit. I think I think

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Speaker 3: the best play is fading out is Collins.

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Speaker 2: Oh, he's a backup running back that just came off

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Speaker 2: like a game that was better than the starting running

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Speaker 2: back and now he's going. Now he's going against a

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Speaker 2: classic spot where like the other team's coach like has

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Speaker 2: his team rearing to go.

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Speaker 1: This wuld be a one carry Alex Collins.

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Speaker 3: Oh, yeah, I'm not projecting off, but he's at least

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Speaker 3: been seeing some receiving usage at the expense of Chris Carson,

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Speaker 3: So I'm just saying it could be closer to a

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Speaker 3: fifty to fifty committee, then I would hope as somebody

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Speaker 3: that has Chris Carson almost every league. Nah, that's why

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Speaker 3: I'm being just a little bit pestimistic.

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Speaker 2: That makes I'm just saying I'm gonna be like, let's

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Speaker 2: use our common sense here.

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Speaker 1: Pe Caroll loves Chris Carson.

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Speaker 2: Alex con Like I said this at the beginning of you,

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Speaker 2: I said Alex Collins could easily overtake Rashad Penny. I'm

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Speaker 2: not debating that, but like, would like, would we be

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Speaker 2: trying to play Rashod Penny in this spot even if

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Speaker 2: Penny did have like a randomly good game, because it's

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Speaker 2: like a team at a backup quarterback in a second half.

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Speaker 1: I don't think so.

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Speaker 3: I think, Okay, so Chris Carson and the captain slot

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Speaker 3: for me, yeah, yeah, And so I think Carson is

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Speaker 3: a great play in the catas spot.

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Speaker 1: I think the other guy we should talk about in

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Speaker 1: that spot is Robert Woods.

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Speaker 2: Because this is like my weekly when I do my research,

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Speaker 2: I have like a document where I just kind of

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Speaker 2: write down key things of each game that I need to, like,

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Speaker 2: you know, kind of get my my sensors on and

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Speaker 2: one thing is always who is going to line up

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Speaker 2: on the right side at wide receiver against Seattle Because

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Speaker 2: they did Ben straight Flowers last week. I figured that

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Speaker 2: this was going to happen sooner or later, but Sidney

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Speaker 2: Jones replaced him. His pff crade is currently a thirty

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Speaker 2: five point nine and combined, so you know, both of

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Speaker 2: them have been utterly terrible. If you look at their stats,

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Speaker 2: combined opponents are twenty one of twenty five for three

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Speaker 2: hundred and seventy eight yards with three touchdowns and no

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Speaker 2: picks against Flowers and Jones combined two thirds of out

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Speaker 2: of his Flowers about one third out of Jones.

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Speaker 1: That's an eighty.

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Speaker 2: Four percent completion, fifteen point one yards per target, not

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Speaker 2: reception per target.

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Speaker 1: And eighteen yards per catch.

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Speaker 2: Bobby Woods in the captain spot can easily outproduce Cooper.

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Speaker 1: Cup this week.

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Speaker 2: I still love Cup, He's still a top three receiver

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Speaker 2: for me, but this is a this is a Bobby

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Speaker 2: Woods smash spot. You know, we've kind of been like

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Speaker 2: where's he at with these last three weeks, averaging about

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Speaker 2: ninety two percent routes run for dropback after sixty seven

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Speaker 2: percent in week one, So he's regardless of what McVeigh

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Speaker 2: is doing with Van Jefferson, with Deshaun Jackson, Robert Woods

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Speaker 2: is back in that mix, and he's also getting a

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Speaker 2: probably he's getting like about a rush attempt per game,

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Speaker 2: maybe even two some games.

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Speaker 1: So this is for me.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be a lot of Robert Woods, it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be a lot of Chris Carson, and it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: Fading Collins.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think, honestly, you have to have some

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Speaker 3: flyers of Van Jefferson and DeShawn Jackson sprinkle them in.

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Speaker 3: But it's just's nice to have a Thursday night game

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Speaker 3: like this after a couple of weeks of Texans and

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Speaker 3: Jaguars and Bengals and whatever we've seen the past few weeks.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I can't wait for this matchup.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Jefferson is a great integrate spot too.

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Speaker 2: He's I'm projecting him for about you know, eighty two

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Speaker 2: eighty three percent routes run.

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Speaker 1: And then Jackson.

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Speaker 2: I like him because you're gonna get a lot of

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Speaker 2: single high safety with Seattle, and so that's gonna we've

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Speaker 2: inevitably we've Jackson.

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Speaker 1: One on one down the field at some point.

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Speaker 3: So like that Deebo Samuel White open touchdown we saw

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Speaker 3: absolutely yeah, yeah, that's what I'm thinking.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, because Trey Lance, like, man, this rookie quarterback class,

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Speaker 2: like we may have jumped the gun because none of

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Speaker 2: these players look like they can throw like that except

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Speaker 2: Mac Jones.

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Speaker 1: But like this is a problem. This is becoming a problem.

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Speaker 2: Like I mean, I know Lance had great stats, but

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Speaker 2: he doesn't look like he can throw, So like this

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Speaker 2: it's problematic. All right, So Sean, let's let's go to

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Speaker 2: the main slate here, and let's start with the stud

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks on DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: We have four quarterbacks that are probably seven K or higher.

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray at ak, Tom Brady at seven the four hundred,

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers at seventy one hundred, and jywhen Hurts at

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Speaker 2: seven K. Even of those four guys, if you're paying

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Speaker 2: up at quarterback in a tournament or maybe even in

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Speaker 2: cash games, who's your guy out of these four, It's.

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Speaker 3: Gotta be Jalen Hurts. He is the human version of

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Speaker 3: a cheat code at quarterback. And you know this is

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Speaker 3: a tougher matchup. I'm finally conceding to you. The Panthers

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Speaker 3: is a tough matchup, but Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts is

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Speaker 3: matchup proofs, so it doesn't matter. So maybe his roster

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Speaker 3: ship will be a bit lower this week. It seems

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Speaker 3: like the market is always under estimating Jalen Hurts. Last

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Speaker 3: week on Fantasy Pros, I had him ranked fourth and

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Speaker 3: his ECR was seven and he finished top four. So

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Speaker 3: I think I'm going to continue betting on Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 3: until he fails me. So I'm going with Hurts here

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Speaker 3: at seven K. Just too cheap.

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Speaker 2: Still, I love Jamen Hurts this week and here's why.

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Speaker 2: Jayalen Hurts is facing his Panthers defense. That yes, it

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Speaker 2: is as I thought it might be earlier in the season,

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Speaker 2: a lot better than we expected. But you know what,

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Speaker 2: Caroline has been doing more than any other team in

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Speaker 2: the league blitzing. They lead the league with a forty

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Speaker 2: two percent blitz rate according to Pro Football Reference Advance Stats,

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Speaker 2: So you're blitzing forty two percent of the time. Jalen

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Speaker 2: Hurts kills the blitz Jaymen. Hurts this season when blitzed,

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Speaker 2: is averaging eight point seven yards per attempt, four touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: no picks.

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Speaker 1: That is brilliant.

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Speaker 2: That's higher yards per attempt than any other situation, whether

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Speaker 2: it's pressured, kept.

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Speaker 1: Clean, or not blitzed.

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Speaker 2: It's when he's blitzed that he's averaging the most yards

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Speaker 2: per attempt. This is the same story as last season.

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Speaker 2: Last season fifty one attempts will blitzed eight point eight

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Speaker 2: yards per attempt, four touchdowns, one pick. So you're talking

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Speaker 2: about a guy who's thrown eight touchdowns already in his

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Speaker 2: NFL career on.

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Speaker 1: Fewer than one hundred pass attempts. That's great.

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Speaker 2: Yet eight touchdowns of ninety eight passing times well boitz

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Speaker 2: well averaging you know, upwards of eight and a half

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Speaker 2: yards per attempts. So he's gonna make them pay or

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Speaker 2: you know they're gonna have to change up their whole scheme,

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Speaker 2: which you know that's a that's advantage offense. Now you're

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Speaker 2: dictating to the to the defense, and if you're sitting back,

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Speaker 2: then hurts. You know that's going to open up the

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Speaker 2: run game. That's gonna open up Hurts moving around. You

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Speaker 2: know that's gonna I think that's gonna make it easier.

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Speaker 2: So I think I wouldn't be surprised if the Eagles

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Speaker 2: win this game, and I know, you know, you're seeing

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Speaker 2: the total kind of low in this game, so it's

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Speaker 2: not gonna be a game that everyone's looking at to target.

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Speaker 2: Carolina has good defensive stats, but this is a tailor

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Speaker 2: Maade matchup based on scheme for Jalen.

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Speaker 1: Hurts to go off yet again. So yeah, I love

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Speaker 1: that call.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And you know what was one of the knocks

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Speaker 3: on him going into this season, you know, his accuracy.

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Speaker 3: So on this season he has a sixty six point

321
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Speaker 3: two percent completion percentage and according to the next Time Stats,

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Speaker 3: you know, has expected completion percentage of sixty three point nine.

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Speaker 3: So he's you know, much more active this year. I

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Speaker 3: think you called that too heading into the season, that

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Speaker 3: his his stats were skewed because of the last game

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Speaker 3: or something like you.

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Speaker 2: Had a yeah, he got benched in the Washington game

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Speaker 2: that obviously didn't want to win exactly, and they were

329
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Speaker 2: playing like a hungry Washington defense that like had playoff aspirations.

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Speaker 3: And that was twenty five percent of his sample last.

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Speaker 1: Year, right, Yeah, it was like, come on, I mean.

332
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Speaker 3: It was overblown. All the all the negative things about

333
00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,680
Speaker 3: him were overblown and he's proving everybody wrong. Right now.

334
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Speaker 3: So I still think the market's not giving him enough

335
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Speaker 3: love here. Yeah, it's the other it's the rookies who stinky.

336
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Speaker 2: Seriously, It's like, so yeah, I think that Jamon hurts is.

337
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Speaker 1: I would say he's a he's a cash play again

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Speaker 1: this week.

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Speaker 2: But okay, right, all right, John, So before we get

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Speaker 2: to our DFS cheek d for quarterbacks, give me.

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Speaker 1: Somebody that you are a little bit lower on it.

342
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Speaker 2: Maybe you're fading that you think is going to have

343
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Speaker 2: higher rostership than deserved.

344
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Speaker 3: For me, it's Aaron Rodgers, and I don't know if

345
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Speaker 3: he's going to have high rostership because he is seventy

346
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Speaker 3: one hundred. That price might scare people away. But I'm

347
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Speaker 3: also scared of this matchup. You know, the Bengals could

348
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Speaker 3: get Jesse Bates back this week, so there are a

349
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Speaker 3: defense that could give him some trouble. I think the

350
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Speaker 3: loss of marquezdel To Scantling definitely hurts Aaron Rodgers upside.

351
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Speaker 3: So obviously he's going to lean on DeVante Adams here

352
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Speaker 3: and I think he'll still have a good game. But

353
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Speaker 3: right now, Aaron Rodgers is my QB fourteen. He just

354
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Speaker 3: you know, he used to have that rushing upside you know,

355
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Speaker 3: back in the day, and last week he did get

356
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Speaker 3: a rushing touchdown, but we just can't project him for

357
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Speaker 3: much in the running game, So he just doesn't have

358
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Speaker 3: sort of the ceiling anymore to warrant a price like

359
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Speaker 3: this in a tougher matchup. So he's my fate of

360
00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:56,400
Speaker 3: all the quarterbacks you know, priced above sixty five hundred

361
00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:57,080
Speaker 3: this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Rogers is my QB third. Yeah, he's

363
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Speaker 2: might q BE thirteen right now, So I'm right in

364
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Speaker 2: line with that. You know, Cincinnati is another defense along

365
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Speaker 2: with Carolina, a lot better than we thought this year.

366
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Speaker 3: But it's yeah, it's just that Aaron Rodgers.

367
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Speaker 2: Not really giving you anything on the ground to warrant

368
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Speaker 2: that price. Like, yeah, he can always go off for

369
00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:21,720
Speaker 2: those you know, three four touchdown games, but at this point,

370
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Speaker 2: it looks like playing Davonte is a better play than

371
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Speaker 2: playing Aaron Rodgers.

372
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Speaker 1: For me, it's gonna be Sam Donald.

373
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Speaker 2: I just don't like the price tag up there at

374
00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:39,439
Speaker 2: sixty six hundred, three hundred dollars less than Dak Prescott,

375
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Speaker 2: one hundred dollars more than Kirk Cousins and Ryan Tannehill

376
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Speaker 2: two hundred more than Ryan Tannehill. I just think and

377
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Speaker 2: in Daniel Jones there at six K, I think is

378
00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:51,439
Speaker 2: a lot better bet than Sam Donald this week. So

379
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Speaker 2: I know he's getting the rushing touchdowns, we do expect

380
00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:56,960
Speaker 2: that to regress at some point. He's not going to

381
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Speaker 2: continue to leave, right, He's not going to continue to lead.

382
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Speaker 1: The lead in rushing touchdowns.

383
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Speaker 2: And you know, I know he got some some garbage

384
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Speaker 2: time stats in last week. You know DJ Moore as well,

385
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Speaker 2: But there is another matchup where you know, just like

386
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Speaker 2: the Cowboys had Trevon Diggs, you know, the Eagles have

387
00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 2: Darius Slay. They can take away that number one threat

388
00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 2: and more, you know, and maybe there's not the same

389
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,360
Speaker 2: kind of garbage time in this one. So I think

390
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,440
Speaker 2: Donald is I know he's been playing well, and I

391
00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:28,080
Speaker 2: admit that it's it's it's it looks like a Jets

392
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 2: issue there. Like it looks like Donald is a competent quarterback.

393
00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:34,399
Speaker 2: They're doing good things that there in Carolina. But this

394
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:36,480
Speaker 2: is a market right you have to buy and sell

395
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Speaker 2: based on the prices, and Sam Darnold, in my opinion,

396
00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,919
Speaker 2: should not be priced above Kirk Cousins and Daniel Jones

397
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Speaker 2: at least not this week. So Donald is the fade

398
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Speaker 2: for me, Sean, let me get your let's get a

399
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:52,439
Speaker 2: DFS cheat code. So somebody outside that stud tier, outside

400
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 2: of Jalen Hurts that you really like this week.

401
00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 3: You have to know where I'm going with this, and

402
00:18:56,880 --> 00:19:01,080
Speaker 3: it's Trey Lance at fifty YEA. Yes, I know he

403
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:05,159
Speaker 3: didn't look one hundred percent already last week, but it

404
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,680
Speaker 3: didn't matter. In one half of football. He's still put

405
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,480
Speaker 3: up the QB thirteen score and it just goes to

406
00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:14,520
Speaker 3: show how valuable these rushing stats are, you know, unlike

407
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:17,000
Speaker 3: justin fields, I think we are going to see Trey

408
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:20,680
Speaker 3: Lance really lean on his legs here. He had seven

409
00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:24,479
Speaker 3: carries for forty one yards last week, so this is

410
00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 3: if he does play. You know, I think pel Shannon's

411
00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:29,960
Speaker 3: leaving the door open for Jimmy g to possibly start,

412
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 3: So obviously Lance needs to start for me to play.

413
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 3: But right now it's looking that way. So I think

414
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 3: at fifty seven hundred, I don't care if his roster

415
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 3: ship is high. I am taking him here and you know,

416
00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 3: plugging him in. At fifty seven hundred, he is my

417
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Speaker 3: cheat code this week. By far quarterback let.

418
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Speaker 1: Me ask you this.

419
00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 2: If if Lance is starting and by the time we

420
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:54,080
Speaker 2: get to like Saturday Sunday, his projected ownership is like

421
00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:55,959
Speaker 2: twenty five percent, would that change your mind at all?

422
00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:56,639
Speaker 3: No?

423
00:19:56,640 --> 00:20:01,160
Speaker 1: Nope, Okay, yeah I would, It would not. I mean

424
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Speaker 1: I think we I learned my lesson from Justine Fields,

425
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Speaker 1: so I'm gonna I'm not.

426
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Speaker 2: I think I would have to fade him if his

427
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:09,680
Speaker 2: ownership gets up there like pretty easily too.

428
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Speaker 1: He could have thrown last week. Yeah, nothing came out, Queen.

429
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 2: No, he almost missed that throat to Samuelly and like

430
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:18,639
Speaker 2: it wasn't a good throw. He was just opened by

431
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,040
Speaker 2: like forty yards.

432
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Speaker 3: I agree. I can see that. I was way higher

433
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Speaker 3: on Lance since Field's heading in the season, because, like

434
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Speaker 3: I said, when Field made his first start, I wasn't

435
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 3: sure he was going to rush that much. That's why,

436
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 3: you know, I was projecting for like twenty eight rushing

437
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,960
Speaker 3: yards and I loved his under forty four. But Lance,

438
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,479
Speaker 3: absolutely he's going to run a ton. So if he's

439
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 3: struggling as a passer, it's just gonna mean more rush attempts.

440
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,399
Speaker 3: So that's why I'm still sticking with him. You know,

441
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:47,960
Speaker 3: I think you can make a case that you know

442
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,680
Speaker 3: doesn't have a great stacking partner. You had mentioned that

443
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,200
Speaker 3: Debo might take a step back with Lance under center,

444
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 3: and I agree with that. So maybe the thing here

445
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,199
Speaker 3: is to kind of play a naked Lance route for

446
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 3: two rushing times shounds or something in the red zone.

447
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,359
Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't really care where the market is

448
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:06,720
Speaker 3: on him. I'm going to try to be a head

449
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 3: of the market and will ruster him no matter what heir.

450
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 2: For my cheat code, I'm going with Daniel Dimes on

451
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:18,200
Speaker 2: the road at Dallas. I mean this sets up perfectly.

452
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,160
Speaker 2: First of all, Dallas is thirty first in the league.

453
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 2: They're giving up the against quarterbacks. They're giving up the

454
00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 2: second most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this year.

455
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:28,879
Speaker 1: And this is a Daniel Jones spot. This is what

456
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 1: he does.

457
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 2: And I will always love to get the game scripts here,

458
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 2: and a lot of times people.

459
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,480
Speaker 1: Just look at the the.

460
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 2: Vegas lines to kind of give you the game scripts,

461
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:39,440
Speaker 2: and I don't like to do that. I like to

462
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 2: look at, you know, whether I think the Vegas lines

463
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,359
Speaker 2: are right or wrong to get the game scripts. And

464
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 2: so this is one where you know the Giants are

465
00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,360
Speaker 2: plus seven with a high total game of fifty two.

466
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 2: But I think it's going to be a little closer

467
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:58,240
Speaker 2: than people think because Daniel Jones on the road as

468
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 2: an underdog ten and two against spread in his career. Now,

469
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,360
Speaker 2: I don't think the Giants, who rank, you know, outside

470
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 2: the top twenty in defensive DVOA, I don't think they're

471
00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 2: gonna slow down Dallas. So if Daniel, if they keep

472
00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:12,439
Speaker 2: this one close, I think it's gonna have to be

473
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 2: a shootout.

474
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 1: So I love Daniel Jones here.

475
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,480
Speaker 2: Got over four hundred yards against the Saints number two

476
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 2: defense last week. He's been excellent as far as turning

477
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:25,040
Speaker 2: the ball over lately. Everything's kind of coming together for him.

478
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,200
Speaker 2: And the most impressive thing about last week was that

479
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:32,120
Speaker 2: they did it with no Shepherd, no Slayton. Evan Ingram

480
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 2: is still a wall, you know. It was all kind

481
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,639
Speaker 2: of Saquon Barkley. They generated more explosive plays than the

482
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,240
Speaker 2: Saints have seen in like, you know, a year and

483
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,480
Speaker 2: a half on defense, because the Saints have been one

484
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 2: of the week's top defenses.

485
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 1: So I love this spot for Daniel Jones.

486
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 2: Trevon Diggs is still to me, he's playing like the

487
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:51,399
Speaker 2: best quarter of the league right now, So you know

488
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 2: there might be some some ugliness at some point. You

489
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 2: might get a pick or two off Jones in this one,

490
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 2: because Trevon Diggs does that every game. But you know,

491
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:01,199
Speaker 2: get a pick, you're just forced the Giants to have

492
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:04,880
Speaker 2: to throw the ball more. Dallas has been kind of

493
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:09,639
Speaker 2: a kind of messing up opponents running game plans. You know,

494
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 2: teams have had to throw a lot more than they've

495
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 2: had to run on Dallas. Through four games, only forty

496
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 2: six running back carries against the Dallas Cowboys.

497
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 1: That is a week low.

498
00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 2: So you're gonna get past volume when you face these

499
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,400
Speaker 2: Cowboys here for Daniel Jones, and he's gonna be able

500
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,479
Speaker 2: to run it on the ground as well. So I

501
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 2: think Daniel Jones, I love it. I would gladly pay

502
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:33,200
Speaker 2: up for the extra the extra three hundred hours to

503
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 2: get Daniel Jones in my line of over over Trey

504
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:35,920
Speaker 2: Lance this week.

505
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't argue with that. You know, he always

506
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:42,679
Speaker 3: had that massive ceiling and always underrated by the market.

507
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 3: So love that call. You didn't even mention Kenny Golladay.

508
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 2: But well, I'm not still not expecting him to have

509
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 2: a good game really well.

510
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, last week he had a good game, that is

511
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:56,120
Speaker 3: why I mentioned that. But Daniel Jones, he was really

512
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 3: aggressive last week. Next on sets had him thrown aggressive

513
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 3: past twenty two zero point five percent of the time,

514
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 3: which you need to throw in titwand is when it

515
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 3: comes to Cannon Holliday. So that was a good sign

516
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 3: to see and John Ross Kadarius Tony stepped up. So yeah,

517
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,840
Speaker 3: hopefully he gets Sterling Shepard back this week, but even

518
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 3: if he doesn't, he has enough weapons to go off here.

519
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:17,920
Speaker 3: And like you said, his rushing upside has been unreal

520
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 3: this year and last week he can only rushed four

521
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 3: times for twenty four yards. But yeah, he's been pretty

522
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,400
Speaker 3: consistently over like thirty plus rushing yards.

523
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 2: So love this call, yeah, Dan, Yeah, that's that's the

524
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,520
Speaker 2: cheat code you know for me.

525
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 1: Let's go to let's go to running backs.

526
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 2: Here on the main slate, we have Derrick Henry at

527
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:40,399
Speaker 2: nine k, we have Alvin Kamara at eighty six hundred,

528
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 2: Dalvin Cook at eighty four hundred, and then in the

529
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 2: seven k range we have Aaron Jones, Austin Eckler, Saquon

530
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 2: bark We and Ezekiel Elliott Sean, what are your thoughts

531
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 2: kind of on this tier in the studs anyone you're

532
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:59,119
Speaker 2: looking to play in cash games or potentially.

533
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 3: Fake because you think there'll be a little over rostered.

534
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 3: Just give me all the Derrick Henry here. You know,

535
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:07,959
Speaker 3: I was pretty high on him last week. I had

536
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,440
Speaker 3: mentioned that he's averaged one hundred and forty four rushing

537
00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 3: yards a game and wins dating back last year, and

538
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:16,359
Speaker 3: eighty four rushing yards a game and losses dating back

539
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,719
Speaker 3: to last year. So anytime we have a potential positive

540
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 3: game script, we're gonna want to play him. And then

541
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 3: when A. J. Brown and Hulo Jones were ruled out,

542
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:24,920
Speaker 3: I'm just like, you know, he's going to get close

543
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 3: to forty carries. That's exactly what happened. And now this

544
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 3: week he faces the team he co owns in the

545
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 3: Jacksonville Jaguars. So I'm all in here. And you know,

546
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 3: especially with Christian McCaffrey out, Alvin Kamara not catching passes,

547
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:42,600
Speaker 3: Dalvin Cook banged up, not playing one hundred percent, Aaron

548
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 3: Jones has a tough matchup like Derrick Henry sticks out

549
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 3: like a sort thumb to me, I'm not going to

550
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 3: overthink this he would have to be like ten k

551
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 3: for me to consider fading him here. So I'm all

552
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 3: over Derek Henry here. Just give him the rest of

553
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 3: this tier. I just I just don't like as much

554
00:25:58,280 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 3: this week.

555
00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 1: I love.

556
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,000
Speaker 2: I love kind of how it sets up for like

557
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 2: tournaments though, because I do think that everyone's gonna still

558
00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:13,119
Speaker 2: go to Henry, and I actually love buying low on Dalvin.

559
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 1: It's not really buying low. His salary didn't go down

560
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 1: because he's playing the Lions.

561
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 2: But the Lions are thirtieth in run defense DVA, They're

562
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 2: thirty first in fantasy points allowed two running backs, and

563
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 2: Dalvin Cook's coming off a nine carry thirty four yard game.

564
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 2: This is just a super bounce back spot for him

565
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 2: and the Jaguars. You know, there is a pass to

566
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:39,240
Speaker 2: kind of in tournaments fading Henry and really jump in

567
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 2: the field because the Jaguars have allowed only three hundred

568
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 2: and fifty eight yards on one hundred and four carries

569
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 2: two running backs, so they're only allowing about three point

570
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 2: five yards per carry.

571
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 1: Now, they have allowed five touchdowns.

572
00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 2: Opponents are able to rush with volume, so you're not

573
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,120
Speaker 2: like super concerned about Henry. But there's a path here

574
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 2: where Henry is just not super efficient as he is

575
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:01,320
Speaker 2: most weeks because the Jags have been average and rushing DVOA.

576
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 2: They've been they haven't been allowing many yards per carries.

577
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,920
Speaker 2: So I love Dalvin cooking this spot and Kamara. I

578
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 2: think Kamara does rebound catching the football. Washington ranks thirty

579
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,399
Speaker 2: first in DVOA on targets to running backs. So Sean

580
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 2: Payton is is kind of famous for using Kamara as

581
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 2: a decoy in some games. Maybe, I mean, and maybe

582
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:24,879
Speaker 2: it's smart because he's clearly their most important player and

583
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,119
Speaker 2: he did. He wrapped up what like twenty six carries

584
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,399
Speaker 2: last week. Yeah, and he's still lost. But so you know,

585
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 2: it's not like it makes sense in some spots. You know,

586
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 2: they have a bunch of no name receivers until Michael

587
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 2: Thomas comes back outside of Kamara. So if the defense

588
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,880
Speaker 2: is going to focus on shutting down Kamara, it does

589
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:45,199
Speaker 2: make sense. Why Sean Payton, you know, he kind of

590
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:48,600
Speaker 2: called those games sometimes where Kamara has no receiving usage.

591
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:50,920
Speaker 2: But I think I think they'll remind everyone this week.

592
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 2: So I think Camara and Dalvin nice pivots off Derrick Henry.

593
00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,119
Speaker 2: You're not saving too much. You're only saving maybe for

594
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 2: you know, four K for Kamares, six K for Cook,

595
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 2: But the roster.

596
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,640
Speaker 1: Ship I think will be different. So, yeah, like those

597
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 1: two guys in the studs here, what.

598
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 2: About a running back that you are not as high

599
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 2: as the market on this week?

600
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 3: It's got to be Antonio Gibson. He's sixty four hundred

601
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 3: facing the Saints. You know, the Saints or team that

602
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 3: we typically avoid running backs because they're so good, you know,

603
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,160
Speaker 3: against running backs. But also you know, his receiving usage

604
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 3: has been a huge concern and JD McKissick has looked great.

605
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 3: So despite Antonio Gibson getting the ground on him last week,

606
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,840
Speaker 3: he had forty five percent rest run to make hisiccks

607
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:40,800
Speaker 3: thirty nine percent. I think that's going to flip back

608
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 3: this week. So it's it's really hard to project Gibson

609
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 3: for anything more than two catches. So with his you know,

610
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 3: limited efficiency running the ball this week, I think sixty

611
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:51,960
Speaker 3: four hundred is too high. So I'm probably not gonna

612
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 3: have that many shares of Gibson against the Saints.

613
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that call, say, I mean, Sekuon Bark

614
00:28:57,400 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 2: we did go off against them last week, but you

615
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,320
Speaker 2: know there was overtime involved. He caught a long pass

616
00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:04,840
Speaker 2: on a busted coverage as well. Yeah, so running the

617
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 2: ball it's gonna be tough. And Gibson does have that

618
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 2: big play upside. I mean, he got a seventy three

619
00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 2: yard pass play against the Bills, but that's very fluky,

620
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 2: hard to count on. So I'm actually with you on

621
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 2: that one. For me, it's it's Aaron Jones. You kind

622
00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 2: of mentioned it. He has a tough matchup. He's right.

623
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,360
Speaker 2: You know, you have Henry Kamara Cook in the top three,

624
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 2: and then Aaron Jones is five hundred dollars cheaper. I

625
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 2: don't think that's enough of a discount, especially when you

626
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 2: have Austin eck With, you know, three hundred cheaper than him,

627
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 2: and Saquon Barkley six hundred cheaper.

628
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 1: Zeke Najie Harris.

629
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 2: I mean, Chubb, you have so many options here that

630
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 2: are just better than Aaron Jones that are going to

631
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 2: kind of give you that same or even more of

632
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:46,840
Speaker 2: a snapcern because Jones has been getting about sixty percent

633
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 2: of the carries in the backfield running a route about

634
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 2: sixty percent of the pass route, so he's not getting

635
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 2: that true RB one usage to where he should be

636
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 2: priced as a top five running back, and Cincinnati another

637
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 2: D defense been playing well this season. Cincinnati is six

638
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 2: in rushing DVOA on defense this year, So I like,

639
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:15,240
Speaker 2: I like the fade of Jones and and even Ecwer

640
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 2: is also interesting because coming off that big game, I

641
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 2: think he will actually have rostership that's a little too

642
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 2: high as well, So I'll mention him because Clevelands actually

643
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 2: number one in run defense TV away, so Ekwa had

644
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 2: his like I think it was second hundred yard game

645
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,040
Speaker 2: of his career on prime time. This could be a

646
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 2: prime spot just because of rostership reasons, because you have

647
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,480
Speaker 2: other options to fade Echer as well, So Jones and

648
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 2: Eckler right in that you know, four or five tier

649
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 2: after that top three.

650
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: I think those are fades, all right.

651
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 2: Who's your dfschak code or code, because there's there's a

652
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 2: lot of fun running backs to play this week, I

653
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 2: think yeah.

654
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,360
Speaker 3: I think an obvious one is Samaj p Ryan. He

655
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 3: sort of feels like a free square this week at

656
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 3: four K, assuming you know mix ins week to week,

657
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 3: so we're assuming he's out so that it's a great

658
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:03,240
Speaker 3: matchup at home against the Packers, so love him. I

659
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 3: think a sneaky Chico play this week would be James Robinson.

660
00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 3: He's six K at home against the Titans. I don't

661
00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 3: know who you're going with this. You know, the Titans

662
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,720
Speaker 3: are only minus three or minus four against the Jaguars here,

663
00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 3: so this game could be closer than people think. And

664
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 3: Irvin Myers seems to figure it out that James Robinson

665
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 3: is really good. So you know, Carlos Hyde was out

666
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 3: last week, but I'm not sure if he's gonna be

667
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:30,719
Speaker 3: able to play this week, and I don't know if

668
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,480
Speaker 3: it matters. I think they have figured out Robinson should

669
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 3: be the workhorse back. He ran eighty two percent of

670
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 3: routes run last week, so my receiving projection for him

671
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:42,680
Speaker 3: is three point six receptions. I'm projecting him for sixty

672
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:44,800
Speaker 3: and a half carries against a pretty weak defense. So

673
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:47,280
Speaker 3: he's in my top ten this week, and I think

674
00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 3: at six K people might be overlooking him despite the

675
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 3: good thursdaynight football game. But I think he's my cheat

676
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:55,240
Speaker 3: code this week, especially since he's you know, in the

677
00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:57,160
Speaker 3: six K range. May be overlooked.

678
00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:00,480
Speaker 2: I would, yeah, James Robinson. That's like if he's not

679
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 2: the top on running back.

680
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 1: I would be surprised.

681
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 2: I mean, James Robinson is like that should be the

682
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 2: locked in cash play. He's my RB eight right now,

683
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 2: sixth k. I mean we talked about all the running

684
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,440
Speaker 2: backs priced over him. There's a dozen or so, so

685
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:18,360
Speaker 2: I think that's a smash spot here for James Robinson.

686
00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:21,760
Speaker 2: He had Carlos Hide was inactive last week, but a

687
00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 2: goomah wawe isn't going to do anything either. You know,

688
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 2: even if he's active, Hide isn't. Robinson had a season

689
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 2: high eighty two percent of the backfield carries last week.

690
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 2: He's it, He's it, He's it right now. Oh yeah,

691
00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 2: this is the spot for Jams trying.

692
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:40,520
Speaker 3: To find somebody less obvious right now?

693
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:40,840
Speaker 1: Hold on?

694
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 2: Oh no, no, no, I think no, this is what they want.

695
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 2: They want to James Robinson. They just want to know

696
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:46,760
Speaker 2: who play man.

697
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 3: Please play James Robinson.

698
00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 1: Yes, please play James Robinson.

699
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 2: Along with Robinson Damian Williams with Montgomery out, Williams is

700
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 2: fifty six hundred. We just we just saw that Raiders

701
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 2: defense get eviscerated for one hundred and seventeen yards on

702
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 2: fifteen carries by Eckler, and they gave up about twenty

703
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 2: nine thirty running back carries in that game against the Chargers,

704
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 2: and now they're on a short week, so you're talking

705
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 2: about a worn down run defense on a short week.

706
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 1: Love Damian Williams.

707
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:16,520
Speaker 2: I know he has the questionable tag, but it looks

708
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:18,240
Speaker 2: like he's going to be fine. I just got a

709
00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 2: little nicked up in that game. But he's had seventy

710
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 2: snaps to Khalil Herbert's ten, so he's getting about eighty

711
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 2: seven eighty eight percent of the snaps divided between those

712
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:31,719
Speaker 2: two guys, and that David Montgomery was getting eighty two

713
00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:35,360
Speaker 2: percent of the snaps in weeks two and three, so

714
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 2: we could see a huge snap count for Damian Williams.

715
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 1: He's only fifty six hundred.

716
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:42,560
Speaker 2: I love him, and then I would be remiss not

717
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:46,720
Speaker 2: to mention Damien Harris at fifty five hundred. Last week

718
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 2: was just not a Damien Harris week. He had four

719
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 2: carries for four yards, and the week before he had

720
00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:54,560
Speaker 2: six for fourteen. So the last two weeks, Damien Harris

721
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 2: has ten carries for eighteen yards. And guess what he's

722
00:33:57,680 --> 00:33:59,280
Speaker 2: a He's a top fifteen running back for me this

723
00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:03,680
Speaker 2: week because he played the two best run defenses in

724
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 2: the league for you know, a couple of years running

725
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:11,920
Speaker 2: now in the Bucks and Saints. These teams have consistently

726
00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:15,440
Speaker 2: limited opponent's yards for Carrie to the low threes.

727
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,839
Speaker 1: Or the high you know, even the high two sometimes.

728
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:21,320
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay currently ranks number four in run defense DVA

729
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 2: the Saints ranked number three, But if you look at

730
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,440
Speaker 2: the prior years numbers altogether, there's no two better run

731
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,799
Speaker 2: defenses that have been this good for this long.

732
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 1: So you weren't gonna get Damian Harris.

733
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 2: Now you're talking about a Houston Texan defense that, first

734
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:37,760
Speaker 2: of all, we know the talent isn't there, but they've

735
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 2: actually not only been a run funnel in terms of

736
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,360
Speaker 2: game script because they can't score the ball with Davis Mills,

737
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 2: they've been a literal run funnel in terms of DVOA

738
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,399
Speaker 2: and efficiency. They are eight in pass defense dv AWAY,

739
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:55,800
Speaker 2: which is pretty impressive considering it's the Houston Texans thirty

740
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 2: first in run defense dv AWAY. So this is the

741
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 2: perfect matchup for Damian Harris. I'm talking about you could

742
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,760
Speaker 2: get one hundred yards and two three touchdowns from Damien

743
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 2: Harris this week, so fifty five hundred.

744
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 1: I would play him in cash.

745
00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 2: I almost never play a running back that doesn't catch

746
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 2: the ball in cash, but that this is the spot.

747
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,160
Speaker 2: This is like the like the way Zach Moss had

748
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 2: a spot last week.

749
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:22,800
Speaker 1: This is the spot for Damien Harris. The total is low.

750
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:25,400
Speaker 2: The Patriots are favored by a touch more than a

751
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 2: touchdown play Damien Harris.

752
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 3: So it would not surprise me Ifew scores twice this week.

753
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 2: Right, Absolutely, absolutely, one hundred yards and two touchdowns. I'm

754
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 2: looking for I'm looking for one hundred yards and two touchdowns.

755
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 1: All right.

756
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 2: Now, it's time for a segment we like to call

757
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 2: elite entries, where Sean and I dive into the Prize

758
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 2: Picks apps and compare our projections to the lines to

759
00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:50,919
Speaker 2: build some entries. Sean will talk running backs today. We'll

760
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,400
Speaker 2: do two eh who is your first Prize Picks Elite

761
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:54,600
Speaker 2: entry at running back.

762
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 1: Four Week five.

763
00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 3: I'm going with Alvin Kamara over seventy eight and a

764
00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:02,800
Speaker 3: half rushing yard. They're facing the football team, which hasn't

765
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:05,720
Speaker 3: been a tough matchup this year, so I like going

766
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:08,759
Speaker 3: on Kamara's over here. He's been seeing a ton of

767
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:13,200
Speaker 3: rushing work lately, twenty four carries in Week three and

768
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:16,800
Speaker 3: then twenty six carries last week. With backup Tony Jones

769
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 3: likely out for some time, you know they're gonna lean

770
00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,960
Speaker 3: out Kamara even more so. Despite you know, this could

771
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,040
Speaker 3: be a tougher matchup than we've seen from the football

772
00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 3: team this season. I still think the volume's way too

773
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:30,720
Speaker 3: high for gal like Kamara. You know, if he sees

774
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 3: over twenty plus touches, he's bound to break a couple

775
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,000
Speaker 3: of big runs. So love getting the over here.

776
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, Alvin Kamara is starting to get those carries.

777
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,360
Speaker 2: I do think he has a better receiving game this week,

778
00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:45,600
Speaker 2: but he's been getting carry worthload like we haven't really

779
00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 2: seen in the past, and they need it.

780
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:48,759
Speaker 1: You know.

781
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 2: They obviously don't feel super comfortable with Jameis Winston and

782
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:55,320
Speaker 2: Taysom Hill at quarterbacks.

783
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:57,400
Speaker 1: So yeah, I have Kamara about eating four yards. So

784
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,080
Speaker 1: I like the over on this one as well. I'm

785
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:02,640
Speaker 1: going with for.

786
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,720
Speaker 2: My first prize picks, elit Entry running back pick Damian

787
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:09,719
Speaker 2: Harris over fifty nine and a half rushing yards. We

788
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 2: get a Houston defense that is number thirty one in

789
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:15,880
Speaker 2: the league in run defense DVA but number eight in

790
00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 2: past DVA, so they are a run funnel and they're

791
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:23,760
Speaker 2: allowing five yards per carry even the backs on the season,

792
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 2: so I think this number is way too low.

793
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 1: I would bet this up to about sixty four and

794
00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:29,600
Speaker 1: a half.

795
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:31,600
Speaker 2: I think he gets oh, I think he could get

796
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:33,399
Speaker 2: twenty carries in this game, so you probably have even

797
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:37,080
Speaker 2: more wiggle room than that, but definitely going over the

798
00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 2: fifty nine and a half by about five yards.

799
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 3: Yeah. I love buying low on Damien Harris here, especially

800
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 3: after the Tampa Bay matchup and now going to Houston.

801
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:48,479
Speaker 3: I'm all over the over here as well.

802
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 1: Yeah too too, just brutal matchups.

803
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:56,400
Speaker 2: Who is your second running back play at Prize Picks

804
00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:57,919
Speaker 2: for week number five.

805
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 3: Let's go with a Thursday night football. This is Chris

806
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:05,560
Speaker 3: Carson to go under two receptions at home against the

807
00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:07,759
Speaker 3: Rams this week. You know, he's being phase out of

808
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 3: the passing game a bit. You know, forty routes run

809
00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 3: last week, extremely low target rate. They've been getting Alex

810
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:18,439
Speaker 3: Collins more involved maybe to kind of like keep Chris

811
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:20,759
Speaker 3: Carson fresh for the season. So I think he'll have

812
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 3: a big game on the ground here against the Rams.

813
00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 3: But I'm just projecting him closer to one and a

814
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:29,320
Speaker 3: half catches here, and he has three total receiving yards

815
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 3: over the past three games combined, So this is a

816
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,040
Speaker 3: good This line's way too high. This is a good

817
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:36,359
Speaker 3: time to get this number because I do think it'll

818
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:39,520
Speaker 3: be one and a half by the time the game

819
00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:41,719
Speaker 3: kicks off, So hurry up and get under two while

820
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 3: you can.

821
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, and even though you know I'm not reading too

822
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 2: much into the Collins thing, Siada is one of the

823
00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 2: few teams that they will use four running backs. You know,

824
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:54,799
Speaker 2: in the past game they'll use Collins. They'll also use

825
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 2: Homer and DJ Dallas at times. So yeah, there's a

826
00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:00,080
Speaker 2: lot of variants here to where he could easily go

827
00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 2: under two catches. For my last running back for week

828
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:10,440
Speaker 2: number five, I'm going with Saquon Barkley over over fifty

829
00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:12,200
Speaker 2: five and a half rushing yards. This might be the

830
00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:14,919
Speaker 2: first Seaquon Rua over that we've had in a long

831
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,200
Speaker 2: long time, but I think the time is right. This

832
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 2: number has kind of been sitting in this range all

833
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 2: four weeks of his We knew coming in that he

834
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,319
Speaker 2: wasn't gonna kind of blow the top off in terms

835
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:31,080
Speaker 2: of rushing yards. But if you look at his underlying usage,

836
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:35,360
Speaker 2: eighty eight percent of the backfield carries these last two weeks.

837
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:38,560
Speaker 2: And now you're facing a Dallas defense that is nineteenth

838
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:41,279
Speaker 2: in rushing DVA, ninth against the pass.

839
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 1: A little bit, a little bit of a run funnel here.

840
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 1: That's why I think Daniel Jones has a big game.

841
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:48,920
Speaker 2: I also think he hands it off to Saquon Barkley

842
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 2: a ton here and Saquon Barkley sets a new season

843
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:55,640
Speaker 2: high for rushing yards, equipping his previous high of fifty

844
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:59,400
Speaker 2: seven for this year. So love Saquon Barkley over fifty

845
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 2: five and a halfrushing yards.

846
00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:03,840
Speaker 3: I bet this up to sixty Yeah, I love it.

847
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:06,440
Speaker 3: I'm projecting him at sixty two as well. And you

848
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 3: know we've been hard on him heading into the season,

849
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 3: but for good reason. He was hurt. So now that

850
00:40:11,560 --> 00:40:14,560
Speaker 3: he's healthy and you know last week he saw around

851
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 3: sixty five percent of the rush attempts, now's the tie

852
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 3: in to buy in on him. So with fifteen the

853
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,400
Speaker 3: sixteen carries, He's a type of running back that can

854
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:25,799
Speaker 3: break on loose. So yeah, this this, you know, this

855
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 3: over runer is a little bit too low. See, I'm

856
00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 3: with you in taking this probably up to sixty and

857
00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:30,520
Speaker 3: a half.

858
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 1: All right, So that's going to do it for our

859
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:32,839
Speaker 1: prize Picks.

860
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:37,839
Speaker 2: A week entry segment for Week five to recap Sean going,

861
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara over seventy eight and a half rushing yards

862
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 2: and Chris Carson under two receptions. I'm going Damie Harris

863
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 2: over fifty nine and a half rushing yards and Saquon

864
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 2: Barkley over it's.

865
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 1: Five and a half rushing yards.

866
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:55,560
Speaker 2: As a reminder, Prize Picks, markets do move, so you

867
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:58,720
Speaker 2: want to get on these lines before they shift.

868
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:00,919
Speaker 1: All right. Now back to the show.

869
00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:07,400
Speaker 2: Let's go to wide receivers on the main slate, and

870
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 2: Sean we have and Jean, we have seven guys price

871
00:41:10,680 --> 00:41:13,320
Speaker 2: seven k or higher. So let's start with these guys.

872
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:17,360
Speaker 2: Davonte Adams at eighty two hundred, Justin Jefferson at seventy

873
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:21,160
Speaker 2: seven hundred, DeAndre Hopkins at seventy six, DJ Moore at

874
00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 2: seventy five, Terry McLaurin at seventy four, Mike Williams, I

875
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 2: guess they priced this before the Monday night game because

876
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,800
Speaker 2: he gave too much seventy two hundred and Deebo Samuel

877
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 2: at seventy one hundred. Let me just start with Mike

878
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 2: Williams here, because I think that's interesting. He's probably going

879
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:41,160
Speaker 2: to be low owned because he's clearly mispriced. Does that

880
00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 2: make you want to play him more or do you

881
00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:44,760
Speaker 2: still think that price is too high?

882
00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:47,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, he was possibly going to be my cheat code

883
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 3: because he's priced too high. After the Monday night football game,

884
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 3: I think people are going to be awesome with him.

885
00:41:53,640 --> 00:41:57,520
Speaker 3: But I've believed in him all off season. I had mentioned,

886
00:41:57,600 --> 00:41:59,839
Speaker 3: you know, he's the guy at target and that wider

887
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 3: receiver forty forty five range because offensive coordinator Joe Lombardy

888
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 3: told us how he intended to use him in the

889
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 3: X receiver role. So I'm not expecting Mike Gambs to

890
00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:11,600
Speaker 3: go back to the inconsistent Mike Williams where We're going

891
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:13,879
Speaker 3: to see a one cat, one catch for eleven yard

892
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,480
Speaker 3: game too often here. So I think he will bounce

893
00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 3: back with a five plus catch game here. I think honestly,

894
00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:22,359
Speaker 3: he probably was due for some regression anyway. I think

895
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:25,120
Speaker 3: heading into this game his target rate was something like

896
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:28,840
Speaker 3: twenty eight percent. That just wasn't sustainable anyway, So he

897
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 3: just you know, he had a massive regression game here

898
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 3: and then I think next week he bounces back, and

899
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 3: I think we didn't expect closer to five to five

900
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 3: and a half catches per game from him. But yeah,

901
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:39,480
Speaker 3: I think people are going to be off them, and

902
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:41,239
Speaker 3: that's why I'm still going to be on him here.

903
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, the way this sets up for me is, you

904
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:47,880
Speaker 2: know you have Adams, Jefferson, and Hopkins are three most expensive,

905
00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 2: then More McLaurin, Williams, and Samuel are all tempting for

906
00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:55,680
Speaker 2: a variety of reasons. I think Williams is just going

907
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:57,839
Speaker 2: to be the roster ship and for the other more

908
00:42:57,920 --> 00:42:59,920
Speaker 2: McLaurin and sam what's going to be the priced ad

909
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:05,840
Speaker 2: So for me, I'm gonna go high. I'm gonna go Adams, Jefferson,

910
00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 2: and Hopkins and probably fade the bottom four.

911
00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:11,479
Speaker 1: William's not like I kind of like the call of like.

912
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:14,120
Speaker 2: If he's gonna be like five percent or something like that,

913
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:15,920
Speaker 2: then yeah, I'm gonna play him.

914
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,520
Speaker 1: But he is overpriced as as.

915
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 3: He's not a he's not a cash game play like

916
00:43:20,920 --> 00:43:23,839
Speaker 3: when it comes to projection versus price, he's way overpriced.

917
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:26,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I mean I'm talking tournaments here too, though,

918
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 2: Like ye, I think that people are gonna try to

919
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:31,399
Speaker 2: get that little bit of a discount here with Dj

920
00:43:31,520 --> 00:43:34,680
Speaker 2: Moore who's been just crushing, with Terry mclauran, who's been crushing,

921
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:37,239
Speaker 2: Deebo Samuel who's been crushing. But I see I can

922
00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:39,360
Speaker 2: poke holes in each.

923
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:39,880
Speaker 1: Of those guys.

924
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:44,200
Speaker 2: Like Dj Moore going against Philly low total game slay

925
00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:46,839
Speaker 2: could give him some problems. Might not be garbage time

926
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:48,319
Speaker 2: in this one like it was in Dallas, or I'm

927
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:50,800
Speaker 2: to really get those touchdowns the way you know he

928
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,960
Speaker 2: got a two touchdowns in that game. Wait, McLaurin going

929
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:57,120
Speaker 2: against Marshall Lattimore has been one of the best corners

930
00:43:57,160 --> 00:43:59,000
Speaker 2: in the weegue in terms of PFF grades.

931
00:43:59,040 --> 00:43:59,560
Speaker 1: I know he had to.

932
00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:02,680
Speaker 2: Bust on Sae Kwon Barkley, but that's not a wide receiver.

933
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:07,680
Speaker 2: Williams overpriced, and then Deebo Samuel, Trey Lance couldn't throw

934
00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 2: the football. So for me, it's like Devonte Adams against

935
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 2: this Bengals defense has been playing the run really well,

936
00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:17,800
Speaker 2: but their cornerback situation is still a little bit shaky.

937
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:20,000
Speaker 2: You know, you have Eli Apple, you have I mean,

938
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:21,280
Speaker 2: I shouldn't say a little bit shaky.

939
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:22,320
Speaker 1: It's a lot of bit shaky.

940
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:26,239
Speaker 2: You know, you have Eli Apple and Wayne's and you know,

941
00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:29,680
Speaker 2: just a group where Adam's playing forty one percent of

942
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:32,319
Speaker 2: his snaps in the slot. He's gonna move around, just

943
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:34,960
Speaker 2: like that San Francisco game, Gonna move around, get the

944
00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:38,239
Speaker 2: best matchup and go to work. And then justin Jefferson,

945
00:44:38,440 --> 00:44:42,879
Speaker 2: Detroit has no corners and DeAndre Hopkins another situation where

946
00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 2: just like Adams a couple of weeks ago San Francisco

947
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 2: banged up at corner at wide receiver. I like those

948
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 2: top three stars this week, So that's how I'm doing

949
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 2: it there. Who's somebody that you are low on at

950
00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:55,960
Speaker 2: wide receiver this week?

951
00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:56,840
Speaker 1: Let's go corner?

952
00:44:56,880 --> 00:44:59,840
Speaker 2: Scares me right now, and they're gonna play man coverage.

953
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 2: Arizona's gonna spread them out. So I think this is

954
00:45:03,000 --> 00:45:06,680
Speaker 2: a nice by low spot for Hopkins, just based on

955
00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 2: what I think the roster ship is going to be

956
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 2: based on his pricing. So everyone's probably going to try

957
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 2: to go a little bit cheaper.

958
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:14,279
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have to go against you here, and I'm

959
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:17,880
Speaker 3: in this say I'm fading DeAndre Hopkins. Still, you know

960
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:22,080
Speaker 3: he is too pricing at seventy six hundred and you know,

961
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:24,879
Speaker 3: I don't know if he's still playing less than hundred percent,

962
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 3: but you know, Aj Green, Christian Kirk, Rundelle Moore, it

963
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 3: seems like one of those guys steps up every week

964
00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 3: at the expense of DeAndre Hopkins. You know, he's drawing

965
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:36,240
Speaker 3: away the best coverage guy or you know, potentially getting

966
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:38,560
Speaker 3: double team. He's just a guy that I pointed out

967
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:40,839
Speaker 3: in my Week two tiers. I think it was maybe

968
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,359
Speaker 3: it was time to sell high. So right now I'm

969
00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 3: still fading Hopkins until he proves me otherwise, which I

970
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 3: wouldn't be surprised if to happen soon. But I think

971
00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:51,759
Speaker 3: this week I just can't see myself spending up to

972
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:52,480
Speaker 3: get Hopkins.

973
00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:56,040
Speaker 2: I really that's interesting because I love him in tournaments,

974
00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 2: Like obviously you're not pointing him in cash, but oh yeah,

975
00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:00,959
Speaker 2: I think everyone's thinking the same way. And he played

976
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,880
Speaker 2: one hundred percent of the snap last week, so and

977
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,480
Speaker 2: he's never played fewer than ninety four percent. It's like,

978
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:08,440
Speaker 2: this is he's gonna rebad, Like it's just a.

979
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 3: Question way obviously he's gonna rebound, but his I mean,

980
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,520
Speaker 3: his target it's fifteen to four point four percent, which

981
00:46:15,520 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 3: is the lowest out of the four receivers. Obviously, he's

982
00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:22,799
Speaker 3: going to see a massive rebound here, but is it guaranteed,

983
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:27,520
Speaker 3: like well, love to see. Is he complaining? Usually public

984
00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:30,080
Speaker 3: comments with the you know, studwide receiver like him is

985
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 3: complaining usually indicates the squeaky will. But maybe he's fine.

986
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:36,279
Speaker 3: If they're winning games, you know, why change it up?

987
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:39,840
Speaker 3: So I obviously, you know, sprinkling a couple of tournaments

988
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:41,600
Speaker 3: is fine. But I'm just saying he's still way over

989
00:46:41,640 --> 00:46:43,000
Speaker 3: priced at seventy six hundred.

990
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:45,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, almost the only prices Mike Williams.

991
00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 2: But almost yeah, almost, all right, uh yeah, for all right,

992
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,319
Speaker 2: for me, it's gonna actually be Kenny Galladay. Uh. I

993
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:56,080
Speaker 2: just think that he's going to see a ton of

994
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:59,920
Speaker 2: Travon Diggs in this matchup, and that is just not

995
00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:02,200
Speaker 2: going to be good for business. I know DJ Moore

996
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 2: had the big game last week, but a lot of

997
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 2: it came in garbage time. I just think that Gaudy

998
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:11,320
Speaker 2: is when you look at the Giants, whether whether Shepherd

999
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:13,640
Speaker 2: and Slayton come back or not, I think he's still

1000
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:15,400
Speaker 2: the guy that you're going to be kind of focused

1001
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:18,800
Speaker 2: on on defense. I think Diggs can take him out,

1002
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:21,680
Speaker 2: and I think this is a perfect spot to where

1003
00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:23,960
Speaker 2: he's probably going to get some roster ship. He had

1004
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:27,880
Speaker 2: six catches one hundred and sixteen yards last week against

1005
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:29,560
Speaker 2: a very good defense, So everybody's going to look at

1006
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:32,520
Speaker 2: that and say, oh, man, Kenny Galladay fifty nine hundred,

1007
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:36,080
Speaker 2: this is a spot for him. But I'm just I

1008
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:38,759
Speaker 2: just think that there's a lot of there's a wide

1009
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,480
Speaker 2: range outcomes with Kenny Galladay and.

1010
00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:44,800
Speaker 3: So oh sorry, I was just going to ask, since

1011
00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:46,960
Speaker 3: you're playing Daniel Jones, like which which guy do you

1012
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:48,160
Speaker 3: think you'd be stacking with.

1013
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:52,719
Speaker 2: I'm actually leaning towards naked because I think there's a

1014
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:55,399
Speaker 2: lot of different guys, like you know, John Ross gets

1015
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 2: playing time depending on the situation, because if even if

1016
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:01,160
Speaker 2: Shepherd and Slayton are will they play a full compliment

1017
00:48:01,160 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 2: of snaps? You have, Barkley, you have, you have so

1018
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:06,319
Speaker 2: many guys that I would kind of lean to playing

1019
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 2: him naked or with his cheapest receiver. That's going to

1020
00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:11,000
Speaker 2: be like a starter. So maybe Tony would be the

1021
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:12,959
Speaker 2: guy that I would look to if guys are out.

1022
00:48:13,120 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 1: But I just I just think Galladay's.

1023
00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:17,959
Speaker 2: Rostership is going to be too high for a non

1024
00:48:18,040 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 2: guaranteed like smash spot here, especially against a really good

1025
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:23,399
Speaker 2: corner because you kind of look at Dallas you see

1026
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:27,960
Speaker 2: twenty ninth against receivers, but you know Diggs can obviously

1027
00:48:27,960 --> 00:48:29,880
Speaker 2: take out Gallady if that's what they choose to do,

1028
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 2: and the way it's setting up, that would kind of

1029
00:48:32,560 --> 00:48:34,480
Speaker 2: be what they would choose to do. So you know,

1030
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:36,839
Speaker 2: it's not forget to struggles Gallaudey had in the first

1031
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:39,880
Speaker 2: three weeks and say, oh it's fine now, you know,

1032
00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:41,960
Speaker 2: I think I think Daniel Jones can have a good

1033
00:48:41,960 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 2: game without Kenny Gawader. So and just again, I just

1034
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:47,040
Speaker 2: it's just a rostership situation the same way where you're like,

1035
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:51,359
Speaker 2: you know, Mike Williams over priced but low rostership. Kenny

1036
00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:54,319
Speaker 2: Galladay probably under price, but I think he's gonna draw

1037
00:48:54,400 --> 00:48:57,439
Speaker 2: out of attention, so baiting him.

1038
00:48:58,800 --> 00:49:01,560
Speaker 1: What about your DF cheat code for wide receivers.

1039
00:49:01,719 --> 00:49:06,080
Speaker 3: Oh man, there's a lot of options this week, And

1040
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:08,120
Speaker 3: let me let me just get your thoughts real quick

1041
00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:12,440
Speaker 3: on Curtis Samuel. So he's three K this week, you know,

1042
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:14,520
Speaker 3: mid price, so he might stick out. He only ran

1043
00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 3: arounte thirty five percent at the time last week. He

1044
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,120
Speaker 3: you know, he's coming back from the injury, but I

1045
00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:21,320
Speaker 3: think we could see that shoot up to sixty seventy

1046
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:24,520
Speaker 3: percent this week. So I'm gonna be watching for practice reports.

1047
00:49:24,520 --> 00:49:28,359
Speaker 3: But with you know, Terry McLaurin likely facing Latimore all

1048
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:32,400
Speaker 3: game and Logan Thomas is out, this could be a

1049
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:35,440
Speaker 3: big Curtis Samuel game. If again, if he plays over

1050
00:49:35,520 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 3: sixty percent of the dropacks. So get just one of

1051
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:41,480
Speaker 3: your thoughts on him, were able to watch the game

1052
00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:42,439
Speaker 3: at all or see how he works.

1053
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love I love Kurt Samuel.

1054
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:47,239
Speaker 2: I think I think he's obviously going to play a

1055
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:48,080
Speaker 2: lot more this week.

1056
00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:49,480
Speaker 1: They were easing him in last week.

1057
00:49:49,560 --> 00:49:53,960
Speaker 2: Now does that mean it's gonna be you know, eighty

1058
00:49:54,080 --> 00:49:58,560
Speaker 2: ninety percent? No way, No, but yeah, because Diami Brown

1059
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:01,520
Speaker 2: also was ruled out of Week four game against the

1060
00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:03,920
Speaker 2: Falcons with a knee issue, I'm not sure if he's

1061
00:50:03,960 --> 00:50:05,840
Speaker 2: ruled out for Week five as far as we know

1062
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:10,760
Speaker 2: recording this on Tuesday afternoon, But there's a scenario where

1063
00:50:11,640 --> 00:50:16,000
Speaker 2: remember last season, Washington's number two receiver played like all

1064
00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:19,359
Speaker 2: the snaps Cam Simms once he kind of jumped into

1065
00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:21,640
Speaker 2: that mix. He was playing this pretty much the same

1066
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:24,040
Speaker 2: amount that McLaurin was playing, so Adam.

1067
00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 1: Humphries was still used in the same role.

1068
00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:31,040
Speaker 2: Samuel was used mostly as an outside receiver, So I

1069
00:50:31,080 --> 00:50:34,359
Speaker 2: think you could see Samuel be using that spot now.

1070
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:35,839
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's the best spot for him

1071
00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:39,400
Speaker 2: long term, but there's a scenario where Curtis Samuel jumps

1072
00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:42,160
Speaker 2: all the way up to like triple like to almost

1073
00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:44,480
Speaker 2: a full snap count this week, if if he's helped him,

1074
00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:46,520
Speaker 2: if he was healthy enough to play last week, then

1075
00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:49,480
Speaker 2: I don't see why. So I mean, at three k

1076
00:50:49,520 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 2: it doesn't matter. You can get it out and still hit.

1077
00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 2: But I'm saying, yeah, there's a scenario where Curtis Samuel

1078
00:50:55,200 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 2: plays started snaps this week.

1079
00:50:57,600 --> 00:50:59,920
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like it. I like that a lot.

1080
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:02,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I just like that he's coming off you know,

1081
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:04,400
Speaker 3: four catch nineteen their game. No one's going to be

1082
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 3: paying attention to him with you know, Danni Brown, if

1083
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:11,040
Speaker 3: he's out, Logan Thomas is out, Ricky Seals Jones will

1084
00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 3: probably running a route over seventy five percent of the time.

1085
00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:18,400
Speaker 3: I'm getting like a four point five reception projection for

1086
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 3: Samuel in just about sixty sixty five percent of routes run,

1087
00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:24,480
Speaker 3: so he definitely has a higher ceiling if he plays more.

1088
00:51:24,520 --> 00:51:26,759
Speaker 3: But he's he's under the radar as a man price guy,

1089
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 3: So I do like him this week as my chee code.

1090
00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:32,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, So for me, I'm going to go with Laviska

1091
00:51:32,080 --> 00:51:36,719
Speaker 2: Channel junior this week. You have a Tennessee defense that's

1092
00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 2: bottom twenty against all three receiver spots.

1093
00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 1: You just had DJ Shark go on the injured reserve

1094
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:43,800
Speaker 1: with a knee injury.

1095
00:51:43,880 --> 00:51:47,160
Speaker 2: So Viscus Shandel has been playing about eighty percent of

1096
00:51:47,200 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 2: the dropbacks. He's had seven or more targets in three

1097
00:51:51,120 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 2: of the four games, and he's also had a rushing

1098
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:57,080
Speaker 2: attempt in three of the four games. And with you

1099
00:51:57,080 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 2: know Carlos Hide seemingly falling out of favor a little bit,

1100
00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:03,759
Speaker 2: Bawe never really runs the ball. He could be the

1101
00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:06,200
Speaker 2: backup running back. So I think you're gonna see a

1102
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:08,960
Speaker 2: lot more of like Chanault as we saw you know,

1103
00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:13,600
Speaker 2: Agnew and Jevon Austin in these kind of hybrid Travis

1104
00:52:13,600 --> 00:52:16,680
Speaker 2: etn roles. So Chanault was already playing and I think

1105
00:52:16,680 --> 00:52:18,840
Speaker 2: they're gonna have to continue to ramp up his usage

1106
00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:21,120
Speaker 2: as you mentioned urban Meyer seems to kind of be

1107
00:52:21,160 --> 00:52:25,640
Speaker 2: getting it. Uh you know, I mean, oh, he was

1108
00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:26,080
Speaker 2: getting it.

1109
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:26,680
Speaker 3: Is good.

1110
00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:28,360
Speaker 1: I'm not even we're not going to comment on that

1111
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:29,560
Speaker 1: because we're gonna get in trouble.

1112
00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:32,240
Speaker 2: We're not gonna get in trouble. We hope he handles

1113
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:35,800
Speaker 2: that situation. You know, that's not it's none of our business.

1114
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:39,280
Speaker 2: But he was getting it, I'll say that. And yeah,

1115
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 2: so you know, Viscus Chanal, I just think against his

1116
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:46,640
Speaker 2: Tennessee defense, but they are thirty second, dead last in

1117
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 2: fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. So I think Chanault

1118
00:52:50,760 --> 00:52:53,799
Speaker 2: is a great play here, high floor guy. And then

1119
00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:57,120
Speaker 2: there are some options as well. You know, I think

1120
00:52:57,360 --> 00:52:59,240
Speaker 2: I would say at this point, it looks like Channault

1121
00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:02,400
Speaker 2: would probably be that highest owned receiver in that range,

1122
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:04,040
Speaker 2: but you could pivot off of him with a guy

1123
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:06,520
Speaker 2: like Darnell Mooney at forty seven hundred.

1124
00:53:07,080 --> 00:53:09,640
Speaker 1: He had one hundred yards plus last week.

1125
00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:12,719
Speaker 2: And Jalon Waddo going against Tampa Bay who's number thirty

1126
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:16,120
Speaker 2: one in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers and their

1127
00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 2: their secondary it's just getting like dudes are dropping like

1128
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:23,359
Speaker 2: flies out there. So Jayalen Wado a guy who can

1129
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:26,520
Speaker 2: move around a formation, will fuller out a game where

1130
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:27,560
Speaker 2: Miami probably going.

1131
00:53:27,560 --> 00:53:29,840
Speaker 1: To give up thirty points in this game.

1132
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:32,560
Speaker 2: You know they've been playing some kind of slog, some

1133
00:53:32,719 --> 00:53:34,520
Speaker 2: ugly games and in a lot of these games. But

1134
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:37,840
Speaker 2: remember that that Vegas game where Vegas was able to

1135
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 2: put up some points, Wado had thirteen targets and twelve catches.

1136
00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:46,200
Speaker 2: So you know, Waddo still has thirty targets in four games.

1137
00:53:46,200 --> 00:53:47,839
Speaker 2: That's seven and a half targets per game. I'd say

1138
00:53:47,840 --> 00:53:49,920
Speaker 2: that's pretty good for a rookie in your first four games.

1139
00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:52,799
Speaker 2: You know that that may only increase from here. So

1140
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:56,560
Speaker 2: Jaylen Waddo is another guy in that range, but loved that,

1141
00:53:56,960 --> 00:54:00,560
Speaker 2: you know, high four k range on draft kings.

1142
00:54:00,880 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 1: To find some value here at wide receiver.

1143
00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:06,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you on that channel call, like we

1144
00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:08,400
Speaker 3: already talked about. But with DJ charkout, I don't think

1145
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:11,440
Speaker 3: they're gonna lean on these ancillary receivers like Tevon Austin,

1146
00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:16,080
Speaker 3: Tyron Johnson and Jamal Agney the converted cornerback and you

1147
00:54:16,120 --> 00:54:20,120
Speaker 3: know the kickoff return extraordinair and Dan Arnold's still learning

1148
00:54:20,160 --> 00:54:21,760
Speaker 3: the offense. So it might take a couple of weeks

1149
00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:23,719
Speaker 3: for him to get a role, So I think, yeah,

1150
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:25,400
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna lean on Chanel a lot here,

1151
00:54:25,520 --> 00:54:27,160
Speaker 3: especially against the Titans.

1152
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:29,720
Speaker 1: And what are your thoughts real quick on Randall Cobb

1153
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 1: at four K?

1154
00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:33,080
Speaker 2: You mentioned that you know, Green Bay is probably being

1155
00:54:33,160 --> 00:54:36,880
Speaker 2: hurt without Valdez scant wing. Cobb had those two touchdowns

1156
00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:40,080
Speaker 2: last week, we may be highly rostered. Is he kind

1157
00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:42,279
Speaker 2: of a fade for you or is four K something

1158
00:54:42,280 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 2: you're interested in it?

1159
00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:43,120
Speaker 1: No?

1160
00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:45,840
Speaker 3: I love Randall Cobb, and you know, all the all

1161
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:47,880
Speaker 3: the props that was loud about last week, I lost,

1162
00:54:47,880 --> 00:54:49,760
Speaker 3: but I had some really good ones. I had Randall

1163
00:54:49,800 --> 00:54:53,759
Speaker 3: Cobb over eighteen and a half yards and just smashed that.

1164
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:57,200
Speaker 3: Because you know, if Dalla is scantling out, I think

1165
00:54:57,480 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 3: Cobb's playing time is solidified right now. So let me

1166
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:01,839
Speaker 3: just double check his routes run.

1167
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:05,040
Speaker 2: Lazard was that he went to like ninety something. I

1168
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:06,239
Speaker 2: think Cobb was like sixty five.

1169
00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:09,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, so Lazard went up to ninety three percent,

1170
00:55:09,760 --> 00:55:13,319
Speaker 3: Cobb sixty three percent. Lazard is not really seeing targets though,

1171
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:16,000
Speaker 3: And let's be honest, you know Rogers wanted them to

1172
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:18,120
Speaker 3: bring in Randald cobbs so Rogers is going to be

1173
00:55:18,200 --> 00:55:20,879
Speaker 3: targeting Randal Cobb. So that's what we saw last week.

1174
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:23,200
Speaker 3: So you know, Cobb's playing time could go up from here.

1175
00:55:23,600 --> 00:55:27,120
Speaker 3: So I'm very interested in Cobb at this price. I

1176
00:55:27,160 --> 00:55:29,600
Speaker 3: still think he's gonna lean on Adams, but the Bengals

1177
00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:31,799
Speaker 3: have been pretty smart on defense. Maybe you know they

1178
00:55:31,800 --> 00:55:34,200
Speaker 3: double him, uh you know, and you know Cobb has

1179
00:55:34,239 --> 00:55:36,799
Speaker 3: another big game. But I'm very interested in Cob at

1180
00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:37,280
Speaker 3: this price.

1181
00:55:38,200 --> 00:55:38,439
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1182
00:55:38,560 --> 00:55:41,640
Speaker 2: The one thing I would say though, is if we

1183
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,200
Speaker 2: do see that, like as the week progresses, that he's

1184
00:55:44,239 --> 00:55:48,279
Speaker 2: going to be super popular, which he could be, I

1185
00:55:48,320 --> 00:55:52,600
Speaker 2: would pivot to Wizard and tournaments because Wizard again ran

1186
00:55:52,600 --> 00:55:54,440
Speaker 2: around on ninety three percent of the drop backs, and

1187
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,440
Speaker 2: even though Wizard has been quiet this year, Aaron Rodgers

1188
00:55:57,480 --> 00:55:59,480
Speaker 2: has a tendency. It's kind of like Valdes Scanely, like

1189
00:55:59,640 --> 00:56:02,360
Speaker 2: Bazarre is now in that valve at scantling role where

1190
00:56:02,560 --> 00:56:05,480
Speaker 2: you could have like three four terrible games and then

1191
00:56:05,680 --> 00:56:07,399
Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers like, hey, I'm gonna just hit this guy

1192
00:56:07,400 --> 00:56:11,600
Speaker 2: deep all game. So I think there is some like

1193
00:56:11,640 --> 00:56:14,520
Speaker 2: an interesting contrarian play for Cobb. And another one I'll

1194
00:56:14,520 --> 00:56:17,840
Speaker 2: mentioned is Sedrick Wilson for the Cowboys. It's a pivot

1195
00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:19,799
Speaker 2: off a guy I'm sure we'll talk about in this

1196
00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:22,600
Speaker 2: next segment on tight end, Dalton Schultz. But the Giants

1197
00:56:22,640 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 2: are number thirty one in DVOA versus non number one

1198
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:29,880
Speaker 2: and number two wide receivers. So Cedric Wilson I've been

1199
00:56:30,080 --> 00:56:32,440
Speaker 2: I've been liking the moves he's been putting on defensive

1200
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,880
Speaker 2: backs when he catches the ball. I think Cedric Wilson

1201
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:36,439
Speaker 2: has some moves. I think you can get some yards

1202
00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:39,680
Speaker 2: after the catch in this game. So he's another one

1203
00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:43,200
Speaker 2: I'll point out. But let's go to the tight end position.

1204
00:56:43,600 --> 00:56:48,640
Speaker 2: On the main slate. We have Darren Waller at seventy

1205
00:56:48,680 --> 00:56:50,680
Speaker 2: three hundred because we have no Travis Kelce he's on

1206
00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:54,720
Speaker 2: the showdown. We have Waller at seventy three hundred, Kittle

1207
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:59,200
Speaker 2: fifty six hundred, he's questionable, TJ. Hockinson at fifty five

1208
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:03,080
Speaker 2: hundred gronk he's doubtful, he's not going to play, and

1209
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:05,920
Speaker 2: then Dallas Godder is fifty one hundred.

1210
00:57:06,120 --> 00:57:09,240
Speaker 1: So you have poor guys that are five k and higher.

1211
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:15,440
Speaker 2: Waller coming off just a four catch fifty yard game

1212
00:57:15,560 --> 00:57:17,680
Speaker 2: with a good touchdown catch though he went up and

1213
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:20,760
Speaker 2: got it seven targets in each of his last three

1214
00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 2: games after nineteen in the first.

1215
00:57:23,960 --> 00:57:27,040
Speaker 1: Are you willing to pay up for Waller.

1216
00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:30,040
Speaker 2: Or is this one where you're kind of you think

1217
00:57:30,080 --> 00:57:32,320
Speaker 2: the price differential between him and all the other tight

1218
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:33,080
Speaker 2: ends is too great.

1219
00:57:33,800 --> 00:57:37,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the price differential is too great. And

1220
00:57:37,600 --> 00:57:40,400
Speaker 3: you know, he hasn't been getting that many catches in

1221
00:57:40,400 --> 00:57:42,240
Speaker 3: the past couple of games. It was crazy because Derek

1222
00:57:42,240 --> 00:57:45,040
Speaker 3: Carr was throwing for over three eighty yards and Waller

1223
00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:48,080
Speaker 3: was just producing mediocre games. So I mean he's due

1224
00:57:48,080 --> 00:57:50,600
Speaker 3: for a breakout. But it is pretty clear the cars

1225
00:57:50,600 --> 00:57:54,720
Speaker 3: spreading it around. Ruggs has looked really good. You know.

1226
00:57:54,760 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 3: Brianon Edwards unfortunately wasn't able to hit your prop, but

1227
00:57:57,320 --> 00:58:00,440
Speaker 3: I'm sure he'll bounce back this week. So you Waller

1228
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,480
Speaker 3: is not just he's not dominating as much as we're

1229
00:58:02,520 --> 00:58:05,000
Speaker 3: used to. So that's why I'm probably fading him at

1230
00:58:05,040 --> 00:58:07,680
Speaker 3: this price. There's a lot of good options this week,

1231
00:58:08,600 --> 00:58:11,400
Speaker 3: but I think the guy right under that is who

1232
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:15,240
Speaker 3: I'm interested in, and that's Noah Fan at forty nine hundred.

1233
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:18,880
Speaker 3: You know, with with Jerry Judy and kJ Hammler out,

1234
00:58:19,560 --> 00:58:21,120
Speaker 3: you know, the targets are going to be even more

1235
00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:24,600
Speaker 3: concentrated to guys like Courtland Sutton, Tim Patrick and no

1236
00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:27,200
Speaker 3: a Fan. We saw a fans routs run go up

1237
00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:30,080
Speaker 3: to eighty six percent this week, so it's no surprise

1238
00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:32,360
Speaker 3: he went off for six catches, forty six yards and

1239
00:58:32,440 --> 00:58:35,280
Speaker 3: a touchdown. But it was surprised me if he stays

1240
00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:38,120
Speaker 3: over eighty percent. You know, he entered the season dealing

1241
00:58:38,120 --> 00:58:41,400
Speaker 3: with an injury, so maybe now he's one hundred percent

1242
00:58:41,480 --> 00:58:43,960
Speaker 3: now we saw his playing time go up. But love

1243
00:58:44,040 --> 00:58:47,600
Speaker 3: Fant going forward. But yeah, a lot of these cheaper

1244
00:58:47,640 --> 00:58:51,200
Speaker 3: tight ends like c j Uzoma is three k. He

1245
00:58:51,280 --> 00:58:54,920
Speaker 3: might be popular, Jared Cook, especially after My Night Football.

1246
00:58:54,920 --> 00:58:57,280
Speaker 3: I think people are more aware of him now. I

1247
00:58:57,280 --> 00:59:00,760
Speaker 3: think Fant's pretty sneaky, sort of just that elite tire

1248
00:59:00,760 --> 00:59:03,040
Speaker 3: at for you a hundred. So he's my cheat code

1249
00:59:03,040 --> 00:59:06,840
Speaker 3: at tight end this week. Yeah, for me, it's.

1250
00:59:06,360 --> 00:59:09,200
Speaker 2: Gonna be I mean, there are a few guys again,

1251
00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:11,920
Speaker 2: I think I think Dalton Schultz will be popular. I

1252
00:59:12,000 --> 00:59:15,080
Speaker 2: think you know, he's he's getting interesting after seeing him,

1253
00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:17,160
Speaker 2: you know, continue to be a part of this offense.

1254
00:59:17,240 --> 00:59:20,320
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna have Ricky Sales Jones here at Min Price.

1255
00:59:20,480 --> 00:59:23,040
Speaker 2: I mean, he's he ran around on over eighty percent

1256
00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:25,280
Speaker 2: of the dropbacks last week, and you mentioned it. You

1257
00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:29,360
Speaker 2: have these kind of multiple options in Washington's offense to

1258
00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:32,720
Speaker 2: choose from at Min Price, whether it's Curtis, Samuel, Seals Jones,

1259
00:59:32,760 --> 00:59:35,080
Speaker 2: And I mean, if you don't think Samuel is gonna

1260
00:59:35,120 --> 00:59:38,080
Speaker 2: run a full snap count, Steals Jones might, I mean,

1261
00:59:38,200 --> 00:59:41,360
Speaker 2: because the only other tight end they have is Sammy's race,

1262
00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:45,919
Speaker 2: and you know he he's been to healthy scratch Sammy's race. Yeah,

1263
00:59:46,240 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 2: oh yeah, I think that's how it's pronounced it. But

1264
00:59:48,520 --> 00:59:51,440
Speaker 2: he's been, he's been a scratch. He'll probably play more

1265
00:59:51,480 --> 00:59:54,320
Speaker 2: than a guy like John Bates as you know, as

1266
00:59:54,320 --> 00:59:57,680
Speaker 2: a receiving tight end. But it's very possible that Steals

1267
00:59:57,760 --> 01:00:02,040
Speaker 2: Jones inherits that full Logan Thomas yet again, because he

1268
01:00:02,080 --> 01:00:04,640
Speaker 2: did it last week and that workloade is like ninety

1269
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:09,080
Speaker 2: percent routes per dropout. So again, just like Samuel, there's

1270
01:00:09,120 --> 01:00:12,960
Speaker 2: this massive upside and if Steals Jones takes that same role,

1271
01:00:13,320 --> 01:00:17,439
Speaker 2: that's actually even a more guaranteed, you know, usage rate

1272
01:00:17,760 --> 01:00:20,800
Speaker 2: than a guy like Samuel. So I love Steals Jones

1273
01:00:21,160 --> 01:00:23,000
Speaker 2: as a as a true cheek code. You know a

1274
01:00:23,040 --> 01:00:25,640
Speaker 2: guy who you know, he very well could bagel, but

1275
01:00:25,840 --> 01:00:28,360
Speaker 2: he could also play ninety percent of the snaps and

1276
01:00:28,400 --> 01:00:31,080
Speaker 2: get like five six catches in a touchdown. So I

1277
01:00:31,080 --> 01:00:34,880
Speaker 2: think he's a great tournament play for this week at

1278
01:00:35,160 --> 01:00:37,760
Speaker 2: the tight end position. And yeah, the studs, I think

1279
01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:39,600
Speaker 2: wall Er, you know, you play him in some tournaments

1280
01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:41,520
Speaker 2: because I don't think I think people will shy away

1281
01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:43,800
Speaker 2: a little bit after all the you know, kind of

1282
01:00:43,840 --> 01:00:46,440
Speaker 2: the slow games and you have like Fan and Schultz

1283
01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:49,640
Speaker 2: and some other you know, Hunter Henry, I think is

1284
01:00:49,640 --> 01:00:51,880
Speaker 2: a is an interesting option. Probably not the game script

1285
01:00:51,960 --> 01:00:54,360
Speaker 2: for him, but he's seeing a big uptick in routes

1286
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:54,680
Speaker 2: as well.

1287
01:00:54,680 --> 01:00:55,320
Speaker 1: But there's a lot of.

1288
01:00:55,320 --> 01:00:57,480
Speaker 2: Cheap guys to where I don't think people will play

1289
01:00:57,600 --> 01:00:59,960
Speaker 2: enough Waller. So I think I'll be back on the

1290
01:01:00,120 --> 01:01:05,480
Speaker 2: wall or train this week. Okay, who are you fading?

1291
01:01:07,360 --> 01:01:10,480
Speaker 2: Probably Dallas Godder at fifty one hundred. You know, he's

1292
01:01:10,480 --> 01:01:13,520
Speaker 2: been able to produce these past few games despite being

1293
01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:17,240
Speaker 2: in a you know, even timeshare with zach Ertz right now.

1294
01:01:17,320 --> 01:01:21,240
Speaker 2: You know, they're splitting routes run down the middle, but

1295
01:01:21,320 --> 01:01:23,720
Speaker 2: he's still been able to produce last week five catches

1296
01:01:23,760 --> 01:01:26,520
Speaker 2: fifty six yards in a touchdown. So at fifty one hundred,

1297
01:01:26,880 --> 01:01:28,240
Speaker 2: you know, I don't think people are gonna be shying

1298
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:29,760
Speaker 2: away from him, but you know, he's all the way

1299
01:01:29,800 --> 01:01:33,000
Speaker 2: down to like I think tight end sixteen right now.

1300
01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:35,920
Speaker 2: He just doesn't have that sticky usage to really keep

1301
01:01:35,960 --> 01:01:37,800
Speaker 2: this up. So he's he's my fade this week at

1302
01:01:37,840 --> 01:01:38,560
Speaker 2: fifty one hundred.

1303
01:01:39,720 --> 01:01:41,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's.

1304
01:01:40,880 --> 01:01:42,960
Speaker 2: Hard to find another guy, but to be size that

1305
01:01:43,560 --> 01:01:47,080
Speaker 2: because he's just so overpriced, I would much rather play

1306
01:01:47,240 --> 01:01:51,240
Speaker 2: Zach Ertz at thirty four hundred. They're running essentially the same, yeah,

1307
01:01:51,560 --> 01:01:55,600
Speaker 2: number of routes, so yeah, it's it's uh, it's got

1308
01:01:55,640 --> 01:01:56,400
Speaker 2: it for me as well.

1309
01:01:56,880 --> 01:01:57,280
Speaker 3: All right.

1310
01:01:57,640 --> 01:01:59,400
Speaker 2: So I just realized that we didn't do the props

1311
01:01:59,440 --> 01:02:03,880
Speaker 2: right after each position, So okay, Matt Mitchell or Titus,

1312
01:02:04,160 --> 01:02:07,640
Speaker 2: you're going to have to I would say, paste does in, right,

1313
01:02:07,720 --> 01:02:09,360
Speaker 2: I mean, you could weave him, we could just do

1314
01:02:09,440 --> 01:02:12,320
Speaker 2: him here, but if you can try to paste them

1315
01:02:12,320 --> 01:02:15,439
Speaker 2: in right after each position, so I'll kind of set

1316
01:02:15,480 --> 01:02:18,160
Speaker 2: them up so that you can do that if you want.

1317
01:02:18,400 --> 01:02:23,360
Speaker 2: All right, all right, Sean, who is our quarterback prop

1318
01:02:23,400 --> 01:02:23,960
Speaker 2: for Week five?

1319
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:29,840
Speaker 3: It's Trey Lance total passing yards at Price Picks. It's

1320
01:02:31,080 --> 01:02:34,080
Speaker 3: two and twenty five and a half right now. Now

1321
01:02:34,080 --> 01:02:37,520
Speaker 3: we got justin Field's way wrong the first game. But

1322
01:02:38,120 --> 01:02:39,720
Speaker 3: where do you have Lance projected?

1323
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:44,280
Speaker 2: I have him at two twenty five even if I

1324
01:02:44,280 --> 01:02:45,760
Speaker 2: were to give him one hundred percent.

1325
01:02:45,520 --> 01:02:49,760
Speaker 1: Of the of this the usage.

1326
01:02:49,760 --> 01:02:52,080
Speaker 2: And you know, I actually haven't projected fifty to fifty

1327
01:02:52,080 --> 01:02:55,520
Speaker 2: for him and Jimmy g But yeah, so I would.

1328
01:02:56,000 --> 01:02:57,840
Speaker 2: I would go under though, because I just don't think

1329
01:02:57,840 --> 01:03:02,040
Speaker 2: he I don't think he looked like is comfortable throwing

1330
01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:02,440
Speaker 2: the ball.

1331
01:03:02,480 --> 01:03:04,760
Speaker 1: I don't think Kyle Shanahan is comfortable with throwing the ball.

1332
01:03:04,800 --> 01:03:08,680
Speaker 2: And remember what we saw from Kyle Shanahan when he

1333
01:03:08,760 --> 01:03:11,840
Speaker 2: wasn't comfortable with some you know, some aspect of his

1334
01:03:11,880 --> 01:03:15,280
Speaker 2: offense earlier already this year, when he wasn't comfortable with

1335
01:03:15,320 --> 01:03:18,400
Speaker 2: his backfield. He played and he's been playing Kyle yust

1336
01:03:18,480 --> 01:03:20,920
Speaker 2: check you know, more snaps that tailback and third down

1337
01:03:20,960 --> 01:03:23,520
Speaker 2: back and hurry up back than a guy like Trey Sermon,

1338
01:03:23,720 --> 01:03:28,120
Speaker 2: then a guy like Jaques Patrick. So if Lance plays

1339
01:03:28,840 --> 01:03:31,360
Speaker 2: and you're starting from zero zero, you know you're not

1340
01:03:31,640 --> 01:03:34,320
Speaker 2: kind of down in that second half against the Seahawks,

1341
01:03:34,720 --> 01:03:37,680
Speaker 2: then I think you see an extremely run heavy game plan.

1342
01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:38,920
Speaker 1: I think this is the week.

1343
01:03:39,200 --> 01:03:41,040
Speaker 2: I still think you see a ton of rushing usage

1344
01:03:41,040 --> 01:03:44,480
Speaker 2: from Lance, like you said, but I don't see him

1345
01:03:44,480 --> 01:03:46,600
Speaker 2: throwing the football, diving up a ton of.

1346
01:03:46,560 --> 01:03:47,480
Speaker 3: Throws for Lance.

1347
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:50,520
Speaker 2: And again if you take out that Deebo Samuel's seventy

1348
01:03:50,560 --> 01:03:53,880
Speaker 2: six yard touchdown, and also Deebo Samuel fought for extra

1349
01:03:53,960 --> 01:03:57,400
Speaker 2: yardage on his other touchdown as well, helping Lance out.

1350
01:03:57,640 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 2: But those are kind of plays that you can't count

1351
01:03:59,720 --> 01:04:01,080
Speaker 2: on getting week out.

1352
01:04:01,240 --> 01:04:03,600
Speaker 1: I think you're falling way short of this total. I

1353
01:04:03,640 --> 01:04:04,160
Speaker 1: could see it.

1354
01:04:04,320 --> 01:04:06,200
Speaker 2: I'm not saying he gets sacked nine times and has

1355
01:04:06,240 --> 01:04:09,160
Speaker 2: one net passing yard like justin field, but I'm saying

1356
01:04:09,200 --> 01:04:12,720
Speaker 2: that I would not role out a pretty ugly passing

1357
01:04:12,760 --> 01:04:15,360
Speaker 2: line for Trey Lance in this one. There is some

1358
01:04:15,480 --> 01:04:18,840
Speaker 2: volatility there because I do think that you know, if

1359
01:04:18,840 --> 01:04:21,360
Speaker 2: you do die what place for Lance? They should be deeper,

1360
01:04:21,520 --> 01:04:23,560
Speaker 2: deep throws, Like I don't think you want him given

1361
01:04:23,600 --> 01:04:26,959
Speaker 2: his accuracy, like making all these short and intermediate throws

1362
01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:30,160
Speaker 2: all day. I think that would be dangerous. But yeah,

1363
01:04:30,200 --> 01:04:32,560
Speaker 2: I don't see it, Like, where are you kind of weaning? Yeah,

1364
01:04:32,560 --> 01:04:34,520
Speaker 2: I'm with you there, even though I'm projecting him a

1365
01:04:34,520 --> 01:04:37,400
Speaker 2: little bit higher. So I'm rying around two thirty five

1366
01:04:37,480 --> 01:04:39,080
Speaker 2: right now, but it's earlier in the week. I don't

1367
01:04:39,080 --> 01:04:41,880
Speaker 2: feel confident about it, so I agree. I think we

1368
01:04:41,920 --> 01:04:45,000
Speaker 2: can't rely on a seventy six yard touchdown the debo again,

1369
01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:47,640
Speaker 2: so I think he does have a lower floor. I'm

1370
01:04:47,680 --> 01:04:50,400
Speaker 2: more interested to see where his rushing yards prop is.

1371
01:04:50,440 --> 01:04:53,400
Speaker 2: I think if it's anything under forty, I'm hammering the

1372
01:04:53,480 --> 01:04:56,240
Speaker 2: over because I think that's going to be more predictive

1373
01:04:56,280 --> 01:04:56,600
Speaker 2: for him.

1374
01:04:56,640 --> 01:04:59,360
Speaker 3: Like I said, what's president if we see you know,

1375
01:04:59,400 --> 01:05:02,440
Speaker 3: eight to nine design runs for him, So you know,

1376
01:05:02,440 --> 01:05:05,200
Speaker 3: I'm projecting that closer to forty five fifty yards this week.

1377
01:05:05,280 --> 01:05:07,960
Speaker 3: So I think I'm passing on the passing yards, but

1378
01:05:08,200 --> 01:05:10,760
Speaker 3: I'll probably be on the over when it comes as

1379
01:05:10,800 --> 01:05:11,400
Speaker 3: rushing prop.

1380
01:05:11,720 --> 01:05:14,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have forty four for Lance in my off

1381
01:05:14,440 --> 01:05:16,440
Speaker 2: for projections right now. If I give him one hundred percent,

1382
01:05:16,480 --> 01:05:21,800
Speaker 2: you know, if he started, Yeah, yeah, it's yeah, okay,

1383
01:05:21,880 --> 01:05:22,560
Speaker 2: all right, Sean.

1384
01:05:23,360 --> 01:05:25,040
Speaker 1: Who is our running back prop?

1385
01:05:25,720 --> 01:05:28,920
Speaker 3: So it's got to be Cordella Patterson total rushing and

1386
01:05:29,000 --> 01:05:33,360
Speaker 3: receiving yards. We need to spend our weekly courd Dollar

1387
01:05:33,400 --> 01:05:37,520
Speaker 3: Patterson discussion. I seem to not change my stance on him,

1388
01:05:37,520 --> 01:05:40,720
Speaker 3: but I'm getting there. He's a mid range RB two

1389
01:05:41,240 --> 01:05:44,480
Speaker 3: for me now. But I'm curious to hear how you're

1390
01:05:44,520 --> 01:05:48,400
Speaker 3: projecting his rushing stats. So I have his prop at

1391
01:05:48,600 --> 01:05:50,360
Speaker 3: sixty nine and a half total scrimmage yards.

1392
01:05:51,560 --> 01:05:54,440
Speaker 1: I have it at so I have n't actually at

1393
01:05:54,480 --> 01:05:56,720
Speaker 1: sixty four. So okay, even though I have.

1394
01:05:56,760 --> 01:05:59,560
Speaker 2: Been kind of hinting that, hey, we need to not

1395
01:06:00,080 --> 01:06:02,280
Speaker 2: nor this guy, it's not just write them off.

1396
01:06:02,600 --> 01:06:05,160
Speaker 1: This is actually a thing. Uh yeah, I have him,

1397
01:06:05,160 --> 01:06:07,320
Speaker 1: you know, right in that range a little lower. I mean,

1398
01:06:07,680 --> 01:06:08,880
Speaker 1: the one concern for.

1399
01:06:08,920 --> 01:06:11,600
Speaker 2: Me, and let me look it up to just find

1400
01:06:11,600 --> 01:06:20,000
Speaker 2: the exact number of snaps he played. So the one

1401
01:06:20,080 --> 01:06:24,480
Speaker 2: concern for me is that he played only thirty percent

1402
01:06:24,480 --> 01:06:27,480
Speaker 2: of the snaps last week when he had that eleven

1403
01:06:27,560 --> 01:06:31,520
Speaker 2: touched you know, one hundred and sixteen total yard, three

1404
01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:34,240
Speaker 2: touchdown game, He's still only played thirty percent of the

1405
01:06:34,280 --> 01:06:37,040
Speaker 2: snap So his snap counts in the four weeks have

1406
01:06:37,080 --> 01:06:39,360
Speaker 2: been thirty three percent, thirty three percent, forty two percent,

1407
01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:43,360
Speaker 2: and thirty percent. So, uh, I think they've kind of

1408
01:06:43,360 --> 01:06:46,320
Speaker 2: settled on him as in this role. He remember, he's not

1409
01:06:46,480 --> 01:06:49,040
Speaker 2: he's not super young, so you know he's thirty one,

1410
01:06:49,120 --> 01:06:52,400
Speaker 2: No what he is thirty so, and he does play

1411
01:06:52,400 --> 01:06:55,120
Speaker 2: a key role on special teams, So I do worry

1412
01:06:55,720 --> 01:06:58,240
Speaker 2: about is he really going to get to that fifty

1413
01:06:58,240 --> 01:07:01,640
Speaker 2: percent rate at any time now? Base on production. I

1414
01:07:01,640 --> 01:07:03,840
Speaker 2: think it's fair that he does. Mike Davis has been

1415
01:07:04,120 --> 01:07:07,360
Speaker 2: averaging just three point one yards per carry and five

1416
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:10,919
Speaker 2: yards per catch, So you could make a very good

1417
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:13,040
Speaker 2: case at Patterson And maybe it's this week because he

1418
01:07:13,040 --> 01:07:14,040
Speaker 2: had the big game last week.

1419
01:07:14,360 --> 01:07:15,280
Speaker 1: Maybe it's this week.

1420
01:07:15,600 --> 01:07:17,560
Speaker 2: But until we see that, I have to be a

1421
01:07:17,600 --> 01:07:19,680
Speaker 2: little bit conservative. But all that being said, he's still

1422
01:07:19,680 --> 01:07:22,200
Speaker 2: my RB twenty three, so low end RB two for

1423
01:07:22,280 --> 01:07:24,840
Speaker 2: me two. But yeah, I'm a little bit under that

1424
01:07:24,960 --> 01:07:28,040
Speaker 2: total yardage projection, which I'm I'm guessing now that I

1425
01:07:28,040 --> 01:07:30,000
Speaker 2: think about it, you probably raised it, didn't you just

1426
01:07:30,040 --> 01:07:30,560
Speaker 2: knowing I'm.

1427
01:07:30,480 --> 01:07:35,840
Speaker 3: No, No, Well, let's just agree on something. He is really

1428
01:07:35,880 --> 01:07:38,560
Speaker 3: hard to project right now, right like, yeah, he's impossible

1429
01:07:38,560 --> 01:07:40,640
Speaker 3: to project, and I think the one thing that we

1430
01:07:40,640 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 3: can say for certain is he's gonna regress when it

1431
01:07:43,160 --> 01:07:47,280
Speaker 3: comes to this touchdown production. However, like I agree with you,

1432
01:07:47,400 --> 01:07:50,560
Speaker 3: his playing time, it's been insane how productive he's been

1433
01:07:50,760 --> 01:07:53,600
Speaker 3: in such limited playing time. You know, he's seeing twenty

1434
01:07:53,720 --> 01:07:56,760
Speaker 3: five percent of the rush attempts. He's only running around

1435
01:07:57,000 --> 01:08:00,640
Speaker 3: thirty percent of Matt Ryan dropbacks like it's insane, and

1436
01:08:00,680 --> 01:08:03,840
Speaker 3: he has a thirty nine percent target rate on those routes.

1437
01:08:04,600 --> 01:08:07,080
Speaker 3: So something's got to give. He can't maintain that efficiency,

1438
01:08:07,240 --> 01:08:10,200
Speaker 3: but it would not surprise me if his playing time

1439
01:08:10,280 --> 01:08:13,080
Speaker 3: goes up. So that's why I'm still you know, I'm

1440
01:08:13,120 --> 01:08:15,400
Speaker 3: increasing his playing time, but I agree, I think just

1441
01:08:15,480 --> 01:08:17,920
Speaker 3: giving his role in special teams, He's not really a

1442
01:08:17,960 --> 01:08:20,360
Speaker 3: guy that can handle a ton of touches every week,

1443
01:08:21,040 --> 01:08:22,920
Speaker 3: so he does have a limit. But that's why my

1444
01:08:22,920 --> 01:08:25,840
Speaker 3: my yardage is going up because I'm expecting his playing

1445
01:08:25,880 --> 01:08:28,840
Speaker 3: time to go up. So that's why. No, I'm not

1446
01:08:28,840 --> 01:08:30,720
Speaker 3: trying to trick or anything. I'm trying to get this right.

1447
01:08:31,520 --> 01:08:33,280
Speaker 3: So it's probably, you know, a good line is probably

1448
01:08:33,520 --> 01:08:35,760
Speaker 3: in the middle of our projection. So what sixty seven

1449
01:08:35,800 --> 01:08:38,679
Speaker 3: and a half, Yeah, would be a fair line, I think, Yeah,

1450
01:08:38,720 --> 01:08:40,439
Speaker 3: So I'm trying to get I'm not trying to play

1451
01:08:40,439 --> 01:08:40,920
Speaker 3: games here.

1452
01:08:41,120 --> 01:08:43,120
Speaker 1: Oh no, No, I remember trying to get it right.

1453
01:08:43,240 --> 01:08:45,280
Speaker 2: We had when we had our guy freeban on a

1454
01:08:45,320 --> 01:08:46,960
Speaker 2: lot of times, I know, you would kind of think

1455
01:08:46,960 --> 01:08:49,360
Speaker 2: about how Freeman and I would would answer and yeah,

1456
01:08:49,720 --> 01:08:53,479
Speaker 2: shade the line with me. It's usually under But you know,

1457
01:08:53,720 --> 01:08:57,800
Speaker 2: I was pretty bullish Unpatchson. This podcast definitely one of

1458
01:08:57,800 --> 01:08:59,919
Speaker 2: the few or maybe the only that talked about Patterson

1459
01:09:00,000 --> 01:09:02,840
Speaker 2: and Osbourne's some of those guys.

1460
01:09:02,880 --> 01:09:10,040
Speaker 1: So let's keep it going, all right, Sean, who is

1461
01:09:10,120 --> 01:09:11,880
Speaker 1: our wide receiver prop for Week five?

1462
01:09:12,640 --> 01:09:15,000
Speaker 3: Well, I'm gonna go with the impossible here and we're

1463
01:09:15,000 --> 01:09:18,920
Speaker 3: gonna talk about Josh Gordon and his prop. I mean,

1464
01:09:18,960 --> 01:09:22,679
Speaker 3: this is an almost impossible lines set, so I man's

1465
01:09:22,720 --> 01:09:26,680
Speaker 3: just throw it out there. Thirteen and a half receiving yards.

1466
01:09:27,560 --> 01:09:31,120
Speaker 2: I actually had him, so my mean projection is about

1467
01:09:31,120 --> 01:09:33,120
Speaker 2: one point four catches for.

1468
01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:35,719
Speaker 1: Nineteen yards.

1469
01:09:35,840 --> 01:09:38,120
Speaker 2: Okay, I put a little bit over even with the media,

1470
01:09:38,120 --> 01:09:40,439
Speaker 2: and I'd be a little bit over. I mean, so

1471
01:09:40,560 --> 01:09:44,040
Speaker 2: I'll say this, It really surprised me that Josh Gordon

1472
01:09:44,120 --> 01:09:47,880
Speaker 2: was gonna play like I just I thought that like

1473
01:09:47,920 --> 01:09:49,479
Speaker 2: he was gonna be on the practice squad kind of

1474
01:09:49,479 --> 01:09:51,360
Speaker 2: like you know, Wayveon Bell one of those guys just

1475
01:09:51,439 --> 01:09:53,800
Speaker 2: kind of sit there for a while. Because teams are

1476
01:09:54,160 --> 01:09:58,439
Speaker 2: signing these the rules allow for NFL teams to sign

1477
01:09:58,479 --> 01:10:00,759
Speaker 2: bigger names to practice squad. So I just thought Gordon

1478
01:10:00,880 --> 01:10:02,680
Speaker 2: was just kind of kind of rot and eventually he

1479
01:10:02,680 --> 01:10:05,960
Speaker 2: would take over for Dorri's Fountain on the rosters, like

1480
01:10:06,000 --> 01:10:08,160
Speaker 2: the sixth receiver who's still like a healthy.

1481
01:10:07,840 --> 01:10:09,519
Speaker 1: Scratch on game days.

1482
01:10:09,960 --> 01:10:14,080
Speaker 2: But this news makes me think that maybe they wave

1483
01:10:14,200 --> 01:10:15,800
Speaker 2: like a Marcus Kemp or something. I mean, I thought

1484
01:10:15,840 --> 01:10:18,160
Speaker 2: they liked Marcus Kemp on special teams, but you also

1485
01:10:18,200 --> 01:10:20,680
Speaker 2: have Pringle. I think Pringle's a he's a better like

1486
01:10:20,760 --> 01:10:22,640
Speaker 2: dual threat, like you know, he can play receiver and

1487
01:10:22,720 --> 01:10:25,200
Speaker 2: he can play special teams. So maybe it's just Fountain

1488
01:10:25,240 --> 01:10:29,000
Speaker 2: that they wave, and they because they have been having Kelsey, Bell,

1489
01:10:29,160 --> 01:10:31,679
Speaker 2: Fortson and Gray active at tight end, you could easily

1490
01:10:31,680 --> 01:10:32,840
Speaker 2: deactivate a tight end.

1491
01:10:33,000 --> 01:10:33,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's true.

1492
01:10:33,720 --> 01:10:37,280
Speaker 2: Wave Fountain, let Gordon take his spot, deactivate a tight

1493
01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:39,160
Speaker 2: end on game days and still get you know, have

1494
01:10:39,280 --> 01:10:40,760
Speaker 2: the same situation pretty much.

1495
01:10:41,000 --> 01:10:43,599
Speaker 1: So maybe they do that. But I was I will

1496
01:10:43,600 --> 01:10:44,519
Speaker 1: say I was surprised.

1497
01:10:44,680 --> 01:10:46,880
Speaker 2: But given that they're going to activate him, it does

1498
01:10:46,960 --> 01:10:49,120
Speaker 2: make me think he's gonna play. So what I'm doing

1499
01:10:49,200 --> 01:10:52,840
Speaker 2: is I'm giving him kind of about two thirds of

1500
01:10:52,880 --> 01:10:57,320
Speaker 2: the Byron Pringle snaps and knocking Pringle down into like,

1501
01:10:57,560 --> 01:10:59,760
Speaker 2: you know, the ten percent range, where you know it

1502
01:10:59,840 --> 01:11:02,320
Speaker 2: was Marcus Kemp was kind of at five percent. So

1503
01:11:02,720 --> 01:11:04,160
Speaker 2: that's kind of how I'm going about it. So I

1504
01:11:04,160 --> 01:11:05,920
Speaker 2: have him about thirty percent routes run.

1505
01:11:06,400 --> 01:11:07,120
Speaker 1: What do you have him?

1506
01:11:07,200 --> 01:11:08,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm right, I'm right there with you. And that's

1507
01:11:08,600 --> 01:11:10,760
Speaker 3: what I was going to ask. I was expecting to

1508
01:11:10,800 --> 01:11:14,120
Speaker 3: get called up, you know, next week or week seven.

1509
01:11:14,240 --> 01:11:16,160
Speaker 3: So does like the early call up, does that mean

1510
01:11:17,200 --> 01:11:19,080
Speaker 3: he's ready to rock or they just want to get

1511
01:11:19,160 --> 01:11:21,120
Speaker 3: him out there, And like you said, more like ten

1512
01:11:21,200 --> 01:11:24,080
Speaker 3: to fifteen percent routes run, I think you answer my question,

1513
01:11:25,000 --> 01:11:27,400
Speaker 3: And like, are you so I did the same thing

1514
01:11:27,439 --> 01:11:30,360
Speaker 3: with Pringle. Are you dinging Hardman or Robinson all? Or

1515
01:11:30,400 --> 01:11:31,920
Speaker 3: do you think they're still going to be around sixty

1516
01:11:31,960 --> 01:11:33,000
Speaker 3: five percent this week?

1517
01:11:33,520 --> 01:11:36,200
Speaker 2: We know Hardman is automatically dinged by the fact that

1518
01:11:36,200 --> 01:11:38,240
Speaker 2: he's just never quite does what we want him to do.

1519
01:11:38,320 --> 01:11:41,320
Speaker 2: But I took him a little bit away from Robinson

1520
01:11:41,479 --> 01:11:44,400
Speaker 2: because I think that's the more I think Hardman's role

1521
01:11:44,520 --> 01:11:47,200
Speaker 2: is is just a different role I think, and I

1522
01:11:47,200 --> 01:11:49,280
Speaker 2: could be wrong because we've been wrong about this before,

1523
01:11:49,479 --> 01:11:53,320
Speaker 2: but I have Hardman at about seventy seventy percent, Robinson

1524
01:11:53,360 --> 01:11:57,519
Speaker 2: sixty percent, and then Gordon thirty percent. So that's you know,

1525
01:11:57,560 --> 01:12:00,240
Speaker 2: I took a little more away from Robinson than anyone

1526
01:12:00,280 --> 01:12:02,920
Speaker 2: because I think the Robinson has not been productive this year,

1527
01:12:03,280 --> 01:12:06,639
Speaker 2: and if Josh Gordon were to take over for somebody

1528
01:12:06,720 --> 01:12:08,960
Speaker 2: long term, I still think it would be Robinson, Like

1529
01:12:09,000 --> 01:12:11,720
Speaker 2: I still think, yeah, because remember they almost didn't re

1530
01:12:11,800 --> 01:12:14,240
Speaker 2: sign him. It was this offseason, right, like they went

1531
01:12:14,280 --> 01:12:16,880
Speaker 2: a kind of testree agency. Yep. Yeah, So I think

1532
01:12:16,960 --> 01:12:19,960
Speaker 2: quietly they do love him as an organization, I will

1533
01:12:19,960 --> 01:12:20,320
Speaker 2: say that.

1534
01:12:20,360 --> 01:12:25,760
Speaker 3: But why so last week the most DeMarcus Robinson line

1535
01:12:25,800 --> 01:12:28,840
Speaker 3: ever Twenty four routes run zero targets.

1536
01:12:28,479 --> 01:12:29,320
Speaker 1: Right exactly.

1537
01:12:29,400 --> 01:12:33,640
Speaker 2: So that's you know, I think that's kind of hurrying

1538
01:12:34,080 --> 01:12:36,240
Speaker 2: the need to maybe kind of get guard Gordon here.

1539
01:12:36,280 --> 01:12:38,960
Speaker 2: But again, I think the line, you know, it's somewhere

1540
01:12:38,960 --> 01:12:42,880
Speaker 2: in the teams is good because let's remember his five

1541
01:12:42,920 --> 01:12:45,640
Speaker 2: games with Seattle, which I think is a fair comparison.

1542
01:12:45,680 --> 01:12:48,080
Speaker 2: To start, he played thirty seven percent of the snaps

1543
01:12:48,080 --> 01:12:50,840
Speaker 2: thirty three, thirty six percent, fifty six and thirty seven

1544
01:12:50,880 --> 01:12:53,000
Speaker 2: in this five games, so always, you know, kind of

1545
01:12:53,080 --> 01:12:56,799
Speaker 2: between thirty seven and fifty six, two catches twenty seven yards,

1546
01:12:56,960 --> 01:12:59,519
Speaker 2: one catch ten yards, one catch ten yards, two catches

1547
01:12:59,520 --> 01:13:03,000
Speaker 2: thirty four or one catch fifty eight yards. So he's

1548
01:13:03,080 --> 01:13:05,320
Speaker 2: probably going not going to get more than two catches

1549
01:13:05,360 --> 01:13:08,280
Speaker 2: in this game. It's just a matter of how many

1550
01:13:08,320 --> 01:13:10,160
Speaker 2: yards does he get. So I think something in that

1551
01:13:10,280 --> 01:13:12,040
Speaker 2: range where you expect him to get about one one

1552
01:13:12,080 --> 01:13:14,680
Speaker 2: and a half catches whatever yard did you think?

1553
01:13:14,720 --> 01:13:17,760
Speaker 3: That's the bonus bonus prop? You could just answer with

1554
01:13:17,880 --> 01:13:20,799
Speaker 3: one word if you want, but over under. So his

1555
01:13:20,800 --> 01:13:25,719
Speaker 3: his highest receiving yardage game this season, over under seventy

1556
01:13:25,840 --> 01:13:26,559
Speaker 3: nine and a half.

1557
01:13:26,439 --> 01:13:30,680
Speaker 1: Yards over because he has Patrick Mahomes.

1558
01:13:30,920 --> 01:13:35,400
Speaker 3: Okay, point you well, I think that's a good line.

1559
01:13:35,760 --> 01:13:39,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, you can't get seventy nine point five on the.

1560
01:13:39,600 --> 01:13:43,720
Speaker 3: Box score, so you got I'll go over with you. Yeah,

1561
01:13:43,760 --> 01:13:45,400
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes the only reason why.

1562
01:13:45,920 --> 01:13:48,679
Speaker 2: Imagine if they started putting like pensive yardage and box

1563
01:13:48,680 --> 01:13:51,479
Speaker 2: scores and fantasy leagues are won and lost online, oh

1564
01:13:51,920 --> 01:13:57,599
Speaker 2: NFL scoring ridiculousness. That would be fun. All right, let's

1565
01:13:57,640 --> 01:13:59,720
Speaker 2: go to our tight end prop. Now, Sean, who do

1566
01:13:59,720 --> 01:14:01,880
Speaker 2: we got for tight ends? Uh?

1567
01:14:02,040 --> 01:14:05,800
Speaker 3: So we're gonna have to go Dalton Schultz. You know,

1568
01:14:05,840 --> 01:14:07,800
Speaker 3: I've been betting the underruner his prop for a couple

1569
01:14:07,880 --> 01:14:10,360
Speaker 3: weeks now, and now I'm going the other way. I

1570
01:14:10,400 --> 01:14:12,679
Speaker 3: probably can't get enough Dalton Schultz this week. I'm probably

1571
01:14:12,720 --> 01:14:17,000
Speaker 3: gonna go over his prop. So curious where you have him?

1572
01:14:17,640 --> 01:14:20,519
Speaker 3: So my projection right now is thirty nine and a

1573
01:14:20,560 --> 01:14:23,920
Speaker 3: half and it feels low just given his underlying usage.

1574
01:14:23,960 --> 01:14:26,120
Speaker 2: So so where do you have my projections right now?

1575
01:14:26,120 --> 01:14:27,559
Speaker 2: Because I have him at forty even.

1576
01:14:28,600 --> 01:14:31,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I think that's a great line. I have

1577
01:14:32,040 --> 01:14:35,120
Speaker 1: him three point six catches for forty yards for.

1578
01:14:35,120 --> 01:14:36,120
Speaker 3: The first three weeks.

1579
01:14:36,680 --> 01:14:40,360
Speaker 2: Dalton Schultz and Blake Jarwin, we're running pretty much the

1580
01:14:40,439 --> 01:14:43,920
Speaker 2: same exact number of routes per dropback on the season.

1581
01:14:43,960 --> 01:14:46,200
Speaker 2: It's only a sixty two to fifty four percent split

1582
01:14:46,240 --> 01:14:50,320
Speaker 2: in favor of Shultz. But last week Schultz seventy six percent,

1583
01:14:50,439 --> 01:14:55,559
Speaker 2: Jarwin thirty six percent. So I'm not even giving Schultz

1584
01:14:55,600 --> 01:14:57,559
Speaker 2: like the full you know, like, I'm not giving him

1585
01:14:57,600 --> 01:15:01,040
Speaker 2: that split over Jarwin. I'm actually going more conservative with

1586
01:15:01,120 --> 01:15:05,320
Speaker 2: the season one split pretty much, and Schultz is still

1587
01:15:05,360 --> 01:15:06,160
Speaker 2: my tight end nine.

1588
01:15:06,240 --> 01:15:08,840
Speaker 1: I've still have him catching over three.

1589
01:15:08,720 --> 01:15:11,840
Speaker 2: And a half balls for forty yards on the dot

1590
01:15:12,240 --> 01:15:15,360
Speaker 2: point three to five touchdowns, so you know, about one

1591
01:15:15,400 --> 01:15:17,240
Speaker 2: to every three games or so, you'd expect him to

1592
01:15:17,240 --> 01:15:19,280
Speaker 2: get a touchdown for anyone that likes to bet the

1593
01:15:19,320 --> 01:15:21,400
Speaker 2: anytime touchdown scoring props.

1594
01:15:22,320 --> 01:15:24,400
Speaker 1: And this could be another good matchup for him.

1595
01:15:24,439 --> 01:15:28,559
Speaker 2: The Giants haven't been particularly good against tight end, so yeah, like, don't.

1596
01:15:28,400 --> 01:15:30,280
Speaker 3: Showst this week. Yeah, I'm right there with you. He's

1597
01:15:30,280 --> 01:15:33,160
Speaker 3: my tight end ten. Jared could passed him up after

1598
01:15:33,240 --> 01:15:35,960
Speaker 3: the Mona Night football game, so yeah, he's my tight

1599
01:15:36,040 --> 01:15:39,120
Speaker 3: end ten. And you know, like you said, he almost

1600
01:15:39,200 --> 01:15:42,559
Speaker 3: doubled Blake Jarwin's routes round last week, so I think

1601
01:15:42,600 --> 01:15:44,800
Speaker 3: that's that's the stickiest thing that we can go off here.

1602
01:15:45,560 --> 01:15:48,240
Speaker 3: Dak's been leaning on him. Dak really hasn't been checking

1603
01:15:48,320 --> 01:15:51,519
Speaker 3: down to Zeke, so despite Zeke running a ton of routes,

1604
01:15:51,560 --> 01:15:54,720
Speaker 3: you know, he saw zero catches last week, so you know,

1605
01:15:54,800 --> 01:15:56,599
Speaker 3: Schultz is kind of doing it all. And I wonder

1606
01:15:56,640 --> 01:15:58,800
Speaker 3: if you know, when Michael Gallopa that she returns, if

1607
01:15:58,800 --> 01:16:01,880
Speaker 3: maybe his target show will go. But just right now,

1608
01:16:02,040 --> 01:16:04,360
Speaker 3: just Dalton Schultz seems like a top ten tight end,

1609
01:16:04,400 --> 01:16:06,439
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm I'm curious to see where his prop

1610
01:16:06,520 --> 01:16:08,519
Speaker 3: ends up this week. Maybe it ends up being like

1611
01:16:08,600 --> 01:16:10,439
Speaker 3: forty five and a half and we have to go

1612
01:16:10,520 --> 01:16:12,800
Speaker 3: under again. But I'm hoping we get to finally go

1613
01:16:12,920 --> 01:16:14,439
Speaker 3: over on a Schultz prop for once.

1614
01:16:14,680 --> 01:16:16,920
Speaker 2: I'm guessing the roster ship for DFS will be high,

1615
01:16:17,000 --> 01:16:19,719
Speaker 2: So that's that's where I am thinking about going some Wilson,

1616
01:16:19,800 --> 01:16:22,880
Speaker 2: maybe even some drama you know who knows, but and

1617
01:16:23,280 --> 01:16:26,000
Speaker 2: then ceede. Lamb's pretty cheap as well, so there are

1618
01:16:26,040 --> 01:16:28,760
Speaker 2: a lot of options I think in DFS. If it

1619
01:16:28,800 --> 01:16:31,639
Speaker 2: looks like Schultz is going to be highly rostered, check

1620
01:16:31,680 --> 01:16:32,760
Speaker 2: our Fantasy.

1621
01:16:32,439 --> 01:16:35,080
Speaker 1: Labs models for ownership projections.

1622
01:16:35,600 --> 01:16:38,920
Speaker 2: But yeah, I like, I haven't at forty yards, and

1623
01:16:38,960 --> 01:16:40,760
Speaker 2: I would think the books actually open it higher because

1624
01:16:40,760 --> 01:16:43,200
Speaker 2: I think it was around thirty Yeah, it was like

1625
01:16:43,320 --> 01:16:46,240
Speaker 2: close it about thirty four and a half. Last prize

1626
01:16:46,240 --> 01:16:47,680
Speaker 2: pits I think had it a little higher. They were

1627
01:16:47,680 --> 01:16:49,120
Speaker 2: ahead of the game at like thirty eight and a half,

1628
01:16:49,120 --> 01:16:50,640
Speaker 2: which is why I took the under. I thought that

1629
01:16:50,760 --> 01:16:53,439
Speaker 2: was higher than market, but he blew that out of

1630
01:16:53,479 --> 01:16:56,280
Speaker 2: the water, I think in the first quarter. So yet again,

1631
01:16:56,880 --> 01:17:00,320
Speaker 2: yeah again shouts the Dalton, Schultz man making a probably

1632
01:17:00,360 --> 01:17:04,240
Speaker 2: get himself paid, So we're losing money on Dalton shows.

1633
01:17:04,280 --> 01:17:07,800
Speaker 3: But I'm sure he's making himself anymore. That's enough.

1634
01:17:08,200 --> 01:17:10,759
Speaker 1: Hey we had Week five hasn't happened yet. He could bagel.

1635
01:17:11,800 --> 01:17:14,640
Speaker 3: Oh he's like the Ryan Tannehill. As soon as we

1636
01:17:14,640 --> 01:17:17,559
Speaker 3: start betting on him, that's when he's saw sis as football. Remember,

1637
01:17:17,680 --> 01:17:20,160
Speaker 3: like things never go quite as play.

1638
01:17:20,800 --> 01:17:22,880
Speaker 2: Okay, now we're gonna do a new segment in the

1639
01:17:22,920 --> 01:17:24,160
Speaker 2: Fantasy Flex Podcast.

1640
01:17:24,520 --> 01:17:26,599
Speaker 1: We hope you guys like it. Sean and I are

1641
01:17:26,600 --> 01:17:28,879
Speaker 1: going to build a Millie Maker lineup.

1642
01:17:29,640 --> 01:17:34,920
Speaker 2: So let's uh, let's open our draft kings and will alternate.

1643
01:17:35,000 --> 01:17:38,480
Speaker 2: We can alternate who goes first? Uh, you can go first.

1644
01:17:38,840 --> 01:17:40,920
Speaker 2: This week we'll build a line up.

1645
01:17:40,840 --> 01:17:44,479
Speaker 1: On DraftKings for the main swate for the Millie Maker.

1646
01:17:44,920 --> 01:17:46,800
Speaker 3: Okay, I'm gonna kick it off. I'm gonna steal one

1647
01:17:46,840 --> 01:17:49,360
Speaker 3: of the guys that you talked about, and let's go

1648
01:17:49,400 --> 01:17:51,200
Speaker 3: with Ricky Seals Jones. What do you think about that?

1649
01:17:51,240 --> 01:17:53,920
Speaker 3: At tight end? Oh yeah, I just love the upside

1650
01:17:53,960 --> 01:17:56,559
Speaker 3: because you know, a tight end we've been talking about

1651
01:17:56,640 --> 01:17:58,760
Speaker 3: the past few weeks. You know, it doesn't take much

1652
01:17:58,760 --> 01:18:00,880
Speaker 3: for a tight end to have a big week. And

1653
01:18:00,920 --> 01:18:05,040
Speaker 3: I'm projecting him at three catches with the underlying usage

1654
01:18:05,040 --> 01:18:07,880
Speaker 3: he had last week, and he could be a red

1655
01:18:07,960 --> 01:18:10,400
Speaker 3: zone target for Heineke. I mean, Ricky Seals Jones six

1656
01:18:10,400 --> 01:18:13,400
Speaker 3: foot five, two forty three, he's a beast, so with

1657
01:18:13,560 --> 01:18:16,200
Speaker 3: not surprising if he has three catches for thirty yards

1658
01:18:16,200 --> 01:18:18,240
Speaker 3: and one or two touchdowns. So I think he's the

1659
01:18:18,240 --> 01:18:20,519
Speaker 3: perfect kind of tight end play at tight end, and

1660
01:18:20,560 --> 01:18:23,160
Speaker 3: then we could spend up at all the other positions

1661
01:18:23,200 --> 01:18:25,400
Speaker 3: just because I think tight end's pretty wide open this week.

1662
01:18:25,439 --> 01:18:26,639
Speaker 3: So love going here.

1663
01:18:26,880 --> 01:18:33,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm sure you saw the Giants Washington game

1664
01:18:33,400 --> 01:18:35,559
Speaker 2: on Thursday a couple of weeks ago, where CEOs Jones

1665
01:18:35,560 --> 01:18:38,200
Speaker 2: had that amazing catch in the end zone wait in

1666
01:18:38,240 --> 01:18:40,439
Speaker 2: that game. So he's also proven to be a clutch player.

1667
01:18:40,560 --> 01:18:42,280
Speaker 2: And he's had some big games with the Cardinals as

1668
01:18:42,280 --> 01:18:44,000
Speaker 2: well where he's caught multiple touchdowns.

1669
01:18:44,520 --> 01:18:47,320
Speaker 3: So yeah, like yeah, he's always been solid, and like

1670
01:18:47,320 --> 01:18:49,880
Speaker 3: you said, the Cardinals weren't really they're not a good

1671
01:18:49,920 --> 01:18:52,880
Speaker 3: scheme for tight ends, so's he's flashed upside in the past.

1672
01:18:52,880 --> 01:18:55,240
Speaker 3: So I think, especially last week he only caught two

1673
01:18:55,280 --> 01:18:57,960
Speaker 3: balls for nineteen yards, He's going to be totally overlooked here,

1674
01:18:58,040 --> 01:19:01,320
Speaker 3: So love going just to extremely cheap at tight end.

1675
01:19:02,880 --> 01:19:04,880
Speaker 2: I'll stick with the cheap theme and go with the

1676
01:19:04,960 --> 01:19:08,680
Speaker 2: cheap running back. I'm walking in Damien Harris in this

1677
01:19:09,560 --> 01:19:12,360
Speaker 2: Houston game, Houston again, a run funnel thirty first and

1678
01:19:12,439 --> 01:19:16,439
Speaker 2: dvoa against the run eighth against the past Patriots, A

1679
01:19:16,479 --> 01:19:19,920
Speaker 2: big favorite on the road. Bill Belichick doesn't mess around.

1680
01:19:19,920 --> 01:19:21,559
Speaker 2: He goes in there to take care of business. He

1681
01:19:21,600 --> 01:19:23,760
Speaker 2: doesn't get fancy, and I don't think he throws a

1682
01:19:23,800 --> 01:19:25,880
Speaker 2: ball around fifty times. This is just going to be

1683
01:19:25,920 --> 01:19:30,920
Speaker 2: a Damien Harris smash spot. So love Harris this week.

1684
01:19:31,120 --> 01:19:33,479
Speaker 2: Fifty five hundred. Let's lock him in. So we got

1685
01:19:33,600 --> 01:19:38,000
Speaker 2: Harris fifty five hundred running back, steals Jones twenty five

1686
01:19:38,040 --> 01:19:41,760
Speaker 2: hundred at tight end, and we have a six K

1687
01:19:42,000 --> 01:19:45,120
Speaker 2: average left to spend among seven.

1688
01:19:45,200 --> 01:19:47,920
Speaker 3: Who's gonna start spending these dollars? Should it be me?

1689
01:19:48,280 --> 01:19:51,799
Speaker 2: Hey, you gotta get I usually do like to build

1690
01:19:51,840 --> 01:19:52,920
Speaker 2: from low to hide.

1691
01:19:53,000 --> 01:20:00,000
Speaker 3: Yeah. Same here, Yeah, same here. Yeah, you had mentioned

1692
01:20:00,160 --> 01:20:02,759
Speaker 3: him being cheap. He's a guy that I've been eyeing

1693
01:20:02,800 --> 01:20:06,000
Speaker 3: in that CD LAMB. So you know, I guess we're

1694
01:20:06,040 --> 01:20:08,040
Speaker 3: kind of fading Dalton Schultz here. But Dalton Schultz have

1695
01:20:08,120 --> 01:20:10,800
Speaker 3: these two big games. I think ceed Lambs do for

1696
01:20:10,880 --> 01:20:15,040
Speaker 3: a big game against the Giants. He's sixty two hundred,

1697
01:20:15,120 --> 01:20:16,840
Speaker 3: so we still have a lot of money to spend.

1698
01:20:17,560 --> 01:20:20,000
Speaker 3: But I like getting an elite wide receiver in there

1699
01:20:20,040 --> 01:20:22,080
Speaker 3: at a cheaper price and then go from there.

1700
01:20:22,479 --> 01:20:26,120
Speaker 2: All right, So yeah, we have Damien Harris, Ceedee Lamb,

1701
01:20:26,640 --> 01:20:28,479
Speaker 2: Ricky Seals Jones, so we have a running back, a

1702
01:20:28,520 --> 01:20:29,880
Speaker 2: wide out, and a tight end. I'm going to go

1703
01:20:29,920 --> 01:20:32,200
Speaker 2: with a quarterback here. Let's get Daniel Jones in here.

1704
01:20:32,280 --> 01:20:32,599
Speaker 3: Thank you.

1705
01:20:32,680 --> 01:20:36,280
Speaker 2: I like the correlation between Jones and Lamb, especially since

1706
01:20:36,280 --> 01:20:38,400
Speaker 2: I'm not sure exactly who I want to stack Jones with,

1707
01:20:38,520 --> 01:20:40,720
Speaker 2: so we probably will end up going naked Jones here,

1708
01:20:40,760 --> 01:20:44,200
Speaker 2: but we will still have some correlation bringing bringing it

1709
01:20:44,240 --> 01:20:46,840
Speaker 2: back with Ceede Lamb, Daniel Jones at six k, Damien

1710
01:20:46,880 --> 01:20:49,800
Speaker 2: Harris at fifty five, ceed Lamb at sixty two, and

1711
01:20:49,920 --> 01:20:50,639
Speaker 2: Ricky Sales.

1712
01:20:50,479 --> 01:20:51,599
Speaker 1: Jones at twenty five hundred.

1713
01:20:51,680 --> 01:20:54,800
Speaker 2: That leaves us five spots running back, two wideouts, a flex,

1714
01:20:54,840 --> 01:20:57,040
Speaker 2: and a defense and we have an average of fifty

1715
01:20:57,120 --> 01:20:58,200
Speaker 2: nine to sixty per player.

1716
01:20:58,280 --> 01:21:00,800
Speaker 3: So we're in good shape. Yeah, we got start spinning up.

1717
01:21:00,800 --> 01:21:02,800
Speaker 3: Thank you for picking the quarterback. I was I was

1718
01:21:02,880 --> 01:21:06,439
Speaker 3: deciding between Daniel Jones and Hurts there. But I love

1719
01:21:06,920 --> 01:21:10,240
Speaker 3: going naked Jones. I promise I won't throw Galladay in here.

1720
01:21:12,080 --> 01:21:14,960
Speaker 3: But let's see so no defense right now now?

1721
01:21:15,080 --> 01:21:17,200
Speaker 1: No, no, I mean I'm saying that's I do that.

1722
01:21:17,280 --> 01:21:19,799
Speaker 2: Sometimes I've done this before, you know, do the live lineup.

1723
01:21:19,840 --> 01:21:21,280
Speaker 2: So sometimes I just go to the defense.

1724
01:21:21,280 --> 01:21:24,000
Speaker 3: It's like, you know what, I think, I'll go defense

1725
01:21:24,040 --> 01:21:26,519
Speaker 3: here because I was going to talk about this as

1726
01:21:26,560 --> 01:21:28,599
Speaker 3: my cheek Cody, you stole them from me. It's Damien

1727
01:21:28,640 --> 01:21:33,280
Speaker 3: Harris stacking him with the Patriots defense. I don't care

1728
01:21:33,360 --> 01:21:38,040
Speaker 3: for the chucky I love it Bill Belichick facing Davis Mills.

1729
01:21:38,040 --> 01:21:41,439
Speaker 3: Are you kidding me? So? Yeah, I could easily see

1730
01:21:41,439 --> 01:21:44,760
Speaker 3: a pick six here, and you know this, this correlates

1731
01:21:44,880 --> 01:21:48,719
Speaker 3: really well Damien Harris. So yeah, let's go Pat's defense.

1732
01:21:49,160 --> 01:21:49,479
Speaker 1: All right.

1733
01:21:49,520 --> 01:21:51,280
Speaker 2: So we've got a quarterback, a running back, a wide out,

1734
01:21:51,280 --> 01:21:53,599
Speaker 2: a tight end in a d if, Daniel Jones, Harris,

1735
01:21:53,680 --> 01:21:57,479
Speaker 2: lamb Ricky Saloes, Jones, and the Pats d we're paying.

1736
01:21:57,320 --> 01:22:01,400
Speaker 3: Up maybe for defense. I rarely do that, but maybe they.

1737
01:22:01,320 --> 01:22:03,040
Speaker 1: Don't get as much ownership though, just because they are

1738
01:22:03,160 --> 01:22:04,080
Speaker 1: forty nine hundred.

1739
01:22:04,160 --> 01:22:06,040
Speaker 2: You can have a pretty good player for that, So

1740
01:22:06,479 --> 01:22:08,600
Speaker 2: I do kind of like how you maybe keep the

1741
01:22:08,680 --> 01:22:12,160
Speaker 2: ownership in check here? All right, so we still don't

1742
01:22:12,200 --> 01:22:16,040
Speaker 2: have a stud and I mentioned it, I want to

1743
01:22:16,040 --> 01:22:19,000
Speaker 2: buy low or maybe it's not buying low on salary wise,

1744
01:22:19,080 --> 01:22:21,920
Speaker 2: but coming off a bad game, I love Dalvin Cooking

1745
01:22:21,920 --> 01:22:22,880
Speaker 2: a rebound spot here.

1746
01:22:23,120 --> 01:22:24,320
Speaker 1: He's off the injury list.

1747
01:22:24,720 --> 01:22:28,439
Speaker 2: So the Lions are second to last in fantasy points

1748
01:22:28,439 --> 01:22:31,120
Speaker 2: allowed to running backs, their thirtieth in run defense DVOA.

1749
01:22:32,000 --> 01:22:33,000
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cooks pretty good.

1750
01:22:33,160 --> 01:22:36,360
Speaker 2: So let's pay up for Dalvin since we saved Don

1751
01:22:36,400 --> 01:22:39,360
Speaker 2: Harris here and go eighty four hundred Dalvin Cook at

1752
01:22:39,400 --> 01:22:40,280
Speaker 2: our running back spot.

1753
01:22:41,120 --> 01:22:42,680
Speaker 3: Perfect.

1754
01:22:43,280 --> 01:22:47,920
Speaker 2: We have fifty five hundred now on average to spend

1755
01:22:47,920 --> 01:22:49,599
Speaker 2: on two wide receivers and a flex.

1756
01:22:50,680 --> 01:22:54,839
Speaker 3: Okay, So when it comes to the Dolphins Bucks matchup,

1757
01:22:55,120 --> 01:22:56,920
Speaker 3: who do you think Howard's matching up with? Who do

1758
01:22:56,920 --> 01:22:59,799
Speaker 3: you think Jones is matching up with? Is that Evans

1759
01:22:59,800 --> 01:23:00,559
Speaker 3: and Godwin?

1760
01:23:01,280 --> 01:23:03,439
Speaker 1: So yeah, I would go with Godwin.

1761
01:23:03,520 --> 01:23:07,120
Speaker 2: I think it's a tougher matchup on the outside for

1762
01:23:07,200 --> 01:23:10,719
Speaker 2: Brown and Evans. Who would see more of Howard and Jones.

1763
01:23:11,479 --> 01:23:14,120
Speaker 2: Nick Needham has been playing well so far. Justin Coleman

1764
01:23:14,160 --> 01:23:16,840
Speaker 2: also plays in the slot some, but I still think

1765
01:23:16,880 --> 01:23:20,000
Speaker 2: this is a Godwin bounce back.

1766
01:23:20,240 --> 01:23:21,760
Speaker 1: Five for fifty five last week.

1767
01:23:22,320 --> 01:23:25,439
Speaker 2: Pretty quiet, but when you're playing the Dolphins, I still

1768
01:23:25,439 --> 01:23:27,559
Speaker 2: think you look to exploit that slat matchup and Tom

1769
01:23:27,600 --> 01:23:30,120
Speaker 2: Brady to Chris Godwin is in a weak connection to

1770
01:23:30,120 --> 01:23:32,160
Speaker 2: where I don't care if Nick Needham's ranked you know,

1771
01:23:32,200 --> 01:23:35,120
Speaker 2: twenty sixth or whatever it is in PFF. We still

1772
01:23:35,160 --> 01:23:38,080
Speaker 2: know that Howard and Jones are more talented cornerback.

1773
01:23:38,160 --> 01:23:39,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, Godwin would be the guy I would.

1774
01:23:40,320 --> 01:23:42,760
Speaker 3: I would kind of yeah, that's mean, Yeah, I'm going

1775
01:23:42,760 --> 01:23:44,760
Speaker 3: with him here. I'm leaving the door open if you

1776
01:23:44,800 --> 01:23:47,800
Speaker 3: want a mini games stack with like Jalen Waddle. So

1777
01:23:48,439 --> 01:23:50,559
Speaker 3: I think the Dolphins keep it closest week. I actually

1778
01:23:50,600 --> 01:23:53,000
Speaker 3: like them. What is it plus ten and a half

1779
01:23:53,080 --> 01:23:55,200
Speaker 3: right now? But yeah, I think Godwin bounces back with

1780
01:23:55,280 --> 01:23:58,120
Speaker 3: the big game here. And you know, the match up

1781
01:23:58,200 --> 01:24:00,759
Speaker 3: on paper looks hard because it's Dolphin, but he will

1782
01:24:01,160 --> 01:24:03,680
Speaker 3: likely have the easier matchup in the slot. So that's

1783
01:24:03,680 --> 01:24:05,000
Speaker 3: why I want to go with Godwin here. I love

1784
01:24:05,040 --> 01:24:08,679
Speaker 3: having two elite receivers at a cheaper price this week

1785
01:24:08,720 --> 01:24:11,800
Speaker 3: that might be overlooked, So I'm going with Godwin here, all.

1786
01:24:11,800 --> 01:24:13,439
Speaker 2: Right, so you know what, Let's go with Wattle then

1787
01:24:13,439 --> 01:24:17,880
Speaker 2: as our third siver forty eight hundred. Again the name

1788
01:24:17,920 --> 01:24:22,160
Speaker 2: of Tampa Bay corner at this point, like Richard Sherman, Right, yeah,

1789
01:24:22,320 --> 01:24:24,599
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, and he played, he played well

1790
01:24:24,640 --> 01:24:27,320
Speaker 2: given the circumstances, but he'll be on the outside. Wattle's playing,

1791
01:24:27,560 --> 01:24:29,760
Speaker 2: you know, eighty five percent of the snaps. He was

1792
01:24:29,760 --> 01:24:32,120
Speaker 2: playing over ninety percent in some of the games without Fuller.

1793
01:24:32,200 --> 01:24:34,519
Speaker 2: So with Fuller out, I think he could jump back over.

1794
01:24:34,760 --> 01:24:37,559
Speaker 2: And remember with these rookies, this is around the time.

1795
01:24:37,640 --> 01:24:40,000
Speaker 2: Now you know, Wattles had four games, He's averaged seven

1796
01:24:40,040 --> 01:24:41,240
Speaker 2: and a half targets per game.

1797
01:24:41,520 --> 01:24:43,240
Speaker 1: He's had a ten catch game already.

1798
01:24:43,800 --> 01:24:46,680
Speaker 2: So the Bucks, I'm giving up eighty four catches to

1799
01:24:46,720 --> 01:24:49,800
Speaker 2: opposing wide receivers. That is seven more than any other

1800
01:24:50,560 --> 01:24:52,439
Speaker 2: defense in the National Football weegue.

1801
01:24:52,479 --> 01:24:53,599
Speaker 1: So this could be.

1802
01:24:53,680 --> 01:24:57,040
Speaker 2: A sneaky spot for another double digit catch game for

1803
01:24:57,280 --> 01:25:00,160
Speaker 2: Jalen Wattle. I love the correlation with Chris god and

1804
01:25:00,280 --> 01:25:03,760
Speaker 2: so going with Wattle at forty eight hundred, and so

1805
01:25:03,840 --> 01:25:08,840
Speaker 2: that gives us a lineup of everyone but the flex,

1806
01:25:08,880 --> 01:25:12,080
Speaker 2: and we have fifty four hundred to play with here

1807
01:25:12,160 --> 01:25:13,320
Speaker 2: for that final flex spot.

1808
01:25:13,360 --> 01:25:14,280
Speaker 1: So it's on you, Sean.

1809
01:25:14,840 --> 01:25:16,439
Speaker 3: Oh wait, who's our second running back?

1810
01:25:17,040 --> 01:25:19,160
Speaker 2: Our second running back is Dalvin Cook. Oh yeah, so

1811
01:25:19,200 --> 01:25:21,240
Speaker 2: we have Dan I'll just read it for people listening.

1812
01:25:21,520 --> 01:25:25,360
Speaker 2: We have Daniel Jones, Damien Harris, Dalvin Cook, Ceedee Lamb,

1813
01:25:25,439 --> 01:25:28,800
Speaker 2: Chris Godwin, Jaylen Wattle, Ricky Seals, Jones, and then the

1814
01:25:28,800 --> 01:25:31,360
Speaker 2: Patriots defense. So all we need is a flex fifty

1815
01:25:31,360 --> 01:25:32,320
Speaker 2: four hundred left?

1816
01:25:32,640 --> 01:25:36,160
Speaker 3: Fifty four hundred left? Would you prefer like there isn't

1817
01:25:36,160 --> 01:25:38,200
Speaker 3: a tight end of this range, but a two tight

1818
01:25:38,320 --> 01:25:40,520
Speaker 3: end team is always a good way to go. Contrarion,

1819
01:25:42,160 --> 01:25:44,759
Speaker 3: would you rather go wide receiver or running back here?

1820
01:25:46,040 --> 01:25:48,160
Speaker 2: I think it just depends on the player. Just I

1821
01:25:48,200 --> 01:25:51,240
Speaker 2: don't usually kind of differentiate. I think in cash games,

1822
01:25:51,240 --> 01:25:53,639
Speaker 2: I'm more strict to trying to go with a running

1823
01:25:53,640 --> 01:25:56,200
Speaker 2: back because I think you get a higher floor. But

1824
01:25:56,360 --> 01:25:59,160
Speaker 2: in tournaments, I just look at kind of who I

1825
01:25:59,200 --> 01:26:02,080
Speaker 2: can get at that ice range, yeah, and go from there.

1826
01:26:02,160 --> 01:26:04,240
Speaker 2: So I mean the guy at the top is we

1827
01:26:04,320 --> 01:26:09,800
Speaker 2: have Devonte Parker, Tyler Boyd, Melvin Gordon, Jamal Williams, Fournette,

1828
01:26:09,840 --> 01:26:12,600
Speaker 2: a lot of bucks wait, no, yeah, a lot of

1829
01:26:12,640 --> 01:26:17,120
Speaker 2: bucks in this in this range. But Jacobe Meyers, we

1830
01:26:17,200 --> 01:26:20,000
Speaker 2: got some Henry Ruggs. So a bunch of guys anyone

1831
01:26:20,120 --> 01:26:21,559
Speaker 2: kind of jumping out of Cheeta Hockens.

1832
01:26:21,560 --> 01:26:23,280
Speaker 1: Wait, no, Chea Hawkins is one more one hundred.

1833
01:26:23,520 --> 01:26:26,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's rough here, fifty four hundred. I can't

1834
01:26:26,640 --> 01:26:30,760
Speaker 3: go with Parker and Waddle, all right, Let's go with

1835
01:26:31,200 --> 01:26:34,799
Speaker 3: Tyler Boyd here. I mean, even if T. Higgins returns,

1836
01:26:34,840 --> 01:26:37,200
Speaker 3: I think you know, people will probably overlook Boyd anyway.

1837
01:26:37,439 --> 01:26:40,080
Speaker 3: If T. Higgins is out, Boyd probably have another big game.

1838
01:26:40,800 --> 01:26:42,880
Speaker 3: But just you know, especially against the Packers, I think

1839
01:26:42,920 --> 01:26:45,639
Speaker 3: you could see another ten plus targets here. So let's

1840
01:26:45,680 --> 01:26:46,759
Speaker 3: let's go with Boyd here.

1841
01:26:47,439 --> 01:26:50,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, and the Packers, I mean, especially with it looks

1842
01:26:50,280 --> 01:26:52,880
Speaker 2: like Alexander is going to be out so Stokes, I mean,

1843
01:26:53,200 --> 01:26:56,280
Speaker 2: he'll play on the outside. The Packers are probably gonna

1844
01:26:56,280 --> 01:26:58,439
Speaker 2: have to give extra help on the outside, especially if

1845
01:26:58,680 --> 01:27:01,800
Speaker 2: if Higgins is back. I think that could still open

1846
01:27:01,880 --> 01:27:05,719
Speaker 2: things up in that, you know, inside against Candon Sullivan

1847
01:27:05,960 --> 01:27:09,280
Speaker 2: for Tyler boy So, I actually like the match up

1848
01:27:09,360 --> 01:27:13,000
Speaker 2: either way for Boyd. And he's a he's another guy

1849
01:27:13,000 --> 01:27:16,519
Speaker 2: that people keep sweeping on. But it's like he could

1850
01:27:16,520 --> 01:27:17,840
Speaker 2: catch ten balls in this game.

1851
01:27:18,240 --> 01:27:20,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, especially with you know, Joe mixing out. They've been

1852
01:27:20,920 --> 01:27:24,040
Speaker 3: very run heavy the first four weeks, but with mixing out,

1853
01:27:24,120 --> 01:27:27,360
Speaker 3: I'm assuming they'll they'll throw a bit more and you

1854
01:27:27,400 --> 01:27:29,599
Speaker 3: know what better target than Tyler Boyd, you know, more

1855
01:27:29,680 --> 01:27:33,240
Speaker 3: high percentage throws the Boyd with mixing out would would

1856
01:27:33,320 --> 01:27:35,519
Speaker 3: make sense here. So I think Boyd's sneaky this week,

1857
01:27:35,520 --> 01:27:37,559
Speaker 3: even if t Higgins does suit.

1858
01:27:37,400 --> 01:27:40,639
Speaker 2: Up, and I assume that Jamar Chase will get higher

1859
01:27:40,720 --> 01:27:43,720
Speaker 2: roster ship either way. Yeah, just because if he's the

1860
01:27:43,760 --> 01:27:47,200
Speaker 2: sexy rookie, you know guy that's also due for a breakout,

1861
01:27:47,200 --> 01:27:50,120
Speaker 2: So let's you know, it's not you know, shade him.

1862
01:27:50,160 --> 01:27:52,559
Speaker 1: But yeah, I like this lineup. So all right, So

1863
01:27:52,600 --> 01:27:53,320
Speaker 1: here's what we got.

1864
01:27:53,439 --> 01:27:57,000
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones at six k, Dalvin Cook at eighty four hundred,

1865
01:27:58,160 --> 01:28:01,280
Speaker 2: Damien Harris at fifty five hundred as our two running backs,

1866
01:28:01,840 --> 01:28:06,040
Speaker 2: Prit Godwin at sixty three hundred at wide receiver, Ceedee

1867
01:28:06,080 --> 01:28:09,160
Speaker 2: Lamb at sixty two hundred at wide receiver, Jaywin Waddle

1868
01:28:09,760 --> 01:28:12,439
Speaker 2: forty eight hundred at wide receiver, Tyer Boyd fifty three

1869
01:28:12,520 --> 01:28:15,519
Speaker 2: hundred in our flex, he's also a wide out and

1870
01:28:15,560 --> 01:28:18,360
Speaker 2: then we got Ricky Sales Jones at twenty five hundred

1871
01:28:18,360 --> 01:28:21,599
Speaker 2: at tight end, the Patriots defense paying up forty nine

1872
01:28:21,640 --> 01:28:26,479
Speaker 2: hundred at defense, and we have one hundred left over.

1873
01:28:26,880 --> 01:28:28,080
Speaker 1: Usually like to have at least one.

1874
01:28:28,040 --> 01:28:30,160
Speaker 2: Hundred left over, if Moore, I think that gives you

1875
01:28:30,160 --> 01:28:35,160
Speaker 2: a little more contrarian lineup. So never really ever go

1876
01:28:35,280 --> 01:28:38,960
Speaker 2: with the full salary when I'm building lineups like this.

1877
01:28:39,000 --> 01:28:41,400
Speaker 2: That's kind of a tip that I learned that tends

1878
01:28:41,400 --> 01:28:44,200
Speaker 2: to increase your upside most most weeks. Every once in

1879
01:28:44,240 --> 01:28:46,200
Speaker 2: a while you'll see one win with a full but

1880
01:28:46,400 --> 01:28:49,160
Speaker 2: usually you say at least one hundred off. All right,

1881
01:28:49,200 --> 01:28:51,080
Speaker 2: So that's going to do it for our Week five

1882
01:28:51,120 --> 01:28:55,240
Speaker 2: Fantasy Flex podcast presented by Prize Picks, I hope you

1883
01:28:55,280 --> 01:28:57,760
Speaker 2: guys enjoyed the new format where we broke down each

1884
01:28:57,800 --> 01:29:01,040
Speaker 2: position we built the lineup. You can follow Seawan on

1885
01:29:01,080 --> 01:29:03,439
Speaker 2: Twitter at the Underscore Odds Maker. You can follow me

1886
01:29:03,479 --> 01:29:06,439
Speaker 2: on Twitter at Chris Raybon, and you can find us

1887
01:29:06,520 --> 01:29:10,160
Speaker 2: both at those same handles in the Action Network app.

1888
01:29:10,200 --> 01:29:12,000
Speaker 2: Be sure to check out actionnetwork dot com for our

1889
01:29:12,040 --> 01:29:16,320
Speaker 2: fantasy rankings and projections, and check out Fantasy Labs dot

1890
01:29:16,320 --> 01:29:20,400
Speaker 2: com for our dfs content, models.

1891
01:29:19,920 --> 01:29:21,080
Speaker 1: And pools.

1892
01:29:21,160 --> 01:29:24,480
Speaker 2: Until next time, let's get fish moneys.