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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen, twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five Hony Cody five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the kick as block the college football stunners. Oh

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Speaker 2: my godness, he stumbled and the lateral turn the counter

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Speaker 2: on the inside. Do you the lad came off the

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Speaker 2: fail the Knights go. It's not the size of the

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Speaker 2: dog in the fight. It's the size of the.

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Speaker 1: Fight in the dog.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast is the

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Speaker 2: second part of the Mountain West Conference Preview. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: jump right back in where we left off and that's

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Speaker 2: what the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors five and seven last season,

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Speaker 2: three and four in conference play there in nineteen to

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Speaker 2: one to win the conference. This year, the winter was

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Speaker 2: sitting at five and a half. So do they get

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Speaker 2: to Bowl eligibility or not? Thirteen stars returning six on offense,

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Speaker 2: seven on defense, sixty first overall in returning production, sixty,

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Speaker 2: seventh on OH fifty third on d three wins, five wins,

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Speaker 2: and then five wins last fall. Some heartbreakers are three

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Speaker 2: point loss to UCLA and San Diego State and a

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Speaker 2: near missing an upset of UNLV losing twenty nine to

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Speaker 2: twenty seven. Can they break through under Timmy Chang and

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Speaker 2: finally get there, get to a winning season, at least

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Speaker 2: to a Bowl. It could be as simple as Micah

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Speaker 2: Alijado at quarterback. Can he be that breakout start the

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Speaker 2: last time we saw the lefty, he had moxie, he

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Speaker 2: had the quicker release. He's running that run and shoot

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Speaker 2: to a t but he's only five 't ten. He

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Speaker 2: did go nuclear against New Mexico. We know what New

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Speaker 2: Mexico's defense was last year, which was the pits, but

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Speaker 2: truly nuclear four hundred and sixty nine total yards, five touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: The thing is, I'm overwhelmed with positivity, and I know

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Speaker 2: that Hawaii is one of those teams that gamblers just

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Speaker 2: love of all those warm, fuzzy memories of the late

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Speaker 2: night break glass in case of emergency bet over in

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Speaker 2: the cult Brennan. Hawaii teams just you know, the high

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Speaker 2: scoring games. They could bail you out after a really

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Speaker 2: lousy Saturday. So I understand that I'm a little bit biased,

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Speaker 2: But when I look at what's around Ali Hado, he

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Speaker 2: returns Nick senecal pofele Ashlock Stanford transfer Jackson Harris at

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Speaker 2: wide receiver, a four star prospect six foot three gives

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Speaker 2: them Nick Nash esque perimeter weapon weaponry, Like everyone was

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Speaker 2: talking about this kid. So now if they truly have

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Speaker 2: three really good wide receivers. They got this Hawaiian Savior

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Speaker 2: and Ali Hado three starters up front, they had a

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Speaker 2: two year starter from Tulsa and Ethan Spencer slides in

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Speaker 2: at right guard after making four starts at center last year.

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Speaker 2: I got all the pieces. I got a line that

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Speaker 2: I kind of believe in. I got the weapons, I

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Speaker 2: got the quarterback. I think this could be a top

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Speaker 2: six offense at the Mountain West Conference if they protect him,

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Speaker 2: no one gets hurt up front. It's always an issue

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Speaker 2: historically with Hawaii. They don't have that depth in the

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Speaker 2: trenches defense, though it wore down last they give up

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twelve points in the final three games.

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Speaker 2: But this entire secondary is back, including Verdell Edwards, the

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Speaker 2: second who could be a pro. The lions Den, that's

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Speaker 2: what they call their linebacking corps, has a lot of experience.

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Speaker 2: Their top two tacklers back there. Ooh, the lions Den,

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Speaker 2: they're really relying on Luther McCoy to be a difference

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Speaker 2: maker in the trenches at defensive tackle. If he is

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Speaker 2: some of these power rushing attacks that they're going to

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Speaker 2: face all of a sudden, they're not quite as imposing.

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Speaker 2: If he's a difference maker at dtackle. He came in

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Speaker 2: from Minnesota, he was the talk of the spring. On

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Speaker 2: the defensive side of the ball. Edge rushers have experience,

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Speaker 2: but they need more in terms of quarterback pressure. They

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Speaker 2: only got twenty seven sacks last year. I'm talking a

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Speaker 2: lot about this team because I love this team. I

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Speaker 2: think they're going to buy for six or seven wins

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Speaker 2: this year. I think they are going to go to

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Speaker 2: a bowl game. I would love to pull the trigger

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Speaker 2: on them to win the conference, but nineteen to one's

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Speaker 2: is nowhere near close enough. I need at least forty

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Speaker 2: to one. We've thrown flyers around on this program, like

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Speaker 2: Colorado State in recent years. At forty to one, I

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Speaker 2: think I feel like they're in that window. But as

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Speaker 2: I said, I see them going bowling, you know, from

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Speaker 2: a just a starting twenty two perspective, I don't think

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Speaker 2: they're going to be outclassed all that often this season.

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Speaker 2: No boising on the schedule, and even if they lose

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Speaker 2: at Arizona, San Jose State, Colorado State UNLV. That leaves

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Speaker 2: them with eight games where they're either favored or a

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Speaker 2: dogged by less than touchdown over five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Fire in it in go to you first, Colin, I

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Speaker 2: think you disagree with me. So let's play a little

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Speaker 2: bit of high school debate. Here.

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Speaker 1: We be back with a pot of cold water with

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Speaker 1: a tounch of ice in it and throw it on

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Speaker 1: you through the camera.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 1: I make the win total four point six. It's well

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Speaker 1: below the market. I think there were a lot of

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Speaker 1: things that from an experience perspective, scheduling perspective, pr perspective,

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Speaker 1: a lot of things that I tweaked their numbers with.

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Speaker 1: It really kind of came up to this number. And hey, Timmy,

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Speaker 1: I love you, and it's been fun playing black Jacket circa.

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Speaker 1: But you're two and fifteen on the road away from

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Speaker 1: the island. It's just it has not been good what

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Speaker 1: your record has been when you get away, and that

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Speaker 1: really kind of plays into like can you win on

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Speaker 1: the road now you're right on the offensive side, you know,

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Speaker 1: make a alojado. All these things he did against New

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Speaker 1: Mexico in this highlight reel. But sixty three dropbacks. I mean,

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Speaker 1: if you gave me sixty three dropbacks, I think I

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Speaker 1: could get a touchdown. I probably could scramble a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I'm getting pretty old, but I think I could sixty

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Speaker 1: three dropbacks. And you know, I think Befell Ashlock, like,

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Speaker 1: can we return to form from what he was two

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Speaker 1: years ago? I mean, he was the Shagar bomb guy,

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Speaker 1: right and now we're looking at a really sub par

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Speaker 1: year and what he put up numbers perspective, So we'll

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Speaker 1: see what they can do on the offensive side. The

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Speaker 1: top five tacklers do return to the defense. One of

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Speaker 1: the best front sevens of Mountain West Conference. I mentioned

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Speaker 1: that against teams that want to run the ball like

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Speaker 1: Air Force wants to run the triple, Well, Hawaii's got

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Speaker 1: some dudes, you know, they got the bloodline there to

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Speaker 1: go ahead and plug up those holes and get him

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Speaker 1: stop safety Fordell Edwards, he's got to get back to

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty three levels after so much injury. I had

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Speaker 1: nine PBUs. We'll see if he can return well. Like

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Speaker 1: I said, Timmy Chang two and fifteen away from the island,

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Speaker 1: and that might not change here. I mean we're traveling

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Speaker 1: to Arizona, We're traveling to Air Force, We're traveling to Colorado.

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Speaker 1: Say that is high elevation. San Jose State is no joke,

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Speaker 1: you know, from what they can do offensively and defensively UNLV. Look,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you know, we're trying to guess what UNLV's

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Speaker 1: offense is going to be. But again, this is a

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Speaker 1: Dan Mullen versus Timmy Ching x As and O's and

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna, you know, say that that's probably not

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Speaker 1: a good thing for the Warriors. How I will play

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Speaker 1: half of their schedule by the end of September.

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Speaker 2: Look at this schedule.

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Speaker 1: I mean by September twenty seventh, half your schedule is gone.

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Speaker 1: So you've played six weeks in a row, and where

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Speaker 1: do you go on that sixth week to Air Force?

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Speaker 1: Like you got to be thinking, bye, right, I need

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Speaker 1: a bye week.

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Speaker 2: I need a bye week.

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Speaker 1: I played six weeks in a row and it's still September,

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Speaker 1: and it's really hot, and you're going to Air Force

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Speaker 1: and trying and defend that. A lot of things that

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Speaker 1: I have problems with on this schedule, you know. So

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Speaker 1: I think it's a tougher schedule than what we're talking about.

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Speaker 1: You know, thirty six offensive line starts coming back. You

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Speaker 1: know they were one hundred and thirty third and creating

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Speaker 1: contested catches last year. That's nearly dead last. So there's

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Speaker 1: just a lot of problems that I have all over

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Speaker 1: this roster and what Timmy does on the road. So

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Speaker 1: I'm going under five and a half at plus money

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Speaker 1: plus one sixteen, I make it four point six.

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Speaker 2: All right, duck, what do you think? I'm chalking up

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Speaker 2: a ton of road losses already off the top, So

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Speaker 2: that would be my counterpoint to this. I'm not expecting

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Speaker 2: them to go ahead and score road wing wins at

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Speaker 2: Arizona or San Jose State or UNLV Colorado State Air Force.

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Speaker 2: I mean quarterback play. I think that puts them in

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Speaker 2: the conversation and a lot of these losses. When you

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Speaker 2: talk about in totality of what Timmy Chang has done,

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Speaker 2: it's before he really got all the pieces. I think

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Speaker 2: it's inarguable that this is the best offense that he

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Speaker 2: can put on the field and the pieces they've been

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Speaker 2: able to add strategically, it's very rare for a G

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Speaker 2: five program to get a wide receiver late they got

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Speaker 2: from Stanford, a four star kid. He could be somebody

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Speaker 2: I really believe who could be a Nick nash insformational

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Speaker 2: difference maker in this passing game. What do you think

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Speaker 2: are you with Colin with the cold water or do

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Speaker 2: you want to have, you know, some kind of tropical

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Speaker 2: drink maybe with a fun umbrella in it, with some

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Speaker 2: pineapple and join me here on the island. Being pro Hawaii, Well.

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Speaker 3: The constituents in Hawaii loved Timmy Chang. They've rallied culturally

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Speaker 3: around him and for what he's doing for the Brouddha

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Speaker 3: hood in Hawaii, and so it's interesting to see that

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Speaker 3: the success on the field during his tenure there has

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Speaker 3: not been what you would expect, despite having the backing

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Speaker 3: of the administration. I'm stunned that for a guy who

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Speaker 3: ran the run and shoot offense so successfully during his

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Speaker 3: time as a player there, it never really did get running.

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Speaker 3: With Braiden Shager at quarterback at Hawaii, it just seemed

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Speaker 3: like this offense was just continually stuck in the mud.

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Speaker 3: They couldn't really put drives together. They were terrible on

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Speaker 3: third down, which is critical in the run and shoot offense.

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Speaker 3: They struggled in the red zone. We saw the Shagar

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Speaker 3: bombs connect at times, but we also see a lot.

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Speaker 3: We saw a lot of incomplete passes and throwaways and

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Speaker 3: Braid and Shager running for his life, and it just

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Speaker 3: really didn't ever connect during his time here. I'm going

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Speaker 3: to just pump the brakes on Micah Alahado for the

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Speaker 3: time being. I'm not willing to crown him as the

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Speaker 3: next Cole MacDonald or Shager or Bryant Mones to come

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Speaker 3: through this Hawaii system. Yet he threw up some yards

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Speaker 3: against Utah State when they were down fifty two to three,

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Speaker 3: and shredded an absolutely historically bad New Mexico defense in

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Speaker 3: their home finale last year. I want to see it

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Speaker 3: against competent defenses and competent competition, and I want to

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Speaker 3: see it during the course of an entire season. I

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Speaker 3: do like the pieces that they bring back. I think

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Speaker 3: Land and Sims can provide some pop in the running

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Speaker 3: back room if they can run the football effectively, which

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Speaker 3: during stretches last season they couldn't. And I think that

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Speaker 3: the receiver room is loaded. I think up a Fella

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Speaker 3: Ashlock is great. I think Nick Senecle is set to

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Speaker 3: have a breakout season Jackson Harris, as you mentioned, is

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Speaker 3: going to provide a really solid option. So they definitely

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Speaker 3: have some dudes. They've just got to get this system clicking,

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Speaker 3: and it unlocks a lot for Hawaii so long as

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Speaker 3: the quarterback play is.

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Speaker 2: What they think it's going to be.

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Speaker 3: Defensively, this Hawaii team was very impressive at times last

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Speaker 3: season with how they packed it in against the run

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Speaker 3: and their defense really kept them in games a lot.

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Speaker 3: Last year, I'm not as impressed based on the wins

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Speaker 3: against FCS Delaware State and Northern Iowa and then they

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Speaker 3: beat up on a bad Fresno team, or to me,

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Speaker 3: they beat up on a bad Nevada team at home,

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Speaker 3: and then the finale against New Mexico, so they were

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Speaker 3: still a little ways away from Bowl eligibility if we're

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Speaker 3: being honest. I played under six and a half very

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Speaker 3: very early in the summer with respectable odds, and so

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Speaker 3: I think that that one's probably okay. But this is

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Speaker 3: also one where I think, you know, you look at

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Speaker 3: who they added in the portal with Dejon Benton, Luther McCoy,

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Speaker 3: kolo Akana at linebacker from Utah. They definitely made an

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Speaker 3: attempt to continue to hang their hat on some solid

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Speaker 3: defensive talent, so I think that they'll be in a

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Speaker 3: lot of these games.

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Speaker 2: The road performances are.

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Speaker 3: Just terrible, and there's no more staggering contrast in FBS

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Speaker 3: football than Hawaii at home versus Hawaii on the road.

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Speaker 3: It's been bad for years, and so the trips are tough.

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Speaker 3: At Arizona Air Force, Colorado State and Elevation, at San

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Speaker 3: Jose State, and at UNLV. I think our games they'll

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Speaker 3: struggle to win a row game this year, so you've

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Speaker 3: really got to get the games at home. They're gonna

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Speaker 3: have absolutely no question, but to beat Sam Houston and

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Speaker 3: Portland State, you'll have to beat as expected Utah State.

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Speaker 3: I really think what this comes down to is I

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Speaker 3: think that they are in their very last game of

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Speaker 3: the season, in the last game of the FBS schedule.

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Speaker 3: It'll be a three am Eastern Time sweat for anyone

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Speaker 3: who wants to be involved in this game on November

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Speaker 3: twenty ninth. I think they're playing Wyoming trying to fight

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Speaker 3: and clawon scratch their way to get to six and

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Speaker 3: six and get to a bowl game. So this is

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Speaker 3: a regular season win hook that I think is very

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Speaker 3: important going either over five and a half or under

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Speaker 3: six and a half. You can try and thread that

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Speaker 3: needle if that's the game you like to play. I

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Speaker 3: personally don't, but I did under six and a half.

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Speaker 3: I think they're playing Wyoming to try to get to

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Speaker 3: a bowl game and possibly save the regime of Timmy

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Speaker 3: Chang in Hawaii.

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Speaker 2: Alright, let's pick up the tempo here. Let's go dare

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Speaker 2: I say as tech fast San Diego State three and

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Speaker 2: nine last season, two and five in the Mountain West

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Speaker 2: twenty five to one to win it. This year, their

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Speaker 2: win total set at five and a half, thirteen starters

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Speaker 2: returning three and offense ten, though on defense their fourteenth

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Speaker 2: and returning production. There can Sean Lewis get this team

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Speaker 2: believing because they had quit ridden all over them late

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Speaker 2: in the season last fall, and now it's all new

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Speaker 2: skill position players and a new transfer quarterback. Yes, the

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Speaker 2: defense has ten starters back, which is the most in

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Speaker 2: the G five, but it was also awful by every

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Speaker 2: metric you know. However you wanted to slice and dice it.

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Speaker 2: Their entire stat sheet was bleeding red. Last year, they

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Speaker 2: promoted rich Auurrich to the defensive coordinator. He was a

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Speaker 2: good one at Idaho. Is that enough to change your

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Speaker 2: mind on them making a bowl duck?

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Speaker 3: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

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Speaker 3: ever seen before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the

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Speaker 3: brave all meat.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 3: I think you could argue that no Mountain West team

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Speaker 3: last season had worse quarterback play than San Diego State.

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Speaker 3: AJ Duffy and Danny O'Neil just really never materialized in

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Speaker 3: Sean Lewis's as tech fast offense, where an athletic quarterback

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Speaker 3: can just unlock so many doors for the offensive platoon.

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Speaker 3: Incomes Jade and Danigalf from Michigan and Bert Emmanuel, who

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Speaker 3: was electric at times at Central Michigan. The ground game

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Speaker 3: did show some flashes, but there was just no reliable

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Speaker 3: consistency to speak of last season. Last season, I think

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Speaker 3: Christian Washington will be a serviceable replacement to Marquez Cooper,

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Speaker 3: although Cooper is a better player and was much more

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Speaker 3: explosive during his time there and at Kent State. The

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Speaker 3: offensive line is being completely retooled, so that'll be something

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Speaker 3: that we'll have to watch. They should produce better results

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Speaker 3: in year two of the system. It was a really

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Speaker 3: just difficult task going from a complete one eighty change

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Speaker 3: in scheme. Offensively, what Shawn Lewis wanted to run was

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Speaker 3: way different than what they ran under the Brady Hokey years,

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Speaker 3: So it was just a tough task. I think in

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Speaker 3: year one, I think it was tougher for Sean Lewis

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Speaker 3: than probably what he expected. As long as they can

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Speaker 3: run the football effectively in this as tech fast system,

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Speaker 3: third down offense and the red zone offensive metrics should

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Speaker 3: be aided by more consistent ground attack. I like the

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Speaker 3: fact that ten starters are back defensively, including Trey White

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Speaker 3: in his thirteen sacks and eighteen QB pressures from last season.

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Speaker 3: Mister Williams will step in and add strength at linebacker

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Speaker 3: and should make the other contributors in the room better.

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Speaker 3: The secondary returns nearly everybody intact and adds Josiah Cox

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Speaker 3: who could have a breakout season. And I think the

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Speaker 3: schedule does create some opportunity for the ads. Texts they'll

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Speaker 3: get a winnable game early with Stony Brook. It will

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Speaker 3: not surprise me at all if they pluck off either

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Speaker 3: Cal or Wazoo. You've got a road trip to decal

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Speaker 3: against a descending Northern Illinois team which I would consider winnable.

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Speaker 3: They host Colorado State and Wyoming, and they have Nevada

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Speaker 3: and New Mexico on the slate. When I was assessing

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Speaker 3: the projected regular season wins and where they might come out,

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Speaker 3: even before books had posted numbers at the G five level,

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Speaker 3: I was assuming this was going to come out at

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Speaker 3: five and a half or maybe even six point zero.

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Speaker 2: Four and a half is just too much with what

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Speaker 2: I too low?

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Speaker 3: Excuse me? With how much this team returns with defensive production.

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Speaker 3: I think that we'll see a lot better offensive output

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Speaker 3: with Seohn Lewis. In year two I played over four

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Speaker 3: and a half wins. I think this is a six

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Speaker 3: and six football team that makes a bowl game this

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Speaker 3: year in San Diego State.

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Speaker 2: Big Bets on Campus podcast has always had an opinion

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Speaker 2: on Sean Lewis. What is yours in twenty twenty five column.

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Speaker 1: Fast totals going high? Hopefully they get too high. Maybe

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Speaker 1: we can play some unders. We're always playing San Diego

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Speaker 1: State overs. Burn E Manuel running this Aztec offense might

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Speaker 1: be some of the most fun watch late at night

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Speaker 1: Burna Manuel or Tuesday Wednesday Night King. This is a

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Speaker 1: pass for me. Four point four. I do think Sean

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Speaker 1: Loui is going to get the program going. I like

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Speaker 1: the direction that he's going. But after Stony Brook, I

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Speaker 1: don't see San Diego, say favored by more, by six

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Speaker 1: or more in any other game, So I'm completely passing

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Speaker 1: on them.

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Speaker 2: All right, Let's jump to Wyoming three and nine last season,

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Speaker 2: two and five in conference play, twenty seven to one

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Speaker 2: to win the conference. That's a hard pass for me.

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Speaker 2: Win total sitting at five and a half, five starters

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Speaker 2: returning four in offense, one on defense, twenty eighth overall

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Speaker 2: in returning production, third offensively. We warned you last year

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Speaker 2: that the Craig Bowl magic was gone, and it was

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Speaker 2: completely gone. Top fifty defenses from twenty seventeen to twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty three, with some elite G five defenses sprinkled in

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Speaker 2: last fall. Ninetieth in scoring defense, one hundred and third

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Speaker 2: in total d eleven turnovers forced all season long, dreadful

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Speaker 2: in the red zone, and they retained Aaron Bowl as DC.

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Speaker 2: So they didn't make a change. There's no scheme coming

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Speaker 2: to save them. Top transfers, by the way, coming in

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Speaker 2: on defense from BMI. Hard to get excited about a

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Speaker 2: key debt and army. It looks like they're looking for,

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Speaker 2: you know, military reinments. But I just don't see that

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Speaker 2: being a big difference maker for the Pokes. Can the

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Speaker 2: offense bail them out if the defense doesn't progress? I

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Speaker 2: don't see that either. Sure, kateen Anderson shredded into Mexico,

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Speaker 2: but we just basically said with Ali Hado like that

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Speaker 2: didn't make a difference for Hawaii. So I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to give him a green check mark here for you know,

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Speaker 2: torching the Lobos. That defense being laughably bad. I think

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Speaker 2: it basically makes that film unusable. They have one weapon,

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Speaker 2: which is tight end. John Michael Gillenborg. You have to

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Speaker 2: be able to run the ball to be able to

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Speaker 2: open things up for a tight end in the passing game.

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Speaker 2: And despite returning four starters up front, I have my

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Speaker 2: doubts about their hog mollies being able to move people

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Speaker 2: consistently in the trenches because they were one hundred and

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Speaker 2: twenty fourth in line yards, sixtieth in run blocking per PFF,

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Speaker 2: and they couldn't stop anyone from getting into the quarterback.

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Speaker 2: So yes, that continuity is great, but this was by

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Speaker 2: any stretch offense of you know, pass blocking or run blocking,

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Speaker 2: they just weren't elite either way. I think this is

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Speaker 2: fool's gold alert. This is the circle in terms of

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Speaker 2: a mini play that I have. They have ac in

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Speaker 2: Northern Iowa to start the season. Please Wyoming win convincingly,

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Speaker 2: because then it's a run of Utah at Colorado, UNLV

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Speaker 2: at home San Jose stay at home. They're going to

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Speaker 2: be severely outclassed in those games, and I want some

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Speaker 2: you know, ideal numbers to be able to go in

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Speaker 2: fade Wyoming. I'm going to go under five and a

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Speaker 2: half on the win total as well, because after those

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Speaker 2: first two wins, I don't see four more on the

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Speaker 2: schedule in any way, shape or form, any magical thinking

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Speaker 2: getting there for the Cowboys for their last six or

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Speaker 2: on the road, including a Hawaii road trip to end

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Speaker 2: the season. Colin, any thoughts on the Pokes. I know

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Speaker 2: that we loved Craig Bowl and everything he brought, that grittiness,

390
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Speaker 2: that defense. You know, they were often a bear trap

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Speaker 2: at altitude for teams coming in. I think that's all

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Speaker 2: basically you know, gone up in smoke in the last

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Speaker 2: let's call it sixteen months.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I actually make it five point seven,

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Speaker 1: which says I should take the over. But I don't

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Speaker 1: like this team whatsoever. Kate Anderson's numbers are completely skewed

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Speaker 1: by the New Mexico game. Eight big time throws on

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Speaker 1: the season, five of them came from the New Mexico game.

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Speaker 1: I'm not a believer the run game. I'm not really

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Speaker 1: good with Demanta Harris coming in from where Texas and

401
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Speaker 1: Tarren Kellen coming in from Charlotte. Kellen specifically had terrible

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Speaker 1: yards after first contact and just fantastic misstackle rates for

403
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Speaker 1: two years at Charlotte. But like, what's this offensive line

404
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Speaker 1: going to do for you? And then on the defensive side,

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Speaker 1: the two deep secondary is just void of experience and

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Speaker 1: they only return one PBu from last year. There's three

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Speaker 1: wins on the schedule. You mentioned Akron, Northern Iowa, Nevada.

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Speaker 1: After that, it's coin flip city and I just want

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Speaker 1: nothing to do with the win total, So I'm.

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Speaker 3: Passing any quick thoughts here. Duck on the Popes, no

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Speaker 3: real well factor offensively. Defense looks to be a mess,

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Speaker 3: although they kind of hang their hat on that, so

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Speaker 3: they could possibly draw up something to be a little

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Speaker 3: bit quasi competitive I don't have a real strong feel

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Speaker 3: either way, but I think there could be two situations

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Speaker 3: where you could play Wyoming this season. They catch Colorado

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Speaker 3: on a massive sandwich at Houston before and then they

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Speaker 3: host BYU does Colorado after, and of course BYU embarrassed

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Speaker 3: Colorado in the Bowl game. Certainly they'll have those two

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Speaker 3: games circled. But then income sneaky Wyoming if the Polks

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Speaker 3: are catching enough points twenty two and a half or so,

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Speaker 3: I could see myself on Wyoming to try to muck

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Speaker 3: that game up in a game where Colorado has already

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Speaker 3: shown disinterest and apathy in games during the Dion Sanders tenure.

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Speaker 3: So I could see Wyoming as a play there. And

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Speaker 3: then they host San Jose State on October eleventh. And

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Speaker 3: I'm no meteorologist, and I don't try to pretend to

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Speaker 3: be one, but the wind could rip through lary at

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Speaker 3: ice like you would not believe at that time of year.

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Speaker 3: And so if the wind is howling and San Jose

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Speaker 3: State can't throw the ball, they're already prowessed to struggle

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Speaker 3: to stop the run. I could see a competitive game.

433
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:36,200
Speaker 3: So we'll have to circle back to that later on

434
00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 3: the season. Here on the G five Deep Dive and

435
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:40,719
Speaker 3: we'll assess it at that time. But those are two

436
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:41,920
Speaker 3: spots I have circled to play on.

437
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,879
Speaker 2: Wyoming football season is here, folks, and we've got some

438
00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,920
Speaker 2: huge improvements and updates coming on the award winning Action

439
00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 2: Network app. We're really excited to discuss those in the

440
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,560
Speaker 2: coming weeks. But to get the most out of the app,

441
00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,560
Speaker 2: you'll still need to be an Action Pro subscriber. It's

442
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 2: only with Action Pro you get real time pick alerts

443
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 2: from me Duck, Colin Stuckey, and the entire Action Network

444
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:04,400
Speaker 2: team of experts. Plus you get access to pro projections

445
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 2: powered by Sean Kerner and his team of predictive analytics sevants,

446
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 2: plus a million other benefits. I mean, you have to

447
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 2: sign up for this and right now, BBOC listeners can

448
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 2: save twenty dollars off the annual price of Action Pro.

449
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,160
Speaker 2: Just go to actionework dot com slash pro and use

450
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:23,439
Speaker 2: promo code BBOC twenty. That's Actionnetwork dot Com slash Pro

451
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 2: and use code BBOC twenty for twenty dollars off the

452
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:30,120
Speaker 2: annual price of Action Pro. We're going to close things

453
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 2: out with three teams Utah State up first. The Aggies

454
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:35,480
Speaker 2: went four and eight last season, three and four in

455
00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:37,879
Speaker 2: the conference. They are sixty to one. This one numbers

456
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,239
Speaker 2: start to get pretty big to win the conference. Win

457
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:42,439
Speaker 2: total sitting at three and a half four stars, returning

458
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,639
Speaker 2: just one on offense, three on defense, one hundred and

459
00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 2: twenty fourth and returning production overall. Bronco ball is back

460
00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,480
Speaker 2: in the Beehive State and for a stretch he was

461
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 2: great at BYU, winning ten or more games in five

462
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:56,880
Speaker 2: of six seasons. But then, you know, on the other side,

463
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:58,800
Speaker 2: he never really had any bad seasons. It was just,

464
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 2: you know, sometimes they struggled to break through to that

465
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,960
Speaker 2: next level. In his last four or five years there

466
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 2: in Salt Lake City, he got Virginia to an ACC

467
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:09,040
Speaker 2: title game, which is no small feat. And in year

468
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 2: one with New Mexico he made them a feisty bunch

469
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 2: from what had previously been a bunch of doormats. He

470
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:18,360
Speaker 2: excels when he has a mobile quarterback, a playmaker who

471
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:20,440
Speaker 2: can make things happen when things break down, is not

472
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:22,400
Speaker 2: afraid to run at ten to fifteen times a game.

473
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 2: Do the Aggies have that this year? Yes they do.

474
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,879
Speaker 2: Bryson Barnes finished last season in his last two starts,

475
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,879
Speaker 2: thirty nine carries three hundred and seventy eight yards on

476
00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 2: the ground, two touchdowns. Mile Davis transfers in from Byu.

477
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 2: He's a pure track star kind of speedy running back.

478
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,400
Speaker 2: Can they block it up in front? They were twenty

479
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,840
Speaker 2: first in line yards last year, but they only returned

480
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,879
Speaker 2: one starter there. They have some experience because players got

481
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,320
Speaker 2: hurt in the past two seasons, but they didn't address

482
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 2: this unit in the portal and that is concerning to me.

483
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:54,120
Speaker 2: I'm going to keep a close tab on them early

484
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 2: on against UTEP because that they can't push the miners

485
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 2: around in the trenches. I'm not sure this offense is

486
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,119
Speaker 2: going to work, you know, for the majority of the season.

487
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,359
Speaker 2: This is their identity. They need to be able to

488
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 2: be effective in run blocking. Defense could be a problem

489
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,439
Speaker 2: from day one. Only one starter back on this defense,

490
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 2: but last year at New Mexico they were also a

491
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 2: mess defensively for Bronco. He brings defensive coordinator Nick Howell

492
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 2: with him. That one confuses me. I think it would

493
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 2: have been a good time to bring in somebody new,

494
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:24,359
Speaker 2: try something different, lots of different attacks and tempos to

495
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,400
Speaker 2: prep forward this season. You go from UTEP and Scottie

496
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 2: Walden with tempo to air Force then air Force Light back.

497
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 2: You know air Force light in terms of bandy, so

498
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 2: you got another kind of triple option cheap's clothing to

499
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,480
Speaker 2: deal with. Then back to Hawaii, all in the first

500
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,119
Speaker 2: six weeks of the season. So for play caller, I

501
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 2: don't have a lot of faith in and personnel that

502
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 2: has never really played together. I'm just seeing overs, to

503
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 2: be honest with you, because New Mexico overs last year

504
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 2: nine and three to the over. I'm back on that

505
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 2: train and out of a play on them to win

506
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:55,639
Speaker 2: the conference on their win total. But I think we

507
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 2: could see some really high scoring games. What do you

508
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,680
Speaker 2: think Colin with Bronco Mendenhall back in the state to Utah.

509
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 1: I don't think we can underestimate what he's doing back

510
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:03,480
Speaker 1: in the.

511
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:04,080
Speaker 2: State of Utah.

512
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:07,879
Speaker 1: This is his territory to collect transfers and recruits, and

513
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,160
Speaker 1: I think he will have them back and firing hard.

514
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 1: But you know what are we going to get for

515
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,199
Speaker 1: this season? I mean, Bryson Barnes, the pig farmer from

516
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 1: Utah comes in and his turnover worthy play rate has

517
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 1: increased from two to two percent. To four point five

518
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 1: percent over the years since his inaugural year as a

519
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: ute and it's just it's not getting any better for him.

520
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 1: But he has five hundred and fifty nine rushing yards

521
00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 1: last year, so I mean he can scoot and maybe

522
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:31,920
Speaker 1: that kind of fits what they want to do on

523
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:35,200
Speaker 1: the ground here. You know, from a total win perspective,

524
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: I'm at I'm at five, so I just can't really

525
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 1: get over five and a half here. There is experience

526
00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 1: at each level on the defense, there's one player nose tackle,

527
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 1: a middle linebacker, free safety. I would expect improvements from

528
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:50,920
Speaker 1: a fundamental perspective. This team was bottom fifteen in havoc

529
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 1: and tackling, But then you go back and look at

530
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,639
Speaker 1: New Mexico. I mean you just automatically assume the Bronco

531
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 1: is going to clean that kind of stuff up.

532
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 2: And New Mexico was.

533
00:24:57,640 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 1: Bottom fifteen all those numbers too, So I can't automatically

534
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,880
Speaker 1: assume that schedule is a little bit dicey air Force gets.

535
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 1: I mean, there's just things on here that I don't

536
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:09,200
Speaker 1: like about the schedule that is keeping me off the

537
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 1: wind total. But a play against Scotty Waldron and UTEP

538
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 1: in week one I believe is actually, you know, minus

539
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: one fifty six on the money line is hanging on

540
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,399
Speaker 1: out there. I mean, Utah stay a little bit more

541
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 1: of a favorite than that. I think that's the play

542
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 1: to go, because I will take Bronco Agains Scotty Waldron

543
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 1: week one anytime with.

544
00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 2: No more official plays on your Mound and West card.

545
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 2: You're getting beamed up to the mothership. I appreciate you. Colin.

546
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 2: You are going to be handling the rest of the

547
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 2: Power Forward previews with Stuckey, so if you're listening in,

548
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 2: make sure to keep an eye up for when those drop.

549
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,160
Speaker 2: The exhaustive work you guys do. I'm expecting two, three,

550
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 2: maybe four hours on the ACC. I will be let

551
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 2: down if it's any shorter than that. Colin, thank you

552
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 2: so much, really appreciate it. Talk to you guys, soonduck.

553
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 2: Any thoughts here on Utah State that you would like

554
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,399
Speaker 2: to share before we get into really the dregs of

555
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 2: the conference, But even dregs, there's gold in them that

556
00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,399
Speaker 2: our hills. We can find ways to bet on these teams,

557
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,720
Speaker 2: sitch spots or just going all in, pushing your chips

558
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:05,399
Speaker 2: in on fading unders on the season win totals, but

559
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:08,680
Speaker 2: Utah State is a team clearly in transition. I think

560
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 2: the offense could work with a mobile quarterback, but this

561
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,960
Speaker 2: defense I don't see it at all. And as I mentioned,

562
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,440
Speaker 2: I just want to bet over over over until the

563
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 2: market corrects. Yeah, I tend to agree.

564
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 3: I think that the defensive coordinator being brought over from

565
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 3: New Mexico was puzzling, and it's equally as puzzling to

566
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 3: see that they brought over five players in the transfer

567
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 3: portal from New Mexico on the defensive side of the football,

568
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 3: something I would have probably tried not to do, given

569
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:33,959
Speaker 3: how poor New Mexico played last year defensively all season.

570
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 3: I think they're trying to recreate the magic and the

571
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,639
Speaker 3: lightning and a bottle effect that they had with Devon

572
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 3: Dampier at New Mexico last year, and they're going to

573
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 3: expect Bryson Barnes to be that the book is still

574
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 3: out on if that's going to work. With the talent

575
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:49,199
Speaker 3: around him, I think, you know, they might be able to.

576
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:49,679
Speaker 2: Draw it up.

577
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,800
Speaker 3: The OC coordinator from comes in as the was the

578
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 3: wide receiver coach at San Jose State the last seven years,

579
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,960
Speaker 3: so I think they'll adopt some of those quick passing

580
00:26:58,040 --> 00:26:59,959
Speaker 3: principles and trying to get the ball out of Barnes's

581
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 3: hands quickly and get it out to playmakers in space.

582
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,920
Speaker 3: We'll see how that goes. I think the tempo is

583
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 3: going to be ultra fast, and I think we're going

584
00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:09,359
Speaker 3: to get a lot of games that are going to

585
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 3: have a lot of possessions and overs. Could be good

586
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 3: until the totals get to be out of control. You'll

587
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 3: remember we had the highest total of the FBS season

588
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 3: last year when Utah State played New Mexico closed at

589
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,160
Speaker 3: eighty seven and a half and the game soared over.

590
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 3: We won't get that type of game this year. We'll

591
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:27,960
Speaker 3: get into New Mexico here in a little bit. But

592
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 3: I think over against UTAP, I think UTEP could have

593
00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:32,560
Speaker 3: some success against this defense, and there's a chance that

594
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 3: they really have to try to see what they've got offensively,

595
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 3: and so it could push the envelope a little bit

596
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,959
Speaker 3: against the miners. I look to fade Utah State when

597
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 3: they host Air Force coming off of Texas A and M,

598
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 3: where they could get beat up physically in sec territory

599
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:48,440
Speaker 3: and Air Force will be off of a bye and

600
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 3: It'll be real interesting to see how that road trip

601
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 3: to New Mexico gets handled for Bronco Manenhall going back

602
00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 3: to UNM for the first time. So interesting schedule spots.

603
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,160
Speaker 3: I don't see a lot of success here. I think

604
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:00,639
Speaker 3: four and eight scenes right for the.

605
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 2: U tags Nevada? Are you kidding me? Nevada? The Nevada

606
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 2: wolf Pack up next. The boys from Reno went three

607
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,399
Speaker 2: and ten last season, oh fer in Mountain West Conference

608
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 2: play there in ninety to one to win the championship

609
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 2: crown here in the Mountain West this fall, the win

610
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:20,160
Speaker 2: total sitting at four and a half four starters return

611
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 2: three on offense, just one on defense, one hundred and

612
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 2: thirty second in returning production, which is really rough. It's

613
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 2: going to be difficult to overcome that right from the jump.

614
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 2: So my question for you, Duck is who are the

615
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 2: wolf Pack? Because this was a team that nearly beat SMU,

616
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,280
Speaker 2: that went to the College Tobol playoff. They started three

617
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,880
Speaker 2: and four and then they finished with six straight losses.

618
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:41,800
Speaker 2: And then also I'll tack on one more question for you,

619
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 2: what's your take on Perdy? This quarterback is the four

620
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 2: star recruit who finally realizes his potential or is he

621
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 2: just a bus just waiting to get pulled early in

622
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 2: this season?

623
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 3: Oh well, truly, you could make a case that through

624
00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 3: the first six weeks of the twenty twenty four A

625
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 3: College foot Ball season, there was no bigger surprise team

626
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 3: in all of FBS than Nevada. They certainly captured the

627
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:08,840
Speaker 3: hearts of the degenerates in Week zero with the national

628
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,719
Speaker 3: TV game with the close loss against SMU and they

629
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 3: at one point were six and one against the number

630
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 3: before fading late. You know, this year, Brendon Lewis departs,

631
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 3: Chubba Pritty comes in. I'm still not sold on his

632
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 3: skill set, on what he brings to the table. I've

633
00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 3: just never been impressed during his tenure anywhere that he's been.

634
00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:30,560
Speaker 3: And you know, he takes he takes over under center.

635
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 3: Speaking of center, I mean, really, it's the offensive line

636
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 3: that's going to be a complete rebuild this year for Nevada.

637
00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:39,920
Speaker 3: Andrew Madrigal is the loan returning holdover on a completely

638
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:43,719
Speaker 3: rebuilt offensive line that I felt really struggled last year

639
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:48,680
Speaker 3: to protect their quarterback. There are some pieces at receiver

640
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:52,719
Speaker 3: and running back that you could possibly try to stretch

641
00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 3: to get excited about, but nothing really stands out to

642
00:29:56,120 --> 00:30:00,280
Speaker 3: me offensively as eye popping, and the offense and my opinion,

643
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 3: will have very very little punch this season, and just

644
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 3: there's no wild factor on paper for the Wolfpack offense

645
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 3: in my opinion. The outperforming Wolfpack defense is also undergoing

646
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 3: a significant rebuild at all three levels of the defense,

647
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 3: which is certainly a cause for concern for me. The

648
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 3: big physical secondary players that really were so disruptive against

649
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 3: SMU and that opener, those players are no longer there

650
00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 3: and it's a full rebuild in the secondary. The defensive

651
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,880
Speaker 3: front was just far too weak against the run last season,

652
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 3: surrendering five point one yards per carry on the entire

653
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 3: season on the ground and the havoc numbers disappeared. Fourteen

654
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 3: sacks and fifty four tackles for loss is just not

655
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 3: going to be competitive at any level of football when

656
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 3: you play twelve games.

657
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 2: It just wasn't enough.

658
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 3: This team was just so undisciplined as well, and it

659
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 3: actually directly cost them some wins. Ninety nine penalties for

660
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 3: nine hundred and thirty five penalty yards is just an

661
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 3: eye popping stat in a bad way for Nevada. They

662
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 3: were just so undisciplined last year, and that comes down

663
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 3: to coaching. I think this team is going to resemble

664
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 3: the Wolfpack team that was blown out by Colorado State,

665
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 3: Hawaii and UNLV late in the season last year, versus

666
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:13,800
Speaker 3: the feisty bunch that we saw almost defeat SMU. When

667
00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:16,440
Speaker 3: I was assessing my regular season win totals, I was

668
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:19,000
Speaker 3: completely certain that this was going to come out three

669
00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:21,360
Speaker 3: and a half. Last year, the regular season win was

670
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 3: two and a half and they played a thirteen game schedule,

671
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:27,080
Speaker 3: just barely squeaking over the total. I was convinced we

672
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:28,560
Speaker 3: were going to see a three and a half with

673
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:30,560
Speaker 3: plus money on the under, I was still going to

674
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 3: go under. When I saw four and a half, I

675
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 3: had to pick my eyeballs up off the floor. It

676
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:37,240
Speaker 3: was the very first regular season win wager that I

677
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 3: made all the way under four and a half. I

678
00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 3: think that number is pretty well gone now, but even

679
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,080
Speaker 3: four point zero flat, I would go under under on

680
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 3: the wolf Pack. It's going to be a real struggling

681
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 3: season for them in Reno.

682
00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 2: I'm with you on the under. It's an official play

683
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 2: for me. Oh, let's close things out with Lobos from

684
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 2: New Mexico. In Albuquerque. Last year they went five and

685
00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 2: seven with Broco Mendenhall at the house, three and four

686
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 2: in conference play, but also Devin dan Pierre now off

687
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 2: to Utah to run that offense with former offensive coordinator

688
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 2: Jason Beck. They are, wait for it, two hundred and

689
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,040
Speaker 2: twenty to one to win the Mountain West Conference. And

690
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 2: that's not enough to entice me to play them. I

691
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 2: can't play the Lobos. Their winzel is at three and

692
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 2: a half. They got four stars back one on offense,

693
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,360
Speaker 2: three on defense, one hundred and thirty fifth. It was

694
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 2: only one hundred and thirty six teams, one hundred and

695
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 2: thirty fifth in returning production. But this is all about

696
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:31,320
Speaker 2: year zero, new regime. How do we build out for

697
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: year you know, two and three and potentially get back

698
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 2: to a bowl. Give us the full breakdown on Jason

699
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 2: Acken if you believe this defense can keep them even

700
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 2: competitive in some games once we get into conference play.

701
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, first of all, Jason X steps into a

702
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 3: really impossible situation. Three head coaches in three years for

703
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 3: the Lobos and Albuquerque.

704
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: Gone is the.

705
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 3: Electric play of Devon damp Here that we saw last

706
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 3: season time and time again, along with Eli Sanders, Luke

707
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 3: wi Song, Ryan Davis, and everybody along the offensive line.

708
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 3: It is absolutely a bare cup words for Jason Eck

709
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 3: on offense, This twenty twenty five Lobo unit will look

710
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 3: nothing like the eye candy that we saw on TV

711
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 3: much of last season. Offensive coordinator Luke Schleisner comes in

712
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,400
Speaker 3: with Eck from Idaho, and they're going to deploy a

713
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 3: slow paced, methodical run heavy approach. Two to one run

714
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 3: pass ratio is to be expected. They're going to lean

715
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:25,880
Speaker 3: on Scott Trey Humphrey, who comes in. He was a

716
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 3: great FCS running back at Montana State, but he was

717
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 3: also the benefactor of a friendly scheme and he always

718
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 3: had a top three FCS offensive line that he was

719
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 3: running behind, which will certainly not be the case this

720
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 3: season with New Mexico. Their offensive line is going to

721
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 3: be up against it week in and week out. I

722
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:50,600
Speaker 3: think New Mexico really did have a bottom ten offensive

723
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,960
Speaker 3: line last season, and it was just masked by the

724
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 3: heroic effort of damp Year week in and week out.

725
00:33:57,240 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 3: They didn't give up a lot of sacks or tackles

726
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 3: for loss, but he was consistently escaping pressure running for

727
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 3: his life and having to make heroics, and I just

728
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 3: don't see that happening with jack Lane, who's not nearly

729
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,400
Speaker 3: as mobile. He won't be as poised at this level.

730
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 3: And I expect the offense to struggle to consistently move

731
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 3: the football, and it's going to expose a really, really

732
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 3: weak defense. The challenge this year defensively is that the

733
00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:24,800
Speaker 3: defensive lines secured just eleven sacks and only Gabe Lopez

734
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:29,080
Speaker 3: comes back. The linebacker room does bring in some FCS

735
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:33,560
Speaker 3: talent to include Jackson Eck, Jason X's son, and I

736
00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:35,600
Speaker 3: think he's a pretty decent player. It's not just a

737
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,439
Speaker 3: nepotism situation there. I think he's actually a pretty decent

738
00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 3: player at linebacker. The secondary was just significantly overhauled with

739
00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:48,360
Speaker 3: Utah Tech, Ohio and Northern Iowa transfers to attempt to

740
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 3: strengthen a unit that was just so stinking bad last year.

741
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:56,320
Speaker 3: This New Mexico secondary allowed sixty five percent completions and

742
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:59,799
Speaker 3: thirty touchdown passes surrendered last year to only three interceptions.

743
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:03,360
Speaker 3: It was just a coverage unit that was just they

744
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:06,400
Speaker 3: were just shredded week in and week out. So because

745
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 3: of Idaho State, New Mexico State Utah State and Nevada

746
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:12,360
Speaker 3: on the schedule. I didn't play the win total, but

747
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 3: I would assuredly only go under three and a half.

748
00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 3: I may look at a conference wins under two and

749
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 3: a half if I can find a respectable number there.

750
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 3: I just think this team is going to be up

751
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 3: against it. I've already faded them in Week one as

752
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 3: they go to Michigan. I think the offense is going

753
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 3: to struggle to maintain possession of the ball and stay

754
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 3: on the field. It's going to be a really, really

755
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:33,760
Speaker 3: tough rebuilding season for New Mexico.

756
00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 2: All Right, Douck, we started this Mountain West Slash pack

757
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,440
Speaker 2: to preview with four of us. We're down to two.

758
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:43,879
Speaker 2: Stucky and Colin are off to prepare for the Power Four.

759
00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:45,799
Speaker 2: But I also want to set the table for what's

760
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:48,840
Speaker 2: to come in your podcast feed. We got Conference USA,

761
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,319
Speaker 2: we got the American, we got the Mac. We also

762
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 2: bring back Stucky for the MAC preview, and then it's

763
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,520
Speaker 2: Stucky and Colin breaking down all the teams in the

764
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:01,040
Speaker 2: Power Four. That's going to be exciting. That's the following

765
00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 2: week after that, and we have awesome news, which is

766
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 2: we have a Week zero watch party in Chicago, Illinois

767
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:11,680
Speaker 2: Joe's on Weed on August twenty third, Doors open for

768
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:14,799
Speaker 2: that first game that eleven am. Kickoff farm again from

769
00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 2: the Emerald Isle. We got Iowa State, k State. We

770
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 2: got the whole crew there. We got Colin Stuckey, Duck

771
00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 2: and myself. Please come by, cut it up with us,

772
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 2: Let's have some drinks, let's throw in some futures. College

773
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:27,880
Speaker 2: football is back. Any closing thoughts before we kick it

774
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:29,960
Speaker 2: out of here for the Big Bets on Campus podcast.

775
00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:32,759
Speaker 3: Duck, Yeah, it should be a really interesting season in

776
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 3: the Mountain West. I think we've got a lot of

777
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 3: teams that are in transition. We've got a couple of

778
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,520
Speaker 3: usual suspects at the top. I think Boise State and

779
00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:41,720
Speaker 3: San Jose State are poised to meet in the Mountain

780
00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:45,320
Speaker 3: West Conference championship game and just look forward to a

781
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 3: great twenty twenty five season in Mountain West football.

782
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,200
Speaker 2: I'm with you as well, Boise State winning over San

783
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,720
Speaker 2: Jose State. I am a little bit more pessimistic on UNLV,

784
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 2: but I think they certainly could be a wildcard if

785
00:36:56,719 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 2: everything works properly in Mullen's system and Clandria up, you know,

786
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 2: being the good version of them and cuts down on

787
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 2: all those turnovers. But yeah, I agree with you. This

788
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,920
Speaker 2: is an interesting league with some really really good coaches,

789
00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:10,880
Speaker 2: particularly at the bottom, whether it's FCS coaches or Bronco

790
00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:14,080
Speaker 2: Mendenhall coming back in. So you know, from top to bottom,

791
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:16,839
Speaker 2: you have reasons for optimism. And we've said this time

792
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:19,320
Speaker 2: and time again, do not make up your mind in

793
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 2: the paycheck portion of the season where some of these

794
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:23,919
Speaker 2: teams are going to get beat like a drum. Don't

795
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 2: write them off. Don't slide them too far down on

796
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:28,200
Speaker 2: your power rankings, because you're going to miss out an

797
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:31,359
Speaker 2: opportunity to cash some tickets in October and November by

798
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:33,680
Speaker 2: playing some of these bottom teams that may not even

799
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:35,840
Speaker 2: go bowling, but they're certainly going to cover some spreads.

800
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 3: For Josh, let's cherish this. Let's cherish this last Mountain

801
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 3: West season as we know it. With the upheaval in

802
00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:45,279
Speaker 3: the Mountain West and six six Mountain West regulars going

803
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 3: to the PAC twelve next season, let's take full advantage

804
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 3: of this last twenty twenty five Mountain West season as

805
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:50,600
Speaker 3: we know and love it.

806
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,160
Speaker 2: Well, said Josh For Joshua and on Mike Calberies. Thank

807
00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:56,080
Speaker 2: you so much for listening to the Big Bets on

808
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:59,959
Speaker 2: Campus podcast. This completes our Mountain West Conference preview. Please

809
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:01,880
Speaker 2: check out the rest of your feed to catch all

810
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:03,600
Speaker 2: of our previews. We're going to hit all one hundred

811
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 2: and thirty six teams in basically a two week period

812
00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 2: because we love college football. We love you guys. You

813
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 2: make the show possible. Please hit us with a five

814
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 2: star reading and review wherever you listen to the podcast.

815
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 2: Thanks so much, and we'll catch you here next time.

816
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,759
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

817
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

818
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,920
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

819
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:34,760
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