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Speaker 1: Date of the Iran War.

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Speaker 2: Trump declares he wants on conditional surrender. The Golf States

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Speaker 2: are getting pissed. The Iranian president apologizes to the Gulf States,

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Speaker 2: Israel launches attacks, and the Lebanon and the Magabase continues

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Speaker 2: to fracture.

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Speaker 1: Today on The David Rutherford.

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Speaker 2: Show, Welcome Back, friends, the only thing I have to

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Speaker 2: say is I'm every bit as worried as you are.

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Speaker 2: I don't think anybody in the United States right now

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Speaker 2: or around the world isn't worried in some capacity. And

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what, you have every right to feel worried.

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Speaker 2: I mean, even me with my limited experience and the

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Speaker 2: sealed teams working for the Military Industrial Complex and working

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Speaker 2: for the Central Intelligence Agency, all in very short periods

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Speaker 2: during the early part of the g watt You know,

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Speaker 2: I too, am concerned as to what the outcome is

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Speaker 2: going to be.

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Speaker 1: We all are. That's a natural feeling that you should have.

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Speaker 2: It's a feeling that requires, in my opinion, a deeper

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Speaker 2: understanding of what the outcome potentially is going to be.

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Speaker 2: And that's relative to what are key leaders, what our allies,

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Speaker 2: and most especially what Iranian officials and the country of

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Speaker 2: ninety three million people how they're going to react to

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Speaker 2: all of this.

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Speaker 1: So today, what I thought I.

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Speaker 2: Would do is I would just break it down as

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Speaker 2: best as possible, just to get you up to speed

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Speaker 2: with the things that I'm focusing on, to keep me

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Speaker 2: up to speed as well too, so I can have

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Speaker 2: better insights. So the three areas I'll focus on are

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Speaker 2: militarily what's taking place, what's happening, what's going on, Economically,

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Speaker 2: what's taking place, what some fork are forecasting, what are

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Speaker 2: some of the current situations and challenges. And then finally, politically,

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Speaker 2: what I think is taking place and what we should

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Speaker 2: be thinking about in terms of what we want our

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Speaker 2: leaders to do and how to.

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Speaker 1: Act moving forward. So Jeordie are what about you?

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Speaker 2: Man? How are you doing with what? How you're interpreting

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Speaker 2: what's going on?

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Speaker 3: It's a tragic situation, you know. I've never been to war,

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Speaker 3: only read about it or watched it. Regardless of what

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Speaker 3: you think about it, I just go back to what

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Speaker 3: I hear people say. There's no winners in war, right,

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Speaker 3: and so I know that however this works out, and

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Speaker 3: it's already been happening, it's gonna it's gonna be rough.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna be rough no matter what happens. So that's

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Speaker 3: just it's just hard to swallow. Like you said, it is.

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Speaker 2: Man, And I'll never forget the first time that I

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Speaker 2: was ever exposed to it was I was up at

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Speaker 2: doing a postgraduate year in high school up in Connecticut

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Speaker 2: when the First Golf War broke out, and I remember

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Speaker 2: watching CNN for twenty four hours straight thinking to myself, well,

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Speaker 2: I can cancel going to play football or across in

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Speaker 2: college because it appears I'm going to get drafted. I'm

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Speaker 2: going to go fight in the Middle East, you know.

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Speaker 2: And at that point I really didn't understand much. As

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Speaker 2: it turns out, I ended up making my way there anyways.

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Speaker 1: And like you.

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Speaker 2: Said, there are no winners in war, regardless of what

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Speaker 2: you want to believe or what you want to think of.

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Speaker 2: And I'm by also, by no measure am I condemning

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Speaker 2: anybody who adheres to the orders they're given and carries

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Speaker 2: out their duties as they you know, commit to our

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Speaker 2: nation or other nations, right, because that's ultimately who who

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Speaker 2: takes the biggest front, right are the unsuspected civilians, women

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Speaker 2: and children and the elderly. And then the young men,

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Speaker 2: mostly young men, and the few women that have to

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Speaker 2: engage in this conflict and have to suffer from the

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Speaker 2: catastrophic results of it going sideways.

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Speaker 1: So that's just it's good to always keep that.

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Speaker 2: In your mind when you're evaluating the full context of

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Speaker 2: what's going on.

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Speaker 1: All right, So let's bring some context to you if

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Speaker 1: you're listening.

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Speaker 2: All right, So kind of a chronological events that started

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Speaker 2: on February twenty eighth. We had a really amazing initial

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Speaker 2: strikes taking place. Approximately five to six hundred targets were hit.

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Speaker 2: And you know, the interesting thing is, you know, that's

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Speaker 2: massive variation when you're talking about ballistic missile systems. The

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Speaker 2: difference between five hundred and six hundred is huge. So

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Speaker 2: really trying to drill down on those specifics, I know

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Speaker 2: the comm commander has been given some real good.

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Speaker 1: Sit reps.

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Speaker 2: So that's a place I recommend people go and listen,

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Speaker 2: because if you think from a military tactical perspective, we

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Speaker 2: are succeeding in our precision strikes and objectives and so

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Speaker 2: there there is a positive aspect of that, right and

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Speaker 2: so you know, and we're using B two stealth bombers

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Speaker 2: F thirty five where you know where we even launched

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Speaker 2: a torpedo to sink the first time in a long

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Speaker 2: time we've done that.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 2: Day two, you know they talked about over four hundred

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Speaker 2: target strike. Day two and three, you know, another thousand

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Speaker 2: plus targets were struck. And then there was some Iranian

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Speaker 2: counter attacks that really began on us basis in the

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Speaker 2: golf and imprompt of defensive intercepts and retaliatory strikes. March

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Speaker 2: four or five days five six, right, we shifted to

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Speaker 2: targeting Iran's defense industrial base, conducted over seventeen hundred sorties,

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Speaker 2: hitting about twelve hundred and fifty targets, and these strikes

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Speaker 2: included electronic warfare to disrupt the Iranian command A surgeon operations,

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Speaker 2: along with the heavier use of gravity based munitions. Right,

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Speaker 2: these are not the laser guided precision strikes because one

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Speaker 2: of the great things as a tactical commander, you want

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Speaker 2: to make sure you don't blow your loads, so to speak.

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Speaker 2: And now of a sudden, those strategic munitions you're empty.

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Speaker 2: And so it's critical to understand that if we can

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Speaker 2: just drop gravity based munitions and have similar effects, then

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Speaker 2: we've got much greater stockpiles of those types of munitions

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Speaker 2: now day sevens and eight ongoing strikes against missile law,

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Speaker 2: naval assets, and internal security sites cumulative targets roughly around

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Speaker 2: three thousand and One of the interesting things which I

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Speaker 2: confirm and agree with with the Secretary of War Pete

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Speaker 2: hag Seth, is that we have achieved air dominance right,

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Speaker 2: enabling deeper strikes against infrastructure as well as Iranian naval

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Speaker 2: capabilities are outright destroyed. So that's pretty awesome.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: The thing that I think about in terms of just

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Speaker 2: strategic strikes right, there's never been a war one by

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Speaker 2: simply using strategic strikes right, and in particular as it

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Speaker 2: relates to win, unconditional surrender is the expectation. And we

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Speaker 2: do know Trump said that, And we'll have Geordani bring

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Speaker 2: that clip up right now and show you what Trump upset.

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Speaker 2: Can you give us an idea of what unconditional surrender

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Speaker 2: looks like to you?

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Speaker 1: I mean, what do you want from Iran? I said, unconditioned?

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Speaker 1: Like condition? I said, unconditioned?

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Speaker 4: This where they cry uncle or when they can't fight

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Speaker 4: any long longer, there's nobody around to cry unco That

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Speaker 4: could happen too is.

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Speaker 1: You know, we've wiped out.

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Speaker 4: Their leadership numerous times already, so it's uh if they

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Speaker 4: surrender or if there is nobody around to surrender, but

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Speaker 4: they're rendered useless in terms of military.

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Speaker 2: Now, after listening to Trump, you know, say that it's

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Speaker 2: really pretty amazing on.

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Speaker 1: What that means.

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Speaker 2: And a lot there's a lot of different pundits out

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Speaker 2: there saying what that means in different capacities. But if

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Speaker 2: you look at historically when that comes out, what that means, uh,

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Speaker 2: that always leads to boots on the ground, and not

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Speaker 2: just a few, It means hundreds of thousands potentially, and

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Speaker 2: also hundreds of thousands of more civilians and women and

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Speaker 2: children being annihilated as well too. Right, the most famous

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Speaker 2: unconditional surrender that was not adhere to, I believe was

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Speaker 2: the Japanese Imperial military back in World War Two, which

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Speaker 2: cost them two atomic bombs which we were willing to do.

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Speaker 2: You know, roughly two hundred thousand civilians were vaporized in that. Now,

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Speaker 2: the response to that is it saved a million plus

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Speaker 2: gis all right and by four years in right, a

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Speaker 2: conditioned population will say, all right, we don't care whatever

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Speaker 2: it takes to bring this thing to the end. You know,

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Speaker 2: the other aspect of unconditional surrender is the deeper impacts

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Speaker 2: that it has on our military industrial complex, right, and

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Speaker 2: what that tax. Now, it's critical for you to understand,

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Speaker 2: we have already been waging a four year proxy war

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Speaker 2: in Ukraine, right, and we have supplied a tremendous amount

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Speaker 2: of munitions, intelligence support, training support, just a tremendous amount

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Speaker 2: of resources has been during the Biden administration in order

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Speaker 2: to support the Ukrainian effort against Russia. So we definitely

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Speaker 2: have some strategic challenges, mostly I believe within our our

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Speaker 2: precision guide and munitions.

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Speaker 1: Now, we did see.

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Speaker 2: Trump bring in the military industrial complex to the White

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Speaker 2: House this week and basically said, you know, uh, you

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Speaker 2: guys got to start, uh maintaining production. Jordan's going to

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Speaker 2: put up a quote that came out a result of

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Speaker 2: that from Lockey Martin and they're going to quadruple output now.

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Speaker 2: Hopefull what this will do is will also open up

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Speaker 2: for all these other smaller defense contractors that want to

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Speaker 2: get in the game to help us build what disposable drones. Right,

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Speaker 2: Because when you take a step back and I'm just

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Speaker 2: going to go through some more statistics in terms of

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Speaker 2: munitions here in a second, those are the ones that

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Speaker 2: really become the high threat. And we've seen that both

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Speaker 2: in Ukraine and we're starting to see the remnants of

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Speaker 2: it in Iran as well too. So here's some of

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Speaker 2: the estimated US munitions. Right, missiles anywhere from five hundred

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Speaker 2: to one thousand launched. Again a massive guess. And by

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Speaker 2: the way, when I use rock to prompt to get

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Speaker 2: these types of numbers, and these these back eyes understanding, right,

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Speaker 2: and these are.

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Speaker 1: Tomahawk cruise missiles.

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Speaker 2: They say up to four hundred deployed air launch variation interceptors, right,

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Speaker 2: the Patriot and the THAD. Those interceptors are incredibly expensive

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Speaker 2: Iranian used defensively against Iranian retaliation. One thousand to fifteen

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Speaker 2: hundred have been expended, expected costing anywhere from five to

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Speaker 2: ten billion dollars. Okay, sorties over two thousand combat sorties

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Speaker 2: conducted with seventeen hundred in the first seventy two to

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Speaker 2: ninety six hours long.

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Speaker 1: That involves two hundred aircraft.

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Speaker 2: Now, when you think about that, you have to think

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Speaker 2: about aircraft parts, you have to think about fuel, you

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Speaker 2: have to think about munitions, dropped right in, the cost

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Speaker 2: hours on the engines, maintenance, all of this, all of

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Speaker 2: these things have to be We lost three F fifteen's

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Speaker 2: over KUW eight on like day two or day three

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Speaker 2: it was. And JORDI will show one of those falling

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Speaker 2: out of the sky and some of the imagery of

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Speaker 2: those pilots on the ground in Kuwait.

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Speaker 1: So how much does an F fifteen costs?

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Speaker 2: Right? Luckily we haven't lost in any other major aircraft

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Speaker 2: or ships whatsoever. All right, bombs drop somewhere between two

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Speaker 2: and four thousand, including jade M precision guided missions, five

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Speaker 2: hundred to two thousand POM variants. Right, and we're gonna,

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Speaker 2: as I said before, we're gonna shift towards gravity based

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Speaker 2: bombs to save on our precision guided missiles. At least

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Speaker 2: one confirmed torpedo that was awesome. Drones we've launched again

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Speaker 2: two hundred to five hundred one way attack drones, the

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Speaker 2: MQ nine reapers used for strikes, you know, defensive intercepts

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Speaker 2: have gone against Iranian joids some thirteen hundred to two

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Speaker 2: thousand now total cost of this right now, And it

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Speaker 2: was funny I made a post. All right, someone needs

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Speaker 2: to start a debt tracker for this war.

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Speaker 1: And the next thing I.

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Speaker 2: Know, I saw one pop up and that was yesterday

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Speaker 2: and it had US at nine billion dollars already. So

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Speaker 2: Ralph estimates this is going to cost somewhere between seven

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Speaker 2: to ten billion per day initially with tapering off to

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Speaker 2: a billion, with a cumulative fifty to seventy billion dollars

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Speaker 2: in expenditure by March seth anywhere by by and of March.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so why is it critical?

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Speaker 2: Well, guess what if we don't have the precision guided

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Speaker 2: munitions to support our own efforts, right and we get depleted?

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Speaker 2: How does that help us in the potential if China

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Speaker 2: decides to take down Taiwan because we're preoccupied by this,

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Speaker 2: what if Russia launch a more aggregated assault against Kiev

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Speaker 2: Kiev or starts upping their precision you know, missile or

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Speaker 2: really starts to take out Ukrainian forces, or I Ran

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Speaker 2: continue used to launch its drone attacks against further golf states,

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Speaker 2: which again, as I said in the beginning, the president

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Speaker 2: just came out today. I saw someone post that the

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Speaker 2: President of Irana said, we apologize for golf states getting hit.

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Speaker 2: I think he's probably trying to hedge his bet right

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Speaker 2: now because he knows that the Golf states are frustrated.

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Speaker 1: One of the ones that really popped.

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Speaker 2: For me was recently a billionaire from the region got

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Speaker 2: up and said, hey, listen, this is bad and so

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Speaker 2: Geordie's going to post that right now for us. And

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Speaker 2: then also the president of UAE got up and made

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Speaker 2: a statement that was pretty enlightening as to hey, listen,

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Speaker 2: this is not what we intended we asked for. We

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Speaker 2: need to really come together as a group of Golf

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Speaker 2: states and say, hey, what's the plan here?

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Speaker 1: What are our vulnerabilities?

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Speaker 2: Cause just today early morning when I got up from

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Speaker 2: last night's strikes, they're Israel is really starting to target

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Speaker 2: Iran's oil production facilities and their refinement capabilities and all that.

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Speaker 2: And I'll get into the political ramifications here in a second.

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Speaker 2: So you're also gonna understand are the targets in Saudi Arabia?

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Speaker 1: Are they vulnerable?

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Speaker 2: They have major production facilities all over there's all the

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Speaker 2: other Golf states are vulnerable as well too. You've got

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Speaker 2: desalinization plants along the coast, which most of the Golf

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Speaker 2: coast states use desalinization to be able to bring fresh

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Speaker 2: water to their populations. What if those get attacked and

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Speaker 2: now all of a sudden you have these populations that

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Speaker 2: are vulnerable.

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Speaker 1: And so I would imagine.

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Speaker 2: Right now that many of the Golf State ambassadors or

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Speaker 2: Golf State leaders are trying to get into Trump to

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Speaker 2: have sit downs and say, hey, listen, we just committed

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Speaker 2: a profound amount of money to you and your efforts

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Speaker 2: to reindustrialize America to produce new chip manufacturers which ultimately

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Speaker 2: go where in these missile systems, in these one way

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Speaker 2: drone systems. Right, So, if the Middle East is going

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Speaker 2: to finance our reindustrialization of our chip development and then

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Speaker 2: all of a sudden they pull their money and then

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Speaker 2: we can't enhance or deliver on chip production to fulfill

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Speaker 2: the munitions depletion, you know, you have to think about

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Speaker 2: the ramifications on our operational abilities in there, right, all right, Obviously,

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Speaker 2: damage to Iranian targets has been overwhelming. You can just

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Speaker 2: like I said, go and listen to some of the

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Speaker 2: sent comms. There's an admiral that's been getting up and

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Speaker 2: given some pretty outstanding brief sit rep briefings on damage

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Speaker 2: and what's taken place.

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Speaker 1: You know, I looked up.

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Speaker 2: And saw what the Israel Israel productive strikes were. You know,

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Speaker 2: on February twenty eighth, they were claiming their strike was

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Speaker 2: the one who killed the Iatola comami and then other

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Speaker 2: infrastructure with twenty six waves of attacks in twenty four hours.

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Speaker 2: They've also had hundreds of missiles launched instruct about twelve

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Speaker 2: hundred munitions drop day two day March four to five

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Speaker 2: strikes on industrial and security bases, four thousand total munitions

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Speaker 2: March six seven. Continued ways and missile strikes against IRGC

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Speaker 2: bases estimates, total estimates anybody between one hundred and eighty

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Speaker 2: eighty and one hundred aircraft were used, hundreds of targets

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Speaker 2: per day to really focus on missile degradation, right, because

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Speaker 2: of what happens if they don't focus there. Iranian missiles,

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Speaker 2: which we've seen have launched extensive strikes into Israel, in

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Speaker 2: many cases overwhelming.

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Speaker 1: Some of the Israeli dome abilities. Right.

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Speaker 2: I saw one Jeordi show the one image there was

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Speaker 2: an Iranian missile that came over and then split into

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Speaker 2: these cluster distribution. This wasn't e When you look at that,

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Speaker 2: it's like, oh my god, that's pretty pretty intense with

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Speaker 2: what's going on there.

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Speaker 1: Saying all that.

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Speaker 2: To say this about military again, I have to reaffirm

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Speaker 2: when you look at a strategic concept, and don't get

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Speaker 2: me wrong, there are plenty of people in the Trump administration,

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Speaker 2: at the Pentagon, at the Agency that you know are

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Speaker 2: still veterans of the g want right, There's plenty of

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Speaker 2: guys that understand the complexities of waging a long term

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Speaker 2: war on the ground against even a non militarily superior adversary, right,

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Speaker 2: just with in insurgencies, grill warfare fighting all that. But

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Speaker 2: if you're going to get a comprehensive regime change, which

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Speaker 2: is to topple the government and instill someone else, you know,

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Speaker 2: most likely you're going to have to grab hold of

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Speaker 2: certain large populations or populated cities and be able to

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Speaker 2: install or allow someone to go. In my funniest one

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Speaker 2: again the sixty minute interview with the son of the Shah,

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Speaker 2: who's been sitting in England and in DC for the

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Speaker 2: last forty years, who's never run anything in your life,

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Speaker 2: he said, I'll accept the call from the Iranian people.

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Speaker 1: I want to know which people have called them into action?

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Speaker 2: Are you saying in this interview that you wouldn't lead Iran.

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Speaker 5: That's a different thing. They trust me as a transitional leader,

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Speaker 5: not as the future king or future president or future whatever.

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Speaker 5: I'm totally focused on my mission in life, which is

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Speaker 5: let me bring the country to a point that they

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Speaker 5: can make that free choice. That would be enough for

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Speaker 5: me having submission accomplished.

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Speaker 2: I don't know anybody that would want that guy to

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Speaker 2: run to take over. So again we come back to

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Speaker 2: the fact of what is going to happen. How are

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Speaker 2: we going to get in and maintain control? So someone profitably,

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Speaker 2: some anti government Iranian person that has some underground resistance

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Speaker 2: or whatever that can move in. And what we seem

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Speaker 2: to be hearing from BB and other political leaders around

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Speaker 2: the world is that or not around the world, but

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Speaker 2: in Israel specifically, as well as some in America. They

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Speaker 2: want the supposed uprising that we saw several months ago

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Speaker 2: to facilitate into the ability to take over the country.

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Speaker 1: But if you know anything about civil.

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Speaker 2: Wars, they're they're they're very messy, they're very difficult. So

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Speaker 2: it requires getting weapons, systems, intelligence, A whole slew of

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Speaker 2: tactical realities need to be integrated into this. This shift

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Speaker 2: in the power dynamic that's that's taking place internally and Iran. Now,

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Speaker 2: one of the things that broke in the news is

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Speaker 2: that UH, there's talk of using UH Kurdish fighters UH

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Speaker 2: to help facilitate the overthrow or the uprising or whatever

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Speaker 2: it might be. And then they could go in initiate,

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Speaker 2: you know, start probing Iranian defenses, see what's going on,

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Speaker 2: and then somehow we could support them, either using c

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Speaker 2: i A assets or using military assets or whatever it

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Speaker 2: might be, we can help facilitate their ground game. All right,

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Speaker 2: there's a couple of different of these groups, all right.

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Speaker 2: The CIA is reportedly working and providing weapons, including small

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Speaker 2: arms to Iranian Kurdish factions such as the Democratic Party

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Speaker 2: of Iranian Kurdistan the KDPI, the Kurdistan Freedom Party, the

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Speaker 2: PAK and underneath the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian

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Speaker 2: Kurdistan the cp FIK. Again, that's three factions of Kurds. Now,

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Speaker 2: I'm sure each faction wants to be the man, and

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Speaker 2: so they're going to start to the jockey to see

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Speaker 2: who gets the rain control. So when you use these

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Speaker 2: types of external forces, a lot of times it doesn't

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Speaker 2: always go the way you want it. Trust me from

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Speaker 2: personal experience. All right, operational objectives right again, like I said,

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Speaker 2: we're going to use these forces, They're going to go

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Speaker 2: begin to probe, disrupt and then our satellite imagery, our

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Speaker 2: ability to collect intelligence on the ground, we can get

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Speaker 2: a better assessment of what might come next in terms

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Speaker 2: of upgrading to where we have to use American troops

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Speaker 2: on the ground to help facilitate this, and obviously Israeli

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Speaker 2: troops would have to support us as well too.

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Speaker 1: Now timeline and scale.

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Speaker 2: Again, this is the hardest part about the whole thing

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Speaker 2: is our battle damage assessments. We really we don't generally

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Speaker 2: know what's going on. Have we seen a reduction in

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Speaker 2: Iranian capabilities one hundred percent? But we also know that

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Speaker 2: Iran has been in production of somewhere between five hundred

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Speaker 2: and one thousand of these you know, fifty thousand dollars

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Speaker 2: drones they make one way drones that are pretty good

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Speaker 2: tactical in terms of their ability to execute on targets.

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Speaker 2: We have no idea what the total counts on are

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Speaker 2: those are. Now there's estimates, and again you're going to

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Speaker 2: get an estimate they've got between thirteen thousand and eighteen thousand. Well,

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Speaker 2: that's a big range of big difference. So until we

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Speaker 2: get that hard intel, it's very difficult how to direct

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Speaker 2: these ground forces, these gorilla ground forces against or even

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Speaker 2: if we step up and we start because I'm sure

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Speaker 2: there's some people both at the Pentagon, Jaysok and other places,

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Speaker 2: like let's put in Jaysok units, let's put in ground

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Speaker 2: branch units, let's put in let's start getting on the

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Speaker 2: ground to get a better assessment. Because listen, if you're

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Speaker 2: an operator, you want to go operate, you want to

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Speaker 2: see what you can do. And this is one of

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Speaker 2: the most complex scenarios that I've ever seen us have

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Speaker 2: to face since Geez I would even say going back

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Speaker 2: to Korea because of the sheer magnitude of Chinese forces.

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Speaker 1: They fit, they have these endless waves of people.

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Speaker 2: All right, Now, here's the other problem that you have

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Speaker 2: to be understand, Right, there is a historical reality to

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Speaker 2: our relationship with the Kurds, you know, and we've supported

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Speaker 2: them in different things. Right, the US, alongside Iran in Israel,

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Speaker 2: covertly armed Iraqi Kurds back in the nineteen seventies, led

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Speaker 2: by Mustafa Bazini with Soviet weapons via the CIA to

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Speaker 2: weak in Saddam Hussein's regime to counter Soviet influence.

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Speaker 1: Right, you heard what I said.

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Speaker 2: In the seventies, we worked with Iran and the Kurds

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Speaker 2: to go after Saddam Hussein. In the nineteen nineteen ninety

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Speaker 2: one the Gulf War aftermath, we encouraged Iraqi, Kurds and

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Speaker 2: Shia to rise against Saddam the same post Desert Storm. However,

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Speaker 2: the initial action allowed Iraqi forces to crush uprising, killing

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Speaker 2: tens of thousands of Kurds. US Special forces later provided

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Speaker 2: humanitarian aid to the decimated Curtis Force. Two thousand and

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Speaker 2: three Iraqi invasion, CIA and US Special Forces collaborated with

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Speaker 2: Iraqi Kurdish regimes the Kurdish Peshmerga Northern Iraq to open

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Speaker 2: up a second front against Saddam, and they provided US intelligence,

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Speaker 2: ground support and helped key cities like Kirkirk and Mosel

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Speaker 2: fast forward. In the twenty fourteen to nineteen campaign against ISIS,

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Speaker 2: which is just go down the rabbit hole of how

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Speaker 2: Isis got its start, the US partnered with Iraqi Peshmerga

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Speaker 2: and Syrian Kurdish YPG as part of the Syrian Democratic Forces.

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Speaker 2: The SDF to combat Isis, receive arms training support.

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Speaker 1: Wait, well guess what.

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Speaker 2: Well, over eleven thousand Kurdish forces died, and the withdrawal

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Speaker 2: from the US in Northeast and Syria allowed Turkish incursion

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Speaker 2: seeing all other because the Turks hate the Kurds and

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Speaker 2: have been fighting the Curds as well too. The Turks

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Speaker 2: fight Kurds, the Iraqis fight the Kurds, the Iranian fight

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Speaker 2: the Kurds, the Syrians fight the Kurds, and we always

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Speaker 2: partner with them to help facilitate our little covert clandestine

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Speaker 2: operations and not the outcome, The Kurds end up usually

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Speaker 2: taking heavies. So do I have a lot of hopes

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Speaker 2: that the Kurds are gonna get on board with us? No?

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Speaker 1: I don't. So do I really believe that's possible? I

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Speaker 1: don't know.

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Speaker 2: I also know that if you give people gigantic palettes

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Speaker 2: of cash or big gigantic baths of cash and weapons

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Speaker 2: and munitions, you might get a couple thousand that'll go

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Speaker 2: reak a little havoc for you. But then again they'll

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Speaker 2: also go bomb some innocent people and say, hey, look

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Speaker 2: we just bombed. Give us another ten million dollars We'll

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Speaker 2: go bomb the next city, in the next city, and

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Speaker 2: next thing. You know, we're spending ungodly amounts of money

438
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 2: with these rebel forces that really aren't having any effect.

439
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 2: We're just draining our accounts and burning other brit political bridges.

440
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 1: All right.

441
00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 2: We do know that Iran has from their military perspectives,

442
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 2: it's been successful.

443
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:14,320
Speaker 1: Right.

444
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 2: They have been disrupting many different things, right. The number

445
00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:21,560
Speaker 2: one thing they have been killing people in Israel.

446
00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 1: We know that's a fact.

447
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 2: But they've also been striking all a bunch of other places, right,

448
00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 2: And I just want to go down the list of

449
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 2: all the different places. So, Azerbaijan was struck to drone

450
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 2: struck Azeri military position, Bahrain, Right Homeland, the US Fifth Fleet,

451
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 2: the US Naval headquarters, airports, military airfields, Iraq. Right strikes

452
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 2: on US bases near Urbiel, causing explosions, Curtis forces drone

453
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 2: and missile hits on pro Curtis positions, killing several fighters.

454
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 2: Damergy morning Israel, as I said, ballistic missile strike near

455
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 2: Jerusalem damage on Iron Dome battery. Nine to eleven Israelis

456
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 2: are killed. Command centers hit in Tel Aviv and Haifa, Jordan,

457
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:18,600
Speaker 2: Jordan was hit, missile debris struck near Muaffaka Muwaffak.

458
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 1: I don't know how to say that.

459
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 2: Salty Air Base Kuwait was struck, Oman was struck, Qatar

460
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 2: was struck, Saudi Arabia was struck, Syria was struck.

461
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 1: The UAE was struck.

462
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 2: All right, overall impacts of Iranian strikes now again, here's

463
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 2: rough numbers, roughly between one hundred and two hundred casualties,

464
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: mostly civilians from debris and proximity, far less than US

465
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 2: Israel operations, which we estimate somewhere around twelve twelve hundred

466
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 2: Iranian deaths. So yes, has there been a collateral damage

467
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 2: on the ground, one hundred percent?

468
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 1: There has.

469
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 2: Is their potential for increased collateral damage, Yeah, there is

470
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:08,720
Speaker 2: because again I go back to the fact, Yeah, we've

471
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:13,120
Speaker 2: seen a massive degradation in Iranian capability. But if you

472
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:17,479
Speaker 2: were preparing with the inevitable reality that after the strike

473
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 2: this past summer, would you just get all your stuff

474
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 2: and get out and open and be susceptible to strikes? Now, right,

475
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 2: everything that all of our enemy have learned over the

476
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:37,760
Speaker 2: last seventy years is that you take the first wave,

477
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 2: sit back. Let America gain confidence. Let us gain confidence,

478
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 2: let us make some moves, think about what we're going

479
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 2: to do, and then you start, you know, random strikes.

480
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 2: You start probinging hard and soft targets. That's what I

481
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 2: believe is taking place. Now Again, I go back, how

482
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 2: many of these unmanned kamikaze drones does? I ran half,

483
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:09,760
Speaker 2: and they're pretty easy. We've seen them deployed in many

484
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 2: different war zones in Ukraine and now in the Middle East.

485
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:18,440
Speaker 2: On how this works, and so I believe we've only

486
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 2: yet begun to see.

487
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 1: There was recently a post I saw a.

488
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 2: Video of the Doha Airport being struck or was it

489
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 2: I think it was in the Dubai International Airport was struck. Now,

490
00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:37,960
Speaker 2: when Dubai's getting struck, you know that's gonna again piss

491
00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 2: off these Gulf states who said we didn't agree to

492
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 2: this thing, like you just went ahead and did it.

493
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 1: And so I would imagine.

494
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 2: The people who are in power and in the White

495
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 2: House and in that inner circle, they're starting to put

496
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 2: pressure on. I would imagine on the President and some

497
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 2: of his cabinets saying okay, what are the next steps?

498
00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 2: Because what we don't want to lose is that all

499
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 2: the work that we had conducted from the original what

500
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 2: Abrahamic Accords in his first term. Remember that was the

501
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 2: defining political victory of Trump's first term was the Abrahamic Accords,

502
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 2: and that was destabilizing the conflict between Israel and those

503
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 2: Gulf States to what to open up investment and trade,

504
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:39,240
Speaker 2: right to restructure those dynamics. Well, if that fractures, we're

505
00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 2: going to see it. And it's going to happen quickly.

506
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:51,760
Speaker 2: Why Well, obviously vulnerabilities to their populations, right, populations will

507
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 2: only take so much. And trust me when I tell

508
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:59,640
Speaker 2: you it's not like these populations in the Gulf States

509
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 2: have a found love for America.

510
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,400
Speaker 1: For Americans right as we.

511
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:10,239
Speaker 2: I rightfully agree that Iran has no love loss for America,

512
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:14,600
Speaker 2: death to America for since the Islamic Revolution, I get it.

513
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 2: And yes, there have been plenty of Americans that have suffered,

514
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:24,240
Speaker 2: including my comrades. During the GWOT, roughly some six hundred

515
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 2: plus people were killed by Iranian Kurdish IDs and v

516
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 2: bids and that type of thing in Iraq. So yeah,

517
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:37,279
Speaker 2: we also had the bombing in Lebanon through proxies and

518
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:45,840
Speaker 2: proxies waging that constant war against American presence in the

519
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 2: Middle East. Again, you have to put this in reality

520
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 2: in context, all right, don't be naive. If someone were

521
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:59,240
Speaker 2: to come and camp out in your backyard, you're gonna

522
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:03,360
Speaker 2: get pissed. So we essentially have been camped out in

523
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:07,359
Speaker 2: the Middle East, not just since the two thousands, not

524
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 2: just since the nineteen nineties or the nineteen seventies or

525
00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:14,359
Speaker 2: the nineteen sixties, but all the way back from when

526
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 2: we first discovered the massive quantities of what crude oil

527
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,840
Speaker 2: that exists in the Middle East and then liquid natural

528
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:28,240
Speaker 2: natural gas. So we have a significant presence. And even

529
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 2: you know, before us, it was the British the French,

530
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 2: and they had carved up the region and occupied that

531
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 2: region for a very long period of time.

532
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:38,960
Speaker 1: So think about that.

533
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:43,839
Speaker 2: Think about if we had had other countries more like

534
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 2: let's call it Russia back in the day, you know,

535
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 2: during the Soviet Union, had somehow finagled a way split

536
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 2: up and been able to come into the United States,

537
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 2: camp out and pull out our natural resources.

538
00:35:57,840 --> 00:35:58,720
Speaker 1: You'd be pissed.

539
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 2: So you have to understand that's a reality. You also

540
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 2: have to understand that these people's culture is not some

541
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:12,160
Speaker 2: new culture right out of the gate. All right, these

542
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 2: are cultures if you think about if you think about

543
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:21,520
Speaker 2: the Persian culture, right, this is the longest continuous culture

544
00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 2: in the world. Some people might argue that Chinese culture

545
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:28,719
Speaker 2: is older, but certainly we know, you know, Persia and

546
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:36,440
Speaker 2: Persians have been a consolidated, functioning society for what seven thousand,

547
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:40,919
Speaker 2: eight thousand years something crazy like that. So to imagine

548
00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:45,800
Speaker 2: somehow miraculously because of the Internet, they want to become

549
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:51,600
Speaker 2: Western societies, you're lying to yourself. Now, what a big

550
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:54,879
Speaker 2: argument I'm hearing is that, hey, this is worth it

551
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 2: because they're an existential threat. We've got to get them

552
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,520
Speaker 2: rid of them. We've got to do that. Okay, great,

553
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 2: if you believe that, you can prove it to me

554
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 2: and show me what they're doing other than these proxy

555
00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 2: limited attacks. And you want to say limited because it's

556
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:16,239
Speaker 2: not like they have killed five hundred thousand people like

557
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:20,719
Speaker 2: fentanol has in the United States. Right, then you have

558
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 2: to start to gauge the reality of your estimations. Right,

559
00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:28,920
Speaker 2: these people do not want to be Democratic, they do

560
00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 2: not want to be Americans, they certainly want to don't

561
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,800
Speaker 2: want to be Israeli, and they certainly don't want to

562
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 2: be Jewish, right or Christian. And again there is a

563
00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:43,880
Speaker 2: framework of this in certain people's eyes that this for

564
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 2: most is a religious war.

565
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,000
Speaker 1: In nature, all right.

566
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,120
Speaker 2: And if you look at all you got to do

567
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 2: is just spend some time looking at what the Ayatola's

568
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:59,240
Speaker 2: are talking about, the Shiahs, look about what the mulahs

569
00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:01,800
Speaker 2: they're talking about, look at what the rabbis are talking about,

570
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 2: look at what the passers and the preachers are saying.

571
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:07,319
Speaker 1: And there is a ton of that talk going on. Right.

572
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 2: I'm not going to go down that game because I'm

573
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:11,839
Speaker 2: just trying to I'm trying to stay in something that's

574
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 2: palatable and contextual for you to get a better understanding.

575
00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 1: All right. So this is a numbers game with munition.

576
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:19,479
Speaker 2: Right.

577
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:24,080
Speaker 1: It's don't forget the expenditures from Ukraine. Right.

578
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:26,400
Speaker 2: It's a numbers game for what the military duster of

579
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:28,360
Speaker 2: complex can start producing.

580
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:33,600
Speaker 1: Right. It's a numbers game with costs. Right.

581
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 2: It's a numbers game with friendly assets getting attacked in

582
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 2: the Gulf States, Right, how many will happen before they

583
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:44,399
Speaker 2: completely turn against us?

584
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:46,160
Speaker 1: It's a numbers game.

585
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:52,640
Speaker 2: With world opinion of us in other countries there's already

586
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 2: multiple countries that have have chastised the United States. Now

587
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 2: here's the other little tidbit in terms of numbers game too.

588
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 2: You want to assess militarily, and then I'm going to

589
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 2: move on to uh economics, and I've been going for

590
00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 2: a long time. But so the last big thing is

591
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 2: do you believe that Russia and China are going to

592
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:21,879
Speaker 2: get involved as they see an opportunity to do what

593
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:28,200
Speaker 2: we've been doing in Ukraine to us in Iran. It's

594
00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:33,080
Speaker 2: a simple question. If you answer no, then I think

595
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 2: you should just go back to scrolling your your feed

596
00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 2: and liken you know the latest, you know, new band

597
00:39:41,640 --> 00:39:44,000
Speaker 2: or supplement or whatever is out there, all right, you know,

598
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 2: keeping your feed and keep your head down because that's

599
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:48,760
Speaker 2: exactly what's going on obviously.

600
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:51,879
Speaker 1: Uh. You know, there's been a.

601
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:57,760
Speaker 2: Bunch of reports about Russia and China helping with intelligence

602
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:01,799
Speaker 2: and targeting systems to be more strategic on vulnerabilities that

603
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 2: we have in the region.

604
00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 1: So now you've got what.

605
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:09,960
Speaker 2: All these different countries that have been struck, all their

606
00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:15,080
Speaker 2: infrastructure at jeopardy. Right, You've got now all three of

607
00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:20,239
Speaker 2: the major superpowers right integrating. Oh and the other thing

608
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:22,480
Speaker 2: militarily that I just want to say is now you've

609
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,839
Speaker 2: got Israel strike in Lebanon as well too. So now

610
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:29,719
Speaker 2: you've got Syria in that area that's getting fired up.

611
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:33,799
Speaker 2: And guess who runs Syria a former al Kaeda member. Right,

612
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 2: they're itching to get in this fight. I bet as

613
00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 2: well too. And all you got to do is listen

614
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:38,920
Speaker 2: to some of the things that are coming out of

615
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:40,120
Speaker 2: their post online.

616
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:41,799
Speaker 1: Right. So, now what do you have.

617
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 2: You have a regional, multinational, multi superpower potential war that

618
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 2: is brewing. Okay, so that's that's a reality, not making

619
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:58,400
Speaker 2: that up. That's pretty all it is is taking a

620
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 2: look at the forty thousand and foot of what the

621
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 2: ramifications might be.

622
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 1: All Right, I'm gonna go through.

623
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 2: You know, obviously I didn't talk a lot about the

624
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:11,920
Speaker 2: European Union and what's going on. I think they have

625
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,839
Speaker 2: a major stake in this for economic reasons for sure,

626
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 2: in terms of oil. We know they're all struggling with

627
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:22,399
Speaker 2: energy costs. The head of NATO, Mark Root came out

628
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 2: and said he condemns Iran's escalation, which I thought was funny.

629
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 1: What else are they supposed to do? Would you think

630
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:29,799
Speaker 1: they were gonna do type of thing.

631
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 2: But then again, remember he wants he's gonna support us

632
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 2: because he wants to keep waging war proxy war against Russia.

633
00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:40,320
Speaker 2: That'll benefit the European Union, all right, But we really

634
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:46,640
Speaker 2: haven't seen any significant commitments from countries that have legitimate

635
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,239
Speaker 2: military support other than they're gonna help let us use

636
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:53,080
Speaker 2: some of their bases. There is some talk about some

637
00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 2: British fleet helping us escort oil ships in and around

638
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 2: the rates of Hormuz, but not much else. The other

639
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 2: thing that I've found really fascinating is there's been several

640
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,279
Speaker 2: countries who have now come out and said we're going

641
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:14,360
Speaker 2: to increase our nuclear development capabilities. And then new countries

642
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 2: have said we are going to begin a nuclear program.

643
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 2: So the irony of this whole thing, that this was

644
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:24,799
Speaker 2: all sold to the American populace in the world, we

645
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 2: are going to destroy Iranian's nuclear capability is actually intensifying

646
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 2: nuclear requirements for other people. Right there, they're saying, hey, no,

647
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:38,480
Speaker 2: this is now, We're in another level. We need to

648
00:42:38,520 --> 00:42:43,960
Speaker 2: protect ourselves. We're going to start nuclear programs right taking

649
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:47,120
Speaker 2: the caps off development. We need more bombs. So that's

650
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 2: also all right, that's lessing economic impacts. So the overwhelming

651
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:56,640
Speaker 2: economic reality that we have to pay attention to is

652
00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:01,880
Speaker 2: crude oil and LNG distribution around the world. Now, Uh,

653
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:05,399
Speaker 2: there's all passage of the Straits of Horror Mooves has

654
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:11,319
Speaker 2: been reduced to almost nothing. Right. Uh. I saw one

655
00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:13,319
Speaker 2: ship made the run through it the other day. They

656
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:15,319
Speaker 2: were tracking it and there was someone to see if

657
00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 2: you can find that the one ship they lay soever

658
00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:21,840
Speaker 2: labeled it, gave it some hilarious label. Uh. That that

659
00:43:22,000 --> 00:43:25,399
Speaker 2: was kind of interesting that. Uh they went Leroy Jenkins

660
00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 2: on on getting through the Straits of horn.

661
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:31,280
Speaker 1: Moves, which Lee right, Jacob.

662
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 2: If you don't know, that's an obscure comment from the

663
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 2: g WATT, which is hilarious. We used to say that

664
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:37,759
Speaker 2: on targets when there was no plan. We're just gonna

665
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:38,760
Speaker 2: go Leroy Jenkins.

666
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:45,960
Speaker 1: So, oh my god, he just ran in.

667
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 2: Uh. Anyways, that was an inside joke you didn't understand.

668
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:56,160
Speaker 2: So think about this, right, it's going to affect energy

669
00:43:56,200 --> 00:43:59,280
Speaker 2: markets and control of the Straits of Horror Moves, which

670
00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 2: through which about twenty percent of global oil in fifteen

671
00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:07,919
Speaker 2: to twenty percent of liquefied national gas transits. All right,

672
00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:13,400
Speaker 2: what we're gonna see is energy markets are going to

673
00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:17,960
Speaker 2: be effected. First, right, bent crude surge ten to fifteen

674
00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:22,480
Speaker 2: percent from around seventy to seventy five dollars per barrel

675
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 2: pre war to eighty two to ninety three by March

676
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:32,399
Speaker 2: seven with peaks over ninety The Straits has disruption has

677
00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:39,000
Speaker 2: removed twenty million barrels per day, equivalent to twenty percent

678
00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:43,520
Speaker 2: of global supply. The closer persists beyond thirty days, prices

679
00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:47,040
Speaker 2: could hit and again these are all guesses.

680
00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:51,960
Speaker 1: One hundred, which would be we'd be.

681
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 2: Creeping into a recession to two hundred dollars per barrel,

682
00:44:56,520 --> 00:44:58,600
Speaker 2: which is a guaranteed recession.

683
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,200
Speaker 1: Now, let me get to that recession component.

684
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 2: Now, when you think about the reduction and you think

685
00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:10,840
Speaker 2: about what this means, you really have to begin to

686
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 2: understand all the Golf states and how their economies work

687
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,279
Speaker 2: based on that ability to get through the Straits of

688
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:23,800
Speaker 2: Horror moves right, all those Golf states, and they supply India,

689
00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:31,080
Speaker 2: they supply Pakistan, they supply China, they supply Japan, all

690
00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:39,280
Speaker 2: International Korea, right South Korea, Taiwan. So all these trading

691
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:45,280
Speaker 2: partners with US, Australia, all these manufacturing abilities their energy output.

692
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:49,840
Speaker 2: That's going to impact their global their GDP, their global

693
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:54,359
Speaker 2: the global economy. Right now, America, we're we're doing good

694
00:45:54,400 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 2: because we've got our own natural productions, but certainly EU, India,

695
00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:02,359
Speaker 2: China and a.

696
00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 1: Lot of other people.

697
00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:06,480
Speaker 2: So what happens if China starts paying more costs to

698
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:08,520
Speaker 2: be able to put our goods that we have an

699
00:46:08,520 --> 00:46:12,160
Speaker 2: insatiable appetite for on ships to drive them over to

700
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:16,719
Speaker 2: the United States. Guess what your costs are going up? Right,

701
00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:21,000
Speaker 2: which probably has a direct correlation to inflation, probably going up.

702
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 2: Less goods in service because there's less oil flow, it's

703
00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 2: harder to get stuff over out of transport, and then

704
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:29,840
Speaker 2: cost of transport goes up and then gets what the

705
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:32,239
Speaker 2: companies are not going to t They're not going to

706
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:33,280
Speaker 2: eat those costs.

707
00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:35,319
Speaker 1: They're going to put them on you, all right.

708
00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:41,839
Speaker 2: As I said, higher energy costs are increasing transportation and

709
00:46:41,960 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 2: manufacturing expenses potentially adding it says point six point seven

710
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:50,799
Speaker 2: percentage points to global effate inflation for every sustained ten

711
00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 2: to twenty dollars rise in oil prices. Right, So let's

712
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:57,239
Speaker 2: say we get to one hundred and eighty dollars per

713
00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:00,520
Speaker 2: bot barrel from where we're at today, which is eight

714
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:05,239
Speaker 2: let's call it eighty, right, that's a pretty significant increase

715
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,760
Speaker 2: to inflationary and GDP spending.

716
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:11,359
Speaker 1: Right, all right, how does it affect global markets? All right?

717
00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:15,480
Speaker 1: An investor sentiment? All right? Stock market global equities lost.

718
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:20,360
Speaker 2: Three point two trillion dollars in value in the first

719
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:21,439
Speaker 2: four days.

720
00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:24,239
Speaker 1: Now, again, you.

721
00:47:24,120 --> 00:47:27,400
Speaker 2: Know, we're not seeing a lot of challenges, We're not

722
00:47:27,520 --> 00:47:31,759
Speaker 2: seeing a lot of companies collapse or lose, but three

723
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:37,759
Speaker 2: point two trillion in market valuation, that's significant. That's significant, right,

724
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 2: And so what happens when people start to realize that

725
00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:47,480
Speaker 2: there's a potential negative outcome on their portfolios, what they're

726
00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:49,839
Speaker 2: going to look to liquify, right, They're going to look

727
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 2: to get cash. Right now, a lot of people will

728
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:57,239
Speaker 2: try and put money in currencies, and definitely this will

729
00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:58,320
Speaker 2: strengthen the dollar.

730
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 1: Right. The positive and of these types of things is that.

731
00:48:01,520 --> 00:48:05,400
Speaker 2: Our currency strengthens in terms of also having as the

732
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:10,480
Speaker 2: benchmark currency of the world. That's good, that's positive for us.

733
00:48:12,320 --> 00:48:14,560
Speaker 2: And then on the other side of that, the Federal

734
00:48:14,600 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 2: Reserve is probably going to delay those rate cuts that

735
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 2: were planned up here in a little bit, right, leading

736
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:26,840
Speaker 2: to higher borrowing costs and one hundred dollars oil price

737
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 2: could drag USGDP by zero point three percentage points. Now

738
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:33,440
Speaker 2: you hear point three and like whatever, no big deal.

739
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:38,360
Speaker 2: But remember this is accumulating effect, and it doesn't doesn't stay.

740
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:42,400
Speaker 2: If the aggregate doesn't stay at one singular, it intensifies

741
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:46,800
Speaker 2: and exponentially grows as all the other probe problems start

742
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:51,240
Speaker 2: impacting it. Right, Inflation growth, recession risk, all right, Inflation

743
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:54,880
Speaker 2: global projections now include a point five to one percent

744
00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 2: uptick if energy prices stay elevated, with foods and good

745
00:48:58,760 --> 00:49:00,040
Speaker 2: prices raising.

746
00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 1: Due to higher transport costs.

747
00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:05,600
Speaker 2: US gasoline hit three point thirty two per gallon, up

748
00:49:05,640 --> 00:49:11,359
Speaker 2: from two ninety nine, and diesel exceeded four dollars. You know,

749
00:49:11,520 --> 00:49:14,400
Speaker 2: growth is already slow, but this is definitely going to

750
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 2: slow it down more. And then also if this becomes

751
00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:22,160
Speaker 2: somewhere between a fifty and one hundred billion dollar costs

752
00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:26,680
Speaker 2: to expenditure for this, this, it's also going to put

753
00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 2: deeper fears into global markets right and into our market

754
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:36,960
Speaker 2: as well too. Obviously, shipping costs are going to go

755
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 2: through the roof aviation, Tourism is still going to decline.

756
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:44,080
Speaker 2: In all these places, manufacturing and supply chains are going

757
00:49:44,160 --> 00:49:48,480
Speaker 2: to be affected dramatically, which all have what cascading impacts

758
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:52,879
Speaker 2: on the global economy. Now, in terms of our own

759
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:58,160
Speaker 2: oil production, you know, we still are producing a tremendous amount.

760
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 2: We also have our new relationship ships with Venezuela, so

761
00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:05,480
Speaker 2: we seem to be somewhat insulated. Now Europe is going

762
00:50:05,560 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 2: to have definitely higher energy costs, right, and probably going

763
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:12,319
Speaker 2: to have to start purchasing openly purchasing oil from who again,

764
00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 2: you guessed it, Russia, thereby intensifying and supporting Russia's efforts

765
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:22,680
Speaker 2: to bring down the Ukrainian efforts against it. Obviously, the

766
00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:27,759
Speaker 2: Asian markets are completely dependent upon on this oil, so

767
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:29,040
Speaker 2: their economies are going.

768
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:30,319
Speaker 1: To be affected as well too.

769
00:50:30,760 --> 00:50:33,560
Speaker 2: All Right, The one thing I thought was interesting, and

770
00:50:33,640 --> 00:50:35,879
Speaker 2: I don't know if you saw this, Geordie, but there

771
00:50:35,920 --> 00:50:38,040
Speaker 2: was another little thing that came out in terms of

772
00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:39,480
Speaker 2: private equity.

773
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:41,959
Speaker 1: Last week.

774
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:49,400
Speaker 2: As of March twenty six, the war the private credits sector. Blackrock,

775
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:53,640
Speaker 2: the world's largest asset manager, announced restrictions on what draws

776
00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:59,319
Speaker 2: from one of its flagship funds. Right, and this was it, Right,

777
00:50:59,719 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 2: This is limiting withdrawals from the HPS Corporate Lending Fund,

778
00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 2: and the fund is HL een D if you look

779
00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:10,279
Speaker 2: at on the index right out there. So this was

780
00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:15,600
Speaker 2: an art Announced March six, now, Blackrock disclosed that twenty

781
00:51:15,680 --> 00:51:19,759
Speaker 2: six billion and HPS Corporate Lending fire acquired as part

782
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:23,920
Speaker 2: of its push to private credit, received redemption requests. That

783
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:25,920
Speaker 2: means people wanted to pull money out of it.

784
00:51:26,200 --> 00:51:27,400
Speaker 1: At one point.

785
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:30,799
Speaker 2: Two billion in the first quarter of twenty six represented

786
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:35,080
Speaker 2: about nine point three of the fund's net asset value. However,

787
00:51:35,160 --> 00:51:40,320
Speaker 2: the fund enforced its standard five percent quarterly redemption cap,

788
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 2: paying out only six hundred and twenty million to investments.

789
00:51:44,320 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 2: This left some requests unmet. All right, now, they're rationale

790
00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:51,360
Speaker 2: of this. The decision was framed as a protective measure

791
00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:55,160
Speaker 2: to maintain the fund stability, as private credit funds are

792
00:51:55,200 --> 00:51:59,200
Speaker 2: designed as semi liquid vehicles with built in limits to

793
00:51:59,239 --> 00:52:05,200
Speaker 2: avoid five sales of assets during stress periods. Blacklock emphasized

794
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:08,560
Speaker 2: that this was a feature of a product and not

795
00:52:09,120 --> 00:52:13,359
Speaker 2: as a flex to freak out from people. Hey, we're

796
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:18,440
Speaker 2: shutting down your ability to withdraw your investment. This also

797
00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:21,719
Speaker 2: affected Blackstone. They put some restrictions on some of theirs

798
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 2: as well too. You know, their shares took a pretty

799
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 2: significant beating as a result of this, at seven point

800
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:36,960
Speaker 2: two percent on mark six closing that nine and fifty

801
00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:40,600
Speaker 2: five per dollars and forty five cents per share, So

802
00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:43,440
Speaker 2: they're they're sitting pretty good because of their net asset.

803
00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:47,600
Speaker 1: But I found it was interesting because.

804
00:52:47,760 --> 00:52:52,680
Speaker 2: If private equity is hit right in a very significant

805
00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:57,040
Speaker 2: want chance right because under these high stress periods, banks

806
00:52:57,080 --> 00:53:00,560
Speaker 2: really shut down lending because they want to make sure

807
00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 2: they protect their assets. As you know, all the chaos

808
00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:09,440
Speaker 2: has taken place in the market, volatility increases. So if

809
00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:13,400
Speaker 2: that private equity frees up, which supplies what most of

810
00:53:13,440 --> 00:53:17,480
Speaker 2: our small businesses out there, new development, new venture, A

811
00:53:17,520 --> 00:53:20,080
Speaker 2: lot of that comes from private equity people being able

812
00:53:20,120 --> 00:53:22,839
Speaker 2: to sell their companies and retire whatever it might be.

813
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:26,320
Speaker 2: So if there's a scare and private equity that also

814
00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:29,560
Speaker 2: can have profound long term ramifications. And maybe we'll go

815
00:53:29,640 --> 00:53:32,600
Speaker 2: find Bryce Jordie and bring them on to see his

816
00:53:32,719 --> 00:53:34,600
Speaker 2: thoughts on what the ramifications for this.

817
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:38,040
Speaker 1: Bring them back we need them, yeah for sure, all right.

818
00:53:39,560 --> 00:53:43,680
Speaker 2: So you know, one of the things that from an

819
00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:48,400
Speaker 2: economic perspective is obviously it'd be a good time to

820
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:51,680
Speaker 2: maybe shift some efforts out of some of the tech

821
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 2: Top Tech seven, the Magnificent seven, which is, you know, have.

822
00:53:55,120 --> 00:53:56,520
Speaker 1: A really bizarre weight.

823
00:53:56,400 --> 00:54:02,840
Speaker 2: In in in the the markets right now. Maybe shift

824
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 2: those over to some energy companies right now, especially American

825
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:13,719
Speaker 2: energy companies, American industrialization companies, building manufactured, the defense industry obviously.

826
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:16,680
Speaker 2: So just be heads up that you know this is

827
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:18,640
Speaker 2: going to disrupt some of the things out there, in

828
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:23,759
Speaker 2: particular gas prices at the most. Now, does it lead

829
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:27,120
Speaker 2: to a recession? I don't know it, surf feels like

830
00:54:27,200 --> 00:54:32,600
Speaker 2: that's a potential. I know there's the head economists who

831
00:54:32,680 --> 00:54:35,960
Speaker 2: works with Bryce has been calling for bear markets in

832
00:54:36,040 --> 00:54:39,560
Speaker 2: a recession for quite a few quarters. Now this could

833
00:54:39,600 --> 00:54:43,200
Speaker 2: be the thing that definitely tips us into that. And

834
00:54:43,440 --> 00:54:47,920
Speaker 2: recessions under these contexts have a tendency to last a

835
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:52,239
Speaker 2: little bit longer than typical recessions. Right, all right, last one,

836
00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 2: and I'll go quick on this because you're probably burnt

837
00:54:55,200 --> 00:54:58,160
Speaker 2: out from all of that information. I just again I

838
00:54:58,280 --> 00:55:02,600
Speaker 2: want you to realize that it's here to understand information.

839
00:55:03,080 --> 00:55:04,640
Speaker 1: Right before I get into.

840
00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:07,560
Speaker 2: Politics, I just really want to give one of our

841
00:55:07,600 --> 00:55:12,160
Speaker 2: new sponsors a shout out, and uh, we'll do that.

842
00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:14,439
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843
00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:17,440
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844
00:55:17,560 --> 00:55:20,480
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845
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:21,760
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846
00:55:22,120 --> 00:55:24,000
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847
00:55:24,040 --> 00:55:27,040
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848
00:55:27,120 --> 00:55:31,880
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849
00:55:31,960 --> 00:55:34,759
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850
00:55:34,800 --> 00:55:38,200
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851
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852
00:55:44,080 --> 00:55:47,320
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853
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854
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855
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:53,160
Speaker 2: Want to truly introduce you to what I believe is

856
00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:56,320
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857
00:55:57,239 --> 00:55:58,680
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858
00:55:58,640 --> 00:56:03,719
Speaker 2: A premium nutrissceutical company operating in the wellness space that

859
00:56:03,840 --> 00:56:10,080
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860
00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:12,560
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861
00:56:12,600 --> 00:56:16,840
Speaker 2: the use of liposomal delivery technology. I know what the

862
00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:20,040
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863
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864
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865
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Speaker 2: fully absorbed into your body. Liposomal delivery systems are designed

866
00:56:34,040 --> 00:56:39,279
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867
00:56:40,080 --> 00:56:43,280
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868
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:44,040
Speaker 1: Now what that mean.

869
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:47,120
Speaker 2: It means how much your body, your gut, your intestines

870
00:56:47,480 --> 00:56:51,719
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871
00:56:51,760 --> 00:56:56,000
Speaker 2: a smarter way to take your supplements. Revival Nutrition is

872
00:56:56,040 --> 00:57:00,560
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873
00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:04,880
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874
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875
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876
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877
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:16,040
Speaker 1: Their mission is simple.

878
00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:20,720
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879
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880
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881
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882
00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:34,280
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883
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Speaker 2: of your body so you can show up every day

884
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886
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887
00:57:42,880 --> 00:57:46,240
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888
00:57:46,320 --> 00:57:51,440
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889
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890
00:57:56,880 --> 00:57:59,480
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891
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892
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:05,600
Speaker 2: good discount on your first purchase. Oh yeah, all right,

893
00:58:05,640 --> 00:58:09,320
Speaker 2: thanks for listening to that. I'm stoke you enjoyed that.

894
00:58:10,080 --> 00:58:14,240
Speaker 2: But let's get back to the political ramifications for Trump,

895
00:58:14,920 --> 00:58:20,600
Speaker 2: uh and the political benefits for the Democratic Party. All right, So,

896
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:25,520
Speaker 2: unless you live under rock, you are not familiar with

897
00:58:25,640 --> 00:58:29,760
Speaker 2: the massive challenges going within the MAGA movement. There seems

898
00:58:29,760 --> 00:58:34,080
Speaker 2: to be a split. Some some are calling Mega dead.

899
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:37,320
Speaker 2: There's a lot of people are saying it's Mega. You know.

900
00:58:38,720 --> 00:58:40,240
Speaker 1: People are now kind.

901
00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:45,480
Speaker 2: Of describing themselves as as as America First as opposed

902
00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:49,440
Speaker 2: to MAGA, which is interesting, and a lot of that

903
00:58:49,640 --> 00:58:52,840
Speaker 2: is a derivative of what the promise is that the

904
00:58:52,880 --> 00:58:59,600
Speaker 2: Trump Party made, or Trump himself very much made, you know,

905
00:58:59,720 --> 00:59:00,480
Speaker 2: a lot the lines.

906
00:59:00,520 --> 00:59:04,120
Speaker 1: Now I have gone back and seen some ideas. There was.

907
00:59:05,640 --> 00:59:09,160
Speaker 2: A video from Trump way back in the day giving

908
00:59:09,240 --> 00:59:12,720
Speaker 2: his thoughts on Iran and maybe Jeordi we could play.

909
00:59:12,480 --> 00:59:13,760
Speaker 1: That for you.

910
00:59:14,840 --> 00:59:18,200
Speaker 6: The Iranian situation is a case in point. That they

911
00:59:18,240 --> 00:59:25,120
Speaker 6: hold our hostages is just absolutely and totally ridiculous. That

912
00:59:25,200 --> 00:59:28,440
Speaker 6: this country sits back and allows a country such as

913
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:31,040
Speaker 6: Iran to hold out hostages, to my way of thinking,

914
00:59:31,720 --> 00:59:35,480
Speaker 6: is a horror, and I don't think they'd do it

915
00:59:35,480 --> 00:59:38,880
Speaker 6: with other countries. I honestly don't think they'll do it with.

916
00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,640
Speaker 1: Other Countriesously you're advocating that we should have gone in

917
00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:42,880
Speaker 1: there with troops, etc.

918
00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:44,360
Speaker 6: And brought our boys out.

919
00:59:44,480 --> 00:59:45,720
Speaker 1: I absolutely feel that.

920
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:47,880
Speaker 6: Yes, I don't think there's any question, and there's no

921
00:59:48,000 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 6: question in my mind. I think right now would be

922
00:59:50,720 --> 00:59:53,800
Speaker 6: an oil rich nation, and I believe that we should

923
00:59:53,800 --> 00:59:56,600
Speaker 6: have done it, and I'm very disappointed that we didn't

924
00:59:56,600 --> 00:59:59,320
Speaker 6: do it. And I don't think anybody would have held

925
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:01,800
Speaker 6: us in abanion. I don't think anybody would have been

926
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:04,680
Speaker 6: angry with us, and we had every right to do

927
01:00:04,720 --> 01:00:05,320
Speaker 6: it at the time.

928
01:00:05,680 --> 01:00:10,240
Speaker 2: Okay, So obviously, you know, Trump has has had opinions

929
01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:13,720
Speaker 2: about Iran for long periods of time, and maybe those

930
01:00:13,720 --> 01:00:17,200
Speaker 2: have shifted by based on intelligence he's known. But what

931
01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:21,080
Speaker 2: we do know is that he was gonna profess as

932
01:00:21,160 --> 01:00:25,520
Speaker 2: the no new wars president. Now he likes to say

933
01:00:25,600 --> 01:00:29,960
Speaker 2: he stopped eight wars, but the war we really wanted

934
01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:33,600
Speaker 2: him to stop, obviously was the war in Ukraine, which

935
01:00:33,680 --> 01:00:38,240
Speaker 2: has not happened. So if it were me, I'd be

936
01:00:38,320 --> 01:00:42,560
Speaker 2: analyzing how what went wrong there? Uh? And then now

937
01:00:43,240 --> 01:00:47,000
Speaker 2: after you know, he's had multiple series of negotiations with

938
01:00:47,160 --> 01:00:50,560
Speaker 2: Iran that have not brought anything to fruition, and now

939
01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:54,400
Speaker 2: we're in the second campaign against Iran with some people,

940
01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:59,240
Speaker 2: including Trump, calling for unconditional surrender on what the ramifications

941
01:00:59,280 --> 01:01:01,960
Speaker 2: that means. So obviously there are going to be many people,

942
01:01:02,800 --> 01:01:06,840
Speaker 2: mostly people who feel slighted on the Iraq War as

943
01:01:06,880 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 2: the lie that was told, the ridiculous extension of Afghanistan

944
01:01:13,080 --> 01:01:17,360
Speaker 2: and the pull out there, obviously, the clandestine war we

945
01:01:17,400 --> 01:01:21,520
Speaker 2: waged in Syria as well as some of these other

946
01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:27,640
Speaker 2: places around that area and region of the world. So

947
01:01:28,040 --> 01:01:30,720
Speaker 2: he has to start figuring out what his narrative is

948
01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:33,720
Speaker 2: going to be, because if you look at this quote

949
01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:43,480
Speaker 2: from Rubio about why we struck first and how I

950
01:01:43,520 --> 01:01:47,640
Speaker 2: think it's pretty telling there that there is a distinct

951
01:01:47,880 --> 01:01:53,120
Speaker 2: coordination with our Israeli allies as to the effects of this,

952
01:01:53,360 --> 01:01:53,840
Speaker 2: and so.

953
01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:56,520
Speaker 7: The President made the very wise decision. We knew that

954
01:01:56,560 --> 01:01:58,760
Speaker 7: there was going to be an Israeli action, We knew

955
01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:01,880
Speaker 7: that that would precipitate in itack against American forces, and

956
01:02:01,920 --> 01:02:04,120
Speaker 7: we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them

957
01:02:04,160 --> 01:02:07,640
Speaker 7: before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher casualties

958
01:02:07,840 --> 01:02:10,439
Speaker 7: and perhaps even highre those killed, and then we would

959
01:02:10,440 --> 01:02:12,440
Speaker 7: all be here answering questions about why we knew that

960
01:02:12,520 --> 01:02:13,200
Speaker 7: and didn't.

961
01:02:13,440 --> 01:02:20,959
Speaker 2: Now, I would haven't really gone through enough. I haven't

962
01:02:20,960 --> 01:02:25,720
Speaker 2: gone through enough analysis of people who really understand Israel's

963
01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:29,720
Speaker 2: current position and what their intentions are in this. Obviously,

964
01:02:29,800 --> 01:02:32,760
Speaker 2: we know they believe that Iran as an existential threat,

965
01:02:33,080 --> 01:02:35,640
Speaker 2: and I believe that too. If I were Israel lived

966
01:02:35,640 --> 01:02:40,000
Speaker 2: at Israel Man, if I had the opportunity to engage this,

967
01:02:40,360 --> 01:02:44,200
Speaker 2: I sure would as well too. But it's it's I

968
01:02:44,200 --> 01:02:48,520
Speaker 2: don't think it's it's there's any illusion that Israel can

969
01:02:48,680 --> 01:02:55,400
Speaker 2: can successfully complete the task of wiping out the complete

970
01:02:55,440 --> 01:02:59,080
Speaker 2: Iranian regime and its effort and its hatred towards Israel.

971
01:02:59,120 --> 01:03:01,680
Speaker 1: So they definitely need us.

972
01:03:02,200 --> 01:03:05,400
Speaker 2: What I would like to see is a better description

973
01:03:05,480 --> 01:03:08,480
Speaker 2: of what's going on I'd like to see a consolidated

974
01:03:08,600 --> 01:03:14,280
Speaker 2: messaging coming out of the Trump cabinet and what's going

975
01:03:14,320 --> 01:03:17,280
Speaker 2: on now. It certainly didn't help that Christy Nome was

976
01:03:17,320 --> 01:03:22,200
Speaker 2: fired recently for some of her boondoggles that basically destabilized

977
01:03:22,200 --> 01:03:25,160
Speaker 2: it as well too. It also doesn't help that a

978
01:03:25,200 --> 01:03:28,640
Speaker 2: lot of these negotiations are not going according to plan.

979
01:03:29,120 --> 01:03:31,680
Speaker 2: And it doesn't help that the Gulf States are becoming

980
01:03:31,840 --> 01:03:36,840
Speaker 2: very vocal about their desire to end this immediately in

981
01:03:36,880 --> 01:03:40,600
Speaker 2: their the rumblings that they're going to pull out any

982
01:03:40,640 --> 01:03:44,880
Speaker 2: economic support for the reindustrialization of America. So there's some

983
01:03:45,360 --> 01:03:50,560
Speaker 2: massive political ramifications internationally, as we already know, but internally,

984
01:03:50,600 --> 01:03:55,360
Speaker 2: what I think it does for sure, after the challenge

985
01:03:55,480 --> 01:03:59,560
Speaker 2: that the Trump administration faced in Minnesota with the ice

986
01:03:59,640 --> 01:04:02,800
Speaker 2: raids and the ice things and the two Americans getting shot,

987
01:04:03,400 --> 01:04:05,760
Speaker 2: you know, there was a backlash of all of this,

988
01:04:06,040 --> 01:04:10,440
Speaker 2: and so people were getting upset, and so he tapered

989
01:04:10,480 --> 01:04:13,680
Speaker 2: down a bout and Tom Holden started working with Minnesota

990
01:04:13,680 --> 01:04:17,480
Speaker 2: government officials. Obviously, you know, Tim Waltz is getting pounded.

991
01:04:17,520 --> 01:04:20,720
Speaker 2: If you saw him recently in Congress and his deposition,

992
01:04:20,800 --> 01:04:23,800
Speaker 2: I mean it was pathetic, you know, fraud everywhere around.

993
01:04:23,800 --> 01:04:25,680
Speaker 1: He had no answers. Yeah, for sure.

994
01:04:25,880 --> 01:04:28,960
Speaker 2: But there's also seems to be some fracture internal in

995
01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:34,640
Speaker 2: the Trump organization as well. So what could benefit the

996
01:04:34,680 --> 01:04:42,640
Speaker 2: Democrats obviously, you know, there is a massive challenge obviously

997
01:04:43,920 --> 01:04:50,000
Speaker 2: in the upcoming midterms, right, and the midterms you have

998
01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:53,920
Speaker 2: to understand it like this, right, So in the November

999
01:04:53,960 --> 01:04:58,840
Speaker 2: mid terms, Republicans already we maintained a narrow control both

1000
01:04:58,920 --> 01:05:01,280
Speaker 2: the Chamber of Congress, right, that's the House, in the

1001
01:05:01,320 --> 01:05:05,120
Speaker 2: Senate because of our gains in twenty four with a

1002
01:05:05,160 --> 01:05:08,480
Speaker 2: fifty three to forty five majority in the Senate, two

1003
01:05:08,520 --> 01:05:13,520
Speaker 2: independents causing it usually caucusing with Democrats, effectively giving Democrats

1004
01:05:13,600 --> 01:05:16,920
Speaker 2: forty seven votes right and a slim majority two eighteen

1005
01:05:16,960 --> 01:05:21,000
Speaker 2: to two fourteen in the House. Now, this gives us

1006
01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:24,439
Speaker 2: some leverage, not great leverage, because obviously when we think

1007
01:05:24,480 --> 01:05:27,200
Speaker 2: about a lot of the codification of DOGE, we think

1008
01:05:27,240 --> 01:05:31,800
Speaker 2: about a lot of the things to be able to

1009
01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:36,240
Speaker 2: secure our elections, the Save Act, there's a stalemate going on.

1010
01:05:36,360 --> 01:05:38,840
Speaker 2: There's a pushback, you know, and that I think that's

1011
01:05:38,840 --> 01:05:41,840
Speaker 2: coming from the Republican side and the Rhinos that are

1012
01:05:41,840 --> 01:05:45,200
Speaker 2: in Trench who have a true disdain for Trump anyways,

1013
01:05:45,240 --> 01:05:49,200
Speaker 2: like Mitch McConnell, coryn from Texas who's in the fight

1014
01:05:49,240 --> 01:05:52,880
Speaker 2: of his life with Paxton right now, and hopefully paston

1015
01:05:52,920 --> 01:05:58,240
Speaker 2: ekes that out now in the House. You got to

1016
01:05:58,280 --> 01:06:03,640
Speaker 2: realize that there is you know, the midterms where all

1017
01:06:03,720 --> 01:06:06,320
Speaker 2: four hundred and thirty five House seats and thirty five

1018
01:06:06,400 --> 01:06:10,120
Speaker 2: Senate seats are up for grabs, all right, three Democrats

1019
01:06:10,160 --> 01:06:13,200
Speaker 2: aimed to flip at least three House districts and four

1020
01:06:13,280 --> 01:06:17,120
Speaker 2: Senate seats, three gain majorities, potentially creating a check on

1021
01:06:17,160 --> 01:06:22,000
Speaker 2: Trump's power. What happens if that happened, we go into

1022
01:06:22,080 --> 01:06:28,120
Speaker 2: the ultimate lane duck, right, and what begins. Certainly they're

1023
01:06:28,120 --> 01:06:33,400
Speaker 2: gonna impeach them. Certainly they're gonna disrupt all investigations because

1024
01:06:33,400 --> 01:06:37,080
Speaker 2: they'll gain control of these committees, right, so that no more,

1025
01:06:37,240 --> 01:06:39,400
Speaker 2: no more investigations. So to get to the bottom of

1026
01:06:39,480 --> 01:06:43,080
Speaker 2: Russia Gate, to get to the bottom of COVID, to

1027
01:06:43,120 --> 01:06:45,440
Speaker 2: get to the bottom of all these things that basically

1028
01:06:45,520 --> 01:06:49,680
Speaker 2: grinds to a halt thereby attacking once again one other

1029
01:06:49,960 --> 01:06:54,760
Speaker 2: more giant strategic act of draining the swamp that Trump.

1030
01:06:55,920 --> 01:06:56,280
Speaker 1: Ran on.

1031
01:06:57,440 --> 01:07:02,439
Speaker 2: So the midterms are in play at a substantial, substantial way.

1032
01:07:03,160 --> 01:07:08,720
Speaker 2: All right, So how does that affect Trump in the magabase?

1033
01:07:08,800 --> 01:07:14,680
Speaker 2: All these Congressmen and senators that need Trump's support, Well,

1034
01:07:14,720 --> 01:07:19,400
Speaker 2: if he's in a political quagmire himself, well his support

1035
01:07:19,520 --> 01:07:22,240
Speaker 2: have any meaning to these people who are running in

1036
01:07:22,320 --> 01:07:24,240
Speaker 2: these very contested races.

1037
01:07:24,840 --> 01:07:25,959
Speaker 1: And so we have to start.

1038
01:07:26,000 --> 01:07:29,880
Speaker 2: We've been trying to bring uh some lower level political

1039
01:07:29,920 --> 01:07:32,120
Speaker 2: people running on just to get a sense of what

1040
01:07:32,200 --> 01:07:35,600
Speaker 2: they're seeing on the local level and these these state

1041
01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:41,080
Speaker 2: runs and what's going on. And there's definitely, uh, some

1042
01:07:41,960 --> 01:07:46,600
Speaker 2: consternation in their campaigns based on what's going on around

1043
01:07:46,640 --> 01:07:51,560
Speaker 2: in the system right now. Now the Democratic Party, if

1044
01:07:51,600 --> 01:07:52,880
Speaker 2: I were you, I would just.

1045
01:07:52,880 --> 01:07:55,640
Speaker 1: Sit back and let this thing unfold.

1046
01:07:55,760 --> 01:07:59,080
Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, make your little comments here and there, do

1047
01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:02,360
Speaker 2: your little pull, push those punches. You know you're gonna

1048
01:08:02,400 --> 01:08:05,440
Speaker 2: hear a tremendous amount from the Democrats. He has no plan,

1049
01:08:05,800 --> 01:08:07,880
Speaker 2: They have no plan, they don't know what they're doing.

1050
01:08:07,920 --> 01:08:10,640
Speaker 2: This is causing havoc. But then you're also where you're

1051
01:08:10,680 --> 01:08:12,720
Speaker 2: going to see is you're going to see all those

1052
01:08:12,840 --> 01:08:17,720
Speaker 2: nngsos that we've discovered that are funding these other campaigns,

1053
01:08:17,880 --> 01:08:22,559
Speaker 2: the anti ice raids, the anti war movement, the anti

1054
01:08:23,080 --> 01:08:26,080
Speaker 2: Wall Street, all this stuff. They're going to flood those

1055
01:08:26,200 --> 01:08:30,439
Speaker 2: people starting here, probably this month, the end of the month,

1056
01:08:30,479 --> 01:08:35,280
Speaker 2: and the next you will see a political firestorm to

1057
01:08:35,360 --> 01:08:38,320
Speaker 2: the likes which you will have never seen domestically in

1058
01:08:38,400 --> 01:08:39,080
Speaker 2: this country.

1059
01:08:39,160 --> 01:08:40,120
Speaker 1: Mark my words.

1060
01:08:40,640 --> 01:08:44,760
Speaker 2: Why, Because if you can prove that Trump doesn't have

1061
01:08:44,840 --> 01:08:48,160
Speaker 2: control of the Middle East situation and Trump doesn't have

1062
01:08:48,240 --> 01:08:54,080
Speaker 2: control of the domestic situation, that pretty much solidifies the

1063
01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:55,599
Speaker 2: MAGA split.

1064
01:08:56,200 --> 01:08:57,200
Speaker 1: Who's ever in the magat.

1065
01:08:57,280 --> 01:09:00,040
Speaker 2: Obviously you're gonna have the die Harden Trump people that

1066
01:09:00,120 --> 01:09:02,160
Speaker 2: are going to go there, right, and then you're going

1067
01:09:02,240 --> 01:09:07,200
Speaker 2: to have the coalition folks, the Libertarians, the America First people,

1068
01:09:07,680 --> 01:09:10,519
Speaker 2: maybe some blue dog Democrats that got on board and

1069
01:09:10,560 --> 01:09:12,879
Speaker 2: against all this DEI stuff or whatever.

1070
01:09:14,120 --> 01:09:15,440
Speaker 1: They're going to probably.

1071
01:09:15,080 --> 01:09:20,160
Speaker 2: Sit on the sidelines, right and just on the sidelines. Now,

1072
01:09:20,160 --> 01:09:21,519
Speaker 2: all of a sudden, you have sway. And if we

1073
01:09:21,520 --> 01:09:25,280
Speaker 2: don't have control of who's voting, how they're voting, because

1074
01:09:25,360 --> 01:09:29,080
Speaker 2: none no rules have been changed, mail in balloting hasn't

1075
01:09:29,120 --> 01:09:32,920
Speaker 2: been changed, election IDs haven't been changed all this, so

1076
01:09:33,200 --> 01:09:36,240
Speaker 2: we're right back where we were, you know. And then

1077
01:09:36,280 --> 01:09:40,280
Speaker 2: the real reality is that you know, it is Elon

1078
01:09:40,400 --> 01:09:42,759
Speaker 2: Musk and all of the other people that have vast

1079
01:09:42,840 --> 01:09:46,600
Speaker 2: audiences going to come in and support the political campaigns

1080
01:09:46,640 --> 01:09:50,640
Speaker 2: of all these MAGA Republicans. And we're already seeing that

1081
01:09:50,720 --> 01:09:54,280
Speaker 2: start to look like it's not going to happen. So

1082
01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:56,720
Speaker 2: what does that mean? That means to how we lose

1083
01:09:56,760 --> 01:10:00,840
Speaker 2: the House in the Senate? All right, that is going

1084
01:10:00,880 --> 01:10:03,439
Speaker 2: to unfold here in the next I think fifteen to

1085
01:10:03,479 --> 01:10:09,880
Speaker 2: thirty days, we'll see. This is my recommendation, and this

1086
01:10:09,960 --> 01:10:15,599
Speaker 2: goes to you, President Trump in your cabinet. Come out

1087
01:10:15,680 --> 01:10:19,120
Speaker 2: tomorrow or this week, maybe one more week of pounding

1088
01:10:19,160 --> 01:10:24,360
Speaker 2: them and declare victory. Right, say, yep, we accomplish missing task.

1089
01:10:25,000 --> 01:10:27,880
Speaker 2: The iatola is dead. The whole upper echelon of the

1090
01:10:27,920 --> 01:10:33,839
Speaker 2: IRGC is gone. We've completely destroyed all and ninety percent

1091
01:10:33,880 --> 01:10:40,200
Speaker 2: of their military capabilities, and we we won. And then

1092
01:10:40,439 --> 01:10:44,080
Speaker 2: pull back, stop striking them. And then this gives you

1093
01:10:44,120 --> 01:10:49,160
Speaker 2: what gives you time to reassess, re establish and get

1094
01:10:49,160 --> 01:10:52,080
Speaker 2: back to your Gulf states. Bring it heightened protection to

1095
01:10:52,120 --> 01:10:57,919
Speaker 2: your Gulf states. Increase your missiles, anti are your defensive

1096
01:10:57,920 --> 01:11:01,400
Speaker 2: missile systems in all of these Golf states. Start escorting

1097
01:11:01,600 --> 01:11:06,200
Speaker 2: the oil ships through the straits of humans, hermus come

1098
01:11:06,240 --> 01:11:09,040
Speaker 2: out there and be strong and declare victory, and then

1099
01:11:09,080 --> 01:11:12,400
Speaker 2: have all your other personnel say the same thing, we

1100
01:11:12,479 --> 01:11:15,000
Speaker 2: did it. We want Then what I would do is

1101
01:11:15,040 --> 01:11:19,519
Speaker 2: I would have JD. Vance, Mark Rubio fly over with

1102
01:11:19,600 --> 01:11:22,040
Speaker 2: the Gulf States, have a big meeting, say this, what

1103
01:11:22,120 --> 01:11:24,120
Speaker 2: do you guys want, what do you need? Can you

1104
01:11:24,200 --> 01:11:28,959
Speaker 2: help us a broker, you know, move forward with peaceful resolution.

1105
01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:30,120
Speaker 1: I'd have JD.

1106
01:11:30,280 --> 01:11:33,559
Speaker 2: Vance fly over to Turkey and meet with Aragon and

1107
01:11:33,600 --> 01:11:36,439
Speaker 2: some maybe in Pakistan and say, hey, can you help

1108
01:11:36,520 --> 01:11:40,240
Speaker 2: us bring Iran whoever's going to be in the Iran

1109
01:11:40,280 --> 01:11:42,639
Speaker 2: and you wait two weeks, four weeks, a month, whatever

1110
01:11:42,640 --> 01:11:46,320
Speaker 2: it is, Can you help us make contact with the

1111
01:11:46,360 --> 01:11:49,599
Speaker 2: new people in charge to begin to broker what their

1112
01:11:49,640 --> 01:11:52,920
Speaker 2: future is going to look like in terms of letting

1113
01:11:52,920 --> 01:11:55,080
Speaker 2: them get it back on their feet, you know, letting

1114
01:11:55,120 --> 01:11:57,760
Speaker 2: them start selling their oil oil production so they can

1115
01:11:57,800 --> 01:12:02,439
Speaker 2: stabilize their economy so that they're their people aren't pissed

1116
01:12:02,520 --> 01:12:05,080
Speaker 2: at which pretty much I'm sure.

1117
01:12:04,960 --> 01:12:05,800
Speaker 1: Many of them already are.

1118
01:12:06,320 --> 01:12:10,400
Speaker 2: And you start to get this thing under control diplomatically, politically,

1119
01:12:10,400 --> 01:12:13,720
Speaker 2: and economically. And then unfortunately, and the other part of that,

1120
01:12:14,600 --> 01:12:16,479
Speaker 2: Trump needs to get on the phone with BBI and

1121
01:12:16,520 --> 01:12:20,519
Speaker 2: say enough, that's it. You got what you wanted, You're done,

1122
01:12:20,920 --> 01:12:22,720
Speaker 2: no more, right.

1123
01:12:22,520 --> 01:12:25,080
Speaker 1: And that's it. And if you do it again, you're

1124
01:12:25,080 --> 01:12:25,679
Speaker 1: on your own.

1125
01:12:25,960 --> 01:12:28,840
Speaker 2: And if he can say that publicly, I think what

1126
01:12:28,880 --> 01:12:31,960
Speaker 2: you do is you have that's his finger in the dyke,

1127
01:12:32,920 --> 01:12:37,000
Speaker 2: and he stops the outflow of the dam that's cracking

1128
01:12:37,120 --> 01:12:40,200
Speaker 2: right now for him and for the Republican Party and

1129
01:12:40,240 --> 01:12:43,760
Speaker 2: the MAGA movement, right because what you're gonna do if

1130
01:12:43,800 --> 01:12:46,559
Speaker 2: this thing prolongs through the midterms and keeps going and

1131
01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:50,400
Speaker 2: we go into twenty seven and into twenty eight, you

1132
01:12:50,439 --> 01:12:54,439
Speaker 2: can forget the presidency in twenty eight. There's no doubt

1133
01:12:54,520 --> 01:12:58,719
Speaker 2: in my military mind, my political mind, and my mind

1134
01:12:58,760 --> 01:13:03,000
Speaker 2: as a US citizen that Conservatives can keep the White

1135
01:13:03,000 --> 01:13:05,320
Speaker 2: House in twenty eight if we are still engaged in

1136
01:13:05,360 --> 01:13:08,559
Speaker 2: a war with Iran by then all right.

1137
01:13:09,360 --> 01:13:12,960
Speaker 1: All right, what do you think, Jeorgy? That was a ton?

1138
01:13:14,640 --> 01:13:16,599
Speaker 1: That was a ton, but it was good. There's well,

1139
01:13:16,600 --> 01:13:17,960
Speaker 1: there is a ton, that's the thing.

1140
01:13:18,640 --> 01:13:22,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot to think about with this. This

1141
01:13:22,120 --> 01:13:24,920
Speaker 2: is that's why the Middle East is as complex as

1142
01:13:24,920 --> 01:13:27,920
Speaker 2: it is. That's why it's always been as complex as

1143
01:13:27,960 --> 01:13:32,320
Speaker 2: it is. But again, what can you do? You can

1144
01:13:32,360 --> 01:13:35,840
Speaker 2: stay informed. The other aspect of that you can do

1145
01:13:36,000 --> 01:13:38,880
Speaker 2: is if you've got a desire to want to know

1146
01:13:39,080 --> 01:13:44,480
Speaker 2: more than bombard the White House, Bombard your state senators,

1147
01:13:44,560 --> 01:13:48,920
Speaker 2: Bombard your congressman, Bombard the people who are in the know,

1148
01:13:49,200 --> 01:13:53,200
Speaker 2: and demand real answers. What is God? What is the tactics?

1149
01:13:53,520 --> 01:13:56,559
Speaker 2: What is the plan? How are we gonna end this?

1150
01:13:56,760 --> 01:13:58,800
Speaker 2: How are we going to stabilize the Middle East?

1151
01:13:59,280 --> 01:13:59,479
Speaker 1: Right?

1152
01:13:59,560 --> 01:14:04,040
Speaker 2: Because that's what quells people's worries, and right now people

1153
01:14:04,200 --> 01:14:07,920
Speaker 2: are worried. I'm worried. I know you're worried. I know

1154
01:14:07,960 --> 01:14:10,439
Speaker 2: you're worried for your family, You're worried for your future.

1155
01:14:10,840 --> 01:14:14,200
Speaker 2: I've had three people just in the last twenty four

1156
01:14:14,240 --> 01:14:17,799
Speaker 2: hours asked me, Hey, David, is it safe to travel?

1157
01:14:19,439 --> 01:14:21,200
Speaker 1: Can I try? And that was domestically.

1158
01:14:21,439 --> 01:14:25,479
Speaker 2: They're not going over to Europe or Africa or Eastern Europe.

1159
01:14:25,479 --> 01:14:27,000
Speaker 1: They're going order to the Middle East.

1160
01:14:27,479 --> 01:14:32,040
Speaker 2: Right, Although I just definitely had I'm in this big

1161
01:14:32,120 --> 01:14:37,160
Speaker 2: group text from my lacrosse teammates from Penn State, and

1162
01:14:37,240 --> 01:14:40,760
Speaker 2: one of the guy in there got stranded over in

1163
01:14:40,800 --> 01:14:44,040
Speaker 2: the Middle East for ten days. He could not get out,

1164
01:14:44,680 --> 01:14:47,240
Speaker 2: and so that's a reality.

1165
01:14:47,840 --> 01:14:48,280
Speaker 1: All right.

1166
01:14:48,439 --> 01:14:52,000
Speaker 2: We are in a destabilized world right now, and so

1167
01:14:53,160 --> 01:14:56,400
Speaker 2: we need to be able to reassure the American population

1168
01:14:56,600 --> 01:14:58,439
Speaker 2: that we know what we're doing. We're not going to

1169
01:14:58,520 --> 01:15:02,360
Speaker 2: repeat in Iraq, compete in Afghanistan or Vietnam or whatever

1170
01:15:02,400 --> 01:15:04,920
Speaker 2: it is, and that this is a new dawn of

1171
01:15:04,960 --> 01:15:10,240
Speaker 2: American military prowess and power, which we already know, but

1172
01:15:10,400 --> 01:15:15,200
Speaker 2: also a new dawn for American diplomacy. All right, I

1173
01:15:15,280 --> 01:15:18,800
Speaker 2: hope you enjoyed today. Please like, share, and follow. You

1174
01:15:18,800 --> 01:15:22,400
Speaker 2: can follow me. I'm commenting pretty regulars on X at

1175
01:15:22,400 --> 01:15:25,479
Speaker 2: Team frog Logic and on Instagram. At Team frog Logic.

1176
01:15:25,520 --> 01:15:28,400
Speaker 2: You can follow the show on all social media. I'm

1177
01:15:28,439 --> 01:15:31,920
Speaker 2: planning to get back on Facebook. I might even start

1178
01:15:31,960 --> 01:15:34,840
Speaker 2: a tictec account here. Jordie's been pushing me to do that.

1179
01:15:35,200 --> 01:15:38,360
Speaker 2: I'm also on LinkedIn. I'm gonna start posting there maybe,

1180
01:15:39,240 --> 01:15:42,120
Speaker 2: but primarily I'm on X That's what I think is

1181
01:15:42,120 --> 01:15:43,920
Speaker 2: the number one news in the world. So you can

1182
01:15:43,960 --> 01:15:45,639
Speaker 2: follow me if you want to follow a show there,

1183
01:15:45,720 --> 01:15:48,960
Speaker 2: It's at d Rutherford Show. All other social media is

1184
01:15:49,000 --> 01:15:53,280
Speaker 2: at David Rutherford Show, most importantly on YouTube. We would

1185
01:15:53,280 --> 01:15:55,760
Speaker 2: really love you to go to YouTube and subscribe to

1186
01:15:55,800 --> 01:16:00,760
Speaker 2: our channel. Obviously from a revenue perspective, that's massive for

1187
01:16:00,840 --> 01:16:03,080
Speaker 2: us as well as also to get us in the

1188
01:16:03,120 --> 01:16:07,240
Speaker 2: algorithms so that more people can hear my commentary and

1189
01:16:07,600 --> 01:16:10,120
Speaker 2: get a little bit of a little bit of flashbang

1190
01:16:10,160 --> 01:16:14,040
Speaker 2: of truth and trying to consolidate the tsunami of information

1191
01:16:14,160 --> 01:16:17,759
Speaker 2: into a contextual way so you can have a better

1192
01:16:17,960 --> 01:16:19,120
Speaker 2: understanding of what.

1193
01:16:19,080 --> 01:16:21,479
Speaker 1: Decisions you can make for the future.

1194
01:16:22,120 --> 01:16:25,479
Speaker 2: All right, who Yeah, God bless you, God, Bless Christ,

1195
01:16:25,600 --> 01:16:30,760
Speaker 2: Almighty