1 00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 1: Welcome to brain Stuff from house stuff works dot com, 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: where smart happens him Marshall Brain with today's question, what's 3 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: going on with the birthday paradox? You may have heard 4 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:21,279 Speaker 1: that if there are twenty people in a room, there's 5 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: a fifty fifty chance that two of them will have 6 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: the same birthday. How can that be? What it really 7 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 1: is called the birthday paradox, and it turns out it's 8 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 1: useful in several different areas, for example, in cryptography and 9 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: hashing algorithms. You can try it yourself. The next time 10 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: you're at a gathering of twenty or thirty people, ask 11 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 1: everyone for their birthdate. It's likely that two people in 12 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,560 Speaker 1: the group will have the same birthday. It always surprises people. 13 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 1: The reason this is so surprising is because we're used 14 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: to comparing our particular birthdays with other individual's birthdays. For example, 15 00:00:56,720 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: if you meet someone randomly and ask him what his 16 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 1: birthday is, the chance of the two of you having 17 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: the same birthday is only one out of three sixty 18 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: five or point to seven percent. In other words, the 19 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: probability of any two individuals having the same birthday is low. 20 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 1: Even if you ask twenty individual people. The probability is 21 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: still low, less than five percent, so we feel like 22 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 1: it's very rare to meet anyone with the same birthday 23 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: as our own. When you put twenty people in a room, however, 24 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: the thing that changes is the fact that each of 25 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 1: the twenty people is now asking each of the other 26 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: nineteen people about their birthdays simultaneously. Each individual personally has 27 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: a small chance less than five percent of success, but 28 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: everyone is trying it simultaneously. That increases the probability dramatically. 29 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 1: The next time you're with a group of twenty or 30 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: thirty people try it. You might be surprised for more 31 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: on this and thousands of other topics because at housetop 32 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: works dot com, the be