1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 1: Welcome back, everybody. It's the Betting Pros College Football preview Show. 2 00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Scott Bogman. Follow me on the Twitter 3 00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:10,239 Speaker 1: at Bogman Sports. I'm joined by Thorne I Strom follow 4 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 1: him on the Twitter at thor k. You and Mike 5 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: Ferrell at m Ferrell Sports to ours to l's on there, 6 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:20,960 Speaker 1: and gentlemen, a week twelve is already here. We're two 7 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: weeks away from conference championships. I cannot believe the season 8 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: has gone this fast, but it always seems like a whirlwind. 9 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: And before we dive into week twelve, thor your thoughts 10 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 1: on week eleven? 11 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 2: Uh? 12 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, another crazy week of college football. Were my cat 13 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 3: Felix is trying to get in here to talk about 14 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 3: his thoughts on on weekly. We're getting to the home 15 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 3: stretch here, aren't we. Yeah? And you know you're getting 16 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 3: to the home stretch when a week of college football 17 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 3: ends and then you get this crazy rash of coaching 18 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 3: firings which are still coming too. Kelly, Kelly, Kelly exactly. 19 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 3: You know, we had the the ones on late Saturday 20 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,040 Speaker 3: night into Sunday morning, and they're still coming. Mike mentioned 21 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 3: Schip Kelly, which that one's a stunner. 22 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 4: You know, I'm sure want to recruit. He just didn't 23 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 4: give a crap about recruiting. 24 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 3: I was very surprised, But I was even surprised by 25 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 3: the Jimbo one. I knew there have been rumors about 26 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 3: that one, so surprised they went through it that one bite. 27 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 3: I was surprised they didn't let him finish the season. 28 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 3: I was surprised they hired him in the first place, 29 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 3: but then they give him the acts and then I 30 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 3: don't know if you guys saw today Jamie Chadwell, the 31 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:34,199 Speaker 3: coach at Liberty, he hadn't finished his first season there. 32 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 3: He tweets out like, hey, Liberty fans, you know, I mean, 33 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 3: are you excited for the show tonight? You know, I 34 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 3: guess he doesn't streaming show whatever. At the bottom he 35 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 3: had location services on on his Twitter. He sent it 36 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 3: from Starkville, Mississippi, Kelly. And by the way, what a 37 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 3: great hire would that be for Mississippi State? A hire 38 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 3: that would harken back to the Dan Mullen days in 39 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 3: terms of offensive philosophy, I think that thing would be 40 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 3: a slam man man. 41 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: Mike, your h your reaction to this rash of coaching 42 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: moves and week eleven and anything. 43 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 5: This is the thing about it that's lovely is like, 44 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 5: you know, the A and M willing to spend seventy 45 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 5: six million dollars to get rid of Jimbo raises the 46 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 5: bar for everybody, Like, now everybody's fireable. It doesn't matter 47 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 5: if you're in there two years, one year, doesn't matter. 48 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 5: I mean our Nett was over his head. I mean 49 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 5: that just was a bad hire. He got rid of 50 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 5: all the staff. It was a dumb move. He just 51 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 5: wasn't ready, not even close. That was a mistake, Like, 52 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 5: let's just pull the cord on this one. That was 53 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 5: a smart move. But yeah, you're willing to pay seventy 54 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 5: six million dollars to get rid of Jimbo. You can 55 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,079 Speaker 5: bet there's gonna be a rash of firings this year, 56 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 5: but especially in the next year. No one's gonna be 57 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 5: paid anymore. With with Sunbaill Billy or any of these 58 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 5: guys making eight million dollars, you're gone. 59 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 4: We're going to just get the boosters together, fire y'all. 60 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 5: And it's great for business because you know, the second 61 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 5: somebody has fired, I could crop up ten candidates to 62 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 5: replace them. 63 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 4: I could start rumors. I could hear things, you know. 64 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 5: I got immediately someone on the phone with me after 65 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 5: a m and just telling me all these names that 66 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 5: are on a short list already. 67 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:14,799 Speaker 4: So it's firing season. It's awesome. I love it. 68 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 3: My only other takeaway from the games over the weekend. 69 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 3: Deast Star Michigan, Deask Star Georgia. They are on an 70 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 3: inevitable crash course to meet on the last day of 71 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 3: the college football season. Everything else up until then, it's 72 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 3: just the appetizers to get there. They obviously held serve 73 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 3: that billy. You know, I'll get back to. 74 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 4: Country. 75 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 3: What's that song that was Neil Brown calling from? 76 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 4: That's Jimbo Call. That's his new ring tone because he's 77 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 4: gonna be the next Virginia. 78 00:03:55,760 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 3: West Virginia guy. Absolutely, I wasn't I can to tell 79 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 3: the people that it was Jim. I was trying to 80 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 3: keep them off the sam But you were right, that 81 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 3: was Jim Bowden. 82 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: All right, jumping through a couple technical hoops here. But 83 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: we will just jump into these games here, and before 84 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 1: we get in, I just want to mind college football fans, 85 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: are you ready to put your betting skills to the test? 86 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 1: Join the Betting Pros College Football Podcast betting group. Make 87 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 1: your picks all season long, and if you're among the 88 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 1: top ROI performers, you could win big prices include a 89 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 1: sign Garrett Wilson Ohio State Jersey, and premium subscriptions to 90 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros. Just make at least one 91 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: hundred picks through the season to qualify. Jump in now 92 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: at Bettingpros dot com, slash college or in the Betting 93 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: Pros app under the College Football podcast group. May the 94 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 1: best better win. And even if you're not jumping in 95 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:41,719 Speaker 1: the group, it's a great place to keep track of 96 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: all your bets. And that's for all sports, not just 97 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 1: college football. So go ahead and check out the Betting 98 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 1: Pros app. But let's start here thor number eleven, Louisville 99 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: on the road against Miami. The line here is Louisville 100 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 1: by one and a half. The total is forty six 101 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 1: and a half money and cash on the Louisville side. 102 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: Who I've been called a outside playoff shot team here 103 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 1: for Louisville. I don't really know if I buy that. 104 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: But your thoughts on Louisville at Miami. Who is on 105 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: the struggle bus. 106 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 3: This is a tough one for me. You know. It's like, 107 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 3: you know when they put a shiny object in like 108 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 3: a tree for a raccoon and they stick their hand 109 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 3: and then they just get trapped there because the raccoon 110 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 3: won't won't let go of it or whatever. That's that's 111 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,479 Speaker 3: what this line feels like for me, because you look 112 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 3: at it and you're like, you would immediately just want 113 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:32,039 Speaker 3: to grab for it. With Louisville because who wants to 114 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 3: better on Miami They've been so terrible recently. And then 115 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 3: the Emery Williams kid got hurt at the end of 116 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 3: the last game against Florida State ostensibly means they have 117 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 3: to go forward with Tyler Vandyke. Tyler Vandyke, is he healthy? 118 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 3: Is his head? 119 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:47,480 Speaker 1: He was named the starter? 120 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 3: So well, I mean yes, but he's is he one 121 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 3: hundred percent healthy? Right? 122 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 2: Like? 123 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 3: I mean, he came in at the end of the 124 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 3: last game when Emery Williams got hurt, but he wasn't 125 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 3: starting that game, So again, is he one hundred percent 126 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 3: physically healthy? And is his head one hundred percent? Right 127 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 3: to those questions, I don't know why was he not 128 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 3: starting the last game? If the answer to both those 129 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 3: questions is a definitive yes. When he played the full 130 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 3: game the week before, he was terrible and he did 131 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 3: not look right. And then again he did not start 132 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:21,840 Speaker 3: the last game, and that appeared to be, by the way, 133 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 3: the one objectively correct decision. To Emery Williams kid, he 134 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 3: played pretty well and Miami was giving Florida State a 135 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 3: run for their money. They ended up losing twenty sears. 136 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 1: He got a hero man, you know, because he got 137 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 1: that first down, and then they were talking about on 138 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: the sideline that he was just in agony. 139 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 5: Was hard to be a compound fractures. 140 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:45,840 Speaker 3: It's tough, tough scene. So you know, Tyler Van Dyke 141 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 3: will be starting in this one. You wonder about that. Emery. Again, 142 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 3: Williams was playing pretty well and the team was playing 143 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:54,679 Speaker 3: pretty well behind him. What do we see from Tyler 144 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 3: Van Dyke in this game? Miami returns home in it 145 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 3: for those reasons that makes it tough for me. I 146 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 3: hate to say it. I think I would lean Miami 147 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 3: in this game. I don't know if I will be 148 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:08,360 Speaker 3: able to get to the window on it, but I 149 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 3: have to go against the raccoon shiny object inclination when 150 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 3: when I first saw this. 151 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 1: Line, he's shaking your head. There, you are a. 152 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 5: Much quicker Tylert van Dyke stinks. I don't care if 153 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 5: he's physically healthy, but mentally he's not there. He's horrible. 154 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 5: You know, Ja Curry Brown is obviously not good at all. 155 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 5: And he started Emery Williams because Mario has to start. 156 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 5: You know, he's got a lot of young guys in 157 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 5: this team. There's a lot of freshmens. You know, He's 158 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 5: got to find somebody that can move forward. He took 159 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 5: a shot. He figured it wasn't going to beat Florida 160 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 5: State anyways, Start the young guy. 161 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 4: Now he's hurt. Their back to Vandyke. Forget it. 162 00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 5: Louisville's going to destroy him. You know, this is a gift. 163 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 5: This is a gift from the heavens. This is a 164 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 5: low line. Take Louisville and you know, just don't even question. 165 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 5: I know the raccoon thing. 166 00:07:59,120 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 4: I get it. 167 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 5: You know, sometimes lines look fishy. Somebody knows something in Vegas. 168 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 5: There's nothing to know here. Miami's not good. Tyler van 169 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 5: Dyck stinks, and Louieville's gonna win. 170 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to number twenty three two lane 171 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 1: a nine and a half point road favorite at FA. 172 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 1: You forty seven and a half is a total in 173 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: this one, Mike, do you have a good lean one 174 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: way or the other. Because the cash is on Tulane, 175 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: but the tickets are just slightly cash is heavily on Tulane. Uh, 176 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: the tickets are just slightly on Fau here. 177 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 5: I'd put my cash on two lane too. I mean 178 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 5: they've been playing well. Obviously early in the season, Pratt 179 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 5: wasn't playing. You know, it was very difficult to gauge 180 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 5: how good this team is. You know, they had a 181 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 5: lot of returning players, especially on the offensive line. You 182 00:08:39,559 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 5: expected a big season. It didn't go great at the beginning, 183 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 5: but the right of the ship tremendous coaching. 184 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:49,559 Speaker 4: Job here Fau. I mean, nine and a half is 185 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:52,199 Speaker 4: a lot, I get it, but I'm going to take that. 186 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 4: I'm going to lay the nine and a half points. 187 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 5: I think Tulane is fighting for, you know, a lot 188 00:08:57,080 --> 00:08:59,080 Speaker 5: more than FAU is at this point in time, and 189 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 5: I think they're probably gonna in this one double digits. 190 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 1: Mister Nystrom, you have a good feel one way or 191 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 1: the other in this two lane FAU game. 192 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 3: I do actually Felix has jumped back up on My life. 193 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 3: He wants to be involved in this show. I like 194 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 3: FAU in this game. When you go into week twelve, 195 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 3: not only we were talking about the coach firings before, 196 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:23,839 Speaker 3: you also get into the discrepancy of motivation handicapping as well, 197 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 3: which we'll talk more and more about week thirteen and 198 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,320 Speaker 3: then into ball season as well. We have that in 199 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 3: this game. FAU needs this one to stay alive for 200 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 3: ball season. Obviously, they have the first year coach in 201 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 3: Tom Herman and Tulane on the other side, they may 202 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:41,920 Speaker 3: be without three of their top wide receivers. Again, we've 203 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 3: seen the manifestation of that in their offense the last 204 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:47,439 Speaker 3: few games out Tulane is nine to one, but they 205 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 3: have not won by more than a field goal since 206 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 3: October twenty first, they have not won by more than 207 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 3: a touchdown in over a month, even though they've been 208 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 3: playing some down opponents during that time. This number would 209 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,959 Speaker 3: require them to do so on the road over a 210 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 3: team that desperately needs a victory. As I was saying, 211 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,679 Speaker 3: and not for nothing, FAU has a really, really, really 212 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,200 Speaker 3: good run defense. It's the best thing that they do 213 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 3: as a team. Obviously, if Tulane's wide receiver room is 214 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 3: devastated by injuries again as it's looking like it will be, 215 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 3: then Tulane needs to lean into their run offense again. 216 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 3: That's what Fau will be ready for in this game. 217 00:10:23,840 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 3: I'm taking the points with the home team that desperately 218 00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 3: needs a victory in this game. 219 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,840 Speaker 1: To me, went in doubt bet against Tom Herman, So 220 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 1: I think I'm with Mike on that one. Let's go 221 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 1: to number eighteen Utah at number twenty one Arizona, and 222 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: this line you can get either team favored depending on 223 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: which book you go to. So it is a little 224 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: flip floppy. I'm gonna go with Arizona minus one as 225 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: the line forty four and a half is a total. 226 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: Here Thord, do you have a good feel one where 227 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 1: the other between Utah at Arizona? 228 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 3: I don't. This is a really tough one, you know. 229 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 3: It's one where depending on the glint of the light 230 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 3: as you're looking at it, you could sort of talk 231 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 3: yourself into the handicap one where. 232 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:05,839 Speaker 1: The other ask white and black or white and gold 233 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,320 Speaker 1: or blue and black? Which one that's game? 234 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:11,400 Speaker 3: Yeah? Like Utah is like old reliable, you know, with 235 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 3: winning him the grizzle vet. You know you trust them, 236 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 3: you know that time has come to tell you that. 237 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 3: And then Arizona it's like, you know the gift of 238 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:20,720 Speaker 3: the guy where he's with his girlfriend, but then he's 239 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 3: like looking back at the new attractive girl. That's that's 240 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 3: Arizona Wildcats and jet Fish, Like we all love what 241 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 3: we've seen from them this year. And and this line, 242 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 3: you know, Vegas is telling us like, you guys, figure 243 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:36,120 Speaker 3: it out. And it's been hard for you this week. 244 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 3: You know, I'm studying this one. I'm looking into the 245 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 3: advanced numbers. I've seen a lot of these teams this year, 246 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 3: and it's tough for me. You know. Last week, you know, 247 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 3: obviously Utah they lost by a touchdown to Washington in Seattle. 248 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 3: They were able to cover that game barely, you know, 249 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 3: by the touchdown. Whenever I think that line you know, 250 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:57,959 Speaker 3: entered at eight and a half, nine whatever. And then 251 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:00,560 Speaker 3: Arizona played a little bit down in that game against 252 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:03,320 Speaker 3: Kyl Rader. They won by a field goal. They didn't 253 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:06,559 Speaker 3: cover in that one adjusted scoring margin post game though 254 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 3: it was the score wasn't final score wasn't indicative of 255 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:13,600 Speaker 3: quality of play. Adjusted scoring margin at the end Arizona 256 00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 3: by sixteen in that one. I do not have a 257 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 3: lien on this one. Flip a coin, I do. I 258 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 3: don't even have a lien. I will not be betting 259 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 3: this game. 260 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 1: Mister Farrell, you have a good feeling one way or 261 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 1: the other between Utah and Arizona. Are you with thor 262 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: where Vegas is telling us to pick it? 263 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:33,719 Speaker 5: I mean, not a great field, but I'm going to 264 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 5: go Utah. They've made me money most of the season. 265 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 5: You know, that had a few of the organ game 266 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:41,720 Speaker 5: was obviously not what I expected, but you know, if 267 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,600 Speaker 5: they covered last week. I know it was a bloky cover, 268 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:49,680 Speaker 5: but they just if you're going to bet on a team, 269 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 5: you know, and bet on a coach who's going to 270 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 5: scheme properly, who's not going to make dumb in game 271 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 5: decisions and put yourself in trouble, it's Kyle Whittingham in 272 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 5: the Pac twelve. And I like what Jed Fish is 273 00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:05,720 Speaker 5: doing at Arizona. I mean, geez, they have been a 274 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:11,000 Speaker 5: big surprise this season, but Utah is still Utah. I mean, 275 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 5: they've been there, done that. I think they're ready to 276 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 5: sort of, you know, not send a message here. 277 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 4: I mean, they can't. 278 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 5: Really do that with the you know, the quarterback situation 279 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 5: that you know started the season where it's amazing to 280 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:25,840 Speaker 5: think we thought cam Riising would play Week one and 281 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:28,439 Speaker 5: you know he wasn't going to play the entire season. 282 00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 4: Honestly, winning him should pay back some. 283 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 5: Bets for allowing that farce to occur and for us 284 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 5: to think for the first four weeks of the season 285 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 5: that he might play. But I just like their defense. 286 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 5: I like the way they're playing. I still don't trust 287 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:50,839 Speaker 5: Arizona fully. They didn't cover against Colorado. They they they've 288 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:54,079 Speaker 5: covered okay this season, but not great. Utah has covered 289 00:13:54,160 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 5: quite a bit, So give me Utah on this one. 290 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 5: I'm not betting it though, but if you're asking me 291 00:13:58,160 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 5: to pick a side, I'm taking. 292 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 4: Utah, all right. 293 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 1: So we had some technical difficulties with Mike. I think 294 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:06,200 Speaker 1: the internet went out at the hotel he's staying at. 295 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,560 Speaker 1: So we're going to go ahead and trudge ahead without him. 296 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 1: So Thor we will go to the sec Number two 297 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:16,079 Speaker 1: Georgia at number thirteen Tennessee. Georgia is a ten and 298 00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,280 Speaker 1: a half point road favorite. Fifteen and a half is 299 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 1: a total here cashaw Uga, tickets on UGA and the 300 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 1: under on both sides as well. So how do you 301 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 1: see this one going? 302 00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 3: You can tell the audience the truth of Jimbo. Fisher 303 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 3: called Farrell for an emergency meeting and said, you know, 304 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 3: I need advice if on my next stop and Farrell side, boys, 305 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 3: I have to run. 306 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 1: What's the next move? 307 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 3: Right? Exactly? Yeah, So Farrell was called in the action 308 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:42,840 Speaker 3: you had to put on the Superman suit and fly out. 309 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:47,320 Speaker 3: This is this is an interesting handicap and I feel 310 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:50,280 Speaker 3: like the at least what my systems indicating to me, 311 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 3: and probably you know, from a traditional handicapping perspective, this 312 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 3: smart play would probably beat a sniffer around Tennessee, you know, 313 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:01,400 Speaker 3: on sort of the contrarian angle Tennessee coming off of 314 00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 3: getting smacked around Georgia, coming off of looking like the 315 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 3: world beater, you know, like I was mentioning before the 316 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 3: Death Star in addition to the Michigan Death Star, that 317 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 3: it is inevitable. So you know this should be obvious 318 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 3: to take. You know, Georgia is gonna slap them around 319 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 3: tape Georgia. But I you know, my my system has 320 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 3: a line on this one. At Georgia minus eight and 321 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:23,640 Speaker 3: a half. So it's showing a bit of line value 322 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 3: on the home team in Tennessee. We have seen over 323 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 3: and over again that Tennessee plays better at home. It 324 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 3: would make sense if if Georgia let off the gas 325 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:36,560 Speaker 3: a little bit here in this scenario, now, one week 326 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 3: after you're heading to Tennessee in this game, it would 327 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 3: make sense Tennessee has a big bounce back performance heading 328 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 3: back home. So you know, all that being said, you know, 329 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 3: one week after those games, I don't think I can 330 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 3: back Tennessee in this spot. 331 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 1: The market, Georgia. 332 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 3: Market certainly is not. You know, this line now has 333 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 3: toggled up to ten and a half and whatnot. So 334 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:01,240 Speaker 3: this is probably going to be a stay away for 335 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 3: me because I certainly can't lay it with Georgia either, 336 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 3: with what my system is saying, and you know so 337 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 3: many times in the past, you know, Bert getting burned 338 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,240 Speaker 3: in the spot what I know whatnot probably going to 339 00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 3: be a stay away from me. But if I had 340 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 3: to bet it, I think I would take those points 341 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 3: at Tennessee. 342 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to number twenty four North Carolina 343 00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 1: at Clemson. Clemson is a seven point home favorite fifty 344 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 1: eight and a half is a total here tickets slightly 345 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,280 Speaker 1: on Clemson, but the cash is on the tar heels 346 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: not nothing available for the total. Just not enough bets 347 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 1: in on that yet as we record, Do you have 348 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,640 Speaker 1: a good lean one way or the other here thor not? 349 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 3: Only do I have a lean on this one, I 350 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 3: have a ticket on this one. I really like North 351 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 3: Carolina in this game, my and so does my system. 352 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 3: My line on this game is Clemson minus two point two, 353 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 3: So I'm showing legitimate value on the road team in 354 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 3: this game over multiple key numbers see it as more 355 00:16:55,280 --> 00:17:00,440 Speaker 3: of a coin flip type game. Clemson bit a getting 356 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:04,119 Speaker 3: bit overblown. They did get will Shipley back in the 357 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 3: last game, but I think film off is better. They 358 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 3: should probably just give off great Yeah, I think they 359 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 3: did just give all the all the touch of the MafA, 360 00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 3: So any you know, extra touches that Chipley gets, it 361 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 3: probably doesn't help the offense any And meanwhile, North Carolina's 362 00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 3: offense speaks for itself even if Clemson doesn't. You know, like, 363 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 3: the game doesn't end up being the coin flip that 364 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:28,360 Speaker 3: I think it will be, or my my system thinks 365 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,480 Speaker 3: that it will be. The North Carolina is always in 366 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 3: play to come in through the back door with where 367 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:37,919 Speaker 3: this line is around a touchdown, So I'm taking the 368 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:39,880 Speaker 3: points with North Carolina and I think the guy shot 369 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 3: to win this one out right. 370 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 1: All right now, before we go on to the rest 371 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: of the games, I want to tell you guys to 372 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:49,240 Speaker 1: download the free Betting Pros app for iOS and Android. 373 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 1: Use the Sportsbook Sink to automatically track your bets across 374 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 1: all major sports books in one spot. Easily track your 375 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: bet performance by sport bet type, including game picks, props, 376 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 1: and parlays. Get personalized bet recommendation sailor to your interest, 377 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: including line alerts. When viewing a game of interest, simply 378 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,440 Speaker 1: set a game notification so that you are alerted once 379 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 1: a line hits a certain number. At that point, you'll 380 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,880 Speaker 1: be notified so you can lock in your bet at 381 00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 1: that ideal line. Head over to bettingpros dot com slash 382 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: apps to start setting your alerts now, or download the 383 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:22,640 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app and the iTunes are Google Play stores. Today, 384 00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,359 Speaker 1: let's go to the Big ten here thor number twenty 385 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:29,600 Speaker 1: two Iowa hosting Illinois three and a half is the 386 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 1: line for Iowa in favor of them. Thirty and a 387 00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 1: half is the toll here. Also shout out to Iowa. 388 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 1: We're downing it at the two and keeping the under 389 00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 1: once again in their last game. Tickets are on Iowa 390 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: and the under. What a surprise here, right, So is 391 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 1: this going to be yet another under for the Hawkeyes? 392 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:53,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you always have to bet the under 393 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:58,399 Speaker 3: for the Hawkkeys. And devastating news out of Iowa City today. 394 00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 3: I don't know if you saw, but Tory Taylor, the 395 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 3: the baddest of all punters in America, announced that he's 396 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,800 Speaker 3: going to be going to the NFL next year. 397 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 1: Man got her. Let's get him in the senior ball 398 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 1: now that underclassman can go. 399 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:17,639 Speaker 3: So that's for sure. Yeah, that that hurt Tory. The 400 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 3: leg was was a fun punter to watch these last 401 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,760 Speaker 3: couple of years. And obviously, you know Iowas entire strategy 402 00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:25,160 Speaker 3: on both offense and defense was was sort of based 403 00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:29,199 Speaker 3: around using Tory as a weapon. Iowa coming off the 404 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:33,120 Speaker 3: twenty two to nothing win against Rutgers just classic Iowa football. 405 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 3: That was a good time. Illinois they had an interesting one. 406 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 3: They had that shootout against Indiana forty eight to forty 407 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:45,679 Speaker 3: five where Altmeyer gets injured. John Paddock comes in and 408 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:49,359 Speaker 3: throws for over five hundred yards. John Pattick a guy 409 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:53,159 Speaker 3: who last year started at ball State next to Carson Steel. 410 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,359 Speaker 3: Carson Steel the guy who transferred to u C l 411 00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 3: A and as the UCLA starting running back, and Paddock 412 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,040 Speaker 3: then was the back to Luke Altmeyer at Illinois. So 413 00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 3: it's you know, sort of made a wonky decision terms 414 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 3: of that, but then comes in off the bench, Coll 415 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:08,880 Speaker 3: throw us for over five hundred yards in this win. 416 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,199 Speaker 3: We'll see if Altmeyer ends up being healthy enough to 417 00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 3: go in this game, but maybe Paddock should be starting 418 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:19,679 Speaker 3: any anyway based on that. Altmeyer has a concussion so 419 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 3: might not be able to come back anyway, And it 420 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 3: wouldn't make sense if Paddock has some dormant arm talent, 421 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 3: or at least it would be explainable in that Ball 422 00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:31,680 Speaker 3: State system. I watched a lot of it on Maxen, 423 00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:33,920 Speaker 3: you know, with the week night games whatnot. They had 424 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 3: three receivers at least that were always all wide, sometimes 425 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 3: even four, and then they would have Paddock. He was 426 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:41,960 Speaker 3: always in the top two or three in the nation 427 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:46,200 Speaker 3: in terms of quickest release time in the nation because 428 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,919 Speaker 3: they would just do quick hitting passes right after he 429 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 3: got the ball when they would throw to. 430 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:53,400 Speaker 1: Dis Kurt Warner scenario here. 431 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:57,240 Speaker 3: Like just immediate like you know, funnel screens and different 432 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 3: nonsense like that, right out to the perimeter, essentially to 433 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:04,199 Speaker 3: disincentive by his defenses from stacking the box against Carson Steele. 434 00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,399 Speaker 3: And then so they would thin out the boxes and 435 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 3: then Carson Steele would just break tackles right the Tim 436 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:11,640 Speaker 3: Riggins kid that they had again you can now see 437 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 3: in Westwood. So you never got to see Paddock read 438 00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:20,200 Speaker 3: the defenses or fling it downfield anything like that. He 439 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,200 Speaker 3: got to do a little bit of that on Saturday. 440 00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:26,120 Speaker 3: And it's like John Paddock and Paddock want his dad 441 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,479 Speaker 3: or his uncle or something and played to Illinois. So 442 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,360 Speaker 3: that's why he ended up choosing them. Maybe they ran 443 00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:35,239 Speaker 3: into something with John Paddock. They're gonna need it on 444 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:40,159 Speaker 3: Saturday because there wasn't. So, yeah, he scrambles around, you know, 445 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 3: that's you know, and he had a recruiting pedigree they 446 00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 3: had gotten him from Ole Miss So maybe Bert Bielima 447 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:47,920 Speaker 3: our butt over there. Maybe he felt like he had 448 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,360 Speaker 3: to go with with Almeyer, whereas Paddock maybe he wasn't 449 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,639 Speaker 3: quite as sexy as far as the paigree goes. But 450 00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:55,680 Speaker 3: Iowa getting back to them has an elite pass defense, 451 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:57,960 Speaker 3: one of the three best in the nation. So if 452 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:01,840 Speaker 3: it is indeed Paddock, he's going to need throwing chops 453 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:05,080 Speaker 3: in this game. Certainly they're going to need to be viable. 454 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:10,240 Speaker 3: The line, as all Iowa games are, even against uninspiring competition, 455 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:12,680 Speaker 3: is very low in this game, with three and a 456 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:16,320 Speaker 3: half still bogg men live. Yes, yeah, my system has 457 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 3: this thing higher closer to a touchdown. I would lean 458 00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,960 Speaker 3: Iowa in this game. If I was going on the 459 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 3: side the over under, you know around thirty, I probably 460 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:29,480 Speaker 3: lean under in that thing too. 461 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:32,000 Speaker 1: Iowa going to take You can't take the over. 462 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,120 Speaker 3: I mean, you can't take over. You can't take over 463 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 3: in any Iowa game. I mean the under. They you know, 464 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 3: Iowa scored over twenty points in the last one. You 465 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:42,120 Speaker 3: rarely see that, and it's still easily got the under. 466 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna lean Iowa and the under in that 467 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 3: one as well. Illinois is not a good a good team, 468 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 3: but I am interested to watch Paddock if Paddick indeed 469 00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 3: gets that start for all the reasons I mentioned. 470 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:53,359 Speaker 1: All Right, let's go to a big game for you. 471 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:55,880 Speaker 1: Thorn number twenty five k State and eight point road 472 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:59,879 Speaker 1: favorite at number sixteen. Kansas fifty six is a totally 473 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,720 Speaker 1: and this one is split tickets on KU cash on State. 474 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,480 Speaker 1: Not enough bets on the total here for us to 475 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:12,639 Speaker 1: have any info there. But I know rock chalk is 476 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: what you're all about here. But can you take them 477 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,440 Speaker 1: against k State, who is very tough? 478 00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, I know, I know. During my last comments there 479 00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:21,679 Speaker 3: is a portion of the audience out there that's like, 480 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 3: this is I'm gonna shut this show off. Nim's just 481 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,919 Speaker 3: being he's being a homer. You know he's he's just 482 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,119 Speaker 3: being pro I because he's being a homer, these comments 483 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:32,040 Speaker 3: are worthless. Let me buy back some good will here. 484 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,400 Speaker 3: Everybody knows how much I love Kansas, and everybody, by 485 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 3: extension knows how much I hate Kansas State. I will 486 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 3: have a Kansas State ticket in pocket this week. I'm 487 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 3: laying it with the Wildcats as much as I will 488 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:50,760 Speaker 3: hate cashing that ticket if indeed that ends up happening. 489 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,720 Speaker 3: Let me explain why I don't want that result to occur. 490 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 3: It's just that I think that it will, which is 491 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 3: why I need to buy that ticket. The reason why 492 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 3: is Kansas was seven and two heading into last week 493 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:06,199 Speaker 3: against Texas Tech, right, and they you know, ended that 494 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,199 Speaker 3: game as they were three and a half point favorites 495 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 3: during the week. I think it closed up for right 496 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 3: Jalen Daniels, their quarterback has been injured since you know, 497 00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 3: past month or so. Mister Bean, my boy, the quarterback 498 00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:20,359 Speaker 3: to Jason Bean, he'd been starting during that time mostly 499 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 3: has been pretty good. During the Texas Tech game, unfortunately, 500 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:28,720 Speaker 3: he suffers a concussion that meant most unfortunately, the Kansas 501 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:31,400 Speaker 3: had to go down to KB three on the depth chart. 502 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:35,119 Speaker 3: And even more unfortunately, Kansas did not have a scholarship 503 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,480 Speaker 3: quarterback at quarterback three. The kid they didn't even have 504 00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,040 Speaker 3: a sophomore. The third quarterback on the depth chart is 505 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:44,080 Speaker 3: a kid named Cole Ballard who is a freshman walk on. 506 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 3: Cole Ballard came in and was not impressive. I mean, 507 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 3: like for a freshman walk on, he was okay, he's 508 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,159 Speaker 3: a freshman freaking walk on, right, you know, like, and 509 00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 3: at least he got them to the end of the 510 00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 3: game where incredibly they had a shot actually to win, 511 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:01,960 Speaker 3: and they did get a field goal to tie it, 512 00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:04,359 Speaker 3: and you know, and then Texas Tech went down and 513 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,919 Speaker 3: then they kicked their field goal to win this one. 514 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,359 Speaker 3: Is it so that the line in this game is 515 00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:15,199 Speaker 3: Kansas State minus eight? What that is doing is not 516 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:20,680 Speaker 3: baking in the quarterback injury whatsoever. That's that is why 517 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 3: there is value on Kansas State. Much as I hate 518 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,280 Speaker 3: to say it, my systems line on this game is 519 00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:31,119 Speaker 3: Kansas State minus eleven point four. Again, this line, it's 520 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:35,959 Speaker 3: it's in a reality where Jason Bean is healthy. The 521 00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:39,719 Speaker 3: indications that we have gotten from Lance Leopold this week, 522 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 3: they they don't seem to suggest that that Bean is 523 00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:44,680 Speaker 3: going to play. You know, It's like, oh, we're hopeful 524 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,080 Speaker 3: in YadA YadA, but unless there is a miracle, you know, 525 00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:51,160 Speaker 3: with that and generally with the concussion protocol, you don't 526 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:54,800 Speaker 3: get those I don't think we're gonna see Jason Bean. 527 00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 3: So barring that, you know, certainly when whenever you're listening 528 00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,200 Speaker 3: to this, check on the most recent news on on 529 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 3: Jason being But assuming that it's going to be Ballard, 530 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:08,320 Speaker 3: again with this line beneath ten, that it's not baking 531 00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:11,400 Speaker 3: in that Ballard is going to be starting Kansas State. 532 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 3: This line needs to be above ten. If Cole Ballard 533 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 3: is starting for KU. It just is what it is, 534 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:17,880 Speaker 3: So I have to be on Kansas State. 535 00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I didn't expect Preston Stone to play 536 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 1: on Friday, and he did end up playing. So you 537 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:27,159 Speaker 1: never know with concussion protocol in college and all that stuff. 538 00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:29,639 Speaker 1: So like Thorpe said, just make sure you're double checking, 539 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 1: you know, if Bean is going to play or not 540 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,200 Speaker 1: for that game. Let's stay or let's go to the back. 541 00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:39,200 Speaker 1: Twelve number five Washington at number twelve Oregon State, who 542 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:41,919 Speaker 1: is a two and a half point home favorite. The 543 00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 1: Beavers are sixty three and a half is total here 544 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:47,760 Speaker 1: tickets on Oregon State cash and Oregon State just slightly 545 00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:51,320 Speaker 1: same thing for the over for tickets, but the under 546 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 1: for cash just slightly. So this game seems to be 547 00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:58,399 Speaker 1: a little split. How are you feeling about this big 548 00:26:58,640 --> 00:26:59,680 Speaker 1: PAC twelve matchup? 549 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:05,479 Speaker 3: Hard lean to Oregon State? Oregon State? What uh this? 550 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,479 Speaker 3: You know? You know how some football players they're like, 551 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 3: my life's a movie. I feel like that's Oregon State. 552 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 3: These last couple of weeks, the jilted lover who gets 553 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:16,960 Speaker 3: a shot to end the dreams of these these couple 554 00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,240 Speaker 3: PAC twelve teams that want to go to the playoffs. 555 00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:22,840 Speaker 3: I mean, you couldn't have written it any better. Washington 556 00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 3: now has to head to Corvallis. They're ten and zero, 557 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 3: Washington's having their dream season and now that the team 558 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 3: that they abandoned and they're in injunctions with in the 559 00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:36,640 Speaker 3: courtroom and you know, and all this different stuff. They 560 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 3: have to head the core Vallas where Oregon State plays 561 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 3: awesome and play this team where Oregon State seems to 562 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 3: have been built from the ground up, to directly confront 563 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,960 Speaker 3: the stuff that Washington does. Well like that. It's like 564 00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:52,360 Speaker 3: a you know, a living nightmare for the bar. It's 565 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 3: the one team that you would not want to face 566 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,879 Speaker 3: in this scenario. Uh, it's like a Stephen king buck 567 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 3: or movie or whatever. So Oregon State is going to 568 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:04,840 Speaker 3: spend three and a half hours dragging that Washington team 569 00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,560 Speaker 3: out into deep waters and we're gonna see if they 570 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,119 Speaker 3: can swim. That's what this thing is gonna come down to. 571 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,720 Speaker 3: Your concern for Washington that teams have figured out in 572 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:18,680 Speaker 3: the last month how to defend Pennix, how to keep 573 00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:22,680 Speaker 3: that high flying passing attack down to earth. McMillan has 574 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,360 Speaker 3: been hurt. That's been a part of it. Now it's 575 00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,760 Speaker 3: the two receivers yet to defend. Now, Washington has tried 576 00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,080 Speaker 3: to counter in recent weeks by going to more two 577 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,719 Speaker 3: tight end sets. Now we're going to be multiple. Now, 578 00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:35,880 Speaker 3: we're going to bring in Bernard off the bench. Now 579 00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:37,880 Speaker 3: we got three receivers again. Now we're bringing back into 580 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 3: two tight ends. Now we're running more with Dylan Johnson. 581 00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,240 Speaker 3: That's been happening a lot more the last couple of weeks. 582 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,560 Speaker 3: Now we're gonna try to be more balanced, you know, 583 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 3: different stuff like that. So they're trying to throw more 584 00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:50,040 Speaker 3: stuff at you. But it hasn't led to a better offense, 585 00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:54,080 Speaker 3: you know, not a more high flying offense. Certainly again 586 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 3: Oregon Oregon City, this is the kind of team that 587 00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 3: Washington does not want to confront. Here they can slow 588 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 3: slow the game down more, but this Oregon State team 589 00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 3: they can put points on the board with you if 590 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 3: the game goes in that direction. So if Washington putting 591 00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 3: points on the board. Now that Oregon State has Dju, 592 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 3: they can do stuff in the throwing game, but they 593 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:16,239 Speaker 3: can also do multiple things with their running. And they 594 00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:18,640 Speaker 3: already have Martinez, they already had the good offensive line. 595 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,959 Speaker 3: But DJU he gives you an extra element of efficiency 596 00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:25,280 Speaker 3: on the ground from the quarterback position, but he can 597 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:27,280 Speaker 3: also of course, he's always been able to throw down 598 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,080 Speaker 3: the field, and he's also given him a little bit 599 00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:32,080 Speaker 3: extra element in the throwing game besides that, certainly than 600 00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:34,360 Speaker 3: they were getting last year when they just had the 601 00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,400 Speaker 3: two immobile guys that were throwing interceptions and didn't give 602 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 3: them anything with regards to that. I like Oregon State 603 00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 3: in this game. I think Oregon State's gonna gonna knock 604 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:46,520 Speaker 3: off Washington here and write them out of the playoff. 605 00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 1: I'm okay with that because my long Horns are at 606 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 1: number seven and looking for a couple teams to go down, 607 00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:56,080 Speaker 1: and they are on the road at Iowa State. The 608 00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 1: line here is the long Horns by seven and a 609 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:03,760 Speaker 1: half road favorite. Forty eight is the total tickets on 610 00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:07,400 Speaker 1: Iowa State cash just slightly on Texas and that flipped 611 00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,840 Speaker 1: in the last twenty four hours. Tickets and cash on 612 00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,720 Speaker 1: the under end this game. Obviously, Jonathan Brooks a big 613 00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 1: part of the Texas offense towards ACL done for the season. 614 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:22,480 Speaker 1: I do like Baxter obviously, less experience as a freshman 615 00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: and don't know if he can handle the full workload, 616 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:27,640 Speaker 1: but there's a lot of backs at Texas, so Brooks 617 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,920 Speaker 1: is a big missing piece. I'm not crazy worried about it. 618 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:35,120 Speaker 1: But the environment at Iowa State is tough. It always is. 619 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,280 Speaker 1: I say this every year because it's been true for 620 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 1: the last two decades. Basically, Texas loves to drop a 621 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:45,080 Speaker 1: weird one. They haven't done it yet. They tried too 622 00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:49,000 Speaker 1: against Kansas State, they try to against TCU. They raise 623 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:51,640 Speaker 1: my blood pressure every single Saturday to or what am 624 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:54,920 Speaker 1: I in for this Saturday. 625 00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,200 Speaker 3: This is one where at first blush, I felt sort 626 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,240 Speaker 3: of the same way you know that I would sort 627 00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:01,800 Speaker 3: of talking about with the Oregon State well, you know, 628 00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,240 Speaker 3: not quite to the degree of the bullishes, but where 629 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,640 Speaker 3: it was like, you know, this is one where Texas 630 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,080 Speaker 3: could be in trouble, you know, like because we've seen 631 00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:12,000 Speaker 3: that so often, you know, with with teams going to 632 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,160 Speaker 3: ams getting picked off. Iowa State has played so well 633 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:20,560 Speaker 3: recently Texas, they just got yours back the TCU game. 634 00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 3: You w had pointed that one out, how you know, 635 00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 3: tough Tac has been to them recently, and indeed that's 636 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,560 Speaker 3: what happened again. Texas only won by three in that one. 637 00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:31,840 Speaker 3: Now Brooks, who was awesome this year, either that. 638 00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 1: He was putting together a top bossom or elite at 639 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 1: least it maybe inlights in New York. 640 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,040 Speaker 3: So he was either the top running back on everyone's 641 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 3: board for the next draft or top two, right, I 642 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 3: mean consensus. Right, you lose a guy like that, that 643 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:49,560 Speaker 3: that really hurts, and then again Ers has just gotten back, 644 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,880 Speaker 3: so you're reacclimating the offense of that. Now you have 645 00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 3: to reconstitute the offense with brook Brooks leaving now and 646 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:59,200 Speaker 3: now that you go to the young Backs, so there's 647 00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 3: a lot of moving parts of that. And now you 648 00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:03,480 Speaker 3: had to going to Ames a night game that that's 649 00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:06,320 Speaker 3: a really tough place to play. So initially it's like, yeah, 650 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,640 Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna be grabbing the points there. But the 651 00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,719 Speaker 3: more more I think about this one, I don't know 652 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 3: that I'm going to take the points with With Iowa State, 653 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 3: this is probably gonna end up being a stay away 654 00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:21,000 Speaker 3: for me. And maybe it was my system that ended 655 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 3: up talking me out of it, Like out of the wash. 656 00:32:23,280 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 3: My line on this one texas minus eleven points, seven points, 657 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,000 Speaker 3: so not quite the value that I thought I was 658 00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 3: going to get out of it. Iowa State though, you know, 659 00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,560 Speaker 3: again they've been playing well outside of the Kansas game 660 00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:38,360 Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago. They ended up losing that 661 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 3: one at home. You know that that was the spot 662 00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:42,280 Speaker 3: where they did not get the Ames magic in that 663 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:45,800 Speaker 3: one last twenty eight to twenty one. But Iowa State 664 00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:49,160 Speaker 3: did deck BYU, a bad BYU team last week by 665 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:51,800 Speaker 3: almost thirty points in that game. A lot of these 666 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 3: teams that Iowa State has been beating recently during this 667 00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 3: good run, they've been the bad teams BYU, Baylor, Cincinnati, 668 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:03,400 Speaker 3: tc Use backup quarterback to an extent, we'll see in 669 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:05,479 Speaker 3: this game. But like I said, I think it's going 670 00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 3: to be a stay away for me. My system likes Texas. 671 00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:12,240 Speaker 3: The spot would seem to indicate Iowa stayed. I'm going 672 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 3: to stay away from it. 673 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:16,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, that makes sense, and you know my reasoning for 674 00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 1: you know, my pessimism about Texas is not only are 675 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,480 Speaker 1: does Texas love to drop one of these games late, 676 00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:25,680 Speaker 1: but this is the last time through the Big twelve 677 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:29,400 Speaker 1: and everyone is trying to give Texas their best shot. 678 00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:32,880 Speaker 1: So it's making some close games here at the end. 679 00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:36,560 Speaker 1: But it looks like there's a chance Texas could speed 680 00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:38,360 Speaker 1: bump everybody in the Big twelve on their way out 681 00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:40,400 Speaker 1: of town, which is obviously what I want to see. 682 00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:42,640 Speaker 1: The one loss they have is the other team going 683 00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:45,720 Speaker 1: to SEC in Oklahoma. Let's go to the last game 684 00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 1: up here, Florida on the road at number fourteen Missouri. 685 00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 1: The line is Missouri by eleven and a half. The 686 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 1: total is fifty nine tickets and cash on Missouri and 687 00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:58,480 Speaker 1: the over in this game. Is there any other way 688 00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:03,160 Speaker 1: you can go? I mean, Florida was just embarrassed by LSU. 689 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,120 Speaker 1: You would think maybe they want to try to save 690 00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 1: face in this game, but I don't know if it's 691 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:08,240 Speaker 1: going to happen. 692 00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:13,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, my line being Missouri minus ten point five. I 693 00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 3: will say there is a lot of motivation on the 694 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,840 Speaker 3: Florida side, not only on the roster which needs this 695 00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:24,920 Speaker 3: game for bold purposes, but also for some belt billy, 696 00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 3: as as Pharaoh was saying before he was called out 697 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:31,000 Speaker 3: by Jimbo Fisher already part of the fire coaches coalition, 698 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 3: and some belt billy is just trying not to join him. 699 00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:39,160 Speaker 3: He could badly use this win. Who knows if he'll 700 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:42,360 Speaker 3: be able to get it. Certainly the line would suggest 701 00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,560 Speaker 3: not and maybe the eye test would suggest that that 702 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:47,319 Speaker 3: he won't be able to get it. But motivation is 703 00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:52,120 Speaker 3: on their side. Missouri looked fabulous last week and Missouri 704 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:54,840 Speaker 3: or I'm sorry Florida is on that that three game skid. 705 00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:58,839 Speaker 3: But yeah, it's it's getting late early for Florida if 706 00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:00,640 Speaker 3: they do want to make the post season, because you 707 00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 3: have this game, and then I believe next week is 708 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:06,160 Speaker 3: Florida State. You're probably not gonna win that game. See 709 00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 3: this is your best shot. And then because they're five 710 00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:13,000 Speaker 3: and five right now at the Gator is next season, Bogman. 711 00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:16,160 Speaker 3: As you know Florida, they turn to what is the 712 00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 3: most the most gruesome schedule. 713 00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:22,000 Speaker 1: I as a really rough schedule. Yeah, there are a 714 00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:25,920 Speaker 1: couple just brutal runs. Yeah, Florida coming up. 715 00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:30,480 Speaker 3: Florida's twenty twenty four schedule is it's like that Ring movie. 716 00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:32,759 Speaker 3: You know, you ever see that movie The Ring where 717 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 3: it's just like a horror show. That's that's Florida schedule 718 00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:38,720 Speaker 3: next year. So anyway, uh, they could badly use this game. 719 00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 3: Motivation would be where you could maybe talk yourself into 720 00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:46,080 Speaker 3: them a little bit. Taking those points. I don't trust Florida. Course, 721 00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:48,440 Speaker 3: we talked about this thing over and over and over again. 722 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:52,040 Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna end up staying away from this game 723 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:55,320 Speaker 3: just because of that. If there was ever a game 724 00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:59,360 Speaker 3: for Florida and Billy Napier to throw the kitchen sink into, 725 00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 3: it would be this game, right and then Missouri. You 726 00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:05,640 Speaker 3: know again, you were mentioned they come off the the 727 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:09,279 Speaker 3: exhalation of the thirty six to seven win. Is this 728 00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:12,200 Speaker 3: going to be another kitchen sink game? I wouldn't think 729 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,840 Speaker 3: so against Florida, And then the week before that it 730 00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 3: was that near miss against Georgia the thirty to twenty 731 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:21,240 Speaker 3: one game. Are they going to have another A plus 732 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,319 Speaker 3: effort in this one? I don't know about that. So 733 00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:25,320 Speaker 3: those would be the factors where you could talk yourself 734 00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:29,719 Speaker 3: into taking the eleven whatever. I probably won't be on it, 735 00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 3: but I think I've talked myself into a bit of 736 00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:32,960 Speaker 3: a leen on Florida. 737 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,520 Speaker 1: All right, thor before we leave any other games that 738 00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:37,719 Speaker 1: you're feeling really great that you want to tell the people. 739 00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:42,200 Speaker 3: About, Yeah, I got a couple of liens. I'll give 740 00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:45,080 Speaker 3: you one in the trash bin. I have a lien 741 00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,640 Speaker 3: on East Carolina plus two and a half at Navy. 742 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:52,040 Speaker 3: This is one where there's not a motivation discrepancy. In fact, 743 00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,719 Speaker 3: Navy is the is the team there that could still 744 00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,279 Speaker 3: make a bowl game. I just think ECU matches up 745 00:36:57,320 --> 00:37:00,440 Speaker 3: really well against Navy in that ECU as a really 746 00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 3: good run defense. The only thing they do. 747 00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:05,200 Speaker 1: Well Michigan in Week one they did okay against Mitchon. 748 00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:08,760 Speaker 1: I thought for their offense was terrible, but they stopped 749 00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 1: the run decently. 750 00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:13,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. And Navy has a horrific pass defense and 751 00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 3: easy you throw his way more than they run. So 752 00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,680 Speaker 3: I just think it's a good on field matchup for them. 753 00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:24,320 Speaker 3: The other one that I like that down there in 754 00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:26,880 Speaker 3: the G five Arkansas State catching three and a half 755 00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,000 Speaker 3: against Texas State. Texas State is a weird thing going 756 00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,640 Speaker 3: on with their quarterback situation right now that I don't 757 00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,560 Speaker 3: I don't know what's going on with that situation. TJ. 758 00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:38,080 Speaker 3: Finley did not come out in the second half against 759 00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 3: Coastal Carolina. They played Millie Cornsby the entire second half 760 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 3: of that game, and what was a close game, Malee 761 00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,920 Speaker 3: Cornsby can't throw. Texas State already tried to switch in 762 00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:51,279 Speaker 3: positions this year to running back, which Arkansas previously did 763 00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:53,320 Speaker 3: earlier in his career, they switched him to wide receiver. 764 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 3: Both these teams already figured out he cannot play quarterback. 765 00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:59,439 Speaker 3: Hornsby threw for thirty two yards in the second half 766 00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 3: again and one possession loss for Texas State. But then 767 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:05,920 Speaker 3: after the game, so it's like TJ. Finley, of course hurt. 768 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,680 Speaker 3: He's a guy who's closing in on three thousand yards. 769 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,320 Speaker 3: Played really well this year as Texas State has gotten 770 00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:14,200 Speaker 3: back to you know, their ball eligible already, they were 771 00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,359 Speaker 3: six and two, I think cutting into that game six 772 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:19,480 Speaker 3: and three, and so of course he had to be hurt, right, like, 773 00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:21,600 Speaker 3: you know for you to play Hornsby the entire second half. 774 00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:26,200 Speaker 3: Kenny Kenny, the coach for them, GJ. Kenny after the 775 00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:29,120 Speaker 3: game said that horns or that Finley was not hurt, 776 00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:33,400 Speaker 3: and so it's like, wait, what you benched him? Like 777 00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 3: none of it made any sense. And then and then 778 00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:38,040 Speaker 3: he said that you know, oh, you know, I. 779 00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 1: Run that mouth. That's what I'm assuming there. 780 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,120 Speaker 3: It's just a very strange situation. And there was just 781 00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:46,399 Speaker 3: weird vibes about that team the week before is where 782 00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,840 Speaker 3: they had clinched the ball thing, and I don't know 783 00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:51,200 Speaker 3: if they were flat if there was just weird vibes 784 00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:54,160 Speaker 3: about it. But anyhow, I set all that up to 785 00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:57,680 Speaker 3: say this. This week, they traveled to Arkansas State, the 786 00:38:57,680 --> 00:39:00,879 Speaker 3: fighting Butch Jones is who badly, badly struggled the last 787 00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:03,120 Speaker 3: couple of years. The first couple of weeks this year, 788 00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:06,799 Speaker 3: they were struggling again, and everyone in the world, including myself, thought, 789 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:08,960 Speaker 3: Butch Jones was about to walk to green Mitt and 790 00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,120 Speaker 3: he was. If they hadn't turned it around. Then they 791 00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 3: put in this this new young quarterback that no one 792 00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:15,560 Speaker 3: had ever heard of. Turned out he was really good. 793 00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:18,480 Speaker 3: Ever since then they have turned their fortunes around. Now 794 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:20,880 Speaker 3: they are on the precipice of a ball. They only 795 00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:24,120 Speaker 3: need one more win and now Texas State is coming in. 796 00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:26,640 Speaker 3: Texas State, a team that they jumped into like this 797 00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:29,319 Speaker 3: local lake that when they got their six win, and 798 00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,440 Speaker 3: apparently they've decided. You know, they're still celebrating there, you 799 00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:35,560 Speaker 3: know whatever, Arkansas State they're waiting to jump into their 800 00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:37,719 Speaker 3: own lake. And now they're catching three and a half 801 00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:41,120 Speaker 3: points at home against the Texas State team that apparently 802 00:39:41,120 --> 00:39:43,439 Speaker 3: they just want to get to their bowl game. Take them. 803 00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:46,000 Speaker 3: I think Arkansas State is winning at home springing an 804 00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 3: upset against Texas State and then it's going to be 805 00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:51,640 Speaker 3: celebration time in wherever the heck Arkansas State is located. 806 00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:54,239 Speaker 1: All right, Well, that will wrap it up for us 807 00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:58,400 Speaker 1: this week, and and you know, hopefully Mike will be 808 00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:01,479 Speaker 1: back from his meeting with Jimbo Fish sure next week 809 00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:03,160 Speaker 1: and we will see you guys in Remember you can 810 00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:05,880 Speaker 1: follow us all on the Twitter at Boggman Sports for myself, 811 00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:08,799 Speaker 1: at thor Ku for Thor and at m Ferrell Sports 812 00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:11,000 Speaker 1: for Farrell to our two l's and we will see 813 00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:12,799 Speaker 1: you guys next week. Take it easy, everybody. 814 00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 815 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:18,480 Speaker 2: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 816 00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:20,359 Speaker 2: by leaving a positive review on. 817 00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:21,920 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 818 00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:24,880 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 819 00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:26,800 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 820 00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:28,279 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our 821 00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:32,080 Speaker 2: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros