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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome to a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Day of the Juice podcast. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Paroltz. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. This podcast on Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: It's always being brought to you by bet MGM. All right,

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Speaker 1: so the cool off happened yesterday. My apologies. Down a

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Speaker 1: bunch of units, not what we like to see. After

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Speaker 1: a ten and one run on Friday and Saturday, we

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Speaker 1: were stacking units and then we gave a bunch back yesterday,

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Speaker 1: a three and six day. And look, some of you

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Speaker 1: guys listen and take my advice, and I do appreciate

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Speaker 1: when you do that. The total last night was really

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Speaker 1: the one that if we if I had hit the total,

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Speaker 1: it would have been fine because it would have really

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Speaker 1: lessened the blow from a unit's perspective. It would have

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Speaker 1: been four and six still on the day, but or

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Speaker 1: four and five on the day, and it wouldn't have

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Speaker 1: been down all that badly. Some of you guys waited

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Speaker 1: until the last moment. As I talked about on the

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Speaker 1: podcast last night, I bet overnight, so I get good

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Speaker 1: numbers sometimes and I get bad numbers. Sometimes it all

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Speaker 1: evens out. So for I forget which game it was

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, either on Friday or Saturday. Maybe been

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Speaker 1: Friday where I had a number fifty three and a

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Speaker 1: half and it landed at fifty four. If you had

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Speaker 1: waited the next morning, you bet fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half and then you lost. So I won and a

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Speaker 1: lot of you guys lost. Well, last night, I lost

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Speaker 1: and a lot of you guys won because you took

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Speaker 1: the either fifty three and a half, fifty three, fifty

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Speaker 1: two and a half or the total for the Titans

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Speaker 1: and the Packers. So look, it's gonna even out part

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Speaker 1: of this. As we're doing this every day and making

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Speaker 1: bets every day, you're gonna start to kind of see

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Speaker 1: the waves a little bit as to how gambling goes. Right,

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Speaker 1: You've clearly seen it with me, right, you know, I

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Speaker 1: went twenty five and five and then I turned around

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Speaker 1: and went four and I think it was four and

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Speaker 1: eighteen or five and eighteen, something like that, and then

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Speaker 1: I went ten in one the last two days, come

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Speaker 1: back with a three and six number this week. So

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Speaker 1: this is why flat wagering is something we talk about

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Speaker 1: a lot here on the daily juice because your one

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Speaker 1: unit should be five percent. Look, some people think should

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Speaker 1: be three percent. I don't operate with that large of

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Speaker 1: a bankroll kind of compared to other people. So like,

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Speaker 1: you know, I guess you could do three percent if

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Speaker 1: you're dealing with like a ten thousand dollars bank roll.

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Speaker 1: But I'm not in you know, I'm not talking about

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Speaker 1: rolling around here with you know, with five figures here

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Speaker 1: from a bankroll perspective, but if you are, maybe three

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Speaker 1: percent is a more comfortable wager for you. For me,

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Speaker 1: five percent is a comfortable wager. And just for fun,

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Speaker 1: if you know you've one hundred dollars bankroll, five dollars

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Speaker 1: is your five percent. So you're able to kind of

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Speaker 1: handle and manage your bankroll, right, because when the ups

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Speaker 1: are up, that's great, you're patting your bankroll. But when

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Speaker 1: the downs are down, you don't give everything back. Because

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Speaker 1: that's why people ask me all the time, Hey, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you talk about flat wagering, why don't you up your unit?

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Speaker 1: So if I started with five hundred dollars and now

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Speaker 1: I have one thousand dollars, well, why don't I change

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Speaker 1: my unit? Well, because I know the other side of

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Speaker 1: the mountain's coming. You're gonna You're gonna lose, so let's

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Speaker 1: not keep it all back quicker than you you built

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Speaker 1: it up. Right. It's kind of like a sand castle,

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Speaker 1: where like you're building it and then the tide comes

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Speaker 1: in and washes it all away. You don't want that

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Speaker 1: to happen. You want to have some when the tide

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Speaker 1: comes in and you know, takes out the good chunk

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Speaker 1: of your sand castle. You want to have a little

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Speaker 1: bit left, right. You want to have a little more

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Speaker 1: than what you started with. So that's why I say,

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Speaker 1: don't adjust until after the year is over. And look

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Speaker 1: that the guys at betting Pros have been tracking everything.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk to Dan Harris about this because what

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Speaker 1: I would like to do, and Dan can say yes

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Speaker 1: or no to this, but what I would like to

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Speaker 1: do is essentially start over again on January the first.

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Speaker 1: So like have twenty twenty and we'll take our twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty winnings and earnings and the future wagers should all

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Speaker 1: all be paid out by the time we get to

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Speaker 1: January first. We should have all of our win totals.

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Speaker 1: I did not bet any Super Bowl props, so everything

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Speaker 1: should be rectified by January first. So on January first,

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Speaker 1: I would like to start the clock over at zero,

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Speaker 1: so like for a year one of the of the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice, and I plan on doing this podcast for

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Speaker 1: as long as they'll let me. So you've got, you know,

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Speaker 1: the first six months, and that's twenty twenty. So here's

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Speaker 1: our numbers in twenty twenty, and then we start on

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, and then we can track it, right,

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Speaker 1: so it's like year one, what did we hit? What percentage?

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Speaker 1: And then year two what did we hit? What was

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Speaker 1: our percentage? Right? So you know, I think right now

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Speaker 1: we're up like I think it's ten units. Maybe it's eleven.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm not exactly sure. After after the

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Speaker 1: ten and one run we bounced up a little bit,

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Speaker 1: we're up like fifteen sixteen units. I think it's somewhere

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Speaker 1: around ten or eleven now. So a couple of more

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Speaker 1: days left in the year and then we'll see if

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Speaker 1: we can start over again and go back to zero

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Speaker 1: for January first onward for what's going to happen here

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Speaker 1: for our betting. But the idea is to withstand the waves. Right.

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Speaker 1: There was also a great lesson last night to be

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Speaker 1: learned about weather. So I don't know how many of

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Speaker 1: you either DMed me wrote to me on the discord

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Speaker 1: chat tweeted at me, Matt, are you nervous about the

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Speaker 1: over bet because of the storm. I Am never going

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Speaker 1: to be nervous about totals when it comes to the storms.

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Speaker 1: All right, this goes for our playoff betting. What we

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Speaker 1: watch for is wind, not snow. You saw it, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean the cold weather affected the Titans clearly, right,

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Speaker 1: and the refereeing was atrocious in that game. It changed

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Speaker 1: the whole entire game. It's not why we lost our bet.

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Speaker 1: I'm not crying over spilled milk, but three calls which

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Speaker 1: were blatantly obvious and really bad. The hands of the

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Speaker 1: face call was questionable at best, that led to a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: The blocked field goal got erased because of a phantom

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Speaker 1: offset sides call, and then a forty five yard you know,

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Speaker 1: miss on the sidelines that wound up being a touchdown

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Speaker 1: for the Packers. I mean just ridiculous, right, I mean,

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Speaker 1: if if all three of those plays go the way

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Speaker 1: they're supposed to go, I don't know what happens in

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Speaker 1: the game. I think the Packers probably win, but maybe

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Speaker 1: we're in it late. Maybe it's a last second drive

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Speaker 1: for Rogers. Maybe we have a chance to cash, or

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Speaker 1: maybe even the Titans win. Outright, it just got away

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Speaker 1: from them. But they looked uncomfortable. Bottom line is, they

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Speaker 1: looked uncomfortable. They looked like they wanted to get out

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Speaker 1: of there. I have no idea what Mike Vrabel was

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Speaker 1: doing on the fourth down from their twenty when he punted.

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Speaker 1: They had three timeouts. The Packers were going to take

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Speaker 1: a knee regardless of what happened there, and he punted

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Speaker 1: the football like what like literally, he raised the white flag.

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Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel raised the white flag. That might not be

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Speaker 1: a big thing to you guys, but it's a really

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Speaker 1: big thing to me from a mentality standpoint. He wanted

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Speaker 1: to go home. Keep that in mind the next time

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Speaker 1: the Titans go on the road to a tough opponent

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Speaker 1: in weather. That's something that's a that's a mentality you

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Speaker 1: don't Bill Belichick would never do that. Okay, you play

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Speaker 1: every down, you play every single snap all the way

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Speaker 1: to the end, and you don't ever quit. And Mike

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Speaker 1: Vrabel wanted to go home. He was cold, he was

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Speaker 1: angry and he wanted to go home. That was not good.

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Speaker 1: That was a bad sign. So just but weather doesn't matter. Okay, well,

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Speaker 1: let me excuse me. Cold in snow doesn't matter from

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Speaker 1: a total perspective. Okay, wind matters. It was blustery, but

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Speaker 1: not that bad and for most of you guys want

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Speaker 1: to pitting it. So just so you know in the future,

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Speaker 1: if you see a big snowstorm, don't panic. Okay. If

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Speaker 1: you're on the over, don't panic. Even if you're on

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Speaker 1: the under, don't panic. Handicap the game as you normally would. Okay.

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Speaker 1: I projected points for both teams. I cannot believe the

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Speaker 1: Titans scored fourteen. I mean, if you this is the

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Speaker 1: second time this season a team has scored forty or

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Speaker 1: more points for me with a total in the mid

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Speaker 1: fifties and I lost. It happened with the Falcons and

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Speaker 1: the Raiders, and now it's happened with the Packers and

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Speaker 1: the Titans. That is really hard to do, by the way,

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Speaker 1: Just FYI, that's happened like nine times in the last

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Speaker 1: ten years now, and I've been on both of them

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Speaker 1: and I've lost both of them. Like ouch, that's not fun.

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Speaker 1: So here we are. All right, let's get to the picks.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do something a little bit different tonight. I've

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Speaker 1: got two bets on the Monday Night game. I've got

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Speaker 1: two prop bets on the Monday Night game, and I've

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Speaker 1: got two NBA games in one NBA lean to give

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Speaker 1: you guys here tonight. This is what happens when I'm

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Speaker 1: on vacation. I've got more time to watch games, and

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Speaker 1: I've got time to do research. So I've done a

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Speaker 1: bunch of research here. So yeah, so so here, here's

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Speaker 1: where we're gonna be on this game. But first, BETMGM

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred is the promo code to use when

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Speaker 1: you sign up for a new account with betmgm. Bet

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Speaker 1: on any of the bills of the Patriots. One dollar

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Speaker 1: on the money line will win you one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: if a touchdown get scored. Tonight's between these two teams,

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Speaker 1: between these two arch rivals in the AFC East and

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Speaker 1: one which is the champion of the of the division,

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Speaker 1: and it's not the Patriots. Here for the bills in

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Speaker 1: the Patriots down on the BETMGM app. Go to betmgm

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Speaker 1: dot com and use that promo code. Uice one hundred

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Speaker 1: one hundred dollers and free bets gets paid out with

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Speaker 1: that touchdown. Visit BETMGM dot com for terms of conditions.

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Speaker 1: You must be twenty one years or older. You must

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Speaker 1: be physically located in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one hundred

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Speaker 1: and five to two forty seven hundred in Colorado, onehard

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Speaker 1: gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia or one hundred

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Speaker 1: and nine with it in Indiana. All right, you may

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Speaker 1: or may not want to go with this first bet,

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Speaker 1: but I have in all three of my pick contests,

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Speaker 1: I have the Bills minus seven, okay, all three. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna fade it. Why because we didn't do well in

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Speaker 1: Week sixteen. It's a really hard week. We didn't do well.

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Speaker 1: I could go three to one in one if the

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Speaker 1: Bills win, but but I a win and cover. But

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna fade and say, look it. Whether if the

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Speaker 1: Bills win in cover, awesome, I'm happy in the Westgate.

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Speaker 1: If the Patriots lose in cover or win outright, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna win some money off of it. Okay, half a

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Speaker 1: unit on the Patriots. I'm taking plus seven, So essentially

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Speaker 1: I'm happy either way. I've done this before, so you

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Speaker 1: can do what you want. I know that's not great

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Speaker 1: advice here, but I'm gonna fade my contest place because

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Speaker 1: we did not do well in the DraftKings or in

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Speaker 1: the Westgate or in the Circa Westgate went okay, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say, let's fade the Bills minus seven and

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Speaker 1: take the Patriots plus seven tonight here for half a unit,

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Speaker 1: I might be donating half a unit, but whatever other

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Speaker 1: half a unit, we are taking it, and we are

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Speaker 1: going to the total. How are the Patriots going to

215
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Speaker 1: score in this game? The Bills defense is not very good. Okay,

216
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Speaker 1: Patriots at home, they've been eliminated. They're not playing Jared Stindham.

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Speaker 1: If they played Jared Stidham, if they gave Jared Stindham

218
00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:08,839
Speaker 1: an entire week of preparation, I probably would bet the

219
00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:12,320
Speaker 1: Patriots going away and not even blink an I. But

220
00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,360
Speaker 1: the Bills are coming to town with a bunch of

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Speaker 1: meat cleavers and pitchforks and torches. They want to burn

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Speaker 1: Jillette to the ground. Okay, No fans are going to

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00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,880
Speaker 1: be there, but they really metaphorically want to do this.

224
00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:29,080
Speaker 1: They have been shoveling. The Patriots have been shoveling bleep

225
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Speaker 1: down the throats of Bills fans for twenty years. I

226
00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:39,280
Speaker 1: am forty three. For my entire adult life, Bill Belichick

227
00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:43,400
Speaker 1: has literally served up a poop sandwich to this Bill's

228
00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:48,160
Speaker 1: mafia crew for two decades. They've won the division. The

229
00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:51,360
Speaker 1: Patriots are circling the drain. They are eliminated and not

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Speaker 1: playing for anything. If the Patriots keep this game close,

231
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Speaker 1: I will be stunned. Okay, that's why we took it

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Speaker 1: with all the plays. The Bill's minus seven because it's

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Speaker 1: it wouldn't shock me if the Patriots rose up because

234
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Speaker 1: they're the Patriots. But I just don't see any motivation.

235
00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:11,880
Speaker 1: And the quarterback play has been abysmal for Cam Newton.

236
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Speaker 1: He's saying, I'm not going out like that. Well, okay, dude,

237
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Speaker 1: but sometimes you don't get a say in that. Sometimes

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Speaker 1: father time in your body and your abilities, Sometimes that

239
00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:26,000
Speaker 1: just makes the call for you and you're just pushed

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Speaker 1: out of the sport. And Cam Newton looks like he's done,

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Speaker 1: at least as a starting quarterback in the NFL. This

242
00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:34,720
Speaker 1: was his last Hurrah has one shot and he can't

243
00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,520
Speaker 1: throw anymore. He's not accurate, and the receivers look for

244
00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:40,840
Speaker 1: the Patriots aren't horrible, They're just not in sync with

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Speaker 1: Cam and it doesn't work. So I think the under

246
00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:46,360
Speaker 1: forty six is the play here. I don't think the

247
00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:49,440
Speaker 1: Patriots score. My one fear is that the Bills score

248
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Speaker 1: forty themselves. But I'm gonna hope the Patriots can have

249
00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,640
Speaker 1: some level of pride and the Patriots can bow up

250
00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:59,160
Speaker 1: a little bit, and I'm gonna play the under forty six.

251
00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:01,320
Speaker 1: It's all on the Patriots, though, I mean, it's all

252
00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:02,920
Speaker 1: on that offense for New England, I just don't think

253
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Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to score. If they do, you know,

254
00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:08,120
Speaker 1: it could get a little dangerous here because you could

255
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Speaker 1: see the over come in the over could hit. But

256
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Speaker 1: I mean, much like the game against Miami. I mean,

257
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Speaker 1: they scored well eleven to twelve points in that game

258
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Speaker 1: and Patricks scored fourteen points. They could win fourteen, you know,

259
00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:22,360
Speaker 1: fourteen to ten or something, but that would be surprising

260
00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:24,640
Speaker 1: if they were able to hold Josh Allen in company

261
00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:28,120
Speaker 1: down to that many points. Stefan Diggs is questionable in

262
00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:31,040
Speaker 1: this game, and that does lead us to our prop bets.

263
00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:33,640
Speaker 1: So half a unit on Pats plus seven, half a

264
00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:37,840
Speaker 1: unit on the under forty six for tonight Monday Night Football.

265
00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,560
Speaker 1: Two prop bets at point twenty five units we're going with.

266
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Speaker 1: One is Josh Allen. The rushing prop for Josh Allen.

267
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Speaker 1: I think this is gonna be a big game for him.

268
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Speaker 1: I think it's a chance for him to be mobile

269
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Speaker 1: in run. I think the Patriots, who are gonna play

270
00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:54,120
Speaker 1: a lot of man to man without Stefan Gilmore, I

271
00:13:54,160 --> 00:13:57,719
Speaker 1: think Josh Allen's gonna run Josh Allen over thirty and

272
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Speaker 1: a half yards rushing. I think the dude picks up yardage. Look,

273
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Speaker 1: his passing total is a little high. It's like twot

274
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Speaker 1: eighty to eighty eight. I think I saw it at

275
00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,200
Speaker 1: I thought about taking the over and the passing. But

276
00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:10,880
Speaker 1: if Diggs isn't gonna play, I'm a little concerned about

277
00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:12,920
Speaker 1: the big play potential, and they may try to run

278
00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,280
Speaker 1: the ball a bit more. I'm concerned about the blowout

279
00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:18,080
Speaker 1: potential if the Patriot are turning the football over a bunch,

280
00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:20,240
Speaker 1: the game gets away from it. You know, Alan may

281
00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,560
Speaker 1: not have to throw the ball that much. Yes, I

282
00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:24,880
Speaker 1: know that Neil downs are always scary when it comes

283
00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,800
Speaker 1: to rushing props for quarterbacks, but I just think Josh

284
00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:30,000
Speaker 1: Allen is gonna be able to pick up first downs

285
00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:32,040
Speaker 1: and run and I think it's a big night for

286
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:34,120
Speaker 1: him for a variety of reasons. I don't mind a

287
00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:36,760
Speaker 1: Josh Allen rushing touchdown prop either. You want to throw

288
00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:39,240
Speaker 1: a little sprinkle on that, I don't mind throwing down

289
00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:41,520
Speaker 1: a little bit on that and then the other prop.

290
00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,280
Speaker 1: And I'm not taking any prop bets on the Patriots,

291
00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:46,440
Speaker 1: by the way, just because I just I am petrified

292
00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:49,840
Speaker 1: of that offense. I'm taking Cole Beasley over four and

293
00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:53,960
Speaker 1: a half yards receiving UH for him tonight with this

294
00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:57,480
Speaker 1: offense because of Stefan Diggs potentially being out or at

295
00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:00,920
Speaker 1: least limited do the injury he suffered. So over the

296
00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:04,480
Speaker 1: last three weeks, Cole Beasley has been targeted ten, ten

297
00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:09,680
Speaker 1: and eleven times by Josh Allen eight receptions, five receptions

298
00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:15,040
Speaker 1: and nine receptions. Against Arizona, it was thirteen receptions, sorry,

299
00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:19,240
Speaker 1: thirteen targets, eleven receptions against the Jets twelve and eleven.

300
00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,440
Speaker 1: Now most other games it's been including the Patriots. That

301
00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,880
Speaker 1: twenty four to twenty one win for the Bills over

302
00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:29,160
Speaker 1: the Patriots, it was two targets, two catches for twenty

303
00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:31,320
Speaker 1: four yards. He wasn't a big factor, But I think

304
00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:34,080
Speaker 1: because Diggs may be out and the fact that Beasley's

305
00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,440
Speaker 1: become a pretty big weapon inside of this offense to

306
00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,240
Speaker 1: pick up first downs, I'm gonna go over four and

307
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,880
Speaker 1: a half receptions here for Cole Beasley because of the

308
00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:45,440
Speaker 1: injury to Gilmour, You're gonna have potentially linebackers having to

309
00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,400
Speaker 1: cover him. That's not necessarily a good thing. And we've

310
00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:52,160
Speaker 1: seen drives before. Beasley's made like three catches in one drive,

311
00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,400
Speaker 1: which basically has driven his props pretty high. So four

312
00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,880
Speaker 1: and a half receiving receptions, We're going over four and

313
00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:01,720
Speaker 1: a half for Cole Beasley tonight for the Bills. Forero

314
00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:06,040
Speaker 1: point twenty five units. So that's one unit on the game,

315
00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:10,200
Speaker 1: half a unit on props. We're going to the NBA next.

316
00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:14,960
Speaker 1: I've got two plays, two half of units on one game.

317
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Speaker 1: And this is a game where have you guys seen

318
00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,160
Speaker 1: what Atlanta has done in their first two games. So

319
00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,520
Speaker 1: I was flipping around just looking at different plays and

320
00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:28,480
Speaker 1: possibilities and against the point spread. So far, Atlanta's two

321
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:30,280
Speaker 1: and oh straight up two and oho against the number.

322
00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,880
Speaker 1: They were two point favorites against Chicago on the road

323
00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,800
Speaker 1: and they won by twenty. They were two and a

324
00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:40,800
Speaker 1: half point underdogs to Memphis and they won by ten. Right,

325
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:44,280
Speaker 1: they are at home for their home opener, and they

326
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:48,040
Speaker 1: are laying nine tonight against the Detroit Pistons, who, by

327
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,440
Speaker 1: the way, will be playing without some of their best players.

328
00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:54,880
Speaker 1: Derek Rose not playing in this game, Blake Griffin not

329
00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:58,360
Speaker 1: playing in this game. Ogifer may not play in this game.

330
00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:01,560
Speaker 1: In the first two two games of the year for Detroit,

331
00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:03,800
Speaker 1: they were five and a half point dogs to Minnesota,

332
00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:06,879
Speaker 1: they lost by ten. They were one point favors to Cleveland,

333
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:10,480
Speaker 1: they lost by nine. I don't think they're gonna be

334
00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:13,159
Speaker 1: able to slow down an offense that has come out

335
00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:17,240
Speaker 1: of the gates blazing for Atlanta. Atlanta's averaging one hundred

336
00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,879
Speaker 1: and twenty three points per game. Detroit is giving up

337
00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:22,840
Speaker 1: one hundred and nineteen point five points per game so far.

338
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:25,640
Speaker 1: On the other side, Detroit scoring one hundred and ten.

339
00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:28,159
Speaker 1: Atlanta not that great with one hundred and eight, but

340
00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,600
Speaker 1: they're without Rose, and Griffin, right, two of their best scorers.

341
00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,600
Speaker 1: They're gonna be without him. Without both those players, the

342
00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:36,760
Speaker 1: total is two twenty five. I'm gonna go ahead and

343
00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:40,000
Speaker 1: take Atlanta laying nine for a half a unit, and

344
00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:43,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the under two twenty five also for

345
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,240
Speaker 1: a half a unit, and I think that you're gonna

346
00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 1: see kind of a blowout. But I don't think we're

347
00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:52,159
Speaker 1: gonna see many points being scored here for Detroit. So

348
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,000
Speaker 1: I mean like a one ten to ninety type of

349
00:17:55,080 --> 00:17:58,920
Speaker 1: victory here when the under comes in easily and Atlanta

350
00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,960
Speaker 1: covers that nine point line as well. I mean, look,

351
00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:05,520
Speaker 1: Atlanta wants to be competitive. The Hawks feel like, you know,

352
00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:07,720
Speaker 1: it's not just the fact they've got Trey Young, right,

353
00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 1: but they they feel like they've got some talents, They've

354
00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,320
Speaker 1: got some guys they've brought in, and they want to

355
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 1: show their fans that, look, this is a team you

356
00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,440
Speaker 1: guys can follow, This is a team you guys can

357
00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 1: pay attention to this coming winter. So I think Atlanta

358
00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:23,840
Speaker 1: and their home opener are no fans clearly, but I

359
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:25,720
Speaker 1: think that they're gonna go ahead and put up a

360
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:27,800
Speaker 1: number here. I'm gonna lay the nine for a half

361
00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:29,680
Speaker 1: a unit with Atlanta, and I'm gonna take the under

362
00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:32,720
Speaker 1: two twenty five also for a half a unit. Now

363
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,560
Speaker 1: that does lead one half a unit kind of floating

364
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,600
Speaker 1: out here. Okay, I can't bet this game yet. The

365
00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:43,520
Speaker 1: only place I found this number was at DraftKings, so

366
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:45,520
Speaker 1: I have to either do some magic or just wait

367
00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,080
Speaker 1: for this line to pop here in Las Vegas. But

368
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:54,080
Speaker 1: how about the Brooklyn Nets losing straight up losing to

369
00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:57,560
Speaker 1: Charlotte like what they lost to the Hornets one oh

370
00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:01,840
Speaker 1: six to one oh four, and so you're kind of like, huh,

371
00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:06,119
Speaker 1: how did that happen? And what happens now to the

372
00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:09,560
Speaker 1: Nets and their second of a back to back. This

373
00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:12,120
Speaker 1: is gonna be one thing we're gonna watch with back

374
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:16,120
Speaker 1: to backs and how teams handle back to backs, cause

375
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,639
Speaker 1: it's not going to be easy to play, you know,

376
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 1: to really be out there consistently playing back to backs

377
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 1: all season long. But Memphis is zero to two on

378
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:28,399
Speaker 1: the year, and now they're gonna get an angry Nets

379
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:32,200
Speaker 1: team who destroyed their first two opponents and then once

380
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 1: to kind of the spotlight wore off a little bit.

381
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 1: They wind up on the road and they lose to

382
00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:39,879
Speaker 1: the Hornets one oh six to one oh four, and

383
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:43,159
Speaker 1: I think everybody was like wait, what, like, how did that?

384
00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:46,440
Speaker 1: How did that happen? Spencer didn't when he got hurt,

385
00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:49,760
Speaker 1: so it's like, okay, he was out, and you're like, Okay,

386
00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:52,840
Speaker 1: this is a little bit concerning here. Kyrie didn't look

387
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:56,160
Speaker 1: all that good. I think this is a bounce back

388
00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 1: spot here. I can't bet it, but Nets minus seven

389
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:03,600
Speaker 1: and a half I think this could be an opportunity

390
00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 1: for the Nets here to go. And it is a

391
00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 1: back to back, so there's a little bit of a

392
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:10,919
Speaker 1: concern there. But you know, I think Durant will have

393
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 1: a big night, Kyrie could have a big night. I

394
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 1: think Memphis is not that good here, and I think

395
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:18,680
Speaker 1: in terms of losing their first game of the year,

396
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,399
Speaker 1: they got a taste of losing. Now, yes, I know

397
00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,600
Speaker 1: the Dinwitty injury could be significant, but we're gonna wind up.

398
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,159
Speaker 1: I'm gonna wind up looking for that seven and a

399
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,359
Speaker 1: half point number. DraftKings says it now, I can't bet

400
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,919
Speaker 1: it hear or here in Vegas, but I will update

401
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 1: you on the discord chat and maybe there could be

402
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 1: an injury or two that will pull me off of this,

403
00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 1: but that's a lean right now that I probably will

404
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 1: be on with the NETS link seven and a half

405
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 1: tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies. But that's not official play yet.

406
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 1: It's a lean until I can bet it, which is

407
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,119
Speaker 1: gonna be tomorrow morning or this morning when you got

408
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:50,719
Speaker 1: your listening to the Daily Juice. So to recap our

409
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:53,560
Speaker 1: plays here on a Monday, Patriots plus seven half a

410
00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 1: unit under forty six bills Patriots Monday Night Football half

411
00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 1: a unit. Josh Allen rushing over thirty and a half

412
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,479
Speaker 1: thirty point five yards rushing for point twenty five units.

413
00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 1: Cole Beasley over four and a half receiving or receptions

414
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 1: rather at point twenty five units. Atlanta minus nine for

415
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,360
Speaker 1: a half a unit against a bad Detroit team and

416
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 1: the under in that game two twenty five for a

417
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,360
Speaker 1: half a unit in that NETS lean against Memphis. I'll

418
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:20,160
Speaker 1: bet it when I can bet it at minus seven

419
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,399
Speaker 1: and a half most likely. So three units in play

420
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 1: bit more than normal on a on a Monday. But

421
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:27,640
Speaker 1: I'm on vacation, so I want to watch a bunch

422
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:29,879
Speaker 1: of games and hang out in the discord chat and

423
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:33,199
Speaker 1: talk to you guys bettingpros. Dot com slash chats to

424
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,920
Speaker 1: get into this discord chat. Bettingpros dot com slash chats

425
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 1: to get into discord chats. Every day I'm on there.

426
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 1: Daily Juice is the channel where you can find me.

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Speaker 1: Also can find me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 1: every morning, even on vacation, even on New Year's Eve,

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Speaker 1: even on New Year's Day. It is the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: podcast presented by betmgm offenningpros dot com