1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,680 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast Poda. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 3: Fifteen Cundy, twenty five, thirty thirty five, Toty Cody five fifty. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 2: And the kick as block. Look all. 5 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 4: Stunner. 6 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 2: Oh my goodness. 7 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 4: He stumbled the football. The lateral to the counter of 8 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 4: the job. Don't you believe? 9 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 2: Tap him up the field to night. It's not the 10 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 2: sage boy gave anything. It's the sage of the fight. 11 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, brought to 12 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 4: you by bet MGM. This is the group of five 13 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 4: Deep Dive. I am Mike Calvarys and I am joined 14 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 4: by our intrepid co host Mike Ianello, live from his 15 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 4: jeep Grand Cherokee. I assume that your road tripping for 16 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 4: Yukon Army. You're on your way to West Point. Is 17 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 4: that correct? 18 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you gotta represent. You've got Max Sham. 19 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 5: We got to drive up to New England, the college 20 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 5: shoopa capital of the world. 21 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 2: What I got? I did it to be here to pod. 22 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 4: It's that time of year with New England football the 23 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 4: center of the entire college football universe. A reminder to 24 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 4: our audience to follow us over on the Action app 25 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 4: BBOC G five Deep Dive. You can see all of 26 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 4: our picks throughout the week, and as of this morning, 27 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 4: the College Basketball Best Best podcast is back with the 28 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 4: three man Weave right here on the Big Bets on 29 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:33,319 Speaker 4: Campus podcast. You're able to hear them on Wednesdays for 30 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 4: the next couple of weeks, and then we're going to 31 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 4: change the schedule up a little bit moving forward once 32 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 4: college football is done, and a programming note on that 33 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 4: as well. Next week obviously being Feast week, Turkey Day, 34 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 4: Black Friday, all of those fun times with your in laws, 35 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 4: So what we're gonna do is shift it up. No 36 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 4: new BCS episode next week, but a Monday. We'll have 37 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 4: the recap show the G five Deep Dive on Tuesday, 38 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 4: and then our flagship program with Stucky and Colin on Wednesday, 39 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 4: So make sure to check your feeds for all of that. 40 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 4: All right, Ian l O, you're already our hero, you know, 41 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 4: carrying on the podcast remote in your vehicle. So let's 42 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 4: start with your G five hero from week eleven. 43 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 2: I'm cheating again. 44 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 5: You know, I love to do this, but I can 45 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 5: never decide because I love all of them like my children. 46 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 2: I want to give them all love. 47 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:27,639 Speaker 5: So I'm gonna give G five Heroes of the Week 48 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 5: to a trio of G five linebackers. Starting with it. 49 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 5: You mentioned the Yukon Huskies. Jackson Mitchell Stud nine tackles, 50 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:39,679 Speaker 5: two fumber recoveries, return one for a touchdown. 51 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:42,519 Speaker 2: Yukon beats Liberty. They are now Bowl eligible. 52 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 5: He is second in the country with one hundred and 53 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 5: seventeen tackles, leads the country and FUMBA recoveries. Jackson Mitchell 54 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 5: from Yukon absolute stud second one. I want to give 55 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 5: some love to ul Monroe Quay Drake. I mean, this 56 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 5: dude had an unbelievable game. Blocked punt for a touchdown, 57 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 5: pick six, turn from for a touchdown. ULM won thirty 58 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 5: one twenty eight with three hundred total yards of offense 59 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 5: and one offensive touchdown. That's like almost impossible to do, 60 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 5: but they basically did it because of Kway Drake. 61 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 2: And finally you had to mention it. Carlton Marshall. We 62 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 2: kind of jokingly said he might break the record this week. 63 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 2: He did. 64 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 5: He had twenty two freaking tackles against the Army to 65 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 5: set the FBS all time record five hundred and forty 66 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 5: six stars. This is a former walk on who's like 67 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:32,959 Speaker 5: five foot nine and is the greatest tackler in college 68 00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 5: of last three now, so Carlton Marshall, you are G 69 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 5: five here of the week. 70 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 4: I love Carlton Marshall. I've been running a college fantasy 71 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 4: football league for twenty one years. He was my individual 72 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 4: defensive player. He carried me to the Holiday Bowl, which 73 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 4: I'm in this week. Shout out to Asher's chocolate covered Pretzels. 74 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 4: If I win that minor bowl game, that's what I'll 75 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 4: be bringing to Thanksgiving as a real hero. For my 76 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 4: G five hero from week eleven, I'm going with the 77 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 4: head coach. I'm going Jim Mora shit. I don't know 78 00:03:57,720 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 4: if that's effort or not. 79 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 2: Tors shit ball here in that horse shit. 80 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 4: Can you make an argument that anyone else has done 81 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 4: a better coaching job this season? I mean, they've already 82 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 4: got six wins. If they win this weekend, that means 83 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 4: they'll have as many wins as they had in the 84 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 4: previous four seasons. And they haven't won a bowl game 85 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 4: since Papa John's wasn't problematic back in two thousand ande 86 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 4: when it beats South Carolina. So the fact that they 87 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,160 Speaker 4: are on the precipice of a Bowl invite. I understand 88 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 4: that there's issues because they don't have a conference tie in, 89 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 4: so even if they get to seven wins, that doesn't 90 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 4: necessarily help them all that much in terms of what 91 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 4: needs to happen. It's just more of an issue of 92 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 4: the eligible teams, and then they'll sot in for you know, 93 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 4: one of the Bowl tie ins if a team doesn't 94 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:39,039 Speaker 4: get to that six win threshold. But regardless, this story 95 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 4: has been incredible, and I love the fact that it 96 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 4: was last summer. When the ad travels out to catch 97 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 4: them Idaho to see more, it's like a scene right 98 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 4: out of like Moneyball or a movie where it's like, 99 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 4: we got to find this obscure guy to kind of 100 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:55,159 Speaker 4: save our season. Halfway between Gimlet and Sawtooth City, Idaho, 101 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 4: which is obviously I want to give you, you know, the 102 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,159 Speaker 4: big cities there in central Idaho. Dave an idea of 103 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 4: where it catch them is and convinces them, talks him 104 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:03,599 Speaker 4: into it. One point five million dollars per year and 105 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,719 Speaker 4: in one season. Now there's already articles running in like 106 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 4: the Hartford newspaper. Can we keep mora? How can we 107 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 4: you know? Keep this guy here to continue to build 108 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:15,280 Speaker 4: with four years left on his contract. Just an incredible turnarounds. 109 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 4: Really appreciate, you know what he's done for Yukon football, 110 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,039 Speaker 4: because it's fun for us. We want to see a 111 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 4: great G five story. I understand that they're, you know, 112 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 4: FBS independent, but we're we're a big tent organization here, 113 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 4: So we're bringing in the Huskies. All right, We're gonna 114 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:31,039 Speaker 4: hop into our gas bets for this week twelve of 115 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 4: the college football season. Let's get it started with yours Ionello. 116 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 4: Meet me. 117 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:41,359 Speaker 5: I'm taking utsa minus thirteen against Rice. Do you know 118 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 5: what Rice doesn't do well? 119 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 4: Ah, there's a couple things they don't do well. I'm 120 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 4: gonna say, stop the pass. Stop the pass. 121 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 5: There are one hundred and second in the country in 122 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 5: success rate defending the pass, one hundred and eighteenth defending 123 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 5: passing explosive. This they have about twenty two passing touchdowns 124 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 5: this season. Over the last four weeks, they've given up 125 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 5: fourteen touchdowns through the air. 126 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 2: They've been awful recently. 127 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 5: La Tech put up forty one, Charlotte put up fifty six, 128 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 5: uteh put up thirty. 129 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:12,239 Speaker 2: Western Kentucky put up forty five. 130 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 5: They give up just a ton of big plays and 131 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 5: then when teams get pass the forty yard line, they 132 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 5: score touchdown pretty much every time. Well, do you know, 133 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 5: you want to know what UTSA does extremely well? Pass 134 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 5: the ball, finished drives. Rodanrriers are fourth in the country 135 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:30,479 Speaker 5: and passing success sixteenth in the country. And finishing drives. 136 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 5: We talked about them all year. Frank Harris three yards 137 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 5: per game, twenty two touchdowns. 138 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 4: Just six picks. 139 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,719 Speaker 5: He's completing seventy percent of his passes. He has just 140 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 5: one interception since September. And you know, Decoryan Clark is 141 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 5: out for the season, which absolutely sucks. But I'll say 142 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 5: maybe Ohio State. But like, UTSA might be the only 143 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:53,479 Speaker 5: team in the country that can lose a dude with 144 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:57,720 Speaker 5: fifty catches, seven hundred and fifty yards and eight touchdowns 145 00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 5: and be like, oh, well. 146 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:00,480 Speaker 2: He's our number three receiver. 147 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 5: Anyway, you know, they still have the car Franklin, they 148 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 5: still have Josh Recifist and a big thing I like 149 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 5: about the UGSA team too, And what they've been doing 150 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 5: is obviously after losing sincere McCormick, it really took him 151 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 5: a while to get the running game going, but with 152 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 5: the emergence of freshman Kavorian Barnes to go along with 153 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 5: Brendon Brady has been the main back all year. They 154 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 5: have over two hundred rushing yards and four of the 155 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 5: last five games. Barnes had just six carries to the 156 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 5: first six games. Now he's over one hundred yards and 157 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 5: three the last four games, so they're really coming on 158 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 5: the one area week. The free DSA has been giving 159 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 5: up big plays, but that's not away something you have 160 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 5: to worry about with Rice TJ. McMahon was bench last 161 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 5: week after tossing two picks. They brought in a freshman 162 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 5: against some reps. He threw two picks. So the roll 163 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 5: winners have seven straight games everyone seven straight games by 164 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 5: an average of seventeen points. I just think they're two 165 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 5: touchdowns better than the Owls and I think they can. 166 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 2: Throw it all over this secondary. So give me utsay, 167 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 2: I'll lay the thirteen. 168 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 4: It's also a bit of a mystery with Luke McCaffrey. 169 00:07:57,080 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 4: He was a no show last week. We don't know 170 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 4: what his status for this game. It's not exactly a 171 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 4: deep team offensively, and he was clearly one of their 172 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:06,960 Speaker 4: best weapons. So another thing to monitor in terms of 173 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 4: going with the road Runners there for my best bet, 174 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 4: I'm finally with Gusto going to fade, UAB traveling to 175 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 4: Death Valley taking on LSU. The Bayou Bengals lay in 176 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 4: fourteen and a half. And here's kind of how I 177 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 4: think of the game from a narrative perspective. LSU already 178 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 4: got their letdown game out of their system. They go 179 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 4: into frigid conditions against Arkansas. They play a listless game offensively, 180 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 4: but luckily their pass rush was there to save the day. 181 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 4: To pull a full Brett McMurphy. I'm getting something through 182 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:37,920 Speaker 4: my earpiece right now. Oh, Harold Perkins just had another sack. 183 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 4: The kid had four sacks last week. And UAB cannot 184 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 4: protect their quarterback. LSU secondary, I think, has the goods 185 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:47,680 Speaker 4: to be able to shut this down from an aerial show. 186 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 4: And then it's all Dwayne McBride loading up the box 187 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 4: to stop them. And then finally, as I said, it's 188 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:56,440 Speaker 4: narrative based, it's situational based. LSU cannot mess around. This 189 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 4: is old school BCS era where it's like you got 190 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 4: to run it out, you got to impress the computers. 191 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:05,400 Speaker 4: In this case, it's impressed the committee because as much 192 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 4: as it may seem as though, you know, win out 193 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 4: beat Georgia in the SEC title game, you're in the 194 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 4: You're the SEC champion, Tennessee is ahead of them, and 195 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 4: Tennessee has the benefit of one fewer loss and the 196 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 4: head to head win in Baton Rouge, I don't care 197 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 4: what the committee says. You know, you have to win 198 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 4: your conference championship, blah blahlah blah. The team's played and 199 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 4: they went to their house and Tennessee beat them. So 200 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 4: this is a spot where they got to win, in 201 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 4: my opinion, by North the four touchdowns to really show 202 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 4: the committee, yes, we can beat the doors off of 203 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 4: any team that is perceived to be weaker than us. 204 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 4: So I'm going to go with LSU minus fourteen and 205 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 4: a half, not scared away by the hook in that spot. 206 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:41,840 Speaker 4: What are your thoughts on, Brian Kelly, you know, potentially 207 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,599 Speaker 4: smashing a G five team to impress the committee. 208 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 2: I agree with you, they're just all McBride and ls. 209 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 2: You should be able to stop that run pretty easily. 210 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 4: Now it's tign for our G five High five, our 211 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 4: round Robin's segment. 212 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: The G five High five should be high. 213 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 2: Five, high five. 214 00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 4: Start here. 215 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 5: I'm taking South Florida plus thirteen and a half at 216 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 5: Tulsa on Friday night. 217 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:08,599 Speaker 4: I think gross is an understatement. 218 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 2: This is my tribute to Stucky. 219 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 5: I'm getting Stucky's dumpster dive in a little early so 220 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 5: when he I'm hoping stuck dives in as well, and 221 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 5: then I'll be like, oh, welcome. 222 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 2: This number is just too big for a Tulsa team 223 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 2: that stinks. 224 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 5: Tulsa shouldn't laying thirteen and a half fourteen against anybody 225 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 5: they haven't covered to spread five straight games or just 226 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 5: three and seven ats, which is the same as South 227 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 5: Florida is. And you look at South Florida, Yeah, that 228 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 5: the interim head coach principle has been pretty profitable throughout 229 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 5: the whole year. They were tied last week at halftime 230 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 5: against SMU and they should have covered, but they went 231 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 5: for two down eighteen with a minute and a half left, 232 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 5: because God forbid you lose by sixteen instead of seventeen 233 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 5: and then you know, just kick the field and get 234 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 5: to cover. But whatever, I'm hoping he does it this week. 235 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 5: As bad as South Florida is on defense, and they're 236 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 5: horrible I'm not going to say South Florida is good. 237 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:58,360 Speaker 2: This Tulsa offense is horrible. Davis Brand stinks. 238 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 5: He leads the country and picks last year eight this 239 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 5: year was heard a couple of weeks ago, missed the game, 240 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 5: came back last week, ended up getting benched because he 241 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 5: played so bad. 242 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:08,200 Speaker 2: He's a senior. 243 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 5: I think they're starting to let Brayln Braxton takeover, but 244 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 5: he's completing just fifty percent of his passes. This offense 245 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:18,720 Speaker 5: is seventieth and passing and rushing. They're just not built 246 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 5: to like blow anybody out. And then defensively, while Tolsa 247 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 5: has been good against the pass, it really struggles against 248 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 5: a run and running the walls the only thing South 249 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 5: Florida does well. They're thirty ninth in the country, fourteenth 250 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 5: and exposed to this. Last year they had Jaron Magnum 251 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 5: and Kelly Joyner who led the way, but both have 252 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 5: only played four games this year, and instead it has 253 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 5: been Star Kick Returner an Action Network group of five 254 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:48,839 Speaker 5: All American return man Brian Batti. This dude is so fast. 255 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,200 Speaker 5: He's averaging eighty seven yards per game. He got over 256 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 5: one hundred yards in each of his last three games. 257 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 5: Polsta is just eighty third at defending exposed to this 258 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 5: on the ground, So I think they if they just 259 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 5: feed Brian Betty on the ground, he can just outrush 260 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:04,559 Speaker 5: the Golden Hurricanes, and I think they cover this two 261 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:05,320 Speaker 5: touchdown spread. 262 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 4: Go with God on that one. I really hope that 263 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 4: you're right. I still if I had a basically sum 264 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 4: up their entire season, it was me playing them in 265 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 4: Week one against BYU, and by the time I checked 266 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 4: in on the game, they were already down twenty one nothing. 267 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 4: They gave up like a seventy five yard play to 268 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 4: Puka Nakua to get the whole thing started. That's kind 269 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 4: of how it's gone for South Florida. I appreciate the 270 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 4: fact that you're trying to fade another team who probably 271 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 4: not getting as much heat as they should be for 272 00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 4: being bad this year, and I agree. You know, South 273 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 4: Florida was certainly feisty against SMU, so maybe you're onto 274 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 4: something there. But I'm just at this point of the season, 275 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 4: I'm going to be treating myself now that there's some 276 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:44,600 Speaker 4: crossover games with Power five teams, I'm gonna be treating 277 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 4: myself to some good football. I'm gonna go ahead with 278 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:51,400 Speaker 4: Florida State Land twenty four against Louisiana. So FSU, here's 279 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 4: the thing in this particular game, it comes down to 280 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:57,800 Speaker 4: quarterback play. Jordan Travis has broken through. He is clearly 281 00:12:57,800 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 4: one of the best duel threats in the entire country. 282 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 4: Although we up to ninth in total QBR his last 283 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 4: four games eleven touchdowns, one interception, added in two rushing 284 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 4: touchdowns as well against the Louisiana team that's still trading 285 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 4: on its previous value. This is not the team that 286 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:17,000 Speaker 4: was playing under Billion Napier for so many years. They 287 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 4: were just dominating the Sun Belt West. They were a known, 288 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 4: you know, quantity in terms of that brand of football 289 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 4: they're trying to play this year. Their offense is falling 290 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 4: off a cliff there, one hundred and seventh in success rate. 291 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 4: They can't throw the ball, which is what they're going 292 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 4: to need to do to keep up in this game. 293 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:33,840 Speaker 4: Protect potentially, I should say, have a backdoor cover all 294 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:35,800 Speaker 4: of these things I think are trending against them. And 295 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 4: then finally, from an FSU perspective, we know how well 296 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 4: they can run the football, but Louisiana is more than 297 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 4: happy to give up huge plays, chunk plays through the air. 298 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 4: So I think you're going to see, you know, an 299 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,679 Speaker 4: FSU team that's still focused the look ahead games of 300 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 4: Florida's against Florida in a rivalry game in week thirteen. 301 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 4: I don't think that's as big or as looming as 302 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,319 Speaker 4: it would be if there was an opportunity to get 303 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 4: into the college football playoff. So I don't think they're 304 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 4: necessarily going to look past Louisiana in this game. Twenty 305 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 4: four is fine with me in terms of laying the points. 306 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 4: I know we've been down on the rage occasions, but 307 00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 4: is there anything I'm missing in this particular spot with 308 00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,720 Speaker 4: a Sunbelt West team that's kind of reeling at this point. 309 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,199 Speaker 5: I'm just a little confused because this whole time, I 310 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 5: thought the whole point of this podcast was to shine 311 00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 5: light and give some love to the little guys in 312 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 5: the Group of five, And here you are, Benedict Calabres 313 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 5: turning heel picking against all the. 314 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 2: G We're supposed to be the G five guys. You're 315 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 2: picking against all the G five? What are we doing here? 316 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 2: This isn't supposed to How many times? 317 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 4: How many times take these absolute dregs and talk about Nevada. 318 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 4: I've earned this, I've put in the work, and I 319 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:39,800 Speaker 4: am ready to get on the fade train back to 320 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 4: I'm going for your next pick. 321 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 5: I'm going with a fun one for everyone who loves 322 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 5: the G five and loves our you know G five heroes. Houston, 323 00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 5: East Carolina over sixty six and a half. 324 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 2: Who the hell is getting a stop in this game? 325 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 5: You want to know how Houston followed up their brilliant 326 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 5: defensive performance where they allowed seventy seven point and nine 327 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 5: passing touchdowns to SMU. They allowed four hundred and eighty 328 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:07,440 Speaker 5: six passing yards and three touchdowns to Temple. 329 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 2: CJ. Warner, Kurt Warner's kid absolutely torched them through the 330 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 2: air last week. 331 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 3: Ain't a holders and this suit is a certified dish. 332 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 5: They are now one hundred and seventh in the country 333 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 5: at defending passing success rate. Our boy Holten Ailers is 334 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:27,040 Speaker 5: going to absolutely cook this secondary. This is a special 335 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 5: day for Ailers too. This is senior Night at ECU, 336 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 5: and that's an extra special senior night considering he has 337 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 5: been there since George Bush Senior was in office, So 338 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 5: I'm sure it's gonna be emotional for him. He's already 339 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 5: the school's all time passing leader in yards touchdowns, and 340 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 5: he should have a huge matchup here his last game 341 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:45,320 Speaker 5: in ECU. 342 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 4: That's going to be the. 343 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 2: Best part I've ever seen. 344 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 5: So it would seem cd Johnson and Keaton Mitchell both 345 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 5: left last week's games with like what looked like very 346 00:15:58,440 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 5: serious injuries. 347 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 2: Johnson stretchered off and taken to the hospital. 348 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 5: Mike Houston said they're both fine, They've both been practicing, 349 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 5: and they're both expected to be one hundred percent on Saturday. 350 00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 2: I don't know how it's possible, but I love it 351 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 2: because I love c. J. Johnson. 352 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 5: Mitchell also has been running like a mad man since 353 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 5: Roggie Harris got Hurt's not good against the run either, 354 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 5: so I think they both have good games on the 355 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 5: flip side. Houston's fourteenth in the country in passing success. 356 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 5: Clayton Tune and Tank Dell one of the best connections 357 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 5: in the country. ECU's defense has been great against a run, 358 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 5: but their secondary has been torched. They're one hundred and 359 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 5: eighth in passing success in the country. Both teams special 360 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 5: teams are also just a mess. ECU especially is just 361 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 5: so bad on special teams. So we could see short fields, 362 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 5: block punts, fumbled punts. This should be a hole in 363 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 5: Naylors Clayton tune, absolute slug fast. We could see another 364 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 5: seventy seven sixty three game. So I'll take the over here. 365 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:55,359 Speaker 5: Nobody's getting to stop. 366 00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 2: In this one. 367 00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 4: This is my favorite play of yours, maybe the whole. 368 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 4: I think this is an absolute hand over. And I 369 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 4: mean we talked about Doug Belk, the million dollar man. 370 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 4: You know, he's probably doing last night, you know, or 371 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:11,120 Speaker 4: two nights ago at midnight when it turned to November fifteenth, 372 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 4: just refreshing his Chase Bank account to make sure that 373 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,400 Speaker 4: those direct deposits were still coming in, because the fact 374 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:19,120 Speaker 4: that he's still cashing paychecks and coaching up a defense 375 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 4: that is this bad is I mean, I would feel 376 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:25,199 Speaker 4: nervous if I was him to go from one of 377 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 4: the best coordinators in the G five to potentially getting 378 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:29,119 Speaker 4: canned all in one season. 379 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:31,359 Speaker 2: If it makes him feel any better. 380 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 5: He did lose the Brols Award to Josh Gaddis, who 381 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 5: also might get fired and is pretty much the worst 382 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 5: offensive coordinator that doesn't work at Texas Leana, So at 383 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:41,960 Speaker 5: least that makes him feel a little bit better. 384 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:44,440 Speaker 4: All right, you called me out for no. G five love. 385 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,360 Speaker 4: How about this for G five love. Troy minus fourteen 386 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 4: against the Yeah, Monroe two wins away from winning the 387 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 4: Sun Belt West, so they are locked in. Their defense 388 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 4: has been just absolutely amazing last five games. They're holding 389 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 4: opponents to eleven points per game. They're eighth nationally and 390 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:03,159 Speaker 4: limiting explos plays. Ulm's defense is on the opposite end 391 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,280 Speaker 4: of the spectrum. They are so bad that this could 392 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,200 Speaker 4: be a showcase for Troy's offense. One hundredth and success fright, 393 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 4: one hundred and tenth in havoc, one hundred and twenty 394 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 4: third in takeaways. The Warhawks are a disaster at this 395 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 4: point in the season. I love Troy. I understand that 396 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 4: they're a low scoring team, they don't do anything particularly 397 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 4: well offensively, but I think they get to twenty eight 398 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 4: thirty one points in this game and this could be 399 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 4: a goosegg This could be a shutout for Monroe in 400 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:29,639 Speaker 4: this spot. I love what Troy has done. I think 401 00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 4: they're one of the best stories in all of the 402 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 4: G five. And as we mentioned, at this point in 403 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,200 Speaker 4: the season, when you get to Bowl eligibility or potentially 404 00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 4: you have a rivalry game on deck. You can have 405 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 4: those look ahead spots. But because they have South Alabama 406 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 4: for all intents and purposes, a half game behind them 407 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 4: in the Sunbolt West standings, there's no look ahead potential whatsoever. 408 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 4: So coming off of their ten to nine win against Army, 409 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 4: I see their offense tripling that offensive output and getting 410 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 4: past the Warhawks. Where your thoughts on the Carlton Marshalls 411 00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 4: and the rest of the Troy Trojans. 412 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,680 Speaker 2: You know I love Troy. Never gonna say note to 413 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,080 Speaker 2: bet on them all right. 414 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:05,560 Speaker 3: Before we continue. As a reminder, the Big Bets on 415 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:09,400 Speaker 3: Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM. So kick 416 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 3: off the new Pro football season with the King of 417 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:14,840 Speaker 3: sports books. Sign up with BETEMGM using bonus Code Action 418 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:18,000 Speaker 3: two hundred, and your first wager is risk free up 419 00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 3: to one thousand dollars. Visit betmgm dot com for terms 420 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 3: and conditions. 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In New York, call or 437 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,639 Speaker 6: text the Tennessee Redline at eight hundred eight nine nine 438 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,160 Speaker 6: seven eight nine or one eighty eight seven seven seven 439 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:19,440 Speaker 6: nine six nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you 440 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 6: have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close 441 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,640 Speaker 6: to you. Please contact Connects Ontario at one eight sixty 442 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,160 Speaker 6: six five three one two six zero zero to speak 443 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 6: to an advisor free of charge. Sports betting is void 444 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,960 Speaker 6: in Georgia, Hawaii, Ohio, and Utah and other states were prohibited. 445 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,240 Speaker 6: Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. 446 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 5: For my last big of the G five High five, 447 00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 5: I'm gonna say a phrase I don't know has ever 448 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 5: been spoken by any human ever. I'm gonna lay double 449 00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:50,119 Speaker 5: digits on the road with UNLVO. 450 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,639 Speaker 4: Oh boy, okay, listen. Randall Cunningham's not walking through that 451 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:56,600 Speaker 4: door to play quarterback in punter, but I'm listening. 452 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,120 Speaker 5: U n OV just needs wins against Hawaii and Nevada 453 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 5: to reach a Bowl game for the first time since 454 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 5: twenty thirteen. They've reached the postseason just once in the 455 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 5: last twenty years, in just four times in their forty 456 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,480 Speaker 5: five year history. They've just combined for just six wins 457 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 5: in the previous three years, and they're on pace to 458 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,639 Speaker 5: do that against the two worst teams in the Mountain West. 459 00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,119 Speaker 5: Doug Brumfield is back. He missed the last three games 460 00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:26,399 Speaker 5: despite the fact that they've lost five straight games. They 461 00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 5: lost to San Jose State, Air Force, and Notre Dame, 462 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 5: all without Brumfield fine losses, and then since he's return 463 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 5: they lost to San Diego State by four and Fresno 464 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,679 Speaker 5: State by seven. So I don't think their results have 465 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:43,119 Speaker 5: really been indicative of how much better this team is 466 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 5: than last year's team. By the way, a team last 467 00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 5: year that blew out Hawaii, and like I said, I 468 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:51,119 Speaker 5: think they're much much better. Aden Robinson is Robbins is 469 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,000 Speaker 5: averaging ninety five yards per game that's second in the 470 00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 5: Mountain West nine touchdowns. Brumfield has six scores with his 471 00:21:57,119 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 5: leags two, and Hawaii is horrific against the run. They've 472 00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 5: allowed two hundred and twenty two yards per game, five 473 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,479 Speaker 5: point eight yards per carry, one hundred and twenty seventh 474 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 5: in the country. They've given up twenty seven rushing touchdowns 475 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 5: this season. Colin Wilson's Power ratings have Hawaii one hundred 476 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,680 Speaker 5: and twenty eighth out of one hundred and thirty one teams. 477 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:22,879 Speaker 5: He makes UNLV a twelve and a half point favorite 478 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:26,720 Speaker 5: on a neutral field. There is no bigger myth in 479 00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:30,239 Speaker 5: college football ball than Hawaii having home field advantage on 480 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:30,680 Speaker 5: the island. 481 00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 2: It's one of those things that everyone always assumes they're going. 482 00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 5: To because, oh, the tough travel in the time zone 483 00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:37,919 Speaker 5: and you gotta be on a plane, and you know 484 00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:39,200 Speaker 5: Cole Brennan and you. 485 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 2: Know they're not walking through that door. 486 00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 5: Since twenty fourteen, teams playing against Hawaii on the island 487 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:51,919 Speaker 5: are thirty three nineteen and two against the spread, sixty 488 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:55,880 Speaker 5: one percent cover rate. They have two winnable games for UNLV. 489 00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 5: They should be double digit favorites in both. I think 490 00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 5: they're going to be dialed in and focused, and they 491 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 5: are I think more than most. Similar to Yukon, they 492 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 5: know how much this opportunity does not come around often 493 00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 5: in Las Vegas. 494 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,120 Speaker 2: I think you and OLV beats why by double digits. 495 00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 4: The fact that you and LV opted for a field 496 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 4: goal down ten on Friday night, killing my Fresno minus 497 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:21,919 Speaker 4: nine and a half play. I'm just gonna set this 498 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 4: one out. I'm too emotional about it. It's it's still stinging. Hey. 499 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 5: That just tells me they know the spread. Good for them, 500 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:28,960 Speaker 5: that's perfect. That's what I want. 501 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:30,879 Speaker 2: No spread, Go for it, baby. 502 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,120 Speaker 4: Speaking of spreads, throw them out the window. We don't 503 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,560 Speaker 4: need them money line underdog. 504 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 1: Parlay turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for 505 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 1: the money line parlay, and. 506 00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:50,000 Speaker 4: I'm going to get it started. Iello has been basically 507 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,520 Speaker 4: telling me all season, Breeze, just reel it in a 508 00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 4: little bit. Just take a team that's, you know, catching 509 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,879 Speaker 4: two points in the spread, you know, maybe a plus 510 00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 4: one twenty. Let's get a winner out there. You know 511 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 4: what I've really I've listened, I've internalized that, and I've 512 00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:05,560 Speaker 4: decided to go in the absolute opposite direction. Yukon money 513 00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:08,359 Speaker 4: line plus three twenty over Army. Are you kidding me 514 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 4: with this money line? What disrespect for Yukon? Listen, Yukon 515 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 4: runs as much as any non service academy team in 516 00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 4: the entire country, one hundred and eighty one yards per 517 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,360 Speaker 4: game on the grounds. They got three guys with over 518 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,919 Speaker 4: four hundred yards. They can do it. Armies run defense 519 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,399 Speaker 4: stinks two hundred and three yards per game allowed, one 520 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:27,200 Speaker 4: hundred and eighteenth nationally five point one yards per carry. 521 00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:29,679 Speaker 4: That's one hundred and nineteenth. And let's look look at 522 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:33,920 Speaker 4: Yukon's resume here as an underdog, seventeen point plus underdogs. 523 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 4: They want outright against Presno, I know Hayner wasn't playing, 524 00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:40,320 Speaker 4: still counts. Boston College beat him thirteen to three. Liberty 525 00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 4: they win thirty six thirty three. They storm the field 526 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,200 Speaker 4: that the rent All wins. Outright, this is going to 527 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:49,919 Speaker 4: be a game where actual live Yukon fans are going 528 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:51,280 Speaker 4: to get in their car. They're going to get the 529 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,480 Speaker 4: Duncan and they're going to drive to West Point and 530 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:54,680 Speaker 4: they're gonna be there. It's a two and a half 531 00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 4: hour drive. 532 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 2: There's right, I'm on my right. 533 00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 4: Exactly, you're already there. I don't understand why this is 534 00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 4: north of three to one. This is ridiculous. I'm gonna 535 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,280 Speaker 4: take advantage. We're gonna hit one of these big boys 536 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,680 Speaker 4: before the season is over, and you know time's getting 537 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,600 Speaker 4: a little bit short, So gonna go with Yukon plus 538 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,200 Speaker 4: three twenty on the money line? What are we pairing 539 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:11,640 Speaker 4: it up with. 540 00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 2: That's the first big one you've taken. 541 00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 5: I don't even hate I'll be honest, though I hate 542 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,840 Speaker 5: my pick. I look, I looked through this card four times. 543 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,359 Speaker 5: Could not find a single money line underdog that I 544 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:26,760 Speaker 5: even remotely liked. So I'm just throwing a dart that's 545 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:30,359 Speaker 5: what this is about. Give me Middle Tennessee State plus. 546 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,840 Speaker 5: I think it's like plus two hundred against the FAU. 547 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 5: I've faded FAU one hundred times. I'm gonna keep doing it. 548 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 5: Both these teams, just think, and they're both five and 549 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 5: five somehow with a chance to go bowling. 550 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:42,560 Speaker 2: I still don't think either of them are good. 551 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:46,080 Speaker 5: Middle Tennessee has already won three games outright as an underdog, 552 00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:49,399 Speaker 5: including that big win over Miami. Their strength is picking 553 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 5: up explosive plays, and they look to throw the ball 554 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:56,040 Speaker 5: much more than they run it. Middle Tennessee actually isn't 555 00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 5: that bad defensively. They don't allow big plays and their 556 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:00,760 Speaker 5: top forty creating havoc. 557 00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 2: FAI, on the other hand, is horrific. On defense. They're 558 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 2: outside of out of ninety against both the run and 559 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 2: the pass. Chase. 560 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,639 Speaker 5: Conny Aam didn't play last week, but he was a 561 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 5: game time decision, so I really hope he's able to play. 562 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,800 Speaker 5: I'm not gonna lie, but Backup started six games last year, 563 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 5: so it's not like he's, you know, totally inexperienced. But 564 00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,240 Speaker 5: I would very much like Cunningham to play for this. 565 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 5: But the Blue Raiders have been at their best anyway. 566 00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 5: When Frank Peasant is just running the ball well and 567 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 5: again FAU can't defend the run, teams are always going 568 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 5: to have a chance given how bad Fau's defense is. 569 00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:32,200 Speaker 2: This is the most ringing. 570 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:35,240 Speaker 5: Endorsement I've ever given. But tak Milertennanc plus two hundred 571 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:36,919 Speaker 5: if you want. If you want, it's up to you. 572 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 4: As a reminder of the Group of five Deep Dive 573 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 4: brought to you by bet MGM. If you take those 574 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,520 Speaker 4: two plays over at bet MGM, you pop them in, 575 00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:46,880 Speaker 4: that's plus eleven ninety on the money line as a parlay. 576 00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:48,680 Speaker 4: And I'm gonna go ahead and run through the rest 577 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:52,600 Speaker 4: of our bets. ILO's best bet UTSA minus thirteen, My 578 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 4: best bet LSU laying fourteen and a half. Then for 579 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,080 Speaker 4: the G five high five South Florid to catch him 580 00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 4: thirteen and a half, Houston ECU over sixty six and 581 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 4: a half, UNLV minus ten and a half, Florida State 582 00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:07,680 Speaker 4: minus twenty four, and Troy minus fourteen. Lots of favorites 583 00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 4: on the board. We're just we're rolling with it this week. 584 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 4: But hopefully the G five money line underdog parlay can 585 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,400 Speaker 4: get all those underdog vibes going and really pay off 586 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 4: an entire season worth of some struggles in that department 587 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:23,840 Speaker 4: for that particular element of the show. Now onto our 588 00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:27,679 Speaker 4: last segments, which has quickly become the most profitable segment 589 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 4: of our podcast. What are your thoughts on any of 590 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 4: the bonus bets or bets that were left on the 591 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,159 Speaker 4: cutting room floor? Just one not necessarily that I had 592 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,520 Speaker 4: a lean on, but you know, you look up after, 593 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 4: you know, previewing the season, we went through the Mountain 594 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,479 Speaker 4: West team by team we figured Wyoming. You know, they 595 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,360 Speaker 4: were organ donors to other teams across the country through 596 00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,600 Speaker 4: the transfer portal. They're headed for a ten lost season. 597 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:52,600 Speaker 4: They're seven and three, they're catching fourteen against Boise. That 598 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:54,160 Speaker 4: seems a little bit rich, don't you think. 599 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I still don't think Wyoming is good. 600 00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:58,719 Speaker 5: I just don't know how to keep winning. So I'm like, 601 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:00,840 Speaker 5: I only I've mentioned them once all seasons because I 602 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:02,120 Speaker 5: just have no feel for them at all. 603 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 4: All Right, any bonus picks that you liked that when 604 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,240 Speaker 4: you were close to pulling the trigger on or do 605 00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 4: you just come to the table with you know, multiple 606 00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 4: G five heroes of the week and that's the only 607 00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,280 Speaker 4: thing that's weighing you down. 608 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:14,720 Speaker 5: The only other one I had written down was Southern 609 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,360 Speaker 5: Miss plus seven and a half against South Alabama at home. 610 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:19,160 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a low sperring game. I like both 611 00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,200 Speaker 2: these defenses. Southern Miss. 612 00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:23,440 Speaker 5: They've been actually throwing the ball pretty well with taikes 613 00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:25,000 Speaker 5: over the last couple of weeks, which is something they 614 00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,919 Speaker 5: start with all year, so with their running game, and 615 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 5: I think I just trust their defense. 616 00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 2: I think seven and a hook is a lot. I cerdainly. 617 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,159 Speaker 5: South Alabama probably wins, but Southern Miss just tends to 618 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:37,200 Speaker 5: muck up games and make a mugly and len lose 619 00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:40,280 Speaker 5: by four. Take the touchdown in a hook with Southern Mess. 620 00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 4: There the one I almost pulled the trigger on, but 621 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 4: I don't think I'm allowed to. I think we have 622 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 4: to have a full off season's worth of buffer before 623 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 4: I can get back on the Western Kentucky bandwagon. Like 624 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,440 Speaker 4: close to two to one, travel into the planes to 625 00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,400 Speaker 4: take on Auburn, like their season is still alive. They 626 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,640 Speaker 4: do something really well. They can pass the ball just 627 00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,600 Speaker 4: as well as any team in the G five, and 628 00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 4: Auburn's you know they got I'm like William. 629 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 5: No, no, no, Cadillacs got those boys home. Then they're 630 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 5: playing every game like it's the super Bowl. 631 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 2: No. 632 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 4: Next next week is their super Bowl in the Iron Bowl. 633 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 4: So if there was ever a look ahead spot, I 634 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,000 Speaker 4: didn't pull the trigger on it. That's why we're mentioning 635 00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 4: it here at the end of the program. But I 636 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:18,760 Speaker 4: think Western Kentucky is a live dog in that game, 637 00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 4: for sure. 638 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 2: I don't hate it, but I'm riding a Cadillac. 639 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 4: For Mike Aello on Mike Calabaries. That's been the Group 640 00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 4: of five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on Campus banner, 641 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,400 Speaker 4: brought to you by bet MGM. Some programming notes as 642 00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 4: a reminder, we have all kinds of great programming for you. 643 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:35,160 Speaker 4: College basketball. Best Bets are back with the Three Man Weave. 644 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:38,800 Speaker 4: They drop Wednesday mornings, so right next to us on 645 00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:42,240 Speaker 4: your podcast feed. And a reminder for next week Feast week, 646 00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:45,200 Speaker 4: Thanksgiving Black Friday, we're reshuffling the deck a little bit. 647 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 4: No new BCS episode on Monday, We're gonna have the 648 00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,480 Speaker 4: recap of the weekend. Tuesday, we'll have our G five 649 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 4: Deep Dive, and then Wednesday it's Colin and Stucky giving 650 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:58,160 Speaker 4: you everything from the flagship program bringing down every single 651 00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 4: FBS college football game, So we're gonn get that ahead 652 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 4: of Thanksgiving. Black Friday Saturday, so you're all prepared, and 653 00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:06,680 Speaker 4: a reminder as well. On Saturday at ten am, we 654 00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 4: have our live show with Brett with Colin with Stucky 655 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 4: breaking down all the last minute news to help you 656 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 4: stay in the black on Saturdays. Thank you so much 657 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 4: for listening and we appreciate you riding with us here. 658 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:18,880 Speaker 4: In Week twelve, the College Pall Season