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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: I hope everyone had a great Christmas and a probable

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Speaker 1: last week of college football betting. We're back in the

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Speaker 1: saddle today with our official picks and predictions for the

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Speaker 1: college football playoff quarterfinal games going off on New Year's

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Speaker 1: Eve and New Year's Day. Also give you our rapid

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Speaker 1: fire picks for the other eight bowl games happening over

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Speaker 1: the next week.

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Speaker 2: I'm know Seth Wilcock.

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Speaker 1: Locked and loaded for what should be a fantastic episode.

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Speaker 1: And no I'm not alone. I'm joined by RQB one

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Speaker 1: of this particular program, Scott Big Time Bogman Boggs. How's

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Speaker 1: it going man? We are roughly forty eight hours away

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Speaker 1: from the Fiesta Bowl kicking off this second round of

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Speaker 1: the CFB games.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't count on the Steelers in December, right,

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Speaker 2: we know that, Seth. So I am counting on the

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Speaker 2: Longhorns in January. Here, so hoping to see another win,

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Speaker 2: advance another round, and hopefully some of my I got

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Speaker 2: a lot of my props right last time. Yeah, I

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Speaker 2: did not get a lot of my picks right. So

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Speaker 2: hopefully this week we're doing better and I think it

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Speaker 2: is going to be a better week. Okay, let's keep

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Speaker 2: it going here. I'm excited.

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Speaker 1: If you're watching here on YouTube, you c bogs He's

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Speaker 1: rocking some burnt orange. I'm also in my Penn State

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Speaker 1: Jersey here as well, so uh, good times, high vibes.

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Speaker 1: Over on the program, We're also mixing it up with

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Speaker 1: a gentleman who I know had an excellent holiday and

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Speaker 1: still probably in that holiday spirit. After rock O Beck

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Speaker 1: and the Iowa State Cyclones pulled out a nail biting

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Speaker 1: pop tarts full victory.

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Speaker 3: He was scared to come back in the game.

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Speaker 4: No, ay suf, he was scared to come back in

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Speaker 4: the game.

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Speaker 2: That's gonna be your quarterback soon too.

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Speaker 4: Oh man shut out. The Giants fell way too far.

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Speaker 4: He's going to be long going by the time. But

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Speaker 4: has this Bowl season not been been?

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Speaker 3: Has so awesome?

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Speaker 4: You have overtimes left and right. I mean I was

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Speaker 4: on the wrong side.

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Speaker 3: Of oh you but the balls to go for it.

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Speaker 4: You know what, let's just go win it. We're not

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Speaker 4: gonna go play this game. We're gonna go for it

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Speaker 4: and try to go win it. Absolutely diego Pavia goes

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Speaker 4: out with another win.

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Speaker 3: I mean Oh and then h Rutgers just what a

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Speaker 3: what a collapse?

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Speaker 4: What a collapse by the Rugers Scarlet Knights there, man,

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Speaker 4: that was the money line play or fading Kansas State there,

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Speaker 4: it's Toledo and Nardoozi's just yet another another fumble.

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Speaker 3: It's been so many.

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Speaker 1: Good even that Syracuse game last Friday night.

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Speaker 3: Oh, talk about that cover blown.

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Speaker 1: So I got it sixteen and a half. I took

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Speaker 1: a sixteen and a half earlier in the week actually

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Speaker 1: for an NFLBP show last week.

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Speaker 2: I was filling in for Terrell.

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Speaker 1: That was my parlay of the week was that Syracuse

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half and the Giants Dolphins under which

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Speaker 1: both Gloria's plays that hit.

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Speaker 2: Thank you very much over there.

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Speaker 1: But so so yeah, bollseason has been great, and guys like,

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Speaker 1: we're only on the doorstep of it, right. We have

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Speaker 1: eight more games that we're gonna talk about with no

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Speaker 1: playoff implications, and then we're also gonna be breaking down

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Speaker 1: what's gonna be a great second round of the seas.

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Speaker 1: Thanks to everyone who watches and listens every single week,

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Speaker 1: we greatly appreciate it. If you are here on YouTube,

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Speaker 1: let us know your lock of the week in the

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Speaker 1: comments below, and while you're here, please like this video

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Speaker 1: if you enjoy this type of content, and subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the whole channel if you are new. Before we jump in,

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Speaker 1: I also wanted to remind you about the Betting Pros discord.

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Speaker 1: Looking to up your game in sports betting? We'll then

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Speaker 1: join our exclusive sports betting discord at Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat. Not only can you connect with some handicappers

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Speaker 1: who provide free picks for the NBA, the NFL, MLB,

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Speaker 1: NHL player props, live betting, and more, but now you

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Speaker 1: can also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your

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Speaker 1: vote and see how your picks stack up against the

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Speaker 1: experts like Bogs like Terrell, and track your success. Gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: let's get the action going where we started on New

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Speaker 1: Year's Eve with the VRBO Fiesta Bowl kicking off at

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Speaker 1: seven thirty pm Eastern Time from Glendale, Arizona, former home

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Speaker 1: of Bogman. The six seeded Penn State and in Need

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Speaker 1: Lions have moved to aven point favorites against the three

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Speaker 1: seed Boise State. Broncos State finished second in the Big

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Speaker 1: Ten twelve and two straight up seven and seven ats

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Speaker 1: this season. Now called by Andalkotalnikki the Big Zamboni, this

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Speaker 1: offense has been more explosive than ever, twenty fourth in scoring,

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Speaker 1: twenty third in total offense, but their fourth ranked total

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Speaker 1: defense has been overwhelming, led by a trio of NFL

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Speaker 1: prospects upfront. No news on starting right tackle Anthony Donka

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Speaker 1: defensive tackle Alonso Ford, who've both been out since November.

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Speaker 1: Boise State, meanwhile, they earned a first round by after

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Speaker 1: winning the Mountain West Championship. Their twelve and one straight

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Speaker 1: up seven and six ats this season. As well, Senior

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Speaker 1: safety Alexander Tubner we talked about last week, weren't sure

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Speaker 1: his stats. He'll be up for the Broncos bias A sideboys,

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Speaker 1: I am going with the Penn State Nitney Lions to

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Speaker 1: cover here. I'm laying at heavy as well. Boise State

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Speaker 1: ranks dead last one hundred and thirty fourth in the

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Speaker 1: country in miss tackles.

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Speaker 2: And what do you usually think happens.

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Speaker 1: When teams take a couple of weeks off, Well, they're tackling,

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Speaker 1: they come back, they're not tackling well, so I think

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Speaker 1: they're gonna struggle with that as well. So I'm laying

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Speaker 1: at all here after the long layoff on Penn State

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Speaker 1: to cover against Boise State, Treell what do you think

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Speaker 1: A bugs?

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Speaker 3: A bugs?

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Speaker 4: And so said he referred to them as state when

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Speaker 4: he was doing his breakdown, and then came back and said,

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Speaker 4: no bias.

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Speaker 3: Aside though he just referred.

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Speaker 2: To the state.

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Speaker 4: He didn't even say where was that. He just said state.

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Speaker 4: It was like, yeah, nobody your bias.

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Speaker 2: We all know it's fine.

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Speaker 3: Hey, hey bogs, he says state. A State's couldn't look good.

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Speaker 3: Which state?

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Speaker 2: Which state?

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Speaker 1: I always thought Penn State was just like, did you

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Speaker 1: call anyone else?

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Speaker 2: State? Is there anyone else?

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Speaker 3: Or is that just I mean, I'm.

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Speaker 4: From Virginia, so when I say state, I'm talking about

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Speaker 4: Virginia State.

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Speaker 2: Okay, what about you, boss at Arizona State? Uh, you

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Speaker 2: know in Arizona. And also, you know, you sometimes just

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Speaker 2: using initials like I say a s U for state,

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Speaker 2: and I was on a show with a guy from Arkansas.

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Speaker 2: It's like, it's weird hearing you say ASU for Arizona

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Speaker 2: State because Arkansas state is also yeah, you know, or

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Speaker 2: U of A for Alabama, u of A for Arizona.

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Speaker 2: You know, those those type of things. So I think

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Speaker 2: Alabama does U of A. I don't. I'm not one

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Speaker 2: hundred percent on that, but yeah, I just you know,

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Speaker 2: it's okay to be bias. You know your bias, It

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Speaker 2: is fine.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So Terrelle removing my bias? Are you laying points here?

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Speaker 1: With Boise State one hundred and thirty fourth in the

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Speaker 1: country in miss tackles against this Penn State defense.

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Speaker 4: First of all, I remember when this was the Totedo's

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Speaker 4: Bowl Tostitos school. I don't know what this VRBO thing

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Speaker 4: is about, but I.

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Speaker 2: Think it's a hotel.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, No, it's a.

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Speaker 2: Host It's like Airbnb.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's like Airbnb, right, I don't know what that's about.

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Speaker 4: We got to go back to the chips man, the chips.

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Speaker 4: That's when this was legendary. I think you're forgetting about

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Speaker 4: the Oregon game. And I could understand everything you're saying

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Speaker 4: if I didn't see the Oregon game and see them

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Speaker 4: get up for a really, really good Oregon team. And

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Speaker 4: here's the things that Poise does well defensively, They stopped

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Speaker 4: the run, They guard the tight end. Now, is this

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Speaker 4: gonna be a really really hard matchup to do both

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Speaker 4: of those things, especially with Tyler Warren. Yes, one hundred percent.

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Speaker 4: I get that. But if they're able to slow him

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Speaker 4: down on offense, if they're able to slow down his

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Speaker 4: run game and make a lar beat him, I mean

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Speaker 4: I think that they're gonna be able to find themselves

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Speaker 4: in it, and then it's the time to prepare. I

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Speaker 4: don't think that they were sitting there twittering their thumbs

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Speaker 4: the whole time. I think they knew that they saw

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Speaker 4: that they were gonna get this Penn State team next sty. Hey,

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Speaker 4: all right, let's go ahead and start preparing. Let's start working.

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Speaker 4: I think that this is a well coach group and

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Speaker 4: they're gonna come out here ready to play. This is

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Speaker 4: Ashton Jentz's time to show that, Hey, I can do

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Speaker 4: this against any defense. It doesn't matter. I did against

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Speaker 4: Oregon earlier this year. I can do it against Penn

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Speaker 4: State here. So I like the points.

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Speaker 3: I think this is way too many points, Bogs.

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Speaker 2: How do you feel about it? Yeah, I'm on the

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Speaker 2: other side trail. I'm on Penn State all the way here,

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Speaker 2: and we are. I don't think this game is going

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Speaker 2: to be particularly close. Yeah, no bias, But look, the

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Speaker 2: reason I think this is, you know, the main reason

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Speaker 2: that you brought up Seth is the tackling for Boise

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Speaker 2: State has been abysmal this year and it's just really

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Speaker 2: hard to improve that. Even with a couple extra weeks

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Speaker 2: layoff here, I don't know if that is going to improve.

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Speaker 2: So that is my fear for Boise State. I do

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Speaker 2: believe and know that these teams play in a very

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Speaker 2: similar fashion. Right you want to pound the rock, you

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Speaker 2: want to control of the clock, you want to put

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Speaker 2: you want to get up on the other team, you

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Speaker 2: want to put them in a position to throw the ball.

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Speaker 2: Because these defensive lines are both awesome. Boise State I

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Speaker 2: think is like third or fourth in sacks. They have

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Speaker 2: over fifty sacks this season. They've been great at that,

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Speaker 2: but they're playing against Mountain West competition most of the time.

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Speaker 2: They're not playing against an offensive line like Penn State has.

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Speaker 2: And also, I just think Penn State is going to

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Speaker 2: push them around at the point of attackle maybe both

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Speaker 2: sides of the ball play at least on offense for sure.

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Speaker 2: I think that is the bigger mismatch in this game,

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Speaker 2: is Penn State's offense versus the Boise State defense. I

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Speaker 2: do think Ashon chant is going to break the record

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Speaker 2: in this game. I do think he's going to be

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Speaker 2: able to run in this game a little bit. No

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Speaker 2: disrespect to the Penn State defense at all, but if

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Speaker 2: Penn State gets up quick, if they are able to

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Speaker 2: score fast, if they put up two touchdowns in the

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Speaker 2: first quarter, this is not going to be good for

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Speaker 2: Boise State because now you're going to make Maddox Mattson

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Speaker 2: beat you. And he's been great this year. He's kept

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Speaker 2: himself clean, and you know, they don't give up a

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Speaker 2: lot of sacks and everything. But that is going to

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Speaker 2: be tough to stop this Penn State front no one has.

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Speaker 2: Nobody has this season, and Penn State's offense has looked

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Speaker 2: pretty good. They were a little shaky against SMU. They

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Speaker 2: didn't even have time to get in rhythm because the

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Speaker 2: defense was doing all the work. But they smacked Oregon around.

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Speaker 2: So I like Penn State in this My favorite bet

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Speaker 2: here is Penn State team total over thirty three and

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Speaker 2: a half. Here's my absolute favorite bet in this game.

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Speaker 2: I think they will be able to put up points.

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Speaker 2: I question whether Boise State will be able to put

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Speaker 2: up points. But two Cherell's credit and too Boise States credit.

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Speaker 2: They have made everyone talk about their history in these

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Speaker 2: bowl games. This is the G five team that gets up.

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Speaker 2: This is a big reason why we haven't expanded playoff

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Speaker 2: is because a team like Boise State beat Oklahoma in

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Speaker 2: two thousand and seven when no one expected it to happen.

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Speaker 2: You know, when app State beat Michigan, right, Like, this

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Speaker 2: is a huge game for G five and their momentum.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think Penn State is the one to

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Speaker 2: run into here, So I'm gonna take the ninti Lions.

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Speaker 2: I like the over. I lean towards the over, but

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Speaker 2: I'll lay the points and I like the team total

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Speaker 2: over for Penn State the most in this game.

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Speaker 1: Let's give them something to talk about.

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Speaker 2: That's what I kept thinking the whole time.

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Speaker 1: You're saying that box because that's the mindset for Boise

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Speaker 1: State here, right And yeah, no.

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Speaker 4: Thought the neutral site really isn't that's no concern, no concern.

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Speaker 4: I mean Boise is neutral site.

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Speaker 2: King Like, I mean, I don't care about the neutral

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Speaker 2: site here because the weather wasn't gonna affect either one

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Speaker 2: of these teams.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, no, but I still but still just the

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Speaker 4: fact of being in a home atmosphere. Regardless of if

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Speaker 4: it was nice weather in an eighty degree day over

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Speaker 4: there in State College, it's still a hard place to play. Like,

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Speaker 4: it's still gonna be a tough place to play.

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Speaker 3: So, I don't know.

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Speaker 4: I think I think that I understand now what's the

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Speaker 4: lethal shooter. I understand it now. I understand it now.

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Speaker 4: A little bit more of hey Field really a lot

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Speaker 4: in the first round. I think that it comes back

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Speaker 4: down to earth a little bit, and that's where we

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Speaker 4: start to see these games look a lot more competitive.

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Speaker 2: Could be they could.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I know a lot of Penn State fans

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Speaker 1: from this area, they're old people. A lot of times

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Speaker 1: that they probably tired the winner up here already. They're

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Speaker 1: ready getting down Arizona. They traveled well out there to

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis a couple weeks ago for the Big Ten Championship.

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Speaker 2: I'm expecting the same here. Also, just think about how

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Speaker 2: we thought, you know, oh, maybe Indiana's going to be

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Speaker 2: in this game. I know you didn't think Tennessee was

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Speaker 2: going to be in that game, but I thought maybe

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Speaker 2: Tennessee was going to be in that game. None of

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Speaker 2: that happened. I mean, the favorites smacked the underdogs in

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Speaker 2: the first round, so I think we're getting a lot

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Speaker 2: of that in this as well. I think Boise State

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Speaker 2: has a better shot than the other teams.

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Speaker 5: Did.

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Speaker 2: I just think Penn State is kind of a buzz

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Speaker 2: saw right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's continue to talk about this trend of big

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Speaker 1: spreads because it's going to continue on New Year's Day

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Speaker 1: with the Chick fil A Bowl kicking off at one

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern time from Hotlanta. This spread has shrunk, but

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Speaker 1: the fifth seeded Texas Longhorns are still twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites against the four seed Arizona State Sun Devils.

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Speaker 1: Texas was runner up in the SEC twelve and two

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Speaker 1: straight up eight and six ats this season. The Longhorns

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Speaker 1: do have the second ranked scoring defense third ranked total

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Speaker 1: defense in the nation. They also got some great news

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Speaker 1: on the injury front wide receiver Isaiah Bond. He will

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Speaker 1: be up after being an active last week. Also, quin

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Speaker 1: Travion Weisner running back. He was cleared to return against Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Look like he'll be good to go here in this one.

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Speaker 1: He could have came back they needed him. They didn't

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Speaker 1: think they did. Ran out Jaye Blue a lot there

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Speaker 1: and then right tackle Cameron Williams. Center Jake Majors also

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Speaker 1: expected to play after exiting in the first round. Arizona State, meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: they won the Big twelve in their first year in

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Speaker 1: the conference, eleven and two straight up and then eleven

296
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Speaker 1: and two ats the best record in the nation against

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Speaker 1: the spread. Cam Skataboo. He has led this team to

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Speaker 1: the twenty second rushing offense, but they are seventy first

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Speaker 1: and passing thirty six in total defense. They're leading wide

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Speaker 1: receiver Jordan Tyson, of course, will be out once again. Boggs,

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Speaker 1: how do you think this shakes out with the Longhorns?

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Speaker 1: Kind of continuing this discussion of can a big favorite

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Speaker 1: cover here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, look, I think that this is just a bad

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Speaker 2: matchup for Arizona State in this game, and this is

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Speaker 2: you know, I have bias, so I will completely admit it.

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Speaker 2: But I've watched all of Texas games, right, and I

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Speaker 2: just think that they stopped the run very very well,

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Speaker 2: and maybe it's an impossibility to stop Camp Scataboo, right,

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Speaker 2: Like just like we said with Ashton J and T

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Speaker 2: against Penn State, like they have a great run stopping defense.

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Speaker 2: And I still don't think you're going to be able

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Speaker 2: to stop Ashton jen T. I don't know that Arizona

314
00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:15,080
Speaker 2: State's offensive line is as good as Boise State's online,

315
00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,520
Speaker 2: and it is going to be tested against a very

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00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:21,440
Speaker 2: very fast defense here, and I think the speed of

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00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:25,240
Speaker 2: Texas defense is probably the biggest difference in this game.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a massive mismatch for Arizona State, but

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00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:30,560
Speaker 2: it might be worse on the other side of the

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Speaker 2: ball because I think the only way Arizona State hangs

321
00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:37,000
Speaker 2: in this game is if quinn Ewers makes mistakes and

322
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Speaker 2: throws the ball to them. They've been great at taking

323
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Speaker 2: the ball away. They have fifteen interceptions this year. They're

324
00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:44,640
Speaker 2: very high in cover greade Arizona State is, so they

325
00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:48,480
Speaker 2: have played very well. The issue is they don't put

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00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,840
Speaker 2: pressure on the quarterback at all. They are one hundred

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Speaker 2: and thirty second in pass rush grade in the country

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Speaker 2: out of one hundred and thirty four teams, and if

329
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Speaker 2: you give yours time, these wide receivers are better than

330
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Speaker 2: a lot of other teams are going to get open.

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Speaker 2: So I just don't think that matches up really well.

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Speaker 2: And Texas has found something in this run game with Wisner, right,

333
00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:10,840
Speaker 2: They're going to hand the ball off to him at

334
00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:13,360
Speaker 2: least twenty times. The other guys are gonna get fifteen

335
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:15,720
Speaker 2: to twenty carries as well. They're going to run the

336
00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:19,400
Speaker 2: ball down Arizona State's throat. So I just really don't

337
00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:21,920
Speaker 2: like Arizona State in this game because it doesn't match

338
00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:24,000
Speaker 2: up well. I think if they would matched up against

339
00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:27,480
Speaker 2: somebody else, maybe control the cloth, frustrate them on defense,

340
00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:30,560
Speaker 2: turn the ball over, that can happen. Texas can let

341
00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:35,120
Speaker 2: you in this game by allowing passing. But Sam leave

342
00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,920
Speaker 2: It's best target is down in Jordan Tyson here, like

343
00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:41,840
Speaker 2: Gillery has been great as a replacement, but he's not Tyson,

344
00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:45,080
Speaker 2: so they just don't have it enough targets. It's a

345
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:49,680
Speaker 2: one to two punch on offense between Skataboo and Gillery

346
00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:52,400
Speaker 2: right now, and Sam Leavitt's going to have to do

347
00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:54,680
Speaker 2: a lot of running. The whole game is on his shoulders.

348
00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:57,240
Speaker 2: It's unfortunate that it comes down to that. But if

349
00:15:57,240 --> 00:16:00,320
Speaker 2: Texas gets up again, just like we said with Penn's eight,

350
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:02,880
Speaker 2: you're gonna get away from this run game, which is

351
00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:05,760
Speaker 2: the strength of your offense. So I just don't really

352
00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:09,760
Speaker 2: feel like ASU matches up well. Specifically on defense. So

353
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Speaker 2: another team. I'll take the Texas team total. I believe

354
00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,080
Speaker 2: it's thirty one and a half, so let's go over

355
00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:19,000
Speaker 2: on that, and I'm okay laying the points. It's a lot.

356
00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:21,080
Speaker 2: Twelve and a half is a lot, and they let

357
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,440
Speaker 2: Clemson back in the last game, so I don't know

358
00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:26,160
Speaker 2: how much I love that. I probably lean more towards

359
00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,240
Speaker 2: the over, but the team total for Texas is my

360
00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:29,720
Speaker 2: favorite again in this game.

361
00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:32,480
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm very much undecided where I'm going to go,

362
00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,880
Speaker 1: if anywhere in this game. My heart wants to say, hey,

363
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:38,400
Speaker 1: just bet the sec skoal to stomp on the Big twelve.

364
00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,720
Speaker 1: I like to fade the Big twelve in these matchups regularly.

365
00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:43,640
Speaker 1: But Terrell sam Levitt very much the X factor in

366
00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:44,640
Speaker 1: this one, wouldn't you say?

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00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:45,240
Speaker 3: Yeah?

368
00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:47,840
Speaker 4: I think Sam Levitt is the X factor here, and

369
00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 4: I also think it's that Arizona State defense. They're gonna

370
00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:52,960
Speaker 4: have to be the X factor as well. They've been really,

371
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,120
Speaker 4: really good over the course of the entire season, but

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00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,640
Speaker 4: especially as of late their last three games. They're winning

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Speaker 4: the turnover battles six to one, and so Levitt can't

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Speaker 4: turn the ball over. You cannot give this Texas team

375
00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:07,800
Speaker 4: extra opportunities, and you also have to get this defense

376
00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:11,600
Speaker 4: to hey, force quinn Ewers into some bad throws. He

377
00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,359
Speaker 4: makes those bad decisions. And I think that's what Kenny

378
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:16,800
Speaker 4: Dilleham is teaching his team and coaching his team up

379
00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:19,320
Speaker 4: over this time, is Hey, let's take advantage of the

380
00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:21,479
Speaker 4: mistakes this guy is going to give us, because that's

381
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:23,200
Speaker 4: how we're going to put ourselves in the game. Because

382
00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,159
Speaker 4: this I think that the Texas offense is going to

383
00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 4: be able to score. I do like Boggs team total over,

384
00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:31,120
Speaker 4: but I just think that cam Skataboo is different. When

385
00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,280
Speaker 4: you sit here and you're saying, yeah, this Techics defense

386
00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,199
Speaker 4: is so good and so fastering or all that, but

387
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:38,560
Speaker 4: everybody looks like that. So they try to tackle this

388
00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 4: man and then and then he realizes that this I

389
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,679
Speaker 4: am a man, a god amongst men, a god amongst

390
00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:49,000
Speaker 4: men in this tackling division, and y'all are not just

391
00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,200
Speaker 4: going to be able to pull me down. And that

392
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:53,320
Speaker 4: was it, And that was really the big part of

393
00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,919
Speaker 4: the run game that really kind of messed Texas up

394
00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:58,160
Speaker 4: in that Georgia game. It was that big run by

395
00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,439
Speaker 4: Trevory ten, and so you can't let Skottaboo break off

396
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,240
Speaker 4: big runs like he's done all year. That's what's gonna

397
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,239
Speaker 4: really kill them is if he's able to break all

398
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,440
Speaker 4: big runs on them and they get those big chalk

399
00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:12,000
Speaker 4: twenty thirty yard offensive plays from camp Scottaboo. So I

400
00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:14,119
Speaker 4: can't trust the Sexas team laying this amount of points

401
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:15,360
Speaker 4: with a string quarterback.

402
00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:16,119
Speaker 3: We've seen this.

403
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,280
Speaker 4: We talked about it over the course of the year,

404
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:20,920
Speaker 4: and we've caught them in different spots. The ten point

405
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:22,800
Speaker 4: win against A and M. I know that they were

406
00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:25,480
Speaker 4: only laying seven there, but they ended up only winning

407
00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:27,879
Speaker 4: that ten point game despite being dominant in that game.

408
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:30,320
Speaker 2: I only put up seventeen points. Yeah, that was the thing.

409
00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:32,560
Speaker 2: Can't score in the red zone right now for Texas

410
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 2: and Aubrey missed a couple of field goals against Georgia.

411
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,720
Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean it's not great, but I like

412
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:39,400
Speaker 2: the match up here.

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00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:40,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll take the points.

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00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:42,639
Speaker 1: Okay, you sprinkling the money line too?

415
00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:42,919
Speaker 2: Or no?

416
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:46,640
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, if one of y'all two teams lose and

417
00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:48,159
Speaker 4: we come back on here and I didn't have a

418
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:49,320
Speaker 4: money line on either one.

419
00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:49,920
Speaker 3: I'd be six.

420
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 4: So yeah, if what do y'all go down? I have

421
00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:54,640
Speaker 4: to at least cash so we can have something good

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Speaker 4: to talk about.

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00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,439
Speaker 2: We're gonna be happy watching you lose your money.

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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, the heel of the program, Trell Firman Junior,

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00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:01,639
Speaker 1: thank you for that.

426
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:05,119
Speaker 4: One of these big dogs got I'm going down with

427
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:05,560
Speaker 4: the dogs.

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00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:06,720
Speaker 3: I'm going down with the dogs.

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00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:08,080
Speaker 2: I appreciate it.

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00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:10,119
Speaker 1: Someone's got to play that role, and you do it

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00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,560
Speaker 1: very Wellterrell, So thank you for that. Before we continue,

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00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:15,919
Speaker 1: I didn't want to remind everyone to please join our

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00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:19,119
Speaker 1: college football podcast group, Sink your Picks or use the

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00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:21,880
Speaker 1: quick Pick feature on the Betting Pro Sports betting app

435
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,680
Speaker 1: to get a chance to win some free prizes. Elevate

436
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:28,520
Speaker 1: your betting strategy, and join the conversation today at bettingpros

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00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:33,480
Speaker 1: dot com slash college. Let's move to the Rose Bowl,

438
00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:37,920
Speaker 1: which gets underway from Pasadena, California, at five Eastern time

439
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 1: on New Year's Day. Number one Oregon remains a two

440
00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:43,720
Speaker 1: and a half point dog against the eight seed Ohio

441
00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,840
Speaker 1: State buck Guys. OSU finished fourth in the Big Ten

442
00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:50,120
Speaker 1: eleven and two straight up seven and six ats. Chip

443
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,959
Speaker 1: Kelly's offense is eleventh in scoring thirty second in total

444
00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 1: yards as well. Their defense is also the top team

445
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,880
Speaker 1: in the country in scoring and total defense. Oregon won

446
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:04,080
Speaker 1: the Big Ten in their first year in the conference

447
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,280
Speaker 1: with a thirteen to zero straight up record, also seven

448
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 1: to six. ATS transfer quarterback Dylan Gabriel has this offense

449
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 1: ranked thirteenth in scoring, eleventh in total offense, and their

450
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 1: defense is also ranked ninth in total defense. No new

451
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 1: injuries to report from either side, but keep in mind

452
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,879
Speaker 1: Oregon did beat the Buck Guys thirty two to thirty

453
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:28,159
Speaker 1: one in Eugene back in October. Terrell, how do you

454
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:29,680
Speaker 1: think this rematch plays out?

455
00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 4: I told you, man, I didn't get a lot of

456
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 4: things right in the first round. In fact, if we

457
00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,400
Speaker 4: look at ATS, I only got one thing right. When

458
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,000
Speaker 4: you see a dead man walking, you just stay away.

459
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 4: That's somebody that has nothing to live for.

460
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 3: Man.

461
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:48,639
Speaker 4: It reminds me of like when you're playing the game.

462
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 4: I'm thinking of Kingdom Hearts in particular, but I'm sure

463
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,760
Speaker 4: it works for other games. And you're playing the final

464
00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,560
Speaker 4: Boss and once you you're a critical, you get him

465
00:20:56,560 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 4: the critical health left and he just goes crazy, absolutely nuts.

466
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,639
Speaker 4: It is flinging stuff around doing all of that. Like

467
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,640
Speaker 4: that is Ryot Day. He is at critical health right now.

468
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:10,359
Speaker 4: He's really off of the Michigan lots. And I told

469
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:13,359
Speaker 4: you Bons, he's a dead man walking and he has

470
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 4: to win. He understands he has to win this.

471
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,960
Speaker 2: You do not call him a dead man until he

472
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:19,000
Speaker 2: wins the National.

473
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,200
Speaker 4: H And that's what he's got to do. He has

474
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,400
Speaker 4: to do it. And if he's the coach that everybody

475
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 4: says he is, he's gotta do it. I mean, I'm

476
00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:29,440
Speaker 4: all over Ohio State in this box, bos, I'm all

477
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:30,280
Speaker 4: over Ohio State.

478
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 3: Again.

479
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,639
Speaker 4: It's the same handicap. He can't lose that he can't lose,

480
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,639
Speaker 4: like he cannot lose. It can't be closed. He can't

481
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:40,560
Speaker 4: have another situation where Dan Lanning can pull some freaking

482
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 4: page one oh six subsection C rule out the freaking

483
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,760
Speaker 4: rule book and winning the game. Like I don't know, man,

484
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 4: I just think that this is Ryan Day and he's

485
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 4: got this offense clicking. He's using his star wide receivers

486
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 4: and I think that they're gonna be the X factors

487
00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 4: in the game. And the fact of I just don't

488
00:21:57,480 --> 00:21:59,119
Speaker 4: think organ is gonna be able to cover them. This

489
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 4: time around and going to see a bunch of points

490
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,080
Speaker 4: and they're gonna play the turnover battle in the special

491
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 4: teams bet a lot better. So yeah, I'm taking Ohio

492
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 4: State here. Of all the games, I feel most confident

493
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 4: about backing Ohio State because again, this is a dead

494
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 4: man walking and I've seen people that have nothing to

495
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 4: live for and they are scary.

496
00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 2: Wow.

497
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 1: Drawn to Life. I don't know if you guys remember

498
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 1: the game Drawn to Life. That was the final boss

499
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:24,760
Speaker 1: I could never beat, Like I had to walk away

500
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:25,640
Speaker 1: for months.

501
00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 2: I would walk away, three months, come back.

502
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,159
Speaker 1: It was like a Nintendo DS game, So yeah, I

503
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 1: would walk away, come back, still couldn't beat it. Eventually

504
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,560
Speaker 1: beat it, I think one day. It boggs any thoughts

505
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 1: on this game in particular, and was there ever a

506
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:41,080
Speaker 1: final boss in a video game that you just could

507
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 1: not beat?

508
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 2: I think most of them probably would frustrate me. I

509
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 2: mean I I did beat all of them, but you know,

510
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:51,199
Speaker 2: I may I have had to lower the difficulty on a

511
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:53,479
Speaker 2: couple of them there, you know, just see what happens

512
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 2: at the end of the game. But yeah, look, this game,

513
00:22:57,040 --> 00:23:00,240
Speaker 2: I'm glad Trell is confident about it. This was is

514
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 2: a super tight game last time in Oregon, and it's

515
00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 2: a very close spread still, So this is not my

516
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 2: favorite game of the week. And here's why I don't

517
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 2: like it is because Ohio State's best game beats anybody

518
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,880
Speaker 2: in the country. It's just not they If they play

519
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:21,400
Speaker 2: their best, they win against anybody. So that's the issue.

520
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 2: But what has changed since that last matchup? Right? What

521
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:28,880
Speaker 2: has changed nothing for Oregon Right, probably a little bit

522
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 2: healthier now, honestly, and they've proven that they can win shootouts.

523
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:35,360
Speaker 2: They did against Ohio State, they did against Penn State

524
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 2: in the conference championship game. They've won their close games.

525
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 2: You know, Wisconsin gave them a scare and they ended

526
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,200
Speaker 2: up winning that game. So yeah, I know I lost

527
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 2: money there too, So you know, I think Oregon has

528
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 2: proved their point. They're the only undefeated team left and

529
00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 2: that's why they're the number one seed with Ohio State.

530
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 2: We have seen wild swings from this team, and a

531
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 2: lot of the problems have stemmed from the offensive line

532
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:04,000
Speaker 2: missing two starters now being out for the year. But

533
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:07,959
Speaker 2: like Terrell said in the last game, Ryan Day went, Okay,

534
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 2: I'm not trying to prove any points here. We're not

535
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 2: gonna beat Michigan in some certain way. Here, We're gonna

536
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 2: just play our game and go win, and they smash Tennessee.

537
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:22,400
Speaker 2: So if that Ohio State shows up, nobody can beat him,

538
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 2: even Oregon, who hasn't lost all year. I just don't

539
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: know if we're gonna get that. I think that I

540
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 2: think that there's more outs to Oregon winning this game

541
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 2: because they stopped the run very well against Ohio State.

542
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 2: And that's where Ohio State has gotten into some issues, right,

543
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 2: is not running the ball effectively. If you look at

544
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 2: the last game that they played, they had the one

545
00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 2: big run from the one big run from Henderson fifty

546
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 2: three yards. Right, if you take that away, that one carry,

547
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:53,119
Speaker 2: which you can't, he did it, But the rest of

548
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,920
Speaker 2: the game thirty one carries for ninety yards. That's two

549
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 2: point nine yards per carry for Ohio State. And the

550
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 2: offensive line has gotten worse since then. So again, if

551
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 2: Will Howard plays mistake free football, great are we getting that?

552
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 2: There's no way I can guarantee that at all. So

553
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 2: in this game. I said it when we talked about

554
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 2: it initially, and I'm sticking to it. Whoever gets the

555
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 2: points I'm taking, and right now Oregon is getting the points.

556
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,639
Speaker 2: That's the side I'm gonna lean on. I won't have

557
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 2: a lot invested in this one, though.

558
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, this is the hardest game to handicap.

559
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,639
Speaker 1: I think on the entire slate, Terrell, any interest in

560
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 1: going over the total of fifty five, That's something I've

561
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 1: been considering. But it always feels like in these rematches

562
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:37,679
Speaker 1: teams start to figure out each other a little bit.

563
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 1: So do we see a lot of points in this one?

564
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 2: Still?

565
00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think we could see some points. I'm not

566
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 4: really more on the side because if this went the

567
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,639
Speaker 4: exact same way as the Tennessee game, I wouldn't be surprised.

568
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 3: I wouldn't.

569
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 4: I think Oregons do for a game like that. They've

570
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 4: played a lot of mistakes and you know, Wisconsin wasn't

571
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:57,880
Speaker 4: able to take advantage during that game and they ended

572
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 4: up not being able to serve them in l And

573
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:04,520
Speaker 4: I mean they got it. Took two two kick return

574
00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:07,920
Speaker 4: punt return touchdowns for them to be Boise. I'm pretty sure. Yeah,

575
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 4: that last one Whittington and so they were able to

576
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,480
Speaker 4: get a punt return touchdown there.

577
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:14,679
Speaker 2: That was a million years ago, But that's.

578
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 4: What I'm saying is multiple times that they've been bailed

579
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 4: out by this year. This there that I think that

580
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:23,159
Speaker 4: that freaking rabbit's foot that's sitting up the crack of

581
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:26,560
Speaker 4: their behind is gonna come falling out. And it's gonna happen.

582
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 4: When Ryan Day literally is coaching for a job, he

583
00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 4: has to perform in every single game, every single game.

584
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 4: You can't have any type of letdown now. And that's

585
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 4: why at this point, this is why I'm ot Ohio State.

586
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 4: Bob said it. I think Ohio State could go win

587
00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 4: the national championship now because I just don't want to

588
00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 4: fade a wounded animal like that. And I do think

589
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,360
Speaker 4: Ryan Day is actually a good coach, but that Michigan

590
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 4: loss really really stings, and I think the only way

591
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 4: he's gonna recoup from that is winning the national championship.

592
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: My final advice on this game is if you want

593
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:57,840
Speaker 1: to bet someone outright, why not just go over to

594
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,520
Speaker 1: the futures market bet them to win the championship because

595
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 1: I think the champion could honestly come from the Rose Boy.

596
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,720
Speaker 1: I think whoever wins this game will be favored.

597
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:10,120
Speaker 2: I'm just saying, I'm just saying, you forget your team

598
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 2: is still in the tournament two South, what are you doing?

599
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:14,440
Speaker 3: Oh the disrespect?

600
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,679
Speaker 1: No face Penn State in the championship, of course, But

601
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:17,840
Speaker 1: you know you could.

602
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,119
Speaker 3: Just say, hey, Boggs he said, yeah, he got no chance.

603
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 2: I know, I know. It was the nicest way he's

604
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:26,520
Speaker 2: ever said it. I'm I'm just giving some free advice.

605
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:28,520
Speaker 2: Sometimes you just gotta go over to the future market.

606
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:34,879
Speaker 3: Hey bugs. Okay, let's go.

607
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 2: All right, let's go ahead.

608
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,479
Speaker 1: We're gonna round out the college football playoff quarterfinal picks

609
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:42,399
Speaker 1: with the All State Sugar Bowl. It's kicking off on

610
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 1: New Year's Day eight forty five pm Eastern Time from

611
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:49,640
Speaker 1: Caesar Super Dome in New Orleans. The Irish, we're twelve

612
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 1: and one straight up. They are also ten two and

613
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 1: one ats this season. They're only outright loss, coming to

614
00:27:56,520 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 1: and IU in Week two. They're fourth in scoring offense,

615
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 1: but ranked one hundredth in passing offense. Under dual threat

616
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:06,879
Speaker 1: quarterback Riley Lannard Marcus Freeman's defense, they're the real story

617
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 1: for the Irish, I believe, though, gentlemen. Their eighth and

618
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 1: total defense, fourth and passing defense. Despite losing All American

619
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 1: cornerback Ben Morrison earlier this season. However, they will be

620
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 1: without defensive tackle Riley Mills for the remainder of the playoffs.

621
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:24,639
Speaker 1: Georgia they won the SEC record of eleven and two

622
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 1: straight up four to nine ats this season. Though I've

623
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,960
Speaker 1: tried to bet Georgia a crap ton has never worked.

624
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:32,160
Speaker 3: Took Texas game.

625
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:34,159
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, how about it?

626
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 3: Sorry, sorry, bozz. He laid it up for me, the

627
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 3: eight bucks.

628
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:41,560
Speaker 4: He threw me an alley like it was.

629
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 3: I'm sorry. He laid it right up for me.

630
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:46,160
Speaker 2: They did, he did.

631
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 1: And keep in mind too, they almost lost to Kentucky.

632
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: If maybe they had a little more guts to go

633
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:53,959
Speaker 1: for it on fourth down, they maybe lose Kentucky. They

634
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: took Georgia Tech to overtime after losing most of that game.

635
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 1: They're also on the ropes against Florida before j Lagway

636
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:03,560
Speaker 1: got injured. So a lot of bumps and bruises. It

637
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 1: hasn't been mistake free football that Georgie has been playing

638
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 1: their forty six in total offense, ninety eighth and rushing

639
00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:11,720
Speaker 1: thirty fifth in total defense. And this will be without

640
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:14,120
Speaker 1: Carson Beck for the ranger of the season as well.

641
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,320
Speaker 1: That leaves Gunner Stockton under center. He's a sophomore. I'm

642
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 1: gonna try to find the longest Notre Dame ticket I

643
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 1: can and run with it. Their defense ranks better in

644
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 1: every major statistical category, plus Notre Dames heavy rushing offense.

645
00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 2: Choose the clock.

646
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 1: It could limit Georgia's possessions, especially if Stockton gets off

647
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 1: to a slow start. I don't like fading Kirby smart outright,

648
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 1: but ats the Bulldogs have been dogwater this season, so

649
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:39,520
Speaker 1: fire up the Notre Dame side for me. How do

650
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: you feel about Boggs?

651
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:44,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, this game has my favorite pick in my least

652
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 2: favorite lean. My favorite pick of the tournament here or

653
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 2: of the second round, I should say, is taking the

654
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 2: under in this game. I just don't think that either

655
00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 2: team is going to move the ball very well, and

656
00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 2: I think for Notre Dame it's because they have not

657
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:05,520
Speaker 2: played a defense anywhere near Georgia, not even close this year.

658
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 2: I think their schedule has been very weak. I don't

659
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,640
Speaker 2: know how it gets up to I saw PFF, I

660
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 2: think had it at twenty eight. I don't understand that.

661
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 2: I don't think they played a hard schedule at all.

662
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:19,920
Speaker 2: We thought maybe Army was good and they rolled Army.

663
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 2: We saw Ohio State beat down Indiana. They did the

664
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 2: same thing there, so they definitely are strong team. They

665
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:30,240
Speaker 2: definitely deserve to be here. But George's defense is as

666
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 2: healthy as they've been all year, Williams's back, Smile, London

667
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:37,760
Speaker 2: is back. They look strong and I know the offense

668
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 2: is why everyone is taking Notre Dame. Yes, that is

669
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 2: why I'm on the under is because on the Georgia side,

670
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: now you have a run game that's been good. It

671
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 2: hasn't been great, it's been fine. I mean it's above average,

672
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 2: but everything in Georgia with that old line should be

673
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:54,920
Speaker 2: above average. And you have a quarterback that we just

674
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 2: have no idea what to expect from. He did not

675
00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,840
Speaker 2: look good in the SEC title game. They did an

676
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 2: to not lose, but that was not a great debut

677
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 2: for Gunnar Stockton. He had an ugly pick in there,

678
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:08,440
Speaker 2: he got almost murdered at the goal line trying to

679
00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:11,280
Speaker 2: run the ball in. You know, he did not look good.

680
00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 2: He's had a lot of time to prep, so maybe

681
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:17,760
Speaker 2: I'm underestimating this. But Notre Dames defense has been outstanding

682
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 2: as well, and they made Indiana look like a JV

683
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 2: team last week. So if Gunner Stockton is having issues,

684
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 2: I don't know how Georgia is going to score in

685
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 2: this game. The wide receivers are not making plays like

686
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 2: Rock Bowers and lad mcconkeye did right. They're dropping more

687
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 2: balls than they're making gigantic plays. Etn is great, but

688
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 2: this should be a pretty one dimensional vanilla offense for Georgia,

689
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 2: and Notre Dame is going to key in on that

690
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,080
Speaker 2: even after losing a big piece like Riley Mills as

691
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 2: you mentioned, Seth, so in this one. I just like

692
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:51,080
Speaker 2: this game to be a field goal fest. And by

693
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 2: the way, if Notre Dame is not punching it in

694
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,440
Speaker 2: their kicker, Mitch Jeter has been awful this year. Eight

695
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 2: for fifteen, that is what he has been this year.

696
00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 2: He was better in the last game. He hit two

697
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 2: in the snow or in the cold, whatever it was

698
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 2: last week, and I know the announcing team was going

699
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,560
Speaker 2: nuts for him. That's great, But there's more pressure in

700
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 2: this game. So I don't know. I just I don't

701
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 2: like points to be scored. I think this is going

702
00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 2: to be a position punt fest, back and forth, position

703
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 2: convert your third downs type of game. I'm not going

704
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 2: to trust a guy in his first start in the

705
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 2: playoff against Notre Dame in that and gutter Stockton, and

706
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 2: I think that if they can't run the ball effectively

707
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,360
Speaker 2: like they normally can in Notre Dame, you're gonna depend

708
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 2: on Riley Leonard throwing the ball. He doesn't have a

709
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 2: game over two hundred and fifty passing yards this year. Yeah,

710
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 2: So I just I like the under. This is my

711
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 2: favorite play of the weekend. Your lean is to Notre Dame?

712
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,240
Speaker 2: Is that? My lean is to Notre Dame, just because

713
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:46,280
Speaker 2: I don't know what gunners Stockton is going to give

714
00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:50,000
Speaker 2: us at Georgia. So if you're giving me points, I'll

715
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,840
Speaker 2: take him with Notre Dame. Kind of like the Ohio

716
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:53,560
Speaker 2: State game. But I don't want to play a side

717
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 2: in this game at all. Just give me the under. Okay,

718
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 2: what do you think tree?

719
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 1: Should we fire up the Irish car bombs at that time?

720
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 4: I mean, for me, it's very difficult here because I

721
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 4: think that you're kind of at odds.

722
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 3: You're either backing a really good head.

723
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 4: Coach in Kirby Smart versus Marcus Freeman, who I think

724
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 4: Smart has the coaching edge We've seen Marcus Freeman have

725
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 4: blunders ten people on the field versus Ohio State. We've

726
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 4: seen them in big games be able to blow it.

727
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 2: Kirby at the very least has the experience, at.

728
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:26,360
Speaker 3: The very least, yep.

729
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 4: Whereas there's a clear quarterback edge here between Riley Lionard

730
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 4: and Counter Stockton like that, that's clearly Riley Leonard. If

731
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:37,240
Speaker 4: Riley Litard comes in here and plays mistake free football

732
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 4: and is able to lead this offense, then yes, I

733
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:41,719
Speaker 4: would say Notre Dame is able to get this done?

734
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,440
Speaker 4: Is Riley Leonard gonna be able? I mean you talked

735
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 4: about it, they're like one hundred what did.

736
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 2: You say, seth one hundred flat?

737
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, and in passing offense like this, that's not good.

738
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 4: That's not what we were expecting from Riley.

739
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:56,920
Speaker 1: No, but George is also ninety second in rushing offense,

740
00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 1: so they both.

741
00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 4: Now you get stocked in where you can give, you

742
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 4: can give different looks. You had two weeks to prepare,

743
00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:07,800
Speaker 4: change your offensive playbook around and molded around this quarterback.

744
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:10,279
Speaker 4: So we've seen backup quarterbacks be able to get it

745
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:11,840
Speaker 4: done in college football before.

746
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,440
Speaker 3: And I again me, you hurt me all year. I

747
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:15,440
Speaker 3: don't think Carson.

748
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 4: Beck was really that that good, so like I think

749
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 4: that it's a downgrade, but it's enough where Georgia can

750
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 4: make this game competitive. And I'm just gonna laan on

751
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:26,840
Speaker 4: Kirby Smart just doing the little small things in the

752
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:28,440
Speaker 4: game over the course of town to be able to

753
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 4: get it done with the experience factor. Maybe his luck

754
00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 4: runs out in the next round, but I think he

755
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:33,600
Speaker 4: gets past this round.

756
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:35,160
Speaker 3: I'm taking the dogs.

757
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 1: Do you want the money line minus one to eighteen

758
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 1: at fandel or you just laying the one point minus

759
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 1: one twelve at DraftKings.

760
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,200
Speaker 4: I mean, I just go ahead and take a money

761
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:45,160
Speaker 4: line price and pay a little bit of introduice there.

762
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 4: It's been too many times that I've laid, especially in basketball, man,

763
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,719
Speaker 4: and that I've laid one and a half to and

764
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,400
Speaker 4: come down to one bucket and I'm like, ah, are

765
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:56,319
Speaker 4: you serious? I should have just took the money line.

766
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,440
Speaker 4: So yeah, I probably just take a money line play

767
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 4: on Georgia. Okay, it's close for that.

768
00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:04,080
Speaker 1: And speaking of basketball, before we continue, I did want

769
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:06,759
Speaker 1: to tell everyone about fast break bets if you'll like

770
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:09,920
Speaker 1: betting on that sport. Well, the joint host Treel Furman Junior.

771
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 1: Every single day on the Fast Break Bets podcast. It

772
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 1: is your daily dose of basketball betting in fifteen minutes

773
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:18,319
Speaker 1: or less. Tune in every day you're gonna get your

774
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:20,880
Speaker 1: rapid fire fix of all things basketball, from the w

775
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: to the Association, to college basketball and more. Catch the

776
00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:27,240
Speaker 1: program right here on the VP YouTube channel or wherever

777
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 1: you get your podcasts. All right, guys, time for some

778
00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 1: rapid fire bull picks, starting with the rely Aquest Bowl.

779
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 1: It's number eleven Alabama versus Michigan. Bama laying thirteen and

780
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: a half points, the total forty three and a half points.

781
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 1: This is going off at Tampa Bay, Florida, on Tuesday,

782
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,920
Speaker 1: December thirty first, at twelve pm Eastern time. Treell, what

783
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 1: do you think Bama or Michigan. I know how you

784
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:52,919
Speaker 1: feel about this Michigan team.

785
00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:54,839
Speaker 4: I don't even know why we added this to the sheet.

786
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:56,600
Speaker 4: I don't know why I let y'all add this in sheet.

787
00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 4: Sometimes sometimes Sef just asks and says, hey, are the

788
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 4: good and I'll just be like, yeah, they're sure, they're fine.

789
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 4: I'll talk about whatever. But now that I realized this

790
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 4: was the first game outside of the playoff.

791
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:09,240
Speaker 2: Games.

792
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,399
Speaker 4: All right, Alabama going away, Alabama going away.

793
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 3: We're not taking this Michigan team. Guys, we're not doing it.

794
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,480
Speaker 3: No way. They beat Ryan Day, there's no way they're

795
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:19,839
Speaker 3: getting another way. And that's it.

796
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:22,360
Speaker 2: What do you think, Bogs? Yeah, I just think that

797
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 2: there's too many missing pieces for Michigan in this game.

798
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:29,360
Speaker 2: They're gonna miss three fourths of this defensive line, which

799
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 2: is the best piece of this team. They're also missing

800
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,960
Speaker 2: their three most productive players on offense in both running

801
00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 2: backs Mullings and Edwards. Yeah, and Colston Lovelin is not

802
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 2: playing in this game. And everyone says they're gonna play

803
00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 2: for Bama pretty much. Milrow, John Campbell, Booker, Demani Jackson

804
00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:50,239
Speaker 2: all say they're gonna play. They're missing their cornerback, they're

805
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 2: missing a couple of guys on the two deep. They're

806
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 2: pretty thin at wide receiver. But Ryan Williams is still there.

807
00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:56,399
Speaker 2: So oh no, I have to throw the ball more

808
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:59,400
Speaker 2: to Ryan Williams. That's not gonna be good for anybody

809
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 2: at miss So yeah, this is BAM un lay the

810
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 2: points easy. Okay?

811
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 1: What about the Sun Bowl Louisville versus Washington Tuesday, December thirty,

812
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 1: first also going to be at two pm Eastern time.

813
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 1: This goes off in al Paso, Texas, Louisville laying two

814
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 1: and a half points on the Huskies.

815
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:18,359
Speaker 2: What do you think, bugs? Yeah, I think in this one,

816
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Huskies. Schuck and Brooks are out

817
00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:24,799
Speaker 2: and they were the engine of this Louisville offense. They're

818
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:29,200
Speaker 2: missing their best defensive player in Chaillot two, so Washington

819
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:32,239
Speaker 2: is going to go with the new quarterback, right Demon Williams.

820
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:35,160
Speaker 2: We saw him. He was pretty good against UCLA already

821
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 2: this season. He did take ten sacks in that game,

822
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 2: but that was against Oregon. So I think there are

823
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 2: just too many opt outs for Louisville, too many core pieces,

824
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:48,320
Speaker 2: specifically on offense. In this game. They were definitely the

825
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:50,440
Speaker 2: better of these teams. During the regular season. I'm not

826
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 2: saying anything about that, Louisville was way better than Washington,

827
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,359
Speaker 2: But in this game, I just think Washington is way

828
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,239
Speaker 2: more complete. So give me the Huskies. Terrelle, how do

829
00:37:59,280 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 2: you feel about it?

830
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 1: We'll viel awaiting their next quarterback in Miller Moss. He's

831
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:06,920
Speaker 1: gonna be transferring over there from USC in the spring. Meantime, though,

832
00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: they're on their backup. How do you feel about him

833
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 1: here against Washington?

834
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:15,880
Speaker 4: ACC Owen ten acs and bowl games? Owen ten Really

835
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 4: they didn't cover one at Syracuse one really like that.

836
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:23,640
Speaker 2: Was, well, we'll give you, it depends what we'll yeah if.

837
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:25,880
Speaker 4: I don't know, man, I feel like they should have

838
00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 4: ran away with that one a little bit more. ACC

839
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 4: horrible in bowl games this year, Big Big ten, four

840
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:33,960
Speaker 4: and two straight up. I'm rolling withy with Washington. I

841
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:35,640
Speaker 4: think they get it done. I think the defense is

842
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:39,320
Speaker 4: really just the thing here and keeps Louisville after toes.

843
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 4: But I can't back. I can't back the ACC right now.

844
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,399
Speaker 4: It's been pretty bad, man, pretty pretty bad here.

845
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:46,479
Speaker 2: Fair enough?

846
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:48,600
Speaker 1: You know our Big ten and SEC bias on this

847
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:51,840
Speaker 1: program ain't going anywhere. So let's look at number fifteen

848
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: South Carolina versus number twenty Illinois Cheese at Citrus Bowl.

849
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,000
Speaker 1: This will also go off on Tuesday at three Eastern

850
00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:03,520
Speaker 1: time from Orlando, Florida, South Carolina laying ten points on

851
00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 1: the fighting alia. It's a forty nine point total as well.

852
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:08,320
Speaker 1: Where do you stand, Trelly?

853
00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:14,400
Speaker 4: These are my guys, These are my guys, But I

854
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:17,399
Speaker 4: think that some money line play on Illinois here.

855
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think, I think so. I think this.

856
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:25,640
Speaker 4: Defense is gonna be like out here, and it's just

857
00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:28,799
Speaker 4: seems it seems like this is a spot where I

858
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,759
Speaker 4: just don't feel good about Beamer. Man, I don't feel good.

859
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 4: I think the time prepare you, Beam, I do, I do.

860
00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:38,040
Speaker 4: But I told you, I've told you different spots where

861
00:39:38,080 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 4: I'm like, hey man, this is where Beamer kind of,

862
00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 4: you know, lets down here, he kind of lets down

863
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 4: there and is one of It's one of those spots.

864
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 4: And I think the line I do have a really

865
00:39:46,680 --> 00:39:48,360
Speaker 4: really good defense. I just think this is way too

866
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 4: many points. And so if I'm if I'm gonna take

867
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:52,359
Speaker 4: this many points, I'm gonna sprinkle on the money line

868
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:54,319
Speaker 4: as well. I think the defense keeps them minute and

869
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 4: this is a way closer game than South Carolina even

870
00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 4: thinks it's gonna because I think this South Carolina team

871
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:01,960
Speaker 4: feels pretty confident with how that offense got rolling. But

872
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 4: I could see them sputtering here. Give me Illinois in

873
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:07,800
Speaker 4: the ten, and I'm sprinkling on the money line.

874
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:09,880
Speaker 2: Boggs, how do you feel about it?

875
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 1: Here?

876
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 2: South Carolina?

877
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:14,239
Speaker 1: They were one of the hottest teams coming into the

878
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 1: end of the season vying for a CFP spot.

879
00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:18,799
Speaker 2: No Rocket Sanders.

880
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,279
Speaker 1: Tho for them on the offensive side of the ball.

881
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 1: Does that still hurt them? Even though they have Leonora

882
00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:25,360
Speaker 1: Sellers back there, ronning and gunning all over the place.

883
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,240
Speaker 2: It does hurt, of course, it hurts saying no Canard

884
00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 2: either Cayle Conard, who was the best defensive linean in

885
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:34,759
Speaker 2: the country this year. So two huge pieces missing for

886
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:38,560
Speaker 2: South Carolina. I understand that, But I think what Beemer

887
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,960
Speaker 2: does know is that the twenty twenty five Heisman campaign

888
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:46,120
Speaker 2: starts in this game for South Carolina, and Leonora Sellers,

889
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 2: one of the better quarterbacks in the country, is going

890
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:51,120
Speaker 2: to be near the top of those Heisman lists next year,

891
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,879
Speaker 2: specifically if he has a great game here and they're

892
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:55,719
Speaker 2: going to rely on him like crazy in this game.

893
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 2: And also Canard was the best defensive linman in the country.

894
00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 2: But this was probably the best defensive line in the country.

895
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:03,840
Speaker 2: It's either this one or Texas, right, and they have

896
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 2: the other three pieces coming back, including five star freshman

897
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:10,800
Speaker 2: Dylan Swords. So for me, I think Sellers is gonna

898
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:14,360
Speaker 2: go crazy in this game. Illinois played well to begin

899
00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:16,479
Speaker 2: I think they faltered at the end, kind of showed

900
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:18,160
Speaker 2: us that they were a little bit of a pretender

901
00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,719
Speaker 2: here and just had an above average season. I think

902
00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 2: South Carolina leaves the wood to them. So I'll lay

903
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,720
Speaker 2: the points to take South Carolina in that one. Let's

904
00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:26,760
Speaker 2: go to the Texas Bowl.

905
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: The Baylor Bears will be favored by three and a

906
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:32,880
Speaker 1: half points over the LSE Tigers. This one's going on

907
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 1: at three point thirty pm Eastern Time from Houston, also

908
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 1: on Tuesday.

909
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 2: Bogs, how do you feel about this?

910
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:42,840
Speaker 1: Because there are an absolute metric ton of opt outs

911
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:47,319
Speaker 1: for LSU, But I mean, it's still nuts in the boys, right, Like,

912
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 1: I feel like we still have to be somewhat confident

913
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 1: against a Baylor team that I didn't even know they

914
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 1: were eight and four. Yeah, you could have told me

915
00:41:53,640 --> 00:41:55,920
Speaker 1: there were six and six. Someone had no idea.

916
00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:59,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, Baylor's been relying on their offense a ton this year.

917
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:04,640
Speaker 2: Defense is miserable PFF grade one hundred and twelve, one

918
00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty third and pass grade one hundred and

919
00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:08,760
Speaker 2: sixteenth in cover grade. And you're gonna go up against

920
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:11,400
Speaker 2: that team that, yes, they're missing a lot of wide receivers,

921
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:13,239
Speaker 2: but you still have nuss Meyer, and you still have

922
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:16,480
Speaker 2: great replacements replacing these guys. If you're gonna give me

923
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:19,960
Speaker 2: points in this I'll lean alse you. But let's go

924
00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 2: with the over in this game. So many missing pieces

925
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:25,759
Speaker 2: for LSU on both sides of the ball, specifically on

926
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,239
Speaker 2: offense though, but I still think they're gonna be able

927
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:31,719
Speaker 2: to move the ball. It's not like Baylor puts great

928
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:34,400
Speaker 2: pressure on the quarterback either way. So I think LSU's

929
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:36,200
Speaker 2: gonna score, and I think Baylor's gonna be able to

930
00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 2: score as well. The total in this game is fifty

931
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 2: nine and a half. I think we get way past this,

932
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:44,920
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna go with the over in this one.

933
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:48,080
Speaker 1: Okayterrell, how do you feel about hear any interest in

934
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 1: that plus one forty five money line on the Tigers?

935
00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:51,759
Speaker 2: Well?

936
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 4: No, really, I actually think I'm going Baylor here. Oh yeah,

937
00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 4: And it's really just because the LSU offense. Yes, they're

938
00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:01,839
Speaker 4: good and they'll be able to move the football, but

939
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:05,400
Speaker 4: it's been too many times LSU has gotten on plus

940
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:07,960
Speaker 4: sided field and not been able to cash in for

941
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,319
Speaker 4: a touchdown, settled for field goals, turn the ball over

942
00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:14,200
Speaker 4: done xyz. Regardless of the fact it hasn't been a touchdown,

943
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:16,600
Speaker 4: and yeah, I do. I think Baylor's offense is gonna

944
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 4: be able to move the ball and this gets into

945
00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:20,240
Speaker 4: a shootout and you're settling for field goals and Baylor

946
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:22,600
Speaker 4: is able to go out there score touchdowns for an

947
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:23,560
Speaker 4: LSU team.

948
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:25,319
Speaker 3: That won doesn't want to be here.

949
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:28,320
Speaker 4: Like, I can't tell you, I love fating this LSU

950
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:30,400
Speaker 4: Brian Kelly team later in the season when it just

951
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 4: seems like they're giving up and they're not even trying

952
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 4: anymore because they're not where they wanted to be, which

953
00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:36,760
Speaker 4: is at the top of college football.

954
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going Baylor here.

955
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:42,320
Speaker 4: We talked about it last time, the SEC hit list

956
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 4: and all these other teams trying to take shots at

957
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:48,360
Speaker 4: set and sometimes sometimes it's gone well, other times it hasn't.

958
00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:50,439
Speaker 4: Diego Pavia, you know, you can't take a hit list

959
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:51,640
Speaker 4: on Diego Pavia.

960
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:55,000
Speaker 3: He handles everybody. But I like Baylor here. Let's go

961
00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:56,320
Speaker 3: ahead to LAO with Baylor.

962
00:43:56,719 --> 00:43:59,759
Speaker 1: All right, let's move to the Thursday game. There's only

963
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 1: one on the calendar, and it is the tax Slayer

964
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:06,560
Speaker 1: Gator Bowl from Jacksonville, Florida. This kicksoff seven thirty pm.

965
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:10,759
Speaker 1: Eastern time. Oh miss, they are laying seventeen points on

966
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:13,680
Speaker 1: the Duke Blue Devils with a total of fifty.

967
00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 2: One and a half.

968
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 1: Drell, you Fade and Manny Diaz and the crew here

969
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:19,720
Speaker 1: in a game where a ton of opt outs both sides.

970
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:23,239
Speaker 4: Oh yes, yes, I hate that I have to come

971
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:26,080
Speaker 4: back here on the SEC team. But the ACC one

972
00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 4: overall has been bad. But I mean, Lane, you have

973
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:33,000
Speaker 4: to go with. And first of all, we know Langkiffin

974
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:35,480
Speaker 4: as a coach that knows the spread. Let's just go ahead.

975
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:38,400
Speaker 4: And we know Langcliffin as a coach that knows the spread.

976
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:41,480
Speaker 4: He knows this number is seventeen. He knows that he's

977
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,560
Speaker 4: been talking about the SEC and the playoff and should

978
00:44:44,560 --> 00:44:46,720
Speaker 4: have gave his team and all these other teams chances

979
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:48,520
Speaker 4: and all of that. He has to go out here

980
00:44:48,520 --> 00:44:51,399
Speaker 4: to absolutely completely destroy Many Diez and this dude team.

981
00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:53,919
Speaker 4: I mean, you have Jackson Dart playing. Yeah, some opt

982
00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:56,400
Speaker 4: outs here or there, but you have your quarterback playing.

983
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:58,920
Speaker 4: You still can run your offense. And this is the

984
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:00,600
Speaker 4: chance for you to sit here say at the end

985
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:03,439
Speaker 4: of the game, Yeah, that doesn't look like a playoff team.

986
00:45:03,440 --> 00:45:05,520
Speaker 4: We didn't look like a playoff team over there. This

987
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:07,799
Speaker 4: is this is the game that Lane has circled and

988
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,200
Speaker 4: he throws the kitchen sink and they score up and

989
00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:12,560
Speaker 4: down the field. I think ole Miss seam sort of

990
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:16,399
Speaker 4: over old Miss lank seventeen. I'm fading madean Diaz here

991
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:17,239
Speaker 4: in a big spot.

992
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:19,080
Speaker 2: Boggs, how do you feel about this one?

993
00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:22,680
Speaker 1: Because this feels a lot like that Syracuse game where

994
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:25,560
Speaker 1: we don't have a quarterback, a starting quarterback in Malik

995
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 1: Murphy starring for Duke, but you do have Jackson Dart

996
00:45:28,160 --> 00:45:30,400
Speaker 1: in ole Miss, who should have motivate coming into this

997
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:34,920
Speaker 1: quarterback Okay, third string, third string? So does that sway

998
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 1: you at all? What are you doing here with this

999
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:38,360
Speaker 1: gigantic seventeen point line?

1000
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 2: I don't like the line, but I also respect the

1001
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:43,839
Speaker 2: fact that we get pissed off Lane Tiffin here. He

1002
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 2: wants to you know, he wants to say something after

1003
00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:51,560
Speaker 2: this game about you know, his team getting snubbed again.

1004
00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:54,280
Speaker 2: He can't shut his mouth. So I think we're gonna

1005
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,680
Speaker 2: get that after the game. And I think to get

1006
00:45:56,719 --> 00:45:59,600
Speaker 2: to that, they have to win and win convincingly. So

1007
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 2: and you know, Jackson Dark coming back to playing this

1008
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 2: game is enormous for ole Miss also, So in this one,

1009
00:46:07,120 --> 00:46:09,320
Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the points. I'm gonna take the ReBs.

1010
00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:12,520
Speaker 2: I just think that dude had they played good defense,

1011
00:46:13,160 --> 00:46:16,640
Speaker 2: but with Henry Bellen starting at quarterback, we just we've

1012
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 2: seen them give up points to high powered offenses too.

1013
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:22,120
Speaker 2: They give a fifty one to Miami. So yeah, I

1014
00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:24,080
Speaker 2: just think ole Miss has too much for Duke in

1015
00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 2: this game.

1016
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:28,479
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to the SERF Pro first Responder bull

1017
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 1: shouts all the first responders, we appreciate your service to

1018
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:35,239
Speaker 1: this nation. North Texas versus Texas State. This is gonna

1019
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:39,520
Speaker 1: be on Friday, January third, at for Eastern time in Dallas, Texas.

1020
00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:42,440
Speaker 1: Texas State laying thirteen and a half points on the

1021
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 1: North Boys sixty and a half point total as well,

1022
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:46,399
Speaker 1: Bogs where you laying them?

1023
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:46,839
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1024
00:46:46,880 --> 00:46:46,960
Speaker 1: This?

1025
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,960
Speaker 2: Yeah with this game. First of all, I mean Unt

1026
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:52,200
Speaker 2: has been bad on the defensive side of the ball

1027
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 2: for most of the season, but Texas State also gave

1028
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 2: up a bunch of points their last couple of games

1029
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:02,400
Speaker 2: Georgia State and South Alabama. They looked real dicey still,

1030
00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 2: I mean Unt has the leading passer receiver running back

1031
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:11,319
Speaker 2: in the portal We did see that. You know the

1032
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:14,319
Speaker 2: running back who's in the portal, Shane Porter, he's still

1033
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:17,280
Speaker 2: on the Bowl depth chart, so maybe he's going to play.

1034
00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:20,920
Speaker 2: That should be your strategy is to run the ball.

1035
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:24,359
Speaker 2: Because Texas State had both of their defensive tackles opt

1036
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:27,160
Speaker 2: out of this game, right, So your strategy should be

1037
00:47:27,200 --> 00:47:30,520
Speaker 2: to run the ball. But you're missing your main piece

1038
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 2: of offense, your two main pieces, and your quarterback and

1039
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,480
Speaker 2: your wide receiver and a pass heavy offense. So I

1040
00:47:35,520 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 2: don't like that for points on their side, Texas State,

1041
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:42,720
Speaker 2: they're down there. Top running back Ishmael Mack who had

1042
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:46,560
Speaker 2: one hundred and eighty three carries. McLeod is the engine

1043
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:49,239
Speaker 2: to that offense. But I mean that is a huge piece.

1044
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:51,280
Speaker 2: I don't think anybody else had more than eighty carries

1045
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:54,960
Speaker 2: outside of you know, Ishmael Madi. So I'm counting on

1046
00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 2: the missing offensive pieces to drive this towards the under.

1047
00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:01,720
Speaker 2: The under in this game is is right now sixty

1048
00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:05,680
Speaker 2: one and a half. Both high scoring offenses with questionable defenses,

1049
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:09,760
Speaker 2: but both missing pieces as well. Give me the under here, trell.

1050
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 4: I can't get there on the under because I think

1051
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:16,600
Speaker 4: that Texas State is gonna run it up, and my

1052
00:48:16,760 --> 00:48:20,759
Speaker 4: fear of this North Texas team and this type of

1053
00:48:20,840 --> 00:48:23,280
Speaker 4: system is that when we get to the third fourth

1054
00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 4: quarter and it's a lot similar to Syracuse and Washington

1055
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 4: State where we see a backdoor meaningless touchdown. That probably

1056
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:34,160
Speaker 4: doesn't mean a lot for a lot of people, but

1057
00:48:34,239 --> 00:48:37,080
Speaker 4: for some people it was very, very frustrating. So I

1058
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:40,799
Speaker 4: will lay it with Texas State reluctantly, but I think

1059
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 4: the better play for me is just I think Texas

1060
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:45,040
Speaker 4: State's going to be able to put up points. I

1061
00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 4: love the quarterback, I love the offense. I think that

1062
00:48:47,640 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 4: they're going to be able to score. So they've done

1063
00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:52,040
Speaker 4: it all year round. Even if they get to a

1064
00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:54,120
Speaker 4: point where they say, hey, let's start giving some backups

1065
00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:56,160
Speaker 4: and some other guys some room looking towards next year,

1066
00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 4: I still think the overall system is one where they

1067
00:48:58,840 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 4: figured it out.

1068
00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:01,400
Speaker 3: So I like sex of State to score. I'll take

1069
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:02,799
Speaker 3: their team total over as best play.

1070
00:49:03,040 --> 00:49:06,640
Speaker 1: Okay, my favorite bowl of the season Dukes Mayo Bowl,

1071
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:10,359
Speaker 1: Minnesota versus Virginia Tech. This be on Friday at seven

1072
00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:14,800
Speaker 1: thirty Eastern time from Charlotte, North Carolina. Minnesota currently laying

1073
00:49:14,880 --> 00:49:18,680
Speaker 1: seven and a half points on the Virginia Tech Hokies, Bogs,

1074
00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:20,800
Speaker 1: Where are you going here? We also have a forty

1075
00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:22,439
Speaker 1: two and a half point total New Tech.

1076
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:27,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we're looking more for what Terrell has

1077
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,800
Speaker 2: to say in this game for va Tech here, because

1078
00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:34,680
Speaker 2: they're probably gonna be down to Pop Watson as their quarterback,

1079
00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:37,200
Speaker 2: who didn't look back way when he came in. He

1080
00:49:37,280 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 2: looked okay. But Sheielle Tooton is still on the roster

1081
00:49:40,640 --> 00:49:42,120
Speaker 2: as far as I know. I'm not sure if he's

1082
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 2: gonna play, but the top two pass catchers are down

1083
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:47,960
Speaker 2: for vaw Tech. Minnesota has defended the run well, and

1084
00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:52,880
Speaker 2: Minnesota is down some pieces on offense as well and defense.

1085
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:57,120
Speaker 2: But I just Minnesota has been a steady rock this

1086
00:49:57,200 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 2: whole year. They are missing some pieces. Is my favorite game.

1087
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:02,880
Speaker 2: This would be low on my confidence, Paul or whatever,

1088
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:04,759
Speaker 2: but I'll lay the points and take the Gophers in

1089
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,200
Speaker 2: this one. I just don't think that VOTEC has been

1090
00:50:07,239 --> 00:50:09,160
Speaker 2: consistent enough for me to want to rely on them.

1091
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:13,040
Speaker 1: Big Ten Dreu, you said what Accoo and ten right

1092
00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:14,759
Speaker 1: now in bowl game something like that.

1093
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:16,320
Speaker 2: I'm going with Minnesota.

1094
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:19,160
Speaker 1: Do you have anything to say about votech.

1095
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:21,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean if there was ever any team to

1096
00:50:21,440 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 4: knock off this slide, then it would be the Virginia

1097
00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 4: Tech Hogies. And let me tell you this right here.

1098
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:30,319
Speaker 4: So first of all, I understand everything.

1099
00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:30,640
Speaker 3: You know.

1100
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:32,799
Speaker 4: Maybe No two and looks like it's going to be No.

1101
00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 4: Two in no drones, all of that. And I do

1102
00:50:36,160 --> 00:50:40,000
Speaker 4: think that the backup has played well. But Coney, the

1103
00:50:40,040 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 4: backup that they have at running back, he is a man,

1104
00:50:44,080 --> 00:50:46,520
Speaker 4: and I think that he can still run the football.

1105
00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:48,719
Speaker 4: I think that they're still finding like this is a

1106
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:50,799
Speaker 4: really really nice running back room, and I think they're

1107
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:52,600
Speaker 4: going to be fine being able to run the football.

1108
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:56,040
Speaker 4: But this is just a fade on the Minnesota Golden Gophers.

1109
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:59,000
Speaker 4: You don't lay points with Minnesota. You catch them as

1110
00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:01,239
Speaker 4: a dog, and that's when they come up and they

1111
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:03,400
Speaker 4: have their big come up ins and their big games

1112
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:04,440
Speaker 4: and all that as a doll.

1113
00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:06,359
Speaker 3: It's not when you lay the points here with all

1114
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:07,919
Speaker 3: of them. No, no, no, no no.

1115
00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:10,200
Speaker 4: I mean the Virginian Sech faithful. They're going to travel

1116
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:12,880
Speaker 4: love Charlotte, North Carolina for this game. I think Virginia

1117
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 4: Sech keeps this one within the number. Maybe they don't

1118
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:18,560
Speaker 4: get that out right win. Maybe it's some last second thing.

1119
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:21,880
Speaker 4: They did lose to Rutgers, but they covered this line.

1120
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:24,040
Speaker 4: I think they do it again, So go ahead and

1121
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:25,920
Speaker 4: get it done here for the Virginian set, keep it

1122
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:26,680
Speaker 4: under a touchdown.

1123
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:27,880
Speaker 2: Okay.

1124
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 1: We'll round it out with the Bahamas Bull Buffalo versus Liberty.

1125
00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:35,000
Speaker 1: This one will happen on Saturday, January fourth, eleven pm

1126
00:51:35,080 --> 00:51:37,880
Speaker 1: Eastern Time from Nazoo, Bahamas.

1127
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 2: I've never been in the so NASA, thank you, thank you,

1128
00:51:41,880 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 2: nast place. I would love to.

1129
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:45,600
Speaker 4: I would love to catch it on a cruise, on

1130
00:51:46,160 --> 00:51:46,839
Speaker 4: Carnival Cruise.

1131
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:47,520
Speaker 3: That's what I will.

1132
00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:49,399
Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, it was fun. You ever see you ever

1133
00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:52,680
Speaker 2: see the show Black Sales? No, the setting is in Nassau,

1134
00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 2: is a big pirate place. Okay, well, how are we

1135
00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:57,200
Speaker 2: feeling about this one?

1136
00:51:57,280 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 1: We currently have Buffalo, who are two and a half

1137
00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:03,040
Speaker 1: point favorites against Liberty. Of course, a lot of opt

1138
00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:05,839
Speaker 1: outs on both sides. Specifically though Liberty, they'll be without

1139
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:09,480
Speaker 1: Caiden Salter, their quarterback. Listen, I tried to back Liberty

1140
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:12,320
Speaker 1: at some point earlier this season. I parlayed their money

1141
00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:15,719
Speaker 1: line like minus two thousand against Kennesaw State and they

1142
00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:18,600
Speaker 1: freaking lost. So I'm fading Liberty. My boy Trent went

1143
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,600
Speaker 1: to Liberty. I don't like Liberty. A bunch of punks

1144
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:24,879
Speaker 1: running around down there in Liberty. So give me Buffalo here.

1145
00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:26,959
Speaker 1: What do you think, Terrell, you're from down in that area,

1146
00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:28,400
Speaker 1: you probably know some Liberty friends.

1147
00:52:28,560 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, Liberty is like rb yu.

1148
00:52:30,719 --> 00:52:33,680
Speaker 4: I say, it's like, yeah, he's just.

1149
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:34,879
Speaker 2: Freaking no scary movie.

1150
00:52:35,520 --> 00:52:36,480
Speaker 3: Scary movies.

1151
00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:40,719
Speaker 4: They're you know, out there not participating in a lot

1152
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:45,640
Speaker 4: of acts. And my track coach used to went to

1153
00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:50,439
Speaker 4: Liberty as well, so I have familiar with them. It's tough, man,

1154
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:52,959
Speaker 4: it's tough. I think that I'm gonna just go ahead

1155
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:54,600
Speaker 4: and go Buffalo. The opt outs I think are a

1156
00:52:54,640 --> 00:52:56,800
Speaker 4: little bit too much. This was a down year for Liberty,

1157
00:52:57,000 --> 00:52:58,839
Speaker 4: and I think that this is just the close out

1158
00:52:58,960 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 4: of a hey man. And this season really freaking sucked.

1159
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:03,239
Speaker 4: When the season started, we thought we had a chance

1160
00:53:03,280 --> 00:53:05,560
Speaker 4: at the college football playoff. We thought, with how they

1161
00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:07,759
Speaker 4: set everything up, we could run this division and we

1162
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:10,200
Speaker 4: could go play in a college football playoff game and

1163
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:12,640
Speaker 4: see where things go from there. We have a great quarterback,

1164
00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:14,600
Speaker 4: we had a great running back, all of that, and

1165
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:17,840
Speaker 4: now we're missing all of that. The season went horrible,

1166
00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:19,920
Speaker 4: nobody's even talking about us, and now we're kind of

1167
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:21,879
Speaker 4: lumping our way to this bowl game. I just think

1168
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:23,759
Speaker 4: Liberty has that quit in him this time. So I'm

1169
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:24,440
Speaker 4: taking Buffalo.

1170
00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:27,759
Speaker 2: Let's go Buffalo. Where do you think bugs? Yeah, I'm

1171
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:30,879
Speaker 2: gonna again take the under in this game. I think

1172
00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:33,640
Speaker 2: you know, Kin Salter moving on to Colorado and they're

1173
00:53:33,680 --> 00:53:36,359
Speaker 2: down three offensive linemen. They had like the number two

1174
00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:40,200
Speaker 2: run block grade in the country as well Liberty did,

1175
00:53:40,239 --> 00:53:42,960
Speaker 2: and they're down the big pieces of this and Salter

1176
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:46,920
Speaker 2: and they're a three offensive linemen in Buffalo. Buffalo had

1177
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:48,960
Speaker 2: a good enough year to make a bowl game, but

1178
00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:53,560
Speaker 2: they were miserable anytime on offense, specifically anytime they had

1179
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:57,000
Speaker 2: to face a bowl team. Right like, and if you

1180
00:53:57,120 --> 00:54:00,880
Speaker 2: just go through it, sixteen points against Ohio, eighty three yards.

1181
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:03,840
Speaker 2: They did score thirty against Toledo, but they had Toledo

1182
00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:05,760
Speaker 2: had two fumbles that gave Buffalo short.

1183
00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:08,319
Speaker 4: Hey, they were big dogs in that game, so just

1184
00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:10,880
Speaker 4: want a huge dogs. Thank you for that money line.

1185
00:54:10,320 --> 00:54:13,520
Speaker 2: But they rushed or they only had three hundred and

1186
00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:16,239
Speaker 2: fifty seven yards in that game and they ended up

1187
00:54:16,280 --> 00:54:18,879
Speaker 2: winning it and putting up thirty points, but by far

1188
00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:21,560
Speaker 2: their best offensive game against a bowl team, because other

1189
00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:24,480
Speaker 2: than that three and one hundred and ninety eight yards

1190
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:26,920
Speaker 2: against Yukon, twenty three points and one hundred and eighty

1191
00:54:26,920 --> 00:54:30,280
Speaker 2: four yards against NIU, and zero points and one hundred

1192
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:33,480
Speaker 2: and sixty nine yards against Miszoo, so they have not

1193
00:54:33,640 --> 00:54:37,400
Speaker 2: been good against decent defenses. Liberty plays decent defense and

1194
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:39,839
Speaker 2: didn't have a ton of opt outs and they're down

1195
00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:43,520
Speaker 2: a bunch of offensive pieces. The total in this game, I believe,

1196
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:45,279
Speaker 2: are you looking at it said? Is it fifty and

1197
00:54:45,320 --> 00:54:47,879
Speaker 2: a half? Still fifty and a half? Yeah, okay, fifty

1198
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:49,840
Speaker 2: and a half. We're going under on that total in

1199
00:54:49,880 --> 00:54:51,120
Speaker 2: this game. I think this is going to be an

1200
00:54:51,200 --> 00:54:55,320
Speaker 2: ugly back and forth transfer fest. And even Buffalo's kicker

1201
00:54:55,760 --> 00:54:58,479
Speaker 2: also opted out of this game, so oh no, maybe

1202
00:54:58,520 --> 00:55:02,960
Speaker 2: if they do have you have some nerve with a

1203
00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:06,040
Speaker 2: field goal. Hey, I mentioned the kickers twice in this show,

1204
00:55:06,080 --> 00:55:08,359
Speaker 2: the Notre Dame kicker and the Buffalo kicker, so I'm

1205
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:09,719
Speaker 2: trying to stay on top of it here.

1206
00:55:10,480 --> 00:55:12,319
Speaker 1: Let's go shout out to all the kickers out there.

1207
00:55:12,360 --> 00:55:16,279
Speaker 1: We appreciate you, appreciate everyone watching as well. Been a

1208
00:55:16,280 --> 00:55:18,680
Speaker 1: fantastic episode. That's going to do it for us today

1209
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:21,560
Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros College Football Show. We'll be back

1210
00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:24,879
Speaker 1: next week with another episode. Until then, like this video.

1211
00:55:24,880 --> 00:55:27,280
Speaker 1: If you enjoyed it, subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube

1212
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:30,239
Speaker 1: channel and the podcast feed, Plus download the BP app

1213
00:55:30,480 --> 00:55:33,880
Speaker 1: and sync your sportsbooks Today. For Treell Firman Junior and

1214
00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:37,200
Speaker 1: Scott Bogman and everyone here at Betting Pros, I'm Seth Wilcock.

1215
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:38,319
Speaker 2: Have a happy new year.

1216
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:40,280
Speaker 1: See y'all.

1217
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:42,480
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1218
00:55:42,680 --> 00:55:45,080
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1219
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1220
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1221
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:51,719
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1222
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1223
00:55:54,040 --> 00:55:55,480
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1224
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