WEBVTT - Ryan Girdusky - The Buck Sexton Show 0:00:11.697 --> 0:00:14.937 You're listening to The Buck Sexton Show podcast, make sure 0:00:14.977 --> 0:00:17.977 you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or 0:00:18.017 --> 0:00:19.737 wherever you get your podcasts. 0:00:20.657 --> 0:00:23.497 Hey, everybody, welcome to the Buck Sexton Show. We're very pleased. 0:00:23.537 --> 0:00:27.417 On this episode, our friend Ryan Gerdski joins us. He 0:00:27.657 --> 0:00:33.057 is the guy who writes the National Populist newsletter on Substack, 0:00:33.057 --> 0:00:34.737 which you should all subscribe to. You I am a 0:00:34.777 --> 0:00:39.937 subscriber and always look forward to new Substacks as they 0:00:39.937 --> 0:00:43.297 are published there. He's also a political consultant, perhaps a 0:00:43.297 --> 0:00:44.817 political wizard on his best days. 0:00:44.937 --> 0:00:47.857 Great to have you, Ryan, Thanks for having me. 0:00:48.137 --> 0:00:52.017 So let's start with American voter in twenty twenty four. 0:00:52.137 --> 0:00:55.057 You crunch the numbers, you looked at the data. It's 0:00:55.097 --> 0:00:57.137 about to get real, right. We've got a Republican debate 0:00:57.137 --> 0:00:59.777 coming up soon. It's going to be the primaries before 0:00:59.777 --> 0:01:01.617 we know what people are going to be casting ballots. 0:01:01.817 --> 0:01:04.497 What O folks need to know about how twenty twenty 0:01:04.497 --> 0:01:08.057 four is shaping up by the numbers so far, Well, the. 0:01:07.977 --> 0:01:10.577 Biggest thing is what is the demographic of the country 0:01:10.657 --> 0:01:13.177 going to look like? That's a big, big question. You know, 0:01:13.217 --> 0:01:17.417 when George Bush ran in two thousand and four, the 0:01:17.457 --> 0:01:20.337 country was almost eighty percent of the voting electorate was white. 0:01:20.737 --> 0:01:23.657 You go to some swing states like Florida, sorry of 0:01:23.697 --> 0:01:27.417 North Carolina. North Carolina was a biracial state. It was 0:01:27.537 --> 0:01:30.297 just black and whites, I mean non people who are 0:01:30.337 --> 0:01:32.697 not black, not white, were less than two percent of 0:01:32.697 --> 0:01:36.057 the voting population. Those things aren't the same, aren't true 0:01:36.097 --> 0:01:41.057 anymore at all. And I think what happens in people's heads, specifically, 0:01:41.177 --> 0:01:45.017 is they get frozen in time. You know, the population 0:01:45.097 --> 0:01:47.297 of voters who will be millennials and zoomers will be 0:01:47.337 --> 0:01:50.577 up substantially. There were basically no zoomers in There were 0:01:50.577 --> 0:01:52.697 none at all in sixteen, and there were very few 0:01:52.737 --> 0:01:55.017 in twenty twenty. There'll be substantially millions more in twenty 0:01:55.097 --> 0:01:59.257 twenty four. And a lot of the biggest swing states 0:01:59.617 --> 0:02:05.617 like North Carolina again, Arizona, Florida, have had population growth 0:02:05.737 --> 0:02:11.257 that exceed the margins of previous elections cycles. So just 0:02:11.257 --> 0:02:14.617 because something happened four or eighty years ago, because the 0:02:14.897 --> 0:02:20.617 net migration interstatement migration, let alone forget immigration, that's the 0:02:20.657 --> 0:02:24.657 interstate migration is so large and so profound. The pot 0:02:24.737 --> 0:02:28.497 the fixed population and the fixed voting demographics have changed substantially, 0:02:28.537 --> 0:02:29.857 and that's what we'll forget mostly. 0:02:31.217 --> 0:02:36.857 Now, what is the biggest up for grabs voting demographic 0:02:37.297 --> 0:02:40.097 for twenty twenty four, Like if you could, oh, I. 0:02:40.097 --> 0:02:44.057 Mean, yeah, I make I mean there has been substantial 0:02:44.417 --> 0:02:46.617 change in the Asian. 0:02:46.257 --> 0:02:49.497 And Hispanic vote. And I'll take an example of New 0:02:49.577 --> 0:02:50.017 York City. 0:02:50.017 --> 0:02:53.537 For example, New York City in Bronx, which you know, 0:02:53.577 --> 0:02:56.617 the Bronx. The Bronx is a very heavily heavily Hispanic 0:02:56.697 --> 0:03:00.497 majority population with no functional Republican party. There is no 0:03:00.537 --> 0:03:02.257 Republican party in the Bronx. There might as well not 0:03:02.337 --> 0:03:07.137 be their population. People who voted Republican in that county 0:03:07.657 --> 0:03:12.057 almost doubled from some sixteen to twenty twenty. And then 0:03:12.057 --> 0:03:15.377 in twenty twenty one there was the mayoral election and 0:03:15.497 --> 0:03:19.097 the population of people voting Republican increase, even as the 0:03:19.137 --> 0:03:22.257 Republican candidate for mayor got like twenty eight percent in 0:03:22.337 --> 0:03:24.737 the city. And then if you look at the governor's race, 0:03:24.777 --> 0:03:27.977 which was more competitive, obviously the population of Republicans voting 0:03:27.977 --> 0:03:31.897 in that county increased. Again, Republicans did not gain any 0:03:31.937 --> 0:03:34.017 new votes from twenty twenty two from twenty twenty to 0:03:34.057 --> 0:03:36.217 twenty twenty two, but they did not lose any supporting 0:03:36.217 --> 0:03:39.417 amongst Hispanics. So one of the biggest things is that 0:03:39.457 --> 0:03:42.697 probably the Hispanic baseline level for Republicans is higher than 0:03:42.777 --> 0:03:46.897 it was just you know, six years ago, eight years ago, 0:03:47.177 --> 0:03:49.497 where the number would be in the mid twenties, it's 0:03:49.497 --> 0:03:52.377 probably in the mid thirties. Now a great candidate, a 0:03:52.417 --> 0:03:55.257 great campaign, you could probably get into the low forties, 0:03:55.297 --> 0:03:57.417 which is good. But you have to remember a lot 0:03:57.417 --> 0:04:01.577 of Hispanics live in places that are not competitive California, Illinois, 0:04:01.697 --> 0:04:04.457 New York, New Jersey. It makes it a little it 0:04:04.497 --> 0:04:09.897 makes their vote increase important, but less so than that. 0:04:10.057 --> 0:04:12.777 And it would be with black voters if blackletters moving, 0:04:12.777 --> 0:04:16.177 which they're not moving. Asian voters similarly, and local elections 0:04:16.337 --> 0:04:18.657 have started moving Republican. I don't know if that will 0:04:18.657 --> 0:04:21.457 carry to federal elections as different issues, but certainly on 0:04:21.537 --> 0:04:24.097 crime a number of issues, Republican voters and I take 0:04:24.137 --> 0:04:26.817 it back to New York City, Republican Asian voters move 0:04:26.857 --> 0:04:29.657 fifty points right from twenty eighteen to twenty twenty two, 0:04:30.417 --> 0:04:33.857 and especially in Chinatown, Brooklyn and Chinatown and Queens if 0:04:33.937 --> 0:04:37.257 you look at the and if you look at twenty 0:04:37.297 --> 0:04:41.137 twenty two, one of the places totally non competitive, no 0:04:41.257 --> 0:04:43.977 functioning Republican party. A place Republicans grew a lot of 0:04:43.977 --> 0:04:48.057 support was in Hawaii, of all places, very weak Republican 0:04:48.097 --> 0:04:50.737 Party there, but the Asian vote did move right and 0:04:50.857 --> 0:04:54.577 help Republicans elect three state legislators that they didn't have before. 0:04:55.177 --> 0:04:57.417 But the biggest vote, where it matters, where the votes 0:04:57.457 --> 0:05:02.417 matter go in large portions, are the non college educated wife. 0:05:02.497 --> 0:05:05.057 Still in twenty twenty, people have a picture in their 0:05:05.097 --> 0:05:08.017 head that the average Biden voters a college educated woman 0:05:08.137 --> 0:05:08.817 or a black woman. 0:05:08.857 --> 0:05:10.617 That is the portry the. 0:05:10.577 --> 0:05:14.057 Media puts out there. The biggest demographic of Biden voters 0:05:14.057 --> 0:05:15.337 were non college. 0:05:15.057 --> 0:05:17.057 Educated white voters. Thirty two percent. 0:05:17.177 --> 0:05:20.017 One of every three Biden voters was non college educated 0:05:20.017 --> 0:05:24.337 white people. Overall, twenty six million Americans, About twenty percent 0:05:24.377 --> 0:05:27.417 of that population supports building a border world. About thirty 0:05:27.457 --> 0:05:31.297 percent supports banning abortion after twenty four weeks twenty weeks. 0:05:31.057 --> 0:05:31.417 Something like that. 0:05:32.977 --> 0:05:36.377 They have a number of conservative things. It's one in five, 0:05:36.897 --> 0:05:39.497 it's one in five non college educated whites. Within one 0:05:39.497 --> 0:05:42.897 of three voters is six percent of the Biden base 0:05:43.537 --> 0:05:45.937 is movable, which is about six million voters. That is 0:05:45.977 --> 0:05:49.137 substantial in an election where the elections in the last 0:05:49.137 --> 0:05:52.097 two presidential cycles have been decided by under one hundred 0:05:52.097 --> 0:05:55.137 thousand votes in swing states, and the biggest populations of 0:05:55.217 --> 0:05:58.417 non college educated whites are the russ Belts, which is 0:05:58.497 --> 0:06:01.657 up for grabs places like New Hampshire main SEC and 0:06:01.737 --> 0:06:05.097 congressional and substantial portions in places still like North Carolina, 0:06:05.137 --> 0:06:07.737 which is a large population of non college educated whites. 0:06:08.857 --> 0:06:10.777 I would think that is one place they could focus 0:06:10.777 --> 0:06:13.617 on substantially if there was an effort by. 0:06:13.497 --> 0:06:15.297 The GOP to register those voters. 0:06:15.337 --> 0:06:18.017 There's still over forty million non college educated whites we're 0:06:18.057 --> 0:06:20.897 not interested to vote as of twenty sixteen May. Let's 0:06:20.897 --> 0:06:23.457 say it's thirty five million today. It's a lot of people. 0:06:25.177 --> 0:06:27.417 Those are the places that are the easiest for grabs 0:06:27.457 --> 0:06:30.497 and the easy places Republicans can gain support because at 0:06:30.537 --> 0:06:33.577 the same time they're losing support still among college educated 0:06:33.617 --> 0:06:37.897 white voters and that vote is receding. Remember that when 0:06:37.977 --> 0:06:41.217 people think of like the Bush years twenty five years ago, 0:06:41.897 --> 0:06:44.497 and they think or twenty years ago, and they think 0:06:44.577 --> 0:06:47.737 of an old voter in that time they're talking about 0:06:47.737 --> 0:06:51.857 the Greatest generation. That generation has died out. The generations 0:06:51.897 --> 0:06:54.057 replaced in as an old voter is the silence And 0:06:54.057 --> 0:06:57.097 people think of the Silent Generation almost as intertwined with 0:06:57.577 --> 0:07:01.457 the Greatest Generation, very close. But there's a great book 0:07:01.457 --> 0:07:04.057 called Generations I had just read by Jeanette Twinge. 0:07:04.217 --> 0:07:04.657 I think it is. 0:07:04.657 --> 0:07:07.137 It's a very long book full of data, and the 0:07:07.337 --> 0:07:11.537 Silent Generation are much more left wing than the Greatest 0:07:11.537 --> 0:07:14.857 Generation were. Silent generation is the generation that did Stone Wall, 0:07:15.057 --> 0:07:16.897 that were the hippie generation. They were the one who 0:07:16.897 --> 0:07:20.057 went to Woodstock, not the baby boomers. The baby Boomers 0:07:20.497 --> 0:07:23.017 adapted to their culture changes, but the people who led 0:07:23.217 --> 0:07:25.897 the big changes culture than the sixties was the site 0:07:25.937 --> 0:07:30.977 was Joe Biden generation, not you know, not our parents, 0:07:31.017 --> 0:07:34.057 Boomer generation. They just grew up in it. And I 0:07:34.137 --> 0:07:37.097 think that's important to realize. So you'll have an aging 0:07:37.137 --> 0:07:39.537 off of the more conservative voters, and you have a 0:07:39.537 --> 0:07:43.137 lot of more progressive voters and coming up through Generation 0:07:43.337 --> 0:07:47.737 Z and you have and you have college educated whites 0:07:47.857 --> 0:07:50.177 continuing to leave the GOP. So to make up for 0:07:50.217 --> 0:07:52.057 that in the millions, you need to make up for 0:07:52.137 --> 0:07:54.417 that the non college educated white vote is still the 0:07:54.537 --> 0:07:58.977 largest voting demographic along with working class Hispanics. To get 0:08:00.177 --> 0:08:01.617 I know it's a very long winded answer. 0:08:02.617 --> 0:08:05.297 No, it's important data. I want to come back and 0:08:05.337 --> 0:08:11.177 ask you how you think the Republican nominee, whoever he 0:08:11.257 --> 0:08:13.777 ends up being, probably Trump, but whoever it ends up being, 0:08:14.497 --> 0:08:20.417 can chip away at Biden's white, non college educated voter base. 0:08:20.497 --> 0:08:23.377 But we'll talk because I think that's something that Trump 0:08:23.417 --> 0:08:25.697 did in twenty sixteen clearly against Hillary. Right, So this 0:08:25.777 --> 0:08:29.377 is a central battleground politically going to the next election. 0:08:29.377 --> 0:08:31.057 We'll get into that in one second. But first up, 0:08:31.737 --> 0:08:33.137 you know, there are some people that still think the 0:08:33.177 --> 0:08:35.817 economy is gonna tank. At least the market's going to 0:08:35.897 --> 0:08:37.937 tank in the months ahead and things could get ugly 0:08:37.937 --> 0:08:40.417 out there. Plus with inflation where it is. How do 0:08:40.457 --> 0:08:42.937 you protect your assets? What can you actually do to diversify? 0:08:43.497 --> 0:08:46.217 You need to check out real gold and real silver. 0:08:46.377 --> 0:08:49.577 Gold and silver can be protection for your portfolio. It's 0:08:49.617 --> 0:08:51.377 a good hedge. It's something you want to have as 0:08:51.377 --> 0:08:54.577 part of a diversification strategy. I have gold and silver 0:08:54.617 --> 0:08:57.137 here at home, and I get mine from the Oxford 0:08:57.177 --> 0:09:00.177 Gold Group. Oxford Gold Group that's who you can go to. 0:09:00.217 --> 0:09:02.057 It's who you can trust to help you set up 0:09:02.177 --> 0:09:04.257 real gold and silver you can hold in your hand 0:09:04.337 --> 0:09:08.057 that comes right to your door discreetly, and you'll be 0:09:08.097 --> 0:09:11.457 able to actually keep possession of that yourself. Call the 0:09:11.457 --> 0:09:13.737 Oxford Gold Group. It's who I use it, who I trust. 0:09:13.777 --> 0:09:15.337 The call is free. The people on the other end 0:09:15.337 --> 0:09:18.217 of the line are trustworthy and knowledgeable in this area 0:09:18.257 --> 0:09:22.097 of precious metals. Eight three three seven zero seven gold 0:09:22.177 --> 0:09:26.217 eight three three seven zero seven gold. That's eight three 0:09:26.257 --> 0:09:29.777 to three seven zero seven gold. How does a Republican 0:09:31.297 --> 0:09:35.097 get enough of the Biden white, non college educated vote 0:09:35.137 --> 0:09:36.977 to beat Biden in the Key States? 0:09:38.137 --> 0:09:40.017 I think well. I mean, there are certain things working 0:09:40.057 --> 0:09:42.297 their advantage. The border is a disaster and people are 0:09:42.417 --> 0:09:45.537 very well aware of that. Inflation is super high. I 0:09:45.577 --> 0:09:47.457 read a CNN headline, although I did not read the 0:09:47.537 --> 0:09:52.177 article admittedly, that average prices are up eight hundred dollars 0:09:52.217 --> 0:09:55.697 from two years ago for the average household monthly items, 0:09:55.737 --> 0:09:57.297 and that would be. 0:09:56.897 --> 0:09:57.977 A very very big thing. 0:09:58.017 --> 0:10:00.897 I spoke to a Biden voter who is someone I 0:10:00.977 --> 0:10:03.457 know not super well, but she started bringing politics and 0:10:03.497 --> 0:10:05.097 she said, I'll just deal with the mean tweets I'm 0:10:05.097 --> 0:10:08.977 going to vote for Trump, non college educated, white working 0:10:09.017 --> 0:10:12.737 class woman, single woman, even though she's pro choice and 0:10:12.737 --> 0:10:14.017 all the rest of so the economy is working in 0:10:14.057 --> 0:10:16.977 their favor for sure. I think a lynchpin for a 0:10:17.017 --> 0:10:21.617 lot of people who are working class that Republicans have 0:10:21.657 --> 0:10:23.737 failed to address in a meaningful way is healthcare. 0:10:24.257 --> 0:10:26.577 I think that there's a big, big, big loophole. 0:10:26.737 --> 0:10:30.457 I don't really know the Republican health care plan of 0:10:30.537 --> 0:10:33.377 any major candidate. I don't think that there is a 0:10:33.417 --> 0:10:36.537 way that they have addressed that succinctly that people understand. 0:10:37.097 --> 0:10:40.257 Using terms like free market, let the free market decide means, 0:10:40.617 --> 0:10:43.697 we'll see how it goes, will wing it. Things like 0:10:44.257 --> 0:10:50.337 trying to bring up accessibility, prices and costs. 0:10:50.217 --> 0:10:52.097 Are really where the major factors are. 0:10:52.137 --> 0:10:55.097 So if we don't want an alternative of socialized medicine 0:10:55.177 --> 0:10:57.137 and there's a lot of pitfalls to it, what are 0:10:57.217 --> 0:11:00.537 we going to do to make healthcare more affordable and 0:11:00.817 --> 0:11:03.857 a better option for people who you know they're living 0:11:03.857 --> 0:11:06.297 paycheck by paycheck. I know from my personal health insurance 0:11:06.337 --> 0:11:09.457 that I pay out of my company is like twelve 0:11:09.537 --> 0:11:12.217 hundred a month. I don't really know a lot of 0:11:12.217 --> 0:11:13.737 people who be able if they have a family of 0:11:13.737 --> 0:11:16.577 four and the company doesn't pay for all of it. 0:11:16.577 --> 0:11:18.697 It's in the thousands of months, and I don't know 0:11:18.737 --> 0:11:20.057 a lot of people get sit there and do it. 0:11:20.137 --> 0:11:24.017 So are they either get Obamacare or crappy healthcare or 0:11:24.057 --> 0:11:26.337 they just settle for no healthcare. So I think that's 0:11:26.377 --> 0:11:29.137 a major, major focal point that the Republicans have failed 0:11:29.137 --> 0:11:32.217 to address. And I think that it's a major it's 0:11:32.257 --> 0:11:34.297 a major issue within the GOP if you. 0:11:34.297 --> 0:11:34.617 Look at it. 0:11:35.057 --> 0:11:37.217 Wait, I'm gonna have to jump in because otherwise you're 0:11:37.217 --> 0:11:40.137 telling us brilliant stuff. I does anyone on the GP 0:11:40.257 --> 0:11:44.337 side have a healthcare platform yet that they have articulated? 0:11:44.337 --> 0:11:46.257 Does that? Even if you ask me right now, I 0:11:46.297 --> 0:11:47.937 do this for a living, I'm not aware of it. 0:11:49.097 --> 0:11:50.697 I don't know. I've never heard of one. 0:11:50.777 --> 0:11:55.257 I mean, rallying against Obamacare was very effective when Obamacare 0:11:55.337 --> 0:11:57.817 was new. It's kind of settled in when people when 0:11:57.857 --> 0:12:01.217 Republicans give standard answers like the free market, that doesn't 0:12:01.257 --> 0:12:03.017 mean anything to a lot of people, and it's a 0:12:03.137 --> 0:12:05.497 very it's a scary idea is you're just not going 0:12:05.537 --> 0:12:08.457 to have healthcare and then Eventually the corporations who you 0:12:08.537 --> 0:12:10.417 kind of feel have like hurt you over the pass 0:12:10.457 --> 0:12:12.737 with healthcare, are are going to strew you over again. 0:12:12.777 --> 0:12:15.137 And I think that's why we're probably this is not 0:12:15.177 --> 0:12:17.777 a prediction, but this is just like where the public 0:12:17.857 --> 0:12:19.657 is going. They're going to get closer and closer towards 0:12:19.697 --> 0:12:24.177 a socialized healthcare thing at least or probably emergency care. 0:12:25.017 --> 0:12:25.577 You know. JD. 0:12:25.737 --> 0:12:28.417 Mann's is out there as a Republican and he's talking 0:12:28.457 --> 0:12:33.057 about trying to make at least healthcare for baby deliveries free. 0:12:33.257 --> 0:12:34.497 I just think that this is going to be the 0:12:34.577 --> 0:12:38.537 natural movement of most voters over time, and I think 0:12:38.537 --> 0:12:42.617 that this is a major hiccup. But I said before. 0:12:42.377 --> 0:12:45.297 About to ask you a question, how do we make healthcare? 0:12:45.337 --> 0:12:47.737 I mean, because I agree that's been the trajectory. How 0:12:47.777 --> 0:12:49.817 do we handle making health care free when we're setting 0:12:49.897 --> 0:12:52.417 up refugee camps for illegals in New York City and 0:12:52.457 --> 0:12:53.497 other places? You know what I mean? 0:12:53.577 --> 0:12:55.617 How are you? Yeah, that's a great question. 0:12:55.897 --> 0:13:00.097 You can't I mean now without bankrupting the system, and 0:13:00.257 --> 0:13:03.057 these cities and states are already going bankrupt. There was 0:13:03.097 --> 0:13:05.057 a great article, by the way, I totally sided in 0:13:05.097 --> 0:13:07.697 the City, which is a good publication at New York City, 0:13:07.817 --> 0:13:10.497 but it's a total left wing everyone's a liberal. And 0:13:10.617 --> 0:13:13.177 their article was like, because they have the city council 0:13:13.177 --> 0:13:15.457 elections this year in New York and they said city 0:13:15.457 --> 0:13:17.457 council candid sound more and more. 0:13:17.297 --> 0:13:19.377 Like Republicans on immigration and migrants. 0:13:19.617 --> 0:13:21.657 So it was just very very well, how you know, 0:13:21.697 --> 0:13:24.177 when it's happening in their backyard, all of a sudden, 0:13:24.257 --> 0:13:27.697 everyone is, you know, Joe Rpio, not really that much, 0:13:28.017 --> 0:13:29.777 not that extent, but they're definitely. 0:13:29.497 --> 0:13:31.177 More hawkish on immigration than they were. 0:13:32.177 --> 0:13:34.457 But yeah, you can, I mean everyone acknowledges you can't 0:13:34.457 --> 0:13:37.577 have a welfare system and have open borders. Joe Biden famously, 0:13:37.577 --> 0:13:41.057 which I don't know why Republicans did not pounce on 0:13:41.337 --> 0:13:44.617 greater in twenty twenty set there instead, he wanted free 0:13:44.697 --> 0:13:48.257 healthcare for illegal Alians. I mean, that's the magnet bringing 0:13:48.297 --> 0:13:50.697 them all over. I don't you know if you can 0:13:50.777 --> 0:13:56.577 have an economic argument on migration issues. The reason that 0:13:56.817 --> 0:13:59.097 part of a big part of the reason we don't 0:13:59.137 --> 0:14:03.257 have affordable housing in this country is because everybody wants 0:14:03.257 --> 0:14:05.457 to live in the same twenty five metropolitan areas No 0:14:05.457 --> 0:14:07.257 one wants to live in the Nevada Desert just they 0:14:07.257 --> 0:14:08.857 don't want to. They don't want to live in Wyoming, 0:14:09.017 --> 0:14:11.177 they don't want to live in northern New Hampshire. They 0:14:11.177 --> 0:14:13.177 want to live in the same twenty five metro areas 0:14:13.177 --> 0:14:15.417 that everybody else wants to live in. And even though 0:14:15.417 --> 0:14:18.337 we're building over a million homes a year, when you 0:14:18.417 --> 0:14:21.497 take in one point two one point three million people legally, 0:14:21.937 --> 0:14:23.617 and then you have a bunch of eighteen year olds 0:14:23.617 --> 0:14:26.537 turning eighteen wanting to buy homes and people living longer, 0:14:26.857 --> 0:14:30.217 it creates an immense crush when it comes to housing. 0:14:31.177 --> 0:14:34.097 Migration is a big part of that. Healthcare is a 0:14:34.097 --> 0:14:34.697 big part of that. 0:14:35.017 --> 0:14:39.017 I think that there is an economic argument towards migration 0:14:39.417 --> 0:14:42.897 that people are not bringing up that could definitely sway 0:14:42.937 --> 0:14:45.497 over some working class people, especially as more and more 0:14:45.537 --> 0:14:48.337 of them are seeing these migrant cities, migrants, you know, 0:14:49.297 --> 0:14:52.897 crunching the numbers. In augustuns Massachusetts declared state of emergency 0:14:53.097 --> 0:14:56.017 over migration, and they're only spending fifty million dollars I 0:14:56.057 --> 0:14:58.337 think a month. Right now, New York City is spending 0:14:58.497 --> 0:15:01.137 twelve billion in the next two years. One in ten 0:15:01.217 --> 0:15:03.817 dollars is going to migrants in New York City's budget. 0:15:04.897 --> 0:15:07.217 I just don't understand how anyone thinks this is sustainable. 0:15:07.257 --> 0:15:10.657 But it also it also will they're going to call 0:15:10.657 --> 0:15:12.897 for federal bailouts. They already are calling for federal bailouts, 0:15:12.937 --> 0:15:15.057 which I think is fascinating because it means the usual 0:15:15.097 --> 0:15:16.577 thing that I get when I talk about this issue, 0:15:16.657 --> 0:15:18.897 Ryan is people who live in Nebraska are like, whatever 0:15:18.977 --> 0:15:21.857 sucks for New York. Well, actually, what they're hoping to 0:15:21.857 --> 0:15:24.617 do is to bail out New York with the tax 0:15:24.657 --> 0:15:27.497 dollars that people everywhere across the country right, or at 0:15:27.537 --> 0:15:30.697 least to run off the debt even more. But this 0:15:30.817 --> 0:15:33.937 storyline for so many years was illegals do the jobs 0:15:34.017 --> 0:15:37.617 Americans won't do. You know, you get some Cato Institute 0:15:37.657 --> 0:15:40.857 flax who will say, oh, illegals, all they do is 0:15:40.897 --> 0:15:44.057 contribute to the economy. We need them or Social Security 0:15:44.097 --> 0:15:46.377 is going to fall apart, and someone us are sitting 0:15:46.377 --> 0:15:48.937 here saying, first of all, they're coming to the country illegally. 0:15:48.977 --> 0:15:51.337 Second of all, they're lying to border patrol about why 0:15:51.377 --> 0:15:56.017 they're coming. They're scamming the system. They overwhelmingly don't speak English, 0:15:56.097 --> 0:15:59.017 They are semi literate at best in any language. They 0:15:59.057 --> 0:16:01.377 have no discernible skills, they have no background checks that 0:16:01.417 --> 0:16:03.337 have been run, and they're going to be able to 0:16:03.377 --> 0:16:06.217 compete and be a net contributor in an increasing the 0:16:06.257 --> 0:16:08.137 information based economy. 0:16:08.657 --> 0:16:12.937 In an economy that is happily mechanizing low skilled jobs, 0:16:13.577 --> 0:16:17.057 and it kind of is rapidly. We've gone to McDonald's recently, 0:16:17.057 --> 0:16:19.697 I mean maybe you probably haven't, but they're all robots. 0:16:20.257 --> 0:16:21.977 I mean, and a lot of McDonald's. 0:16:22.057 --> 0:16:24.337 There are robots taking your order, and there are robots 0:16:24.377 --> 0:16:28.097 serving you food, and there are robots. Growing up, you 0:16:28.137 --> 0:16:29.897 wanted to go from New York to New Jersey, you 0:16:29.937 --> 0:16:31.177 had to sit and wait and line to throw a 0:16:31.257 --> 0:16:33.497 quarter or give a dollar to a lady in a booth. 0:16:33.577 --> 0:16:35.897 There's no more ladies in a booth. It's all robots. 0:16:35.897 --> 0:16:40.417 We are mechanizing low skilled jobs across this country. So 0:16:40.537 --> 0:16:43.457 how do you have a twenty first century economy with 0:16:43.537 --> 0:16:47.177 a twentieth century labor force? No one, there's a way 0:16:47.217 --> 0:16:50.497 to articulate that in a profound way. There are brilliant 0:16:50.497 --> 0:16:52.737 immigrants that come to this country. There are scientists, there 0:16:52.737 --> 0:16:55.537 are data researchers. There maybe is the next Albert Einstein 0:16:55.617 --> 0:16:59.417 sitting somewhere in some place, but the overwhelming number aren't. 0:16:59.897 --> 0:17:03.657 And it's so my favorite like stupid libertarian argument. 0:17:03.377 --> 0:17:07.017 Is like, oh, you know x amount of billionaires have 0:17:07.137 --> 0:17:09.977 come to people who made billion dollar companies have come 0:17:10.177 --> 0:17:13.057 from as immigrants. If you ever look at the countries 0:17:13.097 --> 0:17:17.217 they come from, it's like eighty five percent Western Europe, Israel, 0:17:17.377 --> 0:17:22.097 East Asia, and Australia or Canada. Like it doesn't match 0:17:22.177 --> 0:17:26.537 our immigration populations at all, Like the like there's four 0:17:27.017 --> 0:17:30.897 from Africa and one is Elon musk so like there's 0:17:31.057 --> 0:17:34.457 almost none from like Central America or South America, So 0:17:34.817 --> 0:17:37.697 we don't have where our immigration policy is a twentieth 0:17:37.697 --> 0:17:40.257 century immigration policy for a twenty first century county. It 0:17:40.337 --> 0:17:45.377 doesn't match up at all, and it causes other economic problems, 0:17:45.497 --> 0:17:50.097 partially in healthcare, partially in education costs, partially. 0:17:49.737 --> 0:17:50.697 In housing costs. 0:17:51.057 --> 0:17:55.377 Those are real working class even concerns for younger people 0:17:55.817 --> 0:17:57.737 that you have to seriously sit there and address, and 0:17:57.737 --> 0:17:59.537 maybe Seale don't want to hear. Maybe they're like, no, 0:17:59.817 --> 0:18:01.817 you know, this is against my ideas. And America's the 0:18:01.857 --> 0:18:04.417 nation immigrants, and they've been fed certain lines for so 0:18:04.457 --> 0:18:07.777 long they believe them. But there isn't a population where 0:18:07.777 --> 0:18:10.537 you're not scapegoating immigrants. You're not staying there and saying 0:18:10.777 --> 0:18:13.657 these people are the problem. You're saying if you continue 0:18:13.697 --> 0:18:16.377 the way that you are. Had we kept the immigration 0:18:16.457 --> 0:18:18.977 numbers of nineteen ninety nine, which were six hundred and 0:18:19.017 --> 0:18:21.417 fifty thousand a year, it's not a small number. We 0:18:21.497 --> 0:18:25.017 would have had twenty five million fewer people in America today. 0:18:25.457 --> 0:18:28.257 Twenty five million fewer people is a probably a net 0:18:28.337 --> 0:18:31.577 of eight million empty homes today. Eight million empty homes 0:18:31.617 --> 0:18:34.937 would have reduced to overall prices by probably ten percent, 0:18:35.137 --> 0:18:38.777 and it wouldn't be such a huge home crunch right now. 0:18:39.017 --> 0:18:41.737 In many places, and not just hotspots like Miami, people 0:18:41.777 --> 0:18:45.177 can't afford homes and you know, Pennsylvania, people can't afford 0:18:45.217 --> 0:18:46.137 homes in a lot of parts. 0:18:45.977 --> 0:18:46.577 Of this country. 0:18:46.857 --> 0:18:49.337 So I think that that's a very interesting point in 0:18:49.377 --> 0:18:51.017 one I would like to sit there and hear from 0:18:51.297 --> 0:18:54.977 and I like to sit there and hear from people from. 0:18:55.137 --> 0:18:58.817 About like what's real, what's real needs? 0:18:58.857 --> 0:19:01.737 In the article I wrote from The American Conservative, the 0:19:01.857 --> 0:19:04.417 number one issue people talk about is the economy. Number 0:19:04.457 --> 0:19:07.857 two is inflation and then number like four is immigration. 0:19:07.977 --> 0:19:10.417 There's a way to tie this up and connect these 0:19:10.457 --> 0:19:15.857 things while addressing the biggest concerns of housing costs, healthcare costs, 0:19:15.937 --> 0:19:18.217 and economic job growth. 0:19:19.657 --> 0:19:24.137 I want to ask you about, uh, this RFK phenomenon 0:19:24.177 --> 0:19:28.657 to agree that it is a phenomenon and whether yeah, right, right, 0:19:28.657 --> 0:19:31.537 Well we'll talk about this in just a second. Because 0:19:32.097 --> 0:19:34.937 the only people I ever hear talking about RFK are 0:19:35.017 --> 0:19:38.217 Trump voting Republicans. That's that's just my experience. The only 0:19:38.257 --> 0:19:41.777 people I've ever heard bring him up anywhere on TV 0:19:41.857 --> 0:19:44.457 anywhere else pretty much is and might I say, bring 0:19:44.497 --> 0:19:47.137 him up like talk about him as a serious political force. 0:19:47.177 --> 0:19:49.697 You know, people will cover him in the news. But 0:19:50.137 --> 0:19:53.457 we're gonna and yeah, we're going to get to this 0:19:53.497 --> 0:19:56.337 in one second. The artificial intelligence gold rush could soon 0:19:56.417 --> 0:20:01.897 be creating wealth for ambitious individual ambitious individuals understanding this technology. Well, 0:20:02.057 --> 0:20:04.857 everyone is focusing on chat GPT and AI stocks. Like 0:20:04.897 --> 0:20:07.217 in video, something incredible is happening less than two miles 0:20:07.257 --> 0:20:09.897 from chat GPT's headquarters. 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