WEBVTT - The Cycle: Rounding The Bases (Ep. 1006) 0:00:00.000 --> 0:00:03.199 At Capella University. You can learn at your own pace 0:00:03.240 --> 0:00:06.840 with our Flexpath learning format. Take one or two courses 0:00:06.880 --> 0:00:08.920 at a time and complete as many as you can 0:00:09.000 --> 0:00:12.159 in a twelve week billing session. With Flexpath, you can 0:00:12.200 --> 0:00:15.080 even finish the bachelor's degree you started in twenty two 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:19.200 months for twenty thousand dollars. A different future is closer 0:00:19.239 --> 0:00:22.760 than you think with Capella University. Learn more at Capella 0:00:22.840 --> 0:00:26.680 dot Edu Fastest twenty five percent of students. Cost varies 0:00:26.720 --> 0:00:29.880 by pace, transfer credits, and other factors, fee supply. 0:00:35.320 --> 0:00:37.440 Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle. 0:00:37.560 --> 0:00:40.400 I am Ryan Warmley, joined as always but not last 0:00:40.400 --> 0:00:43.240 week by Mike Mayor. I am back after my week 0:00:43.320 --> 0:00:45.640 off Mayor. As you know, I was traveling first some 0:00:45.680 --> 0:00:50.280 family stuff, so I appreciate you stepping into the host 0:00:50.440 --> 0:00:53.840 chair for me, And of course we're bringing on Kelly 0:00:54.080 --> 0:00:56.320 in my stead, who is way smarter about Fantasy Baseball 0:00:56.520 --> 0:00:57.280 than I will ever be. 0:00:58.120 --> 0:00:58.320 Yeah. 0:00:58.360 --> 0:01:00.800 Well, I am happy to have you back because you're 0:01:00.800 --> 0:01:03.560 a better host than I will ever be, So I'm 0:01:03.560 --> 0:01:05.400 sure the audience will agree that they're happy to have 0:01:05.480 --> 0:01:06.840 you back as a host, and they don't have to 0:01:06.880 --> 0:01:09.600 hear me try my best anymore. 0:01:09.959 --> 0:01:11.600 I will say as I was just trying to be 0:01:11.600 --> 0:01:14.240 deferential to Kelly, not trying. I genuinely believe she's very, 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:17.000 very smart. Obviously in the only league she and I 0:01:17.040 --> 0:01:21.440 are in together, which is the Roto League, Dan Harris's league, 0:01:21.560 --> 0:01:24.800 I currently am sitting on eighty two points. She is 0:01:24.840 --> 0:01:27.040 currently sitting, I believe on the thirty six points. 0:01:27.080 --> 0:01:27.679 Mayor where are you? 0:01:27.840 --> 0:01:30.440 I was gonna say, if you scrolling the bottle, you'll 0:01:30.440 --> 0:01:35.560 see me. That team might be the worst team I've 0:01:35.600 --> 0:01:35.959 ever had. 0:01:36.360 --> 0:01:36.840 I don't know. 0:01:36.880 --> 0:01:38.160 And I look at the roster and I'm like, this 0:01:38.240 --> 0:01:40.800 roster isn't bad. And I've already my hitting was so 0:01:40.880 --> 0:01:43.600 bad that I had like pitching surplus, and I already 0:01:43.640 --> 0:01:46.039 flipped a bunch of that pitching for hitting, and now 0:01:46.120 --> 0:01:48.360 my hitting and pitching are both bad, and I'm just like, 0:01:49.000 --> 0:01:53.440 it's unbelievably like I'm anxious about how bad that team is. 0:01:54.680 --> 0:01:55.440 It's pretty poor. 0:01:55.560 --> 0:01:57.640 I'm making a good first impression my first year in 0:01:57.640 --> 0:02:01.000 that league, and it's nice to see you sitting there 0:02:01.040 --> 0:02:03.960 at the bottom. Yeah, we're gonna dive into the show 0:02:04.000 --> 0:02:05.880 at some point. We're gonna do a little segment here 0:02:05.880 --> 0:02:07.440 and round in the bases where and I like to 0:02:07.440 --> 0:02:10.320 do this whenever I'm not only out, you know, missing 0:02:10.320 --> 0:02:12.760 a week, but like truly i'm like pretty much off 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:14.680 the gride and not watching baseball for a few days. 0:02:14.720 --> 0:02:17.040 I like to come back and have you kind of 0:02:17.040 --> 0:02:18.919 fill me in on what I missed over the last week. 0:02:18.960 --> 0:02:21.880 I did attend a couple of baseball games in Baltimore 0:02:21.960 --> 0:02:25.400 with my family, So those were the only games that 0:02:25.440 --> 0:02:27.360 I watched pretty much in the last week while I 0:02:27.440 --> 0:02:30.119 was while I was out and about. So we will 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:32.840 get into that a little bit later on in the segment. 0:02:33.040 --> 0:02:34.040 We're gonna start off. 0:02:33.880 --> 0:02:36.600 And round of the bases kind of just from some 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:39.280 more immediate news, which was yesterday as I was putting 0:02:39.280 --> 0:02:42.079 this together, we had not one, but two very good 0:02:42.120 --> 0:02:44.800 starting pitchers get hurt. I kind of labeled the segment 0:02:44.880 --> 0:02:47.120 just more injured pitchers, because it feels like it's been 0:02:47.680 --> 0:02:50.440 never ending for a lot of this season. Kind of 0:02:50.440 --> 0:02:52.919 different circumstances for these two. Was Hunter Green, of course, 0:02:52.960 --> 0:02:56.239 and Dylan He's pitched very well, and then he came 0:02:56.280 --> 0:02:58.200 out and then I was seeing on Twitter, you know, 0:02:58.240 --> 0:03:00.520 as you know, an apparent injury kind of after the 0:03:00.560 --> 0:03:02.720 no hitter was broken up. I didn't see a follow 0:03:02.800 --> 0:03:04.919 up to that. So if there is kind of additional 0:03:04.960 --> 0:03:06.840 news about what exactly that was, Mary, you can fill 0:03:06.919 --> 0:03:07.120 us in. 0:03:07.480 --> 0:03:08.840 Hunter Green. It was a groin issue. 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:12.040 He left after three very strong innings on Wednesday night, 0:03:12.120 --> 0:03:14.239 and obviously Green is somebody we have talked about a lot. 0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:16.280 I planted a flag on him as being a great 0:03:16.320 --> 0:03:19.320 value this year. He looked like the best call I made, 0:03:19.400 --> 0:03:22.720 and all of Spring Trading was being very in on him. 0:03:23.040 --> 0:03:25.600 You were still a little hesitant because of the injury concerned, 0:03:25.639 --> 0:03:27.680 of course, a growing issue, maybe not the type of 0:03:27.720 --> 0:03:30.600 injury you were thinking about. Let's start with Green because 0:03:30.600 --> 0:03:33.560 I think kind of the more concerning given the way 0:03:33.600 --> 0:03:36.200 he left the game and just how good he's been 0:03:36.280 --> 0:03:38.920 so far this year, do you I mean, we just 0:03:38.960 --> 0:03:42.280 saw Cole Reagan's have a groin issue and come back 0:03:42.320 --> 0:03:44.760 and look very good against the White Sox. So it's 0:03:44.800 --> 0:03:46.480 not like this is a death Noell. But what was 0:03:46.520 --> 0:03:48.320 your kind of reaction watching what happened to Green? 0:03:48.800 --> 0:03:51.360 Well, my first reaction was I just saw it come across. 0:03:51.680 --> 0:03:53.200 He left with an injury, and I was like, oh God, 0:03:53.280 --> 0:03:55.240 like this is what we were worried about. You know, 0:03:56.040 --> 0:03:57.800 he's sitting there throwing a hundred and one hundred two 0:03:58.800 --> 0:04:01.800 and it finally happened his arm off, and then you 0:04:01.880 --> 0:04:03.720 kind of see that it's a groin injury and injury 0:04:03.760 --> 0:04:05.400 and you're like, all right, well, at least it's not 0:04:05.520 --> 0:04:07.920 his right arm. You know, they could be you know, 0:04:07.960 --> 0:04:11.480 I would prefer like just cramps or something, but if 0:04:11.480 --> 0:04:12.840 it has to be an injury, like you said, like 0:04:12.880 --> 0:04:14.920 coul Reagan's just came back from a groin injury. 0:04:15.760 --> 0:04:18.839 It doesn't sound like they're too concerned about it. He 0:04:18.920 --> 0:04:19.280 was just. 0:04:19.240 --> 0:04:22.080 Warming up and I guess he threw two warm up 0:04:22.120 --> 0:04:24.320 pitches and was like basically just called out the trainers 0:04:24.320 --> 0:04:25.720 and was like, I don't feel right. You know, he 0:04:26.080 --> 0:04:28.320 felt a little tight on his first warm up throw, 0:04:28.360 --> 0:04:31.400 which I saw someone say that, like his first warm 0:04:31.480 --> 0:04:33.560 up throw was always like on the softer side, and 0:04:33.600 --> 0:04:35.719 like the second warm up throw is when he like 0:04:35.720 --> 0:04:38.599 starts throwing a little bit harder, and his second warm 0:04:38.680 --> 0:04:41.360 up throw was also soft. And then I think that's 0:04:41.400 --> 0:04:43.440 like when the catcher, one of the trainers, was like okay, 0:04:43.480 --> 0:04:46.360 like something's wrong here, and he immediately like called him 0:04:46.360 --> 0:04:50.440 out as we're recording this here today on Thursday. I 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:52.920 believe he's getting an MRI today to see if there's, 0:04:52.960 --> 0:04:55.599 you know, what the extent of the damage is. He 0:04:55.640 --> 0:04:57.599 said he wasn't really sure. He didn't have like injury 0:04:57.640 --> 0:04:59.159 like this before. He didn't really know what to expect, 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:02.719 and then the manager turned Francona didn't expect bad news. 0:05:03.600 --> 0:05:06.960 So it sounds like fingers crossed, but they're optimistic it's 0:05:07.000 --> 0:05:07.920 not a major issue there. 0:05:09.000 --> 0:05:11.719 Obviously, since we, you know, only record this show once 0:05:11.760 --> 0:05:13.400 a week, we won't be able to be on top 0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:15.440 of the twist and turns. Everybody should check out leading 0:05:15.440 --> 0:05:18.720 off live every day, so hopefully they can be more 0:05:19.440 --> 0:05:22.200 immediate with their reactions whenever we get kind of fallout 0:05:22.240 --> 0:05:25.799 from whatever that MRI ends up showing. Hunter Green obviously 0:05:25.839 --> 0:05:28.599 been you know, one of, if not the best pitcher 0:05:28.640 --> 0:05:31.040 in baseball this season, so we will certainly be keeping 0:05:31.040 --> 0:05:33.000 a very close eye on that. He's actually been a 0:05:33.040 --> 0:05:35.360 real reason why I'm doing well in that league. We 0:05:35.360 --> 0:05:38.200 were talking about where I'm in Darren Harris's league, So 0:05:38.960 --> 0:05:40.800 I'm certainly hoping, and I know everybody is, that he 0:05:40.920 --> 0:05:41.800 ends up being okay. 0:05:41.839 --> 0:05:42.799 And then Dylan Cees. 0:05:43.600 --> 0:05:45.320 Was there a kind of a follow up to this 0:05:45.400 --> 0:05:47.839 that you saw this morning that I missed in terms 0:05:47.880 --> 0:05:50.080 of him leaving, Like I said, I know, it was 0:05:50.120 --> 0:05:52.760 kind of listed as like an apparent injury. He did 0:05:52.839 --> 0:05:54.839 pitch well and got deeper into the game than Green did. 0:05:55.720 --> 0:05:59.240 Yeah, there were two kind of follow ups, and one 0:05:59.360 --> 0:06:01.800 very concerning and the other one not concerning at all. 0:06:01.839 --> 0:06:04.200 So the first thing I saw come across was that 0:06:04.240 --> 0:06:06.720 it was a forearm injury. And then you know, as 0:06:06.760 --> 0:06:08.560 I always say, your forearm is connected to your Tommy 0:06:08.600 --> 0:06:10.839 John and so that's not great. But then it turned 0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:12.960 out to it was just cramps. So they're like, not 0:06:13.040 --> 0:06:15.800 that worried, just a forearm cramp. Obviously you don't want 0:06:15.839 --> 0:06:18.320 anything happening to that forearm. You're hoping that's not like 0:06:18.360 --> 0:06:20.960 assigned by anything else. But if you have to leave 0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.200 with an injury, cramps are the one that you want 0:06:23.240 --> 0:06:25.760 to leave with because if it's just like a hydration 0:06:26.000 --> 0:06:30.039 temporary issue, unless you have like chronic cramps, like that's 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:33.479 best case scenario. So it sounds like they're gonna play 0:06:33.480 --> 0:06:35.040 it by year. Like the next couple of days, he 0:06:35.120 --> 0:06:37.360 how a bullpen goes and like he should be fine. 0:06:37.520 --> 0:06:39.400 Maybe what do you. 0:06:39.400 --> 0:06:41.279 Make of season in general, just while we're on the topic, 0:06:41.360 --> 0:06:44.840 if we're if we're largely unconcerned about, you know, the 0:06:44.839 --> 0:06:48.279 injury stuff. He hasn't been, you know, the type of 0:06:48.279 --> 0:06:51.440 guy you were hoping you were drafting when you got him. 0:06:51.560 --> 0:06:55.559 In fact, this was you know, this or that early 0:06:55.600 --> 0:06:59.200 start against Cleveland are pretty clearly his two best starts 0:06:59.240 --> 0:07:03.000 of the season. Every other start has been between mediocre 0:07:03.120 --> 0:07:06.599 to downright bad. You know, he's sitting here, is eras 0:07:06.640 --> 0:07:07.480 four ninety. 0:07:07.200 --> 0:07:08.680 One, his whips won forty one. 0:07:10.160 --> 0:07:12.560 You know, he's he's striking out, you know, more than 0:07:12.600 --> 0:07:13.400 a batter and inning. 0:07:13.880 --> 0:07:15.520 So you are still getting that which you knew you 0:07:15.520 --> 0:07:16.280 were getting from him. 0:07:16.320 --> 0:07:19.120 But nothing else really looks all that, you know, appealing 0:07:19.160 --> 0:07:20.760 in terms of what we've actually seen. But he was 0:07:20.880 --> 0:07:24.640 very good obviously against the Yankees in New York last 0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:28.800 night prior to this cramp issue. So do you see 0:07:28.800 --> 0:07:31.040 that as like a sign of a turnaround and he's 0:07:31.120 --> 0:07:33.880 kind of getting it all back together. Are you largely 0:07:33.920 --> 0:07:36.920 concerned long term from the on field performance perspective? 0:07:37.760 --> 0:07:40.200 I think this is part of just the Dylan cease experience. 0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:42.040 I think it's just a roller coroaster and you're gonna 0:07:42.720 --> 0:07:44.240 I wrote him up a couple of weeks ago as 0:07:44.240 --> 0:07:48.000 a buy low, and I just think, like, you're gonna 0:07:48.040 --> 0:07:49.440 have some ups, you're gonna have some downs, and when 0:07:49.440 --> 0:07:51.800 the dust settles, you're gonna have a mid threes ZRA 0:07:51.920 --> 0:07:53.960 and two undred plus strikeouts as long as it stays healthy. 0:07:55.280 --> 0:07:56.720 And so I think that's what's gonna happen. Agin Even 0:07:56.800 --> 0:07:58.720 right now is is Eri is sitting at four nine one, 0:07:58.760 --> 0:08:01.480 not great, but all his expected his FIP is three 0:08:01.480 --> 0:08:03.680 point three four. That's lower than last year's ra of 0:08:03.720 --> 0:08:06.600 three point four to seven. X FIP three seven seven, 0:08:06.680 --> 0:08:09.680 sierra three six five x e A four point zero two. 0:08:09.840 --> 0:08:14.480 So all of those number expected numbers significally better. Like 0:08:14.520 --> 0:08:18.760 you said, strikeout rate still pretty similar, whip obviously much 0:08:18.800 --> 0:08:19.640 higher than you want it to be. 0:08:20.680 --> 0:08:23.400 But I think or a long haul he should be fine. 0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:26.480 We'll get to one of those hitters that was in 0:08:26.560 --> 0:08:29.960 the game last night against the Padres. But first you 0:08:30.040 --> 0:08:33.679 train hard, you show up, but lately something feels off. 0:08:33.679 --> 0:08:37.520 Fatigue lingers, recovery takes longer, and your performance isn't where 0:08:37.520 --> 0:08:40.480 it used to be. 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Learn more at 0:11:11.000 --> 0:11:15.920 AmericanExpress dot com, Slash Business Dash Platinum, AMEX Business Platinum 0:11:16.120 --> 0:11:18.400 built for business by American Express. 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:22.920 Nicely done, Thank you, Thank you. 0:11:23.000 --> 0:11:23.120 Ye. 0:11:23.160 --> 0:11:25.439 It's you know, coming off the you know, being off 0:11:25.480 --> 0:11:28.760 for a week, you build up your your ad read ability, 0:11:28.800 --> 0:11:30.599 and you know, I was practicing up in the in 0:11:30.640 --> 0:11:32.079 the off season speak. 0:11:32.080 --> 0:11:34.080 I didn't really have that many to read, so I 0:11:34.200 --> 0:11:36.640 was I was, you know, opening up the sheet expecting 0:11:36.640 --> 0:11:37.280 a ton of promos. 0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:38.400 I only had like one or two to do, and 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:39.120 I was like, this is cake. 0:11:39.160 --> 0:11:40.680 Where must to do A lot Kisa Trex is an 0:11:40.720 --> 0:11:43.280 interesting one because like two thirds of the read is 0:11:43.320 --> 0:11:45.800 the disclaimer, so it's a lot too. It's a lot 0:11:45.840 --> 0:11:48.640 to read through, but we love Kaisa Treks. Here, let's 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:51.400 go to Trent Grisham, who, you know, kind of in 0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:53.200 the way we often talk about these players. I wrote 0:11:53.240 --> 0:11:55.680 in the outline, is Trank Grisham the best hitter in baseball? 0:11:56.280 --> 0:11:59.520 Clearly that's not true, but he continues to be very 0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:01.920 very good this year. And I thought it was really 0:12:01.960 --> 0:12:04.920 notable because I, you know, I was looking through, you know, 0:12:05.000 --> 0:12:07.320 hit another home run last night. I'm like, you know, 0:12:07.760 --> 0:12:10.320 he's been so good, he must be rostered pretty much everywhere, 0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:12.600 and every kind of gets it. He's fifty percent rostered 0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:16.880 in CBS, under thirty percent in both ESPN and Yahoo. 0:12:17.240 --> 0:12:19.640 His triple slash line is two ninety two three seventy 0:12:19.679 --> 0:12:22.040 six six forty. That's an ops over one thousand. He 0:12:22.080 --> 0:12:24.680 has ten home runs already this season, only nineteen strike 0:12:24.720 --> 0:12:27.400 cuts on the season, and his stat cast is very 0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:31.640 very red. You know, some of the kind of standouts 0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:35.439 in there. His ex woba's ninety third percentiles, his expected slugging, 0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:39.319 his ninety fourth percentile. He's in the eighties for exit velocity, 0:12:39.400 --> 0:12:42.840 barrel rate, seventy eighth percentile hard hit rate. You know, 0:12:42.880 --> 0:12:45.720 his chase rate is only you know, ninety three percentile, 0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:48.360 so he's not chasing the balls with rates pretty low too. Like, 0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:52.000 it's just looked very, very good in all respects. He 0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:53.679 already has more home runs than he did all of 0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:56.800 last season the last two years. Is batting average is 0:12:56.840 --> 0:12:59.400 blow the Mendoza line. So on the one hand, it 0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:02.680 looks like a fluke, like, you know, it's not in 0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:04.959 line Sorr on stack cast. It's only showing the last 0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:07.920 two but yeah, I didn't have the previous seasons up too. 0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:12.360 But the expected data is saying this looks legitimate at 0:13:12.440 --> 0:13:14.360 least so far. So there could still be some noise 0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:17.400 in there, but it doesn't look that fluky. 0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:18.480 What we've seen to date. 0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:21.559 So I ask you this, He's twenty eight years old, 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:24.280 he's got the awesome ballpark he's playing in this season. 0:13:24.520 --> 0:13:26.600 Is this a legitimate breakout that you expect to see 0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:29.120 continue on some level the rest of the way, or 0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:31.960 are you still viewing this within the prism of it's 0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:34.960 early and this is not the Trent Grisham we should 0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:35.840 expect going forward. 0:13:36.440 --> 0:13:38.000 I think it's probably somewhere in the middle. I don't 0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:40.120 think we're going to see this level of Trent Grisham 0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:41.719 the rest of the season. But I also think we're 0:13:41.760 --> 0:13:44.160 not going to see the bad, you know version either. 0:13:44.240 --> 0:13:47.400 I think he's kind of settling in. Like you said, 0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:49.559 the biggest factor here is that ballpark. You know, he's 0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.160 pulling the ball for power, and if you can do 0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:53.000 that even a little bit in Yankee Stadium, you're gonna 0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:55.319 have a million home runs. You wrote in the sheet, 0:13:55.440 --> 0:13:57.440 is Trent Grisham the best hitter in baseball? I would 0:13:57.440 --> 0:14:00.760 ask you a different question. Is Trent Grisham this year 0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:03.000 who we were hoping Cody Bellinger was going to be? 0:14:03.000 --> 0:14:05.640 Because this is what everyone was hoping the Cody Bellinger 0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:07.560 season the Kastadium was gonna look like, and it looked 0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:09.880 like it might be. Trent Grisham is the one taking 0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.120 advantage of it. There was one stat that I thought 0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:15.200 was funny when kind of like looking at this, so 0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:17.319 he has ten home runs, do you know without looking 0:14:17.360 --> 0:14:18.240 how many doubles he has? 0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:23.720 No, I don't have that pulled up, and I don't know. 0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:27.520 Okay, one though, granted that's the worst ballpark four doubles, 0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:30.320 or at least like a bottom five ballpark for doubles. 0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:33.160 But even last year he had nine home runs and 0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:34.920 eight doubles. So it's just kind of funny that, like 0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:37.200 when he is hitting for power, he's not like putting 0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:38.400 it in the gap, He's just putting it over that 0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:39.120 red field fence. 0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:42.040 I do think it's notable that not only is he 0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:44.120 hitting the ball in the air more than he has 0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:47.080 it any other year of his career, he's also pulling 0:14:47.120 --> 0:14:49.600 the ball in the air more than any other year 0:14:49.640 --> 0:14:53.040 in his career. His pull air percentage twenty five point 0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:56.040 seven percent last year is the second highest at twenty percent, 0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:58.600 So that's a pretty sizable jump year to. 0:14:58.600 --> 0:15:01.200 Year from what was already career high last year. 0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:04.760 So he is taking full advantage of the stadium that 0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:07.040 he's in. I really liked that comp of what we 0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:11.160 were hoping Bellinger would be. Yeah, I mean, like I'm 0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:14.400 not saying, go get rid of everything you had to 0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:18.040 go acquire Trent Grisham, but I think it's legitimate enough that, 0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:19.920 like he certainly is better than we expected he was 0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:21.680 going to be before the start of the season. I 0:15:21.680 --> 0:15:23.120 mean the other thing too, really and like you said, 0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:25.400 kind of the biggest factor is the ballpark. The other 0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:26.920 big factor is the strikeouts. 0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:28.840 And I'm not sure. 0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:31.200 If you can weigh in on I actually kind of forget, 0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:33.720 like about how long strikeout rates. You feel like they 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:36.080 tend to normalize for hitters in a new season, But 0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:38.960 every other year in his career it was in the twenties. 0:15:38.960 --> 0:15:41.040 In the last three years it was twenty eight twenty 0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:43.480 seven to twenty seven percent strikeout rate this year is 0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:45.760 his career low. It's eighteen point eight percent. That is 0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:48.760 a very very drastic drop. So he's just putting the 0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:51.280 ball and play more and also taking advantage by pulling 0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:53.320 the ball in the air when he's doing it. So 0:15:54.120 --> 0:15:56.360 it all, you know, the highest barrel rate going along 0:15:56.360 --> 0:15:58.720 with that. Like I said, so we're one hundred played 0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.600 appearances in, it's not nothing, even though there's still a 0:16:01.600 --> 0:16:02.280 long way to go. 0:16:02.360 --> 0:16:03.400 So yeah, And I. 0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:07.480 Would also say it's it's not just that he's not 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.600 striking out, because sometimes you'll see a player like drastically 0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:14.320 cut down on their strikeout rate, and there are like 0:16:14.760 --> 0:16:17.440 gibbs or takes in other areas, especially like you'll see 0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:22.080 like a walk percentage will also drips substantially because they're 0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:23.760 just like swinging earlier in the count and they're not 0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:25.720 you know, they're not taking pitches, they're just making contact 0:16:25.760 --> 0:16:27.600 again on base. His walk rate is staying the same, 0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:29.920 like last year's ten point five percent, this year's ten 0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:32.800 point nine percent, and in the past it's been in 0:16:32.840 --> 0:16:34.760 that ten percent range except for twenty twenty three when 0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:36.960 it was up to thirteen point five. But the fact 0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:39.760 that he's still walking as much and has cut his 0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:43.120 strikeout rate by ten percent is pretty intriguing. 0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:46.280 He's been sitting there available in one of our head 0:16:46.280 --> 0:16:50.000 to head points leagues, Deep Keeper League, pretty much the 0:16:50.080 --> 0:16:52.920 entire year, and I finally just picked him up last night. 0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:55.920 I was like, I don't you know, I'm I'm going 0:16:55.960 --> 0:16:57.920 on the show to say he should be rostered in 0:16:58.000 --> 0:16:59.800 more leagues, So let me pick him up in the 0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:03.280 lead where he's available. And I just think everybody's kind 0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:04.879 of been waiting for the other shoot to drop, but 0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:08.159 I'm it will to a degree, but I don't know 0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:10.159 what that degree is going to be. I want to 0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:12.919 ask about another player not on the same level of 0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:16.200 Grisham is Jackson Holiday arriving. This is somebody that could 0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:18.920 not have had more hype going into last season as 0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:21.679 a guy who was so recently out of high school 0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:25.040 and yet still the number one overall prospect in baseball. 0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:27.440 He was going on to a team that had all 0:17:27.480 --> 0:17:29.520 these great young talent. He was kind of that final 0:17:29.760 --> 0:17:32.639 piece of this crown jewel of a farm system, and 0:17:32.680 --> 0:17:35.680 he was awful. He was so unplayable that he got 0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:38.040 like two weeks in the majors. They sent him back down. 0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.000 He was a little bit better later in the year, 0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:42.600 but still not this elite hitter. We've talked a lot 0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:45.399 on the show about how top prospects are taking longer 0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:48.040 than ever to really adjust to the gap between minor 0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:51.240