WEBVTT - HarBowl returns 0:00:09.419 --> 0:00:12.099 Everybody. Welcome to game debut for Centaby Mercedes been Patrick 0:00:12.139 --> 0:00:14.659 playbond back here with my dear friends Greg Rosenthal and 0:00:14.699 --> 0:00:19.019 Cynthia Freeland in week twelve, where things become very consequential 0:00:19.099 --> 0:00:21.499 because the line here between making the playoffs and not 0:00:21.539 --> 0:00:24.299 making the playoffs Greg gets very very tight. 0:00:24.459 --> 0:00:25.579 I love this time of year. 0:00:25.619 --> 0:00:29.339 It's like every week the games get more and more important, 0:00:29.779 --> 0:00:32.339 and yes, my picks get better and better. I'm in 0:00:32.379 --> 0:00:35.179 the matrix right now. Give me cancer stops. He gave 0:00:35.219 --> 0:00:35.859 me a standing. 0:00:36.419 --> 0:00:37.499 I don't even know what to say. 0:00:37.499 --> 0:00:40.459 I mean, he is in the matrix, but also like 0:00:41.419 --> 0:00:43.339 he's also going to tell you about it, so I 0:00:43.739 --> 0:00:45.059 don't know if anyone needs. 0:00:45.099 --> 0:00:48.179 It's what I tell my kids when things are going well, 0:00:48.339 --> 0:00:50.459 enjoy it because it's not going to last forever, so 0:00:50.499 --> 0:00:51.779 you might as well just enjoy. 0:00:51.859 --> 0:00:53.899 But what about the people in your proximity? What if 0:00:53.939 --> 0:00:56.979 they don't enjoy? I heard about how well things are going, 0:00:57.019 --> 0:00:59.739 because it's directly relating to their failures. Anyway, let's jump 0:00:59.819 --> 0:01:01.739 right into it. Monday night, we're getting a new edition 0:01:01.819 --> 0:01:04.579 of the Hardbowl, John and Jim facing off the first 0:01:04.579 --> 0:01:07.499 time since John's Ravens beat Jim's forty nine Ers thirty 0:01:07.539 --> 0:01:09.939 four to thirty one, and Super Bowl forty seven after 0:01:09.979 --> 0:01:12.539 the lights went out, Big brother John two to zero 0:01:12.579 --> 0:01:16.539 in his career against his little brother as head coaches. 0:01:17.059 --> 0:01:19.259 So both the Ravens so much has changed. 0:01:19.299 --> 0:01:22.179 I mean, Jim wears cleats now I need to know 0:01:22.219 --> 0:01:24.899 if John does too. But in that last clip that 0:01:24.939 --> 0:01:28.019 he wasn't wearing cleats, So maybe that's the difference. If 0:01:28.059 --> 0:01:29.379 your head coaches wearing cleets. 0:01:29.779 --> 0:01:32.779 Things are different, cleats and gloves in warm ups. Both 0:01:32.819 --> 0:01:35.939 the Ravens and the Chargers have seven wins in the playoff. Hunt, 0:01:35.939 --> 0:01:39.539 does little brother Jim finally beat big brother on Monday Night? Greg? 0:01:39.699 --> 0:01:41.979 It's so weird to think of Jim Harbaugh as the 0:01:42.059 --> 0:01:44.419 little brother, and yet he is in this matchup and 0:01:44.459 --> 0:01:47.099 he will be on Sunday night again because the Ravens 0:01:47.139 --> 0:01:50.819 are winning this game twenty seven to twenty four. I 0:01:50.979 --> 0:01:53.259 was at that game in the Super Bowl, I mean 0:01:53.339 --> 0:01:56.139 in the in Hard Bowl back in New Orleans, and 0:01:56.179 --> 0:01:58.619 it's because a quarterback play that they won that game. 0:01:58.699 --> 0:02:01.579 Joe Flacco won that game for them, and Lamar Jackson 0:02:01.619 --> 0:02:03.579 is going to be the better quarterback in this game too. 0:02:03.779 --> 0:02:08.219 Love Herbert, but what Lamar Jackson can do against pressure 0:02:08.579 --> 0:02:10.859 is unique. You know who also was great against pressure 0:02:10.939 --> 0:02:13.619 last week, Joe Burrow against this Chargers defense in the 0:02:13.619 --> 0:02:16.899 second half. I do think there are holes in this secondary. 0:02:17.059 --> 0:02:20.059 If Lamar Jackson can just get away from that first rusher, 0:02:20.099 --> 0:02:22.979 and he's so good at doing that buying time, I 0:02:23.019 --> 0:02:26.419 think he'll be able to find open receivers down the field. 0:02:26.419 --> 0:02:29.459 Because as good as this Chargers secondary has played, considering 0:02:29.499 --> 0:02:33.019 they're playing two fifth round rookies and Kristin Fulton, who's 0:02:33.059 --> 0:02:35.659 kind of a reclamation project, the talent is on the 0:02:35.699 --> 0:02:37.499 Baltimore offensive side of the ball. 0:02:37.739 --> 0:02:41.419 The word reclamation made it into our show. Congratulations to 0:02:41.499 --> 0:02:44.099 the wordsmith, Greg. Not only are you beating us in picks, 0:02:44.099 --> 0:02:45.339 you were also the best. 0:02:45.339 --> 0:02:46.539 Wordsmith of round. 0:02:46.619 --> 0:02:49.059 I only have a one point win for the Ravens, 0:02:49.139 --> 0:02:50.659 and I want to talk a little bit about what 0:02:50.779 --> 0:02:53.779 Joe Brow and that Cincinnati offense did to this defense 0:02:53.899 --> 0:02:57.899 last week. The adjustments were pretty epic, including which is 0:02:57.979 --> 0:03:00.499 a high probability of it not working out a fourth 0:03:00.539 --> 0:03:03.019 down touchdown to Uno. That is what you call Jamar Chase. 0:03:03.059 --> 0:03:05.539 Just so you know, it's called Uno time clear just 0:03:05.619 --> 0:03:07.539 I learned that last week. But when I'm looking at 0:03:07.539 --> 0:03:10.819 the opportunity here, you know, look what t Higgins did 0:03:10.939 --> 0:03:13.979 the two different receiver sets, which one are you going 0:03:14.059 --> 0:03:15.419 to take in this one? And then, by the way, 0:03:15.619 --> 0:03:18.339 they also have this great tight end that they could 0:03:18.379 --> 0:03:21.379 also be or several great tight ends I guess that 0:03:21.419 --> 0:03:23.619 they could also be hitting them with. So even if 0:03:23.659 --> 0:03:26.739 the first half doesn't look great for the Ravens, expect 0:03:26.819 --> 0:03:30.339 good second and third you know, options, and then the 0:03:30.379 --> 0:03:31.859 second half to look a little bit different. 0:03:32.539 --> 0:03:34.699 Only one option between our score, Cynthia, because I have 0:03:34.699 --> 0:03:37.979 the same exact score out yeah on Cynthia's homework, as 0:03:37.979 --> 0:03:40.939 most people should if Cynthia's homework is available to see 0:03:40.939 --> 0:03:44.299 twenty five twenty four Baltimore Ravens winning and this comes 0:03:44.459 --> 0:03:47.419 on the strength of the Baltimore Ravens run defense, where 0:03:47.459 --> 0:03:50.859 the Chargers do commit to the run, but it's gonna 0:03:50.859 --> 0:03:54.139 be the difference late. The team is almost two reliant 0:03:54.139 --> 0:03:56.819 on its quarterback to create that's actually the opponent this 0:03:56.899 --> 0:03:59.899 time for the Baltimore Ravens, and they have a case 0:03:59.939 --> 0:04:02.339 as the best run defense in the league. The Chargers score, 0:04:02.699 --> 0:04:06.179 I believe the Ravens ultimately score one more. I understand 0:04:06.179 --> 0:04:09.019 there's injuries on the Ravens defense concerns there, but they 0:04:09.019 --> 0:04:11.259 haven't really been able to stop anybody for most of 0:04:11.299 --> 0:04:12.779 the season since all. 0:04:12.659 --> 0:04:16.899 Board for US regular worried we've doubted the Chargers too 0:04:16.899 --> 0:04:18.419 many times this year, perilous. 0:04:18.659 --> 0:04:21.139 Let's do some math on this game, Cynthia. We'll Justin 0:04:21.499 --> 0:04:24.619 Herbert throw for over or under two hundred and fifty 0:04:24.699 --> 0:04:26.659 seven and a half passing yards on Monday Night. 0:04:26.699 --> 0:04:27.419 Well, we all have. 0:04:27.419 --> 0:04:29.699 A close game, even though Greg's is the least close, 0:04:29.939 --> 0:04:33.099 and I think that dictates a passing game script late 0:04:33.139 --> 0:04:33.659 in the game. 0:04:33.939 --> 0:04:35.979 You also can pass on this Ravens defense. 0:04:36.179 --> 0:04:36.859 Even if they. 0:04:36.739 --> 0:04:40.699 Decide to give a light box to Justin Herbert for 0:04:41.019 --> 0:04:44.219 whatever reason they choose, it still doesn't matter. You're still 0:04:44.219 --> 0:04:47.539 gonna have enough of those catches by their receivers, who 0:04:47.539 --> 0:04:51.659 are both very playable in fantasy. This game, think Justin 0:04:51.699 --> 0:04:54.139 Herbert has at least two hundred and fifty eight passing yards. 0:04:54.459 --> 0:04:57.779 All right, Civil rivalries great playoff rivalries. Even better, The 0:04:57.819 --> 0:05:00.819 Packers and the Niners have one of the best. Most recently. 0:05:00.859 --> 0:05:03.939 San Francisco got the dub in last year's Divisional round. 0:05:04.219 --> 0:05:06.179 A HI for Drake green Law, who I sit for 0:05:06.219 --> 0:05:08.899 San Francisco last January. Get well soon, dre As. I 0:05:08.899 --> 0:05:10.619 think the Niners would have had Lobardi Trophy if he 0:05:10.619 --> 0:05:13.099 didn't hurt himself jogging on the field in the Super Bowl. 0:05:13.179 --> 0:05:16.339 The rivalry continues though Sunday in Lambeau. Who comes away 0:05:16.419 --> 0:05:17.579 victorious this time around? Greck. 0:05:17.739 --> 0:05:20.659 I am going with the Packers this time, twenty eight 0:05:20.779 --> 0:05:23.859 to twenty four in this game because neither of these 0:05:23.899 --> 0:05:27.379 teams are quite what we expected, at least not where 0:05:27.379 --> 0:05:30.459 they were last January. But the offense for the Packers 0:05:30.859 --> 0:05:34.539 is coming into form, Jordan Love, and this Packers passing 0:05:34.579 --> 0:05:37.099 attack is actually the one part of this game along 0:05:37.139 --> 0:05:37.619 with the running. 0:05:37.659 --> 0:05:40.019 Really, it's the whole offense that I trust. 0:05:40.099 --> 0:05:42.699 This forty nine Ers defense, whether Nick Bosa is out 0:05:42.739 --> 0:05:46.939 there or not, a little ordinary. The forty nine Ers offense, 0:05:47.259 --> 0:05:50.619 little dude, Juan Jennings, reliant, not what they used to be. 0:05:51.019 --> 0:05:54.739 Packers defense don't really love it, Jordan Love. I do 0:05:54.819 --> 0:05:57.099 love it, and I know he'll give you an interception 0:05:57.419 --> 0:05:58.259 every now and then. 0:05:58.579 --> 0:05:59.139 I don't care. 0:05:59.259 --> 0:06:02.459 Look at these throws that he is making week after week. 0:06:02.659 --> 0:06:03.619 They are getting it done. 0:06:03.619 --> 0:06:05.899 They are so dynamic in the passing game, and you 0:06:05.939 --> 0:06:07.859 know they can hit you on the ground too, But 0:06:07.939 --> 0:06:11.459 it's Jordan Love's ability to make those special throws and 0:06:11.499 --> 0:06:13.779 the variety of the receivers that they have that they 0:06:13.859 --> 0:06:15.139 ultimately think gets it done. 0:06:15.259 --> 0:06:16.099 Offense wins. 0:06:16.299 --> 0:06:18.939 Yeah, I'm with you, Greg. No practice for Nick Bosa 0:06:19.219 --> 0:06:21.539 late in the week on Wednesday, couldn't finish the game Sunday. 0:06:21.699 --> 0:06:24.739 Problem for the pass rush and overall problems against the 0:06:24.819 --> 0:06:27.779 run all season long. And they number twenty eight against 0:06:27.819 --> 0:06:30.499 runs outside of the tackles. And you look back last 0:06:30.579 --> 0:06:32.859 year at what was a top three defense. They go 0:06:32.939 --> 0:06:34.739 all the way to the Super Bowl. Yeah, they give 0:06:34.819 --> 0:06:37.739 up some points to the Detroit Lions, and it's like, ah, 0:06:37.939 --> 0:06:40.099 this defense is trouble. They lose to the Chiefs and 0:06:40.139 --> 0:06:41.459 the Super Bowl. It's like, how we got to fire 0:06:41.459 --> 0:06:44.659 our defensive coordinator. Now, look, the Lions are scoring a 0:06:44.699 --> 0:06:47.139 billion points a game and they have to play against 0:06:47.139 --> 0:06:49.779 the Packers, who were top ten in outside runs. Josh 0:06:49.859 --> 0:06:51.539 Jacobs's powers to pack to victory. 0:06:51.579 --> 0:06:54.619 Cynthia, Oh, well, I guess we're giving me a prime 0:06:54.699 --> 0:06:56.539 number here by just one point. 0:06:56.739 --> 0:06:59.219 Boo boo, ple bl blu umbers, numbers. 0:06:59.019 --> 0:07:01.859 Numbers, there's my number, but look it's twenty four to 0:07:01.859 --> 0:07:04.099 twenty three. Now, I will put a little asterisk here 0:07:04.419 --> 0:07:07.299 if for some reason there's no brock Purty, that will 0:07:07.379 --> 0:07:09.699 change things and the Nick Bosa factor will have to 0:07:09.699 --> 0:07:12.619 see exactly what happens, so hythem. I reserve the right 0:07:12.659 --> 0:07:14.899 to switch it on Sunday with the injury report, not 0:07:15.019 --> 0:07:17.979 that we'll know anything before ninety minutes before kickoff anyways, 0:07:17.979 --> 0:07:19.459 because that is how they do things in. 0:07:19.419 --> 0:07:20.579 The forty nine Ers camp. 0:07:20.819 --> 0:07:23.339 But the person who I do think is playing is 0:07:23.379 --> 0:07:25.979 the straw that is stirring the drink for this offense 0:07:26.019 --> 0:07:29.419 this season. That is number eighty five. When you're looking 0:07:29.419 --> 0:07:32.139 at what George Kittle means to this offense, especially when 0:07:32.139 --> 0:07:33.779 he lines up as an inline receiver. 0:07:34.099 --> 0:07:35.739 Whoo, things are good. 0:07:35.979 --> 0:07:38.179 And that is an area that this Packers defense that 0:07:38.259 --> 0:07:41.899 I do not trust, is very susceptible to. So if 0:07:41.939 --> 0:07:44.619 you see something like George Kittle lined up in line, 0:07:44.659 --> 0:07:47.179 just know the Packers have allowed like a ninety five 0:07:47.259 --> 0:07:50.739 completion percenta is two shuch throws. So if we're talking 0:07:50.779 --> 0:07:54.219 about like brock Purty's playing, check George Kittle playing check. 0:07:54.379 --> 0:07:57.059 Nick Bosa check. Then it is definitely Niners. 0:07:57.619 --> 0:08:00.339 Yeah. If you see something, say something. Well, George Kittle 0:08:00.379 --> 0:08:02.459 lined up in Lott as a receiver the team that 0:08:02.499 --> 0:08:05.019 beat the forty nine ers last week, He's the Seahawks. 0:08:05.019 --> 0:08:08.659 With less than twenty seconds ago, Eugene Cyril Smith shocked 0:08:08.699 --> 0:08:12.739 the fans in Santas Clara. Well, personal biases have the 0:08:12.739 --> 0:08:15.699 Holy Catfish call high on the call of the year's standings. 0:08:15.699 --> 0:08:18.019 Gino put the forty nine ers to bed last week. Now, 0:08:18.179 --> 0:08:20.819 the Seahawks play host to the first place Cardinals Kyler 0:08:20.899 --> 0:08:24.219 squad coming off of the bye week. The division is nuts, Greg, 0:08:24.339 --> 0:08:25.179 how do you see it going? 0:08:25.299 --> 0:08:28.779 I see the Seahawks taking that energy that they got 0:08:28.819 --> 0:08:31.059 from that last drive and bringing it to this week 0:08:31.099 --> 0:08:33.939 in a twenty four to twenty two victory. Look, I 0:08:33.939 --> 0:08:36.539 love the Cardinals I've been picking them all year, but 0:08:36.859 --> 0:08:40.779 Gino Smith on this last drive was something special. He's 0:08:40.819 --> 0:08:43.139 winning from the neck up and he's just got something 0:08:43.179 --> 0:08:43.779 a little extra. 0:08:43.859 --> 0:08:45.419 He stays calm in the big moments. 0:08:45.499 --> 0:08:47.979 You know who led the NFL and fourth quarter comebacks 0:08:48.019 --> 0:08:50.939 and game winning drives a year ago. Geno Smith. You 0:08:50.979 --> 0:08:56.099 know who's gonna do it? Again Geno Smith. Look at 0:08:56.099 --> 0:08:58.459 the matchups in the secondary. When Gino Smith goes back 0:08:58.499 --> 0:09:00.259 to pass, and I think, for once he might have 0:09:00.339 --> 0:09:02.859 some pass protection because the Cardinals don't rush the passer 0:09:03.139 --> 0:09:06.419 that well. Jackson Smith and Jigbu is really breaking out. 0:09:06.539 --> 0:09:09.779 DK Metcalf back healthy. I think they have mismatches in 0:09:09.819 --> 0:09:11.899 the back end, and I think a special run by 0:09:11.939 --> 0:09:13.979 the Seahawks team is going to start right now. 0:09:14.619 --> 0:09:15.099 I like that. 0:09:16.099 --> 0:09:18.939 I also agree with who wins. I have a score 0:09:18.979 --> 0:09:21.379 of twenty three to twenty one is a two point 0:09:21.419 --> 0:09:23.339 win as well. But we need to give a little 0:09:23.379 --> 0:09:26.419 love to Kyler Murray specifically when he runs the football. 0:09:26.659 --> 0:09:29.819 Why because one interesting thing about this Seahawks defense is 0:09:29.819 --> 0:09:33.499 that the two starting linebackers from week one guess where 0:09:33.499 --> 0:09:34.059 they are now? 0:09:34.459 --> 0:09:36.699 Not of the team right ones of Miami. 0:09:36.899 --> 0:09:39.739 Right one was traded away, but Ernest Jones has been great. 0:09:39.779 --> 0:09:42.579 He actually has one of the top run stop percentages 0:09:42.619 --> 0:09:45.619 among linebackers since he came over in that trade. But 0:09:45.739 --> 0:09:49.059 Kyler Murray is a different beast. This is a situation 0:09:49.139 --> 0:09:51.779 where all of those bootlegs to the left, he runs 0:09:51.819 --> 0:09:53.539 to the left a lot right. All those you can 0:09:53.579 --> 0:09:55.499 close your eyes and see it. They haven't seen something 0:09:55.539 --> 0:09:57.419 like that before, at least not the rookie. So when 0:09:57.419 --> 0:09:59.659 you see something where you know, look, this is a 0:09:59.699 --> 0:10:02.259 vision opponent. They're going to have new tricks and folds 0:10:02.299 --> 0:10:05.019 every single time they play. And Kyler is just special, 0:10:05.059 --> 0:10:06.379 so he deserves to be talked about. 0:10:06.419 --> 0:10:07.819 Even though I'm picking the Seahawks. 0:10:07.899 --> 0:10:10.539 Yeah, absolutely, Mike McDonald's defense. If you look season long 0:10:10.579 --> 0:10:12.419 wise the Sea, it's like, oh, the Seahawks are a 0:10:12.419 --> 0:10:14.819 bad defense. I think they've gotten a little bit better, 0:10:14.819 --> 0:10:17.299 but I also have a slim margin win for the 0:10:17.299 --> 0:10:19.539 home team spoiler alert or when they play this game 0:10:19.579 --> 0:10:21.659 again in a couple of weeks, I'll take the home 0:10:21.699 --> 0:10:24.699 team there again. But I would mainly like to talk 0:10:24.899 --> 0:10:28.419 about this Cardinals defense that I lovingly call the search 0:10:28.459 --> 0:10:31.059 Bar because I'm constantly having to figure out who exactly 0:10:31.099 --> 0:10:33.699 these people are. They are being able to accomplish a 0:10:33.739 --> 0:10:36.059 lot despite not really getting a ton of pressure on 0:10:36.099 --> 0:10:38.219 the quarterback. They're only ahead of the Panthers and the 0:10:38.219 --> 0:10:41.819 Falcons and pressure percentage, but they have more sacks than 0:10:41.899 --> 0:10:46.459 both of those teams combined. Fighte blitzing less It works sometimes, 0:10:46.459 --> 0:10:49.099 but I think you really have to get absolute pressure 0:10:49.339 --> 0:10:51.859 on Gino and swarm him and able to be able 0:10:51.859 --> 0:10:54.579 to win, especially game in Seattle. I don't think they'll 0:10:54.619 --> 0:10:56.139 be able to do that enough here. So we are 0:10:56.179 --> 0:11:00.099 all on the Seattle Seahawks and the memes are rolling 0:11:00.139 --> 0:11:02.859 here on game debut, It's time from the Drive to 0:11:02.899 --> 0:11:06.139 Excellence presented by Say. He's been Saquon adding this move 0:11:06.379 --> 0:11:09.179 seventy yards of the fourth quarter rushing in that last 0:11:09.179 --> 0:11:11.739 game against the Commanders the Eagles in the Rams Sunday 0:11:11.819 --> 0:11:14.139 Night at So far Philly has won six straight since 0:11:14.139 --> 0:11:16.659 they're by They're in first place in the NFC East. 0:11:16.699 --> 0:11:19.819 The Ramilly definitely in the playoff race. Does it get 0:11:19.859 --> 0:11:21.459 even better in the playoff race for the Rams? 0:11:21.459 --> 0:11:23.819 Cynthia no Oh, I'm sorry. 0:11:23.939 --> 0:11:26.299 I have twenty six to twenty two in favor of 0:11:26.579 --> 0:11:29.219 the Eagles, in large part because of that man. We 0:11:29.419 --> 0:11:32.459 just watched a bunch of highlights on that is Saquon Barkley. 0:11:32.619 --> 0:11:35.659 When I'm looking at the opportunity to leverage him in oh, 0:11:35.699 --> 0:11:38.979 the pass catching game, running on inside routes, running onto 0:11:39.019 --> 0:11:41.299 the outside, like all of the different ways that you 0:11:41.299 --> 0:11:43.379 would like to use him. Well, that O line is 0:11:43.379 --> 0:11:46.739 specifically tailored to him. I know that the strength of 0:11:46.779 --> 0:11:49.539 this Rams defense is right up front. But you know what, 0:11:49.699 --> 0:11:52.219 when you run away from the pressure, things get better 0:11:52.259 --> 0:11:56.019 for you. So Saquon Barkley a massive day. I think 0:11:56.059 --> 0:11:59.979 that that helps bolster the Eagles chances to beat the Rams. 0:12:00.499 --> 0:12:03.259 Yeah. I'm looking forward to this game where there's two 0:12:03.659 --> 0:12:06.859 incredible young defensive lines that get a lot of pressure 0:12:07.059 --> 0:12:09.699 on opposing quarterbacks. But I locked the Eagles offensive line 0:12:09.699 --> 0:12:11.819 more so, I will talk about the Eagles defensive line, 0:12:11.859 --> 0:12:15.979 namely Jalen Carter, who is the only interior defensive lineman 0:12:15.979 --> 0:12:19.179 who's generated multiple pressures in every game this season. An 0:12:19.219 --> 0:12:21.979 asterisk because Dexter Lawrence is getting double in triple team 0:12:22.019 --> 0:12:24.779 like a million tunds. But still, Jalen Carter has fifteen 0:12:24.859 --> 0:12:27.939 quick pressures this season. He's top three in that category, 0:12:28.099 --> 0:12:30.339 and I think he gets one that changes this game. 0:12:30.379 --> 0:12:32.539 On Sunday, Greg, Eagles winning, I. 0:12:33.019 --> 0:12:33.539 Was with you. 0:12:33.819 --> 0:12:35.899 That was how I lean because I picked the Eagles 0:12:35.899 --> 0:12:38.379 to win actually every single game this year, fun fact, 0:12:38.419 --> 0:12:41.099 you know, and six straight times have been right. And 0:12:41.179 --> 0:12:44.699 yet as the week went on, Chames my mind and 0:12:44.779 --> 0:12:47.419 I had a vision of the Rams winning this game. 0:12:47.499 --> 0:12:49.459 Rams are a very hard team to predict. I think 0:12:49.499 --> 0:12:51.739 they win a relatively high scoring game, and it's partly 0:12:51.779 --> 0:12:53.099 because of Sean McVay. 0:12:53.219 --> 0:12:54.259 Let's just greg it up. 0:12:54.299 --> 0:12:56.179 I got a hunch about this team across the street. 0:12:56.339 --> 0:12:58.899 It's a revenge game for Sean McVay, a revenge that 0:12:59.099 --> 0:13:03.299 last six years. Let's go back to twenty eighteen Bears Rams. 0:13:03.299 --> 0:13:04.659 Why are we showing you that game? 0:13:04.859 --> 0:13:08.179 Vic Fangio, the defensive coordinator of the Bears, helped change 0:13:08.339 --> 0:13:11.459 NFL history with a six to one front that really 0:13:11.499 --> 0:13:14.659 stopped the outside zone Rams team back then. There's Fangio 0:13:14.699 --> 0:13:16.739 now doing a great job a lot of the same 0:13:16.859 --> 0:13:17.619 concepts with. 0:13:17.619 --> 0:13:18.659 This Eagles team. 0:13:18.859 --> 0:13:21.819 Sean McVay, the whiz kid he got pants in the 0:13:21.819 --> 0:13:25.699 Super Bowl by Bill Belichick, who copied that game plan. Really, 0:13:25.739 --> 0:13:29.219 the whole NFL started copying that game plan for years. 0:13:29.379 --> 0:13:31.699 It got Jared Goff out of Los Angeles. It made 0:13:31.739 --> 0:13:34.339 Sean McVay change the whole offense. They don't even run 0:13:34.419 --> 0:13:37.179 outside zone anymore. This has been in his head for 0:13:37.339 --> 0:13:40.699 six straight years. He wants revenge because he was the 0:13:40.739 --> 0:13:43.579 hot kid in town. That Fangio took that from him, 0:13:43.619 --> 0:13:44.539 and now he's gonna show. 0:13:44.539 --> 0:13:47.219 Who's I think we have the same thought, Cynthia. 0:13:47.259 --> 0:13:50.259 What, I'm so confused that you're taking revenge on Fangio 0:13:50.339 --> 0:13:51.499 for something Belichick did. 0:13:51.859 --> 0:13:54.939 Well, No, Fangio did it because Fangio showed him how 0:13:54.939 --> 0:13:56.939 to beat Sean McVay and it was at a time 0:13:56.939 --> 0:13:58.979 where he was just looking like the smart kid in town. 0:13:59.219 --> 0:14:01.059 I just mean, I think this one means a little 0:14:01.059 --> 0:14:03.699 extra to McVay. I think he's gonna have some special 0:14:03.699 --> 0:14:06.819 sauce a young Eagles defense. They can't win every game. 0:14:06.979 --> 0:14:08.819 I think Sean McVay is gonna have some great stuff. 0:14:08.819 --> 0:14:11.019 We could ultimately end up with Vic Fangio getting credit 0:14:11.099 --> 0:14:13.099 for two teams winning the Super Bowl that he did 0:14:13.099 --> 0:14:16.299 not coach for. The Eagles are chasing for the top 0:14:16.299 --> 0:14:19.659 seed in the NFC right now. That's a team that 0:14:19.939 --> 0:14:23.019 I guess thanks to Vic Fangio has Jared Goff, Cynthia's 0:14:23.019 --> 0:14:26.819 Detroit Lions. You're getting you don't even know it, which 0:14:27.219 --> 0:14:29.619 most dead people fall into that category. Jared Goff coming 0:14:29.659 --> 0:14:33.339 off with four touchdown game. The Lions ain't straight games. 0:14:33.379 --> 0:14:36.099 Some folks saw it coming. They've got Anthony Richardslim and 0:14:36.139 --> 0:14:38.979 the Colts. On Sunday I think they make it nine straight, 0:14:39.179 --> 0:14:41.459 winning twenty seven to thirteen, because you saw it on 0:14:41.499 --> 0:14:43.579 that play. There's so many aspects of the Lions offense 0:14:43.619 --> 0:14:45.659 that we can celebrate. Why don't we look at Jared 0:14:45.699 --> 0:14:49.059 Goff passing with play action, folks. He's over one thousand 0:14:49.139 --> 0:14:53.219 yards already on just play action passing this season. In fact, 0:14:53.259 --> 0:14:55.739 he has two hundred more yards on play action than 0:14:55.779 --> 0:14:58.899 the next closest quarterback, which is Matthew Stafford, who is 0:14:58.899 --> 0:15:02.299 there because of Vic Fangio's efforts in a Bears game 0:15:02.739 --> 0:15:05.459 against the Rams a couple of years ago. I think 0:15:05.459 --> 0:15:07.019 the Lions win this one thirty seven. 0:15:07.339 --> 0:15:09.699 It made sense in my head. A lot of it. 0:15:10.739 --> 0:15:12.219 Even made Sean McVay be. 0:15:12.259 --> 0:15:14.539 Like, I got to get a defensive quarter You're like Fangio, 0:15:14.619 --> 0:15:15.859 so he hired Brandon Staley. 0:15:15.939 --> 0:15:17.619 Lots of things happen go on to this game. 0:15:17.739 --> 0:15:20.499 You know what, Thank you for your service, Vic Fangio. 0:15:20.619 --> 0:15:23.979 We all we're actually probably all here because of you, 0:15:24.099 --> 0:15:26.979 Vic Fangio. But the Lions win this one, twenty nine 0:15:27.019 --> 0:15:29.819 to twenty one. I want to talk about Aman Ross 0:15:29.859 --> 0:15:32.579 Saint Brown for a second here, because he actually has 0:15:32.579 --> 0:15:34.819 the highest upside for any wide receiver in my model 0:15:34.819 --> 0:15:35.179 this week. 0:15:35.219 --> 0:15:37.419 Why because you know who plays a lot of zone. 0:15:37.499 --> 0:15:38.019 Who's up? 0:15:38.259 --> 0:15:38.819 Yeah, the Colts. 0:15:38.859 --> 0:15:40.659 They played the most zone and they kind of do 0:15:40.699 --> 0:15:42.379 it even if it doesn't work. But you know where 0:15:42.499 --> 0:15:45.819 Jerik Goff has thrown all of his interceptions against zone. 0:15:45.939 --> 0:15:47.659 So this team figures to be a team that is 0:15:47.699 --> 0:15:48.579 working out some kikes. 0:15:48.619 --> 0:15:50.619 That is kind of my explanation for what we saw 0:15:50.739 --> 0:15:53.059 last week when they did not take their foot off 0:15:53.099 --> 0:15:55.339 the gas against the Jaguars. But I think this is 0:15:55.379 --> 0:15:59.179 an opportunity to really target the guy against zone. And 0:15:59.219 --> 0:16:01.339 this is a guy who has twenty nine percent target share, 0:16:01.379 --> 0:16:03.579 second highest in the NFL. So I think if you're 0:16:03.579 --> 0:16:07.379 looking for a really nice, high upside fantasy playlet's. 0:16:06.779 --> 0:16:07.659 To number fourteen. 0:16:08.059 --> 0:16:10.419 I love this Lions team because they're great. They can 0:16:10.579 --> 0:16:13.779 make comebacks against the Texans, but they're also great front runners, 0:16:13.819 --> 0:16:15.859 which is why all three of us not only have 0:16:15.939 --> 0:16:18.819 the Lions winning this game, we have them covering. I 0:16:18.819 --> 0:16:21.339 have them winning by ten, and it's partly because of 0:16:21.379 --> 0:16:23.499 the way the Colts won last week. Let's show some 0:16:23.579 --> 0:16:28.459 great Anthony Richardson footage. I point out these throws just 0:16:28.499 --> 0:16:30.299 to show you how difficult. 0:16:30.339 --> 0:16:31.179 They all were. 0:16:31.179 --> 0:16:33.779 Part of the reason they had to win with difficult 0:16:33.779 --> 0:16:36.179 throws where Anthony Richardson had to fit the ball into 0:16:36.179 --> 0:16:39.539 tight windows. Is the running game really wasn't working. Jonathan 0:16:39.579 --> 0:16:42.579 Taylor was stuffed by a pretty bad Jets run defense 0:16:42.619 --> 0:16:44.979 Anthony Richardson except for those runs on the goal line, 0:16:45.059 --> 0:16:47.739 which are important, he's such a red zone threat, he 0:16:47.779 --> 0:16:49.899 didn't really get it going on the ground either. That 0:16:50.219 --> 0:16:53.419 worries me because against a Lions team that stops the 0:16:53.499 --> 0:16:56.059 run and I think will be able to control Jonathan 0:16:56.059 --> 0:16:58.899 Taylor and Anthony Richardson on the ground. Man, you're gonna 0:16:58.899 --> 0:17:01.459 be trailing. You're gonna have to hit low percentage throws. 0:17:01.499 --> 0:17:03.859 That's only gonna work so much. They play well, not 0:17:03.899 --> 0:17:05.179 well of if they lose by ten. 0:17:05.459 --> 0:17:07.979 As we look at the first touchdown score odds between 0:17:07.979 --> 0:17:11.099 the Vikings and the Bears, Aaron Jones in the familiar 0:17:11.099 --> 0:17:13.939 spot playing against the Chicago Bears the leading the way 0:17:14.019 --> 0:17:16.259 at four hundred plus four to fifty Justin Jefferson. Right 0:17:16.299 --> 0:17:19.499 after that, DeAndre Swift at seven fifty, Jordanatis and TJ. 0:17:19.539 --> 0:17:22.339 Hockettson browning things out. Let's talk about this matchup a 0:17:22.339 --> 0:17:24.579 little bit more of the Bears haven't won in over 0:17:24.619 --> 0:17:26.859 a month, while the Vikings have won three straight. The 0:17:26.939 --> 0:17:29.579 Monsters of the Midway, can they come back from that 0:17:29.699 --> 0:17:30.499 huge disappointment? 0:17:30.539 --> 0:17:33.139 Get a win here, Cynthia, Anything's possible. 0:17:33.179 --> 0:17:33.739 Oh, there we go. 0:17:33.819 --> 0:17:34.899 But my model says no. 0:17:35.099 --> 0:17:37.659 I have Minnesota by at least four points twenty three 0:17:37.739 --> 0:17:41.179